Latest / BDGE Fantasy Football / Ranking Every Week 7 Running Back as a Sit or Start
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_00]: Good morning friends and enemies in today's video.
- 0:04[SPEAKER_00]: We are going game by game ranking every single fantasy relevant running back as we do every single Wednesday as a sit as a start or as a viable or shaky flex option
- 0:15[SPEAKER_00]: And for you, we'll do the same exact thing for wide receivers tomorrow.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_00]: So if you're new here, you enjoy the video.
- 0:20[SPEAKER_00]: Make sure you subscribe, we're getting into snap counts for getting into weather reports, practice reports, injuries, everything that you need to know is detailed as possible for y'all to make the best decisions for your lineups in week 7.
- 0:32[SPEAKER_00]: Let us begin.
- 0:33[SPEAKER_00]: Start things off with Thursday night football.
- 0:35[SPEAKER_00]: We've got the New England Patriots at the Chicago Bears a 50 and a half point total here.
- 0:39[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously Caleb is back healthy.
- 0:41[SPEAKER_00]: Drake May is playing out of his skull over the last three weeks or so.
- 0:46[SPEAKER_00]: And it's a three point spread in favor of the Chicago Bears playing at home.
- 0:52[SPEAKER_00]: Of course, whether it's good here, kind of a messy backfield in New England.
- 0:55[SPEAKER_00]: Remodry Stevenson, the lead guy, Treyman Henderson did see it a lot of work to Corey
- 1:02[SPEAKER_00]: 10 or 11 carers for New England Patriots is really salt away the game.
- 1:06[SPEAKER_00]: Trev enters in lost a fumble last week.
- 1:08[SPEAKER_00]: He was already not getting enough touches, not making enough plays to be fantasy relevant at this point.
- 1:14[SPEAKER_00]: I feel relatively okay about Remandre Stevens and the only thing I feel okay about in this backfield is the projection of the workload for Remandre.
- 1:21[SPEAKER_00]: And it's like 12 to 15 touches whether or not he does anything with that little bit tough to say I will say Chicago's run defense is dead last in terms of PFF grades So they are 30 second in terms of rush defense grades so far through six weeks in the season So I'm gonna put a Monterey in the dub flex category Vegas has him at 61 total yards I should also say that they will be without some of their offensive linemen here Elijah Barrett Tucker DMP DMP's doubtful Ben Brown DMP DMP
- 1:49[SPEAKER_00]: Well, Campbell's good to go most of the other offensive linemen are good to go, but they do have a a little bit of a cluster of injuries here along the offensive front, but either way, New England is playing really well.
- 2:00[SPEAKER_00]: And I think for contrary, we'll be the bell cow here.
- 2:02[SPEAKER_00]: So I'll throw trivia on into the shaky flex category.
- 2:05[SPEAKER_00]: Don't feel great about him whatsoever.
- 2:06[SPEAKER_00]: Like he's emphasizing the shaky and shaky flex.
- 2:09[SPEAKER_00]: And then we've got Corey Kiner here as a rather not, you know, he's kind of just a wait and see.
- 2:14[SPEAKER_00]: He's not even got him really interested in picking
- 2:17[SPEAKER_00]: earns a role over a Mondry, and Trayvon's kind of like a specialty back at this point.
- 2:22[SPEAKER_00]: On the other side of things, Kyle and Nungai started off the week with two DMPs as well.
- 2:25[SPEAKER_00]: He is very, very, very doubtful for this game.
- 2:28[SPEAKER_00]: Probably going to be ruled out, which means it's going to be DeAndre Swift and Rochon Johnson once again.
- 2:32[SPEAKER_00]: Swift definitely dealing with some injuries there.
- 2:34[SPEAKER_00]: Regardless, though, he's going to be a good fantasy back because he's getting a lot of touches behind a phenomenal offensive line.
- 2:39[SPEAKER_00]: This offense is going to be really good any time.
- 2:40[SPEAKER_00]: Caleb's on the field, of course.
- 2:42[SPEAKER_00]: Rochon Johnson very involved in very involved in the passing game in particular.
- 2:46[SPEAKER_00]: Ice away the game last week, he lost the fumble too.
- 2:49[SPEAKER_00]: So there's a very good chance we see Ben Johnson kind of put him in the doghouse.
- 2:53[SPEAKER_00]: If he feels like the injury swift is healthy enough, because he just did that to the injury swift a couple of weeks ago, swift lost the fumble and then he gave common unguy all the touches, but regardless, swift to me is going into the Mustar category.
- 3:03[SPEAKER_00]: Rochon Johnson is definitely going into the shaky flex category for now moving to Zif Frons game.
- 3:08[SPEAKER_00]: We've got a game in France.
- 3:10[SPEAKER_00]: It is Pittsburgh at
- 3:12[SPEAKER_00]: the New Orleans Saints, but in France, of course, uh, New Orleans is the home team here.
- 3:16[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 44 and a half point total being played 9.30 a.m.e. soon times so the normal London time kick off here.
- 3:21[SPEAKER_00]: These Steelers are three and a half point favorites.
- 3:24[SPEAKER_00]: And Vegas loves Jalen Warren despite the return of Rico Dattle last week.
- 3:28[SPEAKER_00]: He is projected for 91 total yards.
- 3:30[SPEAKER_00]: He had 18 opportunities last week in Rico Dattle's first game back.
- 3:33[SPEAKER_00]: Rico had 11.
