Latest / AI for Founders with Ryan Estes / Everyone is building AI wrong
Transcript
- 0:00The best AI companies won't use LLMS.
- 0:02Here's why most founders are building the wrong thing.
- 0:05Everyone's chasing ChatGPT rappers while the real money is
- 0:09buried inside the boring businesses making 100 million a
- 0:12year. Cabinet factories, paint mixers,
- 0:16ball bearing manufacturers. They're all sitting on decades
- 0:19of proprietary data, proprietary SOP, chemical formulas, machine
- 0:24configurations. And nobody's talking about them
- 0:27because software engineers and cattle ranchers don't hang out
- 0:30at the same bars. Now the kids at Stanford and MIT
- 0:33are building for space and quantum computing while ignoring
- 0:37AI for actual industries. There's a class divide keeping
- 0:40founders away from the unglamorous problems that print
- 0:43money. Meanwhile, these factory owners
- 0:46would love to partner. You just have to show up, tour
- 0:49the facility, and actually talk to one of the people doing the
- 0:52work. So here's the play.
- 0:54Find a lower middle market company with unglamorous IP.
- 0:58Tour their factory. Don't waste time with the sales
- 1:00team. Talk to the guy making 20 bucks
- 1:03an hour who actually runs the machines and fixes the things
- 1:06when they break. Build 1 hyper specific feature
- 1:10so niche you can describe it in five words or less.
- 1:13Even sell one enterprise license for 83,000 a month.
- 1:17That's $1,000,000 ARR from literally 4 lines of code
- 1:21packaged as an executable. But before you even start, check
- 1:24three boxes. Do you have distribution on your
- 1:27cap table? Do you have defensible IP?
- 1:30Do you have an industry expert involved?
- 1:33If you can't check all three, don't build it.
- 1:36So ask yourself, are you building a company or are you
- 1:38just building your ego? Because the real arbitrage isn't
- 1:42in the technology, it's in the the relationships nobody else is
- 1:45making. Welcome to AI for founders.
- 1:47I'm Ryan Estes now that's from Josh Firstos, executive founder,
- 1:52CEO, advisor and the guy who launched 4 companies last year
- 1:56by finding modes where nobody was looking.
- 1:58This interview is for founders who want to escape the AI hype
- 2:02cycle, find distribution on their cap table and build 0 to
- 2:05one products that actually sell. Now Are you ready to build
- 2:09differently? Head to AI for founders.co for
- 2:12frameworks that 27,000 AI founders use to validate their
- 2:16next move. Every week 0 fluff just builders
- 2:20building and drop a review. If this made you rethink your
- 2:23whole strategy now this show runs on Kitcaster.
- 2:26Get booked on the world's top podcast with kitcaster.com.
- 2:30That's Kitcaster by MO Burst. Josh, welcome to the show.
- 2:48Thank you so much for joining me.
- 2:50Thanks, Ryan. It's great to see you.
- 2:51Absolutely. So we're midway through January,
- 2:54which means most people are falling off their their
- 2:57resolutions. How are you doing with your
- 2:59resolutions? 75% going well, yeah.
- 3:05Mostly, Mostly going well, yeah. Nice.
- 3:07What were some of your resolutions this year?
- 3:10Oh geez, It was actually like to reduce the number of active
- 3:13projects I have a given time. And the other one was to reduce.
- 3:17I started vaping during COVID, so we're trying to.
- 3:21Yeah, that's a tough one. Vapes are so delicious.
- 3:23What's the What's the bridge Zens?
- 3:26Yeah, yeah. It's currently Zens.
- 3:27I don't have any right now so but we're getting there.
- 3:31Yeah, it's incredible to see like the penetration of Zen's,
- 3:34like everybody I know is on Zen's, you know?
- 3:37Yeah. I mean, I think there's an
- 3:38underlying thing here though where it's like even like the
- 3:41how much nicotine has penetrated the market in general.
- 3:44I think it's probably an indicator for overall stress of
- 3:47like individuals. So I don't know, it's, it's just
- 3:51interesting where it's like, you know, previously you would think
- 3:53you like people in any kind of industry, they go off like smoke
- 3:56breaks and these kind of things. And now you people inside of
- 3:59offices with nicotine in their system 24/7.
- 4:02Yeah. Yeah.
- 4:04Well, and the the way they're marketing, I mean, there's like
- 4:05a there's the whole, what is it called athletic nicotine in that
- 4:10company. I have, you know, so there,
- 4:13there there's a performance enhancing aspect to it.
- 4:16Also, to your point, stress, it's probably the best cope in
- 4:19the world. I mean, you can't smoke
- 4:21cigarettes, obviously, but man were they delicious too.
- 4:24Oh yeah, I hate how they smell. That's the thing.
- 4:27It's like so like it would be it's almost easier where like
- 4:31there's more of a shame associated over.
- 4:34Like I spell like shit, my breath is bad and all these kind
- 4:36of things. And with the Zens you're just
- 4:38like, I feel like this is turning into a Zen commercial.
- 4:39So I I don't advertise getting addicted to nicotine.
- 4:45Yeah, please do not but boy, it's a trick.
- 4:49Awesome man and then you, you want to try and limit projects
- 4:52now I, I think let's hang here for a minute because doing
- 4:56research on you, you've got multiple exits last year I saw
- 5:00that you you created at least four different companies before
- 5:04we got going here. You you mentioned at least two
- 5:06others in stealth. So and I think for a lot of
- 5:09founders, this becomes a tough point.
- 5:13You know, I think early on AI was kind of labeled as being
- 5:17this productive productivity, kind of like cheat code where
- 5:21you're like, hey, maybe in the future we'll be able to work for
- 5:25Tim, Tim Ferriss hours and everything will get done.
- 5:28But really what happened is we just 10X to everything that
- 5:31we're doing on output. So talk about your propensity to
- 5:34take on new, new projects and kind of what challenges that
- 5:38presents. Well, I think it's moving into a
- 5:41new chapter in my life overall where I think I've been for a
- 5:46long time. I wanted to be the founder CEO.
- 5:50And I think that like for some emotional reason, I desired the
- 5:53control and the creative. Like, you know, well, control is
- 5:58the really word I'm looking for. And as I got it through it, I'm
- 6:01like, you know what, like I got better and better and better at
- 6:03delegating. I figured out what I was really
- 6:05good at, which is like, I'm really good at product.
- 6:07I'm really good at attracting talent.
- 6:08I'm really good at raising capital.
- 6:10And you know, there are objectively better people out
- 6:12there that can grind sales every single day.
- 6:15There are better technical people out there.
- 6:17And so it's like, if I can go. And the other thing is like, I'm
- 6:20really remarkably good at zero to 1.
- 6:22Like I've I've coached like over 120 companies and zero to 1
- 6:25mostly through optimistic accelerator where I've been like
- 6:28an executive coach and sales coach for a lot of companies.
- 6:30But then outside of it as well, I'm like, OK, this is my
- 6:32specialty. And honestly, GTM and zero to 1
- 6:36does not get paid well. So then how do I leverage that
- 6:39skill set to scale better throughout my life?
