Latest / Toadstool Sports / Sunday BEST BETS | Need the Cure | NHL Stanley Cup Finals & MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 6/14/26

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Sunday BEST BETS | Need the Cure | NHL Stanley Cup Finals & MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 6/14/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm man, a hole in
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: your chase. Black coffee on the felt Man, you look
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: like a mess. Three teen Parlette turned the dust in
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips.
• 0:30
  Speaker 3: Like they made you this man. But don't you go quiet?
• 0:35
  Speaker 3: Don't you fade from the floor. Your name steal mean
• 0:38
  Speaker 3: something on somebody for show?
• 0:41
  Speaker 4: Put the glass.
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: Down, baby, look at me?
• 0:45
  Speaker 4: No hold on, hold on nothing nice not no.
• 0:57
  Speaker 5: Hold on me, but it don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 6: Hold on, hold on, stay with me?
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: Now, what's up? Everybody?
• 1:28
  Speaker 7: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports Sunday, June fourteenth.
• 1:33
  Speaker 7: Not on a good run right now on the show.
• 1:37
  Speaker 7: Still have this lingering bullshit behind this illness, Like I
• 1:41
  Speaker 7: don't think I'm sick anymore, but it's just this lingering
• 1:44
  Speaker 7: shit that just won't go away.
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: I hate this shit.
• 1:48
  Speaker 7: I feel like I was right about both of my
• 1:49
  Speaker 7: plays yesterday and they both went wrong.
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: Texas and Boston.
• 1:53
  Speaker 7: Depending on the number that you got, you might have
• 1:55
  Speaker 7: had a push in the first five innings. On that one,
• 1:58
  Speaker 7: the game was two to two at the end of five,
• 2:01
  Speaker 7: and it was also still two to two into the
• 2:03
  Speaker 7: seventh inning. So at that point, I'm like, this is
• 2:05
  Speaker 7: going quite well here, and really we just probably want
• 2:09
  Speaker 7: to avoid extra innings, but I think this is gonna hit.
• 2:12
  Speaker 7: No it did not, as the teams both scored runs
• 2:16
  Speaker 7: after that, I think in the seventh and the eighth innings.
• 2:19
  Speaker 7: Red Sox wound up winning the game, So I guess
• 2:21
  Speaker 7: I'm happy about that, but they I mean, they're not
• 2:23
  Speaker 7: going anywhere this year anyway, and the game went over
• 2:26
  Speaker 7: by one run Red Sox six to three. Final not
• 2:30
  Speaker 7: happy about that at all. That game clearly looked like
• 2:32
  Speaker 7: it was correct on the under Kansas City looked like
• 2:36
  Speaker 7: it was clearly correct in the first five innings as well.
• 2:39
  Speaker 7: They had a three to nothing lead going into I
• 2:41
  Speaker 7: think the fourth inning, and then uh, three to two.
• 2:46
  Speaker 7: Then they padded that and it was four to two
• 2:48
  Speaker 7: going into the top of the fifth. You're in pretty
• 2:50
  Speaker 7: good shape when you just need that team to be winning.
• 2:53
  Speaker 7: At the end of the fifth inning and they're up
• 2:55
  Speaker 7: four to two going into the fifth, Noah Cameron lost
• 2:59
  Speaker 7: his steam even to give up two runs in the
• 3:01
  Speaker 7: top of the fifth, which is exactly what you don't want.
• 3:04
  Speaker 7: Although at least it was a push if he'd given
• 3:06
  Speaker 7: up one more run, it would have been a loss,
• 3:08
  Speaker 7: which would have been even more ridiculous. I'll take a
• 3:11
  Speaker 7: push because that was a favorite play there on the
• 3:14
  Speaker 7: money line, but I mean, I don't even want to
• 3:16
  Speaker 7: take a push. I thought we were correct about that play.
• 3:19
  Speaker 7: Borrows wasn't really very good. Cameron was good up until
• 3:23
  Speaker 7: that point, and then he just lost it. And then
• 3:26
  Speaker 7: of course the Bullpens came in and were absolute nightmares
• 3:29
  Speaker 7: on both sides, and I think Kansas City lost the game,
• 3:33
  Speaker 7: but I wasn't concerned about the full game final. Whatever
• 3:38
  Speaker 7: we move on to today, I'm hoping that I'm selecting
• 3:40
  Speaker 7: the right games here. Today I got two baseball plays
• 3:43
  Speaker 7: and that's it. I'll talk about Stanley Cup. I don't
• 3:46
  Speaker 7: really have a good read on that game. Don't like
• 3:48
  Speaker 7: the WNBA Games World Cup. A lot of competitive matches
• 3:52
  Speaker 7: in the World Cup set up for today, and one
• 3:55
  Speaker 7: huge blowout probably about to happen in the in the
• 3:59
  Speaker 7: World Cup. I don't really have much to say about
• 4:02
  Speaker 7: those games though. Although I felt good that I was
• 4:05
  Speaker 7: correct about most of my opinions on the well, I
• 4:09
  Speaker 7: wasn't right about the huge favorite yesterday. Actually pushed, which
• 4:12
  Speaker 7: was h Switzerland cutter somehow pushed with them. Switzerland not
• 4:18
  Speaker 7: a great team, man. And then I was correct about
• 4:22
  Speaker 7: Morocco being able to hang around with Brazil. That was
• 4:26
  Speaker 7: that was a draw as well. I meant a draw.
• 4:28
  Speaker 7: If I said something else, that was a draw as well.
• 4:30
  Speaker 7: And then Scotland wound up winning, so there was that.
• 4:34
  Speaker 7: I'm kind of happy about that because we we got
• 4:36
  Speaker 7: all the Scots there. They're like in my neighborhood, man,
• 4:39
  Speaker 7: They're everywhere out here, and I'm I'm kind of fine
• 4:42
  Speaker 7: with that. It's basically like just having the Irish around anyway.
• 4:45
  Speaker 7: So it's it's like Boston is anyway, just a little
• 4:49
  Speaker 7: bit more intense.
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: Garrett, what's up? Thanks for hanging out.
• 4:55
  Speaker 7: I I think that Vegas is gonna win the game tonight.
• 4:58
  Speaker 7: That would be my read on that game. I have
• 5:00
  Speaker 7: no idea about baseball. I mean, I assume North Carolina's
• 5:04
  Speaker 7: favored over West Virginia.
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: They're the better team there.
• 5:08
  Speaker 7: Yeah, I know it was a bad day, but I
• 5:09
  Speaker 7: think I think both of my players were correct. If
• 5:11
  Speaker 7: you look at what happened in those games, they both
• 5:15
  Speaker 7: probably should have won.
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: So I don't know what else is saying and then I'm.
• 5:17
  Speaker 7: Pretty sure the Braves did win, and I left that
• 5:20
  Speaker 7: one off my card and I think they won, right.
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: That pisses me off even more. Yeah, they won three
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: to one.
• 5:26
  Speaker 7: Martin Perez was actually good again, although the Mets bullpen
• 5:30
  Speaker 7: game looks like it didn't do too bad either.
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: All right, let's get into this crap here.
• 5:35
  Speaker 7: There are two really obvious unders today and I'm not
• 5:38
  Speaker 7: on either one of them, and I feel like this
• 5:40
  Speaker 7: first game is one of them. Miami and Pittsburgh twelve
• 5:43
  Speaker 7: fifteen Eastern on peacock Max Meyer against Paul Skins. We
• 5:49
  Speaker 7: have both teams best starting pitcher on the mound here,
• 5:52
  Speaker 7: and I like both of them. I mean, this does
• 5:54
  Speaker 7: look like an under on the surface. Oddsmakers are kind
• 5:57
  Speaker 7: of telling you that with a total of seven. I
• 6:00
  Speaker 7: got some issues with it. I'll show you in a minute.
• 6:02
  Speaker 7: That makes me want not want to actually give that
• 6:05
  Speaker 7: out as a play. Though maybe sometimes when it seems
• 6:09
  Speaker 7: too obvious, maybe it is. Sometimes I will be on
• 6:11
  Speaker 7: a game like that, but not in this case. I
• 6:13
  Speaker 7: also would not want to deal with these bullpens here.
• 6:16
  Speaker 7: Miami is a pretty good bullpen, but they use six
• 6:19
  Speaker 7: relief pitchers.
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: Yesterday.
• 6:20
  Speaker 7: Their bullpen is not in good shape right now. Using
• 6:24
  Speaker 7: some bullpen games recently, Pittsburgh only used three, but they
• 6:28
  Speaker 7: are not a good bullpen. Miami has the better bullpen
• 6:31
  Speaker 7: the rank ninth. I ordered this by Whip. Pittsburgh is
• 6:36
  Speaker 7: where are they? They're not good? I know that they
• 6:38
  Speaker 7: are twenty second. Pittsburgh is the better offense the rank six.
• 6:43
  Speaker 7: They do hit a lot at home, so that's another concern.
• 6:46
  Speaker 7: If you do want to try going with the under here,
• 6:48
  Speaker 7: you're dodging a Pittsburgh offense that is pretty good at home.
• 6:51
  Speaker 7: Miami has not been a great offense. They're nineteenth. Max Meyer,
• 6:55
  Speaker 7: like I said, is pitching from Miami. He's been really good.
• 6:59
  Speaker 7: He doesn't have a loss yet, although that might change
• 7:01
  Speaker 7: in this game. Two point eight five ERA, one point
• 7:04
  Speaker 7: zero nine Whip. He's been not as good on the
• 7:07
  Speaker 7: road though, four point zero five ROADIRA, so that's a
• 7:10
  Speaker 7: little bit of a concern. He pitches better at home
• 7:13
  Speaker 7: where it's pitcher friendly. On the road against a good
• 7:15
  Speaker 7: offense and offense that lights it up at home, that's
• 7:19
  Speaker 7: not necessarily a good matchup for him here.
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: He is still pitching well.
• 7:23
  Speaker 7: Obviously, He's allowed two or fewer on runs in the
• 7:26
  Speaker 7: majority of his starts this season, and he's been decent
• 7:30
  Speaker 7: in his two starts this month. Miami's won both of
• 7:32
  Speaker 7: those games. He won one of them against Pittsburgh. His
• 7:37
  Speaker 7: numbers are fine. It is a small sample size. They
• 7:39
  Speaker 7: have five hitters who faced him, eighteen at bats, six
• 7:43
  Speaker 7: to one strike a walker race, You're two seventy eight
• 7:45
  Speaker 7: average allowed, seven oh five ops. These numbers are not great,
• 7:50
  Speaker 7: but they're not bad, and he's unfamiliar to them, so
• 7:53
  Speaker 7: I think I would lean more towards him pitching well here.
• 7:57
  Speaker 7: But I don't know if I really want to bank
• 7:59
  Speaker 7: on it, man, because there are some negatives in there,
• 8:02
  Speaker 7: and I think there are fewer negatives with Paul Skeens,
• 8:05
  Speaker 7: who is pitching for the Pirates. He's got a two
• 8:07
  Speaker 7: point eight four ERA, which is actually high for.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: What he usually does.
• 8:11
  Speaker 7: He's had a few bad outings this year point nine
• 8:14
  Speaker 7: to three whip. He's been good at home two point
• 8:17
  Speaker 7: five to six homey RA, so things do look like
• 8:20
  Speaker 7: they set up pretty well for mister Skeens here. He's
• 8:24
  Speaker 7: pitching well this month as well. High strikeout rate over
• 8:27
  Speaker 7: his last few outings, which is obviously what he usually does.
• 8:31
  Speaker 7: He has a low hit rate, low walk rate, high
• 8:34
  Speaker 7: strikeout rate, all the good stuff.
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: Numbers against Miami are good.
• 8:37
  Speaker 7: They only five hitters have faced him, so they're not
• 8:40
  Speaker 7: familiar with him. Twenty at bats, zero extra base hits
• 8:43
  Speaker 7: against him, eight to two strikeout walk ratio, two point
• 8:46
  Speaker 7: fifty average, five sixty eight ohps. Skeens is the better pitcher,
• 8:51
  Speaker 7: does have the better of the matchup stats here, and
• 8:54
  Speaker 7: by the way, I did forget to kind of just
• 8:56
  Speaker 7: do the overview of myer season.
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: But yeah, he has a low hit rate.
• 8:59
  Speaker 7: His walk rate is kind of high though, and his
• 9:01
  Speaker 7: strikeout rate is also high, so he's a little bit
• 9:04
  Speaker 7: more walk heavy. Skeens is the better pitcher, has the
• 9:07
  Speaker 7: better matchup numbers here. The money is fading at Pittsburgh, though,
• 9:11
  Speaker 7: and of course wager Talk has not helped me out
• 9:13
  Speaker 7: here by not putting the money line numbers up here.
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with that.
• 9:18
  Speaker 7: Pittsburgh is about a minus one sixty favorite, though it
• 9:20
  Speaker 7: looks like here money is fading it seventy nine percent
• 9:24
  Speaker 7: of the tickets around Pittsburgh, fifty seven percent of the
• 9:27
  Speaker 7: cash on Miami. I think the thought there is just
• 9:30
  Speaker 7: that Miami being this crazy, like not really that crazy,
• 9:34
  Speaker 7: but this is much of an underdog price. I guess
• 9:36
  Speaker 7: the thought is just there's some value there, maybe that
• 9:40
  Speaker 7: you're paying attacks on schemes basically, so there might be
• 9:43
  Speaker 7: some value in playing a team that does have a
• 9:46
  Speaker 7: good starter around them, mount who could dual schemes here potentially,
• 9:49
  Speaker 7: and then you get the better bullpen. But like I
• 9:52
  Speaker 7: just said, Miami's bullpen's very unrested right now, so I
• 9:55
  Speaker 7: don't want to trust them. Money is actually hitting the
• 9:57
  Speaker 7: over in this game for whatever that where the totals
• 10:00
  Speaker 7: at seven. Usually again, when it's that low, you do
• 10:03
  Speaker 7: want to look towards an under. There are obvious reasons
• 10:06
  Speaker 7: why the total is this low. This is a really
• 10:08
  Speaker 7: good starting pitching matchup. I still don't disagree with an under,
• 10:13
  Speaker 7: but if I was gonna go under, I would go
• 10:15
  Speaker 7: first five innings only.
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: On this I don't want the bullpens.
• 10:18
  Speaker 7: You have to go under probably three and a half
• 10:21
  Speaker 7: in the first five there, it might even be three,
• 10:24
  Speaker 7: and that's really kind of pushing it. So you could
• 10:26
  Speaker 7: see why I kind of just didn't want to deal
• 10:28
  Speaker 7: with this game. I don't want to deal with the bullpens,
• 10:30
  Speaker 7: I think there's probably not.
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: A whole lot of value.
• 10:32
  Speaker 7: They're like, you're kind of on the razor's edge there
• 10:35
  Speaker 7: with that total. So I'm gonna skip the game. But
• 10:40
  Speaker 7: I think a first five under is still maybe the
• 10:42
  Speaker 7: best way to play that game, and I would slightly
• 10:45
  Speaker 7: lean towards Pittsburgh, I guess in the first in the
• 10:49
  Speaker 7: first five, I don't know that's the problem with it. Like,
• 10:52
  Speaker 7: if the game is somehow close at the end of
• 10:54
  Speaker 7: the first five, Miami might still have a little bit
• 10:56
  Speaker 7: of an advantage, but their bullpen is pretty used up
• 10:59
  Speaker 7: right now.
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: UFC.
• 11:02
  Speaker 7: I got a lot of people wanted to talk about
• 11:04
  Speaker 7: UFC here. That's what the I miss that. That's what
• 11:07
  Speaker 7: the Freedom two fifty thing was. I figured that out.
• 11:10
  Speaker 7: That was the UFC at the White House yesterday.
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 11:14
  Speaker 7: I mean, I just I have too much on my plate.
• 11:16
  Speaker 7: I just don't do it. UFC is not something that
• 11:20
  Speaker 7: I do.
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: That's just it. San Diego at.
• 11:24
  Speaker 7: Baltimore, Baltimore or these teams have split the series so far.
• 11:28
  Speaker 7: Baltimore just lost a three game win streak. Neither of
• 11:31
  Speaker 7: these teams that were playing that well. I don't think
• 11:33
  Speaker 7: coming into this series. Maybe it was just San Diego.
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 11:37
  Speaker 7: San Diego is definitely not playing well. San Diego's bullpen
• 11:41
  Speaker 7: is still good. They used five guys out of the
• 11:44
  Speaker 7: bullpen yesterday, but they used a couple of them for
• 11:46
  Speaker 7: some very light usage though, so I think their bullpen
• 11:49
  Speaker 7: is okay. Here Baltimore used two, but their bullpen's not
• 11:53
  Speaker 7: very good. San Diego's ranking fourth in bullpen. Baltimore is
• 11:58
  Speaker 7: eight seventeen. Excuse me, hitting wise, San Diego is pretty bad.
• 12:03
  Speaker 7: Baltimore is number ten. San Diego dead last thirtieth, kind
• 12:08
  Speaker 7: of close with the Mets. So Baltimore better offense, san
• 12:11
  Speaker 7: Diego better bullpen. Then I looked at this starting pitching
• 12:16
  Speaker 7: matchup and I'm like, this looks like an over to me. Man,
• 12:19
  Speaker 7: Baltimore is somewhat of a hitter friendly ballpark and the
• 12:21
  Speaker 7: totals at ten, So the audsmakers are telling you they
• 12:25
  Speaker 7: do not respect these pitchers, and I don't either. Walker
• 12:29
  Speaker 7: Bueller's pitching for the Padres.
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: He's been okay.
