Latest / Space News Today / Asteroids, Comets & the Latest from the DART Mission: A Cosmic Update | Space Nuts: Astronomy...
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- 0:00Hello again and thank you for joining us
- 0:02on Space Nuts, the astronomy and space
- 0:04science podcast and radio show on
- 0:07community radio across Australia. My
- 0:10name's Andrew Dunley. Great to have your
- 0:11company in this the 607th episode of our
- 0:15program. Can you believe it? And this
- 0:17one is 100% dedicated to comets and
- 0:20asteroids in one way or another. We've
- 0:22got an update on the potential impact of
- 0:25asteroid Y4 with the moon. And they've
- 0:28been keeping an eye on this and they've
- 0:30come up with an answer and it's uh it's
- 0:32really clever the way they've done it.
- 0:34Uh more news out of the Dart mission.
- 0:36Something else has happened there. Yes,
- 0:38it's on a collision course with nothing.
- 0:40Had you worried there for a moment and
- 0:42three Atlas is chemically unstable. In
- 0:45fact, it's falling down drunk. We'll
- 0:47tell you why on this episode of Space
- 0:50Nuts.
- 0:51>> 15 seconds. Guidance is internal. 10 9
- 0:55Ignition sequence start. Space Nuts.
- 0:58>> 5 4 3 2
- 1:01>> 1 2 3 4 5 5 4 3 2 1
- 1:03>> Space Nuts.
- 1:04>> Astronauts report. It feels good.
- 1:07>> Joining us again for another stint on
- 1:10this little podcast of ours is Professor
- 1:12Fred Watson, astronomer at large. Hello,
- 1:14Fred.
- 1:15>> Hello, Andrew. And uh it's nice to talk
- 1:17to you. What a surprise.
- 1:18>> Good to see you.
- 1:22And we have got um a um a real rocking
- 1:26program today.
- 1:27>> Oh, I love it. Love it.
- 1:28>> It's all about rocks and ice and
- 1:31asteroids and something else which we'll
- 1:33get to later that's not rock and ice. Uh
- 1:36but um first an update on the potential
- 1:39impact of asteroid Y R4 with the moon.
- 1:43were a little bit worried that its
- 1:45chances of hitting the moon were well I
- 1:47think I heard in the early stages of its
- 1:49discovery that people were quoting 20 or
- 1:5230% chance of it hitting the moon that
- 1:55kind of got wound back to a more
- 1:56reasonable number. Uh but now they've
- 1:59got some definitive
- 2:01evidence of what's going to happen
- 2:05that that's correct. Um, I mean, uh,
- 2:08it's not just the moon that worried us
- 2:11for a while with asteroid 2024 YR4.
- 2:15uh because when it was discovered back
- 2:18in 2024, as you might guess, uh Y4
- 2:22um when its trajectory was analyzed and
- 2:26you got to remember that an object is
- 2:29only 60 mters across um which is flying
- 2:32through space, you make observations of
- 2:35its position. uh and if you've only
- 2:37observed it over a short period of
- 2:39period of time, the uncertainties in its
- 2:42well both its past orbit and its future
- 2:44orbit are very large. So it's what we
- 2:47call the arc uh the arc of observation.
- 2:50The the wider the arc of observations
- 2:52that you can make, the more accurate is
- 2:54going to be your assessment of where
- 2:57it's come from and where it's going. Um
- 3:00and so those early assessments uh
- 3:02actually they were in early in 25 2025
- 3:05when these calculations were made. Um
- 3:07but it's it did suggest a small chance
- 3:09that it might hit the earth.
- 3:11>> Uh and that was very quickly I think I'm
- 3:14sure you and I talked about this on
- 3:15space.
- 3:16>> Yeah, we did.
- 3:16>> It was very quickly ruled out. Uh and
- 3:19but as it sort of wandered on its way uh
- 3:23early in 2025, uh there was still a
- 3:27possibility that it might hit the moon.
- 3:31Uh and the time that it would happen
- 3:34would be uh 2035
- 3:37uh was the uh basically the the targeted
- 3:41time for sorry no is that right? 2032
- 3:44>> 2032.
- 3:46Yeah. Yeah, that's correct. Sorry, I'm
- 3:48mixing up my numbers. You deserve when
- 3:51you get to a certain age.
- 3:53Uh 2032
- 3:56um that there was a non-zero chance that
- 3:59it would hit the moon. And the the story
- 4:02what happened then was of course this
- 4:05object is it's what we call a near-Earth
- 4:07asteroid because it approaches near the
- 4:09Earth, but it's not near the Earth all
- 4:11the time.