- 6:42And I'm like, OK, it's I do the zero to ones, I delegate down by
- 6:47like moving myself, promoting myself upward to more manage the
- 6:49company, hire ACEO, you know, these kind of things.
- 6:55And then I get to do what I love, and then I get to give a
- 6:57lot of people really cool opportunities.
- 6:59And it's more scalable that way. Yeah, yeah, I I agree.
- 7:03Zero to 1 is is the fun stuff. It's also the brutally hard
- 7:06stuff. You, you must have frameworks in
- 7:08place it just from trial and error.
- 7:11So when you're thinking go to market from, from, from a zero
- 7:15company like what are your, what's working right now?
- 7:19What's working right now for me on the zero to one companies?
- 7:21Yeah, it's it's funny, like years ago I was thinking about
- 7:25like, oh, how can a company be hyper specific, right.
- 7:27And I'm still just being like bigger than what I think of
- 7:30hyper specific right now. It's just more, more more
- 7:34niched, like unbelievably niched.
- 7:37And like that doesn't mean it's a small market necessarily.
- 7:41It's just on the actual problem being solved is hyper niched.
- 7:44And I guess it's less surface area to really focus on.
- 7:49So we can hyper focus on like the offer.
- 7:53And I, I kind of try to circle all products around an offer now
- 7:55where it's like, if I can't describe the product that we're
- 7:58doing in 5 words at each one text and a website, then it's a
- 8:01bad product. Like there only really needs to
- 8:05be 1 core feature for the entire product.
- 8:09And then around the actual outbound methodology around
- 8:12that. I think the hack now is just
- 8:16having really good people will have really good networks.
- 8:19Because like as you move through the whole AI era, I think it's
- 8:22moving closer to the pre compute era where it's about trust and
- 8:26it's about individuals and it's about people's existing
- 8:29networks. So it's putting the right people
- 8:31in the right places that have the existing distribution to be
- 8:33able to get people excited about the products and then going
- 8:36through awareness phases to the broader public.
- 8:38Beyond that, I'm really big fan of partnership and like
- 8:43compensating people that bring in customers, even if they're
- 8:45employees, like just broadly doing Commission structures for
- 8:49anyone who is interested or passionate about our products.
- 8:53Yeah, it's. Talk, talk about that a little
- 8:57bit. You're talking about creating
- 8:59the a team that has their own personal distribution.
- 9:02What would that look like? Yeah.
- 9:04Well, it's, it's pretty simple, right?
- 9:05Like pretend you're building like I'll give you an example
- 9:07from like a robotics company that we're working on this year.
- 9:10So to do it, we found a really niche problem that we want to
- 9:14solve inside of these like lower middle market factories.
- 9:16And then we partnered specifically with the people
- 9:20that had this problem already. So we gave them early equity and
- 9:23the equity's milestone towards sales goals.
- 9:27So one, they're getting a product that helps serve a
- 9:30purpose inside of their own businesses.
- 9:32But two, they're people, they are already inside of the like
- 9:35small networking circles of people who own these kind of
- 9:37factories, you know, so organically they're going to get
- 9:41excited because they're kind of Co building as design partners,
- 9:44but also they are bringing in the early, the early customers
- 9:49that drive the initial revenue and they're going to calm down
- 9:51an equity for that. Cool.
- 9:53So for that's interesting. So for design partners, you are
- 9:58you like to bring in people that are actually sharing equity
- 10:01stake, What kind of percentages are we talking about?
- 10:04It's different per company like and it also is different between
- 10:08what the advisory role necessarily is.
- 10:11I'd say like I have something size 15% overall, like pretty
- 10:15significant amounts, but it's like my check boxes are do we
- 10:22have distribution or can we find locked in distribution on the
- 10:25cap table? Do we have intellectual
- 10:28properties emote and then like, are we or can we include
- 10:34industry experts? Because I like, as I broaden
- 10:38out, I don't believe that. Like I know what I am an
- 10:40industry expert in, but I'm also very aware of what I'm not.
- 10:43And I don't like to get, I like to walk into building products
- 10:46kind of as a stupid person where I'm like, I have no assumptions.
- 10:49I generally know like what users want and what works and I can
- 10:54kind of rein it all in, but I'm never going to be the expert of
- 10:59knowing how you know, what is this called a cabinet factories
- 11:05function. You know, like I've never built
- 11:07a cabinet in my life. I've also never run a factory in
- 11:10my life. So like walking into the room,
- 11:13the stupid person is just basically the the title of my
- 11:16biography. Yeah, it works out well.
- 11:20But I I really like these parameters.
- 11:22So you you said distribution on the cap table.
- 11:25Do you ever like look for what would there's kind of a category
- 11:28of influencer, which is like a influencer Co founder where
- 11:31literally they're brought in specifically for distribution.
- 11:35You see this in celebrity endorsement deals all the time.
- 11:38Yeah. One of my partners, Moussa, he
- 11:39runs or rather we were on a company called Volume Maps.
- 11:42He built up a company called Ginger relatively recently,
- 11:47which is a, they do brand deals for micro influencers and the,
- 11:52the young woman that's running the company as CEO that got a
- 11:55giant stake in it, she's an influencer.
- 11:58And, and then we've also looked at this for CPG products.
- 12:00Like we were looking at cigars a while back of like partnering
- 12:03white labeling cigar brands with like influencer stuff like that.
- 12:08I, I think it can all work, but I think that like your micro
- 12:12influencer CEO is probably the person that can, will actually
- 12:15run the company, whereas like doing like Kylie Jenner is not
- 12:18going to run your company. You know what I'm saying.
- 12:21So it it depends on kind of what your objectives are and the
- 12:23higher up you go into the commercial brand deals, the more
- 12:27it trends towards Consumer Packaged Goods and less it
- 12:30trends towards technology. Yeah, 100% because the the
- 12:34market, the Tam is way bigger, right, Yeah.
- 12:37Yeah, cool. Oh, it's like also like Kevin
- 12:40Costner, whoever is not going to be talking about Salesforce or
- 12:43like, you know what I mean, Grammarly or whatever it is,
- 12:45like, that's just not their audience.
- 12:47Unless it's Samuel L Jackson, and then he can sell anything on
- 12:50planet Earth. Yeah exactly.
- 12:51If if anyone listening can grab him for their SAS app then good
- 12:54luck. Totally.
- 12:56That's very interesting. I I've never heard that as kind
- 12:59of like a, a validation point is like, hey, we have to have
- 13:02distribution built in. You're if you're working on a a
- 13:05tool that doesn't check that box, like where would you go to
- 13:08start looking for a a partner for distribution?
- 13:12Well, I wouldn't even start the project.
- 13:14Wouldn't even start. Yeah, yeah, like those are boxes
- 13:17that need to be checked to even start.
- 13:19OK. And go over those again.
- 13:21That was very interesting. Industry expert.
- 13:25Intellectual property distribution partner.
- 13:28Totally. So as far as the IP goes, like I
- 13:31mean, I think that's a big threat with AI too.
