Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Thursday, 09/17/26

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MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Thursday, 09/17/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear your liftoff. What's going on, everybody?
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Happy Thursday. I'm back with my man, G. Rising, talking
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: some baseball. Five games on DraftKings, five games on FanDuel. 7.15
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Eastern start time. Had some early baseball going on, so
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: hope you made some money there if you were in
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: the streets. Obviously got some football tonight. Got some golf
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: showdown going on as well. Couple days, got MMA, got NASCAR,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: got college football showdown actually tonight as well. There's a
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: lot of money to be made in the DFS streets
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: We will do our best covering some baseball. Again, five games,
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: not many. We'll be out of here in about 30
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: minutes because right at 30 minutes at 5 Eastern, MMA,
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: me and Big Marley talking UFC 331. So excited on that.
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: Just do us a favor, like buttons all we ask for,
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: subscribe button. We'll let you know when we go live
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: for all of our shows, again, including that show coming
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: up in 30 minutes. Three of them today for me, G. Rison. Football, baseball, MMA,
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: living the good life over here. It's that time of year.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: How you doing?
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: Good, good. Hey, you're like multi-versatile. You're like that utility
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: guy on the baseball team. Gets it done in every position.
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: It just doesn't matter. But, no, fun to always be
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: on here. Appreciate you hanging out a little extra there.
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: The day job, man, I get driving on them crazy-ass freeways.
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: Sometimes it just doesn't work out as quick as you
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: need to get back home. But always good fun. Listen
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: to some– you know, had Mr. AI read me some
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: stuff along the way. So I got in my baseball
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: time a little bit. So, uh, pretty happy about that.
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: But man, yesterday I told y'all Alonzo is going to
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: hit a bomb off them, them fucking mats. Like he's
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: so mad at them. It's like, damn, like this dude
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: was like, when you throw a bat like that after
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: hitting a game tying Homer, there's like some frustration there.
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: So I was glad I got a little bit of
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: cheese off that yesterday when he hit a Homer, but, uh, Yeah,
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: what do we got? Five games. Doesn't look like too
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: much weather to worry about. Pitching isn't so great. We
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: don't have any crazy Coors Field or Sacramento games, any
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: of that nonsense. Matter of fact, we got, what, one 9.30
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: game and pretty much three at seven. So we got
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: one late one. But, yeah, fun. I like these five-game
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: little slates here.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't mind it as well. You know where
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: it's going to be concentrated in terms of ownership. Getting different,
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: getting leverage, playing low-own stuff if there's a sport to
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: do it. Baseball, one of the highest-varying sports. It's a
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: good way to attack, as we can see right here,
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: going to team stacks, sorting by projected runs. No one
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: projected for over five. Only one team projected for below four.
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: So I do think it's pretty much a jumbled mess.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: In terms of ownership, we know where it's going. Taj
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: Bradley will be the chalkiest pitcher on the slate. I'm
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: not exactly sure I believe. Sonny Gray going to be 48%.
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: I think it's going to be closer with the Framber,
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: with the Urena, with the McLean of the world. So
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: I don't necessarily believe this. I don't believe it. Let's just,
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: let's go something like this and this and maybe this.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: I think it'll be something more like this, but I
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: think it's clear. And maybe even Taj Bradley comes in 70%.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: I think it's single entry stuff. He's probably going to
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: be in the 75, 80% range, but. I do think
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: it's clear people are going to go to Bradley and
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: then bats. I think it's going to be relatively spread out.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: Maybe the Astros probably since they're have the highest run
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: total or the highest own, but I don't think it's
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: going to be by too wide of a margin. Let's just,
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: let's talk some pitching right away and just hammer it
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: out again. I'm going to sort by salary. I I'll
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: let you talk. If you want to talk about any
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: of these like Bradford or even Lugo's and below, it's
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: pretty easy for me. I would X out these four.
