Latest / The SME Stream / Fibre's impressive return on investment in Aotearoa
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- 0:00Speaker 1: We've heard so much in the past couple of years
- 0:02Speaker 1: about the woeful state of the nation's infrastructure, from dilapidated
- 0:06Speaker 1: roads to broken pipes.
- 0:08Speaker 2: We can't even seem to get our act together to
- 0:10Speaker 2: secure new ferries for the Cook Straight crossing.
- 0:12Speaker 1: But there is one particular infrastructure bright spot, ultra fast broadband.
- 0:18Speaker 2: This week on the Business of Tech Powered by two Degrees,
- 0:21Speaker 2: Deloitte's economists walk us through their new analysis which suggests
- 0:25Speaker 2: we've already received a thirty one billion dollar boost from
- 0:29Speaker 2: having access to high speed internet available to eighty seven
- 0:33Speaker 2: percent of the country, and how we could add a
- 0:36Speaker 2: further one hundred and sixty three billion dollars to the
- 0:38Speaker 2: economy over the next decade, all thanks to that fiber
- 0:42Speaker 2: in the ground.
- 0:43Speaker 1: Here's some big numbers there, but the digital divide, a
- 0:46Speaker 1: gap between fiber availability and uptake, and the slow adoption
- 0:50Speaker 1: of digital technologies among our small businesses could see us
- 0:54Speaker 1: leave billions in economic gains on the table.
- 0:56Speaker 2: I'm Peter Griffin and I'm Ben Moore and soon you're
- 0:59Speaker 2: here from Lisa Vandermev and Mayo ash Prasad on the
- 1:03Speaker 2: UFB dividend.
- 1:04Speaker 1: But first being you and our Business Desk colleague Garth Bray,
- 1:08Speaker 1: a familiar face too many from his time as a
- 1:10Speaker 1: reporter on TVTD Fair Go program, have been looking at
- 1:14Speaker 1: the latest iPhone sixteen devices from Apple. Given this is
- 1:19Speaker 1: a really big update for Apple, I think a lot
- 1:21Speaker 1: of listeners will be keen to hear what the two
- 1:22Speaker 1: of you make about it. So what you had two
- 1:25Speaker 1: different models you split between the two of.
- 1:27Speaker 3: You, That's right.
- 1:28Speaker 2: I've been using the iPhone sixteen Pro Max, the big
- 1:33Speaker 2: one at the big Old Boy, and Garth's been using
- 1:36Speaker 2: the sixteen base model, and he is upgrading from an
- 1:40Speaker 2: iPhone eight as you will hear, so a bit of
- 1:43Speaker 2: a big step. I previously was using a review unit
- 1:46Speaker 2: of the fifteen Pro, so not that much of a
- 1:48Speaker 2: difference for me. Also, obviously, I'm a bit of a
- 1:52Speaker 2: I'm not a I wouldn't call myself power user, but
- 1:55Speaker 2: I do heavily use my phone and lots of it's
- 1:57Speaker 2: different features, whereas Garth is more of a gentle kind
- 2:00Speaker 2: of user of the iPhone ecosystem, so you know, things
- 2:05Speaker 2: like having to talk them into using face IDs. This
- 2:07Speaker 2: is definitely an interesting conversation that we get to have.
- 2:10Speaker 2: We called it comparing apples and you can have a
- 2:13Speaker 2: listen to that.
- 2:13Speaker 4: Now, this is very exciting, Garth, you've agreed to join us.
- 2:30Speaker 3: Obviously you're Garth Bray. I'm Ben Moore.
- 2:33Speaker 2: I'm the host of the Business of Tech podcast and
- 2:35Speaker 2: a tech editor at Business Desk.
- 2:37Speaker 5: And I'm a roving investigative reporter and a little bit
- 2:41Speaker 5: of a new when it comes to new apples. And
- 2:43Speaker 5: so when being you said you could get your hands
- 2:46Speaker 5: on a new iPhone sixteen for me to have a
- 2:48Speaker 5: try with, I was like, this is my chance, this
- 2:51Speaker 5: is my chance stepped into the twenty twenties.
- 2:53Speaker 2: Yeah, welcome, because you were coming up from an iPhone eight?
- 2:56Speaker 3: Is that right?
- 2:57Speaker 6: Yeah? And I would have to say, just straight off
- 3:00Speaker 6: the mark, where's the button? Where's the button gone? The
- 3:04Speaker 6: thing about that button.
- 3:05Speaker 5: That I loved on my iPhone hate was it's just
- 3:09Speaker 5: so convenient you click on that. It does so much
- 3:11Speaker 5: and it's got the touch ID, which is something I
- 3:13Speaker 5: would really want to break into with you in this
- 3:15Speaker 5: if you like like definite where is that gone?
- 3:17Speaker 4: Yeah?
- 3:18Speaker 3: Yeah, And that's actually quite an interesting one.
- 3:19Speaker 2: And that's something that you probably here to people talk
- 3:21Speaker 2: about a fair amount because there are ways of doing
- 3:24Speaker 2: touch ID without that button, but Apple has decided no
- 3:28Speaker 2: face ID or passcode. That's your kind of lot. So
- 3:32Speaker 2: that's kind of what we're going to be doing, is
- 3:33Speaker 2: basically talking about what it's like to use the new
- 3:36Speaker 2: Apple sixteen. I've been using the sixteen Pro Max, which
- 3:41Speaker 2: is kind of the big boy does everything, has everything.
- 3:46Speaker 2: You've been using the sixteen base model, and I don't
- 3:50Speaker 2: think there's a huge amount of difference in general, but
- 3:53Speaker 2: you've also only been using it for a few days
- 3:55Speaker 2: at this point. First of all, when you first unboxed it,
- 3:59Speaker 2: how did it.
- 3:59Speaker 3: Feel ill compared to your eight?
- 4:01Speaker 5: Well, I mean it's bigger obviously for a start, even
- 4:04Speaker 5: the base model is larger, and just the way it
- 4:07Speaker 5: immediately kind of booted up, ran through the languages, it
- 4:10Speaker 5: all felt very intuitive, And I've got to say I
- 4:12Speaker 5: spent probably most of Saturday morning just sitting there tooling
- 4:16Speaker 5: across from one.
- 4:17Speaker 3: To the other.
- 4:17Speaker 5: But the whole process of shifting from one to another,
- 4:20Speaker 5: I'd forgotten how seamless these guys make this. Compared to
- 4:26Speaker 5: my son who got the donation of the old iPhone eight,
- 4:30Speaker 5: he spent probably a few few hours trying to put
- 4:32Speaker 5: stuff across from an Android phone.
- 4:34Speaker 3: And maybe it's something.
- 4:35Speaker 5: That people who regularly change phones wouldn't necessarily notice because
- 4:39Speaker 5: it's a bit more incremental. But when you've got like
- 4:41Speaker 5: years with the stuff there, it all just went straight across.
- 4:45Speaker 3: Yeah, with a few exceptions.
- 4:46Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, there are a few exceptions. And as somebody
- 4:49Speaker 2: who does regularly change my phone and also regularly changes
- 4:53Speaker 2: so I also run an Android for work purposes, I
- 4:56Speaker 2: do actually much much prefer their changeover of your iPhone
- 5:01Speaker 2: your Apple phones, partially because Android has so many different manufacturers.
- 5:06Speaker 3: But yeah, iPhone definitely does the best thing.
- 5:08Speaker 2: The biggest frustration for me was getting a new iPhone
- 5:11Speaker 2: is having to reconnect all of my cards.
- 5:14Speaker 5: Ah, but so frustrating. This is a plus minus for me. Okay,
- 5:19Speaker 5: so yeah it was a hassle, But the whole thing
- 5:22Speaker 5: of porting those cards over, I think it's like a detox.
- 5:26Speaker 3: It's like a choice.
- 5:27Speaker 5: So you sit there and go hang on, this is
- 5:29Speaker 5: the credit card that I'm being asked to add to
- 5:32Speaker 5: this wallet and approve, And this is the credit card
- 5:34Speaker 5: that I've taken out of my physical wallet because I'm
- 5:37Speaker 5: gen X and still actually have a wallet, and I
- 5:40Speaker 5: I've wrapped it up in a series of post it notes,
- 5:43Speaker 5: and each one of them says do you really need this?
- 5:45Speaker 6: Do you really really need this?
- 5:46Speaker 5: And now being asked to put it on my phone,
- 5:48Speaker 5: I'll go, actually, no, no, I won't.
- 5:51Speaker 6: So I see it as a plus.
- 5:52Speaker 3: You're right, it does have that that is good.
- 5:55Speaker 2: But if you're like me and you have like more
- 5:57Speaker 2: debit cards, then you probably should and you kind of
- 5:59Speaker 2: use having different debit cards for budgeting because they're so
- 6:03Speaker 2: easy to spin up these days. And then if you're
- 6:06Speaker 2: using a watch I'm also reviewing the series ten watch,
- 6:10Speaker 2: you also need to do it all again pretty much
- 6:12Speaker 2: to be fair.