- 13:33Is that like it's it, it seems like with software the the
- 13:37barrier of entry is getting lower and lower and lower.
- 13:39So what? What are some qualifications of
- 13:42basically IP that can't be protected?
- 13:46I mean tons of IP camp, like there's, you know, millions of
- 13:49businesses out there that have internal data that like for
- 13:52niche industries that each people aren't thinking about.
- 13:55Yeah, talk about that a little bit.
- 13:59OK, pretend you wanted to make I'm pulling this out of my butt.
- 14:02Pretend you wanted to make an artificial intelligence that is
- 14:05best like helps mix paint better or help people in factories that
- 14:08mix paint. You know, you're not like I'm
- 14:11sure some company that is paint mixing has tons of SO PS and
- 14:15documentation on the right chemical paint mixtures to do
- 14:18that, that they're likely keeping internally as some kind
- 14:23of like company secret recipe or whatever.
- 14:26You know, I like this is this, it's for every single industry.
- 14:31Like people have standard operating procedures and they
- 14:34have data inside of their internal systems and broadly
- 14:37they're underutilized. So like, that's what we look at
- 14:39and like if anyone's out there and wants to partner on that,
- 14:41let me know. Cool.
- 14:43Do you think that's the opportunities are still vast
- 14:45that people have this reservoir of data, they have this industry
- 14:48expertise that could be applied to software in some capacity,
- 14:51they just don't know it or what. What do you think the the the
- 14:54barrier or or basically why haven't people done it so far?
- 14:58It's a class divide. It's like it's socio economic.
- 15:02It's a bunch of things. Like it's the fact that, like
- 15:04the kids that go to Stanford and MIT are not the same kids that
- 15:07become electricians and like carpenters and work in the
- 15:09factories and they just don't have friends that do those
- 15:11things. So they start focusing on
- 15:14problems, Admittedly larger Tams, like we want to do space
- 15:17stuff or we want to like improve inferencing in quantum or like
- 15:20things like this, you know, but they're not looking at like, you
- 15:24know, AI for cattle ranches because that's just like the
- 15:28overlap is very thin between, you know, your average software
- 15:32engineer, your average cattle rancher.
- 15:35Is that a tribal thing? I mean, I, I don't think that
- 15:38cattle ranchers and software engineers have that much in
- 15:40common to like to commonly be friends.
- 15:42Like I think that's, you know, like so I I don't think they
- 15:46hang out at the same bars that frequently, but I don't want to
- 15:48over generalize. Yeah.
- 15:52Well, and also, I mean, that is like, I mean potentially like an
- 15:57attribute of our culture that's less savory right now as
- 16:00everyone's in their corners. Well, I'm our cattle rancher
- 16:02guy. I don't mess with AI.
- 16:04Like those two things somehow can't overlap, do you?
- 16:08So if I'm thinking about like, man, I, I think I could bring
- 16:11some like some tools to this kind of business.
- 16:13Cattle ranching is a great one because you know, there's, it's
- 16:16a legacy business with big checks, big opportunities.
- 16:20And so far, you know, technology really hasn't seeped in.
- 16:24Is there a way to kind of conquer some of these tribal
- 16:27divides that you've seen if you are looking for like a paint
- 16:29mixing company or manufacturing firm?
- 16:33Yeah, it's just be a normal person and don't think you're
- 16:36better than anyone and realize that they have skills in a
- 16:39different direction than you are and you're not better than them.
- 16:41And like, you could totally just call people and say, hey, I'm
- 16:44this person. Like I'd love to like tour your
- 16:45factory and like talk to you like and like just do it in a
- 16:49way where you're not trying to sell something.
- 16:51Yeah. Like there's a way into all this
- 16:53stuff. It just takes persistence.
- 16:55And like I like after I sold my last company in cute, like I, I
- 17:01would just go to friends who like maybe their family owned a
- 17:05ball bearing factory and they'd be like, oh, like this and like
- 17:07this is kind of boring. And I'm like, no, I want to go
- 17:08to the ball bearing factory. Like can I have a tour and I go
- 17:11tour a ball bearing factory or for any printing factory or like
- 17:15I'd like, I just went to go see a bunch of things.
- 17:19Yeah, see anybody do something do that.
- 17:21Yeah, I, I totally agree. You know, I, I live in Denver
- 17:26and just up the way in Golden is the Gore's manufacturing plant.
- 17:30And like watching, watching somebody make that much beer,
- 17:34you know, and ship it is fascinating.
- 17:37It's amazing. Yeah.
- 17:38And like you might have a more difficult time partnering with
- 17:40Coors on it. But like a small family owned
- 17:42business, like we're talking like you're not necessarily
- 17:45small, small, I say lower middle market like $100 million a year
- 17:48kind of business. Like it's still probably owned
- 17:51by like two brothers who built it like 30-40 years ago.
- 17:54And like you could, you could probably find a way in.
- 17:58That's really interesting that this moment too in particular I
- 18:01know is a a tough point for a lot of founders, which is post
- 18:05exit. Let's say you have life changing
- 18:08type money and an exit. Well, you're, you're left with
- 18:12kind of a, a dark night of the soul because what made you a
- 18:15successful founder is also going to drive you when you exit your
- 18:19company. So it's like, which project do I
- 18:21take on? What do I do?
- 18:23The the some great advice I've heard is that you need to stop
- 18:27for a minute at least. You have to take a a break
- 18:29because otherwise you'll start like popping things off and like
- 18:33you're, you're not really oriented for reality yet.
- 18:37So doing things with your hands, I've heard is like really good
- 18:39for those moments. But I really like this
- 18:42recommendation, which is to go find, you know, go find the ball
- 18:45bearing manufacturer down the street that doesn't have hosted
- 18:48tours. It's not course, you know what I
- 18:50mean. I'm not exiting through the gift
- 18:52shop but like go see what they're doing as a way just
- 18:55maybe to like spark curiosity. Yeah, go talk to the dudes that
- 18:58manage the machines. Like honestly, like I remember
- 19:00the first texture I went on, they all wanted to like talk to
- 19:03like the sales people and these kind of stuff.
- 19:04They're like, oh, here are all these people.
- 19:06And I had way more fun. And the owner was really happy
- 19:09about this, that I spent most of my time there talking to the
- 19:13guys who like fix the machines and like, you know, you know,
- 19:17set up the robotics and all this kind of stuff because that's
- 19:21where the value is. It's not in talking to a sales
- 19:23or marketing department. It's talking to the guy who
- 19:25makes 15 to $20.00 an hour who like does the stuff.
- 19:29Yeah. And doing the post exited
- 19:32founder thing, yeah, it's like your ego is it's, it's rough.
- 19:36Like I'm in a group called PEF. It's really wonderful.
- 19:38I I'm super thankful for them. It's a post exited founder
- 19:41organization and there's about 1500 exited tech CEOs in it.
- 19:45I'm going to go on a lot of trips with them.