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: I would X out Eric Feddey. And then I said
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: I would X out Seth Lugo as well, which would
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: then leave me with a pool of Taj Bradley, Sonny Gray, McClain, Urena, Nola,
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: and Framber. Those six. And I would be totally fine
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: just rocking six pitchers on the slate. If that's too
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: many for you, I don't know. I think Sonny's my favorite, again,
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: because I don't necessarily believe that ownership. If he was 50%,
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: he would not be my favorite. And then it's probably
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: Urena for me. I'll let you talk about pitching, though.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: How many are in your pool for 20-max? Who can
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: we fade? Who are your favorites?
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: Yeah, we got a little, some slim pickings. Bradley rightfully.
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: So is the SP one on both sides, 9,500. I mean,
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: He's got the highest strikeout rate on the season, 27%.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: And then we look across and, you know, lo and behold,
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: he's got the Angels, who we always like to chase
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: after a righty anyway. So that's pretty obvious. It's just,
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: especially on a five-gamer, we don't really have too much
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: to choose from. Then when it comes down to the
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: other title, I think it's interesting when you're sitting looking
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: at it. You got Sonny Gray, McClain, and Urania.
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: So....
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: I'm just going to look at, I've been kind of
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: mentioning how, you know, the age, some age factors catching up.
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: You kind of look at Sonny Gray a little bit.
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: And old Sonny here has struggled a little bit in
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: the last 30 days, especially the lefties. He's been getting
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: barreled up at a 14.5% rate, which is pretty high.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: His K percentage is there to lefties at 27%, but
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: his K percentage to righties is at 14%. So it's
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: down a little bit from where he's at. control a
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: little bit off to the lefties. But, man, Sonny's been
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: really good over the course of the season. I wouldn't
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: call him like a great DFS type pitcher, but we
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: know what you're getting out of him, especially on FanDuel.
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: He's got a good chance to get you a quality start.
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: I mean, out of all the starts this year, he
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: only got beat up maybe two or three times all year.
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: It seems like he only gave up more than three runs.
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: So for me, on FanDuel, he's a better play on
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: FanDuel than I think he is on DK. But I
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: do like Sonny Gray at this point. And if you
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: look at McClain, he's one I'm just a little bit
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: more concerned about, actually. He has not looked good at
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: all in his last 30 days, especially the lefty. So
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: his walk percentages is way high. So his control has
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: been a little bit off, especially lefties 11%. He's at
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: 13% to righties with his, uh, some walk issues, uh,
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: his ground ball rates down at 35% to lefties. He's
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: been getting barreled up by lefties. Fly ball rate is still,
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: still pretty low at 22%, but, McClain just, I don't
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: like to control issues. And then I look across and
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: you're facing Schwarber, Harper, Stott, Marsh. I mean, there's some
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: lefties there that could beat him up. So McClain for me,
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: I got a little flag, a caution flag there. I'm
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: a little concerned about Mr. McClain. I mean, earlier in
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: the year, yeah. I mean, he was a stud. In
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: the World Baseball Classic, he looked pretty good. I think
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: that's kind of starting to wear him out a little bit.
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: that extra pitching that he had to do at the
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: beginning of the season. Now, Urania, I mean, on a
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: short slate against the Twins, I mean, I don't hate Urania.
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's like up and down with strikeouts. You
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: just don't know what you get. It's like putting the
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: bagel dice in a roll in it. You have no
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: damn clue what you're going to get. You could get 12.
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: You could get two. You could get snake eyes. Who
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: freaking knows?
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: I'll take that on a five-game slate. I'll take that. Yeah, exactly.
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: But what I like, Title, is his ground ball percentage.
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: The dude's ground ball percentage is almost 60%. So, I mean,
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: to me, he's a really safe play. So, instead of
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: me chasing a guy who just seems like he's trending
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: backwards at this end of the part of the season,
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'd rather play like a Urania, I think. So,
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: I think I got Urania right behind Taj Bradley, and
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: then I think I'd go Sonny Gray, and then I
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: think I would go uh, McLean. So after that, maybe
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: Nola you could look at, I mean, maybe for some upside,
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to go there, I can't play Framber.
