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Brewers/Mariners MLB + WNBA Best Bets Wednesday 7/23/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached into pink. Actually, I'm gonna burn my browins hack Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: March Hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day it is anymore. I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die, at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five. The worst month that
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, praise, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: at all. What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: This is better off dead. For Wednesday, July twenty third,
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: I am unshowered, unmoisturized, uh not thriving, slumping and in
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: the breakdown lane all right, uh yesterday oh one and
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: one not good and the loser was the one that
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: he had to pay more money on the Cincinnati Reds,
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: which I'm gonna tell you man, the Reds they out
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: hit the Nationals in that game, ten to seven, and
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: they lost the game six to one. You almost never
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: see that, a team getting ten hits and only getting
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: one run out of it and then the other team
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: getting six runs off of seven hits. And it wasn't
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: like the walk disparity was that crazy either. Chase Burns
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: was good in the game. He had ten strikeouts in
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: like five innings, so his stuff was there, and the
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: game just still didn't go our way. Washington with their
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: semi bulp end game. I don't know how that worked
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: out for Washington. Obviously, the Reds were putting guys on
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: base and not scoring them, so that was great. And
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: then Yankees Toronto. I mean that was one that was
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: just teetering like right around the number, pretty much trending
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: towards exactly the number all game, and it landed exactly
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: on the nine. So it was a push. What can
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: you do on that? We'll move on to today. I'm
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: gonna do some weird things today. I guess I'm gonna
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: have two full game run line plays. Probably not a
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: good idea, and I'm doing it anyway. I'm gonna have
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: a first five under and a first five run line
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: as well. So I'm all over the map in baseball
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: today and I don't even know if it's a good
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: idea or not, but we're gonna do it anyway. Man.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: We'll start with the WNBA, where we do have one
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: game between Atlanta and Phoenix, which I have differing opinions
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: on this. Man, I went back and forth on this game,
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: and I'm like, obviously, I'm not gonna give out a
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: play on this. Phoenix is up from six and a
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: half to eight with juice. I mean, they are a
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: lot better of a team than I thought they were
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: at the beginning of the season. They're not bad, and
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: they're well rested here as they have not played since
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: before the All Star break. So now the question is
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: it becomes rest versus rust like, right like, is Phoenix
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: gonna use that time off to rest up or are
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: they gonna be rusty and in a bad spot? Here?
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: They were on a nice role where they had won
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: three games in a row and then they lost their
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: last game two Minnesota going into the All Star break.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: Minnesota best team in the league. That was a big game.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: But is that gonna hang them over through the All
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: Star break or are they gonna be rusty coming out
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: of the All Star break? I don't know because even
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: though at played yesterday and they did play at Vegas,
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: so they're traveling down to Phoenix not a huge amount
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: of travel, but I could see that going both ways
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: for Atlanta. Right Like, they're not rested because they played yesterday,
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: But is the fact that they have already played once
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: out of the All Star break and it actually helped them?
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: Like I talk about this in like basketball tournaments sometimes
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: or you have a team that already has one game
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: under their belt in the tournament. People think, oh, that
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: team already played, they're gonna be tired, But the opposite
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: kind of happens with that team actually, because they've played
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: that game already, they're used to playing again and they
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: kind of have that momentum going on. But of course
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: there isn't really momentum in this case because Atlanta lost
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: the game yesterday, but that was kind of an outlier
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: of a game to where Atlanta just played a really
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: poor game yesterday Vegas. It seemed like Jackie Young might
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: not play for them yesterday, but she did, and she
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: is one of their better players, so maybe she wasn't
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: one hundred percent, but she had an alright game. So
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know what I would want to do with
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: this game. Man, it looks like the money is coming
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: in on the Phoenix side. I mean, it's already well
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: past that key number of seven in basketball where the
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: teams stop potentially following. But that's pretty much all I
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: have to say about that game. There's no way that
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be doing anything with that game. And I
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: do think Atlanta does have one injury, which is why
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: the line looks like it might be a little bit
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: higher than you'd expect. Ryan Howard, Maybe that's what I'm
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: thinking of. I don't really know who she is, but
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: she did not play last night, and she's not playing
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: tonight either, I guess, so that's something to keep in mind.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: I guess. Let's move on to baseball, whereas, which is
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: why the sport I'm gonna have all my plays here.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go. We'll start with the rundown here, which
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: I should have already brought up that graphic before I
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: started talking about women's basketball. But does women's basketball even count?
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: Doesn't even exist? I don't know, man, Baseball, we have
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: afternoon games today because it is Wednesday, so some of
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: these teams will be traveling and have tomorrow off, et cetera.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: Which I like Thursday, man, because it's one of those
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: days where you can focus on like a smaller baseball card.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: It almost feels like a break, like a day off,
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: and sometimes my handicapping is better on those days with
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: less to try to focus on. Cincinnati is at Washington.
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: As I already said, Cincinnati lost for us yesterday. They've
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: lost both games in the series so far. So Cincinnati
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: not playing well right now really, although yesterday again I
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: thought it was a misleading man. I mean again, a
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: ten to seven hit disparity and you lose the game.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: And the game was one to one into the fifth
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: inning too, So I don't know. Chase Burns maybe just
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: losing steam a little bit trying to go deep into
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: these games. You almost threw one hundred pitches, but I
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: wouldn't say he was exactly that bad. Both teams, well,
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: the natsi's a little bit more of their bullpen yesterday.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: I guess the Nats have the worst of the two
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: bullpens here, So I think you give Cincinnati the bullpen
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: edge here. Nick Loudolo is gonna be pitching for Cincinnati.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: Three point three to three ERA one point oh wait,
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: whip good numbers on the season, better on the road
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: as well, two point five to six road ERA. Pitching
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: well in the month of July as well, in three
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: starts nineteen to three, strike out walk ratio two point
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: three seven er. He actually is allowed three or fewer
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: earned runs in every start going all the way back
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: through June eighteenth, and two or fewer, and all of
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: them except one three run outing at Philadelphia, and in
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: that entire span, that was the only game that he
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: started that the Reds lost. Have won five of his
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: last six starts, so he is pitching well right now.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: He's in good form, but his numbers against Washington are
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: not that great, and fifty four at bats two ninety
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: six average allowed seven thirty four ohps isn't that high,
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: but they have gotten hits off him a ten to
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: three strike out walk ratio. So do we trust Lodolo
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: in this spot? I don't know, man, It's not something
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: that I want to get involved in. He's going to
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: be opposed by Michael Saraka, who has a bad ERA
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: five point one ERA, but a one point one to
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: five whip kind of indicates that ERA is a little
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: bit misleading. He's been similar both home in a way.
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: His strikeout walk rate really hasn't been that bad or
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio, I guess, but he has been
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: worse this month than he was in the previous month,
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: and Washington has lost seven starts in a row of
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: his which is not a good sign. This month is
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: era is six point nine to two, a lot of
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: it because he got rocked in one start against the
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: Red Sox does have a thirteen to six strikeout walk
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: race here this month, so his walk rate has gone
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: up a little bit. He's walked multiple guys in every
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: outing this month, and he's gone a little bit less
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: deep into these games too. He's failed to make five
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: innings and two out of the three, so he's not
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: in the greatest form right now. He does have good
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: matchup numbers against the Reds for the most part. In
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: thirteen at bats, you only have two hits off him,
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: no extra base hits, but he has walked six of
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: them and three strikeouts, so three strikeout six walks against them,
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: one fifty four average, allowed five to seventy five ops.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: The matchup numbers do favorite Soroka, but I don't know
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: if I love it. I mean, he's not the pitcher
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: that's in the better form right now. I would probably
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: prefer Ladolo out of these two starters. But the money
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: is coming in towards Washington. Cincinnati is already down for
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: minus one forty to minus one twenty, and again some
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: of it is probably because of the price, because professional
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: better is probably looking at this thinking, well, I don't
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: think Cincinnati should be a favorite like this on the
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: road here eighty one percent of tickets, only sixty seven
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash. That changed a little bit, but
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: eighty and now sixty six are those two percentages now. Still,
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: it looks like Cincinnati is a public road favorite with
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: the money actual money coming in and fading them. So
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: some'th going to keep in mind there. If I was
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: going to do that, I would not want any part
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: of Washington's bullpen, though I would limit it to Washington
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings if I was gonna do that.
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: But Cincinnati might also be a little bit extra motivated
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: because they don't want to get embarrassingly swept by a
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: pretty bad Washington team. Man, So that's a game I'm
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: going to stay away from. I will give out a
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: play in the San Diego Miami game, which I'll get
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: back to in a minute, and hopefully my handicapping is
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: not wrong on that game. I think my handicapping was
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: right the other day when I still got the game
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: wrong with that first five I play that I gave
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: out of Miami another hit disparity that went our way
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: where the runs didn't go our way. Yesterday I also
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: did lean to Miami yesterday. They did win the game yesterday,
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is at Atlanta. I mean, I do have
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: to lean to Atlanta in this game. Atlanta won the
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: first game of the series nine to five, and then
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: they lost badly nine to nothing yesterday, which not a
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: good sign when you give up nine runs to a
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: Giants scene that has not been very capable offensively. But
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, what do you expect when you have Davis
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: Daniel pitching is that his name? I mean didn't look
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: like it was a good setup for the Braves yesterday,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: so in landa route for the Giants. I mean, anything
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: can happen with that guy on the mound. But now
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: I think the tide shifts back to Atlanta and this
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: one man, I mean, I would only look to the
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: Atlanta side in this game if I was gonna play
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: this game. Justin Verlanders pitcher for San Francisco. We know
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: he's gonna be in the Hall of Fame, but he's
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: just not cutting it anymore, man. And he's forty two
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: years old. He has shown glimpses of, you know, still
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: being able to get guys out here, but it just
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: is not working out. Really. Four point nine to ninety
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: ra now one point five to one, whip that's not
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: gonna cut it bad on the road. Five point sixty
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: seven roadyra San Francisco's lost his last six starts this month.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: He's failed to even make four innings and two of
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: his last three outings here. He's allowed twelve runs and
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: eleven and two thirds innings this month. That's not a
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: good sign. Even though the twelves are three strike a
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: walk ratio looks good, he's given up some hard hits. Man,
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: He's given up twenty three hits over that span, so
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: he's been extremely hittable. Even though his command looks okay,
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: It's like his velocity must not be there anymore. He's
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: not fooling guys, not throwing it past guys anymore. Not good.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: His career numbers are good against Atlanta and seventy seven
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: at bats twenty five to five strike at walk ratio
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: too a way to average, allowed five to eighty one ops.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: So yes, in the past he's been able to pitch
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: well against Atlanta, but this year, I mean, it happens
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: fast with some of these old pitchers. Member, they just
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: abruptly fall off a cliff, And maybe that's what's going
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: on with verl anders I would put less weight into
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: that track record that he has against Atlanta, and I
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: would be leaning towards the young talented Spencer Strider who's
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: pitching for the Braves here. He's obviously been the better
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: of the two pitchers this season three point five to
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: nine e RA, one point one five whip really good numbers,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: a two point seven five ERA at home, so the
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: splits are in his favor as well. Pitching well this month,
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: going at least six innings and all three outings. Last
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: four outings, he's gone at least six and all four
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: of those a lot three or fewer earned runs in
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: all of them. This month, he has a twenty five
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: to seven strike out walk ratios. Even though he is
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: a little bit wild at times, he does strike out
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: a ton of guys, so he has a lot of potential. Man.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's able to just fool major league hitters,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: and he's pretty much dominated the Giants in his career
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: so far. Fifty at bats, seventeen to six strike out
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, one sixty batting average allowed, five point ten ops.