- 4:12>> Most of the time it's a long way away as
- 4:14it goes around in its orbit around the
- 4:16sun. and it sort of disappeared from
- 4:19view essentially certainly from the uh
- 4:21from the purview of groundbased
- 4:24telescopes. There was not going to be
- 4:26any way we thought of observing it again
- 4:28until 2028 when it would make another
- 4:32close approach, not one that had any
- 4:34risk attached to it. But we didn't
- 4:36expect uh to be able to see its position
- 4:39in any detail until 2028, which we would
- 4:42need in order to predict where it might
- 4:44be in 2032, whether it's going to hit
- 4:47the moon or not. Um but um there are
- 4:50some scientists at uh who use the James
- 4:53Web Space Telescope who tend not to let
- 4:57uh faintness stand in their way because
- 5:00that's why you couldn't observe this
- 5:01object. It was just too faint. And sure
- 5:04enough, uh early this year, last month
- 5:06in fact, they've made two sets of
- 5:08observations where they've actually
- 5:10picked up uh the image, a tiny faint
- 5:13image of uh 2024 YR4. Uh they've picked
- 5:18it up and uh allowed um them the
- 5:21calculations in uh to basically take
- 5:24those new positions, the 2026 positions
- 5:28into the orbit calculation. Uh, and what
- 5:31they've done is they've ruled out any
- 5:33possibility of it hitting the moon. So,
- 5:37that's an unexpected story for us. I
- 5:40didn't think we'll be talking about this
- 5:41again until 2028. Uh, but no, we've
- 5:44talked about it in 2026 and the web
- 5:46telescope has come to the rescue. Um,
- 5:48some people are disappointed, Andrew,
- 5:50because um,
- 5:51>> an asteroid hitting the moon uh,
- 5:53especially if you know when it's going
- 5:54to happen and you would know where it
- 5:56was going to happen as well. Uh, could
- 5:58have produced some um quite interesting
- 6:01pyrochnics. It would allow spectroscopy
- 6:04uh, which would tell you a little bit
- 6:05about the asteroid's makeup as well as
- 6:07the the makeup of the lunar regalith and
- 6:09the lunar lunar um, terrain that it
- 6:12smashed into. But that's not going to
- 6:13happen. Uh and so for anybody like
- 6:16astronauts who might happen to be
- 6:17hanging about on the moon in 2032 and
- 6:20there may well be both uh Chinese
- 6:22tyonauts and uh western astronauts on
- 6:25the moon by then. We'll um that that
- 6:28will be a great relief I'm sure.
- 6:30>> Yes. Yes. You don't really want a
- 6:32mission interrupted by a piece of an
- 6:34ice. Uh what would could you if if it
- 6:38did hit the moon? Let's just play that
- 6:40card for the moment. uh and you were
- 6:43looking at it at the time, would would
- 6:44you actually see it with the naked eye
- 6:46or with a telescope?
- 6:47>> I don't think you would with the naked
- 6:48eye, but you certainly would with
- 6:50telescopes and even maybe a relatively
- 6:52small telescope. We've known I mean
- 6:55certainly since the 1950s,
- 6:58uh that rocks do hit the moon. Um and
- 7:02often these are ones that are much
- 7:04smaller than the 60 m of Y4. Um it's for
- 7:10a long time I remember you know when I
- 7:12was first getting into astronomy in the
- 7:141950s uh that um people talked and in
- 7:18particular Patrick Moore talked about
- 7:20these what what were called TLE's uh
- 7:22transient lunar events uh and there were
- 7:26flashes basically that amateur
- 7:28astronomers kept reporting said every so
- 7:30often there'd be something you know
- 7:32they'd be looking at the moon through a
- 7:33telescope and suddenly there'd be a
- 7:35flash. uh and for a long time it was not
- 7:39show not known really whether this was
- 7:41due to some sort of residual volcanic
- 7:44activity on the moon or whether it was
- 7:46impact of asteroids and and large meteor
- 7:49meteorites. Uh and um it was really once
- 7:53we seen the Apollo results and got to
- 7:56know the moon a lot better because of
- 7:57the Apollo missions that it it was
- 8:00deemed to be impacts that caused these
- 8:02transient lunar events. uh and so uh it
- 8:05would certainly be a 60 meter object
- 8:08hitting the moon is quite significant uh
- 8:10and that I don't think it would be naked
- 8:12eye visibility but I you probably
- 8:15wouldn't need that big a telescope to be
- 8:17able to see it.
- 8:18>> Wow.
- 8:18>> And so yes so yeah interesting
- 8:21>> and especially you know sorry especially
- 8:23if you could predict when and where it
- 8:24was going to happen you'd have all the
- 8:26amateur astronomers in the world of that
- 8:28side of the earth facing the moon. Yeah
- 8:31with eyes glued to your telescope. Yeah.
