Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 577 - 9/11/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 577 - 9/11/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome. To episode 577 of the All
• 0:18
  Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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  I'm your host, Josh. Applebaum, What's going on,
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  everyone? Happy Friday.
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  Another. Day here in the arena, guys, but
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  it is the biggest day of the week.
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  Now there's only one. Sweat for tonight.
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  I got a college ball play for you and boy am I glad we talked
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  about it yesterday because. This line is moving.
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  Further in our direction, I'm also excited because it's on the
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  Kansas and Mizzou game and a buddy of mine who is one of the
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  head honchos at Rhythm, he is a big Mizzou fan and he said, hey,
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  I'm having a cookout. Tonight.
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  I'm going to put the projector on in the backyard.
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  We're going to barbecue. I'm going to I'm going to root
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  for Mizzou because he went to Mizzou.
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  I said, oh, I'm taking the point to the Kansas.
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  Can I still come? He said, yeah, you can still
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  come. So very excited to hang out with
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  the Rhythm crew, which I'm a proud partner of tonight so.
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  Let's go Kansas. There's a perfect, perfect way
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  that this game could end. Kansas covers and Mizzou wins.
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  A close one, but best bet here, Kansas and Mizzou we'll talk
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  about. Tonight, but then guys.
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  This is what we got to get used to, not when we get to Fridays.
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  That's the. Final day of the week.
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  That's the last week. Day of the week for the podcast.
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  Remember, no. Pod on Saturday and Sundays.
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  You can still get the best bet picks on Juice Reel.
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  You can still read the Sharp reports ofeaston.com and always
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  follow me on Twitter. At Josh under score Insights.
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  But Fridays, That's when we unveil our final.
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  Best bet card? So I got a full best bet card
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  for this weekend. Guys.
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  I have 10 bets A10. I got 10 of them.
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  I got six NFL bets. I got 4 college football bets.
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  So the college football bets, they're kind of late evolving.
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  They're games that I've been. Kind of researching and.
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  Were able to pick off some good numbers.
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  There's a lot of good bonuses out there.
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  They're odds boost that you can take advantage of, but a lot of
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  great contrarian opportunities. So we have 4 bets to talk about.
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  For tomorrow, for Saturday, for college and then 6.
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  Plays in the NFL, four of them we've already talked about, two
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  more than I just added. Last night and today, so really
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  excited to. Hopefully have a big weekend
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  here. You know when we did baseball it
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  was a three pack every day. Let's try to go 2 and one.
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  We got a 10 pack. Let's try to get 6 or more of
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  them. That is the goal before we dive
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  into our sweats here for tonight.
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  And this weekend, How about last last night?
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  Guys, we went to Australia. It was a long flight, 15 hours.
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  But aren't we glad we took the team that flew out early and got
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  acclimated First? The idiot team.
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  And again I thought this this is something.
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  That I heard about. I didn't know which would be
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  better, but it kind of makes total sense in the end that the
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  team who was flew out there early and got acclimated.
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  The 49ers, who we were on, end up playing much better than the
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  Rams who flew out there like the day before.
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  So in hindsight, makes total sense.
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  But just for the tenants of the game, guys, 49ers coming through
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  didn't expect them to win 27 to 7.
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  But we took the points plus 4 + 3 1/2 whatever.
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  Number you got there. Luckily they went out right.
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  Did not matter. But we love that game because it
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  was a contrarian, heavily backed game and it was a divisional
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  inflated dog. Divisional dogs, typically.
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  Bark louder than non division dogs.
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  Because that built in familiarity leveling the playing
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  field and those inflated dogs getting.
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  An extra. Point or more off the opener
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  have also done very well, so boy was that fun to.
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  Watch with the 49ers coming through for us, so one and O.
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  Plus 0.87 units last. Night so nice little 2 and O
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  start. To the NFL season, with the
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  Patriots covering but losing and the. 49ers coming up.
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  Absolutely. Bigly.
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  Massive for the team last night. So before we.
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  Transition to today and this. Weekend's card you know, I got
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  to remind you I only have a couple more days to pound you
• 3:57
  and ask you to join the Splash Sports NFL Survivor contest
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  because. We are now up to. 257.
• 4:05
  Entries. So this is pretty.
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  Awesome. Last year.
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  I was looking at my. First Survivor contest.
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  Last year was Splash Sports. There were 172 entries.
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  Now we're up at, what did I say, 5257?
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  So we've totally exceeded last year.
