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Sunday BEST BETS | I'm Not Alive | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/3/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: Man, a hole in your chips, the black coffee on
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: the felt man, you look like a mince three teen
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: Parlette turned the dust in your head. Now you stare
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: at the chips like they made you this man.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Your name still means something on somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 3: Put the glass down, baby, look at me. Now, hold on,
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: hold on nothing.
• 0:54
  Speaker 4: Nice not now, hold on, Hold on me, bite.
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: But it don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: Stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 5: Now, what's up, everybody? It's towed back with you Toadsool
• 1:31
  Speaker 5: Sports Sunday, May third, two and two on the show yesterday.
• 1:36
  Speaker 5: I'm not talking about anything. I'm not bringing up any comments.
• 1:41
  Speaker 5: Listen to the show if you want. I don't know
• 1:42
  Speaker 5: why you listen to me. First game up Toronto, Minnesota.
• 1:47
  Speaker 5: I have a play on this. It's a twelve forty
• 1:49
  Speaker 5: five Eastern Peacock. This is baseball that I'm talking about.
• 1:54
  Speaker 5: Best bet first one. I have two in baseball one
• 1:58
  Speaker 5: an NBA. This one is the under in the first
• 2:02
  Speaker 5: five innings, under four and a half. I know it's
• 2:05
  Speaker 5: a little bit juicy. The best I've found out there
• 2:07
  Speaker 5: was minus one thirty. If you find a four at
• 2:10
  Speaker 5: a better number, you could go ahead and do that too.
• 2:14
  Speaker 5: I'm excluding the bullpens here. These bullpens blow, especially Minnesota,
• 2:18
  Speaker 5: so I want nothing to do with that. Minnesota has
• 2:22
  Speaker 5: lost two out of the three games in the series,
• 2:24
  Speaker 5: though they are the worst of the two teams. I'm
• 2:27
  Speaker 5: not really gonna try to handicap the side here. I mean,
• 2:29
  Speaker 5: obviously I look at the side when I go into
• 2:31
  Speaker 5: these games, but if I don't see anything on the side,
• 2:34
  Speaker 5: I'm obviously not gonna do anything with the side. Minnesota's
• 2:37
  Speaker 5: bullpen is the second worst in baseball. They blow, so
• 2:41
  Speaker 5: I really want to exclude them. Toronto has been a
• 2:43
  Speaker 5: little bit better. They're at thirteenth bullpen wise, but still
• 2:47
  Speaker 5: Minnesota's is so bad that we're just gonna take them
• 2:50
  Speaker 5: out of the equation. They also use five relief pitchers yesterday.
• 2:53
  Speaker 5: I want no part of that. Toronto will only use two,
• 2:57
  Speaker 5: so you know, there might be an edge. There probably
• 2:59
  Speaker 5: is edge later in the game for Toronto if they
• 3:02
  Speaker 5: could somehow get through Joe Ryan here. But we were
• 3:04
  Speaker 5: looking at the starting pitching. Trey is Savage is pitching
• 3:08
  Speaker 5: for the Blue Jays. He's only made one start so far.
• 3:12
  Speaker 5: They limited his pitches. He was actually really efficient, only
• 3:15
  Speaker 5: throwing seventy four pitches and five and a third innings
• 3:18
  Speaker 5: against Boston. I mean, I know the Red Sox offense
• 3:20
  Speaker 5: has sucked, but he shut them out for five and
• 3:23
  Speaker 5: a third, no walks, three strikeouts, four hits. That's pretty
• 3:27
  Speaker 5: good to get your feet wet again first start of
• 3:30
  Speaker 5: the season. We know he pitched last year and he
• 3:32
  Speaker 5: had a few really dominant games last year. Although he
• 3:36
  Speaker 5: was back and forth. You know, he was up and
• 3:39
  Speaker 5: down last year, but you know he was a rookie.
• 3:42
  Speaker 5: I mean, I think this might actually technically be his
• 3:44
  Speaker 5: rookie year. But he is a young talented pitcher. Minnesota.
• 3:48
  Speaker 5: Only his one hitters faced before Gray, not not John Gray,
• 3:54
  Speaker 5: the old pitcher from back of the day, Tristan Gray,
• 3:57
  Speaker 5: oh for two of the strikeout against him. But basically,
• 4:00
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna say he's savage, has an unfamiliarity edge here,
• 4:03
  Speaker 5: and we know that he can be very good at times,
• 4:05
  Speaker 5: so I think he should be able to do okay
• 4:07
  Speaker 5: against the Minnesota lineup. That's not great. They've I think
• 4:12
  Speaker 5: fallen somewhere into the middle of the pack here on offense,
• 4:14
  Speaker 5: where they at Toronto's twenty first Minnesota's eighteenth. I mean,
• 4:18
  Speaker 5: I'm not sold on this Minnesota offense. Toronto still dealing
• 4:23
  Speaker 5: with injuries, and they also have to deal with Joe Ryan,
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: and we know he's the ace of the Twins staff.
• 4:29
  Speaker 5: He's been dealing three point seven to six ERA one
• 4:32
  Speaker 5: point zero four whip. He's been really good at home
• 4:35
  Speaker 5: two point six y five homey RA, so the home
• 4:37
  Speaker 5: road splits look good. He's allowed more than tour in
• 4:41
  Speaker 5: runs only twice this season. One of those was on
• 4:44
  Speaker 5: the road against the Mets. Kind of inexplicably both of
• 4:47
  Speaker 5: them are on the road, actually, the other one was
• 4:48
  Speaker 5: at Kansas City. Overall, thirty nine to nine strike at
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: walk ratio only thirty one hits a lot in thirty
• 4:54
  Speaker 5: eight and a third innings. We know Joe Ryan's good.
• 4:59
  Speaker 5: Sometimes he does get run support, but we don't care
• 5:01
  Speaker 5: about that here because in fact, we want him to
• 5:03
  Speaker 5: not get in he because this is an underplay. He's
• 5:08
  Speaker 5: held Toronto to two forty five average, six forty three ops,
• 5:12
  Speaker 5: one hundred and two at bats, so we have a
• 5:13
  Speaker 5: big sample here. Twenty five to four strike out walk
• 5:16
  Speaker 5: ratio against them. Those numbers check out. He does well
• 5:19
  Speaker 5: against Toronto under first five in that game. That is
• 5:23
  Speaker 5: a play Toronto Minnesota Baltimore at the Yankees. Yankees are
• 5:27
  Speaker 5: on the version of a sweep. You know, I tend
• 5:30
  Speaker 5: to look to fade teams that are looking for a
• 5:32
  Speaker 5: sweep because the other team tends to actually, excuse me,
• 5:35
  Speaker 5: they played tomorrow too, so this is not the last
• 5:37
  Speaker 5: game of the series, but the same thing kind of applies.
• 5:41
  Speaker 5: Yankees have won both games easily in the series. They
• 5:44
  Speaker 5: might take Baltimore a little bit less seriously coming into
• 5:47
  Speaker 5: this game. Maybe they overlooked them a little bit. This time.
• 5:50
  Speaker 5: Baltimore may get up, you know, a little bit more
• 5:53
  Speaker 5: motivated for this. Baltimore used five relief pitchers yesterday, though,
• 5:56
  Speaker 5: which is not good. Yankees used four bald Ms. Bullpen
• 6:00
  Speaker 5: has been a little bit better than the Yankees this
• 6:02
  Speaker 5: year so far. They're at twelfth, Yankees fifteenth. Yankees have
• 6:05
  Speaker 5: a better bullpen e er, though bullpens to me are
• 6:09
  Speaker 5: kind of a toss up in this game. They're both
• 6:11
  Speaker 5: okay in my opinion. Yankees have had the better offense.
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: They're fifth Baltimore fifteenth Tray Gibson making his major league
• 6:21
  Speaker 5: debut for Baltimore, though he will be on the mound.
• 6:24
  Speaker 5: I looked him up. I mean, his numbers at Triple
• 6:26
  Speaker 5: A not really that good this year. As Eray is
• 6:29
  Speaker 5: like in the fours and he's had way too many
• 6:32
  Speaker 5: walks at Triple A, so that is the concern with him.
• 6:35
  Speaker 5: He does have a major league pitch mix here in
• 6:38
  Speaker 5: ESPN doesn't even have like a page for him yet.
• 6:40
  Speaker 5: This is what he looks like though he's six' five two.
• 6:43
  Speaker 5: Forty he's a pretty big dude with a, mustache so
• 6:47
  Speaker 5: he looks. Good HE i, mean he looks the. Part
• 6:50
  Speaker 5: he throws like a mid to upper nineties. Fastball he's
• 6:53
  Speaker 5: got a two seamer that induces a lot of ground.
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: Balls he throws also a, slider curve, ball and change
• 7:00
  Speaker 5: is his pitch that he's kind of still working, on
• 7:03
  Speaker 5: which is you, know it's a major league pitch mix
• 7:05
  Speaker 5: as long as those aspeed pitches work well. Enough he
• 7:08
  Speaker 5: will have the unfamiliarity advantage against The yankees here because
• 7:11
  Speaker 5: nobody's ever seen him. Before BUT i don't really want
• 7:15
  Speaker 5: to bank on him, here So i'm passing on this,
• 7:18
  Speaker 5: Game Max freed is gonna be pitching for The. Yankees
• 7:21
  Speaker 5: two POINT zho NINE era point eight whip obviously very good.
• 7:24
  Speaker 5: Numbers he struggled at home. Though he has a SIX
• 7:27
  Speaker 5: era at home this, year which is not. Good. Obviously
• 7:32
  Speaker 5: he's only made two home starts, though but they were
• 7:34
  Speaker 5: basically the two worst. Starts he walked three in both those,
• 7:38
  Speaker 5: outings got a little bit hit By anaheim as. Well.
• 7:43
  Speaker 5: Well mostly it was the walks that were the problem.
• 7:45
  Speaker 5: THERE i guess you could make the argument he actually
• 7:47
  Speaker 5: got unlucky because they got five runs off him on three.
• 7:50
  Speaker 5: Hits So i'm not really gonna put that much weight
• 7:53
  Speaker 5: into his ra being worse at, home ALTHOUGH i do
• 7:55
  Speaker 5: think he probably is a little bit better on the,
• 7:57
  Speaker 5: road if not for anything, else just that The yankee
• 8:01
  Speaker 5: stadium is hit or. Friendly his numbers Against baltimore are.
• 8:05
  Speaker 5: Fine they're pretty. Good in eighty five at, bats twenty six,
• 8:08
  Speaker 5: strikeouts twelve walks is not, good but six of them Are,
• 8:11
  Speaker 5: alonzo so it looks like he kind of pitches around
• 8:14
  Speaker 5: him two twenty four batting average allowed six thirty seven
• 8:17
  Speaker 5: ops The yankees with free and on the. Mound you
• 8:21
  Speaker 5: know that if you. Want The yankees are gonna pay
• 8:23
  Speaker 5: too much of attacks for. Them pregames website is never
• 8:26
  Speaker 5: gonna work, again so they can eat my fucking. Ass,
• 8:29
  Speaker 5: uh The yankees are minus two thirty around that price.
• 8:33
  Speaker 5: HERE i don't see a way you could really lay. That,
• 8:36
  Speaker 5: uh they have eighty nine percent of tickets ninety two
• 8:38
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on. Them you, know THEY'RE i
• 8:42
  Speaker 5: think they're a public. SIDE i, mean obviously they. ARE
• 8:45
  Speaker 5: i would not really want to play The yankees, here,
• 8:47
  Speaker 5: THOUGH i think maybe the best approach here is to
• 8:50
  Speaker 5: actually go, under you. KNOW i, MEAN i could see
• 8:54
  Speaker 5: it being full. GAME i, mean the bullpens are not
• 8:57
  Speaker 5: horrible in this. Game the total is up to. Nine
• 9:00
  Speaker 5: you would get an under a key number, there and
• 9:02
  Speaker 5: that number seems pretty, high you, know even though it
• 9:06
  Speaker 5: is a hitter friendly. Ballpark you got The, yankees you,
• 9:09
  Speaker 5: know ace if you want to call them, that on one,
• 9:11
  Speaker 5: side and then an unknown quantity on the other side
• 9:14
  Speaker 5: who might be decent because of the. UNFAMILIARITY i, MEAN
• 9:18
  Speaker 5: i could see the argument for the first five under as.
• 9:20
  Speaker 5: WELL i JUST i am not sure that the bullpens
• 9:23
  Speaker 5: are so bad that we need to exclude. Them you
• 9:26
  Speaker 5: know WHAT i, mean LIKE i did with my other play,
• 9:28
  Speaker 5: there BUT i think under might be my lean in
• 9:30
  Speaker 5: that Game Baltimore, yankees the public you would think would
• 9:35
  Speaker 5: just hammer the over because they don't know Who baltimore's pitcher.
• 9:38
  Speaker 5: Is maybe they'd be a little bit hesitant because Of,
• 9:41
  Speaker 5: freed but public generally is gonna be hitting overs in
• 9:44
  Speaker 5: The yankees. Games sixty eight percent of, ticket seventy three
• 9:47
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on the. Over, AGAIN i find
• 9:51
  Speaker 5: these wager talk market numbers to be almost, unreadable like
• 9:56
  Speaker 5: they just don't help. ME i just rely on my own,
• 9:58
  Speaker 5: handicapping and that's. It, toronto by the, WAY i forgot to,
• 10:01
  Speaker 5: mention is getting the money there in that game Against,
• 10:04
  Speaker 5: minnesota sixty percent of, ticket seventy percent of the cash on.
• 10:07
  Speaker 5: Them as far as the side is, concerned it's basically
• 10:09
  Speaker 5: a pick the winner type of price, there With minnesota
• 10:12
  Speaker 5: basically being a very small. Favorite so the professionals seem
• 10:18
  Speaker 5: to be saying, that, yeah Like toronto has enough advantages.
• 10:21
  Speaker 5: There You savage is good enough that they have a
• 10:24
  Speaker 5: chance Against, minnesota and, Yeah, toronto if they get to the,
• 10:26
  Speaker 5: bullpens then, yeah the edge is going to swing To.
• 10:29
  Speaker 5: Toronto in that, game we also see the money disagree
• 10:33
  Speaker 5: with my under sixty two percent of the cash on
• 10:35
  Speaker 5: the under sixty one percent of the cash on the over.
• 10:38
  Speaker 5: Total that's for the full game, though the totals. Eight and,
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: again if you're playing the over in that, game obviously
• 10:44
  Speaker 5: one of the main reasons you're doing it is Because
• 10:46
  Speaker 5: minnesota's bullpen is an absolute. Disaster so that's that. Game
• 10:51
  Speaker 5: cincinnati At. Pittsburgh pittsburgh is on the verge of a
• 10:55
  Speaker 5: sweet peer and they have really just dominated the series
• 10:59
  Speaker 5: wins of nine to one and seventeen to. Seven so you,
• 11:04
  Speaker 5: know the public is probably gonna want overs, here AND
• 11:07
  Speaker 5: i would probably not recommend that in this. Game in,
• 11:10
  Speaker 5: FACT i Think i'm gonna recommend the, opposite Although i'm
• 11:12
  Speaker 5: not gonna have a play on. This pittsburgh could Overlook cincinnati,
• 11:15
  Speaker 5: here Although cincinnati is still ahead of them in the division,
• 11:18
  Speaker 5: standing so Maybe pittsburgh does show up again to try
• 11:22
  Speaker 5: to sweep this, thing although you got to Think cincinnati
• 11:25
  Speaker 5: might show up with a little bit more urgency in this,
• 11:29
  Speaker 5: game if that matters that much of. Baseball BUT i
• 11:31
  Speaker 5: did tell you coming into this, SERIES i Thought cincinnati
• 11:33
  Speaker 5: was very. Overrated they've won a lot of close. Games
• 11:36
  Speaker 5: they're not as good as their record makes them. LOOK
• 11:39
  Speaker 5: i think The pirates are actually the better team. Here
• 11:42
  Speaker 5: don't know That pittsburgh will be looking ahead To arizona
• 11:44
  Speaker 5: here they might want to get the sweep against the
• 11:46
  Speaker 5: team it still has a record above. Theirs as far
• 11:50
  Speaker 5: as the bullpen, Usage cincinnati used a bunch of relief,
• 11:54
  Speaker 5: pitchers these five relief, pitchers and their bullpen has really
• 11:56
  Speaker 5: started to. Falter pittsburgh used Three Bailey. Falter speaking of The,
• 12:01
  Speaker 5: PIRATES i don't know where that guy's at. Now pittsburgh
• 12:05
  Speaker 5: has the better bullpen right now and the less used
• 12:08
  Speaker 5: bullpen after, yesterday so they do appear to have a bullpen.
• 12:11
  Speaker 5: Edge their fourteenth and bullpen, Whip cincinnati's dropped all the
• 12:15
  Speaker 5: way to twenty, sixth even though they had an ra
• 12:18
  Speaker 5: that was in the twos out of their bullpen for
• 12:21
  Speaker 5: a long. TIME i said they were gonna regress a,
• 12:23
  Speaker 5: bit but this is a little bit. EXTREME i don't
• 12:26
  Speaker 5: think they're like an absolute bottom tier, bullpen BUT i
• 12:29
  Speaker 5: think they're probably like a mid tier. Bullpen pittsburgh probably
• 12:33
  Speaker 5: a little bit better than. That as far as the, hitting,
• 12:37
  Speaker 5: Yeah cincinnati's hitting has. Struggled they're twenty. Fourth pittsburgh has
• 12:40
  Speaker 5: actually hit pretty well this. Year they're back up to
• 12:42
  Speaker 5: seventh with an offensive explosion in the. Series. Obviously don't
• 12:47
  Speaker 5: Think pittsburgh's gonna put up as much offense here, though
• 12:49
  Speaker 5: Against Chase, burns because he has been pretty good on the.
• 12:53
  Speaker 5: Season he's probably The red's best starting. Pitcher two point
• 12:56
  Speaker 5: six five, yr one point one two. Whip they need
• 12:59
  Speaker 5: A Hunter green back. MAN i don't know When Hunter
• 13:01
  Speaker 5: green is, back so he can puke all over the,
• 13:03
  Speaker 5: mound but also pitch. Well But burns has got good. Numbers.
• 13:07
  Speaker 5: Man burns has been his home road splits are just
• 13:12
  Speaker 5: not really that. Significant he's allowed two or fewer earned
• 13:15
  Speaker 5: runs in every outing except one Against. Anaheim he's got
• 13:19
  Speaker 5: a thirty nine to twelve strike a walk ratio that
• 13:22
  Speaker 5: you know that's not even that bat although the walk,
• 13:24
  Speaker 5: NUMBER i guess it's a little bit. High thirty four innings,
• 13:27
  Speaker 5: pitched twenty six hits. Allowed all his numbers are pretty good.
• 13:32
  Speaker 5: Though he's a good, pitcher very talented young. Pitcher he
• 13:35
  Speaker 5: did pitch Against pittsburgh once, already and he shut them,
• 13:38
  Speaker 5: out give up one hit first outing of the. YEAR
• 13:42
  Speaker 5: i think we might have had a win on that
• 13:44
  Speaker 5: game on the, SHOW i don't remember. It but then
• 13:46
  Speaker 5: one two to, nothing he shut them down for five.
• 13:48
  Speaker 5: Innings he gave one, hit was a little bit walk
• 13:51
  Speaker 5: heavy with three, walks but seven strike. Cuts, generally he's
• 13:54
  Speaker 5: done really well Against pittsburgh though limited sample of thirty
• 13:57
  Speaker 5: three at, bats but it's more than just that one
• 14:00
  Speaker 5: start this, year and he's got seventeen strikeouts against, them
• 14:03
  Speaker 5: three walks and oh ninety one average and three eighteen ops.
