Latest / Money Grows on Trees / #326 - I'm a Multi-Millionaire and I Rent
Transcript
- 0:00Owning a home in Australia isn't a financial strategy anymore. It's
- 0:03a trap. Most people think buying a house is the ultimate sign
- 0:06of financial success. The reality is millions of Australians are sitting on
- 0:11$1.2 million of home, but zero cashflow. Drowning
- 0:15in mortgage repayments and completely broke in
- 0:18the practical sense. My name's Lloyd J. Ross, and I'm a seven-figure investor
- 0:22entrepreneur, and I've never owned a home to live in. And
- 0:25in this video, I'm gonna show you why and the number one thing
- 0:29that will change how you look at property forever. Let's
- 0:33go back to the beginning, which is the
- 0:36narrative, the religion of property in Australia. So
- 0:41property ownership in Australia specifically, but also you can apply this to
- 0:44United States, Canada, New Zealand, and some of the Western markets. And in the 80s,
- 0:47it was Japan and Probably up until the
- 0:512020, it was China, okay? Every market's been through this and will
- 0:54continue to happen. So property ownership in Australia isn't financial
- 0:58advice. It seems to be a moral identity, right?
- 1:02If you own, it means you are a responsible adult. Rent,
- 1:06and you're a flipping emo teenager pleb. I call it
- 1:09a peasant. I'm a renting peasant, I like to say. Governments,
- 1:14banks, media, real estate
- 1:17industry, everyone's profiting from your purchase. And
- 1:21they're also the ones telling you to buy. If you look at this, the
- 1:25government's in on it, 5% deposit scheme, immigration,
- 1:30lead boom, the banks are in on it, for sure, it's how they make money.
- 1:34They don't even lend to businesses that much, they just pretty much go, do you have a mortgage? Or
- 1:37do you have a house? And then a lot of industry
- 1:40runs off it. Construction, of course, real estate, marketing, etc. There's just
- 1:44a lot of people that are affected by whether this
- 1:47wins or loses. And I'm talking like the big players, okay? So
- 1:52there's a lot of conflict going on there. They're profiting from
- 1:56your purchasing, okay? They've got to let this machine continue. They can't let
- 1:59it stop. There's a huge incentive to keep going. So,
- 2:03it's not really financial education for you, it's more of a conflict of interest dressed up as
- 2:06common sense, right? So, property, without a
- 2:09doubt, if you look back, property has worked, of course. I mean, you
- 2:13don't need to be a genius to work that out. But a 30-year bull run
- 2:16doesn't make it the only path and it doesn't make it repeat, okay?
- 2:21So just because it worked in the past doesn't dictate it's going to work in the future.
- 2:24That's what you have to understand about cycles, whether it's asset
- 2:28cycles, market cycles, business cycles, whatever it might be. So
- 2:31where the wheels fall off for people with houses or homes is
- 2:35that they're buying a home to live in. and they're doing it in a way
- 2:38that positions them as being house poor. That's the saying, house
- 2:41poor. I'm house poor. I have a house, but I'm poor. When they say poor,
- 2:45they mean I feel poor because I don't have the free cash flow or disposable income
- 2:49to live the life I want to live, which I find fascinating that you compromise your
- 2:52ability to live a cool life for what? To say that you maybe got
- 2:55bricks and mortar and have a mortgage? To go through right of passage? That's
- 2:59ridiculous. What a terrible life philosophy and I
- 3:02haven't signed up for it if you haven't noticed. You may
- 3:06have signed up for it but you don't have to, right? You don't have to. So
- 3:10here's what it looks like. If you're someone who bought a house, house poor denotes
- 3:14that you have no investment portfolio, you have no
- 3:18emergency fund, you have no real holidays and both
- 3:21of you as partners have to work and put your kids in daycare. It's
- 3:25just like passing ships in the night. That's the reality
- 3:29for most people. Just because you
- 3:33have to buy a house to be an adult, you can't leave your job, right?
- 3:37And your mortgage doesn't care for your burnout. And every interest rate
- 3:40rise feels like a threat almost, right?
- 3:45So there's high asset value you've purchased. There's no cash flow from it because you're living
- 3:48in it. There's no freedom and no options. Whilst
- 3:52people put up on Instagram, whatever it might be, we bought it like this.