• 12:32
  Speaker 7: Recently, four point three three ERA, one point three to
• 12:35
  Speaker 7: five whip not great. He's been bad on the road though,
• 12:39
  Speaker 7: six point two to three. Roadyra he pitches way better
• 12:43
  Speaker 7: in San Diego's pitcher friendly park. Obviously, he didn't make
• 12:46
  Speaker 7: it five innings last time out of get Cincinnati, even
• 12:49
  Speaker 7: though he was kind of okay in that outing, but
• 12:51
  Speaker 7: he gave up eight hits in four and two thirds,
• 12:54
  Speaker 7: so he kind of got lucky they didn't give up
• 12:56
  Speaker 7: more runs than that one. He's just not a great
• 12:59
  Speaker 7: pitcher man. He's he's never been the same since his
• 13:01
  Speaker 7: injuries and whatever. He's got a hit rate right around
• 13:05
  Speaker 7: one per inning, which is very average, walk rate is
• 13:07
  Speaker 7: too high, strikeout rate is kind of low, so yeah,
• 13:12
  Speaker 7: not great stuff here. His numbers against Baltimore are not
• 13:14
  Speaker 7: great either. In fifty seven at bats, two sixty three
• 13:17
  Speaker 7: average allowed, that's not too bad, but nine oh five
• 13:20
  Speaker 7: ops is definitely high.
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: He's allowed five home runs to.
• 13:24
  Speaker 7: Them, but four of them are Pete Alonzo, So even
• 13:28
  Speaker 7: though he does bad against Baltimore, Alonzo does a lot
• 13:31
  Speaker 7: of the damage here. Thirteen strike out, seven walks overall
• 13:35
  Speaker 7: against them, So yeah, overall, his numbers are not good.
• 13:38
  Speaker 7: So I'm like, okay, things are looking like an over here.
• 13:42
  Speaker 7: Like really, the only component of this that looks against
• 13:45
  Speaker 7: the over would be that San Diego has a good bullpen,
• 13:48
  Speaker 7: because you got what I think are two bad starting
• 13:50
  Speaker 7: pitchers here, one bad bullpen, so most things look like
• 13:54
  Speaker 7: an over here. So I'm like, all right, Trevor Rodgers
• 13:57
  Speaker 7: pitching for Baltimore. He's bad six point one five IV,
• 14:00
  Speaker 7: one point four eight whip, None of that is good.
• 14:02
  Speaker 7: He is a little bit better at home five point
• 14:05
  Speaker 7: nine Homye Rra is still not good though.
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: But he's pitched a little bit better this month.
• 14:10
  Speaker 7: He's allowed three or fewer un runs and both starts
• 14:12
  Speaker 7: this month, so he is pitching a little bit better here,
• 14:15
  Speaker 7: and he's facing a very weak San Diego offense. So
• 14:18
  Speaker 7: that's where I kind of look at this and I'm like,
• 14:20
  Speaker 7: I don't know, man, he might actually do okay here.
• 14:23
  Speaker 7: He's given up way too many hits on the season, though,
• 14:25
  Speaker 7: too many walks as well, low strikeout rate. He's nowhere
• 14:29
  Speaker 7: near what he looked like last year, which it's looking
• 14:31
  Speaker 7: like last year was a fluke, which I thought it
• 14:33
  Speaker 7: might have been because his other numbers prior to that
• 14:36
  Speaker 7: were not very good. But against San Diego he has
• 14:39
  Speaker 7: been pretty good. Twenty one at bats. It's not a
• 14:41
  Speaker 7: big sample. Six of their hitters have faced him. He's
• 14:44
  Speaker 7: given up one extra base hit, which is a double
• 14:47
  Speaker 7: to Walker Buehler. They should, dude, they should have don't
• 14:51
  Speaker 7: go with the DH, just have Walker Buehler bat in
• 14:54
  Speaker 7: the game.
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, why wouldn't you.
• 14:56
  Speaker 7: He has the best offensive numbers against Rogers. Let's let's
• 15:00
  Speaker 7: go man, overall, he's got a four to one strikeout
• 15:04
  Speaker 7: walk ratio against them, two thirty eight batting average, five
• 15:07
  Speaker 7: point fifty eight ohps. So Rogers actually has good matchup
• 15:11
  Speaker 7: numbers here.
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: So I lean to the over here.
• 15:14
  Speaker 7: I think the over is probably still the best way
• 15:16
  Speaker 7: to look at this game. Rogers definitely could struggle to
• 15:21
  Speaker 7: some degree here, But I don't know, man, there's I
• 15:25
  Speaker 7: have some issues with it.
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: Money still does agree with nay.
• 15:28
  Speaker 7: Sixty eight percent of tickets, ninety one percent of the
• 15:30
  Speaker 7: cash on the over. The totals high, Like I said,
• 15:33
  Speaker 7: nine and a half or ten here, So do with
• 15:36
  Speaker 7: that info what you want. The money's also hitting San
• 15:39
  Speaker 7: Diego Baltimore sixty three percent of tickets on them, seventy
• 15:43
  Speaker 7: two percent of the cash on San Diego. I think
• 15:46
  Speaker 7: the public kind of has a tendency to just play
• 15:48
  Speaker 7: the team with the better offense, and that is.
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: Baltimore, But I don't know. Man.
• 15:53
  Speaker 7: As I showed you, those matchup numbers seem to favor
• 15:56
  Speaker 7: Rogers here, mister Rogers, so I think Baltimore first five
• 16:00
  Speaker 7: innings in this game makes some sense. I still think
• 16:02
  Speaker 7: an over is the better way to go, but you
• 16:04
  Speaker 7: do need a lot of runs to get that thing over.
• 16:07
  Speaker 7: But it could happen, and Baltimore is about a minus
• 16:10
  Speaker 7: one thirty something favorite here. I don't know what they
• 16:12
  Speaker 7: would be on the first five line, all right, Seattle
• 16:16
  Speaker 7: and Washington. I almost added this to my card because
• 16:19
  Speaker 7: this just looks like an obvious pitching advantage to Seattle here,
• 16:24
  Speaker 7: and I mean not even just the starting pitching, but
• 16:26
  Speaker 7: throughout the game. Because Seattle has the better bullpen too.
• 16:29
  Speaker 7: So I like Seattle in this game, but I have
• 16:31
  Speaker 7: not added it to the card. Seattle used four relief
• 16:35
  Speaker 7: pitchers yesterday. Washington used four as well. Washington, like I said,
• 16:40
  Speaker 7: is not a good bullpen. They're number twenty four. Seattle's
• 16:43
  Speaker 7: number fifteen, but they have a better ra than all
• 16:46
  Speaker 7: the teams around them, so they're better than that makes
• 16:49
  Speaker 7: it look offensively.
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: Washington is good.
• 16:51
  Speaker 7: They're number five, but they're not as good at home,
• 16:54
  Speaker 7: so that's another indicator against them here. And they're pitching
• 16:58
  Speaker 7: is not as good at home, so other indicator against
• 17:01
  Speaker 7: Washington here. Seattle's ranked fourteenth in offense. They've been okay
• 17:05
  Speaker 7: these seems, I believe, have split the two games.
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: In the series so far.
• 17:09
  Speaker 7: So again, it's another rubber match here. Whoever wins this
• 17:12
  Speaker 7: game wins the series, so I think both teams will
• 17:15
  Speaker 7: show up for that reason. Emerson Hancock is pitching for Seattle.
• 17:19
  Speaker 7: He's been pretty good this year. Two point seven to
• 17:22
  Speaker 7: four ERA point nine to five whip good stuff, basically
• 17:27
  Speaker 7: the same ERA both home and away. He's been pretty
• 17:30
  Speaker 7: good in both of his starts this month, so that's
• 17:33
  Speaker 7: a decent sign. One of them on the road against
• 17:35
  Speaker 7: a decent offense in Baltimore, so that's a good sign.
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: He's got a.
• 17:40
  Speaker 7: Decent strikeout rate on the season, but a really low
• 17:42
  Speaker 7: hit rate and a low walk rate, so he's not
• 17:45
  Speaker 7: putting guys on base, which is good, and Washington has
• 17:48
  Speaker 7: not seen a lot of them. Six hitters have faced
• 17:50
  Speaker 7: him only ten at bats. They have no extra base hits,
• 17:53
  Speaker 7: three strikeouts, three walks, two hundred batting average five to
• 17:56
  Speaker 7: eighty five ohps, so unfamiliarity. Plus the guys that have
• 18:00
  Speaker 7: seen him haven't hit him well. So Hancock looks like
• 18:03
  Speaker 7: he matches up pretty well here. And he is pitching
• 18:05
  Speaker 7: well as well, so a lot of things line up
• 18:07
  Speaker 7: in that direction.
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: And he's going up against Miles.
• 18:10
  Speaker 7: Mikolas, so this looks like a huge pitching mismatch to me.
• 18:14
  Speaker 7: Micholas is not good. Five point nine ERA, one point
• 18:17
  Speaker 7: three to four whip. I guess it could be worse,
• 18:19
  Speaker 7: but he's been pitching better on the road, and he's
• 18:22
  Speaker 7: not on the road here. He's at home where he
• 18:24
  Speaker 7: has a seven point nine to four ERA, and he's
• 18:27
  Speaker 7: allowed ten home runs at home in twenty eight and
• 18:30
  Speaker 7: a third in he's compared to four on the road
• 18:32
  Speaker 7: and thirty two and two thirds innings, So he gets
• 18:35
  Speaker 7: lit up at home.
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: This is not good. You do not want to be
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: on him at home, man.
• 18:40
  Speaker 7: I know he didn't give up any runs last time up,
• 18:42
  Speaker 7: but it was on the road at San Francisco. I
• 18:44
  Speaker 7: don't think they're a good offense. That was a pitcher
• 18:46
  Speaker 7: friendly park. He didn't even make it five innings in
• 18:48
  Speaker 7: that game, though I don't really know why, because his
• 18:51
  Speaker 7: pitch count wasn't that high, So I don't know what
• 18:53
  Speaker 7: was going on there. And I guess you could make
• 18:56
  Speaker 7: the argument he got a little bit unlucky the last
• 18:58
  Speaker 7: time he was at home and he gave up six
• 19:00
  Speaker 7: runs to Miami, but it was on six hits, three
• 19:03
  Speaker 7: home runs. But still the home runs have really plagued
• 19:06
  Speaker 7: him at home. His home run right overall is too high,
• 19:09
  Speaker 7: his hit rate is too high, strikeout rate is very low,
• 19:12
  Speaker 7: and his walk rate is kind of okay, but that's
• 19:15
  Speaker 7: about it. Numbers against Seattle are not as bad as
• 19:18
  Speaker 7: you would think, but they're not good. In seventy one
• 19:20
  Speaker 7: at bats, two ninety six average A lot is definitely
• 19:23
  Speaker 7: not good. But the ops isn't that high, Like they
• 19:25
  Speaker 7: have not hit for power really against him, seven forty
• 19:28
  Speaker 7: seven ops. It's somehow that's below that seven to fifty threshold.
• 19:33
  Speaker 7: I guess that's kind of what's giving me a little
• 19:35
  Speaker 7: bit of pause here. Sixteen to three strikeout walk ration
• 19:39
  Speaker 7: is pretty good though, But yeah, I mean I like
• 19:42
  Speaker 7: Seattle here, man, this is close to being on my card.
• 19:45
  Speaker 7: Like if I was gonna add another game, it would
• 19:47
  Speaker 7: be this. Seattle has seventy nine percent of tickets eighty
• 19:50
  Speaker 7: seven percent of the cash on them. I don't know
• 19:52
  Speaker 7: exactly what the price is, because again this screen is
• 19:55
  Speaker 7: not helping me out and not telling me. Seattle's around
• 19:58
  Speaker 7: minus one forty three according to but some of these
• 20:01
  Speaker 7: numbers can be a little bit off, which I think
• 20:04
  Speaker 7: is a reasonable price.
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: Really.
• 20:06
  Speaker 7: Uh oh, it looks like by the way, there's been
• 20:08
  Speaker 7: a switch here, Washington is now going with an opener pooling.
• 20:12
  Speaker 7: I don't think that really changes anything. I think Micholas
• 20:14
  Speaker 7: is gonna probably pitch behind him, I would guess and
• 20:18
  Speaker 7: follow him up. So I think you're still gonna get
• 20:20
  Speaker 7: Micholas in this game, but Poolan will probably be the
• 20:23
  Speaker 7: opener for like one inning or whatever. I don't think
• 20:26
  Speaker 7: that really changes things very much. Seattle would be my
• 20:29
  Speaker 7: play here. I would go Seattle. I would pick Hancock
• 20:34
  Speaker 7: must start, but don't specify a Washington pitcher.
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean.
• 20:39
  Speaker 7: If you want to play this game, you want Hancock
• 20:41
  Speaker 7: to be pitching for you, but you don't care who
• 20:43
  Speaker 7: Washington is gonna go with, because it's probably either gonna
• 20:46
  Speaker 7: be Micholas just starting the game, or they're gonna put
• 20:48
  Speaker 7: that opener in front of him. So there's a little
• 20:51
  Speaker 7: bit of a question mark there, but I think it's
• 20:52
  Speaker 7: gonna be pretty much the same game regardless of what
• 20:55
  Speaker 7: Washington does there. So I would go Seattle moneyline, full game,
• 21:00
  Speaker 7: Hancock must start. That's the way I would play that game. Yeah, yeah,
• 21:05
  Speaker 7: Mimosa that guy all right. Yankees and Blue Jays, they've
• 21:11
  Speaker 7: split this series so far. Yankees are the better team though,
• 21:15
  Speaker 7: But of course the Yankees won yesterday because they had
• 21:17
  Speaker 7: Schlitmer on the mound. Both pitchers did well in the game,
• 21:20
  Speaker 7: which I kind of thought would happen, but Schlitzler was
• 21:23
  Speaker 7: the better of the two, which is the case. I
• 21:26
  Speaker 7: think it was him against Goussman if I'm not mistaken.
• 21:29
  Speaker 7: Yankees have an okay bullpen. They use two guys out
• 21:32
  Speaker 7: of it yesterday. Toronto also has an okay bullpen, and
• 21:35
  Speaker 7: they also used two guys. Tyler Rodgers, the guy I
• 21:38
  Speaker 7: always confused with Trevor Rodgers. I get them confused all
• 21:41
  Speaker 7: the time. He's in Toronto's bullpen. Yankees have the twelfth
• 21:46
  Speaker 7: ranked bullpen, Toronto tenth. But the Yankees have a better bullpen,
• 21:50
  Speaker 7: Yer Ray, so I think they are probably the.
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: Better bullpen slightly.
• 21:54
  Speaker 7: Yankees are definitely the better offense obviously number two, although
• 21:58
  Speaker 7: they're not as good on the road Toronto twenty second
• 22:01
  Speaker 7: in an offense not good Will Warren, Oh wait, this
• 22:04
  Speaker 7: is one of my plays. What am I doing here?
• 22:06
  Speaker 7: How could I forget? I have two totals today and
• 22:14
  Speaker 7: this one is an over in this game, even though
• 22:16
  Speaker 7: I know this is one of those afternoon games, a
• 22:18
  Speaker 7: getaway day where these teams are gonna have They're gonna
• 22:22
  Speaker 7: be traveling and have you know, next next series beginning
• 22:25
  Speaker 7: either tomorrow or the next day. So I know sometimes
• 22:27
  Speaker 7: that means it leads to distracted hitting. But I think
• 22:30
  Speaker 7: the offenses are gonna be able to do something in
• 22:33
  Speaker 7: this game. And I know it's the Yankees on the
• 22:36
  Speaker 7: road without Aaron Judge whatever.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 22:38
  Speaker 7: Yesterday's game was low scoring. I get all that the
• 22:42
  Speaker 7: game prior to that was not low scoring. So the
• 22:44
  Speaker 7: first game in the series did go over, and this
• 22:47
  Speaker 7: looks like an over to Mammy. This is not exactly
• 22:49
  Speaker 7: a prime pitching matchup like yesterday's was. Will Warren is
• 22:53
  Speaker 7: pitching for the Yankees. He has been good, a three
• 22:56
  Speaker 7: point four to one, one point two to one whip
• 22:59
  Speaker 7: and he's got a really good record he's pretty good,
• 23:02
  Speaker 7: but he is one of their lesser pitchers. He's good
• 23:04
  Speaker 7: on the road, I know, two point seven to eight
• 23:07
  Speaker 7: roadra but he struggled in his last outing at Cleveland.
• 23:11
  Speaker 7: That's not a great sign. So there are some indicators
• 23:13
  Speaker 7: here that he is kind of regressing a little bit.
• 23:16
  Speaker 7: Three straight road starts. This is gonna be his fourth
• 23:18
  Speaker 7: straight road start, and he's walked three or more and
• 23:21
  Speaker 7: two of the three so far, so that's not good.
• 23:25
  Speaker 7: He did not allow that many runs against Kansas City
• 23:28
  Speaker 7: and then against the A's, which is pretty impressive because
• 23:30
  Speaker 7: that's a hitter friendly location there. But the fact that
• 23:34
  Speaker 7: he struggled against Cleveland that tells me it looks like
• 23:37
  Speaker 7: his form is kind of fading a bit. I mean,
• 23:39
  Speaker 7: that is not a good Cleveland offense there, and I
• 23:41
  Speaker 7: think he had decent numbers against them too, and he
• 23:44
  Speaker 7: still didn't do well.
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: His overall numbers are still good, low hit rate, high
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate.
• 23:48
  Speaker 7: His walk rate is too high at this point though,
• 23:52
  Speaker 7: and it's been getting worse over the last few starts.
• 23:56
  Speaker 7: But the thing that kind of clinched it for me
• 23:58
  Speaker 7: is he's not that good against Toronto. They just saw
• 24:01
  Speaker 7: him in late May, but they've seen him before anyway.
• 24:04
  Speaker 7: He was okay in that start. He went five innings,
• 24:06
  Speaker 7: three on runs a lot on six hits that was
• 24:08
  Speaker 7: in New York, three strikeouts, one walks. He was fine
• 24:13
  Speaker 7: in that outing, but he induced a lot of ground
• 24:15
  Speaker 7: balls that kind of helped him out there, and that's
• 24:17
  Speaker 7: not really what he usually does, so I think that
• 24:21
  Speaker 7: was a little bit fluky.