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: Giants do have the better bullpen. They did use more
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: of their bullpen yesterday. Atlanta is a big favorite here.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: They're a big favorite for a reason, man. I mean,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: you don't usually see Verlander as a giant underdog like this,
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: but I think the oddsmakers know his time has come.
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: Atlanta does have the better offense as well, so I
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: would lean to Atlanta probably a run line play on
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: this if you wanted to do it, even though I
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: know they're at home. That means they're not gonna get
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: their final at bat, But that is the way that
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: I'm leaning. The money seems to agree seventy eight percent
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: of tickets eighty eight percent of the cash on the
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: Atlanta side. That is the way that I would look
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: to be leaning in that game. Detroit at Pittsburgh, I'm
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: gonna give out a play on that game too, So
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna jump ahead to Anaheim and the Mets. The
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: Mets have won both games in the series and won
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: three games in a row. I mean the series has
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: been fairly close in these two games, but again, the
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: Mets are looking for a sweet pier, so you do
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: have to see do they have a look ahead spot.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: They are playing San Francisco next. Even though San Francisco
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: not playing exactly that well recently, they still have a
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: good record, so it is possible the Mets gonna be
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: looking ahead a little bit to San Francisco here. The
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: Mets did use a lot of their bullpen yesterday, so
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: even though Anaheim has a terrible bullpend, the Mets bullpen
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: is not bad, but they are kind of used after
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: yesterday because again they've had to win some close games
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: in the series. So the bullpen usage not great for
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: the Mets. But all that being said, it looks like
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is going with a bullpen game here because Brock
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: Burke is their listed starter three point three eighty RA
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: one point three to five WHIP. He's been worse on
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: the road three point eight six e RA. But I
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: don't think he's gonna be in this game for more
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: than about an inning, maybe a little bit over an
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: inning at most, because he he's been a relief pitcher man,
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: so I mean, he's gonna be an opener today. So
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a bullpen game for Anaheim. And we
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: know how bad Anaheim's bullpen is, so I don't know
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: if that's what we want here Anaheim. I look at
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: their bullpend here, I mean they are here. They are
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: twenty seventh in a whip bullpen whip and their ERA
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: is I believe third worst is right with an ERA
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: over five. So this is a terrible bullpen. So is
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: that really what you want to deal with for an
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: entire game? Probably not if you're Anaheim. Probably not good.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: Sean Mania is gonna be pitching for the Mets. He
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: just came back two starts going. He's been pretty good
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: so far. Two point four or five ERA one point
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: zero nine whip. I mean, I'm not a fan of
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: his hair, though, I mean, what the fuck is this?
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: He's looking like fucking Eraserhead here with his hair. What
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: is up with that? Man? Maniah might want to do
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: something about that, bro. He's been good both home and away,
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: but again it's only two starts so far, where they're
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: still kind of ramping them up. Man, he hasn't got
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: a full starter's workload yet. He's gone four or fewer
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: innings of both outings so far. The Mets lost both
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: of them, but it wasn't his fault. He had a
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: thirteen to two strike out walk Racio on seven and
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: a third innings, which is pretty good. Very high strikeout
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: rate so far from Manaia, So it does look like
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: his stuff is there. It's just a matter of how
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: deep is he going to go into this game. We
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: don't really know, And his numbers against Anaheim are actually
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: not that good. In fifty six at back thirteen to
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: seven strike a walk ratio, Mike Trout has done a
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: lot of damage though three of the four home runs
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: Anaheim has against him or Mike Trout nine for twenty one,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: also has four walks off. But overall he's a lot
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: of three twenty one average to Anaheim nine to eighty
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: six ops. So I don't know if we could totally
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: trust Manaia either, even though he does look good. He
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: is in good form here, but if he's not gonna
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: be totally ramped up in this game. And it looks
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: like the money's coming in against the Mets. They have
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of ticket sixty three percent of the cash.
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: They're down for minus one eighty three to minus one
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: seventy one here on the big money line here, And
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: if that's the case, I think I'd be looking towards
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: an over in this game. Man. I mean, I don't
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: think the Mets are gonna have difficulty putting up runs
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: against an Anaheim bope end game. But if you think
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Minia is not gonna last that long in this game.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: His numbers aren't good against Anaheim and the Mets bopend
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: is not resting, and they're coming into this game after that.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: We could see some runs in this game. Total is
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: going up. Sitting at eight and a half with juice
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: to the over, he's headed to it's nine. It looks
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: like here eighty eight percent and tickets ninety seven percent
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over. Public will be on
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: the over in a game like this if they're playing it,
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: but they're as obviously they're not always wrong, and it's
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: probably not like I have an extremely heavy public play
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: as far as the number of bets are concerned. So
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: I'd be looking at do an over in this game,
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: or even maybe the Mets just team total over to
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: just you know, get to Anaheim's bad bullpen and bullpend game.
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: There probably the way to look in that game. Kansas
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: City against Chicago. You know what, Let me look at
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: this game real quickly, because I was looking towards maybe
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: a play on Kansas City in this game. Hold on,
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: am I gonna add yet another play here? Do I
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: have this many plays today? Let me see? I don't
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: want to have five plays today, do I? But maybe
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: I am. Maybe I'm just gonna do it. Man, let
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: me see, what's what does the market read look like
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: on this? We have the Cubs, I mean, it's close,
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: you know what. I think I'm gonna stay off of it,
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: but we do the Cubs up for minus one forty
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: three to minus one forty four, seventy five percent of
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty seven percent of the ash coming in of
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: the Cubs. I'm leaning against the Cubs though, as I
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: just kind of implied. The Cubs got drilled in the
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: first game of the series, which I kind of thought
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: that they would lose that game, but not twelve to four.
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: But the Cubs went with a bullpen game up against
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: the very good young pitcher Noah Cameron, so it wasn't
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: that surprising. Cubs turned around and shut out the Royals yesterday,
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: which was probably also kind of expected. With Boyd pitching
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: for Chicago yesterday, he was really good. Now you have
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: the clinching game of this series here, I believe the
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: deciding game seth Lugo's on the mound for Kansas City
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: and he's having a good season. I know the advanced
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: analytics guys don't like Seth Lugo. But I look at
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: his numbers and I'm like, he's doing this like over
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: the course of multiple seasons, man, and I don't have
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: a beef with any of these numbers. Two point nine
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: to four ERA, one point zero nine Whip. He's pitching well,
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse on the road, three point four
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: to nine Roady Ira Again. I mean, he's looked pretty good.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: Kids of City's won four of his last six starts,
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: even though Kids of City basically provides you no run support,
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: So some of that is the fact that he's pitching
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: well over his last how many starts is this going?
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: All the way back through the beginning of June. He's
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: allowed more than two ornred runs only once, which was
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: his last outing, and I think he just wasn't ready
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: to start that game. But he still went six innings,
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: five strikeouts, no walks. He just gave up five runs
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: to Miami. I think he got a little bit unlucky
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: as well, giving up two home runs. The home run
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: ball has been an issue this month. He's given up
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: five home runs this month. It's been kind of an
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: issue throughout the season as well, so that's kind of
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: the one issue with Lugo, but he keeps runners off
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: the base pass man. He has a seventeen to three
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk race YO this month, so his command is there,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: So I think Lugo. I mean, he's still pitching pretty well, man,
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: So I don't mind Lugo at all. And his numbers
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: are good against the Cbs, even though they're a good
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: offense career at bats against him a two thirty eight average,
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: allowed six fifty four ohps eleven to three strike out
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: walk ratio. So I'm kind of liking Lugo here, man,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: And you know me, if you watch my show, I
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: don't really believe in Colin Ray at all. His ERA
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: is good for the Cubs three point eight one point
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: two eight whip not awful, but I still don't really
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: trust him. He's slightly worse at home three point nine
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: to two ERA. And yes, I know, he hasn't been
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: giving up a whole lot of runs and the Cubs
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: have won. What is that seven of his last eight
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: starts the Cubs have won. His command was decent in June,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: but coming into July, even though he's allowed one run
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: apiece in three outings, he's got at least five innings
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: and all three starts. That's good, but his walk rate
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: has not been good. He has a fourteen to eight
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio this month. Even though he hasn't
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: allowed a lot of hits, he's putting a lot of
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: guys on base via the free pass. So I still
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: don't really trust Ray. Even though he's not giving up
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: that many runs in these recent starts, I still don't
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: believe in him. Man, I'm sorry. Even though the Royals
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: do suck offensively, they've been okay against Ray in forty
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: four at best. He does have a ten to one
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio, which is good. Royals have a
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: two point fifty average against him, which isn't that good,
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: But you do have a seven to twenty one. Ohps
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: Perez in India do at least have a home run
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: off him, and Wit has hit him pretty well as well. Pasquentino,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: some of those guys have hit him all right. So overall,
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: both bullpens I think are in similar rest shape as well,
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: by the way, and both bullpens are decent, so I
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: think the bullpen situation is a little bit of a wash. Obviously, Chicago,
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: the Cubs have the way better offense. Obviously, there's no
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: question about that. You're looking at basically the one of
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: the best offenses against one of the worst. So one
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: of the biggest offensive disparities you'll see. But I would
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: lean to Kansas City Man as the underdog in that one.
