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NFL Week 5 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Bruins hat Man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March eight? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth. I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what DAT is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five. The
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. The slumper, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up for everybody? It's towed back with you.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: This is better off dead. This is the NFL edition
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: for Week five. We finally had a losing day. I'm
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: not happy about it. It was two and three. Could
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: have been better. It could have been worse. One of
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: the plays kind of irritated me because it I think
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: it should have been a win based on these statistics
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: of it, but it was a loss. Maybe I should
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: go over tomorrow on the Daily Showl rant about it,
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: because tomorrow's video is going to be short. It's just
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: gonna be I think w NBA is back in action
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: and it will be Measure League Baseball. But tonight's the
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: NFL show, obviously. But we went two and three today,
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: Like I said, so, I mean, I'm not disgusted by it,
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: but it could have been better for sure, Nate, what's up?
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, Hingle mctotleberry. That almost sounds like dingleberry,
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: you know, when you get the dude does a dingleberry like?
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: Is it always like balls of toilet paper that get
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: stuck in your ass hair? Or is it just or
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: is like little like pieces of turds stuck in your
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: ass hair? Is that a dingleberry too? I'm not really sure.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the technical definition is of that.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: This is a hell of a way to start off
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: the show. Thanks Nate Charles, what's up man? Thanks for
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: hanging out the Yankees loss. That's true? Yeah, I mean,
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: I'm still We're not out of the weeds yet. Man.
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: We need Toronto to keep doing what they're doing. I'm
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: worried about what they got going on tomorrow to some extent.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: What unlv one? I mean? I I noticed that the
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: game is being played in the snow. I obviously didn't
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: like that play. But that's uh yeah, I mean I
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: might have been wrong about that one too. It's only turns.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: I thought it was toy. I think it could be
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: toilet paper too, but maybe I'm wrong. I mean, I'm
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: asking you the Talking Bass Base, what are we talking about?
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: The Billy, the Talking Bass and the w n B A.
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: Is that what we're talking about. I just remember those
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: old commercials back in the day, the give me back
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: the file of fish, give me that fish. We need
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: to we need to bring back the the old McDonald's commercials. Man.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: Let's get into the the NFL. Dude, you're gonna hate
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: me so much with these, with these nfls, these NFL plays. Here,
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: a proud white Christian man, he's he's getting into the
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: the degenerate talk with us of the degenerate hours. You
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: wipe it till it bleeds. I believe that's a slip
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: Knot song. I'm pretty sure. Or maybe it's Cannibal Corpse.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: All right, let's get into the NFL. Man again, you're
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: gonna hate me. I got two plays here and it's
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: gonna be bad. I'm not sure what we're talking about.
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: The WNBA, dude, I handicapped the WNBN. I absolutely never
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: watch it, so I don't even know what we're even
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: talking about. I just know there are green dildos being thrown. Well,
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: hopefully they start happening again. NFL. It's gonna be a
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: little bit of a short week here because we do
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: have four teams on buys we can see here Atlanta Chicago,
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: Green Bay, Pittsburgh on by so they're all not playing.
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: Somebody keep in mind next week those teams will be
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: coming out of buys and we'll have the by scheduling dynamics,
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: the bisexual scheduling dynamics come we get to play there,
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: and we do have a stupid morning game again, so
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: we got to wake up if we want to actually
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: watch that game. We gotta wake up. If you're on
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: the Pacific coast, that really sucks because it's gonna be
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: at six thirty am. It's at nine to thirty am
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: for US East Coast people. It is Minnesota at Cleveland.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: And this game is in London, this time at Tottenham
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: Hotspur Stadium, which I think the London games like move
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: like different venues. I think some of them are in
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: Wembley and then this one is in this stadium. I
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: think this stadium hosted at least one game last year.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: I don't remember if it was the game that Minnesota
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: was involved in last year, but I do think Minnesota
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: they have an edge in this game, man, because they're
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: already in the same time zone I think, or maybe
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: one time zone over because as you remember, Minnesota played
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: in Dublin last week and they lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: I gave out the Steelers as a lean on my
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: show when that one I was close final, but Pittsburgh
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: did kind of have the upper hand for most of
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: that game, with gain Well by the way on my
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: bench because I didn't wake up in time to realize
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: that he was gonna get the starting nod with Jalen
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: Wattle injured for the Steelers. Minnesota did outgain the Steelers, though,
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: three seventy two to three thirteen, and they were minus
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: two in turnover. So again Pittsburgh basically pulling a Mike
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: Tomlin and winning a game that they got outstatted in.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: So that's something to keep in mind. Minnesota actually played
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: better in that game than it looks on the scoreboard.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: Staying out in this area at least they're just traveling
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: from Dublin to London here, so they do have an
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: advantage for that reason because Cleveland's having to travel out there,
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: and Minnesota is used to this already because they did
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: it last year or two. They played in London, Like
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: I said, I don't remember if it was this stadium
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: or not, but they beat the Jets, and I think
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: I lost money on that game on the Jets. Aaron
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: Rodgers threw crucial interception at the end of that game
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: when the Jets had a chance to get within the
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: number there, I believe. So, yeah, Minnesota should have the
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: edge because they're used to this type of travel spot.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: They're already acclimated to the time zone and Cleveland is not.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: So I do think this is a disadvantage for Cleveland.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: I think Minnesota has the better coaching here too, that
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: can kind of help overcome that hurdle with Kevin O'Connell
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: against who's Cleveland's coaching Stefanski is that I don't even
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: remember what the hell his name is, but I think
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: he sucks as far as is a quarterback, like the
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: way that he determines what quarterback is going to be starting.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: And I think Cleveland is actually Dylan Gabriel into the
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: mix now. Man, I think he might actually be starting
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: this game for Cleveland. So in a way, you could
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: say that's gonna shake things up for Cleveland and Minnesota
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: is not gonna know how to defend against it. Just
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: like I said with Jackson Dart last week that we'll
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: talk about Dart in a minute. So I do think
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: it's somewhat of an advantage for Cleveland in that respect,
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: just because Minnesota won't exactly know what's a game plan
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: for If Cleveland is indeed going with Dylan Gabriel instead
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: of Joe Flacco, I mean, he at least kind of
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: adds another dimension where I'm assuming he's a bit more
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: mobile than Joe Flacco because Flacco is a statue and
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: an old white guy out there. But I believe they
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: are gonna be starting, and we can just check on
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: the depth chart real quick. But I do believe that
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: is the case. Yeah, Dylan Gabriel is the starter now,
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: so I believe it's gonna be his first actual start.
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: I believe he's gotten into some games already, but this
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: will be his first start. On the other hand, the
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: nerves might get to him a little bit. Though. I'm
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: gonna slightly lean to the Vikings overall in this one,
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: though I think they were better than they looked last
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: week though Cleveland could. You could argue that for Cleveland
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: as well, even though they got blown out on the
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: scoreboard by the Lions last week. Statistically, this game was
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: actually closer as well, with Cleveland only getting out gained
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: by fewer than thirty yards there in that one, so
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: it was not really a blowout statistically, So both teams
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: are actually kind of better than they look. These are
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: both good defenses, by the way, and questionable offenses. Because
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: I think Minnesota is still going with Carson Wentz as
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: their starting quarterback. I believe JJ McCarthy is still hurt.
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: I think Wentz might be better than McCarthy here, but who
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: knows what you're gonna get out of Wentz at this point.
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be WinCE's third game now. And one
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: of the reasons why I leaned against Minnesota last week
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: was because you get the spark that first game with
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: the injured player. Like I talked about the injured player
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: theory that was two games ago from Minnesota when they
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: blew out Cincinnati last week. I think the spark kind
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: of fades a little bit if you do really well
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: with that quarterback that first time. So they didn't do
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: as well last time out, and it's gonna be Wentz
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: again here. But again, Wentz is an or in its quarterback,
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: so we might have an edge there. But again, as
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: I was about to say, I'll lean to Minnesota anyway, here.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: Even though there were a lot of factors going on
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: in this game, I just think what puts them over
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: the top here for me is the fact that they're
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: already acclimated to the region, basically the time zone they're
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: used to making this trip, whereas Cleveland is not. So
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: I do think that's a big edge, and we've seen
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: that in the past. I know Jacksonville has played back
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: to back games in London, I think two years in
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: a row, and I know the first year we got
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: a win with Jacksonville. I gave it out on the show.
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: In their second game in London, it was like a
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: huge advantage. I think it was against the Bills. I
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: don't remember if they I think they did the same
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: thing last year, but I don't remember if they actually
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: won that second game or not last year. But it
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: is still an edge to the Vikings. The Vikings have
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: sixty percent, it's sixty six percent of cash on them
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: after dropping from four and a half to three and
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: a half here. So it looks to me like even
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: though the public is fading the Browns as they usually do,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: I think the actual money is kind of coming into
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: the Vikings side as well. I think it could be
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: a situation where maybe there are professionals that did disagree.
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: But I think because the line is kind of dropping
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: towards a more palatable number on the vikings, that you're
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: starting to see the professional money come in on them.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: And I won't disagree with that, but it's yeah, I mean,
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: it's certainly not gonna be one that I'm gonna recommend
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: to play on. I might not ever play any of
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: these London Dublin Berlin games anymore, just because they're so
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: like unpredictable. You're rage bating your dad about bad Bunny. Yeah,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: bad Bunny. Like that's the whole point of having Bad
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: Bunny be the halftime show headliner here is that, Like
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: it's basically there. It's a signal kind of like what
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: they did I think with Kendrick Kendrick Lamar already it's
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: the NFL, it's the corporate overlords whatever. I don't want
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: to get this channel nuked here, but they're signaling to
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: you that we're in charge here and we're gonna we're
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: gonna like give you this like demonic energy basically here
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: in this in this halftime show. Like that's basically what's
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: going on there. Some guy was looking at him during
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys game. Did that really happen? I don't know, man,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: I mean I would not. I would not disagree. I
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: mean I would not. I'm not gonna like not believe it.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: I should say, yes, I'm an expert on women. Obviously,
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: the bisexual dynamics, that's yeah. That the w NBA. Maybe
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: it's more of the lesbian dynamics there. Gain while was
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: on your bench, I did have a Woody Marx in
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: my starting lineup though with Jonathan Taylor, and Taylor obviously
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: was a guy was not gonna take out on my lineup,
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: and he got screwed out of a huge touchdown on
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: that holding call, which also screwed our Colts play last week,
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: which was our one loss last week. Pete Wentz Yeah,
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: I think he's his brother actually, Carson and Pete. Yeah.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: I don't even remember Usher, to be honest, but it
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: does sound like it was probably gay. NFL. By the way,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: we're on a nice run here with six and one
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: over the last couple of weeks, I think. So. I
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: don't want to boast about it and jinks myself here
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: because I kind of did that with college because in
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: college football I was like we're eighting two, baby, over
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: the last two weeks, and then we went one and
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: three today, although Louisville should have won, and I'll rant
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: about that tomorrow, all right, So that was Vikings Browns.