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: You look at his overall numbers.
• 24:23
  Speaker 7: They have fifty one at bats against him, Toronto does
• 24:26
  Speaker 7: nine strikeouts, four walks, three thirty three average nine to
• 24:30
  Speaker 7: eleven ops. So I think Toronto's offense can actually get
• 24:32
  Speaker 7: to him a little bit here, So I'm gonna fade
• 24:35
  Speaker 7: him here. But of course, the main reason why this
• 24:38
  Speaker 7: isn't over is Toronto is going with Patrick Korb and
• 24:41
  Speaker 7: he sucks. He's got a four point five to five RRA,
• 24:44
  Speaker 7: which is not horrible, but one point four to five
• 24:47
  Speaker 7: whip is not good. His he RA should probably be
• 24:49
  Speaker 7: higher than that. He's been horrendous at home six point
• 24:53
  Speaker 7: one to four home ERA. So the most extreme home
• 24:56
  Speaker 7: road split that we have out of the starting pitchers
• 24:58
  Speaker 7: is this one, and it's against Patrick Corbin. So I'm
• 25:02
  Speaker 7: six point one four HOMEI al ray, I'm expecting him
• 25:04
  Speaker 7: to not do well here. Will Warren, by the way,
• 25:07
  Speaker 7: was worse on the road last year, so I know
• 25:09
  Speaker 7: he's been better on the road so far this year,
• 25:11
  Speaker 7: but that might start moving in the other direction a
• 25:14
  Speaker 7: little bit. Corbin hasn't been good this month either. He's
• 25:17
  Speaker 7: got six walks and four strikeouts and ten hits allowed
• 25:21
  Speaker 7: in addition to nine earned runs allowed in eight innings
• 25:24
  Speaker 7: so far. It was against offenses that can do damage,
• 25:27
  Speaker 7: Atlanta and Philly, although I know Philly doesn't rank well offensively,
• 25:30
  Speaker 7: but this is still not a good sign. It was
• 25:32
  Speaker 7: Atlanta in Atlanta where they actually don't hit as well,
• 25:36
  Speaker 7: Philly in Toronto, and Philly doesn't hit as well on
• 25:39
  Speaker 7: the road.
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: This is not good. Corbin's not a good form right now.
• 25:43
  Speaker 7: He's got a high hit rate, high walk rate, low
• 25:46
  Speaker 7: strikeout rate. None of this is good. And of course
• 25:49
  Speaker 7: he does not have good numbers against the Yankees. In
• 25:51
  Speaker 7: one hundred and forty at bats, thirty to seventeen strikeout
• 25:54
  Speaker 7: walk ratio.
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: That's no good.
• 25:56
  Speaker 7: Two ninety three batting average allowed, eight ninety one ohps
• 25:59
  Speaker 7: allowed not good. And this is without Aaron Judge being
• 26:03
  Speaker 7: factored into that equation. So yeah, over the total is
• 26:07
  Speaker 7: the call in this game. That'll be a play for me.
• 26:10
  Speaker 7: I like it. I think there are a lot of
• 26:11
  Speaker 7: indicators starts the over here, and both bullpens are pretty mediocre,
• 26:14
  Speaker 7: so but I think if the starters struggle here, you're
• 26:17
  Speaker 7: gonna see some of the lesser bullpen arms get into
• 26:20
  Speaker 7: So I think I never go over first five. Really,
• 26:23
  Speaker 7: if I think it's gonna be a high scoring game,
• 26:25
  Speaker 7: I think it's just gonna cascade throughout the game.
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: So that's what I'm gonna do here.
• 26:30
  Speaker 7: The money agrees though it looks public, I mean, the
• 26:32
  Speaker 7: public probably is gonna play an over in a Yankees
• 26:35
  Speaker 7: Blue Jays game anyway, eighty two percent of tickets, but
• 26:38
  Speaker 7: they're not always wrong. Ninety four percent of the cash here.
• 26:41
  Speaker 7: I know Toronto's offense hasn't been good, which might be
• 26:44
  Speaker 7: keeping this number down a little bit. Maybe the pitcher's
• 26:46
  Speaker 7: era is is kind of keeping this number down a
• 26:48
  Speaker 7: little bit. But eight and a half seems pretty reasonable
• 26:51
  Speaker 7: to me, So over.
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: Is the call there.
• 26:54
  Speaker 7: Yankees are also getting the money eighty five percent of tickets,
• 26:57
  Speaker 7: ninety two percent of the cash on the Yankees, I
• 27:00
  Speaker 7: don't really disagree with that.
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: Corbin is just awful.
• 27:03
  Speaker 7: But I think another way that you could do this,
• 27:05
  Speaker 7: Because if you think the Yankees probably win, which I
• 27:07
  Speaker 7: think they probably do, and you like the over Yankees
• 27:11
  Speaker 7: over their team total is another way that you could
• 27:13
  Speaker 7: attack this game. I don't really usually do the team totals.
• 27:16
  Speaker 7: I'm gonna be I'm gonna be really pissed though, if, like,
• 27:19
  Speaker 7: if the Yankees win this game eight to nothing, watch
• 27:22
  Speaker 7: that happen. That'll be exactly what happens, right, So the
• 27:25
  Speaker 7: Yankees go over their team total and this total doesn't
• 27:27
  Speaker 7: go over. I'll be outraged if that happens. But you
• 27:31
  Speaker 7: could play the Yankees over their team total here, and
• 27:34
  Speaker 7: you'll probably need them to score. I would guess about
• 27:36
  Speaker 7: five runs, which is pretty doable, though I'd rather have
• 27:39
  Speaker 7: both offenses contributing in a situation like this, and Yankees,
• 27:44
  Speaker 7: you know, they don't score as well on the road
• 27:46
  Speaker 7: at least, but I think they will light up Corban.
• 27:48
  Speaker 7: So those are my thoughts in that game. Over is
• 27:52
  Speaker 7: my play in that one. Arizona at Cincinnati. These teams
• 27:57
  Speaker 7: have split this series as well. Arizona is the better
• 28:01
  Speaker 7: team here. Cincinnati has not been very good. I don't
• 28:03
  Speaker 7: think they're a very good team, and it starts with
• 28:05
  Speaker 7: their bullpen being quite bad. They used three relief pitchers
• 28:09
  Speaker 7: yesterday Arizona used one. Arizona has the better bullpen the
• 28:14
  Speaker 7: rank seventh still in Whip. Although their ray is not
• 28:17
  Speaker 7: very good. It's still above four, so they're not quite
• 28:20
  Speaker 7: that good, but I consider them to being mediocre. Cincinnati
• 28:24
  Speaker 7: is dead last and bullpen Whip, but they're tied well,
• 28:27
  Speaker 7: actually not really, because they're tied with Minnesota, and Minnesota
• 28:30
  Speaker 7: has the worst bullpen ERRA now, so the Reds, congratulations, Reds,
• 28:35
  Speaker 7: you're the second worst bullpen now, although Colorado has a
• 28:38
  Speaker 7: worst RA still as well, and I thought there was
• 28:41
  Speaker 7: one other team that did, but maybe that was yesterday.
• 28:43
  Speaker 7: These numbers have moved around, but yeah, Cincinnati, bad bullpen.
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: That's all you need to really know.
• 28:51
  Speaker 7: As far as the hitting, Cincinnati's twenty first Arizona twenty sixth.
• 28:55
  Speaker 7: So these offenses have not been doing well recently. Even
• 28:58
  Speaker 7: though this should be a pretty hit or friendly.
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: Series. Here we're in a.
• 29:03
  Speaker 7: Hitter friendly ballpark in Cincinnati. These teams pitching staffs are
• 29:07
  Speaker 7: not really that good. Both games have gone under the
• 29:10
  Speaker 7: total so far, which is kind of crazy. That's definitely
• 29:15
  Speaker 7: an indictment of these offenses for sure. Zach Gallon is
• 29:19
  Speaker 7: pitching for Arizona. Here he has not been good five
• 29:23
  Speaker 7: point four to three e RA, one point five to
• 29:25
  Speaker 7: five WHIP. He's way worse on the road too, seven
• 29:28
  Speaker 7: point four to four road ERA. That is not a
• 29:30
  Speaker 7: good sign pitching on the road and a pitcher friendly ballpark.
• 29:34
  Speaker 7: He hasn't been good this month either. Only his four strikeouts,
• 29:37
  Speaker 7: three walks, eighteen hits a lot and ten to third innings.
• 29:40
  Speaker 7: That's a bad stuff. One of those outings was against
• 29:43
  Speaker 7: the Dodgers. The other was at Miami, which should have
• 29:45
  Speaker 7: been an easier routing for him, and he did a
• 29:48
  Speaker 7: little bit better there, but he still wasn't good. He's
• 29:50
  Speaker 7: given up a lot of hits on the season, way
• 29:52
  Speaker 7: too many hits. His walk rate is also high and
• 29:55
  Speaker 7: his strikeout rate is low. So there's really not a
• 29:58
  Speaker 7: lot to like about these numbers here. Gallon has not
• 30:01
  Speaker 7: been good, but he actually has really good numbers against
• 30:04
  Speaker 7: the Reds. In forty five at bats, one thirty three average,
• 30:08
  Speaker 7: five ninety eight ohps, twenty to five strike up walk
• 30:11
  Speaker 7: Razio so it's.
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: Like, which way is this gonna go? I honestly have
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: no idea.
• 30:16
  Speaker 7: That's that's definitely some conflicting information here, because this looks
• 30:20
  Speaker 7: like a really good matchup for him against these specific hitters.
• 30:23
  Speaker 7: Although I still kind of lean towards him not pitching
• 30:26
  Speaker 7: well though, just because we haven't seen it recently and
• 30:28
  Speaker 7: he's been so bad on the road this year. Andrew
• 30:31
  Speaker 7: Abbot is pitching for the Reds. He's kind of struggling here.
• 30:34
  Speaker 7: He was better in the last couple of years. I
• 30:36
  Speaker 7: don't know what the deal is this year. Four point
• 30:39
  Speaker 7: one ERA is not too bad, but his whip is
• 30:41
  Speaker 7: bad one point four to one. He's been bad at
• 30:45
  Speaker 7: home five point one five home e RA, so both
• 30:48
  Speaker 7: pitchers are in the bad of their home road splits year.
• 30:51
  Speaker 7: So it does kind of look like this could be
• 30:53
  Speaker 7: an over for once in this series. Abbott has been
• 30:58
  Speaker 7: a little bit better kind of this month, but he
• 31:01
  Speaker 7: had some He drew really good matchups though. He got
• 31:04
  Speaker 7: the Royals at home and the Royals don't hit well
• 31:08
  Speaker 7: on the road at all, and then he got San
• 31:10
  Speaker 7: Diego in San Diego, so those are pretty good matchups
• 31:13
  Speaker 7: for him. And the start before that he faced the Mets,
• 31:16
  Speaker 7: so he got some really really easy matchups here, and
• 31:19
  Speaker 7: he did fine in those three starts, but he still
• 31:22
  Speaker 7: walked way too many guys. He's walked multiple guys in
• 31:25
  Speaker 7: most of his recent outings. This is not a good sign.
• 31:28
  Speaker 7: He's got a decent hit rate here, but his walk
• 31:31
  Speaker 7: rate is clearly too high, like I was just alluding to,
• 31:33
  Speaker 7: and his strikeout rate is low. He's not a strikeout guy,
• 31:37
  Speaker 7: but I think usually his walk rate is just not
• 31:39
  Speaker 7: this bad. I think that's what's going wrong within this
• 31:42
  Speaker 7: year is his control has been off this year for
• 31:46
  Speaker 7: whatever reasons. Numbers against Arizona don't make it any better.
• 31:50
  Speaker 7: Forty three at bats only six hitters, but forty three
• 31:53
  Speaker 7: at bats six to three strikeout walk raceio three forty
• 31:56
  Speaker 7: nine average nine eighty eight oh ps. That is not
• 31:59
  Speaker 7: good off there. So I think an over makes the
• 32:02
  Speaker 7: most sense in this game. Both bullpens I don't really trust,
• 32:06
  Speaker 7: especially obviously not Cincinnati's starting pitching looks like you shouldn't
• 32:10
  Speaker 7: trust them either, Although again Gallen does have the good
• 32:13
  Speaker 7: matchup numbers here.
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: The totals nine and a half.
• 32:16
  Speaker 7: Basically some books have a ten out there oddsmaker's telling
• 32:20
  Speaker 7: you they're expecting runs in this game. Money is definitely
• 32:24
  Speaker 7: backing the over fifty four percent of tickets on the
• 32:27
  Speaker 7: under ninety percent of the cash on the over.
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: I agree.
• 32:30
  Speaker 7: I think if I was gonna play this game, that
• 32:31
  Speaker 7: would be what I would do, is go over the total.
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 32:34
  Speaker 7: The money seems to be indicating on Cincinnati a little bit,
• 32:37
  Speaker 7: and Cincinnati is a slight underdog. Arizona is a slight
• 32:41
  Speaker 7: road favorite here almost to pick the winner. Price fifty
• 32:45
  Speaker 7: five percent of tickets, fifty four percent of the cash
• 32:47
  Speaker 7: on Arizona.
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: I don't really agree with that. I think I lean
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: Arizona here.
• 32:51
  Speaker 7: As far as the side is concerned, I think the
• 32:53
  Speaker 7: over is much stronger. But Gallen, with his better matchup
• 32:57
  Speaker 7: numbers and Arizona having the better bullpen, I think that's
• 33:01
  Speaker 7: kind of the indicator that I would lean towards Arizona
• 33:04
  Speaker 7: just a.
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: Little bit there.
• 33:05
  Speaker 7: But over is what makes way more sense in that
• 33:07
  Speaker 7: game though, Atlanta and the Mets, these teams I believe
• 33:12
  Speaker 7: have split the series. Yeah, the Mets won the first game.
• 33:15
  Speaker 7: Atlanta bounced back with a win yesterday, which pisses me
• 33:18
  Speaker 7: off because that almost made my card. I just wasn't
• 33:21
  Speaker 7: really sure about Martin Perez, and I think he did
• 33:24
  Speaker 7: well again, although it was a close game. But Atlanta,
• 33:27
  Speaker 7: you know, their bullpen came through again. Atlanta used four
• 33:30
  Speaker 7: guys out of their bullpen yesterday. Though both of these
• 33:33
  Speaker 7: bullpens are generally good, the Mets used two guys out
• 33:36
  Speaker 7: of their bullpen. Atlanta is number one in bullpen as
• 33:39
  Speaker 7: I mentioned yesterday, and both ERA and whip very good.
• 33:43
  Speaker 7: The Mets are number three, although their ERA is not
• 33:47
  Speaker 7: the third lowest but pretty close. They're a good bullpen,
• 33:50
  Speaker 7: so you do have two good bullpens here. Offensively, obviously,
• 33:53
  Speaker 7: one team is good and the other isn't. Atlanta's number three.
• 33:57
  Speaker 7: In offense, the Mets are number twenty nine. Atlanta has
• 34:00
  Speaker 7: the better offense and they are pretty good on the road.
• 34:03
  Speaker 7: Like I said, this pitching matchup looks decent though, uh
• 34:09
  Speaker 7: like the pitchers could do okay here.
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: Potentially.
• 34:12
  Speaker 7: Bryce Elder is pitching for the Braves. He is still
• 34:14
  Speaker 7: having a good season two point six six ERA, one
• 34:17
  Speaker 7: point oh five WHIP, even though based on you know,
• 34:20
  Speaker 7: his recent seasons, I'm kind of surprised that he's pitching
• 34:24
  Speaker 7: this well this year. But he did pitch like this
• 34:26
  Speaker 7: earlier in his career, so I don't know. He's been
• 34:29
  Speaker 7: a little bit worse on the road three point one
• 34:31
  Speaker 7: four roadra but still overall two point six six ERA,
• 34:35
  Speaker 7: one point oh five WHIP overall numbers, those are good.
• 34:38
  Speaker 7: He's been good in both starts this month ten to
• 34:41
  Speaker 7: three strikeout walk ratio. Both games were wins for Atlanta.
• 34:45
  Speaker 7: He gave up three in runs or fewer in both
• 34:47
  Speaker 7: of them, so it looks like that bad start that
• 34:49
  Speaker 7: he had at the end of May at Fenway was
• 34:52
  Speaker 7: kind of a fluke because all the starts around it
• 34:54
  Speaker 7: him been good, so he has not fallen out a
• 34:57
  Speaker 7: formal He's got a low hit rate this season, his
• 35:00
  Speaker 7: walk rate is kind of mediocre, and his strike out
• 35:02
  Speaker 7: rate is not that high, but that's not really what
• 35:04
  Speaker 7: he does.
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: Numbers against the Mets are fine.
• 35:08
  Speaker 7: In thirty seven at bats two forty three batting average
• 35:10
  Speaker 7: allowed seven to twenty two OPS is not as low
• 35:13
  Speaker 7: as you would think six to four strike out walk ratio,
• 35:17
  Speaker 7: but he does okay against them, and their lineup has
• 35:20
  Speaker 7: really not been doing a lot this year, so I
• 35:22
  Speaker 7: think Elder does have a pretty decent matchup here. Freddy
• 35:25
  Speaker 7: Peralt does pitching for the Mets. He's been struggling a
• 35:28
  Speaker 7: little bit more recently. He's usually pretty good, but he's
• 35:32
  Speaker 7: got a four point zero four ERA.
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: One point three to two whip is a bit too high.
• 35:36
  Speaker 7: He does usually walk too many guys and that's also
• 35:39
  Speaker 7: been a problem this year. He hasn't been good at
• 35:41
  Speaker 7: home either, a four point seven to eight homey RA.
