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Saturday MLB + WNBA Bets 7/5/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: Own four, I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached into pink.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Arch hate? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: after the worst day that I could possibly have, back
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: to you as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slumpyesterdays, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: End it all. What's up, everybody, It's sewed back with you.
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: This is better.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: I'm dead Saturday, July fifth. Hopefully everybody was safe but
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: still partied hard yesterday. This is the hangover day, right
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: It's July fifth, so I'm not hungover as a sober man,
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: but everybody's probably in that state right now, which is
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: why nobody's watching the show. Nobody's gonna pay attention to this.
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: Yesterday felt like Saturday, but today is actually Saturday. And yesterday, unfortunately,
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: we were one to two on the show. Started off
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: real nice with a pretty easy win on the Cincinnati Reds.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: I mean they were winning at the end of the
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: first five. They had a big lead. I think they
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: were up nine to four. Uh they wound up winning,
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: I believe nine to six or something like that, so
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: that was an easy win. Then it looked like we
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: were gonna get the win on Tampa Bay after they
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: were down one nothing. They were actually they were losing
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: actually at the end of the first five, but I
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: gave out a full game play on that. They flipped
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: it around and they were up three to one in
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: the seventh inning and they blew the lead and then
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: lost on a walk off in the ninth losing four
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: to three. So we take a one run loss, and
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: then we have Texas also dealing with a one run loss.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: And not only did they do that, but Texas was
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: actually winning after the first five innings, I think they
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: were up two to one or something like that. It
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: was either one nothing or two to one. I think
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: I guess it was one nothing at the end of five.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: Then they were up two to one late in the game,
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: and think they were up two to one, maybe in
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: the eighth inning or something. They gave up a time run.
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: It went into extra innings and they lost. Texas did
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: get out hit in the game, but still brutal way
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: to lose those two bets. Man highly likely once it
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: gets into two coin flip situations like that, it's fairly
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: likely you're gonna at least get one of the two.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: But that did not happen. So one and two day
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: yesterday not exactly what I wanted. I think my handicapping
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: was there though some of the leans I gave out
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: on the show hit what can you do? Move on today,
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: as you always have to do. We're gonna talk about
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: baseball and WNBA here today WNBA.
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: There's not a whole lot going on.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: LA is at Indiana and Indiana is down from seven
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: point favorite to a five and a half point favorite.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: I keep thinking Indiana's got to be in like a
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: letdown spot of some kind, because not only did they
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: just come off beating well, winning the Commissioner's Cup and
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: beating Minnesota, but they came back off of that and
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: they blew out the Vegas aces and they're doing this
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: without Caitlin Clark, which is even more crazy. But I
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, So I mean, it seems like they
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: should be in a huge letdown spot here, right. But
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: I think I would like the idea of fading them
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: more if Caitlyn Clark was coming back, which she is
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: still not coming back today. So that's kind of why
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: the line has dropped a little bit again on Indiana,
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: because if she was playing, it would probably be maybe
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: they'd be like an eight point favorite. Eight and a
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: half point favorite here or something like that. I still
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: think it's a spot where either you had got to
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: play La or Faye or past the game.
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, because I mean Indiana.
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: I mean they still have to be in a major
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for two really huge wins like that.
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: So that's really the only way I would look at
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: But I think it would be stronger if you were
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: fading them with Caitlyn Clark coming back, because I was
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: talking about the reverse injured player spot where when that
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: star player comes back, it takes them a little while
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: to get back into the rotation. When they come back,
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: the line has to move to account for the fact
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: that they are coming back. So usually it is a
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: fade spot, but I think Indiana is still in a
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: fade spot today as well. I'm not going to give
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: it out as a play, but it is a lean
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: LA in their last game played at New York and
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: actually played somewhat tough, I guess, losing by ten. I
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: mean they're winning the game into the second half, so
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: kind of a situation where I don't exactly want to
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: play on La here because they were within five points
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: in the final like a few minutes of that game,
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: so they were not out of that game against the Liberty,
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: so they played a pretty tough game as well.
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: So I'll stay away.
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: And I'm not gonna give out a play in Golden
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: State at Minnesota either.
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: Golden State, I mean, they've.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: Been actually playing well, but maybe playing a little bit
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: better than they actually are in Minnesota, of course, might
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: be the best team in the league at this point.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a bounce back win after they lost
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: that Commissioner's Cup game. Maybe they just took it like
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: maybe they took it too easy, expecting they would have
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: an easy time beating a clerkless Indiana and that did
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: not happen. They bounced back nicely with a win over Washington,
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: just staying at home. But other than that, I mean,
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: it's really tough to get a read on this game.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: Golden State's coming off just a monster blowout of Seattle though,
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: which was also an upset, so I would still probably
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: kind of lean towards Minnesota in that game. I don't
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: think Golden State can really sustain an effort like that,
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: man against a team that's definitely better than they are
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: in Minnesota laying nine and a half, that's really all
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: I have to say about WNBA though, Joe, what's up man?
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: Thank you sir, Thanks for hanging out man. Hope you're
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: doing well as well. All right, major League Baseball. Here,
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out two baseball plays, and I'll give
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: out what kind of my feelings are some of my
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: leans on these.
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: Usually this takes way too.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: Long because I go over every single game autistically, so
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: maybe I could somehow do it more quickly, but we
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: will see. The first game up is difficult to read
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: because we have Tampa.
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: Bay at Minnesota.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: Of course, I gave out Tampa as the play yesterday
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: with Minnesota on the return home spot. Probably should have
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: gotten there with Tampa Bay up three to one in
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: the seventh. You're not gonna lose that game that often,
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: especially with a decent bullpen against a bat offense, a
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: low scoring game like that, You're not gonna lose that
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: one very often.
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: But that was a loser coming into this game.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: I still prefer Tampa Bay's bullpen man in Minnesota's bullpen
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: still has not really been doing that well, even though
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: they did wind up having the.
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: Upper hand in the game yesterday.
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: They actually used some of their relievers yesterday more than
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: Tampa did, so I still lean towards Tampa having the
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: bullpen edge. Tampa has todged Bradley on the mound as
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: their starter today. He hasn't been having a good season
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: though four point seven to nine ERA, one point three whip.
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: He's been better on the road though the three point
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: nine to five roadyra on the month of June just
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: walking too many guys Man twenty five to eleven strikeout
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: walk ratio five point seven to two ERA, although his
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: last couple of starts he only walked one a piece
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: in three straight starts actually, although one of those games
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: he got wrecked by Baltimore, so that game wasn't exactly good,
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: and then he did not bounce back really against Baltimore
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: the next time and they knocked him around again. So
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: I don't trust Bradley man because really his only good
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: start that he's had in the last four or five
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: starts was against a weak Kansas City lineup, So I
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: just don't want anything to do with him. Man against Minnesota,
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: he does have good numbers though in seventy two at bats,
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: Minnesota not a very prolific offense.
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: He's sell them to a two O waight average six.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: Seventy one ops seventeen to three strike out walk ratio.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: And Minnesota does not have a starter listed here, which
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: if we look at pregame they don't have it listed either,
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: So we don't know what is gonna happen with Minnesota.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: They're either gonna call somebody back up like it might
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: wind up being like Zebi Matthews, I really don't even know,
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: or they're going with a bulp end game, and I
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: think that's really not what you want with Minnesota. See,
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: if they're going with a bullpend game, I would have
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: to kind of lean to Tampa Bay with at least
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: an actual starter on the mound and probably the better
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: of the two bullpends. So it's a slight lean there.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: Tampa's already dropped from minus one thirty one to minus
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: one twenty two, though Tampa getting a lot of respect
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: in the market being road fit here on Minnesota at
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: the very least is better at home with a winning
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: home record, although Tampa has been good on the road,
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: Tampa has a winning road record as well, So again,
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: very difficult game to read. Andrew, what's up man? Did
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: the Angels lose yesterday?
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: Yes?
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: I believe they did right the Angels. Their bullpen is terrible.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: Yeah they lost in extra innings actually to a very
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: hot Toronto team. I forgot who they were playing, but yes,
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: the Angels lost hard. R R.
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: What's up man?
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: A nice BK BK guy Avatar there, sir, baseball. It's
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: fun to attend in person, man, it was more fun
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: back when I used to be a drinker. But it's
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: fun anyway, man, And you get to hang out with
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: a bunch of crazy drunken fans basically, especially if you
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: get like cheap seats and you're out in the bleachers whatever.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: But yeah, it's fun to attend a game.
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: It's going there's nice weather out, you know. It's a
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: nice way to spend the day. I like baseball myself, though.
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: It's been like my favorite sports since I was a kid,
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: because I just always liked the statistical aspect of it,
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: where everything was just like discreet, like, oh, this at
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: bat can only result in a certain number of possible outcomes.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: And I always liked the statistical aspect of it. Uh
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean I have fun at the games, man.
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: I haven't been to a game this year, though usually
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: I get out to at least one or two games
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: a year at this point, but have not done it
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: this year.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: In Boston.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: I usually go to Fenway Park at least once Fenway
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: pac kid Saint Louis at Chicago and Chicago. Even though
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: they were in a bad spot with no rest yesterday,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: they still absolutely wrecked Saint Louis yesterday, eleven to three.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis playing some really bad baseball right now. Miles
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: Michelas gave up six home runs in the game yesterday,
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: really really ridiculous. But coming up of that, maybe Saint
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Louis is gonna be pissed and want to bounce back.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, I thought Saint Louis was gonna be in
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: a good spot to refocus yesterday.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: It didn't happened.
