Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NHL DFS | December 18, 2024 | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Skaters, Goalies and Stacks

Transcript

NHL DFS | December 18, 2024 | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Skaters, Goalies and Stacks · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

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  Speaker 1: So check us out get in there and now, hey,
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  Speaker 1: I'm sure you guys out there are new to NHL here,
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: so off the top here, I'm going to run through
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: a couple different things just in terms of NHL at
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: DFS in general. I'm sure a lot of members out
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: there are kind of dipping their toes in the water
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: here tonight for the first time as there's no NBA
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: going on, there's nothing else on the docket but NHL.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: There's really good contest over on DraftKings tonight, so looking
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: to kind of focus on that. My slate plan is
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: already live for members, so you can head out there
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: check it out. I'll be in the discord as well
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: answering questions. The matchup sheet is updated as well. But
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: in terms of NHL d fs, it's really a stacking sport.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: So I think MLB d f s right where your
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: goalie in NHL is kind of like your pitcher in MLB.
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  Speaker 1: It's kind of you're not safety blanket, but it's also
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: kind of the guy that has the opportunity to score
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  Speaker 1: a lot of points. Obviously they get points by by
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: saves and then a win bonus. You're really when you're
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: when you're picking a goalie. I typically spend down at goalies. Obviously,
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: tonight is kind of a five game slate here, so
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit different. But typically I kind of
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  Speaker 1: go in that mid tier and lower tier range historically
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  Speaker 1: in terms of goalies, just because it is the most
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  Speaker 1: volatile position in NHL d f s. Some of the
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  Speaker 1: heaviest favorites in the NHL lose all the time, and
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  Speaker 1: usually those guys goalies are priced up based on what
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  Speaker 1: the Vegas odds are and what their implied team totals are.
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  Speaker 1: So heavy favorites usually their goalies are priced eight K
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  Speaker 1: eighty four hundred eighty five hundred, like we see here tonight,
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  Speaker 1: and then the guys on the other end are in
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  Speaker 1: the low seven K. Realistically, what you're looking for in
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  Speaker 1: terms of a goalie, a goalie that you want to
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  Speaker 1: play in DFS at least has a good has an
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  Speaker 1: outside shot to win the game. The four win points
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  Speaker 1: for are I believe it's four on draftkning six on FanDuel. There,
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  Speaker 1: I might mix that up. I don't play over on
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  Speaker 1: FanDuel too often, but the win is kind of just
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  Speaker 1: an added bonus. You're really looking for the goalie to
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: get to that thirty five save mark. So if they
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: can get an outside shot to get that thirty five
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: saved bonus, that's huge. But typically you're looking for your
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: goalie you to score right around twenty five ish points realistically,
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  Speaker 1: so it is the most volatile position. Typically, I kind
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: of build out my stacks first, and then whatever goalie
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  Speaker 1: kind of fits, I usually play as long as it
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: kind of makes sense overall, and I usually list a
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: couple in the slate plan there for members, so hit
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: me up in the discord if you have questions there.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: But in terms of roster construction, I get this question
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: all the time, what's your typical roster construction, because obviously
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: in mlbdfs you're looking at like a five to two
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: stack or a five to three stack nhldfs, I do
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  Speaker 1: a lot of three two twos or three three twos.
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  Speaker 1: I typically very rarely go four or five man stacks
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  Speaker 1: from the same team unless it's a really short slate.
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  Speaker 1: Tonight we do have five games, so I probably would
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  Speaker 1: include a four man stack here tonight just due to
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: the nature of the slate. But yesterday we had a
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  Speaker 1: ten game slate and all the winners really were three
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: two two stacks or three three two to two. So
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  Speaker 1: I really kind of hone in on three skaters from
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  Speaker 1: one line, whether it's a full strength or the power play,
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  Speaker 1: two skaters from another team, and then two more skaters
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  Speaker 1: from another team is typically how I kind of like
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  Speaker 1: to construction my teams. I just go in on good spots,
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  Speaker 1: good matchups, and just correlate those skaters, whether it's they
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: skate together in the power play, or they skate together
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  Speaker 1: on the full line strength, or better yet, they correlate
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  Speaker 1: together on both the full line and the top power play.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: So that's kind of a little thirty second overview right
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  Speaker 1: on NHLDFS roster construction kind of what you're looking at.
