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Episode 412 - 12/10/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome to episode 412.
• 0:17
  Of the all systems go. Sports betting podcast powered
• 0:21
  by Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh.
• 0:24
  Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
• 0:30
  Happy Wednesday. It's officially hump day as we
• 0:33
  get to the halfway point of our week, guys, that means one day
• 0:36
  closer to Thursday Night Football.
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  I'm looking at the line here and what do you think?
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  The Atlanta Falcons, can they cover the number?
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  Tampa Bay opened -5 1/2 for tomorrow night, The lines down
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  to 4 1/2. Who knows, maybe it creeps back
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  up to to 5 or gets down to four, kind of in that no man's land.
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  But I was looking at the bet splits for this game and it's
• 0:56
  kind of interesting because if you look at the current prices
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  and the current odds, I should say Tampa Bay getting 75% of
• 1:02
  tickets at DraftKings, yet the line is moving toward Atlanta.
• 1:06
  Atlanta would be a divisional dog, contrarian dog.
• 1:09
  So we'll see. I'm thinking maybe Atlanta in
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  the points for tomorrow, but stay tuned for a full breakdown
• 1:15
  on tomorrow's Thursday Night Football podcast.
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  And remember also, we will have our rhythm rundown every
• 1:21
  Thursday night. Tomorrow night, 6:00 PM to 7:00
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  PM Eastern Eastern Time, myself and my buddy Kate Harper.
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  But with that being said, guys for today, I have a three pack
• 1:31
  of college basketball sweats for you all very short money line
• 1:35
  favorites here. So see if we can get 2 out of 3
• 1:38
  eek out a winning day. And I also have a announcement,
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  a little bit of an announcement here because with the success
• 1:45
  and shout out to my guy Manny Davison, but the success of.
• 1:49
  The early or my? First inaugural Applebaum NFL
• 1:52
  Survivor Pool with Splash Sports.
• 1:54
  It was a $25 entry, free entry fee.
• 1:57
  My guy, Manny. Won it this week.
• 1:59
  Was the last man standing and he got like 3800 bucks, so not too
• 2:03
  bad. But I'm saying myself, you know
• 2:05
  what we got to do another survivor.
• 2:06
  So I talked to my buddy James Santor and my buddy Daniel
• 2:09
  Childs who run Splash Sports, and I said hey.
• 2:13
  Can we do a? NFL playoffs survivor pool and
• 2:17
  they said damn right we can. So actually just tweeted it out
• 2:20
  at Josh under score Insights. This will be a lot of fun.
• 2:23
  You're available to sign up right now.
• 2:25
  You can do up to 7 entries. It'll be 25.
• 2:28
  Bucks, just like the entry fee for the first one, you can win
• 2:31
  up to $5625. You can have as many as 7
• 2:35
  entries and I know because it's the, the playoffs here, it's
• 2:39
  going to be a shorter, you know, obviously a shorter length of
• 2:42
  time, but you're going to have to pick.
• 2:45
  Who wins each week? And I think there are.
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  Maybe the wild card round, you have to pick two teams.
• 2:49
  I don't have the playoff picture obviously yet, but this will be
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  a lot of fun because you got to think of it this way.
• 2:54
  Who you're going to pick to win the Super Bowl You're.
• 2:56
  Going to have to wait for the end.
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  So for example, like if you like the, I don't know, the LA Rams,
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  they're the favorite right now to win the Super Bowl.
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  You don't want to use them in the divisional round.
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  You want to wait to use them for the final round.
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  So it'll be a little bit different in terms of strategy,
• 3:12
  but should be a lot of fun. So I would love for you guys all
• 3:15
  to join the Applebaum NFL playoff survivor contest with
• 3:19
  Splash Sports. Again, it's live.
• 3:21
  It went Live Today. You can go to my Twitter page at
• 3:23
  Josh under Score Insights and you'll see a tweet giving you
• 3:26
  the link. Also tweeted out quite a bit
• 3:29
  between now and we're basically a month away from the playoffs,
• 3:32
  which is crazy, but also I will. Put the link in the bio.
