Latest / Combat Veteran News / Trump Threatens GROUND INVASION as Strikes Escalate!!

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Trump Threatens GROUND INVASION as Strikes Escalate!! · Combat Veteran News

0:00
The US has resumed its bombing campaign
0:02
against Iran. And Iran is retaliating.
0:06
But even more disturbing, the president
0:09
is now just dropping the mask and saying
0:11
that he is going to be launching a
0:14
ground invasion. Yeah, buckle up for
0:16
this madness. So, in the last 24 hours
0:19
or so, we have seen a slew of
0:22
explosions. Uh two explosions on Keshum
0:25
Island, uh explosions in Bander Abbas,
0:28
explosions in Bushir, uh uh Henga, uh
0:34
Kan. I mean, you can see here that the
0:36
focus seems to have been very heavily on
0:39
this key infrastructure around the
0:42
narrowest part of the straight. Now,
0:43
reportedly, this has been where Iran has
0:46
been effectively operating its toll
0:48
booth, so to speak, uh, targeting ships
0:50
that try to circumvent it and funneling
0:53
ships that pay the Iranian toll through
0:56
a designated Iranian route. Obviously,
0:58
the US blockade outside the straight has
1:01
in turn stopped ships that Iran is
1:03
permitted. you know, the the the status
1:06
quo, but uh it's been a two-way strike
1:10
as anti-hship missiles have been
1:12
launched towards some ships in the
1:13
straight of Hormuz. And you're seeing
1:16
really a growing number of these strikes
1:19
going back and forth. Uh notably you
1:22
note here that in Kuwait, one of the
1:26
only countries that has still been uh
1:28
issuing public statements about the
1:31
number and type of strikes targeting
1:34
them. Kuwait has said that they were
1:36
targeted by 24 UAVs in the uh as well as
1:42
an unspecified number of ballistic and
1:44
cruise missiles. And this is well
1:47
troubling for a couple of reasons.
1:48
There's also been reports that Bahanian
1:51
air defenses have intercepted an
1:52
unspecified number of attacks. Uh you
1:55
also have the
1:58
uh uh some air bases at least according
2:01
to the Iranians uh including the fifth
2:03
fleet headquarters in Bahrain have also
2:05
been struck. Now there's the stranger
2:11
part here is what Trump himself has
2:12
said. So Trump
2:16
initially
2:18
said that he was going to hit Iran very
2:20
hard tonight. This was basically the
2:22
only tool in his toolkit to improve his
2:25
negotiating position. Obviously the
2:27
first 13,000 strikes didn't do anything.
2:30
It's unlikely that the subsequent uh
2:33
whatever many this is 100 200 strikes
2:36
are going to do anything either. Now,
2:40
the president though has also threatened
2:41
to quote assume total control of Iran's
2:44
oil and gas markets and even seize Kog
2:46
Island in the not tooistant future. This
2:49
is disturbing at best. And I'm going to
2:52
see if I can find the actual quote from
2:54
the president himself uh because it's
2:59
well troubling. So, you can see here
3:02
this is at 8 a.m. this morning. He has
3:04
said, quote, "The US will be hitting
3:06
Iran." uh who he claims has uh uh wait
3:12
hitting Iran whose navy, air force,
3:14
radar, anti-aircraft, and all other
3:16
forms of defense together with most of
3:18
its offensive capability are gone. This
3:20
is transparently a lie. The Kuwaitis
3:22
aren't even validating this. Um because
3:25
as we just discussed, even the Kuwaitis
3:27
admit the Iranians have at least been
3:29
able to fire ballistic missiles and
3:31
drones at their country. Uh Trump says
3:35
at some point in the not too distant
3:37
future we will be taking Car Island and
3:39
other oil infrastructure points and
3:41
assume total control of their oil and
3:43
gas markets uh much like we have with
3:46
Venezuela and which is working out
3:47
brilliantly for both Venezuela and the
3:49
United States of America. Thank you for
3:50
the your attention to this matter. This
3:51
is disturbing because again you notice
3:53
he's framing this not as a possibility
3:55
but as a reality. He says at some point
3:56
in the not too distant future we will be
3:58
taking control of Car Island. Now,
4:00
obviously, the president has
4:02
demonstrated repeatedly that he doesn't
4:03
really uh the clarity of his statements
4:06
is not terribly important to him. So, I
4:09
wouldn't necessarily take this as
4:10
literally true. The problem is this is
4:12
the US president. And well,
4:16
it treating assuming he means what he
4:19
says is probably a fair assumption.