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: I personally hate that guy. And he's on the tigers.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: Cause he's such a little baby. Like one little thing
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: goes wrong and air happens or some bullshit. And then
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: you can just see the freaking, the wheels coming off
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: the cart. It's like, then he's, he's just, he's proven
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: it for like two seasons. Bless you. So, you know, so,
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: you know, I mean, I just I have a hard
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: time playing Framber. I just can't do it because it's
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: like one of the things that's like more frustrating, you know,
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: and you're like, I knew better than to play that donkey.
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: So I'm going to leave him out. So truly, I
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: think I'd only have five guys in my pool today.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: Be Bradley one, Urania two, Gray three, McLean four. Then
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: I'd probably throw in Nola and I can't go anywhere else.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: Great breakdown. I like it. You and I, yeah, are
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: very similar. You would X out Framber. I would leave
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: him in mainly just because he's $ 6, 800, 700 from Nola,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: who's the only other pitcher that we liked in the pool, 1,700
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: savings from Urena. So it just gets you on kind
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: of a different roster construction. If you do want to
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: play some big bats, Yordong, Harper, Schwarber, Soto, you name it.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: If you want to get a little roster construction difference,
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: it keeps the ball on the ground. Not going to
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: miss many bats. It's more of if this is a
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: floor slate at pitching, which again, with only five games,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: there's definitely a chance that's the case. 14 from Framber
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: could be enough, but I got it ranked Sonny, Urena,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: Taj Bradley, and I guess I'm just going to say Framber, Nola,
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: and then McLean. I'll back you up on your McLean.
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: Not loving him too much. And again, at ownership is
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: the main thing because I like Sonny right there, Urena.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: He's sandwiched in between my two favorites. Just naturally, I
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: think it's right to be underweight him. So that's how
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: I see pitching. Again, I do think this Taj Bradley
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: number only gets higher, though, and especially in single-entry stuff.
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: It's just so hard to play Mets, too, with McLean.
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: Doesn't it seem like the Mets' sale drifted off?
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: I feel like it's been going for a while.
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: Alonzo just basically just peed right on their face.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, he did. Yeah, he did. That was cool. Good
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: for Mr. Polar Bear, Pete Alonzo. That had to.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: Feel good, coming back home and New York and all
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: of them. And New York fans, everybody knows it. They
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: can be assholes. So, you know, to cheer them on
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: like that, that's kind of cool. That's a cool baseball moment.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: 100%. Yeah, I mean, they just want the owner gone.
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: What a joke it's been for the Mets the past
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: couple years. With all the salary cap they have as well.
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: All right, we are going to talk some bats. But, again,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: before we do, I said it from the top. What
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: a massive day we have in the sports world today. Obviously,
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: we got your Lions taking on the Bills. Phenomenal game.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: On Thursday night with big boy DFS prizes. Obviously, we
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: have baseball. We're talking about it. But PGA is still
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: going on. Do not forget. We have showdown content that
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: you can find right here. College football. We also have
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: a showdown game tonight as well. We'll have a slate
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: tomorrow on Friday. Of course, on Saturday. Shout out to
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: the college football team. Does a phenomenal job. MMA. We'll
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: be talking about it right after this on the show.
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: This is Saturday, though. A pay-per-view. Or no such thing.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: But a numbered card. UFC 331. and NASCAR on Sunday.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: So a bunch of content. NFL, college football, PGA, MLB, MMA,
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: and NASCAR. That's six sports we got going right now.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: If you go to the left bottom or join the nation,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: if you haven't tried us out at all, I think
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: the best deal just to get your feet wet and
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: give us a try is this five days for $ 19.
