Latest / Financial Survival Network / Smart Investing, Taxes, Health, AI - Andrew Horowitz #6207
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: You have a company company, let's call it a USA
- 0:02Speaker 1: company called that's the name of the company. It's called USA,
- 0:05Speaker 1: and USA is a company has a product that it sells,
- 0:08Speaker 1: which is protection security infrastructure. And you pay them in
- 0:14Speaker 1: a form of a percentage of your wages. That's how
- 0:16Speaker 1: you do it. And what they've done is they've capitalized
- 0:19Speaker 1: it basically through debt instruments. They don't have any equity.
- 0:22Speaker 1: You don't have equity, you have debt. So you have
- 0:24Speaker 1: an ownership of this kind of through the debt. And
- 0:27Speaker 1: the death that they have issued over the years is
- 0:29Speaker 1: compounded dramatically because they needed to for a lot of
- 0:33Speaker 1: unforeseen expenses. Now the debt is blossoming and the company
- 0:37Speaker 1: is taking in revenue through a part of your income.
- 0:41Speaker 1: And if we eliminate that, what other mechanisms do we
- 0:45Speaker 1: have to pay down the debt interest and to pay
- 0:48Speaker 1: off the debt and to fund the company's continuing security infrastructure.
- 0:53Speaker 2: You are listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network where
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- 1:13Speaker 2: Survival Network now more than ever.
- 1:20Speaker 3: And welcome you are listening to and watching the Financial
- 1:24Speaker 3: Survival Network. I'm your host, Kerry lepp Well. Got somebody
- 1:27Speaker 3: back on the show, hasn't been on in quite a while.
- 1:31Speaker 3: Somebody who's investing acumen and knowledge. I put up there
- 1:35Speaker 3: with some of the best. Whose name is Andrew Horowitz,
- 1:40Speaker 3: A disciplined investor. And sometimes discipline is good and sometimes
- 1:46Speaker 3: it's not. But when it comes to just think, the
- 1:50Speaker 3: only way to make money over the long bawl is
- 1:53Speaker 3: through a discipline, very strict approach with firm, viral and
- 2:00Speaker 3: sell rules in plate. Andrew, it's great to have you
- 2:03Speaker 3: back on the show and spend years. I was on
- 2:06Speaker 3: your show recently and so coming. What the how things
- 2:11Speaker 3: have been going? I mean the market. You know, we
- 2:14Speaker 3: tend to overloit the fact that the stock market was
- 2:17Speaker 3: the greatest invention creation effort for creating well, and you know,
- 2:23Speaker 3: you get into your family, you get into your business,
- 2:26Speaker 3: and you kind of just don't think about it, and
- 2:29Speaker 3: then you look at your portfolio, assuming you haven't had
- 2:33Speaker 3: one of those infrequent crashes and you say, wow, how
- 2:37Speaker 3: did I get here?
- 2:39Speaker 1: Yeah, it's amazing because I have, for example, I family
- 2:42Speaker 1: members have friends that have four one K plans, right,
- 2:45Speaker 1: and the kids have four one K plans. And I've
- 2:47Speaker 1: always told them, look to me a favor, just just
- 2:50Speaker 1: close your eyes, hold your nose, put money into your
- 2:54Speaker 1: four one K plan. They're like, oh, well, you know,
- 2:56Speaker 1: I'm just starting this new job. I don't have the money.
- 2:59Speaker 1: And then invariably I forced him to do it. I'm like, look,
- 3:02Speaker 1: just do a few dollars and let's see what happens.
- 3:04Speaker 1: And somehow it's a bit of the sleeping beauty concept.
- 3:08Speaker 3: Right.
- 3:08Speaker 1: They wake up a number of years later and they're like,
- 3:10Speaker 1: whoa wait, do you look how much I got in
- 3:13Speaker 1: this four one K plan. I'm like, yeah, And if
- 3:15Speaker 1: you didn't argue to begin with, if you didn't spend,
- 3:17Speaker 1: say you know, oh, look at all the money I
- 3:19Speaker 1: have to spend on this or that. What happens is
- 3:22Speaker 1: it becomes almost a regular occurrence that you don't even
- 3:25Speaker 1: feel and like, yeah, I don't even when I did
- 3:27Speaker 1: it first, I was I was hurt for a minute,
- 3:31Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden it came back to
- 3:33Speaker 1: the idea that I don't even remember doing it, and
- 3:37Speaker 1: just a message out there for people that are listing
- 3:39Speaker 1: that if you haven't done it, and if you were
- 3:41Speaker 1: one of those people like, hey, you know what, my
- 3:43Speaker 1: employer doesn't match, it doesn't matter. Pre tax money that
- 3:49Speaker 1: has the availability to compound at a tax deferred basis
- 3:53Speaker 1: through a four to one K plan or O row
- 3:55Speaker 1: off IRA or an IRA or any other kind of
- 3:58Speaker 1: pension plan is one of the greatest wealth creation on
- 4:04Speaker 1: top of the stock market. So you add the benefit
- 4:07Speaker 1: of tax deferral. So if you haven't done so, it's
- 4:10Speaker 1: an important to end of year here to start thinking
- 4:13Speaker 1: about what you're going to do for next year. And
- 4:14Speaker 1: if you're age sixty to sixty three, starting in twenty
- 4:18Speaker 1: twenty five, there's a super catch up that's available where
- 4:21Speaker 1: you can put an extra thirty seven hundred and fifty
- 4:23Speaker 1: dollars into I don't know what this whole six carry
- 4:27Speaker 1: this hole. Who picked sixty to sixty three, but it
- 4:30Speaker 1: is what it is. If you're age sixty to sixty three,
- 4:33Speaker 1: you get not only your base your catch up, but
- 4:36Speaker 1: you're a super catchup that you can deposit money to
- 4:39Speaker 1: for your four and one k to add even more
- 4:41Speaker 1: money to your four O one k for your future.
- 4:43Speaker 1: So I agree, greatest, greatest invention. But then if you
- 4:47Speaker 1: add tax deferred compounding on top of it, even better.
- 4:51Speaker 3: Yeah. There's always that age old thing to the rough IRA.
- 4:55Speaker 3: So you think your regular IRA, you convert it to
- 4:58Speaker 3: a row up, you have to pay is on it,
- 5:01Speaker 3: but then you can build up, continue to build up
- 5:05Speaker 3: well tax free and not pay any packes on the distribution. Right,
- 5:10Speaker 3: And so is the tax deferrol that you get from
- 5:13Speaker 3: a traditional IRA worth We're eventually paying tactes on it.
- 5:20Speaker 3: Or you do partial conversion you know the age old
- 5:25Speaker 3: the thing works.
- 5:26Speaker 1: Yeah, are you better backdoor conversions? And you're better off
- 5:28Speaker 1: with wroth? We have better off of this. It all
- 5:29Speaker 1: depends on how old you are. The younger you are,
- 5:31Speaker 1: the better off you are to have a WROTH. And
- 5:34Speaker 1: then we have to ask the question which none of
- 5:36Speaker 1: us answer could answer, what's the tax rate it's going
- 5:39Speaker 1: to be the future.
- 5:40Speaker 3: Higher or lower?
- 5:41Speaker 1: The fact is I'm putting five thousand dollars a year away,
- 5:45Speaker 1: ten thousand dollars a year, whatever the number is, into
- 5:47Speaker 1: a regular IRA, and I'm getting a tax deduction for it,
- 5:51Speaker 1: which is great. It gets tax deferral, which is fantastic.