- 6:13Speaker 5: I mean, it's it's people's money we're talking about there, right,
- 6:15Speaker 5: so you want a pretty high standard there. But I'm
- 6:18Speaker 5: just a little bit horrified to you how many debit
- 6:19Speaker 5: cards you've got. You know, the fees, the fees alone
- 6:22Speaker 5: are going to be keeping you broke.
- 6:24Speaker 2: Well no, we Yeah, it's probably stupid, but I tend
- 6:28Speaker 2: to go, I tend to have really good ideas and
- 6:30Speaker 2: then go, this will help with organization, and then and
- 6:33Speaker 2: that with like a million email addresses and debit cardspace,
- 6:37Speaker 2: ID I haven't done face, ID do I need to
- 6:39Speaker 2: do face idace ID. Well, I mean that depends how
- 6:41Speaker 2: much do you like putting passwords s into your phone?
- 6:44Speaker 6: Well, this is the thing.
- 6:45Speaker 5: Every time, every single thing now going you know, jumping
- 6:48Speaker 5: into what's it, remember the Corde, jumping into your banking app,
- 6:51Speaker 5: remembering that pin code, every transaction that just used to
- 6:55Speaker 5: be put your your thumb on the bottom and now
- 6:57Speaker 5: it's like it's not there. And you mentioned there are
- 6:59Speaker 5: ways to do it, because I know talking to friends
- 7:01Speaker 5: that there are some Android phones like Samsung one that
- 7:04Speaker 5: will just pick it up through some almost spectral process.
- 7:09Speaker 6: Right on the screen.
- 7:09Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, you put a ghost inside the phone and
- 7:12Speaker 2: then you can No, they do have underscreen fingerprint readers,
- 7:16Speaker 2: so you can put your thumb on the screen and
- 7:18Speaker 2: it can read it through there. You also can some
- 7:21Speaker 2: of them have the fingerprint reader on the side button.
- 7:24Speaker 2: But Apple, I think one of the things is they
- 7:28Speaker 2: don't want to put the physical technology in the phone.
- 7:31Speaker 2: They want to cut down on space, They want to
- 7:33Speaker 2: cut down on complexity on the actual board itself, and
- 7:36Speaker 2: so they would rather use face ID so there's less
- 7:39Speaker 2: burden of actual physical stuff they need.
- 7:41Speaker 3: That's just my hunch.
- 7:42Speaker 6: I think they just want us looking at the phone more.
- 7:44Speaker 2: I think they probably want us looking at the phone
- 7:46Speaker 2: more as well. Definitely, yah right, and that's just like
- 7:49Speaker 2: queuing there then. But it's it's pretty great Apple ladies.
- 7:53Speaker 2: Apple's face idea is really easy to use, very intuitive,
- 7:58Speaker 2: works ninety nine percent of the time. As long as
- 8:00Speaker 2: you're okay with you know, having their your biometric data
- 8:04Speaker 2: stored on your phone, then that's okay.
- 8:06Speaker 5: I think after years on the Telly, it's probably already
- 8:09Speaker 5: out there anywhere. Look, Okay, for next time, I will
- 8:12Speaker 5: try face ID and I will give you some updates
- 8:15Speaker 5: on how that works for me. But I'm still not
- 8:17Speaker 5: sure about Siri. Do I need Suri in my life?
- 8:19Speaker 2: So this is where we start getting into Apple Intelligence.
- 8:22Speaker 2: So at the moment, what we've got with Siri is
- 8:24Speaker 2: still a bit clunky, not as good as some of
- 8:28Speaker 2: the competition out there in terms of picking stuff up
- 8:30Speaker 2: or reacting to what you're saying. But in the eighteen
- 8:34Speaker 2: point one update iOS eighteen point one, we should be
- 8:38Speaker 2: getting Apple Intelligence, and part of that will be powering
- 8:41Speaker 2: Siri with a lot more contextual understanding and ability to
- 8:45Speaker 2: respond to you, as well as some other features which
- 8:48Speaker 2: are pretty cool at the moment, I am okay with Siri.
- 8:52Speaker 2: She's she and I or he and I in my phone.
- 8:55Speaker 2: The Irish man that I have answering to.
- 8:57Speaker 3: Me follow me. I'm deliciously exactly here, and I get
- 9:02Speaker 3: on pretty well. My wife and Siri do not get
- 9:05Speaker 3: on well at all. She really struggles to get Siri
- 9:07Speaker 3: to respond to her.
- 9:08Speaker 2: I don't know whether that's a training thing or if
- 9:10Speaker 2: it's an accent thing, because my accent's a bit less
- 9:12Speaker 2: kiary than hers. Probably, So I would be very interested
- 9:16Speaker 2: for you to give Siri a go as it is
- 9:17Speaker 2: now and see how useful it is.
- 9:20Speaker 3: We can check some of that stuff out. Yeah, you're
- 9:22Speaker 3: gonna go see what you think.
- 9:23Speaker 5: So the other thing I think is that continuing that
- 9:26Speaker 5: theme of like choices that you're asked to make, like
- 9:28Speaker 5: will I give my face to this or.
- 9:31Speaker 6: Will I sign up that card?
- 9:33Speaker 3: Little stuff like you're.
- 9:34Speaker 5: Going through an emergency call organ donation. Yeah, I'm now
- 9:38Speaker 5: being asked to consider whether or not I'm an organ donor,
- 9:41Speaker 5: and I'm thinking this might be set up later for me.
- 9:45Speaker 5: It's kind of like, Okay, that's an interesting choice. So
- 9:47Speaker 5: I'm I'm very keen on that idea of any time
- 9:50Speaker 5: you step from one platform to another or even a
- 9:53Speaker 5: new little piece, it's a good chance to look at
- 9:56Speaker 5: how it affects all the parts of your life and
- 9:58Speaker 5: whether you could be doing it and maybe whether there's
- 10:01Speaker 5: some underlying choices that you need to reflect on.
- 10:03Speaker 3: So that's for me.
- 10:05Speaker 6: It was a transformational experience in many ways.
- 10:08Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I can imagine, and like I think, you know,
- 10:11Speaker 2: as somebody who does it so frequently, I just do
- 10:14Speaker 2: it on autopilot now tic tic yes, yes, yes, have
- 10:17Speaker 2: my heart. I don't care to be honest, like, yeah,
- 10:19Speaker 2: maybe I should stop and actually take some time to
- 10:22Speaker 2: think about to do a little digital cleanse and actually
- 10:25Speaker 2: go through and look at everything. But it's just so
- 10:27Speaker 2: unwieldly at this point. It is so thoroughly integrated with
- 10:31Speaker 2: my life. I've got apps on there from a million
- 10:32Speaker 2: years ago I never.
- 10:33Speaker 5: Use and yeah, and I guess, look, okay, it's it's
- 10:36Speaker 5: not the same as moving the entire contents of your
- 10:39Speaker 5: house with you when you go and not sort of
- 10:40Speaker 5: downtizing or whatever. I think I had about sixty point
- 10:43Speaker 5: one eight gig of stuff that poorted from one to
- 10:45Speaker 5: the other, which I'm just thinking back once upon a
- 10:47Speaker 5: time would have taken forever and literally was like I
- 10:50Speaker 5: think I went away and made a cup of coffee
- 10:52Speaker 5: and it.
- 10:52Speaker 7: Was just about that.
- 10:53Speaker 3: It's incredible, isn't it.
- 10:54Speaker 5: And just the way it sort of happens in such proximity.
- 10:56Speaker 5: It's kind of increasingly the way that I don't I
- 11:00Speaker 5: would imagine technology should work. It's just finally it's happening
- 11:04Speaker 5: without the need to plug stuff in and connect it
- 11:06Speaker 5: and all.
- 11:06Speaker 3: That kind of thing.
- 11:07Speaker 2: I think that's pretty What makes Apple kind of special
- 11:09Speaker 2: is the lack of friction, you know, that is really
- 11:12Speaker 2: what they're all about, that user intuitiveness, user interface.
- 11:14Speaker 3: So yeah, I.
- 11:16Speaker 5: Found it really interesting that transferring your phone number is
- 11:21Speaker 5: like almost about the fifth or sixth It's so down
- 11:24Speaker 5: the list. This is a phone, you know, originally its
- 11:27Speaker 5: purpose was to ring people, and there's some way down
- 11:29Speaker 5: the list we get to, Oh, by the way, if
- 11:30Speaker 5: you've got a phone number, you might want to chuck
- 11:32Speaker 5: it in. Now, at what point are we just not
- 11:34Speaker 5: going to have phone numbers anymore?
- 11:36Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a really interesting question.