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Let's get into the main afternoons late here. I don't
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: want this video to go too long here, speaking of
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: the Indianapolis cold to my favorite team. Despite being a Bostonian,
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: I was a Peyton Manning fan, Baby, I hated Bill Belichick.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: The Indianapolis Colts took their first loss last week. They're
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: hosting the Raiders this time Indianapolis. They lost the game,
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: as we know, unfortunately, they had the lead for a
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: lot of that game against the Rams. The Rams did
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: outgain the but we know Indianapolis pretty much lost that
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: game on bullshit. Man, they had I don't even remember
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: the guy's the name. I don't even want to remember
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: his name. The receiver that fumbled the football into the
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: end zone. He was about to get in for its touchdown,
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: a huge touchdown in the game. It would have probably
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: won the game for the Colts if they'd gotten that touchdown.
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: The touchback rule needs change. It should you should maintain
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: possession and it should just set you back to like
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: the twenty or whatever. I mean, it's just such bullshit
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: that you completely lose possession of it based on like
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: an inch near the goal line. I mean, obviously it
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: was gonna be as touchdown. The defense gave up a
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: touchdown on that play. It's just such bullshit. Then that
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: same player got called for the ghost holding call and
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: the Taylor touchdown that I talked about also complete bullshit,
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: and that would have put Indy back up by a
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: touchdown with a couple of minutes left in the game.
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: So that looked like it was gonna be the game
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: winning score for them, or at least pretty much give
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: us the cover in the game. That got called back
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: the holding call wasn't even correct. And then the very
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: next play, the first play, you're thinking, well, the Rams
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: only have like less than two minutes left, They're just
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: gonna go for a field goal to win the game.
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: We're still gonna cover on the plus three and a half,
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: no problem here. But what happens The Colts don't feel
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: a full defense. They only fielded ten men on the field,
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: and the Rams had a wide open two to two
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: at well, who, by the way, hasn't done anything this year,
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: for like an eighty eight yard touchdown score were just
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: because Indy was missing a defensive player on the field.
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Absolutely ridiculous. Seems like it was rigged. I don't want
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: to rant on it too much, but total bullshit there.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: Daniel Jones for MVP highly doubt that that's gonna happen.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: But this is a situation where I talk about this.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: When you lose, you get your first loss, like somewhat
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: deep into the season, like the Colts did, sometimes that
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: will hang you over a little bit into the next game.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: That was kind of a brutal way to lose that game.
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: So I don't love the Colts in this spot. And
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: they also looked a little bit better than they were
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: statistically in that game, whereas the Raiders. The Raiders. Even
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: though I know the Colts are undefeated at home this year,
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: the Raiders haven't looked good. They've lost three games in
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: a row, but they should have won the game last
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: week against the Bears Man dub AARs against the Raiders.
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: If you look at what happened in this game, I mean,
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: I told you I thought the Raiders. The Raiders were
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: almost to play for me last week. I thought the
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: Raiders were the right side in this game. They outgained
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: the Bears three point fifty seven to two seventy one
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: in this game. Why did they lose? Oh yeah, because
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: they had four turnovers four to one minus three in turnovers.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: Gino Smith can't hold onto the ball and that's why
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: the Raiders lost it. And they still were gonna win
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: the game. I think they had a game winning field
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: goal blocked at the end of the game. I think
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: the Raiders were winning until a late score by the Bears,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: and then the Raiders still had the chance to win
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: the game at the end, and they had a field
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: goal blocked at the end and lost the game at
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: the very end after the Bears scored its touchdown really
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: late as well to take the lead after they were
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: losing basically the whole game. Raiders should have won the game.
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: The Raiders, they're still better than they have looked I
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: think so far. Man. I mean, they're still trying to
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: adapt to that Pete Carroll system. Gino Smith at least
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: knows Pete Carroll knows his system. I think the Raiders
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: are They're not good, but they're not as bad as
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: they look. I would lean to the Raiders in this game,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: it's not a play obviously, eighty three percent of tickets
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the cash on the Colts for now.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: Colts did move up from six to seven. It's kind
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: of through the seven now, so it is kind of
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: a key move there, through a key number seven through
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: a touchdown there. But even though that looks like somewhat
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: of a legitimate move because it did go through a
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: key number, maybe there is some professional money on the Colts.
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: I think that because it's gonna get to the seven
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: and a half most like, I think you're gonna start
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: seeing money come in on the Raiders at that point,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: which either means you're gonna have professionals disagreeing on the game,
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: or the real move was actually to just to try
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: to get that line through the key number where to
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: get the real move on the Raiders. I think it's
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: one of the two. I would lean to the Raiders
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: plus the points in that game. A lot of inexperienced
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: refs yet were the female umpire and baseball there. Yeah,
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: so I know, man, all right, next up, we got
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: what do we have next year? The Giants and the Saints.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out a play on this game. I'm
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: gonna give out a play on both of these games,
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: and Dallas and the Jets. You're gonna love these plays.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: Maybe you know what the plays are. These are gonna
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: be my two plays tomorrow, and I may I may
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: have a Monday Night but I'm not gonna give it
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: out yet on the show. We're gonna talk about it
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: on the Monday morning show, and I may give out
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: a play on the Monday Night game this week. I
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: think it'll be my second Monday Night play that I've
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: given out. But the first one I gave out on Sunday,
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: So maybe I jinked. They were on late Saturday night
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: early Sunday morning on this show, which was the Raiders
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: by the way against the Chargers, So maybe I jinxed it.
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: Maybe I should wait Denver at Philadelphia still in the
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: one pm slate here, Philadelphia is four and oh but
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: I still don't think Philadelphia is quite as good as
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: they look right now. One thing that's really glaring about
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: last week's game against Tampa Bay is, yeah, Philadelphia had
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: a big lead in that game. They want up almost
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: blowing the game. They're winning that game. I think thirty
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: one to I don't even know what it was like,
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: thirty one to thirteen. Maybe at one point in this
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: game was it? It was, yeah, thirty one to thirteen
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: in the third quarter with not much time up in
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: the third quarter, and then Tampa made this huge run
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: at the end of the game, and they were almost
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: able to win the game. They had a chance to
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: maybe try to win the game. They were down eight
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: with twelve minutes left, and then all they got in
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: the remainder of the game is a safety. But the
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: glaring thing is that Jalen Hurts didn't complete a pass
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: in the entire second half of this game. He was
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: over eight passing in the second half of this game.
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: There's something a little bit wrong right now with the Eagles. Man,
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: this is I know they won the Super Bowl last year.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: Something's not quite right here. Saquon Barkley had like a
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: just a ridiculous season last year, so you knew he
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: had to regress a little bit, and that is happening.
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: He hasn't been that good. Philadelphia's offense hasn't really coalesced.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: I think they have kind of some beat up receivers
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: on the team right now. There's definitely something going on
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: where they're not really coalescing, even though I know they
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: haven't lost a game yet, but they've had some close calls.
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: Hasn't been easy, Like it seems like maybe a little
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: bit of a Super Bowl hangover here. They probably should
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: have lost that game to the Rams, for sure. They
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: were losing that game twenty six to seven, and then
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: they blocked what was the game winning field goal attempt
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: for the Rams at the end, and you know, returning
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: for a touchdown, which is a total bullshit cover for Philadelphia.
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: Luckily I didn't give give out the Rams as a play,
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: but I was really close to giving it out as
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: a play. So yeah, I don't think Philadelphia is quite
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: as good as it seems like they are right now, man,
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: And the oddsmakers are kind of telling you that in
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: this game, because this line looks pretty strange, which we'll
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: look at in a second here. Philadelphia does also have
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: to turn around and play a divisional game against the
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: Giants on Thursday, So that Thursday look ahead is a
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: little bit of a look ahead spot, man, like more
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: than like a normal look at spot sometimes because you
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: have to, you know, you have to turn around and
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: play like right away. I don't know, if the Giants
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: will really be a cause for a look ahead, because
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: we know the Giants have not been playing well, but
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: it is still a divisional game, So just somebody to
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: consider there that maybe Philadelphia will be looking ahead to
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: that they're something not quite right with Philadelphia right now.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: They are coming off really four big wins in a row.
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: Man gets a divisional opponent in Dallas Bowl rematch at
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: Kansas City the Rams, which was the playoff rematch, and
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: the Rams look like they are potentially a playoff team
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: again this year. And then Tampa Bay who may very
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: well be a playoff team again this year. So Philly,
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, it does mean they've been tested, though they
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: faced a difficult schedule so far, But after that run
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: of games like that and now they're facing an AFC opponent,
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know how focus Philadelphi is really gonna be
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: here or how good they really are. Denver I think
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: is maybe a little bit better than they look right now.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: Their defense is certainly good. They did look good on
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: Monday Night, though, but they beat up a hapless Bengals
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: team that really has not been any good without Joe Burrowing.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: They're this Bengals team looking like They're headed for another
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: year without making the playoffs. As the stands right now,
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: I mean that was bad. It was not misleading on
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: the scoreboard either or yeah, the scoreboard was not misleading
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: in that game Denver. Everybody saw on a Monday night,
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: Denver outgained Cincinnati like five hundred yards to less than
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: two hundred. I mean, it was a Monday night massacre
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: in that game. So nothing misleading about that final score there.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: Denver looked good, but everybody saw it. So maybe Denver
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: looks a little bit too good right now. But the
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: public is still gonna come in on the Eagles in
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: this game because they're four and zero, they're the Super
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: Bowl champs Denvers two and two. Public's gonna see that
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: and maybe not put as much weight into Denver here.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: I know it is a road game. It's a difficult
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: spot having to go to these environments that you're not
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: familiar with. So that might kind of affect boon Nicks
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: a little bit because I don't think he's ever played
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: at Lincoln Financial before in Philadelphia, so he might potentially
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: struggle a little bit just because of the environment there.