- 3:34[SPEAKER_00]: definitely so thing is Jalen Warren's backfield and the matchup couldn't get better as you could see for the Saints single most fantasy points allowed to the running back position first overall in success rate per rush allowed if you got Jalen Warren like sure maybe you can argue that it belongs in the field's good category but to me he's a must start this week and I feel great about it.
- 3:52[SPEAKER_00]: Rico Dattle is a shaky flex.
- 3:54[SPEAKER_00]: So I'll get us touches and it is a good matchup.
- 3:56[SPEAKER_00]: But as any time touch down line is plus 230, jail and warms going to be a lot more involved in the passing game and I think he just is the workhorse there for the time being until shown otherwise.
- 4:07[SPEAKER_00]: For the Saints, we have Kendrick Miller coming off of a 20 carry 70 yard game with Alvin Camara.
- 4:13[SPEAKER_00]: who took a back seat to Kendra in the rushing department, but had a beautiful touchdown catch last week.
- 4:19[SPEAKER_00]: It makes both of them pretty tough and the stealer's defense is pretty good.
- 4:22[SPEAKER_00]: You know, despite kind of starting off the year shaky, they have formed into a good defense here.
- 4:26[SPEAKER_00]: So it's not one that I feel like is a plus matchup by any means.
- 4:29[SPEAKER_00]: Kendra, yeah, the workload is great, plus 150 anytime touchdown.
- 4:33[SPEAKER_00]: I think we're probably more likely to just get decent amount of random touches and less than a coin flip to get a touchdown.
- 4:40[SPEAKER_00]: So for me, if I'm looking at him on my bench, like he's startable because we know that there's volume in terms of like a floor there, but I don't feel great about having my line and especially if you're not in full PPR leagues, I think tomorrow also deserves to be into the shaky flex category with these other names.
- 4:54[SPEAKER_00]: So I don't feel confident about anyone in this backfield.
- 4:56[SPEAKER_00]: New Orleans does have their week.
- 4:59[SPEAKER_00]: eight by so next week and then after that, I would expect ETN to be back, but maybe it was a more severe hamstring train.
- 5:04[SPEAKER_00]: We'll just have to wait on that.
- 5:05[SPEAKER_00]: Then we've got the normal one o'clock slate.
- 5:06[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Cincinnati at Baltimore.
- 5:08[SPEAKER_00]: So this is a 51 and a half point total.
- 5:10[SPEAKER_00]: Baltimore, three point favorites here.
- 5:13[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know how many books this is available in.
- 5:15[SPEAKER_00]: Lamar Jackson's still very, very questionable to play.
- 5:17[SPEAKER_00]: I know there's continued optimism.
- 5:19[SPEAKER_00]: There was optimism in the first week.
- 5:20[SPEAKER_00]: He was out didn't play.
- 5:21[SPEAKER_00]: There was optimism in the second week.
- 5:23[SPEAKER_00]: And he didn't practice at all and didn't play.
- 5:24[SPEAKER_00]: So I would say Lamar Jackson is not even close to a sure thing to play in this one.
- 5:27[SPEAKER_00]: And if that's the case, obviously, like you're playing Derek Henry, but the offense just takes such a massive hit when Lamar Jackson's not on the field.
- 5:34[SPEAKER_00]: You're going to play him.
- 5:35[SPEAKER_00]: There's any time touchdown line minus 265.
- 5:37[SPEAKER_00]: It was around there last week as well.
- 5:39[SPEAKER_00]: And he to get stuff on the one you're a line a couple times and they gave Tyler Huntley whatever doesn't matter.
- 5:44[SPEAKER_00]: But Derek Henry, of course, going into your lineup, but feel a million times better about him if Lamar Jackson is in line up.
- 5:49[SPEAKER_00]: But again, don't feel super, super confident.
- 5:51[SPEAKER_00]: In that on the other side of things, we've got Chase Brown and Samage P Ryan last time we saw them pre by they were in a pretty split backfield.
- 5:59[SPEAKER_00]: I don't project that to be the case going forward.
- 6:01[SPEAKER_00]: What we saw where it was you know 15 15 touches is Chase Brown to me still very much to lead back.
- 6:05[SPEAKER_00]: I still think better days are ahead.
- 6:07[SPEAKER_00]: I think off the buy this offense will be a little bit more efficient a little bit.
- 6:10[SPEAKER_00]: smoother to march ace and teagans both dealing with injuries in their week five game so they should be at full strength here These bangles ravens games are always like very high scoring explosive obviously probably won't be the case of Tyler Huntley's under center But I still feel relatively good about chase brown here So he's going into the field's good category.
- 6:26[SPEAKER_00]: Smosh if you rise on a guy you want and you're line up I guess you couldn't make the argument that he belonged in the shaky flex category But that ain't gonna be the argument.
- 6:33[SPEAKER_00]: I make it for you
- 6:34[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got San Fran at Atlanta.
- 6:36[SPEAKER_00]: This one is quite easy for us.
- 6:38[SPEAKER_00]: It's a 50 and a half point total.
- 6:41[SPEAKER_00]: They're playing in Atlanta.
- 6:42[SPEAKER_00]: So San Fran has to travel across country.
- 6:44[SPEAKER_00]: Only a three point spread in favor of the 49ers, despite being six and oh, but B. John and Christian McAfrey both go into your Mustard categories and then Katelyn Black and Brian Robinson just go into your rather knots.
- 6:55[SPEAKER_00]: Tampa Bay at Carolina here.
- 6:56[SPEAKER_00]: We've got a 44 and a half point total.
- 7:00[SPEAKER_00]: The Carolina Panthers are three and a half point favorites.
