Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Rancid Thanksgiving Leftovers | NFL Week 13 Recap
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Sunday Week thirteen wrapping up, Welcome to the Favorites, presented
- 0:14Speaker 1: by DraftKings.
- 0:15Speaker 2: I'm your host, Brandon Kravitz, joined by my fellow degenerates
- 0:18Speaker 2: Kendra Middleton Stuckey, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, nursing
- 0:24Speaker 2: his way back to health here. I hope you all
- 0:26Speaker 2: had a rock solid Thanksgiving. I hope that your process
- 0:31Speaker 2: of tossing leftovers is happening right now, because if not,
- 0:36Speaker 2: it's kind of gross. You know, we're a couple of
- 0:38Speaker 2: days past now. I think the expiration is about to hit.
- 0:41Speaker 2: We've got our goats, We've got our votes queued up,
- 0:43Speaker 2: our biggest takeaways from the Sunday Slate. The one o'clock's
- 0:46Speaker 2: the four o'clocks in a fast pass parlay for you
- 0:50Speaker 2: for Monday Night Football, Patriots and Giants. We'll get you
- 0:53Speaker 2: in and out before Sunday Night Football begins. Commanders, Broncos,
- 0:58Speaker 2: Tonight Ken. Where do you land on tossing those leftovers
- 1:04Speaker 2: by Sunday? I feel like Sundays the absolute drop dead
- 1:07Speaker 2: date on Thanksgiving leftovers.
- 1:09Speaker 3: Okay, I'm not a leftover person at all.
- 1:12Speaker 4: I actually hate leftovers. I will not eat them. I
- 1:14Speaker 4: do not meal prep for this purpose. I think forty
- 1:17Speaker 4: eight hours and they gotta go, especially if you didn't
- 1:20Speaker 4: make them in your own home and you don't know
- 1:22Speaker 4: when or where or how somebody else cooked them.
- 1:25Speaker 3: Get them out see you later.
- 1:27Speaker 4: You get one sandwich, maybe two, and they gotta go,
- 1:30Speaker 4: unless it's macaroni and you can, you know, cook some
- 1:33Speaker 4: chicken up and put some buffalo sauce on that.
- 1:35Speaker 3: John good to go, stucky.
- 1:39Speaker 5: Yeah, I had to rely on leftovers this Thanksgivings. Couldn't
- 1:43Speaker 5: eat on Thanksgiving, but I did. My wife brought home
- 1:47Speaker 5: like two big trays, like you know those big trays
- 1:53Speaker 5: that they filled her in laws filled with a bunch
- 1:57Speaker 5: of just a bunch of sides and food. And in
- 2:02Speaker 5: there her mom was very aloof put in some oyster casserole.
- 2:08Speaker 3: I know that's where this was going.
- 2:09Speaker 5: Why, yes, which which is fun that that if you
- 2:13Speaker 5: listen to our other episodes, you know why that's funny.
- 2:17Speaker 5: But it was just mixed into the green beans. And
- 2:21Speaker 5: my wife was pregnant, is deathly allergic to oysters. So
- 2:27Speaker 5: luckily I looked and scooped out some green beans and
- 2:32Speaker 5: then noticed that there was some oysters in there. So
- 2:36Speaker 5: uh yeah, saved her from like it would have been
- 2:39Speaker 5: a disaster.
- 2:40Speaker 4: Like anaphyloxis, like as a photo allergy human I I can't.
- 2:46Speaker 3: That'sk my biggest sphere of no thank you.
- 2:48Speaker 6: So how you how are you feeling stucky? By the way,
- 2:50Speaker 6: You're doing good?
- 2:52Speaker 5: Uh yeah, I'm okay. I did, like the this morning,
- 2:55Speaker 5: I broke, like the when you when you break the
- 3:00Speaker 5: you know, like you're really really sick and then you
- 3:03Speaker 5: break like the cold sweat and then like it just
- 3:05Speaker 5: feels like So that happened this morning, which was very nice.
- 3:11Speaker 5: Uh So, yeah, I just need like one more one
- 3:16Speaker 5: more like really hard day of rest, I think, and
- 3:18Speaker 5: then I'll be okay. But I taught well, Yeah, I
- 3:22Speaker 5: lost this past week. I lost all my money on bats.
- 3:25Speaker 5: I lost a bunch of weight, and yeah I threw
- 3:30Speaker 5: I threw out, but I threw out a bunch of
- 3:33Speaker 5: the leftovers. Last night. I did have a duck. My
- 3:37Speaker 5: wife made an extra duck that I got to eat yesterday,
- 3:40Speaker 5: so that was nice. But yeah, it's I think the
- 3:42Speaker 5: leftovers are up. I used to I didn't get to
- 3:44Speaker 5: make a sandwich. I used to like making the the
- 3:48Speaker 5: turkey and the stuffing and the cranberry, uh, making a sandwich.
- 3:53Speaker 5: So but I didn't get to do that. I think, like,
- 3:56Speaker 5: do you guys have capriotes around you?
- 3:58Speaker 3: I know what it is.
- 4:00Speaker 5: It's like a sandwich shop. They have like a I
- 4:02Speaker 5: like to make what they call it's called like the
- 4:04Speaker 5: I think it's called the Bobby. And that's like the
- 4:06Speaker 5: cranberry sauce lines, the HOGI roll and then stuffing and
- 4:11Speaker 5: then turkey. It's uh, it's very good. I didn't get
- 4:15Speaker 5: to do one of those this year.
- 4:17Speaker 2: Ducky does look like Rocky Balboa, like right before his
- 4:20Speaker 2: training is about to turn the corner.
- 4:22Speaker 5: I'm cold. I got a right look, I'm cold.
- 4:24Speaker 3: I'm trying to so skinny. I can get over it.
- 4:27Speaker 3: His face is so skinny.
- 4:29Speaker 6: Let's get to our recap.
- 4:31Speaker 2: This will be very fast as far as our parlay goes,
- 4:34Speaker 2: because what a tank job this was. We had the
- 4:37Speaker 2: Rams minus ten, I had the Colts. It was my
- 4:41Speaker 2: nominee at minus four, and we're still waiting on the
- 4:45Speaker 2: Giants plus seven and a half from Stucky. But of
- 4:48Speaker 2: course that it doesn't matter for the sake of the
- 4:50Speaker 2: two Kings and a queen parlay.
