Latest / Drive with John Perlman / Coalition talks continue
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: John Perlman.
- 0:01Speaker 2: On 702.
- 0:02Speaker 1: 3 to 6 p.m.
- 0:06Speaker 3: Well, before we get into our next story, I just
- 0:09Speaker 3: have to say, and the nominees are in the category
- 0:13Speaker 3: of best. No, I can't really pull that off. But
- 0:16Speaker 3: in the category of best broadcast journalist, Alpha Ramoswana, alongside
- 0:20Speaker 3: Tato Moloto, who I've just congratulated for his achievement. Well done, Alpha. Excellent,
- 0:28Speaker 3: excellent work over a year of sustained great reporting. You're
- 0:32Speaker 3: in the final five. And yeah, may the best EWN
- 0:35Speaker 3: person win. Because there are two of us. I'm not
- 0:38Speaker 3: concerned about the other people. So, welcome. You've been talking
- 0:43Speaker 3: to people who are not quite winners, really, because if
- 0:46Speaker 3: they were, they wouldn't be in Coalition Talks, but they are.
- 0:49Speaker 3: Who have you been talking to? Tell us that first,
- 0:52Speaker 3: and then I'm going to ask you about what sense
- 0:54Speaker 3: you're getting of anything taking shape, if indeed they are.
- 0:57Speaker 2: But take us through your diary so far.
- 1:00Speaker 1: Thank you so much, Dr.
- 1:01Speaker 4: John. So political parties have already started coalition negotiations, particularly
- 1:06Speaker 4: for the three metros in Gauteng that were left hung
- 1:09Speaker 4: after last week's local government election.
- 1:12Speaker 1: I've been following up on them every morning.
- 1:15Speaker 4: I think their meetings started at about 9am and just
- 1:18Speaker 4: now at 3pm, I managed to speak with some of them.
- 1:21Speaker 4: The coalition talks have indeed started. I did receive confirmation
- 1:25Speaker 4: that Action SA is just waiting for a date for
- 1:29Speaker 4: the Democratic Alliance so that they can sit down and
- 1:31Speaker 4: formally have their conversations. But they've already met with the
- 1:35Speaker 4: ANC to see if they can possibly work a coalition
- 1:38Speaker 4: arrangement out in some of the three metros. You would
- 1:43Speaker 4: know that the DA is the leading party in Tswane,
- 1:46Speaker 4: Johannesburg and Eguruleni, the number one, but they did not
- 1:51Speaker 4: obtain a 50% plus one majority. So the DA needs
- 1:54Speaker 4: a party, at least 16% in Tswane, at least 16%
- 1:58Speaker 4: in Eguruleni, or Joburg, and at least 21% that they
- 2:03Speaker 4: need in order to govern the three metros. So they
- 2:06Speaker 4: need parties that are going to boost them. So far,
- 2:09Speaker 4: what we do know is that Action SA has met
- 2:10Speaker 4: with the Economic Freedom Fighters. They've also met with the
- 2:14Speaker 4: ANC to see if they can work a possible coalition out.
- 2:17Speaker 4: It's not going to be easy for the DA to
- 2:20Speaker 4: elect their own mayors because The ANC, Action SA, EFF,
- 2:24Speaker 4: Patriotic Alliance, IFP coalition does have the numbers to.
- 2:28Speaker 1: Obtain a 15% plus one majority.
- 2:30Speaker 4: In the city of Tswane and in the city of Ekurule,
- 2:34Speaker 4: it's a bit more difficult in the city of Johannesburg.
- 2:37Speaker 4: But that coalition can work out if they find each other.
- 2:40Speaker 4: So it's all up to the political parties and what
- 2:42Speaker 4: they offer each other.
- 2:44Speaker 2: What are you sensing as patterns?
- 2:46Speaker 3: I mean, obviously the action SA and the DA will meet.
