Latest / The Bolt Report / The Bolt Report | 15 April
Transcript
- 0:11Speaker 1: Needs the report it.
- 0:14Speaker 2: Tonight.
- 0:15Speaker 3: An important contrast you won't see anywhere else. It's a
- 0:18Speaker 3: contrast between Labour's winning and campaign, especially on social media,
- 0:23Speaker 3: a fantasy of lies and the reality we actually face,
- 0:28Speaker 3: a reality that was made very clear to us this
- 0:31Speaker 3: afternoon with the reports that Russia China's ally wants Indonesia
- 0:35Speaker 3: to let it based long range bombers there just north
- 0:37Speaker 3: of us.
- 0:38Speaker 2: And what war do you think is preparing for?
- 0:42Speaker 3: Well, plenty more on that coming up also tonight. The
- 0:45Speaker 3: local politician who blew the whistle on how Chinese students
- 0:48Speaker 3: here illegally elected another former Chinese student onto Adelaide's city council.
- 0:54Speaker 2: What more does he know? And plenty more tonight as well.
- 0:57Speaker 2: But first.
- 1:00Speaker 3: Tonight, I'll show you the campaign that most of you,
- 1:02Speaker 3: I'm sure have never seen. That is a key reason
- 1:04Speaker 3: that Labour is winning.
- 1:05Speaker 2: This election campaign.
- 1:07Speaker 3: It's the advertising war, and especially the advertising war on
- 1:11Speaker 3: social media. And I think what I'll show you will
- 1:14Speaker 3: scare you, and not just scary, because how you'll see
- 1:18Speaker 3: how poor the coalition campaign is in comparison, but also
- 1:21Speaker 3: how Labor is winning this election on lives that the
- 1:24Speaker 3: Coalition isn't fighting, not well enough, and that is a
- 1:27Speaker 3: warning not just for the Coalition but for the country.
- 1:30Speaker 3: Let me starup by reminding you of three great free
- 1:33Speaker 3: to wear ads from past campaigns that really set the
- 1:36Speaker 3: standard back when free to wear ads mattered. First, of course,
- 1:40Speaker 3: this Labour's classic It's Time ad in nineteen seventy two,
- 1:43Speaker 3: featuring TV stars at the time Bobby Lim, Burt Newton
- 1:46Speaker 3: and Jack Thompson backing off Whitlam, making it sound that
- 1:49Speaker 3: a Labor win would be a new Dawn, which is
- 1:53Speaker 3: very different to the more downbeat Liberal launch this year. Second,
- 2:07Speaker 3: there is another Labour ad they've alwaye been able to
- 2:08Speaker 3: do these ads well. It's the winging wendy ones made
- 2:12Speaker 3: by John Singleton Bob Hawk attacking then Liberal leader John
- 2:15Speaker 3: Howard's promise of tax cuts and exactly the way, by
- 2:19Speaker 3: the way that Laborer is today attacking Peter Dutton making
- 2:23Speaker 3: false claims that cut medicarelie that the Liberals, nearly forty
- 2:27Speaker 3: years later, still haven't learned to counter. Where is your
- 2:31Speaker 3: eight billion dollar tax cut money really coming from?
- 2:34Speaker 4: Will you cut pensions? Will you destroy Medicare?
- 2:38Speaker 3: Will your closed child mining centers? Please tell us, mister Howard,
- 2:42Speaker 3: we want to know where is the money really coming from.
- 2:46Speaker 3: A last another Labour ad, a classic that the Liberals
- 2:50Speaker 3: should have learned from, A very sunny Kevin Rudd, optimistic,
- 2:53Speaker 3: making fun of the Liberal scare campaign and remembering this,
- 2:57Speaker 3: I wonder how come the Liberals haven't done any as effective.
- 3:02Speaker 5: Mister Howard always resorts to negative scare campaigns, and we'll
- 3:05Speaker 5: see plenty of them once again the selection. It's the
- 3:08Speaker 5: sign of a government that's just lost touch. Australia needs
- 3:11Speaker 5: fresh ideas. I have a positive plan for our country's future.
- 3:15Speaker 3: Optimism, confidence, fast reaction, aggression. I think there are ayal
- 3:20Speaker 3: elements missing from this Liberal campaign. Now the liberal slatest
- 3:25Speaker 3: free to wear ad of two men at a bar
- 3:26Speaker 3: complaining about the broken promises of Alban Easy. Look, it's okay,
- 3:32Speaker 3: but it's actually pretty average, no real passion, nothing really
- 3:35Speaker 3: memorable about it. And where are all the Liberal ads anyway?
- 3:39Speaker 3: I mean I haven't seen that many, to be honest,
- 3:42Speaker 3: and I haven't really seen a very consistent theme. Now,
- 3:45Speaker 3: of course you'll be told the free to wear ads
- 3:49Speaker 3: they're so yesterday and today. It's about social media and
- 3:53Speaker 3: podcasts targeting very specific groups of voters. That need to
- 3:58Speaker 3: be shifted either side, of course, the argument that there
- 4:01Speaker 3: should be room for ads on mass that really sell
- 4:05Speaker 3: an overarching vision of Australia's future, one that unites us all,
- 4:09Speaker 3: a big theme, a theme by the way, that neither
- 4:12Speaker 3: side is offered, you might notice, And that's maybe because
- 4:15Speaker 3: the strings are now so divided. So many now weren't
- 4:19Speaker 3: born here, so many are locked into identity politics, so
- 4:22Speaker 3: many are tuned out. But okay, let's look at the
- 4:26Speaker 3: social media like TikTok videos. They are aims especially at
- 4:30Speaker 3: young voters between eighteen twenty four, but also older of course,
- 4:34Speaker 3: voters who tend to know almost nothing about politics, who
- 4:37Speaker 3: tend to get their information from social media and not
- 4:40Speaker 3: TV newspapers, So these are very different ads. For instance,
- 4:45Speaker 3: both sides have jumped on an AI generated mean character
- 4:49Speaker 3: that was invented just two months ago called Tim Cheese,
- 4:53Speaker 3: a mouse with glasses blamed for killing John Pork, a
- 4:57Speaker 3: virtual influencer who's appear Let's really how some labor voters
- 5:03Speaker 3: got this political message.
- 5:06Speaker 6: Tim Cheese has been spotted in Australia working on Peter
- 5:09Speaker 6: Dutton's risky and expensive nuclear scheme. In a letter confiscated
- 5:13Speaker 6: from Mama Cheese. Tim Cheese states Peter Dutton's plan will
- 5:17Speaker 6: cost taxpayers six hundred billion dollars.
- 5:21Speaker 3: The Liberals also used tim cheese, although not with quite
- 5:25Speaker 3: the same sas and punch races.
- 5:29Speaker 7: Are up twenty percent. How many times will Labor lie
- 5:32Speaker 7: about not ruining the economy?
- 5:34Speaker 8: We've got to tiger at one point to be in
- 5:37Speaker 8: a million Polish.
- 5:38Speaker 7: That's a lot of lies ready to get started. Yeah,
- 5:41Speaker 7: you lied to us about cheaper power.
- 5:44Speaker 4: Well that's not chrick.
- 5:45Speaker 7: You spent four hundred and fifty million dollars on the voice,
- 5:48Speaker 7: Well that's not chrick.