- 3:56It'd be like, we bought a play site. It's weird
- 3:59because it's, well, it's not weird. It's a rite of passage. So they're saying to
- 4:03you and I, I have gone through one of the, there's
- 4:06a three rites of passage, marriage, maternity, mortgage. Okay. And
- 4:09then there's fourth one's misery, but that's a joke. Mortgage,
- 4:13maternity, marriage, maternity, mortgage. So
- 4:16they're saying to you, this is what you see, we're getting married, boom, rite
- 4:20of passage. We had a baby, bang, rite of passage. And then
- 4:23we have a mortgage, rite of passage. So they're showing you we
- 4:28are moving through the rite of passage within our tribe to
- 4:32say to you, we are now responsible, we've gone through this. Accept
- 4:36us into your family. value system. That's what's
- 4:40happening. That's what they put, but they don't put in there, oh, by the way,
- 4:43we bought the price at 13 to 1 income ratio and we have no money
- 4:46left for holiday. We have no money left to raise our kid. We're cooked. Our
- 4:51marriage might be destroyed because we literally cannot rub two cents
- 4:54together. That's not what they talk about, but that's what happens behind
- 4:58closed doors. You never know what's happening in someone's bank account or bedroom. You
- 5:01never know. And you'd be just mesmerized and shocked as
- 5:05to what can and does happen. But that's not what is put on
- 5:08social media. It's like, we got a house, right? What would be really interesting is
- 5:11if someone said, boom, we got a $1.2 million mortgage at
- 5:157% rates. And after tax, we have to make $100K. So one of us has to put that.
- 5:18And now because of that, we can't go on holidays. We've got to put our kids in daycare. And we're scratching
- 5:22ourselves to find a dollar. And we can't live our life. That's
- 5:26kind of what, that's the reality for most people. Not all people, not all
- 5:29people. I know, right? Some of you are like, no, no, no, I bought a house and put
- 5:33a lot of big deposit, we're good. This is not for you then, right? But it's
- 5:36a lesson for those who are just throwing themselves through this rite of passage, okay?
- 5:40So if you haven't checked out our episode, on
- 5:43what happened in Australia in 1890s, do it. There was a huge bubble. It
- 5:47burst for various reasons that are happening now too. I'm not
- 5:50suggesting it's not gonna recover for 70 years like it did back then, but
- 5:54it's possible. If you look at 1989, I've spoken about this before. I just
- 5:57got back from Tokyo, right? One of the best cities ever. But in Tokyo in
- 6:011989, people were buying houses for 18 to one times earnings. So they
- 6:05were buying houses for prices that were 18 times the annual earnings
- 6:08of a typical salary. And that hasn't recovered
- 6:11yet. So what's that? 95, 35 years and it still hasn't recovered. So
- 6:16we could be on track for a 70 year recovery there, right? And
- 6:22so this is, this can happen, right? I don't know to what extent, but
- 6:26you can see very clearly. And I've said this before that in Canada, prices
- 6:30are down 30%. USA prices are down the most since the GFC.
- 6:34And in New Zealand, it's very obvious that they're falling. Okay. If you don't
- 6:37believe me, ask someone from New Zealand, they'll tell you. You can see that China has
- 6:40fallen a long way since 2020. We know that Japan has fallen
- 6:44a long way. In fact, you can buy a place in Japan an
- 6:47hour from the city in Tokyo. The biggest thing about this, Tokyo
- 6:50is the biggest city in the world, 38 million people in the wider Tokyo area. And
- 6:54you can see that if you go and you can buy
- 6:57houses there for 150 grand USD and the same house
- 7:01in Parramatta, which is the same distance from the city of a city that's much smaller, Sydney,
- 7:06it's 1.5 million. Like,
- 7:11you kidding me? Like that's the difference. Yeah. So what
- 7:15drove those real estate markets in New Zealand, Canada, USA, Australia, China,
- 7:20all of them is cheap credit. Cheap credit, rising prices
- 7:24and a narrative that is going to continue and a cultural obsession. Yeah. Banks
- 7:29were maxed out, property always goes up, that type of stuff. And you hear that today, right?