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: It's not gonna quite make my card, but that is
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: a that is a lean for me, and that's one
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: that is close to making my card. That one in
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: the Braves. I do like those. Zach, what's up man
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: talking about your Royals? Yeah, the Royals can't hit obviously.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: Rich hill I mean, pretty impressive man. For a forty
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: five year old doing that against a really good Cubs offense.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: I did not expect him to go five innings. I mean,
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: he wasn't terrific, But again, for a guy who's that old,
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, that is pretty impressive. I mean, you want
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: to me to talk about Rich hill I like Rich
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: hill Man. I mean he was on the Red Sox
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: for a while. I always kind of liked him. Yeah,
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: he went five innings. He allowed three runs, but only
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: one of them was earned. He only had one strike
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: on the two walks, which isn't that impressive really, I mean,
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: he's not striking guys out anymore, but that's not exactly
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: his thing anyway though, So still pretty impressive that he
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: did that and through ninety pitches. Man, as a forty
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: five year old, that's I thought he was gonna throw
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: like fifty pitches in the game. Man, I thought he
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: was gonna go like maybe three innings. So it was
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: crazy to see him do that. So congratulations to rich Hill,
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: man oldest player in Major League Baseball who's active right now.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: And one crazy stat is that, well, I saw a
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: few crazy stats. One is that rich Hill is closer
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: in age to Kansas City's manager than he is to
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: any of his teammates. His manager is seven years older
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: than him, and I think there's a nine year gap
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: between him and Seth Lugos, the oldest Kansas City Royal
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: player besides him, and Lugo's pitching today, so the two
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: old men are pitching. And then another crazy stat is
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: that rich Hill there's a potential that maybe he winds
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: up having a pitch against d Da Fuentes, who's the
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: young starter on the Atlanta Braves. He's the youngest starter
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: in Major League Baseball, I believe right now. Rich Hill
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: began his major league career. He made his major league
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: debut I believe two days before D. DA Fuentees was born.
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: So Rich Hill has been in the major since before D. D.
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: Fuent Does was born. It's crazy, man. I mean there's
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: a similar stat that you could say the same thing
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: about Ovechkin against Connor Bdard Man got in a fight
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: this year. Ovechkin in hockey, he was in the NHL
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: before Benard was born as well, so that it's all
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: this crazy stuff. Man. It's more likely to happen in hockey, though,
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: I think, because you get super young guys coming up
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: in hockey sometimes and guys play for foreverend hockey, which
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: is crazy. It's a man's sport, man, as physical as
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: it is. These guys play well into their forties in
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: hockey more often than I think they do in other sports.
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: So though you do see pictures do that for whatever
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: reason in baseball, even though you think their arm would
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: get totally blown out at that point. But sometimes it's
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: guys like rich Hill. It's guys like rich Hill, though,
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: don't like throw that hard really throughout their career. So
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: you know, Saint Louis at Colorado and what the hell
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: do we want to do with this game. I mean
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: probably an over in this game. I mean it landed
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: right on twelve yesterday. I don't really trust either bullpen,
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: and I don't trust either starting pitcher here, even though
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: we don't even know who the starting pitcher is for Colorado.
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: But I don't like Andre Pialante's gonna be you for
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: the Cardinals here. Four point seven to one ERA, one
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: point three four whip not good, a little bit better
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: on the road, four point four to five the IRA,
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: But he's pitching a corpse field here. And he's been
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: really bad over his last two starts, allowing twelve earned
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: runs over a span of ten and two thirds innings,
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: seventeen hits all out over that span, four strikeouts to
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: three walks. That's not going to cut it. Obviously, he's
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: not getting the job done. Saint Louis has lost his
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: last four starts as well. Up against Colorado. He actually
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: probably does have good numbers, because they suck offensively. No,
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: he doesn't twenty five at bats. I forget, man, because
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: I look at this when I do the handicapping, But
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: then I just kind of forget because I can't memorize
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: everything that quickly. But in twenty five at bats, Polante
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: has allowed a two eighty batting average and seven ninety
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: seven ops to Colorado. So that's not great either. In Colorado. Again,
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: we don't even know who their starter or is going
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: to be, so it'll be a spot start where a
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: bullpen game, or actually maybe they announced it. Oh it's
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Tanner Gordon. It's been announced Tanner Gordon is going to
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: be starter. So I guess we can go look at
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: him real quickly here, assuming he's on there a roster
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: here on ESPN. Tanner Gordon, where are you? Man? Nope?
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: I think they just brought him back up. God damn it, man,
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: Uh yeah, these are all the pitchers right, depth chart?
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: Do we have him on the depth chart? Let me
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: see he might be on the depth chart? Actually Nope,
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: apparently not. Let's find him, man, stupid ESPN. All right,
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: there he is Tanner Gordon. What do we got? Four
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: point two four era not bad by Colorado Rocky standards,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: one point three to five whip. He has pitched a
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: little bit this year four point three eighty I ran
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: home hasn't been I mean he doesn't have a huge
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: sample size to look at here. Really, he has a
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: ten to three strikeout walk ratio, which isn't really that bad.
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: Not really a strikeout guy. He's not really walking a
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: lot of guys though, but he does allow some hard hits.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: He's allowed a couple of home runs twenty hits at
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: seventeen innings. But he did face Detroit, the Yankees, and
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: Chicago Cubs, so he's faced three really tough lineup so far.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: So I guess really not that bad all things considering.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm surprised that he was down in the miners, Like,
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: why would you have this guy in the miners when
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: he's better than basically all of your other starters. I mean,
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: Colorado starters are that bad. And Cardinals actually have never
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: seen Gordon before, so I'm actually less tempted to want
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: to play an over here at the total. Now flipping
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: from eleven juice to the over, to eleven juice to
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: the under, I could potentially actually see taking a shot
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: with Colorado on the run line here. Man, I actually
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: think Gordon because he's unfamiliar to Saint Louis, which if
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: you have a young pitcher who's decent, they can tend
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: to fool those opposing hitters a little bit Saint Louis
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: is down for minus one nine to one seventy seven.
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: I really don't think with Polante on the mound, Saint Louis,
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: I don't think they should really be that heavy a
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: favorite on the road. And it's anybody, even a historically
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: bad Rockies team. Eighty two percent of tickets, only sixty
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash, So the public is on
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis and the money looks like it's fading that sentiments.
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: So I actually I am thinking now maybe the better
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: way to look at that is Colorado on the run
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: line and just take them to come within one run
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: in that game. I mean, they certainly would have the
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: ability to do that. Houston at Arizona, I mean this
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: is a the Let's go Brandon matchup, the Battle of
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: the Brandons. Arizona has lost both games in the series
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: so far. I went against the market read yesterday and
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: that one. I didn't give it out as a play,
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: but I said that I leaned to Houston in that
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: game yesterday and wound up being correct. Houston continues to
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: win with fromber Valdez on the mound. Houston has the
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: better bullpen. I mean both bullpens saw a little bit
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: of usage yesterday, but Arizona's bullpen is horrific, So Houston
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: does have the better bullpen, and Houston I think has
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: the better Brandon of the two as well. Brandon Walter
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: actually has been quite impressive this year three point six
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: six ERA, point nine to six whip. He's been worse
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: on the road though, four point eight to two Roady Ira,
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: and he's pitching against a good lineup in a hitter
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: friendly ballpark, so all things to keep in mind. Houston
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: has actually lost three his last three starts, all of
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: his starts this month, even though he's been pretty good
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: in two of them. His last two starts he allowed
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: two to one ear in run against Cleveland and Seattle
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: had fourteen strikeouts in one walk seventeen to one strike
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: out walk race here this month, twenty five to one
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: last month. So he's a guy that has just an
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: absurd strikeout walk ratio forty seven to three. On the season. Man,
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: his only problem has been he allows way too many
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: home runs. I mean, that's his problem. He's allowed a
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: home run in every start going all the way back
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: to the start of June, which he's got to keep
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: the ball in the park Man. That's the one issue
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: with him because the rest of his numbers are actually
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: really really good and Arizona's never seen him before. But
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: this is a home run conducive park, so he is
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: probably going to allow a home run in this game.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: But will he be able to keep Arizona's offense down otherwise? Maybe,
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: because again, he is a good pitcher the ability to
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: fool major league hitters with really good command, So I
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: think he does have the ability to do that in
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: a lineup that hasn't seen him before, might be at
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: a disadvantage again, so I don't mind Walter here. Brandon Fott.
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's the guy that's less of a mystery obviously,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: but he's still kind of a mystery, and that he's pitched.
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: He's just really underperformed this year based on what he's
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: done otherwise in his career. He has a four point
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: eight two ERA this year. His whip is getting a
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: little bit better one point two six. His numbers are
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: getting better. He's been better at home three point seven
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: to one ERA at home, and he has been good recently.
