Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 06/24/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: That's the terrorist.
- 0:08Speaker 2: Fall.
- 0:08Speaker 1: System's going clear. We're lifting what is going on?
- 0:41Speaker 3: Ship at Nation YouTube station back with my guy GM
- 0:45Speaker 3: riseing back to back days like we are each and
- 0:48Speaker 3: every week here. Seven games on DraftKings way more than
- 0:52Speaker 3: that on fan duel. So if you're a junkie lag
- 0:55Speaker 3: gem Rising over there, well sucks for you because usually
- 0:59Speaker 3: you're looking at at him above you in the leaderboards.
- 1:02Speaker 3: But let's go ahead and jump right in here. Gee, rozen,
- 1:06Speaker 3: it's Wednesday. We've got some day baseball going on. I'm
- 1:10Speaker 3: crying in my sorrows after the Brewers ship down my
- 1:13Speaker 3: leg two.
- 1:14Speaker 1: Times in a row.
- 1:14Speaker 3: But hey, we got to I got a consolation prize, no,
- 1:18Speaker 3: no extra money in the pocket, but two wins in
- 1:20Speaker 3: the win column in the division rivalry series there, so
- 1:25Speaker 3: helping their cause there to likely win the division obviously
- 1:30Speaker 3: their favorites there. Hopefully they keep it rolling throughout the
- 1:32Speaker 3: end of the year. Pitching has been insane for them.
- 1:35Speaker 3: Offense fuck them, but they're definitely rinse a repeat right,
- 1:40Speaker 3: fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame
- 1:43Speaker 3: on me, Foo me three times. Yeah, I might as
- 1:46Speaker 3: well just quit, right, So we'll do our best to
- 1:48Speaker 3: talk talk about obviously the Brewer's here. We've got no
- 1:52Speaker 3: course field on this main slate there, so we don't
- 1:56Speaker 3: have to talk about the shitty Boston Red Sox there.
- 1:58Speaker 3: And Nate Eaton coming out of retirement and dropping thirty
- 2:02Speaker 3: fucking DraftKings points at twenty seven hundred, so that was
- 2:05Speaker 3: pretty cool to see. But our got Rio, our guy
- 2:07Speaker 3: Rio got the job done him and Sheets went one
- 2:10Speaker 3: two in the flag ship last night. Fifty stacks for
- 2:12Speaker 3: a guy Rio and then Sheets, Like I said, I mean,
- 2:15Speaker 3: it was like some tents of a point between those two.
- 2:19Speaker 3: That boat raced the entire field and I think what
- 2:22Speaker 3: at eighteen dollars whatever it was last night for fifty
- 2:25Speaker 3: k to first, So shout out to Rio there and
- 2:28Speaker 3: Sheets continue to smash the MMB game for the rest
- 2:31Speaker 3: of us. Here'll see if we can't find our way
- 2:33Speaker 3: to the top of the leaderboards here tonight, Gee Rising,
- 2:35Speaker 3: I'll bring you in. Man, we're talking about some bowling
- 2:38Speaker 3: pre show. We were talking about your boy Scooball going
- 2:42Speaker 3: for the fandal slate, which is obviously a big talking
- 2:45Speaker 3: point there.
- 2:46Speaker 1: But how you doing on this Wednesday afternoon here?
- 2:49Speaker 2: I mean me, man, I wish I had had a
- 2:50Speaker 2: good as night at the DFS streets. I had bowling,
- 2:52Speaker 2: Like I tell you, shoot two ninety nine out the gate,
- 2:56Speaker 2: left it a little too far out front, eleven, let
- 2:59Speaker 2: it too far out, came up a little light, mixed
- 3:01Speaker 2: them up all in the deck. Seven pin was standing.
- 3:04Speaker 2: So but hey want a pocket full of cash. So
- 3:06Speaker 2: that was fun. But a team won some points. Good time,
- 3:10Speaker 2: So always always good times there. But yeah, I mean,
- 3:13Speaker 2: you know, and it's like going back to the brewers
- 3:15Speaker 2: when you were like talking about that. I start thinking
- 3:17Speaker 2: to myself, like, man, is this like a situation when
- 3:19Speaker 2: you're at the casino and you're at the blackjack table
- 3:22Speaker 2: and you just got your ass white for like two
- 3:23Speaker 2: shoes in a row and you already spent like five
- 3:26Speaker 2: hundred and then like your buddy's still sitting over there,
- 3:29Speaker 2: he's hanging in there, and you're.
- 3:30Speaker 1: Like you got no chips.
- 3:32Speaker 2: They're like you want to get in, Like yeah, fuck,
- 3:34Speaker 2: I'll try it again. And then you pull another two
- 3:37Speaker 2: or three hundred out and then you get smashed and
- 3:39Speaker 2: lose that, and then you walk out of there and
- 3:40Speaker 2: think what the fuck was I doing?
- 3:42Speaker 1: Man? Like I literally didn't even have a chance. Tonight,
- 3:44Speaker 1: I got my ass kicked all night.
- 3:46Speaker 2: I feel like it's the same kind of thing, but
- 3:49Speaker 2: I think it alludes to my whole point as I
- 3:51Speaker 2: always talk about, like why I like hot hitters. I'm
- 3:55Speaker 2: not saying the Brewers aren't good, but dude, when they're
- 3:58Speaker 2: not hitting, baseball teams go through this like that.
- 4:00Speaker 1: It just happens.
- 4:01Speaker 2: They have a week or two, you know, let them
- 4:03Speaker 2: hit a day or so, and then I'll think about it.
- 4:05Speaker 2: Like I just I like to play teams that are
- 4:08Speaker 2: hitting at a certain time, at least like the ones
- 4:10Speaker 2: in the bottom five, like in the last couple of weeks.
- 4:12Speaker 2: I generally try to ignore them, even like some of
- 4:14Speaker 2: the better matchups. Let other people try to play them.
- 4:17Speaker 2: It's just something you know that I just feel like,
- 4:20Speaker 2: like when I go to a blackjack table at the casino,
- 4:22Speaker 2: if you don't walk around and see what kind of
- 4:24Speaker 2: chips other people have at the table you're about to
- 4:26Speaker 2: sit at, you're pretty much a donkey. Like if everybody's
- 4:29Speaker 2: got a bunch of chips and see like more than
- 4:31Speaker 2: they probably cashed in for it, well it.
- 4:32Speaker 1: Seems like pretty good table to sit at.
- 4:34Speaker 2: But if everybody's got like one hundred bucks in the
- 4:36Speaker 2: less in front of them with all red chips. It's
- 4:38Speaker 2: probably not a good table because they're a nobody at
- 4:40Speaker 2: the table that has more than they came in with, right, Nate.
- 4:43Speaker 2: So it's like common sense, right, Like like I feel
- 4:45Speaker 2: like it's the same shit that we're playing in baseball today.
- 4:48Speaker 2: But I mean, hey, good time is still fun. We
- 4:51Speaker 2: got get to do it over again today. FanDuel and
- 4:54Speaker 2: Draftking Slate. I'll be honest, I play mostly FanDuel. They're
- 4:58Speaker 2: way different tonight. The two side are way different, more
- 5:01Speaker 2: than I've seen in a long time. Like I look
- 5:03Speaker 2: at that FanDuel and I'm like, well, shit, scooball not
- 5:05Speaker 2: even over there. And then it's like, wait a minute.
- 5:07Speaker 2: You know, it's just you know, they don't have the
- 5:09Speaker 2: six forty games. They don't have that second game of
- 5:11Speaker 2: the doubleheader like DK does. But hey, we got a
- 5:14Speaker 2: decent slate. I think, you know, we'll have some fun
- 5:17Speaker 2: anytime Otani's pitching. I usually, you know, I mean, this
- 5:20Speaker 2: guy's like a generational player. I mean we should all
- 5:23Speaker 2: sit back and enjoy mister Otani as he rolls through
- 5:26Speaker 2: his career. Here because I don't think we're gonna see
- 5:28Speaker 2: a dude like this, and I mean, shit, I don't
- 5:31Speaker 2: think we ever really have. But yeah, so I've kind
- 5:33Speaker 2: of like learned in my older age and aides like
- 5:35Speaker 2: the enjoy Like I hated Larry Bird, I hated Michael Jordan.
- 5:39Speaker 2: I hate all them guys growing up, you know, like
- 5:41Speaker 2: you know, you know the hockey, you know the Rockies.
- 5:44Speaker 2: But then you get older, they realize they're good. You
- 5:46Speaker 2: just enjoy their you know how good they are. So
- 5:49Speaker 2: I think it's right with Otani. I look forward to
- 5:51Speaker 2: a Toni pitching. Every time he pitches, I enjoy watching them.
- 5:54Speaker 3: Yeah, no, Grace segue there, taking us into pitcher here,
- 5:57Speaker 3: I'm gonna go ahead of in pull our slate station up.
- 6:01Speaker 1: Our guy was working behind the scenes.
