Latest / Inside Politics / Best of 2025: A Labor 'landslide' and disaster for Dutton
Transcript
- 0:01S1: Hello and merry Christmas. It's Jacqueline Maley here. Your Inside
- 0:05S1: Politics team is on a little hiatus over summer before
- 0:07S1: we return at the end of January. And in the meantime,
- 0:10S1: we hope you enjoy some of our favorite episodes of
- 0:12S1: the year, starting with a trip down memory lane to
- 0:15S1: election night with our former chief political correspondent, David Crowe,
- 0:19S1: before he passed the baton to BFF of the podcast,
- 0:22S1: Paul Circle. David, you are not one to overuse an adjective,
- 0:30S1: but you wrote in your piece for Saturday night that
- 0:33S1: Anthony Albanese's victory was historic, stunning and extraordinary. Why do
- 0:38S1: you use those words?
- 0:40S2: Because it's so unusual to get a first term government
- 0:44S2: increasing its majority in this way. It doesn't happen very often.
- 0:49S2: I was talking to Shane Wright, our colleague earlier, and
- 0:52S2: he's told me when it last happened, and now I
- 0:54S2: can't remember just because it's a blizzard of information on
- 0:58S2: election night, but it's incredibly rare. The other thing, of course,
- 1:03S2: is that Anthony Albanese has become the first prime minister
- 1:06S2: since John Howard in 2004 to get another term as
- 1:11S2: an incumbent, and that's also been too rare in the
- 1:14S2: last 20 years or so. Since Kevin Rudd in 2007,
- 1:18S2: we've had one term prime ministers finally getting a prime
- 1:22S2: minister who serves a second term with a bit of
- 1:25S2: continuity in the job with an agenda for a second term.
- 1:29S2: He's even talking about a third term to our colleague
- 1:31S2: James Massola. All of these things make it a really
- 1:36S2: incredible night. And bear in mind, there had been talk
- 1:41S2: only months ago about or weeks ago about labor going
- 1:43S2: into minority government. And here they are with this increased
- 1:46S2: majority and with this mandate, when households are doing it
- 1:51S2: very tough and, you know, on other grounds they might
- 1:54S2: want to boot out a government when when the cost
- 1:56S2: of living is so bad. So on all those fronts,
- 1:58S2: it's it's really quite an incredible outcome.
- 2:01S1: Yeah. I've just come back from the Canterbury Hurlstone Park RSL,
- 2:06S1: which is where the the Labor Party faithful gathered tonight.
- 2:09S1: And Albanese just gave his speech, his victory speech. It
- 2:13S1: was exactly the same stage, exactly the same venue where
- 2:15S1: he gave his victory speech in 2022, where he talked
- 2:19S1: a lot about the voice, which obviously didn't get a
- 2:21S1: mention tonight. What did you think of of the speech, David?
- 2:26S2: I thought it was, um, one of the best speeches
- 2:28S2: that he has delivered in his political life.
- 2:33S3: Serving as your prime minister is the greatest honour of
- 2:38S3: my life.
- 2:41S2: I think it was very inclusive. He did have, I guess,
- 2:46S2: that pointed reference to acknowledging Indigenous Australians, which, given Peter
- 2:51S2: Dutton started this or fuelled this, this debate about the
- 2:55S2: welcome to country was a very pointed reference.
- 2:58S3: And I pay my respects to elders past, present and
- 3:02S3: emerging today and every day.
- 3:06S2: But in every other way he was gracious towards Peter Dutton.
- 3:09S2: He made it so important at the start of the
- 3:13S2: speech to simply thank Australians for their vote. He talked
- 3:16S2: about kindness. He talked about unity, about confidence. It was
- 3:21S2: a message trying to sort of lift up Australia at
- 3:25S2: a time where global conditions are so hostile, really, to
- 3:29S2: liberal democracies. Now, I'm not saying that he's got the
- 3:33S2: answer and that there is this incredible second term agenda
- 3:37S2: that's going to fix everything, because I think there are
- 3:39S2: a lot of questions about that. But it was a
- 3:42S2: very good speech in that way.