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: But I mean, there's only so much you can do
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: when you have one of your weaker starters on the mound. Today,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: they do not have a weaker starter on the mound,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: which I'll talk about in a second. They have one
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: of their better starters on the mound today. Yesterday, just
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: looking at the bullpen usage real quick, there wasn't a
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: whole lot of bullpen usage for either team. Cubs probably
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: have the better of the two bullpens, but both kind
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: of middling bullpens to be honest, so I think there's
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: not really an advantage one way or the other there.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: Libra Torre is pitching for Saint Louis today and he
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: is one of their better starters. Three point seven ERA,
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: one point one to six whip Home Road.
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: He's basically the same either way.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: He's been good recently as well, twenty to eight strike
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio in June, had a bad looking five
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: point one four ERA, but it was really because he
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: got inexplicably shelled by Kansas City after a bad start
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: against Toronto. After that, he has done well in his
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: last three starts, including against the Cubs, although he did
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: also face the White Sox in Cleveland and those are
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: not good offenses. But over his last three starts, I'm
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: bad except for the fact that he did walk five
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: guys against Cleveland, which is a little bit concerning. But
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: he did well against the Cubs, and that's a good offense,
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: so he was able to hold them. And check problem
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: with that is the Cubs now just saw him, so
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: the Cubs are gonna be a little bit more familiar
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: with in this timeout so that might help the Cubs
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: offense a little bit this time out, although Libratory in
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: general does have good numbers against the Cubs. In his
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: history forty seven at bats, he's sell them to a
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: two thirteen average, six twenty nine ohps, nine to five
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: strikeout walker ratio. It's too many walks, but historically he
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: has done well against the Cubs, even though their offense
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: is pretty good, and the Cubs are going with a
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: bullpen game man, So.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: I think this does not exactly look great for the Cubs. Here.
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: Drew Palmerans is listed as their starter.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, he has a zero ERA this year though, Man,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: and a point nine whip at thirty six years old.
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: But he's been coming out of the bullpenal though it's
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: still pretty ridiculous that he has a zero ERA in
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: twenty three and a third in he's pitched. He's been
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: pitching well, but again, he only pitches in short stints,
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: so you're probably gonna get one inning out of him
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: and then they're gonna turn it over to the bullpen.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: They might bring in like a long relief guy to
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: try to chew up some innings, but to me, it
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: doesn't look that great for Chicago here, man, So I'm
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be leaning towards Saint Louis again here, even
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: though they've been playing bad, bad baseball and the Cubs
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: are actually up for minus one sixteen to minus one
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: forty seven year, despite the fact that it looks like
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: they're going with a bullpend game, which really doesn't make
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: any sense to me. Eighty percent of tickets, eighty seven
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash money coming in on the Cubs.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: I just can't really see a reason to agree with that, man.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: I think Libratore is preferable over a Cubs bullpen game.
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, that would be my opinion. It's not gonna
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: be a play that I recommend. The total is way
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: up too, so we might we must have like wind
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: blowing out at Wrigley Field, because this is like a
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: cores Field total here, man, from ten and a half
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: to eleven, even though Libratore a pretty good pitcher.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: That is a high high total.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: Seventy percent of tickets only fifty cash on the over though,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: so it looks like some of the money might be
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: coming back on the side of the under there. I
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: wouldn't want to deal with the total though, because I
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: could potentially see both teams putting up some runs in
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: this game. So I'm I'm not gonna I'm not gonna
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: recommend anything on that game, except that I do have
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: a slight lean to Saint Louis in my opinion, especially
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: in the first five NHL. Uh. Well, I mean, I'm
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: a Boston fan, so I am a Bruins fan, but
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure I would say they're worth watching because
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: they've been bad over the last year, so they were
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: fun to watch prior to this past year. Though, Bruins
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: are always like a physical team, so they're always pretty
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: fun to watch. I mean, unfortunately, I would probably say
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: Florida is actually fun to watch, even though I can't
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: stand Ka Chuck and I can't stand the fact they
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: knocked the Bruins out two years in a row. But
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: they play like kind of a more physical style and
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: they have a really good like defense and golt and
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: next they're pretty fun to watch. They got Brad Meyershaw
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: now in their team. He's coming back next year again.
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: It looks like so maybe Florida, where do you live hard,
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: Maybe maybe you should get into your local team, man,
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: But I tend to not like the like finesse teams,
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: the pussy teams, which I would kind of classify the
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: Oilers as a team like that, where they're more just
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: all scoring and they don't play physical.
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: I like the more physical teams. Man.
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: And this year we're gonna have Utah is finally changing
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: their name over from the Utah Hockey Club, which they
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: were for one year, which is a hilarious name, to
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: be honest, they're changing it to I believe they're gonna
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: be the Mammoth. So the Utah Mammoth the new team,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna have some pretty sick branding.
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: At least.
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: You're in England interesting, all right, So it's uh, it's
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: already like getting into the late afternoon.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: Where you are there.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: Well, so you probably don't want to roof for Boston then, right,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: because we we fought you guys off man, we we
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: we revolted against the British. So I don't know, maybe
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: you do, maybe you do want Boston though, I mean
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Boston as far as like cities go in you know,
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: in America, Boston is like one of the most European
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: looking cities, at least in the old section of Boston,
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: like the North End. It stuffn't Maybe you do, or
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: maybe because you're European you want to root for one
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: of the gay Canadian teams.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: Maybe maybe you want to root for Montreal, who are
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: are one of our nemesies. Montreal is actually kind of
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: fun to watch right now, though, because they're kind of
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: a young, rebuilding team. I don't know who else do
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: I kind of like in hockey? I don't even really know, man.
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: I don't really have.
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: Many allegiances besides the Bruins in hockey, so it's hard
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: for me to pick like a team that's not the
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: Bruins and be like, oh, yeah, like I like this
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: this other particular team because I really don't have another
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: team that I feel that way about. So I don't
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: really know, man, It's difficult. Although I will say Winnipeg,
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: even though they're a Canadian team, Winnipeg was kind of
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: fun to watch this year, and they have a really
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: good goaltender, hell A Book if he comes back. They
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: do play kind of a more defensive style and they
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: improve their offense, so they're probably the least egregious of
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: the Canadian teams at least all right, Anaheim, here you go,
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: Andrew Anaheim Angels lost in extra innings yesterday against Toronto.
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: Again.
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: I will obviously point out that Toronto has the better bullpence.
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: That's one thing you gotta keep in mind here. Jack
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: Kohanowitz is pitching for the Angels. Probably not a good
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: thing for them. Five point four to four ERA, one
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: point five to six whip. He's been pretty bad both
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: home and away. It doesn't really matter. He's not pitching
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: well recently either. Six point three to one ERA and
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: six starts in June twenty one to eleven strikeout walk ratio.
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: This guy, I mean, he's not getting the job done.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: I kind of thought that he was gonna be a
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: decent pitcher because he has decent breaking stuff. He's a
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: tall pitcher. Seemed like it was gonna be kind of
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: difficult to figure out, like his arm angles. But that
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: is not really bad in the case. He's been pretty
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: good against Toronto, but in a very low, very small
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: sample size, I should say, fourteen at bats held him
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: to a two to fourteen average four twenty nine oh ps.
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: So at least Kohanowitz has done well against Toronto in
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: the past. He's going up against future Hall of Fame
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: er Max Schurzer, though, who only has pitched a few
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: times so far this year four point eight five R
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: but a pretty good one point one five whip. He's
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: been a little bit better at home four point five R,
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: but very small sample size so far. He's only made
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: three starts he came back from injury, and he's made
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: two starts since then, gonna exactly five innings in each,
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: eleven strikeouts, three walks, didn't walk anybody last time out
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: against the Yankees. It's a pretty good sign that shurs
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: Are just had a pretty decent start against the Yankees.
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: Good strikeout rate, seven strikeouts in five innings, didn't walk anybody,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: only gave up three hits touring runs. So shures Are
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: seems like he is on track and pitching pretty effectively,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: stepping down in class to face this Anaheim offense that
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: really isn't that good. In eighty at bats he has
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: a big sample size against me as a ridiculous thirty
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: three to zero strikeout walk ratio against them.
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: You usually don't see something like that. Man. Ridiculously hi
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: k rate and no walks in that amount of at
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: bats is really ridiculous.
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: He's tell them there are two twelve average and seven
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: to thirteen ops. So obviously Surezer has to have the
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: upper hand here man, even though we don't really know if.
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: He's totally back yet.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: It would probably be Toronto or Pass for me in
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: this game, because I think they have the better start
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: or the better bullpen here. They're sitting at minus one
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: point eighty and probably deservedly so Anaheim also, as I
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: keep pointing out, like their record looks pretty decent, but
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: they are a lot worse than the record would indicate.
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: Their run differential is bad.
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: They're like minus forty or so runs on the season,
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: meaning that their opponents have outscored them by that many
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: runs over the course of the season.
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: So they are gonna regress record wise.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: U seventy six percent tickets, ninety one percent of the
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: cash coming in on Toronto, so Toronto looks like they
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: are taking some of the money. The one thing I
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: will say about Toronto though, I mean, yeah, they're hot
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: right now. So if you like playing on a hot
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: team to continue that streak.
