Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Bitcoin Crashing? New Report Says Not for Long! | Bitcoin Simply
Transcript
- 0:00All right, there's no other way to explain what's going on right
- 0:02now other than we're living in a simulation.
- 0:05Gold and silver shed $10 trillion in market cap in less
- 0:08than 72 hours. Gold dumped more than $1000 an
- 0:12ounce, and silver fell by more than 35%.
- 0:15But the craziest part is yesterday midday, their fortunes
- 0:19change magically, with gold surging 5% back to $1400.00 an
- 0:23ounce, and silver rose 20% from its lows in just 12 hours.
- 0:27I never want to hear a gold bug, ever.
- 0:29Tell me again that Bitcoin is too volatile.
- 0:31Gold and silver are trading like meme stocks right now.
- 0:34And tell me how this makes sense.
- 0:35In the middle of winter, natural gas fell by 21 percent, one of
- 0:39its biggest drawdowns ever. 40% of the nation's smartest
- 0:42students are disabled. Giannis went down in Milwaukee.
- 0:45And like Gandalf the Gray, Odell has come back to Twitter.
- 0:49Odell the white Donald Trump says that he's helped crypto
- 0:51more than anybody. And there's people out there
- 0:54calling for Bitcoin to fall well below 70K.
- 0:57With Bitcoin having its fourth consecutive down month, one of
- 0:59its worst stretches in history. What is going on?
- 1:02But let me give you a glimmer of hope in the midst of madness.
- 1:05There's a glimmer of hope for Bitcoin.
- 1:07And things aren't looking as good for gold with the business
- 1:09cycle turning with the manufacturing ISM coming in at
- 1:1250 2.6 manufacturing expanded for the first time after
- 1:16contracting for almost 2 years in a row.
- 1:18And Bitcoin is positively correlated with the business
- 1:21cycle that in the US, administering a supply side
- 1:24shock on raw materials and hard assets on the rest of the world.
- 1:27Today, I'm going to give you a likely explanation as to why
- 1:30Bitcoin is falling and why golden commodities are about to
- 1:33start to fall. And I'm also going to show you
- 1:35why in moments like these, I zoom out, I look at the big
- 1:38picture. I don't get focused on things in
- 1:39the moment and from my perspective, things are still
- 1:42bullish for Bitcoin. This is Don to cook with
- 1:44Bitcoin. Simply let's go.
- 1:50All right, let's start with the positive massive news for
- 1:52Bitcoin. The manufacturing ISM number
- 1:54came in at 52.6 versus the expected 48.6, which is the
- 1:58fastest expansion in over four years.
- 2:01After more than two years of straight contraction in the
- 2:04manufacturing sector, we're now seeing a business cycle turn,
- 2:08which means investors and people are now confident in the growth
- 2:11prospects America. And in terms of Bitcoin, there's
- 2:14diehard Maximus out there that have correlated the business
- 2:17cycle with bitcoins price showing that clearly when the
- 2:19business cycle turns, so does Bitcoin.
- 2:21When businesses are optimistic, Bitcoin grows and right now
- 2:25business is a booming. Why?
- 2:27Because of things like these like Trump in the United States
- 2:30reaching a deal with India, they're going to lower tariffs
- 2:32from 25% to 18%. India is committing to buy over
- 2:36$500 billion worth of goods from the United States and they're
- 2:39not buying oil from Russia. What about Apple producing all
- 2:42of their iPhone chips in America?
- 2:4419 billion chips. To make 19 billion chips for
- 2:48Apple in 24 factories across 12 different states.
- 2:54This is bullish for America. You don't lower inflation by
- 2:57decreasing demand, but by increasing supply.
- 2:59And that's exactly what's happening around the world.
- 3:01This supply side boom is what's causing people all across the
- 3:05globe to not believe that inflation is going to be sticky
- 3:08moving forward. And this spells doom for both
- 3:10silver and for gold. Economist Stephen Moore joins me
- 3:14now. I want to talk markets for a
- 3:16second. Why the big sell off?