- 3:43S1: It was very optimistic. He talked about how his mother
- 3:46S1: had raised him to be an optimist and to see
- 3:48S1: the best in people, and there was every reason for
- 3:51S1: Australians to feel optimistic, which, as you say, is sort
- 3:54S1: of against the global zeitgeist. Paul, you were in the
- 3:57S1: room with the Dutton camp up in Brisbane, and you
- 4:00S1: watched the opposition leader's concession speech, which I think we
- 4:04S1: have to say was very gracious and refreshing, really, from him.
- 4:09S1: Talk us through the night there. What was the vibe
- 4:11S1: like in that room?
- 4:13S4: Yeah. Well, for all the talk about comparing Dutton to Trump,
- 4:15S4: some of it fair, some of it probably exaggerated, it's
- 4:19S4: a great sign of our democracy that there was no,
- 4:21S4: no suggestion that Dutton would ever do what Trump did
- 4:24S4: and question anything about how the political process plays out.
- 4:26S4: So it was gracious. He was he was, uh, he
- 4:30S4: he was relatively upbeat for a guy who'd just been
- 4:33S4: defeated so thoroughly. The room was quite warm when he
- 4:36S4: emerged at about 930 in the W Hotel in Brisbane.
- 4:40S4: He was watching upstairs with his family about 10 or
- 4:43S4: 15 minutes earlier. Some of his key supporters, including his
- 4:46S4: ministerial ally Steve Ciobo, Christian Porter, Michael Keenan, the campaign
- 4:50S4: spokesman James Paterson entered the room with Tony Abbott as well.
- 4:53S4: It well was actually pretty light on for politicians. There
- 4:55S4: weren't many current or former MPs there, except the ones
- 4:58S4: I've named. He received a big applause when he rocked up.
- 5:00S4: Dutton and then was really warmly allowed to exit the
- 5:03S4: room with a long standing ovation.
- 5:05S5: Well, tonight's not the night that we wanted for the
- 5:08S5: Liberal Party or for our coalition, or indeed for our country.
- 5:11S4: He's built up a lot of goodwill in the party.
- 5:13S4: There are not many people on the moderate side, and
- 5:15S4: certainly not on the right where he sits, who have
- 5:18S4: much disdain for him. I think there was a there
- 5:21S4: was a significant rump of people who just felt really
- 5:23S4: sorry for a guy who they thought had given it
- 5:26S4: his all, but also deep acknowledgement from even his staff and, uh,
- 5:30S4: some of his close MPs who I spoke to in
- 5:32S4: text and calls after, who just saw the result and
- 5:36S4: realised that what they offered was totally, uh, not up
- 5:40S4: to it.
- 5:40S5: Now, we didn't do well enough during this campaign. That
- 5:43S5: much is obvious tonight and I accept full responsibility for that.
- 5:47S4: The campaign was poor. The policy offering was meek. Dutton
- 5:51S4: proved to be someone who was by the end, the
- 5:53S4: last Newspoll had him at the lowest popularity rating since
- 5:57S4: Andrew Peacock in the early 90s. So he's shown himself
- 6:00S4: to be one of the most deeply unpopular political party
- 6:03S4: leaders in a long time. And that showed tonight.
- 6:05S1: Yeah. Okay. So the recriminations on the liberal side are
- 6:08S1: going to be, um, going to be swift and interesting.
- 6:10S1: What does this sort of I mean, I don't know,
- 6:13S1: are we calling it a landslide? It's a sort of
- 6:15S1: huge increased majority. We don't know of what magnitude yet,
- 6:18S1: but a pretty interesting and big result. Is it all
- 6:22S1: about Albanese's personal popularity? Is it about the labor policy offering,
- 6:26S1: or is it more disillusionment with Peter Dutton and the coalition? David,
- 6:31S1: what do you think?
- 6:31S2: I think the Peter Dutton factor was real, and it
- 6:35S2: was something that the coalition underestimated, because clearly they didn't
- 6:38S2: position him better going into this. If they wanted to
- 6:44S2: get Australians to get to know Peter Dutton as a
- 6:48S2: as a family man and so forth, They should have
- 6:50S2: been doing more on that front last year. But really
- 6:54S2: it was about, I think, the core offer from Labour.