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  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead and share my screen. This is
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: gonna make some more sense here, especially if you guys
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: are new. We're going to talk on the matchup sheet here. Again,
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  Speaker 1: this is on our website. The legend is up here.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: There's basically how you read this is you kind of
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: read it horizontal or diagonal. So tonight here I'm looking
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: at the first game on the slate. The bottom team
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  Speaker 1: here is going to be the home team. The top
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: team is the away team. So the Flyers are heading
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: into Detroit to face the Red Wings. Here these numbers,
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: all of these numbers here are season stats home and
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: road splits for the last ten games, so we cut
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: it off to the most recent ten games. So as
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: you can see here, got the Vegas total information here
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  Speaker 1: in the first couple columns, and then all the meat
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  Speaker 1: and potatoes is kind of on the back end here.
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  Speaker 1: So the Flyers averaging two point nine goals on average
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  Speaker 1: per game over the last ten road games. They're giving
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  Speaker 1: up two point eight one goals against per game on
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  Speaker 1: average over the last ten road games. The expected goals
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: numbers are really kind of what I hone into and
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: look into. This is kind of what's expected based on
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  Speaker 1: their recent performance that we're seeing on the ice. So
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  Speaker 1: looks like they're excelling a little bit more than expectations
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  Speaker 1: right now. Obviously, as you can see here, two point
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  Speaker 1: nine on average, where they're expected goals categories thirty first
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  Speaker 1: in the league. There's thirty two in each team, so
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  Speaker 1: second last in the league on the road, So that's
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: kind of stuff I hone into. And then the power
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  Speaker 1: play numbers I look for green. You want to match
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  Speaker 1: green versus green Realistically, in kind of a perfect scenario,
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: you'd have Green versus Green, so like you can see
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  Speaker 1: here twenty three versus a very very horrible penalty kill.
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  Speaker 1: And then you look for teams that give up a
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  Speaker 1: lot of chances, so Red Wings kind of middle of
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  Speaker 1: the pack, almost averaging about three power play opportunities for
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: the opposition per game. So in a real world scenario,
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: in kind of the perfect perfect world scenario, you would
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: see kind of like this, right, the stars green for
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  Speaker 1: expected goals, Green for expected goals against for the Leafs,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: same thing and actuals and then shots against. So how
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: many shots are the giving up per game for the
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  Speaker 1: Leafs Green good target almost thirty a game, and the
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Star is taking the most per game as well, So
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: you're really looking to match green with green in a
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  Speaker 1: perfect scenario. See that's not always the case, and usually
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: that's kind of where the chalk kind of resides for
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  Speaker 1: the most part when it is bright green across the board.
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  Speaker 1: So that's kind of thirty thousand foot overview of the
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  Speaker 1: matchup sheet here, but realistically looking at tonight here, I
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  Speaker 1: like the stars quite a bit, as you can see here.
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  Speaker 1: I'm a matchups guy. I love playing matchups. I played
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  Speaker 1: guys in good spots. Doesn't always work out, but more
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: times than not, it's going to be in my favorite
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  Speaker 1: especially when we're working off of the most recent ten
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  Speaker 1: games sample size here. I just don't think ownership is
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  Speaker 1: going to follow here tonight. Everybody loves Toronto. Toronto is
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  Speaker 1: a wagon, but Dallas is right there. I mean, these
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  Speaker 1: teams are pretty equivalent in nineteen to twelve in the
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  Speaker 1: year for the Leafs, nineteen eleven on the year for
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  Speaker 1: the Stars, Stars are at home, so I give a
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  Speaker 1: slight bump to them. I just don't think their ownership
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  Speaker 1: is going to be up there. I just don't think
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  Speaker 1: the ownership is going to follow the kind of numbers,
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  Speaker 1: and so I like the Stars quite a bit here tonight.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: But that's kind of how you read the matchup sheet here.
