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This Data Says Bitcoin Is About To Explode | Are You Ready? | Bitcoin Simply · Simply Bitcoin

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  US politician Sherry Biggs just made a huge bet and followed the
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  purchase up to 250K worth of Bitcoin.
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  When people in Congress make bets like these, they know
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  something that we don't. But she's not the only one.
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  What is your current ownership of Bitcoin in terms of like
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  portfolio percentage? I think probably 90 something
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  percent of my net worth is is Bitcoin and how do I deal with
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  it? Don't do anything you said 9090.
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  This was from an interview last week.
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  That's Arthur Hayes, the billionaire who started buying
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  Bitcoin back in 2013. What do they know?
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  The best returns for Bitcoin have been when we.
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  Today we're going to cover the data and charts that are all
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  saying Bitcoin is about to explode.
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  Are you prepared? This is Dante Cook with Bitcoin.
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  Simply, let's go. Why is 90% of billionaire Arthur
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  Hayes's portfolio in Bitcoin right now?
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  Why did politician Sherry Biggs just filed to buy between 100K
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  and 250K worth of Bitcoin? You know when the Nancy Pelosi
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  stock tracker picks you up, things can get spicy.
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  It's probably because she just watched this interview with
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  Jordy Visser on CNBC. Let's check it out.
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  I'll put my neck out on the line here and say the next time I see
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  Bitcoin will be significantly higher.
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  There's two catalysts that are happening.
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  Last week, Bitcoin outperformed software significantly.
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  If go back to when the stock market started to rally, we saw
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  breaking correlations between crude trading higher by $11.00
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  and yet the S&P 500 finished slightly up to unchanged on a
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  Friday and then we came in the next day.
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  Once you kind of break those correlations between things
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  where people think, oh, software is down, that means Bitcoin
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  should go down. Software was down hard last
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  week, but Bitcoin was up. And so I think we broke that
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  correlation. But there's one important thing,
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  and I highlighted this in a paper I wrote this weekend,
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  we're getting into negative real rate territory.
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  So year over year CPI is now at 3.3%.
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  The next time we get a CPI print, you're going to have year
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  over year CPI above where three month bills are.
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  The best returns for Bitcoin have been when we've had
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  negative real yields. And I think we're going to be in
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  a situation with negative real yields for quite some time
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  because I don't think inflation is going to come down sharply.
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  And I think we're going to have a problem with how the Fed is
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  going to deal deal with inflation, with slowing growth
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  and with the affordability issues.
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  So all of these things feed into a very positive backdrop for
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  Bitcoin and you have some positive technical signals with
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  a a weekly MACD crossover. I'm going to go with bitcoins
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  higher the next time I see. This is Bitcoin simply.
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  I love breaking down complex topics for the average person in
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  a way that they can understand. When Jordy Visser says that 100%
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  of bitcoins returns come after negative real yields, what does
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  he mean by negative real yields? The term real yield comes from
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  the difference between what you earn in risk free assets like
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  bonds or what he says 3 month treasury bills and what actual
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  inflation numbers are. So if your money market pays you
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  5% and inflation is 2%, well then you have a real yield of
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  3%. But what happens if the three
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  month T-bills are 3 1/2% and inflation is running at 4%?
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  Well, you have a .5% negative real yield and this means that
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  every dollar that you have sitting in this money market
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  account is actually losing you money.
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  So advisors or other people will start to allocate your assets
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  for you into riskier assets. Assets like Bitcoin, assets like
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  equities. And This is why Bitcoin returns
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  tend to explode after yields go negative.
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  People are just seeking higher returns.
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  Makes sense. But this doesn't explain
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  bitcoins run from under 70K to 78K last week.
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  Something bigger is happening and it's this.
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  The increasingly fractious world and the creasing changes to the
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  global monetary order have opened up a space for Bitcoin.
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  And if Bitcoin could be both a store of value and a actual?