• 14:07
  Speaker 5: Allowed burns has pretty much burned Through pittsburgh's, lineup SO
• 14:11
  Speaker 5: i do expect him to pitch well. Here Braxton ashcraft
• 14:14
  Speaker 5: just pitching For. Pittsburgh he's pitched well this year as,
• 14:17
  Speaker 5: well three point seven to one, ray one point one five.
• 14:20
  Speaker 5: Whip he's been a lot worse at home, though five
• 14:23
  Speaker 5: point six e ray At. Holmes that is a little
• 14:25
  Speaker 5: bit of a. Concern, overall his numbers look pretty, good
• 14:30
  Speaker 5: very similar To burns, actually thirty nine to twelve strikeout walk,
• 14:33
  Speaker 5: ratio thirty four innings pitched and twenty seven hits. Allowed
• 14:37
  Speaker 5: he's allowed more than tow hour and runs only once
• 14:39
  Speaker 5: in his last. Outing though Against Saint. Louis but if you,
• 14:42
  Speaker 5: remember he was coming back from like a bereavement. Leave
• 14:46
  Speaker 5: we took a loss on that, Game i'm pretty. Sure, actually, no,
• 14:49
  Speaker 5: no that was the one WHERE i SAID i like The.
• 14:51
  Speaker 5: OVER i gave out The overs a. Play THEN i
• 14:55
  Speaker 5: recommended that if you hadn't played it, yet to just
• 14:57
  Speaker 5: stay away from it Because ashcraft is. Good but THE
• 14:59
  Speaker 5: o still won easily in that. GAME i wasn't ever
• 15:03
  Speaker 5: gonna recommend an under in, it BUT i was JUST
• 15:05
  Speaker 5: i didn't like the over much anymore Once ashcraft was
• 15:08
  Speaker 5: listed as a starter, there But i'd given it out
• 15:11
  Speaker 5: his action on the, play we counted it as a. Win.
• 15:14
  Speaker 5: WHATEVER i think that that was just kind of a
• 15:16
  Speaker 5: weird outlier For ashcraft And Saint, louis you, know for whatever,
• 15:21
  Speaker 5: reason has hit pretty well this. YEAR i Think ashcraft
• 15:24
  Speaker 5: bounces back in this. Game his numbers against The reds
• 15:26
  Speaker 5: are all, Right they're not as good As burn's matchup numbers,
• 15:29
  Speaker 5: though thirty eight at bats seven to six strike out
• 15:32
  Speaker 5: walk rage here two sixty three average allowed seven oh six.
• 15:35
  Speaker 5: Ops so, YEAH i, MEAN i Think burns does have
• 15:41
  Speaker 5: a little bit of an advantage, here So i'd PROBABLY
• 15:45
  Speaker 5: i would Lean cincinnati maybe first five, innings they got
• 15:48
  Speaker 5: seventy five percent of, tickets eighty nine percent of the
• 15:50
  Speaker 5: cash on. THEM i really don't want to deal with
• 15:53
  Speaker 5: their bullpen. Though in this. Game, uh the money looks
• 15:56
  Speaker 5: like it's disagreeing with an under. Though seventy five percent of,
• 15:59
  Speaker 5: tickets sixty nine on the, under sixty nine percent of
• 16:01
  Speaker 5: the cash on the. Over total seven and a half,
• 16:05
  Speaker 5: though and usually if you see a total that, low
• 16:07
  Speaker 5: it's indicating under is pretty much the way you should
• 16:11
  Speaker 5: be looking. Here AND i agree with the. Under it's just,
• 16:14
  Speaker 5: that you, know the. Bullpen cincinnati's bullpend does concern me a.
• 16:18
  Speaker 5: Bit so you could go first five innings, under you probably.
• 16:21
  Speaker 5: Haven't you're gonna have to go under three and a
• 16:23
  Speaker 5: half if you do it that. WAY i wouldn't disagree with. That,
• 16:26
  Speaker 5: like just my leans generally in that game would be
• 16:29
  Speaker 5: towards the under and slightly Towards cincinnati as a very
• 16:32
  Speaker 5: small underdog With pittsburgh at minus one. Fifteen, uh you,
• 16:37
  Speaker 5: KNOW i think this is the one game in the
• 16:39
  Speaker 5: series That cincinnati has at least a little bit of
• 16:41
  Speaker 5: an edge pitching, wise BUT i think both starting pitchers
• 16:45
  Speaker 5: might do well, here so first five inning under doesn't
• 16:48
  Speaker 5: make sense to me there all? Right, Uh Houston, boston
• 16:53
  Speaker 5: these teams have split the verse two games of the.
• 16:55
  Speaker 5: Series The Red sox still can't fucking hit at. All
• 16:58
  Speaker 5: houston has a Terrible houston used four relief pitchers. Yesterday
• 17:03
  Speaker 5: somehow The Red sox So they scored two off of
• 17:06
  Speaker 5: The houston bullpen, yesterday but that was obviously not. Enough
• 17:09
  Speaker 5: connolly early didn't do well enough. Yesterday Red sox only
• 17:13
  Speaker 5: his two relief pitchers. Yesterday Ryan watson probably needs to
• 17:16
  Speaker 5: get the fuck out of town he blows kick him
• 17:19
  Speaker 5: off the. Team. Whatever will The Red sox bounce back?
• 17:22
  Speaker 5: Here they? SHOULD i, MEAN i think The Red sox
• 17:26
  Speaker 5: have a pitching advantage throughout this entire, game so they
• 17:29
  Speaker 5: better win this fucking. Game houston worst bullpen in baseball
• 17:33
  Speaker 5: and it's not even really that. Close they're absolutely horrendous
• 17:35
  Speaker 5: in the. Bullpen Red sox have been good in the.
• 17:38
  Speaker 5: Bullpen that's been one of the only things good about.
• 17:40
  Speaker 5: Them they still have a solid back end of their.
• 17:43
  Speaker 5: Bullpen they're sixth in Bullpen. Whip their eras in the
• 17:48
  Speaker 5: threes as, well which is. Fine Red sox offense is
• 17:51
  Speaker 5: in the bottom three, still which you gotta think they're
• 17:54
  Speaker 5: gonna turn that around. Again they have enough talent in
• 17:57
  Speaker 5: their offense to get outside of the bottom third of.
• 18:01
  Speaker 5: Offenses you would have to Think houston has been in
• 18:04
  Speaker 5: the top three offensively all season, though and that is
• 18:06
  Speaker 5: where they are right. Now But houston is gonna be
• 18:09
  Speaker 5: Starting Cody, bolton not to be confused With Michael bolton
• 18:14
  Speaker 5: win a man who loves a woo. Man uh five
• 18:18
  Speaker 5: point seven to NINETY ra and one point seven to
• 18:21
  Speaker 5: one whip for. Him these are bad, numbers. Man he's
• 18:24
  Speaker 5: bad on the road seven point one to One ROADIE.
• 18:26
  Speaker 5: Ra he's basically made openers though the last couple of,
• 18:31
  Speaker 5: outings SO i don't, Know like they gave him three
• 18:34
  Speaker 5: four innings in his first couple, appearances SO i honestly
• 18:36
  Speaker 5: have no idea how long he's gonna go into this.
• 18:39
  Speaker 5: Game but that doesn't look good obviously if You're, houston
• 18:42
  Speaker 5: because you have the worst bullpen in baseball and you
• 18:45
  Speaker 5: got this guy on the, mound he's probably not gonna
• 18:47
  Speaker 5: even give you a full starter's. Workload if The Red
• 18:49
  Speaker 5: sox don't win this, game they should just never play
• 18:51
  Speaker 5: another game this. SEASON i, mean give me a fucking. Break.
• 18:56
  Speaker 5: Uh you, know The Red socks have to be able
• 18:58
  Speaker 5: to put up runs in a situation like. This, bolton,
• 19:01
  Speaker 5: though against The Red sox in twenty one a bad six,
• 19:04
  Speaker 5: strikeouts one. Walk rafaela doesn't have a home run off,
• 19:07
  Speaker 5: him but he's a lot of two thirty eight averages
• 19:09
  Speaker 5: six to fifty four. OPS i believe he faced them
• 19:13
  Speaker 5: earlier this year, Probably, yeah he went three, innings he
• 19:16
  Speaker 5: gave up one on in. Run so isn't that great
• 19:18
  Speaker 5: that his best outing of the year was actually against
• 19:21
  Speaker 5: The Red sox back in one of the very first
• 19:24
  Speaker 5: games in the. Season but overall his numbers blow eleven
• 19:29
  Speaker 5: to eight strikeout walk. Ratio that, is so many walks
• 19:32
  Speaker 5: in nine and a third innings he's walking basically a
• 19:35
  Speaker 5: guy in inning eight hits allowed To, YEAH i MEAN
• 19:39
  Speaker 5: i would not Trust, Bolton there's just no. Way although
• 19:43
  Speaker 5: his numbers are good against The Red, sox that gives
• 19:45
  Speaker 5: me some. Hesitation, Here ron Your, suarez his pitcher for
• 19:49
  Speaker 5: The Red. Sox he's started to turn it. Around his
• 19:52
  Speaker 5: overall season numbers are good three point zero NINE era
• 19:55
  Speaker 5: point nine to four. Whip he's been worse In fenway,
• 19:59
  Speaker 5: though four point three to. Home fenway is not a
• 20:02
  Speaker 5: pitcher friendly. Ballpark but he pitched really well in his last,
• 20:06
  Speaker 5: outing which was on the. Road he one hit Shutout
• 20:08
  Speaker 5: toronto for eight innings and had ten strikeouts in one.
• 20:12
  Speaker 5: Walk it was his best start of the. Year but
• 20:15
  Speaker 5: he's also had two eight inning shutouts in his last three,
• 20:19
  Speaker 5: starts and he's allowed no runs in three of his
• 20:22
  Speaker 5: last four. Outings that's a good, sign and one of
• 20:24
  Speaker 5: them was at home Against, detroit so he seems to
• 20:27
  Speaker 5: be turning it. Around twenty nine to nine strike out walk,
• 20:30
  Speaker 5: ratio only twenty four hits a lout in thirty five,
• 20:32
  Speaker 5: innings so he's been relatively. Untouchable the strikeout rates not that,
• 20:38
  Speaker 5: high but he's really not putting a lot of guys on.
• 20:40
  Speaker 5: Base numbers Against houston are pretty bad, though in sixty
• 20:44
  Speaker 5: four at, bats fourteen to seven strike out walk. Ratio
• 20:48
  Speaker 5: that's too many walks three twenty eight batting, average although
• 20:50
  Speaker 5: five of the walks are walker ah walker three twenty
• 20:55
  Speaker 5: eight batting average allowed against them nine to twenty six.
• 20:57
  Speaker 5: Ops you, know the matchup numbers look bad for The Red,
• 21:03
  Speaker 5: sox but, REALLY i mean you gotta think The, suarez
• 21:07
  Speaker 5: he is the better pitcher Over. Bolton bolton probably doesn't
• 21:11
  Speaker 5: last that long in this. Game it probably goes to the.
• 21:13
  Speaker 5: Bullpens you, Know Red socks should win the. Game they
• 21:19
  Speaker 5: got fifty ticket sixty two the cash on. Them you're
• 21:22
  Speaker 5: laying about minus one sixty for The Red sox, THOUGH
• 21:25
  Speaker 5: i mean with The Red sox team that just can't.
• 21:28
  Speaker 5: Hit even though he should put up numbers in this
• 21:31
  Speaker 5: game offensively against this pitching, STAFF i don't, know, man
• 21:35
  Speaker 5: based on the pitching matchup, numbers that number seems a
• 21:37
  Speaker 5: bit too much to. LAY i think the better approach
• 21:41
  Speaker 5: in this game might even be to go over Because,
• 21:46
  Speaker 5: SUAREZ i, mean he doesn't have good numbers Against. Houston
• 21:48
  Speaker 5: there's no way THAT i Trust, bolton and he probably
• 21:51
  Speaker 5: doesn't last long in the, game and then you Get houston's.
• 21:53
  Speaker 5: Bullpen you, know over might be the right way to go.
• 21:59
  Speaker 5: Here sixty six percent of tickets and ninety five percent
• 22:02
  Speaker 5: of the cash on the over money looks like it
• 22:04
  Speaker 5: is kind of on the. Over the totals mostly at
• 22:07
  Speaker 5: eight and a. Half the book with The lion does
• 22:10
  Speaker 5: have a nine out, there and so does the Book
• 22:13
  Speaker 5: That can f off with their shoddy, merchandise way over
• 22:17
  Speaker 5: price merch if you know WHAT i. Mean, YEAH i
• 22:21
  Speaker 5: mean you could get the over eight and a half
• 22:23
  Speaker 5: at a little bit of, juice and then you're getting
• 22:25
  Speaker 5: in below that key. Number milwaukee At, Washington washington might
• 22:31
  Speaker 5: show up with a little bit extra intensity after really
• 22:34
  Speaker 5: struggling in the. Series milwaukee's won both games so. Far
• 22:37
  Speaker 5: we got to win on game one of the series Of,
• 22:39
  Speaker 5: milwaukee they won six to. One yesterday they won four to.
• 22:43
  Speaker 5: One Now, washington LIKE i pointed out in my handicap
• 22:46
  Speaker 5: For game, One washington has allowed the most runs at
• 22:50
  Speaker 5: home out of any team in, baseball though they actually
• 22:52
  Speaker 5: haven't allowed that. Many, really their offense has just completely
• 22:55
  Speaker 5: fallen apart in this, series AND i did think their
• 22:58
  Speaker 5: offense would not keep what they were doing early in the.
• 23:01
  Speaker 5: Season their, bullpen they used two relief pitchers out of the.
• 23:05
  Speaker 5: Bullpen their bullpen's not very. Good milwaukee's has struggled a bit.
• 23:08
  Speaker 5: Too they used four relief pitchers. Yesterday But, MILWAUKEE i
• 23:12
  Speaker 5: think does have the better. Bullpen they're at nineteenth and
• 23:15
  Speaker 5: bullpen whip right now and their era is fairly solid
• 23:18
  Speaker 5: in the Threes washington still has AN era that's close to.
• 23:21
  Speaker 5: Five they're in the bottom third of bullpen's whip. Wise
• 23:25
  Speaker 5: washington's offense has fallen off a. Bit they are now
• 23:28
  Speaker 5: nineteenth after they were in the top ten offensively all.
• 23:32
  Speaker 5: Season they've really fallen. Off, milwaukee where are they. At
• 23:36
  Speaker 5: they've struggled offensively this year, again they're dealing with. Injuries
• 23:40
  Speaker 5: twenty third. Offensively you, KNOW i think the offenses ARE
• 23:44
  Speaker 5: i guess closely. Matched it says undecided For milwaukee, here
• 23:48
  Speaker 5: BUT i believe they're going With Chad patrick in this.
• 23:51
  Speaker 5: Game that's who's listed here on the board. Here let me,
• 23:56
  Speaker 5: SEE i think it. Was, Yeah Chad patrick is listed
• 23:59
  Speaker 5: as the star, here which probably does Give milwaukee a
• 24:02
  Speaker 5: starting pitching, edge although his walk number is really the
• 24:07
  Speaker 5: concern With. Patrick but they got a lot of injuries
• 24:09
  Speaker 5: in their starting pitching rotation right. Now it looks Like
• 24:12
  Speaker 5: mizierowski has some sort of injury right. Now woodruff had
• 24:15
  Speaker 5: to go on the D. L woodroff like his velocity
• 24:18
  Speaker 5: was way down the other, day even though he's still pitched.
• 24:20
  Speaker 5: Okay when he was out, there he was throwing like
• 24:23
  Speaker 5: eighty six mile an hour fastballs and he still wasn't
• 24:26
  Speaker 5: even getting. HIT i have no, idea but there was
• 24:28
  Speaker 5: obviously some problem with him because he usually throws mid
• 24:31
  Speaker 5: to upper. Nine He's i'm pretty Sure Chad patrick is
• 24:35
  Speaker 5: not a guy that throws that. Hard but his numbers
• 24:37
  Speaker 5: overall are pretty good two point five to SEVEN, era
• 24:40
  Speaker 5: one point two to FIVE. Whip he's been a bit
• 24:42
  Speaker 5: worse on the road though for er on the road this.
• 24:45
  Speaker 5: Year his problem is the. Walks LIKE i, said he's
• 24:48
  Speaker 5: got sixteen strikeouts at thirteen. Walks that is a really bad.
• 24:52
  Speaker 5: Ratio twenty two hits a lot in twenty eight, innings
• 24:55
  Speaker 5: so that's. Good he doesn't strike out a lot of
• 24:57
  Speaker 5: guys LIKE i, said he it. Does this is a
• 25:00
  Speaker 5: lot of soft, contact with a lot of it is
• 25:02
  Speaker 5: in the, air which does worry me a. Bit but
• 25:05
  Speaker 5: generally he's been. Good he's allowed more than two urn
• 25:07
  Speaker 5: runs only, once although some of these outings he didn't
• 25:09
  Speaker 5: go that deep into the. Games he's a decent, pitcher,
• 25:13
  Speaker 5: THOUGH i, mean he's kept his team in games for
• 25:15
  Speaker 5: the most, part at the very. Least his numbers Against
• 25:18
  Speaker 5: washington very small, sample but these are okay, numbers and
• 25:22
  Speaker 5: eleven at bats has no strikeouts though one, walk two
• 25:26
  Speaker 5: seventy three average allowed at six h six. Ops he
• 25:30
  Speaker 5: faced them this, year by the, way So washington is
• 25:32
  Speaker 5: familiar with. Him that might be a little bit of
• 25:34
  Speaker 5: a disadvantage, now because you remember WHAT i always, say
• 25:37
  Speaker 5: the first time a lineup has to face a, pitcher
• 25:40
  Speaker 5: sometimes they won't do that well because they're not familiar with.
• 25:42
  Speaker 5: Them so all those numbers were that start that he
• 25:45
  Speaker 5: made Against washington or, appearance whatever it. WAS i don't
• 25:48
  Speaker 5: know if it was a start or. Not it was
• 25:50
  Speaker 5: back In. April he went three shutout innings in that, outing,
• 25:54
  Speaker 5: though but didn't strike out, anybody give up one. Walk
• 25:57
  Speaker 5: all the, NUMBERS i basically just said he was. Fine
• 26:00
  Speaker 5: but now That washington has seen him, once they might
• 26:03
  Speaker 5: be able to hit him a little bit. Better SO
• 26:05
  Speaker 5: i don't really Love patrick. Here But Zach lttel is
• 26:08
  Speaker 5: pitching For. Washington he's had a really bad season so.
• 26:11
  Speaker 5: Far seven point eight FIVE, era one point seven four,
• 26:14
  Speaker 5: whip really bad. Stuff he's been even worse at home
• 26:18
  Speaker 5: with a nine HOME. Bra this is not. Good washington's
• 26:22
  Speaker 5: lost his last three. Starts he's been terrible in all of,
• 26:26
  Speaker 5: them two of them are at. Home one of them
• 26:27
  Speaker 5: was Against San francisco and one of them was against The.