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  And I was hope, hopeful that people would still join because
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  I did raise the price from 25 bucks an entry to 50 bucks an
• 4:25
  entry. But I have had people reach out,
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  say, is it too late to join? No, it's not too late.
• 4:30
  You have. Until Sunday at 1:00.
• 4:33
  So Sunday, 2 days from now. September 13th Once the 1:00
• 4:37
  games get going, it closes. This is your. 2nd to last
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  chance. You got today, you got.
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  Tomorrow and. Then I guess you have.
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  Until 1:00 on Sunday. But I want.
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  To invite everyone once again to join.
• 4:47
  If you haven't done it yet, come on down.
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  And I'm now going to challenge you if you've already joined,
• 4:51
  thank you. Now I'm going to.
• 4:53
  Challenge you to find. One or two people in your life
• 4:56
  you can say, hey, you ever played Survivor?
• 4:58
  It's this cool thing. You just pick one team a week.
• 5:00
  It's very easy. Come on down.
• 5:02
  I got I got a buddy. I, I, I listen to his pod, the
• 5:05
  all systems go pod. It's 50 bucks.
• 5:07
  You went up to 45 grand. So please go spread the word.
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  You know, your aunt, your uncle, your cousin, your nephew, your
• 5:14
  colleague, your Co worker, your neighbor, somebody in the
• 5:17
  grocery store. You hear him talking about
• 5:18
  football, you say, hey, you ever play survivor?
• 5:21
  Let's get as many people as we can to join and get the the
• 5:23
  payout to be as big as it possibly can be.
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  So please sign up between now. And 1:00 on Sunday.
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  So without further ado, let's get to our sweats here for
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  today. Now there is a 5 pack of plays.
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  And one is really jumping. Out to me I will.
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  Mention real quick, Rutgers. BC looks like Rutgers even
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  though they lost to U Mass. They went from +4 down to 3 1/2
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  or. Three but guess.
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  What I can't bet on. Rutgers because they're playing
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  a Massachusetts school, so I have no.
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  Action in that game. But I did write about how.
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  Rutgers had a sharp line move. My one bet tonight guys, we
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  talked. About it yesterday.
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  And I am loving the fact that this line.
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  Continues to move in our favor talking about the Kansas
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  Jayhawks, so let's set the stage.
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  Kansas, Missouri Tonight. This is your most heavily bet.
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  Game of the Night. It's your primetime matchup.
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  It is 8. O'clock on fox.
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  Sports. So setting the stage, we got
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  Mizzou coming in one and O. They're ranked 23rd.
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  Just beat up on Arkansas Pine Bluff 54 to 14 but didn't cover
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  They're actually favored by. 55 1/2 and that game at home.
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  Meanwhile, Kansas. Also want to know.
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  They beat up. On Long Island. 51 to 6 did
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  cover as a 44 1/2 point home favorite.
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  So what we've seen across the market, this game opened with
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  Mizzou listed as high as a 7 point Rd. favorite.
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  And the public, they're not scared off by that.
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  That chalk, they're saying. Mizzou is the, you know, bigger
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  name school. Kansas is a basketball school.
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  Mizzou is a SEC team Mizzou. Is ranked, Kansas is not.
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  Ranked so late with Mizzou. That's what the public is
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  saying. Nearly 2/3 of bets are going
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  with Missouri. But even though Missouri is
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  getting the big. Support line didn't go up -7 to
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  minus. 8 toward Mizzou. It has come crashing down in
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  favor of Kansas. Kansas.
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  Has gone from +7. Yesterday they got down to plus
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  5 1/2. I'm really glad we highlighted
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  and put that play in yesterday plus 5 1/2 because you look at
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  the number right now. Guys, they're down to plus. 4
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  1/2 So automatically you love the fact that Publix Mizzou
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  lines going to Kansas. Remember, think about the
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  Patriots game opening night. Public was Seattle, but line was
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  going. To Pat's you also like the fact
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  that. This line has continued to go to
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  Kansas, so there's been no buyback like when this game.
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  Was -7 down to -5 1/2. We didn't see sharp.
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  Say, oh, it's down to 5 1/2. Therefore, let's buy low on.
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  Mizzou -5 1/2 bring it back up to six.
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  No, it's gone further down toward.
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  Kansas. So when you see uniform line
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  movement, you know. +7 down to plus 5 1/2 and then on game day
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  gets down to plus 4 1/2. You love seeing that.
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  Now you don't love it if you didn't bet it yet.