- 6:03Speaker 3: Him and I were talking and getting some stuff updated
- 6:05Speaker 3: here to make sure because those damn Cubs and the
- 6:08Speaker 3: Mets wanted to throw a wrench into shit with some
- 6:11Speaker 3: double headers going on today. So we do have it
- 6:13Speaker 3: updated here and we got the pitchers here up on
- 6:17Speaker 3: the screen. We'll go eight K and above here g
- 6:20Speaker 3: Rise and Sean Mania slated to start the second game
- 6:23Speaker 3: with that double header there with Imanaga as well eighty
- 6:26Speaker 3: three hundred and eight K. We're probably gonna see maybe
- 6:29Speaker 3: some water down lineups there. Obviously we're not going to
- 6:31Speaker 3: get the hitters lineups because that game is still going
- 6:34Speaker 3: on there. All you need to know is Danzy Swanson
- 6:36Speaker 3: scored one hundred and seventy five DraftKings points out of
- 6:39Speaker 3: nowhere there with the with the Grand Slam and the
- 6:42Speaker 3: double home run or the two home runs, one of
- 6:44Speaker 3: them being the Grand Slam, I should say there.
- 6:47Speaker 1: So do keep an eye out for those lineups there.
- 6:50Speaker 3: Overall, as it stands right now, I think Imanaga is
- 6:53Speaker 3: a pretty interesting play to me at eight three, just
- 6:55Speaker 3: because I don't think a lot of people play him.
- 6:57Speaker 3: We know he's a fly ball guy and struggles with
- 7:00Speaker 3: some fly ball issues there, but not such or not
- 7:04Speaker 3: that big of an issue here. Pitching in New York.
- 7:08Speaker 3: It is warm there, but it is a pitcher's ballpark.
- 7:10Speaker 3: He got ten twelve mile an hour wins. It looks
- 7:14Speaker 3: like kind of blowing in from left field, which should
- 7:17Speaker 3: help the case there for some flyball issues that Imanaga
- 7:19Speaker 3: can have.
- 7:20Speaker 1: Mets just aren't a great offense by any means.
- 7:22Speaker 3: Wan Soto got injured again yesterday, So him being out
- 7:25Speaker 3: of that lineup is gonna definitely be for certain here tonight,
- 7:29Speaker 3: and that helps the case as well for a guy
- 7:31Speaker 3: like in Minaga. So I like him quite a bit
- 7:33Speaker 3: as a direct pivot off of probably the highest one
- 7:36Speaker 3: pitcher on the slate in Trey Y Savage.
- 7:38Speaker 1: Who you want to talk about a guy who hasn't
- 7:40Speaker 1: been good.
- 7:40Speaker 3: You talk about the Brewers not hitting as of late,
- 7:42Speaker 3: you Savage has not been pitching well. He had one
- 7:45Speaker 3: really good game and outside of that, I mean, you
- 7:48Speaker 3: just don't know what you're gonna get for this guy.
- 7:49Speaker 3: He's gonna be the highest on guy in the slate
- 7:51Speaker 3: as well at eighty four hundred because of the matchup
- 7:53Speaker 3: there against Houston, the right hander. He's supposed to be good,
- 7:56Speaker 3: Gee Risen. He's shown flashes and being good. He was
- 7:59Speaker 3: out electric and incredible that whole postseason last year in
- 8:04Speaker 3: the fall. I just I don't know, I don't love
- 8:08Speaker 3: it here. He's probably a guy that I'm not going
- 8:09Speaker 3: to play here tonight and just take my chances on
- 8:11Speaker 3: the shorter slate. Otani all the way up at eleven
- 8:15Speaker 3: five feels pretty expensive on the slate, but we do
- 8:17Speaker 3: have a four K pitcher that is actually a pretty
- 8:20Speaker 3: solid pitcher. He does have a least concern that we'll
- 8:22Speaker 3: talk about in a little bit when we get to
- 8:24Speaker 3: the value tier. So you can make Otani work at
- 8:27Speaker 3: eleven five if you wanted to. For me, though, it's
- 8:29Speaker 3: really gauge Jump stands out. It's Imanaga and Gauge Jumper,
- 8:33Speaker 3: kind of the two guys I like the most up
- 8:35Speaker 3: in this top tier eight G and above, not messing
- 8:37Speaker 3: with Manaya. Don't really love you Savage. It's hard to
- 8:40Speaker 3: really ax him out of the pool because of the
- 8:42Speaker 3: way the pitching slate shakes up and only having seven
- 8:45Speaker 3: games on the docket, but he's a guy I don't love.
- 8:48Speaker 3: I'd rather play Otani if comparing the two, even with
- 8:50Speaker 3: the price discrepancy, and then Joe Ryan at ninety nine
- 8:53Speaker 3: hundred against the Dodgers, I'm out on that. I'd rather
- 8:56Speaker 3: play the Dodgers offense. So up top it's really Otani
- 8:59Speaker 3: gauged Yump In. Minaga's kind of three guys I'm interested
- 9:02Speaker 3: in you. Savage would be the fourth guy, but I
- 9:05Speaker 3: really don't like his ownership.
- 9:06Speaker 1: I don't like the recent form.
- 9:08Speaker 3: I don't like a lot of stuff about y Savage there,
- 9:10Speaker 3: talk to me though, eight can above here.
- 9:14Speaker 2: Yeah, Manaya against the Cubs. I don't, I don't. I don't,
- 9:19Speaker 2: I don't think. I just I don't want to even
- 9:20Speaker 2: go there.
- 9:21Speaker 1: I can't.
- 9:21Speaker 2: I can't see myself clicking that one. Now, showte Chota
- 9:25Speaker 2: against the Mets. I mean I do like that. I
- 9:29Speaker 2: mean the price eighty three hundred, it's good. We like
- 9:32Speaker 2: picking on the Mets. I mean, he did just have
- 9:35Speaker 2: two starts. He only gave up one ear and run.
- 9:37Speaker 2: But I'm not gonna get overly excited. It was against
- 9:39Speaker 2: the Rockies, for gods sake, So he did have those
- 9:42Speaker 2: two starts. But before that, man, he was got awful.
- 9:45Speaker 2: As we know, he was not very good. I mean,
- 9:48Speaker 2: looking at where he was before six, five, seven, eight
- 9:50Speaker 2: earned runs in those four starts, before those two starts,
- 9:54Speaker 2: that he was good. So you know what, I just
- 9:58Speaker 2: because he pitched decent and those one and it's the Mets.
- 10:01Speaker 2: That's pretty much the only reason. I don't think there'd
- 10:03Speaker 2: be too many teams, truthfully needs that. I feel like that. Yeah,
- 10:07Speaker 2: I'd rather have Showta over than than the Mets, like
- 10:10Speaker 2: anybody else. Like the Mets are one of the teams
- 10:13Speaker 2: like Mets. Maybe the Indians like a couple of them
- 10:15Speaker 2: at the bottom here, but the Mets are one team
- 10:17Speaker 2: I definitely like picking on, So yeah, I definitely.
- 10:21Speaker 1: I think he's more of a pivot.
- 10:22Speaker 2: Though off of a guy like Jump for me, So
- 10:26Speaker 2: I do like Jump. I think Jumps one of my favorite.
- 10:28Speaker 2: I mean, he gets a good park boost out there
- 10:31Speaker 2: and in San Francisco, and I mean he's he's he's
- 10:35Speaker 2: been good his last few starts. So his walk percentage
- 10:39Speaker 2: to the left side is a little bit concerning. He's
- 10:41Speaker 2: at eleven percent. He's at twenty two and a half
- 10:44Speaker 2: percent strikeouts, so he hasn't really been getting barreled up
- 10:48Speaker 2: at all. I mean he's got a one point six
- 10:50Speaker 2: barrel rate for righties in a five point three percent
- 10:53Speaker 2: barrow rate for lefties.
- 10:55Speaker 1: So I mean he's been pretty good, you know.
- 10:58Speaker 2: I Mean, we like the park out there, so he's
- 11:00Speaker 2: definitely something, especially at eighty eight hundred. Joe Ryan kind
- 11:06Speaker 2: of go back and forth with Ryan. I wouldn't play him.
- 11:08Speaker 2: I wouldn't play him on fan duel, but on DK
- 11:12Speaker 2: getting the discount you get off Otani with both of
- 11:15Speaker 2: those two pitching against each other. I think is also
- 11:19Speaker 2: something too that I do like them two going against
- 11:22Speaker 2: each other, so I think.
- 11:24Speaker 1: It's a decent pitch.
- 11:25Speaker 2: I think Ryan's a decent pivot off of Otani if
- 11:28Speaker 2: you want the savings, because I do think you could
- 11:31Speaker 2: have a lower scoring game and you look at the
- 11:33Speaker 2: Dodger lineup and there are some strikeouts that that Ryan
- 11:37Speaker 2: could have here at the back of the lineup with
- 11:39Speaker 2: Ward rushing if Freeland's in there. Uh So, I think
- 11:44Speaker 2: that's interesting. I don't know if Sho Hay is gonna
- 11:47Speaker 2: end up hitting for himself or not. I don't think
- 11:48Speaker 2: the last couple of games he has hit for himself
- 11:51Speaker 2: he hasn't, has he Nates?
- 11:53Speaker 3: Yeah, they've been going back and forth. Obviously we're gonna know.
- 11:57Speaker 3: I didn't see any alert. Maybe someone in the chat
- 11:59Speaker 3: if you guys can help us out there, if you
- 12:00Speaker 3: saw any report that if Oani's gonna be in the
- 12:03Speaker 3: hitter lineup tonight or not.