• 26:29
  Speaker 5: METS i, mean those teams haven't been hitting at. All
• 26:32
  Speaker 5: he actually was a little bit better Against. Milwaukee he
• 26:35
  Speaker 5: did face them in That milwaukee series on the, road
• 26:39
  Speaker 5: went five innings in that, one give it three earned
• 26:41
  Speaker 5: runs on six, hits three, strikeouts no, Walks so he
• 26:44
  Speaker 5: actually pitched pretty well in that. Game but since then
• 26:46
  Speaker 5: he's been awful in every, start SO i don't really
• 26:50
  Speaker 5: think he's gonna do particularly well. Here his numbers Against
• 26:53
  Speaker 5: milwaukee are actually, good, though SO i don't really feel
• 26:56
  Speaker 5: like fading him either seventy four percent of the tickets or
• 26:59
  Speaker 5: seventy four one of my even, say seventy four at
• 27:01
  Speaker 5: bats thirteen to four strike at walker, ratio one eighty
• 27:04
  Speaker 5: nine batting average, allowed SIX, zho nine. Ops trong has
• 27:09
  Speaker 5: hit him a little bit five for ten with two
• 27:11
  Speaker 5: of them, runs but nobody else in this lineup has
• 27:13
  Speaker 5: really done a lot of damage to. Him But lattel also,
• 27:16
  Speaker 5: sucks so obviously there's the potential that he doesn't do well.
• 27:20
  Speaker 5: Here but then, again Is milwaukee gonna Overlook washington because
• 27:24
  Speaker 5: they're already on the verge of sweeping this, series And
• 27:27
  Speaker 5: washington has not been playing well. Recently milwaukee's Got Saint
• 27:30
  Speaker 5: louis on, deck, Man and even THOUGH i Think Saint
• 27:33
  Speaker 5: louis is still not, good they might be looking ahead
• 27:35
  Speaker 5: Because Saint, louis that's a divisional. Matchup Saint louis has
• 27:38
  Speaker 5: BEEN i, Mean Saint louis has a good record this,
• 27:41
  Speaker 5: Year so that might Have milwaukee with one eye looking,
• 27:44
  Speaker 5: ahead you. Know SO i don't love the situational setup
• 27:47
  Speaker 5: For milwaukee. Here i'm staying away from the. Game milwaukee
• 27:51
  Speaker 5: is a public, side eighty one percent of, tickets only
• 27:54
  Speaker 5: seventy eight percent of the cash on. Them and, again
• 27:56
  Speaker 5: LIKE i, said you, Know lattel at the very least
• 28:00
  Speaker 5: has done okay Against milwaukee in the. Past SO i don't,
• 28:04
  Speaker 5: know Does milwaukee deserve to be like a minus one
• 28:06
  Speaker 5: thirty four, favorite you, KNOW i, mean probably they. Do
• 28:12
  Speaker 5: milwaukee probably does have the, edge you, know in most
• 28:15
  Speaker 5: respects in this. Game you, Know washington's bullpen is definitely.
• 28:19
  Speaker 5: Untrustworthy the money's hitting the under a little bit in
• 28:22
  Speaker 5: this game as. Well total at eight and a, HALF
• 28:25
  Speaker 5: i could see the argument for it if you actually
• 28:27
  Speaker 5: Think lattel does just have a matchup edge against these particular.
• 28:31
  Speaker 5: Hitters you, know you could, try you know to you,
• 28:36
  Speaker 5: know it would be a real, gamble but you, COULD i,
• 28:38
  Speaker 5: guess take a shot under first five innings in that.
• 28:42
  Speaker 5: Game BUT i would not want to do, it you,
• 28:45
  Speaker 5: know DO i want to have my money On Zach. Lttel,
• 28:47
  Speaker 5: EVER i don't know if there's ever gonna be a
• 28:50
  Speaker 5: scenario where If i'm not even gonna want him in this.
• 28:52
  Speaker 5: GAME i can't really imagine a scenario WHERE i, do
• 28:55
  Speaker 5: unless maybe if it comes up where he has a
• 28:59
  Speaker 5: really good matchup edge against somebody and he's facing a
• 29:02
  Speaker 5: pitcher that has an absolutely disgustingly bad. One, maybe but,
• 29:06
  Speaker 5: YEAH i don't see. It next game up is going
• 29:08
  Speaker 5: to be my final baseball. Play this one is a
• 29:17
  Speaker 5: side AND i, think, yeah we're gonna be on the
• 29:19
  Speaker 5: side of the public in this. One but we're gonna
• 29:21
  Speaker 5: take The phillies minus one forty on the money line
• 29:24
  Speaker 5: here on the road At. Miami we're just gonna do, it.
• 29:29
  Speaker 5: MAN i, mean maybe the public won't be as heavily
• 29:31
  Speaker 5: On philly because the record has been so bad this,
• 29:34
  Speaker 5: year AND i know they're bad on the. Road five and,
• 29:36
  Speaker 5: Ten miami eleven and seven at. Home so, yeah the
• 29:39
  Speaker 5: home road dichotomy just generally for these teams doesn't look.
• 29:42
  Speaker 5: Good BUT i keep Saying philadelphia is not this, bad
• 29:47
  Speaker 5: SO i have to think that at some point they're
• 29:50
  Speaker 5: gonna turn. Around and this pitching matchup looks like it's
• 29:53
  Speaker 5: such a huge edge To, philadelphia Which i'll get into
• 29:56
  Speaker 5: in a, Second LIKE i JUST i have to do
• 29:58
  Speaker 5: it Man philadelphia, here AND i don't Think miami's as
• 30:03
  Speaker 5: good as their record might look, Either SO i think
• 30:05
  Speaker 5: there's not that much of a disparity. HERE i Think
• 30:07
  Speaker 5: philly at the end of the, Season philadelphia might wind
• 30:10
  Speaker 5: up being ahead Of. Miami philadelphia used two relief pitchers.
• 30:14
  Speaker 5: Yesterday their bullpen is really the main. Issue BUT i
• 30:17
  Speaker 5: Know i'm not going first five on this game because
• 30:19
  Speaker 5: their BULLPEN i think is okay. Enough miami does have
• 30:24
  Speaker 5: a really rested, bullpen, though so if you want to
• 30:26
  Speaker 5: go first, five you know With philly you could do
• 30:28
  Speaker 5: that as. Well you probably have to pay a little
• 30:30
  Speaker 5: bit more of a price for. It i'm just hoping
• 30:32
  Speaker 5: that the starting pitching just kind of cascades into the
• 30:35
  Speaker 5: bullpen here a little. Bit but looking at the Bullpen's.
• 30:38
  Speaker 5: Miami you know they've Been i'm looking at hitting their.
• 30:41
  Speaker 5: Whoops miami has been pretty. Good they're tenth in bullpen.
• 30:44
  Speaker 5: Whip philadelphia hasn't been as, good but they're not like
• 30:47
  Speaker 5: an egregiously bad. Bullpen they're at. Twentieth they have the lesser,
• 30:51
  Speaker 5: bullpen and they're a little bit less. Rested BUT i
• 30:54
  Speaker 5: think it was starting pitching is gonna kind of have
• 30:56
  Speaker 5: a domino effect into the. Bullpen it's such That i'll
• 31:00
  Speaker 5: go full game to get the better price on this
• 31:02
  Speaker 5: rather than having to lay like minus one fifty whatever
• 31:05
  Speaker 5: on WHICH i think is what it is on first. Five,
• 31:08
  Speaker 5: actually let me. LOOK i can look real quick and
• 31:10
  Speaker 5: see what it is on the first five. Line, yeah
• 31:16
  Speaker 5: it's LIKE i, said the best you can find is
• 31:18
  Speaker 5: minus one. Fifty so it's a little. Bit, yeah if
• 31:22
  Speaker 5: you're if you're gonna go first, five you might just
• 31:24
  Speaker 5: Go philadelphia minus a half. Run But i'm gonna take
• 31:27
  Speaker 5: the bullpen hit and just go full game with this
• 31:30
  Speaker 5: BECAUSE i Think philly has a big matchup edge here
• 31:33
  Speaker 5: with the starting. Pitching i'm also not sold On miami
• 31:36
  Speaker 5: being the eleventh best. Offense they've been better Than Philly
• 31:39
  Speaker 5: philly's twenty. Seventh but, again if you look at who
• 31:42
  Speaker 5: these teams have for, HITTERS i just don't see. IT
• 31:46
  Speaker 5: i really don't like over the course of the. SEASON
• 31:49
  Speaker 5: i don't See miami's offense winding up being better Than
• 31:52
  Speaker 5: phillies once the season is. Over SO i will say.
• 31:56
  Speaker 5: That but what we're doing is we're gonna play On
• 31:58
  Speaker 5: Jesus lazardo. Here AND i know he's a guy that
• 32:01
  Speaker 5: has really really awful start sometimes and sometimes he's just totally.
• 32:05
  Speaker 5: Unhittable so you have no idea what you're gonna get
• 32:08
  Speaker 5: out of The. Lozardo BUT i think we can guess
• 32:10
  Speaker 5: what we're gonna get out of him. HERE i know
• 32:12
  Speaker 5: his overall numbers look, bad five point FIVE, era one
• 32:15
  Speaker 5: point two EIGHT whip is not that. Bad but if
• 32:17
  Speaker 5: You i'm gonna dig into his numbers, here he has
• 32:21
  Speaker 5: not been this. Bad and he did pitch well in
• 32:23
  Speaker 5: his last outing Against San. FRANCISCO i know they don't hit,
• 32:27
  Speaker 5: well but he dominated them seven shutout, innings eight, strikeouts no,
• 32:30
  Speaker 5: walks two hits. Allowed he was showing signs of improvement
• 32:34
  Speaker 5: in the previous start. Too he gave up one run
• 32:36
  Speaker 5: against The cobs didn't make it five innings, though and
• 32:39
  Speaker 5: walked four guys and was way into fishing with his
• 32:41
  Speaker 5: pitches and threw one hundred. Pitches but you, know he
• 32:44
  Speaker 5: seemed to be kind of returning to form, there And
• 32:48
  Speaker 5: miami is not as good of an offense as The cubs,
• 32:50
  Speaker 5: are SO i think he should have an easier time.
• 32:53
  Speaker 5: Here but looking at his overall, numbers there's nothing really
• 32:56
  Speaker 5: that bad about. This forty one to nine strike out
• 32:59
  Speaker 5: walk ratio is really. Good that's a ton of, strikeouts
• 33:01
  Speaker 5: thirty five hits a lout in thirty four to thirty.
• 33:03
  Speaker 5: Innies you'd like to see that hit number be, lower
• 33:06
  Speaker 5: but he's got a lot of, strikeouts he's been fooling
• 33:09
  Speaker 5: hit or as his stuff looks like it's. Good his
• 33:10
  Speaker 5: command numbers look. Good he's got more ground ball outs
• 33:14
  Speaker 5: than fly ball. Outs there's nothing really bad about these numbers, here,
• 33:18
  Speaker 5: Man SO i think he's gotten a little bit. Unlucky
• 33:21
  Speaker 5: the one outing that was really, bad he just got
• 33:23
  Speaker 5: tagged in that first outing against The, cubs but they
• 33:26
  Speaker 5: just he was just way too hit a. Ball maybe
• 33:29
  Speaker 5: he was tipping his, pitches which did happen a couple
• 33:31
  Speaker 5: of times last. Year hopefully it doesn't happen. Here he's
• 33:35
  Speaker 5: been good on the. Road he has a one point
• 33:37
  Speaker 5: five to NINE ROADI ray this. YEAR i know it's
• 33:39
  Speaker 5: a very small sample, size but he's been very good
• 33:41
  Speaker 5: on the. Road his most recent start that was really
• 33:44
  Speaker 5: good was not even actually on the. Road and then
• 33:46
  Speaker 5: his numbers Against miami are really. Good and he's also
• 33:49
  Speaker 5: familiar with pitching in this, ballpark and it's a pretty
• 33:51
  Speaker 5: pitcher friend the. Ballpark but he used to be On,
• 33:53
  Speaker 5: miami SO i know he's pitched Against miami since, then
• 33:57
  Speaker 5: but you know he's pitching against the team that got
• 33:59
  Speaker 5: rid of. It SO i think he tends to step
• 34:01
  Speaker 5: up his game when he pitches against, them because he
• 34:03
  Speaker 5: does have good numbers against. Them sixty two at, bats
• 34:06
  Speaker 5: thirteen to six strike a walk ratio is not very,
• 34:09
  Speaker 5: good but two twenty six average, allowed five thirty six.
• 34:12
  Speaker 5: Ohps those are good. Numbers he's been good on the,
• 34:15
  Speaker 5: road he's got good matchup. Numbers he looks like he's
• 34:17
  Speaker 5: coming back into form. Here he's gotten unlucky this. Year
• 34:21
  Speaker 5: i'm gonna roll With lozardo, here especially because he's going
• 34:24
  Speaker 5: up Against Chris, paddock WHO i think is legitimately. Badu
• 34:29
  Speaker 5: paddock has a six point one to ONE era one
• 34:31
  Speaker 5: point five. Whip HIS era at home is an abysmal
• 34:35
  Speaker 5: thirteen point half thirteen point, five thirteen and a half
• 34:40
  Speaker 5: really really bad HOME. Era he's failed to make it
• 34:43
  Speaker 5: five innings in all but one of his outings this entire,
• 34:46
  Speaker 5: season which was one where he might have stepped it
• 34:49
  Speaker 5: up because it was against his former Team. Detroit he's
• 34:52
  Speaker 5: been awful in every other start pretty, much or at
• 34:55
  Speaker 5: least hasn't gone five innings in those. Starts, yeah, granted
• 34:59
  Speaker 5: he's faced some offenses this, year The, yankees The, Braves
• 35:03
  Speaker 5: cardinals Of, it, well The, Dodgers, uh But, Philly, YEAH
• 35:07
  Speaker 5: i don't know that he's gonna necessarily do well. Here
• 35:09
  Speaker 5: he does have a decent twenty six to seven strike
• 35:11
  Speaker 5: out walk, ratio but he's allowed thirty five hits in
• 35:14
  Speaker 5: twenty eight. Innings this is the thing With. Paddock he
• 35:17
  Speaker 5: just gets hit. Hard he's allowed five home runs as.
• 35:20
  Speaker 5: Well he allows a lot of fly, balls WHICH i
• 35:22
  Speaker 5: know is not as bad in a more pitcher from
• 35:25
  Speaker 5: the stadium Like, Miami but his numbers Gets filly are
• 35:28
  Speaker 5: not that good. Either in thirty seven at, bats nine
• 35:31
  Speaker 5: to one strike out walk ratio is. Good it's better
• 35:33
  Speaker 5: Than lozardo's in this. Matchup but he's a lot of
• 35:36
  Speaker 5: ninety seven average and seven forty eight. Ops and WHILE
• 35:40
  Speaker 5: i know THAT ops isn't that, bad his matchup numbers
• 35:43
  Speaker 5: are a lot worse Than, LOZARDOS i think he's clearly
• 35:46
  Speaker 5: the lesser. Pitcher we're just gonna go with. It we're
• 35:49
  Speaker 5: gonna go With philadelphia. Here In, philadelphia by the, way
• 35:52
  Speaker 5: did lose yesterday four to. Nothing and while, yes they
• 35:55
  Speaker 5: lost a four game win, streak you know, Which sometimes
• 35:59
  Speaker 5: you lose win, streak it'll hang you over into the next.
• 36:01
  Speaker 5: Game but to counter, that when a team gets shut,
• 36:04
  Speaker 5: out a lot of times you do want to look
• 36:05
  Speaker 5: to them in the next. Game SO i Think philadelphia
• 36:09
  Speaker 5: is going to show up and bounce back and do better.
• 36:11
  Speaker 5: Here that's what we're going. With the money looks like
• 36:15
  Speaker 5: it is joining the public here as far AS i could,
• 36:17
  Speaker 5: tell seventy two tickets eighty two percent of the cash On.
• 36:20
  Speaker 5: Philly you can find the minus one forty out there
• 36:23
  Speaker 5: at multiple outlets right. Now it looks like somewhere in that.
• 36:25
  Speaker 5: Range so that's what we're. Doing we're just gonna money line.
• 36:28
  Speaker 5: IT i know my two baseball players are a little bit,
• 36:30
  Speaker 5: juicy but this is, baseball, Man that's WHAT i. Like
• 36:35
  Speaker 5: and it looks like the money is heavily hitting the
• 36:37
  Speaker 5: under in that game with the total down to. EIGHT
• 36:40
  Speaker 5: i don't know IF i see, THAT i would be
• 36:42
  Speaker 5: a little bit worried about the under. There but we'll
• 36:45
  Speaker 5: go With philly and hope that the starting pitching matchup
• 36:48
  Speaker 5: gets us enough off on the right foot that the
• 36:50
  Speaker 5: bullpens are not gonna That philadelphia's bullpen is not going
• 36:54
  Speaker 5: to do us in in that, game you know WHAT i.
• 36:55
  Speaker 5: MEAN i want to get the better price on. It
• 36:58
  Speaker 5: LIKE i, said so if you wanted to go, FIRST
• 37:00
  Speaker 5: i wouldn't disagree with that, either, though first five run
• 37:04
  Speaker 5: line On, PHILADELPHIA i, think is HOW i would do
• 37:06
  Speaker 5: that IF i was gonna do it that. Way San
• 37:07
  Speaker 5: francisco At Tampa. Bay Tampa bay has won both games
• 37:11
  Speaker 5: in the series so far by combined eight to one.
• 37:13
  Speaker 5: Score Tampa bay's bullpen looks to be pitching better. Now
• 37:17
  Speaker 5: they might start looking, ahead, man because they've already won the.
• 37:19
  Speaker 5: Series they might not care that much about an interleague
• 37:22
  Speaker 5: game against A San francisco, team it's not having a
• 37:25
  Speaker 5: good season so, far And tampa's got a big divisional
• 37:28
  Speaker 5: series next Against, toronto and in, fact they have three
• 37:32
  Speaker 5: straight divisional series after this Against, Toronto, boston And, toronto
• 37:37
  Speaker 5: so they could potentially start looking ahead. Here maybe not
• 37:40
  Speaker 5: the best spot For Tampa bay. Here as far as
• 37:43
  Speaker 5: the bullpen, usage let me, See Tampa bay used a
• 37:48
  Speaker 5: bunch of their relievers. Yesterday though they used four relief pitchers,
• 37:51
  Speaker 5: YESTERDAY i Think San francisco does have the better bullpend
• 37:53
  Speaker 5: even Though tampa has been better in that department. Recently
• 37:57
  Speaker 5: San francisco used three relief pitchers. Yesterday, GIANTS i, mean
• 38:00
  Speaker 5: one of the good things about them is their. Bullpen
• 38:03
  Speaker 5: theyre ninth In Bullpen. Whip they have one of the
• 38:05
  Speaker 5: best bullpen eras they are indeed one of the best.
• 38:08
  Speaker 5: Bullpens tampa's bullpen has gotten themselves out of the bottom
• 38:11
  Speaker 5: of the pack and they're all the way at eighteenth
• 38:13
  Speaker 5: now In, whip and their era is still bad in
• 38:16
  Speaker 5: the mid, fours but they're no longer a bullpen THAT
• 38:19
  Speaker 5: i would say you should just completely. Avoid looking at
• 38:23
  Speaker 5: the hitting. Here San francisco's hitting has been awful second
• 38:27
  Speaker 5: worst in, baseball miserably, Bad Tampa bay mediocre at seventeenth and.
• 38:31
  Speaker 5: Hitting Tyler maley is pitching For San. FRANCISCO i don't
• 38:35
  Speaker 5: know if we could trust him man five point eight SEVEN,
• 38:38
  Speaker 5: era one point sixty three. WHIP i know he had
• 38:40
  Speaker 5: a decent season last year with The Texas, rangers and
• 38:45
  Speaker 5: The giants generally have pretty good. Pitching but you, know
• 38:48
  Speaker 5: it seemed like a decent spot for him to go
• 38:50
  Speaker 5: because it's similar To San francisco or similar To. Texas
• 38:54
  Speaker 5: In San francisco is similar To, texas and that their
• 38:57
  Speaker 5: pitching coaching seems to be good and they have a
• 38:59
  Speaker 5: pitcher friendly. Park but that just has not helped mally so. Far,
• 39:04
  Speaker 5: again five point eight SEVENTY ra one point six to three.