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  It does look like there are a couple books that are still
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  giving you the 5 right now I think.
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  Was it maybe Bally bed or Bet MGM?
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  Most books are down to 4 1/2 but I'm holding a + 5 1/2 and I
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  think. You are too because you listened
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  to the pod yesterday or you signed up for those best bet
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  picks that you can get on Juice Rail for 10 bucks a week.
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  Or 25 bucks a month. But we.
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  Look at the splits. Kansas only about 1/3 of bets.
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  But 60% of the money? At DK at circa 51.
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  Percent of bets, nearly 70% of the money.
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  On Kansas, so low bets, higher dollars, clear RLM in favor of
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  The Jayhawks. Jayhawks are contrarian in a
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  heavily backed game. It's the most heavily backed
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  game of the night. This is your top contrarian
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  play. Not that Kansas is only getting,
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  you know. 10% of bets they're getting.
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  You know about 1/3 of tickets? But it's also.
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  The most heavily backed game, so that is, you know, this is the
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  game, the latest game of the night, all the other games.
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  Are 7 or 730. And majority clearly is on
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  Mizzou, so it gives us an opportunity to go the other way
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  and go Kansas betting into the public and a heavily bent
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  matchup. We also have a spot that I love,
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  which would be the unranked home dog.
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  Versus Sell high ranked opponent.
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  Anytime you can get me? Unranked versus ranked again.
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  Public says ranked team is better.
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  I remember the. Rankings are voted on.
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  They're not like a computer or anything.
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  And by the way, did you guys see all these AI people raising the
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  alarm bell saying, yeah, AI is going to kill us all?
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  Kind of like the Terminator. Well awesome, so keep racing to
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  build it but before the supercomputer kills.
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  Us as I'm just thinking. About that, I'm a big Terminator
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  fan, but I don't want the world to end.
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  So maybe we could. Maybe we could.
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  Slow the roll on AI. But anyway, Kansas has that.
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  That unranked versus ranked. Opportunity to buy low and sell
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  high. You also look at a really good
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  sharp mush edge. So our friends at Juice.
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  Reel have a 28. Percent sharp mush edge.
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  In favor of Kansas. So you add it all up here guys,
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  this is a wheelhouse play heavily back game, primetime
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  game. Public is on Mizzou.
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  Lions going to Kansas again, you would have loved.
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  The five and a half. I got the 5 1/2 yesterday.
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  I mentioned on the. Pod, hopefully you did too if
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  you're playing it now looks like plus. 5 is your best number.
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  But again, a lot of books down to. 4 1/2.
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  Wouldn't it be nice if like the 49ers, Kansas won this game out,
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  right? So let's go Jayhawks.
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  Now let's look toward this weekend guys, cuz there's quite
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  a few games that are that are jumping out to me and these are
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  kind of late evolving plays. And I haven't mentioned any of
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  these to you. So I'm excited to talk about
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  these matchups so. 1st but I want to talk about.
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  Is Oklahoma and Michigan. It is the most heavily bet game
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  of the weekend. Probably Ohio.
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  In Ohio State and Texas, which I have a play.
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  On here in a second will end up being the most heavily bet
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  because Ohio State Texas is a 730 game Oklahoma Michigan is a
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  noon. Game so.
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  Anytime you get the late game, that's you know, because more
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  time, more people are going to bet it that'll end up being most
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  heavily bet. But this one's interesting
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  because Oklahoma's one and O, they're ranked 11th and.
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  Michigan's one and O but remember Michigan?
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  Probably, and I think definitely should not have won that game.
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  They should have lost to Western Michigan.
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  They're favored by what, 2829 points?
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  That phantom last second they. Put on, they hail, marry it and
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  they win. But because of that, no one
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  believes in Michigan. They think they're a fraud.
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  They want to bet against them. Maybe people laid the points of
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  Michigan and they're mad they cost.
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  Them money as a result. No, again, no one wants to play
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  Michigan. This game opened.
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  However, as high as minus. Six with Oklahoma and over the
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  over the summer I think Michigan was favored by like one or two
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  when it was really early, but it was readjusted open.
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  Oklahoma around -6 1/2 -6. And right now, again, nobody
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  wants to play Michigan because they're just again, disgusted by
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  what they saw last week. But here's the thing, Michigan
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  right now is only getting 13%. 1313 percent, the most heavily
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  backed game of the weekend right now of spread bets.
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  So just from a contrarian standpoint, I like Michigan just
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  because no one wants to. Play them.