• 35:45
  Speaker 7: That's a problem. I don't know what's going on with
• 35:47
  Speaker 7: him pitching in this ballpark. I know he's new to
• 35:49
  Speaker 7: the Mets this year, but that's not good. Although his
• 35:52
  Speaker 7: last home start, he definitely got unlucky, allowing six runs
• 35:55
  Speaker 7: to Saint Louis, and that was in that game where
• 35:57
  Speaker 7: the Mets were returning home across country from a road trip.
• 36:01
  Speaker 7: It was a really negative spot for them. But he
• 36:03
  Speaker 7: gave up six runs on six hits and two walks
• 36:06
  Speaker 7: and had five strikeouts, so he got a bit unlucky
• 36:08
  Speaker 7: in that one. His other start this month against Seattle
• 36:12
  Speaker 7: was good, although it was in a picture friendly.
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: Ballpark in Seattle.
• 36:15
  Speaker 7: But I don't think he's like completely out of form
• 36:18
  Speaker 7: right now. Based on that pitching line against Seattle. His
• 36:21
  Speaker 7: overall numbers are pretty much what you would get what
• 36:23
  Speaker 7: you expect to get out of him, fairly low hit rate,
• 36:26
  Speaker 7: walk rate is too high, although in this case it's
• 36:30
  Speaker 7: higher than you usually even get out of him, so
• 36:32
  Speaker 7: he has to fix that. Like his walks are his
• 36:35
  Speaker 7: huge problem here, that's his one problem, I should say.
• 36:39
  Speaker 7: And then his strikeout rate is pretty good. Numbers against
• 36:43
  Speaker 7: Atlanta are a little bit all over the place. In
• 36:45
  Speaker 7: seventy at bats, seventeen to nine strikeout walk ratio is
• 36:48
  Speaker 7: not very good to twenty nine. Batting average allowed is good.
• 36:52
  Speaker 7: Seven seventy four oh ps is not good. That is
• 36:55
  Speaker 7: too high. So they don't really hit him for contact
• 36:58
  Speaker 7: that well, but they have hit him for power. Austin
• 37:01
  Speaker 7: Riley is really the one guy that does damage to
• 37:03
  Speaker 7: him in this lineup though, seven for sixteen with two
• 37:06
  Speaker 7: home runs and a walk and a couple of strikeouts.
• 37:10
  Speaker 7: So I guess, you know, I don't talk about player
• 37:12
  Speaker 7: props much, but player prop potential there for Riley against Peralta,
• 37:17
  Speaker 7: I would go hits plus run spless RBIs over. I
• 37:20
  Speaker 7: just when I look at the player props, you know,
• 37:22
  Speaker 7: I just kind of identify, like, oh, this guy has
• 37:24
  Speaker 7: a good matchup against this pitcher, although you could go
• 37:26
  Speaker 7: the other way and look, oh, this guy like really
• 37:29
  Speaker 7: struggles against this pitcher, Like you just want to find
• 37:31
  Speaker 7: like a big sample size and do whatever.
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: Although what I would say is, if you're gonna go
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: over with a.
• 37:36
  Speaker 7: Player prop, do hits plus runs pless RBIs because the
• 37:40
  Speaker 7: walk might not be totally wasted.
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: But if you're gonna go under, I would go under.
• 37:44
  Speaker 7: Total basis because a walk doesn't count in total basis,
• 37:48
  Speaker 7: So that helps you in that case. All right, So
• 37:51
  Speaker 7: what do we do with this game, though, I guess
• 37:53
  Speaker 7: is the question. I don't know, man. I mean, this
• 37:58
  Speaker 7: game it looks it looks kind of like an underish
• 38:02
  Speaker 7: game to me. But I don't know, man. I have
• 38:05
  Speaker 7: two decent starting pitchers here, decent bullpens. It's a little
• 38:09
  Speaker 7: bit of a confusing game. The money's coming in on
• 38:11
  Speaker 7: the over. The totals eight and a half, which is
• 38:14
  Speaker 7: higher than you would think. I guess for this starting
• 38:16
  Speaker 7: pitching matchup, seventy one percent of tickets, ninety two percent
• 38:19
  Speaker 7: of the cash on the over.
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: I kind of lean under here. The money is backing.
• 38:23
  Speaker 7: Atlanta as well, seventy percent of tickets, ninety one percent
• 38:26
  Speaker 7: of the cash on Atlanta. I somewhat agree with that,
• 38:30
  Speaker 7: Peralta's been a little bit iffy recently. He's in the
• 38:33
  Speaker 7: lesser form and he has the worst of the home
• 38:35
  Speaker 7: road splits here and the somewhat worse overall matchup numbers
• 38:40
  Speaker 7: as well. So Atlanta makes some sense.
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: In the game.
• 38:45
  Speaker 7: But you're gonna be laying Oh I thought you're gonna
• 38:47
  Speaker 7: be laying a favorite price, You're not. The Mets are
• 38:49
  Speaker 7: actually favored minus one twenty. But what I've been saying
• 38:52
  Speaker 7: in this series though, is also that it just looks
• 38:54
  Speaker 7: way too easy to take Atlanta though the team with
• 38:57
  Speaker 7: the way better record, and you're getting him as an underdog.
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: I don't like that because it just looks way too easy.
• 39:03
  Speaker 7: So even though I think they probably win this game,
• 39:06
  Speaker 7: I guess I would not want to have money on that.
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: So I don't like that game really.
• 39:11
  Speaker 7: The next game up is my other play is it's
• 39:14
  Speaker 7: my only other play of the day, Detroit and Cleveland.
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: I don't know why this is not hold on? Why
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: is this not letting me? I don't know what this.
• 39:25
  Speaker 7: Yeah, Streamyard is just fucking up, man, I don't know
• 39:31
  Speaker 7: what's going on here. Streamyard is not streamyard has like
• 39:34
  Speaker 7: a check box next to all the like media that
• 39:38
  Speaker 7: you have uploaded now, so like usually you just click
• 39:40
  Speaker 7: on the media that you wanted to well display, but
• 39:43
  Speaker 7: this is now a check box.
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: You can multi select to like delete a.
• 39:47
  Speaker 7: Bunch of them at once, which is fine, but I
• 39:49
  Speaker 7: don't know, there should be like a thing to toggle
• 39:52
  Speaker 7: that that mode on or something.
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't like this, but I told
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: you this is a total.
• 39:57
  Speaker 7: This is an under Detroit and Cleveland under seven and
• 40:00
  Speaker 7: a half minus one twenty. That's a decent price, I
• 40:04
  Speaker 7: think on this. If you want to go first five,
• 40:06
  Speaker 7: you could do that too. I saw an under four
• 40:08
  Speaker 7: at minus one thirty in the first five. I think
• 40:11
  Speaker 7: that's probably the best you do there. I wouldn't disagree
• 40:14
  Speaker 7: with that because I like the starting pitching here. But
• 40:16
  Speaker 7: I was back and forth on the bullpens, like are
• 40:18
  Speaker 7: these bullpens bad enough that we should cut them out?
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 40:23
  Speaker 7: Detroit's had some light usage out of there as recently.
• 40:25
  Speaker 7: These three guys. Cleveland did use their closer two days
• 40:29
  Speaker 7: in a row, though, so their closer isn't really like
• 40:31
  Speaker 7: their best two relievers are not available, but their bullpen's
• 40:35
  Speaker 7: been decent overall.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: That they did use four guys out.
• 40:37
  Speaker 7: Of the bullpen yesterday, but I'm still gonna just bring
• 40:41
  Speaker 7: them in here because we get the key number seven
• 40:43
  Speaker 7: and a half on the full game. But again, first five,
• 40:46
  Speaker 7: I wouldn't disagree with that either. It's a close call
• 40:49
  Speaker 7: for me. Hopefully we make the right call here, Unlike
• 40:52
  Speaker 7: with Red Sox Rangers. Seriously Red Sox Rangers, like that
• 40:56
  Speaker 7: was like a no brainer, like, yeah, let's keep the
• 40:58
  Speaker 7: bullpens in in that game.
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: Two really good bullpens. But nope.
• 41:02
  Speaker 7: Anyway, Cleveland is number eleven and bullpen not bad. Detroit
• 41:07
  Speaker 7: is number twenty one, but their bullpen eray is in
• 41:10
  Speaker 7: the very low fource.
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen ray is better.
• 41:14
  Speaker 7: Than all the teams between sixteenth and twentieth, and obviously
• 41:19
  Speaker 7: better than all the teams below them too. So Detroit
• 41:21
  Speaker 7: a little bit better I think than maybe where they're
• 41:24
  Speaker 7: ranked here. The whip, I think is a better indicator
• 41:26
  Speaker 7: than era, but you got a kind of weigh both
• 41:29
  Speaker 7: of them. And then as far as the hitting is concerned,
• 41:32
  Speaker 7: that's the other thing. These offenses have not been that good.
• 41:35
  Speaker 7: Detroit's nineteenth. Cleveland is twenty six, So that kind of
• 41:39
  Speaker 7: helps the undercase here.
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: You're not looking at two prolific offenses.
• 41:43
  Speaker 7: Yere Detroit, they're starting to get their starting pitchers back.
• 41:48
  Speaker 7: Man Schooble, I'm pretty sure pitched yesterday, although I know
• 41:51
  Speaker 7: they lost the game yesterday, but Scooble did pitch. In fact,
• 41:55
  Speaker 7: I think Cleveland, by the way, I think they're looking
• 41:57
  Speaker 7: at a sweep pier. Yeah, so that's another thing to
• 42:00
  Speaker 7: look at here, Cleveland. These games have both been really
• 42:02
  Speaker 7: low scoring in the series. By the way, We've had
• 42:05
  Speaker 7: five and four as the totals in the series so far.
• 42:08
  Speaker 7: And I know you usually don't want to look at
• 42:10
  Speaker 7: that necessarily, right, Like a lot of times they'll want
• 42:12
  Speaker 7: to fade like recency bias here. But I just think
• 42:15
  Speaker 7: there's a reason why these games have gone low. I
• 42:19
  Speaker 7: just think this is a low total type of series here.
• 42:22
  Speaker 7: And of course school Ball is on the mound yesterday,
• 42:25
  Speaker 7: so I'm assuming he actually pitched. But Schoolbol is back,
• 42:28
  Speaker 7: and now Detroit is getting Casey Mize back to for
• 42:31
  Speaker 7: this game, and I am gonna back him in this.
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna back both starters here.
• 42:36
  Speaker 7: Uh So Mize had some adductor injury I don't know
• 42:39
  Speaker 7: exactly what it was. He's actually been injured twice this
• 42:42
  Speaker 7: year already, but he's been pitching well when he's been
• 42:45
  Speaker 7: in there. Two point two seven ERA point ninety seven
• 42:48
  Speaker 7: whip And what I actually like playing on a veteran
• 42:51
  Speaker 7: pitcher like he's twenty nine, he's been around for a
• 42:54
  Speaker 7: long time now, a veteran pitcher coming back from injury.
• 42:57
  Speaker 7: I actually liked that situation because I think they get
• 43:00
  Speaker 7: humped up to me back there, and I think Detroit
• 43:01
  Speaker 7: is in a better mindset now, Like we get Scooba
• 43:04
  Speaker 7: back one day and then Mize back the next, So
• 43:06
  Speaker 7: now they're starting rotation all of a sudden looks way
• 43:09
  Speaker 7: better with those two guys in there. It's like the
• 43:11
  Speaker 7: season might have hope, you know what I mean. So
• 43:14
  Speaker 7: I think the guys might be motivated here, and I
• 43:16
  Speaker 7: think they're gonna rally around him. They're gonna rally to
• 43:18
  Speaker 7: try to avoid a sweep too. So I like all
• 43:21
  Speaker 7: that Mize has been worse on the road. I know,
• 43:24
  Speaker 7: three point seven to two Roady Ira. That's still not
• 43:27
  Speaker 7: that bad though. And he faced Cleveland on May twenty first,
• 43:32
  Speaker 7: did well in that start, went six to two thirds
• 43:34
  Speaker 7: that was in Detroit. Four hits, allowed, two earned runs,
• 43:37
  Speaker 7: four strikeouts, no walks. Nice outing from him there. He
• 43:40
  Speaker 7: was pitching really well up until he got hurt.
• 43:43
  Speaker 5: Uh.
• 43:43
  Speaker 7: The other the other time he got hurt was in
• 43:45
  Speaker 7: late April. He got hurt against the Braves and then
• 43:48
  Speaker 7: his first game and he came back. He shut out
• 43:51
  Speaker 7: Toronto for six innings. So I know that was at
• 43:54
  Speaker 7: home and he hasn't made a road start since then.
• 43:57
  Speaker 7: But that's a good sign that he knows to come
• 44:00
  Speaker 7: back from injury right. Like he'd missed like multiple weeks
• 44:03
  Speaker 7: and he came back with no problem. So I think
• 44:05
  Speaker 7: he can do the same again here. It's a similar
• 44:07
  Speaker 7: situation here against a similarly weak offense. He's got good
• 44:12
  Speaker 7: numbers here on the season from when he has pitched,
• 44:15
  Speaker 7: low hit rate, his walk rate is fine, strike got
• 44:18
  Speaker 7: rate is pretty high, and he does well against Cleveland.
• 44:21
  Speaker 7: I know they just saw him, but I don't think
• 44:22
  Speaker 7: that's gonna help him that much because again, that was
• 44:25
  Speaker 7: longer ago than it looks like, because he had He's
• 44:29
  Speaker 7: been injured for like almost a month here, so that
• 44:32
  Speaker 7: wasn't that recent and they've seen him a bunch, so
• 44:35
  Speaker 7: having one extra start against him doesn't matter that much.
• 44:38
  Speaker 7: They have sixty nine at bats against him, thirteen to
• 44:40
  Speaker 7: five strike out walk ratio, two seventeen average allowed, six
• 44:44
  Speaker 7: thirty three ops, so his numbers are good against Cleveland.
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: I expect that to continue.
• 44:50
  Speaker 7: Meanwhile, I will also back Gavin Williams in this situation.
• 44:54
  Speaker 7: Williams for Cleveland, he's been one of their best starters
• 44:57
  Speaker 7: three point three to two ERA, one point one whip.
• 45:00
  Speaker 7: He's been really good at home two point six to
• 45:02
  Speaker 7: four home here Ray, so he's in the better of
• 45:05
  Speaker 7: his splits. He wasn't great in his last outing, but
• 45:07
  Speaker 7: it was he had to face the Yankees twice in
• 45:10
  Speaker 7: a row here, so I'm gonna give him a little
• 45:12
  Speaker 7: bit of a pass for those games. I think he
• 45:14
  Speaker 7: does do okay against the Yankees usually. He got a
• 45:17
  Speaker 7: win in one of them, and then the second time
• 45:20
  Speaker 7: the Yankees maybe made some adjustments and did a little
• 45:23
  Speaker 7: bit better against him, and he walked three guys, but
• 45:26
  Speaker 7: that was kind of an outlier.
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: So Williams is kind of weird.
• 45:29
  Speaker 7: Like the walks have been an issue for him in
• 45:31
  Speaker 7: the past, and they were an issue for him early
• 45:33
  Speaker 7: in the season, but going into May, he got that
• 45:36
  Speaker 7: like really under control. He changed something, although he became
• 45:40
  Speaker 7: a little bit too hittable, But just having one start
• 45:43
  Speaker 7: where he walked three guys against the Yankees, I'm not
• 45:45
  Speaker 7: gonna consider that to be a trend back in the
• 45:48
  Speaker 7: wrong direction yet. And this is gonna be a much
• 45:50
  Speaker 7: easier matchup against Detroit and then facing the Yankees was
• 45:54
  Speaker 7: you know, he's got eighty six and two thirds in
• 45:56
  Speaker 7: he's pitched so far on the season.
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: Low hit rate, pretty low.
• 46:00
  Speaker 7: I mean, the walk rate's okay, it's low enough and
• 46:04
  Speaker 7: high strike gut rate, so the walk rate is lower
• 46:06
  Speaker 7: than what you usually get out of him. So he's
• 46:08
  Speaker 7: figuring out how to pitch better than he has in
• 46:12
  Speaker 7: the past, you know. And his numbers against Detroit are
• 46:16
  Speaker 7: pretty dominant. He has one hundred and twenty five at
• 46:18
  Speaker 7: bats against them, and he's telling them to a one
• 46:20
  Speaker 7: fifty two batting average and four to twenty three ohps
• 46:24
  Speaker 7: fifty one to ten strike out walk ratio. It's kind
• 46:27
  Speaker 7: of a lot of walks, I guess, but it's a lot.
• 46:29
  Speaker 7: It's a lot of at bats though, and it's a
• 46:31
  Speaker 7: lot of strike guts. Actually, that strike out walk ratio
• 46:34
  Speaker 7: actually is really high. It's over five, and I consider
• 46:37
  Speaker 7: three to be like the the average as far as
• 46:40
  Speaker 7: that metric is concerned. He's got he's got really good
• 46:43
  Speaker 7: numbers here. He's dominated them, and I don't think he's
• 46:45
  Speaker 7: faced them this year either, So I like, how how
• 46:49
  Speaker 7: how the this sets up for both pitchers. The money
• 46:51
  Speaker 7: seems to agree with me on the under sixty percent
• 46:54
  Speaker 7: of tickets on the over eighty eight percent of the
• 46:56
  Speaker 7: cash on the under totals around seven or seven and
• 46:59
  Speaker 7: a half. Like I said, I think some books you
• 47:02
  Speaker 7: can still find a number like this. I'd still agree
• 47:05
  Speaker 7: with under seven, although if you want to go first
• 47:07
  Speaker 7: five under you can do that too.
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: I have to score it the way that I'm.
