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NFL Week 9 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's how I'm gonna start off this show.
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: Horrible Sunday one and five. I don't even know what
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: to tell you about that. I just don't want to
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues, I've reached.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: A new peak. Actually, I'm gonna.
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: Burn my browins hat Man, I don't know what is
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: going on with the Bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: March eight? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: who even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what day is anymore. But I
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after, but we're a stay that
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: I could possibly have, back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, Yes, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: It's towed back with you for better off Dead NFL edition?
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: Uh Week nine? Is that where we're at? I don't know,
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: two losing days in a row for the first time
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: in probably over a month. So that's fucking fun, regardless
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: of what happens with the shitty Seattle crack, and it
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: might get a win for me to limit the damage
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: quite a bit here. Never gonna give out a total again,
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: foot ball that can just everything can just go to hell.
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: I'll talk about it more tomorrow. I think the other
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: college football loss was bullshit. I think Ottawa that loss
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: is pretty much bullshit. I'm not happy about any of this.
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: I need to grow a fucking beard back immediately. I'm
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: sick of looking like a fucking more of the obese baby.
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: Fuck all the shit. Charles, what's up man? Yeah, I
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: mean I'm not a fan of the Dodgers. But I mean,
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: at least I was right about the Dodgers winning and
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: about Yamamoto. I assume you know, I still have it on.
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: I assume Yamamoto is gonna be the MVP, but I
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: don't know.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: I was.
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: Uh, I was watching the rest of that game, so
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna take my headphones off as usual. That's why
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: I'm late for this. I was I was gonna, I
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: was waiting to watch. I was watching the end of
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: the game while I was finishing the handicap. I'm actually
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: gonna have three NFL plays here. You're down a ton.
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not like, if if Seattle wins, this
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: will be like a It'll be what like three and
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: three today or something, So it won't be that bad.
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: NBA got back on track today.
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: Let's I'm gonna talk about it more tomorrow because I
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: think I won't have a whole lot to talk about
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: tomorrow morning, because the NFL is gonna be what this
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: show is about. So let's talk about it now. I've
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: got the look Ahead lines up, We're ready to go.
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: I'm giving out three plays today, and they're all probably
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: the ugliest underdogs you could possibly think of. Uh, that's
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: just the way that it is working out this time.
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: Don't even know if I should be doing it, but
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: I am hopefully it works out okay, because I'm worried
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: about it. Last week I was really good in the NFL,
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: so probably gonna regress a little bit. First game up
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: is gonna be a Bears Bengals. The Bears have flipped
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: from one point dog to a two and a half
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: point favorite, almost a three point favorite on the road. Here,
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: fifty one percent of the tickets seventy seven percent of
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Bears, so the money is coming
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: in on the Bears.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't have a huge reason to disagree
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: with that.
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: The look aheadline on this was Bears one and a half, though,
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: so it looks like there's probably not a lot of
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: value because I think for most I think mostly this
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: line has moved I think too far based probably based
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: on what we saw last week, I guess just because
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: I think, I mean Cincinnati losing to the Jets. I
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: think it's pretty much why the line moved.
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: So I mean, I almost want.
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: To slightly disagree with the market in this one, because
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, Cincinnati losing to the Jets is just ridiculous.
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: But I told you how bad that spot was. I mean,
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati had beaten Pittsburgh huge divisional win on Thursday night,
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: and everybody saw that in primetime, and everybody was like
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: anointing Joe Flacco again and whenever, and I was I
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: told you they were gonna have a little bit of
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: a regression, and they blew the game against the Jets.
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: They lost the game against the Jets, but I mean,
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: losing the Jets is pretty embarrassing. So in a way,
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: I want to almost say that Cincinnati is gonna bounce
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: back here Chicago. Last week, I mean they did lose
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: as well, though, to Baltimore, which was, oh hey, the
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: other game that I was right about on a Sunday,
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: the Baltimore Ravens coming off the bye there.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: Without Lamar Jackson.
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: But the Ravens are still I mean, I said they
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: were in a good spot. They were the better team.
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: I mean, I figured they were gonna they were gonna
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: win that game. That did end a win streak for
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: the Bears, too, so I mean football it's less football
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: is less streaky. But still the Bears hadn't lost its
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: Week two so I could see that kind of hanging
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: them over a little bit into this game. So I
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: mean I almost again want to disagree with the market
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: here and say that maybe if you get a three,
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: taking up with the Bengals might actually make sense here.
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: Probably the only issue I would have with that is
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: that the Bengals, you could potentially argue that they're looking
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: ahead because they do have Pittsburgh again next so although
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: it's after a buye, so they go into a buy
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: and then they played Pittsburgh again. The money is saying
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: the Bears. I don't really love it. I think there
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit of value on the Bengals.
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: The spot to me seems slightly better for the Bengals
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: to me. But I don't know, man, Because when I
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: wind up making all my picks for the week, I
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: kinda tend to lean towards the market if I don't
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: really have that strong of an opinion. So this is
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: one I really don't have a strong opinion on.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: I think maybe.
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: When I do the final market read tomorrow, I will
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: maybe give out a final opinion on that, because I
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: know you guys want my picks. But that's the one
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: that's just like, I don't know what the hell to
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: pick in that game.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: The Bears. Yeah, I mean maybe.
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: Depending on what number your pick them game has, maybe
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: it still makes sense to take the Bears unless it's
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: a three, which is pretty unlikely.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: Forty nine Ers at Giants another one that I.
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: Have difficulty with because I usually don't want to lay
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: points to the public road favorite, and the forty nine
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: ers are definitely one of those. Sixty seven percent of
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: the tickets but eighty percent of the cash on the
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: forty nine ers, they've been basically just sitting around a
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: three point favorite two and a half point favorite. Look
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: Ahead was right in line with that at three, so
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: the line really hasn't moved as far.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: As the spot.
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: San Francisco coming up. Kind of an ugly loss last
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: week to Houston. Although I expected that, I gave out
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: Houston as a lean on the show here was not
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: one of my plays.
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: I know some.
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: Professional betters were on Houston in that one, and I
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: did not disagree with it. So the forty nine ers
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: did take that loss. It was an ugly loss. The
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: thing I don't like about the Niners here is they're
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: playing a second straight road game, and they're actually playing
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: four road games in five weeks, even though the first
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: one of those was on a Thursday, but still they
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: pulled off an upset at La at the Rams.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Then they had to go to Tampa Bay.
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: They came back cross country to play at home the
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: game that I gave out the forty nine ers.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: They beat Atlanta.
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: Then they had to go back out again to Houston
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: last week and play that game. Now I don't know
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: if they went back home. I'm guessing they probably didn't,
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: but they still have to fly now to the East
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: Coast for the second time this year, and the only
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: time they did that lost to Tampa. Although of course
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: the Giants are not as good as Tampa. But I
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: don't love all the travel that the forty nine ers
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: are doing. Even though I talked about how they had
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: a week schedule this year and that their opponents are
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: pretty weak, their remaining schedules pretty weak, although of course
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: the Giants are one of those weak teams. But I
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: don't know if I love the spot man. Meanwhile, the Giants,
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: they're only coming back from Philadelphia, although they were in
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: high elevation the previous week, but they're.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: Coming back home here.
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: Maybe wanted to bounce back after a pretty ugly loss
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: to the Eagles. Last week, although that was a big game,
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: but it was revenge for the Eagles. I told you
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: I thought the Eagles might be able to cover that one,
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: which they did. Scataboo got hurt, of course, notably, so
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: he's out of the Really, contrary to what people think,
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: he actually wasn't putting up a whole lot of rushing numbers,
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: but he was doing a lot in the passing game,
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: which is what was making him good. I picked up
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: Tracy and Fantasy because he was un owned, so Tracy will.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: Be the starter.
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: I don't think Tracy is really that bad, though, So
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: I have difficulty with this one too, man, because the
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: market read is saying forty nine ers. I mean, the
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: Bears and the Giants play each other next week, by
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: the way, so I don't think there's really a look
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: ahead for either of those teams in that respect. I
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: know some professionals that like the forty nine ers. Here
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: the money looks like it's saying the forty nine ers
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: similar to the Bears.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, I kind of disagree.
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: I would slightly lean to the Giants based on the
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: scheduling spot, but I don't really have that strong of
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: an opinion on it. So I might wind up having
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: to go with what the market is saying by the
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: time we see what it looks like tomorrow. So again
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: it's almost a wait and see approach. Like if you
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: want to just go straight up with what the market
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: is saying, it would be Bears forty nine ers. I
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: think the scheduling spot is like slightly in opposition to that.
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: So that's what I have to say about those Falcons
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: at Patriots. The Patriots are from a three point favorite
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: to a five point favorite.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: The three was basically the look ahead. The look at
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: it was two and a half.
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: But now because the Falcons, basically because they lost to
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: the fucking Dolphins.
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: Now the Falcons are getting five points. Here. Oh my mistake.
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: I forgot to point on one thing about the forty
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: nine ers Brock parties back.
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: I apologize.
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: I forgot to mention that because I was reminded of
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: that because at Lana, I think is gonna have Pennex
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: back as well.
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: Forty nine ers I believe have Brock party backs.
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: That's another thing that I actually that makes me like
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: the forty nine ers less actually, And by the way,
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: the forty nine ers got really really lit up on
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: the scoreboard by Houston, which is not a good sign
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: because Houston is not a good offense. They're a good defense,
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: not a good offense. But Houston in this game where
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: the yard and shot totals, Yeah, Houston put up four
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: hundred and seventy five yards of offense in that game
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: to the forty nine ers to twenty three. So Houston
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: just massacred them statistically, it should not have even been
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: close on the scoreboard. So that's another thing that makes
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: the forty nine ers look a little bit worse. I mean,
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: the score makes the forty nine ers look not as
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: bad as they actually were in that game.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: I should put it that way.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: And Brock Purdy, if he comes back here, I think
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: that's actually a bad thing because he's been out for
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: a long time. So, oh, never mind, he's not he's
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: not starting.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: Never mind. I thought that the line.