• 3:35
  Description of the pod. So if you're listening on
• 3:37
  Spotify, iTunes, whatever platform you're at, when it
• 3:40
  gives you the breakdown in the description of each podcast.
• 3:43
  So it'll say something like, hey, in episode 412, Josh dishes
• 3:46
  out yadda, yadda, yadda, 3 pack of college plays.
• 3:49
  Scroll down. You'll get the link there to
• 3:51
  enter the Survivor pool. So just wanted to mention that
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  and going to run another contest, which should be fun.
• 3:56
  Now, looking back toward last night, we kept the good vibes
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  going, baby. Third straight winning day four
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  and one. A big fat 4:00 and 1:00.
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  Plus 2.26 units. Really swept the board in
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  college hoops, which was great. They had McNeese State.
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  Coming through that was a nip and tuck toward until the very
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  end. They won by two points.
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  So This is why we always talk about money lining short.
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  Favorites because McNeese. Was around -1 1/2 - 2.
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  They got as high as 2 1/2. You lay the two you pushed.
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  You lay the 2 1/2. You lost.
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  So that's why we always like to money line short favorites just
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  to protect yourself on the off chance of something like that
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  happening. Bucknell came through huge.
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  They were a team that was 2:00 and 9:00, but their opponent
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  there was was even worse. So it was nice to see Bucknell
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  beat up on Ryder and then Howard.
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  Howard was awesome because Howard was a dog.
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  But we said, hey man, they're really, really sharp because you
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  looked at Howard the Bison, by the way, they ended up opening
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  as high as AI want to say they were AI think like a four point
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  dog, go all the way down to 2 1/2 two.
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  I got what I felt was like a. Bad two because.
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  Some shops crept back up to around 2 1/2 or three but end up
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  closing around 2 1/2, so I guess it wasn't too much off the
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  opener, but they won that game out right, So that was awesome
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  to see. So a three and O clean sweep,
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  you love to see it and then split our NBA player.
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  Props, Mikhail. Bridges did go over 20. 2 1/2
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  PRA. He landed on 24 and it was mop
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  up duty and I was like oh don't pull him because the Knicks are
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  up big. But he stayed in the game late
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  and had a layup there to catch that over which is awesome and
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  really probably should have swept the board overall.
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  Again, I'll never complain about a four in one. 2.26.
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  Unit night, but Anthony. Black, we got some.
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  CLV there because. Bet the over 20. 2 1/2 PRA with
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  him and he landed on 20 came up short but.
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  He actually had CLV. Because if you noticed, he was
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  announces in the starting lineup and he actually closed at 25 1/2
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  PRA. So we really nailed that, but
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  came up a little short there. There he had multiple chance.
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  I think he shot like 5 of 15 from the field.
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  So he had a bunch of assists, rebounds, but came up just short
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  there. So Black over 22 1/2 PRA lost
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  but hit Bridges, Howard, Bucknell, McNeese, nice little
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  four in one. So let's see if we can reinvest
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  it into tonight. Hopefully post another winning
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  day. So that being said, let's talk
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  some college hoops. There's a big slate tonight
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  around 30 games overall. And I got plays on three games
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  that I'm excited to share with you for tonight.
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  So first one on the board, let's talk Western Kentucky and
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  Marshall. This is a 7:00 PM game tonight,
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  Game 649650 setting the stage for this one.
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  Western Kentucky comes in six and two.
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  They've won two in a row. Just beat Evansville 80 to 70. 9
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  didn't cover, though as a 12 1/2 point home favorite, you know,
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  Marshall 5:00 and 4:00, but they actually started five and one.
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  They've lost three in a row. They came up short against Ohio.
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  88 to 81 didn't. Cover as a 3 1/2 point Rd. dog.
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  So what is it across the market here?