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: This month. He has an eighteen to two strike out
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: walk ratio two point five to seven ERA. He's gone
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: at least six innings in all three starts. Last two
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: starts he didn't walk anybody, and he only allowed eight
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: hits in the last fifteen innings, only allowed two runs
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: over that span with ten strikeouts and no walk. So
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty good recently, but small sample sized Houston
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: has actually destroyed him. In twelve at bats. He's a
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: lot of five eighty three batting average to them in
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: a thousand and three to ninety three oh ps two
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: to two strike a walk ratio, So Houston's not that
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: familiar with them. When they have seen them, they've lit
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: them up. So I mean, does that mean I'm slightly
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: leaning to Houston to Am I slightly leaning to Houston
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: here to win to a sweep Arizona. Sorry, I'm distracted.
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at the market read here. You know what
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do. I'm not gonna give out either run
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: line play man. I'm gonna limit myself to two plays today.
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be more selective here, so I will talk
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: about those two games as well. I apologize for that.
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at the market reads now and I'm like, yeah,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: I don't think I want to do it. Sometimes I'm
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: waiting for like a market read on some of these
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: to figure out, like what do I actually want to
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: do in some of these games here? So I am
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: gonna still go with the other two plays though I
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: think today I think they do what makes sense, although
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: when we get to them, I will let you know.
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: Hopefully I don't wind up with just one play today.
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: I mean that would be really really crazy. Okay, So
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: let's yeah, I think it's still gonna be the two.
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: So what am I? Oh? Yeah, Mark cold read Here
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: on this Brandon game, the market is saying Arizona. They're
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: offer minus one fifteen to minus one nineteen fifty four
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: percent of ticket seventy one percent of the cash coming
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: in on Arizona. So the money seems to like Arizona
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: in this case. Think they're gonna come out with fire
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: avoid the sweep. I'm not so sure, man. I mean,
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: Houston's offense isn't that much worse than Arizona's. Houston does
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpen, and I think they have the
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: better of the two Brandons here, so I would slightly
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: disagree with that. Again, yesterday, the market reeve was on
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: Arizona too, and I didn't really agree with it, So
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: I'm still gonna kind of disagree with that in this game.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: And yeah, I mean that's just the way that I
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: look at it. All right, let's skip back to those games.
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: I was gonna give out a play San Diego Miami.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: I was gonna give out the San Diego run line,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: but the total is really low in this one, and
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: now I'm just gonna kind of avoid it unless I
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: want to give on a money line play. But I
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: don't think I want to do that either. So I
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: lean to San Diego in this game, but I think
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: I don't quite want to do it, because again, san
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: Diego is a public side. You do have to lay
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: a price on the road. But I think I like
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: San Diego in this Gamian. First of all, they have
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen over Miami. I mean, San Diego is
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: a significantly better bullpen than Miami. That is one of
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: their big advantages. Offensively, I think these two teams are
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: actually fairly close because San Diego's offense is really kind
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: of fallen off and Miami's isn't that bad, So I
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: would still give San Diego. I think their hitting stats
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: are actually really bad, Like if you look at their
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: numbers here. San Diego's twenty third in OPS, so that's
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: not a great sign, and Miami's actually eighteenth, so Miami
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: actually has a better OPS and a better batting average.
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: So the stats say Miami actually has a better offense
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: across their entire team, which is crazy to think about
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: because I think talent wise, I think you have to
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: give the offensive edge slightly to San Diego. But I
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: still like San Diego and I still think they have
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching edge with Dylan Ceese, even though he's
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: been not as good at all this year. He was
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: way better last year. Last year he was really good.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: This year not so much. Four point six four ERA
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: one three whip and he's been pretty bad on the
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: road five point six' Eight Roady, ram so he's really
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: struggled away From San. Diego but he does still have
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: his strikeout stuff, Man and this, month even though he's
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: a bad five point one to ninety ram a twenty
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: two to three strike out walk ratio is pretty. Impressive.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: Man the problem has really been the home. Runs he's
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: allowed five home runs this, month and without that he
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: wouldn't have allowed as many runs, obviously so that's been the.
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: Issue his command has been. There his strikeout rates been
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: high last time. Out he didn't give up any, runs
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: although he was inefficient with his, pitches and he only
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: went five and a third but shut Out washington with ten,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: strikeouts no, walks four hits allowed in five and a,
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: third so not. Bad SO i don't think he's in
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: the worst form, Really and he does have good numbers
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: Against miami small sample, size but eighteen at bats five
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: to one strike out walk, ratios zero extra base hits,
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: allowed one sixty seven average and three seventy seven ops
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: so cease has ceased The miami bats from hitting at,
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: least and he's up Against sandy Al, contra who he's
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: been one of the guys mentioned as a trade target
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: for The Red, sox AND i just don't know why
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: they would do, that. MAN i, mean his days of
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: being a cy young candidate are completely. Gone he's had multiple,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: injuries multiple, surgeries and he's shown no signs of being
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: able to get his stuff, back even though it looks
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: like his velocity isn't down that much at this. Point
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: but he's just not fooling. Hitters these hitters can hit, fastballs,
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: man so velocity isn't the only, thing even though it
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: is one thing that you want to look, at because
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: you do want a guy that's that has velocity that's
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: good enough to blow a fastball by an opposing, hitter you,
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: know throwing up and in and. Whatever but major league
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: hitters they can definitely hit the, fastball and they concentrate
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: on that more, Now so you do need to have
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: good off speed. Stuff his stuff just hasn't been, working.
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Man his numbers are. Terrible seven point one FOUR, era
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: one point four to NINE. Whip he has been better
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: at home at, least but still five point three seven
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: E ra doesn't inspire much. Confidence this, month he has
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: a seven point nine to FOUR. Era he's allowed four
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: or more on runs of four straight, starts a ten
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: to five strike out walk ratio this. Month, again that's
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: not gonna cut. It that's not getting the job. Done.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: Man he's allowing a lot of, hits just way too.
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: HITTABLE i don't see what there is to really like
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: About alcontra for The Red sox trade, purposes or for
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: this game for that, matter for that. Matter and he
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: might have that. Trade the trade rumors might be in
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: his head, too, man so it might be a little
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: bit of a distraction where they're talking about him potentially getting.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: Traded but then, again it might actually make him want
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: to pitch better because he's, thinking, oh, well if a
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: team wants to target me in a, trade LIKE i
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: want to get out Of miami because they're not going
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: anywhere this, year so MAYBE i should pitch better and
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: impress you, know these other, teams LIKE i want to
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: play for, contender you know WHAT i, mean that type of.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: Thing SO i could see that going both ways as
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: far as his mental. State but the REASON i like
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: San diego, HERE i, mean his numbers are just really
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: bad Against San diego in sixty eight career at bats
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: ten to eight strike out walk. Ratio that's not. Good
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: three thirty eight average allowed not, good eight fifty eight
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: ohps not. Good So San diego has hit him really.
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: WELL I machado seven for Twelve Offen bogarts five for
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: eleven with a home. Run, hey why why Wouldn't why
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: can't The Red sox get somebody Like bogarts? Man let
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: me come? On so, anyway, Yeah San, diego they're. Hitters
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: if you want some player, PROPS i, mean you could
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: maybe look towards those two, guys BUT i do not
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: Like miami in this. Game, man but the market read
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: looks like it's well, now it looks like it's on and,
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: again SHOULD i SHOULD i still do? This let's look
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: at what the best way to play this. Is Maybe
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: i'll give out an early. Play i'm all over the
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: place with my mental state right. NOW i, apologize, man
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: BUT i do like San diego in this game for
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: the most. Part let me, Look i'm looking at an
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: action network here real, quick BECAUSE i want to see
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: what the lines are on. This this is me handicapping
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: in real. Time. MAN i have to pay minus one
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: fifty to get them on The, yeah we'll play them
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: on the run. Line you know, What fuck, it let's
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: go San diego run line here on this. One that'll
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: be a play for. Me it'll be, uh San diego
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: minus one and a half at plus one point, FIFTEEN
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: i think is what you can get on. This SO i,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: Apologize i'm typing it in. There it. Is fuck, it
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: let's do. It the money looks like it's coming in that.
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: Way seventy percent, tickets eighty nine percent of the, cash
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: rough of minus one thirty eight to minus one forty.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: Three So i'll give you an early play on the
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: show on that, one and then the other play THAT
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: i wanted Is i'm gonna stay away from the other
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: one just because the market. Read BUT i Like detroit
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Against pittsburgh for. ONCE i KNOW i Liked pittsburgh in
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: the other two. GAMES i gave Out pittsburgh in the
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: skiings game in the first game of the, series and
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: Then Mitch keller pitched well for them yesterday, Too SO
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: i should have given out another play In pittsburgh yesterday Because.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: PITTSBURGH i was right about both of those. Games pittsburgh
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: is now on the version of Sweeping. Detroit BUT i
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: think this might finally be a situation Where detroit comes
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: out and they actually are able to win and avoid
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: the sweep here, man even THOUGH i Know pittsburgh is
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: at least a little bit better at, Home detroit is
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: not as good on the. Road But detroit is still
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: the better of these two. Teams they have the better
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: bullpen and the better, OFFENSE i would, say or Actually.
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh maybe not Actually, PITTSBURGH i did mention had a
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: slightly better bullpen Than detroit coming into this. Series ALTHOUGH
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: i think it is. CLOSE i Think detroit has more
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: talent in their. Bullpen But detroit certainly has a way
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: better offense Than. Pittsburgh but you do have to lay
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: a favorite price if you Like, detroit ALTHOUGH i do
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: indeed Like detroit in this. Game let's break it down
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: here real. Quick so, AGAIN i do Think detroit is
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: gonna come motivated here to try to avoid the sweet
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: pier Against. Pittsburgh Troy melton is pitching For detroit, here,
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: man and he is going to be making his major league.
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: Debut AND i looked at his minor league stats this.
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: YEAR i think he's mostly been In TRIPLE a this,
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: year and he has AN era in the. TWOS i
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: believe he has a whip THAT'S i believe it's lower
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: than ONE i want to, say or it's somewhere in
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: the low. Ones and he has like eighty something strikeouts
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: and sixty something and he's, pitched so he has been
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: racking up a lot of. Strikeouts so he's a decent. Prospect.