- 19:47And it's been really, really good to hang out with other
- 19:50people in this situation. So I wish I'd followed my
- 19:54fiance's advice and took a lot longer off, but I think that
- 19:57there's a search for meaning and purpose that happens after that
- 20:00point, and I don't know if I personally figured out what that
- 20:05purpose is yet. So the experimentation is more a
- 20:09this is not this is me trying to experiment and try a bunch of
- 20:12things and I just happened to be building a bunch of companies.
- 20:15Yeah, amazing. That's what you're telling
- 20:19yourself. How, how, how much time did you
- 20:22take off? A month and 1/2.
- 20:28That's a long weekend man, what are you talking about?
- 20:31It was really boring. It was profoundly boring and I
- 20:33was kind of sad, to be honest. It was it everyday you're like,
- 20:36I'm I'm not going to I'm not going to do this.
- 20:38I'm not going to do this. You only have so much willpower.
- 20:40After a minute, you're like, you know what, come on, let's just
- 20:42dive in. Let's go.
- 20:43Yeah, I was just really I, I think that it's an identity
- 20:46issue. It's a funny thing is like when
- 20:48you're building a company, your ego becomes so tied up with the
- 20:52company itself. And then you get people talk
- 20:55about what is it called imposter syndrome or whatever it is.
- 21:00So like when you're first building a company and you raise
- 21:02all the venture capital so that you feel slightly like an
- 21:03imposter and then you end up like becoming that person.
- 21:07And then when you sell it, you realize your ego is so tied up
- 21:10into being that person. You've no clue who you are.
- 21:14Really freaking weird. And then you go like, you're
- 21:17like, I'm just Josh. And then you have to accept the
- 21:19like, what? Just being a a humanist I
- 21:21suppose. Yeah, no, it's, it's very
- 21:24destabilizing though. I I know that because in another
- 21:27lifetime I had a career as a musician and when I threw in the
- 21:31towel on that, it was, it was very similar.
- 21:33It was like, well, I was always the the songwriter guy, like who
- 21:37am I now? Which is it's a, it's a tough
- 21:39place for a human to be. So it, but what I found is like
- 21:43helpful is to maybe tether you to things that aren't
- 21:45necessarily outcome based. Do you have anything like that
- 21:48in your life where you're like the woodworking guy or something
- 21:50like that? Oh, yeah, Like me and my friends
- 21:52play Dungeons and Dragons, and it's like my sanity.
- 21:55It's like every Saturday playing D&D is the best thing in my
- 21:58entire life. Yeah, it's it's D&D and it's
- 22:03like listening in books. Yeah, a meaning and purpose.
- 22:07That's that's another great conversation.
- 22:09You said you're not completely like dead set on what that is
- 22:12yet. What's in the range?
- 22:13What is what are the the meaning and purpose for your life?
- 22:17Ask a small question. Yeah, like the overarching thing
- 22:20is like a reduction of human suffering, but figuring out how
- 22:25to get there is a challenging little pickle, right?
- 22:29So I, I wish I had the answer. I, I feel like every person I've
- 22:33ever met that has like stated that they have like come to a
- 22:36new level of enlightenment is actually the furthest person
- 22:38from that imaginable. So like, I'm not going to try to
- 22:42give advice on like how to, like, achieve your purpose
- 22:44because I'm not necessarily there.
- 22:47I'm just experimenting and like when it clicks, it clicks.
- 22:50Well, it's interesting you say enlightenment because Buddhists
- 22:52will say that people love their suffering.
- 22:56They're addicted to it. Yeah, I would agree.
- 22:58Yeah, so it's like if you're alleviating human suffering,
- 23:01it's almost like you're you're robbing them of one of their
- 23:05loves. Possibly.
- 23:06I think that like there's different degrees of suffering,
- 23:09right? Like like there's a suffering is
- 23:11in like you're toiling away and you're practicing something like
- 23:14that every single day. And that's what I enjoy.
- 23:15Like, it could really adapt more to like, the movie Whiplash,
- 23:19right? Like that's maybe positive
- 23:20suffering, but then it's like, I don't want people to suffer in
- 23:25the way that, like, Schindler's List, that is suffering, Right.
- 23:28Yeah. Yeah.
- 23:28Like so like like. Totally, Yeah.
- 23:33So the the what I'm talking about is more up on the the
- 23:36suffering dial potentially. Totally, yeah, I, I, I agree
- 23:40there's, there's a few different dials on that potentiometer.
- 23:44Amazing. Cool.
- 23:45Let's let's kind of hang here too.
- 23:47You're in between things. You, you exit your company,
- 23:50you're getting advice from your fiance, you're taking some time
- 23:53off. Who else is kind of advising
- 23:55you? You're also have this group.
- 23:56Did you join that group post? Yeah.
- 24:00Yeah, yeah. Did you find camaraderie, people
- 24:03going through the same things? Yeah, it's a lot of them are a
- 24:06lot older than me. So it's like lucky to know a
- 24:09bunch of guys who like are, you know, late 40s, early 50s, this
- 24:13kind of thing. A lot of them had way more
- 24:14significant exits to me, like well known companies that you,
- 24:17you know, the name of. And I went on a trip to, when we
- 24:23went to a trip to Israel and did like a bunch of R&D stuff there,
- 24:26went to Quantum Labs and it was really interesting.
- 24:28Also it was interesting just being in a country during a war
- 24:32where like, you know, there's ballistic missiles and a high
- 24:35end bomb shelter and we went clubbing afterwards.
- 24:37There's just really, really interesting time to spend with
- 24:39like 20 other exited founders. You can go over a lot of these
- 24:42guys in Miami. Just in December, we went
- 24:45hunting for pythons. I have a picture of that I don't
- 24:49know I can share with you. So yeah, in the Everglades,
- 24:53Python hunting and then, you know, just, it's been, it's been
- 25:00refreshing, but it's hard to explain why.
- 25:02I think they're emotionally at the same spot where it's like,
- 25:07what do you do when you feel like you have nothing to prove?
- 25:09But then also maybe the thing you want to prove is to
- 25:12yourself, and what is that? Yeah, you were you were in
- 25:17Israel for the the conflict with Iran or.
- 25:21No, when the ceasefire broke between them and Hamas in
- 25:28January of last year, we went during the ceasefire and then it
- 25:32broke like my second day there. It's wild.
- 25:35Yeah, Israelis are tough. You know, they have the the
- 25:39shelters. You know, I've done calls where
- 25:41during that time with Iran, where they're like, if I have to
- 25:43get off real quick, I'm just going to go over here for 20
- 25:46minutes until the alarms go off and then I'll be back.
- 25:48I'm just like God Dang. Yeah, it was a crazy experience
- 25:52of my life. One, like beautiful spot, really
- 25:56interesting talking to a lot of people on the ground, like the
- 25:58difference between like what you see on TV and like, I don't
- 26:02know, maybe it's a conversation I don't want to have right now
- 26:04here. But really, really, really
- 26:07interesting trip. Really eye opening.
- 26:09Yeah, yeah. It's interesting that you hear
- 26:12it your whole life, that money doesn't buy happiness, but
- 26:14sometimes it actually does increase your suffering.
