Latest / Toadstool Sports / Thursday BEST BETS | Baseball's Back? | MLB & WNBA | 7/16/26

Transcript

Thursday BEST BETS | Baseball's Back? | MLB & WNBA | 7/16/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: In your chase.
• 0:21
  Speaker 3: Black coffee on the felt.
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:30
  Speaker 3: Now you stare at the chips like.
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: They made you this man.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet? Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Your name steal means something on somebody for show. Put
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: the glass.
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: Down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: Now hold on, hold on nothing.
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Nice, now, hold on, hold on me, but it don't
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: get the crown. Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: And stay with me. Now what's up?
• 1:28
  Speaker 4: Everybody is towed back with you with Toadsool Sports for Thursday,
• 1:33
  Speaker 4: July sixteenth. We had a miss on the show yesterday,
• 1:37
  Speaker 4: the one play Seattle and Wnbah.
• 1:42
  Speaker 3: They probably should have won, dude.
• 1:43
  Speaker 4: I mean, if you look at what happened in that game,
• 1:45
  Speaker 4: they won the rebound battle by a huge amount. So
• 1:48
  Speaker 4: I don't think it was the wrong play. I mean, obviously,
• 1:51
  Speaker 4: I stick to the handicapping that's worked for me for
• 1:54
  Speaker 4: as long as I've been doing this.
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: And I think it was just some of it was
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: bad luck.
• 2:01
  Speaker 4: Just Chicago was not missing anything in the first half,
• 2:05
  Speaker 4: like they had sixty percent shooting. Probably in the first
• 2:08
  Speaker 4: half hit half of their threes. There's nothing you could
• 2:11
  Speaker 4: do about that. Seattle was in a big hole and
• 2:13
  Speaker 4: they almost got back out of it. They had a
• 2:15
  Speaker 4: better second half and they had a chance to cover
• 2:18
  Speaker 4: at the end and fell short.
• 2:20
  Speaker 3: They lost by five. We needed them to come within.
• 2:24
  Speaker 4: Three, well two basically or less, so they're one bucket
• 2:29
  Speaker 4: away from covering. Not happy about it, but I don't
• 2:32
  Speaker 4: think it was the wrong play. But although, of course,
• 2:35
  Speaker 4: you know my second strongest lean. Both of my other
• 2:38
  Speaker 4: leans in the WNBA both hit, but the second strongest
• 2:43
  Speaker 4: was Golden State, and that was an easy winner if
• 2:46
  Speaker 4: you did play that one. And then the fade of Minnesota,
• 2:51
  Speaker 4: I forget who they were even playing Phoenix to me,
• 2:53
  Speaker 4: I forget who it was. But whoever they were playing
• 2:55
  Speaker 4: covered against them as well. My World Cup bracket is dead,
• 3:00
  Speaker 4: so I'm gonna need Spain to win just to crush
• 3:04
  Speaker 4: all the other brackets because way fewer people.
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: Have Spain winning the Argentina.
• 3:09
  Speaker 4: So it'll help me out if the rest of those
• 3:11
  Speaker 4: brackets get eliminated and get brought down to my level. England,
• 3:17
  Speaker 4: I mean, they're winning the game with seven minutes to go,
• 3:20
  Speaker 4: but they did not play that well. They got out
• 3:22
  Speaker 4: played in the game, so they were kind of lucky
• 3:26
  Speaker 4: to have that one. They were close in the first half,
• 3:28
  Speaker 4: but they got out played in the second half. They
• 3:30
  Speaker 4: were kind of lucky to be up one nothing. And
• 3:32
  Speaker 4: you know, I'm not really a fan of Argentina here, so.
• 3:37
  Speaker 3: Whatever.
• 3:39
  Speaker 4: Like, if you watched like how that game was going
• 3:41
  Speaker 4: near the end, you pretty much knew like it was over,
• 3:43
  Speaker 4: especially once they finally gave up that goal. Like England
• 3:47
  Speaker 4: was not possessing the ball at that point they finally
• 3:50
  Speaker 4: gave up that goal, it looked like they quit.
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: I mean, it's just completely ridiculous.
• 3:54
  Speaker 4: All right, We're gonna move on to today, only three
• 3:57
  Speaker 4: games in action today, and I will give out to
• 4:00
  Speaker 4: play on the baseball game.
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: I think we have an angle to work with it.
• 4:03
  Speaker 4: I think we have the pitching edge in the game
• 4:06
  Speaker 4: as well. So that's what I'm gonna give out play today.