- 7:02[SPEAKER_00]: Shuba Hubbard is just a bell cow workhorse amongst boys right now.
- 7:06[SPEAKER_00]: He is coming off the 29 touch game.
- 7:08[SPEAKER_00]: He looks great.
- 7:09[SPEAKER_00]: The Panthers have a ton of reinforcement that came back last week on their offensive line.
- 7:13[SPEAKER_00]: So they are at full strength.
- 7:13[SPEAKER_00]: They're letting Bryce young air the ball out.
- 7:15[SPEAKER_00]: So the offense is moving really, really well.
- 7:17[SPEAKER_00]: I will say Tampa Bay Buccaneer's run defense is amongst the best in the NFL.
- 7:22[SPEAKER_00]: So we might have some inefficiency on the ground for Cuba.
- 7:25[SPEAKER_00]: But it's totally offset by just the amount of work that he gets.
- 7:28[SPEAKER_00]: In all aspects of the game, the goal line back, the receiving game, he's playing all three downs, but again, Tampa Bay has a very, very, very, very stout run defense, so just should be noted there.
- 7:38[SPEAKER_00]: Jonathan Brooks still seems to be a few weeks away from returning at this point.
- 7:42[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side, we do have the bucks, just three and a half point underdogs.
- 7:45[SPEAKER_00]: Todd Bowles came out and said we're planning as if Jalen Daniel is going to be the start of course because you don't know if Baker Mayfield is going to be ready.
- 7:51[SPEAKER_00]: I think I'd be kind of surprised if Baker's not ready for this week, but we still have to wait until we get confirmation on that.
- 7:57[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have practice reports yet.
- 7:59[SPEAKER_00]: Shonsucker did not play last week, so I do think the touches once again get really really condensed to, of course, Buckingham kind of
- 8:05[SPEAKER_00]: game well, but it's almost entirely a bucky Irving at this point last week he played on around 80% of the snaps ran over 65% of the routes.
- 8:13[SPEAKER_00]: It is it is all bucky Irving in this backfield.
- 8:16[SPEAKER_00]: It's a good match against Carolina.
- 8:18[SPEAKER_00]: So I feel good about him regardless of who's on the center, but if it's Baker, I feel even better about the case right now in Kenneth Gainwell.
- 8:24[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he's a rather not for me.
- 8:25[SPEAKER_00]: And again, if you want my full rankings in terms of like how these guys are actually ordered within the tiers, those are always live on BDGE.co for fantasy members.
- 8:34[SPEAKER_00]: They go live around New Eastern time on Wednesday, every Wednesday.
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- 9:23[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to the Giants at the Houston Texans.
- 9:25[SPEAKER_00]: We're starting to see Houston get hot over there.
- 9:28[SPEAKER_00]: Two games in a row and now are sitting at two and four.
- 9:31[SPEAKER_00]: They're playing in Houston.
- 9:32[SPEAKER_00]: They are 10 point favorites.
- 9:34[SPEAKER_00]: It's a 42 and a half point total, which means the Giants are not projected for many points.
- 9:38[SPEAKER_00]: We still have not heard who is going to be the starting quarter
- 9:43[SPEAKER_00]: or if it is JJ McCarthy.
- 9:45[SPEAKER_00]: We do know it's JJ Shroud under Center for the Texans.
- 9:47[SPEAKER_00]: The backfield looks like it's gonna be without David Montgomery for at least another week before they're by in week eight, which leaves us with Woody Marx and kind of one of the surprises of last week, George Gordon.
- 9:56[SPEAKER_00]: Now it's kind of hard to believe it because it felt like George Gordon had a better game than Woody Marx.
- 10:00[SPEAKER_00]: Woody Marx played on 80% of the snaps in London.
- 10:03[SPEAKER_00]: He ran 60 to 65% of the routes there.
- 10:07[SPEAKER_00]: Got the majority of touches.
- 10:08[SPEAKER_00]: And I think that's gonna be the case going forward.
- 10:09[SPEAKER_00]: They clearly trust him.
- 10:11[SPEAKER_00]: doesn't make a lot of big plays unfortunately and he wasn't overly involved in the passing games, he just route seems to be throw in the ball downfield a lot and not settling for a lot of check downs, but it is good to see a very high passing rate despite this being the running back here.
- 10:22[SPEAKER_00]: I still have a ton of confidence in Woody Marx coming off of the Jacksonville matchup.
- 10:26[SPEAKER_00]: That's one of the toughest matchups in the NFL bar none.
- 10:30[SPEAKER_00]: So I didn't expect a lot of rushing success.
- 10:31[SPEAKER_00]: We did get the break off George, Jordan 25 yard touchdown run, which makes it seem like it was a little bit of a closer split.
- 10:36[SPEAKER_00]: But again, the steps were very, very, very heavily in
- 10:40[SPEAKER_00]: Woody Marks, so I'm going right back to Woody Marks here and honestly, I feel pretty good about him in my lineup because I think he gets the majority of touches and, you know, it's being played in a dome, no weather environment, whatever, they're back to a normal schedule, no London bullshit and they're playing the Giants again, 10 point favorites here.
- 10:55[SPEAKER_00]: Woody Marks has an any time touch online of minus one third George or I guess if you want to get cute, he's going to be a rather not for me, but like I get it, I get it.
- 11:03[SPEAKER_00]: All right, for the Giants.
- 11:06[SPEAKER_00]: Where do we start?
- 11:07[SPEAKER_00]: We had Camp Scadaboo put up a zero last week.