• 39:06
  Speaker 5: Whip that's really. Bad he's been really bad on the
• 39:09
  Speaker 5: road THIRTEEN era on the road when he's pitching away
• 39:12
  Speaker 5: from the pitcher friendly stadium At arlington. There although again
• 39:17
  Speaker 5: these are really small sample sizes early in the season,
• 39:20
  Speaker 5: though but his numbers overall they're not looking that. Good
• 39:23
  Speaker 5: twenty nine to seventeen strike out walk, right, sure the
• 39:25
  Speaker 5: walk number is quite bad and thirty three hits allowed
• 39:29
  Speaker 5: in thirty to two thirds. Innings that's all bad he's.
• 39:31
  Speaker 5: Allowed he's alternated good and bad starts. Though he's allowed
• 39:35
  Speaker 5: five or more runs and three of his last five,
• 39:37
  Speaker 5: outings but the starts in between the two he shut
• 39:41
  Speaker 5: Out philadelphia and The. Dodgers those were both at home,
• 39:44
  Speaker 5: though so he's been you, know his start before, that,
• 39:49
  Speaker 5: though was also at, home and he got lit up
• 39:50
  Speaker 5: by The. Mets SO i don't, know Man and he
• 39:53
  Speaker 5: does seem to be alternating good and, bad and if
• 39:55
  Speaker 5: he does, that that means he's gonna be good in this.
• 39:58
  Speaker 5: Game BUT I i don't know IF i trust. It,
• 40:01
  Speaker 5: manly you could make the argument That philly hit him
• 40:03
  Speaker 5: better in the last outing because they'd just seen him
• 40:05
  Speaker 5: in the previous outing in his outing that he had
• 40:09
  Speaker 5: two outings prior to. THAT i, mean his numbers Against
• 40:12
  Speaker 5: Tampa bay are actually. Good in twenty three at bats
• 40:15
  Speaker 5: six to three strike out walk ratio is not, good
• 40:17
  Speaker 5: but he's allowed no extra base hits to seventeen batting
• 40:20
  Speaker 5: average five twenty five, ohps so he might actually do
• 40:23
  Speaker 5: okay in this. Game Stephen motts's pitching For Tampa. Bay
• 40:27
  Speaker 5: he's pitched pretty well this. Year four point three to
• 40:31
  Speaker 5: ONE era one point one two. Whip the whip is
• 40:34
  Speaker 5: indicative that HIS era should be a little bit better than.
• 40:36
  Speaker 5: That Tampa bay has made him back into a, starter
• 40:40
  Speaker 5: which he was earlier in his career before he was
• 40:42
  Speaker 5: a relief pitcher for a. While he's been pretty ugly
• 40:45
  Speaker 5: at home this year, though six point seventy five HOME.
• 40:48
  Speaker 5: Era that's not. Good his two home starts have been questionable.
• 40:52
  Speaker 5: Though actually he was pretty good at home against The,
• 40:54
  Speaker 5: yankees and then he had one bad start at home
• 40:56
  Speaker 5: Against cincinnadding maybe you can argue that's a fluke, though
• 41:00
  Speaker 5: and he's still not allowed more than four earned runs
• 41:02
  Speaker 5: in any, outing and that was only that one and
• 41:05
  Speaker 5: his opening start At Saint. Louis if you take those,
• 41:08
  Speaker 5: away he's allowed two or fewer earned runs and all
• 41:10
  Speaker 5: the rest of his, outings most of them though against
• 41:13
  Speaker 5: pretty bad offenses And, cincinnati though that was a game
• 41:17
  Speaker 5: WHERE i actually gave out a play On, Cincinnati i'm
• 41:20
  Speaker 5: pretty sure in that, game and part of the reasoning
• 41:22
  Speaker 5: Was cincinnati was very familiar With motts because he was
• 41:26
  Speaker 5: pitching in their, division so they knew him and they
• 41:29
  Speaker 5: were able to hit. Him so maybe you give him
• 41:30
  Speaker 5: a pass for. That his numbers against The giants are
• 41:33
  Speaker 5: pretty good and thirty nine at, bats ten, strikeouts no,
• 41:36
  Speaker 5: walks two fifty six average, allowed five sixty four. Ops
• 41:40
  Speaker 5: those are good. Numbers you, know the matchup numbers really
• 41:44
  Speaker 5: are kind of indicating towards an under in this. Game you,
• 41:48
  Speaker 5: KNOW i don't know that it's necessary to necessarily avoid
• 41:51
  Speaker 5: the bullpens in this. One you, know that might be
• 41:54
  Speaker 5: the WAY i would. Go the money seems to not really.
• 41:57
  Speaker 5: Agree fifty eight percent of tickets fifty sven percent of
• 41:59
  Speaker 5: the cap on the under totals at. Eight you, KNOW
• 42:03
  Speaker 5: i THINK i would agree with the under them there
• 42:06
  Speaker 5: are a couple of eight and a, half so out
• 42:07
  Speaker 5: there there's not much of a difference between eight and
• 42:09
  Speaker 5: a half and, eight, Though SO i THINK i would
• 42:12
  Speaker 5: agree with an. Under though from the side, perspective seventy
• 42:15
  Speaker 5: six percent of, tickets fifty percent of the cash On
• 42:18
  Speaker 5: tampa they dropped from minus one fifty eight to minus
• 42:21
  Speaker 5: one thirty, basically so some money has come in Against tampa.
• 42:24
  Speaker 5: Here and from a situational, perspective, YES i agree That
• 42:28
  Speaker 5: Tampa bay might Overlook San francisco here because they've already
• 42:31
  Speaker 5: won the. Series LIKE i, said they might be looking.
• 42:33
  Speaker 5: AHEAD i don't Trust molly enough for, it. THOUGH i just.
• 42:37
  Speaker 5: DON'T i don't want to have my money on. Him
• 42:39
  Speaker 5: so that's WHAT i think about that. Game dodgers At Saint.
• 42:43
  Speaker 5: Louis this is getting. Ridiculous Saint louis has won both
• 42:46
  Speaker 5: games in the. SERIES i still do not Think Saint
• 42:50
  Speaker 5: louis is. Good. Man they've won six games in a,
• 42:52
  Speaker 5: row but before that they looked like they just totally.
• 42:54
  Speaker 5: Imploded SO i don't know what's going on here with
• 42:57
  Speaker 5: the six game win streak they have going on. Here
• 43:00
  Speaker 5: uh they're on the verge of a sweep of The.
• 43:02
  Speaker 5: Dodgers and while NORMALLY i would say they're not gonna
• 43:05
  Speaker 5: overlook The, dodgers but they've already won the first two
• 43:07
  Speaker 5: games of the. Series they Got milwaukee on, deck which
• 43:10
  Speaker 5: is a divisional. Opponent The dodgers have LOST i don't,
• 43:14
  Speaker 5: know four straight. Games we lost on them the other.
• 43:17
  Speaker 5: Day you gotta think The dodgers are gonna show up
• 43:19
  Speaker 5: with a little bit more effort at some, point, though
• 43:22
  Speaker 5: just you, know they're too good to keep losing like this,
• 43:25
  Speaker 5: obviously Uh, so maybe The dodgers show up for once
• 43:28
  Speaker 5: here The. Dodgers their pitching has been. Fine it's been you,
• 43:33
  Speaker 5: know well for the most. Part, again well not. Really
• 43:35
  Speaker 5: sosaki wasn't that good the other, day and their bullpen
• 43:38
  Speaker 5: kind of wasn't that. Good but their pitching was fine.
• 43:40
  Speaker 5: Yesterday The dodgers' offense has really, struggled BUT i mean
• 43:44
  Speaker 5: overall over the last four, games The dodgers pitching has
• 43:47
  Speaker 5: been pretty good and they're hitting has been. Awful dodgers
• 43:51
  Speaker 5: used two relief pitchers. Yesterday they do have the better bullpen,
• 43:54
  Speaker 5: Still Saint louis used. Three Saint louis is the less rested,
• 43:58
  Speaker 5: bullpen and their twenty second in bullpen been. Whipped their
• 44:00
  Speaker 5: E ra is still over. Five that's really bad The. Dodgers,
• 44:05
  Speaker 5: still they're actually up there their top four in bullpen
• 44:08
  Speaker 5: whip right now and their E ra is in the.
• 44:10
  Speaker 5: Threes so pretty good bullpen for The dodgers of this. Season,
• 44:14
  Speaker 5: dodgers because of how bad their offense has been, recently
• 44:17
  Speaker 5: they somehow actually fell out of the number one spot
• 44:20
  Speaker 5: IN ops and in team batting average out they're Below atlanta,
• 44:25
  Speaker 5: now believe it or. Not but there's still any lead offense,
• 44:28
  Speaker 5: obviously The Saint louis offense is at. EIGHTH i don't
• 44:32
  Speaker 5: know IF i buy. IT i still am not really
• 44:34
  Speaker 5: buying The Saint louis, team. Man you, KNOW i think
• 44:38
  Speaker 5: they're gonna be a team that you want to pick
• 44:39
  Speaker 5: spots to fade them in the short. TERM i don't
• 44:42
  Speaker 5: know if this is really, it. Though Justin robleski is
• 44:45
  Speaker 5: going to get the start for The. Dodgers he's been
• 44:47
  Speaker 5: fine this, year one point five yr point nine to seven.
• 44:51
  Speaker 5: WHIP i, know those numbers look really. GOOD i don't
• 44:54
  Speaker 5: think he's that. GOOD i, mean he's not a strikeout.
• 44:56
  Speaker 5: Pitcher and you know he's been not allowing runs, though
• 44:59
  Speaker 5: so good for. Him his home road splits are. Exact
• 45:02
  Speaker 5: his era is, hilarious exactly the same home and Away,
• 45:06
  Speaker 5: dodgers and in fact himself have won four straight starts
• 45:10
  Speaker 5: that he's. Made he's allowed one or fewer ear and
• 45:12
  Speaker 5: run in every one of those. Outings that is, good
• 45:15
  Speaker 5: and one of those is in course. Field one of
• 45:17
  Speaker 5: them was at home against The. Cobs he did walk
• 45:20
  Speaker 5: four guys in that. One in two of those. Outings in, fact,
• 45:23
  Speaker 5: OVERALL i, mean his strikeout walk ratio is. Bad it's
• 45:26
  Speaker 5: fifteen to, nine but some of it is just that
• 45:29
  Speaker 5: he's not a strikeout, pitcher AND i don't know how
• 45:32
  Speaker 5: he's been this, successful to be. Honest fifteen strikeouts in
• 45:35
  Speaker 5: thirty In he's is a very low strikeout, rate but
• 45:38
  Speaker 5: he's only allowed twenty, hits and you, know nine walks
• 45:41
  Speaker 5: at thirty innings is not that. Bad, obviously he's kind
• 45:45
  Speaker 5: of an extreme fly ball, pitcher but he's inducing a
• 45:48
  Speaker 5: bunch of like weak contact and just getting guys to
• 45:50
  Speaker 5: hit into, outs so he's been successful at. That his
• 45:54
  Speaker 5: numbers Against Saint louis are not good. Though we have
• 45:57
  Speaker 5: a small sample though of twenty seven at bats but
• 46:00
  Speaker 5: seven to three strike at walk. Ratio he's allowed three home,
• 46:03
  Speaker 5: runs two of them to. Pies he's got a three
• 46:06
  Speaker 5: thirty three batting, average a lot of one thousand and
• 46:09
  Speaker 5: one oh four. Ops none of that is. Good so matchup,
• 46:13
  Speaker 5: wise he does not look to match up that well
• 46:15
  Speaker 5: Against Saint, louis and he's going up against Former Dodger Dustin,
• 46:19
  Speaker 5: may who has had like four good starts in a,
• 46:22
  Speaker 5: row and his numbers are still horrible on the, season
• 46:25
  Speaker 5: five point two to EIGHTY, r one point five to
• 46:28
  Speaker 5: three Whip Dustin may has been better at home though
• 46:31
  Speaker 5: four point FIVE. Era here at, home it's a pitcher friendly,
• 46:34
  Speaker 5: ballpark so he's doing better at. Home he's had four
• 46:37
  Speaker 5: good starts in a, row LIKE i, said where his
• 46:39
  Speaker 5: team has won all four of. Them he's allowed two
• 46:42
  Speaker 5: or fewer runs in all of. Them he's not really.
• 46:45
  Speaker 5: Dominating he's not striking guys, out BUT i don't, know
• 46:48
  Speaker 5: it seems like he's learning to kind of pitch with
• 46:50
  Speaker 5: that like limited velocity that he has. Now but he
• 46:53
  Speaker 5: has not faced a bunch of good. Offenses though he
• 46:55
  Speaker 5: faced The Red, sox The, indians The, marlins and The.
• 46:58
  Speaker 5: PIRATES i know thes have hit fairly well this, year
• 47:01
  Speaker 5: but those are not you, know that's that's not a
• 47:04
  Speaker 5: murderer's row of. Offense is. Okay the best offense that
• 47:08
  Speaker 5: he faced this year Was detroit and he got destroyed
• 47:10
  Speaker 5: in that. Game but, overall his numbers are you, KNOW i,
• 47:14
  Speaker 5: mean he has a twenty two to seven strike out walk.
• 47:16
  Speaker 5: Ratio that ratio is pretty. Good he's not walking, guys
• 47:19
  Speaker 5: but obviously he doesn't have velocity because that strike out
• 47:22
  Speaker 5: rate is definitely. Low in thirty to two thirds innyth
• 47:26
  Speaker 5: and he's also been. Hittable he's alloted forty, hits SO
• 47:29
  Speaker 5: i don't know if we could Trust, may although he
• 47:31
  Speaker 5: is in better form, recently so you do have to
• 47:33
  Speaker 5: give him. That and his numbers against The. Dodgers we
• 47:36
  Speaker 5: don't have a whole lot to go on here because
• 47:38
  Speaker 5: he was on The dodgers for most of his. Career
• 47:40
  Speaker 5: but they have five hitters who have faced him before
• 47:43
  Speaker 5: eighteen at. BATS i think only have one extra mase
• 47:45
  Speaker 5: Hit Freddy freeman double four, strikeouts two, walks two twenty
• 47:49
  Speaker 5: two average allowed five to seventy eight. Ops So May
• 47:54
  Speaker 5: may actually pitch okay here his matchup numbers actually Beat.
• 47:58
  Speaker 5: Robleski's Should robleski actually be minus one forty five here
• 48:03
  Speaker 5: on the? ROAD i don't, know you, know even though The,
• 48:08
  Speaker 5: dodgers LIKE i, said, situationally The dodgers makes sense because
• 48:11
  Speaker 5: they're the better team and they're trying to avoid the Sweet,
• 48:14
  Speaker 5: piers so that makes. Sense they got eighty one percent of,
• 48:16
  Speaker 5: tickets eighty seven percent of the cash on. THEM i
• 48:19
  Speaker 5: can't Trust robleski with his matchup numbers, though and his
• 48:22
  Speaker 5: overall numbers this. Year they're, unsustainable you know WHAT i?
• 48:25
  Speaker 5: Mean like you got a guy that just doesn't strike guys.
• 48:27
  Speaker 5: Out he's not gonna be able to sustain an era
• 48:31
  Speaker 5: and a whip that are that. Good although might he
• 48:33
  Speaker 5: continue to? Pitch, fine yeah he, might BUT i don't, know,
• 48:38
  Speaker 5: MAN i, mean matchup, WISE i would actually lean slightly
• 48:42
  Speaker 5: to just Grabbing Saint louis as an, underdog ALTHOUGH i
• 48:44
  Speaker 5: probably do it in the first five innings only BECAUSE
• 48:47
  Speaker 5: i don't Want Saint louis's bullpen in that equation at.
• 48:50
  Speaker 5: All so maybe first five Innings Saint louis kind of
• 48:53
  Speaker 5: makes sense there in a. Way and, again may he
• 48:58
  Speaker 5: might get up for it THOUGH i think he has
• 48:59
  Speaker 5: faced The dodgers since he got traded, away BUT i
• 49:01
  Speaker 5: might be wrong about. That let me, say because he
• 49:04
  Speaker 5: was on The dodgers last year and then he went
• 49:06
  Speaker 5: to The Red sox and then, no, yeah he was
• 49:11
  Speaker 5: on The dodgers until late last. Year, yeah so he
• 49:13
  Speaker 5: has never faced The dodgers since, then even though he's
• 49:15
  Speaker 5: faced some of these, hitters that was when those hitters
• 49:18
  Speaker 5: were on other, teams you, Know so that makes. Sense
• 49:22
  Speaker 5: so he might actually get up for this game a
• 49:23
  Speaker 5: little bit more because when you face the team that
• 49:26
  Speaker 5: got rid of you especially we're talking about The, dodgers you,
• 49:29
  Speaker 5: know the team that he started his career, with and
• 49:33
  Speaker 5: he spent almost his entire career with, them and now
• 49:35
  Speaker 5: it's his first time facing. Them that could be a
• 49:38
  Speaker 5: pretty big. Motivator. Man SO i THINK i would lean
• 49:40
  Speaker 5: To Saint louis first five. There BUT i do worry,
• 49:43
  Speaker 5: that you, know you might get The dodgers showing up
• 49:46
  Speaker 5: for once here and if the game is close going
• 49:49
  Speaker 5: to the, BULLPENS i think The dodgers probably do have
• 49:51
  Speaker 5: an advantage there in a late close. Game all, Right
• 49:54
  Speaker 5: arizona at The. Cubs The cubs are on the verge
• 49:58
  Speaker 5: of his sweet. Peers, well actually maybe. Not these teams
• 50:01
  Speaker 5: might carry over to. Tomorrow oh, no they do. Not
• 50:04
  Speaker 5: they do not have a wrap. AROUND i think there
• 50:06
  Speaker 5: were two wrap around series that are going, on but
• 50:09
  Speaker 5: this is not one of. Them one of THEM i
• 50:11
  Speaker 5: already talked. ABOUT i forget what the other one. Is
• 50:14
  Speaker 5: there might only be one, anyway. Whatever The cubs have
• 50:16
  Speaker 5: won both games in the. Series they've both been. Close
• 50:20
  Speaker 5: we got there with Our we scooped the pot in
• 50:23
  Speaker 5: that game. Yesterday it was gonna Be it was looking
• 50:25
  Speaker 5: like it was gonna be a push for The cubs
• 50:27
  Speaker 5: were able to get a late run And arizona's bullpen
• 50:29
  Speaker 5: being bad was part of that, handicap so we were
• 50:32
  Speaker 5: able to get the win there and scoop the pot
• 50:35
  Speaker 5: with The cubs being able to cover the run line.
• 50:37
  Speaker 5: There so maybe we got a little bit lucky on.
• 50:40
  Speaker 5: That but you, know The imonaga part of the handicap
• 50:43
  Speaker 5: turned out. Right it was Just nelson wasn't as bad
• 50:45
  Speaker 5: AS i thought he would. Be cubs might start looking.
• 50:48
  Speaker 5: AHEAD i, mean they got The reds, next and you,
• 50:50
  Speaker 5: know The reds are sitting LIKE i think The reds
• 50:53
  Speaker 5: might still be a top the division right, now or
• 50:55
  Speaker 5: they're really close to where The cubs are right. Now
• 50:57
  Speaker 5: so that's a big series coming up for The cubs In.