• 4:10
  Speaker 4: Let's get right into it, man. There's one baseball game
• 4:12
  Speaker 4: on ESPN tonight. It's Mets in Philadelphia, seven pm, Eastern Philadelphia.
• 4:20
  Speaker 4: I think that there were some negatives here for the
• 4:22
  Speaker 4: spot for Philadelphia, which probably gives you my play on
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: this game.
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: Already no secrets here really.
• 4:29
  Speaker 4: Plus you know how I do this, Like I'm always
• 4:32
  Speaker 4: being contrarian pretty much, but this play is gonna be
• 4:34
  Speaker 4: on the Mets on the money line. We're gonna take
• 4:37
  Speaker 4: the Mets here for a bunch of different reasons. Number
• 4:40
  Speaker 4: one is Philadelphia is returning home from a road trip.
• 4:43
  Speaker 4: And I know we did have the All Star breaking here,
• 4:46
  Speaker 4: so they've had some time off. Like I talk about
• 4:49
  Speaker 4: how when a team returns home from the road, in
• 4:51
  Speaker 4: this case, Philadelphia had been on the road for three series,
• 4:55
  Speaker 4: so it was well over a week.
• 4:57
  Speaker 3: Nine games in a row on the road. I think
• 4:59
  Speaker 3: it's what that was.
• 5:00
  Speaker 4: Kansas City, Cincinnati, Detroit, all in the Central time zone,
• 5:04
  Speaker 4: and then they came home. And I talk about how
• 5:06
  Speaker 4: that's a distraction. A lot of times you have to
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: get back to home life. It can be a big distraction.
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: You might say, well, yeah, but don't you talk about
• 5:14
  Speaker 4: how the break can kind of help that. I would
• 5:18
  Speaker 4: say yes, But the problem that I have with it
• 5:20
  Speaker 4: is Philadelphia just hosted the All Star festivities, So I
• 5:23
  Speaker 4: think that's still a distraction. Dude, So they're coming home
• 5:26
  Speaker 4: from a road trip. Plus they just had multiple.
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: Guys in the All Star Game.
• 5:30
  Speaker 4: One of their pitchers started the All Star Game for
• 5:32
  Speaker 4: the NL. The All Star festivities are all going on
• 5:36
  Speaker 4: in Philadelphia, so I think it's still a distraction. Dude,
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: I think it's a prolonged distraction. I don't like the
• 5:42
  Speaker 4: spot here for Philadelphia. And also, if you want to
• 5:44
  Speaker 4: talk about the break, when whenever there's a break, I
• 5:46
  Speaker 4: always talk about how a break can disrupt whatever momentum
• 5:50
  Speaker 4: a team has. Well, Philadelphia was in a good spot,
• 5:53
  Speaker 4: like they had won the last two games going into
• 5:56
  Speaker 4: the break, beating Detroit, so I think that, if anything,
• 5:59
  Speaker 4: that break can kind of disrupt their momentum here and
• 6:01
  Speaker 4: break their momentum.
• 6:03
  Speaker 3: So I don't like that either.
• 6:05
  Speaker 4: And before all that, well, two series before that road trip,
• 6:08
  Speaker 4: they finished a road trip in New York and they
• 6:11
  Speaker 4: won that series. So the last time they played the Mets,
• 6:14
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia won the series two games to one in New York.
• 6:18
  Speaker 4: So I think the Mets might have more motivation here.
• 6:23
  Speaker 4: I mean, the Mets are in last place. Nobody's gonna
• 6:25
  Speaker 4: want the Mets here. Although I keep talking about how
• 6:27
  Speaker 4: the Mets are not really as bad talent wise as
• 6:29
  Speaker 4: the record might lead you to believe.
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia.
• 6:32
  Speaker 4: I mean, I know they're in the midst of this thing.
• 6:35
  Speaker 4: You know, they're battling. I think they're currently a wildcard team.
• 6:38
  Speaker 4: They're not far off the division lead right now, but
• 6:40
  Speaker 4: still I think the Mets are gonna be the more
• 6:43
  Speaker 4: motivated team. I think they're an easy team to overlook
• 6:45
  Speaker 4: right now for a team like Philadelphia, who's up above
• 6:47
  Speaker 4: them and has already beaten them a couple of times.
• 6:50
  Speaker 4: The Mets, I think, are in a more positive spot here.