- 8:33Um, now just need you probably to
- 8:37explain how this works. But, uh, the
- 8:41scientists using the James Web took
- 8:43images 8 days apart. Is that that's
- 8:47obviously significant because then they
- 8:49get a straight line uh, observation. Is
- 8:52that how it works?
- 8:54>> No. What what happens is um, uh, in fact
- 8:57what even just one of those observations
- 9:00would have been invaluable. two is
- 9:03devastatingly invaluable. It makes it,
- 9:05you know, it increases your accuracy
- 9:07even more. Uh because what they do, they
- 9:10combine those new observations with what
- 9:14we knew from its orbit the last where
- 9:17when we observed it in 2024 25. So what
- 9:21you've suddenly got is you've you know
- 9:23the arc of observation might just have
- 9:25been a few months at the end of 2024
- 9:27early 2025. Now what you've done is
- 9:30you've extended that arc by a year
- 9:34effectively. Uh and that gives you a
- 9:36much much more accurate uh value of of
- 9:41uh what we call its orbital elements.
- 9:43The the asteroid um is its orbit is
- 9:47actually delineated by six numbers. Uh
- 9:51and those are the orbital elements as
- 9:53they're called. uh those numbers uh get
- 9:56more accurate the more uh the longer you
- 9:59can observe it for. So and and it's not
- 10:01just the how long you can observe it
- 10:03for. It's the interval between you know
- 10:05what's the interval of time between the
- 10:07observations which is what we've got
- 10:08here. We've suddenly got observations
- 10:11made a year later. It's it's absolutely
- 10:14narrowed down the uncertainties in the
- 10:15in the orbital elements. And so what we
- 10:18can then do is another great word from
- 10:21those orbital elements we can generate
- 10:23what's called an ephemeris and ephemeris
- 10:25tells you where the asteroid is going to
- 10:27be. It's a future predictions.
- 10:29>> That was what my MSE was on uh making
- 10:32orbital elements and uh fem
- 10:36of asteroids with a really new invention
- 10:39called computers.
- 10:41Yes. Yes. That I think that'll be a big
- 10:43hit.
- 10:45Well, it might be, hopefully not
- 10:48depending on where you're standing. It
- 10:50was certainly I'll tell you it was a big
- 10:51hit with the um with the external
- 10:53examiner, a gentleman in Glasgow
- 10:55University by the name of Archie Roy. He
- 10:57said, "Oh, this this work should be
- 10:59published. People should be able to read
- 11:01about this." Uh it never was, but uh the
- 11:04one copy is actually behind me.
- 11:08>> Yeah, it's one of the two thick volumes
- 11:10at the end. The other's my PhD thesis.
- 11:13I keep thinking of questions while we
- 11:15talk about this. Um, but what I what I
- 11:18find extraordinary is that the James Web
- 11:20Space Telescope was trying to find
- 11:22something 60 m in size from a distance
- 11:26of 48 million kilometers, 30 million
- 11:29miles.
- 11:29>> Yep.
- 11:30>> And it found it twice.
- 11:31>> It's pretty fantastic, isn't it?
- 11:33>> It would just pop above the the
- 11:36background noise. you know, when you
- 11:37when you're doing these observations,
- 11:39you've got various sources of what we
- 11:42call noise, which is basically
- 11:43uncertainty. Uh, and um, these are
- 11:46probably
- 11:47very close to that noise level, but it's
- 11:50just shown up enough that gives them
- 11:52what they call what we call a three
- 11:54sigma certainty. It's, you know, that's
- 11:56the level of certainty that you need.
- 11:57It's just a technical term for the
- 11:59statistical analysis that's being used.
- 12:01>> Um, I maybe they got help from AI as
- 12:04well. I don't know.
- 12:05>> Maybe. Yeah, it's possible. Um, I have a
- 12:08doomsday question though.
- 12:10>> Great.
