Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL First Look | Week 13 | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: All system's going clear.
- 0:07Speaker 2: You left?
- 0:36Speaker 1: What's up? Everyone? Tyler Tambaline here aka TOTEG and Tambo
- 0:40Speaker 1: back for another edition of the first Look show Here
- 0:42Speaker 1: on the ship at Nation YouTube station. Got my guy
- 0:44Speaker 1: DJN with me. Gotta breakdown all things Week thirteen upcoming
- 0:49Speaker 1: couple housekeeping notes quick, just real fast. Thanksgiving, we know
- 0:52Speaker 1: about it. Very important slate. We're excited the Black Friday
- 0:55Speaker 1: game on Friday with Kansas City, the two things on
- 0:58Speaker 1: that one. We will have a show an early show
- 1:00Speaker 1: tomorrow on this channel, so make sure you subscribe. Hoop
- 1:03Speaker 1: title and myself breaking down the three game slate. Got
- 1:06Speaker 1: some other content coming out for the late Thursday game
- 1:09Speaker 1: for Showdown, the Friday Showdown slate with the Stone Projections, ownership,
- 1:13Speaker 1: all that and more. But we're gonna break down the
- 1:15Speaker 1: week twelve listener League winner the Big Guy by Shipping
- 1:18Speaker 1: Nation got whipped ninety nine. Then we're gonna go through
- 1:20Speaker 1: the ten games slate, a little seven to three split.
- 1:22Speaker 1: So Big Guy himself, I'm gonna bring you in, man,
- 1:24Speaker 1: what's going on? How are you doing this week?
- 1:26Speaker 3: It's a sad day. The beard is right after this.
- 1:28Speaker 3: I'm having to get the Beard chopped off the winning streak.
- 1:31Speaker 3: I finally did not win this Sunday, which is crazy
- 1:33Speaker 3: because Saturday I almost shipped college football and I was like,
- 1:36Speaker 3: I'm just on the heater of all eaters, and then
- 1:37Speaker 3: they did a stack correction moved me back and it
- 1:40Speaker 3: just kind of seemed to change the karma of the weekend,
- 1:42Speaker 3: and before you know, we had the three big weeks
- 1:45Speaker 3: that NFL's over.
- 1:46Speaker 2: So as a man, in my word, I'm shaving the
- 1:48Speaker 2: beard today.
- 1:49Speaker 1: Don't say stack correction too loud with Nick and the chat.
- 1:51Speaker 2: We know the college.
- 1:53Speaker 1: Football stack corrections. Yikes, But where's Nick going on vacation?
- 1:57Speaker 1: I wonder, shout at the new end Sean Sullivan, coach
- 1:59Speaker 1: Sab Michael or Tea's and of course our guy Nick,
- 2:01Speaker 1: he's leaving on vacation. But let's get into it, man,
- 2:04Speaker 1: let's break this down. I'm gonna pull up the listener
- 2:06Speaker 1: league winner from last week in the Big Guy. I
- 2:09Speaker 1: can fix this up. We'll get this roll in here,
- 2:11Speaker 1: got it? Yeah, and you can see that. Okay, So
- 2:13Speaker 1: Whip ninety nine got the stack with Miami John hu
- 2:18Speaker 1: Smith lower owned by the way in the Big Guy
- 2:20Speaker 1: wasn't as popular as in some of the other stuff.
- 2:23Speaker 1: Jacoby Meyers lower owned. He was super owned in the
- 2:25Speaker 1: high stake stuff. But check it out. What do you
- 2:27Speaker 1: think of this line up? Obviously pretty good to put
- 2:28Speaker 1: up two oh seven, but quick breakdown here for Whip
- 2:31Speaker 1: ninety nine.
- 2:32Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's frustrating because I was all about Miami.
- 2:34Speaker 3: I had a rule set that, like, every lineup must
- 2:36Speaker 3: contain Wattle, Hill, a Chin or Smith, and I was
- 2:39Speaker 3: okay with it, even putting two in there.
- 2:41Speaker 2: And then I didn't put two with.
- 2:42Speaker 3: Any of them because I just don't typically like two
- 2:44Speaker 3: of stacks because he seems to get other people there
- 2:46Speaker 3: without getting himself there. And this is the week he
- 2:48Speaker 3: got him there and everybody on the team, and you know,
- 2:52Speaker 3: just to just overstack Miami. It just seemed like a
- 2:55Speaker 3: great play. Like they just seemed like they were doing
- 2:56Speaker 3: for five hundred yards and thirty five points. So just
- 2:59Speaker 3: when you start there, that's great. And uh, you know,
- 3:02Speaker 3: he ate some he ate plenty of chalk, but he
- 3:04Speaker 3: got he got different in the right spots and that's
- 3:06Speaker 3: what matters. I mean, the Jacobs in the afternoon, just
- 3:09Speaker 3: boat race everybody.
- 3:11Speaker 1: Yeah, I think we will, right, Jen just quickly checking
- 3:13Speaker 1: this out and I'll go back to the lineup. But
- 3:14Speaker 1: the stone we're going to have up today for the
- 3:16Speaker 1: first look is because this is for the main slight.
- 3:18Speaker 1: Like I said, we will cover show. We will cover
- 3:21Speaker 1: the three game Thanksgiving slate tomorrow, and I would hope
- 3:24Speaker 1: and I would expect that we'll have a stone up
- 3:25Speaker 1: probably overnight, just to make that happen.
- 3:27Speaker 3: Yeah, so what we want to cover the three games
- 3:29Speaker 3: like first look on this is that what you're saying.
- 3:31Speaker 1: No, no, no, I'm saying he's asking. Danny's asking if
- 3:34Speaker 1: the site's going to have a stone up for that,
- 3:36Speaker 1: and it's just right now he's probably looking at the
- 3:38Speaker 1: sight seeing the stone we're about to go through. So
- 3:39Speaker 1: just wanted to clear that up.
- 3:40Speaker 3: Let me tell you, I know the team that runs
- 3:42Speaker 3: the stone, it'll always be there, prompt, ready and looking
- 3:46Speaker 3: good with everything you need, with plenty of time.
- 3:48Speaker 2: So I would I would bet they get it up
- 3:50Speaker 2: for you.
- 3:51Speaker 1: Different spin on the checks notes, but the team over
- 3:54Speaker 1: Attribernation putting in the work behind the scenes. Checks notes
- 3:57Speaker 1: pretty awesome, pretty awesome.
- 3:58Speaker 2: Whatdy try hards, sweaty try, that's rule number one.
- 4:02Speaker 1: Yeah, we love that stuff. So we'll have it up Danny.
- 4:04Speaker 1: Just going back to this lineup quick, I will say,
- 4:05Speaker 1: speaking of the Stone, it really liked this new England
- 4:08Speaker 1: Miami game hoop title. Myself ended up talking a ton
- 4:10Speaker 1: about that on the Sunday Show and by the end
- 4:13Speaker 1: of it we were like, man, maybe it's just got
- 4:14Speaker 1: time to go back to that game. Everything makes sense there.
- 4:17Speaker 1: It didn't all get there, but a lot of pieces did. Obviously.
- 4:19Speaker 1: The downfall is if you played Tyreek. So I really
- 4:22Speaker 1: love what Whip did here, going with Tua, sticking with
- 4:25Speaker 1: a Chan at the ownership, but getting different by cutting
- 4:27Speaker 1: into it with Tua and Johanu in this one and
- 4:29Speaker 1: not having Tyreek. Now didn't have Wattle either, which would
- 4:32Speaker 1: make the difference of all of the money because the
- 4:34Speaker 1: Ridley to Wattle could have been even more. But you
- 4:37Speaker 1: can't wait more than the first place in this tournament.
- 4:39Speaker 1: So shout at the Whip ninety nine. The new one
- 4:41Speaker 1: will go up on my ex and the ship at
- 4:43Speaker 1: Nation X this afternoon for the big guy for this week.
- 4:46Speaker 1: Still fifteen hundred entries, like it says up top here,
- 4:49Speaker 1: so you can check that out. Ship at Nation dot com.
- 4:51Speaker 1: You guys want to check it out right. Now, get
- 4:53Speaker 1: involved for everything we're talking about with Thanksgiving, the Showdown slates.
- 4:56Speaker 1: We've got a lot of two game slates this month
- 4:59Speaker 1: coming up, some short light stuff, obviously the Christmas Day
- 5:01Speaker 1: games all that. So now's the best time to get in.
- 5:04Speaker 1: Just a couple of quick promos. I'll go through and
- 5:05Speaker 1: then we'll get into the first game one. If you
- 5:08Speaker 1: just want to dip your toes and do the first month,
- 5:11Speaker 1: you can use code NBA fifty. It's for all access
- 5:14Speaker 1: and there's a sixty nine dollars a month all access
- 5:16Speaker 1: you can get for thirty four to fifty for the month,
- 5:19Speaker 1: or there's the ninety nine dollars all Access that includes Shipdemiser,
- 5:22Speaker 1: which is good for Classic and Showdown, NFL. You'll get
- 5:26Speaker 1: all the other sports that we cover. If you click
- 5:29Speaker 1: Join the Nation and you're just wanting to get in
- 5:31Speaker 1: for football, you go single sport. If you have college
- 5:34Speaker 1: football in your state, amazing, you'll get that as well.
- 5:36Speaker 1: If you don't, you'll still get the rest of NFL
- 5:38Speaker 1: Classic and Showdown ninety nine bucks for the rest of
- 5:41Speaker 1: the season right through the end of Super Bowl in February,
- 5:44Speaker 1: so way less than one hundred and sixty plus bucks
- 5:46Speaker 1: a month to pay ninety nine and get all of it.
- 5:49Speaker 1: And if you want to add ship toe Mizer for
- 5:50Speaker 1: NFL Classic and showdown, just thirty bucks more. Let's go
- 5:53Speaker 1: over to the Stone. It's right here under NFL the Stone.
- 5:56Speaker 1: When you're a member, we've got the shell up DJN
- 5:59Speaker 1: and just any first look thoughts as you look at
- 6:02Speaker 1: I mean, it is a ten gamer. It's the seven
- 6:03Speaker 1: to three split. Any first thoughts before we get to
- 6:06Speaker 1: the first game.
- 6:06Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 6:06Speaker 3: My first thought is I'm getting tired of bye weeks
- 6:09Speaker 3: right because every week I'm like, man, I can't wait
- 6:11Speaker 3: to play. You know, these guys in my lineup again.
- 6:13Speaker 3: I like how this offense is moving, and then like
- 6:15Speaker 3: they're just never on the slate. That gets a little old.
- 6:17Speaker 3: But I truly have not looked at a game yet,
- 6:19Speaker 3: Like I wanted to make this a true first look,
- 6:22Speaker 3: So I have no opinion. Seven to three is you know,
- 6:25Speaker 3: just standard. I like when there's the four afternoon games,
- 6:28Speaker 3: eight early games or more. But what are we gonna do.
- 6:30Speaker 3: We'll make it work with this one.
- 6:32Speaker 1: Yeah, and the good news is, you know it's what
- 6:34Speaker 1: you said. It is a true first look. We'll check
- 6:36Speaker 1: out stuff on injuries as people can help out in
- 6:37Speaker 1: the chat as we go along. That's what it's all about.
- 6:39Speaker 1: Because I'm with you and I've been looking a lot
- 6:41Speaker 1: more at the Thursday slate. I was taking slate by slate.
- 6:43Speaker 1: We finished off last night. Shout out those Ravens, barely
- 6:46Speaker 1: but getting the job done. It was closer than it looked.
- 6:49Speaker 1: I mean it wasn't as close as it looked on paper.
- 6:51Speaker 1: They got the late Gus Edwards touchdown after the two
- 6:54Speaker 1: flags to get them there. And the Ravens just have
- 6:56Speaker 1: no discipline when they're up in a game, so that's
- 6:58Speaker 1: pretty standard. But speaking of that game, it goes into
- 7:00Speaker 1: the first one here. We just saw the Chargers last
- 7:03Speaker 1: night coming across now and right out of the gates.
- 7:05Speaker 1: First game on the slate, Chargers at the Falcons. What's
- 7:08Speaker 1: your thoughts on this one?
- 7:09Speaker 3: Like I can't believe this, like Justin Herbert to do that,
- 7:12Speaker 3: like you know, best ball. I was just fading hardcore.
- 7:14Speaker 3: I just thought they had run the shit out of
- 7:15Speaker 3: the ball this year. Have no passing game, and that's
- 7:17Speaker 3: kind of what they did at the start. But like
- 7:19Speaker 3: if you're watching these games, like Justin Herbert's like running
- 7:21Speaker 3: the ball a little bit.