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  But I like him even more because they're getting some sharp
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  money. They're plus 6 1/2 down to plus
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  5 1/2. And kind of like for tonight
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  with Kansas. They're now getting down to 4
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  1/2. So this line.
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  'S coming back toward Michigan, even though they're only
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  getting. 13%. Of spread bets at DK, their
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  number one contrarian play. It's an unranked.
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  Verse ranked opportunity at circa only 13.
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  Percent bets, but 48% of the money.
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  And it's the ultimate buy low play.
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  So this is a. Spot for me as a.
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  Contrarian where we put on if you guys remember you've been
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  with me for years prior the old hazmat suit that me and Michael
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  Lombardi and Patrick Maher. Used to put on on the Lombardi
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  line. That means the play is so gross,
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  so disgusting, so radioactive. You got to put a.
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  Hazmat suit to play it. But even better.
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  Rhythm has Michigan plus 3.8. So it now becomes a shop.
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  For the best line, Michigan plus 4 1/2.
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  At Caesar's FanDuel bet MGM the score, but Bally bet right
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  before I did the. POD was still offering plus 5
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  1/2 at -112 so 4 1/2 is. Probably the most common number,
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  but I got Michigan. Plus 5 1/2 at -112.
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  That was that Bally bet. Hopefully you guys, if you want
• 12:59
  to ride, I can get that Bally bet number as well.
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  But Michigan, you got to like this gross play.
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  It's the ultimate gross play. So let's go, Wolverines.
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  Next one for you, Ohio State and Texas again.
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  What an epic matchup here between 2:00.
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  Awesome teams and I. Think there's a clear angle here
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  to take the Longhorns? I'm hooking them guys.
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  Let's go Texas. Money line. 7:30 PM tomorrow
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  night on ABC. Both teams are one and O Ohio
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  State is number. One Texas is #4?
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  But what I really like about this game is that there's a
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  clear fade the trendy dog play because most books open.
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  Texas, you know -1 -? 1 1/2 and Texas is still -1 -. 1
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  1/2. So if if the majority.
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  Of tickets are saying Ohio. State you know the wrong team is
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  favored you got to take Ohio State here but what's really
• 13:51
  interesting is that you know we've.
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  Seen this line remain at -1 -, 1 1/2 Texas.
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  There's also a revenge play. Texas lost to Ohio State
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  fourteen to seven last year. But really, it's a line freeze
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  feed the trendy dog play. Because right now, if you're
• 14:06
  looking across the board, especially at DK, which is a
• 14:09
  great barometer of the public, Ohio State is taking in 64.
• 14:14
  Percent of spread bets. So 2/3 of bets.
• 14:16
  Are on Ohio. State the trendy dog plus. 1 1/2
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  + 1 yet the lines pretty much. Stayed Texas a short favorite.
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  So I'm going with Texas here. 2 ranked teams.
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  Take the home favorite. I have a money line system here
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  that's 186 and 50. 79 percent, 9% ROI since. 2016 I am not.
• 14:35
  Laying a one or one? And a half.
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  I always money line a short favorite because you guys know
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  the drill. Texas wins by.
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  One you lose a 1 1/2. You push A1.
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  So my next objective, and if you look at the the circus splits by
• 14:47
  the way, 33% spread bets, but 53.
• 14:50
  Percent dollars, 47% money line bets 65% dollars so.
• 14:55
  Circus got a really sharp. Split on Texas again.
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  Revenge angle 2 rank. Teams take to home favorite.
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  System match. Super contrarian at DK and most
• 15:03
  heavily back game. Of the night.
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  So the best. Number I found.
• 15:06
  Was FanDuel -118. And on the money line?
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  And if you look at your rewards or your bonuses or boost or
• 15:13
  whatever, there's a specific boost on this game.
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  It's like 100% or 50% boost. I don't I forget what number it
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  is but opt I opted into it and I was able to.
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  Move Texas on the money line. From -118.
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  To +1. 70 So again, take advantage of these boosts.
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  If the books are an offer it, you know we'd be stupid not to
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  take it. But again, Publix Ohio State,
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  Texas is remaining the favorite. I got Texas money line.
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  Hook em. All right, all right, all right.
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  Let's go Austin McConaughey, hopefully.
• 15:41
  Cashing on the Longhorns money line?
• 15:44
  Next bet for you. Alabama and Kentucky, this
• 15:48
  another heavily bet game right now, your third most heavily bet
• 15:51
  game and I'm going with Kentucky, baby.