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  Speaker 1: You're really looking for spots to target, and then you
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: jump over to the stone, which I'm gonna show here
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  Speaker 1: in a little bit, and you go stacks and find
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  Speaker 1: your skaters that way. So that's kind of the overview
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: of the slate here. The chalcolate slate is gonna be
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: the jets here. As you can see, everybody kind of
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: attacks this. Anaheim's squad. Jets one of the best teams
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  Speaker 1: in the league this year. Their minus onenty five favorite,
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  Speaker 1: heaviest favorite on the slate. It is a sixth total.
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: That is one thing on the slate. There's nothing in
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  Speaker 1: terms of a total. Six and a half. Seven is
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  Speaker 1: usually your high total games and NHL five and a
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  Speaker 1: half is usually the lowest you see. So there's three
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  Speaker 1: really low totals. Historically, for like a main slate, five
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: and a half totals are really not great. Now. I'm
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: not a huge total guy in general, just because five
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: and a half goals. I mean, if this team's implied
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: to score two and a half Toronto, if two goals
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: come from the same line, I mean, that's fine in
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: terms of DFS, right scoring. So totals don't mean mean
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: everything to me, but it is kind of just interesting
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  Speaker 1: to see. Overall the slate is pretty even in terms
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: of totals. In spots you see a lot of pretty
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: pretty overall low favorites outside of the Jets there, So
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: looking at that in general, I can just easily tell
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: the Jets tonight here are gonna be the chalk of
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: the slate. And I did allude to that in the
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: slate plans as well. So let's go ahead and jump
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: into the stone here through the stone up on the screen.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: As you can see here, we're gonna talk game by game,
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: talk some of my favorite plays. As always, all this
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: stuff is included into the slate plan in general. Here,
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead and just pull the PDF so
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: it's easier to kind of see everything here on the screen.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: It should be easier to see there. So, like I said,
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: first game on the slate, here is the Flyers and
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: the Red Wings. Looking at the numbers, Flyers kind of
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: middle of the pack right now in actual goals against
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: on the road. Again, I alluded to their expected goals
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: numbers is way down. I'm not baking into that too
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: much here. Hohoshow has been horrible in that as you
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: can see here bright right across the board. I actually
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: like the Flyer spot here a decent amount. I like
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: the second line quite a bit with Morgan Frost, Mitchkov,
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: he's a contender for Rookie of the Year. Him and
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Celabrini for the Sharks are kind of the contenders there.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: But Metchkov has been amazing. Tippet's very good. Morgan Frost
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: is really good. So I kind of like that second
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: line the most from the Flyer squad, but Couture and
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: connect Me. Connecting is a great wing play. He's a
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: great one off option, as you can see anytime you
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: see a guy on a team like this from a
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: forward standpoint, whether it's a center or a wing, and
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: their time on ice on average is over twenty minutes.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: That means they kind of do it all for the squad.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: They're involved in the penalty kills, they're involved in the
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: power plays, increasing an ice time. So the more ice
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: time obviously more points and opportunities you have to to
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: score fantasy points, which we're looking for. So I like
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: the Flyers quite a bit here. Connect Me really good
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: option even as one off, and you can even add
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: him into your second line stack because him and Mitchkov
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: do correlate together on the top power play there. So
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: I like Couture, connect Me, and Farab if you're looking
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: for the top line. But I do put line two Morgan, Frost,
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: Tippet and Mietkov ahead of line one in terms of
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: my overall preference, I usually prefer line two on the road,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: line one and three at home more versus line in
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: line two typically just because the home team in NHL
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: dictates the matchups there, so they usually put their their
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: best defensive line on line one just because usually line
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: one is the most powerful line on each team, So
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: in general it just opens up more opportunities kind of
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: for line two. Not too often do teams kind of
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: go line for line does happen, but most teams kind
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: of play matchups a little bit and put their best
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: scoring line on a weaker line overall, in in kind
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: of just vice versa. There. So, Flyers really good plays.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: Jamie Driesda at three point one K great option from
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: a defensive standpoint, The Flyers have really good demon option.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: Travis Sandheim is one of the cheaper spend up options
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: here tonight. I like him quite a bit. If you
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: can't get up to a guy like Quinn Hughes, which
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about later, or a guy like Josh Morsey,
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: Travis Sandheim's fine, but I actually like prefer the cheaper
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: guys like a Cam York Jamie Dreesdal. Those two guys
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: I kind of like quite a bit for the Flyers.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: Dreesdale on that top power play is in a really
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: nice value and I typically from a roster construction standpoint,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: like to spend down at defense. That's really where I
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: get my my value from because the way the scoring
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: works on DraftKings. If these guys value plays get three blocks,
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: they get that bonus on on DraftKings, and that that's
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: huge for these price points there. So like the Flyers
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: on the red wing side, Larkin's got a decent price
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: for being at home here. I don't mind some Larkin,
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: but for me, it's more kind of the value guys,
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: guys like JT. Komfer I think is fine value at
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: thirty one. I don't hate him most Eider is a
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: decent option in kind of that upper mid tier range.