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: You get SaberSim. You get access to the Discord. And again,
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: five days takes you through Sunday. So you'll get NFL
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: main slates. and everything you need this weekend. You'll get
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: access to all six sports if you do want. If
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: you do already know that you want to be a
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: part of us, you cannot beat these prices. Again, with
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: everything going on, it comes out to, I mean, a
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: couple dollars a day. And if you are playing more
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: than just one sport, I definitely think finding the Core
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: 100 or Starter is your best deal. I think Starter
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: allows you to build more lineups. You get Saber Sims
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: projections ownership. You get late swap portfolio diversification. DFS Mastermind
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: for free. I think Starter is the best deal. which
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: is a little more than the core hundred. If you're
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: playing thousands of dollars a week or even a month,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: I think checking out the contest sims and the ultimate
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: package is something that you might be interested in as well.
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: Far right, single sport though, we do have options for that.
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: If you just play MLB, we still got you covered
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: less than a dollar a day. Can add on Saber
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: Sim for a little more. We'll have playoff content as
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: usual in the MLB streets. But again, five days for $ 19,
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: I think is probably the best deal for many, if
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: you have not given us a try. All right, let's
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: head on over to the stone over here at Shippenation.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: Let me take this back a little bit. All right,
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: let's go down to the first game of the night.
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: Probably the chalkiest team in the Astros taking on the Royals,
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: Seth Lugo, and then it's going to be Ethan Pecco
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: as the long reliever with, it looks like this Yola
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: guy or something opening the game. So, It's going to
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: be more of a bullpen game, but this Pecco character
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: will probably throw about 80 pitches, assuming he's doing solid,
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: against these Royals that you always love to roster. So
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: what are you doing in this one?
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: Beating the shit out of Seth Lugo. I mean, how
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: can you not? I mean, this guy's terrible. And then
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: the funny part is, is the bullpen's worse. So, I mean,
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: Lugo in his last 30 days has got a. 452
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: wool by the left side. Hello, Jordan! That sounds like
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: a Jordan bomb coming in to me. So, I mean,
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: Lugo's K percentages are pretty low. Just been getting smashed
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: all the way around. His ground ball percentages are low.
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: He's normally a little bit higher. He is at 50%
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: right to the right side. But, man, you got the
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: worst bullpen. You got a guy that's just been getting
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: beat up, especially the lefties. I mean, Astros coming out
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: the gate. You got a game total of nine. Yeah,
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: I like the Astros. I think they're my favorite. And
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: then if you look across here with what Houston's going
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: to be rolling out, looks like pretty much of a
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: bullpen-type game. I don't know. I just normally don't play
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: the Royals all that much. I know they're going to
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: have a starter here, what, Uola, whoever you say that.
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: And then, I mean, they all have pretty low strikeout rates,
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: walk a lot of guys. You know, I mean– It's
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: just hard for me to like some Royals title. I
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: just haven't played them all that much, but we do
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: have a five game slate. I think pitching on both
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: sides of this game is very weak. So I think
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: attacking it with both sides, I think I would more
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: like the full stack to Astros and kind of many
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: of the Royals is more or less would be my approach.
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: You could even game stack this one if you want
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: coming right out the gate pitching so bad. So I
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: don't mind that at all, but Astros for me would
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: be my favorite.
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: Mute donkey, mute donkey. I think these Royals are actually
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: a little interesting. This Pecco dude, it's a very small sample. So,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, I like, obviously, the more sample we have,
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: the bigger, the better. But, man, in like 60 plate appearances,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: these lefties are absolutely crushing Pecco. And then you go
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: to this Royals lineup, Carter Jensen, lefty. Jack Caglioni, lefty.
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: Vinny P, I don't even, I want to say he
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: wasn't in the lineup, maybe. Let's see. Yeah, Vinny P's
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: not in the lineup, unfortunately. Carter is, though, Caglioni, Massey, Rave, Isbell, Collins.