- 11:09[SPEAKER_00]: He was put into the dog house because he fumbled the week prior Zero points for you Najiharis came out and said he wanted more touches or needed to get into more of a rhythm that got him cut immediately So the backfield is now down to Scadaboo
- 11:22[SPEAKER_00]: Tyrell Tracy and Devon Singletary, Tyrell Tracy got into the end zone twice last week.
- 11:26[SPEAKER_00]: There's part of me that thinks that Harba was like setting the culture right and he's going to sit, scatable again and just be like, yo, I don't take shit from anyone, you know, that's annoying me, that's going out in the media, that's saying these things, that fumbles the ball, that helps us lose games and he that stuff and there's part of me that feels like Tyrell Tracy is a very, very good running back and he got kind of unfairly
- 11:46[SPEAKER_00]: push to the side because there was really poor preseason, but we do have back to back seasons as a day three pick where Tyrone Tracy went over a thousand yards from skirmish and it was really impressive in his first two seasons as a giant's running back and it's possible that the new coaching staff is just starting to see that.
- 12:00[SPEAKER_00]: It's also very possible that camps got to move.
- 12:02[SPEAKER_00]: Despite all the great injury reports throughout the summer that I kind of fell for, that he just isn't the same player that he was last year off of the really serious ankle injury and it's really hard to say between him and Quintjad Jad Gens who both had the same injury.
- 12:14[SPEAKER_00]: And we knew it was a serious injury, but both of them had like no injury concerns throughout the summer.
- 12:18[SPEAKER_00]: It's difficult to like kind of parse it apart because Gadibu was never a really explosive player.
- 12:22[SPEAKER_00]: So it's like we don't see juice from him this year, but he was never like a juice-filled dude.
- 12:26[SPEAKER_00]: He was not a juice box.
- 12:28[SPEAKER_00]: Judkins on the other hand is such a bad offensive line, such a bad offensive environment, that we weren't expecting big plays from him anyways.
- 12:33[SPEAKER_00]: So again, heart of tell, injury-related, team situation-related, actually the player is just not good, and we were just going off of small sample sizes last year.
- 12:41[SPEAKER_00]: So right now, I don't know how anyone can feel confident putting any New York Giants running back into there line up I kind of feel like there's no world where dev in single Terry's going into my line up They're playing the Houston Texans, which is one of the tougher matchups and all football obviously So if you want to believe that maybe Tracy is the guy that they use going forward because he's coming off of a deep
- 13:01[SPEAKER_00]: He sent game last week and they're just going to keep Skataboo in the dog house, understandable.
- 13:07[SPEAKER_00]: If maybe getting Naji Harris out of there, which condenses the backfield more, and Skataboo kind of served his prison sentence and he's back to being the lead back, because he was, you know, a 15 to 20 touch guy per week.
- 13:17[SPEAKER_00]: He just wasn't making big plays, catching passes, getting a lot of goal line work there.
- 13:22[SPEAKER_00]: Regardless, I think both of them are very, very shaky flexes.
- 13:27[SPEAKER_00]: They genuinely are around that like Samage P Ryan tier, I think.
- 13:31[SPEAKER_00]: One of them I wouldn't be surprised if one of them we look back and had a good game for projecting them and feeling confident about either of them in your lineup is a nearly impossible task right now.
- 13:38[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to Indianapolis at Minnesota, of course, Jonathan Taylor is just going right into the most sarcastic or despite it being a really tough matchup against the Minnesota defense as you can see just holy shit right across the board there.
- 13:48[SPEAKER_00]: Single few as fantasy points per game allowed the worst EPA per rush allowed and the single lowest success rate per rush allowed.
- 13:56[SPEAKER_00]: of any defense in the NFL.
- 13:57[SPEAKER_00]: So Jonathan Taylor probably an inefficient game, but you can never really identify what game is going to be inefficient versus efficient with a big play dude like Jonathan Taylor.
- 14:06[SPEAKER_00]: The other side is much trickier because we have Aaron Jones who's basically been a 25 touch per game guy since Jordan Mason went out.
- 14:13[SPEAKER_00]: Jordan Mason is eligible to come back from IAR in week seven this week.
- 14:17[SPEAKER_00]: And I think that is what's going to happen here.
- 14:20[SPEAKER_00]: It's a great matchup against
- 14:21[SPEAKER_00]: I think a lot of people are just expecting Jordan Mason to kind of go back to the role he had in week one where he saw 15 carries.
- 14:27[SPEAKER_00]: He got into the end zone.
- 14:29[SPEAKER_00]: I get it.
- 14:30[SPEAKER_00]: I'm way more hesitant.
- 14:31[SPEAKER_00]: I kind of feel like we saw a lot of good out of Aaron Jones.
- 14:33[SPEAKER_00]: I think it's going to be a committee of some sort.
- 14:35[SPEAKER_00]: It's a 41 and a half point total here.
- 14:37[SPEAKER_00]: So we're not expecting a lot of points to be scored.
- 14:40[SPEAKER_00]: But the Vikings are pretty heavy-favorite.
- 14:42[SPEAKER_00]: Six and a half point favorites.
- 14:43[SPEAKER_00]: Their offense should be at full strength.
- 14:44[SPEAKER_00]: Chris from Dara saw back Justin Jefferson good to go.
- 14:47[SPEAKER_00]: Jordan Addison missed last game with the hamstring injury, but I think off of the buy should be good.
- 14:51[SPEAKER_00]: TJ Hawkinson should clear a concussion protocol.