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: He kind of does it all there, so don't hate him.
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: But realistically it's like Andrew Copp or JT. Konfer is
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: kind of where I'm looking to go on the red
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: wing side. But definitely have way more interest in the
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: Flyers here, especially if Huso is confirmed in that which
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: he's projected and looks to be going here tonight. Next
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: game on the slate here Toronto and the Dallas Stars here.
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: I like this spot quite a bit here for the Stars.
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: I just don't think ownership is gonna follow, as you
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: can see here, kind of middle of the road ownership.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Detroit side is going to be way
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: chalkier than the Flyers or the Stars here, and I
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: kind of like that quite a bit here. So I
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: like the Stars. Rupe hints playing great right now, fifty
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: five hundred. Really like him. You compare him with Why
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: Johnson and Jason robertson fully full line correlation there as well.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: They all skate together on the full line strength and
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: on the power play. I like those three guys a
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: ton here for the Stars. Matt Dushen, steinkovent In Marchment
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: are good. I just prefer them more kind of on
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: the road they're I will say, over the last three games.
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: They do have twenty seven unblock shot attempts for over
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: the last three games with no goals, so I could
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: see some regression coming their way, So I don't hate them.
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: Stink co Event, Marchman and Duschen. Overall, they're gonna be
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: very very unknown as you can see here, all ownership
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: when when people going to the Stars are playing that
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: top line for a good reason, myself included. But I
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: will say the numbers looking at the unblocked shot attempts
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: for twenty seven over the three games and no goals,
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: so you could see some goals come from that line.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: So top two lines firmly in play for me, I'm
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: not probably getting to the Dad and off Sam Steele line.
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: Jamie Ben you can include if you're going for a
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: power play stack. I will say Joseph Wall has been
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: really good. He's got a really nice price point, so
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: in teams where you're not playing the stars in tournaments,
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: Joseph All is an amazing play. Seventy two fits the
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: script for my spend down goalie with upside here and
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: Toronto is a very good squad. Both these teams are
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: are very good here, so this game could go either way.