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: But I'm gonna lean to the Broncos plus the points.
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: In this one, the line actually dropped from five and
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: a half to four, and I think that move was
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: kind of immediate, like it was pretty quick, And I
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: know I don't have the look ahead lines up right now.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: I apologize again, but I think the opening number in
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: this case, as we've seen throughout the past weeks, the
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: opening number that you see here a lot of times
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: was what the look I had was, so like you
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: want to try to gauge, like what was the reaction.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: Was there an overreaction from week to week, But I
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: think you're basically looking at the look ahead numbers here anyway.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: So because I don't think five and a half was
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: out there this entire week, I saw like four and
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: three and a half on the Eagles. The Eagles do
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: have sixty two percent of ticket sixty eight percent of
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. Excuse me as it stands right now,
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: but it looks fishy to me, man, because it's like, well,
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: if the Eagles are the better team, plus they probably
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: get about three for home field, maybe maybe two to three.
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, NFL doesn't get that much home field anymore,
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: probably about two maybe three, But the Eagles probably have
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: a little bit better for home field than a lot
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: of teams do. But that line, it's almost making its
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: The Ozergers are basically telling you the Broncos are almost
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: as good as the Eagles. So it just looks a
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: little bit suspicious with that line there, Like it looks
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: so short, it looks almost too easy to take the
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: four and zero Eagles there, so or lay the points.
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, so I would take the points with the
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: Broncos in that game if I was gonna play it.
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: It is not sunny Philadelphia, it very well might not
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: be after tomorrow. Man, Next up, we do have Miami
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: me in Carolina. Oh, this is a good one, Miami
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: and Carolina. Baby. Miami is coming off winning on Monday
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: night against the Jets. They got their first win. And
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: sometimes when you get your first win, it's like you
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: get that monkey off your back. You can kind of
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: breathe a sigh of relief and play better. But I'm
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: not sure that's gonna be the case here for Miami, man,
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: because they did play two primetime games in a row.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: They played Thursday night at Buffalo, and they played decently
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: in that game and covered the spread against a good
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: Buffalo team in a pretty tough environment. To play, and
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: they turned around one on Monday night, two divisional games,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: and now they have to go on the road unfamiliar
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: territory to Carolina before they play another another conference game
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: against the Chargers, who are looking pretty good so far
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: next week. So I really don't like to spot for Miami.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: And I talk about how the out of conference road
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: games are the most difficult because you might be a
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: little bit less focused, for one thing, because it means
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: the least on your schedule because it affects the tiebreakers
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: less than all the other games. But also it's a
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: venue that you don't particularly that you don't typically play in.
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: So I don't love it, man. And people saw Miami
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: look good on Monday night finally, although I don't know
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna put that much weight into beating the Jets,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: but still they finally won a game. People saw it.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: But if you look at the box scoring this game,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: the Jets outgained Miami by over one hundred yards and
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: the Jets were minus three in turnover. So the Jets
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: have been jetting, man, I mean that's what they've been doing.
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: They've outgained their opponents significantly, and I believe two of
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: their four games and lost both games, including this one,
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: So Miami wasn't really as good as it looked on
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: the scoreboard. Man could have lost that game. I know,
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: I leaned to Miami in the game, so I was
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: correct about the outcome. But Miami got outplayed in the
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: game man, So that's a concern. Whereas Carolina, I mean,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: they're not a good team either. They're one to three,
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: so it's not like the public is gonna be rushing
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: to the window to play Carolina here. They might actually
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: prefer Miami in this game after what they saw, because
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: public reacts to what they saw last, and what do
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: they see last? Miami won game and Carolina got absolutely
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: destroyed by New England. And I gave out New England
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: as one of my plays last week. We got I mean,
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: I don't say, I'm not gonna say we got lucky.
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: It was the right side. But the game, the final
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: score was misleading when you dig into the box score,
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: like New England probably shouldn't have won that easily in
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: the game, but Carolina was coming off a thirty to
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: nothing blowout of Atlanta that was completely misleading. So that's
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: what I talked about last week. Carolina actually got outgained
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: by Atlanta in that game, and yet one thirty to nothing.
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: So I said, you had a misleading result there. Carolina
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: didn't play as well as the scorer looked in that game.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: New England actually played better than it looked on the
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: scoreboard against Pittsburgh, and they just had a ton of
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: turnovers in the game, very crucial turnovers to like all
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: of them in Pittsburgh territory for the most part too.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: So I thought it's set up really nicely for New
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: England last week. But you look into that box scoring. Man,
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: I know, New England blew them out forty two to thirteen,
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: but the statistics don't really bear that out, as Carolina
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: actually out came to England in the game. They outfirst
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: down them, and they out possessed them by almost eleven minutes,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: and they didn't have any turnovers it neither did New England.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: So how the fuck was this score forty two to thirteen.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: I mean it must have just been kind of a
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: field position game where New England won the field position
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: battles significantly, because I don't see how with that's like
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: with this box score, I don't see how the scorer
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: could have been that it doesn't make any sense. So
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: Carolina might actually be maybe a little bit better than
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: they looked last week, and Miami looked better than they
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: actually were last week. And Miami's on a short week, remember,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: because they played on Monday, going to this unfamiliar venue.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: So I will lean to Carolina in this game. It's
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: not a play for me, but yet the lean would
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: be Carolina here. Miami is public sixty nine percent of tickets,
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: although they do have seventy six percent of the cash
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: on them, and they did flip from one half point
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: dog to a one point favorite here. But it almost
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: in a way just kind of looks too easy to
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: play the Dolphins. I mean, the Dolphins is still too
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: you know those guys. I know, Tyreek Hill was gone
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: really grotesque leg injury and it might end his career,
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: to be honest, But Tyreek Hill, I mean, he beats women,
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: he beats children, you know. I mean, I'm not crying
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: for Tyreek Hill, let's just put it that way. The Dolphins, yeah,
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, it will be a little bit of a
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: setback for their offense for sure, and I don't think
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: it really gets factored into the line that much. I
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: mean losing your star wide receiver doesn't really impact the line,
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: and it shouldn't. But yeah, I mean, the public is
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: still gonna be on the Dolphins just because it is Tua.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: It is a chan you know, Waddle. I think all
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: those guys are still there, so they're still seen as
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: the better offense than the Carolina Panthers, who just can't
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: really do anything. This is also a battle of too
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: bad defenses. Yet the money is coming in on the
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: under down from forty six and a half to forty
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: four on the total. Pretty significant move just noticing this.
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: Sixty eight percent of tickets on the over and seventy
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: six percent of cash on the under, So the money
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the under for what it's worth.
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: But the the Dolphins, if for one and a half
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: point dodge at one point favorite here, but the public
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: is on it. Man, it almost in a way because
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: it's just a pick the winner situation there. It almost
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: looks too tempting to play the Dolphins after what we
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: saw last week. So Carolina will be the lead in
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: that game. Most NFL players of felons, maybe I don't
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: know about most, but they're a significant amount of them. Yeah,
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: Houston at Baltimore to finish the one pm slate here,
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: I'm going by the schedule this time. I know I
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: forgot like usually I go by the board, but I'm
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: going by the schedule here. But hopefully that's all right
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: either way. We're gonna hit every game anyway because we
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: always do it. Justin brother is a nurse practitioner. What
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: is he? He's a male nurse like gay Lord Foker
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: and meet the parents. Wait, your name is kay Lord.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: Your name is kay Lord Fucker. He does orthopedics. He
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: thinks it's a dislocated knee for Hill and that he'll
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: will return. Interesting, all right, we'll see what happens with that.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: It's more notable notable for fantasy purposes. You're gonna bet
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: five on Carolina because they're your home team. I mean,
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: I agree with that side. It's not one of my
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: strongest leans, but yeah, I mean, I won't tell you
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: not to do it. Houston at Baltimore this is a
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: very very strange one. Obviously, Obviously there's something going on
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: here because you see, Houston was gonna be a nine
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: and a half point underdog and now they're a one
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: point favorite. And I think they were actually two and
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: a half at one point, and the number actually dropped
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: down to one. The money is coming in on the Ravens,
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: I mean the public just because it is Texans Ravens.
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: The public probably just sees that matchup and still goes, oh,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Ravens. Here, sixty seven percent of
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: tickets seventy two percent of the cash on the Ravens though,
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: and this total is way low now down for forty
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: six to forty and a half, sixty three percent of
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: tickets on the over, seventy eight percent of cash on
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: the over This is an overreaction game, okay for both
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: I think the total and the line here, and it's
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: overreacting because Lamar Jackson is hurt. Lamar Jackson got hurt
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: in the Ravens game against the Chiefs. He's not playing
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: in this game, so it's gonna be Cooper rush for
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: the Ravens. So what do I always talk about the
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: injured player theory spot? And if this line was gonna
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: be Ravens nine and a half and now the Texans
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: are minus one, you're telling me that the drop off.
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: I know Lamar Jackson is the like he's an MVP.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: I know this but you're telling me that it's a
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: drop off even with him. It's a to Cooper Rush.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: I know Rush isn't really that good, but it's a
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: drop off so great that it's gonna shift the line
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: by ten and a half points. It actually shifted it,
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: I think twelve points before we saw the line move
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: a little bit back down towards the Ravens. That is
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: an insane line movement. And you know, I talk about
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: this injured player spot, and you know that first game
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: without your star player, the team steps up their game, man,
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: The team shows up focus for that game. And you're
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: talking about a team that I think I thought it
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: was gonna win the Super Bowl. The Ravens were the
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: team that the power ratings guys had rated as the
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: best team in the NFL. And they're off to a
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: one to three starts. So the Ravens they cannot afford
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: to lack focus in this game, man, because they fall
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: to one to four. Their playoff chances are actually in
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: jeopardy right now. I don't think they are. Like I said,
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: I still think the Ravens are gonna win their division.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: There are two games back in Pittsburgh right now, but
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: we know the Ravens are the better team here man,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: So I still think Baltimore is gonna win this division.