- 4:53Speaker 3: We all had a terrible week.
- 4:54Speaker 6: It was awful. This was the worst NFL betting week.
- 4:57Speaker 2: Thank god I had a good Thanksgiving and I went
- 4:59Speaker 2: on a little staycation in the Orlando area with my family.
- 5:02Speaker 2: Otherwise I'd be in sheer depression right now. That I
- 5:05Speaker 2: went oh and seven today in the NFL. Absolutely wow.
- 5:10Speaker 2: I'll start with my goat to spend this positive. We
- 5:14Speaker 2: lost on the Rams bet. I didn't like it, but hey,
- 5:17Speaker 2: I'm a team guy, so I bought in.
- 5:20Speaker 6: I did not.
- 5:21Speaker 2: Bet the Panthers off to the side, just to you know,
- 5:24Speaker 2: go with my original gut play. But they covered and one.
- 5:28Speaker 2: This is now twice that and we just have to
- 5:30Speaker 2: give credit where credit is due here. This Panthers team,
- 5:34Speaker 2: especially as an underdog, is one that we have to
- 5:36Speaker 2: take seriously twice this season winning as a double digit dog.
- 5:41Speaker 6: And as much as we've shit.
- 5:42Speaker 2: On Bryce Young throughout his career early on, I was
- 5:45Speaker 2: amazed when I saw this. He's now the the youngest
- 5:48Speaker 2: player in NFL history to complete eleven game winning drives
- 5:52Speaker 2: as a quarterback. He beat out Josh Allen and Peyton
- 5:55Speaker 2: Manning in that regard. Kendra, what do you have to
- 5:58Speaker 2: say or your sad cats and the La Rui.
- 6:04Speaker 4: We talked about this pre show, and I was telling
- 6:08Speaker 4: you that I did not realize I had my two
- 6:12Speaker 4: biggest plays that I have harped on on my other
- 6:15Speaker 4: show for months now that I believe I put in
- 6:18Speaker 4: around August.
- 6:19Speaker 3: I had the Panthers over on the season at six
- 6:21Speaker 3: and a half that hit today.
- 6:23Speaker 4: I did have a bet on the Rams today which
- 6:25Speaker 4: was my leg of the parlay, obviously, which did not hit.
- 6:28Speaker 3: But I didn't realize until somebody tweeted.
- 6:30Speaker 4: Me that my Rams over from preseason could have hit
- 6:34Speaker 4: today as well. I thought I got it at ten
- 6:36Speaker 4: and a half, but I gave it out at nine
- 6:37Speaker 4: and a half, went back and checked because I thought
- 6:39Speaker 4: that that person was mistaken. They were not, so either way,
- 6:42Speaker 4: I was hitting a big future today but totally got
- 6:45Speaker 4: killed by the Rams. Still love my Sad Cats, Still
- 6:48Speaker 4: a sad Cat Truther cashed out in that way today,
- 6:50Speaker 4: Happy to take it, but man, I really think that
- 6:54Speaker 4: we have to start as a society taking the Panthers seriously.
- 6:58Speaker 5: Now.
- 6:58Speaker 4: Even though I love the Rams, it doesn't change my
- 7:01Speaker 4: opinion on the season that they're having, the season Matt
- 7:03Speaker 4: Stafford's having and the trajectory that I think that they're
- 7:05Speaker 4: on for the postseason. But I think it just says
- 7:08Speaker 4: a lot more about the Panthers right now. And I
- 7:10Speaker 4: really do think that they're one of these teams where they're.
- 7:13Speaker 3: Successful because it seems like they like each other. They're
- 7:16Speaker 3: like the Patriots to.
- 7:16Speaker 4: Me, Like, not only did they kind of make a
- 7:20Speaker 4: leap as far as you know, getting a little bit
- 7:22Speaker 4: better on some of their picks that they've taken in
- 7:24Speaker 4: the last couple of years this offseason, Bryce Sen's obviously
- 7:27Speaker 4: gotten a lot better since he got benched and came
- 7:29Speaker 4: back last year. But I think that this team truly
- 7:31Speaker 4: just does like each other, which helps in a weird way.
- 7:36Speaker 5: I will say that it was an impressive one, especially
- 7:39Speaker 5: when you consider everyone that they were missing on defense,
- 7:42Speaker 5: like they were decimated. But I will say, like a
- 7:45Speaker 5: lot of when you're betting on football, a lot of
- 7:47Speaker 5: times it comes down to like five or six plays,
- 7:49Speaker 5: right like in over the course of the game, fourth
- 7:51Speaker 5: downs and turnovers. The bad Tho's got three turnovers. They
- 7:56Speaker 5: got the pick six Stafford through a pick in the
- 8:00Speaker 5: red zone. He only had I think he only had
- 8:01Speaker 5: two picks all season coming into the year, and he
- 8:04Speaker 5: had two today, and then the Panthers went three of
- 8:07Speaker 5: three on fourth down. I think they scored two touchdowns
- 8:09Speaker 5: on fourth down. You got to give credit down for
- 8:11Speaker 5: those throws. But you win the turnover margin three nothing
- 8:16Speaker 5: and you get two touchdowns on fourth downs where you
- 8:19Speaker 5: go three of three different game, you swing you know,
- 8:23Speaker 5: two of those six plays, it's a completely different game.
- 8:26Speaker 5: The Rams still did average I think seven or eight
- 8:28Speaker 5: yards per play and moved the ball out will But
- 8:30Speaker 5: you have to give credit to the Panthers on a
- 8:32Speaker 5: short week getting that win. The Rams are still one
- 8:36Speaker 5: of the best teams in the NFL. Doesn't change anything.
- 8:38Speaker 5: It's similar to like the when the Packers lost to
- 8:40Speaker 5: the Panthers. Uh so, yeah, credits to the Panthers were winning,
- 8:44Speaker 5: but we're barring the lead. We didn't even bring up
- 8:47Speaker 5: the other cats, the Jaguars, who are now in first place,
- 8:54Speaker 5: the Jags. So now you're back on the Jag I
- 8:56Speaker 5: told I tried to tell Jacks aren't going away.