- 11:37Speaker 2: I think that a phone number has become more of
- 11:39Speaker 2: a unique identifier than anything else, because people if you
- 11:43Speaker 2: have like FaceTime, people can ring you using your email address. Realistically,
- 11:49Speaker 2: we don't ring people. We don't talk in the same
- 11:52Speaker 2: way anymore. We don't talk using resonance. That's kind of
- 11:55Speaker 2: sent down copper wires. It's digital. Things get turned into
- 11:59Speaker 2: a digital format and sense to you digitally. So the
- 12:01Speaker 2: idea of a phone number where it's trying to figure
- 12:03Speaker 2: out which exchange to go through is kind of obsolete,
- 12:07Speaker 2: But as a number that is a unique identifier for
- 12:10Speaker 2: you still very useful and will probably be used as
- 12:14Speaker 2: we move forward into the digital identity world as well,
- 12:17Speaker 2: which is where things like having your organ donation status
- 12:19Speaker 2: on your phone. You know that could be now when
- 12:22Speaker 2: we get to digital identity that can be linked to
- 12:24Speaker 2: your driver's license, can be linked to other forms of IDA,
- 12:27Speaker 2: and it will all be kind of integrated into this
- 12:29Speaker 2: digital morass that defines you.
- 12:32Speaker 5: I guess it's a billing point right for most bats,
- 12:35Speaker 5: this is who we're seeing the bill to, so they
- 12:37Speaker 5: want to kind of maintain that connection to some extent.
- 12:40Speaker 5: But surely there must, like you say, to your point
- 12:42Speaker 5: where you just don't.
- 12:43Speaker 3: Really need it anymore.
- 12:44Speaker 6: You can get by without it.
- 12:45Speaker 5: There's a lot to consider here, and so I don't
- 12:48Speaker 5: want to try and cram it all into our first chat,
- 12:50Speaker 5: but it feels like we've got we've got some solid
- 12:53Speaker 5: chances to try and help me understand technology.
- 12:55Speaker 3: I feel you know the stuff backwards.
- 12:57Speaker 5: And this is why I'm very, very glad to have
- 13:00Speaker 5: your expertise at my disposal here, because I would say, like,
- 13:04Speaker 5: not knowing what goes on inside a phone doesn't necessarily
- 13:08Speaker 5: hold people back, but it might hold them back from going, Oh,
- 13:10Speaker 5: do I really want to spend like another fifteen hundred
- 13:12Speaker 5: bucks or something, or a whole lot extra on this,
- 13:15Speaker 5: But I guess I'm interested to explore all the things
- 13:18Speaker 5: that I didn't realize the phone could do and in
- 13:22Speaker 5: ways that it might sort of help sort of make
- 13:24Speaker 5: life a bit more simple.
- 13:26Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm really interested to hear what you think, in
- 13:29Speaker 2: particular of some of the sixteen specific features like having
- 13:33Speaker 2: a camera button at your dispose, or how often do
- 13:36Speaker 2: you use the camera button as you start to use
- 13:38Speaker 2: the phone more, what other kind of bits and pieces
- 13:42Speaker 2: in the sixteen compared to the eight you're finding quite
- 13:45Speaker 2: useful and interesting?
- 13:47Speaker 5: And it sent me all these things like, hey, you
- 13:49Speaker 5: can get three months Apple TV, so you can see
- 13:51Speaker 5: how constantly they're using ways to flick you some insurance,
- 13:55Speaker 5: flick you some extra plans, and it's really just a
- 13:57Speaker 5: gateway drug to all the things that they offer.
- 13:59Speaker 2: There's a reason, and the Apple really have a decent
- 14:02Speaker 2: services revenue as well as their product revenue, so you
- 14:05Speaker 2: can definitely see how.
- 14:06Speaker 3: They want to keep that going.
- 14:08Speaker 1: Long.
- 14:10Speaker 3: More on that in the next one, maybe, maybe. Yeah,
- 14:12Speaker 3: thank you so much.
- 14:13Speaker 2: For taking the time to chat with us, Garth, and
- 14:15Speaker 2: thank you guys for joining us.
- 14:29Speaker 1: Interesting Ben. You know, we usually because we're upgrading our
- 14:33Speaker 1: phones a bit more often are going from you know,
- 14:35Speaker 1: an iPhone fifteen to sixteen, or an S twenty three
- 14:40Speaker 1: Samsung Galaxy to a twenty four. Garth has skipped quite
- 14:44Speaker 1: a few generations and quite confronting for him not to
- 14:47Speaker 1: have a physical button on a phone. It's just something
- 14:50Speaker 1: we take for granted now, but actually for a long
- 14:52Speaker 1: time that was a really cool feature off the iPhone.
- 14:55Speaker 2: Yeah, and the thing that he pointed out about touch
- 14:58Speaker 2: id and his love for touch ID, which I actually
- 15:01Speaker 2: remember missing when I first upgraded. But I've become very
- 15:05Speaker 2: used to face ID. But one very exciting thing is
- 15:09Speaker 2: that I'm not one of those people who dives into
- 15:11Speaker 2: beta operating systems. I tend to wait for the full release.
- 15:15Speaker 2: And today I woke up this morning and my phone
- 15:17Speaker 2: said eighteen point one is ready for download. That's going
- 15:20Speaker 2: to be Apple Intelligence. So I haven't had time to
- 15:24Speaker 2: do that the OS upgrade yet, but hopefully after this
- 15:27Speaker 2: conversation today, I will upgrade it to Apple Intelligence, And
- 15:31Speaker 2: so next time Garth and I have a chat, I'll
- 15:33Speaker 2: have a lot more to say.
- 15:35Speaker 1: Yeah. For me, that's the one thing I really want
- 15:39Speaker 1: to see. I know they have great hardware, a great
- 15:42Speaker 1: operating system, but the one thing that might get me
- 15:45Speaker 1: across from Android into the Apple camp is all of
- 15:49Speaker 1: these built in free features that come as part of
- 15:54Speaker 1: Apple Intelligence. And we're talking about things like tools to
- 15:58Speaker 1: allow you to edit and so memorze your emails, text
- 16:02Speaker 1: editing tools across the iPhone, the ability to automatically transcribe
- 16:07Speaker 1: and record conversations on the phone. That's really valuable. But
- 16:11Speaker 1: it'll be interesting to see what Garth makes if the
- 16:14Speaker 1: AI powered Siri when that comes along. He's obviously been
- 16:18Speaker 1: using it to some effect, but that's potentially going to
- 16:22Speaker 1: be quite a big change in the iPhone as well
- 16:24Speaker 1: when they have generative AI underpinning Siri, that's able to
- 16:28Speaker 1: cross a number of apps on your phone and give
- 16:32Speaker 1: you a lot more value in terms of it being
- 16:34Speaker 1: able to find information on your device and control menus
- 16:39Speaker 1: and the like. That's what Apple is talking about with
- 16:41Speaker 1: Apple Intelligence, but haven't seen it in the wild yet.
- 16:44Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 16:45Speaker 2: So we'll probably have part two of my series with
- 16:49Speaker 2: Garth and the New Year, so stay tuned for that,
- 16:53Speaker 2: And in the meantime, let's head over to our featured guests.
- 16:57Speaker 2: As I said before, we've got Lisa van der merv
- 16:59Speaker 2: and Ash Prasad from consulting firm Deloitte. Lisa is a
- 17:03Speaker 2: lead partner at Deloitte Access Economics and former Commerce Commission economist,
- 17:08Speaker 2: and Mayo Rash as an Associate director and senior economist
- 17:11Speaker 2: at Deloit Access Economics, and he also did a length
- 17:15Speaker 2: at the ComCom.
- 17:16Speaker 1: Yeah, then you report Unleashing the Power of Digital Fiber
- 17:19Speaker 1: Infrastructure in New Zealand is probably the first in depth
- 17:22Speaker 1: look at what our five point five billion dollar investment
- 17:26Speaker 1: in ultrafast broadband has returned to the country and what
- 17:30Speaker 1: the spin offs might be in the next decade. As
- 17:33Speaker 1: we enter the ai Era.
- 17:35Speaker 2: There's a lot to unpack with this, I mean, considered
- 17:37Speaker 2: one of the most successful projects in New Zealand's history
- 17:41Speaker 2: in terms of what it has actually been able to
- 17:43Speaker 2: deliver to its citizenry. So here's that interview. Peter speaking
- 17:47Speaker 2: to Lisa and Mayor Rash from Deloitte.
- 17:53Speaker 1: Lisa and Mayor Esh, Welcome to the Business of Tech.
- 17:56Speaker 1: Thanks so much for coming on.
- 17:57Speaker 8: Well, thank you for the opportunity to be sha some
- 18:01Speaker 8: insights from our recent report.
- 18:03Speaker 7: Yeah, I likewise thank you for having us on.
- 18:05Speaker 1: Yeah, so you've just done this really interesting report, a
- 18:08Speaker 1: retrospective report in some sense, looking back at what we've
- 18:12Speaker 1: achieved with the ultra fast broadband network. Now that was
- 18:17Speaker 1: sort of designed and thought off and the politicians really
- 18:21Speaker 1: got behind that way back in two thousand and nine.