• 6:53
  Speaker 4: They went into the All Star Break on a three
• 6:56
  Speaker 4: game losing streak. They got swept at home by the
• 6:59
  Speaker 4: Red Sox, so I think the All Star break can
• 7:03
  Speaker 4: help the Mets disrupt They're losing momentum, and they were
• 7:07
  Speaker 4: actually playing a little bit better for a little while
• 7:09
  Speaker 4: prior to that of lot. I mean, yeah, they beat
• 7:11
  Speaker 4: the Royals a couple times, whatever, but they won a
• 7:13
  Speaker 4: couple games against the Braves in there, so the Mets were,
• 7:17
  Speaker 4: you know, playing a little bit better until the Red
• 7:19
  Speaker 4: Sox pitching like basically just stifled them completely. But the
• 7:23
  Speaker 4: Red Sox pitching has been doing that to pretty much everybody.
• 7:26
  Speaker 4: I think going into that break and now coming out
• 7:28
  Speaker 4: of that break, I think the Mets should be a
• 7:30
  Speaker 4: little bit more focused here and have a little bit
• 7:32
  Speaker 4: more I don't know what well focus is really the thing,
• 7:37
  Speaker 4: and they're starting a road trip as well, so teams
• 7:39
  Speaker 4: usually your focus to start a road trip as well.
• 7:42
  Speaker 4: So I think it's a good spot for the Mets
• 7:45
  Speaker 4: looking at, you know, the way the team's match up here.
• 7:47
  Speaker 4: Bullpen wise, the Mets bullpen hasn't been that good recently,
• 7:50
  Speaker 4: but there's still ranked ninth, and the Phillies bullpen's been struggling.
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: They're at twentieth.
• 7:55
  Speaker 4: So I'm fine with going full game on this based
• 7:57
  Speaker 4: on the situation, and I think the Mets do have
• 7:59
  Speaker 4: a bullpen edge here as well, so we'll leave them
• 8:02
  Speaker 4: in here. We'll take the full game and then offensively,
• 8:06
  Speaker 4: neither team has been that good, although I know Philly
• 8:09
  Speaker 4: is the better offense here. They're at twenty third of
• 8:11
  Speaker 4: tied with the Red Sox. The Mets are twenty eighth.
• 8:14
  Speaker 3: Philly is a.
• 8:15
  Speaker 4: Better offense at home. I will give them that, but
• 8:18
  Speaker 4: I don't know that that's gonna be enough here. I
• 8:21
  Speaker 4: think the situation plus the pitching should get the job
• 8:24
  Speaker 4: done for the Mets here, and the Mets are gonna
• 8:25
  Speaker 4: go with Christian Scott.
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: He's a decent young pitcher.
• 8:29
  Speaker 4: Three point one seventy RA one point three whip isn't
• 8:32
  Speaker 4: really that great, but you look at his other numbers,
• 8:35
  Speaker 4: I mean, this is not too bad here. He's actually
• 8:36
  Speaker 4: been good on the road two point seventy nine Roadie Ray,
• 8:40
  Speaker 4: so that's pretty good. So he's in the better of
• 8:41
  Speaker 4: his home road splits here. Pitch well last time out
• 8:45
  Speaker 4: against Kansas City wasn't great. In the previous start against
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: the Braves, had some walk issues, and he did actually
• 8:51
  Speaker 4: face Philadelphia in late June. So that's kind of the
• 8:54
  Speaker 4: one caveat caveat here. As I talk about these young pitchers,
• 8:59
  Speaker 4: and usually they have the biggest advantage when a starting
• 9:02
  Speaker 4: lineup hasn't seen them before, and then usually the biggest
• 9:05
  Speaker 4: disadvantage is right after that lineup saw them. A lot
• 9:08
  Speaker 4: of times, that lineup will have figured them out a
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: little bit and they know what they're gonna see, and
• 9:12
  Speaker 4: then they do better the next time. So that's the
• 9:13
  Speaker 4: one maybe concern here is that Philadelphia just saw him
• 9:17
  Speaker 4: not that long ago, and he was actually not too
• 9:20
  Speaker 4: bad in that start, even though he only lasted four
• 9:23
  Speaker 4: and a third innings, but.
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: They were kind of keeping them on a little bit
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: of a pitch count. Here.
• 9:27
  Speaker 4: He gave up two runs on three hits, six strikeouts,
• 9:30
  Speaker 4: two walks, So I don't really hate that pitching line there.