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: Six of the nine batters for the Royals will be
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: hitting from the left side of the plate. Only two
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: higher priced than 5K. Everyone else is cheap. And they're
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: going to be relatively low owned. Let's see, 72%. Mets
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: look to be higher owned. Astros will definitely be higher owned. Tigers,
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: we have higher owned. Red Sox, we have higher owned.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: And that's right there. So the middle of the pack.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: when you are playing Taj Bradley and you want to
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: eat a little more chalk, I'm definitely good play in
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: some of these Royals again, prefer the lefties, but the
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: three righties they have Bobby Witt, Garcia, Selby, obviously all
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: three of them are very solid themselves with upside. So
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: I'm more interested in the Royals and I think the
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: public do. And yeah, the Astros, they're just going to
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: be really chalky. I think my favorite way to play
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: the Astros is probably not to play Taj Bradley and
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: rotate two of the other pitchers of the four that
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: we talked about. Um, But again, if you play Taj
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: Bradley and the Astros, maybe play the bottom of the order,
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: get somewhere very different with your mini stacks, but add
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: ownership on a short slate. You definitely have to be
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: concentrated with your total roster ownership. All right, let's keep
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: it rolling. Next game on the slate, the New York
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies. Aaron Nola and Nolan McClain
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: on the mound. You were chirping Mr. McClain a good bit.
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: So do you have any interest in some of these
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: Phillies Mets?
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'd have interest in Schwarber any day of
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: the week. I mean, that guy just hits missiles. So
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: I don't have either one really too high up in
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: my– too high in my rankings. I mean, if I
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: had to play either– I mean, I got three or
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: four– I probably have four teams that I probably have
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: ahead of either one of these two. But, I mean,
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: if I was going to pick on anybody– You know,
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: I guess I would rather pick on McLean, especially with
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: the lefties, just how bad he's been getting beat up
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: here in recent times against the left-handed side. So, I mean,
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: they're going to have, you know, a rise. It's probably
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: the only one I really wouldn't probably roster just because
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: he just doesn't have all that much home run pop.
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: But Schwarber, Harper, Stott, Marsh. Crawford stuff. I mean, I
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: think you can play all of them actually. So I
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: think it'd be my sneaky stack title. I think I'd
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: call them my sneaky stack. And I'm kind of just
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: going off the fact too, like if they get past McLean,
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: like how fun is it to be a Met right now?
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: Like it's, I mean, I can't even imagine it's, you know,
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: even fun going to work.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: It is.
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: They're probably looking forward to the, you know, getting the
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: hell out of here. So yeah, I like some Phillies,
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: especially Schwarber.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: Fair enough. I'm more on the Mets side than the
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: Phillies if choosing, and I prefer the lefties. The lefties
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: can get after Nola and look at it. Oh, same thing.
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: Six of the nine batters will be hitting from the
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: left side of the plate. I don't have nearly as
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: much interest in the righties like I did on the Royals.
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: But yeah, you can easily play. Only Juan Soto is
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: the only one priced above 4.5K, and then it's Lindor.
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: So they're cheap enough. They grade out well in the
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: hitter rankings, as you can see. The first seven batters,
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: excuse me, all of under 100 for the ranking. And
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: then Aaron Nola, number 10 in the pitcher ranking on
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: a short slate is not very good. So, yeah.
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: I will mention the number two title.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: Sorry to cut you off. Last 15 days, the Mets
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: have the highest OPS of any team on the slate.
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: So I know the Mets haven't, you know, been really
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: hitting all that much this year, but maybe they're just
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: in fuck it mode. But they actually are like third
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: in baseball in the last 15 days in OPS, which
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: actually surprised me, to tell you the truth.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, I like that. That's great information. Makes me
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: like the Mets even more than I initially did. All right,
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: let's get on to the next one. game of the slate.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: Chicago White Sox and your Detroit Tigers. Eric Fetty, Frambois
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: Valdez on the mound. I'll let you start with it. Yeah,
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: it's your Tigers. You should know everything about Frambois and
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: about your bats. What are you doing in this one?
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: The second highest OPS on the slate in the last
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: 15 days is the Tigers. So Eric Fetty isn't going
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: to strike anybody out. He's not going to miss any bats.
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's very good. And I think the Tigers,
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: this is kind of like a playoff game for the Tigers.