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: Seemed to indicate that maybe he'd be back, but I
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: don't think the line actually moves that much between Purdy
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: and mac Jones. I actually don't think this is that
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: much of a drop off. He's not starting, so that's
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: the answer to that. So never mind. I'm going around
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: in circles.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: Man. Never mind.
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: But I was gonna say if Purdy was starting, that
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: would make me have a tendency to want to fade
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: the forty nine ers more because Purdy hasn't played in
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: so long and he'd have to get back in, you know,
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: into the lineup, and he'd have to get used to
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: it again. You know, he'd have to regain that chemistry
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: with the team whatever, you know, So it would be
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: like a reverse injured player spot basically. So I wouldn't
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: I really wouldn't like the forty nine ers if that
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: was the case. It looks like they are going to
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: still go with mac Jones here, so they at least
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: have continuity there, so at least that takes that off
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: the table. Falcons at Patre though, like I already was saying,
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: the Patriots are now five point favorite instead of the
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: look I had, which was two and a half or three.
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: I think it's almost entirely because Atlanta was so bad
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: last week against the Dolphins.
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins.
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: I thought he was gonna be decent, like because I
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: thought he was gonna be healthy again here, and he
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: was awful.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: It wasn't even really a turnover thing in that game.
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: It's just that the Falcons could not move the ball
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: at all, and they seem like they're not even really
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: willing to run the football though of course once they
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: fell behind, they couldn't really do that.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: But the Falcons, they're just such an up and down team. Man.
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: I mean, one minute, they're, you know, beating the Buffalo
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: bill so though it was a bad spot for the Bills,
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: the next minute they're losing to the Miami Dolphins or
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: getting shut out by Carolina. Although I gave out Carolina
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: as a play in that game and I had Miami
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: as a lean, although I wasn't that strong about it
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: last week, and that eliminated me from Survivor. And by
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: the way, I'm out of fucking College Survivor now too
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: because of fucking Auburn.
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: Because Auburn.
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: This was the spot to use the and I thought
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: they were in a decent spot and they just couldn't
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: even fucking score.
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: It's just so ridiculous, man.
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: Kansas extended my Survivor earlier in the day today. That
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: was a good call by me, I think is they
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: were a huge favorite and then they just didn't have
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: another Survivor worthy game left. But Auburn was a double
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: digit favorite with no other Survivor worthy games left, So
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: I'm pissed about that too.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: That's money gone. Losing both of.
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: My survivors now in the last two weeks, I'm pissed.
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: But anyway, back to this Atlanta. They're coming off of an
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: embarrassing game.
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, you lose to Miami, you know you're gonna
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: get drilled during the week and you're gonna you gotta
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: show up with at least focus here. Are they gonna
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: be good enough to hang with the Patriots? I think maybe,
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: because like when Miami shows up for a game, they
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: can they can hang with better teams and the Patriots. Yeah,
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: they're on this ridiculous run where they won five games
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: in a row, but the only good win was that
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: really close.
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: Win at Buffalo.
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, look at who they beat otherwise, all the
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: other wins this year against Miami, Carolina, New Orleans, tennis
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: See in Cleveland, and yeah, I know they blew out
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: Tennessee and Cleveland and Carolina, but that Carolina one was
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: a little bit misleading on the score on the scoreboard,
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: like the yardage difference wasn't that much in the game.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I still don't know what to
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: think about the Patriots.
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think they're I think they're good, like
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: they're probably worthy of like making the playoffs and whatever.
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're as good as people think they
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: are right now.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: And you know, there's all this hype. They're way too
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: hyped right now.
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: There's all this hype around Drake may being third in
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: the running for MVP right now behind Mahomes and Allen which,
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: by the way, it was Baker Mayfield until the last
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: week or two. He completely fell off because his offense
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: is totally injured. But I also don't think he's really
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: as good as that may is good. I don't know
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: if he's as good as people are, like thinking that
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: he is right now or saying that he is right now.
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: Although the Patriots did pull off three straight road wins,
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: even though two of them are against bad teams, that
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: does show you something. And they were able to win
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: in cover and beat me and what I thought a
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: letdown spot coming off the Buffalo wins, So a little
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: bit of something to be said about that they do
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: a Tampa up next. I don't know if that is
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: necessarily a look ahead, just because it's like Mayfield versus
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: may but you could say the same thing about May
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: against Pennex because May and Penix, I think we're in
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: the same draft class.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: So and May versus a May versus.
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: Mayfield, that's weird, and that's gonna be on Mayfield's field
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: and not May's field. Yeah, but I mean that that's
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: just maybe a potential look ahead just because it's an
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: MVP race battle between those two quarterbacks.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: So dude, I really don't know what to think about
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: this game at all.
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: Though, to be honest, Patriots are coming off an easy
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: win over Cleveland. I think Atlanta probably is the way
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: to look just because they're in like a bounce back
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: spot from such an embarrassing loss. It looks like Pennox
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: is going to play here, But then I'm not sure
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: that if that's necessarily a great thing, though, I mean,
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: he's got to be better than Cousins at this point,
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: even though last week I was thinking that maybe there
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: wasn't that much of a drop off. Cousins just does
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: not look like he's good anymore. His career might be over,
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: which is very unfortunate. So I do think Atlanta is
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: better with Pennix there, and they also did not have
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: Drake London last week, So that's also something to keep
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: in mind, Like they're gonna want these players back because
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: London is obviously their best wide receiver.
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: Is he coming back?
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: It looks like he's not listed on the injury report here,
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: so I think he is. Looks like Pennix is coming
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: back as well, that I couldn't really get a straight
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: answer there. Yeah, Penix, London, and Mooney are all coming back.
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: So the Falcons are gonna be at full strength here,
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: even though normally I say it's a reverse injured player spot.
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: You know, with your star player coming back, you have
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: to work him back in whatever the team might take
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: their foot off the gas. The team's not gonna take
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: their foot There is no gas. The team's not gonna
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: take their foot off the gas. And overlook the Patriots
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: after they got embarrassed by Miami last week. So I'll
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: slightly lean to taking the points with the Falcons one
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of the tickets and eighty two percent
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Patriots. But do I want
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: to like jump in front of this Patriot train right now?
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: Not really, no, So that's not gonna.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: Be a play Colts stealers.
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: This is kind of an interesting one, and it just
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: looks way too easy to lay three points with the Colts.
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: So it looks like it's headed towards three and a half.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: The look ahead I.
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: Believe was around three. It says here it was two
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: and a half. So the line has moved up a
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: little bit. Basically, it's gone through the key number three.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: It looks like it's gonna be three and a half,
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: which does mean there's gonna be more value on taking
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: that number.
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: With the Steelers if you do like that eighty.
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: One percent of the tickets eighty four percent of the
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: cash on the Colts for now, But that's like such
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: a slim cash percentage, and the Colts are so public
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: that I don't think that's really an indicator that there's
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: actually a lot of money on the Colts. I think
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: probably some actual money is gonna come in on the Steelers,
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: especially at three and a half. India I think is
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: a little bit over hyped right now, even though I
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: know they're they're my team. Although I'm not really a
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: Patriot hate or anymore at this one, because I don't
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: really hate May. I only hate Josh McDaniels at this point.
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: But Indy if you look at their schedule, I mean,
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: they don't have really too many good wins. I mean
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: they're good wins or that one where they won on
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: the leverage call against Denver and then they had a
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: good win on the road at the Chargers, though it
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: was a little bit misleading because the Chargers did out
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: gain them. Other than that, their wins are against Miami, Tennessee,
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: the Raiders, Arizona, and Tennessee again. So INDI's faced a
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: weak schedule so far, man, Although granted Pittsburgh, I mean
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: they're probably not really a great team, but they're probably better.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: Than like most of it.
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: They're probably better than all of India's opponus that I
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: just listed, except for the Chargers and UH and Denver,
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: and they're better and they're not as good as the
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: Pittsford is not as good as the Rams, obviously, but
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: Indy lost that game to the Rams. At some point,
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: I do think Indy is gonna have some sort of
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: like they're gonna have some spot where they where they
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: overlook somebody, man, and maybe it'll be here, because maybe
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: they're looking ahead because they do have to go to
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: Berlin next week. You knew that was coming at some point.
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: There's always a Berlin game at some point later in
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: the season, and that's Indy and Atlanta, and that's coming
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: up next week, so they might look ahead to that
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: because they're gonna have to play this Pittsburgh game and
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: then they're gonna have to travel. So I do think
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: that might be a little bit of a look ahead
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: spot here Pittsburgh. Everybody saw them look really really bad
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: against Green Bay last week. All the Pittsburgh was actually
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: playing pretty well in that game until basically the fourth
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: quarter and then everything unraveled. And Aaron Rodgers has been fine,
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: like he's not the problem, and he's been pretty decent,
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: especially given his age. The Pittsburgh defense surprisingly has been
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: the major problem for Pittsburgh here. So that is kind
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: of a problem when Indy has like a lot of
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: the best offensive metrics in football, and they have the
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: best running back in football, and they have a really
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: balanced offense. But something about this spot, man, I just
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: don't love itt Pittsburgh. I know they're on a slightly
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: short week because they played Sunday night, but they looked
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: so bad on Sunday night. They've actually looked somewhat bad
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: two weeks in a row in primetime, arguably because they
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: lost to Cincinnati. Al though they kind of looked good
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: in that loss because they almost had the win and
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: they scored over thirty points, but everybody saw them look
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: really bad in the fourth quarter against Green Bay. So
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: I would actually probably lean to taking the points with
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: the Steelers in this one. I mean, they're not gonna
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: overlook Indy at the very least.