- 3:18First of all, gold and silver a sell off over the weekend.
- 3:21Bitcoin a sell off over the last couple of months, which has
- 3:24taken it from, well, I don't know where to all the way down
- 3:27to 77. Why the sell off?
- 3:31Well, this is just speculation, Stewart, But first of all, I
- 3:34think that the new incoming Fed chairman, Kevin Walsh, is a
- 3:39spectacular pick. He's an inflation hawk.
- 3:42I think he will return us to sound money and increase
- 3:46affordability. And look, one of the reasons
- 3:49that the gold price and the silver price went up is that,
- 3:52you know, people buy gold and silver as a rush to safety and A
- 3:56and a hedge against inflation. But if you think inflation is
- 3:59going to be tame, then guess what?
- 4:00You don't need to buy gold and silver.
- 4:02So that is my hypothesis. I don't have the evidence of
- 4:05that. But it is clear that this new
- 4:08Fed chairman is going to be, I think, excellent.
- 4:12I think he's going to hold inflation down.
- 4:13We're going to make the dollar strong again.
- 4:15And if the dollar is strong, then guess what?
- 4:18The gold price typically goes down.
- 4:20I don't follow Stephen Moore, but I agree with his take.
- 4:23Inflation is projected to go down and not up, and we're
- 4:25looking at more of a deflationary economy than an
- 4:28inflationary economy. Gold and silver are a doom and
- 4:31gloom trade. When inflation fears go up,
- 4:34well, their purchasing power goes up.
- 4:36But the purchasing power, sort of like equity in your home, is
- 4:38only good on paper until you actually cash it in.
- 4:41But here's the problem with silver and gold.
- 4:43You can't actually cash it in. That's the difference between a
- 4:46pet rock and real technology I. Know a guy right now trying to
- 4:49get rid of like 10,000 pieces to silver.
- 4:51He can't really, he can't get a real offer on it.
- 4:53Everybody. He's getting a 30% discount
- 4:55below the market. Damn.
- 4:57Like this is this is people see it just spiking up like this and
- 5:00they're like, Oh my God, gold's at 100.
- 5:01Go try to sell a fucking shit load of gold.
- 5:03Go to go try to sell $10 million where the gold a day and watch
- 5:06what happens. You're going to have offers 20
- 5:08and 30% below market because you want to sell your gold.
- 5:11Now you're showing your hand, putting your flag up.
- 5:13Say surrender. I want my 100 bucks.
- 5:15You're not going to get $100 for your gold, not in scale.
- 5:19I mean, you're not going to get it not you're not going to get
- 5:20it tomorrow. Yeah, much less than 5 minutes
- 5:23Gold, same thing. It's got to go get it
- 5:25authenticated. It's got to get validated.
- 5:28It's got to get dude, there's a lot of fake gold.
- 5:29OK, then then somebody's going to have to pay you the money and
- 5:32then you got to get it out of storage.
- 5:33OK, the Bitcoin, the Bitcoin there's a real thing.
- 5:36So right, I can have it tomorrow, I can trade it back to
- 5:38you. 5 minutes like that. That to me is real because
- 5:42Bitcoin to me is not just money, it is technology.
- 5:46UN unlike gold or silver or even paper stocks.
- 5:50OK paper stocks is a technology like but they can just keep
- 5:53printing the paper forever. I don't agree with Grant Cardone
- 5:56on a lot, but I do agree with him here.
- 5:57Bitcoin plays well in a deflationary thesis on the world
- 6:01of improving technology, improving productivity, and
- 6:03improving hope in the business economy.
- 6:05And with where things are in America, I am more bullish on
- 6:09Bitcoin than I have been in the past with things like the
- 6:12Clarity Act under the works and soon to be it completed
- 6:14according to not only Donald Trump but Scott Besson, who I
- 6:18actually trust a little more. Here's the latest remarks from
- 6:20the president on where crypto is going.