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's one thing.
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: But I thought they were gonna suffer a letdown after
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: a crazy sweep against the Yankees. They're two games ahead
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: of the Yankees after the Yankees lost again yesterday. So
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: at some point the letdown you'd think is gonna come
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: into play at some point for Toronto here may not
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: be here though, just because I do think they have
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: a big matchup advantage here, so I would not want
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: to fade them in that spot. A. Yes, I already
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: showed that comment. Yes England, Yes, all right. Boston my
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: Red Sox at Washington played an early game yesterday and
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: Gilito pitched really well for the Red Sox yesterday. Red
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: Sox had a blowout win yesterday, I think eleven to
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: two Washington not very good. Red Sox. Some of their
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers who have been bashing of all started pitching
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: a lot better, especially Giolito's in pitching really well.
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: Bao has at least been pitching a little bit better.
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: One pitcher though, that I don't think is gonna be
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: pitching any better and definitely is not, is Walker Bueller.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: And that's who the Red Sox at pitching today. I
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: don't think this guy should even still have a job
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: at this point, man. I mean, I keep pointing out
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: this guy has never been good since he had like
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: that multiple Tommy John surgeries or whatever. He has not
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: been any good for years now since then, so I
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: don't know why the Red Sox acquired him.
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: He sucks.
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: He has a six point four or five ERA, one
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: point five to eight whip, terrible numbers this year, even
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: more egregious on the road, an absurd nine point four
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: to nine roady ra. He's been awful recently, eleven point
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: oh seven ERA in the month of June, with a
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: seventeen seventeen strike out walk ratio, seven home runs allowed
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: allowed at least one in every single start. I mean,
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: it doesn't get much worse than these numbers, man, Every
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: single thing about these numbers is just horrific. He didn't
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: even go past four innings in every start but one,
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: and the only start that he won against Tampa in June.
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: Every other start the Red Sox lost, and he didn't
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: even make it past four innings in any of them. Obviously,
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: Bueller not pitching well at all. His numbers against Washington
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: are actually not bad though in thirty one at bats
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: he sell them a two to fifty eight average six
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: thirty six ohps seven to one strike a walk ratio.
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: But can we trust Bueller at all with the way
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: that he's pitching right now, Bueller, I would say, no,
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: we cannot. He's up against Mitchell Parker, who hasn't been
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: doing that great either. Four point six y three ERA,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: one point three to five whip. He's better at home
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: though three point seven eight home ERA. He's been better
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: than Bueller recently, at least so the four point six
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: ERA in the month of June twenty two to ten
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio. It's still too many walks over
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: his last couple of starts, a four to five strike
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: a walkcker ratio is not good, but his team did
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: win both of those starts. He went at least five
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: innings in both of them and allowed exactly three runs
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: in each. So Parker is at least kind of pitching
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: more respectably than Bueller is, and the Red Sox have
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: actually never faced him. So when you get a young
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: guy like this that has okay stuff, a lot of
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: times they can fool the opposing hitters early on because
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: the opposing hitters don't know what to expect out of them.
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: So I think you got to lean to Washington in
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: this game, or not play the game. I'm not recommending
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: this as a play, but I think that's probably the
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: lean that I would have Bueller.
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, I just don't see any reason to like
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: this guy.
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: Though the Red Sox have fifty three percent of the tickets,
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: it's sixty two percent of the cash, So the money
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: looks like it is coming in on the Red Sox,
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: which is crazy. Washington down for minus one fifteen to
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: minus one oh seven. If you do like Washington, it's
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: a pretty cheap price on Washington. I just don't know
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: if we can necessarily trust Parker, and you know, Washington's
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: bulk and is terrible, So if you do like Washington,
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: maybe you limit it to the first five innings on
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: the money line there might make more sense. The total
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: is pretty high as well, up from nine and a
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: half to ten, which kind of makes sense expecting both
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: starters to maybe not be that great. And of course
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: Washington's bullpens specifically is bad. Red Sox bullpen pretty mediocre,
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: so I could see an over happening in this game
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: as well, even though I know yesterday's game was high
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: scoring as well. Eighty eight percent of tickets eighty four
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over, so it looks
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: like the money is kind of disagreeing with the over
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: a little bit, and both bullpens didn't get a lot
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: of usage yesterday. But probably that's the way that I
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: would look based on those starting pitchers. You know, you
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: don't want to over way the starting pitchers, like weigh
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: them too heavily, but it is what it is, man,
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, they still do have to factor into a
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: pretty large extent. Cincinnati my only win that I gave
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: out on the show yesterday at Philadelphia. Of course, Cincinnati
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: got the win yesterday. Neither bullpen is very good. Both
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: bullpens had to get used yesterday, so both bullpens are
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: in a pretty bad spot here.
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: Nick Loduhl is gonna be pitching for Cincinnati.
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: Three point five to two ERA, one point one five
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: whip pretty good numbers. He's actually better on the road
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: as well, with a two point three to one road ERA.
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: He's been okay over the last month or so. In June,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati won four of his five starts twenty five to six,
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio a little bit high four point six
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: eighty RA though, mostly because he had one weird bad
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: start against Cleveland.
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: But since then he's been pretty good along two or
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: fewer earned.
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: Runs and three straight starts, so that he didn't make
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: it five innings against the Yankees, but was still at
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: least effective.
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: When he was in there.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: Has okay numbers against Philadelphia seventy six at bats, two
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: sixty three average, seven to twenty ops, twenty seven to
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: seven strike out walk ratio. Philadelphia a very good offense.
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: Ludolo has done okay against them, but he's up against
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: ron Your Suarez, who's really having a good season to
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: ERA one whip of nice even numbers there on those.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: Suarez a little bit worse at home though, or signific
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: deificantly worse actually three point three four home ERA.
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: But he is in really good for him right now.
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: He had a one point three ERA in June, thirty
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: six to seven strike out walk ratio. He's only given
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: up more than one ear and run once going all
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: the way back to mid May, which is crazy. So
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: Suare is definitely in good form right now. Not a
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: guy that I would want to fade right now, even
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: like based on his career stats, as I talked about
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: last year, he had a hot start to last season.
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: I was like, oh, he's gonna regress a little bit,
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: which he did, but he is pitching really well right now,
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: and I see no reason I think that's gonna not
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: continue at this point. Good numbers against the Reds as
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: well in twenty at bats two hundred average allowed, no
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: extra base hits, five point thirty three oh ps, five
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: to four strike out walk ratio is not great, but
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: all the rest of his number is very good. U
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: So I think Philly probably in a bounce back spot
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: after losing yesterday. I think they have the better starting
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: pitcher on the mound. Slight lean to Philly here, throw
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: up for my one sixty five one to sixty nine.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: There are the better team with the better offense, even
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: though they're bullpend probably not as good, but Cincinnati's bullpen
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: isn't good either. Eighty nine percent to take is ninety
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash coming in on Philly, So
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: it does look like even though they're public, the money
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: seems to be kind of agreeing with the public.
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: In this case, I don't really disagree with it. The
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: money coming into the over as well.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: Total is flip from eight and a half juice to
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: the over to eight and a half juice to the
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: excuse me, from the juice to the under.
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: To juice to the over.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: Fifty two percent take is ninety seven percent of the
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: cash coming into the over. I don't know that I
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: would agree with that necessarily. I mean, you are getting
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: at least the benefit of the bullpends not being in
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: good shape, so at least that does help for the over.
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: But Suarez looks like he's probably gonna deal in this game,
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: So I would be hesitant to look towards an over
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: in that game for that reason. If you do, you
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: gotta go full game because you definitely want to include
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: the bullpens in that one if you do that. And
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: by the way, OPS, because I never really specify OPS
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: is on base percent plus slugging percentage, so basically it
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: factors in walks and extra base hits. Basically as far
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: as like how well is this hit bat or really
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: batting right against this pitcher? Like it's not just batting average,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: includes is this guy drawing walks?
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: Is he hitting it hard? You know? And getting extra
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: base hits.
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: So it's a decent metric to look at Baltimore at Atlanta.
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: Baltimore actually got the win yesterday with Charlie Morton on
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: the mound, a game I talked about yesterday. Morton's still
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: pitching pretty well, crazy to think about, and pitched well
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: against the team that got rid of him, and maybe
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: Baltimore actually is the upper hand in this game too,
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: even though I really do not like Baltimore's bulp and
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: bad bullpen, but Atlanta's bullpen's not terrific and Atlanta is
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: going with a bulp end game here, So if you
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: do like Baltimore, I mean, I don't necessarily hate a
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: full game play on this. Dan Kreamer is pitching for Baltimore,
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: and I like to you know, I like to trash
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: this guy.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: He's not very good.
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: Four point two seventy RA, one point two to nine
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: whip umbers are getting better. Yes, he's been worse on
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: the road, significantly worse, so you do have to worry
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: about that. Five point four nine and roadyra not good,
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: but his recent pitching has actually been good. In June
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: last five starts three point three ERA twenty seven to
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: seven strike out walk ratio, he actually has been pitching well,
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: and he's allowed one or fewer eared runs in his
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: last three starts with good strike out walk numbers as well.
