Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - CFP First Round | College Football DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems going clear.
- 0:06Speaker 2: We're lifting, We're back, We're back.
- 0:37Speaker 1: You didn't think I was going to miss a first
- 0:38Speaker 1: round of the College Football Playoff? Did you? What's going on? Everybody?
- 0:42Speaker 1: My name is Bill. Put a dollar in front of it.
- 0:43Speaker 1: You'll find me on Discord on Twitter, and welcome to
- 0:46Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff First Round Ship at Nation Breakdown
- 0:50Speaker 1: and Analysis Show. I'm glad you're here. I'm glad we still
- 0:53Speaker 1: have college football to cover. We're just going to start
- 0:56Speaker 1: by letting you know we still have our deal for
- 0:58Speaker 1: the rest of the season, sixty seven dollars for NFL
- 1:02Speaker 1: and college football. And we still have our five days
- 1:05Speaker 1: for nineteen dollars on the course Starter or any any
- 1:08Speaker 1: course starter monthly all access plan. Just some great things
- 1:13Speaker 1: going on at the Nation. Trying to make it as
- 1:15Speaker 1: easy as we can, as simple as you can to
- 1:17Speaker 1: get involved if you'd like to try us out. And
- 1:20Speaker 1: we're just coming off another week of winners. We had
- 1:22Speaker 1: another key win up top Tambo getting third on Fan Duel,
- 1:27Speaker 1: some five digit takedowns, some four digit takedowns, winners at
- 1:30Speaker 1: every level. But one thing I want to talk a
- 1:33Speaker 1: little bit more about. If you haven't noticed on social media.
- 1:37Speaker 1: We got the twelve Days of Ship Miss going on
- 1:39Speaker 1: right now. Look at Santa Tambo. It's just a fun contest.
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- 1:56Speaker 1: you'll see the twelve Days of Ship Miss all over
- 1:58Speaker 1: the page, whichever one you search for us on. But
- 2:00Speaker 1: giveaways get bigger every day depending on what day you're
- 2:03Speaker 1: watching this. We're just coming off a day six or seven,
- 2:06Speaker 1: so there's still plenty of time to get in on this,
- 2:08Speaker 1: and you're gonna want to tune into some of those prizes.
- 2:10Speaker 1: They're pretty sweet deals. But with that said, we're gonna
- 2:14Speaker 1: get right into the action. We had four games on
- 2:17Speaker 1: the College Football Playoffs Slate, three of them on Saturday,
- 2:20Speaker 1: and we're doing Showdown for Friday Night. You didn't think
- 2:23Speaker 1: You didn't think we were gonna skip out on the
- 2:25Speaker 1: first college football playoff game in prime time on Friday Night,
- 2:29Speaker 1: Alabama at Oklahoma. We have already had this game once
- 2:33Speaker 1: and it was Oklahoma with the big win. On the
- 2:37Speaker 1: road and not much, not much to write home about
- 2:42Speaker 1: in terms of production. You know, it wasn't the worst game,
- 2:48Speaker 1: wasn't the best game. You know, forty some total points
- 2:51Speaker 1: scored Oklahoma coming Moay with a win, the totals even
- 2:54Speaker 1: lower in this game. We're currently sitting at thirty nine
- 2:57Speaker 1: and a half points, maybe still taking the under. So
- 3:01Speaker 1: we're just gonna get some quick notes on this. If
- 3:03Speaker 1: you are playing Friday Night Showdown. Ty Simpson did have
- 3:06Speaker 1: a lot of yards in the first matchup, didn't really
- 3:09Speaker 1: turn into much. He went for negative in the Russian column,
- 3:12Speaker 1: only threw for one touchdown, also threw a pick, and
- 3:15Speaker 1: you know, when Showdown you might typically look at these
- 3:17Speaker 1: quarterbacks as a safer play, but at eleven thousand dollars
- 3:20Speaker 1: in the flex, most expensive guy on the board, it
- 3:25Speaker 1: becomes a tougher click on a team with a nineteen
- 3:27Speaker 1: and a half point team total on the road in
- 3:29Speaker 1: a game we've already had and the defense is essentially
- 3:32Speaker 1: the same for Oklahoma. I do still think he's in play,
- 3:37Speaker 1: but he really hasn't been good for fantasy production since
- 3:40Speaker 1: the beginning of the season at many of his prices,
- 3:43Speaker 1: so seeing him as the highest priced guy in this game.
- 3:47Speaker 1: Maybe you playing because they're going to be down and
- 3:50Speaker 1: they're gonna be throwing the ball, but they were down
- 3:52Speaker 1: against Georgia too in that conference championship game. So while
- 3:58Speaker 1: he's still in play, just a little bit more difficult
- 4:00Speaker 1: Click and one, you're gonna want to think a little
- 4:02Speaker 1: bit more about the running game for Alabama has been
- 4:05Speaker 1: downright bad this season. Jam Miller should be back, which
- 4:08Speaker 1: helps I do like him more for some short catches
- 4:11Speaker 1: you know, you get the PPR maybe a little bit
- 4:13Speaker 1: more involved in this offense. But it was actually Daniel
- 4:16Speaker 1: Hill who had a halfway decent game against Oklahoma the
- 4:19Speaker 1: last time these two teams played, possibly more of a
- 4:23Speaker 1: workload if jam Miller doesn't produce early. Kevin Riley's already
- 4:26Speaker 1: been ruled out of this game, so Hill's at least
- 4:29Speaker 1: going to get the backup work possibly more. Maybe we'll
- 4:32Speaker 1: see ak dear. I don't know if the situation is
- 4:35Speaker 1: good for Alabama if we do or it's real, real good.