- 7:22Speaker 2: He takes lots of downfield shots.
- 7:24Speaker 3: And if you don't know the importance of downfield shots
- 7:27Speaker 3: in DFS, you need to understand this. It's not only
- 7:29Speaker 3: does your quarterback get chances at huge plays, huge touchdowns
- 7:33Speaker 3: and yardages, but it's also consistently either pushing the pace
- 7:36Speaker 3: of the game because they're completing these in scoring touchdowns,
- 7:38Speaker 3: or they're throwing in completions, which is allowing more plays
- 7:41Speaker 3: to happen. It's second and ten now, and they're still
- 7:43Speaker 3: throwing the ball. So if Justin Herbert's going to continue
- 7:46Speaker 3: to chunk the ball down the field forty times a game,
- 7:49Speaker 3: I think I'm actually warming up to charger stacks. And
- 7:51Speaker 3: then you put him in a dome versus the falcon
- 7:53Speaker 3: shitty defense. Now I'm getting real warm to the idea
- 7:56Speaker 3: and Justin Herbert to do that's never on my radar.
- 7:59Speaker 1: Yeah, shots are one thing. How about Quinton Johnston downfield drops.
- 8:04Speaker 2: Back to who he is?
- 8:05Speaker 1: Right?
- 8:06Speaker 2: Who he is? Well Stone hands Johnston.
- 8:08Speaker 1: That was so bad yesterday people were literally thinking he
- 8:10Speaker 1: was dropping them on purpose. At one point, it was
- 8:12Speaker 1: like there was four in a row or something. It
- 8:14Speaker 1: just non stop. The first one when you're looking up field,
- 8:17Speaker 1: that happens. He was kind of cold, hadn't be getting
- 8:19Speaker 1: the targets. You know, it happens three more after that
- 8:21Speaker 1: or whatever it was. Was just embarrassing and certainly hurtful
- 8:24Speaker 1: in the showdown streets last night. But we had some
- 8:26Speaker 1: nice winners over at Shipping Nation. We posted up on
- 8:28Speaker 1: the X account today a lot of big wins. Shout
- 8:30Speaker 1: out to our guy Scarface two got one of the
- 8:32Speaker 1: biggest ones. But just breaking this down, who are some
- 8:35Speaker 1: of the guys like Lad mcconky just looks incredible, Like
- 8:38Speaker 1: it's been the two weeks and we just keep making
- 8:40Speaker 1: fun of this guy and he keeps doing it. And
- 8:41Speaker 1: I think it's a better or higher level than making
- 8:43Speaker 1: fun of Nick Westbrook a Kine scoring a touchdown every
- 8:46Speaker 1: week or Noah Gray back to back big weeks versus
- 8:49Speaker 1: this guy just looks like a stud out there in
- 8:50Speaker 1: sixty one hundred. Is fair? You know it's up, but fair.
- 8:54Speaker 1: What do you think about him? And then anybody on
- 8:55Speaker 1: the other side on Atlanta you want to talk about.
- 8:57Speaker 3: You know a lot of people look at mconakey, they're
- 8:59Speaker 3: little flowed to play him because his target numbers aren't
- 9:02Speaker 3: that big. But you gotta remember they're just now starting
- 9:04Speaker 3: to pass as much as they are running. You know,
- 9:06Speaker 3: they're pass above, they're passing above expectations going up. And
- 9:09Speaker 3: here's what I can tell you about McConkey. Even if he
- 9:10Speaker 3: did average one or two fewer targets than his peers,
- 9:14Speaker 3: his completion rate, right, he catches everything, So his completion rate,
- 9:17Speaker 3: he actually gets more receptions on fewer targets because he
- 9:20Speaker 3: has such a high completion rate when Herbert throws to him.
- 9:22Speaker 3: So mcconkey's a dude that's really moving up for me
- 9:25Speaker 3: and would be the first guy I would want to
- 9:27Speaker 3: stack Herbert with. And the Falcons always have my favorite
- 9:30Speaker 3: run back with Bijon that that dude's been very good
- 9:33Speaker 3: to me this year. So there's just no way I'm
- 9:34Speaker 3: not going to be involved in this game somehow.
- 9:37Speaker 1: Yeah, and one other thing we should note, and I
- 9:39Speaker 1: didn't get the full update on it after the game
- 9:41Speaker 1: last night, but obviously JK. Dobbins left, and you know,
- 9:44Speaker 1: people are talking now about the backup and what's the guys.
- 9:47Speaker 1: Nam Kamani Vidal is the other guy that people are
- 9:49Speaker 1: talking about picking up and you know you've got Gus
- 9:51Speaker 1: Edwards there whatever else, But man, you could see a
- 9:54Speaker 1: spot here like this is one of the things we
- 9:55Speaker 1: always it's you know, people said it. I think it
- 9:57Speaker 1: was yesterday, you know, talking about going away from some
- 10:00Speaker 1: their first look stuff. And you know, it was on
- 10:01Speaker 1: Takedown breakdown the other day with Nads and I. We
- 10:03Speaker 1: were breaking it down on the channel and they're saying,
- 10:05Speaker 1: you know, I looked at that Chicago spot last week
- 10:08Speaker 1: with Chicago versus Minnesota, because everyone can pass on these vikings,
- 10:13Speaker 1: yet nobody ended up there. So we talked a lot
- 10:15Speaker 1: about it. It's not even a diamond in the rough.
- 10:16Speaker 1: It was literally an amazing spot for a pass game offense,
- 10:20Speaker 1: and we just didn't want to do it because we're
- 10:22Speaker 1: kind of over Caleb Williams, we weren't sure about Keenan
- 10:24Speaker 1: Allen whatever. But you can find stuff like that, and
- 10:26Speaker 1: if people are looking here and say, well, you can
- 10:27Speaker 1: run all over the Falcons, then they decide to get
- 10:30Speaker 1: hyped about one of those running backs. We don't know,
- 10:32Speaker 1: it's only Tuesday right now. Well don't forget that little
- 10:35Speaker 1: d right there. And then on top of it, we're
- 10:37Speaker 1: in the Dome, So the d's for Dome, the d's
- 10:39Speaker 1: for you know, their past defense not good. It could
- 10:41Speaker 1: end up being a spot here where this goes a
- 10:43Speaker 1: little bit overlooked versus the other. We'll have to wait
- 10:45Speaker 1: and see as the week goes on. But I like
- 10:47Speaker 1: that call, always.
- 10:48Speaker 3: Tell you, let me give you a process note, which
- 10:50Speaker 3: I felt like I had. You know, I had the
- 10:52Speaker 3: streak ended this last weekend, so of course I did
- 10:54Speaker 3: a little breakdown. I think all good DFS players should say,
- 10:57Speaker 3: why didn't my week go as well this week as
- 10:58Speaker 3: it did on other ones? And I had a key
- 11:00Speaker 3: takeaway that I wanted to share with you and get
- 11:02Speaker 3: your thoughts on and with everybody else out there. Whenever
- 11:05Speaker 3: value opens up at running back, which there was value
- 11:07Speaker 3: that opened up at running back this last week. The
- 11:09Speaker 3: two most popular were, of course Brian Robinson with Washington
- 11:13Speaker 3: and who the hell was the other guy that was?
- 11:16Speaker 2: Yeah, in Kareem Hunt.
- 11:17Speaker 3: Everybody was playing those two low six thousands, upper five
- 11:20Speaker 3: thousands for both of them right, and I ate both
- 11:23Speaker 3: of them. And I did not play a Mira Abdullah,
- 11:25Speaker 3: And the more I thought about it, I did that
- 11:26Speaker 3: exactly wrong. I think whenever there's a hurt running back,
- 11:29Speaker 3: and running backs value opens up. I do not think
- 11:32Speaker 3: that it is great to get the guys who are
- 11:34Speaker 3: mainly first and second down backs, because rushing yards don't
- 11:37Speaker 3: add up, and those guys get very reliant on falling
- 11:39Speaker 3: in the box, right, Whereas when that value opens up
- 11:42Speaker 3: for pass catching guys, well, we already know that they're
- 11:45Speaker 3: pass catchers, so they offer us that floor. There's a
- 11:47Speaker 3: chance that that's going to continue to grow, and now
- 11:49Speaker 3: they're going to get more rushing yards and potentially a
- 11:52Speaker 3: rushing touchdown along with that. So in hindsight, I should
- 11:55Speaker 3: have been probably fading the Robinson and Hunt stuff because
- 11:58Speaker 3: those guys become so dependent on the box for a
- 12:00Speaker 3: good one and am playing a mirror and I did
- 12:02Speaker 3: it completely backwards, and when you did that, your weekend
- 12:05Speaker 3: was over right there.
- 12:06Speaker 1: Yeah, I actually love that call. And you know, obviously
- 12:08Speaker 1: review a big part of what I do. The takedown
- 12:10Speaker 1: breakdown a prime example too, where we talk about this stuff.
- 12:12Speaker 1: My thought was similar. But that's so funny just to
- 12:15Speaker 1: think where we both are doing the same process thinking
- 12:17Speaker 1: about our game, reviewing it and we come up with
- 12:19Speaker 1: a different solution. Mine was on Kareem Hunt. I'm the
- 12:22Speaker 1: never Mahomes guy, and I was always sticking to that.
- 12:25Speaker 1: I wasn't breaking free from you know, it's just another week.
- 12:27Speaker 1: I don't care. But if I truly thought that if
- 12:30Speaker 1: there ever was going to be a good Mahomes week,
- 12:32Speaker 1: not just because the pricing, but the matchup was good.
- 12:35Speaker 1: The leverage you get off of Hunt, like if they're
- 12:37Speaker 1: from a DFS perspective, I said, it's the best spot
- 12:39Speaker 1: to get on Mahomes. I'm still not going to do it.
- 12:42Speaker 1: But that should have made me not results oriented. That
- 12:44Speaker 1: should have still made me think maybe I should keep
- 12:46Speaker 1: my Kareem Hunt stuff in check now adding your piece
- 12:49Speaker 1: of the process and piece of the puzzle. Well, Abdulah
- 12:52Speaker 1: is also right there, and maybe that gets me off
- 12:54Speaker 1: one of these shitty quarterbacks up to Jayden Daniels or
- 12:56Speaker 1: something like that. And I know there wasn't value that
- 12:58Speaker 1: people loved at wide receiver, but maybe it gets me
- 13:01Speaker 1: from Hunter Henry to McBride. Maybe it gets me from
- 13:04Speaker 1: Geno Smith up to jad and Daniels and I can
- 13:06Speaker 1: fit something else and instead. So yeah, I think that's
- 13:09Speaker 1: a great way to look at it, and certainly something
- 13:10Speaker 1: you should add in to your game if you're not
- 13:12Speaker 1: doing that already, and just real quick to move off
- 13:15Speaker 1: this game. I will say this, I don't know what
- 13:17Speaker 1: was worse last night was stressing if Quentin Johnson's gonna
- 13:19Speaker 1: actually catch a ball or the you know, needing the
- 13:22Speaker 1: Henry stuff, and just wondering is he gonna actually bust
- 13:24Speaker 1: one because some of those runs he was just dragging
- 13:26Speaker 1: guys with him. Not everybody is Derrick Henry, but Bijon
- 13:30Speaker 1: would be up in that class. Is you know, younger
- 13:32Speaker 1: version now of what we think could do that. So
- 13:33Speaker 1: I love your Bijon call. Just to note in this
- 13:35Speaker 1: game as well, even though you're gonna see it here.
- 13:37Speaker 1: Oh it's not really the best rush. That was something
- 13:40Speaker 1: that I was talked about last night, where the Chargers
- 13:43Speaker 1: had been better against the run, but they also hadn't
- 13:45Speaker 1: seen someone like Derrick Henry or someone of his caliber.
- 13:47Speaker 1: Bijeon's got the caliber. We've seen what he's been doing
- 13:49Speaker 1: this season, So I like that one. Let's move on,
- 13:52Speaker 1: Steelers at the Bengals. Give me your thoughts here, sorry.
- 13:55Speaker 1: AFC North battle.
- 13:56Speaker 3: You know these AFC North battles, I know like that
- 13:58Speaker 3: the narrative is is that they're always kind of like,
- 14:01Speaker 3: especially once you get to November and December, they're kind
- 14:03Speaker 3: of grinded out type games. But I mean when you're
- 14:05Speaker 3: looking at the total here, Vegas is putting forty seven
- 14:08Speaker 3: on this, so like they're telling us they are expecting
- 14:11Speaker 3: more scoring than normal and if the weather's good here,
- 14:13Speaker 3: I mean, this could be one of those sneaky shootout games.