- 14:54[SPEAKER_00]: So they should be at full strength.
- 14:55[SPEAKER_00]: It's a great matchup as you can see again against the Indianapolis Colts.
- 14:58[SPEAKER_00]: Number one in EPA per Rush allowed on the season.
- 15:00[SPEAKER_00]: So I think you have to be a little bit desperate to get Jordan Mason right back into your lineup.
- 15:04[SPEAKER_00]: And I think I'd be okay with Aaron Jones.
- 15:06[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm gonna put Aaron Jones into the dub flex category.
- 15:08[SPEAKER_00]: His anytime touchdown line right now is minus 125, Jordan Mason is that plus 130.
- 15:13[SPEAKER_00]: And for a guy who's calling card is gonna be like in between the tackles carries, short down in distance, goal line work.
- 15:19[SPEAKER_00]: That makes me a little bit nervous.
- 15:20[SPEAKER_00]: So he's definitely gonna go into the shaky flex category.
- 15:22[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I think he'll probably finish between eight,
- 15:25[SPEAKER_00]: and ten touches, but I definitely don't think this backfield is going right back to like, oh, it's Jordan Mason's job to lose whatsoever.
- 15:31[SPEAKER_00]: Aaron Jones was definitely good enough to like carve out a very, very sizable chunk of that backfield.
- 15:36[SPEAKER_00]: If not the lead part of it.
- 15:37[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we've got Miami at the New York Jets.
- 15:41[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 39 and a half point total game here.
- 15:44[SPEAKER_00]: Miami's traveling up to East Coast to play at MetLife Stadium.
- 15:48[SPEAKER_00]: The Jets are four and a half point favorites.
- 15:50[SPEAKER_00]: We have a few things to figure out here, mainly whether or not
- 15:53[SPEAKER_00]: He's missed three games so far.
- 15:55[SPEAKER_00]: He didn't get put on the IR, so you kind of expect him to play, but we don't have practice reports.
- 15:59[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not sure if he's playing.
- 16:00[SPEAKER_00]: I think there's a lot of people that will also say that Braylon has played well enough to the point that when Brie's hole does return that he probably carved out a role.
- 16:08[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think it'll be that much different than what he's had over the last couple years when he's been healthy, which is like Brie's hole 65% of the touches, Braylon Allen 20 to 25% short down in distance type of thing.
- 16:17[SPEAKER_00]: So I don't think it's going to be that different.
- 16:19[SPEAKER_00]: I think if Brie's hole is good to go and he's healthy off the hamstring strain, he's going
- 16:24[SPEAKER_00]: There's definitely a chance they slow roll him back into it.
- 16:26[SPEAKER_00]: This is a Miami defense that they could actually like establish a game script.
- 16:30[SPEAKER_00]: You know the jets want to run the balls much as possible when the game script allows it.
- 16:34[SPEAKER_00]: They just don't often playing games where it does.
- 16:36[SPEAKER_00]: So I would say if Reshall returns to me, he's going to be a dub flex.
- 16:40[SPEAKER_00]: Braille and Allen is going to be a shaky flex.
- 16:42[SPEAKER_00]: If Reshall misses this game again, Braille and Allen is definitely going to go into the feels good category.
- 16:46[SPEAKER_00]: He's getting basically all the work in that jet's backfield.
- 16:49[SPEAKER_00]: Good matchup again.
- 16:49[SPEAKER_00]: On the other side of the ball, we've got Ali Gordon who's been bowling out since the Von HN has been lost for the season and it's just not one we want overthink.
- 16:58[SPEAKER_00]: They're coming off the by.
- 16:59[SPEAKER_00]: Ali Gordon plays the most snaps.
- 17:01[SPEAKER_00]: He gets a ton of carries.
- 17:02[SPEAKER_00]: He gets all the goal on work.
- 17:03[SPEAKER_00]: They get a good matchup against the jets, where their gamescription be crazy crazy.
- 17:08[SPEAKER_00]: doesn't catch a ton of passes but he does run a ton of routes like that's the other underrated thing about guys like the Ali Gordon's and the juggins is like yeah they're not pass catching backs it's not the strength of the specialty but when you play on early downs you still end up running you know 50 to 60% of the routes because obviously teams are just going to pass the ball on first and second down pretty often and that's the case with Ali Gordon so any given week where Ali Gordon yes you might have one or two catches but since he's running
- 17:35[SPEAKER_00]: There's always that chance that it's just a checkdown week where he gets the 16 carries and a touchdown, but also catches four or five passes for 15, 20, 25 yards and that's so valuable in PPR.
- 17:45[SPEAKER_00]: So I feel really good about Ali Gordon.
- 17:47[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm going to put him in there and then Jalen Wright just doesn't get enough work in his backfield.
- 17:51[SPEAKER_00]: to garner it a split Cleveland at 10 to see a 37 and a half point total in 10 to see the Titans are one and a half point under the hook despite playing the Browns, despite playing at home.
- 18:01[SPEAKER_00]: Tony Pollard operating as a workhorse dominated Tajaj Spears and touches, but it is a tough match of against the Cleveland Browns who
- 18:08[SPEAKER_00]: have been missing their detackles for the last couple of games still kept Derek Henry and check, but I'd imagine that they would probably be back for this game.
- 18:15[SPEAKER_00]: So maybe not at full strength, but much higher strength on the interior of the defensive line.
- 18:20[SPEAKER_00]: So don't feel good about Tony Pollard despite the numbers like Vegas 16 and a half rushing attempts 67 and a half rushing yards anytime touchdown plus 125.