- 5:55Speaker 1: But now all of a sudden it's worth five hundred
- 5:56Speaker 1: thousand dollars in the future, and I gotta pull money
- 5:58Speaker 1: out of it. I'm pulling money out of a much
- 5:59Speaker 1: high tax rate or lower tax rate, and I'm pulling
- 6:02Speaker 1: out at a much higher valuation at that point. So
- 6:05Speaker 1: a lot of questions to answer. H Very, there's no
- 6:10Speaker 1: magic potion to this whole thing. The only thing I
- 6:12Speaker 1: could tell you is do it some way, somehow get
- 6:18Speaker 1: money working.
- 6:20Speaker 3: Oh so, you know, we heard a lot of you
- 6:22Speaker 3: know this incoming Trump administration reminds me of JFK when
- 6:30Speaker 3: he came into office, different being brought in the egghead,
- 6:35Speaker 3: they called them, all these guys from Harvard, Yale, Ivy
- 6:38Speaker 3: League come up with all these brilliant ideas that didn't
- 6:43Speaker 3: but it was a period of great optimism. Now we
- 6:48Speaker 3: got Trump here, bringing in billionaires and really bringing in
- 6:54Speaker 3: people who actually got real life experience. And one thing
- 6:59Speaker 3: they talked about the I don't know how theory it
- 7:01Speaker 3: that is, but I'd love to see it. My felt
- 7:04Speaker 3: is elimination of the federal income fact. How does that
- 7:09Speaker 3: think It's possible. Can it not done? Well?
- 7:13Speaker 1: If we do what mech it is, Well, let me
- 7:15Speaker 1: ask you this, Kerry. You have a company company, let's
- 7:17Speaker 1: call it a USA company called that's the name of
- 7:19Speaker 1: the company. It's called USA, and USA is a company
- 7:22Speaker 1: has a product that it sells, which is protection security infrastructure.
- 7:28Speaker 1: And you pay them in a form of a percentage
- 7:31Speaker 1: of your wages. That's how you do it. And what
- 7:33Speaker 1: they've done is they've capitalized it basically through debt instruments.
- 7:36Speaker 1: They don't have any equity. You don't have equity, you
- 7:39Speaker 1: have debt. So you have an ownership of this kind
- 7:41Speaker 1: of through the debt. And the death that they have
- 7:43Speaker 1: issued over the years is compounded dramatically because they needed
- 7:47Speaker 1: to for a lot of unforeseen expenses. Now the debt
- 7:51Speaker 1: is blossoming and the company is taking in revenue through
- 7:55Speaker 1: a part of your income. And if we eliminate that,
- 7:59Speaker 1: what other mechanisms do we have to pay down the
- 8:02Speaker 1: debt interest and to pay off the debt and to
- 8:05Speaker 1: fund the company's continuing security infrastructure. I don't see how
- 8:09Speaker 1: it's possible. You see what I'm.
- 8:11Speaker 3: Doing there, right? Yeah, Well, so you're talking about income
- 8:15Speaker 3: from tariffs, and the perhaps a national sales pack or
- 8:20Speaker 3: maybe not a value added pack, but that I'm not
- 8:23Speaker 3: sure what the difference really is.
- 8:24Speaker 1: Well, it's a consumption tax. It's a consumption tax. That's
- 8:27Speaker 1: that's you know, that's are I mean, a VAT is
- 8:29Speaker 1: a consumption tax. A sales tax is a consumption tax.
- 8:35Speaker 1: The tariffs or a consumption tax. So now what you
- 8:40Speaker 1: do with that is you cause the potential for inflation
- 8:46Speaker 1: to a degree because things will cost more if you
- 8:48Speaker 1: don't include the tariffs and the tax. Maybe not. You
- 8:52Speaker 1: cause a potential consumption slow down potentially, but then again
- 8:57Speaker 1: it's offset by the fact that you're not paying federal taxes. Right,
- 9:00Speaker 1: I mean, look at look as that way. I just
- 9:02Speaker 1: don't see is there anyone who's ever done that successfully?
- 9:07Speaker 1: State of Florida. Can we use that as a Can
- 9:11Speaker 1: we use that as a as a model maybe where
- 9:14Speaker 1: it's all sales TACs in the state.
- 9:15Speaker 3: Tax Nine states don't have income factors, right, and those
- 9:21Speaker 3: states that boom during the past decade, while the heavily
- 9:27Speaker 3: packed loose states lack of a better term, but they
- 9:31Speaker 3: generally are blue. But not all uh have not grown
- 9:35Speaker 3: at the rate that the tax rates uh state path.
- 9:39Speaker 3: So is it just a function that you know the
- 9:45Speaker 3: Florida Kennethy, New Hampshire, Washington State, the North Dakota I
- 9:54Speaker 3: think maybe South South Dakota. I know them all off
- 9:57Speaker 3: the top of my head, but those dy Is it
- 10:00Speaker 3: just the function of people avoiding pactes and that everybody
- 10:05Speaker 3: saying we'd be in the same boat, or is there
- 10:09Speaker 3: more to it?
- 10:11Speaker 1: I don't know. I think this is a really big
- 10:13Speaker 1: question because there's been discussion about flat taxes that never
- 10:16Speaker 1: seem to work, you know. But the problem is the
- 10:19Speaker 1: complexity of our current tax system is a problem. There's
- 10:22Speaker 1: no question about that. I think we'd all agree to this.
- 10:24Speaker 1: I don't care who you are that the complexity of
- 10:27Speaker 1: the taxes and the ability for people to work loopholes
- 10:32Speaker 1: is a gigantic problem. The corporate tax system is also
- 10:36Speaker 1: a problem. So simplification is I think the first step
- 10:40Speaker 1: right before we can get into the idea of just elimination.
- 10:43Speaker 1: I think simplification is a much more realistic way to go,
- 10:47Speaker 1: and then from there what we could do is try
- 10:49Speaker 1: to maybe merge into the idea of what ifs. But
- 10:54Speaker 1: I don't think we could do it. I don't think
- 10:56Speaker 1: it can be done with this massive debt overhanging we have.
- 11:00Speaker 1: I think it's the biggest problem we have right now
- 11:01Speaker 1: in our in our government and our economy that anybody
- 11:05Speaker 1: that knows anything, if you are a household that has
- 11:08Speaker 1: no debt compared to a household that has major debt, why,
- 11:11Speaker 1: why is why has the Biden administration been so hell
- 11:15Speaker 1: bent besides for votes, aside from that, put that aside
- 11:18Speaker 1: for a second, why have they been so hell bent
- 11:21Speaker 1: on reducing or eliminating disposing of student debt because they
- 11:27Speaker 1: know the fact that from an economic standpoint, again, besides
- 11:30Speaker 1: for votes, from an economic standpoint, when you graduate medical school,
- 11:34Speaker 1: law school, graduate degree, even an undergrad and you have
- 11:39Speaker 1: a massive amount of debt that's outstanding, it is going
- 11:42Speaker 1: to curtail your ability to really buy a house potentially
- 11:48Speaker 1: by goods grow. This overhang that you're going to have
- 11:52Speaker 1: for a number of years is going to be it's
- 11:53Speaker 1: going to be so constricting, it's going to be strangulating.
- 11:57Speaker 1: And in the debt that we have now, if you
- 11:59Speaker 1: want to expand that to the death that we have
- 12:01Speaker 1: now as a country is so preposterous, It is so ridiculous.
- 12:06Speaker 1: The only way we could do is inflate our ways
- 12:08Speaker 1: out of it, or blow our currency out, which is
- 12:11Speaker 1: basically what they're doing, right, the idea of devaluing and
- 12:15Speaker 1: really looking at a currency to break it down, which
- 12:20Speaker 1: they've tried to do. It's not working so well. Or
- 12:23Speaker 1: inflate our ways out of the bond situation. We tried
- 12:27Speaker 1: that for a number of years and we had COVID
- 12:29Speaker 1: and then we had massive spending that we had continued
- 12:31Speaker 1: massive spending. I don't think under Trump administration. I know
- 12:35Speaker 1: there's the DOGE, I get it, the Department of Government.