• 9:34
  Speaker 4: And even if he only goes five innings here, we're
• 9:35
  Speaker 4: gonna get arrested bullpen here, So I think the Mets
• 9:39
  Speaker 4: bullpen can still give them the edge in this game here,
• 9:42
  Speaker 4: although if you wanted to go first five, you know,
• 9:44
  Speaker 4: I wouldn't really disagree with that approach either. Scott against
• 9:48
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia sixteen at bats against them, good numbers here, one
• 9:51
  Speaker 4: to eighty eight batting average allowed, six fifty three ohps allowed,
• 9:55
  Speaker 4: six to two strikeout walk ratio. They only have one
• 9:57
  Speaker 4: extra base hit, which is a home run Rice Harper.
• 10:01
  Speaker 4: I don't really think there's a whole lot to take
• 10:03
  Speaker 4: away from that. But Scott was good enough, I mean
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: pretty good really against Philly the last time he saw them.
• 10:09
  Speaker 4: Maybe he'll be a little bit less good this time,
• 10:11
  Speaker 4: but I still like that. And we're gonna fade Aaron
• 10:14
  Speaker 4: Nola here, man. I mean, this guy has definitely been fatable.
• 10:17
  Speaker 4: It seems like he's not recovering from the injuries.
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: That he's had.
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: He's been bad a five point seventy five Ray one
• 10:24
  Speaker 4: point four to three whip, and he's been even worse
• 10:27
  Speaker 4: at home six point eight to one home y Ray
• 10:30
  Speaker 4: with an opponent batting average of three to nineteen at home.
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that's not good.
• 10:34
  Speaker 4: So the home road splits favor Scott here and go
• 10:37
  Speaker 4: against Nola. So we're on the right side of the
• 10:40
  Speaker 4: home road splits with both pitchers here. Now, Nola did
• 10:43
  Speaker 4: pitch well in his last two starts going into the break,
• 10:46
  Speaker 4: both on the road against Kansas City and Detroit. I mean,
• 10:50
  Speaker 4: Kansas City not a good offense, although they are better
• 10:53
  Speaker 4: at home. Detroit hasn't really been that good of an
• 10:55
  Speaker 4: offense either, although they're better at home. I just don't
• 10:59
  Speaker 4: know what to take away from I mean Nola. He
• 11:01
  Speaker 4: was good in those two starts, There's no doubt about that.
• 11:03
  Speaker 4: Fifteen strikeouts, two walks, and twelve innings. But I just
• 11:07
  Speaker 4: still don't like this man. And he was actually decent
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: against the Mets. He faced the Mets back on June
• 11:13
  Speaker 4: eighteenth here in Philly, went five innings, gave up two
• 11:17
  Speaker 4: runs on seven hits, six strikeouts, one walk. He was
• 11:19
  Speaker 4: pretty good in that one, and yes, I know the
• 11:21
  Speaker 4: Mets are not a good offense, but overall he's not
• 11:26
  Speaker 4: really been that good against the Mets throughout his career.
• 11:29
  Speaker 4: One hundred and fifty two at bats to fifty seven
• 11:31
  Speaker 4: batting average, a lot eight forty eight ops, thirty eight
• 11:35
  Speaker 4: to twenty three strikeout walk ratio that is not good.
• 11:38
  Speaker 4: Although Juan Soto has seventeen of those walks, so it
• 11:42
  Speaker 4: looks like he just pitches around one SODO all the time.
• 11:44
  Speaker 3: But his overall numbers here is still not good against
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: the Mets.
• 11:48
  Speaker 4: And if you look at Nola just as a whole,
• 11:50
  Speaker 4: he's been really really hittable, which is not good. His
• 11:53
  Speaker 4: walk rate is mediocre and his strikeout rate is actually good,
• 11:56
  Speaker 4: so that's the one thing. It looks like Nola does
• 11:59
  Speaker 4: still have his strikeout of building, but he's just been
• 12:02
  Speaker 4: way too hit able. And I prefer Scott here based
• 12:05
  Speaker 4: on the matchup, and I just think he's probably the
• 12:08
  Speaker 4: better pitcher currently.
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: Scott is way less hittable. If you see his numbers here.