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: We'll see what happens in that one. Man.
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: Indye I think is probably not quite as good as
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: they look like they are based on their wrecker right now.
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: Everybody's basically kind of anointing them as the best team
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: in football right now, and I think the power ratings
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: basically are kind of telling you otherwise.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: So the fact that even though.
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: The power ratings, like the oddsmakers are saying, yeah, the
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: Colts are obviously the better team over the Steelers, it's
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: on the road and they're not laying that many points.
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: So slightly into the Steelers for me in that one.
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: But none of these, none of these games that I've
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: talked about so far, I've been strong opinions for me
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: at all. Packers Panthers. You already know I'm gonna have
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: a play in that game. Vikings Lions is gonna be
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: one of my players as well. We're gonna fade a
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: lot of these public sides, man, so we'll skip those
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: for an Now we're still in the one PM slate.
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: We do have Broncos Texans. This is gonna be one
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: where I don't think I'm gonna change my opinion. I
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: like the Texans in this one, but they are off
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: from pick them to a two and a half.
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: Here, so unfortunately you lost some of the better numbers here.
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: Though if you do like the Texans, you'll probably still
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: be able to lay them in a number below three,
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: and of course three is still a more key number
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: than the other numbers there. Below three, you can play
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: money line Texans as well if you wanted to. Broncos
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: are very very public side seventy one percent of the tickets,
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: only sixty seven percent of the cash, because their offense
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: has actually looked good recently, like they've been putting up
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: a lot of points, so.
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: The public likes that.
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: The public doesn't like the Texans, even though the Texans,
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: as I showed you against San Francisco, even though they
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: didn't put a lot of points on the scoreboard twenty six.
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: The Texans offense actually was really really good in that game,
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: just from out of nowhere, because the Texans offense isn't
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: that good, but they did look good in that game
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: against San Francisco, and they were better than it.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: Looked on the scoreboards.
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: So this Texans offense, maybe they're actually coming around a
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: little bit. I think they might be getting some of
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: their injured players back here, like they got Christian Kirk
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: back at wide receivers, so there is that. So basically
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: Dell is the only guy who's still out and he
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: hasn't been back all season, so they're getting a little.
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: Bit healthier at the very least.
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: Uh Houston's offenses, I'm not gonna say that they're you know,
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: an offense is gonna light anybody up, but they're not
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: a terrible offense at this point on.
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: Their defense is quite good.
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: And yes they're coming up a win over the forty
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: nine Ers, which is a pretty good win, but it's
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: still an out of conference win. Forty nine Ers have
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: been kind of mediocre ish this year, and this is
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: gonna be a big game because it's another AFC team
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: coming to their place. Houston staying at home, so I
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: think the spot does line up a little bit better
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: for Houston here. Denver, they're six and two. I don't
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: think they're quite as good as that record looks. I mean,
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: if you look at their wins, most of their wins
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: are against unimpressive teams.
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: They beat Tennessee Cincinnati with Jake Browning Jets in that
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: really ugly game in England the Giants where they had
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: to come back. They were down nineteen to nothing, of course,
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: and then everybody saw Denver score thirty three points in
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: the fourth quarter to beat the Giants, and then Denver
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: last week put forty four up against Dallas. But this
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: Dallas defense is like historically bad, dude. So I don't
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: think Denver's offense is as good as they looked in
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: those last two games. I mean, that offensive explosion came
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: from out of nowhere against the Giants, and the Giants
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: defense was just terrible at the end of that game.
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: And they're not as great of a defense anyway. And Dallas,
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, like I said, their defense is so bad
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: that everybody lights up that defense. So I don't think
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: Denver's offense is anywhere near as good as they looked
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: those last two games, they.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: Put up seventy seven points.
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I see them putting up a lot fewer in
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: this one against an actual defense in Houston. Who's the
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: best defense Denver's faced all season? I mean probably the Chargers.
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: I mean maybe the Eagles and the Eagles. Devns is okay,
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: and they caught the Eagles in like a fairly good
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: spot to catch them, right. I said that I thought
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: Denver would cover that one. So I don't know, man,
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: I think Denver is not quite as good as they
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: look at that six and two record. They're just coming
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: off scoring way too many points, man, And they haven't
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: been on the road since.
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: Like a month ago. The last road game.
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: I know, they beat Philadelphia, but it was a bad
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: spot for Philadelphia. That was way back on October fifth,
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: and prior to that, Denver was zero to two on
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: the road, losing at Indiana at the Chargers.
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, those are two good teams. Both those teams
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: are probably better than Houston. But still I don't like
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: the spot here, man. Denver does have to turn around
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: and play the Raiders on Thursday.
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, is that gonna be a look ahead? I
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: don't know.
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: It is still a divisional Thursday game that they're gonna host,
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: So I wouldn't like totally right that off as potentially
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: being a look ahead.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I like Houston in this one.
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's almost it almost makes my card Houston.
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: I don't mind it at all, So I'm not gonna
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: change my opinion on that one.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: I like Houston in that one. All right.
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: To finish the one PM slate, we have Chargers Titans.
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: This opening number at Chargers plus eight was obviously wrong.
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: I think pregame fucked this up. I think it was
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: probably minus eight on the Chargers. Now they're minus nine
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: and a half almost ten. The look ahead here was
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: I'm assuming eight is what that number was, seven and
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: a half it says here. So with this number being
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: up to ten, I think you are looking at maybe
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: getting some value on getting some value on the Titans
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: side here. Do I really want to give out a
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: play in the Titans.
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: Not really.
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: By the way, the look ahead in the game that
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: I just talked about, Broncos were actually a minus one
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: and a half a favorite on the look ahead there,
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: so now very strangely, the Texans have now flipped to
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: the favorite there. So I mean again You're not really
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: getting a ton of line value necessarily with the Texans,
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: but it's still kind of in pick the winner territory
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: for that number there, so I would still lean to
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: the Texans there.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: Back to this game, Chargers Titans.
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: Chargers are extremely public of the tickets and ninety two
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash, although I don't buy that the
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: cash is really on the Chargers, and if there is
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: professional money really coming into the Chargers.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: Side, I think it's a setup.
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: Like I think probably maybe some betters are coming into
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: just trying to get that number up to ten because
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: it's so close to ten, just so they can come
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: back and take the ten on Tennessee. I mean, I
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: really don't want to do it, but if I was,
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: if you're forced me to give a lien on this one,
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: I would lean to taking the points with Tennessee taking
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: the ten or whatever.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: I mean.
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: Everybody saw the Chargers look great on Thursday night crushing Minnesota,
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: but Carson Wentz was playing injured in that game, so
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: there wasn't really much Minnesota could do and I gave
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: out the Chargers as a play.
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: As you guys might remember, it was an easy win
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: on the Chargers.
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: I thought it was a good spot for the Chargers
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: in that one a home game on Thursday night. Weird
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: spot from Minnesota. So the Chargers, they obviously got the
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: job done. Everybody thinks they look really good again in
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: that game, gotta go to Tennessee. I mean again, I
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: don't think it's that great of a spot. And by
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: the way, the Chargers they played three road games this
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: year and they have not Oh no, they cover the
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: spread once my mistake. They won by eleven against Vegas,
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: but their last two road games they lost on the
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: road to the Giants and they almost lost to Miami,
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: only beating them by two.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: So they have not been quite as good on the road.
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: I know it's Tennessee, and I know how miserable Tennessee
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: has been.
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: They're probably the worst team in football, but I think
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: they can hang within this number. Man, the Chargers are
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: not really a team that really blows a lot of
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: opponents out. With Jim Harbaugh, they tend to kind of
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: slow the pace down a bit still, even though he
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: is unleashing Herbert.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: A bit more this year than he was before.
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: But even so, they're not really that type of team
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: that does that does a lot of that that they
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: don't run like a fast paced offense, is what I
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: mean to say.
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: I'm brain farding here right now.
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: And after this they do have to play Pits, which
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: you could argue maybe they're gonna look ahead to that
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: and maybe just kind of overlook Tennessee generally, just because
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: Tennessee is so bad. Tennessee they lost again last week,
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: of course, by double digits to Indianapolis. I thought they
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: might be able to hang within that number. Tennessee is
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: really just they've been awful. They haven't been able to
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: cover against anybody. I don't think except for the Arizona game,
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: I think Tennessee has failed to cover every game besides Arizona.
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: I think maybe they actually covered by a half point
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: or something in Week one against Denver. So yeah, I
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: mean that means Tennessee is not covered at home at all.
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: But I mean at some point I think they're going
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: to so I do think there's line value here. I mean,
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers know how bad Tennessee is, and they have
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: to keep like moving the number up and up and
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: up against Tennessee. So I don't know, the Chargers team
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: that doesn't really light up the scoreboard, I would probably
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: take the points with Tennessee, but I don't want to
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: play it. Going to the four PMS slate, we have
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: Jaguars Raiders. Oh and by the way, I forgot to
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: mention teams coming off of buys as well. So last
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: week we had a bunch of teams on BID. I
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: don't think I've talked about any of them yet. The
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: teams coming out of the buys are Detroit, Vegas, Rams, Arizona, Seattle,
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: and Jacksonville. See, I don't think I've talked about any
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: of them. Yeah, but two of them are in this game.