- 26:17I, I have always wanted to have like a like a ludicrous moment
- 26:21or like a rapper moment where it's like, dude, I made it.
- 26:25I just want to like throw money in the air and get like diamonds
- 26:29in my teeth and just like enjoy it.
- 26:31Why can't we enjoy it? Why is that a question to me?
- 26:34Why can't we enjoy it? Yeah.
- 26:38I, I think it's probably a, a cultural thing that has more to
- 26:42do with where you actually just like where you find joy, right?
- 26:47Like I, I don't know, I mean, it's something that you
- 26:51definitely could do. I know people have a lot, a lot,
- 26:53a lot of money. And I would say that the things
- 26:57that they're looking for at that point are more familial
- 27:00connection, being there for their kids, you know, like
- 27:03having really good friends, these kind of things.
- 27:07Like everyone I know who when they were younger talked about
- 27:11like wanting a Ferrari or wanting a Lamborghini or these
- 27:14kind of flashy things with money.
- 27:15It seems to be that their life looks like a heart rate monitor
- 27:19where it's like, you know what I'm saying?
- 27:20It's up and down and up and down and up down.
- 27:22It's really chaotic. And the people I meet that have
- 27:27done really, really well for themselves in business, I think
- 27:29that it's because they didn't get rich overnight, you know?
- 27:33Yeah, and I think that it's they're looking to do something
- 27:38more generational and they probably have more purpose and
- 27:40thought behind it. I don't know.
- 27:43It's a, it's an interesting question.
- 27:44It's like this whole concept of like greed is good with that.
- 27:47But I, yeah, I don't know. I think it's up to the
- 27:53individual, but I broadly don't think that that would make you
- 27:55happy. Like I, I've been to enough
- 27:58clubs and had, you know, done enough stuff where I, I don't
- 28:03think that that brings joy. Like I feel like it's like the
- 28:07thing that brings joy is like close meaningful friends and
- 28:11like deep connection. And maybe even deep work too.
- 28:15You know, I I don't run in the ultra elite circles by any
- 28:18means. I've probably met maybe a half a
- 28:20dozen billies, you know, but they're all still at right in
- 28:23the driver's seat. They're like, they love this.
- 28:25They love the game for the, for the game of it.
- 28:28And of course the financial thing is, is a great plus.
- 28:31But once you're you've crossed that threshold, it's never
- 28:33enough. You know what I mean?
- 28:35If you're playing that game. But ultimately maybe is there,
- 28:39is there a, a place where, where that you can talk about like,
- 28:42no, it's it's going 0 to one. I'm zero to one guy.
- 28:45If you're if that's, if that's Josh, you know, it's like, no,
- 28:47that's what I actually enjoy doing.
- 28:49That's why I like to spend my time there.
- 28:51Yeah, I mean, I, I think when I was a little kid, I really
- 28:54wanted to be an architect. And I really like the idea of
- 28:56like designing buildings and these kind of things.
- 28:58And I realized that buildings were really expensive, so that I
- 29:00got myself into software engineering eventually because
- 29:02I'm like, you know, I may not be able to afford building a
- 29:05skyscraper at, you know, 16 years old or ever.
- 29:09Like it's kind of expensive. So might as well design like
- 29:13small little products that people can enjoy and I can
- 29:15enjoy. And I think it has more to do
- 29:19with creative expression. Yeah.
- 29:21Or solving problems and these kind of things.
- 29:25Yeah. I mean, like, I still have the
- 29:27deep desire to ring the bell on Wall Street.
- 29:30Like, that's one of my biggest things that I haven't been able
- 29:32to do in my life. Like, there's two main goals,
- 29:34which is, like, one, take a company formally public on Wall
- 29:37Street, and the second one is to be the ambassador to some kind
- 29:44of country by the time I'm older.
- 29:46It'll be really fun. So those are the kind of two
- 29:50overarching goals, yeah. Do you think there's going to be
- 29:53more IP OS this year? Do I think there's going to be
- 29:56more IP OS this year then last year?
- 30:03Maybe maybe I I did a talk. So I do these talks to these
- 30:08idea dinners like these macro cap funds.
- 30:10And like the way that we've described the market has been an
- 30:13anxious bull market where it is a bull market, but like it's
- 30:18bulls in a China shop just wrecking everything where it's
- 30:20like it's not really we'll have high profile ones like I believe
- 30:23entropic SpaceX, maybe you see a data bricks or something like
- 30:28that. Maybe open AI goes what is it
- 30:37canvas looking at it as well. Yeah, there's some good ones,
- 30:43probably more than last year, but I think we'll have a flood
- 30:45of them and we probably won't have them for a bit because I
- 30:48think these are like kind of the built up ones.
- 30:50And I'm trying to think of like what's behind these guys, like
- 30:52stripes from waiting forever. But it's a lot more effective
- 30:56right now in the venture market just to be acquired because all
- 31:00of the money is consolidating around so few companies.
- 31:03So yeah, probably more IPOs this year.
- 31:06I I would love to see Apple scoop up Anthropic or something
- 31:10like that. You.
- 31:11Know they won't, I mean well. So like my argument again said
- 31:14is they signed the deal of like Google, like I think have they
- 31:17already signed that or did that? I think so, yeah.
- 31:20I, I know it's I, I too am like kind of wistful for IPOs in
- 31:25bringing that era back, but I'd also like to see some mega
- 31:28acquisitions. Well, yeah, I think that it's
- 31:33it's really difficult for like the sort of pounder to even go
- 31:37to IPO right now because they like one the valuation IPO like
- 31:41these companies are IPO ING above a trillion dollars, right?
- 31:44Like that's insane. So the amount of private capital
- 31:48that's required to actually do that is pretty immense.
- 31:50And I think that like a lot of the capital in the future is
- 31:52probably going to be allocated more likely to infrastructure
- 31:54projects where it's like energy build out things like this,
- 31:58defense build out. Like you, you look at like
- 32:00defense budget going up by 50%. Like we're going to trim really
- 32:03hard into defense start-ups, intelligence start-ups, these
- 32:05kind of things. And then infrastructure for like
- 32:10more American based manufacturing, probably more
- 32:12robotics companies, these kind of things.
- 32:14Broadly, I think that like the average founder is under
- 32:17equipped to work on those kind of projects.
- 32:19So I think that this is going to go a bit of a different
- 32:23direction than we kind of expect where people kind of wrote up
- 32:26these, oh, like you can make a little AI company and it's going
- 32:29to go sky high. But realistically, I think that
- 32:32these companies are better off doing an acquisition at Series A
- 32:35than trying to pile on more capital and dilute themselves
- 32:37down because the level of competition that's required to
- 32:43actually like to win at that. I, I just don't think capital
- 32:47want to go where that is. Like there's a whole restructure
- 32:50in venture capital and private equity right now, two more cash
- 32:52flowing businesses. I think the game is changing in
- 32:57a really, really, really big way.
- 32:59And the companies that you're going to see in the near future,
- 33:01like AI companies will be the new small business.