- 9:00Speaker 4: I'll put words in my mouth. I don't think that.
- 9:02Speaker 4: I think they're gonna have a first round exit in
- 9:04Speaker 4: the playoffs unless they play the Patriots.
- 9:08Speaker 3: First round.
- 9:09Speaker 6: First round.
- 9:12Speaker 3: Oh yeah, the playoffs. Yeah, the pe Yeah, yeah, oh yeah.
- 9:16Speaker 3: I think, honestly, this is gonna be my hot take.
- 9:18Speaker 4: I think three AFC South teams could make the postseason as.
- 9:22Speaker 5: Of right now. That's I think that's what it would be.
- 9:24Speaker 6: Well my uh my wote.
- 9:26Speaker 2: Actually, I'll just go ahead and empty the tank here
- 9:29Speaker 2: for myself because my vote ties in perfectly with what
- 9:32Speaker 2: we're talking about here, and.
- 9:33Speaker 6: It's the Colts. The Armors cracking for them.
- 9:37Speaker 2: This was such a cult spot back at home for
- 9:39Speaker 2: the first time in a month against a quarterback returning
- 9:42Speaker 2: from concussion. The Texans off the win of the year
- 9:46Speaker 2: in prime time and they wet the bed huge two
- 9:49Speaker 2: straight one possession losses for the Colts.
- 9:51Speaker 6: And as it ties in with the.
- 9:52Speaker 2: Jacksonville Jaguars, of course, because they are division foes. The
- 9:58Speaker 2: Jags right now are and they're in a better position
- 10:02Speaker 2: than what I see with the Colts as far as
- 10:04Speaker 2: where these teams are trending right now. In Indianapolis, who
- 10:07Speaker 2: went from contending for the one seed to now they
- 10:12Speaker 2: might be the third best team in the division. I mean,
- 10:15Speaker 2: Houston looks like they're clearly the best team in the
- 10:17Speaker 2: AFC South. Jacksonville very well, could be the second best team,
- 10:21Speaker 2: not because of anything that happened today. They played the Titans,
- 10:24Speaker 2: but the Colts seem to be trending in the wrong
- 10:27Speaker 2: direction and Danny Dobbs doesn't look like the same guy.
- 10:30Speaker 3: So here's the thing.
- 10:32Speaker 4: JAG's easiest remaining schedule in the AFC South too a
- 10:36Speaker 4: sauce Gardner.
- 10:37Speaker 3: They're saying it's a calf. I don't know. It looked
- 10:39Speaker 3: a little bit like an Achilles to me.
- 10:41Speaker 4: Three, the Jags play the Colts at home next week,
- 10:46Speaker 4: and the Colts haven't won in Jacksonville in.
- 10:49Speaker 3: Like a decade. I want to say it's close to
- 10:51Speaker 3: a decade.
- 10:51Speaker 4: Literally, have not won in Jacksonville in a very very
- 10:54Speaker 4: long time. So I'm you, guys, the Jags might be
- 10:59Speaker 4: the play next week.
- 11:01Speaker 5: Yeah, the Jags host the Colts. I didn't misspeak because
- 11:04Speaker 5: the Bills beat the Steelers. Bills just ran all over Pittsburgh.
- 11:09Speaker 5: If so, they're in the seventh spot right now. The
- 11:13Speaker 5: Texans are one game out, although they do have the
- 11:16Speaker 5: tiebreaker over the Bills, which is worth noting. So the
- 11:21Speaker 5: AFC South would only have two teams in right now.
- 11:23Speaker 5: But the Colts. Yeah, I mean I had the I
- 11:27Speaker 5: played the Colts today too. I was with you. I
- 11:30Speaker 5: thought Stroud looked looked good coming back off the concussion.
- 11:33Speaker 5: Usually you see a dip. Although the Sauce Garner injury
- 11:36Speaker 5: did change things. I mean he got hurt right away,
- 11:38Speaker 5: and that changes the entire complexion of like how dominant
- 11:41Speaker 5: of a defense they could be. I thought you saw
- 11:43Speaker 5: the loss of Buckner as well, But what do you
- 11:46Speaker 5: The whole Texans offensive operation looks much more serious now.
- 11:51Speaker 5: And I thought Stroud played better, and I thought Jones
- 11:54Speaker 5: played okay given the circuits. I mean he's playing on
- 11:56Speaker 5: a fractioned leg and against that Houston's and what ended
- 12:00Speaker 5: up really costing the Colts. There was a questional p I.
- 12:04Speaker 5: I thought the Texans were the better team throughout the game,
- 12:06Speaker 5: but the miss extra point early in the game, because
- 12:09Speaker 5: we talk about you don't miss that. You can kick
- 12:11Speaker 5: the field goal late, you can kick the field goal
- 12:13Speaker 5: to tide at the end.
- 12:15Speaker 3: I think he missed that kick, by the way.
- 12:18Speaker 6: Yeah, weird that.
- 12:22Speaker 5: I didn't think that that went in. They were showing
- 12:24Speaker 5: the I don't know what the ref I saw that
- 12:26Speaker 5: we were showing the replay of it. I don't know
- 12:29Speaker 5: I didn't have it on sound. I don't know what
- 12:31Speaker 5: the TV ref was saying, but yeah, that didn't look
- 12:33Speaker 5: like it went in.
- 12:34Speaker 6: But uh, A.
- 12:35Speaker 2: Big play by play guy was so confused because he
- 12:38Speaker 2: called it a miss on the actual play by play
- 12:41Speaker 2: in the moment and was and then they put the
- 12:43Speaker 2: point on the board and he goes, uh what.
- 12:47Speaker 6: There was a lot of confusion in that.
- 12:48Speaker 2: I agree, as far as you know the the Texans
- 12:52Speaker 2: were the better team throughout the fact that they were
- 12:55Speaker 2: able to run tough, which is not something that they've
- 12:58Speaker 2: been equipped at doing this year. Their backs, Woody Marks,
- 13:03Speaker 2: washed up, Nick Chubb. They should not be able to
- 13:06Speaker 2: run the ball down your throat. They didn't score a
- 13:08Speaker 2: ton of points, but it seemed like whenever they needed
- 13:10Speaker 2: that key first down they got it against this Colts team.