- 6:58S2: And I think this goes back to something that I
- 7:00S2: know Paul's been talking to Labour people about for ages
- 7:03S2: and so have I. We all knew that Labour felt
- 7:08S2: they couldn't win if it was going to be about
- 7:09S2: the last three years, it had to be about the
- 7:12S2: forward offer. And I heard that phrase repeatedly, the forward offer,
- 7:16S2: and that was about telling people, we're going to do
- 7:18S2: the following things for the next three years. And that's
- 7:21S2: where the liberals were, I think, complacent because Labour knew
- 7:25S2: exactly what they were going to do, and they figured
- 7:28S2: it out late last year, and then they started doing
- 7:31S2: doing it in January with more money for Medicare, which
- 7:34S2: of course, Peter Dutton matched. But it was Labour on
- 7:38S2: the front foot saying, we are hearing you on the
- 7:41S2: cost of living and we are doing the following things.
- 7:45S2: Whether it was road funding or Medicare funding, the urgent
- 7:48S2: care clinics and so forth. Um, they were delivering something
- 7:53S2: that helped households with their finances. And that just kept
- 7:57S2: going all the way through to the budget. All of
- 8:00S2: those things worked. Mind you can't forget that Donald Trump
- 8:04S2: was a factor because he brought this global turmoil to
- 8:08S2: the Australian election. But labor knew that it had to
- 8:11S2: offer something to Australians, and it started doing that in
- 8:16S2: a really disciplined way.
- 8:17S4: I'd add further to that. I agree you can't understate
- 8:19S4: the Trump factor, but domestic factors are also huge, and
- 8:24S4: some of this will be written in our long feature
- 8:26S4: story that we're writing with Matthew Knott and Natasha Chrysanthos
- 8:29S4: in coming days. So I'm giving a bit away. But
- 8:31S4: I think in hindsight, people will look at what Albanese
- 8:34S4: developed in terms of his election strategy and Paul Erickson,
- 8:37S4: the campaign boss, and realised that labor staked out the
- 8:41S4: centre ground at this election. They own the centre ground.
- 8:44S4: They pushed the Liberal Party on cost of living and
- 8:48S4: a number of other just core issues on health and
- 8:50S4: education and various other policy areas out to the side.
- 8:53S4: And Albanese commanded the centre in late October. Labor people
- 8:57S4: were looking at what Trump was doing to Kamala Harris.
- 9:00S4: Paul Erickson had his election strategy laid out by late
- 9:03S4: October and early November. And the core of it was
- 9:07S4: a cost of living argument centred on Medicare, turned into
- 9:10S4: a cost of living issue to talk about healthcare every day,
- 9:13S4: as a mechanism to say we are tangibly making your
- 9:16S4: life easier and cheaper in a cost of living crisis.
- 9:20S4: They hammered that home for months. They put economics at
- 9:24S4: the core of their agenda, which labor people, particularly in
- 9:27S4: kind of think tank land and on the right of
- 9:29S4: the Labor Party, have been calling for for years. They've said,
- 9:32S4: forget talking about social justice as the core of your
- 9:35S4: offering and progressivism as the core of your offering, and
- 9:38S4: make economics and living standards the core of Labor's brand.
- 9:41S4: Albanese and Paul Erickson did that. And incredibly, in the
- 9:45S4: polls in recent weeks, even after a huge spike in
- 9:49S4: interest rates and people having been worse off over the
- 9:52S4: last three years in terms of real incomes. Labour is
- 9:55S4: ahead on cost of living and economic management in most polls.
- 9:59S4: That's an extraordinary result, a vindication of their strategy and
- 10:03S4: a massive indictment on the party that's meant to be
- 10:05S4: known as the better economic manager.
- 10:07S6: Do you think it was also.
- 10:08S1: A rejection of Trumpism? Because we can't I mean, you know,
- 10:11S1: lots of people wrote during the campaign that Donald Trump
- 10:13S1: was sort of like the third person in the campaign. Obviously,
- 10:17S1: he was incredibly influential in terms of the global atmosphere,
- 10:21S1: but also in terms of all of the allegations that
- 10:26S1: Dutton or members of Dutton's party were aping Trump or
- 10:30S1: stealing from him, or wanted to bring that kind of
- 10:32S1: politics to Australia. He did have a go on woke issues,
- 10:36S1: so-called woke issues, particularly towards the end of the campaign.