- 6:22Crypto is a big thing and they like it.
- 6:24A lot of people like it. The people behind me like it.
- 6:28My sons are handling that, my family is handling it, and I
- 6:33guess they get investments from different people, but I'm not.
- 6:35I have all I can handle right now with Iran and with Russia
- 6:39and Ukraine and with all the things we're doing.
- 6:41So I don't know. I don't know exactly other than,
- 6:44you know, I'm a big crypto person.
- 6:46I'm the one that probably helped crypto more than anybody because
- 6:50I believe in it. And the reason I believe in it
- 6:52is because if we don't do it, Scott, I think we can say then
- 6:55China's going to do it. If we don't do crypto, then
- 6:58China's going to do it. And it's just like AI.
- 7:01We're leading AI by a lot, and if we weren't leading, China
- 7:04would have led. You know, they're very capable,
- 7:06they're very good. What do you have to say about
- 7:09that? You've made America the digital
- 7:11asset capital of the world. We did the genius act for stable
- 7:15coins. Many of the people standing up
- 7:17here working on the clarity bill to I don't.
- 7:20Think it's. Market structure and we're
- 7:23bringing US best practices to an exciting the new industry,
- 7:28digital assets innovation and IT spreads.
- 7:31Everywhere, I believe when the Clarity Act comes out, there's
- 7:33going to be a lot more products that come out because there's
- 7:35going to be a lot more clarity on what's possible.
- 7:37And one of the things that's clear right now is that you
- 7:39don't want to sell your Bitcoin. You can unlock liquidity in your
- 7:42Bitcoin today without selling your Bitcoin.
- 7:44This product's been around for years.
- 7:46In fact, Lenin's been the leader in this since 2018, allowing you
- 7:49to unlock, put it in your Bitcoin without selling it.
- 7:51You borrow against the Bitcoin amount up to 50% and you get
- 7:55Fiat in your account in less than six hours.
- 7:57The application takes just two minutes.
- 7:59And they are the most trusted source, issuing over $10 billion
- 8:02worth of loans to 10s of thousands of customers all
- 8:04across the world. Get started in as little as 2
- 8:07minutes by going to learn dot LED and dot AO slash.
- 8:09Simply, there's no credit check and loan started just 12.4%,
- 8:13about half of what you could get for a credit card.
- 8:15Oh, Speaking of me trusting Scott Besant more than I do the
- 8:18president, here's what he had to say about us getting our
- 8:21sovereignty back, Sir. As you always say, economic
- 8:24security is national security and a country does not have
- 8:27sovereignty if we don't have control of our critical
- 8:30minerals, don't have control of our steel production and our
- 8:33industrial base. And thanks to the work of
- 8:35everyone here through your leadership, this was a public
- 8:39private partnership that only you could have assembled.
- 8:43And we are taking back our sovereignty and we are going to
- 8:47have this vault project, a strategic and mineral reserve.
- 8:52And I can't tell you the how innovative and exciting this is
- 8:57and the level of security it is going to give us going forward
- 9:00is phenomenal. One of the ways that you can get
- 9:03your sovereignty back is by working with a coach at The
- 9:06Bitcoin Way. They'll help you to unlock
- 9:08maximal sovereignty by allowing you to run a Bitcoin node and
- 9:11becoming your own bank, having your own keys and your own
- 9:14wallet, and doing so privately, safely, securely and
- 9:17confidently. Schedule a free 30 minute
- 9:18consultation with the team at thebitcoinway.com/simply
- 9:22Bitcoin. On days like these, I like to
- 9:24take a step back, understand that I'm not looking at Bitcoin
- 9:27in a five year, five month or five week range, but a 10 year,
- 9:3120 year range. And what I know to be true
- 9:33aligns with some of the thoughts that Matt Hogan, the CIO from
- 9:36Bitwise, says here. The structural elements are in
- 9:38place for there to be continued debasement and continued money
- 9:41printing. Bitcoin is a 30X investment at
- 9:44worse in 100 X investment when you look at the history and how
- 9:48these things have played out in the past.