- 18:24Speaker 1: Construction started in twenty ten. This was back in the
- 18:27Speaker 1: Key government. We're now in twenty twenty four. So let's
- 18:31Speaker 1: just break down. First, break down the numbers for us
- 18:34Speaker 1: in terms of looking back to I think twenty twelve
- 18:36Speaker 1: the research covers to twenty twenty three. What did it achieve?
- 18:40Speaker 8: Firstly, maybe just stepping back a little bit, so I've
- 18:44Speaker 8: been Peter, like you I've been part of the Fiber
- 18:47Speaker 8: journey since they won while I was working at the
- 18:50Speaker 8: Commas Commission, I mean, even thinking about regulation, what does
- 18:54Speaker 8: the design look like? At the start there was quite
- 18:57Speaker 8: a key focus just on a spine from his supply
- 19:00Speaker 8: side perspective. We then conducted in twenty twelve at demand
- 19:03Speaker 8: site studying because demand at that point in time was
- 19:06Speaker 8: still so uncertain. Just reflecting back on that is, if
- 19:12Speaker 8: I look at the Fiber roller today, it's probably one
- 19:16Speaker 8: of the most successful examples of a large scale public
- 19:20Speaker 8: private partnership that we have in New Zealand. So in
- 19:23Speaker 8: that context, we took it upon ourselves to do this
- 19:26Speaker 8: report and as you say, firstly, consider what are the
- 19:29Speaker 8: benefits today, what are the benefits in the future, and
- 19:33Speaker 8: what actions do we need to take to achieve that benefit.
- 19:37Speaker 7: The way we looked at it was, you know, measure
- 19:40Speaker 7: how fiber has better enabled us to combine now know
- 19:43Speaker 7: how our our labor are capital to better produce goods
- 19:47Speaker 7: and services. So what we've what we found is that
- 19:50Speaker 7: between twenty twelve and twenty twenty three, the productivity uplift
- 19:54Speaker 7: I mean GDP terms is thirty one billion, so quite
- 19:56Speaker 7: a significant amount, and you know, in twenty twenty three,
- 19:59Speaker 7: just in particular, the productivity uplift was eight point eight billion,
- 20:03Speaker 7: so recently significant amounts of productivity uplift to date as
- 20:07Speaker 7: a result of the fiber network.
- 20:09Speaker 1: Yeah, and that really interested me. In twenty twenty three
- 20:12Speaker 1: eight billion odd and economic uplift there it seems to
- 20:16Speaker 1: be is this an acceleration. What explains that just in
- 20:19Speaker 1: one year we've got almost a quarter of that economic
- 20:21Speaker 1: uplift is that just because uptake is accelerating.
- 20:24Speaker 8: It is around uptake, it is around access, and it
- 20:28Speaker 8: is around speed, but it's also coupled with the development
- 20:32Speaker 8: of new applications and innovations, and that is driving the
- 20:35Speaker 8: productivity benefits.
- 20:37Speaker 9: That is a result that we see in twenty twenty.
- 20:40Speaker 7: Three when the network's being rolled out, obviously, you know,
- 20:42Speaker 7: we're necessarily going to see the benefits. But once uptake
- 20:45Speaker 7: increased and applications started getting developed on that connection, that's
- 20:49Speaker 7: when we started seeing the productivity uplift. And that's why
- 20:52Speaker 7: you see more of the impact and the latter period
- 20:54Speaker 7: because that's really when people started connecting and using and
- 20:58Speaker 7: developing applications. And I think productivity as a result of
- 21:01Speaker 7: the fiber newwork.
- 21:02Speaker 1: Yeah, and you pointed out in there, I think there's
- 21:06Speaker 1: been about a five point five billion dollar investment in
- 21:09Speaker 1: the UFB network between Orus and the other fiber providers
- 21:13Speaker 1: have obviously invested a lot of money. We've had at
- 21:15Speaker 1: least one point five billion taxpayer dollars in the form
- 21:19Speaker 1: of loans and investment went into that as well. So
- 21:22Speaker 1: I guess an economic terms, pretty darn good return on
- 21:25Speaker 1: investment so far.
- 21:26Speaker 9: Yeah, that's absolutely right, Peter.
- 21:28Speaker 1: Having said that, you know, you point out in the
- 21:30Speaker 1: report that we haven't really captured the productivity potential off
- 21:35Speaker 1: this network. We have a New Zealand a reputation for
- 21:39Speaker 1: not being great on the productivity front compared to other
- 21:42Speaker 1: advanced nations. We lag behind them. We've been hearing from
- 21:47Speaker 1: the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research many others that
- 21:51Speaker 1: one of the keys to boosting productivity is embracing advanced technologies.
- 21:56Speaker 1: A lot of them are digital technologies underpinned by high
- 21:59Speaker 1: speed in it. So mayrish to what extent have we
- 22:03Speaker 1: actually got a productivity boost to date from UFB. We've
- 22:07Speaker 1: obviously had an economic impact. What about the productivity story.
- 22:10Speaker 7: It has a lift of productivity to date. Despite the
- 22:13Speaker 7: weak productivity overall, what I would say is that our
- 22:16Speaker 7: productivity performance would have been a lot worse had it
- 22:19Speaker 7: not been for the fiber network. But as our report emphasizes,
- 22:22Speaker 7: there's still a long way to go. There's still a
- 22:24Speaker 7: massive dividend to capture if we continue, well, if we
- 22:28Speaker 7: take a few key six steps that we've outlined in
- 22:32Speaker 7: our report to really capture that substantial dividend to come.
- 22:35Speaker 8: I mean, if we all imagine a world without fiber
- 22:38Speaker 8: productivity in New zeal And, what would our productivity look like?
- 22:41Speaker 8: It uplifted our productivity. And what we also showing the
- 22:44Speaker 8: report is that our productivity payoff to come is just
- 22:47Speaker 8: really getting started, and we have a potential to add
- 22:50Speaker 8: another one hundred and sixty three billion dollars in MPV
- 22:54Speaker 8: terms over the next decade.
- 22:55Speaker 1: You explain that in MPV, so you've got one hundred
- 22:58Speaker 1: and sixty three billion dollars by twenty thirty three. What
- 23:02Speaker 1: does the MPV mean?
- 23:04Speaker 8: MPV is just net present value terms. What is the
- 23:07Speaker 8: value to dry over the next ten years.
- 23:10Speaker 1: So that's obviously significant. And to achieve that, we will
- 23:15Speaker 1: get onto the six things that you sort of have
- 23:17Speaker 1: outlined you need to achieve. One of them is just
- 23:21Speaker 1: actually using this sort of gold plated network that we've built.
- 23:25Speaker 1: So I think it's been rolled out to eighty five
- 23:27Speaker 1: percent of the country now, but not everyone's using it, right.
- 23:30Speaker 9: That is absolutely right.
- 23:32Speaker 8: I mean in our report, what we indicate is that yes,
- 23:35Speaker 8: eighty percent off our population do have coverage in fiber,
- 23:39Speaker 8: but uptake of fiber is currently sitting at seventy five percent.
- 23:43Speaker 8: And if we break it down on a regional basis,
- 23:46Speaker 8: for example, if we look at Wellington, there's a gap
- 23:49Speaker 8: between access and uptake of twenty two percent.
- 23:52Speaker 9: That is the first component that we need to focus on.
- 23:55Speaker 8: Is really decreasing the gap between access and updake.
- 23:58Speaker 1: Yeah, drill into that a little bit more, Marsh. You've
- 24:01Speaker 1: identified the seventeen billion dollar figure that would be left
- 24:04Speaker 1: on the table. Is that simply down to the fact
- 24:07Speaker 1: that if we don't extend this out, less people can
- 24:10Speaker 1: access this, less people get those productivity gains.
- 24:13Speaker 7: Yeah, yeah, I think better. That's that's exactly exactly right.
- 24:16Speaker 7: By increasing coverage and also I think importantly increasing uptake,
- 24:21Speaker 7: you get consumers, businesses and the like accessing this high
- 24:24Speaker 7: speed internet infrastructure. Increasingly as we outline in our or,
- 24:28Speaker 7: there'll be a lot more applications, technologies and the like
- 24:31Speaker 7: that are reliant on the high speed nature of the connectivity,
- 24:34Speaker 7: but also the bandwidth and latent to see characteristics of
- 24:38Speaker 7: the technology, they'll be crucial in enabling that. So the
- 24:41Speaker 7: more connection coverage you get of the fiber network, the
- 24:46Speaker 7: more use of these new technologies you get, and the
- 24:48Speaker 7: more better we get at producing goods and services I
- 24:53Speaker 7: eat productivity, and the better the benefits overall. So that
- 24:56Speaker 7: that's how Yeah, characterizing, I agree with you, but just
- 24:59Speaker 7: unpacking up pack your question at bit more.
- 25:01Speaker 1: Okay, looking forward, let's look at these sort of six
- 25:03Speaker 1: key things that you've identified that a sort of key
- 25:06Speaker 1: to really maximizing the benefit of this leads them. Could
- 25:09Speaker 1: you take us through those?
