Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NASCAR DFS Freeway Insurance 500, 2026 | DraftKings Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential

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NASCAR DFS Freeway Insurance 500, 2026 | DraftKings Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:08
  Speaker 2: All systems go. Clear for liftoff.
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: Good morning and welcome to this weekend's nascar quick hit
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: here for ship it nation i am eric also known
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: as the game on discord and this morning or this
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: afternoon whenever you are choosing to take in this information
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: we are going to be discussing the freeway insurance 500
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: at phoenix raceway normally this is championship weekend not anymore
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: thank you nascar But before we go ahead and break
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: down the Freeway Insurance 500 at Phoenix Raceway, let me
• 1:14
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• 1:18
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• 1:25
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• 1:29
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• 2:38
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• 2:45
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• 2:49
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• 2:54
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• 3:00
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• 3:11
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• 3:14
  Speaker 1: Back over to the Freeway Insurance 500 at Phoenix Raceway.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: We have, I believe, 312 laps on deck. I didn't
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: write any notes down, so I don't remember how many
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: laps we have. But I'm pretty sure it's 312, which
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: should equal out to 218.4 dominator points. I know that's
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: how many dominator points because I did that math and
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: I just typed it out this morning. 218.4 dominator points
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: up for grabs. And really, you are choosing between one
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: and two dominators today. Normally, this race is like a
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: slam dunk two dominator race. However, there is a driver
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: who's known as Young Money who had a decent little
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: practice session in the qualified middle of the pack.
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: So it all depends.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: If you go one dominator, you're probably putting Larson in.
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: If you're going two dominators, you're probably not putting Larson in.
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: So that is your big question of the day today.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: I will be playing some Kyle Larson. He is the
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: championship leader. Next week is Talladega, which is a wild
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: card beyond wild cards, right? So they have a 49
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: point lead. I just did this math too. Larson has
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: a 49 point lead in the championship right now over
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: Danny Hamlin. They want to maximize today by any stretch
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: of the imagination so they can go into Talladega next
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: week with a little bit of a bumper.
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: That way, if something really goes haywire, they're not totally
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: out to lunch. Right. So plus, I found it funny
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: in Larson's media this weekend.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: He said he sucked at Phoenix Raceway.
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: Larson's words, not mine. You can find it on Twitter.
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: Then you go dive into the stats a little bit
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: and you see Larson has the best averaging finish at
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: Phoenix since two thousand twenty three. He has like a 4.9,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: no wins, but he has a 4.9 average finish, I think,
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: compared to Blaney's 5.9 average finish. So Larson says he
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: sucks here, still has the best average finish of any
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: active driver in the Cup Series.
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: So, hey, there we go.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: Let me go ahead and zoom this out back to
• 5:33
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• 5:36
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• 5:58
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• 5:59
  Speaker 2: So, hey, join the nation. What you see here is.
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: What we haven't had for a couple weeks, and that
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: is glorious, glorious practice data with glorious, glorious qualifying. Yes. Finally,
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: we have a race where that we have practice and
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: qualifying for, and.
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: We have no surprises.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: We have absolutely no surprises. The biggest surprise really is
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: a Larson qualified. What?
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: 22nd. Yeah. Is that a Larson qualified 22nd?
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: And we have a 36 starting Corey Heim, which is
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: another gift from the DFS gods. Other than that, The
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: people who you think are going to be good at
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: Phoenix are starting up towards the front, and the people
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: who you think will be bad at Phoenix are starting
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: towards the back. Look, folks, I fully expect today's race
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: to be boring. Boring is normally really good, though, for DFS,
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: so take that as you will. But this race has
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: not had a... Like, last year's race is memorable because
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: of a late race caution and Denny Hamlin lost the championship, right?
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: But it's not like... There's not many like beating.
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: Banging, door slamming, fantastic Finnish memories at Phoenix. That's why
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: everybody in the NASCAR circles for years begged and pleaded
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: for this race to go, for this race meaning the
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: championship race, to go back to Homestead where it belongs.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: And finally, the good folks at NASCAR listened and it's
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: back at Homestead this year. And this race moved up
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: to the fourth race of the playoffs. So like I
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: mentioned for Kyle Larson earlier, Kyle Larson is currently your
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: NASCAR Cup Series playoff point leader, 49 points over Danny Hamlin.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: He really needs to have a good day because next
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: week is Talladega, and we all know Talladega's a wild card.
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: We know the.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: Big one can happen, and he could be caught up
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: in that accident lap three and finish dead last, right?
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: So the majority of the playoff.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: Drivers, Hamlin, Blaney, Briscoe, Larson will want to do everything
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: in their power today to have a good, good points day.
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: So let's go ahead and break down that starting lineup
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: and starting on the pole. We have T or starting
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: on the front row. Rather, we got team Penske, Ryan
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: Blaney and Joey Logano. Blaney is a dog here. Plus
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: 275 on the books. He's always on the podium here
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: at Phoenix. fantastic in practice. And what's really key for
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: Blaney is he has the very first pit stall and
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: the very first pit stall is an advantage here at Phoenix.