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: They need to win these four games, at least get,
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: three out of four, even to kind of get themselves
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: back in contention for a, for a playoff spot. So
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: Tigers backs are up against the wall. So I do like,
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: I do like the Tigers. They have more experienced pitcher
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: on the Hill with Framber, but I think the Tigers bats,
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, are just, to me, they're my second favorite
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: stack behind the Astros. So, I mean, if, you know,
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: I'm looking to get after Fetty, especially with lefties McGonigal
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: would be at the top of my list. Riley Green
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: be up there at the top of my list. But
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: Fetty just has not been very good recent times. His
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: ground ball percentages are low. The last 30 days, Eric
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: Fetty's fly ball rate to righties is almost 47%. That's
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: pretty high. That's ridiculously high. So he's been getting barreled
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: up by both sides. Man, Max Clark, McGonigal, I think
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: they can get the job done here today. So give
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: me some Tigers against Fetty. As far as any White
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: Sox go against Framber, Frambois is more of a ground
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: ball pitcher. I mean, he's been, he's been getting a
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: lot of ground balls, especially the right side here in
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: recent time. And he's going to see what eight righties.
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's had a 67% ground ball rate in
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: the last, in, in the last month, 72 plate appearances.
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's, that's pretty high. So I'm not really
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: wanting to chase after any kind of ground ball pitcher,
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: but man, I think the Tigers are in a really
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: good spot. Cause I just, Eric Fetty, that guy just
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: keeps coming back, keeps coming back. I don't even know
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: how that guy has a job. But either way, I
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: think the Tigers are in a pretty good spot.
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: I agree. I also like the Tigers quite a bit,
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: which is a little scary. But, I mean, you're just
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: looking at the prices. Outside of McGonigal, no one above 5K.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: So the pricing is in check. They're going to get
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: some ownership on this slate. Them against the Royals is
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: really tough for me. I'm going to say Royals slightly
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: above the Tigers. I know your Tigers above the Royals,
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: but both guaranteed ninth in the at-bats. Taking on pretty
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: bad pitching. Pricing in check. A lot of these check
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: the boxes. I think Royals, Astros, Tigers actually are my
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: three favorite stacks on this slate. Kind of tip my
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: hand right there. Don't love these next two games when
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: talking bats, but it is relatively low-owned on the slate,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: so you can always make a case for it. on
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: this short slate. But the Red Sox and the Rangers,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: Sonny Gray, Cody Bradford on the mound. Again, Sonny Gray
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: is my favorite pitcher on the slate, so I don't
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: want to play many Rangers. Again, with that being said, though,
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: leverage and just five games playing a lowest-owned stack, you
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: cannot go wrong with one bit. Oh, man, I don't know, though,
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: about these Red Sox as much. So it looks like
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: it's going to be Tyler Alexander starting and then Cody
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: Bradford after that. Both are lefties, which I do like.
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: I just would rather play righties for Boston. You don't
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: have to worry about a lefty and then a righty
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: coming in or vice versa. Still, outside of really the
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: middle of the order for me, the Wilson Contreras, Jones, Abreu.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I guess I take it back. The
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: more I look at it, the more appealing the bottom
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: of the order can get for me. Outfield, outfield, outfield.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: The first three batters, though. to start off makes it
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: a little more difficult to stack. Maybe the Red Sox
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: are like fourth or fifth for me on the slate.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: What are your thoughts?
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: I got the Red Sox about the same spot. I mean,
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: Alexander's just going to open up that game. I mean,
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: and after that, it's just going to be more of
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: a bullpen type game. I think the only one I
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: worry about is Jumaane Jones is a pinch hit. I
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: think he, he'd be a, he'd be a guy that
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: I'd be a little bit concerned about, but, After that,
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, I don't mind it at all. I
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: have it fourth. But if I'm playing two or three teams,
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: I'm probably not going to get to the Red Sox.