• 12:12
  Speaker 4: Scott has more issues with walks than Nola does, though
• 12:15
  Speaker 4: he walks too many guys right now, but his strikeout
• 12:17
  Speaker 4: rate is also higher than Nola's so do what you
• 12:21
  Speaker 4: want with all that info. We're gonna take the Mets here,
• 12:24
  Speaker 4: and the money seems to agree with this. Philadelphia seventy
• 12:26
  Speaker 4: nine percent of the tickets, sixty percent of the cash
• 12:29
  Speaker 4: on them. They're about minus one thirty or so on
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: the money line here. We're taking the money line on
• 12:35
  Speaker 4: the underdog here with the Mets, though we're fading the
• 12:37
  Speaker 4: public here. Looks like the money does agree with this.
• 12:41
  Speaker 4: Less of the cash on Philly, and money looks like
• 12:44
  Speaker 4: it's slightly back in the under here. The totals at
• 12:46
  Speaker 4: nine and a half, so oddsmakers are kind of expecting
• 12:49
  Speaker 4: this to.
• 12:50
  Speaker 3: Be a higher scoring game.
• 12:51
  Speaker 4: I don't really have a feel for the total there.
• 12:54
  Speaker 4: I like the side. That's what we're gonna do there,
• 12:58
  Speaker 4: Dirty Sock, what's up? Thanks for hanging out, But it
• 13:01
  Speaker 4: better and win man. That's that's all I gotta say.
• 13:03
  Speaker 4: We gotta get a win. Yesterday's play should have been
• 13:05
  Speaker 4: a win. I'm pretty pissed. Just some bullshit early in
• 13:09
  Speaker 4: that game. Chicago just not missing anything early on in
• 13:13
  Speaker 4: that game. I mean, Seattle dominated the rebound department in
• 13:17
  Speaker 4: that game, and when that happens, usually that team does
• 13:19
  Speaker 4: not lose the game.
• 13:22
  Speaker 3: Ridiculous. Mike Piazza. I forget what it was.
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: He got in some brawl with the Yankees at one point, didn'ty.
• 13:31
  Speaker 3: I think I remember.
• 13:32
  Speaker 4: I like that because I hate the Yankees, so I
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: think I kind of remember that. I forget who it
• 13:38
  Speaker 4: was up again it was, you know, he'd got in
• 13:40
  Speaker 4: a fight with.
• 13:40
  Speaker 3: One of the Yankees pitchers. I forget which one.
• 13:45
  Speaker 4: Was it?
• 13:45
  Speaker 3: Roger Clemens?
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: Was it?
• 13:46
  Speaker 3: When Clemens was there? I don't really remember.
• 13:49
  Speaker 4: The trader Roger Clemens. All right, w NBA, there are
• 13:54
  Speaker 4: two games, and that's it for today. There's no World
• 13:56
  Speaker 4: Cup until the weekend. Where by the way, on the weekend,
• 13:59
  Speaker 4: the third place game is going to be on Saturday.
• 14:01
  Speaker 4: I forgot there's a third place game, So the two
• 14:04
  Speaker 4: losers in the semifinals play each other for third place,
• 14:08
  Speaker 4: and then the actual finals on Sunday. So that's the
• 14:12
  Speaker 4: World Cup schedule here, all right. Portland and Washington in
• 14:16
  Speaker 4: the WNBA. I don't really have anything good on the
• 14:18
  Speaker 4: WNBA here. Washington just beat Toronto. That was a play
• 14:22
  Speaker 4: I gave out on the show. That was a winner
• 14:23
  Speaker 4: the other day on Washington.
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: Easy win.
• 14:26
  Speaker 4: They won the game pretty decisively. It was not misleading
• 14:30
  Speaker 4: really if you look into it. Washington's no returning from that.
• 14:33
  Speaker 4: It was only a single game road trip. But I
• 14:35
  Speaker 4: don't know if they're gonna have that. I don't know
• 14:37
  Speaker 4: how much they're gonna like put into this game against Portland.
• 14:41
  Speaker 3: And they just played Portland back.
• 14:43
  Speaker 4: On June twenty eighth, and they beat them by one
• 14:46
  Speaker 4: here in Washington, but it was a four overtime game.
• 14:49
  Speaker 4: It was a really crazy game. So I don't know
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: if they're gonna put some stock into that and come
• 14:55
  Speaker 4: out and want to play well again here, or if
• 14:56
  Speaker 4: they're gonna look ahead to Golden State. Because Golden State
• 14:59
  Speaker 4: looks pretty good right now. Man, So they're starting a
• 15:02
  Speaker 4: road trip. They have to go play Golden State on
• 15:03
  Speaker 4: the road twice possible.