- 12:11>> When, and we're going to talk about the
- 12:12dart mission next because there's new
- 12:14information about that uh, deflection
- 12:16test. But when do you intervene? Like if
- 12:20if we left it a couple of years because
- 12:24James Webb couldn't find it and then we
- 12:26realized it was going to hit Earth or
- 12:28something to that effect. When is it too
- 12:31late to intervene? it it's um with an
- 12:34asteroid like that it's almost too late
- 12:37already uh because you've only got so if
- 12:40we'd observed this in 2028 and the
- 12:42probability of an impact with Earth had
- 12:44gone up I mean it that had disappeared
- 12:47long ago so it's it's not a problem but
- 12:49if that happened you've only got four
- 12:52years uh and we're not ready quite yet
- 12:57to mount an emergency mission I think
- 13:00down the track we will be Having seen
- 13:02what come out of the story we're going
- 13:04to do next and
- 13:05>> um I think down the track we will have
- 13:08uh probably planetary defense uh rockets
- 13:12and spacecraft almost ready to go uh so
- 13:14that you could think about deflecting an
- 13:17object if it looked as though it was
- 13:18going to impact the earth but I suspect
- 13:21with four years that's not very long for
- 13:24a modified orbit to evolve into one that
- 13:26will miss the planet altogether. Um, uh,
- 13:30I think what would happen would be you'd
- 13:32you'd mobilize a civil defense, uh,
- 13:36resources because you'd probably quite
- 13:38quickly get an idea where the collision
- 13:40was going to be. You'd have a a circle
- 13:42of uncertainty, but you would know
- 13:44roughly where it was, which which side
- 13:46of the planet was going to be facing it.
- 13:49uh and a 60 m object. I mean, it's
- 13:53probably twice the size of what exploded
- 13:55over Chelabinsk uh in 2013. And we know
- 13:59that that caused structural damage when
- 14:03the shock wave hit the ground from 30
- 14:05kilometers high and it was the broken
- 14:08glass that caused all the injuries.
- 14:09Nobody died. Uh but but people did get
- 14:12injured. Um, and if you knew something
- 14:14like that was going to happen, uh, then
- 14:17you'd get the people out or get them in
- 14:19bunkers or whatever. Um, because it that
- 14:21that would be the most likely scenario,
- 14:23an air burst. It may be what happened at
- 14:25Tangaska actually.
- 14:26>> Yes.
- 14:29>> Yeah. I think the latest theory is it
- 14:32was actually a atmospheric graze rather
- 14:35than impact and caused
- 14:37>> explosion downwards. Yeah.
- 14:40>> Rading radiating out. Um the images from
- 14:42that are incredible. You can look them
- 14:44up on
- 14:44>> all the trees.
- 14:46>> Yeah. Just flattened. Unbelievable.
- 14:48Yeah.
- 14:49>> If you would like to read about the the
- 14:51latest observations uh regarding
- 14:53asteroid 2024 YR2, you can go to the
- 14:56scienceblog.com website or you can go to
- 14:58the issa website where they've published
- 15:00the findings. This is space nuts with
- 15:03Andrew Dunley and Professor Fred Watson.
- 15:06Let's take a break from the show to tell
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- 16:39I believe that this nation should commit
- 16:41itself to achieving the goal before this
- 16:45decade is out of landing a man on the
- 16:48moon and returning him safely to the
- 16:50earth.
- 16:50>> These nuts.
- 16:52>> Well, we said we'd talk about it and we
- 16:53got to talk about it. The Dart mission.
- 16:56I think we should start by kind of just
- 16:58revisiting what that mission was all
- 17:00about and why. Well, we know why. to see
- 17:03if we could move something that may hit
- 17:06Earth one day off a bit so that it
- 17:08missed us. Uh I probably just explained
- 17:11it, but um yeah, this was four years
- 17:13ago, wasn't it, Fred?
- 17:14>> Uh indeed it was. That's right. 2022. Um
- 17:17it was I think it was it September. Uh I
- 17:20can't remember.
- 17:21>> Good question.
- 17:22>> About I think it was about then. Um the
- 17:25so a really really clever experiment uh
- 17:29conducted by NASA and a team of project
- 17:33scientists. Uh what do you do to test
- 17:36whether you can move an asteroid? What
- 17:39you don't do is slap something into an
- 17:42asteroid and see whether you can change
- 17:44its orbit around the sun. And that's
- 17:46because uh the orbits of planets,
- 17:49asteroids um and comets actually as well
- 17:52are very very stable. It's quite hard to
- 17:54change them. Uh because you're talking
- 17:56about, you know, lots of rather large
- 18:00forces, gravitational forces and things
- 18:02like that. So what they did was they
- 18:04said, "Okay, we won't do that. What
- 18:06we'll do is we'll find an asteroid with
- 18:07a a moon." Uh and we now know there are
- 18:10a lot of those. And they chose an
- 18:12asteroid called Ditimos. Uh if I
- 18:15remember rightly about half a kilometer
- 18:16across uh which had a little moon called
- 18:19Dorphos which is about I think 170 m is
- 18:24the figure that comes to mind. This
- 18:26little moon that goes around Diddimos
- 18:28once in I've got a feeling remembering
- 18:30it was about 11 hours its orbital
- 18:32period. So you smash something into the
- 18:34little asteroid moon. Uh, and what you
- 18:38then look for is how the orbit of the
- 18:41moon around its parent body, in other
- 18:43words, the moon, the orbit of Demorphos
- 18:45around Ditimos, how that changes because
- 18:48something on that scale is much easier
- 18:50to change than the orbit of an asteroid
- 18:53around the sun. Uh, and as we all know,
- 18:56it was incredibly successful. the orbit
- 18:59of the orbital period of um Demorphus I
- 19:03think it was reduced by was it 33
- 19:04minutes I think was the the figure um if
- 19:08I remember rightly the Dart spacecraft
- 19:11I'm remembering these numbers from the
- 19:13last time we talked about it I think it
- 19:15was um uh three tons I think thereabouts
- 19:20hit Demorphos at 6 kilometers/s
- 19:24caused a huge plume of data sorry a huge
- 19:27plume of debris not data, lots of data
- 19:29as well, but debris too. Um, and that
- 19:33was all in fact visible from Earth as
- 19:35well as from uh things like the Hubble
- 19:37Space Telescope. Uh, so it was a
- 19:40experiment that was well uh devised,
- 19:44well set up and had excellent results.
