Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 4 Showdown - Genesis Invitational | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process | 02/22/26

Transcript

PGA Round 4 Showdown - Genesis Invitational | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process | 02/22/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:03
  Speaker 1: Fall Systems golf clear, we lift.
• 0:34
  Speaker 2: Good evening, Happy Saturday. Glad you're joining it with me.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I mean, where else would you rather be on a
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: Saturday evening than than watching this guy in Orange Treaty
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: talk about.
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: Some uh some PGA d f s.
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: We have one more round of golf left in the
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: California or the West Coast spring, I guess before we
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: head head to head to the home state, head back
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: to Florida. So I'm definitely excited uh to get there
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: to talk through this round and uh and.
• 0:58
  Speaker 3: Get done with the West Coast Swing. Drop a comment.
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: What did you guys make of the West Coast Swing?
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Was it? I mean, Waste was a lot of fun
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: that finished obviously this week, I guess, and Tory Pine's
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: a little bit born, but Pebble was fun overall.
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: Drop one to ten. What would you rate this year's
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: West Coast Swing?
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: That was Amex, Tory Pines, this week, Farmers and Waste,
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: So let me know what you think. I'd probably give
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: it a six out of ten, six out of ten.
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: I don't mind the late later window golf, but I'm
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: excited for some East Coast Florida golf and nonetheless, let's
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: get to the leaderboard, talk about today's round, talk about
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: how they did it, talk about all that fun stuff.
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: So bringing out my screen, Jacob Bridgeman, all jackpot gear,
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: Patrick can'tlet Aaron Raye and Cameron Young shot some of
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: the rounds of the day today and Bridgeman, obvious Bridgeman
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: shot the round of the day as the leader. So
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: that's take stones right there. But I definitely want to
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: touch on on Bridgeman a little bit. He was hading
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: to we'll talk about our strategy too. I guess we'll
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: talk about our strategy first.
• 1:59
  Speaker 3: So we went with the.
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: I guess driving accuracy slash approach guys today and that
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: kind of that that that did lean true, but it
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: didn't necessarily lean one hundred percent true because obviously rounds
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: one and two we were heavy with the driving distance.
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: We took the driving accuracy route in round three and
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: that did remain true. To find us some generally like
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: approach guys, and Jacob Bridgman he was fire on approach today,
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: but I don't necessarily love his stat profile.
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: Let me just show you why.
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: So Bridgman is first on approach first and putting now
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: this approach seven point one total, six point zero came
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: of it today. So this was just a single pop round,
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: which I mean, I promise you he's not going to
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: do tomorrow. I'm not saying he's gonna hit the ball
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: badly tomorrow, but he's not gonna do that again obviously
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: for a few reasons. He's gonna be playing the lead.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: He's gonna be playing with Rory McElroy and he's going
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: maybe just make sure he's been playing with Roa McRoy. Yeah,
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: he's gonna be playing with Roy mclroy and he's gonna
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: be playing very very conservative. So Bridgman, although he has
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: a good stat line you see plus seven on approach,
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: it was all today and like that's kind of the
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: guy we look for at one pop round, but that
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: approach was all today. Like I said, so the putter
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: is everything with Bridgeman, and I do feel like he
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: has the ability to gain keep getting jokes with the putter,
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: but I wouldn't expect him to have another elite ball,
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: elite approach round. Aldrike Pocketer he was a bomber, so
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: he was not someone we would have got to today.
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: But Patrick can't lay Cameron Young and Aaron Raie were
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: all guys in the slate plan, and we had a
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: few Rye can't Lay Young lineups that were torched by
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: Stepstraka shooting like ninety seven. I probably could have beat
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: SEPs Straca today. So we had three guys having a
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: top percent high rounds and they kind of were what
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: I was looking for. So Aaron Raye was driving accuracy
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: plus short game, although like that approach didn't pop, but
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: he's generally a good approach player and that's.
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: What we led him to be.
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: We were on him today and it's generally because he's
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: a good approach player and accurate guy. Patrick Cantlay was
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: an elite approach player today and Cameron Young was elite
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: approach play today. So we had three of the top
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: seven five to seven round so that definitely worked out
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: well for me and hopefully worked out well for some
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: of you. Nonetheless, let's talk about that wave split that
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: wasn't I didn't think it was going to be there
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: and was kind of there today. So looking at today's
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: waste split, it was very much easier with the morning guys,
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: and that is solely because.
• 4:25
  Speaker 3: Of the poe. I think it's solely because the poet buddying.
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: The wind looks the saint look the same all day long,
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: and I mean Scotty talked about it in his press
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: conference after the round. He said, as the day goes on,
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: guys are gonna miss puffs like look what Rory did
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: coming in, Look what Zander did all day today. As
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: you guys know, on the West Coast POA, it grows,
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: it gets Bobby, people are walking out all day and
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: I do think that is going to be the case
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: tomorrow because looking at the wind split tomorrow, it is
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: nothing crazy. Sunday seven am to Sunday five pm, it's
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: five to six mile an hour all day with very
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: similar gusts. I'm seeing no little to zero wave edge
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: in terms of wind, but I could see some of
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: the same with the with the poe putting. It's gonna
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: get harder as the day goes out. So look for
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: those guys out early to post a number on some
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: pure greens. All good putters, good good look for West
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: Coast putters early. That's gonna be one thing I'm gonna
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: be looking for West Coast putters early, and then I
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: think for stats that we're looking for, I'm going to
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: lean into the driving accuracy plus approach one more day.