- 4:39Speaker 1: But and Daniel Hill against Oklahoma had more than three
- 4:42Speaker 1: yards after contact, which against a defense like this is
- 4:45Speaker 1: something you don't mind seeing. Something you could need a
- 4:49Speaker 1: little bit of salary relief from jam Miller and Xavier
- 4:52Speaker 1: Robinson and even Tory Blaylock. On the other side in
- 4:55Speaker 1: the wide receiver room, Jeremy Bernard remains a number one.
- 4:58Speaker 1: He was targeted often in this match up the first
- 5:00Speaker 1: time around. You're paying for him most expensive skill player
- 5:04Speaker 1: on the board. But uh, you know, none of these
- 5:08Speaker 1: players are gonna look super good with a point total
- 5:11Speaker 1: so low in this game, but you gotta play somebody,
- 5:14Speaker 1: and Jeremy Bernard is one of those guys I had
- 5:16Speaker 1: my eye on. Ryan Williams has been pretty disappointing for
- 5:19Speaker 1: most of the season. I think I'd rather find find
- 5:22Speaker 1: the salary for Sitania or Bernard. Will talk more about
- 5:25Speaker 1: Satania in a minute. Horton Brooks pretty good value and
- 5:29Speaker 1: they're gonna be on the field at three K and
- 5:31Speaker 1: two K in the flex. Josh Quavis is off the report. Now,
- 5:35Speaker 1: oh you was the last The last time they played
- 5:38Speaker 1: ou he actually had a pretty decent game, went for
- 5:41Speaker 1: eighty yards in a touchdown. So if if Quavis is
- 5:46Speaker 1: going to be out there, I don't mind him again.
- 5:48Speaker 1: Kind of the same reason I like jam Miller in
- 5:53Speaker 1: in this game is just short passes, tight ends running
- 5:56Speaker 1: back short passes, slock eyes, and I do have to
- 5:59Speaker 1: correct myself. Ash Quaves is probable on the report, So
- 6:02Speaker 1: it's looking like he's gonna go. On the Oklahoma side.
- 6:06Speaker 1: John Mattier maybe the healthiest he's been since, you know,
- 6:10Speaker 1: he was down with that injury. He does have some
- 6:13Speaker 1: rushing upside. He comes in cheaper than since in all
- 6:16Speaker 1: of these reasons, you know, he's my preferred quarterback on
- 6:18Speaker 1: the slate if you're gonna play one over the other, obviously,
- 6:22Speaker 1: and obviously being at home on the favorite team certainly
- 6:24Speaker 1: helps too. The Sooner around game. You know, as bad
- 6:27Speaker 1: as Alabama's has been, the Sooners haven't been much dried
- 6:29Speaker 1: at home about either. They've had a couple of spike games.
- 6:31Speaker 1: And plus you're looking at Robinson and Blaylock, who's been
- 6:33Speaker 1: splitting a lot more lately. You know, we thought it
- 6:35Speaker 1: was Blaylock, and then Robinson kind of took over, and
- 6:37Speaker 1: then Blaylock's been getting more snaps. He actually out snapped
- 6:40Speaker 1: Robinson in the last game. And I know Robinson got
- 6:42Speaker 1: banged up a little bit in this Alabama game the
- 6:45Speaker 1: first time the two teams play. But again with these
- 6:48Speaker 1: running backs at the prices they're at and the value
- 6:50Speaker 1: you get at wide receiver. These running backs are going
- 6:52Speaker 1: to be tougher clicks. However, might get a little bit
- 6:55Speaker 1: of leverage with these guys depending on how ownership pans out,
- 6:59Speaker 1: so that that might be reason to play a running
- 7:00Speaker 1: back is you know, short passes the PPR format, low
- 7:04Speaker 1: scoring game, not too many points on the board. Maybe
- 7:07Speaker 1: the receptions get there and you get one that falls
- 7:09Speaker 1: in the box. Satania still a top play even with
- 7:12Speaker 1: a tough matchup. None of these guys are really targeted
- 7:14Speaker 1: in the last matchup. But the Sooners only threw the
- 7:16Speaker 1: ball twenty three times, so what you can't really take
- 7:19Speaker 1: a lot from that. It's gonna be a different game
- 7:21Speaker 1: of playoff atmosphere, you know. So if they even throw
- 7:24Speaker 1: the ball five to eight more times, you know, three
- 7:28Speaker 1: of those targets go to Satania. You're looking at six
- 7:30Speaker 1: to seven targets instead of three to four. Dian Burgs
- 7:34Speaker 1: is cheaper. Three thousand dollars value from Satanna's going to
- 7:37Speaker 1: be on the field, Cannick. If you're gonna buy into
- 7:40Speaker 1: the narrative that there's gonna be some short passes on
- 7:41Speaker 1: the Oklahoma side, too, don't mind canick one thing worth
- 7:45Speaker 1: mentioning keyantes Lewis has been banged up then only played
- 7:48Speaker 1: one snap against to sick. That's the thing that I'm
- 8:01Speaker 1: focusing a lot on is his price. Geovanni Gibson, same thing,
- 8:06Speaker 1: only three to two. These these two guys provide some
- 8:09Speaker 1: nice value on the Oklahoma side. And Javanni Gibson did
- 8:14Speaker 1: have a bright spot against us. You didn't produce much,
- 8:16Speaker 1: but he did run thirty five routes that was without Lewis,
- 8:19Speaker 1: so something you have to take into account. But you know,
- 8:22Speaker 1: getting one of these guys cheaper guys, right, you know,
- 8:25Speaker 1: if Lewis, Gibson, Quavis Brooks, Horton, Mike Garner ownership just
- 8:30Speaker 1: because you need to find some value somewhere with the
- 8:33Speaker 1: way the slate plays out. But getting the right combo
- 8:36Speaker 1: of those guys in how you play him could end
- 8:38Speaker 1: up being key in this one. And then, I mean,
- 8:42Speaker 1: it's a gross game. It doesn't really matter how gross
- 8:44Speaker 1: it is or how low score in your lineup is though,
- 8:46Speaker 1: as long as it's the highest scoring lineup on the board.