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: What is that seventeen to four strike a walk ratio
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: of those including a decent start against the Yankees, two
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: starts against Tampa, so maybe he just matches up well
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: against Tampa. But Creamer is pitching a little bit better
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: right now. Numbers against the Braves are not that great though,
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: in twenty two at bats a pretty high three eighteen
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: average although a mediocre seven eighteen ops, hasn't allowed any
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: extra base hits and two strikeouts three walks. So overall, Creamer,
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, he is pitching well right now, and I
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: think he's probably the better way to look over Aaron
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: Bummer being listed as a starter for Atlanta. Let me
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: just make sure that's actually accurate, is it? Uh? Yeah,
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: So Atlanta's going with a bullpend game here man. Bummer
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: does have good numbers two point eight sixty RA a
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: one point one to eight whip. But I think it
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: might be a bummer to the Atlanta fans here man,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: because you know, he's not gonna go more than like
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: a couple of innings here, probably, which is what he's
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: been doing because he's been a relief pitcher all year.
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: So he's probably just gonna open the game, throw a
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: couple of innings, and then Atlanta's going with the bullpend.
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: So Atlanta's bullpen's gonna be in this game early.
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: Sometimes the bullpen game can work, and it can throw
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: off an opposing offense because they have to keep facing
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: different pictures and they can't get used to every picture,
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: especially in an inter league game where they're not as
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: familiar with some of these pictures. But I'm still not
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: sure that I love it.
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that I love Creamer either, So I'm
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: kind of leaning towards an over in this game more
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: than anything else. It total is down from ten to nine,
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: but we do see sixty three percent of the tickets
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: eighty on the under, but eighty four percent of the
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: cash in the over money actually coming in on Atlanta,
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: which I don't really agree with. Up for one twenty
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: seven to minus one fifty ticket, seventy four percent of
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on Atlanta, so they are taking
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: the money. The one thing I will say is that
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: Atlanta is probably still better than their bad record looks,
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: and they are a bit better at home, I'm pretty sure,
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: So at least you have that going forward if you
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: like Atlanta.
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: I'm I'm just old school man. I don't like bullpen games.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, obviously you got to adapt to what is
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: happening in baseball now. But I still don't love bullpen games,
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: and Atlanta's bullpen's not that great. But the money looks
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: like it's disagreeing with that, but it looks like it
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: is agreeing with the over, So I think it over
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: could make sense in that one. Maybe Creamer still won't
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: do that well here, even though he's been in decent
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: form Milwaukee at Miami. I'm gonna give out a play
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: on this one. I know the price is getting a
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: bit high, especially for a road team here on Milwaukee
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: as an under as a road favorite, excusing it minus
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: one forty two, but I think you got I mean,
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: I think they have every advantage in this game, man,
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: even including in the bullpen, where Milwaukee doesn't have a
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: good bullpen, but Miami's is one of the few that's
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: even worse than Milwaukee's is. So I like Milwaukee wherever
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: it is here. I like the pitching match for where
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: the hell are they? I'm looking at Interleague right now
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: here they are a Milwaukee up for minus one thirty
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: five to minus one thirty eight on the money coming
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: in against them, which is worrying.
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: Me a little bit.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: Seventy seven percent of tickets, only fifty four percent of
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: the cash.
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: You can probably get better.
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: You could probably get probably get a better number on
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee right now.
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: The minus one forty two.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: I don't like that the public is fading Milwaukee here,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: but I think it's a spot to play Milwaukee.
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: Here, man. I mean, Miami not a good team.
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: Their hot streak is kind of over after these last
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: couple of losses. They lost in dramatic fashion yesterday against
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: the Brewers. I mean the Brewers are fighting right now, man,
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: I mean they're in the playoff hunt right now.
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: Miami.
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: I know Miami was fighting to kind of get back
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: on track, but I don't think Miami thinks they're going
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: anywhere here on. Milwaukee did use some of their higher
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: leverage relief pitchers yesterday. Worries me a little bit, but
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, Island's bullpen's not good, man, and they use
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: a couple of their better relievers too, So I'm still
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: kind of okay with going with Milwaukee here full game.
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: You could also go first five innings.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: I think that's fine, but I like the starting pitching
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: matchup man with Chad Patrick. I mean he's kind of
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: getting overlooked, especially because miss Yerowski is there now. But
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: Patrick is having a decent rookie season three point five
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: to one ERA, one point three to two WHIP. Yeah,
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: he's been worse on the road four point four ERA,
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: but the Marlins have a pretty pitcher friendly park and
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: he has him pitching decently as of late, with a
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: really high strikeout right thirty six strikeouts and twenty six
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: innings over June. I know, Milwaukee lost every one of
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: his starts that is concerned, and they lost five straight
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: starts of his His walk number is too high eleven walks,
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: but it's kind of gone down a little bit over
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: his last three starts where he has a twenty two
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: to five strikeout walk ration and win at least five
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: innings and all those starts, so that's a little bit
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: less concerning, especially with nine strikeouts eight strikeouts in the
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: last two games, even though they were against bad offenses
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh in Colorado. But guess what, Miami is also a
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: bad offense in Miami has never seen Patrick.
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: And when you have a young.
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: Guy that could strike hitters out like this and the
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: hitters have never seen that pitcher before, I like going
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: with that young starting pitcher man that has good stuff
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: against the hitters that have to figure him out. So
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go with Chad Patrick here. He's up against
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: cal Quantra, who's been around for a long time. Five
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: point four to two ERA, one point four to one whip.
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: He's obviously the inferior of the two pitchers. Yes, he
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: is a little bit better at home, but four point
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: nine one ERA still is not great. He's been very
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: mediocre recently. Yes, Miami has won his last three starts
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: four point five sixty RA in June over five starts
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: eighteen to six strike a walk ratium.
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: And yeah, he actually pitched okay in those.
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: Starts, including against Philadelphia and Arizona, so he did face
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: some good offenses. When Milwaukee is also a good offense,
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: that is a huge advantage that Milwaukee has in this game.
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: They have a way better offense in Milwaukee has been
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: one of the best scoring teams on the road this year.
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: Some Milwaukee has been a good team to play on
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: the road, so we get that advantage as well. Quantrell
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: I just don't think he can keep this up, man,
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: And in two of those last three starts he didn't
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: even make it five innings. So quandrill doesn't get you
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: deep into the game. It's almost certain Miami's bullpen's gonna
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: be in this game, and they might be the first
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: bullpen to come into the game. And they're not a
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: very good bullpen, so that's gonna help. If that's the case.
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go with Milwaukee in this game.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: Man. I just think I like playing on these young
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: pitchers that haven't been seen before in some of these cases,
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: I don't love fading the market. Reading well, though, let
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: me look up. Let's see what Action Network is telling
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: me about this one. I mean Action Network might also
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: be kind of in disagreement on this one too, man,
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: But I just think it's a pitching mismatch, man, And
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: when I see that, I'm like, yeah, I kind of
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: just want to just jump in on it. Sometimes maybe
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: I just don't have any control.
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: Action Network is showing the money going against Milwaukee as well,
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: so again I am a little bit worried about that.
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: But sometimes I fade the market and I do well.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna go with Milwaukee at a money line price,
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: or if you want to go run line, I think
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: that's fine as well. Nancy, Thanks for hanging out what's
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: up everybody's xerox?
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: Yeah, thanks for hanging out.
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be another long video man trying to
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: go through all these baseball games here. I'm taking some
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: risks today, I think with a couple of these plays.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: Here we have the Subway Series New York, New York. Here,
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: the Mets took game one yesterday. I believe the Mets
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: did use a lot of their bullpen in this game though,
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: And of course I'm not crying about the Yankees losing,
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: so actually the Yankees used more of their bullpen, so
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: my mistake. The Mets actually got a decent amount of
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: innings from Hagenman yesterday, so the Mets bullpend in better
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: shape here. And even though they've been struggling recently, the
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: Mets bullpen probably is still the better one over the
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: Yankees bullpen. They're both mediocre bullpens. Starting pitcher probably.
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: Goes to New York. Well, New York, they're both New York.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: Probably goes to the Yankees here though, where I think
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: Redon is the better of the two starterists here. I mean,
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: I don't think I'm going out on a limb there.
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: Two point nine to five ERA one whip for Redon
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: two point six seventy r in the road.
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: He's been quite good on the road over the last month.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: His walk numbers are pretty bad though, three point seven
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: to one ERA pretty good, but thirty three to eleven
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio is not that great, and the
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: Yankees were kind of struggling in his games man They
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: only won two of the six games he started, so
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: Redon is starting to pitch a little bit less well, although.
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: He is having a good season.
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: Matts have a good offense, a Redon kind of mediocre
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: numbers against them, and seventy five at bats two fifty
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: three average pretty good, but seven eighty seven opens not
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: as good, sixteen to nine strike a walk ratio not
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: really that good, and he's given up four home runs
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: to them. Lindor has two of the four, even though
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: he's only ten for thirty eight four to four strike
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio for lind'or. So maybe player prop potential
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: with Lindor still on that one. I like hits plus
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: runs pus RBIs if you do player props, because the
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: walk still count for something. Potentially, if you do that,
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: you can still get a runner an RBI. So Radon
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: maybe not the best team for him to be facing here,
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: and he's not really in the best form right now,
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: but he's going up against Frankie Montas, so I don't
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: really like six ERA one point five to six with
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: He hasn't pitched a lot this year, though he does
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: have a zero ERA at home, but he's only made
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: like three starts so far, actually two starts, excuse me,
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: and the Mets have lost both of those starts. He
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: gave up zero runs to Atlanta in the first start,
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: but last start he got wrecked by Pittsburgh, which is
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: not a good sign. Giving up six runs to Pittsburgh.