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure if it's as much of an advantage
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: as years ago, because I think they made some changes
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: to make it not such of an advantage, but still
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: the first pit stall really at any racetrack is always
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: an advantage and even more so at Phoenix. Not to mention,
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: this race has been dominated by the front row for years.
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: So, Mr. Blaney is in the catbird seat. A pluses
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: across the board.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: Fantastic in every aspect of practice and the best pit stall.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: This is Blaney's race to lose. Outside of him, though,
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: is Joey Logano. He's no slouch here at Phoenix either.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: He was fantastic in practice as well. Yeah, there's some
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: red marks in the middle of the road here.
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's for real.
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: So I would bypass that 23rd and 22nd in the
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: 15 and 20. Look, if anything happens to Blaney on
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: the start, if he misses a shift, if he, you know,
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: if anything goes wrong, I fully expect Logano to take
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: advantage of that, but it's kind of hard to see
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: anything going wrong with Blaney. Chase Briscoe and Danny Hamlin
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: are up next. Chase Briscoe won one of these races
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: back in Stuart Haas days. I want to say spring 2022.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: Hasn't been great here in JGR, but still, he's a
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: playoff driver. He's had some success lately. Would not surprise
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: me to see him have a good day today. Denny
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: Hamlin led over 200 laps of the championship race last year.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: Late race caution came out. Uh, his crew chief made
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: a bad pit call and not only the Denny Hamill
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: lose the race, he lost the championship. So, uh, bad
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: memories for old Denny here at Phoenix this time of
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: the year, a second place, 49 points away from Larson.
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: He needs a good points day to day. Like as
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: much as Larson needs a good points day to day,
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: Danny needs a good points day to day to keep
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: a touch. Right. So, Not that we care about the championship,
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: but you got to think these drivers have more on
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: their plate than just finishing this race today. And you
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: need to consider that when building said DFS lineups. Christopher
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: Bell and Red Dog Tyler Reddick up next. Christopher Bell,
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: I think, has led like over 400 laps here since 2023.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: He's fantastic at Phoenix. This is his cup of tea.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: He finishes fifth. I think a lot of folks will
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: be clicking on Blaney and Bell if they are fading Larson.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: If you're not fading Larson, I think a lot of
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: folks would then go Blaney Larson or Bell Larson. So
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: I think if you want to get different in any GPPs,
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: just go different than those three combinations, and that could
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: probably be enough. Tyler Reddick, he's looked great in long-wind practice.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: Good history here. It seems so far away from when
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: he was dominating. So that's fantastic there. We got Michael
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: McDowell and Josh Berry.
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: Mike. Oh, sorry.
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: We have Ty Gibbs. Ty Gibbs is a no for me, dog.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: Mike Mack and Josh Berry. Or I shouldn't say Ty
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: Gibbs is a no for me, dog. Ty Gibbs is
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: never a no for me, dog. But it's just hard
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: to see him having such a fantastic day with everybody
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: who's ahead of him.
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: Right. Michael McDowell.
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: No, I don't think that I don't think that starting
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: spot is going to last long. Josh Berry, yes. Josh
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: Berry's had a fantastic go of things. William Byron or
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Ross Chastain? William Byron is the one who caused that
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: caution last year. So probably no for me for William Byron.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: And he just hasn't had that strong, strong run lately.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: So I don't know.
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: We'll see.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: I much prefer Larson for obvious reasons, but Willie B's there.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: Ross Chastain, yes. okay, I'll give him a shot like
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: track house. I won't give Connor Zillow shot, but I'll,
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: I'll give, I'll give Ross a shot. So we'll see.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: They've been track house has not been great this season.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I don't think they found a magic bullet to make
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: them crazy fast, but still, um, we need some drivers
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: to build up these lineups.
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: So I'll take a yes for Ross. I'll take a
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: no for.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: Zillow, uh, Gilly and Daniel Suarez, uh, Gilly looked really
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: good in practice, right?
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: Am I looking at that correctly? Yeah.
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: Um, So in that case, you have to include him
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: because he was fast on that surface yesterday in those cars.
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: So we'll include Gilly in the pool. Mi amigo Suarez. Sure.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: Um, I'm not going to go over the moon to
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: get him in lineups, obviously, but if he gets in there, great. Uh,
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: Austin Sindrick.
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: Yup. He's been fantastic lately.
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: Um, he'd had a misgo with things a couple weeks ago,
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: but other than that, he's been phenomenal. Um, We love Blaney,
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: we love Logano, and we love Josh Berry, who are
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: Penske and or Penske-affiliated cars. We've got to think the
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: same for Sendrick. I just wish Sendrick was starting a
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: little bit deeper in the field. Chase Elliott, Chris Buescher.