- 2:50Speaker 3: Is that because they need to be able to say
- 2:53Speaker 3: they have met? There's certainly been no love lost in
- 2:57Speaker 3: the conversations between the two in the public space. Do
- 3:02Speaker 3: you sense that those two are going in with significantly
- 3:06Speaker 3: open minds and that we shouldn't write anything off or
- 3:10Speaker 3: rule anything out?
- 3:12Speaker 4: As much as the political parties can say that they
- 3:15Speaker 4: have the residents' best interest at heart, history dictates that
- 3:19Speaker 4: that might not be the case when it comes to
- 3:21Speaker 4: coalition negotiations. It often has to do with what each
- 3:25Speaker 4: political party is offering the other one. I mean, Action
- 3:28Speaker 4: SAE has been quite clear that any coalition that they
- 3:31Speaker 4: enter into for the city of Tswane should result in
- 3:34Speaker 4: Nasi Pimoya being elected mayor once again. And if the
- 3:38Speaker 4: DA is not offering Action SAE and Nasi Pimoya the
- 3:40Speaker 4: position of mayor again, ActionSA has made it clear that
- 3:44Speaker 4: they are not going to participate in those coalition talks.
- 3:47Speaker 4: If the ANC as well is not offering Nasipi Moya
- 3:50Speaker 4: the mayor position in Swania, again, ActionSA has also said
- 3:53Speaker 4: that they would pull out of those coalition talks. In Johannesburg, similarly,
- 3:58Speaker 4: the ActionSA say they are more than willing to work
- 4:01Speaker 4: with the DA just as long as Helen Ziller isn't
- 4:04Speaker 4: in the picture, which is something I think the DA
- 4:07Speaker 4: is not going to accept. So it's clearly what each
- 4:11Speaker 4: party has to offer the other political party and really
- 4:14Speaker 4: doesn't have much to do with the interests of the residents.
- 4:18Speaker 4: So it will decide on the trading. The trading will
- 4:22Speaker 4: decide where all of this will go. What is each
- 4:25Speaker 4: party promising and offering the other political party?
- 4:28Speaker 3: Have any of the people you've spoken to, Alpha, given
- 4:31Speaker 3: you any indication as to what they regard as a successful,
- 4:35Speaker 3: potentially successful coalition? Because certainly I had a conversation at
- 4:39Speaker 3: the Results Operations Center, The Rock, with Helen Ziller last week,
- 4:44Speaker 3: and she was very clear that you don't want a
- 4:47Speaker 3: coalition that's made up of lots and lots and lots
- 4:49Speaker 3: of different parties with smaller parties in that scenario, potentially
- 4:54Speaker 3: carrying perhaps more weight than they should. I'm not sure
- 4:56Speaker 3: if she made that final point, but that's certainly my interpretation.
- 5:00Speaker 3: of the pitfalls of that kind of coalition. Has anyone said, listen,
- 5:04Speaker 3: we'd prefer fewer and bigger parties, or is that not
- 5:08Speaker 3: being articulated?
- 5:10Speaker 4: The DA is certainly, um, would much rather have a
- 5:15Speaker 4: coalition with fewer political parties, possibly to emulate the current
- 5:19Speaker 4: coalition in the KZN provincial department. If you remember the
- 5:23Speaker 4: KZN provincial, um, legislature was hung after the 2024 elections,
- 5:27Speaker 4: the IFP, DA and ANC, uh, came together to form
- 5:31Speaker 4: a coalition so that MK doesn't obtain power and the
- 5:35Speaker 4: DA would much rather have a similar situation in any
- 5:39Speaker 4: of the metros because they have said before that a
- 5:43Speaker 4: coalition arrangement with many many political parties doesn't work for
- 5:46Speaker 4: them because they each have you know a really small
- 5:49Speaker 4: piece of the pie so really if the DA is
- 5:52Speaker 4: able to offer an ANC something that would interest the
- 5:55Speaker 4: ANC I do see the ANC accepting to work with
- 5:58Speaker 4: the DA. They are already doing it at a national scale.