- 25:10Speaker 8: Yeah, So in terms of the first actions, we just
- 25:14Speaker 8: discussed that already, so that is readdressing digital equity by
- 25:18Speaker 8: boosting fiber access and also the uptake in households. The
- 25:22Speaker 8: next dimension that we identified or action is in New Zealand,
- 25:26Speaker 8: we have to make room to innovate with II. So
- 25:30Speaker 8: as part of this is we identified to actions. So
- 25:34Speaker 8: the first action is first on policy makers, So policy
- 25:39Speaker 8: makers really need to ensure that we promote increased II
- 25:42Speaker 8: usage but also in a responsible way. And then it's
- 25:46Speaker 8: another action is perhaps on business associations where they would
- 25:51Speaker 8: need to work with their members to guide them through
- 25:54Speaker 8: the adoption of new technology is but also sharing success stories.
- 25:59Speaker 8: Another dum that we've identified is about seizing the opportunity
- 26:03Speaker 8: to grow exports. So we know the government would like
- 26:07Speaker 8: to double the value of exports and one way that
- 26:10Speaker 8: we can diversify our exports is in fact through weightless exports.
- 26:15Speaker 8: So New Zealand do have a comparative advantage in this
- 26:18Speaker 8: and even if we think, say for example, about our
- 26:20Speaker 8: gaming sector. Just last week it was announced that for
- 26:23Speaker 8: the first time we are a net exporter from a
- 26:26Speaker 8: New Zealand perspective, and our fiber network is so critical
- 26:30Speaker 8: to enable this. So what we can do, and this
- 26:33Speaker 8: is both on businesses but also the government, is to
- 26:37Speaker 8: promote New Zealand, to promote the capabilities of a fiber
- 26:40Speaker 8: network and to promote the success of our infrastructure that
- 26:44Speaker 8: we have here in New Zealand and that can facilit
- 26:46Speaker 8: out of growth in our exports. The last three actions
- 26:49Speaker 8: that we identified, one that iuble focus on now is
- 26:53Speaker 8: around our small businesses.
- 26:55Speaker 9: So our small businesses in New Zealand as really.
- 26:58Speaker 8: A backbone of our economy is lagging in a takeing
- 27:02Speaker 8: I mean pt you will probably be aware of this
- 27:04Speaker 8: to Asia Pacific surveys, as only a third of our
- 27:09Speaker 8: small businesses use social media, only three four percent generate
- 27:15Speaker 8: more than ten percent of the revenue online. The average
- 27:18Speaker 8: on an Asia Pacific level is seventy percent, So we
- 27:21Speaker 8: are really lagging behind. This is impacting our growth, also
- 27:26Speaker 8: impacting our productivity and performance of our economy. So yeah,
- 27:31Speaker 8: we can get small businesses under government really to collaborate
- 27:36Speaker 8: in order to get businesses connected and lifting online presence.
- 27:41Speaker 8: The government and a small businesses again can work together
- 27:44Speaker 8: in terms of providing the right incentives, providing support programs,
- 27:49Speaker 8: also ensuring that we are attracting but also retaining the
- 27:53Speaker 8: right talent in New Zealand. And then if we think
- 27:55Speaker 8: about larger businesses, they can in fact support these small
- 28:00Speaker 8: business customers through processes of digital adoption and facilitating knowledge sharing.
- 28:07Speaker 8: Then if we only focus on the government for moment,
- 28:09Speaker 8: the government can really be an early adopter. So what
- 28:12Speaker 8: do we mean by that? For example, the Commerce Commission
- 28:16Speaker 8: in their recent market study on personal banking. One of
- 28:21Speaker 8: the recommendations there was for the government to be an
- 28:24Speaker 8: early adopted in open banking, so we refer to it
- 28:27Speaker 8: as open customer data because banking is the first sectem
- 28:32Speaker 8: being insurance, energy and so forth, so the government could
- 28:36Speaker 8: really be an early adopt to day but also ensuring
- 28:39Speaker 8: that we are moving more towards a matured digital public infrastructure.
- 28:45Speaker 9: And then the last component.
- 28:47Speaker 8: Is around regulation or is it deregulation that we need
- 28:52Speaker 8: because we need to make sure that our regulations in
- 28:54Speaker 8: New Zealand is really fit for purpose, so it is
- 28:58Speaker 8: conducive to invite and investment going forward. And I mean
- 29:02Speaker 8: regulized could refer to copper, could refer to fiber, could
- 29:06Speaker 8: refer to IO. So that is in a natural our
- 29:10Speaker 8: recommendations and key actions that we think is required to
- 29:13Speaker 8: ensure that we don't miss out on this opportunity. Maurge,
- 29:16Speaker 8: do you mind, We just want to flag the example
- 29:19Speaker 8: in Europe.
- 29:20Speaker 7: Yeah, yeah, sure, think so, Peter. We note in our
- 29:23Speaker 7: report Europe's Digital Decade, it's a policy program with kind
- 29:28Speaker 7: of concrete targets to make the whole of you a
- 29:30Speaker 7: bit more, I guess, transform EU economy and make it
- 29:34Speaker 7: more digital. Some of our recommendations draw upon some of
- 29:38Speaker 7: the initiatives from the digital decade. For example, the increase
- 29:42Speaker 7: in coverage and uptake is a key key tenet of
- 29:45Speaker 7: Europe's digital decade. The other thing I guess I would
- 29:49Speaker 7: emphasize is Europe's doing a really really great job in
- 29:52Speaker 7: terms of measuring how they are tracking against those targets.
- 29:56Speaker 7: So they've got set concrete targets by twenty thirty. Every
- 29:59Speaker 7: cup years or so, they measure how each country is
- 30:03Speaker 7: tracking in relation to the targets, and if they are
- 30:06Speaker 7: tracking properly, they then go back to the drawing board
- 30:10Speaker 7: and essentially troubleshoot how they are going to reach those targets.
- 30:14Speaker 7: Underpinning those digital targets are quite a range of metrics
- 30:18Speaker 7: and data depending how each country is tracking towards the target.
- 30:22Speaker 7: They are tracking, how many invoices each of those large
- 30:25Speaker 7: to medium to small enterprises are providing as part of
- 30:28Speaker 7: their business operations. So really concrete targets backed up by
- 30:32Speaker 7: really concrete measurement and recalibration.
- 30:35Speaker 1: Yes, so tracking what you're doing is really important so
- 30:37Speaker 1: you can measure progress We have had sort of initiatives
- 30:41Speaker 1: in New Zealand, like Digital Boost aimed at at small
- 30:44Speaker 1: and medium sized businesses. During the COVID pandemic, there was
- 30:48Speaker 1: a big focus on going digital really for necessity, because
- 30:51Speaker 1: businesses had to pivot online. You think we've sort of
- 30:55Speaker 1: taken a foot off the gas on those efforts. Do
- 30:58Speaker 1: we really need to do a lot more? I'm thinking
- 31:01Speaker 1: of countries like Singapore which have given all the hawker
- 31:05Speaker 1: stalls in the country basically access to f post technology
- 31:10Speaker 1: trying to get everyone transacting digitally. Do we really need
- 31:13Speaker 1: to do a bigger push with small business to get
- 31:15Speaker 1: them capable enough to take advantage of this great network?
- 31:18Speaker 8: We have totally agree, Viz, that's really required. I mean,
- 31:22Speaker 8: even if we think about our small businesses and the
- 31:25Speaker 8: fact that they are lagging in a tech game, that
- 31:28Speaker 8: is really important. We also understand, i mean, full small business,
- 31:33Speaker 8: the cost around technology and adoption is a big barrier
- 31:37Speaker 8: foot them. In order of our small business really to
- 31:40Speaker 8: lift their tech game, we might need to consider about
- 31:44Speaker 8: how can we support them to do that?
- 31:46Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's for pretty basic stuff really, like, as
- 31:49Speaker 1: you say, accessing social media, having an e commerce platform
- 31:54Speaker 1: might be Shopify or something getting that enabled for your business.
- 31:57Speaker 1: But I think we're really starting to see with a
- 32:00Speaker 1: lot of businesses moving to the cloud, and then with AI,
- 32:03Speaker 1: we'll start to see that accelerate, which is what you've
- 32:05Speaker 1: identified in the report. May resh what sort of applications
- 32:09Speaker 1: when it comes to AI are we starting to see
- 32:12Speaker 1: being used and what do you expect over the next decade.
- 32:15Speaker 1: Give us a flavor of some of the more sort
- 32:17Speaker 1: of bandwidth intensive applications of AI that our businesses may
- 32:22Speaker 1: be using and consumers as well.