- 13:13Speaker 2: Sixteen points for Indianapolis on their home turf.
- 13:16Speaker 6: I just this.
- 13:17Speaker 2: I was already not the biggest Colts believer. I thought
- 13:20Speaker 2: this was a good week to buy in on them,
- 13:21Speaker 2: But I'm a right back to I will be a
- 13:23Speaker 2: firm cult hater after watching this all go down the
- 13:27Speaker 2: way that it did. So all right, you guys, floor
- 13:31Speaker 2: is yours, goats and wotes for today, Stucky, Who do
- 13:33Speaker 2: you have wote?
- 13:35Speaker 1: Is me?
- 13:35Speaker 5: I haven't want one of that week's goat? Is I
- 13:41Speaker 5: guess I'll say, I'll bet I wonted that I probably deserved,
- 13:45Speaker 5: didn't deserve? When was the Saints so Devon Veley for catching? Uh?
- 13:52Speaker 5: He had a big end of the Actually, no, you
- 13:54Speaker 5: know I should say that my goat is Kooy McKinstry
- 13:57Speaker 5: because on fourth and one he made a big tackle
- 14:01Speaker 5: that gave him the ball back. And then the Saints
- 14:03Speaker 5: and you know, actually we should shout out who's just fun?
- 14:06Speaker 5: I don't I forget his name? Now the Saints who
- 14:10Speaker 5: have had major kicker issues. Who's the Irish guy? What's
- 14:16Speaker 5: his name?
- 14:20Speaker 6: I do not know his name off the top of
- 14:22Speaker 6: my head.
- 14:22Speaker 5: Is it Smithe or I don't even know how you
- 14:26Speaker 5: pronounce it, Charlie Smythe or Smith? I think it's I
- 14:31Speaker 5: don't even know. He's Irish. He's part of the international program,
- 14:35Speaker 5: his first his first kick and then by the way,
- 14:38Speaker 5: saw Squardner. They're saying, I think he said he might
- 14:41Speaker 5: should be okay, he thinks that. I think he's They
- 14:43Speaker 5: said he's gonna be week to week, But this guy,
- 14:45Speaker 5: This Irish guy. He kicked the fifty six yarder as
- 14:48Speaker 5: his first field goal in the NFL, and then he
- 14:51Speaker 5: had like the perfect on side kick, but the Saints
- 14:54Speaker 5: ended up getting stopped on fourth and one. So shout
- 14:58Speaker 5: out to the Saints. It was a pretty boor r
- 15:00Speaker 5: NFL game. NFL that that was an exciting finish. And
- 15:06Speaker 5: the other one was Jets Falcons. I mean, Nick Folk
- 15:11Speaker 5: all pro, what a kick at the end. He missed
- 15:14Speaker 5: one his first one earlier in the game, but the
- 15:18Speaker 5: Jets get the win over the Falcons, who are now
- 15:21Speaker 5: in the dirt officially.
- 15:23Speaker 2: Yeah to Rod Taylor proves yet again to be a
- 15:25Speaker 2: functional starting quarterback.
- 15:27Speaker 6: He is significantly better than Justin Fields.
- 15:29Speaker 2: I know this is a conversation that will track us
- 15:32Speaker 2: back to I think week three or week four that
- 15:34Speaker 2: there is no.
- 15:35Speaker 6: Debate anymore about that.
- 15:38Speaker 2: I'm seeing that we have a broken hand for Justin Herbert.
- 15:44Speaker 2: That's not his throwing hand, right what that's we're going
- 15:49Speaker 2: that apo hand.
- 15:52Speaker 5: I think that Herbert, by the way, next week is huge,
- 15:58Speaker 5: a huge game for the Chargers. Next week's in the
- 16:02Speaker 5: NFL is really good because you have Texans Chiefs. You
- 16:05Speaker 5: could argue that ends up being like an elimination game,
- 16:09Speaker 5: especially when you consider the tie breaker Texans at seven
- 16:13Speaker 5: and five, Chiefs at six and six, Eagles at Chargers.
- 16:16Speaker 5: I mean they're both at eight and four, but the
- 16:19Speaker 5: Chargers this is their remaining schedule, like they knew that
- 16:23Speaker 5: they had to build up wins. The Chargers are home
- 16:26Speaker 5: against the Eagles, then they're at the Chiefs, at the Cowboys,
- 16:31Speaker 5: which is now looks much tougher, home against the Texans,
- 16:35Speaker 5: which now looks much tougher, and then at the Broncos. Like,
- 16:38Speaker 5: none of those are gimmes, so the next week's game
- 16:41Speaker 5: becomes super important for them and the Eagles all of
- 16:44Speaker 5: a sudden, like do they have to worry about the
- 16:46Speaker 5: Cowboys and the division? Yeah? So hopefully for Chargers fans,
- 16:51Speaker 5: they don't have to see Trey Lance because Herbert made
- 16:56Speaker 5: things happen. It was the Raiders. But that offensive.
- 16:58Speaker 7: Line, baby, it is confirmed that it is the left hand,
- 17:04Speaker 7: but uh, it'll have until we'll have until Monday to
- 17:08Speaker 7: figure that one out.
- 17:09Speaker 2: For the For the fantasy fiends out there, you may
- 17:12Speaker 2: want to just slide somebody else in because you're probably
- 17:15Speaker 2: not going to.
- 17:15Speaker 6: Know right away.
- 17:17Speaker 2: Kendrick what about you before we move on goats and
- 17:19Speaker 2: wotes on the Sunday Slate.
- 17:21Speaker 4: My goat, we already talked about the jag, So I'm
- 17:24Speaker 4: going to specifically say Leaquin Allen for telling Jeffrey Simmons
- 17:27Speaker 4: to stuck his dick.
- 17:29Speaker 3: That is my goat. My vote is going to be
- 17:31Speaker 3: Max Brosmer.
- 17:32Speaker 4: Because yeah, obvious reasons.