- 14:15Speaker 3: I've been kind of looking for a reason to play
- 14:17Speaker 3: Russell Wilson Stacks, which I can't believe those words that
- 14:20Speaker 3: are coming out of my mouth right now. But if
- 14:22Speaker 3: they're going to you know, the Bengals are not afraid
- 14:24Speaker 3: to get in a good shootout we've seen this year
- 14:27Speaker 3: and can break the slate. So the real question is
- 14:30Speaker 3: is like how affordable is it to like to run
- 14:32Speaker 3: Joe Burrow stacks? And if I did, you know, like
- 14:34Speaker 3: who's the Steelers run back? Because I'm kind of a
- 14:36Speaker 3: never nause guy, like you're never a Mahmes guy, and
- 14:39Speaker 3: I just don't know that I can start a lineup
- 14:40Speaker 3: with Burrow, Chase Higgins and Pickens right like there better
- 14:43Speaker 3: be some serious value open up at running back. But
- 14:47Speaker 3: you know this game Vegas is telling us gonna be
- 14:49Speaker 3: higher scoring. I would probably, you know, until I look
- 14:52Speaker 3: at the rest of these games, I'm probably gonna not
- 14:54Speaker 3: be as warm to it.
- 14:55Speaker 2: But we'll see here.
- 14:56Speaker 1: Yeah, this stack ranking thing is important to me as well.
- 14:59Speaker 1: I just think that's we don't talk about enough or
- 15:01Speaker 1: gets noted. That's why we've incorporated it into the best
- 15:03Speaker 1: tool in DFS in the Stone. But we have stack
- 15:06Speaker 1: rankings here on the site. And one of the things
- 15:07Speaker 1: is like the obvious, right, if you go by projection, Burrow, Chase,
- 15:11Speaker 1: Higgins gonna look awesome. That's gonna be one of the
- 15:12Speaker 1: highest projected stacks because look how much it costs seven
- 15:16Speaker 1: K eighty six hundred and sixty six hundred. So the
- 15:18Speaker 1: nice thing about our stack ranking is it's value based.
- 15:20Speaker 1: It incorporates the salary and makes the thought process around that.
- 15:23Speaker 1: So I think that's something I'll be keeping an eye
- 15:25Speaker 1: on because it's really tricky to get Burrow, Chase and Higgins.
- 15:29Speaker 1: I kind of like Burrow would just Chase and then
- 15:32Speaker 1: see if I can use value elsewhere. And if it's
- 15:34Speaker 1: a big Chase day, you get that or give me
- 15:36Speaker 1: the two grand let me get it to Higgins and
- 15:38Speaker 1: maybe find somebody else in there. Maybe it's a tight
- 15:41Speaker 1: end or a backup you ride receiver. Have to wait
- 15:43Speaker 1: and see any extra thoughts there just.
- 15:46Speaker 2: No, I'm sure you've heard the stat.
- 15:47Speaker 3: But when Higgins had Chase both play, Higgins is averaging
- 15:50Speaker 3: over over one like target more per game than Chases.
- 15:54Speaker 3: Chase Cash is his end more. But Higgins is getting
- 15:56Speaker 3: one more extra target and you're getting that for two
- 15:58Speaker 3: thousand dollars cheaper. And it's not like Higgins doesn't catch touchdowns.
- 16:02Speaker 1: Yeah, and you don't even have to do the double stat.
- 16:03Speaker 1: You could just avoid the wide receiver one quote unquote
- 16:06Speaker 1: in some cases, by the way, Higgins on a lot
- 16:08Speaker 1: of teams would be the wide receiver one. The dude
- 16:10Speaker 1: is awesome.
- 16:11Speaker 3: I just if you want to build, if you want
- 16:12Speaker 3: to build, really weird that backfield still Chase Brown. Don't
- 16:15Speaker 3: think he can't take a thirty yard screen to the
- 16:17Speaker 3: house and be part of a winning lineup with Burrow.
- 16:20Speaker 1: Yeah, And that would be also something interesting because you
- 16:22Speaker 1: know all that money you save there is now like
- 16:23Speaker 1: if you put it two grand there, that's you'll get
- 16:25Speaker 1: Chase Brown maybe instead of having to go to somebody
- 16:28Speaker 1: else or move value around so I don't hate that call.
- 16:31Speaker 1: I didn't remember this either. I gotta go back, shut
- 16:33Speaker 1: up to our guy Ross while we love our chat
- 16:34Speaker 1: here mcdonkey chuck. Oh yeah, back in the Georgia Dome,
- 16:38Speaker 1: I forgot. I'm not in the college streets as much
- 16:40Speaker 1: as you. But that's his school, right, University of Georgia,
- 16:42Speaker 1: and he's from Georgia.
- 16:43Speaker 3: I think, who are you talking about, oh donkey, Yeah, yeah,
- 16:46Speaker 3: he definitely a Georgia boy.
- 16:47Speaker 2: They could use him this year.
- 16:48Speaker 1: Yeah, and he's and he's going back into the Georgia,
- 16:51Speaker 1: into Georgia, into the Dome. So that could be a
- 16:53Speaker 1: thing right where people do get excited about that this
- 16:55Speaker 1: week on the Pittsburgh side, For me, it's what you said,
- 16:58Speaker 1: you know, George Pickens still fair price at sixty eight hundred.
- 17:01Speaker 1: It's it is what it is.
- 17:03Speaker 2: You know.
- 17:03Speaker 1: We'll see how the week goes on and everything else
- 17:05Speaker 1: that comes out with value. But if you just landed
- 17:07Speaker 1: on someone like him, I'm fine with them as a
- 17:09Speaker 1: one off. It doesn't need to be in this stack.
- 17:10Speaker 1: If you think they're going to be down in this
- 17:12Speaker 1: game and he's just getting all those catches, I'm fine
- 17:15Speaker 1: with Him's sixty eight hundred bucks. I think it's fair
- 17:17Speaker 1: or is.
- 17:17Speaker 3: The secondary correlation Pickens and Higgins, right, I mean that's
- 17:19Speaker 3: a it's not a cheap secondary stack, but you know
- 17:22Speaker 3: it's there is correlation. Both of them could get both
- 17:24Speaker 3: of them could go for one hundred and two touchdowns.
- 17:26Speaker 3: That game could kind of go off, and you just
- 17:28Speaker 3: got the right pieces of it.
- 17:29Speaker 1: Yeah, another quick strategy knowne on that and get your toy.
- 17:31Speaker 1: I want your thoughts on it, because, like you gave
- 17:33Speaker 1: me good thoughts on the last one. Is that's fine
- 17:35Speaker 1: to me because I like that was what's last week.
- 17:38Speaker 1: Sutton and Myers like really similar. They're in the six
- 17:41Speaker 1: k range. Some people are hating on them because their ownership.
- 17:43Speaker 1: I get it, but they were their wide receiver ones
- 17:46Speaker 1: on their team at a fair price and they can
- 17:48Speaker 1: just rack up you know, eight for one hundred and
- 17:51Speaker 1: eight and one and not need their quarterback. I kind
- 17:54Speaker 1: of cut it off there for the most part, though,
- 17:55Speaker 1: Like I see people doing like a you know, an
- 17:58Speaker 1: eighty eight hundred dollars Jefferson with a eighty three hundred
- 18:02Speaker 1: dollars a monraw on the other side, and yes, it's
- 18:06Speaker 1: possible they get there. Together, but then they're doing it
- 18:09Speaker 1: as a secondary and not with the quarterback. And I'm thinking, Man,
- 18:11Speaker 1: if one of those guys actually hits their ceiling today
- 18:14Speaker 1: to make it where you need it, you usually will
- 18:16Speaker 1: see the quarterback involved, Right, Is that sort of how
- 18:18Speaker 1: you'd think about it too.
- 18:20Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly.
- 18:21Speaker 3: Most of the time, whenever you start to get certain thresholds,
- 18:24Speaker 3: it's just impossible for a wide receiver to have a
- 18:26Speaker 3: good game and the quarterback to not also come along
- 18:28Speaker 3: with them. And as far as secondary stacks go, I
- 18:30Speaker 3: prefer receiver receiver.
- 18:32Speaker 2: Like my favorite.
- 18:32Speaker 3: Secondary stack last week, the only damn thing I did
- 18:35Speaker 3: right is I had a lot of Wattle and then
- 18:37Speaker 3: I would force it to go back against one of
- 18:39Speaker 3: the Patriots receivers who ended up being a lot of
- 18:41Speaker 3: Pop Douglas and Wattle had the big game. Pop Douglass
- 18:44Speaker 3: was good enough, right, But that was a really nice
- 18:46Speaker 3: secondary stack. It was just all my mainstacks fucking sucked,
- 18:49Speaker 3: so it didn't really matter what my secondary stack was,
- 18:52Speaker 3: even though I hit Wattle very nicely.
- 18:54Speaker 1: Yeah, if you had a went to Addison and any
- 18:56Speaker 1: Chicago receiver basically except oduons like Romo Dunza, you would
- 18:59Speaker 1: have been all right because Keenan Allen, DJ Moore, those
- 19:02Speaker 1: guys came through. But yeah, there's ways to do it,
- 19:04Speaker 1: and I definitely like it that way as well. So
- 19:06Speaker 1: let's move on. Let's go to the Texans. At the Jags.
- 19:10Speaker 1: Texans still got the big total. They are hard to
- 19:12Speaker 1: figure out though. Man, we saw you called Nico last week.
- 19:15Speaker 1: Was on my notes, you all gonna be the bounce
- 19:16Speaker 1: back off everything. He had a good day. It wasn't like,
- 19:18Speaker 1: you know, break the slave.
- 19:20Speaker 3: Because he gets every fucking touchdown called back and one
- 19:23Speaker 3: was a touchdown called back that would have also got
- 19:24Speaker 3: him one hundred yard bonus.
- 19:26Speaker 2: So the double kick in the dick.
- 19:28Speaker 1: There are times in the chart. Maybe get back to
- 19:29Speaker 1: him this week. Look at that, Look at those grades.
- 19:31Speaker 1: Did is Jacksonville?
- 19:32Speaker 2: I mean, look the c J.
- 19:34Speaker 3: Stroud, their offense, everything about him is so much more
- 19:37Speaker 3: pass forward and effective when Nico's out there. I still
- 19:40Speaker 3: don't think he's one hundred percent. He's still only playing
- 19:42Speaker 3: about eighty percent of snaps, but he is getting his
- 19:44Speaker 3: target share back. The Texans, you know, when Nico plays,
- 19:48Speaker 3: I'm interested in them. The problem is is it just
- 19:50Speaker 3: feels like the Jags are not going to push this
- 19:52Speaker 3: game at all. This just literally feels like it's going
- 19:54Speaker 3: to be like a twenty four to seventeen type game.
- 19:57Speaker 3: And it almost just feels like the Texans are gonna
- 19:59Speaker 3: run at me. Bland probably run fifty five plays, and
- 20:01Speaker 3: I feel like that really kills the upside, Like it
- 20:04Speaker 3: just doesn't feel like this game could kind of take
- 20:05Speaker 3: off like that Texans game took off last week, And
- 20:07Speaker 3: that would be my biggest concern with this game. You know, like,
- 20:11Speaker 3: do we have any Jaguar injury updates? That would be
- 20:13Speaker 3: the biggest news I need to know about.
- 20:15Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't. I don't have him here, but I
- 20:16Speaker 1: would say that that's probably gonna be part of the
- 20:18Speaker 1: discussion as the week goes on. Also, Joe Mixon, right,
- 20:22Speaker 1: he kind of let I guess he would, you would say,
- 20:23Speaker 1: let some people down. Last week it's all like it was,
- 20:25Speaker 1: you know, overwhelmingly Chalk or anything like that. But this
- 20:29Speaker 1: is definitely a great matchup for him. And you just
- 20:31Speaker 1: talked about maybe there's just them running the ball a bunch.
- 20:33Speaker 1: How much Steam? You're like, how much ownership do you
- 20:35Speaker 1: think mixing gets and Steam is the week goes on
- 20:37Speaker 1: at eight k not quite best by pricing, but with
- 20:40Speaker 1: this good matchup here.
- 20:41Speaker 2: Ten percent.