- 12:05Speaker 1: Obviously you only.
- 12:05Speaker 3: Accrue the pitching points from a DFS perspective, but it
- 12:08Speaker 3: does matter from a matchup perspective, especially for a guy
- 12:12Speaker 3: like Joe Ryan who gets barreled up big time by lefties.
- 12:15Speaker 3: Has some power issues against lefties and fly balls right
- 12:18Speaker 3: and obviously Otani one of the best, if not the best,
- 12:22Speaker 3: left handed hitter in baseball there, so it does matter
- 12:26Speaker 3: from from that aspect.
- 12:28Speaker 1: So I don't know, no report.
- 12:30Speaker 3: Ricky Rose says, yeah, I didn't see anything, so d
- 12:33Speaker 3: keep an eye out for that, because if Otani's in there,
- 12:35Speaker 3: it definitely hurts Joe Ryan's upside and definitely makes his
- 12:39Speaker 3: downside a.
- 12:40Speaker 1: Lot lot more risky.
- 12:41Speaker 3: When you got a guy like Otani who has a
- 12:44Speaker 3: four to seventy three, I so gets right hnded pitching
- 12:46Speaker 3: over the last month, doesn't strike out, puts the ball
- 12:48Speaker 3: in play, and just is overall obviously a freak. So yeah,
- 12:52Speaker 3: I haven't seen that, but if he's out, that does
- 12:55Speaker 3: help your argument for a guy like Joe Ryan here.
- 13:00Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think that that definitely will help. So,
- 13:04Speaker 2: but I think when you get to Otani paying the
- 13:06Speaker 2: eleven five against the Twins, you know, I I don't,
- 13:10Speaker 2: I don't mind it. I think it's all right. I
- 13:12Speaker 2: think what really is gonna help? I mean, as we
- 13:14Speaker 2: get to it, I mean, there's a four K piccher today,
- 13:17Speaker 2: so you know, I think you know that that that
- 13:19Speaker 2: could easily, you know, help with your lineups if you
- 13:22Speaker 2: can get I mean, the kids got some decent strikeout
- 13:24Speaker 2: stuff too from put I'm understanding. So he was an
- 13:28Speaker 2: almost like thirty percent in double A, went up to
- 13:29Speaker 2: triple A. I think it was like twenty four percent
- 13:31Speaker 2: or something like that. But we'll get to him down
- 13:33Speaker 2: when we get to the four K range. He might
- 13:35Speaker 2: have a little leash on him. But for four k,
- 13:37Speaker 2: as we've said before, like who gets a shit right,
- 13:40Speaker 2: So definitely interesting there. But yeah, there really ain't much
- 13:43Speaker 2: up top. I agree with you Otani jump Amonga. I'm
- 13:47Speaker 2: not playing you, Savage. I just I can't go there.
- 13:49Speaker 2: I'm not there. I think Ryan for me, i'd leave
- 13:53Speaker 2: him in, especially if there's no Tani, that's for sure.
- 13:57Speaker 1: Yeah, I just I don't know. I don't Joe Ryan here.
- 14:01Speaker 1: I just I think.
- 14:03Speaker 3: I mean, when you look at the props, right, you
- 14:05Speaker 3: look at Joe Ryan's props five and a half k prop,
- 14:09Speaker 3: it is juice to the over at minus one forty eight, so.
- 14:11Speaker 1: That checks out.
- 14:12Speaker 3: But I'm getting that same k prop at a fraction
- 14:14Speaker 3: of the ownership in in Monaga, I mean Inmanaga minus
- 14:17Speaker 3: one twenty two over five and a half. Same thing
- 14:20Speaker 3: there between Otani and Joe Ryan. The better props are
- 14:24Speaker 3: on Joe Ryan actually because of the back half of
- 14:26Speaker 3: that lineup right that you alluded to, especially if Freelan's
- 14:29Speaker 3: in there, which I assume he would be against the
- 14:31Speaker 3: right handed pitcher he got rushing. If he's back in
- 14:35Speaker 3: that lineup, like like you said, he's the strikeout risk there.
- 14:37Speaker 3: So there is guys, but the top half. I mean,
- 14:40Speaker 3: I just I'd rather pick on the Twins lineup with
- 14:43Speaker 3: a better pitcher in my opinion, than pick up on
- 14:46Speaker 3: the Dodgers lineup, because I mean, you still have Freddie
- 14:48Speaker 3: Freeman who's getting going, Mookie's been better, Kyle Tucker's starting
- 14:52Speaker 3: to hit a little bit. It's really jump in Monaga
- 14:57Speaker 3: are the two guys that I'm really interested in, and
- 14:59Speaker 3: then Otani just from a sheer upside perspective, but really,
- 15:02Speaker 3: I don't think you need to play either Otani Joe Ryan,
- 15:05Speaker 3: and I'm definitely not playing the Savage here tonight either.
- 15:08Speaker 1: So it's.
- 15:10Speaker 3: I come to conclusion with Gage jumping showed to Imanaga,
- 15:13Speaker 3: and then there's some cheaper guys that I think are
- 15:15Speaker 3: really viable on the slate. Let's jump down below.
- 15:17Speaker 1: Ak.
- 15:18Speaker 3: Martin Perez looks pretty interesting to me. He's not a
- 15:20Speaker 3: great pitcher by any means, but the way the pitcher
- 15:23Speaker 3: slate shakes up, he's seventy five hundred pitching in San
- 15:26Speaker 3: Diego against that lineup, I'll take my chances there.
- 15:29Speaker 1: I played much worse guys. Jr. Richie is shitty as
- 15:32Speaker 1: he has.
- 15:33Speaker 3: He started that game and looked unhittable until it wasn't
- 15:37Speaker 3: and the wheels fell off there. But I think Martin
- 15:39Speaker 3: Perez is pretty interesting here at seventy five hundred.
- 15:42Speaker 1: I like him quite a bit. Drohan sixty five hundred.
- 15:45Speaker 3: My guy Brandon Sprout dunked on everybody yesterday at six
- 15:48Speaker 3: K and Drohan, He's not a great picture by any means,
- 15:52Speaker 3: but that Reds. I mean, anytime the Reds are on
- 15:54Speaker 3: the slate more times than not, you're gonna have a
- 15:57Speaker 3: picture that has the ceiling game again, just because of
- 16:00Speaker 3: how much they strike out. Now, the down side is
- 16:03Speaker 3: they always play, obviously their home games in one of
- 16:07Speaker 3: the best hitting environments on any given night, and they
- 16:12Speaker 3: do have when they get went. When they hit Gee Riisen,
- 16:16Speaker 3: it feels like they hit in a big way. It's
- 16:17Speaker 3: either two runs or fourteen runs. It doesn't really feel
- 16:22Speaker 3: like they have any in between. He's sixty five hundred though,
- 16:25Speaker 3: on a slate where, let's face it, outside the top
- 16:28Speaker 3: tier Otani and Joe Ryan. I mean, pitching's pretty gross
- 16:31Speaker 3: in general. I mean, you've got a chalky Savage who
- 16:33Speaker 3: hasn't been great by any means, right, So I think
- 16:36Speaker 3: Johan's pretty interesting. And then we have a cheap four
- 16:39Speaker 3: K guy. He does have a big time pitch concern,
- 16:42Speaker 3: probably looking at around sixty to seventy pitches here gem Riysen.
- 16:45Speaker 3: But if you look at his at we're talking about
- 16:50Speaker 3: Mitch Bratt here or Brot, however you pronounce it. You
- 16:53Speaker 3: look at his minor league stuff. Obviously we haven't seen
- 16:56Speaker 3: him in the majors yet. He's coming up twenty two
- 16:59Speaker 3: year old Pross. He had about a twenty nine in
- 17:02Speaker 3: the miners, had really good command, really good control. Now,
- 17:06Speaker 3: usually when we see stuff like that in the miners,
- 17:08Speaker 3: it doesn't fully translate over to the majors here. But
- 17:11Speaker 3: he's four K on a slate where Otani's eleven to
- 17:14Speaker 3: five and we have expensive brewers bats to pay up
- 17:17Speaker 3: four we have the Dodgers on the slate, we have
- 17:20Speaker 3: bats that we can go out and get. I don't
- 17:23Speaker 3: know if you necessarily need the salary savings for him,
- 17:27Speaker 3: but I think, I mean, he is at least in
- 17:31Speaker 3: the conversation from a pitcher standpoint, his projection is off
- 17:34Speaker 3: the charts. He's projected for right around eleven Fantasy points
- 17:38Speaker 3: at four K, which is much higher than almost all
- 17:43Speaker 3: of the almost all of the four K, if not
- 17:46Speaker 3: all of the four K hitters on the slate.
- 17:49Speaker 1: So talk to me on how you're approaching the four K.
- 17:51Speaker 3: Mitch Pratt, who seems to be like a pretty solid prospect,
- 17:56Speaker 3: pretty solid overall pitcher pitch count, is going to be
- 17:59Speaker 3: the concerned there. But at four K, it's not like
- 18:01Speaker 3: you're you're playing a guy to go seven innings and
- 18:04Speaker 3: give you a shut out.
- 18:06Speaker 1: Talk talk to me here.