- 17:36Speaker 6: You guys were way too excited about him.
- 17:39Speaker 5: I also, uh it was I mean, he was down
- 17:45Speaker 5: three offensive linemen against Seattle in Seattle. Should have known
- 17:49Speaker 5: how that was going to go.
- 17:50Speaker 3: But uh, yeah, it was only about I want today.
- 17:54Speaker 5: I didn't think it could be worse than McCarthy. But yeah,
- 17:58Speaker 5: bros has been finished as nineteen of thirty one twenty
- 18:02Speaker 5: six four interceptions.
- 18:04Speaker 4: That pick six was so Wills it was painful.
- 18:10Speaker 5: That was a Will Levis special. Other one Will Levis
- 18:15Speaker 5: make a million times. You just can't like, you just
- 18:19Speaker 5: can't hold it.
- 18:20Speaker 6: Just hold it, take the sack. You're not a hero.
- 18:23Speaker 5: Just lay down. You wan't going to score. And that
- 18:26Speaker 5: kind of flipped it. That flipped the game, because the
- 18:29Speaker 5: thing is is that the the like if you used
- 18:34Speaker 5: in the Steelers game, the game flipped when Rogers got
- 18:37Speaker 5: sacked and it was and it was a defensive touchdown.
- 18:40Speaker 5: But throughout that whole game, the Bills were moving the
- 18:42Speaker 5: ball on the ground. The Steelers the Seahawks were not
- 18:45Speaker 5: moving the ball. I mean, they averaged three point five
- 18:49Speaker 5: yards per play. They had two hundred total yards the
- 18:53Speaker 5: floor as was in his bag like it was. It
- 18:56Speaker 5: was tough for Donald. He was under pressure whenever he
- 18:59Speaker 5: dropped back and he was running for his life. You
- 19:03Speaker 5: have to just stay in that game in a defensive battle,
- 19:06Speaker 5: and that was the worst possible thing he could have done.
- 19:10Speaker 5: It was because it was it was three nothing, right, Yeah,
- 19:12Speaker 5: it was three nothing in at the end of the
- 19:16Speaker 5: first half. It's three nothing with three to go, and
- 19:19Speaker 5: that flipped the entire game round. So yeah, not a
- 19:24Speaker 5: great debut for Max Prosmer.
- 19:27Speaker 4: My other vote is going to be Lane Kiffen and
- 19:30Speaker 4: my other honorary.
- 19:31Speaker 3: Regoat is going to be the reporter. They called him
- 19:33Speaker 3: a hoe because I love that kid, Long live that kid.
- 19:36Speaker 3: Justice for that kid. Lane Kiffin is a ho.
- 19:39Speaker 2: I thought I was having a fever dream when I
- 19:41Speaker 2: saw that story play itself out.
- 19:44Speaker 6: There was Porter in the back and forth and then he's.
- 19:47Speaker 2: Going up to the guy and uh yeah, I do
- 19:50Speaker 2: a sports talk radio show every afternoon in Orlando, Florida.
- 19:55Speaker 2: We cover the whole state, and the Lane Kiffin stuff
- 19:59Speaker 2: is going to take over. That's gonna be I'm just
- 20:01Speaker 2: gonna do three hours on Lane Kiffin tomorrow.
- 20:04Speaker 4: Elbody getting on the plane with him from his staff
- 20:07Speaker 4: except his brother, and then people showing up to boo him.
- 20:09Speaker 4: There was a mom that showed up with like a
- 20:11Speaker 4: six months old six month old baby who showed.
- 20:14Speaker 3: Up to boo him getting on that plane. Elite. I
- 20:17Speaker 3: love the sec. It just means more holy crap.
- 20:22Speaker 5: Ls LSU is at ole Miss next year, which I think.
- 20:27Speaker 6: I think it's an I think you might have to
- 20:29Speaker 6: coach in a box.
- 20:30Speaker 5: I think it'll be in September. That'll be quite the scene.
- 20:35Speaker 5: But yeah, that's a crazy story heading into the college
- 20:37Speaker 5: flawll playoff, which they need to just change the structure
- 20:40Speaker 5: their schedule, Like you have these you might there's now
- 20:44Speaker 5: three playoff teams that could protect well North Texas. I
- 20:47Speaker 5: think they're going to stay until the end of the year,
- 20:49Speaker 5: but like they're in the in the mix. Their coach
- 20:51Speaker 5: was just hired tu Lane. Their coach was just hired,
- 20:55Speaker 5: and then Lane Kiffin this whole drama like it's it's insane,
- 20:59Speaker 5: it's it's ultimately bad for the sport, like can we
- 21:02Speaker 5: stay in this season before we get to next season?
- 21:04Speaker 5: But getting back to the NFL. The the other game
- 21:10Speaker 5: I wanted to mention again fourth downs and turnovers, Browns
- 21:13Speaker 5: forty nine ers. Chador was okay, he took too many
- 21:17Speaker 5: bad sacks. I mean he had like forty yards of
- 21:19Speaker 5: sacks on three sacks. But they the Browns. I think
- 21:23Speaker 5: the Browns out game the forty nine ers. They both
- 21:24Speaker 5: averaged like four yards per play. Their defense came to play,
- 21:28Speaker 5: but the Browns are zero four and fourth down they
- 21:30Speaker 5: dropped one, dropped the snap in their own territory. They
- 21:33Speaker 5: muffed a punt. But the forty nine ers made enough plays.
- 21:38Speaker 5: That's not an easy place to play, not an easy
- 21:40Speaker 5: defense to go up against in those conditions, So you
- 21:43Speaker 5: have to give them credit for getting the win. But
- 21:46Speaker 5: ugly game. The Browns just fourth downs mistakes and the
- 21:51Speaker 5: forty nine ers get the win despite not doing much
- 21:53Speaker 5: on offense.
- 21:54Speaker 6: The forty nine ers knew what they were doing.
- 21:56Speaker 2: They were not sending anybody extra chaudor sand They were saying,
- 22:00Speaker 2: you're gonna have to beat the secondary.
- 22:03Speaker 6: They they knew that they.