- 20:42Speaker 3: I mean that, I'm telling you that that that eight
- 20:44Speaker 3: thousand number, It just it does something to people mentally,
- 20:46Speaker 3: Like when you were putting an eight thousand dollars guy
- 20:48Speaker 3: in your lineup, you almost feel like that's the cornerstone
- 20:50Speaker 3: of your lineup, right, And I don't know that many
- 20:52Speaker 3: people want to build a cornerstone of their lineup with
- 20:54Speaker 3: Joe Mixon. So I think that keeps his ownership in check,
- 20:56Speaker 3: especially with just so many good running backs and the
- 20:59Speaker 3: sixes and seven thousands. So I would say, you know,
- 21:02Speaker 3: he's a great play, just based on the ownership that
- 21:04Speaker 3: I would project him on on a Tuesday, which I
- 21:06Speaker 3: could be wrong, but I would guess around ten percent.
- 21:09Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll check it out in a second, Ross says
- 21:11Speaker 1: the Guzbuss, going back to the first one. Nine carries,
- 21:13Speaker 1: eleven yards and a TD. Like, I watched the whole
- 21:16Speaker 1: game till the end. My kids woke up this morning
- 21:18Speaker 1: and it said Daddy did the Ravens win. I said, yeah,
- 21:20Speaker 1: by two touchdowns. I even forgot about his TV at
- 21:23Speaker 1: the end of the game. It was so it was
- 21:24Speaker 1: just irrelevant. It was the standard Gus Edwards thing that
- 21:27Speaker 1: he does, so yeah it was. It was forgetful. This
- 21:30Speaker 1: is the other thing. Go ahead.
- 21:31Speaker 3: I'm just gonna say, biggest bet of the year I
- 21:32Speaker 3: have placed all year was on the Ravens. I was
- 21:34Speaker 3: going to text you to get your blessing before I
- 21:36Speaker 3: placed it, but I was like, I don't want to
- 21:38Speaker 3: get scared off of this, so I just knew the
- 21:39Speaker 3: Ravens were going to beat the shit out of him.
- 21:41Speaker 1: It was so tilting from all of what I thought
- 21:43Speaker 1: the game was going to be, because it was definitely
- 21:45Speaker 1: on a huge underpace for a while, all the flags
- 21:48Speaker 1: down the stretch, all the the touchdowns at the end
- 21:50Speaker 1: of the halfs on both sides. It was like all
- 21:52Speaker 1: that stuff had to happen, and then on top of
- 21:54Speaker 1: it the Lamar line, Like, you know, Herbert could have
- 21:56Speaker 1: ran that last one in Lamar did his little move
- 21:59Speaker 1: from high school where he sneaks the guy and then
- 22:01Speaker 1: jumps in but still got to the top. And I
- 22:03Speaker 1: did not win money, but it was honestly insane. I
- 22:05Speaker 1: think only lost like thirty percent of my buy ins,
- 22:08Speaker 1: and I had no Lamar captain at all.
- 22:10Speaker 2: Last night.
- 22:10Speaker 1: He was basically needed, but you know he was in
- 22:12Speaker 1: the optimal versus what tons of lineups were right behind
- 22:15Speaker 1: him that you could have got there with. So that's
- 22:17Speaker 1: the way it goes. That's the showdown game and why
- 22:18Speaker 1: we like it. Just the last thing on the mix
- 22:21Speaker 1: and stuff at Again, We'll see how his ownership goes
- 22:23Speaker 1: as the week goes on, but at a K, I
- 22:25Speaker 1: think you nailed it. It might change the game a
- 22:27Speaker 1: little bit when people start seeing some of these other
- 22:29Speaker 1: mid range guys that we're gonna get to. That's just
- 22:31Speaker 1: how they feel about it. So if that's the case,
- 22:33Speaker 1: I will have interest in mixing as the week goes on,
- 22:36Speaker 1: especially if he's going to be changing the build. And
- 22:38Speaker 1: then the last thing on the game in general, I
- 22:40Speaker 1: love that we have pace on the stone because f
- 22:43Speaker 1: and A, this game goes one of two ways, right.
- 22:46Speaker 3: But if it's Trevor Lawrence, is there any chance he's playing.
- 22:49Speaker 3: I haven't kept up with him at all, but like
- 22:51Speaker 3: they will have a faster pace if he plays, especially
- 22:53Speaker 3: if they get behind and have a functional quarterback.
- 22:55Speaker 1: Returns to practice twenty four hours ago, four hours ago,
- 22:58Speaker 1: gets a well.
- 22:59Speaker 3: Then Trevor's right there, especially Brian Thomas has got to
- 23:02Speaker 3: be getting closer back to one hundred percent. You could
- 23:03Speaker 3: tell he's been dragging ass Ingram, Bryan Thomas, Lawrence Stack's
- 23:07Speaker 3: running back with Nico or Mixon, that all of a
- 23:09Speaker 3: sudden could become pretty interesting.
- 23:11Speaker 1: Yeah, I would say for sure this game would be
- 23:14Speaker 1: more sneaky right that we'll probably see.
- 23:16Speaker 3: Yeah, it's the sneaky ast shit. I don't think people
- 23:18Speaker 3: are gonna be on this, especially with what is that
- 23:20Speaker 3: a forty four point total? Forty three and a half.
- 23:22Speaker 2: It looks like, yeah, nice low total.
- 23:24Speaker 1: But it's like the Chicago Minnesota game where you're like, oh,
- 23:27Speaker 1: or the Tennessee game, which was by the way with
- 23:29Speaker 1: the Texans last week, where everyone's like, oh, the Titans suck.
- 23:32Speaker 1: There's no way they're gonna put up. They got a
- 23:33Speaker 1: seventeen point team total. Yeah, and they handled it in
- 23:35Speaker 1: the first quarter and it started this thing off. It
- 23:37Speaker 1: could have went better, I'm saying, but it still went
- 23:39Speaker 1: pretty good from that Matt manor so, I think that's
- 23:41Speaker 1: something interesting to keep an eye on as well. Let's
- 23:44Speaker 1: go to this next game. Speaking of the Vikings, We've
- 23:46Speaker 1: got the Vikings at home versus the Cardinals, and this
- 23:49Speaker 1: one surprisingly lower total as well. Just I thought, you know,
- 23:52Speaker 1: Minnesota the Cardinals, I know it hasn't looked great lately,
- 23:56Speaker 1: but with the options they have to go back and forth,
- 23:57Speaker 1: this feels to me like it could be just a
- 23:59Speaker 1: sneaky the last one. Why couldn't this game go off?
- 24:01Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's just the quarterback play. I think
- 24:03Speaker 3: I think Sam Darnold has really dipped the last four weeks.
- 24:06Speaker 3: Kyler Murray kind of looked like call of duty was
- 24:08Speaker 3: out this last week, you know, like it just wasn't
- 24:11Speaker 3: great play from either offense, which is gonna suppress the total.
- 24:14Speaker 3: Especially that Vikings defense has the ability to just completely
- 24:17Speaker 3: shut teams down, right, Like they play a really unique
- 24:20Speaker 3: defense where they get after your ass. Sometimes it burns them,
- 24:22Speaker 3: but a lot of times they can shut teams down.
- 24:24Speaker 3: And then the Vikings, you know, they just I I
- 24:27Speaker 3: They're just they haven't been playing that well offensively, so
- 24:29Speaker 3: that's gonna keep the total down, which makes this game.
- 24:31Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be pretty sneaky.
- 24:32Speaker 3: I don't think people are gonna be jumping on this,
- 24:34Speaker 3: and guys like Justin Jefferson and Marvin Harrison are going
- 24:38Speaker 3: to probably be sub teen percent. I would bet and
- 24:40Speaker 3: Art could break the slate.
- 24:42Speaker 1: What did the Vikings say? I didn't catch the up
- 24:44Speaker 1: did Are they gonna assign Daniel Jones?
- 24:46Speaker 2: I haven't seen any Daniel Jones news, so I do
- 24:49Speaker 2: not know.
- 24:49Speaker 1: I know he's there. He said he's gonna like he
- 24:51Speaker 1: cleared Waver, He's gonna take some time to make his decision.
- 24:53Speaker 1: All this, I thought the Vikings commented on it. But
- 24:55Speaker 1: it's interesting to watch anyway. But yeah, I think the
- 24:58Speaker 1: one thing man just killing me is this Addison, Like,
- 25:00Speaker 1: look at Addison still fifty three hundred and Jefferson's eighty
- 25:03Speaker 1: one and Jefferson's way back, Like we want Jefferson. We
- 25:06Speaker 1: know what he is, top two, arguably you know, number
- 25:08Speaker 1: one wide receiver in the league. It's him. Jamar Chase
- 25:10Speaker 1: is what people are comparing day in day out, and
- 25:12Speaker 1: that's fair. But it's like and Lamb is up there
- 25:14Speaker 1: some other guys. Everyone will have their guy. But I'm
- 25:16Speaker 1: just saying it's insane. But he's gotta have a good
- 25:18Speaker 1: game at some point here, isn't he like where it's
- 25:20Speaker 1: you know, thirty plus points and that is gonna bring
- 25:22Speaker 1: his quarterback along and then there's run back options on
- 25:25Speaker 1: the other side. You could see Trey McBride, you could
- 25:27Speaker 1: see Marv Harrison Junior. I mean, this definitely is a
- 25:31Speaker 1: spot for that. Do you have any thoughts on just
- 25:32Speaker 1: these passes, like the Jefferson Addison comparison, because Naylor is
- 25:36Speaker 1: getting more work than Jefferson. It seems at times it.
- 25:38Speaker 3: Seems like defensive they're just saying, we're not gonna let
- 25:39Speaker 3: this Jefferson got beat us. Which've always wondered, like why
- 25:42Speaker 3: more teams don't play like the Patriots used to. Let's
- 25:44Speaker 3: just take the other team's best player away and let's
- 25:46Speaker 3: make all their slap dicks beat us, right, And it
- 25:48Speaker 3: just seems like for several weeks that's what they've been doing.
- 25:50Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson, because he's healthy, he's explosive, he still makes
- 25:53Speaker 3: the catches when they throw it to him. It's just
- 25:55Speaker 3: not getting He's just not getting the volume he normally does.
- 25:58Speaker 3: And you know, the Vikings might be doing that on purpose.
- 26:00Speaker 3: The defense is maybe doing that on purpose, but it's happened.
- 26:03Speaker 3: And by the way, Trey McBride I was all about
- 26:05Speaker 3: last week. I got a lot of them in there
- 26:06Speaker 3: because I just thought his touchdown variants is due. He
- 26:09Speaker 3: got there and he still didn't score damn touchdown. Trey
- 26:11Speaker 3: McBride is due for like a thirty five point game
- 26:14Speaker 3: with two touchdowns, even though I think he still got
- 26:15Speaker 3: to like he might not almost got thirty last week.
- 26:18Speaker 1: All right, McBride, Kyler, Jefferson, bang, there we go, and
- 26:22Speaker 1: if you want to go Darnold, go ahead. But I
- 26:23Speaker 1: I lean the Kyler's side.
- 26:25Speaker 3: I don't like the quarterbacks in this game, but I
- 26:27Speaker 3: do like some of the pieces. I got some nastiest,
- 26:30Speaker 3: some smellier quarterbacks to play than these a holes.
- 26:33Speaker 1: Yeah, and also I guess the Jefferson McBride secondary. I
- 26:36Speaker 1: know we talked earlier about it, like the ceiling of
- 26:38Speaker 1: a guy, but he's still eighty one. He's not eighty
- 26:40Speaker 1: eight or eighty nine. He can catch you like ten
- 26:43Speaker 1: balls for one seventy and nothing and still be valuable.
- 26:45Speaker 1: But if you're putting him with McBride, you're cutting into one,
- 26:48Speaker 1: you're using up a tight end position you gotta fill anyway.
- 26:50Speaker 1: Two you're cutting into the average of the two. Just
- 26:52Speaker 1: similar to that, like six K six K mid range.
- 26:55Speaker 1: So I'm good with that. I think that's interesting too.
- 26:57Speaker 1: And then what was the other thing some of oh
- 26:58Speaker 1: the Trey McBride thing, Well, we go to the next
- 27:00Speaker 1: game here because we're going to Colts Patriots. But the
- 27:03Speaker 1: Trey McBride is the prime example what you and I
- 27:05Speaker 1: always talk about, like, oh, they can't put up any
- 27:08Speaker 1: points their team totals only this The Cardinals scored six
- 27:11Speaker 1: points last week, and Trey McBride, at what fifty five
- 27:15Speaker 1: hundred or whatever he was, had almost thirty fantasy points
- 27:17Speaker 1: twenty eight fantasy points when the team scored six. It's
- 27:20Speaker 1: you're looking for fantasy points. It's nice when you get
- 27:23Speaker 1: real life points that help that bluo stuff even more.