- 8:49Speaker 1: And one thing it does do is it might bring
- 8:51Speaker 1: these kickers into play. Obviously, tays. Sandel not only been
- 8:54Speaker 1: more accurate than Bamas Connor Talty, but he's also seven
- 8:57Speaker 1: to seven from fifty plus, So those bonus points are
- 8:59Speaker 1: gonna look really nice. If we're not going to get
- 9:02Speaker 1: much production from the offenses in this game, that's gonna
- 9:06Speaker 1: that's it for the showdown. We will move on to
- 9:09Speaker 1: the Big Three game slate on Saturday, kicking things off
- 9:12Speaker 1: with Miami at Texas A and m Texas A and
- 9:14Speaker 1: m a three and a half point favorite at home.
- 9:18Speaker 1: Don't mind the Miami upset here, and honestly, I wouldn't
- 9:21Speaker 1: be surprised if they beat the brakes off of him.
- 9:25Speaker 1: It's just that's a humble opinion. I do think Miami
- 9:29Speaker 1: has some upside here. Carson Beck is cheap. He looked
- 9:31Speaker 1: pretty good against subpar competition. I don't think an m
- 9:33Speaker 1: is subpar competition, but they've shown they can give it up.
- 9:36Speaker 1: Arkansas a little bit more acceptable because Arkansas has an
- 9:40Speaker 1: explosive offense. But the game I keep coming back to
- 9:42Speaker 1: is that South Carolina game where South Carolina just blew
- 9:45Speaker 1: the doors off of him early. If something like that
- 9:48Speaker 1: happens in this game, Miami gets back up big early
- 9:52Speaker 1: it gets up big early. I don't think an m
- 9:54Speaker 1: can come back from that like they did against South Carolina.
- 9:57Speaker 1: Miami is just a much better team than the game.
- 10:01Speaker 1: The one. The one hesitancy I have with Beck, even
- 10:03Speaker 1: though he's cheaper, he could have his usage eating into
- 10:07Speaker 1: a little bit. We'll talk more about that in a second.
- 10:10Speaker 1: Gerard Pringle has had some higher rushing props from what
- 10:13Speaker 1: I've seen across the board Mark Fletcher than Mark Fletcher,
- 10:17Speaker 1: and he's more expensive now. But like the last few games,
- 10:21Speaker 1: do we really know how healthy Mark Fletcher was coming
- 10:24Speaker 1: back from that game he missed, Not to mention, they
- 10:27Speaker 1: had a couple of low alts late and didn't really
- 10:29Speaker 1: need their studs to do much, you know, bey on
- 10:31Speaker 1: once they got that lead and got the game handled.
- 10:34Speaker 3: Uh.
- 10:34Speaker 1: Pringle's a true freshman, so maybe you look at Fletcher
- 10:37Speaker 1: for his experience. Really, you know, in the playoffs, when
- 10:40Speaker 1: it comes down to it, Miami is going to put
- 10:42Speaker 1: the guy out there that they think they can win.
- 10:44Speaker 1: Maybe it's a split between these guys. We don't know
- 10:46Speaker 1: how much Marty Brown's going to be involved, but being
- 10:49Speaker 1: in this five K range on a slate that you
- 10:53Speaker 1: might need to like you might get a little bit
- 10:55Speaker 1: different by playing a value running back with the way
- 10:57Speaker 1: this slate pans out, and if you get the running
- 11:00Speaker 1: back right for Miami and ends up scoring two of
- 11:02Speaker 1: the touchdowns, leverage. The leverage could be great if people
- 11:08Speaker 1: aren't going to be playing these guys in the wide
- 11:10Speaker 1: receiver room. Another question mark I guess is how healthy
- 11:14Speaker 1: is CJ. Daniels. I think he's probably as healthy as
- 11:17Speaker 1: he's been recently. They did ramp him up and play
- 11:21Speaker 1: thirty six naps against Pitt, so that's a good sign.
- 11:24Speaker 1: I don't know that it scares me off of Malachaye
- 11:26Speaker 1: TONI though Malachay Tony's been an absolute stud. Miami's going
- 11:30Speaker 1: to try to get him the ball any way they
- 11:32Speaker 1: possibly can. You could argue A and MS more suited
- 11:36Speaker 1: to keep Tony in check than the opponents they've had
- 11:38Speaker 1: in the ACC. But Tony's just so versatile. I said,
- 11:41Speaker 1: Beck's usage could get eaten into. That's because Tony can
- 11:44Speaker 1: get you points receiving, rushing and passing. Yes, he can pass.
- 11:49Speaker 1: Malachay Tony one of the top players on the Slayer
- 11:52Speaker 1: how you look at it. Elijah Lofton has scored in
- 11:54Speaker 1: three straight games, but that's on four total receptions, so
- 11:57Speaker 1: it still doesn't feel super comfortable. But you know, on
- 12:01Speaker 1: a slate where you might want to get different with
- 12:02Speaker 1: some of your value plays, I think he's a fine option.