- 22:05Speaker 2: Could just send three and and then see if Shador
- 22:09Speaker 2: Sanders would be able to pick them apart, which he
- 22:11Speaker 2: wasn't able to. Next Gen shared a stat that this
- 22:14Speaker 2: was the most time that any Browns quarterback had had
- 22:17Speaker 2: in the pocket all season long, and it was purposeful.
- 22:22Speaker 5: Pressure pressure, but they didn't Yeah, they were just sitting
- 22:25Speaker 5: back in those zones. The Browns did have some success
- 22:28Speaker 5: running the ball, but ultimately you can't go four and
- 22:32Speaker 5: four thouns and muff a punt. By the way, the
- 22:35Speaker 5: other games I wanted to mention for next week, Oh,
- 22:37Speaker 5: Brown's Brown's hosting the Titans. That'll be a doozy, especially
- 22:41Speaker 5: if there's weather. Uh. Steelers Ravens is now for first
- 22:46Speaker 5: place in the division.
- 22:49Speaker 6: And then you have Chi disgusting six and six that's crazy.
- 22:54Speaker 5: Jaggs Colts for first place. And then I mentioned Texans
- 22:59Speaker 5: Chiefs and the Eagles Chargers. So there's some big games
- 23:03Speaker 5: and now like Lions Cowboys. It's crazy to say, but
- 23:10Speaker 5: is that close to an elimination game? Because if the
- 23:13Speaker 5: Lions now the Cowboys have a tie, so head to
- 23:16Speaker 5: heads don't matter. But the Cowboys would leap frog the
- 23:21Speaker 5: Lions now, but they're both two back. Like if you
- 23:23Speaker 5: look at the NFC playoff picture right now, the I
- 23:27Speaker 5: think the forty nine ers or what not, they have
- 23:29Speaker 5: nine wins. Yeah, they have nine wins. So the Lions
- 23:35Speaker 5: are the first team out. They have seven wins. There
- 23:37Speaker 5: are two full games back. You lose this game. Forty
- 23:42Speaker 5: nine Ers are on a bye, you're three games back
- 23:48Speaker 5: going into week fifteen. And if the Cowboys want to
- 23:51Speaker 5: make a push like every single game, obviously, sitting at
- 23:53Speaker 5: six to five and one is huge. So that's a
- 23:54Speaker 5: Thursday night game. So yeah, some really really big game
- 24:00Speaker 5: in the NFL that will determined I think playoff spots
- 24:03Speaker 5: next week.
- 24:04Speaker 6: And some fascinating lines that go with at stucky.
- 24:06Speaker 2: You have the Cowboys that plus three against the Detroit
- 24:11Speaker 2: team that's reeling right now, has been staring at me
- 24:13Speaker 2: in the face the last couple of days. You get
- 24:16Speaker 2: the Steelers potentially a plus six and a half with
- 24:20Speaker 2: the whole Tomlin as a as a dog.
- 24:22Speaker 5: Two broken, two broken teams right now. I mean you
- 24:25Speaker 5: saw Rogers today, they had to just go pistol the
- 24:29Speaker 5: entire game which makes their offense very predictable. And I
- 24:34Speaker 5: mean they just got run over. I mean it was
- 24:35Speaker 5: the Bills set an NFL record or excuse me, a
- 24:38Speaker 5: Steel a record in that stadium for most rush yards.
- 24:41Speaker 5: I mean they were running the same two rush plays
- 24:43Speaker 5: over and over again. The Steeers couldn't do anything about it.
- 24:45Speaker 5: Steeers had some defensive injuries worth noting today as well.
- 24:48Speaker 5: But yeah, Rogers with that hand and.
- 24:54Speaker 3: Just the nose, the nose really sad. The shot of
- 24:59Speaker 3: him sitting on the and it's just.
- 25:00Speaker 5: It's right now is broken too. Like their offensive line
- 25:04Speaker 5: is not blocking well. Lamar doesn't have the same burst.
- 25:08Speaker 5: They have issues in the red zone. So yeah, that
- 25:13Speaker 5: that's uh. That could end up being a classic Ravens
- 25:17Speaker 5: Steel nineteen sixteen type of game.
- 25:21Speaker 4: We make a quick note here, We were talking about
- 25:24Speaker 4: this before we got on as well. Next year we
- 25:27Speaker 4: need to wait until the absolute last second to put
- 25:30Speaker 4: our bets in for Thanksgiving, because what a disaster. I
- 25:34Speaker 4: might even take Thanksgiving off next year. The quick turnaround
- 25:37Speaker 4: for so many teams is just too much to be
- 25:40Speaker 4: able to accurately I think predict anything.
- 25:43Speaker 5: Well, you mentioned the quick turnaround. We have to we
- 25:45Speaker 5: have to give, we have to give. We didn't mention
- 25:51Speaker 5: Thanksgiving games. Packers impressive. I thought the Floor coached a
- 25:56Speaker 5: really good game. But the Bears season ended today the Bears.
- 26:04Speaker 5: Bears would be the one seed in the NFC. The
- 26:08Speaker 5: one seed the Bears. They just ran all over the
- 26:15Speaker 5: Eagles from start to finish. Ben Johnson, in my opinion,
- 26:19Speaker 5: as the coach of the year. And yeah, their defense,
- 26:23Speaker 5: their defense can free Wieners. Their their defense continues to
- 26:26Speaker 5: get turnover luck. And they had an easy schedule, and
- 26:30Speaker 5: they won some games that they probably shouldn't have in
- 26:32Speaker 5: the last minute, but they survived that stretch. And here's
- 26:36Speaker 5: the thing they got. Their defense is now getting healthier.
- 26:39Speaker 5: So the Bears with that run game, and if Caleb
- 26:43Speaker 5: Williams continues to grasp that offense, their defense gets healthier.
- 26:48Speaker 5: The turnover luck isn't going to last forever.
- 26:50Speaker 3: But you have color will he nails be for the
- 26:54Speaker 3: Super Bowl?
- 26:56Speaker 5: What?
- 26:56Speaker 3: What color will his nails be for the Super Bowl?
- 26:58Speaker 3: Do you think we can gamble on it?
- 27:00Speaker 6: Where's the super Bowl?