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: Washington looks ahead to that.
• 15:07
  Speaker 4: Portland, they're coming off a loss to Connecticut that is
• 15:12
  Speaker 4: pretty ugly, and it was another game I was correct
• 15:15
  Speaker 4: about on the show. I didn't give that out as
• 15:16
  Speaker 4: a play, but I was right about it the other day.
• 15:19
  Speaker 4: So Portland's coming off an ugly loss, so you can
• 15:21
  Speaker 4: kind of explain why because they'd played a tough game
• 15:24
  Speaker 4: against Vegas two games prior, and then they beat Atlanta
• 15:28
  Speaker 4: on the road after that in a big upset.
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: So I thought it was a bad spot.
• 15:31
  Speaker 4: For them going into Connecticut, and they were really bad
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: early in the game, and then they still want to
• 15:36
  Speaker 4: lose in the game. Could be a bounce back for
• 15:38
  Speaker 4: them here after an ugly performance. Washington could possibly be
• 15:42
  Speaker 4: looking ahead here. I would lean Portland in this one,
• 15:44
  Speaker 4: but the money's completely disagreeing with me on this. I'm
• 15:47
  Speaker 4: not really sure why the number six on Washington here,
• 15:52
  Speaker 4: fifty six percent of tickets on Portland, ninety three percent
• 15:54
  Speaker 4: of the cash on Washington. I highly doubt that the
• 15:57
  Speaker 4: public is actually playing Portland here. I mean, what are
• 16:00
  Speaker 4: these teams records right now? Yeah, I mean Washington has
• 16:04
  Speaker 4: the better records, so I don't know, and they're at home.
• 16:06
  Speaker 4: I would not imagine the public is really playing Portland here,
• 16:09
  Speaker 4: even though they are an underdog of a decent size.
• 16:11
  Speaker 4: But yeah, I think I would lean to Portland plus
• 16:14
  Speaker 4: the points there, and then the better of the two
• 16:16
  Speaker 4: games is New York Dallas. And right away, I mean
• 16:19
  Speaker 4: you got to notice that Dallas is only a one
• 16:21
  Speaker 4: and a half point favorite here at home, and that
• 16:24
  Speaker 4: looks pretty strange because they have a way better record
• 16:26
  Speaker 4: than New York does. And I've been harping on the
• 16:29
  Speaker 4: fact that the West is better than the East in
• 16:32
  Speaker 4: the WNBA, which is true. But these odds makers are
• 16:35
  Speaker 4: telling you that the Liberty are like, not even worse
• 16:38
  Speaker 4: than Dallas here. Like in fact, the oddsmakers are basically
• 16:40
  Speaker 4: telling you the Liberty are actually the better team here.
• 16:43
  Speaker 4: So the odds makers are definitely signaling something here. It
• 16:47
  Speaker 4: looks way too easy to play Dallas. Although Dallas has
• 16:51
  Speaker 4: been good at home, so I would be a little
• 16:53
  Speaker 4: bit worried about New York here.
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: I mean, they're mediocre on the road. Dallas is good
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: at home.
• 16:57
  Speaker 4: Also, Again, like I said, the West has been way
• 17:00
  Speaker 4: better than the East, so I would be worried about that. No,
• 17:05
  Speaker 4: fuck Argentina, bro, they should just completely fuck off. They're
• 17:09
  Speaker 4: a bunch of They're basically the Israel of South America.
• 17:13
  Speaker 3: They're a terrorist nation.
• 17:14
  Speaker 4: At this point, Dallas has won five games in a row.
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: They beat Chicago, but Chicago covered that game. That was
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: another win I gave on on the show on Chicago,
• 17:25
  Speaker 4: And if you remember, it was a negative spot for
• 17:28
  Speaker 4: Dallas because they were returning home from a road trip
• 17:30
  Speaker 4: and they had this game against New York up next,
• 17:32
  Speaker 4: which is on Amazon Prime, by the way, so I
• 17:35
  Speaker 4: thought it was a bad spot for them.
• 17:37
  Speaker 3: They won, but Chicago covered.