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: MAN i think he is ready to perform at the
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: major league. Level. Man you know WHAT i always say
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: about these prospects that are pretty, good they tend to
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of an edge when they're facing
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: offenses that haven't seen him, before and he gets to
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: face a pretty Weak pittsburgh, offense SO i think that
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: is a good. Sign he's Facing pittsburgh, here SO i
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: kind of like. That so that's WHY i Like detroit
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: here man for those, reasons even THOUGH i think maybe
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: you're paying too much BECAUSE i thought with an unknown
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: guy Like melton on The, MOUNT i thought maybe you'd
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: get a cheaper price On, detroit although in this game
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: we're actually getting the most expensive price that was seen
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: in the series On. DETROIT i Think pittsburgh was a
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: favorite in the other two, games and now they're an,
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: underdog which is probably why the money seems to be
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: disagreeing With detroit seventy four percent of tickets only sixty
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: two percent of the. Cash so of Course detroit's gonna be.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: Public the public's gonna look at this and be, like,
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: well there's no Way detroit's getting. Swept Although i'm saying
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: that in this game as well BECAUSE i happen to
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: like the starting pitching matchup For detroit. Here SO i,
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: mean you could go first five innings on this if
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: you wanted, to BUT i would probably still go full
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: game On detroit to avoid the swing IF i was
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: gonna do, it ALTHOUGH i will stay off of it
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: just because the market read looks like it's not quite.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: There but, YEAH i MEAN i Like. Detroit i'm just
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: checking the market, read making making sure My San diego
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: thing is still looking alright. Here but, yeah as far
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: As detroit is, Concerned, YEAH i, MEAN i still like The.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: Melton he doesn't have a huge uh like pitching arsenal,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: though so he does throw really. Hard he throws mid
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: to upper nineties for the most. Part he can reach
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: one hundred on the, gun so he's a hard, thrower although,
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: again major league hitters can hit those. Fastballs he does
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: have a slider and then a, CURVEBALL i, guess BUT
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: i guess those are still kind of pitches that he
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: needs to work on a little. Bit but it does
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: look like they're working in the miners, man because he's
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: been fooling guys pretty well at the minor league. Level
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: SO i do think he's. READY i do expect him
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: to be good. Here maybe we would use a wait
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: and see approach with. Him Bailey falter is pitching For.
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh he's not their worst starter FOR era one point
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: two to two. Whip he's not, great but he's not.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: Terrible he's decent at home three point six FIVE i
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: Have Homi pittsburgh has lost his last three outings, though
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: and not a good sign when two of them were
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: Against Kansas city and The White. Sox he gave up
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: seven runs in eight and two thirds innings across those two,
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: starts four home runs, allowed twelve hits allowed in those two,
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: starts and those are bad. Offenses and he only had
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: a five to four or five to three strike a
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: walk ratio and those two, starts excuse, me and almost twelve.
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: Hits and he didn't do well Against seattle to start
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: before that really, either allowing three home runs in That seattle.
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: Park that's not good. Either So falter has been faltering this.
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: MONTH i, mean he's not in good form right. Now
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: so he's not really a guy That i'd want anything
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: to do. With And detroit has raked against him in
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: twenty three at. Bats it is a small sample, size
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: so they have three home runs off of, him although
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: two of them are by as three forty eight batting
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: average against him in one, thousand two forty five. Ohps
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: so those are the reasons WHY i actually do Like
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: detroit in this, game and for a bunch of. Reasons
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: BUT i, MEAN i think they have a big starting
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: pitching edge in this. Game because of, that you're gonna
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: have to worry about what Is melton gonna do in this?
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: One so if you do Like, detroit you can actually
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: get him in a decent money. Line price it minus
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: one thirty. Four though, again LIKE i, said maybe that's
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: a little bit too. Expensive you can knock the price
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: down a little bit if you want to go run
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: line and pay plus one twenty six or plus one
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: twenty five, whatever and you could split half the bet
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: run line half the bet money. Line but you know,
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: ME i like to play in some of these guys
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: that are good prospects in their major league. Debuts SO
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: i definitely lean To detroit in this. One but the
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: market read at least on a pregame, here is completely
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: against the money. IS i, mean it's dropped a big
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: time down for minus one thirty five to minus one twenty.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: Three SO i GUESS i will stay away from that. One,
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: david what's up, Man thanks for hanging. Out, Okay, yeah
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: So i'll stay off of that, one BUT i do
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: lean To. Detroit in that game and against the. Market
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: read there all. Right, now going back to WHERE i
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: Was milwaukee And, Seattle i'm gonna skip BECAUSE i am
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: given out a play on that. Game minnesota and The.
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: Dodgers oh my, God dodgers lost ten to seven, yesterday, man.
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: CRAZY i MEAN i MENTIONED i kind of thought it
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: might be a high scoring game BECAUSE i think both
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: of these bullpens are pretty, bad. Man and both bullpens
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: saw a lot of usage yesterday. Too so if you're
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: looking at today's, GAME i think you want to either
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: fade the bullpens or not factor them into your, handicap
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: like go with some first five inning player or, something
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: if you're going with the full game. Over if you're
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: going with an, OVER i would go full game, obviously
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i don't trust either of these. Bullpens AND i
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: don't Trust Chris paddock. Either who's gonna be pitching for
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: The twins five point one FOUR era one point three
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: to one. Whip he had a good start to the,
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: season BUT i think that it was A i think
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: that it was pretty much. FRAUDULENT i, mean he hasn't been.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: Good he hasn't been good on the road five point
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: eight One road. Era he's been giving up a lot of.
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: Runs he's given up eleven runs in the last two
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: starts over his last ten innings granded it was against
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: The cubs and then a course, feel but still three
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: on the runs all out over that. Span seven to
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: three strike out walk ratio is not very impressive. Either
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: he's been getting lit up in a lot of. Starts
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: minnesota has been really poor behind him as. Well they've
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: lost nine of his last eleven. Starts so, again part
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: of it is because they can't, hit so he's not
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: getting run, support but part of it is him that
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: he's not pitching that well, either and he is not
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: going that deep into these games. Anymore he's gone five
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: or fewer innings in every start going all the way
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: back to Mid. June it's not a good sign for A.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: Paddock numbers against The dodgers mediocre fifty three at bats
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: two sixty four average, allowed seven to sixty five, ops
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: seven to two strikeout walk ratios some not. GREAT i,
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: mean The dodgers certainly do have the ability to hit, him.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: Obviously The dodgers have the better starter on the mound
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: With Tyler Glas. No three point one O E ra
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: one point one four. Whip he's coming back from. Injury
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: he's been pitching well man since he's come. Back two
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: point FIVE era at home this. Year his last two
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: starts since he came back from, injury we're both Against,
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: milwaukee and, yes The dodgers lost both of those, games
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: but certainly wasn't his fault because he went eleven innings
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: and against that pretty good. Offense he held him the six,
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: hits one earned, run had eleven, strikeouts four walks a
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: little bit, high but, uh three of them were in
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: that first start where maybe he was kind of trying
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: to get back into the rhythm of. Things SO i
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: Think glasnow is going to be good. Here he's facing
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: a much Weaker minnesota lineup and he has absolutely dominated
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: them in his, history and fifty one at bats he's
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: only given up seven hits to. Them one extra base
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: hit is a home run To Royce, lewis but other than,
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: that he's completely shut them. Down twenty six to, one
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: strike up walk ratio against him one thirty seven average
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: and ridiculously low three point fifty oh. Ps. GLASNO i,
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: mean he's still the real deal and he should have
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: the upper hand in this pitching matchup, here but you're
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: having to lay a huge price with The, dodger so
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in against them, again WHICH i
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: don't really understand That dodgers, now for mind his two
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: thirty five to minus two oh three eighty five percent of,
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: tickets only seventy percent of the cash money coming in
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: against The. Dodgers the way That i'd probably look at
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: this game IS i would probably Go minnesota first five
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: under their team. TOTAL i would probably get that granular
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: with it and go with what the best matchup looks
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: like it, is which is glasnow to completely dominate The minnesota.
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: Offense looks like it's the right approach, There so that's
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: probably the way THAT i would. GO i could see
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: also going with like A dodgers run line in the
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: first five, innings but it might be a little bit
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: of an expensive price tag on. That so that's kind
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: of the WAY i look at. That baltimore At cleveland,
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: obviously first of, ALL i don't really trust either of these.
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: BULLPENS i, Mean baltimore's is. Bad both bullpens have seen
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: some usage. Here cleveland has actually won three in a,
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: row and they've actually won six in their last seven.
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: Games they've actually won ten of their last, twelve So
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: cleveland is surprisingly hot right, now and they're actually in
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: second place in their division at five, under WHICH i
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: think is. Misleading cleveland's offense is still really, bad even
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: though they have been hitting a little bit better. Recently
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: it is possible That baltimore shows up for this. Game,
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: well actually they play again, tomorrow SO i was thinking
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: this was the end of the, series but it is,
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: not So baltimore is still trying to get a win
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: in the series to avoid the. Sweep. Though Zach eflin
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: is coming back off the injured list to pitch For baltimore,
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: here but he struggled this. Year five point nine to FIVE,
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: era one point four to four whip is not very,
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: good bad on the road six point two to Five ROADY,
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: ira So i'm not really about to Trust eflyn going
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: into his. Injury he'd allowed four or more earned runs
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: and three straight, outings and two of them he didn't
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: even go past three, innings and two of them one
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: of THEM i think is where he got hurt in
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: The Tampa bay, game and maybe the injury is kind
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: of factoring into how badly he was. Pitching but he's
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: the guy that puts up like pretty good strike out walk.
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: Numbers he does not walk a lot of, guys but
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: he gives up a lot of hard. Hits he's given
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: up well over one hit per, inning giving up a
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: lot of home. Runs so that's E. Flyn he gives
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: up a lot of hard. Contact, Man that's That's. Eflin
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: terrible up Against. Cleveland, here his numbers Against, cleveland WHIS
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: i just clicked myself off of. It up Against, cleveland
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: he doesn't have good numbers either in twenty six at.