- 7:32And so Australia's got every single one of those ingredients, all of them. A
- 7:36cultural obsession, banks are maxed out, limited land supply, and they talk
- 7:39about not making any more, cheap credit, more immigration, like
- 7:42it's just all there. Like every single thing you can imagine has driven this,
- 7:46has driven it. Which means there's nothing left to drive it. And so as
- 7:49those things start to come off the ball, of course we're gonna see an adjustment, we
- 7:52will. What's really cool about doing this podcast too and doing this channel on
- 7:55our YouTube, sound like a boomer, at this channel on
- 7:59our YouTube channel is I get to
- 8:02go back and check this out. Now, what was really cool recently is I went back and did an
- 8:06episode on oil, and then three months later, oil's cranking. That's fun. So
- 8:10it will be interesting to see, and I've done many on crypto, so it's gonna be fun
- 8:13to come back in the future and see how accurate this was. So,
- 8:17so far, we're one up on the oil. I've been fighting crypto for a long time. It's
- 8:2050% down, so we'll see. But I'm also thinking that property's
- 8:24gonna come off the ball too. And I think progressively more people
- 8:27in the comments are agreeing with me because they're now starting to see where the wheels can fall off
- 8:30it because rates are going up, like it's starting to happen. And
- 8:34I think it's pretty crazy now to run out and buy a house for 13 times earnings. I
- 8:38just see lots of things changing, right? So it's
- 8:41got every single one of those ingredients. As I said, history doesn't repeat,
- 8:45but it's, it's kind of rhyming now. Okay. So if
- 8:48you're skinning it down as to what causes someone to become house,
- 8:51but what's the real cost of ownership. Okay. So, uh, most
- 8:55people don't stop to think what a house actually costs. Cause they see a house in Brisbane. Oh, it's
- 8:58900 grand. Oh, it's not. It's
- 9:02not the 900 grand, right? It's 900,000 of which
- 9:0690% or more, you got to borrow to get it because you don't have $900,000 cash, right?
- 9:09Most people don't. And then all of a sudden you got stamp duty. Oh,
- 9:13well, that's 35 grand. That's a tax. It's gone. It doesn't
- 9:16sit in the house in equity. Gone. Tax. Non-recoverable.
- 9:22Then you've got mortgage interest on top of that, which is about 46,000. Now it's probably more
- 9:25than that. It's at 908c borrower, 808,756. So
- 9:30it's 56,000 now interest, not including the principal repayments,
- 9:34gone. Like rent money, gone. Just
- 9:38the same. And the only thing you're banking on at that point is capital growth or
- 9:41paying down the principal over time. And then you've
- 9:44got rates and insurance and maintenance. And then if you have to
- 9:47borrow more than 90%, you've got mortgage insurance, which is another 30K
- 9:51or 22K, whatever it might be. That's gone too.
- 9:54It's not your mortgage insurance, it's for the bank. They get paid
- 9:58if you default, right? So
- 10:01yeah, you're down probably, you know, 40 or 50, 60,000 in cash,
- 10:05non-recoverable when you buy a house. It's just a transaction cost.
- 10:09It's a very heavy duty one too, right? And
- 10:12then you've got, then, then, It's not just
- 10:15900, it's a 960. But then the real
- 10:19problem arises and it's this, it's the operating costs of
- 10:22a property. And no one ever contemplates this or
- 10:26very few people contemplate it and think about it. It rates, which
- 10:29are going up all the time, which are actually CPI or actually growing higher than
- 10:33inflation. So actually it's not hedged with inflation rates.