- 5:51Speaker 3: Now you'll let us with labor Stimcheese add one of
- 5:53Speaker 3: Labour's great lives in this campaign. The coalition's seven pl
- 5:57Speaker 3: nuclear reactors would cost six.
- 6:00Speaker 2: One hundred billion.
- 6:01Speaker 3: Dollars, which just happens to be about four times the
- 6:04Speaker 3: likely real costs. And their other lie use every election
- 6:07Speaker 3: that the Liberals plan secret cuts, so secret that not
- 6:10Speaker 3: even the Liberals know about them. But even Homer Simpson
- 6:13Speaker 3: he does. He says, those terrible Liberals, they will cut.
- 6:18Speaker 9: Well, I wasn't able to cut everyone I wanted to.
- 6:21Speaker 9: I have cut a lot of you Wendall's cut. Rudy
- 6:25Speaker 9: is cut, Jennie, You're gone, Stephen. I like your hustle.
- 6:29Speaker 9: That's why it was so hard to cut you.
- 6:31Speaker 3: Now that the other lie, the big lie, absolutely central
- 6:35Speaker 3: to Labour's campaign, is that one from forty years ago
- 6:38Speaker 3: that the Liberals will cut Medicare. That's the lie that
- 6:41Speaker 3: has Albanize always flashing his Medicare card again today. Plus
- 6:46Speaker 3: it also features in the TikTok ads.
- 6:51Speaker 10: Yeah, the lever's got a terrible ass, heal I wanted
- 6:54Speaker 10: you to make it be hoskits out. Oh even need
- 6:58Speaker 10: to hope to hold them back please letting many cares
- 7:01Speaker 10: the return.
- 7:05Speaker 3: I'll bet you haven't seen any of those ads, but
- 7:07Speaker 3: they're having effect out there. And then there's this other
- 7:09Speaker 3: Labour lie on TikTok that the Liberals just borrow their
- 7:12Speaker 3: policies from the wicked Donald Trump.
- 7:15Speaker 11: The future we want is not an American style wager system,
- 7:19Speaker 11: not American levels of student debt, and never ever American
- 7:24Speaker 11: health care. We don't beg and borrow ideologies from anywhere
- 7:29Speaker 11: else in the world.
- 7:32Speaker 3: Well fact check, the Liberals are not copying Trump, which
- 7:36Speaker 3: is exactly why some people on the right attacked Peter
- 7:39Speaker 3: Dutton and look at Labor's hypocrisy. US President Joe Biden
- 7:42Speaker 3: promised to council student debt, Albanies is now promising exactly
- 7:45Speaker 3: the same year, twenty percent off student debt. Now, it's
- 7:50Speaker 3: true that the Liberals do do their own TikTok videos.
- 7:52Speaker 3: Some are good, using AI, inventively involving space creatures, using
- 8:00Speaker 3: petrol with that tax exis promised the bout Peter Dutton.
- 8:04Speaker 3: That the cut, But there are others that they don't
- 8:06Speaker 3: really punch home a strong political message, like this one
- 8:09Speaker 3: mocking Albanese's very awkward greeting and his campaign launch of
- 8:12Speaker 3: rival ten year plimost the environment minister.
- 8:31Speaker 2: Funny, but so what and the later stats tell the tale.
- 8:35Speaker 3: Albanize he beats Dutton in engagements on their tiktoks by
- 8:40Speaker 3: six to one and beats Screens Leader and a Band
- 8:42Speaker 3: nine to one as measured by Fabul eight. Now, some
- 8:46Speaker 3: of Albanize's videos actually get as many as six hundred
- 8:49Speaker 3: thousand views, which is not bad. Overall engagement for the
- 8:52Speaker 3: political parties and engagements means you know, comments and likes
- 8:56Speaker 3: on these videos is much closer. But Labor is still
- 9:00Speaker 3: way ahead. Now, if you think it's crazy that an
- 9:04Speaker 3: election can be decided by ads like the ones I
- 9:07Speaker 3: just showed you, you are correct, But that's compulsory voting
- 9:12Speaker 3: for you. You've got to appeal even to the clueless
- 9:14Speaker 3: and board. And if you think it's disgraceful that Labour
- 9:18Speaker 3: can win by telling such shameless lies, you are right
- 9:21Speaker 3: again by complaints of for losers. And think also what
- 9:25Speaker 3: it means for our future that these things are true,
- 9:30Speaker 3: where the word cut is poison, even when this government
- 9:34Speaker 3: is giving us a trillion dollar debt. But for the
- 9:39Speaker 3: liberals there is now this further question, how does it
- 9:42Speaker 3: feel to get to a winning position before an election
- 9:46Speaker 3: campaign only to find out your way behind after just
- 9:51Speaker 3: two weeks of labor campaigning? Something sure must change right now,
- 10:01Speaker 3: But away from the spin and back to the reality
- 10:04Speaker 3: the campaigns being determined to avoid for the most look,
- 10:09Speaker 3: the Albenizi government has weakened our military exactly when China
- 10:12Speaker 3: has threat is threatening us with naval ships firing their guns.
- 10:17Speaker 3: But where have been the defense policies of either side?
- 10:20Speaker 3: Now there are reports that Russia, China's ally, has asked
- 10:23Speaker 3: Indonesia to let us station several long range aircraft there
- 10:27Speaker 3: just the thirteen hundred kilometers away from Australias mainland.
- 10:30Speaker 2: This was news to Albanezi.
- 10:32Speaker 8: We are ascertaining having a look at those reports, as
- 10:36Speaker 8: the Foreign Minister and Defense Minister have said, we are
- 10:39Speaker 8: seeking further information. We obviously do not want to see
- 10:46Speaker 8: Russian influence in our region.
- 10:49Speaker 2: Very clearly, Peter Dutton was far more damning.
- 10:54Speaker 12: We've seen Russia in action under President Putin in Ukraine.
- 10:58Speaker 12: We've seen women and children have died in Ukraine as
- 11:02Speaker 12: a result of decisions of Vladimir Putin. He's a murder's
- 11:04Speaker 12: dictator and we don't welcome his presence in our neighborhood
- 11:09Speaker 12: at all. It is deeply destabilizing and we would want
- 11:15Speaker 12: to hear from the Prime Minister about what efforts have
- 11:17Speaker 12: been undertaken. Obviously, surely they must have known about this
- 11:20Speaker 12: before it's been made public, and if not, then that
- 11:23Speaker 12: is a catastrophic failure of Penny Wong and Anthony Obernezi.
- 11:26Speaker 12: And at a time when the Prime Minister says we
- 11:28Speaker 12: live in the most precarious periods since the end of
- 11:30Speaker 12: the Second World War, we've got a government taking eighty
- 11:33Speaker 12: billion dollars out of defense and that is completely and
- 11:37Speaker 12: utterly unacceptable.
- 11:41Speaker 3: But Defense been Sir Richard Miles has just put out
- 11:44Speaker 3: a statement that the Russians did not put in a
- 11:47Speaker 3: request to store their aircraft in Indonesian bases.
- 11:50Speaker 2: There's something about that.
- 11:51Speaker 3: I'll discuss later with an expert in.
- 11:55Speaker 2: This area, but for now joining me is our regular.