- 27:01Speaker 5: The Super Bowl logo this year?
- 27:03Speaker 3: It's in San Francisco. I don't know what it is.
- 27:06Speaker 6: Let's go red let's go red on the nail polish. Then.
- 27:08Speaker 5: Do you know those people that always say that there's
- 27:10Speaker 5: like a conspiracy with the logo? I've ever seen that?
- 27:13Speaker 6: Yeah?
- 27:14Speaker 2: Yeah, every year the color of the Super Bowl logo
- 27:18Speaker 2: predicts the matchup.
- 27:19Speaker 5: Yeah, wasn't last year.
- 27:21Speaker 2: Didn't last year there was purple. The Ravens didn't make it.
- 27:24Speaker 3: Heee, okay, yeah.
- 27:26Speaker 6: It's people.
- 27:27Speaker 5: People think there's conspiracies for everything. This year, it's am
- 27:31Speaker 5: I looking at this one right, it looks like it's rainbow.
- 27:35Speaker 3: Oh my god, it is Williams.
- 27:36Speaker 4: You guys, the super Bowl.
- 27:40Speaker 6: I don't care how big of a football fan you are.
- 27:42Speaker 2: Nobody knows what number Super Bowl were on unless you
- 27:45Speaker 2: look it up.
- 27:46Speaker 6: Nobody.
- 27:48Speaker 3: Yeah, you guys, wait, this is so Cuteye, I love it.
- 27:50Speaker 3: I'm a big Kayleb Williams fan. So whatever.
- 27:54Speaker 5: Anyways, So I would say blue and yellow? Is that?
- 27:59Speaker 5: Did we stretch that to the Jaguars.
- 28:02Speaker 6: Lou and the yellow Lions? Jagged?
- 28:06Speaker 5: There's some blue and some brownish yellow.
- 28:10Speaker 6: Maybe that's the Rams Patriots Rams again?
- 28:15Speaker 5: Who would pink be?
- 28:17Speaker 6: I don't know.
- 28:18Speaker 5: I got I got the author Like. Check out reddit
- 28:20Speaker 5: and see what the Super Bowl logo conspiracy people are saying,
- 28:25Speaker 5: but all right, you gotta toss to I do.
- 28:28Speaker 2: I want to wrap the the original point that Kendra
- 28:31Speaker 2: is making. I wrote this exact note to myself before
- 28:34Speaker 2: we even discussed it, before we went live.
- 28:37Speaker 6: Go lighter around Thanksgiving, not a bad idea.
- 28:40Speaker 2: Attention is split, We're not as focused, We're forcing plays.
- 28:44Speaker 2: Take that for what it's worth. If you also had
- 28:47Speaker 2: a shitty day of betting, and then we'll be better
- 28:50Speaker 2: next year as a community. Before we get the Sunday
- 28:52Speaker 2: Night football, let's toss to Kendra about a word from DraftKings.
- 28:57Speaker 4: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by Draft Sportsbook and in
- 29:01Speaker 4: partnership with DraftKings. Our listeners get a great offer right now.
- 29:04Speaker 4: New customers can bet five dollars and get two hundred
- 29:07Speaker 4: dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins plus
- 29:10Speaker 4: three months of NBA League Pass. Love the thrill of
- 29:12Speaker 4: live betting. DraftKings has got you covered. Bet live on
- 29:15Speaker 4: Star player props and in progress games right as they
- 29:18Speaker 4: happen to get started to use promo code Favorites when
- 29:21Speaker 4: signing up with DraftKings. That's code Favorites when signing up
- 29:24Speaker 4: with DraftKings for three months of NBA League Pass and
- 29:27Speaker 4: two hundred dollars back in bonus bets. If your bet wins,
- 29:30Speaker 4: the crown is yours.
- 29:32Speaker 2: Broncos at Commanders you get the Commanders catching six and
- 29:37Speaker 2: a half here totals at forty three.
- 29:39Speaker 6: And a half.
- 29:41Speaker 2: I will be taking the night off after the beatdown
- 29:44Speaker 2: that was Week thirteen. But Kendra, are we on anything here?
- 29:49Speaker 3: Oh no, I hate this game so much.
- 29:52Speaker 4: Ill No, I'm going to clean my apartment and unpack
- 29:56Speaker 4: and have this on his background noise.
- 29:58Speaker 2: Terry McLaurin is back. Daniels might be returning in week fourteen.
- 30:02Speaker 2: Seventy seven percent of the bets seventy two percent of
- 30:05Speaker 2: the money on the Denver Broncos. What about you, stucky?
- 30:10Speaker 5: Yeah, I bet the Commanders. Although I've I've been cold.
- 30:13Speaker 5: It is better at America, so I would maybe that
- 30:16Speaker 5: means to bet uh Denver, But I don't know. I
- 30:19Speaker 5: just think the line's a little too high. This is
- 30:21Speaker 5: kind of this is everything that I bet in the NFL.
- 30:24Speaker 5: By low sell high. I mean, I think we're at
- 30:26Speaker 5: the peak of the market. On the Broncos. They've bought,
- 30:28Speaker 5: they've won. Whatt eighth straight. They haven't won a game
- 30:32Speaker 5: by more than three points on the road or even
- 30:36Speaker 5: away from home if you include the Jets by more
- 30:38Speaker 5: than four points all year, include the Jets when they
- 30:40Speaker 5: threw for negative ten passing yards with justin fields, and
- 30:44Speaker 5: I think we're probably close to the bottom of the market.
- 30:46Speaker 5: On the Commanders, they've there aren't an extended losing streak.
- 30:49Speaker 5: The one thing I'm counting on, I mean, Mariota is
- 30:52Speaker 5: still a functional backup. You have McLaurin back, Sirtanda's back,
- 30:56Speaker 5: which isn't which is which does give a boost to
- 30:58Speaker 5: the Denver defense. Obviously you can shut down one side
- 31:00Speaker 5: of the field. He gives some ultimate flexibility. But I'm
- 31:05Speaker 5: counting on the Commander's defense just looking more professional under
- 31:08Speaker 5: with dan Quinn calling the place, I think that they looked.