• 17:40
  Speaker 4: Typically it's a better spot after you return home and
• 17:42
  Speaker 4: you don't have a good game, you play better in
• 17:44
  Speaker 4: the next game. And I don't really see Dallas overlooking
• 17:47
  Speaker 4: New York here, so I don't think it's really a
• 17:50
  Speaker 4: bad spot for Dallas, even though I am kind of
• 17:53
  Speaker 4: leaning to New York here, especially because New York is
• 17:55
  Speaker 4: coming in of a bad game where they lost to
• 17:58
  Speaker 4: Toronto and Ili leave. I gave out a play on
• 18:01
  Speaker 4: that one too, didn't I I think I did. Yeah,
• 18:05
  Speaker 4: I'm super sign. I'm banning you. Just fuck off, dude,
• 18:08
  Speaker 4: Get the fuck out of my comments. This is not
• 18:10
  Speaker 4: even a political show. Just fuck right off. Get fucked.
• 18:14
  Speaker 3: You support a bunch of child murderers, you fucking asshole.
• 18:18
  Speaker 4: Get the fuck out. Never come back, piece of shit.
• 18:21
  Speaker 4: You're an absolute demon. You're fucking evil.
• 18:24
  Speaker 3: Bro.
• 18:25
  Speaker 4: New York lost to Toronto in their last game, and
• 18:27
  Speaker 4: I told you that was a bad spot for New
• 18:29
  Speaker 4: York because they'd played a tough game against Minnesota the
• 18:32
  Speaker 4: game before then, and they had Minnesota or no, sorry,
• 18:35
  Speaker 4: they had a revenge game against Dallas tonight upcoming because
• 18:39
  Speaker 4: they lost to Dallas the game before the Minnesota game
• 18:42
  Speaker 4: at home, So this is a revenge game for the Liberty.
• 18:44
  Speaker 4: They just lost that home to Dallas, so I think
• 18:49
  Speaker 4: they got caught in a bad spot against Toronto after
• 18:52
  Speaker 4: they played tough against Minnesota. They had this big game
• 18:54
  Speaker 4: up next against Dallas. I think the Liberty are going
• 18:57
  Speaker 4: to show up. They're gonna make some adjustments after that
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: loss to Dallas. As far as what happened in that game,
• 19:04
  Speaker 4: like I tried to look for like outliers here, I
• 19:07
  Speaker 4: mean there were a couple though. Dallas was kind of
• 19:09
  Speaker 4: the better team in this game. Dallas had eleven more
• 19:12
  Speaker 4: field goal attempts in the game, they won the rebound battle,
• 19:15
  Speaker 4: so Dallas was really kind of the better team here.
• 19:17
  Speaker 4: And I think I gave out a winner on the
• 19:19
  Speaker 4: show on Dallas at this game too, So I've had
• 19:22
  Speaker 4: a good read on the WNBA for a while here recently.
• 19:25
  Speaker 4: But the Liberty also only shot nineteen percent from three
• 19:29
  Speaker 4: in the game, so that's something that might have some
• 19:32
  Speaker 4: positive regression back to some sort of mean here.
• 19:35
  Speaker 3: But Dallas hit all, Dallas only.
• 19:38
  Speaker 4: Hit one more three than they did, and they didn't
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: shoot that well from three either, and the Liberty went
• 19:43
  Speaker 4: to the free throw line way more. They had ten
• 19:46
  Speaker 4: more free throw attempts.
• 19:48
  Speaker 3: That's not good when you make.
• 19:49
  Speaker 4: Eight more free throws, so you still lose the game
• 19:51
  Speaker 4: by double digits. So I have my concerns with it.
• 19:55
  Speaker 4: Like you know, there aren't as many outliers as I
• 19:57
  Speaker 4: would really want to look for in that previous matchup there.
• 20:00
  Speaker 4: I still lean to New York in this game. The
• 20:02
  Speaker 4: money seems like it doesn't really agree with me on
• 20:04
  Speaker 4: this one either. Although Dallas is public eighty nine percent
• 20:07
  Speaker 4: of tickets, ninety four percent of the cash on them
• 20:10
  Speaker 4: minus one minus one and a half is the price there.
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: I would play New York.
• 20:15
  Speaker 4: If I was gonna play that one, I would take
• 20:16
  Speaker 4: the one and a half puts, you know, put some
• 20:19
  Speaker 4: on the money line obviously. But I don't really have
• 20:22
  Speaker 4: a strong opinion on these WNBA games.
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: So that's gonna do it.
• 20:25
  Speaker 4: Man.
• 20:25
  Speaker 3: That's the show today.