- 19:46It did exactly it did better than what
- 19:49um the mission scientists hoped. And the
- 19:51reason why it did better was because
- 19:53they there was a much bigger effect.
- 19:55It's when you hit something at 6
- 19:57kilometers/s, everything's vaporized.
- 20:00The the surface that you hit, which is
- 20:02actually a rubble pile, but the surface
- 20:04you hit vaporized, as is the spacecraft
- 20:06itself, and that vapor acts like a
- 20:09rocket exhaust. So, it's not just the
- 20:11nudge that you get from knocking
- 20:13something weighing three tons into an
- 20:15asteroid. Uh, it's also the sort of
- 20:17exhaust effect that comes from that uh
- 20:20as well. Um, so it uh and that that was
- 20:25what was very hard to quantify. We
- 20:27didn't really know what that would be,
- 20:28but it was enough to make a significant
- 20:30difference. So that's the backstory,
- 20:32Andrew.
- 20:33>> Yes. And you were right. It was the 26th
- 20:34of September, 2022.
- 20:37>> Okay.
- 20:37>> Great. Yeah.
- 20:38>> Yeah.
- 20:40Do you want to just check the mass of of
- 20:42the dart impactor while you're looking
- 20:44there? So
- 20:45>> correct if I've said it wrong. I said
- 20:47three tons, but I might be wrong. I
- 20:49can't remember. Okay, I'll do that. Um,
- 20:51but I guess we could uh move on to
- 20:54what's actually happened now. They've
- 20:55done more analysis and and something
- 20:58spectacular has happened as a
- 20:59consequence of that event three and a
- 21:01half years ago.
- 21:02>> And the way it's happened is neat as
- 21:05well because uh what you're looking for
- 21:08um if you're looking at the way an
- 21:11asteroid change an asteroid orbit
- 21:13changes, you're looking for incredible
- 21:16precision in space. uh and there are
- 21:19limits as to how precise we can get uh
- 21:22those measurements using telescopes.
- 21:25It's all about the position in space of
- 21:26the object. Telescopes are great at that
- 21:29of course but there is a better way uh
- 21:33for asteroids and that is to use
- 21:35occultations and an occultation is when
- 21:38an object like an asteroid passes in
- 21:41front of a star and you can predict this
- 21:45is going to happen. So what you do is
- 21:48for an object that's only 170 m across
- 21:52uh which is the size of demorphos um you
- 21:56you you've got what you do is you space
- 21:59astronomers along a line uh who are
- 22:02observing and because you you're not
- 22:05quite sure where the shadow of the
- 22:07asteroid casting the light of the star
- 22:10is going to fall. But with telescopes,
- 22:12what you can do is you can see the dip
- 22:14in a star's light as the asteroid passes
- 22:17in front of it. It's what we call
- 22:18noultation. And if you've got enough
- 22:20observers on the ground, it gives you a
- 22:23much higher level of precision as to
- 22:25where in the sky that asteroid is. And
- 22:28so that process was carried out um I
- 22:31think last year. Um and uh so that means
- 22:35that you've suddenly got very very
- 22:37accurate measurements of the position
- 22:40not just of of Dimorphus itself but also
- 22:42the parent asteroid Ditimos. In fact, I
- 22:45think it might be Ditimos um that was
- 22:48used for the occultation. And so the
- 22:50bottom line is uh that uh lo and behold
- 22:56it didn't just the impact didn't just
- 22:58change the orbit of Demorphos around
- 23:01Dillimos. It changed the orbit of the
- 23:03whole system, the pair of them around
- 23:06the sun. And that is the first time, one
- 23:10of the nice quotes in one of these
- 23:11articles, it's the first time a
- 23:13humanmade object has measurably altered
- 23:15the path of a celestial body around the
- 23:17sun. That's in a NASA statement.