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  Well, this game open at basically a pick em and some
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  shops even open open Western Kentucky as a short favorite
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  here like Western Kentucky -1 1/2.
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  Regardless of the opener though, this line is moved toward
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  Marshall. The thundering heard they've
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  gone from a pick or even a dog to fave plus 1 1/2 to now -1
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  1/2. So again, good sharp steam
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  hitting Marshall causing that line to move in their favor.
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  You'll get the splits on Marshall they look.
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  Pretty good at DK. 47% of spread bets. 65.
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  Percent of spread dollars, so good low bets, higher dollar
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  split and technically reverse line movement dog to fave
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  because again, you're only getting 47% bets but 65% dollars
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  less than half the tickets. But the line flipped in their
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  favor tells me smart money has hit Marshall.
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  Now Marshall is a great buy low opportunity play because again,
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  Western Kentucky has a better record and they've won two in a
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  row. Marshall has a worst record and
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  they've lost three in a row. So you would think, hey, you
• 7:55
  know, probably line moves toward Western Kentucky.
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  No, it's going toward the team that's struggled, maybe the more
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  desperate team at home. So it's a good buy low, sell
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  high. Now, Ken Palm does have Marshall
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  winning, but only by one point. So I don't want to lay a 1 1/2,
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  have them win by 1 and we lose our bet again.
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  We saw the importance of McNeese State last night, money lining a
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  short favorite instead of laying the points.
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  And it's really not a bad price. Marshall you can get around -120
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  -, 125 just to win the game. And if you look at.
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  DK, 50%. Money line bets. 63%.
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  Money line dollars, so further evidence of that respected smart
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  money hitting Marshall to win this game.
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  And Marshall does have some stat advantages.
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  A lot of them are offensively. They have the better effective
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  field goal percentage, 55% versus 49%.
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  They shoot the three better, 36% versus 31%.
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  And this could be huge in a close game free throw shooting.
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  They're shooting 77% from the charity stripe versus 73% for
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  Western Kentucky. So it was basically a pick em
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  game or a short Western? Kentucky. -1 and F on the road,
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  but it's flipped now to Marshall -1 1/2 at home.
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  Good bet split, desperate, low bets, higher dollars line move.
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  Buy low, sell high. Ken Palms got them by 1.
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  With all these. Offensive advantages.
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  So let's protect ourselves. Go money line here around -120
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  -, 125 and oh, by the way, popped open Juice Reel noticed a
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  17% sharp mush edge on Marshall. So I like the fact that wise
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  guys and wise gals like you guys out there are also playing
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  Marshall to win this game. So first bit on the board for
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  me. Marshall around -120 -, 125 on
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  the money line. Next one for you. 9:00 game.
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  This should be a good one. Wisconsin and Nebraska, one of
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  the most heavily backed games of the night.
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  I think actually it is the most heavily backed game of the night
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  and it should be a great matchup. 9:00 tip off.
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  We have Wisconsin coming in seven and two.
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  They've won two straight. Just beat up on Marquette 96 to
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  76, easily covered as an 11 1/2 point home favorite.
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  But have you noticed how good Nebraska is to start this year?
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  Knock on Wood with their nine and O ranked 23rd in the
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  country. Undefeated just beat Creighton
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  71 to 50. Covered as a 5 1/2 point home
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  favorite. So do you see across the board
• 10:10
  here? Well, I guess the theme of the
• 10:12
  night is dog to fave because we open this game with Wisconsin
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  listed as a very short 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
• 10:19
  Some books even open. Wisconsin, I want to say -2?
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  But we've seen a complete flip. In favor of Nebraska.
• 10:25
  So the Cornhuskers have gone from plus 1 1/2 now to -2 or
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  even -2 1/2 across the board. When I wrote about this game for
• 10:34
  visen.com earlier today, they were at -1 1/2.