- 12:41Speaker 1: What's the government efficiency?
- 12:45Speaker 3: Right?
- 12:46Speaker 1: I don't know if that's going to really two trillion
- 12:48Speaker 1: seems a little bit far fetched. But maybe they'll find
- 12:52Speaker 1: something somewhere that they could say, have a few hundred billion,
- 12:54Speaker 1: which would be great. I just don't know if that
- 12:57Speaker 1: is going to be enough with we go, but that's
- 13:02Speaker 1: what we need to do.
- 13:04Speaker 3: But if you're not touching Social Security or Medicare, then
- 13:08Speaker 3: your hands they're kind of tied from the get go.
- 13:10Speaker 3: But if you would just assume that for all the
- 13:13Speaker 3: other departments, somewhere between thirty to sixty percent of the
- 13:16Speaker 3: money is wasted, and even in social Security and Medicare.
- 13:21Speaker 3: There are hundreds of billions of dollars a year of payment,
- 13:25Speaker 3: wrongful payments that shouldn't be made.
- 13:27Speaker 1: That's a problem that I agree with that. I agree
- 13:29Speaker 1: with that whole industry, the prescription industry, the Medicare. Social
- 13:33Speaker 1: Security can't touch Medicare. On the other hand, the efficiency, well,
- 13:37Speaker 1: there is fraud in socialcurity, but let's put that aside
- 13:40Speaker 1: for a second, because that's a whole different discussion on
- 13:42Speaker 1: how to deal with the fraud, right, But I agree
- 13:46Speaker 1: with you Medicare and fraud in Medicare by the way,
- 13:49Speaker 1: and just bloat, just stupidity. So that's going to be
- 13:54Speaker 1: a big issue, I think, and not to mention the
- 13:59Speaker 1: healthcare system in itself, and a lot of that's coming
- 14:02Speaker 1: to light right now. More so, I think the I
- 14:05Speaker 1: think the shroud has come off of the oh, you know,
- 14:09Speaker 1: it's healthcare and it's just what it is. Right, I'm
- 14:11Speaker 1: getting denied or I'm delayed, or you know, I'm going
- 14:16Speaker 1: to have to get some multi level of authentication or
- 14:21Speaker 1: or something involved with this. I think this whole unfortunate
- 14:26Speaker 1: murder of the un h executive, you know, CEO Brian
- 14:30Speaker 1: Thompson is awakening a reality that has been suppressed for
- 14:36Speaker 1: a long time, which is that our healthcare system, the
- 14:41Speaker 1: companies involved it, is a for profit. I mean, when
- 14:45Speaker 1: Obamacare came in, did you ever in a million years
- 14:47Speaker 1: think that the companies like Etna signa unh, we're going
- 14:51Speaker 1: to be extraordinarily profitable or was it like doing you
- 14:57Speaker 1: do it?
- 14:58Speaker 3: They wrote it, they wrote the program.
- 15:00Speaker 1: Well that's true also, but the idea was really to
- 15:03Speaker 1: give the people a better shake, right, It wasn't that
- 15:06Speaker 1: that that was the idea.
- 15:08Speaker 3: Yeah, well don't work out. I mean, I didn't want
- 15:11Speaker 3: to get like into a political thing, and we've got
- 15:13Speaker 3: more but AI ties into it. But we've never had
- 15:18Speaker 3: a national health debate in the United States since since
- 15:24Speaker 3: they basically banned cigarette advertising back in sixty all right,
- 15:30Speaker 3: and created this educational feedbacks smoking bad, it will kill you.
- 15:37Speaker 3: Back when we were kids growing up andrew half people
- 15:41Speaker 3: out there smoked. Now I was one.
- 15:44Speaker 1: I was one of them. Marlboro, reds Man, Marlboro same here.
- 15:48Speaker 3: I love that, you know, and in wind.
- 15:51Speaker 1: Chapter let's stick that's something right there.
- 15:56Speaker 3: Dating myself. Wow. So we have this massive educatational thing
- 16:01Speaker 3: and there's definitely left people dying from lung cancer and
- 16:05Speaker 3: smoking related diseases than were in the past. Part disease
- 16:11Speaker 3: still number one killer. But bringing an RFP junior. Whatever
- 16:15Speaker 3: you think about the guy, and I'm not a personal
- 16:17Speaker 3: fan ofies, but make America healthy again. That will go
- 16:23Speaker 3: a long way towards the fixing the healthcare And it's
- 16:27Speaker 3: kind of a long term educational investment. But we're seeing
- 16:31Speaker 3: these companies who you know, usually in the most languages,
- 16:37Speaker 3: for love, that's like tons and tons of words. But
- 16:42Speaker 3: in the English language, we have more words for sugar
- 16:47Speaker 3: than we do for love. You know, when you look
- 16:50Speaker 3: on the side of a package, they have twenty five
- 16:53Speaker 3: different ways of saying we're putting sugar in here, and
- 16:56Speaker 3: it's bad for you. So that's educational thing that will
- 17:00Speaker 3: solve the problem in the long run. Because eighty percent
- 17:04Speaker 3: of most diseases, chronic diseases, which is what soaks up
- 17:08Speaker 3: the bulk of netticare dollars, come from lifestyle, which means
- 17:14Speaker 3: the people don't exercise and they eat garbage.
- 17:19Speaker 1: Right, hold on, hold on a second, I just got
- 17:21Speaker 1: back from Europe. You know you're going down this path.
- 17:23Speaker 1: Let's talk about it.
- 17:23Speaker 3: Right.
- 17:24Speaker 1: So I just got back from Europe. You look at
- 17:25Speaker 1: some of the things that are going on with regard
- 17:27Speaker 1: to the US what we have in our food, I mean,
- 17:31Speaker 1: the processing, the prob let's just leave it there. Let's
- 17:33Speaker 1: just nutshell, the whole thing and processing of food compared
- 17:37Speaker 1: to other places. Now, life expectancy has increased worldwide over
- 17:42Speaker 1: the years, right. I mean when I was a kid,
- 17:43Speaker 1: it was like, you're dead at seventy. Now seventy is
- 17:46Speaker 1: like the new forty.
- 17:47Speaker 3: Right.
- 17:48Speaker 1: So the fact is that one of the things is,
- 17:52Speaker 1: you know, a healthier lifestyle and drugs and all that.
- 17:55Speaker 1: But we still have the problem here in the United
- 17:58Speaker 1: States a process food and people don't care McDonald people
- 18:02Speaker 1: are going out to eat these fast foods. They don't
- 18:04Speaker 1: that we're lazy, we don't want to make food. We
- 18:06Speaker 1: don't want to be what they do in Italy. That
- 18:08Speaker 1: somebody's preparing your food. You know, somebody in the family
- 18:11Speaker 1: is actually preparing a meal. What do we do We
- 18:14Speaker 1: get these tavola or we get these other kinds of
- 18:16Speaker 1: things that says, oh God forbid, I have to cook,
- 18:19Speaker 1: but I want to make it look like them cooking.
- 18:21Speaker 1: So send me a package recond. Yeah, they put in
- 18:23Speaker 1: the microwave, and that's a big problem. It's gonna take
- 18:27Speaker 1: years to unwind into reprogram our. I think our collective
- 18:35Speaker 1: understanding of what's good and what's bad. You know, it's
- 18:37Speaker 1: pizza a really good meal for us. I mean, it's
- 18:39Speaker 1: probably better than some of the stuff you see in
- 18:43Speaker 1: the store that's been processed, right.