- 23:20>> That is incredible. And of course, the
- 23:23obvious question is now, will we be able
- 23:25to track where it will go versus where
- 23:27it would have gone?
- 23:29>> Yes. And and indeed that's already sort
- 23:31of already happening because there'll be
- 23:34further observations and it's the same
- 23:36as we were just talking about in regard
- 23:37to Y4. The longer the arc of
- 23:40observations you've got, the more
- 23:41accurate uh your knowledge of its orbit.
- 23:44Now um the change in orbit is not much.
- 23:47Um I can't remember how many days um
- 23:52I've got the paper in front of me
- 23:54actually the the main paper. um it
- 23:58doesn't actually give us the the orbital
- 24:00period of the pair around the sun but
- 24:02they've changed that orbital period by
- 24:05wait for it it's.15 of a second so it's
- 24:09very I mean it's a matter of um you know
- 24:11it's it's these two orbit between the
- 24:15between the um orbits of Mars and
- 24:17Jupiter they're part of the main
- 24:18asteroid belt so they're their orbital
- 24:21periods are probably measured in sort of
- 24:23thousands of days or at least high
- 24:25numbers of hundreds of days uh and to
- 24:28change that by 0.15 of a second is not
- 24:31very much. It speaks wonders for the
- 24:34volumes for the uh accuracy with which
- 24:36the orbit has been determined. But uh
- 24:39it's look it it's it's it happened. It
- 24:41has actually happened that we've changed
- 24:44the orbit of an asteroid by hitting it
- 24:47or hitting its little moon in fact by uh
- 24:50with with a with a massive object. Did
- 24:52you manage to find out how much it
- 24:53weighed? 610 kg.
- 24:56>> Okay. That's 840 pounds.
- 24:59>> Yeah. So, it's less than a ton. Half a
- 25:01ton. Yeah. I apologize for three tons.
- 25:04That was the number from something else.
- 25:06>> I reckon if they if they could have got
- 25:08three tons up there, they would have
- 25:09used it.
- 25:09>> They would have done. Yeah. But but that
- 25:11makes it even more spectacular. You
- 25:13know, something weighing less than a car
- 25:16clouting a the moon of an asteroid can
- 25:19change the orbit of that asteroid and
- 25:21its parent body. Um just to very quickly
- 25:25since we're talking to a educated and
- 25:27erodendite audience here the mechanism
- 25:30by which that changed is so you think
- 25:33well you've hit the you've hit the moon
- 25:35asteroid how does that change the orbit
- 25:37of the parent asteroid and what it does
- 25:40hitting the moon asteroid gives you a
- 25:42slight change in the position of the
- 25:44barry center that's the center of mass
- 25:47of the two objects their center of
- 25:49gravity combined and it's that that has
- 25:53changed its orbit. It's the Barry center
- 25:55which of course includes both of the
- 25:57objects. The Barry center is
- 25:58representative of both Ditimos and
- 26:00Dimorphus because it's the center of
- 26:02mass between them. So changing the
- 26:04position of the Barry center or the
- 26:06orbit of the Barry center essentially
- 26:08changes the orbit of the asteroid which
- 26:10means that would something like that
- 26:13threatening the earth and you had enough
- 26:15enough years down the track for its
- 26:18orbit to evolve so that it would miss
- 26:19the earth. Uh, that might be a way to do
- 26:22it.
- 26:22>> Yeah, I know a few people named Barry
- 26:24and they're always wanting to be the
- 26:25center of attentive.
- 26:29>> It had to cut, didn't it? Yeah, it did.
- 26:31It did. Uh, it's a it's a great story.
- 26:34It's a great read. Uh, you can pick it
- 26:36up on the NASA website or you can go to
- 26:38fizz.org.
- 26:40Phys.
- 26:42I got to do that from now on because
- 26:43somebody came to us one day and said, "I
- 26:47can't find this fi.org
- 26:49thing
- 26:50>> cuz it's not it's fizz phys uh yes but
- 26:55uh it's great news out of that
- 26:56experiment three and a half years post
- 26:59event this is space nuts dunley with
- 27:02professor Fred Watson
- 27:08>> base here the angle has landed
- 27:10>> space nuts
- 27:12>> now to another piece of rock that has
- 27:16been getting a lot of attention in
- 27:18recent times I Atlas, the exo comet or
- 27:21exoaststeroid. Is it a comet or an
- 27:23asteroid? Fred,
- 27:24>> comet. Comet.