- 18:09Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean we'll start with We'll start with Bratt Bratt,
- 18:14Speaker 2: Britt Bratt, whatever he is. But uh, I think the
- 18:19Speaker 2: matchup there at four K. He did come off the
- 18:21Speaker 2: IL it looked like he had some back issues or something.
- 18:24Speaker 2: So but yeah, I mean, I would assume his back
- 18:29Speaker 2: is probably feeling better. I'd just be concerned, you know,
- 18:31Speaker 2: if there's any kind of issue or you know, him
- 18:34Speaker 2: over overdoing it and messing himself up. So I mean,
- 18:37Speaker 2: I guess last time out he only threw forty eight
- 18:39Speaker 2: pitches U in his uh warm up start. So I
- 18:43Speaker 2: just I am concerned too, as you said. But at
- 18:46Speaker 2: four K, I mean, let's just say he gets us.
- 18:50Speaker 2: I mean, shit's brodead to let ten k's yesterday. I mean,
- 18:52Speaker 2: let's just say this kid gets this five or six
- 18:54Speaker 2: k's like at four K, you know, I'm like, man,
- 18:57Speaker 2: I don't even care if he gives up a run
- 18:59Speaker 2: or two like that, Let's kind of keep you in
- 19:01Speaker 2: the game. So I don't mind that at all. So
- 19:04Speaker 2: I mean I'd leave him in. I wouldn't go overboard,
- 19:07Speaker 2: but i'd leave him in nids like I'd have a
- 19:09Speaker 2: couple of lineups with him. Drohan, as you mentioned, I think,
- 19:13Speaker 2: is another guy I'm I'm interested in with with.
- 19:20Speaker 1: The Reds here.
- 19:21Speaker 2: And I brought up Sprout earlier because I wanted to say,
- 19:24Speaker 2: like the cheaper pitchers down below can get the job done.
- 19:27Speaker 1: And can get you, you know, a case.
- 19:29Speaker 2: And you know, when I think this range today, we
- 19:31Speaker 2: could see another Brandon sprot type.
- 19:34Speaker 1: You know performance today.
- 19:36Speaker 2: I mean Drohan's capable of it as well. I mean,
- 19:38Speaker 2: this kid's got a pretty good arm too, so uh,
- 19:41Speaker 2: you know, the Reds same kind of situation. Yesterday looked
- 19:45Speaker 2: like shit. But I think Bratt's interesting because he has
- 19:48Speaker 2: to strike out pedigree. Like you said, he was in
- 19:51Speaker 2: the miners pretty good. He wasn't walking any guys, so
- 19:54Speaker 2: he's either striking him out. I didn't get to see
- 19:56Speaker 2: if he's more of a ground ball type lean or
- 19:58Speaker 2: more of a flyball type pitcher, but I mean whatever.
- 20:02Speaker 2: I mean, he's he's four K. It's not like we're
- 20:04Speaker 2: paying sixty five. He's four K and then Drohan two
- 20:08Speaker 2: sixty five. I think that's a great price. Then moving up,
- 20:11Speaker 2: I swear I think one of my favorite pitchers on
- 20:14Speaker 2: the slate is Martin Perez. I think he I mean
- 20:17Speaker 2: his skill set is ground balls right like, he's never
- 20:20Speaker 2: really been a strikeout type pitcher. His strikeouts are up
- 20:24Speaker 2: this year. He's twenty two percent to the left side,
- 20:26Speaker 2: twenty percent to the right side. His walk percentage nine
- 20:29Speaker 2: percent to the right side, and not really happy with that.
- 20:32Speaker 2: His woeba to both sides of the plate are are
- 20:35Speaker 2: under three hundred, which are good to eighty six two
- 20:37Speaker 2: seventy one to the right. Fly ball percentages are low,
- 20:41Speaker 2: but we like his ground ball rates, like fifty five
- 20:43Speaker 2: percent to the left side, forty six percent to the
- 20:46Speaker 2: right side.
- 20:47Speaker 1: You go over here and you look at these.
- 20:49Speaker 2: Padres, man, they're all beating the ball into the ground.
- 20:51Speaker 2: They're almost they may be they may be worse than
- 20:54Speaker 2: the Brewers, Like, I mean forty six percent for Tatise.
- 20:58Speaker 2: If this Taylor guy's in here, he's sixty two, Machado
- 21:00Speaker 2: thirty nine, Andrew har fifty six. You know, Bogart's fifty six,
- 21:05Speaker 2: ty France sixty percent. You know, all these dudes have
- 21:08Speaker 2: extreme high ground ball rates. And it's I mean, Martin
- 21:12Speaker 2: Perez to me, we get a weak hitting team team
- 21:14Speaker 2: hitting in the dirt, and we get a good ground
- 21:16Speaker 2: ball pitcher who's been pitching pretty well at.
- 21:18Speaker 1: His old ass age.
- 21:19Speaker 2: I think he's like almost forty now, Like it seems
- 21:21Speaker 2: like the dude's been around forever.
- 21:23Speaker 1: But uh yeah, I think I think he's definitely in.
- 21:26Speaker 2: Play for me. So you know, it's k prop four
- 21:29Speaker 2: and a half. I don't mind that. I mean, the
- 21:33Speaker 2: Padres aren't projected for four runs. You know, I think,
- 21:36Speaker 2: I think everything lines up for me. So Perez would
- 21:39Speaker 2: be one of the guys I think is my favorite
- 21:41Speaker 2: pitcher to pair up with, like maybe in a manga
- 21:44Speaker 2: or a jump and if you want to pay up
- 21:46Speaker 2: and maybe got some salary left and you want to
- 21:48Speaker 2: jump up to like an Otani or if you want
- 21:51Speaker 2: to mix Otani with Bratt. I mean, at that point,
- 21:53Speaker 2: you're only really paying what fifteen fifteen five for two pitchers.
- 21:58Speaker 2: That's what seventy what seventies cook mass seventy seven five each, Like,
- 22:05Speaker 2: I mean, I don't mind that at all. So I
- 22:08Speaker 2: think there's a couple of different ways you can go
- 22:10Speaker 2: at pitching. Even though with the fourteen guys we have
- 22:13Speaker 2: options for I would I I would cross out probably
- 22:17Speaker 2: more than half of them today for sure. So I
- 22:19Speaker 2: think pitching is a little bit more condensed. I think
- 22:21Speaker 2: there's enough offense we can get different. But I kind
- 22:24Speaker 2: of like the slates when you got a high end
- 22:26Speaker 2: price pitcher needs and then you got that tempting four
- 22:29Speaker 2: K guy down here right like, oh man, I can
- 22:31Speaker 2: do that. So you know, I think, you know, I
- 22:35Speaker 2: think it's in line. I wouldn't go overboard with it.
- 22:37Speaker 2: My favorite too. If you were to, you know, ask me,
- 22:39Speaker 2: I think would be would be jumping Perez. I think
- 22:43Speaker 2: are my two favorite pitchers, and I think that would
- 22:45Speaker 2: be different right off the bet.
- 22:47Speaker 3: Yeah, So I do want to bring up number one
- 22:49Speaker 3: Tyler Maley just because I don't have interest in him personally.
- 22:53Speaker 3: I put him in kind of the same category as
- 22:55Speaker 3: treyy Savage. They're getting ownership because of their price and
- 22:59Speaker 3: the map, right. I just I'm not a Tyler Moley guy.
- 23:03Speaker 3: I what didn't believe it last year, and he did
- 23:06Speaker 3: it the whole season. He hasn't gone back to that.
- 23:10Speaker 3: I'm out on Tyler Maley at sixty seven hundred. When
- 23:13Speaker 3: I can play Drohan for sixty five two hundred dollars
- 23:15Speaker 3: lest he's going to be a fraction of the ownership.
- 23:17Speaker 1: He's still gonna get played. But Tyler Maley was hitting
- 23:20Speaker 1: all of the optos.
- 23:21Speaker 3: It was Y Savage and Maleys is the big combination
- 23:26Speaker 3: of for kind of cash game projections driven forty percent
- 23:29Speaker 3: Malay seventy two percent. You Savage with with Brewers stacks,
- 23:33Speaker 3: he Brewers and Mets right, So for me, I'm out
- 23:37Speaker 3: on him. My Pitcher Pool would be looking like Drohan,
- 23:42Speaker 3: Martine Perez, Imanaga, Gauge, Jump, Otani, and Brat. Those are
- 23:46Speaker 3: kind of the main guys I'm looking at there and
- 23:50Speaker 3: don't even love Otani either at the top end.
- 23:52Speaker 1: And I think you can, like you said, I can.
- 23:54Speaker 3: I think you can get away with the guy like
- 23:56Speaker 3: Drohann in a PREZ combination at sixty five hundred seventy
- 23:59Speaker 3: five hundred. You can do whatever the hell you want
- 24:01Speaker 3: in terms of offense there, and you don't have to
- 24:04Speaker 3: go in and full stack and stay two a five
- 24:07Speaker 3: to three right. You could definitely do like a four
- 24:10Speaker 3: to two two or something and get some too high
- 24:12Speaker 3: power to one offs right or an expensive two man
- 24:16Speaker 3: stack right, something like that. So that's kind of where
- 24:19Speaker 3: I'm looking at from Pitcher And yeah, I agree with you.