4:22
No, he then previously tweeted a bunch
4:27
of stuff about
4:30
all kinds of crazy stuff. Uh he also
4:32
outed that he claims, quote, I directed
4:34
our great US military to execute a
4:35
secret mission to support oil tankers
4:36
and other commercial ships through the
4:38
straight. He says that actually has
4:40
gotten 100 million barrels of oil
4:42
through the straight and into the open
4:43
market. More than 200 commercial ships
4:45
have trac safely traveled through the
4:47
straight. Now I point out that 100
4:49
million barrels of oil is not nothing.
4:50
The Iranians produce about about before
4:53
the war they were producing about 3
4:54
million barrels a day. So it is roughly
4:57
the equivalent of about a month's worth
4:59
of Iranian oil. Uh and we actually this
5:04
is been independently confirmed. A
5:07
research firm called Catrini sent an
5:09
analyst to the straight of Hormuz where
5:10
he observed the uh numerous ships
5:13
transiting with their transponders off
5:15
and that this is likely he observed part
5:19
of this secret program. Interesting that
5:22
the president admits it likely as the
5:23
president has said because the Iranians
5:25
have well detected it.
5:29
But here's where things get even
5:30
stranger.
5:32
Uh the president has said, "I'm not sure
5:35
the United States has the stomach to
5:37
seize Car Island." We can bring you
5:39
comments from US President Trump. He
5:40
told Fox News, "The US dropped $250
5:43
million worth of bombs." Now again, I
5:46
think this is absolutely almost almost a
5:48
parody of the no foreign wars president
5:52
is out here well bragging about how much
5:55
he spent on foreign wars, which is
5:56
hilarious because remember in
5:58
Afghanistan, one of the most damning
6:01
indictments of the war effort there was
6:03
that the metric for success was simply
6:06
how much cash you pushed into the Afghan
6:08
economy. That was the metric. How much
6:11
did you spend? We spent a bajillion
6:12
dollars on Afghan security forces. Well,
6:15
it those of us that were on the ground
6:17
in Afghanistan know that the level of
6:19
fraud and uh theft within the Afghan
6:23
government was rampant almost to the
6:25
point of parody. Um I would visit Afghan
6:29
uh government facilities and I would see
6:31
um millions of dollars of equipment
6:33
obviously that that was meant for
6:35
distribution had never been hoarded at
6:37
all. So, uh, and they would just do it
6:40
in front of you. It was absurd. And so,
6:42
seeing the US president again operate
6:45
with the same mentality.
6:47
Why do you have to drop $250 million of
6:49
bombs? Like, what did you get for those
6:51
$250 million taxpayer dollars? That's
6:53
about that's about um 75 cents from
6:56
every American just last night.
6:59
And then he raised doubts about whether
7:01
the US has the stomach to engage in a
7:03
Car Island military operation. He said,
7:04
quote, "I'm not sure the country has the
7:05
appetite for it, as good as it is." He
7:07
says, "Uh,
7:09
that's not brilliant because the threat
7:12
of a ground invasion of Car Island is is
7:16
a negotiating tool itself. It's like
7:19
it's the reason why Putin continually
7:20
cites nuclear uh vague nuclear threats.
7:24
Is it because he actually is going to
7:25
launch a nuclear attack on Keev?" No,
7:28
he's not. He has no intention of it. But
7:30
every time he makes that kind of vague
7:32
speculative threat, oh, our nuclear
7:33
forces are at the ready, uh, it it
7:37
itself is a is a negotiating tool
7:39
because it instills fear in the public.
7:42
And the ability to instill credible fear
7:44
in the Iranians, even if you don't
7:45
really think you're going to do it, when
7:48
you come out and say it's never going to
7:49
happen, the Iranian planners get to go,
7:51
great. Odds of Car Island invasion,
7:54
zero. And then they plan off of that
7:55
assumption. So before we talk about the
7:59
market's reaction and the Iranian
8:01
reaction, additional strikes, including
8:04
targeting an unusual uh unusual source
8:08
of infrastructure, I want to mention
8:09
guys that if you appreciate what I do,
8:11
you can become a member at
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combatnews.com. Um we're going to be
8:14
dropping a Q&A video. We drop uncensored
8:16
combat videos and analysis. Uh we
8:18
including stuff that isn't available
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publicly. Um, we just, uh, on Tuesday
8:23
took a look at the,
8:26
uh, Ukrainian air defense teams, some of
8:28
their most advanced interceptors, which
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I know it's not like clickable super
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graphic, but it is really cool to see
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some of their advanced interceptors in
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action. Um, so become a member, support
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me and the team, and keep us doing this
8:41
every single day. Check the link in the
8:43
description. Okay, so one, despite this
8:46
kind of bizarness, you can see that the
8:48
price of oil has actually remained. This
8:50
is uh this is um WTI. Let's let's take a
8:55
look. We've been using Brent crude and
8:56
I'm going to continue to use Brent
8:57
crude. I think that's a better one. So,
8:58
it's floating around 92 a barrel and you
9:01
can see basically it's maintained that.