- 12:05Speaker 1: Same with Keilan Marion. He looks okay, provides some value.
- 12:10Speaker 1: Jojo Trader and Josh Moore would be you know, dart throws.
- 12:13Speaker 1: I think Trader's got the talent. We've seen Trader have
- 12:17Speaker 1: a ceiling game this year, but that was without some
- 12:20Speaker 1: of the other key pieces, So I don't know how
- 12:22Speaker 1: much you look into that, but I do like the
- 12:23Speaker 1: Miami side, especially. You know this game is going to
- 12:25Speaker 1: be competitive. That's not something we can necessarily say about
- 12:28Speaker 1: these other games, at least on paper. On the other side,
- 12:31Speaker 1: Texas A and M. Marcel Read's gonna look nice at
- 12:33Speaker 1: seven to nine, especially if he can get his legs going.
- 12:36Speaker 1: He's got upside there. You know. If A and M
- 12:39Speaker 1: gets up big early, Reid could be a big part
- 12:41Speaker 1: of that. If A and M is down early, they
- 12:43Speaker 1: could be throwing more, which helps Read. If this game
- 12:46Speaker 1: stays competitive, Marcel Read's going to be involved. So there's
- 12:50Speaker 1: there are a lot of routes where Marcel Reid retains
- 12:53Speaker 1: his upside. So one thing about him and Beck honestly
- 12:57Speaker 1: on the other side, is that we're more likely to
- 12:59Speaker 1: get four core out of both of them, then we
- 13:01Speaker 1: are maybe the other power for schools on the board.
- 13:05Speaker 1: The running back room is Le'Veon mos gonna play. That's
- 13:08Speaker 1: that's gonna be a question mark. He's currently questionable. There
- 13:10Speaker 1: is video of him in practice and he's not wearing
- 13:12Speaker 1: a non contact jersey or anything special. It doesn't look
- 13:15Speaker 1: like but it's tough to say how much contact they're
- 13:18Speaker 1: actually having, you know, a lot of shells leading up
- 13:21Speaker 1: to this game, trying to keep everybody fresh, I'm sure,
- 13:23Speaker 1: so I don't know how much I'd read into that specifically,
- 13:28Speaker 1: but if we're going to have a split in this backfield,
- 13:29Speaker 1: it's going to be tough to click. You know, Owens
- 13:33Speaker 1: might be decent if we get news that Moss isn't
- 13:36Speaker 1: gonna play at four to eight. So that's that's something
- 13:39Speaker 1: we have to look out for as Saturday approaches. In
- 13:42Speaker 1: the wide receiver room, getting the right receiver for the
- 13:45Speaker 1: Aggies might be what separates you in case he conceptsi
- 13:48Speaker 1: On is getting a solid target share and Miami has
- 13:51Speaker 1: struggled with some number one wide receivers this season, so
- 13:54Speaker 1: conceptsion looks nice at just six K. Maybe maybe play
- 13:58Speaker 1: both of these guys honestly, is a way to get different,
- 14:00Speaker 1: you know, especially like Mario Craver is cheaper and he's
- 14:02Speaker 1: still getting a decent amount of target share, and he
- 14:05Speaker 1: just signed the biggest like the contract extension. I hate
- 14:10Speaker 1: even calling it that in college football, but that's what
- 14:12Speaker 1: they posted. Mario Craver has signed a contract extension and
- 14:16Speaker 1: become Texas A and M's highest paid player in school history.
- 14:21Speaker 1: That's where we're at, and I should should note highest
- 14:24Speaker 1: play paid, publicly known player in college football history. We
- 14:29Speaker 1: don't know what was happening. I mean, we know something
- 14:31Speaker 1: was probably happening back in the day, but we don't
- 14:33Speaker 1: know exactly what was happening on the books. This is
- 14:35Speaker 1: the highest paid player, So maybe yeah, Like I said,
- 14:37Speaker 1: maybe playing together, maybe that's the way you get different.
- 14:39Speaker 1: Stacking with Reid capture all of the upside from the
- 14:42Speaker 1: Texas A and M passing game that does happen. It's
- 14:45Speaker 1: it's one way to play this, honestly, a sneaky game stack.
- 14:48Speaker 1: If this does turn into an offensive shootout, which Miami
- 14:51Speaker 1: can put up points in Texas A and M's part
- 14:53Speaker 1: of the SEC, and we know teams in the SEC
- 14:55Speaker 1: can get into shootouts at any given time. Playing this
- 14:59Speaker 1: game as a shootout rather than a lower scoring close game,
- 15:04Speaker 1: it could separate you a little bit too, especially with
- 15:07Speaker 1: how much ownership I think is going to go to
- 15:08Speaker 1: the next game, specifically on one side. As for the
- 15:12Speaker 1: rest of Texas A and m Ashton, Bethel Roman actually
- 15:14Speaker 1: out snapped Craver in the last game, and Terry Bussey
- 15:18Speaker 1: was right up there in terms of snapcar two against Texas.
- 15:21Speaker 1: It's just that you know, Craver got the targets over
- 15:23Speaker 1: those guys, so you're mainly looking at the top two.
- 15:26Speaker 1: But I don't mind like in GPPs, especially like the
- 15:29Speaker 1: large field overstacking this game a little bit, playing it
- 15:32Speaker 1: a little bit different. Don't mind that at all.
- 15:36Speaker 2: Too.
- 15:36Speaker 1: Lane at ole Miss blowout City number one. Ole Miss
- 15:41Speaker 1: beat the breaks off two lane forty five to ten.