- 27:25>> Comet. Yeah. Uh, yeah. It appears that
- 27:27it's um it's very different from
- 27:29anything we've seen before to the point
- 27:31where it's uh raging through our solar
- 27:33system, stone drunk off its face.
- 27:38Not quite, but uh its chemical makeup is
- 27:40just way out of kilter with what we
- 27:42would have expected.
- 27:45>> Uh that's right. So, you know, this is
- 27:47uh three eyeatlas is definitely the gift
- 27:49that keeps on giving um because um what
- 27:53we've got is a free sample from another
- 27:55solar system that is careering through
- 27:57our own solar system and near enough for
- 28:00our telescopes to get details of it.
- 28:02It's now actually receding from Earth um
- 28:06and from the sun, but it's still
- 28:09producing um gases from its icy surface.
- 28:13It behaves exactly like a comet would
- 28:16from our own solar system. Gets near the
- 28:19sun. Uh the ice is basically turn into
- 28:22gas directly. They sublimate and uh what
- 28:26then happens is um we can sense what
- 28:29gases are there, what what chemical
- 28:32compounds are there by looking at the
- 28:33spectrum of the what we call the coma of
- 28:36the comet. That's the fuzzy area around
- 28:38it that's caused by all this outging
- 28:40material. And so, um, comet 3i Atlas has
- 28:44recently been the subject of pro
- 28:47probably the world's most powerful,
- 28:49well, certainly the world's most
- 28:51powerful millimeter wave radio
- 28:52telescope. Uh, the array in the high
- 28:55country of the Atakama, uh, the Alma
- 28:58telescope, the Atakama large millimeter
- 29:00submill array. Um, at about 5,000 mters
- 29:04high, not very far from San Pedro de
- 29:06Atakama. Uh, and when I went to try and
- 29:10get in their back door one time, I
- 29:11nearly um died because the air was so
- 29:14thin and we didn't get in the back door
- 29:16either.
- 29:18So, uh, never mind. Uh, ALMA is fabulous
- 29:22telescope. So, what's the story? Uh,
- 29:24ALMA uh, which is run by various
- 29:29different organizations. uh but the
- 29:31scientists who have been observing a
- 29:33three-ey atlas with it have looked at
- 29:36the fingerprints the spectral
- 29:39fingerprints of two molecules. One is
- 29:42methanol which is a type of alcohol and
- 29:45the other is hydrogen cyanide uh HCN.
- 29:49It's a an organic molecule very common
- 29:51in comets. Uh so both of those are found
- 29:55in comets in the solar system. But what
- 29:58is the surprise is the amount of
- 30:00methanol. Uh it's as the um NRO
- 30:06National Radio Astronomy Observatory
- 30:08press release says uh ThreeI Atlas is
- 30:11heavily enriched in methanol compared to
- 30:14hydrogen cyanide. Far beyond what is
- 30:17typically seen in comets born in our own
- 30:19solar system.
- 30:20>> You know, you know what it is, Fred?
- 30:23>> Wait for it. You're gonna love this one.
- 30:25It's inroxinated.
- 30:28>> Oh
- 30:32yes, I'll go with that. I um I know I
- 30:35can just invented a new word. Well, he
- 30:37did. Yes. And you probably need to be
- 30:39reasonably in Roxinating in order to
- 30:41invent it.
- 30:42>> Yeah, I suppose so. And it's so early
- 30:45anyway.
- 30:45>> Yes. So early in the day. That's right.
- 30:47>> Anyway, um the observing team just
- 30:50coming back to a state of back perfect
- 30:52back to reality, perfect sobriety. Um
- 30:55it's um methanol to hydrogen cyanide
- 30:59ratios of between 70 and 120 uh which
- 31:05means it's among the most methanol rich
- 31:09uh comets ever discovered. There's been
- 31:11a few in the solar system that have got
- 31:14high levels of methanol, but this is,
- 31:17you know, it's up there on the extreme
- 31:20end of this distribution. Um and and if
- 31:23I may, I'll just read from there's a
- 31:25very nice uh National Radio Astronomy
- 31:27Observatory press release on this uh
- 31:30which says these measurements imply that
- 31:32the icy material from three Atlas was
- 31:35formed by or experienced very different
- 31:39conditions uh from those that shape most
- 31:42comets in our own solar system. Previous
- 31:45work with the James Webb Space Telescope
- 31:46has shown that ThreeI Atlas had a coma
- 31:49dominated by carbon dioxide when it was
- 31:52far from the sun. And these new ALMA
- 31:54results add methanol as another unusual
- 31:57detail in its chemical inventory. It's a
- 31:59very nice paragraph. So, it is unusual.