9:03
Um I think likely I think indeed because
9:05
of the president getting all of those uh
9:08
oil tankers out through Iran. Uh I think
9:11
that has made a difference. But you can
9:14
see that it's stable around 92. This is
9:16
still not great, but it is not the
9:19
catastrophic uh 111 or 114 that we have
9:23
seen the price spike to. Um, now there's
9:30
I'm not sure if this is trading because
9:31
they think the odds that the president
9:33
would actually do it successfully, take
9:35
the oil infrastructure. Uh it seems to
9:38
be like it me I my theory is that the
9:41
market is kind of in a state of tension
9:43
because you have the president saying
9:45
listen it's really important to me that
9:48
I
9:50
get oil onto the market like we joked
9:53
about on the live streams the three
9:56
biggest advisers to the president right
9:58
now is the S&P 500 the 10-year Treasury
10:01
yield and the price of a of a barrel of
10:04
oil And
10:07
clearly when the president says,
10:08
"Listen, the price of a barrel of oil is
10:10
is guiding policy right now." Well,
10:15
presumably the price of oil itself, the
10:17
act just signaling that is going to
10:20
drive down the price of oil. Why do I
10:21
say that? Because as you can see here,
10:23
this is straightforward opening by July
10:25
31st. And as you can see, the odds of
10:28
that happening are dropping, dropping,
10:30
dropping, and are now just 24%. which is
10:33
wild because again the 7-day moving
10:35
average for uh the IMF port watch has to
10:40
be equal to or above 60.
10:44
So
10:45
this implies that and that's about a
10:48
third between a third and a half of what
10:53
usual daily traffic is spo is typically
10:56
the constituting open but you can see
10:58
the odds of that happening now by the
10:59
end of July July is basically dropping
11:03
to less than 25%. And I think that is a
11:07
signal that the odds of the supply issue
11:11
stabilizing are have been steadily
11:13
dropping basically on a straight line.
11:15
It's actually kind of unusual to see.
11:17
Here's the June 30th chart. You can see
11:19
that's actually had more disruptions,
11:21
but as of about May 23rd,
11:24
and that's bizarre because the price of
11:27
oil does not look like that, right?
11:29
again, May 23rd. Use May,
11:33
you know, you use May 23rd. And let me
11:36
show you guys. We got Brent crude here.
11:39
And we're going to do a one month. Boom.
11:41
This is Brent crude. So here is May
11:43
24th. And as you can see, the price has
11:47
been really trading flat since about May
11:50
29th,
11:52
which is really weird given that the
11:55
straight looks like it's going to be
11:56
closed for longer than anyone
11:58
anticipated, including the president.
12:00
But the actual price of a today barrel
12:03
of Brent crude is very, very stable.
12:06
That's pretty bizarre. And I think again
12:09
you have pushing prices up is the odds
12:12
of a continued closure. I think pushing
12:14
prices down is two things. The first is
12:18
the likelihood of a of global demand
12:20
destruction. Right? In a recession,
12:22
fewer people drive, fewer people cook,
12:24
fewer people use fuel oil products. But
12:28
also you have the fact that uh prices
12:32
are being pushed down by the fact that
12:33
the president himself is like I will get
12:35
prices down. And when you are the
12:38
commander-in-chief of the largest
12:39
military on earth and the largest
12:41
economy on earth and you state that this
12:43
is my number one goal, well that is
12:46
going to give the market confidence. I
12:48
mean again imagine if you said listen
12:51
yeah I care about winning the elections.
12:53
I care about the US public but mostly I
12:54
care about price of a barrel of oil. Now
12:58
the Iranians though have a say in this
13:00
and there's a couple of interesting
13:01
things that they have said. Here's the
13:04
FARS news agency and says Iran has
13:06
updated its bank of targets for further
13:07
military operation. Says it's been
13:09
expanded to all interests associated
13:12
with the economic holdings managed by
13:13
Elon Musk in West Asia, the Middle East,
13:16
including those located in Arab
13:17
countries and the occupied territories.
13:19
Now, this is interesting because
13:21
obviously Elon has been explicit that
13:23
his Starlink system is deployed
13:26
and used by the US military. But
13:30
obviously that can include now this bank
13:33
of targets includes Tesla dealerships,
13:36
Tesla manufacturing, Gro Gro AI data
13:40
centers, anything associated with
13:41
Twitter uh or X uh anything associated
13:44
with SpaceX. I'm not sure how much
13:46
SpaceX activity happens in in the Gulf
13:49
countries, but certainly some of it. And
13:52
again, I think this is mostly
13:54
performative. I don't think Elon has
13:56
that many interests in the Gulf
13:58
countries directly. I think the Gulf
13:59
countries are definitely helping Elon
14:02
with his SpaceX IPO. I have no doubt
14:04
about that. But
14:07
and the fact the fact that Elon was a US
14:09
government employee is probably being
14:12
seen as like, "Hey, man, you're a
14:15
government agent." And
14:17
again, SpaceX, I'm like, "Okay, I get
14:20
it. You win government contracts. You
14:21
put government satellites into orbit.