- 24:23Speaker 3: I'm crossing off more guys than I'm actually playing here tonight,
- 24:27Speaker 3: and it feels gross leaving all guys like Joe, Ryan
- 24:29Speaker 3: and Otani up at the top. But I think there's
- 24:32Speaker 3: enough downside risk and props would also indicate that. I mean,
- 24:35Speaker 3: Otani's got a six and a half k prop, but
- 24:37Speaker 3: it's heavy juice to the under, which is the same
- 24:39Speaker 3: when you look at it then at five and a
- 24:41Speaker 3: half of a guy like Imanaga at eighty three hundred
- 24:44Speaker 3: and he's eleven to five, right, So just little things
- 24:47Speaker 3: like that I tend to look at when I'm trying
- 24:49Speaker 3: to do a deep dive in the picture.
- 24:50Speaker 2: Here.
- 24:50Speaker 1: Obviously, iman or Otani, excuse me, has the highest ceiling
- 24:54Speaker 1: on the slate. He's the best arm on the slate.
- 24:56Speaker 3: He's up there in the side of young vote and
- 24:57Speaker 3: he's he's a free but he's eleven thousand and five
- 25:00Speaker 3: hundred on a slate where I think we can get
- 25:03Speaker 3: away with with some cheaper arms overall. So that's kind
- 25:06Speaker 3: of how I see it. Let's jump over here and
- 25:10Speaker 3: let me refresh our stone, and we're gonna go ahead
- 25:14Speaker 3: and talk hitting on the slate now. So with so
- 25:18Speaker 3: many guys we're crossing off from pitching standpoint here, offense
- 25:23Speaker 3: is pre solid on the slate. Obviously, the Brewers are
- 25:25Speaker 3: a clear cut stand up, excuse me, offense. But I
- 25:28Speaker 3: think there is a couple different ways you can go
- 25:30Speaker 3: on this slate here. First game on the docket, Blue
- 25:32Speaker 3: Jays and the Astros, Mike Burrows down the Mount, Trey
- 25:35Speaker 3: Savage Y Savage is gonna be the highest one pitcher
- 25:37Speaker 3: on the slate. Definitely cash Game staple. Jordan Alvaz I
- 25:41Speaker 3: think is the elite went off on the slates. He's
- 25:44Speaker 3: the best hitter in baseball this season, really really good.
- 25:47Speaker 3: Obviously the Blue Jays do have a really good bullpen
- 25:50Speaker 3: behind him. You Savage does have potential, So I don't
- 25:52Speaker 3: want to go crazy here stacking. I think we could
- 25:55Speaker 3: just do enough to get off of you Savage. I
- 25:59Speaker 3: think that's enough, but I won't hate picking off. Definitely
- 26:03Speaker 3: Jordon one off I think is really interesting. Leo Alfa,
- 26:06Speaker 3: yelichen your brewer stacks and play Jordon, or leaveoff of
- 26:10Speaker 3: Jackson Cherio, play Jordon instead of him. Something like that,
- 26:14Speaker 3: I think is a really interesting way to build here tonight.
- 26:16Speaker 3: Jordon prides L two v. Paena would be kind of
- 26:19Speaker 3: the main guys I'm looking at there. You Savage has
- 26:22Speaker 3: been walking the ship to the guys this year, giving
- 26:24Speaker 3: up fly balls to the left side, but he really
- 26:27Speaker 3: doesn't allow a ton of power. So talking to me,
- 26:31Speaker 3: how how do you see offense in this one?
- 26:34Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not I'm not interested in really attacking you Savage.
- 26:37Speaker 2: If I I just just wouldn't play him, you know,
- 26:39Speaker 2: I just I'm not gonna double down on it. But uh,
- 26:44Speaker 2: as far as some of these blue Jays go against Burrows,
- 26:50Speaker 2: you know, I think I think I would.
- 26:53Speaker 1: I think I would leave it in my pool.
- 26:54Speaker 2: I mean I don't overly love it. I mean I
- 26:57Speaker 2: think for what we're looking at today in these I
- 27:01Speaker 2: think it's interesting. I mean he hasn't been very good
- 27:04Speaker 2: against lefties at all, so I think Dalton varshow Is
- 27:09Speaker 2: is a really good play here. I mean, as far
- 27:11Speaker 2: as lefties go, he's fifteen percent. He's been walking quite
- 27:14Speaker 2: a few lefties. He's at like an eleven and a
- 27:16Speaker 2: half percent, as Woba's up at four sixteen barrel rates
- 27:19Speaker 2: at eleven and a half percent. So I'm sure Lucas
- 27:23Speaker 2: will be up there pretty high.
- 27:24Speaker 1: In that lineup.
- 27:25Speaker 2: And then var show I think is interesting. And then
- 27:28Speaker 2: I mean even him, and as if we want to
- 27:29Speaker 2: a cheap shortstop and you want to pot you know,
- 27:31Speaker 2: top it off with like a springer or a Guerrero,
- 27:34Speaker 2: I don't mind that at all. I don't mind that stack.
- 27:37Speaker 2: So I think the Blue Jays would be in play.
- 27:39Speaker 2: I don't have him like in my top I do think,
- 27:41Speaker 2: you know, like you mentioned Brewers, and you know a
- 27:43Speaker 2: couple of other teams maybe I have a little higher up,
- 27:45Speaker 2: but Blue Jays for me, for sure would be in
- 27:49Speaker 2: play today against the Astros, which you know, we don't
- 27:52Speaker 2: mind attacking. We don't mind attacking the Astros pitching staff.
- 27:57Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the Blue Jays definitely have a spot
- 27:58Speaker 1: on the slate.
- 28:00Speaker 3: They're gonna be owned, but they're not gonna be near
- 28:02Speaker 3: the ownership a team like the Brewers obviously there. So
- 28:06Speaker 3: I just I typically don't play this Toronto offense very much.
- 28:10Speaker 3: The ballpark's not the best for hitting, but I do
- 28:13Speaker 3: like your call. Luke's is Batton second, I think he
- 28:17Speaker 3: Salid bar show is solid. David Schneider has actually been
- 28:21Speaker 3: hitting right hand and pitching really well, and Burrows does
- 28:24Speaker 3: give up some power to to to right handed hitters too,
- 28:27Speaker 3: along with some fly balls. Schneider's got a three to
- 28:29Speaker 3: eight ice over the last month against right handed pitching,
- 28:31Speaker 3: obviously very limited sample there. Doesn't really strike out either,
- 28:34Speaker 3: puts the ball in play, so I think he could
- 28:36Speaker 3: definitely get their Okamoto at a third base position as well,
- 28:39Speaker 3: which is pretty weak typically night in and night out,
- 28:43Speaker 3: especially with guys like Jay ram on the I L
- 28:45Speaker 3: I know they're not on the slate, but third base
- 28:47Speaker 3: is just overall usually really weak position. We do have
- 28:50Speaker 3: Max Mounsey there tonight and stuff like that, but I
- 28:53Speaker 3: do think the Blue Jays much prefer the Blue Jay
- 28:56Speaker 3: side in terms of stacks. Even though I'm I'm way
- 28:59Speaker 3: Underweighty Savage here, I do think jord On Alvarez is
- 29:02Speaker 3: an elite play on this slate, though, especially going up
- 29:06Speaker 3: against Y Savage, who's gonna be ultimately end up the
- 29:09Speaker 3: highest one hitter on or the pitcher on the slate,
- 29:12Speaker 3: all things considered. Next game here is the second leg
- 29:16Speaker 3: of the double header. Here the Mets and the Cubs.
- 29:18Speaker 3: The Cubs had ten MO runs last time. I looked
- 29:21Speaker 3: on the back of Danthony Swanson. Not sure in terms
- 29:24Speaker 3: of what the lineups are gonna look like for this
- 29:27Speaker 3: match up here. PCA's red hot right now Lefty Lefty
- 29:32Speaker 3: you don't love that, but I do think he's still
- 29:36Speaker 3: a solid play here in terms of Manaya.
- 29:39Speaker 1: You want Righty's.
- 29:40Speaker 3: Against Manaia, he's really good against left He's really really
- 29:43Speaker 3: bad against righty. So Matt SHAWSI is Zuki, Carson, Kelly Swanson.
- 29:47Speaker 3: If those guys are back in there, I think that's
- 29:50Speaker 3: seven eight nine stack.
- 29:52Speaker 1: Swanson might pick up some more ownership.
- 29:55Speaker 3: But I don't really know how many people pay attention
- 29:57Speaker 3: to day baseball and a doubleheader on a Wednesday afternoon
- 30:00Speaker 3: Gee Rising and roster a Danzy Swanson who usually hits seventh, eighth,
- 30:06Speaker 3: or ninth somewhere in that realm. I like the back
- 30:08Speaker 3: half of this Cub stack here, Matt, the Matt Shaw,
- 30:11Speaker 3: the Carson, Kelly, the Swansons of the world. Obviously you
- 30:14Speaker 3: can throw PCA in there too, because Mania is probably
- 30:16Speaker 3: not going to be in there super long he averages
- 30:18Speaker 3: right around sixty pitches or so. I think the Cubs
- 30:21Speaker 3: are are pretty interesting here as well. They got the
- 30:23Speaker 3: sticks rolling. They're still a good offense you talk about
- 30:26Speaker 3: like a hot hitters. Maybe they got the job, maybe
- 30:29Speaker 3: they keep it rolling here. I know people are saying
- 30:31Speaker 3: fatigue in the chat from running all of those bases.