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  I like Kentucky plus the points here which jumped out to me.
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  Is that everyone and their mother is going Alabama?
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  If you look right now Alabama. Across the market is.
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  Taking in Let me go to the game here.
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  Let's see 73. Percent of spread bets.
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  So this is a 330 game, 73% at DK.
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  Are on Alabama, but Alabama open -10 1/2.
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  And it's not up to 11 or 12. It's down to 10.
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  I'm seeing a nine. And a half out there.
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  So why is line dropping? Toward Kentucky if Alabama is
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  getting 73. Percent of spread bets tells me
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  that the sharp side here is. Kentucky Kentucky is only
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  getting 20. 7% bets but 59% dollars.
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  At DK. They're an unranked versus
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  ranked. Opportunity.
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  They're a conference dog opportunity and they're.
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  Super concerned with the reverse line move so I like Kentucky in
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  this one. Next angle is we got.
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  To find a hook, there's only one.
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  Book with the hook Bally. Bet is plus 10.
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  Bet MGM is plus 10. Caesars is plus 10.
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  The score is down to 9 1/2. But Fienduel is offering plus.
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  10 1/2. At -122 and I had another boost
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  that they gave me. So I got plus 10 1/2 at plus
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  1/23. But very heavily back game
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  public all over Bama that 10 1/2 is either staying.
• 17:09
  The same or fallen toward. Kentucky.
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  So I'm going Kentucky. Plus 10 1/2. -122 boosted.
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  To plus 1/23. At FanDuel.
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  Last bet for. Tomorrow, Tennessee and Georgia
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  Tech. Let's go Georgia Tech in this
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  one. I think it's a good bylaw
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  opportunity. I think if you like Kentucky,
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  you like Georgia Tech. First angle for me is that once
• 17:33
  again Tennessee is very heavily bet.
• 17:36
  Tennessee is a very very popular play if you look at the splits
• 17:39
  right now at DK. Again, great barometer for the.
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  Public 72% of spread bets. Are on Tennessee but Tennessee
• 17:46
  open. Is as high as -13 -, 13 1/2.
• 17:50
  Maybe one book was minus. 14 guys, the line is now down to 11
• 17:53
  1/2, so why is this line? Falling away from Tennessee
• 17:56
  toward Georgia Tech. If no one wants.
• 17:58
  To play Georgia Tech, Remember Georgia Tech lost outright.
• 18:03
  Against Colorado I. Remember, because we were on
• 18:05
  Colorado that game. It was a great, great win and
• 18:07
  cover, but Tennessee dominated Furman.
• 18:10
  Georgia Tech lost to Colorado, No.
• 18:12
  One wants to play Georgia. Tech Tennessee is ranked 18th.
• 18:15
  Georgia Tech is unranked and lost their opener outright as a
• 18:18
  favorite. Yet again. 72% of bets
• 18:22
  Tennessee, but they've fallen. -13 1/2 down to -11 1/2.
• 18:26
  Now the splits look really good on Georgia Tech. 43% spread
• 18:30
  bets, 96% spread dollars at. Circa 28% spread bets, 58%
• 18:35
  spread dollars at. DK Lastly.
• 18:38
  Let's find the best number. Caesar's FanDuel in the score.
• 18:41
  Are all plus 11 1/2 Bally's plus 12 guys bet MGM right?
• 18:46
  Before I started the pod. Still, offering plus 12 1/2 -,
• 18:49
  110 at a 5% boost got him down to plus 12 1/2 minus one O 5.
• 18:55
  So again, Alabama and Tennessee are both very popular ranked Rd.
• 18:59
  favorites but the lines dropping toward the unpopular.
• 19:02
  Unranked home dog. So I did take Georgia Tech.
• 19:06
  Plus 12 1/2 Again, get that at BET MGM and.
• 19:10
  Georgia Tech also buy low sell high with a 2 day rest
• 19:12
  advantage. The last played on the 3rd of
• 19:15
  September. Tennessee played on the 5th, so
• 19:19
  Georgia Tech plus. 12 1/2 Kentucky plus 10 1/2.
• 19:23
  Texas Money Line and Michigan Plus 5 1/2.
• 19:26
  Now over to our NFL card for this weekend.
• 19:30
  Here are a few plays that we've already talked about.
• 19:33
  Already talked about the Colts. So I took the Colts.
• 19:37
  Plus 3 1/2. That's a play.
• 19:39
  That is a line freeze where you have heavy betting.
• 19:42
  Baltimore, but the -3 1/2 Baltimore.