- 11:57Speaker 3: Tuesday commentator, National Senator canneb and the former Resources Minister
- 12:02Speaker 3: Matt Thank you for your time. This report and it's
- 12:05Speaker 3: by the prestigious US military website. James, so did several
- 12:09Speaker 3: Indonesian officials unnamed, but the Defense Minister says Indonesia's Defenseminster, Denisa,
- 12:14Speaker 3: do you think Peter Dutton then overreacted.
- 12:19Speaker 1: Well, as you say, it's from a reputable source, and
- 12:23Speaker 1: we don't know, of course what will happen with these reports.
- 12:26Speaker 1: I still think there are questions for the government to
- 12:28Speaker 1: answer about why they couldn't dismiss the issue immediately. There
- 12:32Speaker 1: has been this statement just now, so there are those
- 12:35Speaker 1: questions to answer. But Andrew, there's also the issue here
- 12:39Speaker 1: about what is the government doing to respond to the
- 12:41Speaker 1: potential of this. Clearly, this is an issue just a
- 12:45Speaker 1: few months ago Indonesia officially joined the Bricks Formation that
- 12:49Speaker 1: was the sort of counter to the US Formation form
- 12:52Speaker 1: by Brazil, Russia and China just over a decade ago.
- 12:57Speaker 1: Now Indonesia's formally a member of that group. So clearly
- 13:02Speaker 1: there is an issue here that we should be mindful of.
- 13:04Speaker 1: But despite those rising tensions, despite even the Prime Minister's
- 13:08Speaker 1: own admissions of those rising tensions, this goverment has stripped
- 13:11Speaker 1: funding away from defense. They've continued to pursue a mad
- 13:17Speaker 1: net zero agenda that all of those bricks countries are
- 13:19Speaker 1: not really even paying lip service to any more. And
- 13:22Speaker 1: as a consequence, we've just lost our nickel industry to Indonesia.
- 13:26Speaker 1: And I've been raising this issue for over a year.
- 13:28Speaker 1: No one else seems to be listening, but the Albanesi
- 13:30Speaker 1: government imposed a carbon tax on our nickel industry, And meanwhile,
- 13:35Speaker 1: China financed the construction of massive amounts of culified power
- 13:39Speaker 1: stations in Indonesia, financing a lower cost form of nickel
- 13:43Speaker 1: production which has undercut Australia nickel. And we've gone from
- 13:45Speaker 1: being the world's biggest nickel exporter to now barely having
- 13:48Speaker 1: an industry in this country. And three thousand Australians have
- 13:51Speaker 1: lost their jobs as well. We need to if this
- 13:55Speaker 1: is well, I think it is one of the most
- 13:57Speaker 1: serious geopolitical moments that Australia has faced since the Second
- 14:00Speaker 1: World War. Shouldn't we be reassessing our priorities on energy,
- 14:04Speaker 1: on industry, on manufacturing, on defense, on all of these issues,
- 14:08Speaker 1: rather than the Albanesi governments approach, which is to continue
- 14:11Speaker 1: to pursue global agendas to try and change the temperature
- 14:14Speaker 1: of the globe, to have open borders migration, instead of
- 14:18Speaker 1: focusing on our own national sovereignty and independence.
- 14:23Speaker 3: You raise a couple of issues that I'm going to
- 14:25Speaker 3: flesh out later in the show, because you're absolutely correct
- 14:27Speaker 3: there is more to this Indonesian story than the governor's
- 14:30Speaker 3: leaning on something really disturbing going on there. Meanwhile, to
- 14:36Speaker 3: the Greens, Matt Canavan, they planned a fundraising dance on
- 14:41Speaker 3: Antack Day on Antac data West Perth Tattoo Parlor of
- 14:45Speaker 3: all things. And let's not forget, of course, how the
- 14:47Speaker 3: West Australian Green centator Jordan steel John defended the pro
- 14:51Speaker 3: palace in and extreamers who defaced the Australian War Memorial here.
- 14:54Speaker 13: He is then if we are to believe that the
- 14:59Speaker 13: men and women of the gave their lives in wars
- 15:01Speaker 13: and conflicts to defend such freedoms, then you have to
- 15:06Speaker 13: engage with the reality that protesting but painting is a
- 15:12Speaker 13: form of speech.
- 15:15Speaker 3: The Greens have now canceled that fundraising event on Anzact
- 15:18Speaker 3: Day after a huge outcry. Do you think that was
- 15:21Speaker 3: just a mistake on their part or something worse?
- 15:27Speaker 1: Well to me, Andrew shows they have terrible instincts. Thankfully
- 15:31Speaker 1: they have responded to that outcry. But how did it
- 15:35Speaker 1: even get past first base? Here? At got past first base?
- 15:38Speaker 1: Because the Greens as a political movement the equivalent of
- 15:42Speaker 1: a massive group of spoilt brats. It's like a sport
- 15:45Speaker 1: child who wants to complain about all the sins apparently
- 15:48Speaker 1: their parents committed, but it's happy to live half the
- 15:51Speaker 1: wealth and generosity of those same parents. I mean the
- 15:54Speaker 1: Greens that only can engage in their democratic right to
- 16:00Speaker 1: support Palestine because of the sacrifices that former Australians have made,
- 16:04Speaker 1: their ancestors have made to defend the freedom of this country.
- 16:07Speaker 1: But they never pay any sufficient or significant tribute to
- 16:11Speaker 1: those sacrifices. Instead, just simply to like to live an
- 16:15Speaker 1: easy life and not have to think about the hard
- 16:18Speaker 1: sacrifices made to generate that.
- 16:21Speaker 3: Matt I mentioned the ads earlier at the top of
- 16:26Speaker 3: the show, including ones where the Labor Party is attacking
- 16:31Speaker 3: the Coalition for being too pro Trump. I wonder, though
- 16:37Speaker 3: much as I deny that allegation, I do wonder why
- 16:42Speaker 3: there isn't more robust criticism of Donald Trump. Maybe some
- 16:48Speaker 3: people have got a hero worship of him, or they're
- 16:50Speaker 3: too scared to criticize him and offend some of the
- 16:53Speaker 3: right here. But this pandering to the Russian president by
- 16:56Speaker 3: Donald Trump has become obscene. A day ago he claimed
- 16:59Speaker 3: the Russian miss some attack on Palm Sunday that killed
- 17:02Speaker 3: thirty four Ukrainian civilians is just a mistake, and.
- 17:05Speaker 2: Now he blames Ukrainian President.
- 17:07Speaker 3: Vladimir Zelenski for Putin invading Ukraine and slaughtering his citizens.
- 17:12Speaker 14: Have looked he's always looking to purchase missiles. You know
- 17:16Speaker 14: he's against Listen, when you start a war, you're going
- 17:20Speaker 14: to know that you can win the war. You don't
- 17:21Speaker 14: start a war against somebody that's twenty times you says
- 17:25Speaker 14: and then hope that people give you some missiles.
- 17:28Speaker 3: Isn't a time, the Coalition says straight out. Trump's position
- 17:31Speaker 3: here is not just wrong, it's.
- 17:32Speaker 2: A moral.