- 32:23Speaker 7: So at the moment, you know, as you'll be where
- 32:25Speaker 7: AI needs to be largely text dominated, so we're seeing
- 32:28Speaker 7: a lot of that being rolled out currently, but looking forward,
- 32:31Speaker 7: there might be generative AI models that take user prompts
- 32:35Speaker 7: and outputs such as videos, and you know, work off
- 32:39Speaker 7: that to simulate scenarios or IS solutions or answers. Another
- 32:43Speaker 7: example is a shift from X to two dimensional inputs
- 32:47Speaker 7: so that those tools can extra plate and generate data
- 32:50Speaker 7: representing three D objects or creating virtual renderings or AIA
- 32:54Speaker 7: assisted prototypes or designs in a virtual virtual space. So
- 32:58Speaker 7: really kind of shift how we use AI currently from
- 33:02Speaker 7: a largely text based application to something a lot more interactive,
- 33:06Speaker 7: bred and dynamic. The bandwidth and the latency provided by
- 33:11Speaker 7: the fiber network will be really, really key to enabling that.
- 33:14Speaker 7: It will be a very i guess data hungry application
- 33:17Speaker 7: and the fiber network will be critical to that. So yeah,
- 33:20Speaker 7: that's that's I guess a view on how things might
- 33:23Speaker 7: evolve going into the future. And what is clear as
- 33:27Speaker 7: in any scenario, the fiber network will be really important
- 33:31Speaker 7: to the adoption and use of those kinds of developments.
- 33:33Speaker 1: Yeah, and we've got really no idea what you know,
- 33:36Speaker 1: what is coming in the next five to seven years.
- 33:38Speaker 1: You know, Mark Zuckerberg is working on the metaverse. If
- 33:42Speaker 1: something like that took off, you know, real time virtual
- 33:45Speaker 1: reality and in a multi sort of player environment, could
- 33:49Speaker 1: could be very bannedwidth intensive as well. I guess the
- 33:52Speaker 1: benefit of fiber is that ability to increase the speeds
- 33:57Speaker 1: by changing the equipment at either ends of that hiber
- 34:00Speaker 1: optic cable and some of the stuff you've quoted in
- 34:02Speaker 1: there from Coorus. It's really quite staggering where we've come from,
- 34:06Speaker 1: sort of in the last decade, from sort of accessing
- 34:09Speaker 1: the Internet at five megabits per second too. I think
- 34:11Speaker 1: the average was over four hundred megabits per second.
- 34:14Speaker 7: Now exactly right, And I just wanted to emphasize that,
- 34:17Speaker 7: I guess our estimates of the future dividend in a
- 34:20Speaker 7: way are conservative. They relate primarily to the I guess
- 34:24Speaker 7: the historical relationship between connectivity speed and penetration and productivity uplift.
- 34:29Speaker 7: But if AI technologies start really evolving and taking off,
- 34:35Speaker 7: and they still will be reliant on other fiber network
- 34:37Speaker 7: then that relationship might increase, and so the potential dividend
- 34:41Speaker 7: going forward might be larger. So in many respects, the
- 34:44Speaker 7: future potential impact that we've estimated might be a conservative
- 34:48Speaker 7: one if things move in a positive direction going forward.
- 34:51Speaker 1: And Lisa, in the report, you've talked about Europe what
- 34:55Speaker 1: they're doing, which is quite regressive. You quote in there
- 34:59Speaker 1: is some some research from other countries about the sort
- 35:02Speaker 1: of the productivity and economic boost that other countries have
- 35:06Speaker 1: experienced as well. How do we compare in terms of
- 35:09Speaker 1: how we've done compared to some of those other countries
- 35:11Speaker 1: that invested in high speed internet.
- 35:13Speaker 8: The first example is probably the example closest to us,
- 35:17Speaker 8: and that's Australium. So what we know is Australia mandated
- 35:21Speaker 8: a copy to fiber migration, where as an inner Zealand
- 35:26Speaker 8: we ben it.
- 35:27Speaker 9: Was quite different.
- 35:28Speaker 8: It was very focused on targets, the provision of fiber
- 35:32Speaker 8: products that set prices and initially through contracts with the
- 35:36Speaker 8: Crown Infrastructure Partners. I mean, what we see today is
- 35:40Speaker 8: that every compare to Australia, and this is all based
- 35:44Speaker 8: on public reports. It is not necessarily my own personal opinion.
- 35:48Speaker 8: But we know we have faster internet compared to Australia.
- 35:53Speaker 8: We also know that NBN is performing relatively well. There
- 35:57Speaker 8: are quite a lot of lessons that I can learn
- 35:59Speaker 8: from New Zealand from a fiber perspective. What we also know,
- 36:03Speaker 8: for example, is that New Zealand is currently ranks under
- 36:07Speaker 8: the top ten ninth out of thirty eight OCD countries,
- 36:13Speaker 8: whereas Australia is in a distant thirty of place. From
- 36:18Speaker 8: a respective on an international ladder, we are huge New
- 36:21Speaker 8: Zealand's fiber network is.
- 36:23Speaker 9: A huge success.
- 36:24Speaker 8: Also, further, if we think about downloaded speeds, for example,
- 36:29Speaker 8: we are currently the thirteen fatist in IRCd and that
- 36:33Speaker 8: is ahead of Australia, United Kingdom, Ireland and Germany. So yes,
- 36:40Speaker 8: we are still lagging behind countries such as Singapore, Korea, Iceland,
- 36:44Speaker 8: Spain and Japan. But that is also why it's so
- 36:48Speaker 8: critical for us to increase our coverage from eighty seven
- 36:51Speaker 8: percent to ninety five percent.
- 36:54Speaker 1: Yeah, I believe there are plans to do that. There
- 36:56Speaker 1: is a scope for further investment in the network that
- 37:00Speaker 1: seems amenable to doing that, so we may actually get
- 37:04Speaker 1: to ninety five percent. In terms of, you know, the
- 37:08Speaker 1: weightless economy, which everyone tells us we need to move to,
- 37:12Speaker 1: even from a sustainability point of view, what are you
- 37:15Speaker 1: sort of thinking in terms of the types of applications
- 37:19Speaker 1: and products and services that our businesses will increasingly be
- 37:22Speaker 1: selling overseas. I'm thinking of the likes of you know,
- 37:25Speaker 1: wetter here, which makes very elaborate movies and is shipping
- 37:28Speaker 1: them around the world. You mentioned our gaming industry. Those
- 37:32Speaker 1: are obvious ones. What sort of other applications do you
- 37:35Speaker 1: think our businesses will increasingly be using high speed internet
- 37:39Speaker 1: to ship to the world.
- 37:40Speaker 8: Another couple of examples, say, is around any accounting systems
- 37:46Speaker 8: we can explore at Then if we think about meat
- 37:49Speaker 8: TECHSA medical technology, I mean we already have quite a
- 37:53Speaker 8: significant comparative advantage in that we can grow ad and
- 37:57Speaker 8: again that is with the underlying the fiber needtwork and
- 38:02Speaker 8: enable to add And I infurther to that is that
- 38:04Speaker 8: we just talked about AI as well and all the
- 38:07Speaker 8: future II applications, so that in itself can also enable
- 38:12Speaker 8: the growth of our whiteless X words.
- 38:14Speaker 1: Murray Rish, what do you think this says about so
- 38:17Speaker 1: called public private partnerships which really underpinn the ultra fast
- 38:21Speaker 1: broadband network. We've got I think a problem in New
- 38:24Speaker 1: Zealand at the moment with infrastructure investment. There was a
- 38:27Speaker 1: lack of investment in the eighties and nineties, and then
- 38:30Speaker 1: two thousands there was a bit more investment in roads
- 38:32Speaker 1: and infrastructure like UFB, But this seems to be a
- 38:36Speaker 1: model that's worked very well for digital infrastructure. Do you
- 38:39Speaker 1: think there are parallels here with roading and water infrastructure
- 38:44Speaker 1: and other types of things that we could apply these
- 38:47Speaker 1: lessons to other things.
- 38:48Speaker 7: What I would say to that is, and this is
- 38:51Speaker 7: what LESA had emphasized, there were set targets with the
- 38:55Speaker 7: UFB rollout, and it was done in a particular way.
- 38:58Speaker 7: I mean, I guess the key takeaways for me would
- 39:02Speaker 7: be that given those targets, given that clarity, it can
- 39:05Speaker 7: be a successful way in which to raw out infrastructure
- 39:08Speaker 7: and investment. And it has been has been successful. You know,
- 39:11Speaker 7: the devil will be in the in the detail right
- 39:14Speaker 7: in terms of how it might be applied to other
- 39:16Speaker 7: infrastructure or other types of investments. But I guess what
- 39:19Speaker 7: this report is focused on is a successful rollout of it,
- 39:23Speaker 7: and it highlights some of the key features being those
- 39:26Speaker 7: performance targets and the like pet.
