Latest / SEC Football Addiction / Jon Sumrall & Pete Golding KNOW Something CRUCIAL in Florida Gators vs Ole Miss Rebels Game!

Transcript

Jon Sumrall & Pete Golding KNOW Something CRUCIAL in Florida Gators vs Ole Miss Rebels Game! · SEC Football Addiction

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Florida and Ole Miss in the swamp. Florida coming off
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: a big win at Auburn. Ole Miss coming off a
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: huge win against Lane. I think there's opportunity for both
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: of these teams to have a little bit of an
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: emotional letdown after huge wins last week. I think that
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: possibility exists much more for Ole Miss than it does
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: for Florida. But I do think it exists on both sides.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: You can see how much that win really meant to
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: the program, how much it meant to John Summerall, how
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: much it meant to Aaron Filo, who I thought played really,
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: really well in that game. Obviously, Jaden Ball is a freak.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: And then Trinidad Chambliss may be the best player in
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: college football right now. So it is just as good
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: as that Tennessee-Texas matchup is. This one's really good, too.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Florida's not the 21st best team in the country. I
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: think they've proven that they're better than that through their
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: first three games. I don't think Ole Miss is the
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: fourth best team. Resume-wise, they should probably be one or two.
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: So this is a great matchup, too, just like we've
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: got in the noon game. The 3.30 one's really good.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: This is presented by PrizePix.com. What's your big picture thought
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: here for Florida Ole Miss?
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: This line really threw me for a loop when it
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: came out on Sunday. I mean, I just was like,
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: I wasn't expecting Florida to be an eight-point dog at home.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I wasn't expecting them to be a big underdog or
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: anything like that, but I was certainly not expecting them
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: to be favored by over.
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: A field goal at this point. That thing's sitting at
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: three and a half right now.
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: And Hey, I've been on record all offseason as thinking Summerall,
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: good hire, especially because he went and got Buster Faulkner,
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: and I'm a big believer in Buster Faulkner. I think
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: letting him handpick his quarterback in Aaron Filo was a
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: good decision. I'm all for it. I'm on board with it.
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: But I am very curious, especially after Auburn was able
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: to have a lot of offensive success against Florida when
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: when Baylor was able to really kind of stymie Auburn
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: a good bit in that game, how Florida is favored
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: by over a field goal in this game with what
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: we know about Trinidad Chambliss and his ability to just.
• 2:11
  Speaker 3: Make things happen offensively.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: I wonder a little bit about each team's ability to
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: exploit what the other one struggles with. I just got
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: off a show and talked about this a little bit,
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: so I want to get your take. I won't rehearse
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: my whole take again, but Ole Miss gives up a
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: lot of broken tackles, and having Jaden Ball in the
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: backfield on the other side should scare the crap out
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: of them. I think Florida can be exploited in certain
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: places defensively if pressure doesn't get home, and having Trinidad
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: on the other side should scare the crap out of them.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: So it's good on good, I think, or good on
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: maybe potential weaknesses is maybe the better way to say it.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: Both these offenses, I mean, I like the over here, too,
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: just for what it's worth. Now Vegas knows that, and
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: they've jacked it way up. But both of these offenses
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: could have absolute field days. Florida's offense really did a
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: good job against Auburn for large portions of that game.
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: Florida's defense, I'm sorry, did a good job against Auburn's offense.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: I think Ole Miss' defense did a good job against
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: LSU's for large portions of the game. Whichever defense shows up,
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: because I have no doubts that Jaden Ball is going
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: to do his thing. I have no doubts that Vernell
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: Brown and really even Aaron Filo and this offense are
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: going to do their thing. And then the same thing
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: on Ole Miss' side. They might be one-dimensional if Lacey
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: doesn't play, but that's a pretty good dimension to have
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: is Trinidad calling the shots. Whichever defense can get a
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: few more stops, a stop or two more, is probably
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: the one that I would ride with in this game.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: I think that's an interesting dynamic is just two powerhouse-type
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: offenses that are going to be really fun. The Golding
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: versus Faulkner matchup is a lot of fun. This game
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: has so much in it that I'm going to be
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: sprinting out of Neyland Stadium to try and get to
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: the iPad and watch this while I sit in traffic
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: in Knoxville.
• 4:00
  Speaker 3: No, for sure. I look at the Ole.
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: Miss offense versus Florida's defense and I mean, Florida's defense,
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: like if you look at some of the radar charts
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: and just they're ugly, right? Like they do not cover
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: a big spread on the radar chart. They really struggle
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: with that. Like they give up a lot of short
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: third down distances. They give up a really high success
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: rate on third downs.
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: I mean, they're.
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: Allowing 58.1% third and fourth down success rate.
• 4:36
  Speaker 3: That's 125th nationally, 5.8 yards. is the average third down
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: distance against them. That's 122nd. Their EPA per rush allowed
• 4:46
  Speaker 3: is 126th.