- 17:35Speaker 1: Andrew, I don't know how wise that would be given
- 17:38Speaker 1: the first questions you asked me about Russia's influence in
- 17:43Speaker 1: our region. America is our most important ally, fundamentally, it's
- 17:48Speaker 1: their choice to choose who their president is. I think
- 17:51Speaker 1: one of the estrange things about foreign policy discussions all
- 17:54Speaker 1: around the Western world is that everybody seems to think
- 17:56Speaker 1: they have the right to dictate what America does with
- 17:58Speaker 1: its funds, with its military resorts, because etcetera. That's a
- 18:01Speaker 1: matter for the American people. I think if we are
- 18:03Speaker 1: true friends with America, it would do us some service
- 18:06Speaker 1: to actually think a bit deeply about why what Donald
- 18:09Speaker 1: Trump is saying with Jdie Vance says what many senior
- 18:12Speaker 1: people many send your politicians. I've spoken to the US
- 18:14Speaker 1: Why that's so supported in the US. It's probably because
- 18:17Speaker 1: they haven't had a real wage rise since the nineteen seventies.
- 18:20Speaker 1: I've got thirty seven trillion dollars in debt. It's got
- 18:22Speaker 1: nothing to do with September eleventh. I think I mean
- 18:26Speaker 1: Andrew elected president. What he's saying so.
- 18:30Speaker 3: Many German for Adolf Hitler. I don't want to say
- 18:34Speaker 3: Trump has hit Leer like a world.
- 18:37Speaker 1: I mean, but that's your comparison, and Andrews with the US. Seriously,
- 18:41Speaker 1: I mean, that's a that's an absurd s tape, and
- 18:43Speaker 1: I'm just it's wrong. It's wrong, Andrew. It's absolutely wrong
- 18:47Speaker 1: to say this is Donald Trump. I've heard, I've had
- 18:49Speaker 1: discussions with senior senators, senior congressmen who say exactly the
- 18:52Speaker 1: same thing, and this is a we don't seem to
- 18:55Speaker 1: understand that you can have for the wist.
- 18:57Speaker 3: More people doesn't make it right, thing, Matt, More people
- 19:02Speaker 3: saying the wrong thing is more people saying.
- 19:04Speaker 1: That that's a matter for the American people. We should look
- 19:06Speaker 1: at for ourselves and our own countries. A little bit
- 19:10Speaker 1: more of.
- 19:10Speaker 3: Russia, mate, He says, Zelenski is the blame for Russia
- 19:17Speaker 3: invading his own country.
- 19:18Speaker 2: That is a disgrace.
- 19:20Speaker 3: And it's just the embarrasses well that that is seen
- 19:24Speaker 3: as now something you can't even deny, you know, it's
- 19:28Speaker 3: just extraordinary.
- 19:29Speaker 2: I think the coalition's got to wake up to us
- 19:31Speaker 2: on this.
- 19:32Speaker 1: As a as a good conservative eder, I'm focused on
- 19:35Speaker 1: our country, our region. I think one of the conservative
- 19:38Speaker 1: positions by yourself where I can answer where this is
- 19:44Speaker 1: not conservative position is because they're getting themselves involved in
- 19:47Speaker 1: all the conservatives the world that they don't understand. I
- 19:50Speaker 1: don't want to try to repeat the same mistakes.
- 19:54Speaker 3: Well, it's a very great mistake to say that Ukraine
- 19:57Speaker 3: is a blame for being invaded, and it's a shame
- 20:00Speaker 3: that may not say.
- 20:01Speaker 2: That straight out.
- 20:02Speaker 3: Well, you didn't deny it, mate, and I thought that
- 20:05Speaker 3: was a bit bad to be honest. Matt Canavan will
- 20:09Speaker 3: have more about this, you and I maybe later and
- 20:12Speaker 3: when I get perhaps when it's all cooled down a bit.
- 20:17Speaker 3: Thank you so much. After the break the whistle blower
- 20:20Speaker 3: exposed of fraud where Chinese overseas students got a former
- 20:24Speaker 3: Chinese student elect us to the Council of Australian capital City.
- 20:27Speaker 2: And there's more in this scandal to come.
- 20:34Speaker 3: Now, going back to those political ads, I showed you
- 20:36Speaker 3: there's something that's sure change in our political culture where
- 20:40Speaker 3: when we're facing a trillion dollar debt trillion dollars next
- 20:46Speaker 3: year under this government, just the word cut has become
- 20:51Speaker 3: a dirty word. Labor doesn't want you to even say
- 20:55Speaker 3: the word cut. Joining me from Washington and Australian Steve Hamilton,
- 20:58Speaker 3: Assistant Professor of Economics to the George Washington University and
- 21:01Speaker 3: visiting fellow at Australian National University. And Steve Hamilton was
- 21:05Speaker 3: also a treasury official who had to find cuts back
- 21:08Speaker 3: under the Gillard labor government when labor still believed the
- 21:12Speaker 3: cuts were necessary to balance the books. Stephen Hamilton, thank
- 21:17Speaker 3: you so much for joining me again. When did politicians
- 21:20Speaker 3: stop worrying about death and deficits?
- 21:25Speaker 15: Yeah, it's a good question, you know, if you remember,
- 21:29Speaker 15: it took a very long time after the global financial
- 21:32Speaker 15: crisis in sort of two thousand and eight in order
- 21:35Speaker 15: to get back to surplus.
- 21:36Speaker 4: Right, we didn't get back to we didn't get back
- 21:38Speaker 4: to budget balance until right before the pandemic.
- 21:41Speaker 15: Right that last budget was basically balanced, and then obviously
- 21:45Speaker 15: the pandemic happened.
- 21:47Speaker 4: And you know, we spent a lot of money and
- 21:50Speaker 4: had very large deficits.
- 21:52Speaker 15: And then the only reason frankly that we had a
- 21:55Speaker 15: surplus after that was because of the rivers of gold
- 21:58Speaker 15: that had been flowing through to the treasury. I think
- 22:00Speaker 15: absent those, I don't think we'd be in surplus at all,
- 22:04Speaker 15: So you know, that's kind of extraordinary. You know, it
- 22:07Speaker 15: took a decade to repair the budget and get back
- 22:09Speaker 15: to normal, and then now it's going to take at
- 22:12Speaker 15: least another decade to get back there.
- 22:15Speaker 3: Yeah, the river's a goal being that boom because of
- 22:18Speaker 3: record prices for coal and iron ore and gas and
- 22:22Speaker 3: all that kind of stuff, and like there's money pouring
- 22:24Speaker 3: in like nobody's business. Now it's all gone, of course,
- 22:29Speaker 3: and we've got ten years of deficits ahead of us.
- 22:32Speaker 2: But why is that not? Number one?
- 22:36Speaker 3: You know, how could the government have run through all
- 22:40Speaker 3: that money so that we've now got a trillion dollar
- 22:43Speaker 3: debt facing us next year?
- 22:46Speaker 2: What has changed in our political culture?
- 22:50Speaker 4: Yeah, it's a great question.
- 22:51Speaker 15: I mean, I do think that there is a degree
- 22:53Speaker 15: of complacency out there.
- 22:55Speaker 4: And I don't know if it's young people.
- 22:57Speaker 15: I mean, you know, if people even young younger than us,
- 23:00Speaker 15: you know who, maybe they've never experienced, you know.
- 23:04Speaker 4: The consequences right of high debt.
- 23:08Speaker 15: Right, we've been able to fund basically whatever we've needed
- 23:11Speaker 15: to fund.