- 10:39S1: How much of this can we see as a rejection
- 10:41S1: of that kind of politics? David.
- 10:44S2: I think we can see the election result as a
- 10:46S2: rejection of Trumpist ploys in in Australian politics, because there
- 10:52S2: have been some of those and I guess Jacinta Nampijinpa
- 10:55S2: price as the coalition's spokesperson for government efficiency, picking up
- 11:01S2: that kind of Doge theme from the US when she
- 11:05S2: said Make Australia great again. It clearly had the overtones
- 11:08S2: of a Trumpist line. If that was working for the coalition,
- 11:14S2: they would have had a, you know, side by side
- 11:16S2: with Peter Dutton for days afterwards. They didn't. She was
- 11:20S2: hidden after that. So that tells you how they saw
- 11:23S2: that playing out. But also, we know from our own
- 11:26S2: polling that almost two thirds of Australians see the election
- 11:29S2: of Trump as a bad thing for Australia. They don't
- 11:32S2: like him. And over the course of the campaign that
- 11:36S2: worked in Anthony Albanese's favor, I think of Anthony Albanese. Now,
- 11:41S2: given this dynamic as an anti-Trump. I mean, Albanese is
- 11:45S2: always talking about orderly government. He presented a safe, friendly
- 11:50S2: kind of face, even though he has been on the
- 11:53S2: nose for so long on the cost of living. So
- 11:55S2: he was an anti-Trump.
- 11:57S1: He even talked about kindness and respect very pointedly in
- 11:59S1: his victory speech tonight. Paul, do you see this result
- 12:04S1: as partly a rejection of that sort of anti-woke stuff
- 12:07S1: that is very much associated with the Trump agenda?
- 12:11S4: Partly. I'd also just say that as the Canadian election
- 12:14S4: result proved Trump's erratic nature, his trashing of conservatism around
- 12:20S4: the world has flipped the script in other Western countries
- 12:22S4: and allowed centre left progressive leaders to become the Patriots,
- 12:29S4: the ones talking about kind of nationalistic Australia first Canada
- 12:34S4: first policies, which is something they've never been able to
- 12:38S4: do with as much authority as the conservatives in their country,
- 12:41S4: because those conservatives are now portrayed as buddies with the
- 12:46S4: US president who's having a crack at all these allies.
- 12:49S4: So it's it's we're in uncharted territory.
- 13:03S7: Hello to crime nuts and nuts. Just generally we're back
- 13:06S7: with series seven of Naked City. I'd like to say
- 13:10S7: the delay was technical, but it's basically I'm bone lazy
- 13:13S7: forced now to do it. It's pretty good. We talk
- 13:16S7: about cold cases, hot cases and cases that were never solved.
- 13:21S7: Notorious crooks. Brilliant detectives and baghouse reporters. Naked city out
- 13:28S7: after the summer break. Enjoy your plum pudding.
- 13:42S6: What were some of the.
- 13:43S1: More surprising results of the night I want to talk about?
- 13:46S1: You know, David, I don't know if you've had much
- 13:48S1: of a look at the Greens vote. I want to
- 13:50S1: talk about Tasmania, where labor was incredibly successful. Victoria and
- 13:55S1: of course, Dutton's seat of Dickson. Let's just go first
- 13:58S1: to the Greens vote. Have you had much of a
- 14:00S1: look at that?
- 14:01S2: Yes. And it hasn't been great for the Greens. Some
- 14:04S2: of the results are very close. I haven't talked to
- 14:08S2: anybody about what's what they're seeing in Brisbane, for instance
- 14:11S2: in the Brisbane seats that is. But of course these
- 14:15S2: are sort of must haves for the Greens. They did
- 14:17S2: so well at the last election. Max Chandler-mather was their
- 14:20S2: spokesperson on housing in Griffith, Stephen Bates in Brisbane, Elizabeth
- 14:25S2: Watson Brown in Ryan. They want to hold those seats,
- 14:29S2: but they haven't done that. Great labor is is within
- 14:34S2: sight of turning things against them. I think it's different
- 14:37S2: in Melbourne, where there's concern about the labor seat of wills,
- 14:41S2: but you cannot see across the board that this is
- 14:44S2: a big victory for the Greens. It's been much more
- 14:47S2: interesting in terms of the teal contests and in that
- 14:52S2: previously safe Liberal seat of Bradfield in Sydney. Nicolette Buller
- 14:57S2: has won that seat. It's a, you know, shocking defeat
- 15:00S2: for the liberals and it just highlights this teal trend.