• 10:37
  Now again I'm seeing. 2 even. 2 1/2 So continued movement dog to
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  fave in favor of Nebraska tells me smart money has hit the
• 10:45
  Cornhuskers here pretty hard. I noticed that circa really
• 10:48
  sharp bet split Nebraska 67% of spread bets, but 95% of spread
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  dollars. A really good low bets, higher
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  dollar split, telling us those bigger sharp betters out in
• 10:59
  Vegas in the desert are also playing Nebraska.
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  Now Ken Palm does have Nebraska winning by one point.
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  So you guys know where I'm going here.
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  I'm going money line. I got money line Nebraska -125
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  at the score. Some shops a little higher
• 11:13
  around -135 now at this point, but again a relatively short
• 11:17
  money line price. Some angles here.
• 11:20
  I have a bunch of system matches on Nebraska, so if you are a
• 11:23
  short favorite -4 or less. And you have at least a.
• 11:27
  Half point of line movement in your direction.
• 11:29
  Those teams are 73 and 46. Straight up this year, 61% with
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  a 3.5% ROI. And then if you look at just all
• 11:37
  favorites in general with at least two points of line
• 11:39
  movement in their favor. They're 185 and 40.
• 11:42
  Three straight up. This year, that's. 81% with a 2%
• 11:45
  ROI. Nebraska does have the.
• 11:48
  Better. Effective field goal percentage.
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  57% versus 54. Percent better defensive
• 11:53
  efficiency, 37th in the country versus 44th, and they hold their
• 11:58
  opponents to a better effective field goal percentage.
• 12:01
  They're holding their opponents to 46% versus 51% for Wisconsin.
• 12:06
  So we have a dog to fave line move on Nebraska.
• 12:09
  Great bet split out at Circa Ken Palms got him winning the game.
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  So let's protect ourselves and go on the money line here.
• 12:15
  And oh, by the way, our friends at Juice Reel 29% sharp mush
• 12:20
  edge in favor of Nebraska. So we're with the pros who also
• 12:23
  like the corn Uskers here tonight.
• 12:25
  So let's Shuck some corn. Let's go Nebraska, win the damn
• 12:29
  game again. You can get them around -135
• 12:31
  now. Last bed of the.
• 12:33
  Night late night sweat 10:00 PM Eastern Time, Fresno State
• 12:37
  Visiting Cal State Northridge now.
• 12:40
  Fresno State comes in six and four on the year.
• 12:43
  They started six and two. They've lost two in a row.
• 12:45
  Just got beat up by Arkansas 80. 2 to 58.
• 12:48
  Didn't cover as a 19 1/2 point Rd. dog.
• 12:51
  Meanwhile, Cal State Northridge four and five on the year.
• 12:53
  They've also struggled a bit. They've lost three of their last
• 12:56
  four. Just lost to Cal Irvine. 85 to
• 12:58
  70. One didn't cover as a 7 1/2
• 13:01
  point Rd. dog. So I've seen across the market
• 13:04
  here. Will this game open Cal State
• 13:06
  Northridge around A2 point? Favorite at home and the public
• 13:10
  doesn't. Really know what to do.
• 13:11
  They're basically 5050 down. The Middle Cal State Northridge
• 13:14
  is at home, but Fresno State's got the slightly better record.
• 13:17
  But yet both teams have struggled.
• 13:18
  Recently so public. Doesn't really know what to do
• 13:20
  here, so. What do we always talk about?
• 13:22
  5050. Tickets down the middle you
• 13:25
  would expect no line movement whatsoever, because
• 13:27
  theoretically balanced action tickets are relatively.
• 13:30
  Even. No need.
• 13:31
  For the oddsmakers to move the number one way or the other,
• 13:34
  however. 5050 And yet you see a. Line move.
• 13:37
  That's important to me because it tells me.
• 13:38
  That even though the. Public doesn't know what to do.