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: As the tournament goes on, it's getting a tad bit firmer.
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: The driving accuracy is going to correlate to success a
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: little bit more. It's still not going to play as
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: the as the firm's golf course in the world, but
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: just a little bit more. I think it's going to
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: UH to lead you to success. So driving accuracy plus
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: approach worked for us today, and I think it's going
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: to be a nice little uh, a nice little go
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: for for tomorrow. So let's look at some stats, obviously,
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: stats and strategy. I want to have the Bridgeman conversation. Bridgeman,
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: obviously he is has what is his scept shot lead,
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: seven shot lead, No, six shot lead over Rory McCrory.
• 6:05
  Speaker 3: Let's let's talk about him. He's gonna be owned.
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: People are gonna want to play him because he has
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: the Probably he's probably gonna win, Like he is a
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: six shot lead. They convert enough times, he's probably gonna win.
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: He obviously gets those bonus points. He will get exactly
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: what is it, thirteen bonus points for first It is yeah,
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: to win, you get thirteen bonus points. Now is that
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: worth it? One birdie alone is five point seven to
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: five points, so that is like just over two birdies.
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: You add that in with his he's gonna play conservative,
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: he's not gonna be aggressive. Plus the ownership, I don't
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: think that is that is gonna be a good play.
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna be fading Bridgeman at the top. I
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: don't care if he wins. I just don't think it's
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: gonna be worth it because guys behind him are gonna
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: have the pedal down, gonna be being aggressive, and I
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: want those uh, I want those birdies.
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: So I don't think it's worth the thirteen points.
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: I think you could definitely get guys making like four
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: or five birdies coming in fourth to eighth at and
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: where Bridgman makes two three birdies, getting the thirteen points,
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: getting twenty total I guess for the birdies and the
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: or twenty five total for the birdies and the first place.
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: You can get way more than that with four birdies
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: five birdies plus nine points for third, six and a
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: half points for eighth. So I really don't think Bridgeman
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: is going to be worth it. Up top, the birdie
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: making is going to be easier, so I do think
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: there's gonna be a few guys that we can look at,
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: and I'll bring up the screen like around here, who
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: are just outside the top ten T thirteen, T fifteen,
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: T twenty two who are going to go out earlier
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: than the PM guys and could potentially get some of
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: those better conditions. So as we look at some of
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: the stats, as we look at some things in the
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: next next lad or so, I'll cross reference it where
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: they are on the leader board and see if we
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: can find any of those guys for you who could
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: back door top ten finish. Looking at some of the
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: contests for tomorrow, I really do like this obviously thirty
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: three dollars single entry, but there's three dollars fourteen max.
• 8:11
  Speaker 3: Where is it?
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: I think it's right here, three dollars fourteen max. Really
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: solid payout structure like ten percent right here, and that's
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: a nice little drop off from from a second to
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: third all the way down. I think you get. I mean,
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: you're getting fourteen lineups with only four to ninety five entries.
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: You don't have to beat that many people. And if
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: you only want to enter, what's three times fourteen twenty.
• 8:31
  Speaker 3: Eight thirty five to forty two dollars.
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: Like, I think that's a really really solid contest for
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: not spending a lot of money, and then thirty four
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: hours single entry I think are the best cheap contest
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: to play in my opinion. Before we get to some
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: of the stats, got to talk about some of the
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: projections today, some of the stuff that we uh that
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: we had going on, so uh, obviously head over to
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: the site you can get the saber sam use the
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: code that's copied and pasted in the live chat. Definitely
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: some interesting stuff came from the stone, came from the
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: slate plan and came from uh. Like I said, it
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: came from the stone. So the stone alone Podkeeter was
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: listed as a sleeper at just at sixty to four
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: hundred dollars, so that works.
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: And then also a nice little stone was who was it?
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: Patrick Cantlay.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: Patrick Cantley was the highest projected golfer in the nine
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: k rang so outside of Xander Schrofley, and he was
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: basically one of the top five guys so seawoot to
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: that fits. Patrick Cantley was the highest projected golfer so
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: use the stone used the slate plan, and obviously this
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: was the slate plan for today ruined by steps Straka,
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: but we had some nice plays in there. This will
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: be up in the next hour or so, so use
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: that code code Boots. And speaking of Boots, we do
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: have Boots next week at Palm Beach, so I'll be
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: out there giving you the scoops inside the ropes as always.
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: So let's find some of these players who potentially have
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: some glaring weaknesses. I think I liked the Little Gale.