• 51:00
  Speaker 5: Cincinnati so The cubs have already won this, series they
• 51:03
  Speaker 5: might start looking. Ahead. Man so, situationally it is not
• 51:06
  Speaker 5: a good situation for The cubs, here but for reasons
• 51:11
  Speaker 5: That i'm gonna explain in a. Minute the. PITCHING i
• 51:13
  Speaker 5: don't think we could really jump On arizona. Here The
• 51:16
  Speaker 5: cubs have the better. Bullpen they use only one relief
• 51:18
  Speaker 5: pitcher yesterday it Was Ben, brown Who i'm pretty sure
• 51:21
  Speaker 5: they used in like a long relief role because sometimes
• 51:24
  Speaker 5: he is in their starting. Rotation arizona used four relief pitchers,
• 51:29
  Speaker 5: yesterday but they only Used Loai. Siga, however he pronounce
• 51:34
  Speaker 5: his name for three, pitches so he's probably available. AGAIN
• 51:38
  Speaker 5: i don't know if that matters a whole lot as
• 51:40
  Speaker 5: far as the. Bullpen's LIKE i, Said arizona is still
• 51:42
  Speaker 5: third in, whip but THEIR era is almost. Five, DUDE i,
• 51:46
  Speaker 5: mean this is not a very good bullpen That arizona.
• 51:48
  Speaker 5: Has The cubs are way better in er and more
• 51:51
  Speaker 5: than a run better even though they're sitting at. Fifth
• 51:53
  Speaker 5: their whip is almost the, same so, yes The cubs
• 51:55
  Speaker 5: have the better. Bullpen The cubs have been really good
• 51:58
  Speaker 5: offensively recently. Too fourth in offense over the course of the,
• 52:02
  Speaker 5: Season arizona's dropped off a little bit to thirteenth, offensively
• 52:06
  Speaker 5: even THOUGH i think they're a capable. Offense but The
• 52:09
  Speaker 5: cubs are the better. Offense. NOW i KNOW i said,
• 52:12
  Speaker 5: situationally it does like the situation Favors arizona, here but
• 52:16
  Speaker 5: there are just too many negatives To, arizona and one
• 52:19
  Speaker 5: of them Is Merrill kelly being on the. MOUND i
• 52:21
  Speaker 5: Mean he's had a decent, career, man the majority of
• 52:25
  Speaker 5: it was With, arizona so he's back With arizona where he's.
• 52:28
  Speaker 5: Familiar he pitched pretty well With texas last, year but
• 52:32
  Speaker 5: he has not been good so far this. Season he's
• 52:35
  Speaker 5: he had a delayed start to the season, though due
• 52:37
  Speaker 5: to an. Injury so he's just a mystery right, now, Man,
• 52:41
  Speaker 5: like will he return back to some sort of. FORM i,
• 52:44
  Speaker 5: mean he's thirty, seven so he's kind of. Old you
• 52:47
  Speaker 5: gotta think that he might return to some sort of form,
• 52:49
  Speaker 5: though BECAUSE i don't think he's ever really been a
• 52:51
  Speaker 5: guy that relies on like velocity in a huge. Way
• 52:55
  Speaker 5: but right now he's got a nine point TWO era
• 52:58
  Speaker 5: two point twenty five. Whip that's some really bad. Stuff
• 53:01
  Speaker 5: he's actually been a little bit better on the road
• 53:03
  Speaker 5: six point one roadyra but he might not do well
• 53:06
  Speaker 5: in this game because it looks like the wind is
• 53:08
  Speaker 5: blowing out and. Wrigly he's only made three starts, though
• 53:12
  Speaker 5: but he has really really. Struggled. Man he looked okay
• 53:15
  Speaker 5: ish in his opener Against, baltimore although he walked too many,
• 53:19
  Speaker 5: guys but he got. Worse he got blasted by a
• 53:21
  Speaker 5: White sox, team it's not really that. Good and then
• 53:24
  Speaker 5: an injury Plagued milwaukee team knocked him around as. Well
• 53:27
  Speaker 5: and he's got twelve walks and nine strikeouts so far this,
• 53:30
  Speaker 5: year and he's allowed a lot of fly, balls so
• 53:33
  Speaker 5: that's not looking. Good and twenty one hits allowed in
• 53:35
  Speaker 5: fourteen and two thirds innings along with five home. Runs
• 53:40
  Speaker 5: that all those numbers are concerning. Man too many, hits
• 53:43
  Speaker 5: too many fly, balls too many home, runs too many.
• 53:45
  Speaker 5: WALKS i, mean this is all. Bad and you want
• 53:48
  Speaker 5: him to now go pitch In wrigly in a wind
• 53:50
  Speaker 5: blowing out game where the total is really. High, yeah
• 53:54
  Speaker 5: that doesn't look, good even though overall his numbers are
• 53:56
  Speaker 5: actually really good against The cubs and a huge sample
• 53:59
  Speaker 5: of ninety seven at bats he's sell him to a
• 54:01
  Speaker 5: two h six average of five seventy nine ops over his.
• 54:05
  Speaker 5: Career the only bad thing is the walks nineteen to
• 54:08
  Speaker 5: ten strike out walk. Ratio it's kind of a limited
• 54:11
  Speaker 5: amount of strikeouts really more so than it is the.
• 54:13
  Speaker 5: Walks the number of walks isn't that, bad especially because
• 54:17
  Speaker 5: four of them are confort to does hit him pretty,
• 54:19
  Speaker 5: well AND pca or NOT pca hap actually hits him
• 54:22
  Speaker 5: pretty well as. Well but, YEAH i MEAN i can't Trust.
• 54:27
  Speaker 5: Kelly he does have good matchup numbers, here but he's
• 54:29
  Speaker 5: been so bad so. Far you, know maybe he is
• 54:32
  Speaker 5: gonna turn it around at some, point because obviously he's
• 54:35
  Speaker 5: been better than this throughout his, career so maybe he's
• 54:38
  Speaker 5: just still not over the, hump you, know injury, wise
• 54:40
  Speaker 5: and at some point he'll be. Back this game is
• 54:43
  Speaker 5: really like the mystery game because you have two pitchers
• 54:45
  Speaker 5: who are definitely, capable but they've had some real. Problems
• 54:49
  Speaker 5: Matthew boyd is pitching for The. Cubs he's got a
• 54:51
  Speaker 5: SEVEN era one point four to four. WHIP i still
• 54:55
  Speaker 5: can't Figure boyd, out, dude because he had kind of
• 54:57
  Speaker 5: a bad career for most his, career which was mostly With.
• 55:01
  Speaker 5: Detroit then you, know he had a very limited amount
• 55:05
  Speaker 5: of time With seattle where he's coming out of the
• 55:07
  Speaker 5: bullpen and he started pitching. Better then he went back
• 55:09
  Speaker 5: To detroit and he was horrible. Again then he went
• 55:12
  Speaker 5: To cleveland and all of a sudden he was really,
• 55:14
  Speaker 5: good and then he went to The cubs and he
• 55:15
  Speaker 5: had a good like he pitched for the entire year
• 55:18
  Speaker 5: last year and somehow at the age of like thirty,
• 55:21
  Speaker 5: four he had his best season of his career by.
• 55:24
  Speaker 5: Far it made no sense to, me, so you, know
• 55:28
  Speaker 5: but he's still with The cubs, now so it seems
• 55:30
  Speaker 5: like it should be kind of repeatable what he did last.
• 55:33
  Speaker 5: Year but maybe it's. Not maybe it was a. FLUKE
• 55:36
  Speaker 5: i don't, know because it seemed like he figured something.
• 55:38
  Speaker 5: Out but this year's numbers are. Bad LIKE i, said
• 55:41
  Speaker 5: Seventy ray one point four to for a. Whip he's
• 55:44
  Speaker 5: been a little bit better In wrigley, though five point
• 55:46
  Speaker 5: seven to Ninety. Ray AND i know it's still early
• 55:48
  Speaker 5: in the. Season look at his numbers, THOUGH i mean
• 55:51
  Speaker 5: he's only made four, starts so he got. Injured he
• 55:54
  Speaker 5: missed most of the month Of. April, actually he does
• 55:58
  Speaker 5: have a twenty six to five strike out walk, ratio
• 56:00
  Speaker 5: so that is actually really. Good his command numbers look,
• 56:03
  Speaker 5: good so his overall numbers may be a little bit.
• 56:06
  Speaker 5: Misleading ALTHOUGH i know we tried to jump on him
• 56:10
  Speaker 5: in his last. GAME i think we had an under
• 56:12
  Speaker 5: in that game Against San diego and that thing unraveled
• 56:14
  Speaker 5: really fast between him and who Wasn't. Vazquez maybe they
• 56:19
  Speaker 5: both did Terrible he's allowed twenty one hits in eighteen,
• 56:22
  Speaker 5: innings but that is bad, one you, know more than
• 56:26
  Speaker 5: one hit per. Inning but his numbers overall just don't
• 56:30
  Speaker 5: look that bad to. Me and it reminds me Of
• 56:32
  Speaker 5: lozardo a little, bit and that it looks like his
• 56:34
  Speaker 5: command numbers are good, enough strikeout rate really, High like
• 56:37
  Speaker 5: it looks like his stuff is, There so it looks
• 56:40
  Speaker 5: like he's gotten to some degree a little bit, unlucky
• 56:44
  Speaker 5: you know WHAT i, mean with the amount of guys
• 56:45
  Speaker 5: that have reached base and then also, Scored like that's
• 56:48
  Speaker 5: what's going on With. Lozardo like almost half of the
• 56:51
  Speaker 5: guys That lozardo has put on base have. Scored AND
• 56:54
  Speaker 5: i think THE mlb average is like thirty percent of
• 56:57
  Speaker 5: guys that get on base, score but For lozardo up
• 57:01
  Speaker 5: until his like going into his last, star For, lozardo
• 57:03
  Speaker 5: that number is like forty seven. Percent so in a,
• 57:07
  Speaker 5: WAY i think it is like it is, luck although
• 57:10
  Speaker 5: you could make the argument it's a mental, thing like
• 57:12
  Speaker 5: when a pitcher gets into a, jam he like goes
• 57:15
  Speaker 5: on tilt and he starts freaking out mentally and then
• 57:17
  Speaker 5: allows more hits because of. That you, know that could
• 57:20
  Speaker 5: be an. Argument you, know maybe there's an argument for,
• 57:22
  Speaker 5: that but STILL i Think boyd is better than his numbers.
• 57:26
  Speaker 5: Suggest that's What i'm saying. Here numbers Against arizona are
• 57:29
  Speaker 5: not bad and forty five at bats nine to, three
• 57:32
  Speaker 5: strikeout walk ratio two sixty seven average allowed six ninety.
• 57:35
  Speaker 5: Ops you know this is a. Game i'm not gonna
• 57:41
  Speaker 5: get involved in the. Game the total is really. High
• 57:43
  Speaker 5: it's at eleven and a. HALF i was seeing some
• 57:45
  Speaker 5: twelves out there as. Well it looks like the undergot
• 57:48
  Speaker 5: hit a little. Bit but fifty percent of, tickets sixty
• 57:51
  Speaker 5: six percent of cash on the, OVER i THINK i
• 57:55
  Speaker 5: would probably slightly lean, over just BECAUSE i don't know
• 57:58
  Speaker 5: if you can trust these starting. Pitchers man with win blowing,
• 58:01
  Speaker 5: out maybe you do get an over. Here cubs team
• 58:04
  Speaker 5: total over kind of makes some. Sense they're all the
• 58:07
  Speaker 5: way up to like a minus one sixty favorite. Here
• 58:10
  Speaker 5: they've taken the. Money it looks like seventy one percent of,
• 58:12
  Speaker 5: tickets eighty eight percent of the, cash and the number
• 58:15
  Speaker 5: on them has gone up for minus one thirty three
• 58:17
  Speaker 5: into the minus one fifty minus one sixty. RANGE i
• 58:21
  Speaker 5: would not want to lay a price like. That with The,
• 58:22
  Speaker 5: cubs even Though, boyd Like boyd's numbers suggest that he
• 58:26
  Speaker 5: should turn this. Around, kelly there's nothing about his numbers
• 58:30
  Speaker 5: that suggests anything good so. Far so even though the
• 58:33
  Speaker 5: situation does Favor, arizona the, pitching in my, opinion does,
• 58:38
  Speaker 5: not and the bullpens do not. Either, so you, Know
• 58:43
  Speaker 5: cubs over their team total might be a way of playing,
• 58:45
  Speaker 5: this but you're gonna need them to probably score seven
• 58:47
  Speaker 5: runs or maybe more in the game to get over,
• 58:50
  Speaker 5: that which is definitely. Possible but that's a. Lot that's
• 58:54
  Speaker 5: a big, ask. Man SO i just don't see a
• 58:57
  Speaker 5: great way of playing this. GAME i, mean the argument
• 59:00
  Speaker 5: for the over might be, THERE i guess because the
• 59:03
  Speaker 5: total is so. High maybe that does make an argument
• 59:06
  Speaker 5: for like clubs doing a split bet run line money,
• 59:09
  Speaker 5: line there is more of an argument to be had
• 59:11
  Speaker 5: for that with a higher. Total whereas YESTERDAY i, SAID
• 59:13
  Speaker 5: i was a little bit worried about that because the
• 59:15
  Speaker 5: total was. Low so but they still did it for us.
• 59:19
  Speaker 5: Barely all, Right atlanta At. Colorado i'm gonna take a
• 59:23
  Speaker 5: break probably after. THAT i usually GET i usually have
• 59:26
  Speaker 5: five games left right at the hour, Mark SO i
• 59:29
  Speaker 5: think that's What i'm gonna Do colorado's on the verge
• 59:32
  Speaker 5: of getting swept here unless, this unless this is a wrap,
• 59:35
  Speaker 5: Around no it is. Not So atlanta might not pay
• 59:40
  Speaker 5: attention To colorado, here, man but there are definitely some
• 59:42
  Speaker 5: things that might lead you to believe otherwise. Here But
• 59:45
  Speaker 5: atlanta does Play seattle, next And, seattle you, know they're
• 59:48
  Speaker 5: starting to turn it around a little. Bit they're pretty.
• 59:51
  Speaker 5: Good So atlanta's already won the. Series they won nine
• 59:54
  Speaker 5: to one yesterday Against. Colorado dollander did actually have an,
• 59:58
  Speaker 5: opener BECAUSE i told You dollander was listed as a,
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 5: starter but they did put an opener in front of,
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 5: him And Bernard bernardino was the opener Former Red. Sox
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 5: he actually opened the game very poorly and kind of
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 5: set the. Tone and Then donander did not have a
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 5: good outing yesterday And sale dominated. Again so that's what
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 5: happened in that. Game BUT i THINK i think it
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 5: still went under though in the full. Game othough actually
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 5: it might not. Have the total might have been nine
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 5: and a. Half that might have been a brutal beat,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 5: there well sort of, anyway well not really, though because
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 5: the game was so high scoring, early you couldn't have
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 5: really expected it to go under after, that After donander
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 5: was just really bad, anyway and so Is bernardino, Anyway
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 5: atlanta might Overlook colorado, here they might look ahead To.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 5: Seattle so situation does Favor. Colorado are they good enough?
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 5: THOUGH i don't. KNOW i, mean they used two relief pitchers,
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 5: Yesterday atlanta used one was it was a game that
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 5: was just out of, control so the best relievers did
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 5: not enter the. Game atlanta has the number one ranked,
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 5: bullpen still not In, era but In whip their bullpen
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 5: is still one of the best. Bullpens colorado's has been
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 5: decent this year at, seventeenth definitely the weaker of the two,
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 5: bullpens Though atlanta is now up to the top spot
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 5: in offense as, well And colorado's been okay offensively at
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 5: eleventh and they are better at home. Offensively but they're
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 5: gonna have to deal With Spencer, strider who is back
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 5: from injury and making his debut for the season. Here
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 5: he wasn't very good last, season though that injury really derailed. Him,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 5: man if you look at what he was early in his,
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 5: career he was. Great in twenty twenty, two twenty twenty,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 5: three he was. Awesome then twenty twenty, four he got.
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 5: Hurt last, year he tried to make his comeback and
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 5: he was not as good four point four to FIVE
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 5: era last year one point four. Whip that's warresome for.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 5: Sure his strikeout rate was still, good but it wasn't
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 5: as good as it was earlier in his, career so
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 5: it looks like something kind of got taken off of
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 5: his Off and his walk rate was, higher so that's a,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 5: problem like he walked too many. Guys his strikeout rate
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 5: was also, down so his insane strikeout walk ratio that
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 5: was in the high fours dropped all the way to
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 5: the mid twos last, Year so that's a sign that
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 5: something was not quite. Right, now he's young enough that
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 5: he may be able to bounce. BACK i think he
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 5: Had Tommy john. Surgery maybe he'll maybe he will be
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 5: better this, year but he's been you, know injuries have heard. Him,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 5: man he's been injured, again and he's gonna try to
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 5: come back from injury. Again SO i JUST i think
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 5: we gotta wait and see with. Him even though NORMALLY
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 5: i would say with a veteran, pitcher he's gonna be
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 5: excited to get back out. There and he might be
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 5: a little bit undervalued coming back out, there you know
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 5: WHAT i, Mean like people might be hesitant to want
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 5: to play the guy because he's been. Injured BUT i
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 5: worry because last, year we have a big sample size
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 5: from last, year and he wasn't really that. Good let
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 5: me look at what he did in the minors this,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 5: year BECAUSE i didn't actually, LOOK i know he must
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 5: have had some minor league rehab starts Here i'm looking right. Now,
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 5: yes he pitched in he pitched in a. Ball he
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 5: made one start there he was, good and then it
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 5: was a very short start though actually he still walk
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 5: to guys in that outing, though and then he made
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 5: two longer starts In TRIPLE a this year he was fine.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 5: Though he had a one point nine to THREE era
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 5: in those two, starts point eighty six whip fifteen to
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 5: three strike out walk, Ratio so he did look. FINE
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 5: i guess In TRIPLE a there's a reason why they're
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 5: bringing him back. Up and, again AS i was, saying
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 5: with a veteran, pitcher if you want to consider him
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 5: to be a veteran at this, point a lot of
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 5: times they do pitch, well they're excited to get back
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 5: out there and they'll be better than you. Expect in
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 5: that first game back out. There maybe he will do,
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 5: that BUT i worr him in because last year he
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 5: just obviously there was something wrong last. Year AND i
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 5: don't know If i'm quite. Ready you, know he did
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 5: well In TRIPLE, a BUT i Think i'm gonna wait and.