• 47:10
  Speaker 7: Giving it out on the show, which is this, but
• 47:13
  Speaker 7: I would agree with the first five under two. If
• 47:15
  Speaker 7: you can find it under four at like minus one thirty,
• 47:18
  Speaker 7: I think that's a decent way to play this game
• 47:20
  Speaker 7: as well. But under seven I think works as well.
• 47:23
  Speaker 7: But I obviously I prefer seven and a half. I
• 47:25
  Speaker 7: would go up to maybe even minus one twenty five
• 47:28
  Speaker 7: to get that hook at the under seven and a half,
• 47:30
  Speaker 7: although you know you got to kind of weigh, like
• 47:33
  Speaker 7: how much does that half run really worth, but it's
• 47:35
  Speaker 7: on that key number of seven, so.
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: It's worth a little bit more there. But I kind
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: of just go by feel.
• 47:43
  Speaker 7: I go by intuitions sometimes when I make that decision, though,
• 47:47
  Speaker 7: where a lot of guys will use math. But I
• 47:49
  Speaker 7: think that the value I think is fairly like It's
• 47:53
  Speaker 7: kind of subjective though in a way. I mean, you
• 47:56
  Speaker 7: can look at just like the history and that can
• 47:58
  Speaker 7: tell you, like what the value of that half run
• 48:00
  Speaker 7: actually is. But I don't know, Thomas, what's up you're
• 48:06
  Speaker 7: going with the Pirates. I agree with it, but I
• 48:09
  Speaker 7: don't love it. And the money seems to disagree on that. Skeens,
• 48:13
  Speaker 7: You're never gonna get a good price on Skiens, you
• 48:16
  Speaker 7: know what I mean.
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: And he's up against Max Meyer.
• 48:19
  Speaker 7: I mean, you can go back to the top of
• 48:20
  Speaker 7: the show and I talked about that Max Meyer is
• 48:23
  Speaker 7: is not a joke. But Skeens has the better matchup
• 48:27
  Speaker 7: numbers there, so there is that. But I also I
• 48:31
  Speaker 7: do not like Pittsburgh's bullpen either, so be aware of that.
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 48:37
  Speaker 7: Next game up is what am I looking at? Houston
• 48:41
  Speaker 7: and Kansas City? Sorry, Zach, Kansas City. They've lost four
• 48:46
  Speaker 7: games in a row. They've had close games of the series.
• 48:49
  Speaker 7: This series has been high scoring, which I thought. You know,
• 48:52
  Speaker 7: coming into this series, I thought this looked like an
• 48:54
  Speaker 7: over series, and of course my play yesterday first first
• 48:58
  Speaker 7: five Kansas City. They have a two run lead going
• 49:01
  Speaker 7: into the fifth inning and Noah Cameron blows it. Thanks
• 49:04
  Speaker 7: a lot, really really pissed about that. But I've been
• 49:09
  Speaker 7: correct about this being an over series. I just haven't
• 49:11
  Speaker 7: given out an over this game. I don't want to
• 49:15
  Speaker 7: give out an overplay though. This looks like the least
• 49:17
  Speaker 7: over conducive game in this series based on who's pitching here,
• 49:21
  Speaker 7: although you still have two pretty bad bullpens. Houston used
• 49:25
  Speaker 7: four guys out of the bullpen yesterday. Kansas City used
• 49:29
  Speaker 7: four as well, so if you are gonna go over,
• 49:30
  Speaker 7: you gotta go over full game. Houston's bullpen has been
• 49:33
  Speaker 7: improving recently though. They're now twenty third in bullpen, so
• 49:37
  Speaker 7: they're actually a little bit better right now. So I'm
• 49:39
  Speaker 7: gonna have to adjust what we think about them as.
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: We go here.
• 49:42
  Speaker 7: Kansas City twenty eighth, they're a bad bullpen. They're worse
• 49:45
  Speaker 7: than Houston at this point. I still don't like either
• 49:48
  Speaker 7: bullpen right now though Houston is eighth in offense, Kansas
• 49:52
  Speaker 7: City is twenty fifth, so Houston has the better offense.
• 49:55
  Speaker 7: Houston's going with Spencer Arraghetty, who does have good numbers
• 49:58
  Speaker 7: here two point two, one point one to nine WHIP
• 50:02
  Speaker 7: basically as the same era home and away wasn't great.
• 50:06
  Speaker 7: In his last game at Anaheim, he walked four guys
• 50:10
  Speaker 7: and that's kind of been the issue with him, and
• 50:11
  Speaker 7: he gave up four runs in the previous game in
• 50:13
  Speaker 7: four innings against Pittsburgh, which Pittsburgh is a good offense,
• 50:17
  Speaker 7: but his starts this month are not really that good.
• 50:21
  Speaker 7: Ten to five strike out walk ratio six point three
• 50:23
  Speaker 7: ERA across that span, and the walks are just a
• 50:27
  Speaker 7: huge issue with him.
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: Man. I know he has a really low hit rate.
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: His overall numbers look really good.
• 50:31
  Speaker 7: His strikeout rate is okay, but I think his numbers
• 50:34
  Speaker 7: are gonna regress because his walk rate is just too high.
• 50:37
  Speaker 7: And that's what I've been saying all season, like, yeah,
• 50:41
  Speaker 7: he has one of the higher walk rates out there,
• 50:43
  Speaker 7: so it's it's not good. His numbers against Kansas City
• 50:46
  Speaker 7: are pretty good, though they only have six hitters who
• 50:48
  Speaker 7: have faced him ten at bats two hundred average, six
• 50:51
  Speaker 7: thirty three oh ps, five to two strikeout walk ratio,
• 50:55
  Speaker 7: so he might match up ok here, although remember this
• 50:58
  Speaker 7: is a more hitter friendly now because they move the
• 51:01
  Speaker 7: walls in total is pretty low though in this game.
• 51:04
  Speaker 7: Considering that Stephen Klek is pitching for the Royals, he's
• 51:07
  Speaker 7: been pretty good. Uh three point one four ERA, one
• 51:10
  Speaker 7: point oh seven W. I think he's been hurt for
• 51:13
  Speaker 7: part of the season, one point eight e RA at home,
• 51:16
  Speaker 7: so he's been better at home for whatever. That's where
• 51:19
  Speaker 7: he's pitched well this month, at Cincinnati and at home
• 51:22
  Speaker 7: against Texas. He's allowed more than one hit per inning, though,
• 51:25
  Speaker 7: which is not great, but he has a two point
• 51:27
  Speaker 7: two five ERA in those two starts eleven to three
• 51:30
  Speaker 7: strikeout walk ratio in twelve innings.
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: That's solid overall numbers.
• 51:34
  Speaker 7: Low strikeout rate though, but a pretty low hit rate,
• 51:37
  Speaker 7: pretty low walk rate, so his overall numbers are fine.
• 51:40
  Speaker 7: He's just not really a strikeout pitcher. Houston also does
• 51:45
  Speaker 7: not have much experience against him. Only Christian Walker has
• 51:48
  Speaker 7: faced him. He's zero for three with a strikeout.
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: And no walks, So.
• 51:53
  Speaker 7: I think this game does kind of look like a
• 51:55
  Speaker 7: first five under here. Both starting pitchers look like they
• 51:59
  Speaker 7: match up okay here, So I think that's probably the
• 52:02
  Speaker 7: way I would approach this game. But you know, I
• 52:05
  Speaker 7: have some pause when I think about it. I don't
• 52:09
  Speaker 7: necessarily love it. The money is hitting the over seventy
• 52:12
  Speaker 7: three percent of tickets on the over ninety three percent
• 52:15
  Speaker 7: of the cash on the over. So I guess do
• 52:17
  Speaker 7: with that infant what you want? Totals eight and a
• 52:20
  Speaker 7: half of the full game. If you go under, you
• 52:22
  Speaker 7: got to keep the bullpens out though, Like I said, so,
• 52:24
  Speaker 7: I think a first five under makes some sense here.
• 52:27
  Speaker 7: Money is back in Houston fifty two tickets seventy eight
• 52:30
  Speaker 7: percent of the cash on Houston. I'm not so sure
• 52:33
  Speaker 7: about that. I mean, both these pitchers have their downsides, right,
• 52:37
  Speaker 7: Like I think Arragetty has better stuff and like a
• 52:40
  Speaker 7: higher ceiling because I think he is also younger, but
• 52:43
  Speaker 7: he's been wild. He walks way too many guys, so
• 52:46
  Speaker 7: that's kind of the trade off there, But we will see.
• 52:50
  Speaker 7: I guess next game is Dodgers White Sox. They've split
• 52:54
  Speaker 7: the first two games of this series, uh, both teams
• 52:57
  Speaker 7: winning by margin, with the White Sox winning eight to
• 53:01
  Speaker 7: two and then yesterday Dodgers seven to one win. Yesterday
• 53:05
  Speaker 7: behind Yamamoto, Dodgers only used one guy out of the bullpen,
• 53:09
  Speaker 7: so Yamamoto almost pitched the full game. It looks like
• 53:12
  Speaker 7: yesterday Dodgers hardly had to use their bullpen at all.
• 53:16
  Speaker 7: White Sox used three guys out of the bullpen. I
• 53:18
  Speaker 7: think it was a bullpen ish game yesterday for them,
• 53:22
  Speaker 7: if I remember correctly. But it looks like they're going
• 53:24
  Speaker 7: with a bullpen game again today, which is definitely concerning.
• 53:28
  Speaker 7: Dodgers are number six in bullpen. Their bullpen's been worse
• 53:31
  Speaker 7: recently though, so something to keep an eye on that.
• 53:33
  Speaker 7: Their ray has gotten higher, which is not good. White
• 53:38
  Speaker 7: Socks still are the lesser of the two bullpens though
• 53:40
  Speaker 7: their ranked sixteenth, which isn't too.
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: Bad, but their era is a little bit high there.
• 53:45
  Speaker 7: Hitting wise, Dodgers are number one, It's been that way
• 53:48
  Speaker 7: for most of the season. White Sox the number seven.
• 53:51
  Speaker 7: Both teams definitely can can produce offensively. Emmett she And
• 53:56
  Speaker 7: is pitching for the Dodgers.
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: I like him. I think he's decent.
• 54:00
  Speaker 7: Four point seventy RA is not great, though one point
• 54:03
  Speaker 7: two to one whip is Okay, probably his the ERA
• 54:05
  Speaker 7: should be lower than it is. He hasn't been good
• 54:07
  Speaker 7: on the road though, five point six to one Roady
• 54:10
  Speaker 7: ra that's a concern. Last time out, he was very
• 54:13
  Speaker 7: inefficient with his pitches and they pulled him in the
• 54:16
  Speaker 7: second inning against Anaheim and what was a blowout loss.
• 54:20
  Speaker 7: He'd only give up two runs, but he was struggling
• 54:23
  Speaker 7: in that game. Man, that wasn't good. But was that
• 54:26
  Speaker 7: an outlier? I don't know, because he was pitching pretty
• 54:28
  Speaker 7: well leading into that start, So I don't know. He's
• 54:30
  Speaker 7: had a decent season overall. He's got a fairly low
• 54:33
  Speaker 7: hit rate, a fairly low walk rate, and a pretty
• 54:35
  Speaker 7: high strikeout rate, so his overall numbers are really not
• 54:38
  Speaker 7: that bad. Like definitely indicative that his ERA is misleadingly high.
• 54:43
  Speaker 7: He hasn't a looted more than four and runs in
• 54:45
  Speaker 7: any start this season, but he might struggle on the
• 54:48
  Speaker 7: road against a good lineup like the White Sox. However,
• 54:51
  Speaker 7: only greed Chock has ever faced him before. From the
• 54:54
  Speaker 7: White Sox, He's won for two with a single, no strikeouts,
• 54:57
  Speaker 7: no walks, so she and does have an unfamiliarity edge here.
• 55:01
  Speaker 7: So there are some positives and some negatives?
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: Was she in here? Like he's bad on the road.
• 55:06
  Speaker 7: He's facing a good offense here, but he's facing an
• 55:08
  Speaker 7: offense that's never seen him before. And I think he's
• 55:12
  Speaker 7: better than his numbers make it look. However, again, like
• 55:15
  Speaker 7: I said, the White Sox are going bullpen game here.
• 55:18
  Speaker 7: Brian Hudson is getting the opener here. He's been all right,
• 55:22
  Speaker 7: But I don't think we need to go into him
• 55:23
  Speaker 7: too much here because he's probably gonna.
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: Go one inning.
• 55:26
  Speaker 7: And by the way, he did that two days ago
• 55:28
  Speaker 7: he pitched one inning which might have been in relief.
• 55:30
  Speaker 7: He had a completely clean inning against the Dodgers. He
• 55:34
  Speaker 7: went one inning and putting nobody on base, it looks
• 55:36
  Speaker 7: like so that was good. Didn't strike out anybody either,
• 55:39
  Speaker 7: but he pitched well in that outing, so he could
• 55:42
  Speaker 7: definitely come in and give you a clean inning. He
• 55:44
  Speaker 7: actually has decent numbers against the Dodgers. But who are
• 55:47
  Speaker 7: the White Socks using behind him?
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: Is the question? I have no idea. Is that Eric Fetti?
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: It might be.
• 55:54
  Speaker 7: I think it probably is because Fetti has not pitched
• 55:57
  Speaker 7: since the ninth, and Fetti is actually been good this
• 56:01
  Speaker 7: month so far. In two outings won against the Braves,
• 56:05
  Speaker 7: which is not a bad sign, but Fetti's not good.
• 56:08
  Speaker 7: I'm just kind of assuming that Fedti's gonna be pitching
• 56:11
  Speaker 7: here ian after the open or four point six ninety
• 56:14
  Speaker 7: array one point three to nine whip. Not great stuff
• 56:17
  Speaker 7: there from him. He's good at home though, three point
• 56:19
  Speaker 7: five to three homeye ra.
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: And this is if he pitches.
• 56:23
  Speaker 7: Numbers against the Dodgers are okay. Seventy at bats two
• 56:27
  Speaker 7: forty three average not bad. Seven to fifty four ohps
• 56:30
  Speaker 7: is a little high, though thirteen twelve strikeout walk race
• 56:33
  Speaker 7: here is certainly not good, although seven of the walks
• 56:36
  Speaker 7: are Freddie Freeman.
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 56:39
  Speaker 7: I still don't think I would trust what the White
• 56:41
  Speaker 7: Sox are doing here, with this bullpen thing that they're
• 56:45
  Speaker 7: doing here, slash Eric.
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: Fetti whatever it is O.
• 56:50
  Speaker 7: Fetti is listed as a starter, and hey, I got
• 56:52
  Speaker 7: that right there, you go. Fetti is actually listed as
• 56:54
  Speaker 7: the starter.
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 56:55
  Speaker 7: But if I was gonna play this game, however you're
• 56:58
  Speaker 7: gonna figure this game, I would she and must start,
• 57:01
  Speaker 7: but the White Sox. I would leave the White Sox
• 57:04
  Speaker 7: as just action or whatever, because you still don't know,
• 57:07
  Speaker 7: like it looks like it will be Fetti for the
• 57:08
  Speaker 7: majority of the pitching duties here, but you don't know
• 57:10
  Speaker 7: if they're gonna put an opener in front of him
• 57:12
  Speaker 7: or not. This is modern baseball, man, you know what
• 57:14
  Speaker 7: I mean. The Dodgers are very public, and they're close
• 57:18
  Speaker 7: to a minus two hundred favorite here, which is kind
• 57:21
  Speaker 7: of crazy given that the White Sox are a decent team,
• 57:24
  Speaker 7: although I don't I don't like the White Sox pitching
• 57:26
  Speaker 7: that they're putting out there today. Obviously, ninety percent of
• 57:29
  Speaker 7: tickets and cash on the Dodgers minus one, ninety whatever
• 57:33
  Speaker 7: just seems way too high to me.
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: Though money is backing the over here.
• 57:38
  Speaker 7: Totals ten basically, so the oddsmakers are telling you they're
• 57:42
  Speaker 7: expecting runs in this game fifty six percent of the
• 57:45
  Speaker 7: tickets and eighty two percent of the cash on the
• 57:47
  Speaker 7: over I think the best way to play this game
• 57:50
  Speaker 7: is to take the better team, which is the Dodgers.
• 57:52
  Speaker 7: They're a good offensive team on the road. I would
• 57:55
  Speaker 7: play them over their team total. I think that's what
• 57:58
  Speaker 7: I would do, even though you probably need them to
• 57:59
  Speaker 7: score like seven runs to get that done, which is
• 58:03
  Speaker 7: definitely a little bit of an ask. They might be
• 58:06
  Speaker 7: able to do it, but I think she and is
• 58:08
  Speaker 7: kind of a mystery here, like he might do poorly
• 58:10
  Speaker 7: or he might not.
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 58:12
  Speaker 7: I'd still probably agree with the full game over as well.
• 58:15
  Speaker 7: In that game, I don't really have much on the
• 58:19
  Speaker 7: side there. I mean, I think the Dodgers should win
• 58:21
  Speaker 7: the game, though, so I mean, I guess a Dodger's
• 58:25
  Speaker 7: run line, I guess is kind of an option here,
• 58:27
  Speaker 7: but I don't know. Man, at least they hit better
• 58:30
  Speaker 7: on the road, and you'll get all nine at bats
• 58:32
  Speaker 7: from them if you do it that all nine innings
• 58:34
  Speaker 7: worth if you.
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: Do it that way.
• 58:35
  Speaker 7: All right, the next game up looks like the most
• 58:38
  Speaker 7: obvious under that you could possibly have.
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia at Milwaukee. This is a.
• 58:44
  Speaker 7: Prime pitching matchup here. This is one of the best
• 58:46
  Speaker 7: pitching matchups of the season. Who would have thought that
• 58:50
  Speaker 7: with Kyle Harrison one of them Red Sox should not
• 58:54
  Speaker 7: have traded him. Again, I was right about the Devs trade,
• 58:58
  Speaker 7: Like getting Tibbs and Harrow, I'm gonna keep pushing it.