- 30:35Speaker 3: I'm not really worried about that, but I do like
- 30:37Speaker 3: suzutd Shaw, Kelly Swanson for sure, and then PCA's red
- 30:42Speaker 3: hot right now. Talk to me Cubs and the Mets.
- 30:46Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I just fear the Cubs a little bit.
- 30:47Speaker 2: Manaia's actually hasn't been bad. I mean his last like
- 30:50Speaker 2: ninth starts, he hasn't had one that's gone over to
- 30:52Speaker 2: earned runs. And he's been like you said, in the
- 30:55Speaker 2: mid sixty pitch has been his last two pitch starts.
- 30:58Speaker 1: He's gone up in pitches. I was kind of looking
- 31:00Speaker 1: at that.
- 31:00Speaker 2: He he was right in the sixties, like you said,
- 31:03Speaker 2: for like six seven starts in a row. But his
- 31:05Speaker 2: last start in ninety five is start before that he
- 31:08Speaker 2: had eighty four. So maybe he's finally stretched out. They
- 31:11Speaker 2: got him, they feel comfortable with that, and he's been
- 31:14Speaker 2: right around that five inning mark. So with him not
- 31:17Speaker 2: getting all beat up all that much, I am a
- 31:20Speaker 2: little bit concerned about that. We know the Mets bullpen
- 31:24Speaker 2: is actually decent, So you know, I am a little
- 31:28Speaker 2: concerned about the Cubbies, you know, because I I'd rather
- 31:30Speaker 2: see the Cubbies go against the righty than a lefty,
- 31:34Speaker 2: because now I feel like I'm relying on like Bregman,
- 31:37Speaker 2: you know, more, and I just I don't know. It
- 31:40Speaker 2: just kind of bugs me. But I mean, Suzuki's good half.
- 31:44Speaker 2: I don't mind Swanson, as you mentioned, what to see
- 31:47Speaker 2: how this lineup comes out.
- 31:48Speaker 1: But uh yeah, I just I don't.
- 31:50Speaker 2: Really love it all that much, just because man and
- 31:53Speaker 2: I just hasn't been bad. Like he just he's not
- 31:55Speaker 2: been getting hit that hard, not been getting beat up.
- 31:57Speaker 2: So I think that's a concern. You got that bull
- 32:00Speaker 2: coming behind him, as you mentioned, second half of a
- 32:03Speaker 2: double header, you know, and you're just kind of think
- 32:05Speaker 2: in your mind when you see these double headers, if ever,
- 32:07Speaker 2: really feels like you really see two softball games in
- 32:10Speaker 2: a row. It's like one's a softball game and the
- 32:13Speaker 2: next one's like a you know, let's get the hell
- 32:15Speaker 2: out of here, swing at whatever, you know, like kind
- 32:18Speaker 2: of thing. It's like they got to work a double
- 32:20Speaker 2: shift and it work.
- 32:21Speaker 3: You know.
- 32:21Speaker 2: None of us like to do that shit. So yeah,
- 32:24Speaker 2: I am a little concerned about it, but I'd leave
- 32:28Speaker 2: him in play. I think that's just more of a
- 32:29Speaker 2: personal feeling. But just because I don't want to pick
- 32:32Speaker 2: on Manaya. But yeah, I mean I see why somebody
- 32:36Speaker 2: would have him ranked higher. I just I just don't
- 32:38Speaker 2: love it myself.
- 32:40Speaker 3: Yeah, I just think I mean, Carson Kelly's red hot,
- 32:43Speaker 3: right all Swanson's obviously red hot Shaw is super cheap
- 32:46Speaker 3: at a pretty weak position there, So I like more
- 32:49Speaker 3: of the mini stack than a full stack, just because
- 32:52Speaker 3: Manaia is really, really good and really tough on lefties.
- 32:55Speaker 3: He's terrible against righty's. I mean this goes back to
- 32:58Speaker 3: last year and definitely this year. I mean against righty's
- 33:02Speaker 3: this year, nineteen krate one ninety one. Icel doesn't keep
- 33:06Speaker 3: the ball on the ground, get gets barreled up right
- 33:09Speaker 3: around ten percent. So you're looking at guys like Suzuki, Kelly, Shaw, Swanson.
- 33:15Speaker 3: Those guys have a ton of power against left handed pitching,
- 33:17Speaker 3: so that those would be the guys I look at
- 33:20Speaker 3: on the Mets side. Don't really have any interest in Monaga,
- 33:22Speaker 3: one of my favorite pitchers on the slate. If you
- 33:24Speaker 3: wanted to pick off a cheap power guy like Wegman,
- 33:27Speaker 3: if he's in that lineup he wasn't yesterday against lefty.
- 33:30Speaker 3: He might be in there on the second leg of
- 33:31Speaker 3: the back to back Marcus semion Alvarez, something with Viento's
- 33:36Speaker 3: just the guys that hit left He's well, But I
- 33:38Speaker 3: think there's much better spots overall on this slate than
- 33:43Speaker 3: messing with that takes us to the next game. Here,
- 33:46Speaker 3: Brewers and the Reds deja vu do it again. They're
- 33:51Speaker 3: gonna have more ownership than they had the last two
- 33:54Speaker 3: nights because there's no Coors Field on the slate. Brewers
- 33:58Speaker 3: highest applied run total on the slates. Really really good matchup.
- 34:01Speaker 3: They got a right hander who's not good against left lefties.
- 34:04Speaker 3: The Brewers have one of the better lineups out there
- 34:07Speaker 3: with Yelli's Cherio teren Contrere's Bowers back in there, Mitchell
- 34:11Speaker 3: Freelik Pratt, and then my guy Hamilton, who's the dfschi
- 34:15Speaker 3: code at the back half there. Brewers, I mean not
- 34:19Speaker 3: much more to say. I don't want to slobber on
- 34:20Speaker 3: him again because they shit the bed. They scored negative
- 34:23Speaker 3: negative fancy points.
- 34:24Speaker 1: It felt like the.
- 34:25Speaker 3: Last two nights at least that's what my lineups look
- 34:28Speaker 3: like at the bottom of the leaderboards.
- 34:31Speaker 1: Talk to me here, though.
- 34:32Speaker 3: Louder is absolutely horrendous against lefties. He's not the best
- 34:36Speaker 3: against righty's, but he's atrocious. He's got a higher walk rate,
- 34:40Speaker 3: damn near than a strikeout rate to the left side.
- 34:42Speaker 3: Gives up a ton of power, a ton of barrels.
- 34:44Speaker 3: We know the Brewers are really really good against right
- 34:46Speaker 3: hand pitching. And then talk about that bullpen. The Reds
- 34:49Speaker 3: bullpen did get better when they got it brought in
- 34:53Speaker 3: Julian Garcia. They called him up or not Garcia, who's
- 34:57Speaker 3: the guy who started yesterday. None the less, they used
- 35:01Speaker 3: two arms yesterday that aren't going to be available. They
- 35:03Speaker 3: threw thirty five and thirty four pitches, and then the
- 35:05Speaker 3: back half of that bullpen.
- 35:06Speaker 1: We know is horrendous.
- 35:08Speaker 3: Right, So if the Brewers can't do it today, they're
- 35:10Speaker 3: not going to ever do it. It feels like they are
- 35:13Speaker 3: gonna be owned as such, They're gonna be the most
- 35:14Speaker 3: popular stack on the slate.
- 35:16Speaker 1: There's definitely merit to fading them.
- 35:17Speaker 3: I've personally been damn near all in on them the
- 35:20Speaker 3: last two nights, so it's hard for me to jump off.
- 35:22Speaker 3: But there is clear cut downside here because they're not
- 35:25Speaker 3: hitting right now and they're gonna be the most popular
- 35:27Speaker 3: stack on the slate. So don't need me to really
- 35:30Speaker 3: tell you that or anybody. Everybody across the industry is
- 35:33Speaker 3: going to say the Brewers are the best overall stack
- 35:35Speaker 3: on the slate. Your argument is ownership here. Talk to
- 35:39Speaker 3: me in this one in Great America's small park here,
- 35:41Speaker 3: temperatures right around eighty degrees, some slight wind blown out, and.
- 35:46Speaker 2: Like I said, you want to go back to the Brewers.
- 35:47Speaker 2: That's like getting your ass kicked a couple of slates
- 35:50Speaker 2: and blackjack and saying, ah, go out and do it again,
- 35:52Speaker 2: and he pulls some more money out. Sometimes it works.
- 35:56Speaker 2: Most times it doesn't seem to work. But like you said,
- 35:59Speaker 2: Louder has been real bad. I mean we can laugh
- 36:02Speaker 2: about the strikeout rate only being zero point seven points
- 36:05Speaker 2: higher than his walk rate to lefties, which is just horrendous.