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: I actually like the Tigers a little bit more. I
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: like the Astros more. I think that's pretty much where
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: I'm going to be lying. Maybe a little couple Royals
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: sprinkled in. But, yeah, I mean, Red Sox for me,
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: I'd put them in, you know, of the 10 teams today,
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: I'd probably have them like fourth, right around what you said.
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't discount them, that's for sure.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: All right, we're on the same page. A lot of
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: away teams for me. Red Sox, Tigers, Royals, guaranteed ninth
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: inning at-bats. I will be hoping those three teams or
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: the Astros get the job done today. And then the
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: five or six pitchers that were in the pool, two
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: of them are optimal. That's what I'll be hoping. All right,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: last game of the night. The Twins and the Angels, again,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: do note. So every single lineup's out for these first
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: four games because they're all within– What, an hour of
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: each other? And then this one's really late at 9.38 Eastern. Thankfully,
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: not a game I love as much for bats. With
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: that being said, very low owned on both sides. You
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: will get a lot of leverage off of Taz Bradley,
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: who's the chalkiest on the slate. You'll get a good
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: amount of leverage off of Urena. And hoping lineups aren't
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: out by 7.15 Eastern at lock, NFL is going on.
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: A lot of stuff's going on in the sports world
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: and just life. I don't think people are going to
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: want to wait around for Twins and Angels lineups. So
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: a lot of appealing things just in the game theory,
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: the lineups not being out, it's going to be super
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: low owned on a very short slate. So anytime that's
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: the case, to be honest, I probably like the Angels
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: and Twins more than the Rangers, more than the White Sox,
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: probably more than the Phillies, maybe even the Mets, just
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: pure game theory. But yeah, outside of that, can you
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: make a real case for either of these two teams
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: in a vacuum?
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: It'd be real hard for me to click on too
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: many twins, especially with Urania on the other side, up
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: on that hill, especially with them ground ball rates. I
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: just don't like to target ground ball pitchers all that
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: much when there's always better options out there for you
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: to go after. So with Urania, I can't really roster
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: any twins. Now with Bradley, if you do want to
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: get some leverage, I think I would more or less
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: just kind of look at you know, maybe some of
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: the lefties, if you wanted to go there, his ground
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: ball rate's been pretty low at 26%. His fly ball
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: rate's been a lot higher. He's at 37% fly ball
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: rate the last 30 days, the left side, and compared
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: to the right side where he's at half of that
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: at 18%. So yeah, that's a big difference. So lefties,
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: maybe Wade Meckler, if you wanted to go there, I
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: think that'd be a guy, maybe if you wanted to look,
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: maybe like a one-off if you want to go there,
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: but The Angels just don't have that kind of lefty
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: lineup that, you know, I think you could go after
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: Bradley with. I mean, if we're looking at, you know,
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: some of the other teams that have more lefties, then
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: I think I may be, you know, more willing to
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: stack Bradley. I mean, you look at his game log,
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: he's given up a handful of games in the last
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: 10 games where he's given up four runs. So it
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: ain't like he's Superman, but basically we're basing that off of,
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: he's got the highest K percentage against the team who
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: strikes out the most. That don't mean they still can't hit. So,
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: I don't mind the theory at all, to be honest
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: with you, especially on a five gamer. So definitely viable,
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: but the Twins for me would be tough. But attacking Bradley,
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: especially the ownership he's going to get, I don't mind
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: that at all. But Wade Meckler, I think he's an
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: elite one-off play.
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: I like it. That's a very good breakdown. Yeah, I
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: prefer Angels to the Twins just for the simple fact
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: that I think Bradley could be 65% in flagship, 75,
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: 80% in single entry. which is, again, higher than we
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: have projected probably than most of the industry. But I
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: do think you see more steam on shorter slates when
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: you have to play two pitchers and it gets uncomfy
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: pretty quick. So, yeah, don't mind the Angels. But, again,
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: they do fall down the list a bit. I think
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: you can get to a different secondary pitcher-ish or play
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: the Angels as a mini stack or the White Sox
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: or any of these teams as mini stacks is clearly viable.