- 6:01Speaker 4: They are already doing it in KwaZulu-Natal. Certainly, it is
- 6:04Speaker 4: something they can do in any of the metros. Action
- 6:07Speaker 4: SA as well. The problem with Action SA, they have
- 6:10Speaker 4: specific people that they don't want to work with. They
- 6:13Speaker 4: don't want a Helen Ziller in the picture if they're
- 6:15Speaker 4: going to govern with the DA in Johannesburg. They want
- 6:17Speaker 4: Nassi Pimoya in Tuanen. That's one of their demands. So
- 6:21Speaker 4: with Action SA, it's more of personal figures that they've
- 6:24Speaker 4: put up but they are also saying that they would
- 6:26Speaker 4: need to agree on basic service delivery mandates and not
- 6:29Speaker 4: have to argue about basic basic things in council all
- 6:33Speaker 4: the time so the DA would much rather have a
- 6:36Speaker 4: you know a very small coalition similar to the one
- 6:38Speaker 4: that they have in KZN which if I'm correct is
- 6:41Speaker 4: just four political parties.
- 6:43Speaker 2: Yeah, it's an interesting thing.
- 6:45Speaker 3: I mean, when you say if they need, you know,
- 6:48Speaker 3: everyone says they must agree on kind of the basics
- 6:51Speaker 3: of service delivery, but you can always do that at
- 6:54Speaker 3: an incredibly general level. I mean, nobody's going to say,
- 6:57Speaker 3: if you vote for us, we're going to make sure
- 6:59Speaker 3: you don't have water. Or, you know, we're going to
- 7:02Speaker 3: be spending more time looking at what kind of company
- 7:06Speaker 3: car we might get than actually checking on the maintenance.
- 7:09Speaker 2: Of your electricity cables.
- 7:12Speaker 3: But beyond those general agreements, we're going to run the
- 7:16Speaker 3: places better than they are currently run. Is there anything
- 7:20Speaker 3: specific around how you get good service delivery that they
- 7:26Speaker 3: might differ on? Because it seems to me the conversation
- 7:29Speaker 3: appears to be fairly vanilla when it comes to detail.
- 7:33Speaker 4: Well, Action SA leader Herman Mashaba, if memory serves me,
- 7:36Speaker 4: did mention a little bit the issue of the immigration
- 7:40Speaker 4: policy's that they would need to agree on in some
- 7:43Speaker 4: of the municipalities. Although that is something that is handled
- 7:46Speaker 4: by national government and home affairs, they do say that
- 7:49Speaker 4: the city entities, the metro police departments would need to
- 7:54Speaker 4: work together in order to eradicate illegal immigration in some
- 7:58Speaker 4: of these municipalities and the parties that they work with
- 8:00Speaker 4: would need to be in agreement in that regard. But
- 8:03Speaker 4: they also do have a different way of doing things.
- 8:07Speaker 4: Some political parties believe that there are certain services that
- 8:11Speaker 4: can be given to the private sector, while there are
- 8:13Speaker 4: other political parties that believe that no, the state, the
- 8:16Speaker 4: municipality should have the capacity to do this on its own.
- 8:20Speaker 4: And I think that's some of the points of contention,
- 8:23Speaker 4: whether we bring in state capacity or bring in someone
- 8:27Speaker 4: private to give us services. So I think that's something
- 8:29Speaker 4: they're talking about in the coalition talks as well.
- 8:31Speaker 3: We're not hearing the MK party in the conversation so
- 8:35Speaker 3: far that you're sharing with us. And I'm sure they'll
- 8:38Speaker 3: have things to say. But one thing that would amplify
- 8:42Speaker 3: The relatively small share they have in Gauteng compared to
- 8:46Speaker 3: what they have in a place like Itagwini is if
- 8:49Speaker 3: people are looking to make deals that have national implications
- 8:53Speaker 3: at all. Has that come up at all in your
- 8:55Speaker 3: conversations that, you know, you may have to do a
- 8:59Speaker 3: deal because you've been focusing on the three Gauteng metros,
- 9:02Speaker 3: but maybe a deal in that regard might also involve
- 9:06Speaker 3: a certain compromise you've got to make, for example, in Durban.