- 15:42Speaker 1: In the first meeting for two lane. The passing game
- 15:44Speaker 1: coordinator is going to be coaching because Summer All is
- 15:47Speaker 1: off to Florida. Jakeress left got bench the last time
- 15:50Speaker 1: these two teams played but I still think you probably
- 15:52Speaker 1: need to consider him. He's he's got the rushing upside.
- 15:56Speaker 1: If he's going to use his legs at the end,
- 15:58Speaker 1: he's in a spot. I don't know how many people
- 16:00Speaker 1: actually going to go to him. And even if, even
- 16:04Speaker 1: if he doesn't use his legs a ton if to
- 16:07Speaker 1: if the game script holes in, Tulane has to throw
- 16:09Speaker 1: a bunch, it could pay off. But again, bench in
- 16:13Speaker 1: the first game against ole Miss and Brendan Sullivan came in,
- 16:15Speaker 1: so that we've seen the risk we are. We witnessed
- 16:18Speaker 1: this game once and we already saw the risk to
- 16:20Speaker 1: playing a guy like Rett's laugh, so we know going
- 16:23Speaker 1: in of what the downside is. In terms of the
- 16:27Speaker 1: running backs, again, not a great matchup on paper. I
- 16:30Speaker 1: do really like the volume that Jamari McClure is getting,
- 16:33Speaker 1: and he's five three right in that middle ground. So
- 16:36Speaker 1: if he thinks Tulane stays in the game and can
- 16:39Speaker 1: keep the running backs a little bit more involved, they
- 16:40Speaker 1: don't mind McLure. Gordon's gonna be on the field some
- 16:44Speaker 1: not really enough to garner interests, So watch he'll be
- 16:46Speaker 1: the first touchdown scorer of this game. Wide receiver room.
- 16:51Speaker 1: This is where you can start to get maybe a
- 16:52Speaker 1: little bit of value. The one thing that does give
- 16:54Speaker 1: me some pauses that Bryce Bohannan moved from doubtful on
- 16:56Speaker 1: the initial report to questionable on Thursday's report, which would
- 17:01Speaker 1: just spread out usage in this wide receiver room. Preston,
- 17:05Speaker 1: Amari Hayes, Anthony Brown, Stevens, zy Car Lewis. All of
- 17:09Speaker 1: these guys have potential to get there, especially because they're
- 17:12Speaker 1: all cheap. But the thing to watch is the Bohannan news.
- 17:17Speaker 1: If we have six guys that could possibly get four targets,
- 17:22Speaker 1: it does diminish my interest a little bit. If we
- 17:25Speaker 1: have four guys out there that could get four to
- 17:27Speaker 1: five targets or more. You know, just it, the more
- 17:31Speaker 1: you spread out this wide receiver room target share, the
- 17:35Speaker 1: less interest you get. But Bohoyna News, something we'll be watching,
- 17:39Speaker 1: something to pay attention to. May not seem huge, but
- 17:42Speaker 1: the games state it could make a difference on the
- 17:45Speaker 1: ole miss side for ole Missus defensive coordinators, coaching. And
- 17:50Speaker 1: one thing to note too, While I do think these
- 17:53Speaker 1: guys are going to play hard and they're going to
- 17:54Speaker 1: get up for this game, and you know the coaching
- 17:57Speaker 1: staff is going to be tuned in all this stuff.
- 18:00Speaker 1: We don't know everything going on behind the scenes. There's
- 18:02Speaker 1: gonna be some movement in the coaching staff whenever this game,
- 18:05Speaker 1: whenever Ole Missus season ends, there's gonna be players who
- 18:08Speaker 1: are probably already set on where they want to transfer
- 18:11Speaker 1: to as soon as the season ends. Again, don't get
- 18:15Speaker 1: me wrong, I think they're still gonna play hard, but
- 18:17Speaker 1: there are some narratives you can look at in this game.
- 18:21Speaker 1: For the record, I still think Ole miss is gonna
- 18:23Speaker 1: blow them out, but just something to consider. It's a
- 18:27Speaker 1: talking point. I mean, the Lane Kiffins saga has been
- 18:29Speaker 1: a talking point for weeks and it's gonna continue in
- 18:33Speaker 1: this game. I'm sure how many times are we gonna
- 18:35Speaker 1: hear Lane Kiffin's name on Saturday when this game is on,
- 18:39Speaker 1: Set it over under, or play a drinking game. Anytime
- 18:43Speaker 1: Lang Kiffin has brought up take a drink, you might
- 18:45Speaker 1: not make it till halftime. Trinidad Chamblays, I kind of
- 18:50Speaker 1: said his name two different ways all at the same time. Chamberless, Chambliss,
- 18:54Speaker 1: whatever you call him, had three hundred yards of the
- 18:57Speaker 1: air and one hundred on the ground against two Lane
- 18:58Speaker 1: in the first game, and not just looking at this game.
- 19:01Speaker 1: He's been a stud with upside through the air and
- 19:03Speaker 1: on the ground the entire season. So even at eight
- 19:08Speaker 1: two being the most expensive player on the slate, definitely
- 19:11Speaker 1: a target option here. Keywon Lacy, what do you want
- 19:14Speaker 1: me to say, he's been pluging play all season. I
- 19:15Speaker 1: don't know what would stop us now. Yes, yeah, he
- 19:17Speaker 1: only had sixty eight yards on the ground against tou
- 19:19Speaker 1: Lely in the last time they played, but he also
- 19:21Speaker 1: had three catches and a couple of touchdowns. That's twenty
- 19:24Speaker 1: one touches in that game. I'll take that usage all
- 19:27Speaker 1: day long. I don't care what his price is. Pass
- 19:30Speaker 1: catchers also remained pretty much the same as we've been
- 19:32Speaker 1: playing them all season. Harrison wall is still very involved.