- 27:26Speaker 1: But that was a just prime example showing you can
- 27:29Speaker 1: still get almost thirty fantasy points on six actual.
- 27:31Speaker 3: And I want to just talk to some people out
- 27:33Speaker 3: there because this is you know, I've always usually been
- 27:35Speaker 3: not a tight end in the flex guy, but my
- 27:37Speaker 3: stance on that's really changed this year.
- 27:39Speaker 2: And I think if you just go look at Trey mc.
- 27:40Speaker 3: Bride at fifty eight hundred and compare him to the
- 27:42Speaker 3: wide receivers, a lot of times that you would be
- 27:44Speaker 3: running into at fifty eight hundred, you know, when you're
- 27:46Speaker 3: making that final decision for your flex, I think he
- 27:49Speaker 3: compares as good, if not better than most of them.
- 27:51Speaker 3: So you know, don't be afraid to put elite tight
- 27:54Speaker 3: ends in the flex because as we've seen with McBride,
- 27:57Speaker 3: he has twenty eight point upside, and to be honest,
- 27:59Speaker 3: he did that with no touchdown, so he probably has
- 28:00Speaker 3: more like thirty five point upside.
- 28:03Speaker 1: Yeah, speaking of that, we'll go to the next game here,
- 28:05Speaker 1: Colts and the Patriots. Do you want to play Trey
- 28:06Speaker 1: McBride in the flex if you have to choose, or
- 28:09Speaker 1: Michael Pittman Junior or Josh Downs, Cause that's like, you know,
- 28:13Speaker 1: it's fair and Josh Downs maybe you know a little
- 28:15Speaker 1: bit better than what we've seen out of Pittman lately.
- 28:17Speaker 1: But I mean, just quick joke on that one, going
- 28:19Speaker 1: back to the previous statement you made. That's the kind
- 28:21Speaker 1: of decisions you're looking at things like that.
- 28:23Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, this game right here, like Richardson's throwing
- 28:26Speaker 3: the ball very nice. I you know, I played him.
- 28:29Speaker 3: He was one of my three stacks this last week,
- 28:31Speaker 3: and his wide receivers actually did well. Right Downs got hurt,
- 28:34Speaker 3: still put up a good game Pittman was actually like
- 28:37Speaker 3: serviceable for the first time all year. So the crazy
- 28:39Speaker 3: thing is is Richardson was getting his receivers there while
- 28:42Speaker 3: not getting himself there, which I never had on my radar.
- 28:45Speaker 3: And then, sadly for the Patriots also played Drake Nace stacks.
- 28:49Speaker 3: Those did not go so well, and I almost have
- 28:52Speaker 3: to tell you I think I'm done with the Patriots
- 28:54Speaker 3: for a while, so I can't. I'm really struggling to
- 28:58Speaker 3: get in on any of these guys over here because
- 29:00Speaker 3: the Patriots are on my bad list right now. I
- 29:01Speaker 3: couldn't even get like my secondary slap dicks there. Like
- 29:04Speaker 3: Hunter Henry didn't do shit.
- 29:05Speaker 2: Really.
- 29:06Speaker 1: Everyone says that he's the guy that everyone plays that
- 29:08Speaker 1: never does anything. It's starting to feel kind of true,
- 29:10Speaker 1: right He's.
- 29:10Speaker 3: Got yeah, I mean he got me like twenty points
- 29:12Speaker 3: one week, and I think I just want to hold
- 29:13Speaker 3: on to that. But I don't ever play Henry unless
- 29:15Speaker 3: I have him connected to may you know, Like there's
- 29:17Speaker 3: some guys I'll play like I like Hunter Henry at
- 29:19Speaker 3: four thousand when he's part of a stack, but like
- 29:21Speaker 3: a naked Hunter Henry as a one off or a
- 29:23Speaker 3: correlation piece, I'm usually out like a fat getting dodgeball.
- 29:26Speaker 1: Yeah, I like it. The one thing I will say,
- 29:28Speaker 1: like even a Donnai Mitchell I had a touchdown drop
- 29:31Speaker 1: I think where it was a close call, like there.
- 29:33Speaker 3: Was Downs is out, and when Downs is out, Mitchell
- 29:36Speaker 3: will get more run He'll be he'll be out there
- 29:38Speaker 3: as much as Pierce, and he gets a lot more targets.
- 29:41Speaker 3: I don't say he's a better he's a better wide
- 29:43Speaker 3: receiver than Pierce. I'm not saying he's better dfs. I'm
- 29:45Speaker 3: just saying like they spent basically a first round pick
- 29:47Speaker 3: on him, so they have some incentive to get him going,
- 29:50Speaker 3: and he's thirty nine hundred dollars.
- 29:51Speaker 1: Yeah, I think there's certainly something to that. And I
- 29:54Speaker 1: love your call, Like if you just want to run
- 29:55Speaker 1: the Colt side, no runbacks, fine with that. Did you
- 29:58Speaker 1: have any did you have any thoughts of the run.
- 30:00Speaker 1: I know we haven't spent a ton of time on
- 30:01Speaker 1: the slate overall yet really talking about too many. I
- 30:04Speaker 1: think there's some good games coming up where we'll be
- 30:06Speaker 1: talking about it. But anything on JT at the nice
- 30:08Speaker 1: price of sixty nine hundred or fifty nine hundred best
- 30:12Speaker 1: buy on the other side best buy Ramandre over there
- 30:15Speaker 1: any thoughts on those two?
- 30:16Speaker 2: I just don't.
- 30:16Speaker 3: I just I told myself a couple of weeks ago, like,
- 30:19Speaker 3: it's just not Jonathan Taylor's yere. I just don't everybody,
- 30:21Speaker 3: This isn't justin Jefferson where he's going to break out eventually.
- 30:24Speaker 3: I just don't think he's ever going to have that week.
- 30:26Speaker 3: And so even though that pricing getting below seven thousand
- 30:28Speaker 3: looks so salivating, I still just don't think he's going
- 30:30Speaker 3: to get there. I just the Colts offense just is
- 30:33Speaker 3: not built through him right now, and they'd have to
- 30:36Speaker 3: make him probably fifty five hundred before I would play him.
- 30:38Speaker 2: That's kind of where I'm at.
- 30:39Speaker 3: If anything, I'm considering another nasty ass Richardson stack because
- 30:42Speaker 3: I'm a glutton for punishment.
- 30:44Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the one side I would have more
- 30:46Speaker 1: interested in is the Remandre side. Obviously it's a good
- 30:49Speaker 1: matchup at home. They do want to just keep hammering
- 30:51Speaker 1: it with him. He still can pick up a few
- 30:53Speaker 1: targets all that. Again, we'll see what the slate brings,
- 30:55Speaker 1: but fifty nine hundred bucks pretty fair depending on what
- 30:57Speaker 1: you're looking for on this slate. So definitely flip it
- 31:00Speaker 1: and go that way. Let's go to the Seahawks at
- 31:03Speaker 1: the Jets. This is, you know, another couple teams we've
- 31:06Speaker 1: been trying to make work for quite some time now.
- 31:08Speaker 1: I'd say JSM has kind of proved himself at least
- 31:11Speaker 1: to this point. He's made up for it, even with
- 31:13Speaker 1: DK back and all of that. But what's your thoughts
- 31:15Speaker 1: on this one here? Seahawks at the Jets.
- 31:17Speaker 3: No way I'm stacking this game. But then I also
- 31:19Speaker 3: think there's no way I'm not gonna have some piece.
- 31:20Speaker 3: It's like, it's gonna be so hard for me unless
- 31:23Speaker 3: they're just runaway chalk donkeys. I don't see how jsn
- 31:26Speaker 3: Or and Breese Hall will not be in my playerpool.
- 31:29Speaker 3: I just I like both of them. I don't really
- 31:30Speaker 3: care about the total, the you know, the Jets only
- 31:32Speaker 3: having a nineteen point team total. Breese Hall just can
- 31:36Speaker 3: get it done so many ways right that I'm not
- 31:38Speaker 3: worried about it. And for the past several weeks since
- 31:41Speaker 3: Sala got fired, it's basically been the Breese Hall show
- 31:43Speaker 3: at like ninety percent of the snaps. They've basically just
- 31:47Speaker 3: given up on Braylen Allen and This doesn't seem like
- 31:49Speaker 3: a week that they would just magically bring him out.
- 31:51Speaker 3: So I just don't see any way I'm not getting
- 31:53Speaker 3: to those two. Outside of that, I'm pretty lukewarm on
- 31:56Speaker 3: everybody else.
- 31:57Speaker 1: I feel the same actually, and usually I'm a guy
- 31:59Speaker 1: that wants to play g know, and it just hasn't
- 32:01Speaker 1: been great. And I know that's not a reason to
- 32:03Speaker 1: completely go away from it. But you know, if I'm
- 32:06Speaker 1: playing them, I'm stacking them. It's pretty standard stuff. We'll
- 32:08Speaker 1: see as the week goes on. I like the Breese
- 32:10Speaker 1: Hall run back better than anything else here that we're
- 32:12Speaker 1: looking at. That's sort of how I would set it up.
- 32:14Speaker 1: But I think Kenneth Walker is gonna be the guy
- 32:16Speaker 1: I would keep an eye on here more because again
- 32:18Speaker 1: it depends too but if more one, you can definitely
- 32:21Speaker 1: play him and Breese Hall together. Those two guys can
- 32:24Speaker 1: sort of get there in a bunch of different ways.
- 32:25Speaker 1: They can fall into the end like what you talked
- 32:27Speaker 1: about earlier, these one and two down backs where it's like, yeah,
- 32:30Speaker 1: they got to get there and the rushing yards don't
- 32:31Speaker 1: really rack up. Both these guys can catch a ton
- 32:34Speaker 1: of passes. Both of them can catch you know, they're
- 32:36Speaker 1: better than most receivers in the league when they want
- 32:39Speaker 1: to run that out route and be able to be
- 32:40Speaker 1: out there for a twenty yard catch. Even both these
- 32:42Speaker 1: guys this season have made huge catch touchdowns that we've
- 32:45Speaker 1: talked about, so I don't mind them against each other.
- 32:47Speaker 1: But if like Breese Hall gets all the scheme and
- 32:50Speaker 1: no one wants Kenneth Walker, I'm fine with that too.
- 32:52Speaker 1: So I think that's sort of how I'm handling this
- 32:54Speaker 1: game right now. And the team totals are more than
- 32:56Speaker 1: fine for playing seven K running backs seventy five hundred
- 32:58Speaker 1: running back, so I'm good with that. Back to these
- 33:00Speaker 1: commanders at home, big team total going up against the Titans.
- 33:04Speaker 1: We saw the Titans last week another Nick Westbrook a
- 33:07Speaker 1: keen a touchdown. Pollard looked fine, Jayden Daniels looked good.
- 33:11Speaker 1: Terry McLaurin got there late in the game, Noah Brown
- 33:13Speaker 1: was trying to rack stuff up. Ertz was getting some catches.
- 33:16Speaker 1: What what's your thoughts on this game here, Titans commanders.
- 33:18Speaker 3: I think the Titans are kind of turning into like
- 33:20Speaker 3: the sneaky perfect guys that you want to stack against
- 33:23Speaker 3: because they their offense has been efficient. They throw the shit,
- 33:26Speaker 3: I think the ball down field more than any team
- 33:28Speaker 3: in the NFL. I don't have any stats to back
- 33:30Speaker 3: that up, just anecdotally watching all the games on Sunday.
- 33:32Speaker 3: No one is throwing the ball down the field more
- 33:34Speaker 3: than the Titans, right, And so these Titans, if they're
- 33:36Speaker 3: going to continue to push the pace score these points,
- 33:39Speaker 3: that's going to push Jayden Daniels also and the commanders,
- 33:42Speaker 3: everybody on their team to push the pace. And like
- 33:43Speaker 3: games like this end up being like thirty one, twenty
- 33:46Speaker 3: seven and stuff like that, and a lot of yards
- 33:48Speaker 3: sou and Calvin Ridley's actually very fairly priced.
- 33:52Speaker 2: Tony Pollard very fairly priced.