• 20:26
  Speaker 4: I love this All Star break because I get some
• 20:29
  Speaker 4: quick shows done. Gave out of play yesterday it didn't
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: work out, but hopefully this play today will. I think
• 20:35
  Speaker 4: I passed the day before or no, no, I had
• 20:38
  Speaker 4: to win on the WNBA the day before that, and
• 20:40
  Speaker 4: then I passed the day before that. But we're jumping
• 20:43
  Speaker 4: right back into baseball. Man, I it being only one
• 20:47
  Speaker 4: baseball game on the board. I'm not forcing plays here,
• 20:49
  Speaker 4: you know what I mean, Like, I'm not just giving
• 20:51
  Speaker 4: out a play just to have one, Like I actually
• 20:53
  Speaker 4: liked this play.
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: So the play today is the Mets.
• 20:56
  Speaker 4: Like I was thinking I was gonna pass on the
• 20:59
  Speaker 4: board today, Like I looked at WNBA, I'm like, yeah,
• 21:01
  Speaker 4: I don't really like it. And then I looked at
• 21:03
  Speaker 4: this baseball game. I'm like, am I really gonna have
• 21:05
  Speaker 4: a play on one baseball game? Like I'm gonna have
• 21:07
  Speaker 4: to find like an actual angle to play, And I
• 21:10
  Speaker 4: looked at it. I'm like, wow, I actually do like
• 21:12
  Speaker 4: this game, and the market agrees with me. So the Mets,
• 21:15
  Speaker 4: as an underdog, will be the only play of the
• 21:17
  Speaker 4: day that's gonna do it. Learn a tone on Twitter,
• 21:20
  Speaker 4: learn a tone on Instagram, like subscribe to the channel.
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: Here we're at five hundred.
• 21:24
  Speaker 4: I'm in the process of getting it monetized, so got
• 21:27
  Speaker 4: to figure out what I want to do with that
• 21:31
  Speaker 4: listen on an audio Apple Spotify speaker. There is some
• 21:34
  Speaker 4: monetization over there, so it helps people listen over there.
• 21:37
  Speaker 4: Boost this, give me good reviews, just get me more listeners, man,
• 21:40
  Speaker 4: and views covered in you because my youth channel on YouTube,
• 21:45
  Speaker 4: my voice might be doing a little bit better, probably
• 21:48
  Speaker 4: because I'm not doing these long shows. So it's gonna
• 21:51
  Speaker 4: die again as soon as tomorrow happens, because tomorrow we
• 21:54
  Speaker 4: have a full baseball slate, so my voice is gonna
• 21:57
  Speaker 4: be crushed again. What else patron dot com Slash Learn
• 22:02
  Speaker 4: to Toad and Loser cast every Tuesday night, and the
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: New York Giants g spot podcast will probably be back
• 22:10
  Speaker 4: at some point. That's gonna do it for now man.
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: And then yeah, if you subscribe to the show here,
• 22:15
  Speaker 4: you know you'll get uh. I might randomly go live
• 22:19
  Speaker 4: for some extra stuff, maybe more football previous. Maybe I'll
• 22:23
  Speaker 4: get Clint from Liberty Lockdown back on to a preview
• 22:26
  Speaker 4: the NFL like we did last year.
• 22:28
  Speaker 3: We'll see. Be on the lookout for all that. I know.
• 22:32
  Speaker 4: I went earlier today. I woke up early. I was
• 22:34
  Speaker 4: just like whatever, I'll just do the show.
• 22:36
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 22:36
  Speaker 4: So people will get this play in time because it's
• 22:39
  Speaker 4: a night game. I'm like yesterday and I play was
• 22:41
  Speaker 4: a noontime game. So but if if people missed it,
• 22:44
  Speaker 4: it was a loser. So although it shouldn't have been,
• 22:47
  Speaker 4: that's gonna do it, dirty sock, I appreciate it.
• 22:50
  Speaker 3: Fuck that other guy in the comments.
• 22:52
  Speaker 4: Don't come into my comments and start politically grand standing, dude,
• 22:56
  Speaker 4: especially when you're completely wrong. Get out of here with
• 22:59
  Speaker 4: that shit. That's gonna to do it.
• 23:00
  Speaker 3: Peace, but don't you go quiet.
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: Don't you fade from the floor. Your name, steal me
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: something to somebody for show. Put the glass down, baby,
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: look at me.
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: Now, hold on, hold on nothing nice, now, hold on,
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: hold on, let me pull that bites hard, but it
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: don't get the crown. Hold on, hold on and stay
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: with me now