- 23:11Speaker 4: Right, the government has grown and grown and grown and
- 23:13Speaker 4: grown and grown.
- 23:14Speaker 15: Over the past fifteen years. We're offering biople more and more, right,
- 23:18Speaker 15: increasing everything. The ndis higher health spending, increasing the dole,
- 23:23Speaker 15: increasing family payments. Right, we're doing that all the time,
- 23:27Speaker 15: and we haven't really you know, had.
- 23:29Speaker 4: To raise people's taxes to pay for it, right.
- 23:31Speaker 15: And so I think people have just sort of use
- 23:33Speaker 15: of this kind of gravy train of money coming from
- 23:36Speaker 15: governments without thinking that eventually something has to has to give.
- 23:42Speaker 2: Yeah, but the thing is, you say, you know something
- 23:44Speaker 2: has to give.
- 23:45Speaker 3: Nothing has given as far as most people who are concerned.
- 23:49Speaker 3: I mean, it's starting to give in Victoria, That's that's
- 23:51Speaker 3: absolutely true. I mean even the labor government there is
- 23:54Speaker 3: now having to cut positions, et cetera in the public service.
- 23:58Speaker 3: But what what will give one day?
- 24:02Speaker 15: Yeah, I mean I think have a look at what's
- 24:05Speaker 15: going to happen to taxes over the next ten years.
- 24:08Speaker 15: So we have a big structural depthicit right now, really
- 24:11Speaker 15: really big, and if you look at the budget that
- 24:14Speaker 15: depthit just automatically goes away.
- 24:16Speaker 4: Over the next ten years like magic. But it isn't magic.
- 24:21Speaker 15: It's that everything on one of us is going to
- 24:23Speaker 15: be paying more and more and more and more of
- 24:25Speaker 15: our income in taxes over that time through bracket Greek
- 24:28Speaker 15: and you have to imagine that in a boiling the
- 24:30Speaker 15: frog kind of way.
- 24:32Speaker 4: Eventually people have to have to feel that, right.
- 24:35Speaker 15: They have to feel it in their living standards not improving, right,
- 24:38Speaker 15: they have to feel it in their lives not getting
- 24:42Speaker 15: better over time. They have to feel it in a
- 24:44Speaker 15: sort of stagnant economy which is slowly being strangled.
- 24:48Speaker 3: Yeah, but Labor's got a great thing going here that
- 24:52Speaker 3: against what you described. I mean, yes, living standards have fallen,
- 24:55Speaker 3: but what it's saying is we're not the problem. Where
- 24:57Speaker 3: the solution because we just give you back more of
- 24:59Speaker 3: your money. You know, here's an energy bill relief, here's
- 25:02Speaker 3: a little hand out here. He's a little hand out
- 25:04Speaker 3: there to meet those costs. And it's like it's money
- 25:07Speaker 3: from heaven. So they both are the architects of the problem.
- 25:11Speaker 3: But posing is the solution to it? Can you just
- 25:15Speaker 3: draw a contrast between this spend happy government we have
- 25:20Speaker 3: now and the Gillard government, which you know was supposed
- 25:25Speaker 3: to be a bad one with Treasurer Wayne Swan, where
- 25:28Speaker 3: the Liberal said he was terrible. What's the difference because
- 25:31Speaker 3: you worked in treasury under Wayne Swan.
- 25:36Speaker 4: Yeah, they get a bit of a bad rap, I think.
- 25:38Speaker 15: I mean, look, we can all quibble about sorts of
- 25:41Speaker 15: policies they introduced and other things, but you know, I
- 25:45Speaker 15: could tell you for sure that after the global financial crisis,
- 25:50Speaker 15: the deficit that those guys generated was like an albatross
- 25:55Speaker 15: around their neck.
- 25:56Speaker 4: Right.
- 25:57Speaker 15: They were the guys who pushed the budget into deficit
- 26:00Speaker 15: after the Howard Costello team had paid off all the
- 26:03Speaker 15: labor debt and.
- 26:04Speaker 4: Got the budget back to surplus.
- 26:05Speaker 15: So they were sort of politically terrified of being you know,
- 26:10Speaker 15: plastered as you know that the guys who'd racked up
- 26:13Speaker 15: all this debt, so they committed themselves to get back
- 26:16Speaker 15: to surplus as quickly as possible. And to be honest,
- 26:19Speaker 15: I mean, we used to work at Treasury. They really
- 26:22Speaker 15: really wanted to get back to surplus. Look, I will
- 26:25Speaker 15: say it didn't happen. And the main reason that didn't
- 26:27Speaker 15: happen is not because they were profligated.
- 26:29Speaker 4: It's not because they were lazy.
- 26:31Speaker 15: It's because the Treasury budget forecasts were inaccurate and the
- 26:35Speaker 15: revenue never came and so the surplus never came. But
- 26:38Speaker 15: I think on the political side, they cared a lot.
- 26:42Speaker 15: It mattered a lot to them, and they gave things
- 26:44Speaker 15: up to get there. And I think that culture, you know,
- 26:48Speaker 15: I just don't think politicians do they fear this. I
- 26:50Speaker 15: don't think they fear Hey, we're the government running a
- 26:53Speaker 15: big debt and so as a result, what's the cost? Right,
- 26:58Speaker 15: I'll give you one number this year the deficit. If
- 27:02Speaker 15: the government had just sat on its hands done nothing,
- 27:06Speaker 15: the deficit would be five billion. Instead it's forty seven billion.
- 27:12Speaker 15: All the decisions of the government has taken has turned
- 27:15Speaker 15: a five billion dollar deficit to a forty seven billion
- 27:17Speaker 15: dollar deficit. You know, they were dis close to getting
- 27:20Speaker 15: a surplus. It wouldn't be hard to turn a five
- 27:22Speaker 15: billion dollar deficit into a surplus, and they blew it away, right,
- 27:26Speaker 15: So obviously that's showing us that they couldn't care less.
- 27:32Speaker 3: Well, Stephen Hamilton, you are an eyewitness to a cultural shift.
- 27:39Speaker 3: We're ten years ago labor considered any deficit of any
- 27:44Speaker 3: size terrible. Where now it can live with a one
- 27:48Speaker 3: trillion dollar debt and think, you know, we don't need
- 27:54Speaker 3: to change. It is just extraordinary what's happened, Stephen Hamilton,
- 27:58Speaker 3: Thank you so much, indeed for your time.
- 28:00Speaker 7: It is Andrew.
- 28:03Speaker 3: In a second old talked to a whistleblower. The whistle
- 28:06Speaker 3: blow behind my story last night because there's a lot
- 28:08Speaker 3: more to come out. As I told you last night,
- 28:11Speaker 3: a court has found that Chinese international students actually managed
- 28:14Speaker 3: to elect another former Chinese student to Adelaide City Council.
- 28:19Speaker 3: This Gudgeling g not only a foreigners allowed to vote
- 28:23Speaker 3: in council elections in Adelaide, in Melbourne and Tasmania as well,
- 28:27Speaker 3: but in this case, a court has found it more
- 28:30Speaker 3: likely than not those international students made the winning difference,
- 28:36Speaker 3: and amazingly that result would actually still be legal, except
- 28:42Speaker 3: the court also found that this jingle and his team
- 28:44Speaker 3: used this honest ways to get those students votes that
- 28:47Speaker 3: have been secretly photographed collecting voting papers, for instance, from
- 28:50Speaker 3: buildings with lots of Chinese students out of the check
- 28:53Speaker 3: that vote for Lee, or to get them filled in.