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, like they have really not been good. And
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: the Florida offense is the exact opposite of that. But
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: when you talk about that matchup, like whose defense has
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: a better shot of getting stops, I really feel like
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: the answer is the Ole Miss defense against the Florida offense.
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: Like I really think what we saw from Will Echols
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: against LSU on Saturday night, Like Ole Miss has some
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: guys in their back end. Like Joan El Aguero was
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: a five-star recruit.
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: He's a tweener.
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: Didn't quite work out at Georgia. Like not quite a safety,
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: not quite a linebacker type player. But he's the type
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: of guy that can close some space out and like
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: had a pick against Tennessee last year in Knoxville that
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: was big on a deep ball. Like there's players like
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: that on this Ole Miss defense that I know about
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: at this point on defense. on all three levels, I'm
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: not sure who those guys are yet on the Florida defense.
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: Doesn't mean they're not there, but I don't know who
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: they are yet.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: And that kind of inclines me to, to again, come
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: back to being very confused about this number.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Are, is there a way for either you talk
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: about Ole Miss, you know, struggling with broken tackles and
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: talk about where Florida is at defensively too. Is there
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: any way to slow down a Jaden Baugh or a
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: Trinidad Chambliss for either team? Or is it like you
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: may just let them live with what they do and
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: try and shut down everybody else type of thing? Or
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: what is the, what is the method of attack there?
• 6:18
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, I, you're not going to like, I don't
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: think Ole Miss is going to slow Jaden Baugh in
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: the sense of shutting him down because he's, he's too
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: good for that. But I do think there's, there's logic
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: in if you're, Florida saying, okay, I'm going to make
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: Trinidad beat me, right? Like I'm not going to live
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: sort of in no man's land.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: I'll get right back to chatting with Graham, but first
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: I want to tell you about our friends over at PrizePix.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: All new users who play a $ 5 lineup there and
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: win get $ 150 in lineups instantly if they use code HMA.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: I am taking the more on Jaden Ball's rushing touchdowns,
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: and I'm taking the more on Trinidad Chambliss' passing touchdowns.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: They're both 1.5. I feel really good about Trinidad. I
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: know it'll be work for Jaden to get two on
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: the ground, but I think he gets it done. Go
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: set a lineup just like that. Appreciate our friends over
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: at PrizePix. Again, use the code HMA. Now back to
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: the clip.
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: On the other side of the ball, I think there's
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: logic in saying I want to make Aaron Filo beat me.
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: I'm not going to try and load up and put
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: Aitman in the box all day against Jaden Baugh and
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: let Aaron Philo get man coverage all over the place
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: with this set of receivers.
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: Like that's not the recipe.
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: If you're Ole Miss in my opinion, I think you've,
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: you've got to vary your, your defensive looks and, and
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: you've got to be flexible to what's happening in front
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: of you and, and adjust in real time, truthfully of, of,
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: of sort of, you know, admitting maybe, Hey, like this
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: is the hot guy and, and we need to shade
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: things this way. But I, I think you can really
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: get yourself in trouble with, sometimes when you try to
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: treat everyone like an equal threat on an offense and
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: you end up just kind of running out of ways.
• 8:10
  Speaker 3: To spread your men around.
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: I don't know that either of these teams is going
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: to be able to, like, take one thing away from
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: the other.
• 8:19
  Speaker 3: I think at the end of the day, the question
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: is more just functionally, how do I get stops, right?
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: And whatever that scouting is, maybe it's, hey, like, Philo Philo's.
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: Numbers drop when he's in the red zone.
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: And I'm not, that's just an example, but like that,
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: that needs to be the, the, the thought train, I
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: think from these defensive staffs is situationally, where do I
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: have an advantage?
• 8:45
  Speaker 3: And once I get into that situation, how do I
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: maximize that advantage? Cause you don't have an advantage in
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: open grass between the twenties. You just don't.
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: And, and you need to find ways. I think field
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: goals versus touchdowns is going to be a huge, plot
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: in this game.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: Advantage coaching wise. When you look at Golding and Faulkner,
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: that's a, that's a fun one. We got Golding and
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: Weiss last week. This is another fun one. It's very different,
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: but it's fun.
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: I think that there's an advantage when it comes to
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: Pete Golding as a head coach versus John Summerall as
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: a head coach in, in terms of experience, in terms of.
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: Playing in big games.
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: But I, I, would give Buster Faulkner advantage over P
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: Golding when it comes to offensive.
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: Scheme versus defensive scheme. Yeah, for sure. Yeah.
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, but, and Buster, you know, I mean, Buster
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: has been around this league, right? Like, like he was
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: at Georgia when, when Golding was at Alabama, like he
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: was at Georgia with Todd Malkin. He's seen a lot, right.
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: He's seen a lot in the sec and really adjacent.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: I know he was at Georgia Tech, but he was
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: an hour down the road from Athens and sort of
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: in the heart of the SEC while being at Georgia Tech.