- 18:45Speaker 3: Better than Big Mac. Right, but maybe it depends. Like
- 18:49Speaker 3: the new pizza pop places open up down the street
- 18:52Speaker 3: from the here in Florida, and all of their stuff
- 18:56Speaker 3: homemade the other to homemade, non GMO. The pasta is
- 19:02Speaker 3: made fresh daily, the sauce is made from scratch, but hey,
- 19:06Speaker 3: tomato sauce has sugar in it, but nonetheless not a
- 19:10Speaker 3: ton of it. And yeah, it's healthier than.
- 19:13Speaker 1: That's that's natural. I natal from the tomatoes trend.
- 19:18Speaker 3: The trend is the healthy because what we're seeing. We
- 19:23Speaker 3: follow trends because that's how we make money. AI is
- 19:26Speaker 3: the trend where I think the profits will be enormous.
- 19:29Speaker 3: We'll talk about that. Healthy dining choice is educational programs
- 19:36Speaker 3: so that you know when you're eating food whether it
- 19:39Speaker 3: has potential to arm you over the long howl. Because
- 19:42Speaker 3: that's the thing when you're eating big Macs for twenty years,
- 19:46Speaker 3: you know, it's one thing when you're smoking a cigarette
- 19:49Speaker 3: that every cigarette takes six minutes off your life. That
- 19:52Speaker 3: was what they sold us back then, which may or
- 19:54Speaker 3: may not have been true. But you don't think of
- 19:57Speaker 3: each big Mac that I consume with fry and the
- 20:00Speaker 3: super size the coke, it's taking minutes off my life
- 20:07Speaker 3: every time I eat it, right, right?
- 20:09Speaker 1: So from a stock so let me just weave this
- 20:11Speaker 1: into the area if you because it is an investment show, right, So,
- 20:15Speaker 1: so is this something that we should be shorting McDonald's.
- 20:18Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 20:19Speaker 1: I wouldn't bet against that, right now, Chipotle? Do we
- 20:21Speaker 1: short that? I mean, it's had problems. And then you
- 20:24Speaker 1: add in the lily or the the A A Y
- 20:28Speaker 1: C and hib or drugs out there that are caused
- 20:30Speaker 1: you know that are much more popular.
- 20:35Speaker 3: Hey, well, you know and bit controversy over those weight
- 20:40Speaker 3: loss drugs. I've taken them, picked myself and looked fourteen
- 20:45Speaker 3: pounds and didn't have to keep taking it forever. To
- 20:48Speaker 3: keep that weight off again, I exercised like a fiend,
- 20:52Speaker 3: so I had zero muckle lots. In fact, my weight
- 20:56Speaker 3: resistant actually increased while it was eight though. Yeah, if
- 21:01Speaker 3: you're a prapped potato and you're going to passively lose
- 21:04Speaker 3: weight that back on the pack can walk ev right,
- 21:07Speaker 3: then yeah, you're gonna lose muffle and you're gonna lose fat.
- 21:11Speaker 3: But the very thing, the very act of lowering your
- 21:16Speaker 3: obesity or overweight state, it's healthier, all right. Now. You
- 21:22Speaker 3: don't want to be taking these drugs the rest of
- 21:24Speaker 3: your life, but anything that will do that to help
- 21:27Speaker 3: you in your goal. Are trolling your weight, as long
- 21:32Speaker 3: as it's not abused and it doesn't become a lifelong dependency,
- 21:36Speaker 3: is a good thing in my opinion.
- 21:37Speaker 1: I have a little bit of disagreement, by the way.
- 21:39Speaker 1: I don't know necessarily that if in fact there are
- 21:42Speaker 1: no significant side effects, If if if there are no
- 21:45Speaker 1: significant side effects, and in fact, if it just does
- 21:48Speaker 1: regulate the body's ability to metabolize food better, I'm not
- 21:51Speaker 1: exactly sure if in fact it's not something that can't
- 21:55Speaker 1: be taken for a long period of time. One of
- 21:57Speaker 1: the one of the problems we have here. We know
- 21:59Speaker 1: that diet high glucose is a real big problem, and bigger,
- 22:06Speaker 1: bigger than just simply saying well, I have diabetes. No,
- 22:09Speaker 1: I'm talking about the impact on other organs of the
- 22:12Speaker 1: body and what it does. And they'll be CD in
- 22:15Speaker 1: itself or at least overweight.
- 22:17Speaker 3: You know that.
- 22:17Speaker 1: Everybody's like, ah, I'm not obese. Okay, you're overweight. You're
- 22:20Speaker 1: not skinny as a rail. You got too much to
- 22:21Speaker 1: carry it on your frame. That also is around the heart,
- 22:24Speaker 1: the fat, right, all that that that that is a
- 22:26Speaker 1: problem and at least to other other issues. And in fact,
- 22:29Speaker 1: if if this is the miracle drug, if if IF,
- 22:34Speaker 1: whether it's the semaglutides or whether it is the trisipotines
- 22:39Speaker 1: or whatever.
- 22:40Speaker 3: You know, companies do what called criple g, which is
- 22:44Speaker 3: to be better than evmpic or manjara. That's zech I fiery, Yeah,
- 22:53Speaker 3: criple g. It's in the evolution from theide and it's
- 22:59Speaker 3: from Lily.
- 23:00Speaker 1: Is that from Lily?
- 23:01Speaker 3: I think? Yeah, we're interesting.
- 23:05Speaker 1: They just increased their share, buyback and dividend by the way,
- 23:08Speaker 1: just recently.
- 23:10Speaker 3: Yeah, and you know, like, look, i've fast, did I've
- 23:15Speaker 3: lost weight naturally? All right? I lost weight when I
- 23:18Speaker 3: had COVID and uh, you know, and I kept the
- 23:22Speaker 3: weight off he is keeping it off. You don't want
- 23:25Speaker 3: to go yo, that's really bad for you. But anything
- 23:29Speaker 3: that aids in that thing that doesn't do significant long
- 23:33Speaker 3: term damage.
- 23:35Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what I'm talking about. So that's why the
- 23:38Speaker 1: stock is. That's that's why lilies died so well.
- 23:40Speaker 3: Yeah, easier to keep the weight off than it did
- 23:44Speaker 3: to loose and that he that's what they don't talk about.
- 23:48Speaker 3: But yeah, we were eating healthy food and we weren't programmed.
- 23:52Speaker 3: You know, the original biohacking, in my opinion, started with
- 23:56Speaker 3: the barbecue hated hip because they figured out that they
- 24:01Speaker 3: could put in sugar, salt, and vinegar and it would
- 24:06Speaker 3: basically turn off your society s which remember you can't
- 24:10Speaker 3: just eat one. And that's the thing, all these flavored
- 24:14Speaker 3: the potato chips. And then we have the advent of
- 24:17Speaker 3: the food kitchen, you know, the corporate food kitchen that
- 24:22Speaker 3: you know, formulate the things so you just keep eating
- 24:24Speaker 3: and eating. And you know, they got rid of pain
- 24:28Speaker 3: sugar which which would trigger satiety switch in your brain,
- 24:33Speaker 3: and they gave us hiproof post corn syrup. So this
- 24:36Speaker 3: is a friend. Let's get to AI. That's you know,
- 24:41Speaker 3: we know that AI is rapidly evolving. You and I
- 24:44Speaker 3: both use it in our work. I've just used it
- 24:47Speaker 3: to help me write a book of my interviews with
- 24:49Speaker 3: a famous economist named Martin Armstrong. Fourteen years work of interviews,
- 24:56Speaker 3: I managed to write a book in several weeks. And
- 25:00Speaker 3: I've got a f chat GPP. What edd ten industries
- 25:05Speaker 3: where AI will have the most section, And I'll just
- 25:08Speaker 3: let me just list them and then we can go
- 25:09Speaker 3: over with pet health care, transportations, not kidding, finance, retail
- 25:18Speaker 3: and e commerce, manufacturing, education, we'll see about that one, legal, definitely,
- 25:26Speaker 3: customer service, media and entertainment, and agriculture. So of the
- 25:33Speaker 3: top ten, which do you think of the which three
- 25:36Speaker 3: would you say the most significant?