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: I'm about to talk about Jacksonville and Vegas here, all right.
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: And a few of them are gonna be in games
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: that I'm gonna have plays in as well.
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: All right, Jacksonville and in Vegas at four or five
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern.
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: Oh, I forgot to mention the teams on by this
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: week or Cleveland, the Jets, the Eagles, and the Buccaneers,
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: just to throw that out there. Those teams are not
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: playing this week, so we have fourteen games this week.
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: Instead of thirteen like we had last week.
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: The Jags are down from a three point favorite to
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: a two point favorite here at Vegas. Their public with
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: seventy two percent of the tickets on them. The public
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: just wants nothing to do with the Raiders. I mean
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: it's not really that the public loves the Jags, but
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: they don't love the ra I just hate the Raiders.
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: Basically fifty three percent of the cash coming in on
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: the Raiders. I mean, at some point, I just don't
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: think the Raiders can continue to be this bad. I mean,
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: they have decent talent like Geno Smith, Ashon jent D.
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're not horrible personnel wise.
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: They have Pete Carroll as a coach who at least,
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's had success in the pass. Obviously, both
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: of these teams are coming off of byes. They both
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: actually went into the buy on embarrassing notes. Jacksonville's coming
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: all the way back from London, although of course they
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: have an extra week to do that, so I don't
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: think that's gonna be that much of a factor. Jacksonville
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: went into the buy in a two game loss streak,
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: including getting embarrassed in London as the de facto London team.
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: Jacksonville as well, The Jaguars got just totally embarrassed, even
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: though they're used to playing out there. Which I thought
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: meant that Jacksonville would show up in that game. They
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: lost thirty five to seven of the Raiders. So this
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: is a good time for Jacksonville to have this buye.
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: So teams when they go into the buy in a
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: bad note like that, they usually focus come out of
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: that and tend to play well.
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: They are going to Vegas.
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: So the last time they played in the Pacific Times
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: when they did actually win against the San Francisco forty
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: nine ers, So it's not all bad for Jacksonville. I
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: mean there's some positives here. The question is are they
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: gonna overlook the Raiders because Jacksonville does have a divisional
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: game up MEXICAN'ST Houston, So maybe they will look ahead
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: to that a little bit because that's gonna be more
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: of a divisional battle than maybe people thought that.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: Well, people thought Houston was gonna win the division. So
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know. The Raiders.
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, they also went into the buy in a
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: really bad note. I mean they got shut out by
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: the Chiefs. I know it's the Chiefs, but the Raiders
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: were just horrific in that game. Gino Smith had sixty
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: seven yards of offense. Did they take them out of
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: the game. I don't even know what the hell was
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: that they got shut out thirty one and nothing by
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: the Chiefs.
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they took him out. I guess they put Kenny
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: Pitten in for a little while. I don't know. Man,
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: this is just bad for the Raiders.
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: But that was so bad that again, I think just
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: like Jacksonville, I think they went into the on such
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: an embarrassing note that they're gonna use that buy to
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: fix some things.
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: So the Raiders are coming out of this they.
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: Gotta face Jacksonville, though they also have a potential look
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: ahead as well. The Raiders do because they have to
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: turn around and go to Denver on Thursday. So these
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: teams are both in very similar spots. So I don't
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: want to have anything to do with this game, man.
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, both teams are almost in You could argue
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: these teams are almost in exactly the same spot. So
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: then like everything almost kind of cancels out as far
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: as that's concerned. So then I guess you do have
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: to agree with the market in this one. I will
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: agree with taking the points of the Raiders in this game,
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: but man, I don't like it.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: The spot is just so crazy similar for those two teams.
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: Debatably a little bit worse for the Raiders, I guess
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: because their look ahead spot potentially is bigger because it's
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: Denver and it's on Thursday. But I think Jacksonville could
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: potentially overlook the Raiders here too.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: On New Orleans and RAMS.
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: Is gonna be one of my plays, please help me,
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna skip that one for now. But that
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: is the next one up on the board as well,
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: and not just on the ESPN schedule. Here then well,
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: get into the primetime games. In the big game of
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: the week, which is not a primetime game, Chiefs Bills. Interestingly,
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: this did not get flex to one of the primetime games.
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: This is gonna be an interesting game, obviously. Two of
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: the top teams in the AFC gonna go at it here,
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: and the oddsbeakers are telling you the Chiefs of the
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: better team because they're a one point favorite on the
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: road here, by the way, just because I feel like
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: I have to call it the look aheads and all
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: these games, the Jags are a minus three on the
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: look ahead, so their number hasn't really moved.
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: If you like the.
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: Raiders who want to try to get a three, if
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: you can, though I don't know if you're gonna be
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: able to Kansas.
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: City in Buffalo.
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: The look ahead in this game was the Chief's minus
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: one and a half, and that's still right where it is.
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: Public is somewhat on Buffalo at sixty six percent of
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: the tickets, but sixty.
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: Seven percent of the cash also coming in on the bills.
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: And it kind of surprises me that the public would
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: be on the bills to the extent that it looks
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: like they kind of are there even though it looks
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: like the money is also coming in on the bills
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: a little bit because Kansas City has been lighting it
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: up recently. Man, So why would the public be on
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: the bills right now? Because I know the Bills had
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: a good game last week, But do you think the
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: public is really gonna give the Bills credit for one
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: blowout win over Carolina after the Bills looked really bad
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: the prior couple weeks versus Kansas City, who has just
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: been really lighting it up and has won five of
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: six games, and they just look really good on Primetime
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: and Monday Night against Washington. Although I know it was
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: Washington without Jaydon Daniels, I thought Washington would play better
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: than they did. They did not, so I'm kind of
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: surprised to see the public on Buffalo, even as much
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: as they are.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: Kansas City and both teams are gonna show.
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: Up for this obviously, but Kansas City is on a
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: short week because they played on Monday. They looked good
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: on prime time, so usually you don't want to play
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: the team that looked good on primetime. And they do
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: have a bye, and they do have Denver coming up
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: next after the bye. I'm not gonna say that Kansas
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: City's gonna overlook Buffalo though I highly doubt that. But
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: I think this game matters more to Buffalo because of
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: course we remember what happened last year. It seems like
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: it happens every year. Buffalo had their season ended by
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: the Chiefs at Arrowhead, and the year before that, I
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: think it was at Buffalo when it happened the Bills.
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: I mean, they have playoff revenge, man, So you know,
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: the Bills have had this game circled all season because
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: the Chiefs are the team that ended their season. So
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: I think the Bills do actually have a little bit
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: more motivation here.
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: They haven't looked in that good.
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: They went into the bye on that bad note because
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: they lost to New England, which was a game they
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: could have won if a couple of plays went differently,
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: and then they lost at Atlanta, And when I thought
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: was a bad spot on Monday night, they came out
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: of the bye and they looked like they fixed some
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: things in that buy because they just destroyed.
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: Carolina coming out of that bye.
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: So I think Buffalo, that's actually good for them to
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: just get some momentum. They're not gonna be overconfident after
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: beating a team like Carolina.
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: And again, you know, Buffalo has.
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: This game circled absolutely, so I think this is a
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: spot where Buffalo is the right side.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: So I slightly lean to Buffalo in this one.
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm gonna change my opinion on
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: that one, and all I'm gonna it'll be interesting to
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: see how the market shapes up in that one. And
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: of course, this is a game with one of the
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: highest totals of the week at fifty two and a half,
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: up from fifty one and a half.
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: Fifty one is the key numbers.
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: If you like the over here, you're missing out in
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: that key number there, although it was already fifty one
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: and a half so I guess you couldn't really get
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: over the key number of fifty one eighty seven percent
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: of the tickets eighty six percent of the cash on
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: the over though, So the money looks like it's slightly
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: disagreeing with the over there. I mean, I could see
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: it being kind of a playoff atmosphere and maybe winding
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: up being a lower scoring game. Chiefs do have a
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: good defense. I don't really want to deal with it though,
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: the Chiefs. The other thing the Chiefs do have going
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: for them is though that the Chiefs do have the
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: better defense in this matchup, So there is that going
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: for the Chiefs here. Not a whole lot else to
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: say about that, though, I think the playoff revenge motivation
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: is pretty big in that one though. Have I met
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: the public, yes, I mean yeah, yeah, the public are
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: like the talking heads that you see on TV. I
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: mean I haven't met those people, but like if you
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: talk to people, just if you go out and about
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: and you talk to people, you can get a good
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: gauge on what the public thinks. I think I have
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: a very good gauge on what the public thinks. So yeah,
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: this one's still surprised me because, like dude, the Chiefs.
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, they've made the Super Bowl three years in
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: a row, and their offense actually looks way better this
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: year than it has looked in those past couple of seasons.
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: So I still don't yeah, I mean, if you look
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: at what we just saw, I still don't see why.
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: The public would be would be on Buffalo here.
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: By the way, one other thing I will point out
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: is Buffalo has had a way.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: Easier schedule than Kansas City.
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, since Buffalo beat Baltimore in that game that
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: they probably should have lost Baltimore. That was when Baltimore
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: was its full strength, though, and Baltimore at full strength
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: is one of the best teams in the NFL. Buffalo
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: probably should have lost that game. They were down fifteen
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: late in the game. Since then, they beat the Jets
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: in Miami, the Saints, and Carolina, so they've beaten some
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: very bad teams since thense That is one other thing
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: that maybe you could knock Buffalo for. I mean, they
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: could have beaten New England and then they did lose
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: to land in a bad spot. So I'm not about
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: to say the Buffalo's bad or anything like that. The Chiefs,
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: I mean, they do have some stronger wins. Obviously, they
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: did beat Baltimore, although Lamar Jackson went down in that game,
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: and then, of course most notably, they beat Detroit, so
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: that was a very good win. Washington is an okay win.