• 59:01
  Speaker 7: Those were good pickups for the Red Sox, and then
• 59:03
  Speaker 7: they traded both of them away and they essentially got
• 59:06
  Speaker 7: not well, they got Durbin for Harrison, but he hasn't
• 59:09
  Speaker 7: been very good. I guess he's fielding okay, whatever. But
• 59:14
  Speaker 7: they traded Tibbs away for fucking Dustin May, who they
• 59:17
  Speaker 7: don't even have now, and May is not very good,
• 59:19
  Speaker 7: although he is pitching okay right now, but come on, man,
• 59:23
  Speaker 7: Tibbs is like lighting it up and he's in the
• 59:25
  Speaker 7: Dodgers organization. So yeah, because that's what the Dodgers need,
• 59:28
  Speaker 7: another outfielder that they can just bring up.
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 59:32
  Speaker 7: Anyway, Milwaukee they have a good bullpen, but they used
• 59:35
  Speaker 7: four guys out of the bullpen yesterday, but they were
• 59:38
  Speaker 7: rested a couple of days prior to that, so they
• 59:42
  Speaker 7: might not be in the worst situation where they did
• 59:44
  Speaker 7: use their closer, Miguil possible. I guess that he's available
• 59:47
  Speaker 7: again today.
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 59:49
  Speaker 7: Philadelphia used a lot of guys out of their bullpen,
• 59:51
  Speaker 7: though they used five relief pitchers yesterday, which makes it
• 59:56
  Speaker 7: seem like it was an extra inning game, but it wasn't.
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: These seems to split the verse two games of the series.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 7: It was a high scoring game yesterday, though, so a
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 7: lot of craziness in that game.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: Yesterday.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 7: The bullpen's had to come in. The Brewers have the
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 7: better bullpen here. They are ranked below the Phillies though
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 7: number fourteen. Phillies number thirteen, but Brewers will only point
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 7: oh one worse and whip, and their ERA is considerably better,
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 7: so they're the better bullpen. Hitting wise, the Brewers have
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 7: started to turn things around. They're number eight in hitting now,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 7: tied with Houston. Philly still hasn't been doing it.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: They're number twenty eight, So.
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 7: Do with that if what you want to. I think
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 7: there were better offense than that. Though Christopher Sanchez is
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 7: pitching for the Phillies. I told you this is a
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 7: prime pitching matchup here. Sanchez, dude, I mean, I think
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 7: he's ahead of Skeens. I don't know what the odds are,
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 7: but in the Cy Young race, I think Mizierowski is
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 7: clearly at the top right now, and then Sanchez is
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 7: probably right behind him, and Skeens is somewhere behind. Otani
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 7: might have leapt ahead of Skins man.
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 7: They're just too many elite pitchers in the NL. Sanchez
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 7: one point five four ERA, one point six whip.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: He's been a little bit worse on the road worse with.
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 7: A two point seven Roadie ra is still obviously not bad.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 7: He gave up some runs in his June starts, oh
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 7: my god. After he didn't give up any in May.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 7: He's allowed three in fourteen innings so far in June. Yeah,
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 7: stick a fork in him, man, he's done. No, he
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 7: still has really good command numbers of this month, really
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 7: high strike out rate, low walk rate, low hit rate.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 7: Everything looks good over the course of the season. All
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 7: those numbers have reflected that as well. Really low walk
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 7: rate actually, which I think has been one of his
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 7: issues in the past, has been the walks. He's gotten
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 7: that way under control, and his hit rate is still low.
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 7: His strikeout rate is very high. He's been really really
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 7: good numbers.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: Against the Brewers, though.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 7: This is where we started to have problems because I
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 7: was looking at this game like my immediate reaction was yet,
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 7: like I'm thinking on here Sanchez and Harrison. Sanchez has
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 7: thirty four at bats against Milwaukee, seven to oh strake up.
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 7: Walk ratio is pretty good, but a three point fifty
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 7: three average allowed nine to twelve ops.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: That's crazy, dude. I don't know what it is. Maybe
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: this is a bad matchup.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 7: For Sanchez, although remember I don't believe he's facing Milwaukee
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 7: this year, and he is obviously better this year than
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 7: he ever has been before. But this worries me that
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 7: in a decent sized sample, Milwaukee's bats have definitely done
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 7: a lot of damage against him. So that is something
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 7: to be concerned with that he has not matched up
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 7: well against Milwaukee. Kyle Harrison is pitching for Milwaukee. He's
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 7: having a very good season as well. Those numbers went
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 7: way up with one bad start, but I'm gonna give
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 7: him a pass for that, which I'll show you in
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 7: a minute. Two point seven to two ERA, one point
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 7: one to six whip. He's been really good at home
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 7: one point five home ERA. What happened in his last
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 7: down he is he pitched that first game in that
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 7: as vague game, and he got knocked around. He gave
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 7: up three bombs in the game. I think that was
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 7: an outlier because he hadn't had anything like that all season.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 7: Unless he continues to pitch poorly, I don't think that's
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 7: a trend. I mean, having to go and pitch in
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 7: that stadium is not an easy undertaking. Even though I
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 7: know we'll talk about the A's game in a little while,
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 7: but every game since then has gone under the total,
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 7: every game in Vegas. So yeah, I don't know what
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 7: we're doing they're putting the totals that high in that stadium,
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 7: But whatever. Harrison had a bad outing, but I think
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 7: he bounces back. I mean, his numbers are really good
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 7: this season, really high strike out rate, pretty low walk rate,
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 7: hit rates still low as well. Numbers against the Phillies, though,
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 7: this is where we start getting issues. They have twenty
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 7: eight at bats against him, three to ninety three average allowed,
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 7: eleven forty eight ohps. These are not good numbers obviously,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 7: seven to two strike out walk ratio, So how do
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 7: we figure this game out?
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: Right?
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 7: So Harrison, obviously he's only twenty four, and obviously I
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 7: think you can kind of overlook these numbers here because
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 7: I don't think he's faced Philly this year. So these
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 7: numbers were accumulated when Harrison was not as good, and
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 7: he's obviously like he's taken like a huge leap this
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 7: year and he's pitching way better this year than he
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 7: has in the past. So I think that these numbers
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 7: don't matter that much for him. I think they matter
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 7: a little bit more for Sanchez because he's been around longer.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 7: In the fact that Milwaukee has a bigger sample size
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 7: against him and they've actually hit him, well, that worries
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 7: me more about Sanchez here. Actually, So I kind of
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 7: like Milwaukee in this game.
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: Let me see here, you know.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 7: I think people might overlook Harrison a little bit. Sanchez
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 7: is getting kind of all the notoriety here. Philly's getting
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 7: the money though, sixty one percent of tickets, eighty percent
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 7: of the cash on Philly. But I think Milwaukee is
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 7: a I was gonna say, I thought Milwaukee.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: Was favored in this game.
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 7: They're not.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: Philly's minus won twenties.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 7: You're getting Milwaukee is an underdog here, and Milwaukee might
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 7: have a slight bullpen advantage here. The starting pitching matchup
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 7: might be kind of a toss up, maybe possibly even
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 7: slightly an advantage towards Milwaukee here, and Milwaukee's had the
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 7: better offense. So getting Milwaukee is an underdog here, I
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 7: don't know, man, I think that's the way that I
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 7: would lean Milwaukee. Full game money line sixty one percent
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 7: of tickets, eighty percent of the cash on Philly. So yeah,
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 7: the money is coming in on Philly for whatever that's
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 7: where the money is also coming in on the over,
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 7: which is interesting. Seventy percent of tickets eighty three percent
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 7: of the cash on the over total is of course
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 7: law with seven, the odds makers have to do that
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 7: with this starting pitching matchup. I mean, this almost looks
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 7: like it could be a six and a half total,
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 7: you know, and it's close. It's seven juice to the
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 7: under here at some of these books. Now, I mean,
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 7: I still kind of have to lean towards an under here,
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 7: but I don't know, Like I just again though, I mean,
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 7: it could be an over though, because there could be
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 7: just because there's so little room for errow when you're
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 7: looking at a total of seven, and both pictures, as
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 7: I just showed, you have bad matchup numbers.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: So again, there's just so.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 7: Little leeway there that maybe an over does make a
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 7: little bit of sense here. But I don't want to
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 7: fade these starters, I really don't. I just think that
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 7: maybe the better approach is to just say, yeah, I
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 7: think there's a little bit of value in Milwaukee here,
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 7: because I think it's a really close matchup. All right,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 7: I'm gonna take a quick break. We're at the hour
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 7: mark or so five games left. That's usually when I
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 7: do it. I'll come back.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: I'll do that.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 7: I'll do WNBA, NHL and World Cup really quickly. And
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 7: I don't think I have a ton to say about
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 7: any of it, though.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: I'll be right back, all right.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 7: The next game is the game that I was just
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 7: no wait, next game is Saint Louis Minnesota. Oh no, yes,
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 7: Saint Louis Minnesota. I'm all over the place here, Saint
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 7: Louis and Minnesota. Yes, these teams to split the first
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 7: two games of this series as well, so probably a
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 7: motivation on both sides here. I was supposed to try
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 7: to win the series here. Minnesota used two relievers yesterday.
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 7: They do not have a good bullpen at all. Saint
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 7: Louis did use more. They used five guys out of
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 7: the bullpen, but they have the better bullpen, so I
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 7: think they probably still have a bullpen edge year a
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 7: little bit. Saint Louis not a great bullpen, but they're
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 7: number eighteen. They're not horrific like the Twins, who have
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 7: the worst bullpen in baseball right now.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: They're number twenty nine.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 7: But like I said, they're tied with Cincinnati, so they're
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 7: actually the worst bullpen, same whip and worst ray by far,
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 7: the the worst ray in all the all of Major
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 7: League Baseball in the bullpen. Saint Louis's number twelve offensively
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 7: so they've been hitting well again recently. Minnesota seventeenth. Kind
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 7: of mediocre there. Michael McGreevy is pitching for Saint Louis.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 7: He's been good this season, even though he does not
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 7: have strikeout stuff, but he's still pitching effectively two point
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 7: nine to nine ERA, one point oh eight WHIP. He's
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 7: not quite as good on the road three point nine
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 7: road ERA. He pitches better in Saint Louis, where it's
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 7: a little bit pitcher friendly. He's been pitching pretty well though,
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 7: I mean he's allowed more than touring runs only a
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 7: handful of times this season. He's allowed more than three
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 7: I think only twice.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: I guess.
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 7: Very low strikeout rate though he does not strike out anybody.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 7: But he has a pretty low hit rate, pretty low
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 7: walk rate too, so he doesn't put guys on base
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 7: and he doesn't strike guys out. He induces a pretty
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 7: good amount of ground balls obviously, maybe not obviously, but
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 7: he does. Minnesota hasn't seen him before except for Urcia,
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 7: who's zero for three off him with those strikeouts and
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 7: no walks, and McGreevy might actually match up okay here.
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 7: He has the unfamiliarity edge here because a lot of
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 7: times when guys haven't seen a pitcher, they struggle and
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 7: they have to figure him out early on, even though
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 7: he doesn't have stuff that blows anybody away. Taj Bradley
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 7: was on my shit list. Is pitching for the Twins.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 7: He was really good to start the season. He's been
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 7: pretty bad recently. Definitely do not want to back him
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 7: anymore right now. Four point zero two ERA, one point
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 7: three to eight whip. I mean, not horrible numbers there,
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 7: but that whip is not great. He's been good at
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 7: home for the most part though. Three point three to
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 7: eight Homira I think is what that was. Yeah, but
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 7: recently he's been bad. Three straight bad starts. He's got
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 7: an eight to eight strikeout walk ratio this month. That
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 7: is not good. That's not gonna cut it. Including one starter.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 7: It gets Detroit who have not been hitting well, so
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 7: I don't like any of that. He does have a
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 7: high strikeout rate this year. They're on a pretty low
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 7: hit rate. His walk rate is the problem. His walks
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 7: are too too high. Like I said, recently, that's been
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 7: an issue, so he's got to figure that out. Saint
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 7: Louis only has four guys who have faced him ten
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 7: at bats, but they've hit him four hundred average one
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 7: fifty five ops one to one strike aut walk ratio.
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 7: So a lot of their hitters haven't faced him before,
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 7: which is helpful to him. But the guys that have
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 7: seen him have hit him well, so he doesn't look
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 7: like he matches up too well here.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: I think probably I would leave Saint Louis here.
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 7: I think they probably have a starting pitching advantage and
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 7: a bullpen advantage, even though they use some of their
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 7: bullpen yesterday. The money seems to agree with that agrievy.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 7: With that, there you go, sixty one percent of ticket
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 7: seventy three percent of the cash on Saint Louis, Minnesota
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 7: is favored as a very small home favorite. Yeah, good
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 7: luck with that. Totals at nine. I mean, the money's
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 7: coming in a little bit towards the over here.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: I guess there are probably more arguments for an over
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: than an under here.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 7: I mean, you have I think at least one kind
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 7: of bad starting pitcher here Taj badly. There you go,
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 7: and Minnesota's bullpen definitely something you want to fade.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis is a bullpen, not.
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 7: Great either, some I think if you go I mean,
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 7: you also could go Saint Louis first five innings here
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 7: in this game too, if you want to just isolate
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 7: the starting pitching here and not worry about the bullpens,
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 7: that makes sense too. I think a full game over
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 7: does make some sense in that game, not on my
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 7: card or anything. The next game up is the game
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 7: that I was referring to, another A's Las Vegas game,
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 7: Colorado at the A's. The A's are on the verge
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 7: of a sweep pier because Colorado sucks. But the A's
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 7: have only won each game by two. Every game in
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 7: this Vegas stadium has gone under since.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: Game one, after that twenty nine.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 7: Run outbursts with Milwaukee coming in, they're the rest of
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 7: these games in Vegas have gone twelve, seven, ten, twelve,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 7: so they've all gone I know, twelve seems high, but
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 7: the total has been thirteen, thirteen and a half fourteen
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 7: in every one of these games, so every one of
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 7: them has gone under since that first one yesterday. I
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 7: would not have wanted to bank on an under. It
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 7: looked like a bad pitching setup. But it still went
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 7: under yesterday. So and the oddsmakers are not changing this.
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 7: They're still keeping this total really high. Fourteen thirteen and
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 7: a half.
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, it.
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 7: Seems like, even though it's a small sample size, it
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 7: seems like what we're learning is that total is too high.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 7: Colorado used three guys out of the bullpen yesterday.
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: The A's used four.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 7: I guess the A's have the better bullpen, though they're
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 7: actually nineteenth now. They're not horrible in the bullpenal, though
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 7: they're definitely not great.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: Colorado is one of the worst. They're twenty six.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 7: They're just shy of the worst Bullpenny Ray though, right
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 7: there with Minnesota. Offensively, the A's are number four right now.
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 7: They've been really good offensively, but some of that is
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 7: because they've been playing in these ridiculous hitter friendly ballparks.
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 7: But they're still a pretty good offense, even though I
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 7: believe they're without Brent Rooker right now.
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: Who are we talking about here? Who's their opponent of Colorado?
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 7: Yeah, Colorado number sixteen in offense, so not horrible. This
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 7: pitching matchup is interesting though. Tomoyuki Sugano is pitching for
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 7: the Rockies, and I think everybody kind of thought that
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 7: he would just be a disaster going to Course Field,
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 7: but that has not been the case.
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: He has a four.
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 7: Point EIGHTYRA and one point two to nine whip. I mean,
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 7: that's not great, but it's certainly not horrible. He's been
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 7: good on the road for the most part, three point
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 7: six to two Roadie Ray, but of course we know
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 7: that's the course field effect. He's not as good in
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 7: course Field. We know that, but he's been serviceable at
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 7: least at course Field, which then leads us to what
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 7: is he gonna do in this game here?
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 2: Well, this is gonna be more similar.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 7: To course Field, obviously, because we're in high elevation here,
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 7: although not as high as a mile high, but it's
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 7: a high elevation ballpark. Home runs get hit in this ballpark,
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 7: so I'd expect him to probably pitch more similarly to
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 7: what he does at home here, rather than not looking
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 7: at his home road splits here. So probably somewhere in
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 7: between those two might be a way to.
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: Look at this.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 7: Sogano has actually been all right in his two starts
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 7: this month against Anaheim and chic and the Cobs, with
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 7: the Cubs coming into Course Field. He pitched pretty well
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 7: in both those games. Actually, he just doesn't really strike
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 7: a lot of guys out, but he hasn't really allowed
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 7: a ton of runs for the most part.
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: His hit rate is right around one per inning.
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 7: His walk rate is kind of mediocre, and his strikeout
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 7: rate is low. Like I said, he does not strike
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 7: guys out, but he throws junk and he gets guys
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 7: to hit into soft contact, and that's what it is.
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 7: He's allowed a few too many home runs, though twelve
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 7: that's not too bad, especially considering that he pitches in
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 7: corps Field. You would expect him to allow more home
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 7: runs than that, but that has not been the case
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 7: against the A's though, he has not been very good
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 7: in the past thirty one career at bats against them
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 7: three twenty three average, allowed seven to fifty one ops.
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 7: And those would have been in similar climates to this,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 7: right like either in Course Field or in the the
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 7: A's stadium they play in in Sacramento. It would have
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 7: been a combination of those two, so similar stadiums to this,
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 7: So that's not a good sign. It looks like he
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 7: doesn't match up that well here. Jeffrey Springs is pitching
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 7: for the A's. He's been alright. Four point six eighty
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 7: r race is definitely not good, but one point twenty
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 7: nine whip is somewhat okay. He's been worse recently, though,
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 7: and he is worse at home five point oh one
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 7: home era. And I know this is not the Sacramento
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 7: home stadium, but this is still that Vegas stadium, which
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 7: is still not good. He pitched in that fifteen to
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 7: fourteen explosion, by the way, so he's the only pitcher
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 7: to be pitching in this specific stadium for a second time.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 7: I might actually give him an advantage, I guess because
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 7: he's he's more used to it now. And I mean,
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 7: I guess he wasn't horrible in that outing.