- 25:38Speaker 1: So healthcare I think is really interesting that one, particularly
- 25:42Speaker 1: for example, brittiology. Right, so let's just break it down
- 25:47Speaker 1: to its simplest terms. Right, take an X ray, somebody
- 25:49Speaker 1: looks at it, Okay, what's the deal you brooke your
- 25:51Speaker 1: late whatever, right or something of that age.
- 25:54Speaker 3: Or an MRI.
- 25:55Speaker 1: You're taking an MRI, it's reviewed and oh there's a
- 26:00Speaker 1: spot or there's something going on, what is it?
- 26:02Speaker 3: Right?
- 26:02Speaker 1: Well, that's great. What about the things that are missed?
- 26:06Speaker 3: Right?
- 26:06Speaker 1: What about the it's a human eye that's looking at something.
- 26:09Speaker 1: There's an X ray of the femur, of the tibia
- 26:12Speaker 1: of I don't know what your ribs, whatever it is,
- 26:15Speaker 1: And all of a sudden, you know, there's something to
- 26:18Speaker 1: the bottom right of the screen. We're not quite sure
- 26:22Speaker 1: what that is, and it's overlooked, whereas AI or better
- 26:26Speaker 1: computing has the opportunity to look at that and say, well,
- 26:30Speaker 1: you know what that looks like this that I have
- 26:34Speaker 1: in my memory bank. So it's not just relying on
- 26:36Speaker 1: a great radiologist, right, So a great radiologist may have
- 26:40Speaker 1: found that, well, your average radiologists may not have. So
- 26:45Speaker 1: the thing is that you are now instead of going
- 26:48Speaker 1: at a random radiologist that may be the greatest or
- 26:53Speaker 1: the most, the worst, or an average radiologist, you have
- 26:57Speaker 1: the memory bank and the ability that is constantly changing
- 27:01Speaker 1: and updating of an AI radiologist. Let's call it, right,
- 27:05Speaker 1: doctor AI radiologists to now be looking at your X
- 27:07Speaker 1: rays or MRI scrans, your cat scans, whatever whatever that
- 27:10Speaker 1: particular situation is, and having all that other fingertips to
- 27:16Speaker 1: give you a better diagnosis, then give it to the
- 27:19Speaker 1: doctor and let them then further bring that to what
- 27:24Speaker 1: has to be done. So I think that's this one
- 27:26Speaker 1: little aspect of healthcare. How about drug interactions. So you
- 27:31Speaker 1: have a situation where the pharmacy is dispensing a particular drug,
- 27:38Speaker 1: and then there may be something in the system abou
- 27:40Speaker 1: drug interactions, but maybe there's more information that can be
- 27:43Speaker 1: fed into there about your health history that would say no, no,
- 27:47Speaker 1: this drug is not going to work with that drug
- 27:49Speaker 1: because of this to be better stuited with that drug,
- 27:51Speaker 1: right or.
- 27:52Speaker 3: Whatever it is.
- 27:53Speaker 1: So there's a whole host of things that you can
- 27:55Speaker 1: look at from an AI standpoint in the healthcare area.
- 28:00Speaker 1: That even includes better robotic surgeries, that includes potentially better
- 28:07Speaker 1: nutrition guides. I mean, the list goes on, because what
- 28:10Speaker 1: you're doing is you're centralizing the knowledge, and then you're
- 28:14Speaker 1: enabling the ability of that centralized knowledge. Let's call it,
- 28:19Speaker 1: you know, doctor health. Let's just keep it at that
- 28:22Speaker 1: to then train and look at all the different things
- 28:26Speaker 1: that are going on and utilizing the inputs to further expand.
- 28:30Speaker 1: So now instead of having pick your number of doctors
- 28:33Speaker 1: out there in a particular space in a particular specialty
- 28:36Speaker 1: that you may be just doing it and going to
- 28:38Speaker 1: that doctor due to proximity, which is yeah, ninety nine
- 28:43Speaker 1: nine percent of why you're going to that doctor's proximity.
- 28:46Speaker 3: Right, they're just super market right now.
- 28:50Speaker 1: Some doctors are different. You know, there's maybe some specialists
- 28:52Speaker 1: that you want to visit in Tampa or there, or
- 28:55Speaker 1: New York or California, wherever it may be. But generally speaking,
- 28:58Speaker 1: you know the dentist I go to, I just not
- 29:01Speaker 1: schlep in thirty five minutes to go to this guy
- 29:03Speaker 1: when these people are five minutes away and they did
- 29:05Speaker 1: a great job, and if something goes wrong, I'll schlep.
- 29:09Speaker 1: But that's the number one, well one of the top,
- 29:12Speaker 1: not number one, not in the top. I think customer
- 29:16Speaker 1: service where there is none in some places. It used
- 29:21Speaker 1: to be that you had a phone number that you
- 29:22Speaker 1: would call all the time, make it very easy. Then
- 29:24Speaker 1: there was the advent of an email, right, you'd find
- 29:27Speaker 1: it somewhere or it would be a button. Now websites
- 29:30Speaker 1: don't even have anywhere for you to call. You can't
- 29:33Speaker 1: call anybody. Can you call anybody for customer service?
- 29:36Speaker 3: You have to dig.
- 29:37Speaker 1: You have to dig pretty hard, right, it's at the
- 29:40Speaker 1: bottom three clicks in with first chat to us. Then
- 29:44Speaker 1: do you really want to make a phone call? Do
- 29:45Speaker 1: you really want to speak to somebody? I have the
- 29:47Speaker 1: entwest now if we can get used to and get
- 29:49Speaker 1: a good reacting chat pot that actually has answers, not
- 29:54Speaker 1: just at the end of it, I'm sorry, you know,
- 29:56Speaker 1: not just a stoling mechanism that most of these help
- 30:00Speaker 1: support systems are. And and I think that could be
- 30:07Speaker 1: tremendously helpful for individuals that need it and companies that
- 30:13Speaker 1: don't need to spend the money on. Unfortunately places that
- 30:18Speaker 1: we've we've banished them to, like India and areas outside
- 30:23Speaker 1: of the US where you have the supports centers. Third
- 30:29Speaker 1: finance is interesting, but for other reasons. I think there's
- 30:32Speaker 1: an interesting aspect of finance, but I think it's compartmentalized.
- 30:35Speaker 1: I think people still are going to need if we
- 30:37Speaker 1: go all AI for finance. I just I don't I
- 30:39Speaker 1: don't see it. It just then then it just it
- 30:43Speaker 1: neutralizes everything. And I just don't see the ability for
- 30:45Speaker 1: anybody to have better performance than anybody else. And what's
- 30:48Speaker 1: the point if that's not the case. I don't see it.
- 30:50Speaker 1: It's a neutral point. There are some areas that will
- 30:53Speaker 1: be very helpful from a research standpoint. Clearly, being able
- 30:56Speaker 1: to review and research a stock I mean obviously a
- 30:59Speaker 1: lot faster, being able to look at historical trends and
- 31:03Speaker 1: analyze those a little bit better.
- 31:04Speaker 3: No question.