- 31:11Speaker 5: They did a decent job against Miami. Now you can
- 31:14Speaker 5: say it's Miami, that's fair, but just structurally, communication wise,
- 31:18Speaker 5: it look better. So coming out of the buy, it's
- 31:21Speaker 5: this is still bon Nix is He's still been, you know,
- 31:24Speaker 5: a bottom three quarterback in success right over the first
- 31:26Speaker 5: three quarters. A team that struggles to build margin, a
- 31:30Speaker 5: team that struggles to build margin against really bad teams
- 31:33Speaker 5: and the Jets the Raiders at home. You might have
- 31:36Speaker 5: some weather here. I haven't seen an updated weather forecast,
- 31:38Speaker 5: but that that could serve as a neutralizer. But yeah,
- 31:42Speaker 5: I took the six points. Probably we'll regret it, but
- 31:46Speaker 5: I did bet that. By the way, I found a threat.
- 31:48Speaker 5: Everyone is saying the background of that mum is purple.
- 31:51Speaker 5: So everyone was saying Ravens Lions. That's the consensus.
- 31:55Speaker 6: From the conspiracy. Yeah, looking great logo. I just want
- 32:01Speaker 6: a long shot for the day.
- 32:02Speaker 5: Maybe uh Ben's a touchdown.
- 32:05Speaker 6: Yeah, there you go.
- 32:06Speaker 2: That's the one when I throw two dollars on that,
- 32:09Speaker 2: see if I can save the afternoon. All right, let's
- 32:11Speaker 2: get to our draft Kings Monday night football fast pass
- 32:14Speaker 2: parlay before we settle in for the night game or
- 32:18Speaker 2: cleaning our apartment or cleaning out the refrigerator or whatever
- 32:21Speaker 2: it is you're doing tonight.
- 32:30Speaker 3: I guess we.
- 32:33Speaker 2: Gotta throw Giants plus seven and a half in there,
- 32:38Speaker 2: because that one's for Stucky. That was part of our parlay,
- 32:41Speaker 2: and we unfortunately did not get a chance to see
- 32:45Speaker 2: if that would be the one that cashed it for us.
- 32:47Speaker 2: So we get two thumbs up. On that Stucky before
- 32:50Speaker 2: Kendra and I add to the mix.
- 32:54Speaker 5: Yeah, it's seven and a half. I think the Giants
- 32:56Speaker 5: are worth a look now it's you have dark coming
- 32:59Speaker 5: back from didn't see it with Strout today, but historically
- 33:03Speaker 5: you see a bit of a dip. But I think
- 33:05Speaker 5: the key here is the offensive line injuries for the Patriots.
- 33:09Speaker 5: They don't have great depth there going up against the
- 33:11Speaker 5: Giants defensive line, that could make a difference. So yeah,
- 33:17Speaker 5: from a side perspective, that's the only way I could look.
- 33:20Speaker 2: So we all tend to be in a little bit
- 33:22Speaker 2: of agreement here as far as the Giants should be
- 33:25Speaker 2: able to give the Patriots a fight here, Giants plus
- 33:29Speaker 2: seven and a half, I'm gonna throw Jackson Dart anytime
- 33:33Speaker 2: touchdown in there. At plus three twenty five straight games
- 33:37Speaker 2: that he's played with a rushing touchdown seven on the season,
- 33:41Speaker 2: feel pretty good about that. If the Giants play well,
- 33:44Speaker 2: it's because he's still running around and being himself.
- 33:47Speaker 6: I like him to get into the end zone. What
- 33:49Speaker 6: about you.
- 33:49Speaker 4: Kendra Kravitz and I were filling out our notes at
- 33:53Speaker 4: the exact same time, and I was going to fill
- 33:56Speaker 4: that out as my pick for tonight, But then I
- 33:58Speaker 4: saw his rushing our total is twenty nine and a half.
- 34:01Speaker 6: I love that.
- 34:01Speaker 3: I think he's going to be on the run quite
- 34:03Speaker 3: a bit tomorrow night. He also is on the run.
- 34:05Speaker 3: Just in general, I feel like most weeks this feels
- 34:08Speaker 3: low to me. I like the twenty nine and a
- 34:09Speaker 3: half over.
- 34:11Speaker 5: So all correlated very much so, but because I think that, Yeah,
- 34:17Speaker 5: Dark's the only thing I would worry about is if
- 34:19Speaker 5: Dart coming back from a concussion, he doesn't run as much.
- 34:22Speaker 3: Where they there's no way that he feels that way though,
- 34:26Speaker 3: to use his.
- 34:26Speaker 5: Likes and yeah, when he's near the goal line, that's
- 34:28Speaker 5: that's one of their most effective places him using his legs.
- 34:32Speaker 2: Yeah, but that's where I think the uh we get
- 34:36Speaker 2: a little bit of a discount on him. I think
- 34:38Speaker 2: for that exact reason for that paranoia, because his rushing
- 34:41Speaker 2: yard number, I believe has set more in the mid
- 34:46Speaker 2: forties than at twenty nine and a half.
- 34:49Speaker 6: So I think that that is very much baked in here.
- 34:52Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 34:52Speaker 6: The number on that, by the way, plus.
- 34:55Speaker 2: Eight hundred for the Giants, plus seven and a half
- 34:59Speaker 2: Jackson Dart anytime touchdown and Jackson Dart to record at
- 35:03Speaker 2: least thirty rushing yards. You can throw that in over
- 35:07Speaker 2: at DraftKings. The crown is yours. The Favorites will turn
- 35:12Speaker 2: next Tuesday afternoon right here on the Action Network YouTube
- 35:15Speaker 2: page when we talk NFL Week fourteen. Good luck with
- 35:17Speaker 2: your bets tonight. Hopefully you do better than we did,
- 35:20Speaker 2: and we'll see you next here next time, right here
- 35:23Speaker 2: on the Favorites podcast for Stuckey, Kendra Middleton, Evan Abrams,
- 35:27Speaker 2: Gifford Gold, David Payin. Thanks so much for hanging out
- 35:29Speaker 2: with us tonight. Presented by DraftKings, Let's Catch these tickets.
- 35:34Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.
- 35:48Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,
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