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: He wasn't good.
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 7: He gave up five runs of five innings, eight hits,
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 7: two home runs, two strikeouts, three walks, But I guess
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 7: it could have been a bit worse. But still, he
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 7: hasn't pitched well this month at all. He got kind
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 7: of wrecked by the Cubs in the game before that
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 7: on the road. He's got a pretty low strikeout rate here,
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 7: but his hit rate is okay, his walk rate is
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 7: basically okay ish, but he is a fly ball pitcher.
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 7: Both of these pitchers are fly ball pitchers, which is
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 7: not good really for this stadium. He's given up sixteen
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 7: home runs so far this season, so that's not great.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 7: So again, I think this still kind of looks like
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 7: it could be more of an over game, But I
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 7: don't know that i'd want to bank on it with
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 7: a total of that's fourteen or whatever. Here where are
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 7: we looking? Interleague?
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 5: Yeah?
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: Here it is.
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 7: The money is back backing the over pretty strongly. Fifty
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 7: six percent of tickets on the undernah, ninety four percent
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 7: of the cash on the over, So the money is
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 7: saying over.
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 2: But with a total of fourteen.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 7: And again since that first game, which I know Springs
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 7: did start in that game, since that first game in Vegas,
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 7: none of the other games have gone over this total
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 7: in the stadium, so not even in this series against
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 7: Colorado's very bad pitching. So I wouldn't want to have
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 7: my money on that. Look, I think the total is
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 7: still just a bit high. Money's also fading the a's
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 7: here eighty three percent of tickets, only fifty eight percent
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 7: of the cash on the A's, I don't know about that.
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 7: I mean, so Gano, I guess has been kind of
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 7: the more consistent pitcher in a way, which sounds crazy,
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 7: but I don't know. Maybe there is some value to
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 7: be had there. The A's are obviously their favored they're
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 7: minus one eighty five or so.
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 2: On the money line.
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 7: I don't know, man, it's it's tough to figure out
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 7: the side in this game. It really is springs that
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 7: he does at least have that advantage where he already
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 7: pitched in the stadium once so he knows what it's like.
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 7: So I don't know. I'm skipping the game, Mac could do.
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 7: What's up, man, maculdo ace?
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: What's going on?
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 6: Man?
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. Are you you've been around before? Right?
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: Do I recognize you? I forget? Are you? Wait? Are
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: you black Santa? Is that you? Is that who you are?
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: You're somebody else? I forget.
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 7: I'm sorry, I forget who everybody is. And some people
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 7: change their names and stuff.
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I forget, all right.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 7: Uh, Cubs in San Francisco are on ABC, so they
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 7: get a TV game here. By the way, Milwaukee and Philadelphia,
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 7: one of the best Games of the day probably is
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 7: ESPN Unlimited, so you have to have that to watch
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 7: that game or find a stream. Of course, San Francisco
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 7: is trying to avoid a sweep.
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: Heer.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 7: I told you their offense would fall off again, and
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 7: they've scored two runs in the first two games total
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 7: of this series, so yeah, their offense is falling off again.
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 7: They're having a bad series. They're on the verge of
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 7: getting swept by the Cubs. But maybe that will motivate
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 7: them a little bit. I just, you know, I talk
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 7: about that, the motivation tends to be at a high
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 7: when a team's trying to avoid a sweep, especially.
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 2: When you're at home.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 7: You're facing a good team like the Cubs, so you're
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 7: not gonna overlook them. You want to avoid getting swept.
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 7: You've scored very, very few runs in the series. Should
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 7: be a motivational spot for San Francisco. And it looks
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 7: like the pitching matchup does kind of favor them here.
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 7: I mean, they got one of their best starters on
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 7: them out up against the Cubs bullpen game. It looks
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 7: like here, so I don't know, it looks like the
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 7: Cubs are kind of satisfied with having won the series
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 7: already kind of. Cubs have been the better bullpen, though
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 7: they use three guys out of the bullpen yesterday San
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 7: Francisco used a lot. They used five, And San Francisco's
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 7: bullpen has been bad, like way worse than.
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: I thought they would because they're pretty good last year.
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 7: They were one of the best bullpens last year, and
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 7: they have some of those same guys with their twenty
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 7: fifth and bullpen here not good. The Cubs are eighth.
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 7: Cubs have the better bullpen. Cubs have been the better
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 7: offensive team. They're number eleven. Giants are number thirteen, But
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 7: I think that's way overstating what they actually are, as
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 7: I keep saying they had those a couple of outlier
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 7: extreme offensive explosions and the rest of the season they've
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 7: been a pretty bad offense, and we see them being
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 7: a bad offense again right now.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: So I don't think their offense is good. Cubs have Ryan.
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 7: Rolis and listed as their starter here unless they've changed that,
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 7: which no, they have not.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: So they're going with an opener here.
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 7: Uh He's got okay numbers, but he's probably only gonna
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 7: be in there for about an inning. Uh, So they're
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 7: going with an opener here, and then the question is like, well,
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 7: what are the Cubs doing? Like who's coming in behind him?
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 7: And I looked at what they're set up has ben
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 7: to me, it looks like it should be Colin Ray would.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: Be the next guy up in the road. He's not
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: even in the rotation right now, but he looks like
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: he's the next guy up to pitch here for them.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 7: Uh So, I don't know if it's gonna be him
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 7: or not, but Ray has not been very good. Uh
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 7: five point one to ninety one point four to three
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 7: whip his numbers against San Francisco. I don't think of
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 7: that good either. He's also really bad on the road.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 7: Seven point one to two Roady Ray.
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: This is if he pitches.
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 7: But if he does, San Francisco has thirty two at
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 7: bats against him, a five hundred average, fifteen to fifty
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 7: nine ops.
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: So if Ray is going to pitch in this game,
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 2: I think that.
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 7: Helps San Francisco. And San Francisco is going with Logan
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 7: web here. And I told you he would turn it around.
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: Dude. He's been a consistent pitcher throughout his career. He's
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: not old yet.
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 7: You know his numbers are all, they're already right back
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 7: in line with what he's done throughout his entire career.
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 7: So I told you that the start to the season,
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 7: I told you would turn it around. He's done that.
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 7: He's been really really good in June so far. He's
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 7: got his overall numbers at a three point eight to
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 7: eighty RA, one point one to nine WHIP. He's still
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 7: not good at home though, four point nine to four
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 7: home he RA, but throughout his career he's been better
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 7: at home, so I expect that to kind of change too.
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 7: I would not be scared of him pitching at home,
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 7: let's put it that way. And his last two starts
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 7: have been really good.
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: We had a win with.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 7: San Francisco first five, luckily they had a run and
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 7: they were winning one nothing against Milwaukee at that point,
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 7: and they wound up winning the game one nothing. Webb
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 7: was excellent in that outing against Milwaukee, seven innings, won,
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 7: hit aloud, no one on runs. And then he followed
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 7: that up with another really good performance at home against Washington,
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 7: And like I said, I wouldn't be scared of him
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 7: pitching at home. He pitched well in that home start
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 7: against a Washington lineup that does hit well on the
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 7: road this year, so good sign. It looks like Webb
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 7: is really back in good form again right now. He
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 7: doesn't need to be this good again to get this
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 7: job done in this game, I don't think.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: I think he might be able to do it.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 7: Although his numbers are a little bit sketchy against the Cubs,
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 7: one hundred and two at bats against them, so he's
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 7: got a lot of experience against them, but they have
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 7: a lot of experience against him. Nineteen to four strikeout
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 7: walk ratio, two forty five average allowed as low.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: Those numbers are good.
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 7: The only number that's not very good is a seven
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 7: to seventy four OHPS because he's allowed seven home runs
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 7: to them, which is not great. But I still would
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 7: I would take Web, especially in the form and he's
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 7: in right now. I would take that over this Chicago bullpen,
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 7: whatever situation you're especially if Colin Ray is pitching here.
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: I like San Francisco in this game. You know, maybe
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: first five though.
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 7: Makes more sense because San Francisco's bullpen is very bad,
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 7: But the Cubs are going with a bullpen game and
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 7: it's a motivational spot for San Francisco, so you could
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 7: probably still go full game with this. San Francisco is favored.
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 7: They're favored for a reason here, and a lot of
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 7: that is because of the pitching matchup. But yeah, I mean,
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 7: I think a full game money line in San Francisco
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 7: makes sense. I wouldn't disagree with the first five money
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 7: line or something on San Francisco as well, but yeah,
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 7: I think full game money line makes sense there. Tampa
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 7: Bay is on the Vergier getting swept by Anaheim, which
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 7: seems crazy, but I did tell you that Tampa Bay
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 7: was not as good as their record would indicated. I
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 7: think they're decent, but they're not that good. They did
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 7: get shut out yesterday, ate nothing, and now they're on
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 7: the Virgio getting swept, so you gotta think they'll probably
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 7: have motivation here. But they're going with a bullpen game
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 7: here too, so that doesn't look great. Anaheim is also
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 7: not a great team Tampa Bay, as you know, even
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 7: though I know they're not as good as the record looks,
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 7: but they're still a.
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 2: Better team than Anaheim.
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 7: Anaheim used three relief pitchers yesterday, Tampa Bay used four.
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: Neither bullpen has been good.
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 7: Tampa Bay is twentieth the bullpen and their Ray is
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 7: getting close to five, not good. Anaheim's bullpen is right
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 7: around there. They're number twenty seven. So we got two
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 7: bullpens that I think you definitely want to avoid here
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 7: or fade them. Tampa Bay's offense is falling off. They're
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 7: down to number fifteen, not great. Anaheim is eighteenth.
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: So we have.
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 7: Two offenses that have been up and down and kind
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 7: of mediocre. Casey Legumina Legumina pitching for the Rays here.
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 7: He's gonna be an opener though he's a relief pitcher.
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 7: He's got alright numbers, but he's only gonna be in
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 7: there for probably an inning, maybe two. So it looks
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 7: like Tampa's going with a bullpen situation here. I have you
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 7: looked five games ago. It was a game where they
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 7: did win against the Red Sox, And this is a
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 7: game where Ian Seymour was the opener in that game,
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 7: and Legome and however you pronounced his name came in
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 7: behind him, and then former Red Sox pitcher Cam Boozer.
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 7: I love his story, you know, getting getting over the
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 7: other drug addiction and whatever. Yeah, and the Red Sox
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 7: gave him his first major league shot. I'm pretty sure
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 7: I like that. I think that's the same Cam Boozer.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 7: I like that guy not related to the to the
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 7: Duke players, if that wasn't obvious anyway, I didn't realize
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 7: Tampa had him. I thought he was still in the
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 7: White Sox or something, all right, But yes, so Ian
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 7: Seymour might get involved in this game too, so I
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 7: guess we can kind of look at him and see
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 7: what's going on with him. He's actually in Tampa Bay's
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 7: depth chart as a starter, so I think he is
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 7: going to pitch at some point in this game too,
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 7: because he hasn't pitched since that game on the eighth,
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 7: and he did fairly well. And he's got good numbers
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 7: against Anaheim, although it's only in four at bats, five
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 7: of their heroes face and they're zero for four with
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 7: two strikeouts and two walks.
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: So I think Seymour is gonna.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 7: Get involved in this game, so it might not be
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 7: as bad as it looks like as far as it
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 7: being a bullpen game. I still don't really trust it though.
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 7: And then Grayson Rodriguez is pitching for Anaheim. He's starting
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 7: to pitch better, although I know his overall numbers are awful.
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 7: Eight point one era one point eight whip. He's been
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 7: really bad at home nine point eight two home he
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 7: ra so he's not exactly a guy you want to back.
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 7: But two of his last three starts have actually been good,
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 7: including last time out against Houston.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: At home, so that was a decent sign.
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 7: He pitched well in that outing, and if you look
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 7: at what he did, he's trying to return from injury
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 7: and missing more than a season. He actually looked like
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 7: he was okay when he was on Baltimore a couple
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 7: of years ago. So I think he is certainly better
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 7: than his numbers make it look.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: So far. He's got a decent strikeout rate here.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 7: His hit rate is too high, though, and so is
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 7: his walk right, so he's got to figure those things out.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 7: But I think he's kind of moving in the right direction.
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 7: I think he is going to be better than what
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 7: these numbers look, which I mean that's not going out
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 7: on a limb really. Tampa Bay only has four hitters
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 7: who have ever faced him twenty at bats against him,
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 7: two fifty average, seven thirty six ops five to one
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 7: strike at walk ratio, so generally he's had a little
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 7: bit of the upper hand against Tampa Bay. The guys
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 7: that have seen him, so I don't really mind Rodriguez
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 7: how he matches up here. But Tampa their bullpen game
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 7: looks like it might actually potentially be effective here, and
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 7: they're trying to avoid a sweep. The money's coming in
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 7: on the over here that would be over nine, for
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 7: whatever that's worth.
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 2: I don't really disagree with that.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 7: I could see all the pitching in this game kind
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 7: of struggling a little bit, plusy of awful bullpens here
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 7: for the most part, so I could see the over
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 7: argument here. Tampa Bay has seventy percent of tickets ninety
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 7: three percent of the cash on them. I still don't
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 7: want to deal with a bullpen game though for Tampa,
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 7: so I don't know. I don't really trust the pitching here,
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 7: which does kind of say, yeah, you should look at
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 7: the over then, So that's probably the better way to
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 7: play that game, is the over. But we'll see Tampa's
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 7: around a minus one twenty favorite because again you can't
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 7: see it on the site right now for some reason.
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 7: And then the night game NBC in Peacock is my
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 7: Boston Red Sox trying to sweep the Texas Rangers. The
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 7: Red Sox are actually on the version of a home sweep.
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 7: When would that ever happen? The Red Sox have been
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 7: so bad at home. I don't know if they're gonna
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 7: get the sweep or not. Man, the Red Sox do
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 7: play Toronto next, I believe. I don't know if that's
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 7: a look ahead or not, but they've already won the series.
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 7: I don't know, Man, They're going up against a good
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 7: pitcher and Nathan Yavaldi, but as I'll show you in
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 7: a minute, the Red Sox do have a good history
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 7: against him. The Red Sox used a lot of their
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 7: bullpen yesterday. They use five guys out of the bullpen,
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 7: but they're no overusing Chapman multiple games in a row,
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 7: and he hasn't pitched for days or hadn't prior to that,
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 7: So I don't know. I mean, the Red Sox still
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 7: do have a good bullpen though. Texas used three guys
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 7: out of their bullpen. But the Red Sox have the
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 7: number two bullpen and whip they're one of the best
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 7: bullpen in our rays. Texas is not too far off
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 7: at number five and also a good bullpen. E Ra
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 7: Red Sox slightly better bullpen, but they're slightly less rested.
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 7: So the bullpens are about even, but I still consider
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 7: them to both be good and I think you could
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 7: still back them here. Neither offense is very good. Texas
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 7: is twenty third Red Sox. Actually, these teams are tied
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 7: right now, tied at twenty third in ops. Nathan Yavaldi
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 7: is pitching for Texas. Like I said, he's been pretty solid,
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 7: even though the ray doesn't look that good four point
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 7: two six ERA, but he's been good generally with Texas.
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 7: One point one to eight whip is also good. You'd
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 7: think he wouldn't be as good on the road because
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 7: Texas is a very pitcher friendly home stadium, but he's
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 7: been pretty good on the I mean he's not good,
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 7: but he's been a little bit better on the road
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 7: than at home. Four point one four road ray, so
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 7: he hasn't struggled on the road really, but he hasn't
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 7: really been that good this month. He's allowed four and
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 7: runs in two road starts, four in runs a piece
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 7: in two roads stars, so he's got a six point
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 7: one seventy RA this month. That's not great, and he's
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 7: allowed way over one hit per inning. Granted it was
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 7: all kind of because of one start against Saint Louis,
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 7: where he still had a good strikeout walk ratio, but
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 7: then he followed that up by walking three Kansas City
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 7: Royals in five and two thirds.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: That's not great.
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 7: And he allowed five runs to Houston in the last
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 7: start of May, so he's not really in good form
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 7: right now. Although he has a good hit rate, his
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 7: walk rate is fine, he's allowed too many home runs,
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 7: which is kind of weird because he has an even
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 7: ground ball fly ball ratio, so it's kind of weird
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 7: that he's allowed that many home runs, especially pitching in Texas,
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 7: that makes no sense. And he has a decent strikeout rate.
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 7: Numbers against the Red Sox, though, are not very good.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 7: As I alluded to, they have fifty seven at bats
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 7: against him. You might think, oh, well, he's going up
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 7: against his former team here. Yeah, I know, but he's
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 7: been on Texas for years now, so this is not
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 7: the first time he's facing the Red Sox since being
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 7: off of the Red Sox.
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: You know, like that first start.
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 7: A lot of times the guy gets pumped up to
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 7: prove himself against the team that got rid of him.
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 7: But it's years in the past now, so I don't
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 7: think that matters. Fifty seven at bats, the Red Sox
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 7: have a two to eighty one average against him eight
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 7: thirty one ohps, eleven to two strike out walk ratio,
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 7: so overall the Red Sox have had the upper hand
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 7: against Evalde when they faced him, so they might be
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 7: able to hit him here.
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: Connolly Early is pitching for the Red Sox.
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 7: He's been pretty good three point three ERA, one point
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 7: two to three WHIP. He's still really young figuring things out.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 7: Hasn't really been as good at home three point eight
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 7: six ERA. That's still not bad though Fenway is a
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 7: hitter friendly ballpark. He wasn't good in his last outing,
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 7: which was actually on the road against Tampa Bay.
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: He walked four guys.