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: Here on the leaf side, probably not going to spend
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: all the way up to Matthews. He is the only
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: spend really on the slate here tonight. I am seeing
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: pretty low ownership, but I do think that kind of
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: creeps up as people are looking to spend up and
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: he's really the only option outside of a guy like
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: Caprizov or yeah, I mean Caprizov is really the only
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: other guy in the in the realm of possibilities here
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: for for a similar price point, Matthews is fine, but
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: if I'm playing the Leafs, I'm going to Tavar's line
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: with Patroretti and Mees. I think some of these lines
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: are mixed up here, but I do like Tavar's a
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: little bit. But overall, my interest is on the Stars side,
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: and I'm gonna be kind of off the Leafs here tonight,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: which is a little scary. But these price points they're
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: up there. Ours are really good goalie, and the Stars
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: are really good at home, so I'm pretty much fading
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: the Leafs here tonight. Overall, next team on the slate
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: here the Wild and the Florida Panthers. Here Florida is
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: favorite on the road, which is kind of crazy to
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: see here. I don't really agree with that Florida is
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: the returning Stanley Cup champions. However, the Wild have been
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: the better team this year. Wild look like leet Wagon,
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: especially at home. They're very, very good defensively. Flurry is
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: a very good goalie in general. Same thing with Gustav
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: If if Gus Buss starts for the Wild, I like
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: the Wild. The Wild first contest here in Florida smashed
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: this team five to one. I don't think that same
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: score is gonna happen here. I could see a tighter game,
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: but I could see like a four to two Wild
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: win here. And these price points with Eric Sinak being
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: on the shelf are pretty nice for the Wild. Rossi's
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: got a really nice price point at four point seven k.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: Caprizov one of the best players in hockey. He does
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: it all literally, penalty kill, power play, much like connect
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: he does for the Flyers. That's Caprizov for the Wild.
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: So he he's an elite one off even if you
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: can't get up to any one else. But I do
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: like kind of a skinny stack here with Rossi, Caprizov
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: and a Spurgeon forty three and forty seven hundred makes
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: it a little bit easier to kind of fit that
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: ninety five hundred instead of pairing up a guy like
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: Zucarello or or Boldie. So like line one a ton
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: here with Rossi Caprizov. Zucarello really likes Spurgeon as well.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: Brock Faber. It plays all the minutes he can handle,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: literally plays like he he averages as you can see here,
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: over twenty five minutes he's gotten up into twenty seven
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: to twenty eight minutes before so broad favorite forty one
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: hundred still a great option there. I do prefer Spurgeon
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: a little bit, just due to the power play correlation there.
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I like the Wild a lot here. Top
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: line is my preferred line. Zukearello has got a nice
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: price point at four nine skate next to Caprizov. Him
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: and Zuke have a really good connection there. I will
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: not play Zucarello by himself without Caprizov. They just have
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: a very good power They just have a very good
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: correlation there, So I don't want to play Zukerello alone.
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: I prefer to pair him with Caprizov. Same thing overall.
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: So like the spot and then Ryan Hartman really nice
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: value at thirty eight hundred. Compare him up with Matt
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: Boldi who's had an incredible season so far, really good
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: skater all overall. And then you got another really nice
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: value in in Mojo here Marcus Johnson at two point
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: eight k so line one to two for me, I
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: like quite a bit here from the Wild against Florida
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: and Bob. Bob did start last game again it's the
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: Wild as well, and got got destroyed. So the Wild
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: see him pretty good. They can dictate the matchups here.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: I like the spot quite a bit. On the Panther side,
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: it's just second line for me. It'd be Chucky's or
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: b Simmy Bennet's line with Chucky Verheg and Bennett just
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: the big dogs for me. But at this ownership, I'm
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: very very happy just to be off that ownership and
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: flip the script and go to the wild. So Florida
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: is pretty much a fade for me. I will say
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: Aaron k bled really good value. Same thing with Gustav Forsling,
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: so two good value options there. That Blad is gonna
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: be really Chalky here, probably one of the highest own
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: players on the slate. He's projected to be thirty plus
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: percent on here at four K due to the top line,
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: top power play and all the minute tea handles. I
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: don't hate it, but realistically I just hate playing super
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: Chalk dem guys. I'd rather just flip the script and
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: go to Jared Spurgeon for three hundred dollars more on
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: the other side of that game, kind of a little
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: switcheroo two v two swap rooney there. I like quite
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: a bit, but outside of that, probably not getting too
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: much of the Florida side, especially at this this ownership here.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: Next game on the slate here, it is an interesting one.