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: So yeah, all that you know to take into account,
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: I guess. And then I just had one of the
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: thought come to mind that I that I had completely
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: forgotten about it. Now, I just completely forgot what I
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: was gonna say.
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: What that was?
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: I just about to say, shit, man, man, I was
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: just about to say something else, and I completely forgot
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: it was.
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: It was one of the things.
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: It was.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: I thought of one other thing that.
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: Was actually in favor of the bills, and I can't
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: remember what it was now.
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: Shit. Now that's gonna bug me because it was something
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: I wanted to get out there.
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: That was like, oh, yes, Kansas City is not good
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: on the road, That's what I was gonna say.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: They're one and two on.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: The road and Buffalo's three and one at home. So
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: just another little thing to keep in mind. Buffalo does
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: have some home field advantage there.
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, obviously the public, Yeah, the public is dumb. Yeah,
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: so that's why I want That's why I one of
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: the reasons why I want to fade them generally. Yeah,
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: I thought you meant that you thought that the public
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: would actually be on Buffalo in this one, which, yeah,
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: I mean they it seems like they kind of are.
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean I thought you just meant that
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: you were surprised that I was surprised by that.
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: All Right.
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: The Sunday night game is Seahawks and Redskins, which seems
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: like one of those old playoff games with RG three
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: out there or something for the Redskins or something. The
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: Seahawks are from a two and a half point favorite
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: or a three point favorite. Man of the Redskins fallen
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: since last year. Yeah, I mean I said that they would.
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: I mean in my NFL team totals, a preview or whatever.
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: This this is the one that I was looking that
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: I'm looking the most correct about. I said, Washington under
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: nine and a half wins on the season, and right
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: now they're three and five or something, so I thought
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: they would definitely take a bit of a step back. Daniels,
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: you know, sophomore slump because the league is figuring him
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: out and whatever.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: Speaking of which, Jade Daniels is.
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: Coming back in this game, So I'm going to talk
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: about that as part of this handicap. Seahawks are public
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: sixty five percent of the tickets, only sixty two percent
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: of the cash, so the public is willing to come
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: out and lay the points of the Seahawks here. So
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: the public is off the Washington train at this point.
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: But Jane Daniels hasn't played in a couple of weeks,
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: I think, so Washington. I think he got actually he
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: got hurt in the in the Dallas game, I think,
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: so he missed about half of that game, and they
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: didn't play on Monday night, Mariota played and their offense
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: was really bad against Kansas City, so people saw that.
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: So I think that's also part of the reason why
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: everybody's off of Washington here. I mean, it's the fact
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: that they've lost three games in a row as well,
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: but we just saw them in primetime only put up
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: seven points. So that's the type of team the public
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: is gonna be off of. And even though it's a
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: short week, I actually think that the team that does
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: really bad on Monday night like that and looks really
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: bad in front of a lot of public eyes, you
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: tend to actually find value with that team, and they
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: are a home underdog here, so I think there may
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: be some value in the line looking towards Washington here
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: off that embarrassing loss. Yes, Jayden Daniels is coming back,
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: So normally I would say, yeah, reverse injured player spot here,
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: just like I was saying with with Michael Pennox. But
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: the thing is, just like with Atlanta, Washington's coming off
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: a bad game. So I don't think it's a reverse
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: injured player spot where like the team was good enough,
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: like without the starter that they're gonna like take their
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: foot off the gas or whatever when their starter comes back. No,
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: and like it's gonna be an upgrade from Mariota to
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: Jaydon Daniels. I don't think it's it's as much of
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: an upgrade as the OS makers were saying that it
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: was in that Kansas City game where they shifted the
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: line by about six points. I don't think there's that
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: much of a difference there, but there's some difference. I
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: think Washington's probably about three points better or somewhere around
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: there with Jayden Daniels back, so he will be back,
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: and I think it's a spot where the reverse injured
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: player theory is not gonna be the thing that you
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: want to look at here, because again, they haven't won
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: for weeks now, so I don't think they're gonna overlook
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: Seattle here. And Seattle's been good, although the one thing
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: to take into account of Seattle is actually good on
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: the road so far. Although the road wins are against Pittsburgh,
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: Arizona and Jacksonville. So I mean, how good are those
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: three teams?
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, I guess you could argue a couple of
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: those teams are kind of right in line with Washington
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: in mediocrity. Seattle went into a bye last week, so
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: they do have rest here, but they went into the
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: buying a good note. They went into the buy on
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: two straight wins. The win over Jacksonville. They caught Jacksonville
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: in a bad spot. Remember though Jacksonville was coming up
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: that big win over Kansas City, So something to take
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: into account there that they did catch Jacksonville at a
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: good time to catch and then Seattle.
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: People saw Seattle win I.
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: Think on a Monday night game they beat Houston, So
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: the last time the public saw them, they saw them
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: beating Houston on a Monday night.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: Pretty good win for Seattle.
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: There, but they went to the buying a good note,
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: winning their last two games, winning five of six. So
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: I think the bye came at a bad time for
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: Seattle because when you're rolling like that, you don't want
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: to have your buy man. You want to keep you
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: want to keep rolling, you want to keep your momentum going.
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: So I think it is a bad spot coming out
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: of that buy. It's a Sunday night game that Seattle's well,
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: Seattle's not hosting it, excuse me, Washington is Sunday night game.
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: Though I don't think they're really going to overlook it
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: as far as like looking ahead to Arizona here because
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: Arizona will be their next opponent, which is a divisional game.
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: At the very least, they did already beat Arizona once.
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: Seattle did actually play well going to the Eastern time
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: zone the last other couple of games where Pittsburgh I
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: believe was one of those, and then Jacksonville, so they
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: actually did win both of those games. And yeah, as
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: I already pointed out, there three and zero on the road,
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: but those teams were all kind of mediocre.
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: But still they've been a good road team road Warriors.
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: So I don't want to do anything with this game,
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna slightly lean to taking the points with Washington
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: and fading the public here. Given all those different factors
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: that are coming into play here, I think the buye
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: coming in a bad time for Seattle plus Washington looking
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: bad on Monday night, I think it's those are kind
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: of the two factors that are kind of deciding it
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: for me.
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: That and the fact that the.
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: The fact that the money looks like it is coming
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: in on the more of the money's coming in on
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: the Washington side as well. So yeah, like fading the
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: public slightly in that one. So sorry, I'm brain farting
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: so much.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: It's late.
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: I've gotten no sleep, you know, I was up late
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: for my college football show that turned.
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: Out not to be good.
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: But we only have one more game here before I
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: then talk about my plays, So it'll be about an
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: hour on this video.
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: That's fairly efficient.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: It's efficient for me at least, And the look ahead
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: in that game was kind of right near where the
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: number is at Seahawks minus two and a half. Of course,
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: if you want Washington, you should be able to find
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: a plus three. And if you don't see it now,
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: I assume it'll show up at some point before the
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: game kicks off Monday night, which I'll talk I always
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: talk about it again on Monday morning, the Monday night game.
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: But Arizona at Dallas, this is kind of a weird one.
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: The look ahead on this one was the Cowboys minus three,
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: and I believe that's basically still where the number is. Yeah,
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: they're sitting around three with juice, kind of a little
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: bit down from three and a half.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: Seventy four percent of tickets eighty.
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: Five percent of the cash coming in on the Cowboys
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: as the sands right now, so the money kind of
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: coming in on the Cowboys. Not sure that I agree
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: with the with it, though, I've heard some professional opinions
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: on Arizona in this game.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: You've been up since seven.
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: I got up at eight thirty or so because I
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: had to get ready for the morning show. I should
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: get paid for it, man, paid more than I do
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: through the monetization on audio, which doesn't do me anything really.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: Although if I get those numbers up, it will actually
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: do me something.
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: Arizona's coming out of a bye so there are another
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: one of those teams coming out of a bye here,
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: and they went into the buy in a really bad note.
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's pretty.
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: Much impossible to go to go to the buy in
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: a worse enough than they did losing five games in
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: a row, even though they played pretty well in their
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: last couple of games, covering against Indianapolis and Green Bay.
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: So they actually played fairly well with Jacoby Brissett as quarterback.
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: And by the way, I think he's actually gonna play
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: in this game. Kyler Murray is questionable. But to me,
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: when I saw on ESPN, I saw that that Prissette,
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: I think I saw that they decided that Brissette is
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: playing again.
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: So that's somebody keep in mind.
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: Like I actually prefer it if Brissette is playing here,
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: because he's actually been better than Kyler Murray. I mean,
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: he put up better passing totals in his two games,
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: and again they covered against like teams that.
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: Are good this year in the Colts and Green Bay.
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: So I think I think the card are better with
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: Brissette out there.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: And he's a I mean, he's at least a veteran.
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: His thing is that he doesn't.
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: Turn the ball over a whole lot. Kyler Murray, I
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: mean I don't know, man, I mean, he might be done.
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: So if Kyler Murray comes back, I don't like Arizona
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: anywhere nearly as much as I would with Brissette continuing
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: to play. I think that they had to buy it
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: on a at a good time though, when they were
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: losing all their games. I think they're gonna use that
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: by to fix some things. Maybe Brissett, if he's gonna
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: still be out there, we'll learn more about the offense
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: because he's only played two games with them so far.
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: But again, he was good in those games, so I
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: don't think there's any real concern with him being out there.
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: If Murray comes back, though, it's gonna be the reverse
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: in your player spot, right, So like there's gonna be
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: a there's gonna be a potential chemistry issue with the team,
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: like Murray has to get back up to speed and whatever.