- 10:37Insurance also going up, not hedged against inflation. So they continue
- 10:41to rise over time. And maintenance, which is also not hedged against
- 10:44inflation because the ability to get higher labor and goods and
- 10:49materials to maintain is going up, which is about 1%, just saying
- 10:52it's 1%. So a $900,000 house is 9,000 a year. So we're at 9,000 plus rates. plus
- 11:00insurance and so forth, we're probably looking at $15,000 or
- 11:03more a year, $15,000 and $20,000 a year. So now you're
- 11:06at $56,000 in interest, you're at $20,000 in operating costs
- 11:10and other things because sometimes we have to do it up, honey, because we don't like the kitchen and so forth and there's
- 11:13an emotional attachment to that. Now we're at $76,000 plus
- 11:18we've lost $50,000 or $60,000 in non-recoverable costs in the stamp
- 11:21duty and the mortgage insurance. If we're at
- 11:25$75,000 plus and we haven't even contemplated the principal repayments, you add
- 11:28on another $50,000 you know, $25,000 of that, you're
- 11:31up at $90,000. Divided by two, so you're up at like
- 11:35$1,800 a week, versus $900 a week you could have rented it for. So,
- 11:42you know, you do the numbers. It's just simple arithmetic. The
- 11:46true cost is $8,200 a year to run it, and I know that the principal falls
- 11:49over time, so I know that the interest cost doesn't stay there, but for the
- 11:52first, I don't know if you know this, but for the first 15 years,
- 11:56most of it's interest. 20 years, you
- 12:00don't start paying down principal till later, right? So
- 12:06it's very cumbersome to get into, which
- 12:10is why if you have the ability to put a higher deposit in there, for sure,
- 12:13if you have no other better uses for it, it makes some sense to protect yourself from rising rates,
- 12:17of course. So that's
- 12:21the numbers in a bit more detail that people don't do. But
- 12:24then there's the other thing we call opportunity cost. And it's probably one
- 12:27of the most important concepts that people just completely miss in
- 12:31conversations. Just quickly, if you're ready to take control of your finances, but
- 12:34feel stuck on where to start, I have a solution. My
- 12:37book, Money Buys Happiness, simplifies investing and
- 12:41wealth building with practical steps to help you achieve financial peace.
- 12:45get your copy via the link in the show notes and let's get your money working for
- 12:48you. Now back to the episode. If you were to put down that 100k
- 12:51deposit and the stamp duty and the mortgage insurance,
- 12:55we're at 160 to 180k of deployed money that
- 12:59are some of it, most of it sitting in the bricks and mortar in equity, but
- 13:03the rest of it is unrecoverable, gone as a tax. So
- 13:06let's say you took that 100 and $60,000, $180,000 odd dollars,
- 13:11and you invest it in global equities, for example, at 9% or 10% over the next
- 13:1520 years, it turns into $1.1 million. No
- 13:19extra contributions, by the way. If you've just taken the $180,000, invest it, don't
- 13:23touch it for 20 years at that prevailing interest rate. Now, will it
- 13:26continue to grow that way? Time will tell, but since 1957, the
- 13:30S&P 500 has compounded on average at that rate, so there's a
- 13:33likelihood it will continue. No extra contributions. You're not putting anything else. You're
- 13:36just putting in what you put into the house. Yeah, of your cash.
- 13:41Now just compound at 1.1 million. Yeah. And
- 13:44you've got to also account for at that point, at that point, you've got to account for interest,
- 13:49maintenance, interest above the rental rate, maintenance, rates,
- 13:54illiquidity, a hundred percent concentration risk in one asset classic, fall
- 13:57into a sinkhole, get flooded, get white ants, just saying, right?
- 14:01In one specific suburb. And the people in Dubai are starting to realize, holy crap, I
- 14:05never thought this was going to happen. And here we are, concentration risk. It
- 14:09happens, right? So you've got to contemplate not
- 14:13just is this challenging on our cashflow to own this house,
- 14:17more so than if we just rented for a period of time and got it in a better position, but also
- 14:21what's the opportunity cost of us not deploying it into other assets? And
- 14:24what's the risk of interest rate exposure? What's the risk of single ownership
- 14:28in one asset class? What's the concentration risk? And this
- 14:32is what people don't contemplate or discover. And floating
- 14:36around the interweb at the minute is a book I wrote called Housepour about this stuff. And
- 14:40what's on one of the meta ads that we're running at the moment is this