• 19:44
  Some hooks are getting down to three.
• 19:46
  Hook is. Important rhythm has.
• 19:47
  I think it was a .7 there. So Colts match as a contrarian
• 19:51
  line, Freeze, even some RLM. So I'm on Colts plus 3 1/2.
• 19:54
  We've already talked about that one.
• 19:56
  I'm on Minnesota money line. Public is all over Green Bay in
• 20:00
  this one, but we've seen a dog to fave line move in favor of
• 20:03
  Minnesota. So Minnesota.
• 20:05
  Went from getting 1 or 1 1/2 to now laying 1 or 1 1/2.
• 20:10
  Vikings only 38% spread bats at DK.
• 20:13
  Yet we're seeing that line. Flip Dog to fave in their favor,
• 20:17
  by the way, the Colts. Plus 3 1/2 they're 44% spread
• 20:20
  bet, 65% spread dollars at. At DraftKings.
• 20:24
  So again, money line is short favorite I got.
• 20:27
  Minnesota on the money line, I think I got them at -1. 15 we
• 20:31
  talked about. The Saints.
• 20:32
  Saints would match. Quite a few angles #1 would be
• 20:35
  those big dogs. Big dogs getting 6 1/2 or more
• 20:38
  in week 1 have done very well. They are 68% against the spread
• 20:43
  since 2016. The Saints are very contrarian.
• 20:47
  Only 26. Percent of spread bets, but they
• 20:50
  open plus 7. They're still plus. 7 and
• 20:52
  they're actually getting juice like they may.
• 20:53
  Get down to 6 1/2 and. I think we said rhythm had that
• 20:56
  closer to like a four or five point game.
• 20:59
  So I. Took Saints +7, now two games
• 21:02
  that I. Added or sorry.
• 21:04
  Texans as well. Texans plus 1 1/2.
• 21:06
  We talked about that one. Open Buffalo -1 1/2 it's still 1
• 21:10
  1/2 or some books it's down to 1.
• 21:13
  Even though 60% of bets are on the bills.
• 21:15
  So that is a line freeze. RLM play toward Houston now. 22
• 21:20
  bets that I added. I took the Giants.
• 21:24
  Giants. At home against Dallas, that is
• 21:26
  your. Sunday Night Football game?
• 21:27
  No one. Wants to play the Giants.
• 21:30
  Nearly 70% of tickets are on the Cowboys.
• 21:33
  Cowboys opened -2 1/2 They've been bet up.
• 21:37
  Or 1 1/2. Even so, it's a bit not really a
• 21:40
  sharp play, but an inflated. Play now this line is.
• 21:43
  All the way up to three It kind of feels like the giants plus 3
• 21:47
  is in that you know, trend buy low inflated dog play that San.
• 21:52
  Fran was in. +3 is a key number, couldn't get the the hook here,
• 21:57
  never available or is too too much too expensive to buy.
• 22:00
  But if you look at the circus splits on this game, giants only
• 22:04
  26% of bets. So it's a really contrarian
• 22:07
  opportunity. What I like is a prime time dog
• 22:11
  as well as a divisional dog. If you look at those divisional
• 22:14
  dogs in week. One again.
• 22:16
  Came through with the 49ers. That's 64% since 2016 and you
• 22:21
  look at inflated dog, 62% since 2016.
• 22:24
  So divisional dog key number of three.
• 22:27
  Everyone's on Dallas. But it's a buy low spot to take
• 22:30
  the G men so I did take G men +3 and then last added game I had
• 22:35
  to take the Panthers guys. I've been looking at the
• 22:37
  Panthers all week. I saw a tweet I think.
• 22:39
  It was from Ben Fox. Where like 90?
• 22:41
  Percent of tickets are on the Bears at.
• 22:43
  Bet MGM. It's not quite as lopsided at
• 22:45
  DK, but it's extremely lopsided. Still, you'll get the bears. 78%
• 22:51
  of spread bets are on the bears. So this is I believe your number
• 22:56
  one contrarian play of the weekend.
• 22:57
  And as a contrarian better, I got to take the number one
• 23:00
  contrarian play only 22%. Of spread bets are on.
• 23:03
  Carolina, what I like. Is that it's not.
• 23:07
  Just a contrarian play. It's kind of a sharp line
• 23:09
  freeze. Because this open -2 and F or
• 23:11
  -3. Chicago and it's pretty much.
• 23:13
  Stayed right at 3. Carolina also has been much
• 23:17
  better. As a dog.