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: So I really don't like that at all. And uh yeah, I.
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: Don't know what else to say. They do have a
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: look ahead to playing Seattle potentially. I guess you could
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: argue that's a look ahead, But are they gonna overlook
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: Dallas on a Monday night game?
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: Probably not, even though Dallas is a little bit down.
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: You're not gonna overlook anybody when you've lost five games
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: in a row anyway. So even though yes, it's a
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: revenge game against Seattle coming up after this, and a
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: revenge game against San Francisco.
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: After that, I don't think they're gonna overlook Dallas.
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: Dallas is coming up an embarrassing loss of course in Denver,
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: just embarrassing because they give up forty four points, losing
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: by a lot. But I think the spot's a little
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: bit better for Arizona because they're coming out of the
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: by man Dallas. They've done a lot of traveling recently.
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: They had to go to the Jets Carolinas. They played
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: back to back road games on the East Coast, and
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: this is with no buys in between any of these.
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: They came back to Dallas beat Washington in a big
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: divisional win. Jaydon Daniels went down in that game. Then
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: they had to go to Denver into elevation. Now they're
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: coming back home again. Yes, it is a home game. Yes,
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: you could argue it's a bounce back spot because it
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: was an embarrassing loss in Denver. So I do think
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: both teams are gonna be focused. But Arizona, again, I
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: think because of the bye. I think it's a little
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: bit of a better spot for them.
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: You're gonna be.
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: Fading the public at least if you take the Cardinals here.
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: We'll see how the market really shapes up on this.
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: And the Cardinals are actually the better defense, because I
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: think the Cowboys may actually be the absolute worst defense
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: in football. So with the Cardinals, even though I don't
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: think their defense is spectacularly, you're actually getting the better
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: defense getting points. And this is the highest total of
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: the week, by the way, fifty three and a half
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: in this game. The tickets and ninety four percent of
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: the caps on the over, the money coming in on
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: the over. I mean, usually the over is a very
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: public side in these Monday night games.
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: You tend to have to.
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: Like pay like for a little bit of a worse
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: number there because I mean, obviously the osbakers know everybody
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: comes in on the over, so they have to skew
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: the number a little bit higher, so usually not getting
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: value on it. But I don't think I would want
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: an under in any game that the Cowboys play ever,
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: so yeah, I mean I would probably lean to an
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: over in that game as well, even though an under
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: actually probably was slightly correlated to the Cardinals because you
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: need them to play like slightly decent defense to get
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: that dum. If I post my winning tickets when it
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: drive views up. Maybe sometimes I post them on on Twitter,
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: although right now I'm not actually betting these games anymore,
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: which I have to get I have to just do
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: it again. I have to get back to doing it
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: like I haven't been doing it since I got fired.
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: I've been giving out all my plays as if I
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: were betting them, but I've only actually bet like a
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: small handful of them since then because like most of
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: my money is not liquid still, because if it's all
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: in like fucking CDs and shit. Uh so, very very
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: bad situation for me right now. Maybe I should do
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: it and start doing it professionally. With the way that
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: I've been running until the last couple of days, running
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: really hot.
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: Let's go to the best bets.
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: I know I keep forgetting to put the breakdown graphic
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: up there, but there it is.
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: Let's go the best bets. These are.
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: I told you they're gonna be ugly, and you probably
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: know what they are already. But I actually like the
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: situation in all of these. I like the fade of
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: the teams that we're fading here, and I think we're
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: actually getting sandwich spots in all of these. The first
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: one up is indeed gonna be the one that you
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: already know about. That's the first one up on the board.
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: So that works out well. Carolina Panthers plus thirteen. I
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: don't think you're gonna be able to get fourteen on this,
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: but we're gonna fade the Packers here. The Packers are
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: certainly gonna be a public side eighty six percent of
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: the tickets, they have ninety two percent of the cash
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: right now, but I think the actual cash is going
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: to come in on the Panthers here. I did not
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: see a fourteen, but this is up from an opener
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: of ten and a half or ten and a half was.
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: The look ahead.
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: So basically just based on what we saw last week,
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: we saw the Panthers get annihilated and the Packers had
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: that really big win in primetime that skewed the line
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: three more points basically, So I think the ospeakers are
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: just adjusted that line way too far based on one
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: week's results. So you're getting extra value here. Will it
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: hit the fourteen?
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, I haven't seen it all week. I said
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: that it might hit the fourteen. Obviously that's a key number,
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: it's the two touchdowns. But I'll do this anyway at thirteen,
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: thirteen and.
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: A half whatever.
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: It's a low total in this one, up from forty
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: three and a half to forty four, but the money
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: coming in on the under, so at least you're taking
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: points with a low total as well, which is a
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: good sign as well when you're getting double digit points
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: and it's expected to be somewhat of a low scoring
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: game because the Packers actually played decent defense.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: But this is definitely gonna be a fan of the Packers.
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: Man, this Packers spot, I think it's a major sandwich spot.
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: I mean again, we just saw them on Sunday night
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: beating the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Aaron Rodgers ball. That
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: was a big game for both teams, man. I think
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: for personally for Jordan Love because he got to finally
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: face off against his mentor I guess or the guy
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: that his predecessor and Aaron Rodgers. So everybody was talking
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: about how it was a big game for Aaron Rodgers
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: facing Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers actually had a chance
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: to get a win against all thirty two teams in
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: the NFL, and now he might never get that because
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers during his career has beaten every team except
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: Green Bay. Just because that was the first time he
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: ever faced Green Bay. He didn't get it done. But
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: that was another reason to like green Bay in that game,
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: by the way, because everybody was just talking about Aaron Rodgers,
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers. This is gonna be Aaron Rodgers against Green Bay.
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: Nobody was talking about how it was gonna be Jordan
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: Love against Aaron Rodgers. So I think Jordan Love maybe
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: played with a bit of a chip on his shoulder.
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: He had a really good game in that game. I
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: think it was his best game of the season. Yeah,
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: three hundred and sixty yards really took off in the
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: fourth quarter. They were great at the end of that game.
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: Everybody saw that Jordan Love beat Aaron Rodgers in the game.
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: So I think it's gonna be a letdown for him
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: and for the Packers coming off that game. They get
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: to play lowly Carolina And then who do the Packers
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: play after this?
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: Oh?
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night. And the Philadelphia
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: Eagles are the team that eliminated the Packers from the
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: playoffs last year, so this is a playoff revenge game
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: coming up for green Bay against Philadelphia. You know that've
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: had this game circled all season because Philadelphia was the team.
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: That knocked them out last year.
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: And that's a Monday night game, So green Bay has
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: this Carolina game sandwiched in between two primetime games, So
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: it's a primetime sandwich. Man, it's a prime rib sandwich here,
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: which sounds like a pretty delicious sandwich to me.
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: Man' this is a terrible spot.
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: And by the way, green Bay when they've been a
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: big favorite like this, the two games prior to the
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: game against Pittsburgh they didn't cover. Against Cincinnati or Arizona,
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: they failed to cover both of those, even though they
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: won both. Actually, when green Bay has been a big favorite,
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: when they've been a favorite of six and a half
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: or more, they've failed to cover all four of them.
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: That was the case with Cleveland, Dallas, Cincinnati, and Arizona.
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: So the prior four games to the Pittsburgh one, green
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: Bay was favored by six and a half or more
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: and all four and they failed to cover every single
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: one of those. So green Bay has not covered one
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: of these big numbers all season. Yes, I know three
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: of those games are on the road. Cleveland was one
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: that I gave out back in the day. That was
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: one of my wins that week. That was a good
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: week for me that week, and it was a bad
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: spot for green Bay in that one. But still green
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: Bay they have not been this like covering machine that's
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: just lighting.
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: These teams up.
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: So I think one of their highest point totals was
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: last week, right, maybe that was their highest point total
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: besides the tie against Dallas. But everybody scores a shit
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: ton against Dallas. Yeah, besides the game against Dallas. Green
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: Bay had not scored thirty against any other team this
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: entire season. So green Bay doesn't score a ton of
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: points usually. And for Carolina, we know they just got
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: absolutely embarrassed by Buffalo nine last week. Carolina is actually
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: still a four and four team. I know they haven't
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: been good on the road where I think they're only
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: one to three, but still, you get embarrassed forty to nine,
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: you know you're gonna be focused on your next opponent, man.
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: And it was a little bit worse than it looked.
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: Even though yeah, Buffalo did outgain them. They did pretty
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: much dominate them in the game, but Carolina also had
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: three turnovers in the game, which made it worse. They
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: were minus three in turnovers, so Carolina is not quite
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: as bad as maybe that makes them look. You don't
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: have to worry about the quarterback situation though, because Andy
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: Dalton was not good when he played, which I think
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: was last week? Right, was that Dalton last week?
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: It was? So, I mean, is the Dalton experiment over?
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: I actually hope that it is. I think that it is.
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: It looks like Bryce Young is probably gonna play.
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: Dalton's also questionable, so I think Bryce Young is better
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: than Dalton at this point. I don't think it's gonna
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: be a reverse injured player spot again, Just like I said,
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: with the other quarterbacks returning, interestingly enough, I'm actually gonna
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: I actually like all of the teams with with the
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: quarterbacks returning this week, I don't think that ever happens,
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: but I like them all, and two of them are
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: gonna be plays for me, including this one. Again, when
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: you get embarrassed like that in your last game, even
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: though you're ever starting quarterback coming back, you're not gonna
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: like take it easy, you know what I mean? Like
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: that last game was embarrassing and you get to face
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: the Green Bay. So Carolina plus the points. It's an
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: ugly sandwich. Yeah, I mean the team that we're on
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: is ugly, but it sounds like a delicious sandwich to me.