- 19:35Speaker 1: Deus Alexander might be the first click in terms of
- 19:38Speaker 1: value for everybody on the slate at thirty three hundred,
- 19:41Speaker 1: continues to be underpriced as he has been all season.
- 19:44Speaker 1: Dejon's stribbling is consistent in terms of his target share,
- 19:46Speaker 1: and he has three touchdowns in the last two games.
- 19:48Speaker 1: De Kwon Wright's still one of my favorite players for
- 19:50Speaker 1: his size and athleticism, a matchup nightmare when he's healthy.
- 19:54Speaker 1: He is still listed as probable on the report, and
- 19:57Speaker 1: Cayden Lane he's still that. Like any said, Watkins has
- 20:00Speaker 1: even been getting more usage lately. So all six guys
- 20:03Speaker 1: on the screen here on the stone a Ship at
- 20:05Speaker 1: nation dot com are are They looked fine, like they
- 20:10Speaker 1: have potential any one of these guys. And that's why
- 20:12Speaker 1: I don't think it's going to be uncommon to see four,
- 20:13Speaker 1: maybe even five Old Miss guys in a lineup on
- 20:16Speaker 1: a short slate with just three games on it. So
- 20:19Speaker 1: it on getting leverage may just come down to only
- 20:22Speaker 1: playing three old Miss guys and finding you know, the
- 20:25Speaker 1: one offs elsewhere or mini stacks elsewhere that can set
- 20:28Speaker 1: you apart from a majority of the lines, especially in GPPs.
- 20:34Speaker 1: James Madison at Oregon from one blowout to a bigger blowout.
- 20:38Speaker 1: If you haven't been following JMU Sports news on x thought,
- 20:42Speaker 1: it's it's they've been on fire ever since the see
- 20:44Speaker 1: if pe bracket revealed. They are trolling hard. One of
- 20:48Speaker 1: their tweets said something like, the James Madison campuses are
- 20:54Speaker 1: twenty five or twenty four and one this year, whatever
- 20:56Speaker 1: the record is, and go through all the stats and
- 20:58Speaker 1: you know beat Oregan by double digits or whatever, and
- 21:02Speaker 1: then at the bottom it says no. This also includes
- 21:04Speaker 1: JM you Bloomington Campus, which just great trolling. Half the
- 21:09Speaker 1: team went to Indiana. It's it's a beautiful thing, and
- 21:12Speaker 1: that's not it. There's a lot of tweets out there
- 21:15Speaker 1: or a lot of posts. I don't know if I
- 21:16Speaker 1: get in trouble for saying tweets or Twitter anymore. I've
- 21:18Speaker 1: been saying it all season. Alans of Barnett on the
- 21:21Speaker 1: JAMU side put up some absolutely stellar numbers this year,
- 21:23Speaker 1: but there's one glaring week the week they played their
- 21:26Speaker 1: only Power four team on the schedule, not even five
- 21:29Speaker 1: DK points. You can argue was early in the season,
- 21:32Speaker 1: and jam you actually kept that game close. But I
- 21:34Speaker 1: do think that's mostly in part to their defense, and
- 21:38Speaker 1: Oregon's pass defense is just really good. Outside of USC
- 21:42Speaker 1: and Indiana, they haven't a lot of two hundred ars
- 21:43Speaker 1: passing to anyone in the Indiana game was two hundred
- 21:46Speaker 1: and fifteen. And also, don't forget Matthew Lucas still on
- 21:49Speaker 1: the team. I don't think we're gonna be rushing to
- 21:51Speaker 1: play him, but that kind of takes down a lons
- 21:54Speaker 1: of Barnett a little bit more. They if they bring
- 21:56Speaker 1: out some more packages, maybe some stuff we haven't seen yet,
- 21:59Speaker 1: maybe some two quarterback packages. I think Barnett's a large
- 22:03Speaker 1: field GPP's play only. He is a nice price, though
- 22:08Speaker 1: sixty nine is nice. Wayne Knight can also put up
- 22:12Speaker 1: stellar numbers. He was a darling in the Conference championship week.
- 22:16Speaker 1: But Oregon's rushing defense is about as good as their
- 22:18Speaker 1: past defense, and sixty one hundred's pretty steep considering all
- 22:22Speaker 1: the other running backs we've talked about, you know, being
- 22:25Speaker 1: the third third highest price running back on the slate. Yeah, yeah,
- 22:29Speaker 1: that's a tough click for James Madison as a twenty
- 22:31Speaker 1: and a half point dog going up against one of
- 22:34Speaker 1: the better programs in college football. And honestly, we'll probably
- 22:38Speaker 1: see two to four other backs mix in the wide
- 22:41Speaker 1: receivers more tough clicks. Land ellis maybe a little bit
- 22:44Speaker 1: bigger body. They can handle some of these tougher coverages.
- 22:48Speaker 1: But these guys are all dart throws too. Yes, they're
- 22:50Speaker 1: all cheap, but I just put him side by side.
- 22:53Speaker 1: You can see it on your screen if you're watching
- 22:55Speaker 1: and not just listening to the podcast. Later. We also
- 22:57Speaker 1: think the podcasters who check us out in the audio version,
- 23:01Speaker 1: we're glad you're here too, So I apologize in advance
- 23:03Speaker 1: when I make visual references, but we're glad you're here.