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 5: SEE i was numbers Against colorado were good at bats fourteen,
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 5: strikeouts no, walks two point fifty, average five sixty two.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 5: Ops but a lot of those numbers were before his,
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 5: injuries and he has not pitched in courtsefield since like
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 5: twenty twenty. ONE i think he had like a short
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 5: outing in course field in twenty twenty one and he was,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 5: good but he hasn't been there since, then, Man so
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 5: that might be an issue pitching in course. Field he
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 5: also is kind of extreme towards the fly. Balls that's
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 5: not great for course field. Either he's gonna need his
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 5: strikeout stuff working to counter those fly. Balls. Man SO
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 5: i do have some some concerns About strider. Here Kyle
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 5: frieland is getting to start for The, rockies and he's
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 5: actually been pretty good three point four to EIGHTY ra
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 5: and one point one to one Whip he's been good
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 5: in course field so, far though very limited sample size
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 5: though one, start but it was one one point four
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 5: to TWO. Era he's actually been pretty good though he's
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 5: allowed more than two hour runs only. ONCE i was
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 5: on the road At Great American, ballpark but he got
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 5: a little bit unlucky in that. One he did give
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 5: up a home, run but he had a four to
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 5: one strike out walk. Ratio you, KNOW i Mean, Freeland
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 5: LIKE i, said he has only made one, start but
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 5: it was Against, houston and the one thing About houston
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 5: is their offense has been pretty good and he held
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 5: them down in course. Field he has a seventeen to
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 5: five strike out walk, ratio which is pretty. Good eighteen
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 5: hits a lout in twenty two thirds. Innings, yeah his
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 5: numbers are fine this, year, MAN i, mean he's probably.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 5: There he's Probably colorado's best, starter even Though dollander did
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 5: have really good numbers until. Yesterday freeland against The, braves
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 5: though that hasn't been. Good one hundred and thirty four at.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 5: Bats you have a huge sample. Here fifteen to six
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 5: strike out walk ratio is not that. Good three twenty
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 5: one average allowed nine to forty oh, ps allowed six
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 5: home runs allowed in that amount of at bats is
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 5: not that. Bad but he's gotten tagged for a lot of,
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 5: hits a lot of extra base. Hits. WHATEVER i don't
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 5: really Trust freeland, here even though his overall numbers look pretty.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 5: Good The strider in his come, back, though deserve to
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 5: be minus one, sixty you, know in that range minus
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 5: one sixty probably. NOT i, MEAN i don't. Know that
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 5: number is probably a little bit too. High, again you,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 5: know you're gonna pay a little bit of a tax
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 5: with The Atlanta. Braves SO i THINK i have the
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 5: best record in baseball right. NOW i think they might
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 5: be ahead of The dodgers because The dodgers have lost
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 5: a bunch of recent. GAMES i don't. Know maybe there's
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 5: some value looking Towards colorado, there you, know maybe doing
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 5: a split bet run, line money line. Situation But atlanta
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 5: doesn't have a better bullpen. Too strider is certainly capable
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 5: of going out there and. Pitching. Well you, know this
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 5: is a game That i'm just Gonna i'm staying away from.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 4: It.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 5: Man atlanta's got seventy five percent of, tickets seventy eight
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 5: percent of the, cash sixty two percent of the tickets
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 5: and seventy nine percent of the cash on the, over
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 5: with the total being at ten and a. HALF i
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 5: don't really agree with. THAT i Think strider could be alright.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 5: Here freeland could actually pitch okay TWO a though AGAIN
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 5: i worried that he matches up poorly Against, atlanta, though
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 5: but there are some are arguments maybe for an under
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 5: in this. Game but you, know this is a. Game
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 5: it's this is a game WHERE i probably have the
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 5: least one of the least strong opinions on that. Game
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 5: that's a GAME i just want to. Avoid, Obviously i'm
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 5: Being i'm trying to be really selective. HERE i got
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 5: two plays here for you in. Baseball But i'll be
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 5: right back and then we'll talk about the other horrible pitching.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 5: Stadium cleveland at The a's, here all, right give me a,
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 5: second all, right let's zoom back in. Here, huh all,
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 5: Right cleveland at THE. As cleveland is looking for a
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 5: sweep peer unless this might be the other wrap. Around,
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 5: actually hang, on, no it's. NOT i don't know where's
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 5: the other rap. AROUND i don't. KNOW i can look right,
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 5: now ACTUALLY i can look at tomorrow's. Schedule the rap
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 5: round games Are, Baltimore Yank baltimore and The, Yankees AND
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 5: i guess that's. It is that? It oh all? Right
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 5: SO i guess it is just that series, then all,
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 5: RIGHT i don't, KNOW i don't know What i'm talking about, Anyway,
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 5: YEAH i think that's, it all right. Whatever cleveland is
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 5: on the verge Of Sweet. Pier so, AGAIN i will
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 5: point out that a lot of times the team will
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 5: overlook a team when they're in a situation like. That
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 5: and they do have a divisional series against The royals,
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 5: next so possible look ahead there, maybe although The royals
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 5: haven't been that, good but they're playing better as of,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 5: late so it's Possible cleveland looks. Ahead cleveland won fourteen
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 5: to six. Yesterday Jacob, lopez, man, Ough, god you, KNOW
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 5: i BELIEVE i did lean over in that game. Yesterday
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 5: both starting pitchers had some pretty ugly, numbers IF i remember,
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 5: Correctly so got that one, correct was not correct about
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 5: the other over in THAT la And Saint louis game,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 5: yesterday but didn't make either of them a. Play so
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 5: there you. Go bullpen, wise let's take a look. Here The,
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 5: a's you, know don't have a particularly good. Bullpen they
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 5: use three relief pitchers. Yesterday who are we playing? AGAIN
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 5: i already Forget. Cleveland cleveland does have the somewhat better bullpen.
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 5: Here they use four relief, pitchers so you, know rest
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 5: wise isn't that great for. Them but there's seventh the
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 5: bullpen whip, now although THEIR era is a little bit
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 5: worse than that in the, fours but The a's bullpen
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 5: is even worse era, wise and whip is still around
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 5: one and a, half so That a's bullpen is pretty.
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 5: Bad cleveland still has a better. Bullpen The a's have
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 5: the better. Offense they're actually up in the top ten.
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 5: Now AND i told you because you, know we know
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 5: who these teams have in their lineups or. Whatever The
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 5: a's did turn it around a, bit or they. Have
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 5: some of these offenses have. Not plus The a's do
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 5: get a little bit of a boost from playing in
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 5: this Awful TRIPLE a. Stadium cleveland's offense is not that.
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 5: Good they're, fourteenth which isn't. Terrible BUT i do think
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 5: The a's have the better. Offense But Parker messic is
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 5: pitching For. Cleveland he's just not a guy THAT i
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 5: really want to. FADE i, mean he's been really good
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 5: one point seven to THREE era point eighty eight. Whip
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 5: he's got his ZERO ra on the road so, far
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 5: although that might go up pitching in this god awful.
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 5: Stadium he's allowed no more than three ear in runs
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 5: in any, outing, though and he's allowed two or fewer
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 5: in every outing but. One Against, houston he's allowed one
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 5: or fewer in all but two. Outings so, yeah he's
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 5: been good up until his last, start where his team
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 5: lost three to. Two cleveland had won every outing of
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 5: his and that wasn't his. Fault he held them to
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 5: one earn run and then the bullpen gave up a
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 5: couple of, runs but also his hitting did nothing behind
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 5: him in that. Game he's got a thirty eight to
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 5: ten strike a walk ratio pretty, good a very low
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 5: twenty two hits a lot in thirty six and a
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 5: third innings good groat on ball rate as.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 4: Well.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 5: Messek he looks like he's the real deal. Man he's.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 5: Good don't know how he's gonna fare in this stadium.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 5: THOUGH i don't believe he's ever pitched in this stadium,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 5: before and The a's have never seen, him so that
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 5: is an advantage when you have these young talented. Pitchers
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 5: AS i always, say it's an extra advantage against these
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 5: hitters that have not seen him yet because the hitters
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 5: have to figure him. Out BUT i worry a little
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 5: bit about the stadium. Environment you, know he might still
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 5: be fine because he's a ground ball. Pitcher he knows
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 5: how to get guys, out so he might be. Fine
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 5: in this. Game he is going up Against Aaron, savale
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 5: who's been okay this. Year three point two to THREE
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 5: era one point three whip indicates HIS rra should be
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 5: a bit higher than. That he struggled a bit at.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 5: HOME i, mean that is what you get when you're
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 5: playing in a stadium like. This he's been not, horrible
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 5: but four point six SIX zra at, home so he
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 5: is worse in this stadium so, far twenty four to
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 5: eight strike out walk ratio not, bad thirty two hits
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 5: a lot in thirty two thirds. Innings you, know, overall
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 5: his numbers are pretty. GOOD i don't know theyre's serviceable.
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 5: Numbers he's allowed more than tour in runs only twice
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 5: on the, season although his worst outing was against The White,
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 5: sox but of course it was at. Home in this,
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 5: stadium he was way too hittable. There but if you
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 5: throw that start, out he's actually been pretty goods numbers
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 5: Against cleveland are pretty good in fifty at, bats thirteen
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 5: to three strike a walk, ratio two twenty bat average
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 5: allowed in six to forty four oh. Ps So savali
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 5: hasn't really been that bad. Either you, know With, cleveland
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 5: you're gonna have to pay a little bit of a
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 5: price on. Them they're in the minus one twenty range
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 5: of sixty nine percent of tickets sixty four percent of
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 5: the cash on. THEM i THINK i would lean under
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 5: first five innings. HERE i don't really want to deal
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 5: with the, bullpens especially The a's. Bullpen but you got
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 5: fifty seven percent of tickets on the over eighty two
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on the under the full. Game
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 5: if you do do, it you're at least probably gonna
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 5: be able to get under the key nine and a
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 5: half at a decent price at the f, book the
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 5: book that can f. Off they're giving maybe the best
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 5: number THAT i see, there first. Five you're probably looking
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 5: at four and a, half maybe even. FIVE i don't,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 5: know maybe, YEAH i don't know it maybe a little
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 5: bit lower because everybody kind of knows the starry pitchers
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 5: have a little bit of an advantage here for the most.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 5: Part but, YEAH i think under in the first five
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 5: innings could be a lean in that, one BUT i
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 5: know it's a little bit dangerous in a stadium like. That,
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 5: whatever but the line is skewed a little bit high
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 5: for games in that. Stadium so that's WHAT i think
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 5: about that. Game mets At. Anaheim these teams will split
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 5: the first two games of the, series both involving a
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 5: four to three, win With anaheim winning. Yesterday and the
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 5: good thing For anaheim is that ended a long losing.
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 5: STREAK i think they've lost seven games in a. Row
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 5: AND i talk about when a team ends a losing
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 5: streak Like anaheim did, yesterday it will end that losing.
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 5: MOMENTUM a lot of times they will play better in
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 5: the next, game so that Gives anaheim some new momentum.
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 5: Here bullpen, wise The mets use four relief pitchers. Yesterday
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 5: they do have a way better bullpen Than, anaheim Though
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 5: anaheim used two early pitchers, yesterday so the rest edge
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 5: is in favor Of. Anaheim but their bullpen is so
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 5: bad THAT i think their bullpen is still worse third
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 5: worst in. Baseball they have the second worst bullpen ERA i,
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 5: think and their whip is above one and a. Half
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 5: this is a Bad anaheim. Bullpen. Man The mets are
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 5: eleventh right, now THE era is below. Four they've been
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 5: a fine, bullpen even though they did add again a
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 5: couple of Those yankees relievers that sucked last. Year hitting,
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 5: wise The mets have been. Awful there's still bottom at
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 5: the absolute. Bottom. Again injuries have come into. PLAY i
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 5: don't think they're the worst offensive, baseball but they've remained
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 5: there for quite a while, now which is obviously not.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 5: Good anaheim has been able to hit pretty. Well they're
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 5: at tenth in ops right. Now so, yeah right NOW
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 5: i would GIVE i would have to Give anaheim the
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 5: offensive edge right. Now starting. Pitching Clay holmes is pitching
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 5: for The, mets and, well he hasn't been a guy
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 5: That i've really trusted that, much And i've kind of
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 5: compared him To David. Peterson i'm being proven a bit
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 5: wrong about that Because David peterson has been so bad
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 5: AND i was right about that that he's out of
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 5: the starting. Rotation Clay holmes has actually been pretty good this.
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 5: Year one point seven FIVE vr point nine to seven.
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 5: Whip he's been pretty good both home in a way
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 5: not really significant home road splits. There he's allowed two
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 5: or fewer earned runs in every single. Outing, YEAH i,
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 5: mean there's not much to dislike really, here except that
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 5: his strikeout rate is pretty. Low twenty five strikeouts and
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 5: thirty six, innings eleven walks is a little, high but
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 5: he's only walked one apiece in his last three, outings
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 5: so that seems to be getting under control as. Well,
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 5: literally and twenty four hits allout over that. Span that's
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 5: not bad. Either homes against The angels has been quite.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 5: Good it's a small. Sample twenty three at, bats only
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 5: one hit though a double From. Celaire they have eight,
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 5: strikeouts three walks against some that's an forty three. Average
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 5: he's sell. Them i'm doing a two forty one. OHPS
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 5: i know it's a small, sample But holmes has good
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 5: numbers this. Year he's in pretty good form right, now
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 5: and he's got good matchup, numbers so he looks like
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 5: he should pitch well again. Here Jack cohanno with's his
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 5: pitching for The, angels and he's actually been alright this year,
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 5: somehow after he was looking like he was one of
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 5: the worst pitchers in, baseball not. Anymore three point zero
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 5: ninety ra one point two. Whip that's a lot better
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 5: THAN i expected him to. Do zero point seven to
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 5: ninety array at home so far as, well so he's
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 5: been quite good at. Home his walk number is still a,
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 5: concern though he's got twenty four. Strikeouts he's not a strikeout,
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 5: guy and that's. Fine he induces a ton of ground,
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 5: balls BUT i know that's the type of PITCHER i
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 5: tend to not. Like you, know it's like The David peterson.
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 5: Thing you're just getting away with putting guys on base
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 5: by inducing ground. Balls but his whip is not that.
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 5: Bad the walk number is, bad no doubt about. It
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 5: eighteen walks in thirty five, innings twenty four, strikeouts not
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 5: a lot of strikes at. All that ratio is. Horrible
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 5: but he's only allowed twenty four, hits so he's getting
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 5: out of. It you, know he's not allowing that many,
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 5: hits and he allowed no more than three earned runs
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 5: in any of his starts In. April he allowed fewer
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 5: than that in all but, one which is a road
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 5: start against The. Yankees you, KNOW i mean He's he's
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 5: at least not a picture That i'm, like you gotta
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 5: avoid this guy like the. Plague i'm not gonna say
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 5: that anymore about. Him so there you go against The.
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 5: Mets his numbers are, bad but it's a very small
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 5: sixteen at bats sample, size and thirteen of the at
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 5: bats Are semian Because semion was on the ranger so
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 5: he was in their. Division semion hit him, well six for,
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 5: thirteen but all the hits are singles and two, walks no.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 5: Strikeouts so overall he's allowed of four to thirty eight
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 5: average and nine to thirty eight ops to. Them but
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 5: it's one guy doing all the damage and most of
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 5: their lineup has not even seen him. Before and this
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 5: is a Struggling mets, lineup so you, know even though
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 5: again The mets Have Bashett, semion SO i believe is still,
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 5: back so That mets lineup should be better than they.
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 5: Are but, YEAH i, MEAN i just don't think you
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 5: put much weight into these matchup numbers. HERE i think
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 5: an under in the first five innings is the way
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 5: to look at this. Game we see eighty eight percent
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 5: of the tickets and cash on the. Under right, now
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 5: the total is nine for the full. Game you want
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 5: nothing to do With anaheim's. Bullpen Man as far as an,
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 5: under you gotta avoid them like the. Plague BUT i
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 5: actually think an under first five innings might hit in this.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 5: ONE i don't want to put it on my, card
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 5: but that's the WAY i would lean in that. Game
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 5: you probably get a four and a half on, that maybe,
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 5: five which seems too, high you, know given what we
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 5: just saw with the pitching. There so even THOUGH i
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 5: still don't fully trust either of those, pitchers but you,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 5: know they're on my good side right. Now it's like
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 5: a relationship until they start beating me again and THEN i,
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 5: gotta you, know rethink some things that maybe maybe leave.
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 5: Them The mets are minus one thirty favorite or, so
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 5: by the, way do they deserve to BE i don't.
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 5: Know tickets fifty one percent of the cash look like
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 5: it's On. ANAHEIM i don't know about, that you. KNOW i,
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 5: mean The mets have been so bad this, year it's,
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 5: like can you trust them as a favorite like? That maybe?
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 5: Not but also there's a reason why they are favored
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 5: to that, extent and they do have clay homes on the,
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 5: mound and they have the better bullpen, too SO i
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 5: don't THINK i could really disagree with The mets, there although,
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 5: Yes anaheim is trying to avoid, it or, No anaheim
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 5: just broke out of a losing. STREAK i mean it's
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 5: what they. Did, yeah, yeah So anaheim does have a
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 5: little bit of a situational edge. There White sox At San.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 5: Diego we got the first five undercorrect in this game
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 5: yesterday and there were no runs in the game to that,
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 5: point so that was a nice easy winner on that.
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 5: One Michael king started losing it in the sixth, inning
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 5: but No SCHULTZ i believe pitched. Right or, no it Was.
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 5: Burke burke was actually really good in the game yesterday
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 5: for The White. Sox so we got it. Done i'm
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 5: happy about. That Now diego's on the verge of potentially
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 5: getting swept, here so they got to show up for this.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 5: Man they're at. Home they've lost four games in a
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 5: row to All chicago. Teams you, know you don't want
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 5: to get swept at home by The White sox, though
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 5: SO i Expect San diego will show up. Here The
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 5: White sox they've been playing some better baseball, recently though
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 5: they're again they're no longer like a door, mat you
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 5: know WHAT i. Mean they've won five games in a.
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 5: Row do they start looking ahead to a series With?
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 5: ANAHEIM i don't, know but maybe they Overlook San diego
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 5: because they have had the upper hand in the. Series
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 5: they won eight to TWO i, think and then four to.
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 5: Nothing but, also The White sox had their two best
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 5: starting pitchers pitch, already which Are schultz And, burke have
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 5: been the starters in this, series so the pitching, matchups you,
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 5: know have they've had their better starters on the. Mound
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 5: they do not have one of their better starters on
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 5: the mound, today but neither Does San. Diego so you, know, situationally,
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 5: YES i Think San diego makes sense bullpen, Wise, yes
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 5: San diego has an. Advanceer The White sox used three
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers, yesterday but you, know not a lot of
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 5: usage from a couple of those. Guys San diego used
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 5: three relief pitchers, yesterday but they have a lot of
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 5: their better relievers available. Today So San diego does have a,
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 5: better better. Bullpen although the era is four right, now
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 5: but there's still eighth in. Whip they've moved back up
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 5: a little. Bit they're one of the better bullpens in.
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 5: Baseball we know. This The White sox bullpen is pretty
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 5: bad at twenty seventh over a one and a half.
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 5: Whip you can't trust The White sox. Bullpen hitting, wise
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 5: The White sox actually have moved up a. Bit they've
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 5: actually been better than you would. Think although twenty first
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 5: is still not that. Good But San diego twenty six pretty.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 5: Awful So San diego has been really struggling at the,
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 5: plate but this might be a pitching matchup that might
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 5: help the offenses break. Out Anthony kay is listed as
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 5: a starter for The White. Sox probably not good six
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 5: point one to TWO era for, him one point six
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 5: to eight, whip six point four to three road. ERA i,
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 5: mean his home road splits aren't that, significant but he's
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 5: just been pretty, bad especially. Recently his last two outings
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 5: were both really. Bad he allowed twelve and runs combined
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 5: and whatever that is seven and two thirds innings with
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 5: five walks and three. Strikeouts this is some pretty bad. Stuff.
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 5: Overall he is a fifteen to fourteen strike a walk
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 5: ratio a lot of fly, balls although again this is
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 5: a very large. Ballpark it is a picture friendly ballpark
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 5: In San. Diego At petco or whatever the hell it's called.
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 5: Now but still that might not help him enough because
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 5: he walks a lot of. Guys he's allowed twenty eight
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 5: hits and twenty five innings as. Well these are bad. Numbers.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 5: MAN i don't trust k here his numbers Against San.