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: Hot sauce. Do you put hot sauce on a prime
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: rib sandwich? I don't know. I think usually the Prime
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: Rib usually puts some like juice on it. Right.
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: I hate how people call the the French dip the
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: I hate how people call the sauce or the.
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: Juice the oju.
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: By the way, because I took French, so I am
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: a French guy.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: You know.
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: I have a grandfather who's from Montreal and whatever. I know,
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: so I know part I'm partially French Canadian.
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: Oh god.
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: But means like of the juice basically, So I'm like,
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: why don't you just call it ju ju is juice?
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: Like? Oh, ju is a prepositional phrase. It always pisses
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: me off. You is the noun, like that's just you
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: that you're dipping it in.
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: Uh, We're gonna get this new because it's it sounds
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: like I'm saying you when not you?
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: Oh god? All right?
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: But yeah, second playoff. Let's get this done in the now.
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: We're not gonna get it done in hour, but a
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: little bit over an hour. The next game up is
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: also a game where a team has their quarterback returning.
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: Doesn't get much uglier than this.
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: Baby Minnesota Vikings plus nine. Yeah, I mean, you're gonna
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: hate me for these Uh, they're playing the Lions. The
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: Lions run for a seven half pay favorite to a
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: nine a half point favorite. Here, the look ahead on
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: this was that seven and a half. So you're getting
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: a little bit of extra value on the number, at
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: least because basically the number is moved based on of
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: these teams did last week.
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: And I guess because.
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: JJ McCarthy has come back for the Vikings. But at
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: this point, do you really think JJ McCarthy, even though
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: he is, he has looked bad. And I was saying
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: that he was probably worse than Wentz, but at this point,
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: Wentz the way that he looked last week, he was
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: so injured.
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: Do you really think that McCarthy is a.
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: Downgrade from a Wentz that can't even move like what
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: we saw last week against the Chargers. I don't think so,
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: JJ McCarthy, at least I think is healthy. This game
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: does not have that high of a total, by the way,
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: at forty eight. I mean, it's slightly high for an
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: NFL game, but it's not ridiculously how You're getting a
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: lot of points here, so that's good. The lines are
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: a hugely public side ninety two percent of the tickets only,
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, and ninety six percent of the cash for now,
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: but I don't think it's gonna wind up being that
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: way man. I will also say that maybe part of
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: the reason why the line moved to nine and a
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: half is because it's a teaser killer. So I think
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: the books know that a lot of these people are
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: coming in on Stanford long teasers, which are the only
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: teasers that actually are advantageous as long as you get
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: them at minus one twenty five or cheaper I believe
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: at seven and a half or at anywhere between seven
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: and a half and eight and a half. It's a
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: long teaser is you can take the lines down from
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: above the seven down to below the threes, you get
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: through both those key numbers. So I think another part
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: of the reason why the line did move to nine
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: and a half is to kill teasers, which I also
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: think is part of the reason why the Chargers are
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: up to nine and a half because those are gonna
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: be popular teaser choices, So that's also part of the
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: reason why the numbers move there. But if you're just
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: looking at the side, you're getting a little bit extra
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: value at the very least, and we'll see I kind
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: of expect that the cash percentage is gonna shift in
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: these two games that I've talked about here.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: But let's look at why we're doing this year.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: Besides the fact that McCarthy is coming back, which I
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: think is gonna be an upgrade, and we thought it
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: might actually be.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: They have some.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: Rookie quarterback Max Brosmer. We thought it actually be him.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: Carson Wentz has gone on the IR. Brosmer I think
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: finished the game against the Chargers, but we don't really know.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: I don't think it really matters. We don't really know
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: what Brosmer is. He played at Minnesota. I think he
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: is a rookie this year. He's played in a few
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: games this year actually when the games got out of hand,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: and he hasn't been great. I don't know what we
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: would expect out of him. But I don't think we
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: have to worry about that. Because it will be JJ
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: McCarthy here again. I think that's at least an upgrade
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: over as severely injured Wentz. And the other good thing
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: about this is they get a little bit of extra
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: time off because they played on Thursday, So JJ McCarthy
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: can use a little bit of that extra time to
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: get back into the swing of things here. And they
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: got embarrassed in primetime, man, so.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: That was the other thing.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: Everybody kind of saw that game on Thursday night. Minnesota
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: just looks so bad in that game, getting annihilated by
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: the Chargers in Minnesota. Yeah, they've lost their last two games,
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: although it was to Philadelphia on the Chargers, those.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: Are also pretty solid teams, so something to keep in mind.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, maybe Minnesota's not quite as bad as their
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: below five hundred record looks right now.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: And you know they're gonna be focused on Detroit because
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: this is basically.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: A revenge game because you remember the division, the NFC
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: North Division last year came down to the final game
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: of the season and whoever won that game was gonna
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: win the division and Sam Darnold completely shit the bed
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: in that game. Detroit I believe won like thirty one
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: to nine or something like that against Minnesota, and that
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: was at Detroit.
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: So this is the return to.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: The scene of the crime. This is gonna be a
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: revenge spot for Minnesota. Man in Minnesota, I believe lost
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: both games to Detroit last year. I think Detroit beat
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: them by like two or something in Minnesota last year
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: or too, But that was such an embarrassing and somewhat
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: monumental loss at the end of the season there to Detroit.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: Although I was saying that Minnesota was overrated that whole time,
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: and I did not expect Minnesota to do anything in
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: the playoffs, even if they did not wind up being
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: a wild card. I still don't think they would have
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: done anything in the playoffs. I faded them immediately in
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: the playoffs and Donald I almost said Sam Bradford. I'll
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: give Darnald a little bit more credit than Sam Bradford,
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: but Donald, he choked under the pressure in both those games.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: But he's not there anymore. I still think this is
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: gonna be a big revenge spot for Minnesota. I think
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have this game circled. I think the game
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: means more to them than it does to Detroit. Detroit
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: has beaten Minnesota. I think a bunch of times in
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: a row two.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: But of course we.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: Don't even need Minnesota to win the game here. Obviously,
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: we need them to just keep it close. Yes, Detroit
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: is good for sure, but I think Detroit's in a
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: bit of a bad spot here man, because they're coming
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: out of a bye And yes, you could argue, well,
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have an extra extra time to prepare for this. Yeah, okay,
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: but they went into the buy in a pretty good note.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: They beat Tampa Bay on Monday night going into the
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: buy and everybody saw that game. Detroit shut Tampa out,
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: man like. Going into that game, Baker Mayfield, like I said,
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: was he had the third best MVP odds. Tampa Bay
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: was like the hype man. So everybody's gonna put I
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: think a lot of weighted to that win. Detroit beat
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: The public likes Tampa Bay because they keep winning, although
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: I don't think Tampa Bay is that good because they
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: keep winning one score games that they that they could
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: easily lose, but it was still a win that you know,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: Detroit's gonna put weight in that win. I'll They've won whatever.
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: This is five of their last six games as well.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: Not the best spot that you go into the by on,
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't say. And yes, even though I know this
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: is a divisional game, I think they might overlook Minnesota here, man,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: just because Detroit has had Minnesota's number for a while.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: Now they're coming out of the by I might stop their.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: Momentum a little bit.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: Oh and by the way, this is what sealed it
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: for me. Who does Detroit play next week?
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: Oh? Yeah, they play Washington.
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: Washington being the team that knocked Detroit out of the
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: playoffs last year in that pretty embarrassing upset where Detroit
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: was I think the one seed in the NFC if
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: I'm not mistaken, because they got that one seed by
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: beating Minnesota, and Detroit.
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: Were whatever they were.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: I think they were, like they were a pretty big
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: favorite at home against Washington. You guys, remember Detroit made
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: a bunch of mistakes in that game, and Washington knocked
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: them out of the playoffs. So you gotta think Detroit
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: has that game circled, man. That is a big game,
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: big revenge game. It's one of the only types of
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: revenge that matters. Playoff revenge. Absolutely, Detroit's gonna remember that.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: So I don't like how the spot sets up here.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: Minnesota plus the points.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: Pray, pray that JJ McCarthy can can help us keep
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: this game close. Man, jew yes oruss. Everybody abbreviates just
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: tous all right. And finally this might be the ugliest
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: one of them all. We're gonna also go with the
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: New Orleans Saints plus fourteen. You can get them at
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: a two touchdown underdog. Man on New Orleans. The last
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: they were this big of an underdog. I think they
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 2: covered against Buffalo in Buffalo. So this New Orleans team,
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: they're at least putting up some fight. I mean they're
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: showing some fight. I know I keep saying that, and
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 2: they mostly keep failing to cover.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: But still this is against the La Rams.
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: I think you can easily get fourteen on this look
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: ahead was twelve, so you're getting a little bit extra
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: value onto a key number of fourteen too. So the
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: two touchdowns, it's a key number there, so you get
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: a little bit extra value here. And I think it's
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: all basically just based on last week. The Rams are
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: also exceedingly public, so we're fading. We're fading some extreme
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: public sides here, which you know, I like to do
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of the tickets on the rams ninety
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash. For now, I don't think
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: it'll it'll continue to work out that way.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: And a low total here too. The total is ever
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: forty five and after forty four.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: So taking a ton of points like this in a
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: game with a low total, you know, I.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: Like that idea.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: Seventy one percent of the tickets are on the over,
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: but sixty two percent of the cash on the under,
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: so the money's kind of coming on the under, expecting
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: this to be an under type of game. So I
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: like that as far as our chances to get this
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: cover here. As far as New Orleans is concerned, again,
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: they have played competitively in some of these games. I
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: mean they lost by one score to Arizona, San Francisco,
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: New England, and then yeah, they lost by double digits
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: to Chicago, Tampa Bay, and Seattle. The Seattle game was
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: a little bit misleading though, I mean the stats were
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: a lot closer than that game was. And then they
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: covered against Buffalo. That was the game where they were
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: a double digit road underdog. They lost by twelve and
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: they covered. So that was the only time there were
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: an underdog of this magnitude.