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: Even though he does have a ten to four streke
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio, that is still too many walks. So
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: though he only walked one guy against Pittsburgh, but you
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: give up six runs to Pittsburgh, that's not a good sign.
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: Although Montas somehow.
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: Actually has good numbers in his career against the Yankees,
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: in forty two at bats, he's on to a one
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: to ninety average, six ninety six ops, fourteen to six
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: streke a walk ratio. I just don't think the Montas
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: is really in good format, and I actually think neither
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: pitcher is in great form here. So I'm kind of
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: looking over as the way to look at this game. Uh,
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent of tickets, only fifty three percent of
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: the ASH on the over though the total kind of
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: going on the money kind of coming in on the under.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: As far as it's total under nine here, I don't
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: really agree with that. I could see this game going
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: over again here. I mean, I don't love the situation
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: for either bullpen. I don't think either starting pitcher is
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: really that great coming into this. The money is also
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Mets. By the way, Yankees. You're
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: always pretty much paying its acts for the Yankees, and
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: they're a road favorite here. I think probably the sentiment
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: is that, well, even though Montas isn't that good, he
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: does match up decently against the Yankees. Potentially, it looks
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: like at least historically, and I think probably the feeling
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: from the professional betters is just that the Mets are
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: still a pretty good team, man, and they really just
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: shouldn't be an underdog like this at home. Eighty three
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only seventy eight percent of the ASH
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: on the Yankees, who are down minus one forty to
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty five on the money line. So it
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: does look like the Mets are a fade the public
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: play in that game. I'm not gonna recommend to play
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: on it though, Hinchy, what's up? Thanks everybody for hanging
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: out hard again. Yes, thanks everybody. All right, we got
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: Kansas City at Arizona. Kansas City actually scored runs yesterday
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: and won the game nine to three. Arizona bad stretch
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: of their last three games, and Arizona They're pitching is bad,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: Their bullpen is bad. Things are not looking good for
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: Arizona right now. Kansas City very clearly has the better
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: bullpend here as far as the starting pitching, maybe not
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: as much of an advantage though Michael walk I mean,
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: he has been consistent three point six two ERA, one
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: point two six went for Kansas City. He's been worse
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: on the road though, four point five to three roadyr.
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: And he's facing a good Arizona offense, because at least
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: Arizona still has a good offense and this is a
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: very friendly park in Arizona.
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: Walka had a five point four.
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: ERA in June, which is not very good, but a
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: twenty five to eight strike at walk Ratio isn't that bad.
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: But he's been giving him a lot of hard hits.
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: He gave up six home runs over those five starts.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: Kansas City lost four of the five athough, of course
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: they can't hit, so that's one part of the problem.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: But Waka did give up three or more runs and
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: all but one of those starts. That is a little
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: bit concerning, And he faced some kind of mediocre to
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: bad offenses during that stretch. So Waka doesn't look like
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: he's in the greatest form right now, and his numbers
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: are not good against Arizona. In eighty nine at bats,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: a three point fifteen average allowed, eight thirty eight ops,
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: seventeen to four strike a walk ratio is pretty good,
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: but Arizona hits him hard, and especially Suarez. Suarez does
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: most of the damage player prop potential there for sure,
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: fifteen to thirty six, three doubles, two of them run,
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: seven RBIs, three walks, seven strikeouts, walk them. I just
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: don't think matches up particularly well. Ryan Nelson is pitching
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: for Arizona, and I keep bashing this guy, but he's
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: pitching well. So I don't know what to do with
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: this guy. Three point six to one ERA, one point
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: oh two whip. He's actually pitching well. He's been better
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: at home too, with a two point three to three ERA,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: so he has the advantage of the splits here. Over
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: the last month three point nine one ERA. Arizona won
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: his last four starts twenty four to ten strike a walker,
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: he show's definitely too many walks. But he hasn't pitching well
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: in his last four starts. He's allowed two or fewer
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: earned runs in all four against some not great offenses,
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: but a couple of ok offenses San Diego, Toronto and
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: then bad offenses in the White Sox and the Giants.
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: But he is pitching well, and of course the Royals
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: are a bad offense. But Nelson's numbers against the Royals
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: in his history are really bad. In thirty two at bats,
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: he's a lot of four to thirty eight average to
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: them in nine eighty six ops. So if you're a
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: guy like me who is expecting Ryan Nelson to have
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: some sort of regression at some point based on his
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: career numbers, maybe it's gonna happen here. But he is
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: still young twenty seven, so it is still possible that
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: Nelson is just becoming a better picture. I find that
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: to be a little bit unlikely with Arizona though, because
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: it seems like Arizona is basically where pitchers are going
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: to die right now. So I don't know, but his
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: numbers are really bad against the Royals, even though the
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: Royals are.
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: A bad offense. So I'm probably looking over in this
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: game as well.
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: We have seventy nine percent of tickets and cash on
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: the over total up a little bit from eight and
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: a half to nine, probably the way that I would look,
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: and Arizona is taking some of the money. I don't
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: really disagree with that, just because Nelson is in better
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: current form than Waka is, and I think you do
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: have to weigh that somewhat significantly, seventy one percent of
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty nine percent of the cash on Arizona sitting
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: at minus one thirty five as a favorite their stacks,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: what's up? So those are my thoughts on that Arizona
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: game Detroit. Is that Cleveland. Cleveland obviously just playing some
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: bad baseball here.
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: They've lost eight games in a row, losing two to
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: one yesterday, close game, tough loss to a pretty good
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: Detroit team. I did mention I leaned under in this game.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: A lot of my leans yesterday were correct, Man. We
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: had a decent performance from both starters.
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: Yesterday.
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: Rees Olsen was a little bit limited coming back from injury,
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: although he was inefficient with his pitches, but still good
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: performance from him. But Detroit did have to use some
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: of their better relief pitchers yesterday. Detroit generally has the
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: better bullpend in my opinion over Cleveland, and I think
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: numbers wise that bears out as well. But Detroit did
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: us some of the better relievers. I still probably favored
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: Detroit's bullpen a little bit, but I don't like Casey Mize,
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: Detroit's starter here two point eight six ERA one point
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: two to one whip.
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: I know, what are you talking about? Toad?
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: His numbers are really good this year. Yeah, I know,
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: but just looking at his career stats man, he's twenty eight,
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: I just don't see how he can continue doing this.
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: He's the ra is worse on the road three point
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: five to nine. His numbers were pretty good in June, though,
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: I have to at two point nine three ERA twenty
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: four to seven strike a walk ratio over his last
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: few starts. He only watched one guy over the last
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: three starts. That's pretty good, and his team won all
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: three of them facing Pittsburgh and Minnesota, though, and Tampa
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: Bay is a decent offense, but Pittsburgh Minnesota are definitely not. Cleveland, however,
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: is not a good offense. Miz has kind of mediocre
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: numbers against him. In forty one at bats two forty
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: four average allowed is good, but in eight eighteen ops
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: he has eleven to seven strike a walk ratio that's
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: not good. But of course Santana has a ton of
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: those walks. He has six of them out of the seven.
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: Santana is a walk machine and he's been around for forever.
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: Jose Ramirez is three for five with two on runs
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: off of myes. But still it does mean that the
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: better hitters of Cleveland has have generally done some damage
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: against Mez and I don't think Mile is as good
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: as his numbers look, but he is in decent.
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: Form right now.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: So we have to take all that into account and
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: logan Allen is pitching for Cleveland and just looking at
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: what they've done this year, Yeah, Allen is the lesser
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: of the two pitchers here. Four point two seven ERA,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: one point four to nine whip is really bad. You
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: can't put one and a half guys on base an
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: inning and get away with it.
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: He's basically been similar home in a way it doesn't
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: really matter. Was basically similar in the month of June
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: two with a four point three four ERA and twenty
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: two to nine strike a walk ratio, allowing two, three
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: or four earned runs in every start. So again, you
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: kind of know what you're getting out of Allen. Like basically,
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: he's just consistently mediocre for the most part, although I
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: do expect for his whip that he should be allowing
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: more runs than he is. His numbers against Detroit are
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: not good and thirty seven at bats three twenty four
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: average allowed one thy, fifty three oh ps, six strikeouts,
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: seven walks.
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: That is bad.
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: Torklsen has done really well against him, three for six
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: with two doubles and a home run, a walk, no strikeouts.
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: I just don't think that even though it would be
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: a fade of the public to fade Detroit, I don't
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: mind fading Casey miz, but I do not want to
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: have anything to do with Lowan Allen. Hear him, Detroit's
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: down for mist one forty one thirty one, eighty seven
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, sixty percent of the cash. So the
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is going against Detroit fading the
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: public here, but I think the over is probably the
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: way to look in this game, even though I know
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: Detroit's bullpen is fairly good, but they did use some
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: of their better relievers.
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: I think both starters could struggle here.