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: If you're playing 50-plus teams, I'm probably– I don't know,
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: maybe I need 75-plus to then stack, I was going
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: to say all 10 teams, but for sure, if you
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: take away the Angels, the Twins, and Sonny Gray against
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: the Rangers, if you take away Twins, Angels, Rangers, stacking
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: the rest of the seven teams probably would only take
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: me 30, 35 teams, and I would have at least
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: one five-man stack in all of them. Looking back at
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: what pros do in baseball and stuff, it is a
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: lot more spread out than other sports, again, with just
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: how much variance it is. And as someone that five-man
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: stacks almost predominantly, when that goes wrong and the team
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: scores three, your lineup's just dead anyway. So it's easier
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: to diversify your portfolio is something that I've noticed. Last
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: thing I want to mention, I didn't say it from
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: the top, but there is only one weather game Roth has.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: He has Phillies and Mets at yellow right now. He
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: thinks it's going to play through. So we talked about
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: it like it will, and my guess is it will.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: But yeah, just don't. Get in the Discord over at
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: Shippen Nation. Follow Roth on Twitter. Something like that, just
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: in case that there is a change in that game.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: That's going to do it for us, though. Again, head
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: over to ShippenNation.com. Football going on tonight. PGA Showdown. MLB,
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: of course. College Football Showdown tonight. MMA, NASCAR. Big Marley
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: and I will be talking UFC in six minutes here
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: once we get off all great to talk with you, G. Rison.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: Any final thoughts for this slate? Any Lions-Bills prediction you
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: want to give before we get on out of here?
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: Say hi to my man Marley for me. I don't
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: get to see him that often. Missed the fun the
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: last time all the crew got to hang out, but
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: So make sure you say hi to him for me.
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: And as far as the Bills Lions go, Lions are
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: going to be down three starting offensive linemen, which is
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: not going to be good. It's going to put the
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: pressure up. Then I heard that Oliver's child had passed
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: away recently. So Bills Mafia is rallying all around that.
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: So I think Mr. Oliver is going to be fired up.
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: So that's going to put a little more pressure on
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: that offensive line. So in my view of it, that
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: means Goff's going to have to get the ball out
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: really quick. And who does he do that to? Amon Ra, St. Brown,
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: number 14, probably would be my MVP on the Lions.
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: But on the other side, I'd go Shakir because we
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: saw what Olave did against that weak-ass secondary that the
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: Lions have. I do expect a high-scoring game. My favorite
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: captain would be Shakir with Amon Ra, St. Brown, right
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: behind him because I do think St. Brown's going to
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: have 10-plus catches today. Fairly easy. And probably none of
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: them are going to be longer than 20 yards because
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: he's going to not have time to throw the ball today.
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: Hey, I like that breakdown from the Lions fan there. Man,
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: I didn't know that Oliver, his son, it was like
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: a month ago, maybe even a little.
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it wasn't too long ago. It's the first game
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: out there in Buffalo, home game, new stadium. Like, there's
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: going to be a lot of emotion going on in
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: that game.
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: Late June. Man, he drowned. That is so sad. So sad.
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: I couldn't imagine. Yeah, great breakdown, though. Always great talking
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: to you, G. Rison. And I will definitely tell Big
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: Marley that you say hi. Good luck to your Lions tonight. Yeah,
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: G-Ryzen thinks they cover.
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: The only reason they cover is because Vegas got too
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: much liability on the bills.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: There you go from the man, G-Ryzen himself. You have
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: a great night. Enjoy your Tigers and your Lions and
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: your safety meetings. Like I know you will do all three.
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: Good luck to everybody in the streets, whether it's MLB, NFL,
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: college football, whatever you have it. We have you covered
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: in all the content again. Shippenation.com. Join the nation. You
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: can get in as low as $ 19 for five days.
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: Single sport packages. or core, starter, ultimate, depending on what
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: fits your bankroll most. Good luck for G-Ryzen on Titletown.
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: Head over to the UFC show in two minutes. Peace.