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: Yes, they're on a three game.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: Losing streak, but I think after that last game, I
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: think we're gonna see something from New Orleans here, man,
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: because that last game they.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: Were not good. They only scored three points against Tampa Bay. Man.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: When that happens, I think you're gonna see a focused team.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: It's almost like getting shut out when you only score
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: three points.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see New Orleans.
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: Show up with a little bit more to prove here
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: and they are shaking something up here.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: They're going to Tyler Shaw, their draft pick from I
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: think last year.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: He's gonna be the guy now. So they're going away
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: from Smetzer Ratler.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: I mean Ratler has been okay ish, I guess and
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: not making mistakes and whatever.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: But they drafted Shaw for a reason, man.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: They think that he's a guy that can actually kind
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: of do something offensively and isn't just a game manager.
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: Shaw did play a little bit last week. The game
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: was already out of hand. He was mediocre when he
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: came in, but he at least got a decent amount
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: of reps. He played for like half of the quarterback
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: reps last week, so he's not coming into this game
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: completely cold, And I think that actually isn't that bad
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: for New Orleans because I don't think it's that much.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: Of a downgrade from Ratler, and.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: The opposing defense isn't gonna have a whole lot of
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: game film, Like the only game film you're gonna have
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: on Shaw is whatever.
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: He did last week.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: So it's gonna be hard to game plan for that
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: man at the very least of your if you're the Rams,
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: you just won't know what New Orleans offense is really
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: gonna do against you. So I like this man. Yeah,
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: Kamars questionable, but whatever, I guess.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, running backs.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: Are kind of plug and play at this point. Although
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: he is one of the better running backs still, he's
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: just on a really bad team.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean I like how it shapes up
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: for New Orleans. I think they're gonna.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: Continue to show up and try to get wins, even
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: though yeah, they did get one win already. But I
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: think they'll show up for a game against a good
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: team like the Rams, and the Rams. More importantly, I
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: think the Rams might not show up. The Rams are
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 2: coming out of a bye. Like I said, they went
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: to England and everybody saw that isolated game, they beat Jacksonville,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: and the week before that they beat Baltimore on the road,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: and though of course that was Baltimore without Lamar Jackson,
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: so not as great of a win as it looks,
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: especially because the Rams only put up seventeen points in
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: that game against the Baltimore defense that had been struggling.
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: So what are we gonna get? What are we gonna
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: get out of the Rams here? Man? I don't know.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: I mean, they've played a DC difficult schedules so far,
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: but they went into the by winning two games in
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: a row.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: So I don't think the bye came in a positive spot.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: I think the bye came at a spot where it's
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: gonna halt their momentum. And it looked like their offensive
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: momentum was slowing down a little bit because Stafford actually
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: did not put up many yards in those last two games,
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: even though they did win the last two games. I mean,
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: I guess you could argue because they were running the
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: football a lot, because they had big leads, but Stafford
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: took a little bit of a step back in those
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: last couple of games. I think the buye is gonna
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: stop their momentum a little bit. And after they faced
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: New Orleans, who do they play next?
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: Oh? Yeah, they got to play Sanford Cisco, who, by
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: the way.
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: Was one of the only two teams that beat the
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: Rams in the rams own house. San Francisco beat them
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: on that Thursday night a few weeks ago, So you
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: gotta believe the Rams have that game circled. I think
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: they might look right past New Orleans and be focused
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: on this forty nine ers revenge game that they're gonna
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: have there against the forty nine ers, and then they
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: also have Seattle up after that, so another divisional game
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: after that, and then Tampa, who's been playing well. So
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: to me, this looks like a sandwich spot. So I
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: think we have three sandwich spots here. We're going with
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: all three. That's what we're gonna do, and that's gonna
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: do it. I don't want to say hopefully you guys
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: like these plays, because I don't expect.
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: You to like them.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: But this is where my handicapping leads, man, my situational stuff.
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: We have three big underdogs here.
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: Let's let's get let's get some wins on these man
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: once again, ugly ugly, ugly stuff. Carolina Panthers plus the thirteen.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: I don't think you're gonna be able to get fourteen
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: on it, but I mean you can wait around and
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: just see what happens with the number for a little while.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: But I don't think it's gonna happen Minnesota plus nine.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: Doubt that that thing gets to ten. I mean, ten
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: is a key number. The only reason it's on the
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: nine to nine and a half is to kill the teasers,
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: I think.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: So I think that's the best you'll do.
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: But we'll do that and the New Orleans you can
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: get the two touchdowns on that one plus the fourteen.
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: Maybe the line did shift a little bit just because
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers, maybe you're considering show to be a little
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: bit of a downgrade. And I know he's a rookie,
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: but like I said, this is not gonna be him
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: going in completely cold.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: It'll be his first start, I believe, but it's not
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: gonna be his first game.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: And you can correct me if I'm wrong, because he
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: actually might have played a little bit last year or too,
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: so he's not coming in completely cold here as far
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: as his NFL experience.
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: So let's go with it. Let's do it.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: You're gonna bet them, all right, and like them when
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: they win. I hope they win, man, I'm trying to
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: give winners. That's all I do here. I don't want
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: to mislead anybody. But sometimes you're gonna have losing days.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, we were going so hot, man, that these
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: losing days had to happen. I hope today was just
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: a moderate losing day, because yesterday was one and three,
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: which really pissed me off, especially because the NBA games.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: I don't really think both of them should have been losses.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: I'll talk about what happened today tomorrow. I'll be back
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: in not too long from now to talk about tomorrow's card,
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: which I think will be some NBA and some NHL.
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: I think there's usually not a whole lot on Sunday though,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: because the NFL usually pretty much dominates it. And then
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: considering maybe doing a college basketball preview tomorrow night, which
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: again I don't know. I'm gonna sound like an idiot
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: because I don't even know like the personnel. Really, it
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: would be just me looking at like the bracketology and
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: like showing the odds and stuff and just completely guessing.
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: But if you want me to just do that and
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: just hang out tomorrow night we can, because college basketball
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: starts on Monday, and typically I don't really actually have
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: plays in the first like the absolute first college basketball games,
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: I usually don't really see an angle. But there are
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: some big games on Monday, and you know, I love
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: college basketball. Even though my betting this past year in
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: college basketball is horrendous, the last.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: Two years was good, but it's my favorite sport. Man.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: I love March Madness, so yeah, I like it way
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: better than the NBA. But the NBA is my best
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: betting sport so and that was one of my only
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: wins today. We got that nice win in the NBA
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: today with the Kings, so outright win. I'll be back
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: though in the morning. Hopefully you guys like it. Charles,
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out man. Learn it to own on Twitter,
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: learn it tone on Instagram. Like it describe for the
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: show here, leave a comment. You know, do all the things. Yeah,
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: then we'll do what else I forget to do. I'm
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: just I can't think straight anymore. Listen on audio is
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: what I was gonna say. We're on Spotify, We're on Apple.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: Give me a good review over there.
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: That helps me out. Listening helps me out there too.
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: I reduced the number of ads because I actually had
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: it maxed out, so I took it down to two
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: instead of three. Uh so probably less money, I guess
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 2: if I do that, but it'll be more tolerable.
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: So I did do that.
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: Covered in yuke on YouTube, my Yuke channel, Patreon, dot com,
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: slash learn the toad and you can get a yuke
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: Spotify feed and give me some requests to do, which Charles,
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: only you.
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: Only you have requested so far.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: But I should put on another post out there saying
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: that that you can request through DMS on Patreon as well,
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: because it's way easier to do that, right than to
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 2: go back and find the post where I said post here.
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean, People should definitely DM me instead.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: That was the way.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: Yeah, sir, there's still gonna be ads, but I'm but
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna lower them a little bit.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: You need the ads for modization.
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: But Charles, hopefully you like Monster Mash and last caress,
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: my voice did some weird thing in the second voice,
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: second second voice, second verse, I'm from New York now
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: the second voice of that song to hear, I can't
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: really do a New York accent.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: Maybe I can a little bit because it's Italian.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: I'm still Italian, but I'm from Boston, so more the
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: Boston accents.
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: That's coming out. Kid.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: When I just, you know, sat getting pissed about some shit,
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: then it's that's coming out. I's stop fucking sounding like
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: mock Wahlberg or some ship. All right, that's gonna do it.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 2: Thank you, sir, Thanks for hanging out. Oh, Clint or Cole.
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: Clint.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: Clint doesn't do college basketball, Cole does. Cole is unfortunately
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: a Duke fan, so.
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: I could ask Cole.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: Cole is a little bit busy right now as well,
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: because he is now a father of two.
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: So yeah, Cole, Cole.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: And Liz had the baby. When was that, Uh it
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: was I don't know, probably five weeks ago. I want
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: to stay somewhere around there.
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: But so they're in. They're in the thick of it
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: right now.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: But congratulations to Cole for being a father again, to
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: Colin Liz being father and mother again.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: So they go.
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, I might just just do it solo,
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: but come hang out. If I do it, it'll be
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: fun and really really stupid. That'll do it for now.
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: Got to get the show up, try to get some
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: sleep and peace for now.