- 32:03It's an object that shows all the
- 32:06characteristics of a comet, but we're
- 32:07seeing all the extremes. And and maybe
- 32:10that shouldn't surprise us because it we
- 32:12do know it has come from somewhere else,
- 32:14not our own.
- 32:16>> Prompts the question, does that mean
- 32:18where it's come from might be quite
- 32:20different to our system?
- 32:22>> Yeah, that it's Yes, that's right. It
- 32:23could, you know, it it would certainly
- 32:26lead credibility to any idea that um
- 32:30chemical ratios within other solar
- 32:32systems are not necessarily what we find
- 32:35here in our own solar system. In other
- 32:38words, you know, there could be quite
- 32:39different chemistry going on
- 32:41particularly in the early history of
- 32:43those solar systems. We think a lot of
- 32:45these compounds like methanol and
- 32:47hydrogen cyanide. Uh we think a lot of
- 32:50these are formed very early in the
- 32:52history of a solar system in the cold of
- 32:55space. Molecules, atoms combine together
- 32:58to form molecules. And we know that
- 33:00there is a very very rich chemistry out
- 33:03there which was kind of unexpected
- 33:06really. I mean when I was a young
- 33:07astronomer we thought always in terms of
- 33:10just elements. The elements that we can
- 33:12see in the atmospheres of stars,
- 33:14hydrogen, carbon, calcium, uh iron, all
- 33:17of those. But now such a lot of what we
- 33:20do with the um you know with the arsenal
- 33:24of wonderful astronomical instruments
- 33:26that we have today. We can look at the
- 33:28chemistry of these things, the actual
- 33:30chemical reactions that uh go on in the
- 33:33laboratory of deep space.
- 33:35>> Yeah. Uh, some something you don't know
- 33:36about Fred is he's been in astronomy so
- 33:38long that he got in trouble at school
- 33:40once for throwing an apple at Isaac
- 33:42Newton. So,
- 33:44true story.
- 33:45>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I got the
- 33:47cane for that. But
- 33:48>> yeah, I got the cane a lot at school,
- 33:50too, but not for throwing apples. I did
- 33:52throw a sandwich at a teacher once, but
- 33:54um yeah, I was egged on to do that and I
- 33:56fell for it.
- 33:57>> Was it silly?
- 33:58>> No, no, I can't remember what was on.
- 34:00Probably something hideous that I ate
- 34:02when I was a kid. If you ragged on, it
- 34:04must have been an
- 34:05>> Yeah, that was was a very silly move and
- 34:08I'll always regret it. Um, okay. So, if
- 34:11you want to read about that uh what u
- 34:14constitutes a um a rather drunk rock in
- 34:17space, you can go to the NA National
- 34:19Radio Observatory website where they've
- 34:21published their findings. And Fred, that
- 34:24brings us to the end. Thank you so very
- 34:26much.
- 34:27>> It's a great pleasure, Andrew. Always
- 34:28good to chat. And we'll see you again
- 34:30next time. We will on a Q&A edition. Uh
- 34:34Fred Watson, Professor Fred Watson,
- 34:35astronomer at large, joining us every
- 34:37week, twice a week in fact, for Space
- 34:40Nuts. And uh if you would like to visit
- 34:42our website, please do. Uh one thing we
- 34:44could use for our Q&A episodes, uh audio
- 34:47questions, we are desperately short of
- 34:49them. There's some weird quirk that at
- 34:52the beginning of every year they dry up,
- 34:54and we don't know why that is an
- 34:55anomaly, but it is a thing. Uh but if
- 34:59you go to our website
- 35:00spacenutspodcast.com
- 35:02and click on the ask me anything tab at
- 35:04the top, it's just labeled AMA. You can
- 35:06send us your questions or comments. We
- 35:08uh welcome them. Don't forget to tell us
- 35:10who you are and where you're from. And
- 35:12thanks to Hugh in the studio who
- 35:14couldn't be with us today because he
- 35:15went out on a bender last night and got
- 35:17inroxicated. Boom boom. And from me,
- 35:21from me, Andrew Dunley, thanks for your
- 35:23company. See you on the next episode of
- 35:24Space Nuts. Bye-bye. Space Nuts.
- 35:27>> You'll be listening to the Space Nuts
- 35:29podcast
- 35:31>> available at Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
- 35:34iHeart Radio, or your favorite podcast
- 35:37player. You can also stream on demand at
- 35:39byes.com. This has been another quality
- 35:42podcast production from byes.com.