- 28:56Speaker 3: So this guy has now been tossed off the council
- 28:58Speaker 3: and new elections called. But it's one other thing I
- 29:02Speaker 3: should repeat before I get to the whistleblower.
- 29:04Speaker 2: This jingle has connections.
- 29:06Speaker 3: This labor linked was vice president of the South Australian
- 29:09Speaker 3: Chapter of the Australian China Business Council, was a former
- 29:12Speaker 3: director of South Australian Governments China Engagement Strategy, and worked
- 29:16Speaker 3: for Ostrade and had a prime seat at a dinner
- 29:19Speaker 3: throne by the Chinese Consulate.
- 29:21Speaker 2: He's the guy in the red tie. Now. All this
- 29:24Speaker 2: was called.
- 29:25Speaker 3: Out by former Adelaide councilor Alex Hyde, who was just
- 29:28Speaker 3: beaten by a jingle's scam and fought the South Australian
- 29:30Speaker 3: Electoral Commission to get that result overturned.
- 29:33Speaker 2: Alex Hard joins me, Now, Alex.
- 29:36Speaker 3: Congratulations on your win, although it costs you a lot
- 29:39Speaker 3: of money and a lot of time. An extraordinary case.
- 29:41Speaker 3: What is the most troubling thing about it in your opinion?
- 29:47Speaker 16: Well, it is extraordinary, Andrew. And I suppose in Australia
- 29:50Speaker 16: today we've got Chinese warships to the south of US,
- 29:53Speaker 16: We're going to have Russian warplans to the north of US,
- 29:56Speaker 16: and in our own borders we have foreign actors illegally
- 29:59Speaker 16: influencing the outcome of elections in this country. But I suppose,
- 30:03Speaker 16: in addition to mister Lee's very strong connections to the
- 30:05Speaker 16: Labor Party in South Australia, which throw up a whole
- 30:08Speaker 16: range of other questions that should be answered. The most
- 30:12Speaker 16: troubling aspect is that if it wasn't for myself, as
- 30:16Speaker 16: a private citizen, engaging solicitors and barristers and a long
- 30:21Speaker 16: running litigation at my own personal cost, an inherent risk
- 30:25Speaker 16: in that a dodgy election would have been allowed to stand.
- 30:29Speaker 16: And this whole saga has gone on for three years,
- 30:34Speaker 16: long years. We've had to bump up to the Supreme
- 30:37Speaker 16: Court to get previously secret recordings that were taken by
- 30:41Speaker 16: other whistleblowers released to be admitted as evidence. We've had
- 30:45Speaker 16: to engage handwriting experts to pour over seemingly dodgy ballot
- 30:51Speaker 16: papers and produce the dodgiest out of them. We've actually
- 30:55Speaker 16: had to have the trial. Well, at the conclusion of
- 30:58Speaker 16: the trial, we had the case reopen because Freedom of
- 31:02Speaker 16: Information released many hundreds of documents that should have been
- 31:05Speaker 16: disclosed as part of the court disputter returns process that
- 31:09Speaker 16: were not disclosed. So there's been a lot of twists
- 31:11Speaker 16: and turns here and had that process not been undertaken
- 31:15Speaker 16: by myself and my legal team. But all the while,
- 31:18Speaker 16: mind you, with the electoral Commissioner challenging us at every
- 31:20Speaker 16: step of the way, we would have had an election
- 31:23Speaker 16: that stood here in Adelaide's capital city, and we would
- 31:29Speaker 16: have been none the wiser. And that's probably the scariest
- 31:32Speaker 16: part about this.
- 31:34Speaker 3: Oh look, I totally agree with you. How come the
- 31:37Speaker 3: Electoral Commission fort you when you said, correctly the jingly
- 31:43Speaker 3: was elected unfairly and how much did its resistance to
- 31:47Speaker 3: doing this cost you?
- 31:52Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 31:52Speaker 16: Well, at my team's legals will be discussed as part
- 31:57Speaker 16: of the costs process. But like I said, many experts
- 32:01Speaker 16: were engaged. We had a CAC and two junior barristers
- 32:04Speaker 16: and a solicitor on the job, and that's actually what
- 32:06Speaker 16: it took to get this result.
- 32:09Speaker 4: Over the line.
- 32:11Speaker 16: The citic in me wants to say that the Electoral
- 32:14Speaker 16: Commission was more interested in perhaps protecting their reputation than
- 32:19Speaker 16: protecting the integrity of the election. That's perhaps because illegal
- 32:23Speaker 16: practices were found by the commissioner prior, but they were
- 32:26Speaker 16: only found as a result of an original complaint that
- 32:28Speaker 16: I made when we got hold of those photos of
- 32:32Speaker 16: people handling ballots brazenly, quite brazenly in the streets. But
- 32:36Speaker 16: I think probably more than anything, it's the disbelief that
- 32:42Speaker 16: this could even be contemplated, let alone be pulled off
- 32:44Speaker 16: inside Australia, and as Australia, we placed a lot of
- 32:48Speaker 16: trust in our institutions and in our democratic processes, and
- 32:54Speaker 16: the fact that this was pulled off I just didn't think.
- 32:56Speaker 16: I don't think they thought it was actually possible.
- 33:00Speaker 3: Alix had one Chinese witness told the court the jingly
- 33:03Speaker 3: approach of the Chinese cuncture in Adelaide to help him
- 33:07Speaker 3: get elected.
- 33:08Speaker 2: Evidence was given that it refused. Is that the end
- 33:11Speaker 2: of the story.
- 33:15Speaker 16: Well, the precise evidence given was that they refused because
- 33:19Speaker 16: there were quote too many eyes watching, and that response
- 33:25Speaker 16: doesn't perhaps give me faith.
- 33:26Speaker 4: I would rather have heard that, no, we wouldn't.
- 33:30Speaker 16: Possibly interfere in this election, because that would be incredibly
- 33:32Speaker 16: improper to influence a foreign election using foreign nationals. Look,
- 33:39Speaker 16: there are so many questions left unanswered at the end
- 33:42Speaker 16: of this, and I just hope that our electoral commissions,
- 33:46Speaker 16: that our integrity agencies are watching what happened here very
- 33:50Speaker 16: very closely, because our democratic process is only as strong
- 33:54Speaker 16: as the weakest link in the chain. That weakest link
- 33:57Speaker 16: was found in this case, and it was exploited.
- 34:02Speaker 3: And of course we need the rules in three states
- 34:05Speaker 3: change so that anyone the only people that can vote
- 34:10Speaker 3: to be represented an Australian city council or even a
- 34:14Speaker 3: suburban council is an Australian citizen, not foreign citizens. Alex Hard,
- 34:19Speaker 3: thank you so much for drawing this to the country's attention.
- 34:23Speaker 2: After the break.
- 34:25Speaker 3: Why didn't the promiser know that Russia did want to
- 34:27Speaker 3: park its long range bombers in Indonesia? And hasn't he
- 34:32Speaker 3: seen how dangerously close Indonesia is getting to Russia?