- 31:06Speaker 1: Legal contract writing, clearly, I mean it's a lot of
- 31:12Speaker 1: this can be done today. But if AI really comes
- 31:15Speaker 1: out in a better way to make it a much
- 31:19Speaker 1: more usable and use a friendly way, I think that's
- 31:21Speaker 1: that's great.
- 31:21Speaker 3: What are some of the other ones you mentioned, you know,
- 31:25Speaker 3: just legal, because I'm a recovering attorney, there's no institution
- 31:32Speaker 3: that it's less efficient than our court. They're the least
- 31:37Speaker 3: efficient means of resolving dispute. The way they're managed. The
- 31:42Speaker 3: judges or you know, the judge average starts works half
- 31:46Speaker 3: a day. You know in some places be surprised and
- 31:50Speaker 3: the case is keep piling up and piling up.
- 31:53Speaker 1: Well, what about the law officers, Kerry, What about the
- 31:55Speaker 1: fact that what I deal with a lawyer, I'm dealing
- 31:57Speaker 1: with three layers and three bills at the same time. Yeah,
- 32:02Speaker 1: I mean that's absurd. Right, you send something in, the
- 32:04Speaker 1: administrator copies it, and you've got to be five dollars
- 32:07Speaker 1: for that. They send it back to you. Thing, thank
- 32:09Speaker 1: you that's a five minute charge. Then they got to
- 32:11Speaker 1: go through the next person, the next person, and everybody's
- 32:13Speaker 1: doing one piece is three times the charge it should be.
- 32:18Speaker 3: Well, I always say anyone who says that crime doesn't pay,
- 32:22Speaker 3: obviously path the bar exam so law and the inefficiency
- 32:31Speaker 3: like the purpose of the judicial peaceably settle dispute among
- 32:38Speaker 3: the residents and the inhabitants of the country. And when
- 32:43Speaker 3: it starts failing in that role, the you know, bad
- 32:47Speaker 3: things happened to society. So anything that can help make
- 32:52Speaker 3: the judicial that's the more efficient. And then you also
- 32:56Speaker 3: have that situation where big big X Y Z operation
- 33:00Speaker 3: and little John Doe. You know, John Doe has been
- 33:05Speaker 3: legitimately agreed, but he can't order to go up against them.
- 33:09Speaker 3: But now maybe with the upcoming AI, he'll be able
- 33:13Speaker 3: to do most of it on his own, and then
- 33:16Speaker 3: the cord will be is an AI to figure out
- 33:20Speaker 3: what's going on here, right right, right?
- 33:24Speaker 1: I agree, I agree. Maybe maybe it's it's an interesting concept.
- 33:28Speaker 1: I just think that that there's a lot of other
- 33:33Speaker 1: industry areas that will create more efficiency. Some of them
- 33:38Speaker 1: are like, yeah, I would love that to happen. That
- 33:40Speaker 1: would be great. You know, I mean that would be wonderful.
- 33:44Speaker 1: The others that well, man, why hasn't that happened already?
- 33:46Speaker 1: In the efficiency will be cost savings and that can
- 33:49Speaker 1: be passed along or made companies more profitable. That that's
- 33:53Speaker 1: the thinking right now, right we're in the stage of
- 33:55Speaker 1: AI that anybody's excited about the fact that the opportunity
- 33:58Speaker 1: is there for creating cost efficient see across you know,
- 34:01Speaker 1: many places with the idea once again that people are
- 34:04Speaker 1: not going to be displaced, which I do not believe.
- 34:07Speaker 1: I think that we continually displace people and it's like, yeah,
- 34:11Speaker 1: able to get a job somewhere else, Okay, where go
- 34:14Speaker 1: on technology? Doing what coding? Well wait, didn't we just
- 34:18Speaker 1: talk about the AIS and taking over the coding.
- 34:20Speaker 3: Yeah, they could go right.
- 34:22Speaker 1: I gived example of something DH Unplugged. Each and every
- 34:25Speaker 1: week we have a show John cy Devoric myself, you
- 34:28Speaker 1: listen to that, I know, and we have cover art
- 34:30Speaker 1: for each episode. So in the past we've had various
- 34:33Speaker 1: places do covered art or we would we would have
- 34:36Speaker 1: listeners with sending cover art or would use you know,
- 34:40Speaker 1: not custom but you know, off just just a some
- 34:44Speaker 1: something that would represent and we put some words on it.
- 34:47Speaker 1: Whatever Now chat GPT, I need a landscape podcast cover
- 34:52Speaker 1: art with two guys talking into a microphone. It's Christmas time. Up,
- 34:55Speaker 1: it's Christmas time. The money flying everywhere. The name of
- 34:59Speaker 1: the podcast is DHM. Make one of the players, one
- 35:04Speaker 1: of the one of the podcast hosts tolls in the
- 35:07Speaker 1: other blah blah blah blah, and then you get three
- 35:10Speaker 1: different versions cover art done.
- 35:13Speaker 3: Amazing It lest than for a five minutes.
- 35:16Speaker 1: In less than five minutes.
- 35:18Speaker 3: I used to pay somebody between twelve to fifteen hundred
- 35:24Speaker 3: dollars a month to do my show notes if I
- 35:27Speaker 3: do one show a day on average, sometimes a little more.
- 35:31Speaker 3: And then I got the note taker for Zoom, and
- 35:35Speaker 3: then I fed the note ten to chat GPT. It
- 35:39Speaker 3: gets done instantaneously. It's ninety five percent of the way there.
- 35:42Speaker 3: I can fill the rep myself, and my workfloads become
- 35:46Speaker 3: so much more efficient. And you know the thing is,
- 35:51Speaker 3: we see it happening now, but we have no idea
- 35:56Speaker 3: how fast it's going to happen. Andrew, like, I will
- 35:59Speaker 3: just tell you, like, I'm a proud Tesla earner, not
- 36:02Speaker 3: because I think I'm saving the planet, because I love
- 36:04Speaker 3: the tech driving a diperience graded car, ever, and the
- 36:09Speaker 3: abidity to continually upgrade a product that normally you would buy.
- 36:14Speaker 3: You'd buy the car, and then from that.
- 36:17Speaker 1: Point on it just got worse and worse and work
- 36:20Speaker 1: I guess, I guess older.
- 36:21Speaker 3: Yeah, the test what never happens. It's always something new.
- 36:26Speaker 3: Now that full self driving. Now, I've been doing it
- 36:29Speaker 3: for about two and a half years, and I said,
- 36:31Speaker 3: if you'd like to let that thing do the full
- 36:33Speaker 3: self driving, you'll die back two years ago, three and
- 36:37Speaker 3: a half years ago, maybe three now now I had.
- 36:41Speaker 3: I just upgraded, updated the latest version. I haven't gotten
- 36:45Speaker 3: to use it yet, but I've been watching videos where
- 36:48Speaker 3: the thing does you turn, You push a button, the
- 36:51Speaker 3: backs out of your car, out of your driveway, out
- 36:54Speaker 3: of your garage, closes the garage and takes you where
- 36:57Speaker 3: you're going to go, and then you point to a
- 36:59Speaker 3: space in a park. And that's But the gulp of
- 37:05Speaker 3: the improvement didn't happen over the past two and a
- 37:08Speaker 3: half years. It happened over the PEP thread to four
- 37:12Speaker 3: months when the AI started watching Louvie of people driving
- 37:19Speaker 3: instead of trying to program for it, and it learned
- 37:22Speaker 3: on its own and I think in another six months,
- 37:26Speaker 3: a sure we could have FSP. Does that make pet
- 37:29Speaker 3: Flow buy or does that make it easier for somebody
- 37:32Speaker 3: else come along and replicate what they're doing, some Chinese
- 37:35Speaker 3: company or whatever.