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: Bats it is a small sample, size but three o
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: eight average a lot of nine to seventy three. Ops
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: that's not great, Either so not liking how this looks For.
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: Efflyn here he's going up Against Slade, chacone who's pitching
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: pretty decently For cleveland h three point eight FOUR, era
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: one point two to three. Whip he's been really bad
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: at home, though five point FOUR era at, home although
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: it's still a fairly small sample, size but maybe he's
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: starting to fall out a form a little. BIT i,
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: mean he'd give up six runs last time out against The,
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: a's but he did do it over eight and a third,
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: inning So cleveland just let him go and they just
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: let him roll in that. Game he's thrown around one
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: hundred pitches in three straight outings, now so they are
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: really just letting him go at it, Man so they're unleashing,
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: him which is a decent, sign and he was pitching
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: pretty well in the prior. Starts he does still have
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: a sixteen to four strike a walk raight shure this,
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: month which isn't too, bad so maybe you him a
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: little bit of a pass on That a's start. There
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: he's pitching all. Right baltimore hasn't seen that much of,
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: him but in eight at bats they are four to,
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: eight often with A mullins home run five hundred average
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: fifteen hundred oh. Ps So chaconi hasn't done particularly well
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: Against baltimore in a limited sample. Size and BECAUSE i
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: don't trust either, BULLPEN i think you're probably looking at
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: an over in this. Game the total is reasonable at
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: eight and a, half sixty seven percent of ticket seventy
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash coming in on the. OVER
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: i would agree with the, over AND i wouldn't really
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: disagree With cleveland, either BECAUSE i Think chaconi is, preferable
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: preferable To eflyn Leaving cleveland's bullpen IN i, MEAN i
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: still think they're probably the better. Bullpen even though they
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit, unrested they probably still have
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: the bullpen edge Over baltimore as. Well SO i could
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: see the argument For cleveland as, well which is seemingly
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: where the money is. Coming they're off for just one
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: to fifteen to my just won twenty. Five plus they
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: are hot right now and baseball is. Streaky sixty percent,
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: tickets seventy percent of the cash coming in On. Cleveland
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: although you know, Me i'm a, contrarian SO i have
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: to counter that with me, saying, WELL i don't want
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: to play on the hot team necessarily because the hot,
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: team you're gonna have to be paying more for that hot.
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: Team my bust In Red sox At, philadelphia trying to
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: avoid the sweep Against. Philadelphia this is THE Espn Night.
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: Game Red sox have had a tough goal of, it,
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean they had to Face wheeler And, sanchez
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: so they had to Face philadelphia's two best. Starters maybe
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: they get a little bit of a reprieve Against, luzarda
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: who hasn't been as. Good we'll see what The Red
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: sox can do in this one Man giolito was gonna
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: be pitching for The Red. Sox philadelphia got a complete
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: game From sanchez last. Night sanchez was excellent last. Night
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: sanchez is turning into any elite pitcher, man SO i,
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: mean there's nothing else to really say about. That he
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: should have been on The All star. Team So philadelphia
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: was right about. That they weren't right About, suarez but
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: they were right about About. Sanchez Red sox didn't use
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: a ton of their bullpen yesterday either, though because they were.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: Losing so the bullpen scenario isn't really terrible for either,
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: team even THOUGH i Know philadelphia's bullpen isn't really that,
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: good but both bullpens probably have their better relievers available
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: here after last night's. Game gielito has actually started pitching
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: fairly well for The Red sox after a really rough
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: start to this. Season he's got a three point five
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: nine yr one point two to four. WHIP i actually
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: been better on the road two point five to five y.
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: R his worst starts have basically all been At. Fenway
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: he's coming off getting tagged for four runs against The,
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: cubs but that was a tough assign at a road
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: game against a good. Offense but so is. This this
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: is a road game against a good. Offense but prior to,
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: that he had not allowed more than tourn runs in any,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: start going all the way back to Early. June he'd
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: actually allowed one or fewer in five of those six,
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: starts and he was pitching quite well for The Red,
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: sox and they had won all but one of those starts as.
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: Well so and that was the one where actually you,
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: know they won all of, them, right they won all
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: of them except for the the one where he gave
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: up to urn runs Against San, francisco WHICH i skipped
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: over that in my. Apologies but, yeah Gi alito was
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: pitching well up until that last. Start he does have.
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: Well he has interesting numbers Against. Philadelphia let's, say at
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: one hundred and eight at, best he's held him to
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: a two oh four, average which is really. Low but
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: when they have hit, him they've hit him. Hard they
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: have eight home runs off, him a twenty six to
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: thirteen strike a walk ratio on a pretty high seven
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: eighty nine. Ops so you usually don't see an average
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: that low allowed by a picture with AN ops that
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: high allowed by a pictuer in that same sample of,
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: HITTERS i, mean that's kind of a crazy. Disparity so
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: it's like he doesn't allow that many, hits but the
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: hits that he does allow and the walks all add
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: up to him allowing a lot of bases to The,
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: phillies which isn't Great, lozardo AS i mentioned his pitching For,
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: philly he's really dropped off after a hot start to
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: the season four point two to NINETY rra now one
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: point four to three whip is really. Bad at, home
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: he's been worse four point eight yar, ra so The
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: Red sox do at least have the advantage in the
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: splits this. Month in three, starts he's failed to go
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: five innings in two of those. Starts he has a
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: five point nine THREE era this, month still a very
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: high strike got rate of eighteen by a high walk
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: rate as well of six in thirteen to two thirds
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: in addition to allowing sixteen, hits so he's been getting knocked.
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: Around he's been a little bit. Wild he has not
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: been pitching as well, man So luzardo is trailing. Off
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: he's been good against The Red sox and a small
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: sample well actually similar To, gilito he has a good
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed to thirty, one but a high ops
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: seven to seventy, two although this isn't a smaller sample
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: of twenty, six so the home runs do more. Damage
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: and it's all From, bregman who has both of the
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: home runs he's. Allowed he also has a six to
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: three strike a walk ratio against The Red, sox so,
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: THIS i, mean this is a stay away from me
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: for sure as far as uh, YEAH i MEAN i
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: might even slightly lean to The Red sox to be,
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: Honest philly's sitting in the minus one forty five. FAVORITE i,
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: mean this is the cheapest price that you're getting On
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: philly in this. Series BUT i think it's that cheap
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: for a. Reason fifty three percent to take a seventy
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: six percent of cash coming in on The Red sox
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: wouldn't necessarily disagree, with just BECAUSE i do Think giolito
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: is the pitcher that's in the better. Form but we'll
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: see what, happens, man and maybe you could leave The
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: Red sox bullpen in there as. Well Red sox offense
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: is not quite as good on the, road though their
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: offense is not, bad but it's definitely better at home
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: than it is on the. Road we Have yankees At,
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: toronto and unfortunately for me as A Red sox, fan
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: The yankees finally Broke toronto's win streak against, them and
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: had to do it with a late run to Beat
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: toronto in a close five to four final, yesterday which
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: is a game WHERE i had the under and it
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: landed right on the. Number gave that out as a
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: play on the. Show yankees in this game probably have
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching edge in this, game but we'll dig
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: into it in a. SECOND i think a lot of
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: bullpen used to just happen though in this. Series, man
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: so the bullpens are fairly TAXED i think coming into this.
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: Game SO i would not want to deal with the. Bullpens,
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: well let me make sure of. That Sometimes i'm like
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: misremembering things THAT i saw earlier. Today, yeah both, bullpens
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: especially The. Yankees The yankees used a lot of their bullpen.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Yesterday toronto not so. Much, Actually toronto probably has the
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: bullpen advantage in this, game BUT i don't think they
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: have to starting pitching. Advantage Max free is pitching for The, yankees.
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: Obviously he is their ace two point four to THREE
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: era one point zero one. Whip he's been. Good he's
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: been pretty good both home in a, way a little
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: bit worse on the road two point five to EIGHT
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: roadyra but he's actually been worse this. Month he has
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: a six point four to THREE era this, month including
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: a start Against toronto which was the only one of
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: those starts where he went more than five, innings but
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: he did allow four runs to him, runs only had
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: a two to two strike out walk ratio in that,
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: game so he wasn't really that good in that. Start
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: he has faced some tough Offenses Toronto Mets, cubs but
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: he's Facing toronto again here only as a nine to
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: six strike at walker raceio this, month and he's allowed
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: three or more runs in all three starts and fifteen
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: hits in fourteen, innings tenor in runs. Loud he's definitely
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: starting to fall off a little, bit WHICH i said
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: his numbers would not remain as elite as they were
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: early in the. Season he is still good, though and
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: he does still have good numbers Against toronto overall in
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: seventy six at, bats eleven to three strike at walk,
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: ratio one to eighty four batting, average a lot of
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: four to sixty five. Ops so you have to kind
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: of weigh match up versus current form, here like which
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: one do you think is gonna win out? Here For
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: Max freed, ME i think he's probably gonna pitch fairly
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: well in this, Game so that's kind of the way
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: THAT i lean AND i prefer him Over Chris, bassett
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: WHO i know he has pretty decent numbers this, year
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: even though he's a thirty six year old who's kind
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: of reinvented. Himself bassett is a weird pitcher who does
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: rely on fooling. Hitters he doesn't throw that, hard but
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: he has basically like nine different pitches that he. Throws
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: because he throws a fastball that he changes the movement
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: on the fastball in like a whole bunch of different,
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: ways which keeps hitters off balanced even though it's not
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: a really hard, fastball but that's the way that he.