- 14:43little screenshot there that's real. This guy said to me, Lloyd, he's
- 14:46a guy I've known for a long time. He said, if you zoom into it,
- 14:50it says, I'm so glad we didn't buy a home. We ended up just buying a property investment
- 14:53for a lot less. So straight away, less debt, less interest rate exposure, and
- 14:56we're getting tax deductions, and we're getting the tenant to cover the repayments,
- 15:00and we're actually renting. It's rent vesting, and it's been around a long time, and
- 15:03it's what a lot of people do. It's just a more sensible approach if
- 15:06you want to get exposed to the real estate market. It's just so much more sensible. So
- 15:10that is a good example of someone who's just been intelligent about
- 15:14exposure to real estate. So again, I want to harp
- 15:17this. I'm not vehemently against the asset class
- 15:21like I am with crypto. I am completely vehemently against crypto. Real
- 15:25estate is a wonderful asset if it's invested
- 15:28in correctly. Perhaps you do the numbers and you have a good rent vest
- 15:31situation. Awesome. Perhaps you have got a
- 15:35home and you have bought it for cash because you've got – great. If
- 15:39the ROI of your lifestyle is going to trump it, also do it. But
- 15:42that's not what we're seeing. I just don't see that. That's
- 15:46what this episode is about. It's about understanding that it's
- 15:50not the bill and end all if you don't do it correctly, right? And it's
- 15:53okay to rent. It's okay to be different
- 15:57and contrarian. I guess people really worry about other
- 16:00people's opinions a lot, but I find it fascinating and kind of
- 16:03fun that I rent. And a lot of my, in fact, one,
- 16:06two, three, I mean, I reckon a dozen of my multi-millionaire
- 16:11friends, and some of them make millions, like, some of them
- 16:14are making 25 million a year plus, like, they're exiting businesses
- 16:18for 50, whatever. Almost all of them rent.
- 16:21I'd say, if I think, they rent. A
- 16:25few of them have property investments they've purchased, of course, but they're
- 16:29renting. It's fascinating. That's a
- 16:32very statistically significant thing, right? So,
- 16:36it's not the be all and end all. What's interesting about those friends too
- 16:39is they've taken their capital and instead of putting it in a home, they've
- 16:43taken the capital and started businesses, which are cash flowing asset that can pay you for a
- 16:46long period of time, that can actually help you buy more than one home, right?
- 16:50That's what they call them on X, hooms. So it's
- 16:54okay to be contrarian, so long as you're doing intelligent things
- 16:57with the capital. Like if I rented, which I do, and I
- 17:00was like, I'll rent, and then I just blow it all on flipping, I don't know,
- 17:04whatever. then that's dumb. I'm not
- 17:07suggesting to do that. Of course, renting, yes,
- 17:10you're paying the landlord's return, but you're also saving money in
- 17:14operating costs. You're also saving money in interest costs. You're not exposed. You
- 17:17also have more flexibility and optionality, and you've taken the capital from the deposit and the costs
- 17:21like mortgage insurance and rates and stamp duty, and you've
- 17:24actually deployed it into buying a business. In fact, the
- 17:27amount of money that you would have put into a $900,000 house in
- 17:30Brisbane, you could buy, as one else said the other day, a laundromat. Cash,
- 17:34done. $35k income, done. There's one in Cooma recently for
- 17:38sale. For the price of
- 17:41the transaction cost, you could buy the prince net income,
- 17:44what the property prince, with no risk. Well, very
- 17:47little risk anyway. You know what I mean? It's just like
- 17:51there's other uses of your capital, right? So capital
- 17:54deployed intelligently is just a good thing to do. Now,
- 17:58if the tides change or when they change, depending
- 18:01on how much they change, and real estate falls to a
- 18:05point where people don't want to touch it because they've just been burned and
- 18:08scorned by it, which I've seen before in 2009 and 2011 here in my city. I
- 18:13was, at the time, I was offered, you know, to buy places in the middle of
- 18:16South Paris for 56 grand. I mean, we were selling houses
- 18:20in America for $8,000. People were using their credit cards to buy houses. I
- 18:23mean, I've seen that. Now, I'm not suggesting that's going to happen, but it could. But
- 18:27if you see me going, hey guys, the tide's changed in real
- 18:30estate. You can buy it for three to four times earnings now. The cash return on this is 10% net.
- 18:35It's sensible. It's in a good growing city. We can diversify across multi-doors.