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: Our weakness is a segment that I've been doing. Who
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: has doing what and who can improve in some spots. Also,
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: I will talk about Stepstoc. I mean I did talk
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: about Stepstock already. He wasn't the one guy I was
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: on in the show, but I did play him and
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: it didn't really uh didn't really work. So let's look
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: at some more guys, who's doing what, who can improve
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: in some regards. I will keep this little filter on
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: show player types and look for those accuracy guys because
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: I'm going to go with them. One more guy, Aaron
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: Rai is the top in terms of score. He is
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: the most accurate guy up here, and he's just doing
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: everything fine, nothing crazy, nothing bad. I don't really think
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: it's the greatest profile in the world, especially because he
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: did a lot of it with the short game today.
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: Tommy Fleetwood again, just what did he do today? Let's
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: look at Tommy Fleetwood round three, because I do think
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: I would be willing to go back to him another
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: just poor putting, poor pudding day, and poor approach day.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: I really do think that's going to turn. I think
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: Tommy Fleetwood is another great play. I would go back
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: to him again, probably at the top. Some more aker
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: guys love Colin Morrikala, We'll get to him a little bit.
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: And Scotti Sheffler a smooth, smooth five hunder round today.
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: Don't mind him at all. So let's find some weaknesses.
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: Who's this minus two and a half on approach I
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: talked about Minuely yesterday. I said, don't chase minually. His
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: approach plays a liability. And look what he did. He
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: shot three over. Hopefully you faded min Wooly Or are
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: some other weaknesses? One point four off the tea they
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: are losing. It's actually one point four per round, and
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: that's Patrick Rodgers. One thing about Patrick Rodgers, he's generally
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: a really good driver for golf ball. He loves playing
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: in California, I would not mind this number turning. Patrick
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: Rodgers gained a stroke off the tea. He's doing everything else,
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: all right. I like Patrick Rodgers at his teeth currently
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: T thirty two. Who else down here? Who else down here?
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: This is Corey Connors. Continue I'm not done with Corey Connors.
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: He continues to lose strokes on approach. But it's coming.
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: It's due Like he's Corey Connors. He's one of the
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: greatest balls. Like on tour, it is due to pop
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: for sure. And that's Victor Hoblin. He's gonna go out
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: early tomorrow, so I expect him to have one hot
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: day on the greens.
• 12:10
  Speaker 3: I don't mind that at all.
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: With some more weaknesses that are glaring, Maddie Schmid would
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: not chase that. So yeah, Like, those are some guys
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: that I think have some weaknesses. But at the end
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: of the day, you know what I am looking for.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: I am looking for driving accuracy. I'm looking for approach play,
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: and I'm looking for guys in this little range, in
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: this little range T fifteen, T T twenty two to
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: T thirteen, find guys who were accurate in this regard
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: in this range, who have shown it in their careers
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: to spike on approach. I do think that that driving
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: accuracy plus approach route will one get you different again
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: and have that backdoor ability because guys will looking at
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: the leaderboard, they're seeing driving distance and how much it's
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: correlating to success, which is which is my thought for
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: the week long, and it's kind of prevailing. I kind
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: of just picked the wrong guys with my bets, but
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: the stat profile is working out for me.
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: So let's see what the questions say.
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: Anything that we have Sea Bridge and Seran at least
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: minus three, so call that three birdies with the points
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: that is fifteen sixteen, say sixteen plus six thirteen, that's
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: almost thirty points. I think that could be made up
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: with five to six birdies and a top a top six,
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: a top eight. So I don't think it's worth it
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: with the chalk, is what I'm getting at. So no
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: questions in regards to anything else. Before we get to
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: the player that I'm on. The song of the day
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: for today is Saturday by Fallout Boy. You've probably heard
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: it before, but go listen. It will be on the
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: playoff on the playlist. So let me pull up the
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: one player that I am on for tomorrow. He kind
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: of fits that bill that what we were talking about,
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: what we want currently sitting at T fifteen, Colin Morikawa.
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: Colin Morikaala busted out around to seventy today after coming
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: out with four straight bogies plus four through seven. Then
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: he battled back, got eight, ten, eleven, seventeen, eighteen to
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: shoot seventy.
• 14:05
  Speaker 3: But this is literally a perfect profile.
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: He is eighth and driving accuracy, he's popping on approach,
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: he's okay with the putter.
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: That is exactly what I am looking for for tomorrow.
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: Colin Morikawa shoots at sixty five, he is going to
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: vault up to the top ten, well maybe T four
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: five six. That's a ton of birdies. That is getting
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: that those placement points. And that's exactly what I just
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: said to outscore Bridgeman at that ownership. So I definitely
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: love Colin Morikawa as the one golfer that I am
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: going to be on for tomorrow. Quickly today, run run
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: through everything really fast, and that does it. I will
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: have the pom Beat Show recorded tomorrow night, maybe out
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: tomorrow night, if not Monday afternoon. Any questions, you know
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: where to find me and I'll catch you guys soon.
• 14:50
  Speaker 3: As always, let's ship it