Latest / Complex Systems with Patrick McKenzie (patio11)

Betting on the future via prediction markets, with Stephen Grugett of Manifold
In this episode, Patrick McKenzie (patio11) is joined by Stephen Grugett, a co-founder of Manifold, to discuss prediction markets. They cover how prediction markets work, their efficiency in aggregating information, and why they serve as a minority report against prevailing narratives. They cover past controversies, potential risks, and the philosophical value of prediction markets.
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Full transcript available here: https://www.complexsystemspodcast.com/prediction-markets-stephen-grugett/
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