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 7: Still held him to tour in runs though, but only
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 7: in four and two thirds innings, so it still wasn't great.
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 7: He allowed four runs in the outing before that against Baltimore,
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 7: so he hasn't really done that well this month. So
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 7: he's a little bit out of form right now, which
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 7: isn't great. He's got a decent hit rayl pretty good
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 7: hit rate on the season, fairly low walk rate, and
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 7: his strike out rate is okay on the season, so
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 7: his overall numbers.
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: Are still pretty good.
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 7: He's allowed maybe a few too many home runs though,
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 7: and that's been happening recently, which isn't great against Texas
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 7: though they really haven't seen him before. Only Elias Diaz
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 7: has ever faced him before, and he is one for
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 7: three with a home run against him though and a
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 7: strike up. But I think Early, being unfamiliar to Texas's offense,
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 7: that might give him a little bit of an advantage here.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 7: I don't really trust Evaldi in his form right now. Early,
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 7: I know, has not been in great form either. I
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 7: think i'd slightly lean Red Sox here. The money seems
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 7: to kind of back that sixty eight percent of the
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 7: tickets seventy two percent of the cash on the Red Sox.
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 7: I don't really buy that the Red Sox are public
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 7: here though, I'm assuming they are favorite though.
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they're a very small home favorite here.
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 7: So to me, I would think that the public would
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 7: be fading the Red Sox here because they know who
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 7: Evaldi is, they know the Red Sox haven't been good.
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 7: I don't know, the record's not good whatever. This total
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 7: is really high given what this pitching matchup is, though.
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 7: The totals at nine, and this looks like a pitching
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 7: matchup where you'd get like a like an eight maybe
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 7: on the total nine is kind of crazy, so the
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 7: odds makers are kind of telling you something with a
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 7: total of this high. And like I said, both pitchers
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 7: have been a little bit out of form recently, bullpens
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 7: are a little bit used.
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 2: It wouldn't surprise me if this game is a little
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: bit higher scoring.
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 7: I'm really still pissed about not getting the under yesterday.
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 7: Both games in the series Safar have gone over, and
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 7: they both look like they probably should have gone under.
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 7: This game looks the least under conducive of the three,
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 7: even though on the surface, just looking at the starters,
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 7: I was kind of thinking this looks like an under,
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 7: but when you dig into it, not really. Tickets seventy
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 7: percent of the cash on the over I guess act accordingly,
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 7: but obviously that is not a play for me in
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 7: that game. I just I'm gonna root for the Red
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 7: Sox and that's about it. But they are pretty much dead.
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: So what all right? Wnba, dirty sock? What's up? Thanks
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 2: for hanging out, WNBA. We have two games. This is
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: still Commissioner's Cup.
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 7: Play The first game is a complete mismatch Washington at
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 7: New York. One thing to consider here, well, New York
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 7: has been playing a lot better recently. They've won six
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 7: games in a row. But they're coming off a big
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 7: win against Atlanta and they're returning home from the road.
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 7: Atlanta has been playing well, so that was a nice
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 7: win for New York and now they're returning from Atlanta
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 7: going back up north.
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: They've been on the road.
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 7: Since June eighth, although their first road game was in Connecticut,
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 7: which is not that far away. Still, maybe you could
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 7: argue it's a road trip return because they've been away
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 7: for almost a week. Sometimes that will distract you and
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 7: you have to get back to home life. But they
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 7: only have Chicago next, Reitch, I don't really think it's
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 7: that much of a look ahead. Chicago has not been
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 7: playing well. It is a TV game.
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: Though, so maybe I don't know.
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 7: Today's game is on NBA TV though, so whatever, but
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 7: it could be a let down a little bit off
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 7: of Atlanta.
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: However.
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 7: The other thing is they did play Washington on the
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 7: road earlier this season, second game of the season, and
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 7: Liberty almost got caught in that game. They almost lost.
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 7: They had to go to overtime to beat Washington. So
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 7: because Washington gave them a scare in that game, they
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 7: might take Washington a little bit more seriously here and
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 7: maybe stay focused. But I still would not lay this
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 7: price with the Liberty their minus twelve and a half.
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 7: The money is back in Washington here, sixty seven percent
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 7: of tickets on the Liberty, eighty eight percent of the
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 7: cash on Washington.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: That's against the.
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 7: Spread obviously, so well maybe not obviously, but the money
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 7: a lot will be huge on Washington.
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I would, I would agree with it.
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 7: I think I would lean that way to taking Washington
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 7: plus the points, but I don't love it.
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 2: Again, I'm skipping WNBA.
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 7: I know at some point we're gonna have more WNBA,
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 7: but I'm trying to pick my spots here.
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 7: Atlanta at Toronto is the other game. Atlanta is coming
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 7: off that tough game against the Liberty, although they did
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 7: lose by double digits, So the question is are they
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 7: gonna be hung over from that or is it gonna
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 7: be a bounce back spot.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 7: One issue here is they have to go through customs
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 7: and Atlanta is they're not accustomed to that because Toronto's
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 7: an expansion team. Atlanta has never played there before, so
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 7: going to this venue and through customs is a new
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 7: thing for them, So that might be a little bit
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 7: of a problem. And Toronto's coming off a pretty ugly
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 7: game where they lost to Washington the other day. They
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 7: were actually an underdog in that game.
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 7: To me, it looks like the spot might be a
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 7: little bit worse for Atlanta here, and I believe they
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 7: have a bigger game next. I think it's against Indiana,
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 7: yet it is they play back to back games against
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 7: Indiana coming up, one on Amazon Prime, one on ABC,
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 7: so they might be looking ahead to that a little
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 7: bit here. Again, I know it's Cup play, so there's
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 7: a little bit of extra motivation potentially on both sides,
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 7: But I don't know if that's enough here, So I
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 7: think I would lean to Toronto in this one slightly.
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 7: The money seems like it agrees with that as well,
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 7: pretty strongly. Atlanta's sixty seven percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 7: they were laying six and a half on the road here.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 7: Basically have to look at ESPN to figure that out,
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 7: because this website is fucked again. Eighty eight percent of
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 7: the cash on Toronto though, so do with that infot
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 7: what you want, but I would lean slightly to both
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 7: underdogs there. NHL, we have Carolina trying to win the
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 7: Stanley Cup here. Going back to Vegas though, Vegas one
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 7: of the wins they've had in this series was at home,
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 7: and they did play better in the other home game
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 7: two than they did in the last road game. I
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 7: would say, but really, Vegas has not played that poorly
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 7: in these games, man Like. This last game was kind
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 7: of fluky. The game at Carolina. Statistically, this game played
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 7: pretty close. Shots were very close, hits were very close.
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 7: Carolina did win the face off battle, but everything was
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 7: really close. And Toronto did what they usually do not do.
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 7: They scored two hour play goals, and if you watch
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 7: the game, the other two goals they scored were on
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 7: bad Vegas turnovers, so Vegas had some sloppy play that
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 7: led to those other goals. So it was I think
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 7: it was a little bit fluky, man, I do, so
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 7: I think Vegas might be able to clean that up
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 7: a little bit coming into this game. Vegas did also
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 7: score one power play goal in that game. Carolina, though,
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 7: as I keep saying, they have not really been that
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 7: good on the power play throughout this season, although they've
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 7: been scoring on the power play in the last couple
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 7: of games in this series.
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 7: I think the biggest outlier here, if there is any,
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 7: is really just the way that Carolinas scored in the
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 7: game was a little bit fluke here. Of course, Vegas
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 7: is better at home than they are on the road,
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 7: and Vegas does have the pedigree, but they did also lose.
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 7: I forget, Vegas lost one of their better players in
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 7: that game. They're listed is having no injuries though, so
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 7: I don't know. Maybe he is gonna play. Like I
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 7: said that about McNabb, their defenseman a few games agoing
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 7: he didn't even miss a game. I'm trying to remember
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 7: who it was. Somebody can refresh my memory, because I
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 7: forget who it was. Vegas lost one of their guys
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 7: to injury, though I think it was William Carlson. I'm
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 7: pretty sure it is who it was, So I don't
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 7: know if he's playing or not. Here. No, he's out,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 7: so he's definitely out. So he's not playing. So that's
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 7: you know, that is a little bit of a problem
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 7: for Vegas, although again Vegas does have a lot of
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 7: offensive players, so I think they can overcome that anyway. Yeah,
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 7: I mean, I don't have a good read on the game.
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 7: I'm not gonna be a play for me anything like that.
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 7: I lean slightly towards Vegas. But the money's all coming
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 7: in on Carolina, so there you go, Garretts. Carolina is
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 7: basically the game is like a pick'm price here, fifty
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 7: two tickets on Vegas. I don't know that the public
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 7: could really be back in Vegas, so that's not a
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 7: high percentage, though money is back in Carolina seventy eight
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 7: percent of the cash on Carolina.
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 2: I don't know, We'll see. I mean, I kind of
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: just had this feel that.
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 7: This would be a seven game series, but maybe that's
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 7: just I don't know, some weird intuition on my part.
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 7: I have no idea total is lower than it has
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 7: been in any other game in the series. By the way,
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 7: it's you can find it at and I do think
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 7: an under might be worth considering. When you have these
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 7: elimination games like this, and they're very important games late
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 7: in the series, you usually get like really intense deepens,
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 7: and the previous game did go under after every game
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 7: in the series had gone over prior to that, but
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 7: some of them were misleading, and like I said, some
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 7: of the goals in that last game were misleading as well,
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 7: power play goals on both sides, fluke goals off of turnovers,
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 7: you know, So I think that does indicate that this
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 7: should be a bit of a lower scoring game here.
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 7: In my opinion, ninety three percent of tickets are on
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 7: the over, eighty seven percent of the cash on the over.
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 7: The series has been so overconducive, and I think it's misleading.
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 7: Like a series with Carolina, you gotta think is more
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 7: under conducive. Of Vegas is gonna be without Carlson A though,
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 7: I don't think that matters that much. But total six,
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 7: Like I said, I think you could maybe go with
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 7: an under six and hope to avoid empty net goals
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 7: and whatever. I wouldn't really want to do it though.
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 7: And then we have four World Cup games here. I
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 7: don't have a good to gauge on these, but there's
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 7: one game that's probably gonna be an easy win for
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 7: Germany against Curasao. Who correct me if I'm wrong, but
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 7: I thought Curisaw was not even a country. I thought
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 7: they were Dutch territory and and there are counterparts.
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 2: The Netherlands are also.
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 7: Playing today, and they're both playing in Texas, but in
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 7: different locations. This first game is in Houston, but Germany's
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 7: a minus thirty four hundred favor or thirty five hundred
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 7: minus thirty five hundred favorite on the three way line?
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 7: Is that Eavy favorite? I don't know why is dude?
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 7: How is Curisow even in this thing? Like?
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: Its completely ridiculous.
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 7: I have no idea Germany obviously should win this game.
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 7: I mean, I don't think there's really a great way
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 7: to play in him. And I guess you could, you know,
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 7: you could maybe lean towards I don't know, Like, dude,
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 7: how did I miss some Australian Turkey?
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 2: What am I doing here? When was this game?
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 7: Did I forget to handicap that? Or did I talk
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 7: about it yesterday? I apologize? How did I miss this?
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 7: Maybe I did talk about it and I completely forget.
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 2: When was this game?
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 7: I just want to see, like the yeah game cast,
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 7: I guess is where it would be? Show me man, Yeah,
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 7: I don't. I just don't know how that happened. It was? Uh?
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 2: Oh is it midnight?
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 7: That's why so ESPN didn't show it on yesterday's board.
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 7: I apologize fuck that it was a midnight game because
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 7: it was in Vancouver. Come on, man, I wouldn't have
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 7: had much to say. Although I'm actually shocked that Australia won.
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 7: Turkey is definitely the better team. I'm shocked that Australia
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 7: won that game, but I forgot to talk about that,
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 7: so my apologies.
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: This is ESPN's fault, dude.
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 7: So I gotta scroll to the next day and just
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 7: make sure there's no midnight game, which tonight there is not,
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 7: so there you go.
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 2: Anyway, Germany should win.
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 7: The over one hundred in this game is four and
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 7: a half, which is ridiculous when every other game is
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 7: like one and a half, two and a half whatever.
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: I mean.
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 7: I guess you could lay a spread with Ermany or
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 7: something if you want to play this game. You'll need
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 7: them to win by multiple goals though, and like all
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 7: Germany needs to do is win, so I wouldn't do that,
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 7: you know what I mean? Like this is the World Cup,
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 7: it's the group stage, Like the wins are pretty much
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 7: the same old I think that maybe there are tiebreakers
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 7: from margin of victory or something. So maybe that does
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 7: matter a little bit. But I'll have to look into
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 7: that actually, because that is something we would need to know.
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 7: I'm not giving out a play there though, and all
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 7: the rest of these games are more competitive.
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: Arlington, Texas has Netherlands and Japan.
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 7: The Netherlands only plus one zh five on the three
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 7: way lines, so while they are the better team, I
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 7: think Japan might be.
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: Getting a little bit overlooked.
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 7: Like I said with South Korea, I think these Asian
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 7: teams might get overlooked a little bit because the general
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 7: consensus is, oh yeah, these European teams are like powerhouses.
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 7: The Netherlands have had some pretty good history in the
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 7: in the World Cup. They wear orange, you know, that's
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 7: their national color. It's the royal color, even though their
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 7: flag doesn't have orange in it. Whatever, unless that what
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 7: I think is red is like a dark orange. I
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 7: don't know, whatever, But I think maybe if you look
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 7: towards Japan, win or draw, that might be a way
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 7: to look at this game. You'll be probably paying about
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 7: minus one twenty something for it, probably, so kind of
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 7: a decent price there, and you get the win or
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 7: draw in your pocket. With Japan win or draw, that
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 7: might be a way to look at that game. Ivory
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 7: Coast in Ecuador looks like the closest matchup. Ecuador plus
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 7: one sixty on the three way line. Total ridiculously low.
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 7: At one and a half, Ivory Coast is probably that
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 7: means about plus one to eighty maybe on the three
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 7: way line. So these teams are considered to be really
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 7: evenly matched. They're both pretty good soccer countries for the
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 7: most part. I think the feeling is the South American
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 7: country is the better team Ecuador, but they are, but
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 7: very slightly. This game is in Pennsylvania. By the way,
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 7: those first two games, if I didn't say, one of
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 7: them is at the Houston Texans Stadium and the Arlington
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 7: one is at the Dallas Cowboys stadiums.
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 2: They usually they use. They use American football stadiums for football.
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: There you go.
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 7: And then this one's at Lincoln Financial so it's where
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 7: the Eagles play. These games are all on some combination
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 7: of either Fox, Peacock, Fox Sports One whatever. You'll find
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 7: it somewhere if you want to watch it, if you
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 7: have any of those. Anyway, Uh, this game, I mean
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 7: to me, playing the draw in this game might actually
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 7: be you know, something that you could do here. The
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 7: draw is I don't know what the what the odds
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 7: on the draw would be. Uh, it's gonna be plus money,
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 7: probably like plus two hundred or something. But with a
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 7: total dis low and with these teams so evenly matched
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 7: and this game, yeah, I mean there's a decent possibility
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 7: of a draw there. So maybe that is a consideration
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 7: in that one. And then my ancestors of Sweden are
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 7: playing against Tunisia in Mexico. Because they're in Mexico's group,
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 7: Sweden is considered to be the better team, their favorite,
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 7: well sort of favorite. They're plus one hundred on the
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 7: three way line, which means Tunisia as an underdog here.
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 7: I don't know what to do with this game, to
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 7: be honest, I think neither of these teams is really
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 7: considered to be a.
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 2: Soccer powerhouse, and they're not really.
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 7: I'm gonna root for Sweden because they're my guys, being
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 7: a Swede and having my other ancestors Italy somehow not
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 7: even in this thing, even though Italy is the team
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 7: with the better World Cup history, But whatever, I don't
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 7: have much to say about this.
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 2: This is like a close matchup as well.
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 7: The total is higher than the one and a half
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 7: in the Ivory Coast Ecuador game. So I don't know
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 7: do with that invo what you want. But I don't
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 7: really have much to say about that game. I don't
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 7: really have an opinion. I don't know much about soccer. Anyway,
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 7: There you go.
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 2: That's it.
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 7: That's the show today. The two players today are Yankees
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 7: Blue Jays over the eight and a half. So we're
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 7: going all baseball again. We got to turn this bullshit
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 7: or a bullshit around and under in Detroit Cleveland again.
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 7: I mean, I'm back and forth on whether I like
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 7: the first five inning version of that better or not.
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 7: It would be an underfod about minus one thirty or
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 7: so if you did it that way.
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 2: But those are the plays that I like the best.
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it.
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 7: Learn it Tode on Twitter, Learn it Tote on Instagram.
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 7: Thanks for hanging out, everybody like subscribe to the channel here,
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 7: give me the good reviews on audio, Apple, Spotify, listen
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 7: over there speaker that all helps loser casts. We'll be
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 7: back on Tuesday. You can check that out. Covered in
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 7: yuk is my ukulele channel. Ukulele Covers. You can find
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 7: that on YouTube, Padreon, dot com, slash learn it toe
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 7: for some extra stuff. But I've been six so haven't
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 7: done any YUK for a while. I gotta get back
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 7: to it. I gotta do more. And then the Giants
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 7: New York Giants g Spot podcast. We'll be back at
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 7: some point. That's gonna do it. I appreciate it. Peace everybody,
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 7: but don't.
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: You go quiet.
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 3: Don't you play it from the flow. Your name's feel
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 3: me something to somebody for show. Put the ass down, baby,
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 3: look at me.
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 6: No, hold on, hold on nothing nice.
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 4: Now, hold on, hold.
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 6: On, let me pull you that bites hord, but it don't.
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 4: Get the crown.
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 6: Hold on, hold on and stay with me now