- 23:09Speaker 1: Speaking of glad you're here, hit the like button. If
- 23:11Speaker 1: you made it this far, might as well hit the
- 23:13Speaker 1: like button. That like button is just right below this video.
- 23:17Speaker 1: Really easy to click, and it really helps us out.
- 23:18Speaker 1: We love, we love bringing you this content every week.
- 23:21Speaker 1: And there's not much more for me in college football season,
- 23:23Speaker 1: but there's so much more to come. And before you
- 23:25Speaker 1: know what, it's going to be August again, and I'll
- 23:27Speaker 1: be right back on your screens. I'll be back on
- 23:30Speaker 1: your screens again this year too. There's still more college
- 23:31Speaker 1: football playoff. Don't worry. If you were worried, I don't
- 23:34Speaker 1: know how many of our you were worried, then ramble over. Golly,
- 23:38Speaker 1: I ramble so much and you land and ellis fine.
- 23:42Speaker 1: But what I was just saying, if you look on
- 23:45Speaker 1: your screen, look at side by side with these two
- 23:46Speaker 1: Lange guys, who do you feel more comfortable playing? The
- 23:48Speaker 1: two lean wide receivers or James Madison My receivers and
- 23:51Speaker 1: James Madison doesn't even throw the ball that much. Anyway,
- 23:53Speaker 1: I've already talked too much about these guys. It's just
- 23:54Speaker 1: hard to find a path to success with those guys.
- 23:57Speaker 1: On the Organ side, Dante Moore does have some potential,
- 24:00Speaker 1: especially at seven to seven. We've seen some three hundred
- 24:02Speaker 1: our performances, but outside of the Minnesota game, we've really
- 24:05Speaker 1: only seen Organ rely on the run. Since playing Indiana,
- 24:10Speaker 1: I mean only rely on there, and they relied more
- 24:12Speaker 1: on the run, I should say. I mean there's certainly
- 24:14Speaker 1: a path here for Oregon to go for three hundred
- 24:17Speaker 1: through the air and on the ground, so I don't
- 24:18Speaker 1: mind it. And some of the reliants on the run
- 24:21Speaker 1: recently might be due to some wide receiver injuries that
- 24:24Speaker 1: you may have heard about. We'll talk about that in
- 24:26Speaker 1: a minute as well. So there's definitely potential here for
- 24:29Speaker 1: Dante more and with the quarterbacks on this slate, with
- 24:31Speaker 1: the six quarterbacks we have, seventy seven hundred is going
- 24:34Speaker 1: to pop in all likelihood when you're running your lines,
- 24:38Speaker 1: and for good reason, again on a short slate, this
- 24:42Speaker 1: running back room, I'm interested in them as well. I
- 24:44Speaker 1: just said I think they could possibly go for three
- 24:46Speaker 1: hundred on the air, through the air and on the ground,
- 24:48Speaker 1: so Orgon should be able to handle jam you up front.
- 24:51Speaker 1: Emmanuel Bush is on the injury report. He is probable now,
- 24:54Speaker 1: though if if he were more toward the questionable doubtful side,
- 24:58Speaker 1: I would like the organ run game even more because
- 25:00Speaker 1: that three hundred and fifty pounds interior alignement takes up
- 25:03Speaker 1: a lot of space and usually draws a lot of
- 25:04Speaker 1: double teams. So that could be maybe the slight risk,
- 25:08Speaker 1: but I don't I don't think it's much of a
- 25:10Speaker 1: risk at all. I like Whitnington. Even at seven k. Davison,
- 25:12Speaker 1: even at six four, dairy Hill four or five could
- 25:18Speaker 1: get involved in the first quarter. We've seen it before
- 25:20Speaker 1: with Oregon. We've seen this rotation and if Dery Hill
- 25:24Speaker 1: is going to be the guy that gets the touchdowns
- 25:26Speaker 1: man forty five hundred and nobody's playing him. Extreme value
- 25:30Speaker 1: allows you to fit two quarterbacks into your line a
- 25:32Speaker 1: lot easier and get some of these higher priced studs
- 25:34Speaker 1: that we want to play in the earlier games. Don't
- 25:37Speaker 1: mind me some diy Hill now. It could again, No,
- 25:41Speaker 1: it could very well be any one of these games.
- 25:43Speaker 1: Oregon gets up thirty one nothing before halftime and Wittington
- 25:46Speaker 1: has three touchdowns would not surprise me at all. But
- 25:49Speaker 1: I do know that I'm interested in taking at least
- 25:52Speaker 1: a piece of this running game wide receivers, pass catchers.
- 25:58Speaker 1: I don't know what to tell you other than we're
- 25:59Speaker 1: going to have to wait and see. This wide receiver
- 26:02Speaker 1: room has been a little topsy turvy, you know. At
- 26:05Speaker 1: one point there are rumors that to Koran Moore has
- 26:07Speaker 1: probably gone for a long time now. There's rumors that,
- 26:10Speaker 1: and I don't even know if it's rumors. I saw
- 26:12Speaker 1: something about him being on a podcast or doing an interview,
- 26:14Speaker 1: something along those lines where he said his doctor said
- 26:17Speaker 1: it'd be six weeks, and we're right at the six
- 26:18Speaker 1: week mark it. I haven't found that interview yet, but
- 26:23Speaker 1: if it does exist and that's true, maybe we see him.
- 26:27Speaker 1: If so, Gary Bryant, Decorian Moore, and Evan Stewart are
- 26:30Speaker 1: the guys I'm talking about. Stuart hasn't played all season.
- 26:33Speaker 1: He's probably the least likely to play. I know the
- 26:36Speaker 1: Oregon fan based on socials kind of agrees with that.