- 33:05They will not be the new stock outside of a few of them, like
- 33:11you understand what it's like entropic or entropic like Open
- 33:15AI and Google to some extent like are effectively the Amazons
- 33:19and ebays and Shopify's for a new generation of small
- 33:25businesses and vertical AI businesses, be that an
- 33:27accounting firm or be that like, I don't know, like a marketing
- 33:31agency. They're more infrastructure.
- 33:35Yeah, exactly. It's like when cloud came out,
- 33:37you know, like there was really like one or two big cloud.
- 33:41There's a bunch of cloud providers, but realistically at
- 33:43this point what we have AWS, Microsoft, GCP and Oracle and
- 33:47just Azure and AWS alone is like the vast majority of the market.
- 33:55Yeah, yeah, It's fascinating. We'll see.
- 33:58I mean, I don't know, from anecdotally from my position, it
- 34:02feels like the, the, the economy's in a great position.
- 34:07It seems like everyone's very or not ambitious, but optimistic
- 34:13about, you know, technology, particularly right now.
- 34:16I mean, obviously there's some like competitors in the space,
- 34:18but like it feels better. It feels different than it does
- 34:21a year or did a year ago. Yeah, I think it's normalized
- 34:24into a sense. It's I think as long as the like
- 34:31SEC continues to be the SEC and the Fed continues to be
- 34:34independent, then it'll be all good.
- 34:36Like those are my biggest indicators.
- 34:37Like there's more political threat to the stability of the
- 34:39economy than the actual economy itself, if it makes any sense.
- 34:43So like like the deal with like Netflix and Paramount, like
- 34:50really interesting where like. Has that closed?
- 34:56Are they're still working through that?
- 34:58They're still working through that.
- 34:59I think that they noted that they would rather take the deal
- 35:02with Netflix just on the grounds that they believe that it's a
- 35:05better partner. And I believe the Paramount
- 35:08offering was the largest leveraged buyout offer in human
- 35:12history. It was mostly like golf money
- 35:15piled up. So like the inevitable merge
- 35:18company would have like an obscene amount of debt.
- 35:21It was a really, really crazy idea.
- 35:26But yeah, I, I don't think there is necessarily AI bubble.
- 35:28I think we'll all catch up to it.
- 35:29And it really refers back to like when we overbuilt like
- 35:32fiber infra, we ended up using a lot of that fiber infra.
- 35:39I think it'll cool down though. I think it's going to be less
- 35:41hot. I think defence will be really,
- 35:43really hot. Space will be really, really hot
- 35:45and AI will get less hot. Yeah.
- 35:48Because like when you look at early stage venture capital
- 35:50right now, I would say that like putting AI next to your company,
- 35:54unless you're doing something like really, really interesting
- 35:56with really unique data sets, then.
- 36:01It's so ubiquitous that like at some point it's just like now
- 36:04with AI, it's just going to wash off.
- 36:06But you just assume that it's, it's already built into
- 36:08everything. Kind of like what you were
- 36:09saying. It's yeah, it's infrastructure.
- 36:12You know, it's like, yeah, cool man.
- 36:15We've meet. We've met the time in the
- 36:18podcast where we do the quantum round.
- 36:21Are you ready? Yeah, go for it.
- 36:22OK, before we do, actually, I really like kind of the the tone
- 36:25of this, this conversation because we're kind of diving
- 36:29into a little bit more of the emotional side of of what it
- 36:32means being a founder. That being said, that beautiful
- 36:36painting over your right shoulder there.
- 36:38What does, what does that elicit in you?
- 36:40How does how does that make you feel?
- 36:42Calming, I guess. I really like abstract art.
- 36:45I know this isn't necessarily abstract, but it's I think it's
- 36:48fairly calming to me. I like it for a lot of different
- 36:52reasons. My fiance bought it for me from
- 36:55an artist in South Florida and I think it gives a lot of color to
- 36:59the space and I think just generally Blues are relaxing
- 37:03thing in red bring passion. Yeah, it kind of looks like a
- 37:06meteor hitting the Earth, I'm not going to lie.
- 37:09Yeah, I can see that. It's I don't know.
- 37:14Which might be telling if like it maybe it is a meteor and
- 37:17you're like, yeah, very calming. Yeah, it's like, it's some kind
- 37:21of like, it could be a supernova explosion.
- 37:23It could be like I, I, I see it as very calming though, and it's
- 37:26I, I don't know what it is, but whatever you see in it, it's it
- 37:29meaningful to you, right? Yeah, it's super cool.
- 37:31I love it. I've been like vibing out on it
- 37:33the whole time. OK, first question.
- 37:36Which founder stereotype do you secretly embody and wish you
- 37:40didn't? Which?
- 37:42Founder stereotype is secretly embody fuck.
- 37:48It hasn't been reflective in this conversation, but like the
- 37:53freaking we work guy. I, I I definitely not like in a
- 37:57literal sense, but I know I have the capacity of people hyped on
- 38:00basically anything. And I, yeah.
- 38:07That guy was charming though. He was like smoking joints in
- 38:10the office and like had aura, you know?
- 38:12No, exactly. He's fantastic.
- 38:16Nice. OK, as AD and D guy, what'd you
- 38:18think about the series finale of Stranger Things?
- 38:23Give it like a 7 out of 10. Like I felt better about it than
- 38:27I felt like for the ending of like this.
- 38:29Ranos are lost. That's a review.
- 38:31Yeah. I thought the last season of
- 38:33this was better than like how they ended Game of Thrones, but
- 38:36that's not like high credit, you know?
- 38:39Right, Game of Thrones, I'll give you, but The Sopranos was
- 38:41kind of like a Pitch Perfect ending.
- 38:44I don't know. Yeah, it's, that's fair, That's
- 38:47fair. Yeah.
- 38:49The way I'm trying to communicate this is I think it's
- 38:51a A7 is a strong strong seven, maybe a 6 1/2.
- 38:56Yeah, yeah, I think that's fair. You know, the best part about
- 38:59the the series finale is then I went back and started watching
- 39:03the season one with my kids, and that is an absolutely
- 39:06bulletproof, perfect show. I mean, Series 1 is money.
- 39:11It's so good. Yeah, the first, it's like the
- 39:13first two or three seasons that were really good.
- 39:15It just, it fell off. I mean, it's such a big lap.
- 39:18I mean, this, I think the writers wanted to move on to
- 39:20other stuff like their actors. It's the problem with working
- 39:22with kids as well is like, who knows?
- 39:27I'd say they phoned it in a little bit.
- 39:29Yeah, totally. Well, and the drama in the first
- 39:31season is like really intense, you know, like, like when Nona's
- 39:35husband is around and like, it's like, there's like, it's,
- 39:39there's a lot of yelling and like you feel like the, the
- 39:41parents are always mad, you know, So it, it did feel like
- 39:44the 80s. Well, what's the craziest thing
- 39:46about it is like when the Demogorgans like got over that
- 39:49military base, I remember in the first season or second season,
- 39:51there's like, like the kids mom is like fighting one of these
- 39:54things, something like that. And you guys like shooting them.