- 34:36Speaker 2: Who is China's great ally?
- 34:42Speaker 3: Back to that report today that caught the prom minse
- 34:43Speaker 3: are unaware Russia asking Indonesia to let it base long
- 34:47Speaker 3: range Air Force aircraft at Indonesia's Manuir Air Force Base
- 34:52Speaker 3: to our north. Now, that report initially seemed to be
- 34:55Speaker 3: confirmed this afternoon by Defense Minister Richard Miles after hurry
- 34:59Speaker 3: calls the Indonesia, when he said Indonesia had not yet
- 35:02Speaker 3: formally responded to Russia.
- 35:05Speaker 17: At this point, Indonesia has not responded to this request.
- 35:09Speaker 17: We will keep engaging with Indonesia in a way which
- 35:12Speaker 17: befits a very close friend and a very close friendship.
- 35:17Speaker 3: Yet an hour or so ago, Marl said that he
- 35:19Speaker 3: now talked to Indonesia's defense minister and being reassured the
- 35:22Speaker 3: story was false, which is odd. You see, this was
- 35:27Speaker 3: reported by James the US online military site, usually authoritative,
- 35:31Speaker 3: and it started unnamed Indonesian officials and noted that Russia
- 35:34Speaker 3: had asked for this access before as well, and this
- 35:37Speaker 3: time Indonesia's military was for it. You're got to ask
- 35:41Speaker 3: why Russia would even want a base in our region,
- 35:44Speaker 3: unless it's to be ready to help China if China
- 35:47Speaker 3: started a war here by invading Taiwan. And what's more,
- 35:52Speaker 3: Indonesia is undeniably getting closer to Russia, something AVENIZI should
- 35:57Speaker 3: have known and been worried about. An Asia's new president,
- 36:01Speaker 3: Prabao Subianto, former general, met Russian President Vladimir Putin last
- 36:05Speaker 3: year soon after he was elected and promised more military cooperation.
- 36:10Speaker 18: I would like to invite Russian delegation to our defense
- 36:17Speaker 18: conference and Defense exhibition in November twenty twenty four, and
- 36:23Speaker 18: also to invite Russian participation in our naval trade, which
- 36:30Speaker 18: we would like to carry out in the early twenty
- 36:35Speaker 18: twenty five.
- 36:37Speaker 3: Last November, Russia even sent warships to Indonesia to train
- 36:40Speaker 3: with Indonesia's navy, and in February, the head of Russia
- 36:44Speaker 3: Security Council, Sergei Shoigu, visited Indonesia's defenseman, where this request
- 36:49Speaker 3: the house Russian military aircraft in Indonesia was reportedly made,
- 36:53Speaker 3: along with other promises of more military Tiesgebaria.
- 36:58Speaker 19: Della, would you commit mandi la foi? And are President
- 37:03Speaker 19: Indonesia the Unpresident Pucia.
- 37:07Speaker 3: In June, Indonesia's president will visit Russia again to sign
- 37:11Speaker 3: a trade deal and maybe also a military one. Join
- 37:15Speaker 3: me is Michael Schubridge, a former senior defense official now
- 37:18Speaker 3: founder and director of Strategic Analysis Australia. Michael, great to
- 37:22Speaker 3: see you again. So we've got you know, Richard Mars
- 37:28Speaker 3: telling us no, the story is completely false. Just after
- 37:31Speaker 3: before saying no, Indonesia hadn't formally responded, and yet we
- 37:36Speaker 3: also have clearly Indonesia getting closer to Russia. What's the
- 37:41Speaker 3: truth here do you think?
- 37:44Speaker 20: Well, Andrew, it looks to me like Richard Miles and
- 37:47Speaker 20: the government were asleep about what was going on between
- 37:51Speaker 20: Indonesia and Russia, and now he's woken up quickly, made
- 37:55Speaker 20: a hurried phone call and he's telling us it's all right,
- 37:59Speaker 20: we can all go back to sleep too now. But
- 38:02Speaker 20: I think there is closer military cooperation happening between Indonesia
- 38:06Speaker 20: and Russia. And you've set out why President Praboo met
- 38:09Speaker 20: with Vladimir Putin. Praboo has said he wants closer defense cooperation.
- 38:13Speaker 20: They've done joint naval drills for the first time late
- 38:16Speaker 20: last year, and then the head of the Russian Security
- 38:20Speaker 20: Council met with Proboo in February when this deal would
- 38:24Speaker 20: have been put on the table. This has got all
- 38:27Speaker 20: the smell of the Solomon's China security deal about it.
- 38:30Speaker 20: You know, where we sought assurances after being surprised and
- 38:34Speaker 20: the Solomon said there's no truth to Chinese basing. It
- 38:38Speaker 20: turns out no, there was no truth to Chinese basing,
- 38:41Speaker 20: just deepening security cooperation. So we could well see Russian
- 38:46Speaker 20: bombers turn up on visits to Indonesia and do the
- 38:49Speaker 20: kind of long range patrols they've been doing around Japan
- 38:52Speaker 20: and South Korea.
- 38:55Speaker 3: Why would they want that access to Indonesia.
- 38:59Speaker 20: Well, Putin wants to reclaim Russia's place as a great power,
- 39:04Speaker 20: and that means showing it can exert global influence and
- 39:09Speaker 20: they're also a strategic partner of China, as you mentioned,
- 39:13Speaker 20: so cooperating with their partner China in our part of
- 39:17Speaker 20: the world and sending the occasional nuclear armed bomber our
- 39:21Speaker 20: way to do patrols and send a message that sounds
- 39:25Speaker 20: entirely consistent with what Putin wants to do.
- 39:29Speaker 3: It sounds entirely consistent with a growing threat to Australia.
- 39:35Speaker 20: Well, yes, and that's why it's bizarre to have Richard
- 39:38Speaker 20: Miles not reading the tea leaves, not seeing Praboo is
- 39:42Speaker 20: doing what he said he would do. He's deepening defense
- 39:46Speaker 20: cooperation with Russia, so we'll see more of this. And
- 39:51Speaker 20: mister Miles telling us all to go back to sleep
- 39:54Speaker 20: is the last thing a responsible defense min should do.
- 39:58Speaker 20: He should be asking the Indonesia why two months after
- 40:02Speaker 20: the meeting with Showgu and President Praboo he's last with
- 40:07Speaker 20: the news.
- 40:11Speaker 3: Yes, and one more reason to be very skeptical about
- 40:13Speaker 3: Donald Trump's apparent big plan to peel Russia off China.
- 40:18Speaker 3: It ain't going to happen, and you should wake up
- 40:20Speaker 3: to what Putin's really up to. Michael Schubridge, thank you
- 40:24Speaker 3: so much, indeed for.
- 40:24Speaker 2: Your time Wow, it's the world going very crazy, very dangerous,
- 40:31Speaker 2: very fast. After the break.