- 26:40Speaker 1: But one thing that's sticking out to me is that
- 26:43Speaker 1: Justice Low enter the transfer portal and I don't know
- 26:47Speaker 1: why you'd enter the transfer portal if you were set
- 26:49Speaker 1: to be one of the top two or three receivers
- 26:52Speaker 1: in a college football playoff game. I know, with the
- 26:56Speaker 1: way the academics calendar works out, with the way the
- 26:59Speaker 1: athletic calend it works out, it can get tricky sometimes.
- 27:02Speaker 1: But I do have a hunch that Low probably would
- 27:05Speaker 1: have stayed if not for to one or two of
- 27:09Speaker 1: these guys gonna be playing. They have been practicing. It's
- 27:13Speaker 1: just really tough to say at this point until we
- 27:15Speaker 1: get some more clarity on that unfortunate that this is
- 27:18Speaker 1: the late game, but maybe we'll get some insight into
- 27:21Speaker 1: it early enough that we can make those decisions. If
- 27:25Speaker 1: these guys don't play, Kenyon Sadik becomes a solid play,
- 27:28Speaker 1: Malik Benson at four to seven is great, and then
- 27:30Speaker 1: you get value with McClellan and Johnson. If these guys
- 27:34Speaker 1: do play, I think you're taking shots for the most part.
- 27:37Speaker 1: And even if to Corey and more plays, even if
- 27:40Speaker 1: Gary Bryant plays Evan Stewart in his first game of
- 27:43Speaker 1: the season, how much are they going to use these guys.
- 27:45Speaker 1: If Oregon gets up early and they can save these
- 27:47Speaker 1: guys for the second round matchup, they're going to do it,
- 27:49Speaker 1: or maybe it's a situation where they're all suited up,
- 27:52Speaker 1: they go through warm ups and they're on the sideline
- 27:54Speaker 1: as a just in case of emergency break glass. If
- 27:57Speaker 1: we get to halftime and it's fourteen thirteen in Orgon's like,
- 28:00Speaker 1: all right, Decoran, Gary, we need our wide receiver corps
- 28:04Speaker 1: on the field. Maybe that's where you see him. Regardless, Again,
- 28:09Speaker 1: my personal opinion, this is just a gut feel. If
- 28:13Speaker 1: they're active, I don't know that we get full games
- 28:15Speaker 1: out of these guys. That means their ownership is going
- 28:19Speaker 1: to be super low if they are active. It's not
- 28:22Speaker 1: about what it's like. It's not about what's on paper.
- 28:26Speaker 1: It's about how you play the game. If you're gonna
- 28:28Speaker 1: get a one percent owned to Koreyan Moore, who's the
- 28:30Speaker 1: wide receiver one on this team when healthy, it's at
- 28:34Speaker 1: least a thought on my radar. Let's just put it
- 28:37Speaker 1: that way. That's it for the three games slate Again,
- 28:40Speaker 1: overall thoughts on this, The first games set up to
- 28:44Speaker 1: be the most competitive. I think you can get different
- 28:47Speaker 1: by overstacking it. I think you get real different by
- 28:51Speaker 1: playing James Madison like utilizing some runbacks. If you're stacking
- 28:56Speaker 1: the organ side, and if you are going to be
- 28:58Speaker 1: one that stacks ole miss, you know, the four to
- 29:01Speaker 1: five guys, run it back with a couple of two
- 29:04Speaker 1: lane guys, or you're gonna have to probably find a
- 29:07Speaker 1: lower own guy somewhere else. And it I don't know
- 29:12Speaker 1: that there's there's not a game that I would completely ignore.
- 29:15Speaker 1: James Madison's probably the team as it sits right now
- 29:19Speaker 1: that I'm going to completely ignore, but that could very
- 29:21Speaker 1: well change before Saturday. Yeah, I mean, it's gonna be
- 29:26Speaker 1: fun regardless of what happens. It's gonna be fun to
- 29:28Speaker 1: watch football on Saturday. And we get it wall to
- 29:30Speaker 1: wall with the noon start, eleven start Lord's time zone.
- 29:36Speaker 1: I still don't like that we put et on here
- 29:39Speaker 1: or eleven am Lords time zone, two thirty pm Lords
- 29:42Speaker 1: time Zone, six thirty pm Lords time Zone. It's gonna
- 29:45Speaker 1: be a fun day of football. It's gonna be a
- 29:46Speaker 1: fun weekend of football kicking off Friday night. That kind
- 29:49Speaker 1: of leads us into the big Guys rule Number one.
- 29:52Speaker 1: College football is fun. Enjoy the process, enjoy the sweat again,
- 29:56Speaker 1: regardless of how your lineup to I know I want
- 29:58Speaker 1: your lineup to do well, want my lineup to do well.
- 30:01Speaker 1: Take time to enjoy watching college football on TV. We
- 30:04Speaker 1: don't have much left this season, and take time to
- 30:07Speaker 1: enjoy and be thankful that we can play college football dfs.
- 30:11Speaker 1: But most importantly, don't take a single day for granted.
- 30:14Speaker 1: We don't know how many we have. It's never enough
- 30:16Speaker 1: and we don't know when the last one is gonna be.
- 30:18Speaker 1: That's going to do it for the college Football Playoff
- 30:20Speaker 1: Round one analysis show, I will see you on the
- 30:26Speaker 1: streets this weekend. Let's all go out there and try
- 30:28Speaker 1: to ship one for the big.
- 30:29Speaker 3: Guy still
- 31:03Speaker 1: At STA