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: I know Cleveland's offense is terrible, but over makes sense
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: to me in this one total offerm eight and a
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: half to nine here, So some significant money coming in
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: on the over market. Agreeing with me on that one
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of tickets eighty two percent of the
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: cash coming in on the over there, I probably agree
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: with that. Houston coming off blasting the Dodgers yesterday, Eighteen
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: to one was the final score in that game. The
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: Dodgers didn't use too much of their bullpend yesterday because
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: the game was completely out of hand, so they just
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: kind of, you know, just threw the game pretty much
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: and just get ready for the next one. Man, But
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: Dodgers are going to come into this game probably embarrassed
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: after that. I mean, any beats you eighteen to one,
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be pissed off. So initially that had me
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: thinking Dodgers seem like they might be the way to
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: look in this game, but looking at the starting pitching matchup,
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that I see it.
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: The Dodgers obviously have the way better offense than Houston,
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: so that is certainly something to factor in here. But
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: I think Houston, I mean, they have the better pitching
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: in general. They have the better starting pitcher here and
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen, and la is going with a bullpen
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: game here, I'm pretty sure. So you got to take
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: all that into account. Well, Houston actually has one of
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: their best starters out here. Houston has a few really
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: good starters. I mean Hunter Brown is their best. But
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: from ber Valdez is also doing really well, even though
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: he's fat two point seven to two ERA, one point
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: one to three whip, having a really good season, a
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: little bit worse on the road though, three point seven
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: to eight ERA, and he is facing a really tough
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: lineup to face.
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: But Houston has won ten straight starts that Valdez has made.
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: He's allowed two or fewer earned runs and nine of
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: the ten and then the other start he allowed three.
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: He is pitching well, although he started to walk more guys.
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: He had a one point seven four ERA in five
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: starts in June, which again Houston won every single one
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: of them, but thirty five to fifteen stragle walk ratio,
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: nice strikeout rate with the walk rate went up, although
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: he allowed no home runs over that entire span. He's
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: been very consistent at least, so I'm not gonna say
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: Valdez is in bad form, although his walk.
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: Numbers going up is a little bit of a concern.
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: But against the Dodgers, he actually has surprisingly good numbers,
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: and one hundred and seven at bats he sell him
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: to a really low one to fifty nine average against
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: this very talented offense, five eighty ops, thirty six to
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: twelve stradle walker ratios, too many walks, although Otani has
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: seven of those walks, but Otani hasn't hit him well.
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: Otani's five for thirty six off him, So Valdez has
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: stifled Otani in the past, which is a decent sign Valdez.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: I think he does match up pretty well here, man,
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: so I'm not ready to say that because of his
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: recent walk problems he's all of a sudden not.
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: Gonna do well at all.
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: I think he'll do okay here, and he's going up
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: against speaking of the devil, Otani is pitching for the
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: Dodgers year. What are we gonna get out of Otani?
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: I don't even know, man. He's made three starts so far,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: going a total of four innings. He has a two
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: point two five VR and one whip, which is obviously fine.
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: He's allowed one run I think, all over that span,
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: which was in his first outing. But he's not going
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: deep into games, man, They're just using him for a
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: few innings or sorry, one or two innings.
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: Actually, hold on, I gotta switch to his pitching here.
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: ESPN does not handle guys like Otani well here with
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: the UI guys that are pitchers and hitters. Of course,
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: Otani hasn't pitched in a couple of years, and he
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: just came back and started pitching. He's been okay, three
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: to one strike a walk ratio. He's made two to
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: one inning appearances and then a two winning appearance last
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: time out, but against a very bad Kansas City offense.
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: Houston's offense is a step up from Washington in Kansas
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: City in my opinion. But O'sanni. I mean, he's gonna
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: only probably pitch a couple innings here. Again, maybe they're
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: working him back. Maybe it'll go about three innings this time,
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: but still LA is gonna have to give way to
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: their bullpend here, and their bulpend isn't exactly the greatest really,
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, I kind of have a
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: lean to Houston in this one, just based on how
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: the matchup pans out. But the money looks like it's
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: kind of coming in in LA, even though they are
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: a little bit public. Sixty one percent tickets but seventy
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash coming in on them. They're
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: down for mine one fifty forty five. The one, I mean,
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: the couple of reasons, I mean, I already pointed everything out,
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: but a couple of reasons to lean LA would be
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: the bounce back spot after an embarrassing loss and Valdez
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: having his walk numbers increased over the last month. So
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: those are really kind of the reasons to maybe look
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: that way, but I'm not so sure that I'm seeing it.
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, based on the pitching matchup, I would kind
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: of lean to Valdez a little bit, given how that
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: pans out. Uh, the battle of the worst here with
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: the White Sox and Colorado and the White Sox, I
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: believe one three to two yesterday one of the lowest
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: scoring games you'll ever see in chorts Field, which I
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: pointed that out yesterday, Like the total was so high
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: in this game yesterday course Field, and I'm like, yeah,
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: but the offenses are so bad that it might go
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: under here. Uh, looking at this match up here today,
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, we know we're gonna have two bad bullpends here.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: White Sox didn't use much of their bultpen yesterday. Howser
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: actually pitched really well for the White Sox. So the
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: White Sox bullpend is in better shape here, so they
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: have Shockingly, the White Sox actually actually have a little
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: bit of a bullpen edge here. I don't think they
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: have the starting pitching edge though, with Jonathan Cannon pitching him,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: he's not been that good. He's young still, but four
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: point five to nine ERA, one point four to three
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: went not good, five point one six road ERA season
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: worse on the road. He may struggle in courts Field. Man,
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: and he's only on three innings in his last two starts.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: It hasn't been very good. Those were his only two
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: starts in June. I think he was actually injured or
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: something between the two where maybe they sent him to
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: triple A. I don't know, because he made one start
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: in early June and then one start in late June,
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: only went three innings in each of them, had a
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: nine to six strikeout walk ratio on a ninety RA
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: over that span. He wasn't very good in his last
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: couple of May starts either, So Canon not in good
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: form right now man, even though his uh he has
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: a great pitching name though Cannon the guy should be
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: throwing like one hundred mile an hour fastballs man, but
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: unfortunately his name is not apt for who he is.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: He has good numbers against Colorado. In a small sample
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: size twelve at bats, they only have two hits, no
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: extra base hits, no walks either, one strike out of
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: one sixty seven average three thirty three ops. Some actually
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: easy math to do on that one, But I don't
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: know if we could trust Cannon. He's up against Herman Marquez,
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: who actually surprisingly he pitches veteran course field and he
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: actually has been pitching better recently too. As far as
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: Colorado starters go, he is not the worst at this point.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: He was really bad early in the season. His season
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: numbers are awful five point six two ERA, one point
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: six whip, but he has a an easier to stomach
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: four point three to two home e RN. Again, he
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: actually hit a two point nine to seventy R and
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: a twenty nine to eight strike a walk race hen
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: six starts in June, and his team actually won three of.
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: The six starts. So Marquez has actually.
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: Been one of the only bright spots in the Rockies
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: rotation recently. Believe it or not, he actually has been
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: fairly good over that span, so he's actually pitching fairly well.
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: He's facing a bad White Sox offense.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Problem is the White Sox have actually hit him well
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: in the past, and thirty one at bats a three
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: point fifty five average, one thousand and one OHO six
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: oh ps six to four strego walk ratio. Taufman is
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: four for five on the home run off him. That
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: doesn't look great either. A lot of these White Sox
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: hitters have had success against Marquez, so the money's coming
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: in in Colorado here, But I just I can't do it, man.
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: Even though if you look at recent four Marquez does
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: get the nod over cannon for the starting pitching matchup,
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: but his matchup numbers against the White Sox are just
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: very bad. Rocky is down for my one nineteen to
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: minus one thirteen, sixty four percent of tickets, eighty percent
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on Colorado though, so the
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: money is coming into Colorado. Looks like that is kind
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: of the professional lean in that game. I just don't
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: think I can do it, man, I don't love it.
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: Let's go to Texas San Diego. I am going to
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: give out two more plays here, man, and another one
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: is a player where I'm gonna fade the market read
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: but still whatever, and it's not gonna be in this
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: Texas San Diego game, which, by the way, this is
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: listed as Corbin against Colic, but I actually think it's,
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: oh no, it is Corbin now because I was looking
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: before a pregame actually had it listed as Jack Lighter
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: against colg But it looks like it is going to
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: be Corbin.
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: We do see San Diego.
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it's fading San Diego in a
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: pretty big way here. Of course, I took the loss
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: on Texas yesterday, giving that out on the show. Of course,
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: I am mentioning that I'm not actually betting right now,
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: even though betting might go away completely after this year
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: because of the big beautiful bill, which if you want
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: to watch my explanation on that, it's at the end
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: of Wednesday show from this week.
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: It is a bad situation, man.
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: It's gonna make professional betting basically untenable because you can't
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: write off all your losses anymore. So you're gonna get
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: taxed on money you didn't even win, on money that
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: you lost, which is bullshit, absolute bullshit. Anyway, it does
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: look like the money if the money was agreeing with
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: Texas yesterday and that did not pan out, it's agreeing
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: with them again today, even though I know San Diego
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: is better at home, but I don't necessarily disagree with
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: Texas here in this one either.
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: Though.
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: San Diego is down for minus one forty one sixteen
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of tickets fifty one percent of the cash
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: on them, so the money coming in against them reverse
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: line movement against a public San Diego team here. Patrick Korman,
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: as I mentioned, is going to be pitching for Texas year.
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's starting to regress, which is what I expected.