• 23:19
  Than as a favorite and Bryce Young as a home dog is. 12 and
• 23:23
  six against the spread in his career. 67% So I got to take the
• 23:27
  number one contrarian play. I got to go Carolina here and
• 23:30
  then my last job is to. Try to find a hook.
• 23:32
  Now I couldn't find any hooks, but you know you'll get Caesar's
• 23:36
  +3. -1 O 6. Carolina Plus 3 - 1 O 5.
• 23:40
  FanDuel and the Score plus. 3 - 1 O 7 valley.
• 23:43
  But I did. Find the bet MGM.
• 23:45
  Is offering plus three at +100. So because it was juice so low
• 23:50
  plus. 3 + 100 I. Actually bought the Panthers up.
• 23:54
  To plus 3 1/2 at -125 I. Really don't like going above.
• 23:58
  -120. Five, if you want to wait this
• 24:00
  out and just see if Carolina like here's the thing, I don't
• 24:02
  want them to go. To 3 1/2.
• 24:04
  Cuz that would mean more more bears.
• 24:05
  Money's coming in. It wouldn't change the
• 24:06
  contrarian angle. I kind of wanted to stay at.
• 24:09
  Three or even get juice like it might go down to 2 1/2 and I
• 24:12
  don't like to buy points in general cuz doesn't make as big
• 24:15
  a difference as you think. But around a key number, again,
• 24:18
  you lose by three. Just think about the Patriots
• 24:20
  game. You need that hook.
• 24:21
  So I did buy the Panthers. The number one contrarian play
• 24:24
  of the week? Only 22.
• 24:25
  Percent of spread bets on the Carolina Panthers at DraftKings,
• 24:30
  up to plus 3 1/2 -, 120. Five at Bet MGM and if you look
• 24:34
  at circa 25% spread bets, 52. Percent spread dollars on
• 24:39
  Carolina. So let's go Carolina.
• 24:41
  So my final card. For this weekend.
• 24:45
  NFL Giants plus three, Colts plus 3 1/2, Vikings money line,
• 24:50
  Saints +7 Texans plus 1 1/2 and the Carolina Panthers plus 3 1/2
• 24:56
  -, 125. We did it guys.
• 25:00
  Final card for the weekend. This is the part of the pot
• 25:02
  where we wrap things up and I always start.
• 25:03
  First by saying. Thank you, thank you for
• 25:06
  listening, thank you for tuning in, thank you for grinding in
• 25:08
  the arena with me every single day through the UPS and the
• 25:11
  downs, the good and the bad, the hot streaks, the cold streaks.
• 25:14
  Just like in life and embedding, you know, you can have good
• 25:17
  days, bad days, but we're always waking up cautiously optimistic,
• 25:21
  ready to embrace the. Challenge of trying to.
• 25:22
  Produce a winning day and betting is hard.
• 25:25
  That's why when you have some wins, you feel good about it.
• 25:27
  When you're down though, don't get down in the dumps because
• 25:29
  it's it's hard to win consistently.
• 25:31
  But either way, guys, we got a model, we got a blueprint.
• 25:33
  And I'm just so proud and and. Humbled to be able to host this
• 25:36
  pod each day. So please, if you haven't done
• 25:38
  it yet, could you give this pod a five star review?
• 25:40
  Help me grow the pod. Leave the pod a nice review if
• 25:44
  you feel so. Inclined click the follow.
• 25:46
  Button retweet or like the pod when I put it out on Twitter
• 25:48
  each day. Next.
• 25:51
  Have you if you enjoyed this style of sports betting,
• 25:53
  data-driven, sharp, contrarian plays?
• 25:55
  You want to learn more about data-driven betting?
• 25:57
  Or maybe you have some in your life who could use some
• 25:59
  data-driven insights? I'd love for you.
• 26:01
  To go to Amazon.com and type. In either the NFL Sharp Betting
• 26:04
  Playbook or the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 26:07
  Those are the two books that I've written.
• 26:08
  Very proud of both. I got a lot of insights and once
• 26:12
  you once you buy them. Bring in the sports book.
• 26:14
  I'll sign them for you and I'll buy you a beer.
• 26:16
  Or ginger ale we'll sweat a ton of.
• 26:18
  Football together this weekend. Next, have you downloaded?
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  Rhythm and juice. Real yet my two favorite.
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  Sports betting apps, they help. Me win.
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  I'm confident they're going to help you win.
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  Rhythm for their AI backed models and predictions for.