• 13:41
  Sharps have taken a position and move that number and it looks
• 13:44
  like they've taken a position on Fresno State because this game
• 13:47
  open Cal State Northridge -2 we've now flipped to Fresno
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  State -1 1/2. So another dog to fave line move
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  again. That's really the theme of the
• 13:56
  day, I guess, telling us smart money has has pushed that and
• 14:00
  flipped that number toward the Bulldogs.
• 14:02
  Now Ken Palm has Fresno winning by two points.
• 14:05
  So you might say, hey, just lay the 1 1/2 again.
• 14:08
  It's a very short number here. I got Fresno money line -1. 15
• 14:12
  you can. Get them as low as -120 -, 125
• 14:16
  but also Ken Palm does have Fresno ranked higher. 160. 6th
• 14:20
  in the country versus 251st for Cal State Northridge money line
• 14:24
  splits. Look pretty good at DK 58.
• 14:26
  Percent of bets, 67% of dollars on Fresno and also Fresno.
• 14:31
  Bunch of advantages here, better offensive.
• 14:33
  Efficiency 2. 30th in the country versus 247th for
• 14:37
  Northridge. Better.
• 14:39
  Defensive efficiency. Big advantage here, 135th versus
• 14:42
  241st. Better effective field goal
• 14:44
  percentage, 51% versus 47%, and they do a better job of forcing
• 14:49
  turnovers. On defense.
• 14:50
  Fresno actually ranks 37th best in the country at forcing
• 14:54
  turnovers. Northridge ranks 300th, so a lot
• 14:58
  of stat advantages dog to fave line.
• 15:00
  Move 5050. Sharp dog to fave move.
• 15:03
  In particular, Ken Palms got him by two.
• 15:05
  We're going to protect ourselves.
• 15:07
  Just win the damn game. So I got Fresno -115 on the
• 15:11
  money line again, some books -120 -, 125.
• 15:15
  And oh by the way, I like getting another Juice Reel sharp
• 15:18
  mush edge. But a 20% sharp mush edge on
• 15:22
  Fresno from our friends at Juice Reel, meaning 20% more of the
• 15:25
  sharper winning winning betters who have synced up their books
• 15:28
  and they're the results have been tracked.
• 15:31
  Those winning betters are also leaning Fresno.
• 15:33
  So we got Fresno money line again around -115 -, 120.
• 15:37
  So Marshall, Nebraska, Fresno, we got a scratch and claw and
• 15:42
  get 2 out of 3 go 2 and one keep our winning streak going.
• 15:45
  That is the goal. So that about does it for
• 15:48
  episode 412 of the ASG pod on a big hump day here halfway
• 15:52
  through our week. Of course, this is a part of the
• 15:54
  pod where we wrap things up. And I always want to start first
• 15:57
  by saying thank you. Thank you for listening, Thank
• 15:59
  you for tuning in. Thank you for grinding in the
• 16:01
  arena every single day with me, guys, through the UPS and the
• 16:04
  downs, the hot streaks, the cold streaks, the good days, the bad
• 16:07
  days. You know, betting in a way is
• 16:09
  kind of like life. Sometimes everything goes your
• 16:11
  way and you're like, man, I'm riding high.
• 16:13
  Sometimes no matter what you do, things don't go your way.
• 16:16
  And that's, you know, just the way it goes.
• 16:18
  You, I guess is a bad analogy, but because I work from home,
• 16:22
  but hey, you got to go, go to work.
• 16:24
  I don't know your your showers flooded, you spill coffee on
• 16:28
  yourself, you're late for work, whatever.
• 16:30
  Things don't go your way or everything goes your way.
• 16:33
  But still, we show up every day and try to find the sharpest
• 16:36
  bets on the board using our head, not our heart.
• 16:38
  So that means a lot to me. So if you do enjoy the pod, you.
• 16:41
  Want to help me grow? This podcast.
• 16:43
  Please would you recommend it to a friend?
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  Would you retweet it when I tweet?