- 18:29[SPEAKER_00]: The touchdowns are just so few and far between.
- 18:31[SPEAKER_00]: He does get these carry numbers, but like very little involvement elsewhere in this game.
- 18:36[SPEAKER_00]: and then Tajaj Spears is a rather nuts.
- 18:38[SPEAKER_00]: Now, last week, we had Quinshaud Judkins out.
- 18:41[SPEAKER_00]: We had Dylan Samson, like, eligible to return from IR, but did not play.
- 18:45[SPEAKER_00]: I think there's a world where they both play in the subcoming week.
- 18:49[SPEAKER_00]: Jalil McClaufflin, filled in for him.
- 18:51[SPEAKER_00]: scored like 9 or 10 PPR points, it's you know, whatever, just right place, right time, called a bunch of check downs.
- 18:56[SPEAKER_00]: If Judgekins plays, they get a pretty good match of against Tennessee here.
- 19:00[SPEAKER_00]: I'd imagine they're probably going to try to ride him in this type of game script.
- 19:03[SPEAKER_00]: So I think he's a dub flex, like you know the volume he's going to get.
- 19:06[SPEAKER_00]: The efficiency is probably going to be bad.
- 19:08[SPEAKER_00]: He's got a better any time touchdown line.
- 19:10[SPEAKER_00]: Then a guy like Tony Pollard.
- 19:12[SPEAKER_00]: So that's whatever.
- 19:12[SPEAKER_00]: Dylan Samson, obviously, you can't just put him in your lineup first week back.
- 19:15[SPEAKER_00]: He's rather not, but he is someone I don't mind stashing if you're in a big bench
- 19:20[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we've got Denver at Arizona, 43 and a half point total here.
- 19:24[SPEAKER_00]: The Broncos are four and a half point favorites, traveling two hours on them.
- 19:27[SPEAKER_00]: They'll be playing in the dome.
- 19:28[SPEAKER_00]: JK Dobbins coming off of multiple weeks with a bunch of workload, a bunch of carries because Sean Peyton has taken back over play calling duties.
- 19:35[SPEAKER_00]: Problem is their offense has been horrendous, of course.
- 19:38[SPEAKER_00]: They haven't found success through the air and very little on the ground.
- 19:44[SPEAKER_00]: Jonah Coleman's IR Stint has come to an end.
- 19:47[SPEAKER_00]: So he's missed his four games to high ankle sprain.
- 19:49[SPEAKER_00]: Does that guarantee him playing this week?
- 19:51[SPEAKER_00]: No.
- 19:51[SPEAKER_00]: So that's something to keep an eye on.
- 19:53[SPEAKER_00]: I think he works in a little bit if he is ready to go.
- 19:56[SPEAKER_00]: Overall though, I actually think because of the game script because of who they're playing against Arizona and because of how run heavy, they're probably going to be, I actually like Dobbins and RJ Harvey both as dub flexes for the Cardinals and other very, very tricky backfield to figure out right now.
- 20:13[SPEAKER_00]: Jeremiah love missed last week's game as he's kind of like healing up from whatever injuries he's dealing with at this point.
- 20:20[SPEAKER_00]: They said he was going to start running this week.
- 20:23[SPEAKER_00]: Again, we don't have practice reports, so I have really no idea where Jeremiah loves stands right now.
- 20:28[SPEAKER_00]: I am probably going to do my first run of rankings right after this with him projected to be out for this week.
- 20:34[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, I'll add him in if he starts to get limited practices in and they say he's going to go.
- 20:38[SPEAKER_00]: But for right now, I'm going to rank him as if he's out.
- 20:40[SPEAKER_00]: Now on the surface, the Denver defense is, you know, in a lead one.
- 20:44[SPEAKER_00]: However, they haven't played that way this year, and they've actually had one of the worst rush defense grades per PFF this year.
- 20:49[SPEAKER_00]: You can see they're allowing a lot of points to the running back position.
- 20:52[SPEAKER_00]: Now, some of that's obviously noise, small sample size.
- 20:55[SPEAKER_00]: They dealt with injuries to some of their studs on the defensive side of the ball.
- 20:57[SPEAKER_00]: So I don't know, overlook it.
- 20:59[SPEAKER_00]: Last week was a little weird though, for the Cardinals backfield, where Jeremiah loved Miss, you expected Tyler out of your to play the workhorse role, and said it's on of a night, got onto the field, and saw a ton of work.
- 21:08[SPEAKER_00]: So the split was 56% of the snap thrall's year, 44% for zone of a night.
- 21:14[SPEAKER_00]: 18 carries for LG or 15 for zone of a night, 17 routes for LG or 10 for zone of a night.
- 21:19[SPEAKER_00]: As your did play in all the two and four minute drill snaps though, played seven of the 12 long down and distance snaps, also got three of the five short down and distance snaps.
- 21:30[SPEAKER_00]: Side of a night did get the goal line to carry those.
- 21:32[SPEAKER_00]: So it seems to be a bit of a split backfield, though this is one that I think the fantasy industry is probably going to over react to a bit and be like, oh, they're in a clear 50 50 I still think I was yours the guy when Jeremiah love is out so I'm totally fine having else year back into my lineup.
- 21:47[SPEAKER_00]: If you really want to get spicy and throws on of a night into a deep flex play like I guess, but yeah, it's it's out's year for me.
- 21:54[SPEAKER_00]: I don't feel overly confident because I do think the matchup is definitely like harder on paper than what these numbers suggest, but yeah.