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  Currency. Then the price targets we've
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  been talking about and a bit wise, we've been talking about,
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  you know, $1.3 million by 2035. I think you have to ratchet that
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  up maybe another $1,000,000 increment because that's a huge
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  addressable market. I think it's directly the reason
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  we've been rallying through this Iran conflict and it makes me
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  very optimistic long term for where Bitcoins headed.
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  I don't necessarily believe with a $2.3 million price target or
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  that Bitcoin is actually becoming a currency, but there's
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  no question that the perception around Bitcoin is changing.
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  When a $10 trillion global bank like Morgan Stanley post a
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  Bitcoin wallet address publicly for everyone to see the 1340
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  Bitcoin that they own worth about $100 million, well then
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  that is a signpost that Wall Street is finally adopting
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  Bitcoin and you need to get on board.
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  And this is huge because these are the brokers having
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  conversations with people like Shohei Otani and listen to this
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  conversation. Hey, Shohei, want some Ethereum?
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  What about overpriced Los Angeles real estate?
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  What about over collateralized AAA bonds?
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  Bitcoin. That's because guys like Shohei
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  Otani are smart. They're thinking about the long
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  term and beyond. Just gut feel.
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  This is what the data is actually saying about Bitcoin.
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  In a recent study done by On Ramp, there have been 7
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  geopolitical crises since 2020. When looking at the 60 day
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  forward returns of the S&P 500, gold and Bitcoin, well, there
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  was a clear winner. The S&P 500 was +6 out of seven
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  times gold, the laggard 5 out of seven times Bitcoin +7 out of
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  seven times. Every crisis exposes
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  counterparty risk and Bitcoin is proving that it's not only
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  better than them in percentage terms of returns, but also in
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  its consistency. Bitcoin is the asset that people
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  turn to in a global crisis. But let's look at some more data
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  this time for my friend Zay Isaiah Douglas from Swan
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  private. Every time Bitcoin has had a
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  major draw down below it's 100 day simple moving average and
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  then it's reclaimed it it's been higher 90 three days later, not
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  8 out of nine times every single time since 2015, a perfect track
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  record here's what Isaiah says in his analysis.
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  The 90 day medium return after it claimed it's 100 day simple
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  moving average is 47%. The 180 day median is 89%.
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  But despite what the data says, Bitcoin still has risks I.
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  Don't want to talk about quantum, I talk.
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  I want to talk about the liquidity side, the draw down
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  side, clarity act, whatever you think is kind of you know what,
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  what is kind of if anything holding the market back or
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  potentially something that you're worried about going.
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  Forward, yeah. The interesting thing LG is
• 6:21
  that. Before we dive into this
• 6:22
  conversation between LG and James Lavish on Milk Rd. let me
• 6:26
  tell you about a few companies that I personally use and
• 6:28
  recommend to people in Bitcoin. The first one is Leaden because
• 6:31
  they allow you to keep their best asset.
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  It's going up forever, Laura. And with that you don't want to
• 6:36
  sell it for Fiat dollars which are going down in value versus
• 6:39
  scarce assets. Letting allows people to borrow
• 6:42
  against their Bitcoin in an institutional grade way.
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  Borrow up to 50% loan to value against your Bitcoin.
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  Meaning if you have $1000 Bitcoin stack that you post as
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  collateral, you can get $500 worth of Fiat in less than six
• 6:54
  hours in your account. It's not re hypothecated.
• 6:57
  They only work with Bitcoin and the loans are between 9.9 and
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  11.49% which is about half of what you could get with a credit
• 7:04
  card. Repay it anytime with no credit
• 7:06
  checks. Go to learn dot LED N dot AO
• 7:08
  slash simply to get started. It's a product that I personally
• 7:11
  use when I don't want to sell my Bitcoin and I need cash
• 7:14
  liquidity to buy something else that's also a scarce asset.