14:23
That makes SpaceX a target. Does it make
14:25
all of Elon's holdings a target?" uh
14:28
maybe kind of sort of this is a really
14:30
gray area and this is again something
14:33
that we talk about frequently on the
14:34
frequently on this channel is that we
14:36
think about economics is over here war
14:38
is over here but in today's world it's
14:41
so much more complicated. Again when we
14:43
wrote the the law of war we said listen
14:46
targeting civilian infrastructure that
14:48
doesn't have a legitimate military
14:49
purpose is is a war crime. targeting
14:53
military infrastructure that's dual use
14:56
is not a war crime. So, for example,
14:58
blowing up a bridge that connects a town
15:01
to a hospital that doesn't that's far
15:04
away from the front lines, not really
15:06
having any much legitimate military
15:08
purpose. Blowing up a bridge, the same
15:11
bridge in fact, but your forces are
15:14
retreating and the enemy is going to
15:16
cross the bridge. Completely legitimate.
15:18
It's uh but again, you see how
15:21
complicated it is. Under this metric, is
15:24
blowing up a Tesla dealership a
15:25
legitimate military target?
15:28
Unclear. Elon's a government employee.
15:32
He his companies that he owns and
15:35
controls uh conduct sign contracts with
15:39
the US military, facilitate some US
15:41
military operations. Starlink famously
15:43
guides uh US military strike drones.
15:48
So
15:51
what is where where where does it end?
15:53
Where do you draw the line between
15:55
legitimate military purpose and not?
15:57
It's tough to say,
15:59
but even more complex
16:02
is that
16:04
the
16:06
Iranians have also released this
16:08
statement. says, "Following the glorious
16:10
achievement of the Islamic fighters at
16:11
dawn in suppressing the invading
16:13
American enemy with a reliance on on God
16:15
and brave sons in the IRGC aerospace
16:17
forces,
16:19
the ones that reportedly don't exist
16:21
according to the president response to
16:22
the missile attacks by the child killing
16:24
American army." I mean, this some of
16:25
these things are like to the point of
16:27
parody. Um, and maybe they have an
16:29
elegance in a in in Arabic or in Persian
16:32
that they don't have here. uh a
16:34
recreational site, a production complex
16:36
and the grounds of barracks near
16:37
Kajadage and Nazar Bashaz as well as an
16:40
RGC base to punish this aggressor this
16:42
morning targeted the base of the
16:44
American F-35 fighter and 15 and 16
16:47
fighter jets and important facilities
16:48
that the American army located at Alzas
16:51
air base and control center. He says we
16:53
hit them with 12 ballistic missiles,
16:54
destroying these facilities and a large
16:56
number of fighter jets. Now, one of the
16:57
problems here is that I don't really
16:59
believe them because the Iranians always
17:01
say this that all their strikes were
17:03
always successful all of the time. But
17:07
the the
17:12
but we know unfortunately from the
17:15
previous round of strikes reporting that
17:18
US military bases were hit by Iranian
17:20
ballistic missiles and caused damage at
17:22
a scale that the US government
17:24
essentially hid from the public. So,
17:26
we're left with this question of how
17:29
truthful are the Iranians? They're
17:30
definitely not 100% truthful, but how
17:33
correct are they? How much do they did
17:35
they really hit? Is the damage worse
17:38
than being reported? What is the real
17:39
story? What is really happening? And
17:42
that is one of the uh chief problems
17:45
here is that
17:48
when you lose your credibility, it's
17:51
gone forever.
17:53
And
17:55
the
17:57
it's hard to like the fog of war feels
18:01
denser than ever because previously
18:03
credible reporter sources like the US
18:05
government, which don't get me wrong, US
18:06
government put their spin on it. But
18:09
it's spinning the truth is different
18:11
than outright lying. And that's what
18:14
this government has done repeatedly in
18:15
this conflict. So now we have two liars
18:18
accusing each other of lying.
18:21
It's a huge problem.
18:23
So, we're going to keep you guys updated
18:25
as we know more. Uh, huge thank you to
18:27
our Colonel Tier members, guys like
18:28
Charles Shield, Brent, Andreas, Jim
18:30
John, CPC, Leon, Gabriel, Reyes, as well
18:32
as all of our lieutenant tier members.
18:34
We really appreciate you guys. We could
18:35
not do it without you, and we'll see you
18:37
guys in the next one. Cheers.