- 39:56And if things happening, I'm like, what the hell is going on
- 39:58here? Like you're just changing the
- 40:00rules in your own show. Yeah, I know I get a little but.
- 40:04Yeah, like for shows on TV right now, it's like, I don't know,
- 40:09it's fine. It's fine like.
- 40:12Cool. Talk a lot about distribution.
- 40:15I like that when if founders are kind of like want to increase
- 40:19their own distribution, personal branding, let's call it, where
- 40:22would you invest time and money dude?
- 40:25I'm trying to figure that out right now.
- 40:27I, I mean, that's probably why I'm here.
- 40:29So like the newsletters, podcast, etcetera, Instagram,
- 40:35LinkedIn, whatever, you know, the best people that do
- 40:39distribution. And this is probably something
- 40:42that I want to this is not probably it's something I
- 40:44definitely want to improve by myself are people who truly do
- 40:47not give a fuck from the standpoint they're like willing
- 40:49to do wild things, put their name out there and do things
- 40:52that are shocking, you know, keep the attention like the guys
- 40:56who run like sperm racing, incredible founders, so getting
- 41:00ridiculous amounts of attention. So there's there's definitely
- 41:02like a formula here which requires you to shed any kind of
- 41:06like sensibility about judgement and just really, really, really
- 41:11go for it. But it also depends on the kind
- 41:14of distribution you're trying to get.
- 41:15Like the majority of people that like I want to be speaking to at
- 41:18this point in my life are mostly like family office and private
- 41:21equity people. And I don't really particularly
- 41:25care about like getting no general public hyped up on
- 41:27something. I'd rather just partner of an
- 41:29influencer for that. So I like really small circles
- 41:33in really highly credible areas is what I do.
- 41:37But I don't know. I I had APR firm I had.
- 41:42I've tried a bunch of things. So go in depth as a opposed to
- 41:45breadth, at least for you personally.
- 41:47Yeah, but I mean, I, I think that I need to do the other one
- 41:50later. I think I'm kind of being
- 41:51pussyfooting around it. I think I'm waiting for just
- 41:54like the thing I really want to like yell at top of the rooftops
- 41:58about. Like when finder's ready, I'll
- 42:00probably go do that. I kind of miss like standing on
- 42:03stage and like doing all the speaking stuff, but.
- 42:09Yeah, well, it's interesting. I mean, like, thinking about
- 42:12distribution, just the last couple of weeks, the guy that
- 42:14exposed all the like, the Somali daycare center scandal, like
- 42:19that, his video got like 500 million views and he was like a
- 42:22prank guy. Yeah, exactly.
- 42:25You know, So I mean, it's just like whoever picks up, but The
- 42:27thing is like his stuff got amplified by other distribution
- 42:30networks. So it's like it's you got to be
- 42:33tied into the chain of distribution where you do
- 42:36something. But really, if you know someone
- 42:38with a bigger microphone and they know someone with a bigger
- 42:40microphone and it gets microphoned all the way up, you
- 42:43know, Yeah, A. 100% zero to 1. So your only goal is to make
- 42:48$1,000,000 ARR as fast as possible.
- 42:51What product would you build or what category of products would
- 42:54it be make? $1,000,000 ARR as fast as
- 42:56possible. Yeah, you'd make a hyper
- 42:59specific product for an enterprise and sell one license.
- 43:02Sell one license 83,000 monthly. Yeah, yeah.
- 43:07What would be example of that or who did that well?
- 43:10My lawyer gave me a great example of this actually, and I
- 43:13wish I'd made a product like this.
- 43:14He had a friend at MIT that figured out that the routing
- 43:19system for the Internet was like not encoding data as fast as it
- 43:23could. It was like losing bytes like
- 43:25that. And so he created like a small
- 43:28little package EXE that he sold to the telecoms.
- 43:32And this is like a few line of code like at best.
- 43:37And yeah, that like licensing deal to the telecoms to
- 43:40distribute over like every router in the country and made
- 43:43like sense on overall data distributed.
- 43:47Amazing. Yeah, like millions and millions
- 43:49and millions and millions of dollars on like 4 lines of code
- 43:52packaged up in EXE for a hyper specific use case.
- 43:55Love it. You know, a lot of what you're
- 43:57talking about is bringing up a lot of like family stuff for me.
- 44:00There's there's a legend I have in my family.
- 44:02He's a uncle. I think he's like a like a
- 44:05cousin's uncle or something. He's like my uncle, but not
- 44:08really that kind of guy. But he redesigned the clips that
- 44:13711 uses in their coolers and just sold 711 the clips and got
- 44:18FU money and that was it, you know, retired to yacht life and
- 44:22it was like literally he just spent 10 years working in 7-11.
- 44:26I was like, I can make this better.
- 44:27Did boom. That was it.
- 44:29Yeah. What I've learned about it is,
- 44:31and so another thing I'm trying to work on is like, I'm too
- 44:33transparent with like clients from standpoint.
- 44:35Like I always want to be like, as honest, triple like as
- 44:38humanly possible. But then you ended up giving
- 44:40away the secret sauce and it's actually like you can like
- 44:43because you're charging based on value for those like 4 lines of
- 44:46code that you're packaging up is that you, you need to hold like
- 44:51I need to hold my poker hand a little bit tighter, honestly.
- 44:54And I think that's where the value like that's where the
- 44:56arbitrage effectively is. Nice.
- 44:59Yeah, cool. What LO Ms. are you using and
- 45:03how do you use them? I use Manas mostly for research
- 45:08and then I just use Opening Eyes business mode that's tied into
- 45:12all the rest of my stuff for like actual products.
- 45:18Some are on llama just because of like they they can't be on an
- 45:22actual LLM. So it has to be like an offline
- 45:24LLM, but it's not recording data.
- 45:25And then generally like if it's an API usage, it should be
- 45:27clogged. But so personal use I use open
- 45:30AI and then Manas for research professional like work for a
- 45:37company inside of a product clod professional work instead of a
- 45:41company that needs to be hyper secure and offline llama.
- 45:45Yeah, nice manus. I haven't heard it pronounced
- 45:47like that, but I'm going to start pronouncing it like that.
- 45:49That was a big manus. Manus OK, I don't know.
- 45:54I only agree. Whatever meted just bought.
- 45:56I mean, totally. A year and a half, yeah.
- 45:58That was a big acquisition and I think super good for for Manus,
- 46:03largely because everyone was afraid of like the Chinese
- 46:05robots stealing your personal information, like they don't
- 46:07have it already. But now it's like all buttoned
- 46:09up in Singapore, so yeah. It's cool, great company, really
- 46:13really really good tool like. Great product.
- 46:15I agree. Yeah.
- 46:16Like the fact that the other tools don't have computer use
- 46:20that is that elegant actually annoys me.
- 46:23Yeah, I I agree man. The output is just gorgeous.
- 46:27I really like it too. You mentioned listening to a lot
- 46:30of audio books, like what are some of your favorites?