- 33:53Speaker 3: And this is the kind of game that, like, I
- 33:56Speaker 3: would want to get a commander stacked with one Titans
- 33:58Speaker 3: run back and hope that I get the guy that
- 34:00Speaker 3: continues to push the pace, because this is probably three
- 34:02Speaker 3: or four of the last four weeks the Titans have
- 34:05Speaker 3: pushed the pace against the teams that are against and
- 34:06Speaker 3: that's what we need at DFS.
- 34:08Speaker 1: Yeah, Pollard, you got to think picks up some steam
- 34:10Speaker 1: with his matchup too, right, Like people saw him off
- 34:12Speaker 1: to wait and see how it all shakes out obviously
- 34:15Speaker 1: spears out last week, so that was part of it.
- 34:16Speaker 1: Yet he didn't really get steamed at all. Pollard was,
- 34:19Speaker 1: you know, there, but no one really wanted him because
- 34:21Speaker 1: it's tough. But you know, now see this f over here,
- 34:24Speaker 1: you can roll that, Like I m'd be fine with
- 34:26Speaker 1: even like a Jaden and pick one and then run
- 34:29Speaker 1: it back with Pollard and just move on like that
- 34:31Speaker 1: to me is a good.
- 34:31Speaker 2: Spot all you need.
- 34:33Speaker 1: Yeah, anything on the running back for the Commanders. Like
- 34:37Speaker 1: you know, we saw Brian Robbinson get hurt last week.
- 34:39Speaker 3: And Eckler's and eckler Is has a is in concussion protocol,
- 34:43Speaker 3: so I highly doubt he plays.
- 34:45Speaker 2: So here's a perfect example.
- 34:46Speaker 3: If it is Jeremy McNichols, right, there's gonna be so
- 34:49Speaker 3: much value at fifty four hundred, and Jeremy McNichols is
- 34:51Speaker 3: one of those first and second down guys. If he's
- 34:53Speaker 3: going to get the thirty or thirty five percent ownership
- 34:56Speaker 3: this week, I think I should just hate him, like
- 34:58Speaker 3: I like, he is not one of those guys that's
- 35:00Speaker 3: involved in the past game. Actually I say that, yeah, No,
- 35:03Speaker 3: he have just point two targets a game so far,
- 35:05Speaker 3: so he's the first and second down back, and instead
- 35:07Speaker 3: of eating that chok, I wouldn't. Whereas let's say it
- 35:10Speaker 3: was McNichols that was out and Eckler was still gonna play,
- 35:12Speaker 3: I would be all about eating that Eckler chock because
- 35:15Speaker 3: I know the floor that he's going to offer me
- 35:17Speaker 3: in the past game, and then now I'm going to
- 35:18Speaker 3: get some additional rushes from him because he's going to
- 35:20Speaker 3: be their lead back. So this's just like a perfect
- 35:22Speaker 3: example of like how I think I should have played
- 35:24Speaker 3: it last week versus how I did play it.
- 35:27Speaker 1: Also, I think it's on the flip side of the
- 35:29Speaker 1: exact conversation. Like Pollard, who we already liked and can
- 35:31Speaker 1: sort of do everything, but he still gets targets people
- 35:34Speaker 1: not the exact same thing you're saying. But one thing
- 35:36Speaker 1: I noticed last week myself even included people were saying, like, oh,
- 35:39Speaker 1: but I don't know if I trust him. His price
- 35:41Speaker 1: is still not It's not like he's super cheap, and
- 35:43Speaker 1: it's he's not gonna be you know, if he's in
- 35:45Speaker 1: a bad game script he could be against Houston, et cetera,
- 35:48Speaker 1: et cetera. So people were a little bit lenient to
- 35:51Speaker 1: go there, yet he kind of could get there at
- 35:53Speaker 1: a bunch of different ways, and he still does get targets,
- 35:55Speaker 1: So why why not be interested if they're down? It
- 35:57Speaker 1: might actually end up being even better versus I think
- 35:59Speaker 1: people thought the opposite. So I kind of liked that call,
- 36:01Speaker 1: and it can apply both ways to this game. Let's
- 36:04Speaker 1: go to the next game. I'll kick it you right away.
- 36:06Speaker 1: Panthers at home versus the Bucks.
- 36:08Speaker 3: I mean now that the Panthers actually have a functional
- 36:10Speaker 3: offense again, which is great news for the Bucks. Baker
- 36:14Speaker 3: Mayfield more touchdowns than any quarterback in the NFL since
- 36:17Speaker 3: the twenty since the start of twenty twenty three season,
- 36:19Speaker 3: which is insane. Once again, my favorite player. So I
- 36:21Speaker 3: love that he has Mike Evans back, who I think
- 36:24Speaker 3: is only going to that Hampsting's only getting stronger every week.
- 36:27Speaker 3: Kate Otten. People have forgot what a target monster he
- 36:29Speaker 3: can be. Yeah, he had a slow week this last week,
- 36:31Speaker 3: but I think that's perfect. And then the Bucky Irving,
- 36:33Speaker 3: You know I did not. I guess I was just
- 36:35Speaker 3: like living under a fucking shell last week. Bucky Irving
- 36:38Speaker 3: got to double digit ownership in a three running back
- 36:40Speaker 3: backfield that just kind of shocked me. I didn't see
- 36:43Speaker 3: it coming and the mother father delivered, so like that
- 36:46Speaker 3: was just completely a mistake on my part to not
- 36:49Speaker 3: even consider him. So this is a great spot to
- 36:52Speaker 3: get some bucks in your lineups, and I honestly I
- 36:55Speaker 3: would love to sneak a panther in there. I'm just
- 36:56Speaker 3: not sure who the hell I wanted to be, Although
- 36:58Speaker 3: Chuba Hubbard does seem to still have that backfield to
- 37:00Speaker 3: himself because the rookie Jonathan Brooks got five snaps and
- 37:04Speaker 3: two carries last week for his big debut.
- 37:07Speaker 1: Yeah, I even think like you could have an overstack
- 37:09Speaker 1: on these bucks. I know it may not be for everybody,
- 37:12Speaker 1: but you know, Bucky was getting all the catches last week,
- 37:15Speaker 1: and maybe people think, oh, now they saw that it's
- 37:17Speaker 1: the Oshawan Tucker still in there where Sean White's still involved.
- 37:19Speaker 1: It scares people a little bit. Will have to wait
- 37:21Speaker 1: and see, but it's certainly a good spot. But he
- 37:23Speaker 1: can get You can go Baker, Bucky Aughton, you can
- 37:26Speaker 1: mix Evans in Edie.
- 37:28Speaker 2: He went down.
- 37:28Speaker 1: He was seven k last week. Now he's sixty seven hundred,
- 37:31Speaker 1: and I get it. But it's like it's this is
- 37:33Speaker 1: a great spot. Still, I think anybody against the Panthers
- 37:35Speaker 1: I've got interest in, and now, like you said, maybe
- 37:37Speaker 1: they're a little bit more serviceable. I'd love, you know,
- 37:40Speaker 1: I don't. I wish I'd love. It's crazy how you
- 37:42Speaker 1: can get the other side of this game for free. Basically,
- 37:46Speaker 1: like you could run a triple stack here for what
- 37:48Speaker 1: nine grand? It feels like nine to ten grand, and
- 37:49Speaker 1: you're good, they're gonna, you know, be in a game
- 37:52Speaker 1: where you think they gotta put up points and be
- 37:53Speaker 1: down and they pass a bunch and all that, and
- 37:55Speaker 1: it's not really a good defense that they're going up
- 37:58Speaker 1: against here. So how do you think this game would
- 38:00Speaker 1: shake out? I know we're getting near the end anyway,
- 38:01Speaker 1: at the end of the week. What category do you
- 38:03Speaker 1: think we see this thing fall into?
- 38:05Speaker 3: On the Stone for example, I mean, this game to
- 38:07Speaker 3: me just reeks of like a target game, right just
- 38:09Speaker 3: because of the potential points. I mean, it has a
- 38:12Speaker 3: forty seven point total, which is pretty high. It's going
- 38:15Speaker 3: to It has affordable players, and it has correlated players.
- 38:18Speaker 3: Baker Mayfield, if he's going to have a big game,
- 38:20Speaker 3: he will be throwing the ball to Mike Evans and
- 38:22Speaker 3: Kate Otten and I would bet you money no other
- 38:24Speaker 3: receiver even gets five targets, so you basically have an
- 38:27Speaker 3: efficient offense with concentrated usage going to specific people. And
- 38:31Speaker 3: to me, that makes it a target game, like those
- 38:33Speaker 3: are the kind of games you want to target.
- 38:35Speaker 1: Yeah, and if Tuba's too expensive for people, they but
- 38:38Speaker 1: I think people forget too also that they gave him
- 38:40Speaker 1: like a huge contract for Tuba Hubard. He was solid.
- 38:42Speaker 1: They want this is their dude. They're good with them,
- 38:44Speaker 1: They're still sticking with it. Why rush They didn't even
- 38:46Speaker 1: want to rush Brooks back in the first place anyway,
- 38:48Speaker 1: because they feel good and then they still haven't. So
- 38:50Speaker 1: I know he's there. People will talk about that. But
- 38:53Speaker 1: he almost fits the Pollard spot of last week. I
- 38:56Speaker 1: think people will just again, we'll wait and see if
- 38:58Speaker 1: he becomes more chalky. I think one of the reasons
- 39:00Speaker 1: it fits a target game so well. To your point
- 39:02Speaker 1: is it's not sneaky. People know what this spot is
- 39:04Speaker 1: and the total is big, but people don't know exactly
- 39:06Speaker 1: who to play on the panther side, which sometimes leads
- 39:09Speaker 1: to and they you know, the running backs over here,
- 39:11Speaker 1: there's too many to choose from et cetera, et cetera.
- 39:13Speaker 1: But Cuba Hubbard would fit into the Pollard conversation from
- 39:16Speaker 1: last week where everyone was, you know, a little bit
- 39:19Speaker 1: much for him and it could be a bad game script.
- 39:21Speaker 1: Cuba's still getting targets, he's still getting attempts. They're still
- 39:24Speaker 1: gonna have the ball, they still have a twenty two
- 39:25Speaker 1: point total. They're gonna have a chance to make something work,
- 39:28Speaker 1: and it doesn't take much to make it happen. But
- 39:29Speaker 1: he's pushing seven k. So I think, like you said,
- 39:32Speaker 1: if you want to go Bucky evans Auten, run it
- 39:35Speaker 1: back with Cuba Hubbard, I actually have no problem with that,
- 39:37Speaker 1: and then just fill out with whatever you want after that,
- 39:39Speaker 1: because I don't think it's gonna get too crazy. We'll
- 39:40Speaker 1: have to wait and see. Okay, let's see what do
- 39:43Speaker 1: we got here? One too Two more games to get to,
- 39:46Speaker 1: and the first one up is the Rams at the Saints.
- 39:50Speaker 1: Another big total here from you know, just these afternoon games.
- 39:53Speaker 1: I guess take a step back for two seconds. Man,
- 39:56Speaker 1: The afternoon games are loaded right like the are the
- 39:58Speaker 1: These are the big boy totals. These are where people
- 40:00Speaker 1: can find options to go and saving the best for
- 40:03Speaker 1: last maybe as far as quality of game back and forth,
- 40:05Speaker 1: but for DFS, lots of goodness in all these games.
- 40:08Speaker 1: Let's go into the second one. Rams, the Saints love it.
- 40:11Speaker 3: I mean, these are two teams that have you know,
- 40:13Speaker 3: I think part of it's just Recncy bias. I've had
- 40:15Speaker 3: a lot of these guys on my teams during that heater,
- 40:17Speaker 3: So a lot of these guys are very warm in
- 40:18Speaker 3: my soul right now. But you give me the Saints
- 40:21Speaker 3: at home, and then you give me the Rams. When
- 40:23Speaker 3: Stafford has both Cup and Nakua, I mean, like this,
- 40:26Speaker 3: this has fireworks all over it. I wouldn't even mind
- 40:28Speaker 3: Derek Carr here right Like I think Derek Carr could
- 40:30Speaker 3: be good this week. Kamara, Taysom Hill, love them all.