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: And I think he's very well connected to this league
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: and knows the ins and outs of it.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: The spread did surprise me. I think it opened up
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: closer to a point and a half and then has
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: moved because of the Lacey uncertainty, the best I can tell.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: So three and a half now. I think this game
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: truly could go either way. I like the points when
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: you've got Trinidad Chambliss. I think this is an incredibly
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: close game. I love that hook. And if Vegas is
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: setting a trap for me, then I am jumping into
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: it headfirst. I love the value in getting Trinidad Chambliss
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: plus money. against a team that, yes, just beat Auburn,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: and I'm really high on Florida. I think they're a
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: top 15-ish team in this country as far as resume-wise,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: like what they've shown so far. I think they're ranked
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: too low right now in the AP poll. So I
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: am high on Florida. I really like Trinidad Chambliss with
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: plus money. I also really think they've got the best
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: two wins in the country. I don't even know how
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: you would debate that. Beating Louisville, who knocked off SMU
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: last week, we talked about that game. and then beating
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: LSU the way that they did. I think they go
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: get another ranked win this weekend. I think there's good
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: value in the plus money on the money line and
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: to take the three and a half points. So I'll
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: probably take both to cover myself if they don't get
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: the win. But I think this is an incredibly close game.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: Would not surprise me at all if Florida won. But
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: I'm going to take Ole Miss here. Ole Miss has
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: kind of shown that they can be one-dimensional if needed.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: Lacey goes out and Trinidad just puts him on his back. Now,
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: I don't think that works for 12 weeks. But I
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: think he can work one more time. The Swamp is
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: an insane place to play. And it changes games just
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: like Neyland does. We talked about that. We saw what
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: happened with Texas. We saw what happened with a really
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: good Ole Miss team that came in here in 2016.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: We saw what happened with Auburn in 2019 when they
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: were top five. This happens often. But all that said,
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: I'm going to ride with Ole Miss here.
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: See, what I read out of this spread, I.
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: Do think that Vegas is telling you that they like
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: Florida more than some people may have expected coming into
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: the season.
• 12:21
  Speaker 3: But I also think.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: That they're telling you they didn't really buy the hype
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: on LSU, didn't really buy the hype on Ole Miss
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: after that win. I think they're telling you that they
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: think Ole Miss is a really good team, but maybe
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: not an elite team on the national title tiers. And
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: logically that makes sense to me just in terms of
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: how their roster is.
• 12:49
  Speaker 3: Constructed and all of those things.
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know that I ever drank the Kool-Aid on LSU,
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: even after they beat Clemson.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: But.
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: I do struggle.
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: Like you're telling me we're already here with Aaron Philo
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: after just a couple starts. Like we're already in the
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: spot of, of Aaron Philo against Trinidad Chambliss and Philo is,
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: is the guy, right? Like he's, he's the favorite in
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: that matchup.
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: I struggle with it.
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: I think Florida is more complete. Like offensively, Florida is
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: more complete with Jaden ball. I'm just not picking against like, I,
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: I made a personal vow against Trinidad Chambliss in any
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: situation that, especially one that I think could be like
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: a close game late in the fourth quarter until he
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: gives me.
• 13:45
  Speaker 3: A reason to, to readdress that.
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: And so on general principle, I am taking that three
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: and a half from Ole Miss and I'm, I'm rushing
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: to the bank with it and I'm going to take
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss outright to win this game.
• 13:59
  Speaker 3: But I do think.
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: There's a world where we, we wake up on Sunday
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: and like, we're talking about Florida a little bit differently.
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: Cause I, I, I do think.
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: The emotional hangover from that LSU game could be very real.
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: I also think, though, that Pete Golding has an advantage
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: in that he was around Ole Miss in 2024 when
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: they won the big game against Georgia and then went
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: to Florida and flushed their playoff hopes.
• 14:28
  Speaker 3: And I think that he can use that maybe to
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: his favor.
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: I know Trinidad wasn't there, but there's guys that are
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: left over from that roster and that can kind of
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: help him refocus his team.
• 14:39
  Speaker 3: So I think Ole Miss, but close, close.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's a good point. And then also
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: last year, with all the distraction and all the emotion
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: that went into last year, I don't think they lost
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: to Miami after beating Georgia because of an emotional hangover.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: I think Miami was just a little bit better. They
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: did a good job navigating the lane situation. We talked
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: about this last week. I don't so much buy into
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: the whole, oh, off-field stuff that's going on. Emotional hangovers
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: are very real. But Ole Miss has kind of shown
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: you over the last few years they do a good
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: job of navigating that. I'm right there with you, though.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: Florida wins this game, and I think there's a great
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: chance they're 6-0 to start this season. They play Missouri next,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: and I think they play South Carolina after that. I
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: actually think they're going to win both those games no
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: matter what happens here tonight. Or not tonight, but this weekend.
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: So I'm taking Ole Miss, just kind of the same
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: reason as you, Trinidad believer. But it won't shock me
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: at all if Florida is able to win this game.
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: So it'll be a fun one.