- 21:59[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got Green Bay at Detroit.
- 22:02[SPEAKER_00]: So Detroit, 53 and a half point total here in the dome and Detroit.
- 22:06[SPEAKER_00]: There are three point favorites.
- 22:07[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, Junior Goods goes right into the Mustard category.
- 22:10[SPEAKER_00]: The other side of things, we got Josh Jacobs making his return eligible to play in week seven.
- 22:13[SPEAKER_00]: Now, Vegas has him at 41 and a half rushing yards.
- 22:17[SPEAKER_00]: Plus 105 anytime touchdown line.
- 22:19[SPEAKER_00]: What this basically does,
- 22:21[SPEAKER_00]: is making a very, very tricky situation to figure out.
- 22:25[SPEAKER_00]: The question is, like, do they ramp him right back up into a workhorse role?
- 22:28[SPEAKER_00]: There's a lot of me that feels like, yes, like, I think it's not like he's coming off of an injury.
- 22:31[SPEAKER_00]: It's not like he's coming back from an ACL tear or a hamstring strain or a high ankle sprain.
- 22:35[SPEAKER_00]: To me, when it's a suspension, when the players come to back,
- 22:39[SPEAKER_00]: I think they usually put them right back into the role that they were before.
- 22:42[SPEAKER_00]: So when I'm looking at Jacobs, yes, the Vegas lines are low.
- 22:45[SPEAKER_00]: And maybe we hear conflicting reports throughout the week, but I am putting Josh Jacobs likely in my lineup if I have them.
- 22:52[SPEAKER_00]: The tough part of Jacobs is figuring out is there going to be any efficiency to be had there, because the Green Bay Packers off its line is really, really, really bad.
- 22:59[SPEAKER_00]: They have made some changes over the last few weeks, and they've played a lot better.
- 23:02[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, but like, they're still ranked bottom two in both past blocking and run blocking grade.
- 23:08[SPEAKER_00]: And I also think the matchups over the last few weeks have been way softer than earlier on in the year.
- 23:11[SPEAKER_00]: So again, I think there's a little bit of noise around whether or not the green bay offensive line is actually better.
- 23:16[SPEAKER_00]: But really what this does is, okay, Jacobs becomes, you know, a dub flex or, you know, somewhere between the dub flex shaky flex category.
- 23:23[SPEAKER_00]: And then it just makes it impossible to play, you know, anybody else in the green bay backfield.
- 23:26[SPEAKER_00]: We won't even really get into it.
- 23:28[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we've got the Los Angeles Rams at the Las Vegas Raiders 48 and a half point total.
- 23:33[SPEAKER_00]: They are in Las Vegas.
- 23:35[SPEAKER_00]: The Rams are four and a half a point favorites here.
- 23:38[SPEAKER_00]: Kiron Williams.
- 23:39[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, came out post games.
- 23:40[SPEAKER_00]: He said he wish you got, you know, he was on the field, whatever.
- 23:42[SPEAKER_00]: This is why there's no consistency to the offense.
- 23:44[SPEAKER_00]: Yaddy, yaddy, yaddy, yaddy, yaddy, yaddy, yaddy.
- 23:45[SPEAKER_00]: Kiron's been fucking awesome.
- 23:46[SPEAKER_00]: He's great.
- 23:47[SPEAKER_00]: He's still played on like the majority of snaps last week.
- 23:49[SPEAKER_00]: Don't know why his complaining is going right back into my lineup as a must start.
- 23:53[SPEAKER_00]: Blake Quorum, I think it's fine.
- 23:54[SPEAKER_00]: You know, game script again should be pretty good.
- 23:56[SPEAKER_00]: He's getting a decent amount of work.
- 23:57[SPEAKER_00]: Vegas has him at 45 total yards in this game.
- 24:00[SPEAKER_00]: You know, plus 175 for anytime touchdown.
- 24:02[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm not expecting a big game, but you could definitely do worse at the Flexbot than Blake Quorum.
- 24:07[SPEAKER_00]: Now, the other side of things a little bit tricky with Ashton Jente, kind of a tough matchup on paper against the Rams.
- 24:12[SPEAKER_00]: However, they did just put both puniford.
- 24:15[SPEAKER_00]: and Kobe Turner on IR.
- 24:17[SPEAKER_00]: They're obviously still without Miles Garrett right now.
- 24:19[SPEAKER_00]: Like their defenses not anywhere near as scary as it was six weeks ago throughout the summer.
- 24:24[SPEAKER_00]: Trent McDuffy also missed last week's game.
- 24:26[SPEAKER_00]: You know, we'll have to see if he ends up suiting up, but they could be down a significant amount of players on the defensive side of the ball.
- 24:33[SPEAKER_00]: that being said, Gentie has not been good.
- 24:34[SPEAKER_00]: He's not been running well.
- 24:35[SPEAKER_00]: There's offensive line.
- 24:36[SPEAKER_00]: It's not blocking very well.
- 24:37[SPEAKER_00]: He's looked worse than Mike Washington, but still plays a lot.
- 24:40[SPEAKER_00]: Still gets a decent amount of carries.
- 24:42[SPEAKER_00]: He might be less than 90, 80 percent health right now.
- 24:45[SPEAKER_00]: But he catches passes.
- 24:46[SPEAKER_00]: He's probably going to be the goal line back regardless.
- 24:48[SPEAKER_00]: Oh,
- 24:49[SPEAKER_00]: I still feel relatively good about getting gentined to my line up.