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: They've had a really difficult schedule so far. I know,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: they lost every one of their games that were kind
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: of like toss up type of games against Buffalo. They
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: should have won the game against Buffalo. They had a
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: forty to twenty five lead late in that game. They
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: played well in that game. They did beat Cleveland, although
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: kind of misleadingly in a blowout because Cleveland had a
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: lot of turnovers in the game and whatever. They lost
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: to Detroit at home in a Monday night game against
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: a good Detroit team, and Kansas City last week. Kansas
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: City also still a good team, and we know this.
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: So Baltimore's three losses are to some of the best
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: teams in the NFL. Is still Buffalo, Detroit, Kansas City
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: two of the three of them on the road. So
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: it's been a really, really difficult schedule for Baltimore so far.
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: They faced one of the most, if not the most
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: difficult schedules. So it's actually they're stepping down in class
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: to face Houston here man, because the last time they
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: faced a team that was anywhere as weak as Houston,
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: as was Cleveland Houston. I mean, I think they're better
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: than they look to. I know they're only one in
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: three right now, but this is like, you gotta win
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: this game. If you're Baltimore and you know they're gonna
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: show up because Lamar Jackson's hurt that first game out,
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: they're gonna show up. I think you're getting value on
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Baltimore or it's basically you're getting them as a home
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: underdog in this game. Man, when you when are you
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: gonna get the Ravens as a home underdog? Ever, and
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: Nate likes Cooper Rush. I mean he's a ginger, right so,
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but Cooper Rush, he's got a lot
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: of experience. He was on Dallas last year and he
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: played like half the season last year for Dallas because
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: Dak Prescott was hurt. So Cooper Rush, he's no stranger
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: to starting in the NFL. So the pressure like isn't
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: gonna get to him or anything like that, right So,
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: And I think he actually faced Houston last year in
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: one of those Dallas games, I believe, if I'm not mistaken,
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: which I think was a game I got wrong on
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: the show. I think I had Dallas and Houston and
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: want up winning the game. You can correct me if
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong about that, but yeah, I mean, you have
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: a quarterback who's at least still experienced, You got a
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: Baltimore team that's well coached. Houston is coming off their
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: first win. So I don't think Houston's really in a
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: bad spot. I mean, they were owing three, so they
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: had to get a win, man, and they lost all
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: three of those games really close. They got a win finally,
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: which was good because I had them in survivor as well.
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: They shut out Tennessee twenty six to nothing. It was
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: not a misleading result. Tennessee had fewer than two hundred
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: yards of offense. That Tennessee team with cam Ward Man,
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: it is not looking good right now for that team.
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: But Houston got the win. And again I talk about
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: sometimes when you get your first win, it helps carry
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: that momentum forward because you get that monkey off your back,
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: and you know Houston they're gonna be focused. For Baltimore too,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: so I think both teams are going to show up
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: focus though, so then it becomes a matter of I
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: think the Ravens are still the better team, man, but
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: the Ozekers are telling you that without Lamar Jackson the
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: Texans are such the better team that they're a favorite
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: on the road. I don't buy it. I would take
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: the Ravens in this game, and I would also lean
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: to the over as well, because I think the total
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: completely overreacted as well to Lamar Jackson being out, and
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: you do see the money coming back in the over
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: now too. I know the Texans have been pretty much
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: an under team because they're a defensive team in their
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: offense has a lot of missing pieces, but they can
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: run the ball. Now, man, it looks like Woody Marks
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: might be the dude. Hopefully he is, because I have
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: him in fantasy man. I picked him up before last
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: week's outburst because I saw like his playing time was
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: really escalating. I was like, let's let's go, man, let's go,
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: let's let's get a Woody on our fantasy team here.
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: That it was good timing because I lost James Connor
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: and I haven't been able to trade for running back,
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: so like, let's go, man. Let's hope Woody is the dude.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: But that means that Texas are gonna be able to
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: run the ball a bit more here. But I think
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: that can open up things for the passing game. So
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: I think you'll see a more balanced offense at least
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: for the Texas. And the Ravens defense has not been good.
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: Everybody talks about, you know the Ravens, like still has
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: this vision, Oh they're a good defensive team. That has
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: not been the case this year. Man, So the Ravens,
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: you could see some points get scored in this game. Man,
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: the Texans might be able to score. I think the
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: Ravens certainly could score, even though I know the Texas
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: deepfense will try to slow them down. But I think
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: the over makes sense in the game. But again, I
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: think Baltimore is probably the way to look just because
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: I still think they're the better team and they this
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: is like an absolute game. They have to have this game,
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: and it's the injured player spot on top of it,
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: where you know you're gonna get a focused Baltimore team.
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: I know you could argue they're coming off a big,
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: emotional high type of game where they lost the game
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: to Kansas City, but it was an embarrassing loss to
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: Kansas City thirty seven to twenty. So I don't think
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be any sort of like emotional let down. Here.
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: You're talking about a one to three team that thinks
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: that they like they should be a Super Bowl contender,
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: which I mean, they don't just think that. I mean,
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: it's true. So it's got to be Baltimore if you're
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: gonna play that game. Cooper Rush is not and five
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: is a starter. Thanks Nate. Two of those losses were
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: to the Eagles. Thank you for the info, which I
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: assume those were both when he was on Dallas. Yeah,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: Cooper Rush, he's not that bad, and he's got he's
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: got a lot of talent to work with on that
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: On that offense, man, you got some pretty talented receivers there.
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: You got freaking Derrick Henry there. Man. So let's let's
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: go Charles. That's true, howdy partner for the Dallas Cowboys.
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: I guess I don't know. Let's go to the four
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: PM slates. Slate. Now we have, oh my god, another
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: one of the ugliest games on the board here, although
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: one of the other ugly games, Giants New Orlds is
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: gonna be one of my plays. But Miami Carolina and
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: then this game Tennessee Arizona. These are just hideous, hideous
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: games man, Tennessee. Oh and four. I mean, they look
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: like they're the worst team in the NFL right now.
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: It has not been good for them. They're getting Spears back,
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: ty J Spears to help bolster their rushing attack. I
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: don't know how helpful that's gonna be, but that he
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: is coming back, so that is something that will help
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: with the Texas rush. Excuse me, with the Titans rushing
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: attack here. Titans are coming off getting shut out though, man.
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: And you know, we just saw a shutout, which is
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: rare in the NFL and now, but we saw Atlanta
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: get shut out by Carolina, and I gave out Carolina
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: in that game. And what did I do last week?
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: I gave out Atlanta because I think you do tend
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: to want to look towards teams that got shut out,
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: even though it doesn't happen like ever anymore. But it's
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: just so embarrassing when you get shut out. Man. Atlanta
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: bounced back nicely with a nice focused effort last week.
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: I think Tennessee is gonna at least try to show
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: a focus here, man, after the most embarrassing loss of
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: the season, even though I know some of the other
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: losses haven't been great, but you get shut out by
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: an own three Houston team that is just ugly, man,
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: that is so ugly that you know the coach is
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: gonna be drilling them coming into this week. I know
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: it's a second straight road game. I know it's an
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar venue though, going to Arizona, so you do have
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: to worry about that. Arizona is not traveling, and they
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: have extra time off because they played on Thursday. But
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: they played some tough games, man. They played San Francisco
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: and Seattle in those last two games, including the Seattle
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: game being a primetime game, and those were both close
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: divisional games. Man, So Arizona not really exactly in a
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: great spot, even though I know they lost that game
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: on Thursday, and you would think with the extra time off,
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll like have extra prep time figure something out here.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: But is Tennessee really the team that's gonna draw your
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: focus here? I don't know, man. I think that loss
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: to Seattle could linger there. Man, those back to back
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: losses that could have potentially won both games against San
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: Francisco and Seattle, and Arizona actually had to mount a
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: comeback in that game too, so they put in a
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: lot of effort there. They were losing to Seattle twenty
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: to six, I think in the fourth quarter, and then
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: they tied it and I believe sent it into overtime
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: as well. So that game or no, it didn't go
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: into overtime, excuse a Seahawks won with a late field
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: going regulation my mistake, but still very very dramatic loss
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: in divisional games. So I don't love Arizona. I want
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: to hear. So I think the spot is a little
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: bit better for the Titans. Cardinals is certainly a look
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: if you want to look at them and survive. Or
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: I already use them in Week two though against Carolina,
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. Cardinals down from eight to seven
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: and a half, eighty six percent of tickets, ninety three
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash. They're very very public though, so
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: and you're still getting the key number above seven, above
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: the key number, they're above seven. So I would lean
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: to the Titans in that game. Oh yes, Woody, that's right.
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: I'm such an idiot. Yeah, toyster, I've seen all the
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: toys stories. Man, should I should have I should have
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: gotten that? Yeah, how do you partner? Is that one?
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: Is that one of his actual sayings or was it?
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: Maybe it is I don't know. I forget, I forget
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: exactly what his sayings are verbatim. Also Tom Hanks Epstein
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: flight logs. Uh. He is the voice. He is the
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: voice of Woody, and I think he was getting some
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: inappropriate woodies, all right, Tampa Bay at Seattle. This is
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: one that almost became a play for me. I was
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: close to giving out a play on this game. I
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: think Tampa Bay is not exactly in a good spot here, man,
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: Let's just put it that way. They took their first
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: loss of the season, and all three of their wins
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: so far were last minute wins. Remember I talked about
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: that Tampa Bay was losing in the final minute of
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: all of their wins. They're the first team to ever
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: do that in the first three games of the season.
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: So Tampa Bay might not quite be quite as good
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: as they see him right now at three and one.
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: And they had a big game against the Super Bowl
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: champs last week against Philly, and they mounted a comeback
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: and almost were able to come back and win that game. Man,
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: So Tampa coming off that big game, now they have
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: to travel from Tampa all the way up to Seattle.
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: I know it's not one of those late primetime games
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: where it's gonna be late on their biological clock. But
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: that's still a long distance you got to travel across
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: country after playing that big game against Philly. Man at Seattle.
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: Even though I know they're three and one, I don't
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: know the teams are totally taking Seattle seriously yet. So
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: I think it is a bit of a hangover for
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Tampa because it's their first loss that they're coming off of,
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: and also because it was a big game against Philly
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: and they put in a full effort in that one.