- 40:34Speaker 3: I don't run Stafford stacks, but I will almost certainly
- 40:37Speaker 3: have a rule of my thing that a lineup must
- 40:39Speaker 3: contained Cup or Nakua because one of those guys are
- 40:41Speaker 3: going off. And my opinion is is that Nakua has
- 40:44Speaker 3: taken over that number one spot right if you just
- 40:46Speaker 3: watch the games, he's getting the better down the field
- 40:48Speaker 3: shots than Cup in my opinion, So I probably nikuat
- 40:52Speaker 3: seventy six hundred just seems like a smash spot here,
- 40:55Speaker 3: and I don't even mind running it back with an
- 40:56Speaker 3: expensive you know, like Kamara or even Taysom Hill, which
- 41:01Speaker 3: as he is now up to five thousand, just because
- 41:03Speaker 3: I'm so confident this game is going to have some
- 41:05Speaker 3: fireworks in it.
- 41:06Speaker 1: Yeah, this always scares people, but man, it's it's insane
- 41:09Speaker 1: too how much they end up using him in just
- 41:11Speaker 1: so many different ways. He can throw touchdowns, rush him
- 41:13Speaker 1: in wildcat out wide, like this guy literally does it all.
- 41:17Speaker 1: And they paid him a lot of money too when
- 41:19Speaker 1: they did originally, so it's like they want to use
- 41:21Speaker 1: him still. They want to show him off. He's that
- 41:23Speaker 1: X factor for them, so I think that's certainly interesting.
- 41:25Speaker 1: On the other side, it's what you said. If you
- 41:27Speaker 1: watch these games, it's he's looking for Nikoua every single time. Everywhere.
- 41:32Speaker 1: His boy is still cup I'm sure, and he'll look
- 41:34Speaker 1: up with him too, and he got him the touchdown
- 41:36Speaker 1: the other night. But it's just saying Nikoua was the
- 41:38Speaker 1: guy he kept looking for. Robinson gets in the mix
- 41:41Speaker 1: a little bit at four K He's out there a ton,
- 41:44Speaker 1: which is something to keep an eye on. So that's
- 41:45Speaker 1: at least something would you rather play, And again you
- 41:47Speaker 1: don't have to choose, You're allowed to play both, et cetera,
- 41:49Speaker 1: et cetera. But would you rather DeMarcus Robinson or Marcus
- 41:52Speaker 1: Valdez Scanty?
- 41:54Speaker 3: Well, first of all, like Stafford is a guy that
- 41:56Speaker 3: you probably want to double stack, right, So like if
- 41:57Speaker 3: you're going with the KUA, I wouldn't mind sticking to
- 42:00Speaker 3: Marcus Robinson, with him for the price savings. And just
- 42:02Speaker 3: before I forget to say, it does seem like Parkinson
- 42:04Speaker 3: has taken the spot back at tight end over Who
- 42:06Speaker 3: was that Allen guy or whoever it was, and everybody
- 42:08Speaker 3: was playing there for Yeah, so your question was who
- 42:13Speaker 3: mar Marcus Valdez scantling. I would only play him in
- 42:16Speaker 3: a game type stack like he would never be a
- 42:18Speaker 3: one off piece to me, or probably even correlation piece.
- 42:21Speaker 3: It would probably be if I had a Stafford or
- 42:23Speaker 3: car stack here and I wanted him to be correlated
- 42:26Speaker 3: to car right or or as a as a big
- 42:28Speaker 3: play run back because he hits a bomb or two
- 42:30Speaker 3: against Stafford stacks.
- 42:31Speaker 2: That would be how I would play him in the
- 42:33Speaker 2: only way I would play him.
- 42:34Speaker 1: Yeah, we got to wait on Robinson to Speaking of that,
- 42:36Speaker 1: I forgot it. I just saw that news yesterday posted
- 42:38Speaker 1: in the discord over at ship at that the he
- 42:41Speaker 1: was like suspected of a dui and they locked him
- 42:43Speaker 1: up overnight let him out in the morning or whatever.
- 42:45Speaker 1: So that was a DeMarcus Robinson who they're talking about.
- 42:47Speaker 2: So yeah, I didn't even hear that.
- 42:49Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think it's gonna be a big deal
- 42:51Speaker 1: out to wait and see. But you know, not a
- 42:53Speaker 1: great look for sure. Yeah. I mean again, you'd be surprised.
- 42:57Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 42:57Speaker 1: I'm sure you guys know this as much in the
- 42:59Speaker 1: chat as anybody. I watch a lot of football too,
- 43:00Speaker 1: Like these coaches, there's not too much discipline, and there's
- 43:03Speaker 1: not too often like if they're practicing and they're back
- 43:05Speaker 1: to playing and they're in the game, it's win the
- 43:07Speaker 1: football game and they'll deal with all the off field
- 43:09Speaker 1: stuff later on. It's not oftentimes you see a guy
- 43:11Speaker 1: get punished or anything like that because of something like that.
- 43:14Speaker 1: It's usually the league coming down on them more than
- 43:16Speaker 1: their actual own team. If they're good to play and go,
- 43:18Speaker 1: but keep an eye on it. Nothing else here For me,
- 43:21Speaker 1: I like that what you talked about. The game stacks
- 43:22Speaker 1: the teams can both throw a ton I guess one
- 43:26Speaker 1: thing that wasn't mentioned that I will have interest in
- 43:27Speaker 1: is still is Kien Williams. I know it's been bad
- 43:30Speaker 1: this last little bit, but again it's we'll all see
- 43:32Speaker 1: how it goes. If it's Kamara that picks up Steam,
- 43:34Speaker 1: I like having them on the opposite side. We have
- 43:36Speaker 1: a good matchup here. I think a lot of people
- 43:38Speaker 1: this is a prime example to me DJN where again,
- 43:42Speaker 1: that's why the stone is beautiful. People look at this,
- 43:44Speaker 1: they get hyped up. We get talking about is it Cup,
- 43:47Speaker 1: is it Nikua? Is it Parkinson that's back? Is it
- 43:49Speaker 1: DeMarcus Robinson? Not the Dui? They see this and they
- 43:52Speaker 1: somehow just glaze over this. And what I'm highlighting is
- 43:55Speaker 1: the past defense versus the rush d It's just as
- 43:58Speaker 1: good a spot for Kyle Williams here. He's been amazing
- 44:01Speaker 1: most of the season. It hasn't been great as of late,
- 44:04Speaker 1: but it only takes one game to flip it around
- 44:06Speaker 1: him and get right back into the mix and swing
- 44:07Speaker 1: of things here. And I could definitely see him having
- 44:10Speaker 1: a great game and just seventy two hundred bucks, So
- 44:12Speaker 1: I'm good with him as well.
- 44:14Speaker 3: Yeah, just the long term stats. When Nakua and Cup play,
- 44:16Speaker 3: Kiaren's stats go down dramatically. So not saying he can't
- 44:19Speaker 3: bust out of it. I'm just saying it is becoming
- 44:21Speaker 3: a long term trend that you need to know about.
- 44:23Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think that's good. I just think that's
- 44:25Speaker 1: like me always is. You know, that's something that's in
- 44:27Speaker 1: the back of my mind. But I also think because
- 44:29Speaker 1: it's in the forefront of many others or that tends
- 44:32Speaker 1: to get thrown around. I look at it like it's
- 44:34Speaker 1: week thirteen, twenty twenty four. Anything can happen. It's still
- 44:37Speaker 1: a great spot. What if you know, Nikua and Cup
- 44:40Speaker 1: both have a PI that lands them there, and it's
- 44:42Speaker 1: Kiroen that gets to jam two in on top of
- 44:44Speaker 1: a couple of big runs and a few catches and
- 44:46Speaker 1: now he really crushed at seventy two hundred. So it
- 44:48Speaker 1: can go a bunch of different ways. Let's go this
- 44:51Speaker 1: way to the last game, which is the Ravens at
- 44:54Speaker 1: home coming off the win versus the Eagles, And what
- 44:57Speaker 1: do you think about this game on a you know,
- 44:59Speaker 1: just a fan perspective. Do you think it's going to
- 45:01Speaker 1: be made a bigger deal of how good these two
- 45:04Speaker 1: teams are. I know they're not the upper echelon of
- 45:06Speaker 1: what people are considering on both sides because of the
- 45:08Speaker 1: Lions and the Chiefs and the Bills and all these
- 45:10Speaker 1: other teams. But you gotta think the Lamar versus Hurts
- 45:13Speaker 1: is still a big deal, right people.
- 45:15Speaker 3: These are probably two of the top six teams in
- 45:17Speaker 3: the NFL. So I don't I think that it's gonna
- 45:19Speaker 3: get plenty of hype. It's just a great game, right
- 45:22Speaker 3: for DFS purposes. I mean, this does have all the
- 45:25Speaker 3: recipe for a big shootout. The problem is, man, they're
- 45:28Speaker 3: freaking expensive, Like there's no discounts in this game. Maybe
- 45:31Speaker 3: if Davanta Smith gets back, him at fifty eight hundred
- 45:33Speaker 3: seems like a bit of a miss underprice. But you know,
- 45:35Speaker 3: you always got to worry about guys coming back as
- 45:37Speaker 3: you have concussion or off injury.
- 45:38Speaker 2: I can't remember.
- 45:39Speaker 1: I'm trying to look at it here now with the
- 45:40Speaker 1: rule out for that, and I don't even remember why
- 45:42Speaker 1: he's out. I think Hamstring Hamstring was the original.
- 45:44Speaker 3: Well, I get very leary of wide receivers coming back
- 45:47Speaker 3: from Hamstring's first week back, so he's probably off for me.
- 45:50Speaker 3: And then the Ravens, man, I watched them last night.
- 45:53Speaker 3: They're just their offense is so good, but like it's
- 45:55Speaker 3: expensive and it's not the easiest to stack right.
- 45:57Speaker 2: Like Lamar didn't mind spread the ball around.
- 46:00Speaker 3: So it might be one of those games where I
- 46:03Speaker 3: have to do what I do with the Lions right
- 46:05Speaker 3: and just kind of hope that everybody gets a little
- 46:07Speaker 3: bit and nobody goes ham and I'm able to survive
- 46:09Speaker 3: it because you know, just already looking through these first
- 46:12Speaker 3: nine games, I'm already seeing kind of how I want
- 46:14Speaker 3: my lineups built. And I don't know that I'm gonna
- 46:16Speaker 3: be able to get to eighty three hundred dollars A J.
- 46:17Speaker 3: Brown or eighty five hundred Taekwon Barkley or eight thousand
- 46:20Speaker 3: dollars Lamar Jackson. I mean, these are premium prices that
- 46:24Speaker 3: is gonna be hard to fit into these lineups. Because
- 46:26Speaker 3: as good as this slate seems this week, I don't
- 46:28Speaker 3: feel like we've been talking about very many values out there.
- 46:31Speaker 1: I was just gonna say that's one of the biggest
- 46:33Speaker 1: pieces right now. It's early, it's Tuesday, But when you
- 46:35Speaker 1: don't have a ton of value on the slate. It's
- 46:37Speaker 1: really hard to you know, formulate a plan on how
- 46:39Speaker 1: you're getting to like Jalen Hurts and aj Brown with
- 46:42Speaker 1: a ze flowers or something on the other side, or
- 46:44Speaker 1: making something work. I am just going back a little
- 46:46Speaker 1: bit here to try and look at it, Like, you know,
- 46:48Speaker 1: the Ravens, I don't know, like you got to think
- 46:51Speaker 1: nobody's playing Barkley at eighty five hundred. They don't care
- 46:53Speaker 1: about how good his week was last week. They now
- 46:55Speaker 1: assume that he runs into this Ravens d that you know,
- 46:57Speaker 1: you just pass on them. That maybe they don't go
- 47:00Speaker 1: to Barkley as much as you would normally expect because
- 47:02Speaker 1: even if you are paying up this week somewhere, I
- 47:05Speaker 1: don't see a lot of spots to pay up. So
- 47:07Speaker 1: at some point you're gonna have to spend your money
- 47:08Speaker 1: or most people are going to I just wonder how
- 47:10Speaker 1: that goes. But you have to think more people are
- 47:12Speaker 1: gonna try and get to the passing game just because
- 47:13Speaker 1: what the matchup is so something to keep an eye on.
- 47:16Speaker 1: Will talk more about it as the week goes on.
- 47:18Speaker 1: On the opposite side, it's so tough to pick between
- 47:21Speaker 1: these guys and the way they spread it out. I
- 47:23Speaker 1: talked about this on the show yesterday, the Ravens with
- 47:25Speaker 1: with Mitchell back it wasn't him and ended up being
- 47:28Speaker 1: Justice Seal. But what they're doing is they're just throwing
- 47:29Speaker 1: that defense off, using these guys and it ends up
- 47:32Speaker 1: being Justice sil that just took off. There was nobody.