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  Game bets and player props. Juice Reel.
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  So many great features. You can sync up your sports
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  books, get a running report. Card of your action.
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  Get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush
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  indicators, and you can also support the team.
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  If I've helped you win a couple bets gotten you off to a good
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  start in the NFL this year, please repay the favor.
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  Sign up for a week or more of my.
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  Best bet picks. On Juice reel as soon as I make
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  the bet it goes right to the all systems go profile page.
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  You can get the best bets as soon as I make them every play.
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  Fully transparent for 10 bucks a week.
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  Or 25 bucks a month and just. Consider it a tip jar if you
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  enjoy the insights. I hope you get a little bit
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  sharper. Get a week or more of the best
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  bet picks. But download rhythm download.
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  Juicer. I'll give them both a five star
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  review in the App Store. Next do.
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  You have a live odds page. If you don't have one, you need
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  one. You got to be able to track the
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  market in real time, compare, open a current identify, steam
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  coming in late when odds get lit up in red.
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  The best odds, the best live odds page around.
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  It's odds logic, so if you ever want to give it a shot.
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  Use this special. Link Odds logic.com/josh 123.
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  Next I got another thing to tell you.
• 27:38
  I'm Co workers with Sydney Sweeney.
• 27:40
  Yes, that's Sydney Sweeney. I'm technically am, even though
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  I'm joking, but I'm kind of serious.
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  Because I'm an affiliate. Of Novig the sports prediction
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  market where you get better odds because you're going up against
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  peer-to-peer and not in a betting.
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  Exchange is not against the. House well, Sydney Sweeney you
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  I'm sure you've seen it. She is now a spokesperson for
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  Novig and I want you guys to bet at Novig if you use the promo
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  code Josh 123 deposit 10 bucks or more, you're going to get 25
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  bucks and trade credits. And again Novig don't just
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  listen to me or Sydney Sweeney, you're going to get better odds
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  because you're going up in exchange not against the book.
• 28:16
  So that about does it for episode 577 of the all Systems
• 28:20
  Go sports betting pod powered by Rhythm.
• 28:23
  Two final thoughts guys. One whether I see you at the
• 28:25
  Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
• 28:28
  of New Hampshire, Foxwoods, or Mohegan.
• 28:29
  Sun down in Connecticut. At the Encore in Boston Plain
• 28:33
  Ridge park Casino MGM Springfield.
• 28:34
  Or the Nash in my neck of the woods on the border.
• 28:36
  Of Massachusetts in New Hampshire.
• 28:38
  We're out in the desert. Where the true grinders get
• 28:40
  down. Where Billy?
• 28:41
  Walters sends his number runners.
• 28:42
  Where the lowest juice possible. Is found at the South point.
• 28:45
  Or sweat. And sharp contrarian plays
• 28:47
  jumping in the stadium. Swimming pool When you cash a
• 28:49
  big ticket at Circa, you're. Going to walk.
• 28:50
  Up to me and show me a beautiful San Francisco 49ers plus 4 plus.
• 28:57
  3 1/2 in. Australia didn't matter, they
• 29:00
  rolled out right, so those divisional.
• 29:02
  Dogs. Those primetime dogs?
• 29:03
  Boy do they come through for the first two games of the year.
• 29:07
  But first one's on me, next one's on you.
• 29:08
  Will post about the book Sweat Sharp Contrarian Plays all night
• 29:11
  long. So as always guys.
• 29:13
  Coming off A1 and O night or an O?
• 29:14
  In one night, a winning night, losing night, hot streak, cold
• 29:17
  streak. We just got to stay the course,
• 29:19
  think long term and play the system matches, games that are
• 29:21
  against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
• 29:24
  avoid parlays and get some CLV. If we can do that, we're going
• 29:27
  to be successful sports bettors. So hope everyone has a great
• 29:30
  Friday night. Go Jayhawks, Hope you have an
• 29:32
  even better weekend. Be back at it on Monday.
• 29:35
  That'll be episode 578 of the All Systems Go sports Betting
• 29:39
  podcast powered by Rhythm. Lastly, guys, only two days left
• 29:43
  go. Sign up if you haven't done it
• 29:44
  yet and tell a friend about the Apple Bomb.
• 29:46
  Second annual Splash Sports NFL Survivor Contest.
• 29:50
  But good luck everybody, have a great weekend.
• 29:51
  We got a lot of football. See if we can get.
• 29:53
  Some winners, good luck. And see you Monday.