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: Timpa Bay is gonna They do have Chris godwent back.
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: I think he played last week too. He's on my
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: fantasy team, but I think they are gonna unchain him
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: in this game. But I still I'm gonna lean to
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: Seattle here. Even though I'm not a Sam Donald fan,
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: I still don't think he's good. Seattle is down three
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: defensive starters. It looks like you gotta worry about that.
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be without Love Witherspoon, without love man only
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: hate from Seattle. Love, Witherspoon, and Lawrence are all hurt,
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: which is not great. Really, are they're gonna be starting
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: a rookie safety there? I guess, although I guess he's
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: coming back from injury, so whatever. But Seattle little banged
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: up on defense right now. Their defense has played pretty
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: well so far this season, kind of a defensive oriented team. Again,
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: I still don't really trust Sam Donald though, But Seattle,
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: I do think they're in the better spot. They do
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: have extra time off, but they are coming off a
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: big divisional win in prime. Like I said, it was
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: that game against Arizona, dramatic finish for Seattle. And yes,
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: they have extra time off, but that extra time off
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: when you're on a winning streak like this might not
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: be the greatest thing. It's kind of like a buy
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: where when you go into it on a good note,
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: you don't really have anything to fix. So I don't know, man,
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: but their travel is less year. Tampa Bay's spot, I
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: think is still a little bit worse. I don't think
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: either team is in a particularly good spot. And again,
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: that was a divisional win for Seattle there. Although I
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook Tampa because Tampa is a
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: team that continuously makes the playoffs. So I think Seattle
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: is the team that could be more easily overlooked here.
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: And the money is coming in on the Seahawks. It
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: was two, which I think was the look at it.
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: I don't think it was ever two after last week's games.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: I think it's been three and a half all week
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: pretty much for the Seahawks. It's headed towards four. It's
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: still three and a half at some spots. I think
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: I would lean that way. I mean, it almost looks
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: crazy to be laying points like that. You get the
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Man, the three and one Tampa Bay
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: Buccaneers right now make the playoffs every year. Basically, you're
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: getting them as an underdog. It kind of looks tempting
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: to play Tampa. The public's still not sold on the Seahawks.
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: I'm also not like I said, but I still think
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: this is a better spot for the Seahawks. There is
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: a chance the Seahawks are four and one to start
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: the season, which I never would have expected. Sixty percent
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the Buccaneers, fifty one percent of the
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: cash coming in on the Seahawks. But of course the Seahawks,
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, their schedule hasn't been terribly difficult yet. Probably
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: the best team they faced was the forty nine ers
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh, I think he's overperforming and they beat them,
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: dealt them. They were only loss so rather than they've
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: beat New Orleans whatever. And then Arizona, I think it's
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: just there Arizona, man, I mean, they're just gonna continue
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: to be Arizona and not pretty much underperform every year.
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: So Seattle hasn't had a terribly difficult schedule yet, but
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: and Tampa's has been a little bit more difficult than that.
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: But to me, I mean, I think the spot is
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: better for Seattle. It looks like or it's less bad
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: for Seattle. I should say the cash is coming in
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: on them. So that's where I would go in that game.
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: The Yankee Cowboy Tom Hanks, Tom Yankee Tom Yanksey. Which
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: is a river in China? I believe China. Pereira just kaoed.
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: Who's Parreira up against? I forget, I forget what the
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: what was the main card, the main event. I can't
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: remember what the fight was tonight. I don't pay enough
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: attention to the fights. Man. I don't even know who
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: the favorite was. But if it was a knockout in
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: the first round, then it seems like you might not
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: necessarily have gotten your money's worth of unless you actually
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: won money on it, oh Ankle, I have, Yeah, one
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: of those dagastandy dudes, is that who he is. I
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: usually go with those guys because they can. They could
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: take it to the ground and start wrestling, So I
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: usually go with those guys. I don't know what the
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: odds where. I don't know who the public side was
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: in that fight though, so I don't know. I didn't
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: have any opinion on it. Detroit at Cincinnati, I mean
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: this Cincinnati team, man, they just have not been able
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: to do it. With Jake Browning. I know he looked
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: good in that first game where the game not the
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: first game, but the game where Joe Borrow got hurt.
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: Jake Browning filled in and they somehow won the game
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: even though they were losing the game against Jacksonville. Browning
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: somehow mounted a comeback in that game and a win.
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: And then since then he's just been absolutely horrendous. He
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: was terrible in the injured player theory spot against Minnesota,
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: up against Minnesota's injured player theory spot with WinCE But
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: I told you Minnesota was the right side in that
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: game because I thought the coaching is just way better
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: for Minnesota. I thought Wentz was better than Browning, so
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: I thought Minnesota would adapt to that spot way better.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: It happened, and then Cincinnati did not redeem themselves. Although
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: it was a second straight road game. They've played three
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: road games in four weeks so far, so not really
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: an easy schedule so far for Cincinnati. Everybody did see
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: them get blown out by Denver on Monday night, so
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: it is a short week for Cincinnati, I know, by
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: the way, it does mean it's a short week for
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: Denver two, which I forgot to explicitly mention that. So Denver, yeah,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: they are in a short week having to travel to Philadelphia.
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: So I don't love Denver enough to give them out
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: as a play here. But back to Cincinnati. Here, everybody
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: saw them look terrible, and sometimes you do want to
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: be on a team, and they looked terrible. But it
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: was not a misleading score, like I said, Cincinnati just
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: their offense was terrible in that game, not a misleading
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: scorer at all. They got out outperformed in the game
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: big time. But at some point, I mean, Cincinnati cannot
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: possibly be as bad as they've looked those last couple
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: of games. A team is never as bad as they
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: look in their worst games, So you gotta think that
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: at some point there is value on Cincinnati and maybe
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be here as like a ten point home
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: underdog against Detroit. And I talked about Detroit last week.
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: They blew out Cleveland. I mean, no real surprise there,
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: but it was closer on the stat sheet than the
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: score actually looked like. I pointed out, Detroit only outgained
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: Cleveland by like fewer than thirty yards in the game,
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: so statistically it was still kind of close. Cleveland's defense
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: did kind of hold them in check. Detroit might not
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: be totally focused here, man. I mean it was an
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: easy win, and they do have to turn around and
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: they have a primetime game against Kansas City next week. Man,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: a Sunday night game against Cleveland next week, so that
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: is a big game for Detroit, so they might it
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: is possible they kind of just look past the Cincinnati
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: team that looks so bad here. So I wouldn't want
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: to lay it with Detroit. Let's just put it that way.
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: If you forced me to have to play this game,
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with the Bengals. But man,
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: it's ugly. Man. The Bengals have been bad. Uh, ninety
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: three percent of tickets, ninety two percent of the cash
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: on the lines, and the Lions are incredibly public in
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: this game, and the line has gone all the way
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: up from seven and a half, which I think was
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: the look I head, up to ten and a half.
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: I think there's no reason for the line to move
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: in that extreme of fashion. You're getting double digits in
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: the NFL at home. I mean that used to be
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: kind of the old ada As you were like a
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: double digit underdog in any capacity in the NFL, you
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: almost wanted to like blindly look that way. That's not
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: the case anymore, but I still think it a spot
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: like this where the Lions are so public, they might
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: just look right past Cincinnati, how bad they've been playing.
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: It's at home. You're getting over ten points, now, yeah,
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: it would be Bengals or passed for me in that game,
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: as horrendous as that sounds. So you know me, I
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: love ugly underdogs. And it is still the case where
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: there is a trend in the NFL in the first
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: six seven weeks of the season something like that home
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: underdogs cover at a really nice rate, like above sixty percent.
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: I think, so that is another thing to consider it there.
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: But it is, man, it is just ugly. Cincinnati's gonna
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: have to do something on offense to to make that worthy.
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: You won on Pereira. There you go, Charles. I'm gonna
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: look into it afterwards to see who the public side
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: was and what the what were the odds that you
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: got on that, Charles, It's better for the UFC for
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: Pereira to win. I don't know. You don't like the
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: ground and pound. I like it from a betting perspective.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: I like it because the grinders, the the grapplers are
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: always undervalued, man, So I like it from a betting perspective.
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: And yeah, the public like never wants them, so they're
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: usually the undervalue commodity. Washington and the Chargers kind of
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: a weird match up here, man. The Chargers. Of course,
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: they're coming up their first loss, and I talk about
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: how that can hang you over, but in this case,
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: I don't think so. We talked about this last week.
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: I gave out the Giants as a play last week.
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: It was a terrible spot for the Chargers. They'd won
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: three straight divisional games, including two primetime games won in
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: Brazil against Kansas City and then at Vegas and then
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: they beat Denver in a comeback a huge game as well.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: So it was just a bad spot for the Chargers
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: having to go out to the East Coast for the
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: first time this year face a Giants team that they
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: didn't know what the Giants are gonna do on offense,
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: and Jackson Dart, I know he wasn't really good. Well
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: maybe I should I'll talk about that when we talk
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: about the Giants, how about that. But they didn't put
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: up a lot of offensive yardage. Let's just put it
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: that way. The Giants didn't, so I know they won
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: on the scoreboard. I still think we had the right
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: side there, but the Chargers did out gain them by
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: fairly close to one hundred yards. Man, the Chargers were
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: kind of lackluster though they were sloppy. They were minus
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: two and turnovers. They had a ton of penalties and
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: that definitely affected the outcome of the game. But part
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: of the handicap is the focus aspect of it, man,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: So when the team's not focused, it does kind of
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: lend itself to turnovers and penalties. So that's what happened
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: with the Chargers. But back at home, I think that
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: was kind of an embarrassing loss. I do think the
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: Chargers will show up with more focus in this particular game.
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: I know they're beat up though. They got some offensive
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: line injuries, especially Joe Alt, who might be back next week.
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: I think he's basically their Pro Bowl I think center
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: at this point, who's still really young, but he's hurt.
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: So yes, that is a blow to the Chargers offensive line.
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: They have one other offensive line and hurt as well.