- 15:04S2: So I can't say I was surprised by that because
- 15:07S2: I'd been watching that seat really with a lot of interest,
- 15:10S2: and I thought there was a chance that Nicolette Buller
- 15:12S2: could do it. But to see it actually happen and
- 15:15S2: continue that trend is really something.
- 15:17S1: What about Dickson? Paul? What happened for Peter Dutton? I mean,
- 15:22S1: it's been several elections now when labor has sort of
- 15:24S1: said that Dickson's in contention and that Dutton might lose
- 15:27S1: his seat. There was a lot of talk of that
- 15:29S1: sort of two elections ago, but this time it actually happened.
- 15:31S1: It's quite stunning.
- 15:32S4: Yeah, labor had been talking about this for weeks now.
- 15:35S4: They've been doing big fundraising drives, saying to people around
- 15:38S4: the country, donate because we think we can beat Peter Dutton.
- 15:41S4: Albanese spent the first day of the campaign on, I
- 15:43S4: think it's March 29th, in Dickson, and then he swung
- 15:46S4: through in one of the final days. There was a
- 15:48S4: lot of talk at the start of the campaign about
- 15:50S4: this being an Albanese mind game. He does like political
- 15:54S4: games and getting in the heads of his opponents. He
- 15:56S4: at the time said he really believed it was on
- 15:59S4: the on the brink of falling. Even his colleagues didn't
- 16:02S4: really believe him. But there's been a huge swing against
- 16:05S4: the Liberal Party across or the LNP in Queensland. In
- 16:09S4: seats like Bonner, there were huge swings. Various other suburban
- 16:12S4: seats where labor had been putting in a lot of
- 16:14S4: resources into in the last year or two, particularly led
- 16:17S4: by Murray Watt and Jim Chalmers, to build the brand
- 16:19S4: back there and in the city of Brisbane as well.
- 16:21S4: There were big swings, as we just mentioned, to the
- 16:23S4: to labor from the Greens. But in terms of Dickson itself,
- 16:27S4: it's hard to know about local factors. There was a
- 16:29S4: new teal independent, Ali Smith, who was really heavily backed
- 16:33S4: by climate. 201 13.1% of the primary vote at this
- 16:37S4: stage of counting. Dutton has lost 8% of his primary.
- 16:41S4: At this stage, Labor's only up two and a half,
- 16:43S4: so the Independent clearly caused Dutton problems. Huge amounts of
- 16:47S4: money spent by labor and the climate, 200 independent and
- 16:50S4: lots and lots of labor ministers and MPs and party
- 16:55S4: heavyweights swung through Dixon to get to gain momentum there.
- 16:58S4: So perhaps the voters of Dixon when the when the
- 17:01S4: when the heat. Really. Well I don't want to go
- 17:04S4: too far there but when, when they maybe really thought
- 17:07S4: thought about Dutton as their candidate in a really high
- 17:11S4: profile race where it actually looked like there was a
- 17:14S4: chance of flipping it, maybe they saw something, something they
- 17:17S4: didn't like.
- 17:17S1: Yeah, I'm not sure how much people were tuned into this,
- 17:20S1: but certainly he was asked, I think in the last
- 17:22S1: debate if he or he was asked recently if he
- 17:25S1: would be happy to have a nuclear reactor in his
- 17:27S1: own electorate, and he said yes. So I don't know
- 17:30S1: if that was that was something that people were tuned into.
- 17:33S1: Let's just talk quickly about the coalition. Paul. Peter Dutton
- 17:37S1: took total responsibility for the loss. But I mean, what's
- 17:41S1: your sense of what happened? Was it was it his fault?
- 17:43S1: Was it. Was it miscommunication with the with campaign HQ?