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: He's been a really, really bad pitcher over the last
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: couple of years. He was pitching well this year for
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: Texas until recently. His era is up to four point
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: two six one point three whip. Things are right with
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: the world. Man when Patrick Corbin is predictably not pitching well,
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: a four point six to seven road era isn't good,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: but San Diego does have a pitcher friendly park a Corbin.
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: His numbers over the last month. Still, some of the
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: numbers aren't that bad, even though Texas did lose four
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: of the five starts. Texas is not a good offense either,
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: so he's not getting a lot of run support. Yeah,
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: Corman allowed a lot of runs here. He allowed three
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: or more in the last four starts. But in June
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: he did have a twenty four to six strike a
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, so his strike a walk ratio is actually fine,
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: but he was giving up a lot of hard contact. Really,
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: thirty four hits to twenty nine innings was kind of
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: the problem. He was just giving up too many hits.
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: Five point two eighty R obviously not good. I'm not
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: ready to say that Corban is in terrible form right
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: now because the last couple of starts he did have
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: a twelve to one strike a walk ratio even though
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: they lost both games against Baltimore. He's still pitching decently.
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: As far as his peripherals. San Diego, though, does have
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: good numbers and a lot of experience against him one
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: hundred and twenty at bats, eighteen to nine, strike a
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: walk ratio three to zero, eight average seven to nine
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: to ups So Cordman has not done well against these
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: San Diego hitters, so that is.
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: Kind of a problem. He's up against Stephen.
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: Coleck, though I don't trust colec Man three point seven
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: to three ERA one point two for a whip that
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: all looks good. He's twenty eight, so he's kind of
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: made a late start to his career. His first major
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: league appearances were last year for San Diego, all out
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: of the Bulp, and this year. I think his numbers
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: are kind of misleading about what he actually is. He's
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: been really bad at home in the nine point two ERA,
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: even though it's a pitcher friendly park, so that does
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: not inspire confidence.
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: Really.
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: He did have a three point three eighty RA in
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: the month of June, but San Diego lost his last
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: five starts, although granted a lot of it was because
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: San Diego wasn't hitting. He had only three to eleven
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio with that span, which was not
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: a high strikeout rate, and it was too high of
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: a walk rate, so he's kind of walking too many guys.
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: More recently, he had a couple of those starts where
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: he didn't even make it five innings, so I'm not
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: ready to really trust Colek. Texas really hasn't seen much
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: of him though. Only three hitters have seen him before
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: and they're only one for three off from Berger has
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: an RBI single off him and that's it. No strikeouts
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: and no walks, So I mean, you could kind of
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: lean to the market read on this. It does look
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: like a strong market read leaning towards Texas here, but
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: based on looking at the matchup numbers, it's really hard
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: to figure out what's gonna happen with either of these
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: pitchers here.
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna stay away. Slow boy, what's up? Man?
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure what the what is the what is
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: the O? Slash? Man?
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what the hell that is?
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: Is it A? It's not an egg?
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: Is it? Are you guys? A? Are you guys Raven fans?
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: What's going on here?
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: All right? San Francisco?
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: In the A's you know what? I don't think I
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: can help myself. I'm gonna fade the market in this
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: one too, and I'm gonna give out the plans on
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: San Francisco. Man, I'm just gonna fade several reno at home.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: I think this is too much of an advantage to
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: San Francisco. They have eighty percent of tickets, only sixty
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash, and they're down for minus
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: one seventy to minus one sixty.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: Again.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: I don't like fading the market very often, man, but
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do it.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: On both of these plays today.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: With these road favorites here that I just think they
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: have a big starting pitching edge and they have a
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: bullpen edge with Milwaukee. I actually think they have a
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: hitting edge as well with the Giants. Obviously they don't.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: The money does look like it's actually agreeing with the
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: Giants on Action Network, so at least we do have
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: that going for us. Let me see what the best
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: number we can get is here on this. Yeah, we're
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: just gonna go money run line on this excuse, and
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: we'll just go San Francisco run line that I know
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: with the San Francisco team that can't and I know
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: it's really dangerous, but at least when they're on the road.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: At least you can get the full nine innings out
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: of them here.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: But we're gonna go San Francisco. You can find them
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: right there.
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: Just basically a spread beat minus one and a half
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: runs at minus one ten.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna recommend it.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: I know it doesn't look like we should be doing
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: it based on the market, but I mean, look at
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: this matchup, man, I just think that it makes sense
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: to do it, man, and situationally. First of all, the A's,
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: even though it was a terrible spot for the A's
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: yesterday and that return home spot, they won eleven to
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: two yesterday. Man, So Sar Francisco they gotta be really
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: embarrassed after that. Man, that was a terrible performance from
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: San Francisco. But even despite that, San Francisco basically saved
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: their bullpen after Verlander did and bitch Web and I
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: mean Verlanders, old man, he's just not doing that well.
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: They brought him black to basically save the rest of
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: the bullpen. So San Francisco they have the best bullpen
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: in baseball er wise, and they basically saved all their
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: better relievers here, so their best relievers are all available here.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: So that's a good sign.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: I know, the A's didn't use really any of their
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: bullpen either after Sears got them deep into the game.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: They only used Perkins to finish the game off. But
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: he's one of their better relievers. Actually, in the A's
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: bullpen is terrible. The A's have one of the worst bullpens,
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: if not the worst, in all of baseball. So we
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: have a huge bullpend disparity and in favor of the
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: Giants here. So we have the Giants being pissed off
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: coming off at really embarrassing loss. We have the Giants
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: with the better bullpen, and I think you have to
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: say the Giants have the way better starting pitcher, your
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: Logan Webb, I mean, he is their best pitcher. Two
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: point six one Era, one point one four Whip. I
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: like him, man, he's an old school pitcher. He's a grinder.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: I know we do have to worry about his splits here.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: Three point eight one. Roadyra is not that good. I
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: know I lost last time. I recommended to play on
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: him his last outing. Actually he didn't pitch bad in
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: his last out. He got no run support again against Arizona.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: But I mean, yeah, I mean that's the issue. San
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: Francisco you're gonna have to get some runs. But I
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: think there is reason to expect San Francisco to actually
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: hit in this game, which I'll talk about once we
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: talk about several reno. But Web has been pitching really
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: well man in June, even though his team wasn't backing
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: him with any runs. They only won three of his
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: six starts. He had a forty three to seven strike
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio in June, really really good. He went
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: at least six innings in every single start he went
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: seven or more, and half of them two point two
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: to three ERA. Web is pitching well man. He allowed
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: two or fewer and runs in all but that start
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: at Arizona, which is not a pitcher friendly ballpark. Of course,
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: the A's Park is not pitcher friendly either, so you
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: do have to worry about Web pitching in this environment.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, maybe a little bit of an.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: Issue because he's pitching in this a stadium which is
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: very home run conduces. But Web is a ground ball
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: pitcher man. He induces a lot of ground balls, so
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: I think he might be okay in this park as well.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: Because of that.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: He gets a decent amount of strikeouts, a decent amount
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: of ground balls. He's not really a fly ball ratio pitcher,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: so that's pretty good as well.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: A good sign for him as well.
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: He's only allowed seven home runs this season, so the
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: home run ball hasn't really been.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: Much of an issue for him, so hopefully that works out.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: And he has dominant numbers against the A's In forty
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: one at bats in his career, they have no extra
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: base hits and oh seventy three average, they only have
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: three hits.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: No one of their hitters has.
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: More than one hit against him, oh seventy three average,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: two to n ops unbelievably low eight to three strike
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio. So Web has absolutely dominant numbers against
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: the A's, which is something you gotta look at and
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: be like, you gotta find a way to jump in,
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: you know, on uh San Francisco here, and if you
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: want to go with the A's, to go under their
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: team total. I think that's another way to look at
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: this too, and expect San Francisco's pitching to, you know,
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: to do well in this game and to hold the
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: A's down. I mean, that is another way to look
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: at this, but I still think you want to fade
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: seven Reno here. Man, he's been bad this season five
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: point ninety RA, one point three to eight WHIP and
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: he's been atrocious in this stadium six point seven to
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: ninety RA. He's a lot of eleven home runs on
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: the season now seve seven of them in this ballpark.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: He hadn't allowed any home runs for a while. He
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: actually went on this long stretch without allowing any home runs,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: and since then, in his last five starts, he's allowed
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: seven home runs. The A's have lost so many of
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: his recent starts. They've lost nine of his last ten starts,
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: and the only one that they won was a road
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: start against Kansas City where he only had one strikeout.
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: Seven. Reno is not pitching well man.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: He had a seven point seven to one ERA in
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: June seventeen to twelve strike a walk ratio really bad.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: A low strike out rate of high walk rate, allowed
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: a ton of hits to forty four and thirty two
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: and two thirds innings, plus seven of them being home runs.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: Seven.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: Reno is in really bad form right now. He's allowed
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: twelve runs in his last two outings. I know there
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: was at Detroit and at the Yankees. Those are good
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: hitting lineup, so he is stepping down in class to
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: face a pretty bad San Francisco offense.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: But still those numbers are awful.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: He's in really bad form right now, giving up two
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: wil runs over those last eight and two thirds. They're
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: in four home runs, four walks to five strikeouts, seven renos.