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 5: Diego every loss begins WITH k in this, point in this,
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 5: way in this. Context San diego though the road for
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 5: six off. Him SO i don't know how LONG k
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 5: is even gonna last in this game, Though, like there's
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 5: a good Chance kate is not making five innings here
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 5: and then you're gonna get The White sox, bullpen which
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 5: is not. Good, Yes San diego is zero for, six
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 5: often with a strike gun of no, walks but it's
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 5: a very small. SAMPLE i wouldn't put too much weight into,
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 5: that even though, yes there was unfamiliarity. There BUT i
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 5: don't TRUST k AND i don't Trust Griffin, canning who
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 5: was making his season debut here for The. Podres he
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 5: was formerly On anaheim and then he was on The
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 5: mets last. Year his era looked good last, year three
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 5: point seven to, seven but his whip was one point three.
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 5: Eight if you've watched my, show you know THAT i
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 5: do not Like Griffin. CANNING i think he. Sucks his
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 5: numbers With anaheim are pretty. Bad basically every season career
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 5: numbers are. Bad four point six FIVE, era one point
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 5: three to FOUR, whip two and a half strikeout walk.
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 5: RATIO i, mean this is not good. Stuff, Man what
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 5: can you? Do last year he had seventy strikeouts thirty five.
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 5: Walks that's pretty. Bad he was getting away with it
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 5: a little bit because of the ground ball. Rate allowed
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 5: fewer than one hit per inning last, year but was
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 5: walking a guy basically won. One he was issuing one
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 5: walk every two. Winnings so, YEAH i Mean canning. Sucks.
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 5: DUDE i don't trust him at. ALL i don't know
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 5: how he's gonna be in his first start of this.
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 5: Season haven't looked at his minor league rehab, numbers BUT
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 5: i don't even know if we need, to BECAUSE i
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 5: think we kind of know who he. Is thirty two
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 5: at bats career wise against The White, sox ten, strikeouts
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 5: five walks not a good. Ratio two fifty average is,
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 5: fine but seven eighty nine ops that's a little bit. High, Again,
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 5: YEAH i don't trust either. STARTER i THINK i would
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 5: go over in this. GAME i Know San diego's bullpen is,
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 5: good but other than, that you get bad pitching on
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 5: both sides in my, opinion with the starters and with
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 5: The White sox. Bullpen so that's three out of four
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 5: in favor of the over. There basically eight and a
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 5: half is the, total which is not that, high although
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 5: it is a pitcher friendly. Ballpark, yes under is getting
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 5: sixty three percent of tickets with seventy three percent of
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 5: the cash on the, Over so the cash seems to
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 5: agree with me on the. Over that would be my
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 5: opinion in this. Game the number is minus one eighty
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 5: something basically that range On San. Diego Does Griffin canning
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 5: deserve to be favored by that much of? It you?
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 5: Know but like should that should a price be that
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 5: high on A Griffin canning? START i would say, no
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 5: it probably, shouldn't even though, again The White sox look
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 5: like they're gonna have bad pitching throughout this game, HERE
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 5: i don't Think Griffin canning should be a favorite of
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 5: that to that extent against, anybody you, Know so, YEAH
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 5: i think the price is probably too high. There eighty
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 5: two percent of, tickets eighty seven percent of the cash
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 5: On San DIEGO i would not want to Play San,
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 5: diego BUT i. WANT i don't want to play The
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 5: White sox, either, obviously SO i think over is the
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 5: way to go in that. Game Kansas city At. Seattle
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 5: seattle is actually trying to avoid a sweep. Here AND
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 5: i told You Kansas city does have an upcoming series
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 5: in their division Against. CLEVELAND i want to, say, yeah
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 5: so they might be looking ahead To. Cleveland, Man Kansas
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 5: city has already won this series Against. Seattle. Here they're
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 5: ahead on the road trip three, two so maybe they
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 5: do want to finish it off with a winning road.
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 5: Trip But seattle's probably gonna show. Up, Man seattle's the
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 5: better team and they're at home drying over what a.
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 5: Sweep you. KNOW i like to look for better teams
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 5: when they're in a good, situation AND i Think seattle.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 5: Is SO i don't Love Kansas city. Here Kansas city
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 5: has won both games by one, run so it's not
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 5: like they're dominating this, series you. KNOW i think it's
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 5: to some extent a little bit. Misleading Kansas city does
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 5: not have a very good bullpend this. Year they used
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 5: three relief pitchers Yesterday seattle also used. Three they did
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 5: use a couple of their better relievers, yesterday But seattle
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 5: does have the better relief staff in. General Kansas city's
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 5: bullpen is still. Bad there's still twenty fifth and whip
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 5: a whip over one and a, half and they have
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 5: one of the worst. Bullpen the ras above five really bad.
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 5: Stuff seattle era in the three is pretty good in the.
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 5: Bullpen whip is a little bit, high which is why
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 5: they're sixteenth right. Now But seattle's obviously the better, bullpen
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 5: even though some of their better arms are probably not
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 5: available in this. One hitting, wise neither team has been that.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 5: Good The royals are fifteenth right, Now seattle's twenty AT
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 5: i Think seattle probably is the better. Offense Kansas city
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 5: not really known for having that great of an offense.
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 5: THERE i Think seattle's bats are a little bit better
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 5: Than Kansas. City's chris Bou bitch is pitching For Kansas.
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 5: City three point seventy FOUR era one point one to
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 5: nine whip pretty good numbers this. Year he's been pretty
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 5: bad on the road, though five point five to nine ROAD.
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 5: Era it's in a small sample, size but he has
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 5: not been good on the. Road he has two starts
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 5: on the, road one was really bad At, detroit but
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 5: he pitched better at The A's, stadium even though it's
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 5: a difficult stadium to pitch, in so give him credit for.
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 5: That but his walk number is very. Concerning, actually he's
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 5: walked three or more guys in every outing except one
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 5: against The White, sox so that's. Bad thirty five to
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 5: seventeen strike a walk, ratio strikeout rate is. Good he's
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 5: striking out a lot of, guys but he induces a
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 5: lot of fly, balls and that walk rate is way too.
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 5: High in thirty three and two thirds, innings he's allowed
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 5: twenty three, hits which is good low hit, rate but
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 5: the walk rate is really really. Concerning, Man he's got
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 5: to stop walking, guys and he's bound on the, road
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 5: and he's bad Against seattle and forty at bats eight
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 5: to six strike out walk, ratio three point fifty batting average,
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 5: allowed oneye ten. OPS i don't think we could trust boobitch. Here.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 5: Man the matchup numbers don't look. GOOD i know this
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 5: is a picture friendly ballpark In, seattle but his road
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 5: numbers are. Bad you. Know the thing is, like how
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 5: do we figure Out Luis castillo from The? Mariners there
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 5: might be something wrong with this. Guy LIKE i Think
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 5: i've given out at least one play On castillo not
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 5: that long. Ago BECAUSE i keep thinking he's gonna turn it,
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 5: around because if you look at his career, numbers he's
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 5: been good throughout his. Career we know who he. Is
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 5: he's usually pretty good at. Home but he's really really
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 5: in bad form right. Now this whole season has been
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 5: bad for. Him six point three five, yr one point
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 5: seven to three. WHIP i don't know what that. Is
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 5: he's been better at, home but still not good enough at.
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 5: All five point six five y. R his last starting
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 5: game of seven earned. RUNS i, mean what are we doing?
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 5: Here maybe he got a little bit unlucky because he
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 5: allowed a couple of home. Runs he allowed seven hits
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 5: that was on the. Road he got blasted By. MINNESOTA
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 5: i still think he's gonna turn this around at some.
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 5: Point his overall numbers mostly he's allowed too many. Hits
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 5: thirty eight hits in twenty eight to third. Innings that's
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 5: really the bad number. There eleven walks is not, great
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 5: and twenty six, strikeouts but you, KNOW i, mean his
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate is high enough THAT i don't think it's
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 5: like his velocity is gone or anything like. THAT i don't. Know,
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 5: Man he's allowed three or four earned runs and all
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 5: but two outings this, year though one of them was
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 5: at home Against houston team that has hit pretty. Well
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 5: but you, know then, AGAIN i tried to give out
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 5: a play On. Castillo which which game was THAT i don't.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 5: REMEMBER i don't KNOW i give out a play. HIM
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 5: i think it must have been That a's, game and
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 5: he pitched okay in the, game but they still. Lost
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 5: i'm gonna lean To seattle, here, Though, Man castile Against
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 5: Kansas city does have good. Numbers one hundred and twenty
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 5: three at. Bats you have a big sample twenty seven to,
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 5: five strike a walk. Ratio that's, good two three average
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 5: allowed five forty three. Ohps that's. Good this looks like
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 5: a good situation where he will finally do something good
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 5: and bounce. Back, man you got a good Situation seattle
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 5: trying to avoid the. Sweep you got good matchup numbers,
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 5: here the Favorite seattle you, Know, uh boo bitch not
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 5: very good on the road right. Now uh we have
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 5: fifty nine percent ticket sixty five percent of the cash
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 5: On Kansas. CITY i don't agree with. THAT i Like
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 5: seattle other at minus one. TWENTY i think IF i
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 5: was gonna add another, play it might be this. ONE
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 5: i JUST i don't. KNOW i worry About castile right,
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 5: now still in his current. Form, man that's my only
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 5: concern really. Though BUT i Like. Seattle here the tolls at.
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 5: Eight for what that's worth money coming in a little
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 5: bit on the. Under there are some arguments for. IT i,
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 5: mean both starting pitchers might do, okay you, know And
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 5: Kansas city's bullpen is a bit of a, concern so
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 5: maybe a first five inning under makes more. SENSE i
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 5: can't even talk right. NOW i got something in my.
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 5: THROAT i gotta end the, show. MAN i, mean this is.
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 5: Bad every show is just way too. LONG i have
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 5: way too detailed on the baseball, analysis But i'm giving
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 5: you a ton of. Info so there you. GO i
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 5: Like seattle in that, game LIKE i, Said and Then
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 5: texas At, Detroit, TEXAS i was gonna SAY i thought
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 5: they were on the version of a. Sweep they're. Not
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 5: texas won FOR us two days, ago but Then detroit
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 5: won yesterday five to. One so these teams are trying
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 5: to win the series today here and what's been a
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 5: split series this is a night. Game it's The Peacock night.
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 5: Game no MORE Espn Sunday, night which pisses me. Off
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 5: stop ruining. Tradition. Man the pitching matchup this, game, though
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 5: does not look that enticing to. Watch let's just Say
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 5: texas other, bullpen these three relief pitchers, yesterday but it
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 5: was really not any of their better relief. Arms So
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 5: texas they've had a good. Bullpen, man even though you
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 5: look at who they have the bullpen and you're, like
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 5: this bullpen, sucks but it. Doesn't their bullpen is actually really.
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 5: Good so and you, know pitching coaching really good In. Texas,
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 5: Man but we're In detroit, here so we're not in
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 5: the pitcher friendly. Ballpark The texas plays In detroit has arrested.
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 5: Bullpen the only is one relief pitcher. Yesterday But detroit's
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 5: bullpen is. Worse they're at twenty. First other whip is
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 5: almost one and a, half which is definitely. Concerning texas
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 5: has the best bullpen The ray and baseball and one
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 5: of the best. Whips, again there's definitely an argument to
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 5: me maybe that they have the best bullpen in. Baseball
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 5: texas's offense, struggles though they're twenty fifth offensively not very.
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 5: Good detroit is much better offensively at, Sixth so again
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 5: it's sort of pitching versus, offense if you. Will Texas
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 5: Jack lighter is pitching. THEM i don't, know, MAN i,
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 5: mean his numbers are not very good this year five
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 5: point one SEVENTY, ra one point four to seven. Whip
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 5: he's been pretty bad on the road five point eight SEVEN.
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 5: ROADYRA i don't know if he's totally trustworthy hero. Though
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 5: he hasn't really had any complete implosions in any, game
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 5: and his worst start was at The. Dodgers maybe you
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 5: give him a pass for. That he had kind of
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 5: a bad start at The. A's that's a hitter friendly.
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 5: Ballpark didn't do well last time out against The. Yankees
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 5: we know The yankees hit pretty. Well his command numbers
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 5: are still pretty good in that. Outing though you kind
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 5: of dive into his, numbers they're not really that. Bad
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 5: thirty three to twelve strike out walk. Ratio it's not,
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 5: great but it's not. Terrible it's a few too many
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 5: walks thirty one to third, inning so he's striking out
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 5: guys at a decent. Rate he's loft thirty four hits
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 5: so that's not great more than one hit per. Inning
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 5: but lighters numbers overall are not as bad as what
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 5: his numbers really maybe would, Suggest SO i think maybe
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 5: he's gotten a little bit. UNLUCKY i don't Hate. Lighter you,
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 5: know he's got decent, stuff like he does have the
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 5: ability to strike guys, out BUT i don't, know his
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 5: career just hasn't really panned. Out numbers Against detroit are
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 5: not very good, either but it's kind of a limited
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 5: sample of fourteen at. Bats six of their hitters have faced,
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 5: him but they have a lot of hits against. Him
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 5: they bat five Hundred offen with a fifteen sixty two
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 5: ops three to two strike a walk, ratio so he
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 5: doesn't match up particularly well Against. Detroit detroit is going
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 5: with a bullpen. Game it looks Like Tyler holton is
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 5: listed as a. Starter his numbers suck this year five
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 5: point five FOUR, era one point nine TWO. Whip he's
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 5: been much better at home, though two point two five HOME.
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 5: Era but we don't really want to put much weight
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 5: into his numbers BECAUSE i think he's gonna go one
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 5: inning like he's an. Opener that's basically what he goes out.
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 5: There and does. SO i think it depends on the
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 5: matchups a little, bit but he's probably gonna go one
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 5: inning and then somebody's gonna follow him up behind. HIM
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 5: i don't know who that's gonna, be but that's what
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 5: we're gonna get From. Detroit SO i don't love that.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 5: Setup even THOUGH i know bullpen. GAMES a lot of
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 5: the professionals will tell you that the bullpen games get
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 5: undervalued in the market because everybody hates. Them you don't
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 5: know what you're gonna. Get But detroit is one team
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 5: that does that, frequently like they do it more than
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 5: most teams in, baseball maybe more than. Anybody So detroit
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 5: is at least a team that plans bullpen games and
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 5: they know kind of how to do, It SO i
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 5: guess maybe that's okay for. Them it looks Like scooba
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 5: is gonna pitch. Tomorrow, YEAH i don't. KNOW i don't
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 5: even know who would be. There it looks Like mize
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 5: is having his start skipped. HERE i don't, know, man miz,
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 5: pitch what is? That, yeah it looks like it would
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 5: be Mys it looks like it would be his turn
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 5: of the. Rotation SO i don't know what's going on with.
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 5: Him he got, Injured that's what it. Was he got
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 5: injured Against. Anaheim so that's bad For detroit Because my's
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 5: was actually pitching pretty. Well so he's on the or
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 5: whatever right. Now so that's why they're going with a
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 5: bullpen game here because it would have been his turn
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 5: of the. Rotation that kind of. SUCKS i THINK i
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 5: would Lean over in this. GAME i don't like lighters matchup.
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 5: Numbers he definitely could give up some runs. HERE i
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 5: Know texas's bullpen is, good but if the starter doesn't do,
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 5: well LIKE i, said the bullpen usually comes in, earlier
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 5: and then that just kind of throws the bullpen. OFF
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 5: i don't like What detroit is doing, here even though,
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 5: yeah it's a planned bullpen game sort, of but it's
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 5: in place of an, injury so not Really seventy six
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 5: percent of, tickets sixty six percent of the cash On.
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 5: DETROIT i THINK i would probably lean To. TEXAS i
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 5: THINK i probably do prefer a lighter over a bullpen.
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 5: Game getting him as an, underdog But over makes sense to,
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 5: me even though he see money a little bit on
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 5: the under for some. Reason eighty six percent of, tickets
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 5: ninety one percent of the cash on the. Under we're
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 5: talking About, detroit which is a bit more hitter friendly Than,
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 5: texas is totals at, eight which seems a little low
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 5: for you, know lighter versus a bullpen. Game so, YEAH
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 5: i think over makes some sense in that. One all,
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 5: RIGHT nhl, playoffs which they do have them on the board.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 5: Somewhere we have TWO nhl games, here by the, way yesterday's,
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 5: game you, Know carolina won three to. Nothing we took
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 5: the loss on, that but if you look at that, game,
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 5: statistically that game was really. Close So i'm kind of
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 5: unhappy about. That you, KNOW i don't think it was
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 5: the wrong. Call it was what it, was you, know but,
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 5: statistically you, Know philadelphia won a majority of the face.
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 5: Offs they got out, shot but they had way more
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 5: hits in the. Game So philadelphia was, good like physically and.
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 5: Whatever so you, know that just. Sucks but if YOU
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 5: i forgot to point out the regular season, series WHICH
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 5: i usually do when a new series, Starts carolina won
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 5: the regular season three to, one but every game went into,
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 5: Overtime so The flyers do look like they have a
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 5: kind of a close matchup Against. Carolinas that was another
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 5: thing that went into that handicapped yesterday and the last
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 5: game of The flyers won it in a game that
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 5: didn't matter for The hurricanes, though so The hurricanes had
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 5: already pretty much wrapped up their seed in the playoffs and,
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 5: whatever so you, know but And flyers only were able
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 5: to manage winning that game in, overtime but in a shoot.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 5: Up but, still you, know The flyers played them. Close
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 5: but all the other games are earlier in the, season
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 5: so but, WHATEVER i just forgot to point that out.
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 5: Yesterday the games today they're all IN, Tnt TRUE, TV
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 5: Hbo Max montreal At Tampa Bay game. Seven you, KNOW
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 5: i Have Tampa bay winning the championship in my winning
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 5: The cup in my. Bracket Tampa bay won the last
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 5: game one to nothing on the road in, Overtime and to,
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 5: ME i think that's kind of deflating To montreal Because
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 5: mondreal has been in this. Series they were up in the,
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 5: series looked like they were gonna win the. Series obviously
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 5: they still, can But Tampa bay's got the better, goalie
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 5: the more. Experienced you, know that's just the way that it.
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 5: IS i Like. Vasilevsky he was really good in that last,
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 5: game and AGAIN i think experience might win out in
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 5: a very high pressure game seven like. This montreal is
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 5: still young and lacking a bit of. Experience SO i
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 5: do Like Tampa bay to win this game. Today if
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 5: you look at the win here Again, montreal that was
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 5: they they could have won the series at. Home man,
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 5: like that game was a complete toss up And montreal
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 5: didn't win the, game and now they have to go
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 5: back To tampa For game. SEVEN i think that's a
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 5: bit deflating For. Montreal, MAN i don't know if they're
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 5: gonna be able to do it after the way they
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 5: lost that. Game tampa did outshoot, them The montreal was
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 5: more physical in the. Game it had way more. Hits
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 5: so there is, That BUT i kind of Like tampa
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 5: to get the job done. Here they are favored seventy
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 5: five percent of, tickets eighty percent of the cash on,
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 5: them they're. PUBLIC i don't. KNOW i don't know how
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 5: much weight to put into these numbers at. All third
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 5: about minus one sixty, FIVE i, MEAN i don't know
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 5: if you really want to Play Tampa bay money, line
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 5: it is a bit. Juicy it is a low. Total
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 5: five and a. Half five wouldn't disagree with an. UNDER i,
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 5: mean every one of the games in the series has
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 5: been low. Scoring game seven's usually are very intense on
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 5: the deepfense, event SO i wouldn't really disagree with an.