- 17:47S1: Was it the fact that he just went off piste
- 17:50S1: and did his own thing and didn't listen to the party? Um,
- 17:53S1: the party elders. What was it?
- 17:56S4: It's it's there's so many factors that make it complex.
- 17:59S4: And so it's clearly deep and structural. The problem in
- 18:02S4: the party to blame any one breakdown in communication or
- 18:05S4: relationship or attitude in a certain, um, cohort of his
- 18:10S4: staffing unit just seems simplistic. I mean, the party, the
- 18:13S4: party's broken. Um, they've had three years in a cost
- 18:17S4: of living crisis to develop an economic narrative, have totally
- 18:21S4: failed to do so and have gone backwards on an
- 18:24S4: already record low primary vote with a deeply unpopular prime
- 18:28S4: minister in Scott Morrison. So it's the recriminations will be
- 18:33S4: really severe. There'll be huge questions directed towards the pollster
- 18:37S4: Mike Turner at Freshwater, because there's been a sense in
- 18:40S4: the party, a real sense. I don't think a fake
- 18:43S4: false spin sense that their internal polling was better than
- 18:47S4: the national polling and that this result would not play out.
- 18:50S4: So there'll be huge questions about why that didn't play out.
- 18:52S4: The strategy of not dealing in the same way as
- 18:57S4: most political leaders in the past, with mainstream press throughout
- 19:00S4: the term, and focusing the strategy towards two GB and
- 19:03S4: Sky news, as David has written about extensively, will also
- 19:06S4: come under severe question after just a quick point to
- 19:10S4: finish off after the 22 result. They were in the
- 19:13S4: mid 50s in terms of seats. Their primary vote was
- 19:16S4: really low under Dutton for a period, but the party
- 19:19S4: was galvanised by the voice referendum. It lifted them off
- 19:22S4: the floor. It instilled discipline over a year or even more,
- 19:25S4: which was like a long campaign within the term. And
- 19:28S4: I think that in part meant that there was no
- 19:31S4: period of soul searching and real examination of what the
- 19:33S4: party stood for, its policy agenda, its recruitment of talent,
- 19:37S4: all those things that make a healthy, vibrant political party.
- 19:39S4: This result has to force that if it doesn't, it
- 19:43S4: never will. I mean, labor went through similar periods in
- 19:46S4: the mid 2000 when Howard kept beating them. They had
- 19:49S4: another period of reckoning after Bill shorten lost. So this
- 19:53S4: happens to both sides of politics. But there needs to
- 19:55S4: be serious, serious examination of the party and what it
- 19:58S4: what it is. And there has to be over the
- 20:01S4: next few months or maybe even year, a period where
- 20:04S4: there's no focus on opinion polling and just focus on
- 20:07S4: how do we get ourselves to be a governing party again.
- 20:11S2: The liberals have always done well when they're genuinely a
- 20:16S2: broad church, to use that old phrase, the phrase is
- 20:19S2: used so much because it's such a good phrase. They
- 20:22S2: know that that's how they succeed, and that's not really
- 20:25S2: the best description of them right now. Well, after this result,
- 20:29S2: they're like a rump. But I think Peter Dutton has
- 20:34S2: been given a lot of credit for uniting the team
- 20:37S2: and keeping them all together after the 2022 election outcome,
- 20:41S2: that defeat, and he did keep them united, but he
- 20:45S2: kept them united by not making them too much of
- 20:47S2: a broad church. He had a, you know, deliberately conservative, um, approach,
- 20:53S2: very conservative, I think, uh, Liberal Party over the last
- 20:57S2: couple of years, picking fights on culture wars and woke
- 21:00S2: agendas and so forth. And maybe that wasn't the way
- 21:03S2: to succeed. We now see what Australians think about it.
- 21:06S2: So unity came at an incredible cost because they didn't
- 21:10S2: actually have a deep think about their philosophy and their
- 21:14S2: direction in the last couple of years. And really we
- 21:17S2: could see that with their policy agenda because it was
- 21:20S2: relatively thin and it didn't, you know, they complained about
- 21:23S2: the catastrophe facing Australia, and then they came up with
- 21:27S2: a bit of a damp squib on the policy front
- 21:29S2: as a solution to that catastrophe. They didn't seem to
- 21:32S2: have the courage of their convictions on what they were
- 21:35S2: really fighting for, because I think they hadn't really worked
- 21:37S2: out what those convictions were.