- 24:51[SPEAKER_00]: They have them at 77 total yards per Vegas, three and a half receptions, 27 receiving yards, and at minus 125 anytime touch online, those are still very, very strong numbers.
- 25:00[SPEAKER_00]: And despite how good Mike Washington is, look, you can actually put them in your line up.
- 25:03[SPEAKER_00]: Unfortunately, moving to Sunday and F football, we've got the Kansas City Chiefs at the Seattle Seahawks.
- 25:08[SPEAKER_00]: This is one of the
- 25:09[SPEAKER_00]: You know, the most fun storylines of the week by far 42 and a half point total Seattle's defense is fucking awesome obviously But it's Kenneth Walker's revenge game and I think I honestly think he hates the Seattle owner And I think he's pissed at Seattle for just doing him the way that he did and this entire season is a revenge tour So I think Kenneth Walker is gonna go fucking nuts despite it being against the Seattle defense for the seahawks We have a manual Wilson in George Alon and just slugging their way to like 40 rushing yards per game
- 25:38[SPEAKER_00]: It's bad there.
- 25:39[SPEAKER_00]: Now, Zack Sharbin A expected to return for this game.
- 25:42[SPEAKER_00]: They have not plus one ten anytime touchdown odds that feels horrendous.
- 25:47[SPEAKER_00]: It's really hard to say what this backfield split is going to be like, I would be shocked if we get like a bell cow roll or even like a one A workhorse roll for Zack Sharbin A.
- 25:57[SPEAKER_00]: It's coming off of very significant injury.
- 25:59[SPEAKER_00]: It's not like he was this world breaker, big play, explosive dude in fantasy, before the injury, they get the chief's defense, which is very, very difficult.
- 26:09[SPEAKER_00]: It's a low game total, 42 and a half.
- 26:11[SPEAKER_00]: The chiefs are second to last in terms of success rate allowed to running backs per rush this year, as well as 26 and EPA per rush allowed, just a lot of orange and red across the board.
- 26:22[SPEAKER_00]: So to be honest with you,
- 26:23[SPEAKER_00]: I have Zack Sharbenet in my main league and there are spots where I'm very very light in terms of bad, bad, bad options at flex and I still don't think I'm going to be starting Zack Sharbenet.
- 26:33[SPEAKER_00]: So Sharbenet is going into the shaky flex.
- 26:35[SPEAKER_00]: I do think you got to be pretty desperate.
- 26:37[SPEAKER_00]: I think overall I want to see one go through the hoop first.
- 26:39[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I want to see what this backfield looks like and we do get generic and price probably back shortly afterwards.
- 26:44[SPEAKER_00]: So it's going to be weird.
- 26:46[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not going to put Sharbenet into my lineup this week.
- 26:48[SPEAKER_00]: Definitely not putting manual rules in our Georgetown and my lineup either.
- 26:51[SPEAKER_00]: Um, I'm really just looking out for Kenneth Walker and seeing what he does against Seattle.
- 26:54[SPEAKER_00]: Monday night football, we moved to Dallas at Philadelphia, uh, the Cowboys four and a half point favorites.
- 27:00[SPEAKER_00]: They're playing in Philly 44 and a half point total here.
- 27:03[SPEAKER_00]: Juventil Williams continues to just be the workhorse there in Dallas.
- 27:06[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, not showing a ton of ceiling games because this offense has just been a little bit clunky and not working well regardless minus 170 anytime touchdown line 80 total yards.
- 27:15[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to be in your lineup.
- 27:16[SPEAKER_00]: Of course,
- 27:16[SPEAKER_00]: Flip side's a little trickier because say quann we don't know if he's going to return for this one.
- 27:20[SPEAKER_00]: He's still sideline with the hamstring strain.
- 27:22[SPEAKER_00]: We're not going to get a practice report until Thursday.
- 27:24[SPEAKER_00]: I definitely don't think it's a definite that he's coming back this week.
- 27:26[SPEAKER_00]: So if he plays, it's a great match against Dallas.
- 27:28[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously he's going to be in your lineup.
- 27:30[SPEAKER_00]: If he does not play, Damien Pierce, I think is a totally fine start.
- 27:33[SPEAKER_00]: Again, he got into the end zone last week.
- 27:35[SPEAKER_00]: He's not a good player.
- 27:35[SPEAKER_00]: They're offensive line kind of stinks, but he gets all the touches right now in that backfield.
- 27:39[SPEAKER_00]: And they play against Dallas.
- 27:40[SPEAKER_00]: So he'd be a dub flex for me that I would definitely, you know, throw into the conversation of a lot of these guys here.
- 27:46[SPEAKER_00]: And I think it's going to wrap up the running back rankings video for this week.
- 27:49[SPEAKER_00]: Again, my rankings will be available on bdge.co shortly after this video goes live.
- 27:54[SPEAKER_00]: So if you want to see all the actual tiers and the orders of all them as well as like flex plays and things like that, and you could use our start sit-decider tool to make things easier for your life.
- 28:04[SPEAKER_00]: Get it for free for the next three months by going to bed mgm.
- 28:06[SPEAKER_00]: If your new user sign up with code bdge deposits 10 bucks play any slip on there, and they're going to give you an in-app promo code to use on our website.
- 28:14[SPEAKER_00]: B-d-g-e.co.
- 28:15[SPEAKER_00]: All right.
- 28:16[SPEAKER_00]: I love y'all.
- 28:16[SPEAKER_00]: I'm out of here.
- 28:17[SPEAKER_00]: Smoke cheese.