- 36:09Speaker 2: I mean, almost a fifteen percent barrow rate. We always
- 36:12Speaker 2: we've talked about it all season, you know, like we
- 36:15Speaker 2: like the Brewers against the writing, especially a guy who's
- 36:17Speaker 2: a fly ball pitcher. This dude's at thirty seven percent
- 36:20Speaker 2: fly ball rate the lefties. I mean, he's getting buriled up,
- 36:23Speaker 2: Like we said, almost fifteen percent. So definitely definitely interested
- 36:28Speaker 2: in some Brewers. But then you think, man, they've kind
- 36:31Speaker 2: of got me twice here. They're gonna be a little
- 36:33Speaker 2: bit more chalky. Now, I will say I'm FanDuel. I
- 36:37Speaker 2: see here that James here was asking about the Phillies
- 36:43Speaker 2: stack with the Brewers. I gotta assume that's on FanDuel
- 36:45Speaker 2: because the Phillies are not on DK. But I'll tell
- 36:48Speaker 2: you on FanDuel I have the Brewers third. I think
- 36:52Speaker 2: I like the Phillies and Nationals better than I do
- 36:56Speaker 2: the Brewers. So me being over on FanDuel tonight, those
- 36:59Speaker 2: are kind of some teams I'm focusing on a little
- 37:01Speaker 2: bit more than the Brewers.
- 37:03Speaker 1: But on DK, I can see it. To me.
- 37:06Speaker 2: On DK, they'd be probably my favorite stack here today.
- 37:09Speaker 2: But just because of some of the ownership, you know,
- 37:11Speaker 2: the way they've been looking here in recent times, you know.
- 37:15Speaker 2: I mean that could be reason enough if I got
- 37:18Speaker 2: three teams. Instead of them being on maybe two of
- 37:20Speaker 2: the three of my teams, maybe they're only on one,
- 37:22Speaker 2: you know. But all I'm saying is I do am
- 37:25Speaker 2: a little bit more concerned with the way the recent times.
- 37:28Speaker 1: I do put more into that probably than most. I do.
- 37:31Speaker 2: Like playing hitters that are hot, you know, just so
- 37:34Speaker 2: forth recncy bias four or five games that does play
- 37:37Speaker 2: in for me. You never know what's going on upstairs,
- 37:39Speaker 2: and a dude's head, a computer optimizer doesn't know that, right,
- 37:42Speaker 2: So I just kind of always believe.
- 37:44Speaker 1: In that over the year.
- 37:46Speaker 2: But I see he says his stacks for the turbo
- 37:48Speaker 2: slate on there. But yeah, I mean that's what I
- 37:52Speaker 2: would do, James, is stack up you know, maybe the Gnats.
- 37:56Speaker 2: If you Brewers you can keep in there. I mean
- 37:58Speaker 2: I don't mind that at all. I think it's a
- 37:59Speaker 2: good way to go. But yeah, I mean I don't
- 38:02Speaker 2: want any reds. I'm not interested in picking on the kid.
- 38:05Speaker 2: I actually like Drohand a little bit more. But yeah,
- 38:09Speaker 2: I mean Brewers are in there for sure. Everything lines
- 38:11Speaker 2: up for us to like the Brewers. So except when
- 38:14Speaker 2: Nads and I both like him, it seems like it's,
- 38:16Speaker 2: you know, shits to bed whenever I give Nate shit
- 38:19Speaker 2: for the Brewers and I say I don't like it.
- 38:22Speaker 2: That's probably some of the time. It seems like I've
- 38:24Speaker 2: been working out a little bit. But I mean I'm
- 38:26Speaker 2: consistent with it. I don't like him against the ground
- 38:28Speaker 2: ball pitcher, and I don't like him against the lefty,
- 38:31Speaker 2: but I do like him against the righty, and I
- 38:33Speaker 2: really like him against al righty. That's a fly ball pitcher.
- 38:36Speaker 2: And that's what we got today, Nates.
- 38:39Speaker 3: Yeah, that's what we got today, I will say, I
- 38:41Speaker 3: will say there is a little bit more interest. I
- 38:45Speaker 3: think you could actually gamestack this one up here, just
- 38:47Speaker 3: the way the offense shakes up here tonight.
- 38:50Speaker 1: I do like Drohand quite a bit as well.
- 38:51Speaker 3: He's a good pitcher, keeps the ball on the ground,
- 38:54Speaker 3: got a good bullpen behind him, but it is a
- 38:56Speaker 3: pretty tax bullpen. Urebi is also serving his suspension here
- 38:59Speaker 3: tonight for the Brewers, so that's one of the better
- 39:02Speaker 3: arms obviously at the back half of that lot at
- 39:05Speaker 3: that pen. But I don't think he was going to
- 39:07Speaker 3: pitch or be available here tonight anyways. That's probably why
- 39:10Speaker 3: they said, hey, yeah, we'll serve his suspension here tonight.
- 39:13Speaker 1: He throw in the last two days.
- 39:14Speaker 3: He's not gonna throw today anyways.
- 39:18Speaker 1: He's thrown three of the last four days.
- 39:21Speaker 3: So you you are going to get probably some lesser
- 39:24Speaker 3: arms coming out of that pen, especially after they won
- 39:26Speaker 3: the first two games of the series. I don't really
- 39:29Speaker 3: think it's gonna matter too much because they should have
- 39:31Speaker 3: some run sports so that does help the case though
- 39:34Speaker 3: on the red side, because you're not going to see
- 39:36Speaker 3: the best arms. I don't expect this to be a
- 39:38Speaker 3: super close game. At least I hope not. And if
- 39:41Speaker 3: it's a close game, your your stacks are dead anyways. Right,
- 39:43Speaker 3: So guys like nov Marte who has a shit ton
- 39:46Speaker 3: of power against Rightdy Spencer Steer a ton of power,
- 39:49Speaker 3: Matt McClain, who's been really, really good over the last month.
- 39:52Speaker 3: He kno Sworez at third base against hel Stewart. I
- 39:55Speaker 3: don't really like Ellie hitting from the right side a ton,
- 39:58Speaker 3: but obviously he's not going to hit from the right
- 39:59Speaker 3: side probably the whole.
- 40:00Speaker 1: Duration the entire game he's back.
- 40:04Speaker 3: So I do think the Reds are pretty interesting as well,
- 40:06Speaker 3: and I think you can gamestack this up. A lot
- 40:08Speaker 3: of people game stacked yesterday. I think you can go
- 40:10Speaker 3: right back to the well here. But I much prefer
- 40:13Speaker 3: the Brewers side, as does everyone. I didn't want to
- 40:15Speaker 3: call out a couple of those Reds guys, though, because
- 40:17Speaker 3: I think there are pretty interesting and Drohan.
- 40:20Speaker 1: Is not going to be unowned on this slate either,
- 40:22Speaker 1: so you do have that.
- 40:23Speaker 3: And talked about the bullpen being pretty taxed overall for
- 40:26Speaker 3: the Brewers and one guy being being unavailable. Next bout
- 40:32Speaker 3: on the slate Dodgers and the Twins. We don't know
- 40:34Speaker 3: if Otani's gonna be in there hitting. We have him
- 40:37Speaker 3: projected in there, I haven't seen an updated report, so
- 40:42Speaker 3: there it is Otani's bat leadoff. So Otani is in there,
- 40:46Speaker 3: Pa Haz Freeman, Betts, Monthsy call Ward, Rushing Freeland. So
- 40:50Speaker 3: you do get those strikeout guys at the back half there,
- 40:53Speaker 3: but you still have Otani, Freeman, those guys up to
- 40:57Speaker 3: the top, So no Tommy Edmund in there. Overall, Dodgers
- 41:04Speaker 3: look like a pretty good stack here to me as
- 41:06Speaker 3: a contrarian option, just because I don't think outside of
- 41:10Speaker 3: the Brewers, there's really not a ton of high powered
- 41:14Speaker 3: offenses here that are in.
- 41:16Speaker 1: What feels like can't miss spots.
- 41:18Speaker 3: So I think you could attack a guy like Joe Ryan,
- 41:21Speaker 3: who does struggle with some lefty power. He is one
- 41:24Speaker 3: of the better arms on the slates, So there is downside.
- 41:27Speaker 3: But you do have that Twins bullpen, which we know
- 41:29Speaker 3: is not good behind Joe Ryan. If Otani, Freeman, these
- 41:32Speaker 3: guys can get him out of the game, you could
- 41:35Speaker 3: see some late inning success and that's enough to win
- 41:37Speaker 3: a slate where I expect it to be more lower
- 41:41Speaker 3: scoring than than we've seen with no course field on slate.
- 41:45Speaker 1: Talk to me, how do you see the Dodgers and
- 41:47Speaker 1: the Twins here?
- 41:49Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not playing I'm not playing any I'm not
- 41:53Speaker 2: gonna play any Twins against show Hey, that's for sure.
- 41:56Speaker 2: I'm not even thinking about that one. But I mean,
- 41:59Speaker 2: if you wanted to go against Ryan, I mean you
- 42:01Speaker 2: could do that. I mean, it is one of the
- 42:03Speaker 2: better hitting teams. It just sucks you can't have sho
- 42:05Speaker 2: Hey as a hitter to put into your stacks, so
- 42:07Speaker 2: you're kind of taking out, like, you know, the best
- 42:11Speaker 2: the best part of it actually, which isn't all that great.
- 42:15Speaker 1: But I mean you could use him as little minis.
- 42:17Speaker 2: I don't mind if he wanted to do that, like
- 42:20Speaker 2: a three stack mini stack. I don't mind that at all.