- 39:28Speaker 8: I think also just adding to that is that, I mean,
- 39:31Speaker 8: we have quite a lot of experts in our Delutte
- 39:34Speaker 8: infrastructure team and that will remind me every time that
- 39:38Speaker 8: a PPP construct for writing project is very different to
- 39:43Speaker 8: the public private partnership that we are talking about. Yeah,
- 39:46Speaker 8: but I still think that having that full sight is
- 39:49Speaker 8: really important. You know, doing it right on budget and
- 39:53Speaker 8: on time is really important. I do think this public
- 39:57Speaker 8: private partnership, even though it's digital, can also be considered
- 40:02Speaker 8: for our digital public infrastructure going forward. The other key
- 40:06Speaker 8: thing is, like any infrastructure investment, is you will only
- 40:10Speaker 8: really read benefits over the long term. So keeping that
- 40:14Speaker 8: in mind, keeping in mind at any decisions that we
- 40:16Speaker 8: make today for infrastructure investments will take a long time
- 40:21Speaker 8: to play off. But as we see, we've already reaped
- 40:24Speaker 8: sixteen percent of the productivity benefits, but the basin is
- 40:28Speaker 8: yet to come, so I four percent of the productivity
- 40:31Speaker 8: benefits we could realize that over the next ten years.
- 40:34Speaker 1: None of it appears to be really difficult. It's just
- 40:38Speaker 1: it's a lot of small things, like getting small businesses,
- 40:40Speaker 1: for instance, confident enough using digital tools, building their own websites,
- 40:45Speaker 1: and then maybe looking ein voicing if they're working with
- 40:48Speaker 1: overseas partners. You know, we've done some work with an
- 40:51Speaker 1: Asia Pacific to enable that to happen. So it seems
- 40:54Speaker 1: like it's it's not one massive thing, although AI collectively
- 40:59Speaker 1: will pretendly have a transformative effect on the economy. But
- 41:02Speaker 1: there's lots of things we can do now that other
- 41:05Speaker 1: countries are maybe a little bit ahead and to allow
- 41:07Speaker 1: us to read more of those productivity gains.
- 41:09Speaker 7: Exactly right, And I think the government also has a
- 41:12Speaker 7: crucial role in doing that, being an early adopter almost
- 41:15Speaker 7: to setting an example in terms of leveraging the network
- 41:20Speaker 7: and increasingly digitizing, which will also enable the private sector
- 41:24Speaker 7: to do so as well. So yeah, government has a
- 41:27Speaker 7: role to play.
- 41:27Speaker 1: Yeah, that's interesting. The government one, we've got Judith Collins
- 41:30Speaker 1: as the Minister for digitizing Government, so she's really passionate
- 41:34Speaker 1: about that. People will probably think of when they talk
- 41:37Speaker 1: about the government, Oh, you know, filing my tax return,
- 41:41Speaker 1: stuff like that, maybe taling medicine in the health sect there,
- 41:44Speaker 1: But I guess there's lots of other things as well,
- 41:47Speaker 1: you know, for instance, education and even research, you know,
- 41:51Speaker 1: and doing e research. We've got a lot of Crown
- 41:53Speaker 1: research institutes and universities as well. Is that of those
- 41:58Speaker 1: six things that you're recommending, is that actually really crucial
- 42:01Speaker 1: won The government is one of the biggest customers in
- 42:04Speaker 1: the country and one of the potentially one of the
- 42:05Speaker 1: biggest users of ultra fast broadband as well.
- 42:08Speaker 7: One of the six recommendations is that the government be
- 42:12Speaker 7: an early adopter here, so really harness that digital infrastructure
- 42:16Speaker 7: and be a bit of a bit of a leader
- 42:18Speaker 7: because they all add different kind of words out in
- 42:22Speaker 7: similar behavior from the private sector. So yeah, quite consistent
- 42:26Speaker 7: with what we've said in terms of how we realize
- 42:28Speaker 7: that future dividend.
- 42:29Speaker 8: Adding to that is that our views was that if
- 42:32Speaker 8: the government is an early adopter, could actually potentially inspire
- 42:36Speaker 8: industry to follow.
- 42:38Speaker 1: Finally, the digital equity piece is really important. You know,
- 42:42Speaker 1: when I write about broadband and how great UFB is,
- 42:46Speaker 1: I just get a lot of people responding going, well,
- 42:48Speaker 1: I haven't got access to it, and I have to
- 42:50Speaker 1: rely on expensive alternatives like stylelink, which is which is great,
- 42:55Speaker 1: but you know it's it's one hundred and fifty dollars
- 42:57Speaker 1: a month for the full speed version. So a lot
- 42:59Speaker 1: of people sort of like, well, what about us here
- 43:01Speaker 1: in rural areas? And then we have issues in even
- 43:05Speaker 1: in urban areas where households just can't afford to access it.
- 43:09Speaker 1: How crucial is it that we we crack that digital
- 43:13Speaker 1: equity issue? And as you look around the world, are
- 43:16Speaker 1: there any initiatives or any leaders where it's obvious we
- 43:19Speaker 1: can learn from to try and do that.
- 43:22Speaker 8: The first step could also just be educating consumers, educating
- 43:27Speaker 8: households and educating businesses as well. The reason why I
- 43:31Speaker 8: think educating consumers around fiber and its benefit and households
- 43:36Speaker 8: is so important is just based on how regulation works
- 43:42Speaker 8: in New Zealand. Is the current wholesale providers of fiber
- 43:48Speaker 8: can only operate in a wholesale level off the market,
- 43:51Speaker 8: so I can't operate on retail as well. As a
- 43:55Speaker 8: result of that, there's a potential gap between the wholesale
- 43:58Speaker 8: level and the inconsuit. So by educating the end consumer
- 44:03Speaker 8: around the benefits of fiber, the technologies that's coming or
- 44:08Speaker 8: is it the evolution and a train in the mind,
- 44:10Speaker 8: can really support that decline and a gap between access
- 44:14Speaker 8: and updike.
- 44:15Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a really good point. When I talk to
- 44:17Speaker 1: the telcos, they're basically saying for us to be able
- 44:22Speaker 1: to continue to invest in this network, whether it be
- 44:24Speaker 1: fiber or even mobile like five G going to six
- 44:28Speaker 1: G technology, they're saying, consumers are going to need to
- 44:31Speaker 1: realize the benefits of this technology. They sort of just
- 44:34Speaker 1: see these increases in capacity and speed as just a
- 44:39Speaker 1: thing that will always be there and always be relied on.
- 44:41Speaker 1: But it's really expensive to do that. So unless consumers
- 44:44Speaker 1: recognize that there's a premium premium service should require premium pricing,
- 44:49Speaker 1: Unless we get our heads around that as a nation,
- 44:52Speaker 1: it's going to be really difficult to justify big, multi
- 44:56Speaker 1: billion dollar investments to make even more of these networks.
- 44:59Speaker 8: In our report mentioned that as well. So for example,
- 45:03Speaker 8: if you think about a household today, on the average
- 45:06Speaker 8: you have about twenty two connected devices. So it's a
- 45:10Speaker 8: move from connecting individuals or households, but it's also connecting
- 45:16Speaker 8: to things. I mean, in the next by twenty thirty,
- 45:20Speaker 8: the average will move from twenty two connected devices to
- 45:25Speaker 8: forty four connected devices by twenty thirty. So that movement
- 45:29Speaker 8: and the development of technologies and consumer preferences, that is
- 45:34Speaker 8: just re emphasizing the importance of our fiber network. I
- 45:38Speaker 8: mean always just take it for for granted.
- 45:41Speaker 1: In a background, just said one other question I've for
- 45:44Speaker 1: gotten to ask you about, which maybe mayor issue you
- 45:47Speaker 1: might have an answer to this, to what extent are
- 45:50Speaker 1: these really significant gains we see from UFB into the
- 45:54Speaker 1: future reliant on cloud infrastructure. We've got the hyperscalers, Google,
- 46:00Speaker 1: Microsoft and AWS are building infrastructure in New Zealand. Sure,
- 46:04Speaker 1: at the moment our businesses are sending their data to
- 46:08Speaker 1: hyperscale facilities offshore. But that flurry of investment in the cloud,
- 46:13Speaker 1: including from the Data com and Spark, is that really
- 46:17Speaker 1: going to enable us to get a lot more out
- 46:20Speaker 1: of UFB as well.
- 46:21Speaker 7: I might answer this in two parts and see how
- 46:23Speaker 7: it falls. Our report focuses on the fiber network in particular,
- 46:28Speaker 7: so how the increase in uptake and speed will result
- 46:33Speaker 7: in us doing things better, so a productivity uplift and
- 46:36Speaker 7: therefore a bit of a benefit going forward. In relation
- 46:40Speaker 7: to those hyperscalers and data centers, absolutely, they're crucial, crucial
- 46:44Speaker 7: to this, and I guess what I would say is
- 46:46Speaker 7: that the fiber network is again a pretty critical piece
- 46:50Speaker 7: of infrastructure. They will enable us to utilize that the
- 46:53Speaker 7: latency the speed of the Internet connection will mean we
- 46:56Speaker 7: can leverage those data centers and make better use of
- 47:00Speaker 7: use of those Without the fiber connectivity. Without the fiber network,
- 47:03Speaker 7: the benefits you might get from those hyperscalars might be
- 47:06Speaker 7: curtailed or were limited.
- 47:14Speaker 1: Yeah, so I'm really glad that Deloitte did this study.