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  It out would you give it a five star review on Spotify or iTunes
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  click the follow button all easy simple ways to to support the
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  pod so thank you very much next. If you want to learn more.
• 17:00
  About data-driven bedding. And you maybe.
• 17:03
  Want to support the POD and more importantly.
• 17:06
  It's the holiday season and you. Need to figure out what to get a
• 17:08
  gift for? For your aunt, your uncle, your
• 17:11
  cousin, your dad, your son, your nephew.
• 17:14
  You know what? You.
• 17:14
  Should do. You should make it easy on
• 17:16
  yourself. Get them something that they can
• 17:18
  turn, you know, a dollar into hopefully 100 bucks.
• 17:22
  Go buy one of my books. If you'd like to get my new
• 17:25
  book, it's called the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
• 17:28
  If you get it directly from Triumph Books website and use
• 17:31
  the promo code Cheers 2025, it'll be 50% off, so it's
• 17:35
  usually $24.00. It would then only be $12.00 and
• 17:38
  it makes a great stocking stuffer.
• 17:40
  You can also get it on Amazon and you can get my first book on
• 17:43
  Amazon as well, the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 17:45
  So again, if you want to learn more, give it to as a gift to a
• 17:49
  colleague or a friend or you know, stocking stuff for a
• 17:51
  Christmas Hanukkah gift. I think it would be pretty good
• 17:54
  because I'd rather get that book than a collared shirt or
• 17:57
  something that like that. But anyway, guys, grab one or
• 18:00
  both. Bring them to the sports book.
• 18:02
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
• 18:04
  ale and we'll sweat some college hoops games together tonight.
• 18:07
  Next, have you downloaded rhythm and juice reel yet?
• 18:10
  My two favorite sports betting apps Rhythm awesome for their AI
• 18:13
  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 18:16
  Reminder, we do have our rhythm rundown live show tomorrow night
• 18:19
  at 6:00 PM on Twitter. Hope to see you guys there.
• 18:21
  You can always again follow at Josh under score insights, my
• 18:24
  Twitter account or XI guess I should say, but it'll always be
• 18:27
  Twitter to me. And then also download juice
• 18:30
  reel. Juice reel has got a ton of
• 18:31
  great features. First off, if you'd like to
• 18:34
  support the pod and tip your podcast host, let me know you
• 18:37
  appreciate the pod. I give you some good insights.
• 18:40
  Hey, give me a tip. You can do it in the form of
• 18:42
  signing up to get those all systems go best bet picks right
• 18:46
  from juice rail. It costs $4.99 a week, so a
• 18:49
  $5.00 bill to support the pod and get plays every single day.
• 18:52
  And you'll also get the Robo Jackson best bet picks.
• 18:55
  The sharp mush indicator, the arbitrage plays, the shop for
• 18:57
  the best line features all when you download juice rail.
• 19:01
  So download rhythm, download juice rail, give them again A5
• 19:03
  star review in the App Store. Next, do you have a live odds
• 19:07
  page? Well, if you don't have one, you
• 19:08
  need one. Live odds page is so important
• 19:10
  for a sports better because you got to be able to track the
• 19:12
  market in real time. You got to know all the games
• 19:14
  available to you that day. Live scoring once the game
• 19:17
  starts live in game wagering odds that update after every
• 19:21
  possession, every play. More importantly, tracking line
• 19:24
  movement, getting an open column that never changes.
• 19:26
  Stay static to the right or all the current odds.
• 19:28
  You can immediately see which direction the line is moved.
• 19:31
  You can click the odds to pull up the full line history.
• 19:34
  You can identify steam when odds get lit up in red and then green
• 19:37
  and then yellow. But really it's just a great
• 19:40
  feature that you need. And really, to me, if you don't
• 19:41
  have a live odds page, it's really difficult to have your
• 19:44
  finger on the pulse and make smart bets.