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: Underdog the cartoon was good too. You got plus two
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: to ten. That kind of makes me think that the
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: public was all over that side. I probably would have
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: gone the other way on that one, because the public,
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: the public loves underdogs many and they probably especially love
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: Perreira as an underdog up against a dagastany dude. So yeah,
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: I mean I think the dagas standy ankle iye of whatever.
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: He was probably favored significantly for a reason, so it
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: kind of surprises me that he lost. Actually, I would
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: have probably been on an ankle live if I was forced
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: to play that. But anyway, back to the Chargers here,
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: I think it's a decent bounce back spot because they
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: were better than the scoreboard looked last week. It was
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: an embarrassing loss to lose to the Giants. Now they
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: have a more predictable opponent here against Washington. Washington, I
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: know they lost last week. We had it Landa on
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: the show last week too, were killing it in the
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: NFL over the last couple of weeks with the plays.
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: I thought it was a good bounced back spot for
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: Landa after getting shut out. I didn't like the spot
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: for Washington because remember they lost Jaydon Daniels against Green Bay,
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: I believe, and the first game without him was the
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: injured player spot, and Marcus Mariota started, and they did
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: well against Raiders. And I told you I liked Washington
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: in that game. Didn't give it out as a play,
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: but I was correct. And then after that, you know,
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: I talk about it the injured player spot. The second
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: game with that backup quarterback, it's like sometimes they breathe
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: a sigh of relief. They were up against an ultra
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: focus Atlanta team, So it's a good spot to fade Washington,
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: a good spot to play Atlanta. We got it done
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: with Atlanta in that one. But now what's happening. Jadon
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: Daniels is coming back. Man. If you look at the
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: depth chart, I'm pretty sure he is starting here. He's
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: not even on the injury report at this point. It
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: looks like they are gonna be without two wide receivers
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: though McLaurin, who is their best wide receiver, and Noah
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: Brown are both out, so their wide receiving targets are
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: a little bit limited in this one. But Jaydon Daniels
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: is coming back, and what do I always say, man,
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: the reverse injured player spot is gonna come into play
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: here where Now the line's gonna have to shift to
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: accommodate for the fact that Daniels is coming back, and
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: it could be a little bit of a chemistry issue.
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: The team has to get back up to speed with
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: him back out there. They have to get used to
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: him being back out there. He has to get used
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: to playing again, and the team can kind of like
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: take a little bit of a step back, like, hey,
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: our star is back. So all of those aspects come
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: into play. So usually you want to look to fade
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: the team when that star player comes back, and I
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: do think that is the case with this game. I
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: think the spot is better for the Chargers for that reason.
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: It is one of those road out of conference games.
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: It is a third road game in four weeks for Washington,
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: so that's also not easy to do. They had to
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: go to Green Bay, they were at Atlanta last week,
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: and now they're going cross country to the Pacific Coast
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: for the first time this year to an AFC opponent
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: venue that they're not that familiar with it. I don't
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: think Daniels has ever played there. I know it's a
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: roof stadium, so it's like the weather is going to
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: impact them, but it's a travel spot that they're not
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: really that familiar with. So all that coming into play
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: here Chargers would be the way I would lean in
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: this game. They're up from two and a half to
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: three seventy three percent to take a seventy eight percent
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: of cash on them, So we're a little bit public
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: on the Chargers, which actually surprises me. You think that
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: the public would be on Washington here, so that's a
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: little bit strange to me. Public was on the t
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: arger was last week, and I thought it would be
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: one of those public flip flop games where oh my god,
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: the Chargers lost to the Giants, we can't lay points
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: with them now and Jane Daniels is coming back, so
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: I thought the public would be on Washington. I'm surprised
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: they're not, but it still looks like more of the
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on the Chargers side here, so
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: I would lean that way for all the reasons I
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: just said. And then we got Sunday night. You thought
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: it would be a snoozefest. Yeah, that's what I would
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: have expected, with a grappler getting it to the ground there,
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: but apparently that didn't happen. The Sunday night game actually
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: maybe not as bad as it looks New England being
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: involved in it, but New England starting to maybe play
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit better with Drake May he did look
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: pretty good last week. I know it was against a
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: bad Carolina defense. Buffalo's defense isn't great, but it's better
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: than Carolinas. This is New England at Buffalo. Buffalo is
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: tough at home, but it seems like New England does
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: usually step it up and play fairly well against Buffalo,
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: although maybe in the recent years Buffalo just kind of
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: took New England for granted, and maybe they won't as
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: much in this game. It's a divisional matchup, it is
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: a Sunday night game, so that might give Buffalo a
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: little bit more focus because it is a primetime game,
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: so there are some reasons why Buffalo might show up
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: focus here. I mean, people are kind of saying this
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: could be the new AFC East rivalry. New England might
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: be the next team that's gonna threaten Buffalo's dominance in
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: the division over the last several years. Maybe that may
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: be that is true, But I pointed it out man
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: New England. I know, they blew out Carolina on the scoreboard,
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: looked really good. I came out New England as a
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: play last week. But again I'll point it out again,
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: the stats kind of told a different story. New England
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: got out gained in the game. I know Drake May
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: had a really really good QBR quarterback raiding in the game, whatever,
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: but he was only fourteen or seventeen. He didn't throw
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: the ball a whole lot, So I mean, I don't
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: know what you can really take away from that. They
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: weren't airing it out a ton in the game, and
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: they're rushing attack really didn't do that much. New England's
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: rushing attack, even though Trayvon Henderson looked like he was
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: gonna be pretty good. They have some East and runners
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: on that team, Rushers on that team. The New England
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: rushing attack hasn't been that good, man, So I think
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: New England looked better than they were last week. Buffalo
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: just kind of had a game where I think they
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: just didn't really show up because it was a home
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: game against New Orleans. They're playing a third straight home
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: game here, so it's not really a bad spot for Buffalo.
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: They had a game where they just they haven't covered
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: in their last two games against Miami and New Orleans,
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: so I think they just kind of we're going through
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: the motions there. So I think Buffalo might actually show
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: up for once because they didn't play particularly well against
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: New Orleans. In that game. It was a little bit
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: close late in the game. So I don't think it's
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: a terrible spot for Buffalo in this case. So I
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: do actually slightly lean to Buffalo in this game. They're
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: down from ten to nine. It was down to eight.
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: But the books I think are trying to kill the teasers. Man.
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: We talked about the teasers. The Stanford Loong teaser, which
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: means you go through the key numbers of seven and
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: three and it's a two team six point teaser. That's
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: the only teaser that has an edge in the NFL,
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: but the books know it, and where they used to
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: charge you minus won twenty for that, they now charge
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: you at least minus one twenty five for it. And
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: if it's up to minus one thirty, there's no value
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: left to be had on those teasers. So I'm not
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: a teasers guy, but if you can still find the
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty five or better, it still makes sense
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: to tease. And I do think the Bills would be
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: a decent teaser candidate if you saw them at eight
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: and a half out there, because then you could get
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: them down below the three. If you can get them
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: down to two and a half, I think the Bills
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: are a decent teaser candidate, and I do slightly lean
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: to them to cover the spread here eighty five percent
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: of tickets eighty eight percent of the cash on them.
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: Of course, the Bills are going to be public, but
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: in this case I'm not sure that the public is
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: actually wrong, so I would slightly lead to the Bills there.
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: And remember one of the games the Patriots played well
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: against the Bills was the last time they played last year.
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: But remember that was the last week of the season,
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: and the Bills, I think they only played Josh Allen
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: right at the beginning of the game, just to continue
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: his consecutive start streak, and then they took them out.
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: So the Bills they already had wrapped up whatever seed
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: they were in the playoffs, so they pretty much played
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: all backups up against I believe the Patriots starters. That's
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: part of the reason why the Patriots. I think the
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: Pays actually won that game, but that's part of the
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: reason why they did so. I wouldn't put much weight
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: into that game, but the Patriots, Yes, they have played
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: Buffalo tough generally over the last stuff the last few
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: times they played them, But in this case, yeah, I'm
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: not so sure. I think I would slightly lean to Buffalo.
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: Definitely don't want to put money in that game, though,
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: unless you're getting Buffalo in the teaser down to minus
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: two and a half, and then I think in that
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: case you could probably tease it with like maybe teasing
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: the Jets up above the touchdown or I don't know,
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: they're probably maybe Baltimore getting them teas up above a touchdown.
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: That seems like a decent way to look to to
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: tease Baltimore up because Houston can't fucking score. So you
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: really think Baltimore is gonna lose at home by more
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: than a touchdown, I highly doubt it. So I think
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: Baltimore a very decent teaser candidate as well. Yeah, so
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: those are probably a couple of potential teaser candidates that
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: I would look for. They're really just just those couple,
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: just those few, actually the ones that make sense. All right.
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: And then Monday night we have Kansas City and Jacksonville,
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: And I don't know if we're gonna give out a
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: play on this or not, but I think it is
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for the Chiefs. I mean, we just
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: saw what they did last week. They blew out Baltimore
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: last week, huge game against the Ravens. Everybody was basically
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: kind of shitting on Kansas City because they're a one
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: and three star or two one to two start. Excuse me,
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: almost had a one and three star. Potentially if they
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: lost this game, maybe if Lamar Jackson didn't get injured,
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: maybe it would have been different. But the Chiefs were
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: playing really well in that game. They had a nice game,
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: nice game playing against Baltimore. Baltimore just can't seem to
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: get over the hump against the Chiefs. Man, the Chiefs
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: seem to have their number anyway. Big win for the Chiefs,
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: and now coming off of that, they played Jacksonville on
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: the road, which is kind of a weird spot. They
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: don't usually go to Jacksonville. I know it's a Monday
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: night game, but I think a Monday night game hosted
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: by Jacksonville, Jacksonville doesn't get to do that as often.
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: So I think Jacksonville is gonna be pumped for that
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: game more than Kansas City is because Kansas City's coming
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: off that much bigger win against Baltimore, and up next
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: they have another primetime game against Detroit, like I said,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: next Sunday night, So it is kind of a sandwich
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: spot for the Chiefs here. So going on the road
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: only for the second time this year, and their offense
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: was pretty lackluster against the Giants the first time they
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: went on the road that I know they covered, but
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: it's because Russell Wilson can't hit the broadside of a barn.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: This is a difficult spot, man. Jacksonville eve another three
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: and one. I do think they're a bit under the radar.