- 21:39S1: Yeah. I mean, you've got to conclude that they just
- 21:41S1: they didn't do any work, really any proper work on policy.
- 21:44S1: They just they had a lot of time and, and
- 21:47S1: they didn't use that time. David, you wrote in your
- 21:50S1: piece tonight that everything at this election has approved the
- 21:54S1: path ahead will not be easy. So you're not sort
- 21:57S1: of letting Albanese off the hook? What do you mean
- 21:59S1: by that, exactly?
- 22:01S2: Well, I was remembering an interview that we did with
- 22:05S2: Jim Chalmers last year. Remember this jacket where he asked,
- 22:09S2: you know, is there going to be an election spendathon.
- 22:11S2: And he said, no. Well, guess what, there was an election. Spendathon. Right.
- 22:15S2: They spent a lot. Now they say they're improving government services.
- 22:19S2: And I think Australians respond to that because they want
- 22:21S2: a caring government in this global turmoil that looks after
- 22:24S2: them and delivers services like Medicare. But there's been a
- 22:28S2: lot of spending going on. There are no budget surpluses
- 22:33S2: in the foreseeable future. The economy has low productivity, right?
- 22:38S2: We used to worry about that. We used to be
- 22:40S2: a nation that actually paid attention to that, paid attention
- 22:44S2: to economic reform, to tax reform. Are we going to
- 22:48S2: rediscover that? It could take a majority government that's safe,
- 22:54S2: that's got a mandate to try and look at some
- 22:57S2: of these things. It's not an easy job, but somebody's
- 23:00S2: got to do it. And the time to do it
- 23:02S2: is when you've got a mandate and a majority. So
- 23:06S2: I think it's going to be challenging for Anthony Albanese
- 23:09S2: and for Jim Chalmers, because there's so much that needs doing.
- 23:12S4: If the big question for the coalition side now is
- 23:15S4: how do they regenerate if they can regenerate? The big
- 23:18S4: question for Albanese now is can he be bigger? Can
- 23:21S4: he be bolder? Can the nature of his government change.
- 23:25S4: One of his long time close friends said to me
- 23:28S4: the other day that if he wins with a majority,
- 23:31S4: he'll be extremely vindicated and proud of what he's just achieved.
- 23:35S4: And he showed that with his emotion tonight. But he'll also,
- 23:38S4: according to this person, go into what he described as
- 23:40S4: legacy mode, where he'll be thinking not just about how
- 23:44S4: to get another win. Although another win would be fantastic.
- 23:46S4: He'll be thinking about how does he go out having
- 23:49S4: achieved big reforms now, and he'll want to do a
- 23:52S4: couple of things that mark him out, not just as
- 23:54S4: someone who's won two successive elections to be the first
- 23:58S4: person after John Howard, but how he's done that and
- 24:01S4: done big things. And he even though he's done some
- 24:04S4: creditable things and he calls himself a reformer, even his
- 24:07S4: colleagues think the last term was far from ideal, far
- 24:11S4: from big enough, far from long term, enough in its thinking.
- 24:15S4: So can he reach to change the GST deal and
- 24:18S4: do proper tax reform, a big new social program? Who
- 24:22S4: knows what that might be, but can he change the
- 24:23S4: nature of the government and be bigger and bolder, or
- 24:26S4: be the big question and the big pressure point on him?
- 24:28S1: I'm sure we'll gather again to talk about that in
- 24:30S1: the not too distant future. It's very late. You guys
- 24:32S1: have been up all day. You've done an amazing job.
- 24:34S1: Thank you for coming and talking and what a fascinating result.
- 24:38S1: Long live democracy.
- 24:40S4: Thanks to you guys. All turn. Bye.
- 24:42S2: Thanks, Paul.
- 24:45S1: Today's episode was produced by Julia Katzel. Our executive producer
- 24:49S1: is Tammy Mills, and Tom McKendrick is our head of audio.
- 24:53S1: To listen to our episodes as soon as they drop,
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- 25:17S1: Thank you for listening.