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: Definitely fade material at home, man, and I've done that
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: multiple times this year, and I think it's been pretty
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: successful fading him at home. He does have good numbers
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: against the Giants, which is the only thing that worries
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: me a little bit. In eighty seven at bats twenty
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: one to seven strike a walk race here is still
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: too many walks though, one sixty one average four to
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: fifty ops. So it's not the dominance that we see
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: out of web though. So even though the money looks
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: like it's coming in and thinking, oh, this is gonna
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: be a close game, the A's do have the better offense,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: it looks like the money's kind of coming in that way.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: I'm not going to agree with it, man, I'm gonna
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: go with the San Francisco Giants and this one to
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: bounce back. I think that is worth making a play
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: on there. Charles, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: and hopefully again. Fading the market hopefully does not hurt us.
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: Here is right now, If you factor in all that
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: I've done this year, we're still right around the break
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: even point. I've kind of been treading water over the
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: last couple of weeks, even though I had a couple
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: of days since I started the Instagram, I had to.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: Finish this off. I'm gonna give you a total because
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: why not. And of course it's an under.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go under in Pittsburgh Seattle under the seven
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: and a half. Seven is a key number, man, So
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: I mean under seven you could still do, but I
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: would probably go up to about minus one twenty to
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: get it under seven and a half. As I usually
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: point out that half run matters as well. Seven is
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: a key number in baseball because it breaks the three
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: three tigh. I mean, obviously, part of this handicap is
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's offense isn't very good. Seattle's offense is okay. But
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: I still think that the under makes sense in this one.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: I like the pitching matchup for it as well. Yesterday's
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: game also went under, and whoop, it's really well yesterday
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: for the Mariners.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: What else is new?
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: Neither bullpend really got taxed at all yesterday, so we're
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: getting rested bullpens coming into this game. I know the
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: Pirates bullpend isn't good, so that is a concern. Mariners
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: bullpend is fairly good against a weak Pirates offense. But
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: I still think because the bullpen's arrested, we get the
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: ability for both to bring in some of their best
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: relievers in this game. I think that helps out the
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: under Burrows is pitching for Pittsburgh. Numbers don't look great,
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: four point one five, one point three whip, but I
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: actually like Burrows. His home road splits are pretty insignificant.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: But Burrows, the one thing you have to worry about
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: is he's not getting that deep into games. But the
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: thing is he was starting for a bit and then
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: he had a couple of bad starts. Had a bad
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: start against Texas really was his one bad start, and
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: then they sent him to the bulp and he came
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: in in relief of Paul's schemes. Then they put him
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: back in the starting rotation after that, and he did
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: okay against the Mets, even though he didn't last. He
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: only went four to third innings and he didn't throw
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: that many pitches, but I think it was maybe they're
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: keeping him on a pitch count. He's a young guy,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: so they're kind of keeping him rested. But you only
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: give up one run against the Mets, five strikeouts, one walk,
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: so he actually pitched well. I actually gave out a
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: play on Pittsburgh in that game and it worked out
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: pretty well. So Borrows, I mean he is pitching well
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: over the month of June two point seven to three ERA,
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: thirty to six strike a walk ratium. He's having a
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: good season so far, man, this being basically his rookie
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: season because he only made one appearance last year. He's
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: a young pitcher that has good stuff. And guess what,
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: Seattle has never seen him before. So again, and you
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: have a young pitcher that has good stuff, I think
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: they have the edge early on against the opposing offense
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: that has to kind of figure the guy out, and
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: a guy with good strikeout stuff like Burrows. So I
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: like this man. I think Burrow's kind of flying under
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: the radar right now. This is a picture friendly park
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: as well, which helps us out. You could go first
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: five innings in this game too, if you really want
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: to exclude Pittsburgh's bullpend but you're probably having to go
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: under three and a half of the first five innings,
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: and you know, I don't love doing that. The three
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: and a half is a little bit of an iffy
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: number there, so I kind of prefer the full game
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: on this one, getting it under that key number. And
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: on the other side of the matchup, I like Luis
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: Castillo in this matchup as well. Three point five to
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: five Vra one point two to nine whip is a
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: little bit higher than I'd like to see. But Castillo
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: has been really good at home. Two point six era
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: at home has a lot of Seattle starters are a
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: lot better at home. He's been fined this month. I
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: mean he's been pretty consistent. Three point nine to seventy
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: are twenty nine to eleven strike a walk ratio. Yeah,
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: it's too many walks, but he's pretty much limited the damage.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: He's allowed three or fewer earned runs at all but
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: two of those starts, allowing four and five and the
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: other two and in those starts, i mean those were
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: both on the road as well, so I'm a little
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: bit less concerned about that. He is pitching better at
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: home and against Pittsburgh has pretty good numbers in eighty
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: four career at bats twenty eight to nine strike a
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: walk ratio. Again, maybe the walk numbers is a little
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: too high, but he's on um to a one to
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: ninety batting average five to seventy eight ops. This is
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: a weak lineup in this lineup has not had much
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: success against Castillo in the past. So we're gonna go
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: under this total. And the total is already down from
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: seven and a half to seven. Now it looks like
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: a lot of the money coming in on the under.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: So the market Reid agrees with me on this one
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of tickets on the over, eighty nine
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the under. So we'll finish
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: it off with a market agreeing with me on this
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: one on the under in Pittsburgh, Seattle Man, and that's
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. So the plays we're going against the
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: marketing with Milwaukee money line, you might be able to
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: get a better price on Milwaukee. And actually you might
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: want to split. You could split bet half on the
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: run line and half on the money line. Maybe if
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: you want to do that, or if you find it
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: at like minus one thirty something, maybe just play the
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: money line on that. San Francisco I know how bad
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: that looks minus one and a half on the run
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: line and then under in Pittsburgh, Seattle.
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. Learn to Toad on Twitter, so
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: you can go learn to Toad with me. Man.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: The gifts send go is still up at our game
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: Toad if you would prefer, you can throw tips.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: My way on Twitter as well.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: Better off Dead as an Instagram at off Dead Better
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: so you can check that out where I give out
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: the same plays, but I do it in a shorthand fashion.
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: I try to be funny with it, although when I
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: get autistic, I can't really think of jokes anymore.
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: So it's kind of a problem trying.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: To keep each one of those videos to a minute
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: or less, to try to keep everybody's attention span, or
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: keep everybody's attention with everybody having a short attention span,
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: I should say and covered in Yuk is my uke
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: channel on YouTube where I'm thinking about doing some things
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: with that.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: I'm setting up a Patreon which is gonna be available soon.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: Tower going learned to Toad excuse me on Patreon is
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: gonna be where it is. I'll put a link in
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: my link tree there which you can get to for
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: my Twitter as well once it's up. Thinking that the
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: Patreon is gonna involve a spot if I feed with
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: all the ukulele covers that I post, and I'm gonna
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: start dripping old ones back in as well and start
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: uploading those to the YouTube, because I've basically just been
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: posting things on Twitter.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: So now what I'm gonna do. I put out ukulele
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: covers on YouTube. I'm on Twitter.
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna put the same ones that I put on
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: Twitter on YouTube, and then I'm gonna probably slow drip
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: the old.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: Ones onto YouTube as well.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: But They're all on my phone and I'm totally disorganized,
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: so I have to get I gotta clear up some
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: space on my phone too, so I gotta move all
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: those ukulele videos to probably this computer and just like
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: rewatch all of them, identify all of them and figure
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: out what I want to do with them. Get them
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: all up on YouTube, slow drip them, and give everybody
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: kind of a Patreon Spotify feed. Maybe is what I
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: want to do. So oh, thank you sir, Yes, good
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: luck to everybody today. That's gonna do it for today. Man,
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna get this up. This is also on audio
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: platforms by the way, and if you listen to this
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: show on audio, there are ads there. I'm monetized, so
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: that's gonna bring me some money the more people that listen,
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: So listen on the audio stuff as well. Give me
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: some ratings, you know on Spotify and Apple podcasts especially,
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: so help me out there as well. If you can
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: subscribe obviously, and keep you know, watching on YouTube as well,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: comment and subscribing on YouTube. If we get up to
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: five hundred YouTube subscribers, I can start monetizing this as
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: well and getting super chats and stuff. So let's try
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: to do that as well. Man, gotta get the money
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: flowing just right now. It is an IV drip of
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: money right now, and it's not keeping me alive. Thanks Charles,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: all right, thanks guys. I'm gonna get this up on
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: the audio. I was late to do it yesterday because
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: I had to go to a cookout yesterday. Happy fourth
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: again to everybody. Hopefully everybody had a good day yesterday.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: Hopefully everybody's getting out of their hangovers today, which, by
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: the way, I know from back when I drank a lot.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: A hair of the dog does help, at least it
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: did for me. Speaking of slow drips. If you're really hungover,
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: if you slow drip, just like some kind of like
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: weak beers, have a couple of beers early in the day,
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: kind of slow drip that in. It helps you get
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: out of the hangover. Man It kind of weans you
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: out of the alcohol. So that's what I would recommend there.
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: It helped me out of some of my more drunken days,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: man like, including after a Vegas bachelor party for one
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: of my friends, which was some of the drunkest that
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: I've been. But that was not one of the worst
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: hangovers because I I was able to get out of
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: it by the toad method there the hair of the toad,
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: that's right. Or you can lick me and that might
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: help as well. That's gonna do it. Everybody, have a
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: good one. Thanks for hanging out guys.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: Peace for now.