- 47:19Speaker 1: It didn't appear to have any agenda in doing it either.
- 47:23Speaker 1: Two economists who have a background at the Commerce Commission
- 47:27Speaker 1: so have been analyzing this from a competition point of
- 47:31Speaker 1: view at one point. The economics of competition are now
- 47:34Speaker 1: at a consulting firm that is very interested in how
- 47:37Speaker 1: we're using technology. So I think that the two big
- 47:42Speaker 1: takeaways from this are concerned about small business, especially with
- 47:47Speaker 1: Digital Boost seems to be winding down or has wound down.
- 47:52Speaker 1: The funding isn't there anymore. So we had an initiative
- 47:55Speaker 1: to really encourage small businesses to take up cloud computing,
- 48:00Speaker 1: e commerce. Do we actually have a government drive anymore
- 48:04Speaker 1: to do that? It doesn't look like it. And you know,
- 48:07Speaker 1: if they're not taking up simple things like social media
- 48:09Speaker 1: and e commerce platforms and those sorts of tools, what
- 48:13Speaker 1: are they going to do with AI? So are we
- 48:15Speaker 1: going to lag in AI as well? And the other
- 48:18Speaker 1: thing is, you know, a lot of this is predicated
- 48:21Speaker 1: on we're going to fill the pipes, these bigger pipes
- 48:24Speaker 1: more capacity with AI related applications. What's that actually going
- 48:28Speaker 1: to look like? And I guess we were asking that
- 48:31Speaker 1: same question. I remember I was when we were on
- 48:34Speaker 1: five megabit per second connections and being told we were
- 48:37Speaker 1: moving to hundreds of megabits per second. Other than you know,
- 48:41Speaker 1: live streaming and gaming and that sort of stuff, what
- 48:43Speaker 1: were we going to use it for? But we've used
- 48:45Speaker 1: a lot of that capacity. We are using it and really,
- 48:49Speaker 1: you know, not just richer sources of media, but more devices.
- 48:54Speaker 1: They said there's something like twenty four devices per household
- 48:57Speaker 1: going to forty five in the need decades. So the
- 49:00Speaker 1: IoT revolution, having smart fridge is having smite everything in
- 49:04Speaker 1: our homes. We will actually be using the best part
- 49:08Speaker 1: of a gigabit connection within a decade.
- 49:12Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 49:12Speaker 2: I think it's one of those things where and you
- 49:15Speaker 2: kind of saw this in the move from dial up
- 49:18Speaker 2: to faster broadband in the beginning, which was that you know,
- 49:22Speaker 2: we started with these really bare bones HTML websites literally
- 49:26Speaker 2: just text and a couple of small, low res images,
- 49:29Speaker 2: and then the more the faster we got, the higher
- 49:31Speaker 2: resolution everything got. We fill the capacity as it arrives.
- 49:35Speaker 2: I don't think we're going to reach a point where
- 49:36Speaker 2: we run out of ways to use up data. The
- 49:39Speaker 2: more we have, the more we all use. Yeah, I
- 49:41Speaker 2: think I wonder about the diminishing returns of value on
- 49:45Speaker 2: the faster speed, whether we're actually just filling it with
- 49:48Speaker 2: junk or whether we're actually going to get value out
- 49:50Speaker 2: of it, And AI seems to be one of the
- 49:52Speaker 2: areas where that could potentially help to boost that value.
- 49:56Speaker 1: So and it turned out to be a great return
- 49:58Speaker 1: on investment, know in terms of the money we've invested
- 50:01Speaker 1: versus the value that's mirrored by other studies overseas, for
- 50:06Speaker 1: every dollar you put into fiber, you get a really
- 50:09Speaker 1: healthy return. That issue they identified though eighty seven percent coverage,
- 50:15Speaker 1: seventy five percent uptake. And I wonder if a large
- 50:20Speaker 1: component of that is that the internet providers have been
- 50:25Speaker 1: diverting people away from fiber to their own wireless broadband
- 50:30Speaker 1: products because they get a better margin on that. They
- 50:34Speaker 1: don't have to pay Corus and the other UFB providers
- 50:37Speaker 1: a big wholesale fee. And that's where Liza was talking about.
- 50:42Speaker 1: Regulation is one of those six things in future. So
- 50:46Speaker 1: does the government need to do something to change the
- 50:48Speaker 1: settings here to make it more attractive for ISPs to
- 50:51Speaker 1: actually use this goal plated network rather than trying to
- 50:54Speaker 1: go around it with their own products.
- 50:57Speaker 2: Maybe I actually think that event actually market forces might
- 51:01Speaker 2: sort it out because fiber is better. Have you ever
- 51:06Speaker 2: had one of these calls from your ISP saying, hey,
- 51:08Speaker 2: you should really be on fixed wireless.
- 51:10Speaker 1: I haven't, but my father did and he went on
- 51:13Speaker 1: to it.
- 51:13Speaker 2: Oh no, see, I got one, and I'm like, you
- 51:16Speaker 2: are a horrid percent barking up the wrong tree because
- 51:19Speaker 2: I know what my data usage is, Like, I know
- 51:21Speaker 2: that I stream in four K regularly at high peak
- 51:24Speaker 2: area at high peak times. I need consistency because I
- 51:27Speaker 2: do a lot of work online. They do podcasting. I
- 51:30Speaker 2: need all these things. Why on earth are you calling me?
- 51:33Speaker 2: And I wrote a story recently we're talking about a
- 51:37Speaker 2: forsythe Bar report, where one of the analysts said that
- 51:40Speaker 2: he sees fixed wireless as a legacy technology now, which
- 51:44Speaker 2: I think is quite strong words, and that connections to
- 51:48Speaker 2: it are going to start to decline from about twenty
- 51:51Speaker 2: twenty seven because people are going to see.
- 51:55Speaker 3: That fiber is better.
- 51:57Speaker 2: Chorus is still releasing these really good low cost plans
- 52:02Speaker 2: for consumers, and then you're getting a lot of downe
- 52:04Speaker 2: with pressure on costs of fiber as well from virtual
- 52:07Speaker 2: network operators the likes of SkyTV and that kind of thing,
- 52:10Speaker 2: who are saying we'll use broadband as a lost leader
- 52:13Speaker 2: because the margins are relatively low anyway. So people are
- 52:16Speaker 2: going to want to get on fiber eventually, especially as
- 52:20Speaker 2: fixed wireless limitations start to become more obvious. And then
- 52:24Speaker 2: in the rural area, starlink still offers a much better
- 52:27Speaker 2: option in terms of speed, so and I don't think
- 52:31Speaker 2: we're going to see it continue to take up market
- 52:33Speaker 2: share of fiber.
- 52:34Speaker 1: I guess the real takeaway for other infrastructure projects is
- 52:38Speaker 1: you've got to have really firm targets and be monitoring
- 52:43Speaker 1: that all the way. That's what the Digital Europe thing
- 52:46Speaker 1: is doing. That's what they did with the Yeah, I
- 52:50Speaker 1: remember all the announcements and pressure releases where we're getting
- 52:52Speaker 1: every six months, this is how many households we've reached,
- 52:55Speaker 1: this is how many accounts have been turned on. It
- 52:59Speaker 1: was sort of like really easy to track progress on that.
- 53:02Speaker 1: It hasn't been on some of the other infrastructure projects.
- 53:05Speaker 1: And I think that accountability really drives a project forward.
- 53:10Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think we have to remember that just
- 53:12Speaker 2: because broadband was hugely successful as a PPP as a
- 53:15Speaker 2: public private partnership doesn't automatically mean they all are. They're
- 53:19Speaker 2: still going to need to have all of these checks
- 53:22Speaker 2: and balances and things in place to make sure that
- 53:26Speaker 2: to make sure that the outcomes that we are looking
- 53:28Speaker 2: for are matt because it doesn't automatically mean success just
- 53:32Speaker 2: because it has before.
- 53:33Speaker 1: Absolutely so. Thanks so much to Lisa vandermerv and Majoorish
- 53:39Speaker 1: Prasad from Deloitte Access Economics for their insights on their report.
- 53:43Speaker 1: We've a link to it in the show notes. Find
- 53:46Speaker 1: them in the podcast section at Business deesk dot co
- 53:49Speaker 1: dot nz.
- 53:50Speaker 2: And that's where you can stream this podcast in full
- 53:53Speaker 2: every week, and it's also available on iHeartRadio or your
- 53:56Speaker 2: podcast platform of choice. And get in touch with your
- 53:59Speaker 2: fee back. We'd love to hear your suggestions for upcoming
- 54:02Speaker 2: guests as well. Email me on Bend at businessdesk dot
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- 54:07Speaker 1: And you can find both of us on x and LinkedIn,
- 54:10Speaker 1: where you can follow the Business of Tech page for
- 54:12Speaker 1: all of our updates.
- 54:13Speaker 3: That's it for another week. Catch you for the next
- 54:16Speaker 1: Episode, same place next Thursday.