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: They're two and zero at home, and I know their
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: wins were only against Carolina who was They're just not
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: very good obviously in Houston had a chance to beat
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: them in that game, but Jacksonville was able to get
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: it done. I know Jacksonville did have to go out
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast last week. Brock Purdy, I didn't
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: expect him to play in the game, but he did
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: so he became a reverse injured player spot for San Francisco.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: And I talk about that when you're starting quarterback comes back,
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: sometimes the team takes a step back and they have
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a setback. So I did lean
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: to Jacksonville in that game anyway last week, and they
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: did get it done and they actually won outright in
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: the game win against San Francisco. But there's no way
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: that Jacksonville's not going to be focused here, man. When
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: they're hosting a Monday night game against the Kansas City Chiefs.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: That's a big deal for Jacksonville. Man. Jacksonville's been irrelevant
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: the last couple of years. This is their chance to
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: prove relevance again. Huge game for Jacksonville. So I'm gonna
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: lean to Jacksonville in this one, and it might wind
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: up being a play, but I will not give it
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: out yet, but I may very well do so on Monday.
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: I think you'll still be able to get the three
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: and a half on Monday, because the public is gonna
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: come in on the Chiefs. Seventy five percent of tickets
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: on them, seventy nine percent of the cash money on
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: the side of the Chiefs for now, but it might flip.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: So the ticket percentage obviously is on the Chiefs. They're public,
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: but cash percentage is on them for now, but it
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: might not stay that way. The total isn't exactly low,
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: but it's in the mid forties, so and we know
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs they still have more of a defensive style.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: I think their offense looked a little bit better than
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: they actually are last week because the Ravens defense really
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: is just they're not good right now. Lamar Jackson going
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: down in that game kind of threw the game off
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit, so that win maybe it looked better
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: than it actually was for the Chiefs. Jacksonville have been
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: decent on both sides of the ball, man. They've been
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: a decently balanced team here man, So I think Jacksonville
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: can get it done. So that's the lean might wind
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: up giving out a play on it that was the breakdown,
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: which I always forget to put the graphic up there,
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: as I always say, let's go to the best bats. Baby, whoops,
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: best bets only have two of them for tomorrow, and
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: you're gonna hate them both. You know exactly what they
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: are already. Let's kill this do him in the best bets.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: These These are definitely best New Orleans Saints minus one
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: and a half. And I'm actually considering using them in
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: Survivor because there's no other week where you're gonna want
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: to use the Saints. I don't know, man, how risky
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: do I want to get in Survivor I'm in, Like
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: the Survivor pool that I'm in, one of the ones,
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: like the one for bigger money is huge, So I
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: don't know, man. I I didn't use the Rams, so
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: if I don't use the Saints, it's got to be
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: like Vikings, which seems kind of iffy by the way,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: I forgot to mention Vikings Browns. I think an under
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: might be a way to look in that game because
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: both defenses are good. Let me just look at that
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: game real quick. I forgot to talk about the total
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: in that game, but I did kind of have a
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: thought about the under. The money is coming in on
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: the under. Man that total is unbelievably low now it
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: dropped from thirty nine to thirty five and a half,
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: So it is dicey if you want to go on under.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: And that is such a low total for an NFL game,
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: it's ridiculous. Fifty four percent tickets on the over, fifty
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on the under. So the
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: money's still coming in on the under if you want
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: to take a risk on it. When teams have to
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: travel like that, it does kind of affect the offense
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: more than the defense. I think of the offense kind
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: of comes in a little bit cold. Potentially. You got
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: two teams that are much better defensively than offensively. You
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: got two sort of backup quarterbacks in there too, So
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: I do think it's gonna be an ugly, ugly game.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: So just a thought on that one. But let's go
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: to New Orleans here. You never hate the best vets. Well,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: thank you, Charles. Hopefully they continue to come in. I mean,
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: I know how many of these are ugly. But the
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: last couple of weeks, again, we're six and one over
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: the last two weeks in the NFL with the only loss.
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: That Colts game should have been a winner too, So
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: New Orleans minus one and a half. Man, New Orleans
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: is favored their favorite for a reason. Man, And this
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: is one of those spots where it's like a public
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: flip flop. The Saints are already up from a pick
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: them to two. Now, by the way, you could probably
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: still lay the two here. You might still be able
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: to lay the one and a half if you want
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: to go money light, if you get a better price
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: on the money line. I think that's okay too. Basically,
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: it's still a pick the winner. I mean, as long
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: as you get below three, I think it's a decent
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: play on the Saints here, or a good play. I
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: will say this is one of those public flip flop games. Man.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: We had the Giants last week, remember, and the public
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: was all over the Chargers last week. So the Giants
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: were this anti public team last week, and now the
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: one to one game, and all of a sudden, the
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: public is totally the Giants. That's kind of a red flag, man,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: when the public completely flips sides like that. Again, no
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: team is ever as good as they look in their
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: best game. No team is ever as bad as they look.
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: In their worst game. It was a bad spot for
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: the Chargers. That's why we're on the Giants last week.
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: We'll talk about it now. The Giants, they still got
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: out gained by the Chargers in that game last week.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: Where is this game and this game's both of my
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: players are in the one PM slide, so we'll get
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: both these games done early on. But yeah, if we
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: look at what happened in this game, the Chargers were
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: just sloppy again. They had a lot of penalties minus
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: two and turnovers. They did outgain the Giants. Jackson Dart
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: is actually somewhat hurt right now too. He's gonna play,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: but he has like a hamstring issue. So Jackson Dart
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: maybe not one hundred percent. He didn't light it up
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: last week. I know the Chargers do play pretty good depfense,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: but the Giants. Dart was capable in the game. He
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: didn't make any mistakes. He played fine. He did some
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: stuff with his feet, which was really the one really
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: good thing that he did is he had fifty four
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: yards on the out in a rushing touchdown. That's some
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: pretty good stuff from Dark. So Dark did add that
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: other dimension for them, so that is good. It was
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: his first game in the regular season, so I do
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: think he will be better. I'm on record saying I
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: think he's the best quarterback of this draft class, and
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: I think he will actually be something. He was fine
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: in the game, but I do think he might take
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a step back here. After that
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: emotional high of playing your first game, you celebrate a bit,
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: you know. Now you go on the road to an
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar venue, playing in the Superdome against New Orleans, and
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: New Orleans is a desperate team right now for a win.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: Giants did get the monkey off their back with that win,
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: but having a going on the road, I don't like it.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: And what makes this way way worse. Not only is
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: that it's a road out of I don't know it's
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: a road in conference game, but it's still a road
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: game against an zero to fourteen But what makes this
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: really really bad is they have to turn around and
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: play on Thursday night against Philadelphia Man, a divisional opponent
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: and the returning Super Bowl champs who are four to
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: zero right now. So that is a huge look ahead spot.
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: Look at spots don't matter that much, but a Thursday
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: night game, so quick turnaround time against the team it's
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: leading your division and won the Super Bowl last year.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: That has definitely got to be a look ahead spot. Man.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: So I think this is a very bad spot for
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: the Giants. I think it is basically a sandwich spot
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: the Giants. Again, if we look at what they did
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: last week, they were not impressive offensively, and their rushing
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: defense was also not good, as they allowed Omarian Hampton
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: O'marian Hampton. How do you pronounce O'marian Hampton, Amicron Hampton,
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: whatever his name is. He basically ran all over them.
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: He averaged like over ten yards of carry in the game.
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: That's pretty bad for the Giants defense there. I mean,
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: even though the Giants are supposed to have a good
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: front seven. I mean, I don't know what happened in
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: that game, but the Giants weren't able to move the
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: ball very effectively on the ground game with Skataboo there,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know people like Scataboo, but he was
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: very inefficient. He had twenty five carries for only seventy
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: nine yards. That's not a good sign, man. Yes, the
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: Giants were able to possess the ball and slow down
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: the game, but it's gonna be difficult and Malik Neighbors
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: is also injured now. I think he's out for the season.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: So their best wide receiver is now done for the
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: season as well, So that's also bad. So Giants a
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: lot going on to kind of dislike here in this
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: game and in New Orleans. They've been in most of
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: these games, man, And they were pretty close in the
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: game against Arizona, against San Francisco, the final against Seattle,
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: I think it was a bit misleading. The statistics were
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: a lot closer than the final score was. And then
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: last week they were hanging in that game against Buffalo.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be good for them to return home.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: They get a home game, they're desperate for a win,
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: and they get a winnable game here against the Giants. Yeah,
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: I think it's it is a spot to play New
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: Orleans here, man. So that's what we're gonna do in
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: this one. Again. The public is on the Giants, seventy
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: one percent tickets, eighty percent of the cash on them
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: for now. But I think they're an anti public side.
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: I think the money is coming is actually coming in
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: on the Saints. I think the numbers will bear that out.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna lay the points with the Saints, I
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: would lay anything below three probably world look to maybe
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: find a decent money line price. I saw it at
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: about minus one twenty out there on the money line,
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: which I don't think is a bad move either in
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: that game. But I saw one and a half some
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: two's out there because there's not a huge difference between
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: those two. So that's the play in that one Omicron
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: per se eight Hampton, that's a that's a star system
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: probably something like that. And then you know what I'm
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: gonna do, man, The final play here is the Jets
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half. I think it might have
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: been two and a half at some point, but one
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: and a half two and a half not much of
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: a difference. I think the Jets finally get a win.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: So this is how great these two best bets are. Man,
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: how about two O four teams or you're playing a
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: line where you pretty much need them to win the
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: game outright. Isn't that awesome? Own four and own four
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: and you need them to win the game. How about that?
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: We're gonna get both of them. Let's do it, man,
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: They're both gonna get their first win here. This is
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: against the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys are up from pick
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: them to one and a half. I think the pick
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: them might have been the look aheadlined I don't know.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: Sixty six percent against and sixty six percent of the cash,
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: which really means you should fade the Cowboys here because
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: sixty six sixty six that's just evil. Man. Only a
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: Satanic person would bet the Cowboys in this one. I
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: think this is a terrible spot for the Cowboys. Man.