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: Pitches three point eight NINE era obviously is, good but
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: a one point three to six whip is not as,
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: good so he does put runners on. Base but he
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: has also been good at home two point five to
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: three HOME, era and he is pitching well this month
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: with a one point eight nine this, Month toronto's won
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: three of his four starts this, month including one against The,
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: yankees and he has a sixteen to four strike out
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: walk razuer this. Month one against The yankees was the,
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: worst the worst of those, starts and he had a
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: shortened outing against The, a's so he's actually made three
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: starts this, month and he made one relief appearance against The,
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: a's Which toronto did that to keep him on schedule
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: throughout The All star, break which is WHY i kind
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: of liked. That and then he came out and he
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: shut Out San, francisco although he did get hit around
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: for ten, hits but he kept them off the. BOARD
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: i was starting against The, yankees he had nine strikeouts
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: and five and two, thirds so he was fooling The yankee,
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: hitters although he did walk three and give up three
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: runs and eight, hits so it wasn't all good for
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: him in that. Start and, overall The yankees actually hit
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: him well and one hundred and fifteen at bats three
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: oh four average. Allowed they have five home runs off,
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: Him grisham has two and his four to fourteen off
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: him three h four average, allowed eight to ninety three
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: ops and thirty six to fourteen strike out walk, Ratio
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: SO i do Think freed does have the upper hand Over. Bassett,
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: yeah starting pitching, matchup the BULLPENS i think start to
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: shift in the direction Of toronto, though SO i would
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: say Maybe yankees' first five inning is looking towards that.
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: Direction might make sense to just avoid The yankees. Bullpen
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: they are off for might as one thirty five to
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty six sixty two ticket sixty eight percent
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: of the cash on The, yankees so the money is
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: kind of coming in on The yankee side as. Well.
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: There White sox At Tampa. Bay Tampa bay got the
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: win yesterday after lose in the first game of this.
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: Years they barely won four to, three AND i think
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: they used a lot of their bullpen Was rasmussen again
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: was limited and only went four. Innings SO i don't
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: know What Tampa bay is doing With rasmussen or what
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: the case is, there BUT i Think Tampa bay their
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: bullpend is an arrest disadvantage here at the very. Least
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: Jonathan cannon will be pitching for The White sox. Here
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: he's been. Mediocre four point One Adra, caleb what's up?
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: Man thanks for hanging out four point ONE adra For
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: cannon one point three to eight whip is definitely a
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: bit too. High he's been worse on the road as,
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: well four point five to THREE r and he's a
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: lot eight of the twelve home runs he's allowed on the,
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: road although it's been in a lot more, innings but,
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: still this is a home run friendly ballpark here In Steinbrenner,
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: field SO i don't know if we could Trust cannon
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: in that. Respect but he's actually been decent recently with
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: The White, sox even though they're a shit. Team The
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: White sox have won four starts in a row of
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: his although they were all against bad Offenses San, Francisco, Colorado, Cleveland,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh even though The colorado one was At Course. Field
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: he went five innings or more in the last three of,
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: them and over those last four, starts he didn't allow
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: more than two earned runs in any of, them so
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: he is at least keeping the opponent run totals, down
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: but again against bad, offenses eight to five strike a
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: walk ratio this month isn't very. Impressive he just doesn't
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: strike guys. Out Though, cannon As i've said, before is
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: not an appropriate name for him because he does not
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: have a cannon for an. Arm he does not throw.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: Hard he relies on like, location but he's been getting
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: the job done none of the over the recent, starts
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: And tampa is a little bit better, offensively but not that.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: Much tampa really hasn't seen much of. Him they only
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: have five at bats. Off i'm only two of their
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: Batters i've ever seen him. Before they're one for five
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: with a, single two, strikeouts no. Walks so Maybe cannon
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: will have a little bit of an extra edge there
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: Because tampa has not seen him. Before, andrew what's, up?
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: Man that's? Right, YEAH i. THINKS i thinks for hanging out, man,
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: dude single. LADIES i like married women, though, man and
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: they like. Me I'm i'm a home. Wrecker, PROBABLY i don't.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: Know we'll, see BUT i don't. KNOW i like to
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: talk to married women. THOUGH i mean that's JUST i,
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: Mean i'm not doing that necessarily, intentionally that's just. THEY
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: i don't, know, man they like me for whatever. Reason
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: Taj bradley pitching For tampa. Here he's been mentioned as
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: A Red sox trade. Target. MAN i think he's at
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: least better than all. Contra BUT i still don't really Like.
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: Bradley he has okay. Numbers this year four point three
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: five yard rare one point two for. WHIP i think
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: he has a higher ceiling at this point than on.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: CONTRA i, Mean bradley's a younger guy who has much
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: more room for. Improvement he's been doing okay, Here, Kyle,
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: yeah that's right my, game, Man it's it's mostly it's
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: LIKE dm game for the most, PART. Taj bradley's been
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: worse at home, THOUGH i, mean, again it's a tough
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: stadium to pitch. In he's allowed eight of his twelve
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: home runs that he's allowed in this stadium as, well
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: and he has almost the same number of innings pitched
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: both home and, away so that's more of an indicator
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: there that he's not as good at home four point
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: nine to FOUR. Era at. Home he is pitching a
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: little bit better this, month, THOUGH i mean he has
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: a sixteen to five strike out walk ratio only eleven
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: hits a lot in seventeen to two thirds. Innings did
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: have a decent start against The Red sox in the
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: mix there At, fenway which is fairly impressive to do
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: two point oh four ra this. Month So bradley is
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: actually pitching better this, month and The White sox only
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: have five at bats against, him they only have two
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: Hitters i've ever seen him. From they're zero for five
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: off him with two k's one. Walk so, AGAIN i
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: guess take from all that when you. Will BUT i
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: can see the arguments in this game for an under,
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: man especially in the first five. INNINGS i, MAN i
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: don't know that you want to bring the bullpens into
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: this because The White sox bullpen isn't, Good tampa's bullpen isn't,
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: Rested SO i could see arguments for the first five
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: inning under and just go with the starting pitching to do.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: Well seventy percent of tickets only fifty six percent of
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: the cash on the, over so it looks like some
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: of the money might be agreeing with. Me tampa is
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: a really heavy favorite and maybe shouldn't, be SO i don't.
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: KNOW i would avoid looking at the side in this,
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: game BUT i think the the under first five innings
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: might be the right way to look in that. Game.
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: SWIM i thought that said swimming and spoon for a.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: MINUTE i was like swimming in a. Spoon i'm not that, small.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: Dude the ukulele does help me out as far as that's.
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: Concerned even though it's a retarded fat guy. Instrument all,
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: right let's get to the actual place here the other two,
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: plays because REMEMBER i did spur in the. MOMENT i
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: gave Out San diego, already so you can go back
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: and look at my analysis for that. ONE i already
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: gave Out San, diego WHICH i will is going to
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: give out of the end of the. Show THEN i was,
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: LIKE i don't want to actually play. It but now
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: it looks like the Market reid is right For San.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: Diego AND i still stayed off The detroit game because
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: it looks like the Market reid is not right on that.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: One SO i am giving Out San diego run line.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: THERE i think it is a mismatch on that, one
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: so we'll go with. That the other two Players i'm
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: gonna give out today are the first five inning under
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: in The Brewers seattle actually, First oh, SHIT i. Forgot
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: it's time for best, bets. Everybody i'm, sorry best. Bets
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: OH i keep forgetting everything, Anyway, Yeah Milwaukee seattle under
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: in the first five. Innings and this has been a
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: picture friendly, series, MAN i mean it's a picture friendly.
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: Park the game yesterday was one. NOTHING i, mean you
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: can't get any more under than that. Game but we're
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: gonna go first five innings this time BECAUSE i want
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: to leave the bullpens out of. This because even Though
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: milwaukee's bullpend has started pitching, better Missy rouse. GAT i
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: hope he didn't get hurt or. ANYTHING i don't know
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: why he only went three and two thirds innings. Yesterday
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: but The brewers had to use more of their bullpen
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: THAN i think they anticipated yesterday that they didn't use
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: their best. Relievers i'll use their best relievers to finish
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: off the games they're winning the. Game SO i don't
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: want either bullpen to come into this. Equation, Man both
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: bullpens are pretty taxed coming into this, one so we'll
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: avoid the. Bullpens we're gonna go with the starting pitchers,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: here AND i think this is where we actually start
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: getting some value on unders in this and, again first
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: five innings under. FOUR i, mean that's a decent. NUMBER
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: i was thinking we were gonna get under three and
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: a half here because the full game is seven and a.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: Half AND i do still agree with under in the full,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: game but, AGAIN i think it's a little bit more
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: dangerous to include these overworked bullpens into the, equation but
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: the money seems to be coming in on the. Unders
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: the total initially flip from seven and a half juice
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: to the over to seven and a half juice to the,
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: under but we do see fifty two percent of tickets
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent of the cash coming in on the.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: Over Although i'm gonna, say because that's full, Game i'm
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: not as concerned by, that. MAN i think the first
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: five innings under is gonna be where we want to. Look.
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: Here we Have Quinn priester pitching For, milwaukee and he
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: is suddenly starting to pitch really. Well three point three
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: to THREE, era one point two whip on the, ease
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: and a little bit worse on the, road but still
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: only three point SIX. Thera that's. Good he's been really good. Recently.
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: Man milwaukee has won what is this down nine starts
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: in a row for Priest or The Red sox should
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: have kept. Him, man all of a, sudden he's pitching,
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: really really. Well he's given up more than two horned
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: runs only twice over that, span which is even more,
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: insane and he's done it against some good offenses mixed in.
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: There last time, out he shut out The dodgers for
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: six in he struck out ten and gave up three.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: Hits SO i think he's becoming the real. Deal. Man
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: is he gonna be in a little bit of a letdown, spot,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: maybe BUT i think you're still gonna be focused On seattle, here,
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: Man SO i think he is still gonna pitch. Well
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: he has a nineteen to four strikeout walk ratio this.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: Month that's also good three point two four, era. MAN
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: i mean he's just pitching really. Well he had one
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: bad start in the mixed there Against, minnesota which is
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: kind of inexplicable and a bad, offense but other than,
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: that pitching really, well except for the zero strike up
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: performance Against. Philly but he's still held them. Down as a,
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: PRIESTER i mean this, Guy, yeah he hasn't a lot
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: more than fourign runs going all the way back to Early,
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: may and he's only done it twice all. SEASONS a
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: priester becoming really good and The mariners have never seen him.