- 47:34Speaker 1: They were panting and looking for energy. He would just
- 47:37Speaker 1: they were already wore down trying to take care of
- 47:39Speaker 1: Derrick Henry, and I think that's titles point yesterday. You know,
- 47:41Speaker 1: I don't know if you saw the show, but him
- 47:42Speaker 1: and Hoop going back and forth on this Lions versus
- 47:45Speaker 1: eye test on the Ravens. Yes, the Lions have looked
- 47:47Speaker 1: really good and et cetera. But you gotta think this
- 47:49Speaker 1: is what the Ravens got. You know, we know this
- 47:51Speaker 1: is what the Ravens got Henry for, and yesterday it's
- 47:53Speaker 1: starting to show signs of it. The expectations even more.
- 47:56Speaker 1: Look at what he can do. You gotta worry about Lamar,
- 47:59Speaker 1: then you got to worry about Henry. That's already enough,
- 48:02Speaker 1: and now you've got to worry about that tiring the defense.
- 48:04Speaker 1: Ou it's so bad that they can't even get to
- 48:05Speaker 1: a guy in some of these shifty dudes. So I
- 48:07Speaker 1: don't know. This game is interesting, big boy. Total here
- 48:10Speaker 1: two of the Titans going back and forth in Hurts
- 48:13Speaker 1: versus Lamar, Barkley versus Henry. I'm in there's every battle
- 48:17Speaker 1: within this game, so I'm interested to see how the
- 48:19Speaker 1: slate shakes out. Did you have any quick thoughts to
- 48:21Speaker 1: round it out on late swap? Like, to me, it
- 48:24Speaker 1: looks like people are already gonna be living in the afternoon.
- 48:27Speaker 3: We may you can't late swap when six out of
- 48:29Speaker 3: the nine guys in your lineup were all in the afternoon. Yeah, Like, like,
- 48:32Speaker 3: what are gonna late swamp? Which is gonna mix up
- 48:34Speaker 3: the guys we already had picked for the afternoon. I
- 48:36Speaker 3: guess the good news is the more guys you have
- 48:38Speaker 3: available in your lineup that play in the afternoon, the
- 48:41Speaker 3: more freedom you have to go switch it around, because
- 48:43Speaker 3: you'll have you know, you can drop down here, move
- 48:45Speaker 3: up here more often. So maybe you have you know,
- 48:47Speaker 3: the early part of the day just goes horrific for
- 48:49Speaker 3: you or some you know, Burrow goes off at eight
- 48:52Speaker 3: percent and you feel like you're buried. Maybe go switch
- 48:55Speaker 3: to Bryce Youngstacks or something like that and just get
- 48:58Speaker 3: Filthy or Derek Carstacks and get off of your hurts
- 49:01Speaker 3: to Lamar and go switch to Saquan right and spend
- 49:04Speaker 3: that money there. So there could be just because there's
- 49:07Speaker 3: three really good games in the afternoon that people are
- 49:09Speaker 3: already gonna be playing, there could actually be the ability
- 49:11Speaker 3: for more late swapping, just because so much of your
- 49:13Speaker 3: lineup might already be built up from these late games.
- 49:16Speaker 1: Yeah, and I was gonna ask because I think that's
- 49:17Speaker 1: a great point because of what you have three pretty
- 49:19Speaker 1: good games here. Obviously, if you're buried, it's yeah, don't
- 49:22Speaker 1: go to where the chalkiest spot is. This sort of
- 49:24Speaker 1: the standard late swap stuff. But do you have any
- 49:26Speaker 1: advice or opinion on you know, the sticking with your
- 49:29Speaker 1: gut thing when it comes to, Okay, you got a
- 49:31Speaker 1: low owned running back in the morning that went off
- 49:34Speaker 1: with a low owned defense. The rest of your lineup
- 49:36Speaker 1: is afternoon. Do you leave it on what you loved
- 49:39Speaker 1: and started with because that's what you were feeling and
- 49:41Speaker 1: that's what you liked, or do you say, now I
- 49:44Speaker 1: just have to move, because how do you really gauge it?
- 49:45Speaker 1: They're all big totals. They're all good games. You like
- 49:48Speaker 1: the stack you got what would make your thought process
- 49:51Speaker 1: change on something like that if you were already in
- 49:53Speaker 1: a spot that you loved versus what the projections tell you.
- 49:56Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't late swap as much as you probably
- 49:58Speaker 3: think I do talking to people out there, I just
- 50:01Speaker 3: always have it in my head that I saw that
- 50:03Speaker 3: that's an option, right, And the number one thing, really,
- 50:05Speaker 3: the only thing that really makes me change it is
- 50:07Speaker 3: if one or two stacks over five percent go off. Right.
- 50:11Speaker 3: So let's just say Burrow goes for thirty eight and
- 50:14Speaker 3: takes Chase with you know, thirty five and Higgins with
- 50:16Speaker 3: forty with him right, Well, shit, that means that a
- 50:19Speaker 3: lot of people now have some pretty nutted lineups. And
- 50:21Speaker 3: let's say Sam Darnold does the thing with Jefferson and Addison. Well,
- 50:25Speaker 3: now I know that like ten percent of all lineups
- 50:27Speaker 3: out there are off to a nutted start that I'm
- 50:29Speaker 3: almost infinitely behind. And that's kind of where I decide, Okay,
- 50:32Speaker 3: I'm gonna get off my plays that I like this
- 50:34Speaker 3: week and go get slimy. But outside of that, if
- 50:37Speaker 3: no one's going off, you know, like I haven't seen
- 50:39Speaker 3: any stacks that really scare me. Like let's say, you
- 50:41Speaker 3: know who will levistat goes off at one percent. I'm
- 50:44Speaker 3: not going to go change everything because of that, because
- 50:46Speaker 3: a lot of the contests I play in are like
- 50:48Speaker 3: three thousand entrants, and so when one percent hits, like
- 50:51Speaker 3: what I'm worried about thirty lineups, I could still you know,
- 50:53Speaker 3: have a great finish even if I don't late swap
- 50:55Speaker 3: or you know, maybe my guys can still catch up.
- 50:57Speaker 3: So I only do it whenever one or two big
- 51:00Speaker 3: stacks go off early.
- 51:02Speaker 1: Yeah, And I would say that a lot of people
- 51:03Speaker 1: build in a similar fashion, meaning like their mindset, whether
- 51:06Speaker 1: they're handbuilding or an opt like, they what they like
- 51:08Speaker 1: and what they got their most exposure to. So if
- 51:10Speaker 1: you have a mix in Texans lineup that goes off
- 51:14Speaker 1: in the morning, let's say, and it crushes for you
- 51:16Speaker 1: and it's a little bit lower on, you probably have
- 51:18Speaker 1: multiples of that. One thing I look at is obviously
- 51:20Speaker 1: I'm late swapping and looking at things where I'm blocked.
- 51:22Speaker 1: If I'm in a high dollar live final qualifyer, and
- 51:25Speaker 1: I noticed somebody has the exact same money left as
- 51:27Speaker 1: I do, and they probably have the most common high
- 51:30Speaker 1: projected pairing. I'm looking to switch and get different and
- 51:33Speaker 1: take my shot and hopefully have the level up, but
- 51:35Speaker 1: you need to take it a level further. One would
- 51:37Speaker 1: be if it's a small swap like that. I've been
- 51:40Speaker 1: in spots where I happen to be on the same
- 51:41Speaker 1: secondary stack because I loved it. So I noticed that
- 51:45Speaker 1: my lineup in fifth has the same I have the
- 51:48Speaker 1: same secondary stack in my lineup in fifteenth. Well, I
- 51:52Speaker 1: love it, so I'm keeping it in fifth. I'm blocking
- 51:54Speaker 1: people and I'm sticking to what I love. But I
- 51:56Speaker 1: better swap by one in fifteenth because it's literally the same.
- 51:58Speaker 1: I can't overlap my other but give myself a chance
- 52:01Speaker 1: to overlap it. And then to your point, if you've
- 52:03Speaker 1: got six or seven guys left in your lineup, because
- 52:06Speaker 1: it was just two in the morning that went off,
- 52:07Speaker 1: but you had a combo of lineups like that, I
- 52:09Speaker 1: probably don't want like a one v one in you know,
- 52:12Speaker 1: I have the same stack with the same run back
- 52:15Speaker 1: with one other guy, and then over here like now,
- 52:17Speaker 1: I have room to move where if you take the
- 52:19Speaker 1: time to look into that, maybe I say, Okay, I'm
- 52:21Speaker 1: gonna go to the I still like that game, but
- 52:23Speaker 1: I want the other side of it now, or you
- 52:24Speaker 1: know what, I'm a little leery of that game. Let
- 52:27Speaker 1: me pick my favorite one and move a full game
- 52:29Speaker 1: stack to a different spot in the afternoon and give
- 52:31Speaker 1: yourself a couple outs. Right.
- 52:33Speaker 2: Yeah, And to me, this is the argument for keeping
- 52:34Speaker 2: your player pool semi tight. Right.
- 52:37Speaker 3: You know, whenever I'm making thirty or sixty lineup, so
- 52:39Speaker 3: you probably amaze how tight my lineups are, right. You know,
- 52:41Speaker 3: when I'm putting it in the ship, Tomizer, I'm telling
- 52:43Speaker 3: it to own that it only has to put two
- 52:45Speaker 3: new players in each lineup. So I'm okay having seven
- 52:48Speaker 3: guys the same in this lineup and in this lineup
- 52:50Speaker 3: and just switch too off because I know that sometimes
- 52:53Speaker 3: that could be the nutted lineup, and I want to
- 52:54Speaker 3: have the ability to just be able to make this
- 52:56Speaker 3: one switch to be the difference, right, And that's how
- 52:59Speaker 3: you can get a line up in fifth and in
- 53:00Speaker 3: fifteenth place and have that freedom. So to me, a
- 53:03Speaker 3: lot of this comes down to keeping a tighter player
- 53:05Speaker 3: pool so you have lineups that are similar and you
- 53:07Speaker 3: can make these kind of adjustments.
- 53:08Speaker 1: Yeah, love it. Great strategy talk. Here appreciate all the
- 53:11Speaker 1: check going through it. If you guys like what you
- 53:13Speaker 1: see with the stone and check it out, notice that
- 53:14Speaker 1: during the week we fill it out further right, all
- 53:16Speaker 1: of our projections ceiling ownership. The first run goes in
- 53:19Speaker 1: on Wednesdays. We do the calculations for the optimal setup
- 53:23Speaker 1: based on the pricing, the salary and the projection. So
- 53:26Speaker 1: we find that out, you find out where your leverage is.
- 53:28Speaker 1: We cover FanDuel. All the numbers get updated. Our stack
- 53:31Speaker 1: ranking from the site goes in the Best Tools in DFS,
- 53:34Speaker 1: so you guys can check that out. We put the
- 53:35Speaker 1: designation along the top. You see all of them are
- 53:38Speaker 1: no designation right now, but we have Chalky games, target game,
- 53:41Speaker 1: Sneaky game blowout, and last week the target and the sneaky.
- 53:44Speaker 1: The sneaky was Chicago, Minnesota, the target was Miami and
- 53:48Speaker 1: New England. It just it's been that way throughout the
- 53:50Speaker 1: season multiple times where we've seen it happen, so keep
- 53:52Speaker 1: that in mind. We note the injury risk. If you
- 53:55Speaker 1: want this very simple, the time is now. Go to
- 53:57Speaker 1: ship a nation. Go to join the nation right on
- 53:59Speaker 1: the main page if you want to check out ship
- 54:01Speaker 1: Deemizer the tutorials are free. If you want to know
- 54:04Speaker 1: what we carry for NFL and any other sport, you
- 54:06Speaker 1: can just click the title at the top NFL. It'll
- 54:09Speaker 1: show you everything that we cover and more and what
- 54:12Speaker 1: you'll get for your money. But just going back to
- 54:14Speaker 1: it on the page there right now, you go to
- 54:16Speaker 1: single sport and you can get ninety nine dollars rest
- 54:20Speaker 1: a season for all the content for football. If you
- 54:22Speaker 1: have college football, it's an added bonus. And one twenty
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- 54:30Speaker 1: Friday specials. If you want to use NBA fifty you
- 54:33Speaker 1: can get fifty percent off your first month. That one
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- 54:44Speaker 1: to fifty. So the time is now to check it out,
- 54:46Speaker 1: get it on the action. We appreciate everybody that's going
- 54:49Speaker 1: to do it for this one, for the big Guy,
- 54:50Speaker 1: for my seal Toe tag at tambo led Ship it