- 37:39Speaker 1: I mean it's truth, is that does it make Tesla buy?
- 37:41Speaker 1: I mean since the well since the election, test has
- 37:45Speaker 1: been going vertical right over four hundred dollars per share
- 37:49Speaker 1: right now on no new news and in fact, on
- 37:52Speaker 1: the potential for you know, concerning trade action against China
- 37:57Speaker 1: or with China, and fuller full self drive FSD doesn't happen.
- 38:03Speaker 1: Is it getting better? Is that why?
- 38:04Speaker 3: I mean?
- 38:04Speaker 1: I think it's all about really the regulation and favoritism
- 38:07Speaker 1: of what Musk is going to get because of who
- 38:10Speaker 1: he helped get into the White House, Right, That's more
- 38:13Speaker 1: so what it's about. But but but Tesla, I don't
- 38:18Speaker 1: think it's worth the value that is worth right now.
- 38:21Speaker 3: There's no way.
- 38:22Speaker 1: I mean, the company was actually in the two hundreds
- 38:26Speaker 1: not too long ago because the numbers that came out
- 38:29Speaker 1: from buying. Now, will all the Conservatives turn around and
- 38:33Speaker 1: all of a sudden love elon because he helped and
- 38:37Speaker 1: buy Tesla's At the same time, the Trump administration is
- 38:40Speaker 1: already talking about the incoming it's talking about removing the
- 38:44Speaker 1: tax credits, so you should which they should. Well, that's
- 38:47Speaker 1: not great for Tesla and probably won't matter that much.
- 38:52Speaker 3: You know. The other thing with Tesla though, is that
- 38:57Speaker 3: through their AI and through their system, they continually lowered cost. Yes,
- 39:02Speaker 3: for the most part, lipping plunging lipping, and prices didn't
- 39:06Speaker 3: hurt either, But the average cost of the PETLA is
- 39:10Speaker 3: like less than it was the three four years ago
- 39:13Speaker 3: to produce it, right, And that's something that that American
- 39:17Speaker 3: industry largely has been incapable of during my lifetime. Yep,
- 39:22Speaker 3: I hear you so interesting thing. I guess it actually
- 39:27Speaker 3: the AI of all the industry that everything that we
- 39:31Speaker 3: deal with day in day out. What industry do you
- 39:34Speaker 3: think will be impacted the most by AI?
- 39:38Speaker 1: I think healthcare is well technology, but put that aside,
- 39:41Speaker 1: that's obvious that that's I don't think we have to
- 39:44Speaker 1: talk about that. I do think, I mean, finan it's interesting,
- 39:47Speaker 1: like you said, you know, healthcare is probably the number
- 39:50Speaker 1: one that I could think off of the top of
- 39:51Speaker 1: my head. That would be transportations, interesting, infrastructure not so much.
- 39:58Speaker 1: You still need you know, see any picks and shovels,
- 40:01Speaker 1: people breaking their backs to do things. I mean, I
- 40:04Speaker 1: would think that healthcare could be a significant overall significant.
- 40:09Speaker 3: Yeah, I think you're right. I think you're right, and
- 40:14Speaker 3: on multiple level. The ability to get to gettant up
- 40:20Speaker 3: to date information on what you're eating right and and
- 40:25Speaker 3: the drugs you're taking. And then the ability where doctors
- 40:30Speaker 3: to not make mistakes. Maybe we'll be having the robots
- 40:34Speaker 3: in the hospital and that will be.
- 40:37Speaker 1: We have them, we have them already. But what's interesting,
- 40:40Speaker 1: you know, if you want just confirmation of this, just
- 40:42Speaker 1: looking no further than Apple and why they are all
- 40:45Speaker 1: in on the Apple Watch and the healthcare and what
- 40:49Speaker 1: they're doing with blood and pulse and O two SATs
- 40:53Speaker 1: and everything that's going on, everything that's going on with
- 40:56Speaker 1: the Apple Watch. I one day will have an Apple
- 40:59Speaker 1: Apple Watch. Right now because of these and my inability
- 41:04Speaker 1: to see anything, I think it would ignore the hell
- 41:09Speaker 1: out of me having to put on glasses all the time. Yeah,
- 41:11Speaker 1: well yeah, maybe you can see better than I can.
- 41:14Speaker 1: But h but that's another thing. I mean, we have
- 41:17Speaker 1: a lot of things happening. For example, one of the
- 41:19Speaker 1: greatest things that are happening right now. Is the innovation
- 41:22Speaker 1: is happening so fast. The old cataract surgery where you
- 41:24Speaker 1: replace your lenses because if your cataracts is now available
- 41:27Speaker 1: to anybody just to replace your lenses and you get
- 41:29Speaker 1: perfect vision. I have three friends that have done it
- 41:31Speaker 1: perfect vision.
- 41:33Speaker 3: That's called lens swopping. And yeah, I looked into that,
- 41:38Speaker 3: but I've had some other issues with my eyes. I
- 41:41Speaker 3: don't want to met with it traumatize my eyes. But
- 41:44Speaker 3: basically the rips are extremely low. It's expensive, but you
- 41:50Speaker 3: can see the day when when it's like, well, you
- 41:54Speaker 3: have you have to do it after a certain age
- 41:56Speaker 3: when your eyes stop changing. You can't swap lended for
- 42:01Speaker 3: like a eighteen year old got lapsed for the final
- 42:05Speaker 3: pick my year old. But you can see, you can
- 42:09Speaker 3: see where it's call headingch So how do we, using
- 42:11Speaker 3: your approach as the disciplined investor make money off of
- 42:15Speaker 3: the AI trend? Is there a way to make money?
- 42:18Speaker 3: Is it too uncertain and we just don't know? And
- 42:21Speaker 3: all the all the easy money has been made up
- 42:23Speaker 3: of the video I.
- 42:25Speaker 1: Mean right now, right right now, the picks and shovels
- 42:27Speaker 1: and videos a m D. By the way, we're short,
- 42:29Speaker 1: just as a full disclosure were long in video short AMD.
- 42:34Speaker 1: There are a lot of long Microsoft. The players go
- 42:37Speaker 1: loong Google. These are the players that have the picks
- 42:41Speaker 1: and shovels right long Amazon. These are the names that
- 42:44Speaker 1: you want to be looking at in the first stage.
- 42:47Speaker 1: We're in the first stage about it, where we're in
- 42:48Speaker 1: the early stage of this how it how it goes
- 42:50Speaker 1: from here. There's a bunch of companies that are saying
- 42:53Speaker 1: that AI like a m D. They're not. That's why
- 42:56Speaker 1: you know, we show them at one fifty eight. They're
- 42:58Speaker 1: in the sub one thirty right now. And you look
- 43:02Speaker 1: at the opportunity from companies that are providing things like
- 43:05Speaker 1: a Dell. Opportunities are enormous for service space, for buildouts,
- 43:11Speaker 1: for what they have to do to generate this. The
- 43:14Speaker 1: utility companies major play. You look at the SMRs, the
- 43:19Speaker 1: small modular reactors for nuclear energy. You look at the
- 43:24Speaker 1: utilities for their ability to basically provide the electrical that
- 43:29Speaker 1: needs to be utilized to run these massive energy sucking
- 43:36Speaker 1: computer systems storage facilities that are being built. That's another
- 43:42Speaker 1: play that why utilities are generally close to but not
- 43:45Speaker 1: at old time highs or fifty two week highs amazing.
- 43:49Speaker 1: Who would have thought that in an interest rate market
- 43:51Speaker 1: that has been pretty much stable, in a market that
- 43:54Speaker 1: people want growth. I mean, we're going after the most conservatives.