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: We saw what they did last week. They're coming off
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: a game where I leaned to them to cover the
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: spread last week, and they did against Green Bay. That
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: was a huge game. It was the Michael Parsons Ball.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: It was Sunday Night Primetime. It was a crazy, crazy
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: game that went into overtime and wound up in a
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: tie forty to forty. That is an insane game, man.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: I think it's going to result in the hangover effect
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: for the Cowboys. And that was such a crazy game.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: Here you have Dobbs there with this stupid concussion helmet there.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: He just looks ridiculous. I hate that fucking thing. It's
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: so fucking ugly. Man. He had a huge game in
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: that game against the Cowboys. Thone. The Cowboys still were
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: able to put up forty points in that game and
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: have a tied game in that game. But I think
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: it's a huge hangover spot or letdown spot, or whatever
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: you want to call it, having to travel to the
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: East Coast in an out of conference game against the Jets,
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: which is gonna be a game that really doesn't matter
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: as far as Dallas's schedule is concerned, and the Jets
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: really hungry for a win because they're zeroing four. And
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: as I pointed out, two of these games they actually
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: outgained their opponent. They outgained Pittsburgh in the first game,
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: and I had the Jets in the game. So yes,
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have the Jets as a play four times
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: in five weeks. I think I had them against Pittsburgh, Buffalo,
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, and we're gonna have them again. And I
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: leaned against them last week, and we're gonna have them
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: again here against Dallas. We got it correct against Pittsburgh,
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: we were wrong against Buffalo, we were correct against Tampa Bay.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: I was correcting the Jets game and didn't give out
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: a play going against them last week, but I was correct.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: So I've been correct in three of the four Jets games.
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: So far. We're two and one in the Jets bets
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: so far, and we're gonna do it again here. Man,
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: it feels like we're just always on the Jets on
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: this show. Last week. It didn't work out. Last year,
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: it didn't work out that well. This year it's two
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: and one so far, so it's a little bit better.
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: I think it is a much better spot for the
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: Jets here. I know that they played Monday night. They
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: have a shorter week here, but they're released staying on
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: the East coast here. They'll get up for a game
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: with the Dallas Cowboys coming into their place, and they're
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: only four, so you know, they got to be focused.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: So they got to try to get something with Aaron
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: Glenn here Man. And again they outgained Pittsburgh in Week one.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: They covered the spread for US and they blew the game.
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: They should have won outright. So not only did they
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: out game Pittsburgh, they had a double they had a
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: multiple score lead late in that game, double digit lead,
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: and they wound up blowing the entire thing and still
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: hanging on for the cover. So they should have probably
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: won that game against Buffalo, Justin Fields got hurt, which
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: kind of threw the game off a little bit, and
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: then Tyrod Taylor played decently well against Tampa Bay and
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: they had a nice comeback. They were able to cover
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: the spread and actually Wandalman was winning the game. They
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: had the lead in the final minutes of that game
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: and just fell shorts. This Jets team, I think they're
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: not quite as bad as their own to four record looks.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: The oddsmakers only line Miami is a two to two
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: and a half poay favorite. In the game at Miami
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: last week, so kind of saying the Jets are basically
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: on par with Miami. I think the Jets be a
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: little bit better than Miami, even though I thought the
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: spot was better for Miami last week. Jets outgained Miami
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: in the game. Man, So again, the Jets are not
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: quite as bad as they looked and weren't as bad
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: as they looked in that game. Yeah, we're gonna go
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: with the Jets here. Let's fucking do it. As far
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: as their quarterback situation, Fields already came back, So again,
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: that was part of the handicap last week that I
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: gave out on the show. Part of the reason I
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: lead to Miami was because Fields came back, So what
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: do I talk about reverse injured player spot? So again,
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: the Jets may have taken a little bit of a
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: step back. It was kind of a hangover spot off
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: of that big effort game against Tampa Fields coming back,
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: had to work his way back in, So I thought
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: that was kind of a bad spot. But now it's
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: his second game back, so I think it's a much
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: better spot for the Jets. Here and Dallas, their past
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: events might be the worst in all football. Man. So
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: I know people think about this Jets team is not
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: being able to score, but that hasn't really been the case.
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: I mean you can see here. I mean they've put
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: up at least twenty one or no, they've put up
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: at least twenty one and at least three of the
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: four games they put up over thirty against Pittsburgh and
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: put up twenty seven against Tampa Bay. So that's not
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: too bad. But they could certainly score against this Dallas defense. Man,
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: this Dallas defense, they can't stop the pass. The Jets
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: are a balanced offensive attack. They should be able to
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: do something through the air. I mean, remember, this is
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: a Dallas team that made a completely washed Russell Wilson
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: look like a God, and they made Kileb Williams look
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: really good too. So everybody's been able to throw against
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: this Dallas defense, so I think fields should be able
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: to throw against them as well. Jets should be able
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: to score, and I think they should be able to
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: win this game. And the Jets, I believe they also
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: have the better defense. Still, as crazy as that might sound,
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: Dallas's defense is just not good. So they got some problems. Man.
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: Yes they could score, but remember Dallas is also without
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: Seedy Lamb, so they are without their most talented offensive weapon.
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: I know Pickens did really well last week, but you
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: got to see what their offense looked like without Seeding
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: Lamb last week. And the Jets might be able to
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: gain and plan for it. They still have a defensive
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: mind to coach. I know it's his first season and
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: things are not going well so far, but the spot
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: dictates the Jets, and that is what we're gonna do here. Man,
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: take the Jets as a small home underdog. You take
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: them on the money line too if you want to.
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're gonna do. Oh, it's a Futurama reference.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: I should have gotten that. I haven't watched that show
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: in so long, and I haven't watched any of the
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: new stuff. Peter TiO betting the Cowboys. Yeah, it's all
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: big money for the Dallas Cowboys. Man, Jerry Jones and whatever.
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: Quit playing. If you that scared? What do you mean?
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: Who are we talking about? Who's who's scared? What was
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: that a reference too? I don't fucking know. But anyway, Yeah,
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: I think that's all I had to say. Man, those
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: are the two plays that I have right now. I
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: might wind up on Jacksonville on Monday night, but we
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: will see. I felt like I was gonna say one
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: other thing, but now it's slipped my mind. Oh the Cowboys.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: By the way, I finished watching the Netflix Cowboys documentary.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: It is really entertaining. It's a good documentary, well made.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: Oh daubs. The concussion helmet, Yeah, it's ridiculous. I don't
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: even know what that is. Man and wide receivers. I
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: know they get hit hard and like slants and stuff,
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: but still it's like, I don't know it. It's stupid.
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: It looks ridiculous. I don't know. Man, he had a
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: huge game last week. Done. Fortunately at least I was
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: not up against him in fantasy or anything. Like that.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: So yeah, it was a great documentary. I recommend it
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: even if you hate the Cowboys. I mean, they're pretty neutral.
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: Even though it was it was kind of like a
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: you know, it was like the Cowboys kind of made
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: this documentary, but it doesn't necessarily make anybody look like
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: unnecessarily good or bad, right, Like, they give you both
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: the good and the bad. I thought, and everybody that
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: was interviewed, and it kind of did that as well.
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: At some points. It made me sympathize with Jones a
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: little bit, like, especially well, I don't know if I
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: want to give it a everybody knows already though, like
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: when he reunites with Jimmy Johnson at the end, it
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: kind of maybe sympathized with Jones a little bit, because
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: of course early on you're gonna be sympathizing more with
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: Jimmy Johnson. He got the short end of the stick man.
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: He was a better coach than he was given credit for,
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: for sure. But it's crazy, like a bunch of the
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: shit that went on that you like might not remember,
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: I might not know about. You get deep behind the
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: scenes there, man, All the like key players are like
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: interviewed in the documentary and stuff and the coaches and stuff.
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: So yeah, they humanize Jones in the game at least.
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: And I mean he is still I mean he's running
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: the thing as like a you know, a family thing
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: where he's got his whole family around him. So I
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: mean he is a I mean there is that going on.
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: He is still you know, a father, a family man.
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: So there is that, even though he was a dick
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: to Jimmy Johnson. And I think maybe he kind of
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: gives like some of these head case players a little
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: too much credit, but he actually gets them to play
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: as well. So who knows. Man, Uh, sometimes he's too
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: lenient on them, I will say that, but that's gonna
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: do it. Man. The play is one more time for
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: tomorrow the Saints minus the one of that for minus
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: two or whatever, Jets plus one and a half or
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: whatever the best you can get on it. I know
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: how ugly that is, but that's what we do on
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: the show, man. So those are the plays. Learn it
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: tone on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram. Follow me there, like,
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here. Let's boost this channel up.
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: Let's get some more subscribers here, man, so we can
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: start monetizing this shit. And then yeah, we're on the
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: audio platforms as well. If you give me a review
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: on there that helps me out to Spotify Apple covered
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: in yuke on YouTube. That is my yuke channel, so
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: we want to boost that thing as well. I'm doing
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: some October some Halloween themed yuke covers. I gotta get
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: up on there and Patreon dot com, slash learn it tone.
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: If you want to give me some support basically just
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: to support me, get some bonus yuke content. I should
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: find us some more bonus content that I could throw
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: out there, although I kind of I don't know. I
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: feel weird about paywalling any of the betting content, and
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: maybe I'll find something to do there. But that's gonna
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: do it for now. Thanks for hanging out, guys. I
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: appreciate it. I'll be back in the morning. We'll talk
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: the baseball playoff games and the WNBA finals. And I
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: know I said I would do a final market read
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: today on the on the show for the college football
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: games that I play as on, which I didn't do.
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: I forgot I looked. I did look at it myself afterwards,
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: and it all looked pretty much fine to me, except
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: for maybe the Houston game. Which was a loser but
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: whatever I mean, it wasn't. You're not gonna have winning
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: weeks every single week, man, it's just the nature of
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: the game. Got to bounce back from and hopefully we
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: have a good NFL Sunday. We had won like we'd
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: had winning days or non losing days for a ton
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: of days in a row, man, probably for over a
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: week span. I think we're The last time I had
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: a losing day was long, long ago. So it was
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: a nice run and it wasn't a terrible day at least,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: So let's keep it going. Yep, good night to all
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: of you. And yeah, we back in the morning to
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: talk about that stuff. And if I remember, I'll do
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: the final market read for the NFL. That's gonna do
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: it for now. Peace