• 19:46
  So if you'd like to give Odds Logic a shot, they're the best
• 19:49
  live odds page around. 7 day free trial, 50% off your first
• 19:53
  month. Just go to oddslogic.com/josh
• 19:57
  123 next. Have you downloaded and signed
• 20:01
  up for Novig yet? Novig is a betting exchange, not
• 20:04
  a sports book. So as a result, you're getting
• 20:06
  way better juice prices. So instead of paying -115 -, 120
• 20:10
  to DraftKings or FanDuel or bet MGM or Fanatics or yadda, yadda,
• 20:14
  yadda, you know, you can do, you can get -1 O 5 plus one O 2 - 1
• 20:18
  O3 from Novig. Because instead of again, going
• 20:21
  up against the house, you're going up against other betters.
• 20:24
  And also when you do well and you're, you're hot and you're
• 20:26
  winning, you're not going to get limited or booted.
• 20:28
  So download Novig and when you fund your account, there should
• 20:31
  be a little promo code. When you deposit your money,
• 20:33
  make sure you put in Josh 123 and they'll tack on another 25
• 20:37
  bucks to your account. O, that about does it for Eisode
• 20:40
  412 of the ASG. OD on a big Wednesday here guys,
• 20:45
  as always. Whether I see you at the
• 20:47
  Borgata? In Atlantic City, Twin River In
• 20:49
  Rhode Island, the Brook. In New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
• 20:51
  Mohegan Sun Down in Connecticut at the Encore.
• 20:53
  In Boston, Plain Ridge Park casino, MGM Springfield, the
• 20:56
  Nash and my neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts and
• 20:59
  New Hampshire. Around the desert where the true
• 21:01
  grinders get down. Where Billy Walter sends his
• 21:03
  number runners. Where the lowest use possible is
• 21:05
  found at the South Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
• 21:08
  plays jumping in the stadium swim pool.
• 21:10
  When you catch a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
• 21:13
  to me. You're going to show me a Howard
• 21:15
  ticket, a Bucknell ticket, a McNeese State money lining, a
• 21:19
  short favorite ticket, a McHale Bridges over PRA ticket.
• 21:23
  Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
• 21:25
  you. We'll post about the book.
• 21:26
  Sweat sharp contrarian plays all night long.
• 21:29
  So as always, guys coming off a four and one or A1 and 4A5 and O
• 21:33
  or an O and 5A2 and three or a three and two.
• 21:36
  A great night, a terrible night, a mediocre night.
• 21:40
  A great week, a terrible week. In between week again, we can
• 21:44
  never get too high or too low. When things are going good, you
• 21:46
  don't want to be cocky and start to get loose with your plays and
• 21:49
  start to bet more. Also, when things are not going
• 21:53
  your way, you don't want to quit, you don't want to double
• 21:55
  down. You don't want to say screw it
• 21:56
  and let me just, you know, bet every game on the board and
• 21:58
  chase. No, no, no, no.
• 22:00
  We got to stay. Even keeled.
• 22:01
  We got to stay disciplined, we got to bet the same on every
• 22:03
  game, flat betting and we got to find those system matches, be
• 22:06
  disciplined with our bankroll and bet with our head and not
• 22:08
  our heart by finding the games that fit our model against the
• 22:11
  public, with the house, with the pros.
• 22:13
  Flat bet, avoid parlays and get that CLV.
• 22:16
  If we can do that. We're going to be successful
• 22:18
  sports bettors, so have a great Wednesday night, everybody see
• 22:22
  if we can get some winners on the college hoops hardwood here
• 22:25
  tonight. And I'll be right back at it for
• 22:26
  a big Thirsty Thursday edition. That'll be episode 413 of the
• 22:30
  All Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 22:34
  Good luck, everybody and reminder, go sign up for the NFL
• 22:37
  survivor pool. You can get that tweet right
• 22:40
  from my account at Josh under score insights or in the link in
• 22:43
  the bio description of the pod. But have a great night everybody
• 22:46
  and enjoy the college hoop sweats.
• 22:48
  Good luck.