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: Utah is playing really good right now and Vancouver is
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: not playing the greatest. This is a tough game to
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: get a read on because Dempco. Last time these two
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: teams played when when DEMPCO was in in that was
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: last year. It was two to one. Very gross game
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: in general, h Vancouver did win the game. Vancouver is
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: coming off a big win against Colorado at home. They
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: beat Florida for zero. They lost, they dropped it to
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: They lost their last game to Boston Saint Louis Tampa,
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: so two and three in their last five. Whereas Utah
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: on the other end, is playing really good right now.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Utah over the last five games has kind of had
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: some really really good, really good instances. Obviously, they played
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: pretty shitty teams. They played the Sharks, they played the Sabers,
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: they played Philly. They lost a tight one to Minnesota,
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: but they were able to score four goals on Minnesota,
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: which is kind of enlightening to me. They smashed Colorado.
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: So Utah is playing really good right now. I will
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: say pretty good spot for both sides here. I prefer
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: the Vancouver side a little bit overall, but I do
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: like this game in general. If there's one game I
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: had to pick on the slate that's kind of kind
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: of shoot out here, it would be this game. So
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: this is a really good game to target. I'll start
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: with the Vancouver side. JT. Miller being back is nice.
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: Fifty seven hundred. He's got a couple of games under
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: his belt. Now you compare him with Brock Besser, Connor Garland.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: I like that quite a bit. Elis Petterson six to one,
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: pretty under price for me in general, with his upside
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: and his talent. Really nice stack with Jake Debrusk. You
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: can just two man stack that Peterson debrask If you
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: want to add in a Quinn Hughes and sped up
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: a d Man you can, but I really like that
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: just two man secondary stack there with Debrass and Peterson.
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: You can throw in a Miller if you want a
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: kind of power play stack at here. Looking at the numbers,
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: Utah's penalty killer is very bad and they give up
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: a ton of opportunities here. So I like the power
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: play stack for Vancouver. So if I'm three man stacking it,
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: I want all three guys to to be on that
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: top power play here, like a Pederson a Brock bess
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: At debrask is a nice three man stack. If you
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: want to add a four man going into JT. Miller
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: two guys online one, two guys online two, you have
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: a ton of ice time cover there, and it's contrarian
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: because you're you're playing two centers from the same team there.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: So Peterson, Miller, Bessard debrask A my four favorite guys
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: from Vancouver side. I like him a lot, really good
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: power play match up here overall. Quinn here is if
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: you want to spend up at D man, you can there.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: But typically I save money at defense, so I'm probably
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: not gonna do it here tonight. But he is the
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: best spend up on the slate from the defense standpoint,
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: and uh, he probably has the highest dealing on the
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: slate for for sure, so he he can definitely dwarf
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: that that position pretty easily. On the Utah side here,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: just looking at kind of some of the hottest skaters
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: over the last couple of games here, Dylan Goodther one
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: of the hottest skaters in the entire NHL right now,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: Logan Cooley really hot, right now Stenland really hot right now. Overall,
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: so they're playing great hockey right now. If I had
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: to pick a line, it'd probably be the top line
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: with with Schmaltz, Keller and Hayton, just because the other
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: line is going to get more ownership I think due
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: to how they're playing. We really can't really can't fault
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: anyone for playing either of the top two lines here
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: for Utah. Again, I prefer the top line just because
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: they're at home. I give a slide bump to them.
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: Hayton's got a nice price point at thirty five hundred.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: Clayton Keller really good skater, really good player in general,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: sixty five hundred, Nick schmalt same thing, forty six, really
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: good price points there. They correlate together on that top
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: par play as well. You get throw in a Serga
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: chev if you want to. But again, I don't really
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: like him a ton. I like other guys more kind
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: of in that price point unless you're doing a power
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: play stack here for Utah. And then yeah, I mean,
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: Logan Cooley's playing incredible right now. With Dylan Guther. You
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: can do a little two man skinny stack there. They
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: both correlay together on that power place going Cooley Dylan
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: Gunther and then throwing a Sergachev if you want it
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: is a nice way to do it, or just cut
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: it off at Koley and Dylan Gunther. They're both playing
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: great right now. Fifty five hundred really good price, forty
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: six hundred really good price. So I like that two
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: man quite a bit in general. But yeah, really really
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: good game environment here to target in terms of goalies.