• 7:17
  Another company that I recommend and another tactic I recommend
• 7:21
  always is getting a coach. Never go about learning new
• 7:24
  things alone. Coaches from The Bitcoin Way
• 7:26
  have been trained to help you learn how to keep your Bitcoin
• 7:30
  stack safe, private, and secure, not only for you, but for you
• 7:34
  and your family members. A member of their team will get
• 7:36
  on the phone and talk you through exactly how to set up
• 7:39
  Bitcoin at your house, set up your keys so that there are
• 7:42
  multiple locations, and to make sure that your family never
• 7:45
  loses your Bitcoin stack. Schedule a free meeting with the
• 7:48
  team at the bitcoinway.com/partner/dante
• 7:51
  Dash Cook. Tell them I sent.
• 7:54
  You the interesting thing LG is that, you know, years ago I
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  thought, well, once once institutions get into this,
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  that's it. It's going to be it like you,
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  you're going to be left behind and it's it's off to the races.
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  The funny thing is, and this is this comes to what I think is
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  the big biggest risk to Bitcoin, which is just the delays of
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  people understanding it and and embracing it.
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  And the here's a funny thing is that somehow, once again, Wall
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  Street has figured out a way to get in there before retail.
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  And it there's so much noise around Bitcoin and there's so
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  much negativity around it in the media that by and large, we're
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  in our little bubble over here. But by and large, the vast
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  majority of people do not understand it.
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  They don't trust it and they think that it's a, it's for
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  criminals and for money launderers and for, you know,
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  people traffickers. They do not get it.
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  And so, funny enough, I thought, and I've been saying it for
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  years, that you can get in before Wall Street takes over,
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  but Wall Street is taking over. Wall Street is taking over.
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  I mean, just look at Morgan Stanley posting a public Bitcoin
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  address. The biggest risk in Bitcoin is
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  that people still don't understand it.
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  If you watch my last episode, you see a conversation between
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  Jon Stewart and Ben McKenzie where they're talking about
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  Bitcoin is used for illicit activities across the globe.
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  Even though the dollar is used for 30 times more criminal
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  activity across the globe, they talk about it in terms of
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  criminal investigations, fraud, and even Epstein.
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  This is the main narrative and This is why people don't fully
• 9:40
  understand Bitcoin. But in this episode, I give you
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  a ton of reasons why this is a great time to consider Bitcoin.
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  One of the main narratives that we heard last week was that
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  Bitcoin was created by the CIA. But Professor Jiang highlights
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  the real problem that we're all facing, the problem that they
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  want to distract you from. Remember that America is sitting
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  on $39 trillion in debt. And so the American economy is a
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  Pontius scheme that relies on foreign nations to continually
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  buy U.S. dollars. So the US economy would not be
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  able to withstand essentially American withdrawal from the
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  Middle East. So the markets are stuck where
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  they are right now, unfortunately.
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  Bingo. We're living in a Ponzi scheme
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  with $39 trillion worth of debt, and that's why we can't pull out
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  of endless wars in the Middle East.
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  We need more people to continue to use the dollar system, which
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  is being weaponized against them more and more frequently.
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  That's the real problem and everyone knows it.
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  How will you protect yourself when yields go negative?
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  Will you trust the data that when Bitcoin reclaims its
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  hundred day simple moving average, it goes up on average
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  42 to 90% over the next 180 days?
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  Will you trust the fact that the data says that when there's
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  geopolitical crises, Bitcoin goes higher?
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  This isn't just YouTube speak. It's the actual data.
• 10:55
  And you won't find this kind of information anywhere else
• 10:57
  because we keep it real and we bring you the alpha.
• 11:00
  We drop alpha like this seven days a week and that's why if
• 11:04
  you haven't already subscribed to the channel, you should do so
• 11:07
  and if you haven't already started buying Bitcoin in a way
• 11:10
  that maximizes your tax obligation well, you should
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  consider Bitcoin mining with the big beautiful bill passing
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• 11:20
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  manage all of the other parts about Bitcoin mining the hosting
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  Bitcoin flowing while you sleep. They take care of all of that,
• 11:33
  so get started by using the QR code on the screen.
• 11:35
  This is Dante Cook with Bitcoin. Simply happy stacking.