- 18:39It makes some sense. I'm seeing some capital growth. I'm
- 18:42in, but I'm not seeing that. That's all. That's
- 18:45all. That's all it is. Capital deployed intelligently
- 18:49into businesses, good quality shares that you understand or an index
- 18:52fund that you understand for long periods of time and property that doesn't
- 18:56make you house poor is reasonable and rational
- 19:01because it will give you the psychology freedom that no one talks about. It
- 19:05won't anchor you down, you can move through the opportunity, you
- 19:09can create optionality in your life, right? I
- 19:12had this student of mine, it's actually in the new book, and
- 19:16he came into one of our programs, he read this book Money Buys Happiness, and
- 19:19he ended up, he did have this property investment, and it
- 19:22was negatively geared, and it was just sucking cash flow from him, and
- 19:26he had equity tied up in it, and he said, you know, I find the equities there, I wanna do this,
- 19:29I'm not pretty, any future cash flow, and It
- 19:33hadn't served him and so he actually sold it. And
- 19:36he put his money into a portfolio of shares and
- 19:39he's now, I think he's up 20% capital
- 19:43growth since he did that, producing income, but
- 19:46also gave him the optionality to move and rent. It just freed him up
- 19:49and now he's just a different guy. He just changed
- 19:53his focus, right? So it was turning a
- 19:56cash drag into, I'm laying awake at night thinking about this, to
- 20:00from what if something breaks to like, How
- 20:04can I shift this and change this? It's those
- 20:08questions you ask yourself that start to shift how you deploy your capital. The
- 20:12decision will feel scary. It's
- 20:15going to, but is it serving you now? Don't take me
- 20:19wrong. I'm not saying go and sell your investments, but just think about
- 20:22it. Is it serving your objectives or do you have a better place for the
- 20:25capital? We all get to choose. We all get to make decisions. I had another
- 20:29student of mine in one of our elite programs and he sold his house and bought a gym and
- 20:32it just changed his life. He's just winning, winning, winning, winning and
- 20:35did it while he was in his job. There
- 20:38are some astute options out there for you to consider. But
- 20:41in Australia, there's a blind spot. It's just where they
- 20:45just focus
- 20:48on property. No portfolio, no passive income, no options. A
- 20:52mortgage with a good It's
- 20:57a good primary residence, fine, but it's not wealth. It's
- 21:00the appearance of wealth. And there's a gap between those where
- 21:05it's fine, but then where lives get destroyed. When
- 21:11you buy, buy well within your means where
- 21:15you have a serious deposit and it makes sense. And when things change,
- 21:19someone loses their job, whatever it is, you don't get wiped out. Does
- 21:22this serve us in all seasons? Yeah. And so in that way,
- 21:26you really limit your exposure and risk. Okay. So.
- 21:31Buy from the spreadsheet, not from the shame. That's
- 21:35a very important thing to write down. Buy from the spreadsheet, not from
- 21:38the shame. Every investing activity is best done when it's most businesslike. And
- 21:42that came from Ben Graham to Warren Buffett. And I think of things like that all
- 21:45the time. Is this most businesslike? And most people aren't doing most businesslike.
- 21:49They're doing, this is exciting for me so I can put it on Facebook and tell everyone that I
- 21:52have a house so I can show them I have a right of passage and then I can feel better about myself and perceive security as
- 21:55just not real. This is an
- 21:59interesting stat. The average Australian holds 93% of their net worth in their primary residence.
- 22:03One asset, illiquid, undiversified. It's
- 22:06like holding 93% of your wealth in one stock. It
- 22:11can work, but why? Just a little
- 22:15bit of diversification. Decide with
- 22:18clear eyes and real numbers, not cultural fog or the shame or
- 22:22someone else's timeline as to whether you buy, right? Someone
- 22:26in your life right now is sitting at a kitchen table at 10.47 PM
- 22:31feeling like they can't say it out loud. So
- 22:34send this episode to them. Hit the subscribe button, but
- 22:38send this episode to someone who you know is housebound and tell them, and I'll tell
- 22:41them, you've got a choice. No one's holding a gun to your head to say you've got to sit
- 22:44on this thing and cash outflow to yourself and compromise your life, four
- 22:48bricks and more. There are other ways, okay? So
- 22:52hit the subscribe button if you want to get more of this unfiltered, unadulterated
- 22:56financial education in a way that is hopefully entertaining, interesting,
- 23:00and factual for you to make better financial decisions, which is why we're here.
- 23:03So I'll see you in the next episode. Thanks for listening to Money Grows
- 23:06on Trees. If you enjoyed the episode, leave a five-star review on Apple
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