- 40:33Speaker 3: Now, whenever I criticized Donald Trump and get angry viewers
- 40:36Speaker 3: write it to me. They're angry again with me for
- 40:38Speaker 3: my comments about Donald Trump earlier this show. Already, I'm
- 40:42Speaker 3: getting it so well coming up with my response and
- 40:44Speaker 3: an old warning of how Trump has gone wrong. Back
- 40:52Speaker 3: to that report today that court the promise are unaware
- 40:54Speaker 3: Russia asking Indonesia to let it base long range Air
- 40:58Speaker 3: Force aircraft at Indonesia Manoir Air Force Base to our north. Now,
- 41:03Speaker 3: that report initially seemed to be confirmed this afternoon by
- 41:07Speaker 3: Defense Minister Richard Miles after Harry calls through Indonesia, when
- 41:10Speaker 3: he said Indonesia had not yet formally responded to Russia.
- 41:15Speaker 17: At this point, Indonesia has not responded to this request.
- 41:18Speaker 17: We will keep engaging with Indonesia in a way which
- 41:22Speaker 17: befits a very close friend and a very close friendship.
- 41:26Speaker 3: Yet an hour or so ago, mar said they he
- 41:28Speaker 3: now talked to Indonesia's Defense minister and being reassured the
- 41:32Speaker 3: story was false, which is odd. You see, this was
- 41:37Speaker 3: reported by James the US online military site, usually authoritative,
- 41:41Speaker 3: and it started unnamed Indonesian officials and noted that Russia
- 41:44Speaker 3: had asked for this access before as well, and this
- 41:47Speaker 3: time Indonesia's military was for it. You're got to ask
- 41:51Speaker 3: why Russia would even want a base in our region,
- 41:53Speaker 3: unless it's to be ready to help China if China
- 41:57Speaker 3: started a war here, you know, invading Taiwan. And what's more,
- 42:02Speaker 3: Indonesia is undeniably getting closer to Russia, something Avenizi should
- 42:07Speaker 3: have known and been worried about. Indonesia's new president, Prabao Subianto,
- 42:12Speaker 3: former general, met Russian President of Vladimir Putin last year
- 42:15Speaker 3: soon after he was elected and promised more military cooperation.
- 42:19Speaker 18: I would like to invite Russian delegation.
- 42:24Speaker 14: To our.
- 42:26Speaker 18: Defense conference and Defense exhibition in November twenty twenty four,
- 42:32Speaker 18: and also to invite Russian participation in our naval trade,
- 42:39Speaker 18: which we would like to carry out in the early
- 42:44Speaker 18: twenty twenty five.
- 42:47Speaker 3: Last November, Russia even sent warships to Indonesia to train
- 42:50Speaker 3: with Indonesia's navy, and in February, the head of Russia's
- 42:54Speaker 3: Security Council, Sergey Shoigu, visited Indonesia's defenseman.
- 42:58Speaker 2: So where this request the house.
- 42:59Speaker 3: Russian military aircraft in Indonesia was reportedly made, along with
- 43:04Speaker 3: other promises of more military Tiesgela.
- 43:09Speaker 19: Would you concrete the form it? Mandi La Foi and
- 43:13Speaker 19: President Indonesia the Unpresident Hucia.
- 43:17Speaker 3: In June, Indonesia's president will visit Russia again to sign
- 43:20Speaker 3: a trade deal and maybe also a military one. Join
- 43:25Speaker 3: me is Michael Schubridge, a former senior defense official now
- 43:28Speaker 3: founder and director of Strategic Analysis Australia. Michael, great to
- 43:32Speaker 3: see you again. So we've got you know, Richard Mars
- 43:38Speaker 3: telling us no, the story is completely false. Just after
- 43:41Speaker 3: before saying no, Indonesia hadn't formally responded, and yet we
- 43:46Speaker 3: also have clearly Indonesia getting closer to Russia.
- 43:50Speaker 2: What's the truth there? Do you think?
- 43:54Speaker 20: Well, Andrew, it looks to me like Richard Miles and
- 43:57Speaker 20: the government were asleep about what is going on between
- 44:01Speaker 20: Indonesia and Russia, and now he's woken up quickly, made
- 44:05Speaker 20: a hurried phone call and he's telling us it's all right,
- 44:08Speaker 20: we can all go back to sleep too now. But
- 44:11Speaker 20: I think there is closer military cooperation happening between Indonesia
- 44:16Speaker 20: and Russia. And you've set out why President Praboo met
- 44:19Speaker 20: with Vladimir Putin. Proboo has said he wants closer defense cooperation.
- 44:23Speaker 20: They've done joint naval drills for the first time late
- 44:26Speaker 20: last year, and then the head of the Russian Security
- 44:30Speaker 20: Council met with Proboo in February when this deal would
- 44:34Speaker 20: have been put on the table. This has got all
- 44:36Speaker 20: the smell of the Solomon's China security deal about it.
- 44:40Speaker 4: You know, where we.
- 44:41Speaker 20: Sought assurances after being surprised and the Solomon said there's
- 44:45Speaker 20: no truth to Chinese basing. It turns out no, there
- 44:49Speaker 20: was no truth to Chinese basing, just deepening security cooperation.
- 44:54Speaker 20: So we could well see Russian bombers turn up on
- 44:57Speaker 20: visits to Indonesia and do the kind of long range
- 45:00Speaker 20: patrols they've been doing around Japan and South Korea.
- 45:05Speaker 3: Why would they want that access to Indonesia.
- 45:09Speaker 20: Well, Putin wants to reclaim Russia's places a great power,
- 45:14Speaker 20: and that means showing it can exert global influence. And
- 45:19Speaker 20: they're also a strategic partner of China, as you mentioned,
- 45:23Speaker 20: so cooperating with their partner China in our part of
- 45:27Speaker 20: the world and sending the occasional nuclear armed bomber our
- 45:31Speaker 20: way to do patrols and send a message that sounds
- 45:35Speaker 20: entirely consistent with what Putin wants to do.
- 45:39Speaker 3: It sounds entirely consistent with a growing threat to Australia.
- 45:45Speaker 20: Well, yes, and that's why it's bizarre to have Richard
- 45:48Speaker 20: Miles not reading the tea leaves, not seeing Praboo is
- 45:52Speaker 20: doing what he said he would do. He's deepening defense
- 45:55Speaker 20: cooperation with Russia. So we'll see more of this. Mister
- 46:01Speaker 20: Miles telling us all to go back to sleep is
- 46:03Speaker 20: the last thing a responsible defense min should do. He
- 46:08Speaker 20: should be asking the Indonesians why two months after the
- 46:12Speaker 20: meeting with showgu and President Praboo, he's last with the news.
- 46:20Speaker 3: Yes, and one more reason to be very skeptical about
- 46:23Speaker 3: Donald Trump's apparent big plan to peel Russia off China.
- 46:27Speaker 3: It ain't going to happen, and you should wake up
- 46:30Speaker 3: to what Putin's really up to. Michael Schubridge, thank you
- 46:33Speaker 3: so much indeed for your time.
- 46:37Speaker 2: Wow, it's the.
- 46:38Speaker 3: World going very crazy, very dangerous, very fast.
- 46:42Speaker 2: After the break.
- 46:43Speaker 3: Now, whenever I criticized Donald Trump and get angry, viewers
- 46:45Speaker 3: write it to me. They're angry again with me for
- 46:48Speaker 3: my comments about Donald.
- 46:50Speaker 2: Trump earlier this show.
- 46:51Speaker 3: Already, I'm getting it so well, coming up with my
- 46:54Speaker 3: response and an a warning of how Trump has gone wrong.