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: Before so that's an upper edge or upper hand that
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: gives the upper hand to the. PITCHER i never know
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: what the phrase is, there, MAN i Think Quinn priester
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: as the upper hand because of that as. Well man
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: Against seattle because they haven't seen him, before SO i
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: Like priester for that reason as. Well so the hitters
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: that haven't seen him, before they're little bit unfamiliar with.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: Them Luis, castillo on the other, hand has been pitching
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: pretty well as well For seattle three point two to
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: ONE era one point two to ONE. Whip he's been
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: really good at home two point oh six cra at
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: home again pitcher Friendly. Park seattle's been really good behind him,
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: Too they've won five starts in a row of His
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: he's allowed zero in runs in two of the three
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: starts this month twenty one to four strike a walk
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: right yere this month of the one point four to FIVE,
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: era so he's on fire right now as. Well he's
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: allowed more than three on runs in only two starts
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: going all the way back to u Early, may so
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: he's on fire as. Well he's pitching, well and his
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: numbers Against milwaukee are good in a big seventy three
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: at bad sample. Size, yes he has too many walks
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: twenty two strikeouts and twelve, walks but it's almost All.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: Yelich he has eleven of the twelve walks and nine
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: strikeouts as, well SO i Think castillo is just pitched
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: Around yelich man in his, career and that's all there
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: is to say about. That yelich doesn't even hit him that.
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: Well six for twenty nine not, Good So i'm not
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: too concerned about the walk, numbers seeing how lopside of
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: the are towards one. Hitter but he's Held milwaukee to
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: one seventy eight batting average over that fairly large sample
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: size and six h nine, Ops SO i like. IT
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: i like it For. Castillo under is going to be
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: the play in that game in the first five, innings,
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: though and you can get it at the under, FOUR
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: WHI i think is a good. Number and to finish it,
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: off we're going back to the well with the a's. Here.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: MAN i, know MAYBE i should apologize in advance for,
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: this But i'm gonna Fade Patrick corman and the. MONEY i,
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: mean the market looks to be in complete agreement with.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: This texas has already plummeted form minus one seventy five
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: to minus won thirty. FIVE i don't know when they
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: were ever actually minus won seventy. Five Maybe pregame has this,
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: wrong BECAUSE i don't see How texas could ever be
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: that heavy of a. Favorite maybe there was a pitching.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: CHANGE i don't, know but they're at minus one thirty.
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: Five now you can get The a's at a decent underdog,
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: price sixty five percent of tickets On texas fifty nine
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on The a's. Zone of,
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: course you don't have to worry a little bit if
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: you're going full game. Here you could go first five
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: innings on The a's if you want. To The a's
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: have a terrible, BULLPEN i, mean there's no doubt about,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: that but at least we're getting them on the road
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: against a really Weak texas, Offense SO i think that
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: kind of balances out a little, bit even THOUGH i
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: KNOW i said that in the first game it didn't work.
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: Out BUT i also like the full game a little
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: bit better here because The a's are trying to avoid a.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: Sweep i'm pretty sure right Against, Texas texas has won
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: both games so. Far, TEXAS i, believe use some of
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: their better relievers yesterday, Too so, YEAH i mean that
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: could even out the bullpen scenario a little, bit but
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: The a's definitely have the better. Bullpen. Texas who do
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: they have up? NEXT i didn't even actually Look. Texas oh,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: NO i. Did texas hasn't landa after they have a break,
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: next SO i don't know if they're really gonna be
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to The, braves although The braves are certainly
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: a big name, team and after you've beaten The a's,
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: twice you might not pay as much attention to The.
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: A's and you know, ME i like to Fade Patrick,
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: korman So i'm gonna TRUST Jp sears more for The a's. Here,
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: man his numbers aren't, great five point one to THREE,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: era one point two. Eight whip is a little bit
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: more easy to, stomach and he's been a little bit
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: better on the, road and then he has been at.
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: Home at, home he's allowed thirteen of the twenty one home.
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: Runs he's allowed just way too many home runs to have,
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: allowed but in fewer innings pitched at, home he's allowed
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: way more home. Runs so the home run ball in
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: That sacramento stadium has been a huge problem for. Him
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: so it's better to Play seers on the. Road he
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: has a four point seven EIGHTY r on the, road
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: so that's gonna be a little bit more. Helpful he's
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: coming off a bad start Against, cleveland there's no way around.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: That he give up six runs of four, innings only
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: allowed six, hits so it's a little bit. INEXPLICABLE i,
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: mean he did get a little bit, unlucky gave up
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: two on the runs in that. One but overall this
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: month he has a seventeen to four strike aut walk,
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: ratio which isn't that, bad So i'm not gonna put
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: that much stock into. That the prior four starts he'd
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: allowed three or fewer earned runs in the prior four
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: so he was actually pitching. Well And cleveland maybe part
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: of the reason they hit him well is because they
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: had just seen, him So cleveland was very recently familiar with,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: him Whereas texas hasn't seen him Since. April and he
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: did pitch well twice Against, texas including in that bad
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: home stadium of The. A's he went ten to two
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: thirds innings against, him only allowing three, runs twelve, strikeouts one,
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: Walk so he did pitch well against this pretty Bad texas,
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: offense and overall in his career he's been good against.
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: Him they're familiar with, him one hundred and thirty nine at,
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: bats but thirty two to ten strike out walk ratio
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: two thirty seven average allowed six fifty five. Ops So
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: sears has done well Against texas in his career and
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: he's going up Against KORbin who, AGAIN i just don't trust, him.
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: Man his numbers are starting to fade a little. Bit
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: he actually has a worse whip Than sears at one
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: point twenty, nine even though HIS era is better at
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: three point nine to. ONE i think HIS ra might
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: be a little bit. Misleading, yes he's been better at
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: home three point THREE, era so he is pitching better
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: in the, stadium but it's more of a pitcher friendly, stadium,
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: man so both pitchers are gonna have that advantage in this.
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: Game texas has won his last three. STARTS i get. That.
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: Uh he faced The a's earlier in the season as
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: well in two of those, games and he didn't do particularly.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: Well went only nine to two, thirds allowed fourteen hits
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: over that. Span he only leed four, runs but he
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: did allow three walks compared to nine. Strikeouts he wasn't
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: as good As sears in those. Games this, month he
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: has been, good yes two point one Six eras allowed
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: two or fewer in runs and three straight starts fifteen
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: to five strike a, walk. Ratio so he is in
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: decent recent, form BUT i don't trust. HIM i don't
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: trust this numbers against The a's. Either in sixty four at,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: bats three twelve average, allowed three Different a's have homered off,
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: him eight seventy eight ops thirteen to five strike a walk.
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: Ratio So i'm gonna trust The a's. Here the market
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: read seems to be signaling on The. A's that's where
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: we're gonna. Go But i'm doing it in the first five.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: Innings you can get a better price on them in
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: the full. Game oh, Actually i'm sorry first five. INNINGS
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: i was saying full. Game if you wanna go full,
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: game you could do, that But i'm actually going first five.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: Innings i'm gonna limit it to the starting pitchers and
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: avoid The a's bullpen, here just BECAUSE i think The
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: a's bullpen is a little bit too. Bad but if
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: you want to go full game to avoid the SWEET
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: i think you could do that. TOO i was just
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: making the argument for the full, game But i'm Sorry
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: i'm giving it out first five. Innings BUT i also
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: agree full game. Anyway that's gonna do it for better
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: off dead. Here thanks for hanging, out, everybody learn to
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: toad On. Twitter of. Course my bets today once again
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: under in the first five innings In Milwaukee seattle first
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: five innings run line on The a's AND i gave
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: out a play last minute San Diego padre's run line
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: and at least San diego gets the ninth inning to
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: bat in that, Game so that's gonna do. It learn
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: to toe On. TWITTER i am learned to toad On
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: instagram as, well Or i'm posting Short Better Off dead
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: esque videos. There Better Off dead of, course find me
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: on YouTube, like, subscribe, comment thanks for hanging, out, MAN
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: i mean. Interact you can find me on the audio,
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: platforms which are. Monetized i'm getting almost no traction on the.
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: AUDIO i think maybe people just can't find me over
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: there or. Something so you can help by listening and
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: reviewing over there as. WELL, nds good to see, you.
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: MAN i don't know if That's raven or, top but,
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: YES i have a good. One. Yeah, so and then
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: find covered In yuke as well on. YouTube i've got
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: My yuke stuff going. On i'm double posting everything. NOW
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: i just did An azzy tribute yesterday With Crazy, train
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: the most obvious, choice BUT i had to do, it, Man,
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: yeah and subscribe to The Patreon patreon dot com slash
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: learned it's. Owed at the higher levels you get extra yuke,
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: content so you get A Spotify yuke, feed WHICH i
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: have to talk to people that are on that level
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: and make sure that they are getting. That and it's
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: all the same stuff THAT i. Post but you get
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: to listen to, it you, know if you want to
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: listen to it in your, car not deal with. Video
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: you get it in A spotify podcast feed at. Least
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: and at the top level you will get requests as
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: well ukulele requests THAT i will try to. Fulfill Maybe
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: i'll add like a telegram or something as. Well you
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: can get into the toe. Telegram Maybe i'll add some
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: extra stuff there or something like. That that's probably easy
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: enough to. Do, nate what's up? Man you want me
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: to do walking bets with my man boobs? Bouncing MAYBE
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: i don't. Know i'm trying to get rid of the man.
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: Boobs i've lost like thirteen pounds this. Month not this,
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: month that would be crazy this, YEAR i should, say
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: so we'll see. Men the Most i've lost it a
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: month was probably close to ten, pounds though WHEN i
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: WHEN i had a lot of weight to, LOSE i
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: lost a lot of weight in twenty. Seventeen man have
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: not gained that much of it. Back so there is
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: that more toad. Talks there have a good. One. Everybody
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: let's win today in, peace