- 46:33My favorites? Oh God, they're so boring.
- 46:35Where's my phone to tell you what I've read this year?
- 46:37They're boring. You like boring books?
- 46:39Yeah, yeah, yeah. Primarily, like I read like, or
- 46:42listened to rather like a history of Richard Feynman's,
- 46:45like entire life. And like all the studies on
- 46:46physics. I did one that was based on, you
- 46:50know, like Maslow. He's like a hierarchy of needs.
- 46:52I realized I didn't really know much about him and like his
- 46:54actual research. So like there's a whole book on
- 46:56like everything Maslow did in his life and all of his
- 46:59psychological research. There's like finance books in
- 47:03there. You like biography?
- 47:06So too. What?
- 47:08You like biographies? I really don't read a lot of
- 47:11biographies, like truly I don't like, I'll explain the kind of
- 47:15person I am really simple. Like when I was a little kid and
- 47:17I went to the book fair, I'd buy almanacs, right?
- 47:20Like I'm like an 8 year old who would watch C-SPAN.
- 47:22Like I'm weird. Like so like I like dense
- 47:27information. Released my jam and yeah, I
- 47:33don't know, it's actually, I read a really good one or
- 47:36something. I'm sure I remember the name of
- 47:38it. It was a study of a bunch of
- 47:41really like CEOs of incredible, what we call now boring
- 47:44businesses, the main giant companies.
- 47:46And like mostly like between the 60s and the 80s, unbelievably
- 47:49fascinating. Like really enjoyed it because I
- 47:52was like working on spin out and I was thinking about like, oh,
- 47:54the strategy really isn't being done a lot right now.
- 47:56So I don't look back. Historically.
- 47:57I'm like, when were people doing this?
- 47:58Because like, if everyone's doing roll ups right now for
- 48:00private equity, there has to be a thing where we untangle the
- 48:03roll ups. And then I realized this is a
- 48:06secular thing in the economy between roll ups and like, you
- 48:09know, unrolling the companies up and ended up doing like this
- 48:13immense amount of research. And that was fascinating just to
- 48:16see how conglomerates are made and how conglomerates fall
- 48:19apart. Like even like the
- 48:21reconciliation that like Microsoft is basically doing the
- 48:25same thing Johnson and Johnson did at this point.
- 48:28It's like not a vastly a different business.
- 48:30We think of it as a technology company, but it's just a
- 48:31conglomerate at the end of the day.
- 48:34Yeah, well, it, it, it is cyclical and you see it like
- 48:37politically, right, the how the tides you, you get like, you
- 48:40know, now we're starting to see this big wave of socialism
- 48:43until, you know, that gets, you know, unpopular and then like
- 48:46the big free market capitalist comes back up.
- 48:49And so, yeah, there is like kind of a parabola between 1982 and
- 48:54right now and all kinds of different domains, you know?
- 48:57Well, it's like you can conceptualize time.
- 48:59It's like I've seen about this recently.
- 49:00It's like it's a circle moving like this, but the circle is
- 49:02also moving forward, almost like the way that you look at like a
- 49:05planet orbit. You know what I'm trying to say?
- 49:07It's spinning while moving forward.
- 49:08So it's like time is cyclical while moving through a longer
- 49:11cyclical timeline that repeats at different like larger
- 49:15intervals. And I know like, Ray Dalio has a
- 49:20lot to say on this, like Peter Zeihan has a lot to say this
- 49:23from like a geopolitical angle. But it is interesting to come to
- 49:26the complete end of an era. And I do see this as the end of
- 49:29an era like it. Feels that way.
- 49:31Yeah. And we'll have to see what like
- 49:33the next era necessarily is like.
- 49:36It's it's quite, it's quite interesting.
- 49:38Yeah, no, I I totally agree. And like, you know, reading
- 49:42boring books, I also, you know, I, I like history, I love
- 49:45business, entertainment or infotainment, this kind of
- 49:48stuff. And I think largely it's around
- 49:50this reason because we're just as humans so stupid that like if
- 49:54you, when you read that material, you're like, Oh my
- 49:57God, they were going through the exact same things we were.
- 50:00We're just repeating these cycles over and over again,
- 50:03basically with the breath being like a human life.
- 50:05So it's like every 40 years there's like popular trends that
- 50:10just emerge and re emerge and you have to redeal with them and
- 50:13and just keep going through it. So I think it's interesting.
- 50:16What do you think about like, So what was the movie or, I'm
- 50:20sorry, the TV show on HBO about that family?
- 50:25They're like they own. It's basically Rupert Murdoch's
- 50:29whole family. Yeah, yeah, Succession.
- 50:31Succession, yeah. So business entertainment, do
- 50:34you think you bullish on that in 2026?
- 50:36For shows. Yeah, just for like,
- 50:38entertainment. More like I love Silicon Valley.
- 50:40I think I put I put Veep into that category as well.
- 50:43I think Veep is fantastic where it's just like these really the
- 50:46jobs that most people won't have and like putting out like how
- 50:49absurd it actually is. So yeah, like Succession is
- 50:51great. Veep is great.
- 50:52Silicon Valley is great. I think we could do less with
- 50:55like founder documentaries. I think it's getting a little
- 50:58crazy. Like, I think it's just like
- 51:00advertising a movie form. Like Ford and Ferrari was good.
- 51:02I don't think we need like a Nike movie.
- 51:06I don't know, a it's it is what it is.
- 51:09But yeah, Succession was a good show.
- 51:11Cool. Yeah, I agree, Josh, this has
- 51:14been so fun, man. I love bouncing around.
- 51:16I, I appreciate you opening up a little bit about maybe some of
- 51:19the more tender spots about about work in general, but I, I
- 51:23feel like I got so much out of this.
- 51:25I'm going to be able to pull a bunch of really cool frameworks.
- 51:27I love your, your checklist for validation.
- 51:30It's been incredible talking to you.
- 51:32I also want to give a shout out to organization that I know is
- 51:35important to you, which is Doctors Without Borders and what
- 51:38a great organization. Any stories or or favorite
- 51:41things about that group? No, So I'll tell you why I
- 51:44appreciate them. It actually came from a book I
- 51:46read when I was really young. It's called A Long Way Gone, and
- 51:49it's about child soldier and Sierra Leone.
- 51:53And yeah, like I just after I read that as a kid, I started
- 51:57like learning a lot about like the UN camps and how people
- 51:59would like go out there and actually help these people post
- 52:01wars. And I think it's a really
- 52:03righteous thing to do, like to have to go to school for so long
- 52:07for a profession that's very technical and then spend your
- 52:10life giving back. So I just, I think they're
- 52:13really incredible people and they deserve support.
- 52:15Agreed. Think they're awesome, Shout out
- 52:17to them Doctors Without Borders, they're everywhere.
- 52:19You guys can just Google that if you don't know about them
- 52:21already and learn more. Josh, thanks so much for joining
- 52:24me. I really appreciate it.
- 52:25Yep. Have a wonderful day.
- 52:26Thanks, Ryan. Bye.
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