- 43:59Speaker 1: I mean utilities.
- 44:00Speaker 3: I would think, right, your grandfather's utility.
- 44:05Speaker 1: Widows and orphans, Right.
- 44:07Speaker 3: Yeah, it's ate off the dividends, big dividend, I mean
- 44:11Speaker 3: one that I like that I actually own and I'm
- 44:14Speaker 3: not telling anyone by it. It's appreciated nicely over the
- 44:17Speaker 3: past six months. Or Dominion, And the reason I picked
- 44:20Speaker 3: them is because they're Northern Virginia, Virginia's electrical utility. And
- 44:28Speaker 3: who's the biggest user of AI or he's got to
- 44:32Speaker 3: be a government and the intelligence Langley Virginia and that
- 44:37Speaker 3: whole AI intelligence infrastructure around them. And I read an
- 44:43Speaker 3: article recently that if you want to build a data
- 44:45Speaker 3: center in Virginia, you have to make a reservation with
- 44:52Speaker 3: Dominion two years with vamps do that.
- 44:55Speaker 1: Right, And that's why we want to vollnteer. By the way,
- 44:57Speaker 1: who's AI for the government or governments? And that's why
- 45:03Speaker 1: I Pollunteer, which was an underloved name for a long
- 45:06Speaker 1: long time, has really look at that stock has done
- 45:10Speaker 1: incredibly well for us, for our clients. So actually we
- 45:13Speaker 1: trimmed a little bit of that. Yesterday or the day before,
- 45:16Speaker 1: we triamed a little bit of our profits. It's just
- 45:17Speaker 1: with such a magnanimous move that we felt that we
- 45:20Speaker 1: should take a little bit off the table.
- 45:22Speaker 3: So here's the question for you, Andrew Win, You a
- 45:26Speaker 3: buy and hold die or you when do you sell?
- 45:29Speaker 3: Obviously you're rousing money, you're going to cut your laws,
- 45:33Speaker 3: But when do you sell when the thing is making money?
- 45:35Speaker 3: Like and vidiot, you just set it and forget it.
- 45:40Speaker 1: So we have rules. We have to have a consistency
- 45:42Speaker 1: of earnings, consistency of growth of revenues. We have to
- 45:46Speaker 1: have high what's called Roe return on equity. We have
- 45:48Speaker 1: to have a certain margin expansion. All these rules go
- 45:51Speaker 1: into play. You don't make any of those. If in
- 45:54Speaker 1: totality is fifteen rules. Any of those that you don't make,
- 45:58Speaker 1: you're out. You have to be the cream of the crop.
- 46:02Speaker 1: With the equities that we own. Within our it's called
- 46:04Speaker 1: the discipline investor manage growth strategy. Inside that strategy, we
- 46:09Speaker 1: could have thirty stocks, we could have sixty socks. And
- 46:11Speaker 1: the more stocks that we have, the more allocation we
- 46:13Speaker 1: have towards equities versus For example, Palanteer is a as
- 46:18Speaker 1: we call it, an alpha position that is something that
- 46:21Speaker 1: we will trade around in Nvidia, Google that I mentioned,
- 46:28Speaker 1: Microsoft that I mentioned are names that are part of
- 46:31Speaker 1: the Strategies core filtering system. So you know, we add things.
- 46:37Speaker 1: We had a couple of interesting adds this quarter. But
- 46:40Speaker 1: if you don't make it, you're out. We've had in
- 46:42Speaker 1: Vidia for a long time. There was a time it
- 46:44Speaker 1: was out, but generally speaking for the last few years,
- 46:46Speaker 1: and Vida has been in our portfolio. We trim it
- 46:48Speaker 1: every quarter. If it grows dramatically, we'll trim a little
- 46:52Speaker 1: bit of off, take the profits and rotate it back
- 46:55Speaker 1: into other things that we're buying. So it all depends
- 46:57Speaker 1: on what particular area we're working. Or we work on
- 46:59Speaker 1: the trading side of our portfolio or for stocks uh
- 47:02Speaker 1: in the manage grows strategy because it's separate than our
- 47:05Speaker 1: global allocations.
- 47:06Speaker 3: Or are we.
- 47:08Speaker 1: In the trading side of it. Are we in the
- 47:11Speaker 1: for AMDs trading position for example, or are we in
- 47:17Speaker 1: core positions.
- 47:18Speaker 3: Do you care about dividends the Do they make any
- 47:21Speaker 3: difference than your Nope, not at.
- 47:24Speaker 1: All, there is a gross strategy. Dividends are really not
- 47:27Speaker 1: something that we will rely on. It has to be
- 47:29Speaker 1: the basic tenets of certain levels of growth on a year,
- 47:32Speaker 1: of a year, quarter over quarters, a time periods, of earnings,
- 47:35Speaker 1: of revenues, of consistency of margin expansions. All this is
- 47:39Speaker 1: all these consistency points we have to have to show
- 47:42Speaker 1: us the management can not only say something but deliver
- 47:46Speaker 1: and that they're actually doing.
- 47:47Speaker 3: It consistently over time. Yep. You know, one one thing
- 47:51Speaker 3: we never even really talked about with the AI and
- 47:55Speaker 3: all the technology, it's howthing, you know, how thing The
- 47:58Speaker 3: way we build up now has definitely been impacted by technology. Look,
- 48:05Speaker 3: but I still take a year to build a big
- 48:08Speaker 3: half six eight months. And you know, I think that
- 48:13Speaker 3: new material that AI will create and new methods, and
- 48:19Speaker 3: you know, we've had stuff where you like cats and
- 48:22Speaker 3: plate and then you know, precast concrete panels and all
- 48:26Speaker 3: that stuff. But I think we're gonna we're gonna see
- 48:30Speaker 3: a huge boon there as well, and robotics and all
- 48:34Speaker 3: that might very well bring down the cop All right,
- 48:37Speaker 3: So Andrew, tell us where we find you, how we
- 48:40Speaker 3: connect with you on the web.
- 48:42Speaker 1: Yep, just go over to The Disciplined Investor dot com.
- 48:45Speaker 1: Look me up Andrew Horowitz Investor or something like that.
- 48:47Speaker 1: You know, you can find me on the site. There
- 48:49Speaker 1: is all the information about our various strategies. That two
- 48:52Speaker 1: podcasts that we do per week, The Discipline Investor DH
- 48:55Speaker 1: Unplugged as well, which is pretty fun.
- 48:58Speaker 3: Uh.
- 48:59Speaker 1: We have a lot of guests on We've been doing
- 49:01Speaker 1: this since two thousand and seven. The podcast one of
- 49:04Speaker 1: the original podcasters out there in the area finance.
- 49:07Speaker 3: You got maybe I started in twenty ten and I
- 49:10Speaker 3: thought I was ahead of the waves. Hey, well, anyway,
- 49:14Speaker 3: we'll have a link in the show that's this interview
- 49:16Speaker 3: on Financial Survival Network dot com. And we just asked
- 49:20Speaker 3: that you sign up for free newsletter like over sixty
- 49:23Speaker 3: thousand other f f END community members. And if you've
- 49:27Speaker 3: got a question for Andrew myself, shoot me an email
- 49:30Speaker 3: kl Kerry Lets dot com. Andrew always a pleasure. We'll
- 49:34Speaker 3: talk to you again real soon.
- 49:35Speaker 2: All right, have a great holiday, Thanks so much, Kerry,
- 49:37Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to Carrie Let's's Financial Survival Network your
- 49:41Speaker 2: solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to
- 49:45Speaker 2: Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial survival network now more than
- 49:51Speaker 2: ever
- 50:00Speaker 3: M