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 5: Under even though the last game went under and it
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 5: was you, know you could make the argument that there
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 5: were enough shots in that game that the game probably
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 5: should have been a little bit higher scoring than it.
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 5: Was but, YEAH i don't, know, man it's not gonna
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 5: be a play for. ME i don't have a great
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 5: gauge on. That the other GAME i almost gave out
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 5: a play On minnesota At. Colorado they will be starting this,
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 5: series and you know WHAT i talked about yesterday that
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 5: does apply to this. Game, colorado just Like, carolina they
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 5: won their first series in a, sweep and they've been
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 5: off for a week, now and you, KNOW i don't like.
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 5: That when a team has been off for a, week
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 5: it can crush their momentum and a lot of times
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 5: it will hurt them coming into the next. Game Whereas,
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 5: minnesota even though they won a big series and you,
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 5: know they might be overly excited about winning that series Against,
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 5: dallas they won three games in a row to win that,
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 5: series but they do have the momentum because they just
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 5: played On, Thursday so you, know momentum, WISE i think
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 5: it does Favor minnesota here because they just played and
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 5: you would, think, Well colorado has a rest, Edge but,
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 5: AGAIN i don't think that's the way that it. WORKS
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 5: i think the team that just played more recently actually
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 5: has an advantage over a team that's had too much time,
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 5: off you know WHAT i, mean because you continue your. Momentum,
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 5: so but that was a good series In. Minnesota and
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 5: the problem THAT i have with IS i don't know
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 5: That minnesota matches up that. Well colorado is probably very
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 5: happy to See minnesota here Because dallas is Not colorado
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 5: out of the playoffs repeatedly, recently And colorado does not
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 5: seem to match up well Against, dallas but now they Avoid. Dallas,
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 5: Now minnesota has played well in the. Playoffs you, know
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 5: they Got Quinn hughes at the trade. Deadline volstead has
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 5: been playing really well in, net and there might be
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 5: an argument to be made that he is the better
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 5: goalie coming into this. Series but you, Know minnesota is
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 5: still a little bit of an inexperienced. TEAM i, MEAN
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 5: i think this is the first time they're making it
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 5: to this round of the playoffs, recently If i'm not,
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 5: mistaken looking at the regular, season you know it was
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 5: a two to two. Series but the last, GAME i
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 5: think it's kind of telling, that you, know In, march
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 5: when The avs were kind of close to already wrapping
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 5: up the one, seed a game that they didn't really,
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 5: need The avs still won the game in a. Shootout
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 5: that's not great for The. Wild and then if you
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 5: kind of dig into these box, scores The wild won
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 5: the first game in a shootout at. Home so both
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 5: games they won were in a, shootout so they won
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 5: in the two games they won were really. Close but
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 5: if you look at these, GAMES i don't. KNOW i,
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 5: Mean minnesota was the more physical team in this game hit,
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 5: wise But colorado won sixty percent of the faceoffs and
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 5: have more, shots so you could argue that in that first,
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 5: Game colorado was the better. Team colorado then won the
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 5: next game five to. One if you look at, that you,
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 5: Know colorado kind of dominated the. Game they won the,
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 5: faceoffs won the hit battle that was In minnesota, too
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 5: won the. Shots colorado then lost five to two at,
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 5: Home so that does look good For, Minnesota but you
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 5: look at what happened in this. Game minnesota had two
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 5: empty net goals in the game and two hour play,
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 5: goals so that was a very misleading final result in my.
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 5: Opinion five on, Five colorado kind of won the. GAME
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 5: i mean they had two to five on five, Goals
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 5: minnesota only had one in that, game And colorado had
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 5: more shots by double. Digits they went over sixty five
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 5: percent of the, faceoffs so that game was completely. Misleading
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 5: and then in the last, game LIKE i, said it
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 5: was a close game Or colorado won the game in
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 5: a shootout in the last. Game but What i'm saying
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 5: is THAT i worry about the matchup here because it
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 5: looks Like colorado really kind of Dominated minnesota in those
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 5: games during the regular, Season SO i think it's a
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 5: decent matchup For colorado and the series. Generally last, Game
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 5: minnesota did win the face off battle, though and the
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 5: rest of the stats were fairly. Close but, again that
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 5: was the game That colorado didn't even really need at that.
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 5: Point So i'm gonna lean minnesot BUT i don't love.
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 5: It i'm not gonna put it on my card slightly
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 5: in for me To. Minnesota they're you, Know colorado's minus
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 5: one to eighty, here they're a big favorite to win the. Series,
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 5: YEAH i Think colorado is gonna win the. SERIES i,
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 5: mean they're the more experienced. Team they were obviously better
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 5: Than minnesota in the regular season, series even though the
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 5: two to two, record you, know might make it look.
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 5: Otherwise but AS i just showed, You colorado was the better.
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 5: Team uh they, are you. KNOW i mean the totals
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 5: at five and a half, SIX i don't really have
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 5: a good gauge on the. TOTAL i, mean under might
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 5: again make sense Because colorado might come out a little
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 5: bit slow if you want to play In minnesota first.
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 5: PERIOD i know that didn't work out With philly, yesterday
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 5: but that still might make some sense Because colorado might
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 5: come out a little bit slower on offense with too much.
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 5: Rest eighty seven percent of tickets only sixty two percent
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 5: of the cash On. Colorado so the money is agreeing
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 5: with me On. Minnesota, hear and again it would be
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 5: like a split puck line money line. Situation probably if
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 5: you do Play minnesota, there that would be my recommendation
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 5: in that. Game basically the same PLAY i made yesterday With.
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 5: PHILADELPHIA i would say that would be my lean On,
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 5: minnesota But i'm not gonna give it out as a.
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 5: Play then we HAVE nba Two game. SEVENS i don't
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 5: want to talk about IT, abc and THEN nbc And
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 5: peacock or where these two games are At orlando At.
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 5: Detroit detroit has completely swung the. Series after they were
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 5: down three to, one looked like they were gonna lose the.
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 5: Series they're the better team the last, game, THOUGH i,
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 5: mean the biggest outlier in this game was look at
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 5: the second. Half detroit lost the. Game detroit won the
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 5: game by. Fourteen orlando was winning this game by twenty
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 5: two at. Halftime it was one of the most unbelievable
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 5: things you'll ever. See orlando scored nineteen points in the second. Half,
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 5: yeah that's. Correct they got outscored what is, that fifty
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 5: five to nineteen in the second. HALF i don't Think
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 5: i've ever seen anything like that. Before orlando missed twenty
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 5: four straight field goal attempts in the second. Half it's,
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 5: YEAH i, mean it's just. Unbelievable so, obviously the one
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 5: outlier here is That, orlando even though they're not a
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 5: good offensive team and they're Without, wagner still who is
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 5: one of their better offensive. Players that's the biggest. Outlier,
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 5: Man orlando cannot possibly shoot that bad again in this.
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 5: Game they were thirty five percent from the field overall
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 5: in that game and twenty five percent from. Three detroit
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 5: didn't shoot that well, though forty percent and thirty three percent,
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 5: respectively And detroit dominated in the. Paint in the rebound,
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 5: battle they got to the line a little bit, more
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 5: out Rebounded orlando by. Fourteen orlando is not good, inside,
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 5: Man detroit does have an interior advantage. HERE i don't
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 5: really See detroit losing after that. Game, MAN i can't
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 5: Believe orlando blew that game like. That, dude if you're
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 5: up twenty two points at home and you're about to
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 5: win the series and pull off the up said and
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 5: then you lose like. That even Though orlando had a
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 5: massive shooting outlier in that, GAME i don't know that
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 5: they bounce. BACK i really. Don't you. Know the money
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 5: is kind of indicating On orlando fifty four percent of,
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 5: tickets eighty six percent of the cash on. Them, WELL i,
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 5: agree the biggest outlier is That orlando. SCORING i think
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 5: if you wanted to Play orlando to bounce back, OFFENSIVELY
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 5: i Think orlando going over their team total maybe makes
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 5: some sense, here but you, know it's a game, seven
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 5: And game seven tend to be unders eighty seven percent
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 5: of tickets eighty nine percent of the cash on the.
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 5: Under but the, problem just LIKE i said with yesterday's,
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 5: game the problem with game seven unders is the books know,
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 5: that and they have skewed these lines. Unbelievably this total
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 5: open at two oh seven and a half and it's
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 5: all the way down to two oh one and a.
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 5: Half and if you, Remember game one of this series
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 5: In detroit had a total of two twenty to twenty
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 5: and a, Half so the total is like nineteen points
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 5: lower than that. Now and, well, yes some based on
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 5: the way the series has gone bad, SCORING i, know
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 5: and the fact that it's a game. Seven, yeah two
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 5: twenty would obviously be way too. High but two one
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 5: and a half there's no value in going under. That
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 5: there's just no WAY i could do. That even the
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 5: game seven tend to be. Underconducive you can't do, it,
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 5: Man there's just absolutely no value. There and in, fact
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 5: there probably is slight value on the. Over BUT i think,
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 5: again IF i was gonna do, THAT i, MEAN i
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 5: guess you could go over because maybe both teams will
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 5: actually shoot a little bit better, Here but the biggest
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 5: outlier Was, Orlando So orlando over their team total makes
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 5: a little bit of. Sense BUT i also lead To
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 5: detroit to cover the. Spread so do with that information
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 5: what you. Want i'm not gonna give out a play
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 5: on that. One detroit will have to cover the eight
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 5: and a half at, home maybe they could do, it you,
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 5: know if it's a lower scoring, game, though it makes
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 5: it a little bit more. Difficult but the, game AND
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 5: i think it's gonna be a little bit higher, scoring
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 5: is where we're gonna go with. This Oh i'm not
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 5: and over in a game, seven we're gonna lay the
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 5: points to The cleveland. CALVES i saw it at seven
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 5: and a half out. There, dude it the book that
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 5: starts with A b that has limited me and now
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 5: like seemingly won't connect to my bank. Account assume you
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 5: might have to go with minus eight on, this But
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 5: i'm fine with. That by the, Way detroit they were
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 5: basically like a minus eight and a half minus nine
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 5: in both of their home games in that, series And
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 5: cleveland was around the same favorite in their home games as,
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 5: Well so THERE'S i think the line is fine in these,
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 5: Games like it hasn't been skewed towards the home team at.
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 5: All SO i like laying the points With cleveland. Here
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 5: the home team has had a huge edge in this
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 5: series of the. Line, no we tried to lay the
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 5: points With cleveland In game five and they just put
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 5: themselves in such a gigantic hole early in the. Game
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 5: they didn't get out of, it and they almost. Did
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 5: they were winning by nine later in the. Game by the,
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 5: way that line was nine In game five and now
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 5: we're laying seven and a half AND i know it
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 5: probably has to be a little bit lower in a game,
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 5: seven but, still that's what we're gonna. Do. Man and
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 5: by the, way, yes the line in yesterday's game went
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 5: way down Because Jason tatum he was supposed to, play
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 5: and then late yesterday, nope he's not, playing and then
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 5: the line completely. Crashed so what can you. Do we
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 5: were on a bad number and that was it at that. Point,
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 5: YEAH i would, YEAH i would have, said, yeah we're
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 5: just gonna stay off of the game at that, point
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 5: like it's still the injured player theory was going to
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 5: apply to The, celtics but Fire Joe. Mizzoula as all
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 5: say about, it you cannot blow three series in four
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 5: years where you're an insurmountable favorite in those. Series AND
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 5: i know The tatum injury is gonna be the excuse
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 5: because he got injured in all three of those. Series
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 5: it's not an. Excuse Joe mizzula sucks. Ass fire his fucking.
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 5: Ass i'm done With Joe. Mizzoula fuck. Him even THOUGH
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 5: i like him as a, PERSON i think he's, hilarious
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 5: but as a, coach he needs to get the fuck
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 5: out of. Town fuck. You, anyway back to this, Game,
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 5: yes the line does have to be a little bit
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 5: lower because it is A game, seven but the home
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 5: team has covered every game in the series except the
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 5: one that we were on In game, five so let's
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 5: not go over. TWO i know we're five and eight
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 5: in THE nba playoffs, HERE i know we're five to
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 5: two and one in the hockey. Playoffs USUALLY i killed
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 5: THE nba. Playoffs, Man we're gonna get this one. Though
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 5: cleveland is the way better, TEAM i don't you. KNOW
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 5: i mean, again the only game where the home team
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 5: didn't cover was That game five Where cleveland put themselves
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 5: in a massive. Hole this last, game by the, way
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 5: it was an overtime game where The raptors. WON i
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 5: don't know if you guys saw the end of that.
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 5: GAME i was watching it when it was. On it was.
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 5: Crazy the end of that game Was, BARRETT i, think
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 5: hit the shot for The. Raptors they were down one
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 5: with the season on the, line and he took a
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 5: three from the top of the. Key it was just
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 5: a little bit off and it hit the back of
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 5: the of the, rim bounced way up in the, air
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 5: and then it went in with a second, left and Then,
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 5: cleveland you, know did get a shot. Off cleveland got
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 5: a shot. Off so credit to. Them they got a
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 5: decent look at a three at the end there because
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 5: they were able TO i. GUESS i think they were
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 5: able to call it time out and they got the
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 5: ball at half court inbounded it onto their side of the.
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 5: Court it took a three that wasn't from like way,
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 5: out but it did. Miss but that, shot The barrett
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 5: hit or, whatever was. Insane but What i'm gonna say
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 5: about this game is if you had the under in this,
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 5: game you got absolutely. Screwed AND i THINK i did
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 5: kind of lean that way in that. Game you got
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 5: fucked in that game because it was way under the
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 5: total in that GAME i think was two nineteen and a.
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 5: Half i'm pretty sure it was the, total AND i
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 5: believe it was at like two to oh eight going into.
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 5: Overtime and then what happened was the game went over
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 5: on the final three point or right at the end
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 5: of the. Game the game was sitting it at a two,
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 5: Nineteen so if The raptors missed that, shot maybe they
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 5: would have fouled. Again you would have lost that, way
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 5: which would still have been. Brutal but you lost on
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 5: that literally on that last, shot and only because the
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 5: game went into. Overtime that's. RIDICULOUS i, mean the game
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 5: was eleven points under the total at the end of
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 5: regulation and then, yeah eleven and a, HALF i, mean
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 5: and then fourteen points scored in overtime with that last,
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 5: minute last second, three if you want to go last
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 5: two seconds three is what put the game over in.
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 5: Overtime absolutely. Ridiculous one of the worst beats that you'll ever.
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 5: See probably it's. RIGGED i think everything is, Rigged but
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 5: if we look at what happened in this, game the
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 5: real outlier here was the three point. Shooting toronto had
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 5: two more, threes WHICH i know isn't a, lot But
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 5: cleveland only shot twenty seven percent from. Three and While
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 5: toronto is a good defending, Team cleveland was the better
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 5: team in this. Game they. Had they had six more
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 5: field goal attempts Than toronto, did they went to the line,
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 5: more and they didn't really shoot that well from the
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 5: line seventy percent Versus toronto shooting eighty three. Percent eighty
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 5: three percent is a little bit high for free throw.
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 5: Percentage we'll probably regress a little bit. There cleveland might
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 5: shoot a little bit better from the free throw line this.
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 5: Time and, again the three point percent is twenty seven
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 5: percent For. Cleveland that's, Low SO i think that's that's
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 5: the biggest outlier from that. Game they might shoot. Better
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 5: cleveland was the better, team. Dude they won the rebound
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 5: battle by fourteen in the, game so again they were
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 5: the better team. There or they lost the turnover, battle
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 5: which they may not do in this. Game now that
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 5: they're at, home they might clean that up a little. Bit,
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 5: YEAH i mean this game was a bit. Misleading, again
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 5: it was The raptors are just making every shot early
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 5: in the. Game, man you, know they were just they
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 5: had a really good second, quarter but then they were really. Bad,
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 5: yes they had a really bad fourth, quarter but they
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 5: overcame that and won in. Overtime but even, So CLEVELAND
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 5: i think was better in the, game and that then
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 5: the final score makes it look certainly because they lost the,
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 5: game but again the better. Team coming off a loss
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 5: at home in game, SEVEN i thought that this might
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 5: have been one of the biggest mismatches in the. Playoffs.
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 5: Man to be, Honest i'm actually Surprised toronto's been able
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 5: to do what they've done and send it to a game.
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 5: Seven BUT i think it's over. Now, Uh toronto's not
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 5: that good on the road twenty two and, Nineteen cleveland
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 5: twenty seven and fourteen at. Home so there you. Go
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 5: that's gonna be the play and that is going to do,
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 5: it by the, way just for just so we you,
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 5: know do, it BECAUSE i forgot to mention it the
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 5: home road splits in the hockey. Games carolina really good
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 5: at home twenty, nine ten and, two so we did fade.
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 5: That But philadelphia is not that bad on the road twenty,
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 5: three fourteen and four on the, Road so you, KNOW
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 5: i think it was okay to Take philadelphia as the road,
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 5: team and again it was a misleading. Result just to
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 5: talk About Minnesota colorado home road, Slits colorado is really
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 5: good both, ways but twenty, six nine and six at
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 5: home in, elevation by the, way But minnesota at least
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 5: has played there a couple of times this. Year minnesota
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 5: is okay on the, road but they're not quite as
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 5: good on the. Road twenty, three fourteen and four on the.
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 5: Road still Lean minnesota in the, game just based on the.
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 5: Situation but that's gonna do, it. Man the play is
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 5: one more time, Today we're going first five under In, Toronto.
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 5: MINNESOTA i know these games have gone way over the
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 5: total in the, series which is kind of another reason
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 5: WHY i like the under because people are not gonna
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 5: want any sort of, under And i'm not doing it
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 5: full game because, yeah we're not gonna we don't want
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 5: anything to do with the bullpens. Here so first five
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 5: under and then, uh we're laying the moneyline with The
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 5: Philadelphia phillies and then we Have Cleveland calves minus the
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 5: points as. Well in. Basketball that's gonna do. It learn
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 5: it town On, twitter learn it tone On, instagram like
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 5: subscribe to the channel, here get notified when we go.
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 5: Live IF i ever come back. Again we're on audio as.
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 5: Well go check that Out, Apple, spotify whatever. Speaker that
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 5: all helps me. OUT i don't know WHY i keep
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 5: doing the show because we're not getting any new, subscribers
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 5: so we get the regulars and that's. It BUT i
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 5: don't even know if it's worth it to keep doing
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 5: the show and putting all this energy into it when
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 5: it's not. Given this show doesn't do anything for me.
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 5: Anymore LIKE i like talking about this, stuff but if
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 5: it's not gonna get me any new subscribers and, WHATEVER
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 5: i don't know WHY i keep doing the. Show it's
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 5: been like three years now and there's just been no.
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 5: Growth so you, KNOW i don't know WHAT i can.
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 5: Change it's just it is what it. IS i might
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 5: just quit the. Show, yeah then we have a covered
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 5: In yucau is my yuke, channel uh on. YouTube this
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 5: show is On, apple is On Apple. Spotify LIKE i
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 5: said on the, audio you can check it out Dar An.
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 5: Spreaker loser casts will be back On, tuesday and UH
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 5: g Spot giants podcast will probably have some new episodes
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 5: at some. Point that's gonna do.
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 2: It.
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 1: Peace but don't you go, quiet don't you fade from the.
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 1: Flow your name still mean something to somebody for.
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 5: Show put the.
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 3: Glass, down, baby look at.
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 4: Me no.
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 3: Hold, on hold on, Notting.
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 4: No hold on hold on me for that by, hard
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 4: but it don't get the.
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: Crown hold, on hold on and stay with me now