- 9:10Speaker 1: Certainly, Dr.
- 9:11Speaker 5: John.
- 9:12Speaker 4: One thing we've learned about politics and coalition arrangements is
- 9:15Speaker 4: that you don't make them with a narrow mind. You
- 9:18Speaker 4: don't talk about Tswane thinking that the implications will only
- 9:21Speaker 4: be in Tswane. What we have heard, some political analysts
- 9:26Speaker 4: suggesting is that if Action SA is given Tswane, then
- 9:31Speaker 4: Action SA would need to support perhaps a DA or
- 9:33Speaker 4: an ANC in a municipality like Johannesburg. They will not
- 9:37Speaker 4: allow one party to have in all three metros when
- 9:42Speaker 4: they're in a coalition arrangement. And it's all about what
- 9:44Speaker 4: each political party is offering the other one. Certainly, we
- 9:46Speaker 4: saw this, I think, over the past two, three years
- 9:49Speaker 4: when we had a coalition mayhem where EFF would say, ANC,
- 9:53Speaker 4: we can give you Ekurlen if you give us Joburg.
- 9:55Speaker 1: And it's certainly playing out again.
- 9:57Speaker 4: Action SA is hell-bent on the city of Tswane and
- 10:00Speaker 4: seemingly willing to support any other political party elsewhere, just
- 10:04Speaker 4: as long as Nassi Pimoya can retain her position.
- 10:07Speaker 1: I think that's one thing they really, really want.
- 10:09Speaker 3: Yeah, very, very interesting talks ahead. Thank you, Alfa Ramoswana.
- 10:13Speaker 3: Is working the phones possible? prowling the corridors as he
- 10:17Speaker 3: has his ways and his award-winning methods. And we'll hear
- 10:21Speaker 3: from him, I'm sure, in the course of the coming days.
- 10:23Speaker 3: Jane's on the line from Four Ways on the subject
- 10:27Speaker 3: of coalitions.
- 10:28Speaker 2: Jane, good afternoon. What's on your mind?
- 10:30Speaker 5: Good afternoon, John. I was just looking at what I'd
- 10:33Speaker 5: like to see. And what I'd like to see is
- 10:35Speaker 5: each party put down those issues on which they're going
- 10:39Speaker 5: to focus. Things that affect the service delivery to the
- 10:42Speaker 5: people that voted them in. And then when the parties
- 10:47Speaker 5: agree and they have enough with which to agree on,
- 10:51Speaker 5: form the coalition and each put forward the expertise for
- 10:55Speaker 5: the particular area. We're not so much interested in who's
- 10:59Speaker 5: the mayor, who's this, who's that. We're interested in the
- 11:02Speaker 5: people that can do the job in specific focus areas
- 11:06Speaker 5: from each of the parties. And if they really had
- 11:11Speaker 5: the people on the ground that voted for them interested
- 11:14Speaker 5: at heart, that's the sort of thing they'd do. And
- 11:17Speaker 5: we'd stop all this personality politics that's been going on
- 11:20Speaker 5: for far too long in coalitions. So just my view
- 11:24Speaker 5: on what I'd like to see.
- 11:26Speaker 2: Jane, thank you.
- 11:27Speaker 3: Jane, putting forward a suggestion, set out the issues that
- 11:30Speaker 3: you feel are crucial, find the parties that agree with you,
- 11:34Speaker 3: and then set out your stall and say if we've
- 11:36Speaker 3: all agreed that Fixing, for example, the city's water systems
- 11:41Speaker 3: or making sure bylaws are observed. These are the people
- 11:44Speaker 3: we're going to put in charge of solving that. And
- 11:47Speaker 3: this is what qualifies them to do that.
- 11:49Speaker 2: What's your view?
- 11:50Speaker 3: Give us a thought. Jane has got us going. It's
- 11:53Speaker 3: coming up now for two minutes to four.