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: Demko's fine in the mid tier. Same thing with Veggie here.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: Both find fine options in kind of that mid tier
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: here in general. But this is one of my favorite
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: games from an offensive standpoint, so I'm not sure I
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: get to too many of these goalie options here. I
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: like other options more on the slate. Last game on
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: the slate here, this is the chalk of the slate here.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg smashed everybody last night. Winnipeg is on a back
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: to back, so that is a little scary here, and
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: Dolstal has been really, really good in goal all season here. However,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: I think they're a little outmatched here. Winnipeg is going
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: to be super chalky. Top line is going to be
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: super chalky. If I'm going to Winnipeg, I actually prefer
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: the second line going right back to the well with Domestikov,
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: Perfetti and cheaper CoV. I really like that super super
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: cheap stack. Nobody's really going to play them too much.
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, Proffetti's getting some ownership, but nobody's gonna play
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: in Nomessa cav. Nobody's going to play cheaper CoV. So
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: the reason Profetti's getting all that ownership is because he
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: is on that top power play at thirty six hundred.
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: Can't fault anybody really for going here. Looking at the numbers,
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: the decks on the at home expected goals dead last
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: in the league, high danger chances dead last in the league.
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: They got a sixty seven percent kind of lely kill.
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: So this is a really really good spot for the Jets.
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: Power play Mark Schiffle, Kyle Connor, who had a huge
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: night last night, chiefly Valardi, who's too cheap for his
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: role in his in his upside, he's one of the
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: best value plays on the slate, pretty much a cash staple.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Here is Villardi here, same thing with Profetti. So like
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: the Scott spot quite a bit. It is the chalkol
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: the slate. It is the heaviest favorite of the slate.
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: It is the best matchup of the slate. All things
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: kind of point to Winnipeg smash. But in terms of
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: NHL dfs, that's how things are gonna just flip and
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: Dostal is just gonna own everybodybody and all the chalk.
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: I could definitely see that happen in here. I would
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: much prefer the spot starting for the Ducks just because
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: I think Gibbe is the worst goalie than and then
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: Dostal Dolso's having a hell of a season. But it
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: is the best spot for a reason. Very good place here.
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: Expect a lot of Jets to hit your optimizers, expect
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: a lot of Jets to kind of be in a
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: lot of the industry's core plays and things, and I
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: can't really put holes in it too often or too
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: much here. Again, I do prefer line too though at
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: the ownership Domessakv, Perfetti and cheaper CoV. That's a little
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: way to take some of this ownership down is just
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: play him with the second line guys instead of the
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: top power play guys there, or go like a Domestikov, Vilardi,
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: Perfetti cheaper CoV. You still get you still get two
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: guys on that top parw play two guys on that
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: second par play, and you middle a lot of ownership
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: and the salary of the stack there, So I like
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: that quite a bit. On the duck side, Eric comerys
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: in net he's much worse than Hellibuck. Hella Buck's not
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: going to go on a back to back here, so
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: you could see the Ducks score some goals here. I
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: have zero interest in Comray at eighty four hundred. He's
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: going to be one of the tokies goal he's on slate,
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: I have no interest in him. Makes me like some
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: of these ducks a little bit. Strom, but Toronto Troy
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: Terry is kind of the guys I would play. Just
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: play the big dogs. Cut it off there. Don't get cute.
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna play them. But I do think it is
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: a sneaky upside spot. They're fully correlated top line and
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: top power play here, Strom Vitronto Terry kind of guys
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at. And then Jackson McCom at thirty three hundred,
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: one of the best value demon plays on the slate,
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: coming off Matt back to back massive games there, he's
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: on that top power play. I like him quite a
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: bit at thirty three hundred. There. That's gonna do it. Though,
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: for this little five game breakdown on firmly adept here
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: as I'm sure there's a lot of newer folks in
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: the NHL streets here tonight again, hit me up in
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: the discord with any questions you have. If you're watching
• 29:15
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• 29:17
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• 29:20
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• 29:23
  Speaker 1: out all of our packages there. But good luck tonight
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: in those contests. Hope to see those ship Nation logos
• 29:30
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