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: Chase Elliott's going to be a no for me. I
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: have him as a GPP play, but I don't think
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: he's $ 8, 500 worth. If he was $ 7, 500, I would consider it.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: No Chase Elliott for me. Chris Buescher, he looked super
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: slow in practice. I don't know if RFK is now
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: going to hit a... Well, I shouldn't say that. I'm
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: fairly positive RFK will now slide backwards since Keselowski's leaving.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: I'm surprised it's happening this quickly. You wouldn't think Chris
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: Buescher would be that slow off the truck, but he
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: is that slow. Can they turn it around? Does he
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: have the ability to? Absolutely. I just don't think he will.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: Brad Keselowski, Riley Herbst, Brad Kaye, No, sorry, Brad. Riley
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: Herbst looked good in practice and cheap and in a Toyota. Yeah,
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: give me some Riley Herbst. Zane Smith and AJ Allmendinger.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: They're in there, meaning I have a mark as possible
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: GPP plays, but I probably not going to get any
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: of them or worry if I don't get any of them.
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: Then we have the hitters of Larson and Bubba Wallace.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: Larson, as I mentioned earlier, if you're fading one of
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: the dominators, you'll probably jump down and get Larson.
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: And hope for that PD play. Bubba Wallace looked really
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: good in practice.
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: He's an every weekend player pool driver. That's no different
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: this week. Austin Dillon. Yeah, I actually have him ranked.
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: I think last on my place differential plays on the site.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: I don't really have any hot takes about Austin Dillon.
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: There's just not a lot of really fancy names on
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: this side of the thing. on this side of the field.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: And he has raced here tons. And more often than not,
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: he finishes ahead of where he started. So that's what
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: you need at a racetrack like this, right?
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: SVG, no. He hasn't had speed lately.
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: I will play him probably next week at Dega if
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: he qualifies like Junk. I will probably play him at
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: Homestead if he qualifies like Junk. Or I should say,
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: if he qualifies good at Homestead, I'll probably play him there.
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: But I have no interest in a 25th starting SVG
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: at Phoenix. Ryan Preece, he is 16th in the points currently,
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: which is dead last in the Chase playoff standings. But
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: he is in the playoffs, which means he's one of
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: the top 16 drivers. And he's starting 26th. So, yep,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: we'll take the shot on him. Cole Custer, he's so
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: dirt cheap, and I think he's better than Cody Ware.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: So if you need to save some pennies, I don't
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: hate the Cole Custer idea. Carson Josevar was fast. That
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: kid's fast all the time. He hasn't pissed anybody off lately,
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: so no one should dump him.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: So, yep. We'll go take a shot on the host
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: of our Eric Jones showed some speed and practice. We'll
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: take a chance on him.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: Noah Gregson looked really slow in practice, but kind of
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: like my thoughts about Austin Dillon, like he's cheap and
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: I trust him kind of more than some of the
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: other cheapies. So that's why I have him as a
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: possible GPP play.
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: Where am I at here?
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: Ricky Stenhouse. That's a no for me, dog. John Hunter,
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: Nima check. I'll take a chance just because he's in
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: that Toyota car. Ty Dillon's going to be a no
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: for me, dog. Austin, not Austin, Alex Bowman has ran
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: good here in the past. I have not been shy
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: about my lame duck Alex Bowman worries, and that doesn't
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: change today. But still, he has had success here in
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: the past. He is a 7,300 Hendrick car starting in 34th.
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: He's going to get love from the public just because
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: of that. Austin Hill in 35th. I don't like Austin Hill, period.
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: But if my mind tells me Austin Dillon can do
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: it from his starting spot, Austin Hill can probably gain
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: some positions from his starting spot.
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: He's starting 35th.
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: I don't love it because we have a 36 place
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: Corey Heim. This is Corey Heim's, I think, first cup
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: start at Phoenix. but he's already a two-time cup winner
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: this year. So people are going to be over the
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: moon to click him, myself included. And then starting dead
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: last is Cody Ware. Cars will probably wreck out. Cody
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: Ware probably won't finish last, and I'm still not going
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: to click on Cody Ware. So anyway, that's it for
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: today's NASCAR quick hit here for a ship at nation.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Four races left today at Phoenix next weekend, the wild
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: card at Talladega, baby. Then we got Martinsville, and then
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: we wrap up the season with Homestead. So as always,
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: thanks for tuning in. If you have any questions concerning
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: this late, please feel free to reach out to me
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: on Discord. We're getting ready to go to the animal shelter,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: just like we did last week, because We are.
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: Adopting a dog. We just can't get him until next Saturday.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: So we're going to go spoil our soon-to-be-adopted dog with
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: treats while he's in his kennel in the shelter. So
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: everybody have a good Sunday. As always, please feel free
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: to message me if you have any questions. And as always,
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: let's ship it!