- 9:49You said Bitcoin could trade in the millions of dollars, right?
- 9:52Millions, easy. You actually wrote, you think
- 9:55that one Bitcoin might be worth $6.5 million in the next 20
- 9:58years. I mean, that's obviously like
- 10:00not an exact number, but you have a thesis or logic for that.
- 10:03Most people say, Matt, I thought you were a wise dude, but
- 10:07sounding a bit crazy here. So you say, you say 1 Bitcoin
- 10:09might be worth $6.5 million in the next 20 years.
- 10:12How do you get to that number? All you need to get to that
- 10:15number is for the store value market to 10X again, as a
- 10:19discussed it 10X over the last 20 years.
- 10:21All you're expecting is that that process to continue.
- 10:24It will 10X again, and you expect Bitcoin to come to be
- 10:27roughly as large as gold. If those two things happen, you
- 10:29end up with six plus $1,000,000 Bitcoin.
- 10:32That's not a big jump. You're not suggesting a huge
- 10:35difference, you're just suggesting what's been happening
- 10:37will continue to happen for another 20 years.
- 10:39How? Could you be wrong on that?
- 10:41Well, you could be wrong on it in two ways.
- 10:43You have two bets. You could be wrong on each of
- 10:44those bets. Gold could not cede market share
- 10:48to Bitcoin. Now that runs again most of
- 10:50history like most of modern history is digital things
- 10:53stealing market share from physical things.
- 10:55But you could be wrong on that. Gold could vacuum U all of that
- 10:58opportunity or you could have the store value market not
- 11:02continue to grow. And the primary reason for that
- 11:05is if government started stopped printing debt and printing
- 11:08money. I'm just very skeptical.
- 11:09I don't think is that possible. It's impossible, it's
- 11:12impossible. It's it seems to be impossible.
- 11:14It seems to be impossible. It's not impossible.
- 11:16You see it in some places. We've seen it in Argentina
- 11:18recently. They went on a true austerity
- 11:21bent. It's not impossible, but it
- 11:22looks impossible in the current system where the impetus just
- 11:26seems to be spending more money. And that's part of the reason
- 11:29you want to do this. And what if I'm wrong by half?
- 11:31What if it gets to 3 million and it's to 30X?
- 11:34That's actually not so bad. Either So on days like these, I
- 11:37sit back, I turn on the DCA like check man, he says here.
- 11:40And I relax because I understand whether it's a deflationary boom
- 11:44or an inflationary bust, Bitcoin is going to tell us exactly
- 11:46where things are going. And the latest print on the
- 11:49business manufacturing cycle has me bullish on confidence coming
- 11:53back to the private sector. And that is spelled well for
- 11:55Bitcoin at every other moment in the past.
- 11:57One of the ways you can participate in Bitcoin now is by
- 12:00owning a Bitcoin mining rig with a Bitcoin difficulty adjustment
- 12:03coming down well, you can earn more sats with less competition,
- 12:08but don't figure all this out on your own just buy a Bitcoin
- 12:10mining rig through SAS mining they'll host it for you and send
- 12:13sats directly to your wallet with no middle men and no
- 12:16markups and 100% clean renewable energy sources use the QR code
- 12:20to get started today. Thanks for rocking with me
- 12:22everybody, This is Dante Cook with Bitcoin.
- 12:24Simply, I do believe that a structural change is happening
- 12:27as inflation fears are calming all across the globe, as more
- 12:30countries reach tariff agreements, as more investment
- 12:33gets poured into United States and as the supply side shot
- 12:35comes in. Well, this actually diminishes
- 12:38the purchasing power of gold and silver.
- 12:40Don't get caught in the euphoria.
- 12:42Understand what's happening underneath of the surface and
- 12:44make wise decisions. Zoom out and look at the bigger
- 12:47picture. This is not to Coco Bitcoin,
- 12:48simply happy stacking.