- 42:24Speaker 2: But uh, you know, I think there's other stacks here.
- 42:27Speaker 2: I like today, it just doesn't seem like the day
- 42:29Speaker 2: to uh to be picking on Joe Ryan. I mean
- 42:32Speaker 2: he has been getting buriled up though, I mean left,
- 42:34Speaker 2: he's been getting at him. He's at a twelve percent
- 42:36Speaker 2: burrow rate so far this year. His flyball rate is
- 42:39Speaker 2: uh is higher too, so in the thirty percent.
- 42:42Speaker 1: So I mean they could get to them.
- 42:43Speaker 2: They could hit some homers off of them, don't get
- 42:45Speaker 2: me wrong. I mean on the other side, you know,
- 42:48Speaker 2: as I mentioned when I was talking about playing, I mean,
- 42:50Speaker 2: he's just got some strikeout offside, and that upside at
- 42:52Speaker 2: the back of that at the back of that lineup
- 42:55Speaker 2: definitely has some strikeouts in it. And you know, I
- 42:58Speaker 2: think I usually like two good picks when they're dueling
- 43:01Speaker 2: each other, usually they feed off each other, and I
- 43:04Speaker 2: think you're gonna see that here tonight. So I think
- 43:07Speaker 2: I'm kind of out on the offenses on both sides.
- 43:09Speaker 2: But I mean, I think these two guys here, I mean,
- 43:13Speaker 2: I don't know what the over under is in the
- 43:15Speaker 2: first you know, five innings, but you know, if it's
- 43:18Speaker 2: if it's you know, four and a half something like that,
- 43:22Speaker 2: because what's the game totals in eight, So I'm gonna guess.
- 43:25Speaker 1: It's probably four and a half. Needs.
- 43:26Speaker 2: I mean, I think that's a decent bet we asked you.
- 43:30Speaker 3: Yeah, I will say there is a double digit wind
- 43:34Speaker 3: blown out here, and it is mid to upper seventy,
- 43:37Speaker 3: so it is gonna play above average more so than
- 43:40Speaker 3: it normally does in target field here tonight. And Joe
- 43:43Speaker 3: Ryan is a flyball guy, so Freeman Ward. I know
- 43:46Speaker 3: Ward either strikes out or probably has the potential to
- 43:49Speaker 3: hit for some power and hit a home run. So
- 43:51Speaker 3: Freeman Ward, Monthly, Rushing and even Freeland for that matter,
- 43:56Speaker 3: I think are interesting, but really Rushing Monthsy Ward and
- 43:59Speaker 3: Freddie Freeman, and I'm looking at those lefty power bats there.
- 44:04Speaker 3: Probably better as a mini stack, like you said, two
- 44:06Speaker 3: or three man stack, but I think in like a
- 44:08Speaker 3: four to three build something like that, going those four
- 44:10Speaker 3: lefties for the Dodgers there, even in throwing a guy
- 44:14Speaker 3: like Mookie Bets who's been better and putting balls in play.
- 44:18Speaker 3: So yeah, I definitely have more interest in the Dodgers
- 44:20Speaker 3: it because this is gonna play above average. It's the
- 44:22Speaker 3: second best hitting environment on the slate behind Great American
- 44:25Speaker 3: Small Park, and you got wind blown out against a
- 44:27Speaker 3: fly ball guy in Joe Ryan here, So yeah, I
- 44:31Speaker 3: have interest in a low owned Dodgers on a seven
- 44:33Speaker 3: game slate, which is the best offensive baseball and a
- 44:37Speaker 3: bad bullpen behind a good pitcher, but he's not bulletproof either,
- 44:41Speaker 3: and he ranks pretty low in our pitcher rankings overall.
- 44:44Speaker 1: So all things point to me.
- 44:45Speaker 3: On the Dodgers side not messing with any Twins hitters
- 44:47Speaker 3: either against Otani next Bot, Cardinals, d Backs Mitch Brett
- 44:53Speaker 3: on the mound.
- 44:54Speaker 1: Cardinals are gonna go with Libertare I believe or not? No?
- 44:59Speaker 3: Excuse me me, Yeah, yeah, Libertore Liberator has not been
- 45:05Speaker 3: good this season. I think the the d Backs are
- 45:10Speaker 3: are really interesting here the issues. They've just been so
- 45:12Speaker 3: bad in terms of power. They don't strike out though
- 45:16Speaker 3: against left handed pitching. Kenl Marte, I think is one
- 45:19Speaker 3: of the better players in the slate. You got a
- 45:20Speaker 3: cheap guy in Tommy Troy with a ton of power
- 45:22Speaker 3: against lefties, and then Cormyn Carroll even hits lefties really well.
- 45:26Speaker 3: Those three guys in particular, I think are interesting. Gabrian
- 45:29Speaker 3: Moreno hits left He's usually pretty solid overall as well,
- 45:33Speaker 3: and then so does Vargas too. I think the d
- 45:36Speaker 3: Backs are up there on my list in my rankings here.
- 45:39Speaker 3: Cardinals bullpen not good behind Liberator. Liberator up and down.
- 45:44Speaker 3: He's not been good though overall on the season. Yeah,
- 45:47Speaker 3: he's got some strikeouts to the left side, but against
- 45:49Speaker 3: righty's he's not good. Gives up a lot of power
- 45:51Speaker 3: at both sides. I think The d Backs are pretty
- 45:53Speaker 3: interesting here. Overall, Cardinals side a little bit of an unknown,
- 45:57Speaker 3: but you're not gonna see Bratt probably more than sixty
- 46:02Speaker 3: five to seventy pitches at absolute most, obviously only three
- 46:05Speaker 3: in the forties his first start off the al There.
- 46:07Speaker 3: He does have a strikeout potential, it doesn't really walk,
- 46:10Speaker 3: doesn't go crazy. Dbacks do have a solid bullpen behind him,
- 46:13Speaker 3: So don't love the Cardinals overall, but Newt bar Herrera
- 46:18Speaker 3: Weatherholt's been red hots. Those are kind of the guys
- 46:21Speaker 3: you're looking at. It'd be better if Burlissen was in
- 46:23Speaker 3: this lineup.
- 46:24Speaker 1: He's not in there. That does help the reasoning for
- 46:26Speaker 1: a guy like Mitch Bratt. Talk to me in this one.
- 46:28Speaker 1: It's more Dbacks interest for me. How do you see it?
- 46:32Speaker 2: I agree with you with the d Backs.
- 46:34Speaker 1: Shit.
- 46:34Speaker 2: D Backs are top three team in all of MLB
- 46:37Speaker 2: and ops against left handed pitching, So yeah, yeah, I mean,
- 46:41Speaker 2: I think and you mentioned Liberator has not been very good,
- 46:44Speaker 2: so I think he's definitely some guy that we want
- 46:48Speaker 2: to attack tonight. I mean, last time our Liberator gave
- 46:51Speaker 2: up what five eurned runs He's give up four to
- 46:53Speaker 2: the time before that.
- 46:54Speaker 1: Three before that.
- 46:55Speaker 2: I mean he's given up five homers his last handful
- 46:58Speaker 2: of starts, So yeah, I mean the d Backs for
- 47:01Speaker 2: me are definitely I put the d Backs pretty much
- 47:03Speaker 2: in the same bucket as the Blue Jays, like I
- 47:05Speaker 2: got them up there. So d Backs for me are
- 47:08Speaker 2: definitely in play. I really like them. Actually, I think
- 47:13Speaker 2: Arnando is another guy you can play. Always hit them well,
- 47:16Speaker 2: Troy's a cheap I'll feel that you could add, you
- 47:19Speaker 2: know what, Marte can hit Perdermo. I think I think
- 47:23Speaker 2: all of them are are in play today. Maybe I
- 47:26Speaker 2: would Gurryal just hasn't been doing nothing. I just think
- 47:29Speaker 2: he's kind of been taking up space and oxygen. He's
- 47:32Speaker 2: just the guy that I'm not really overly whelmed to
- 47:35Speaker 2: click his name and know he's cheap at shit, but
- 47:37Speaker 2: I can't. I can't do it, so I'm not going there.
- 47:40Speaker 2: And as far as the Saint Louis batters, I mean,
- 47:43Speaker 2: you know, I mean, dude, we got a four K guy, right,
- 47:47Speaker 2: we don't really know what we're getting. It's his first start.
- 47:49Speaker 2: He could be shitting his pants going out in the hill.
- 47:51Speaker 2: We've seen some of the best pitchers in baseball come
- 47:53Speaker 2: out and not do well in their first hand full
- 47:56Speaker 2: of starts. I mean it's it's very I'm sure it's
- 47:59Speaker 2: very nerve wracking being out in that mound all alone,
- 48:01Speaker 2: everybody staring at you, you know, trying to get that
- 48:04Speaker 2: ball over the plate, so you never know.
- 48:07Speaker 1: I mean, it's definitely in play.
- 48:08Speaker 2: I mean, I think that's kind of a thing like
- 48:10Speaker 2: maybe if you've got twenty teams and you play a
- 48:12Speaker 2: couple of brats, well maybe you have a Cardinals or two.
- 48:16Speaker 1: So I don't mind that.
- 48:18Speaker 2: I just don't have it all high ranked up, especially
- 48:20Speaker 2: on FANDO for me, so I'm not interested in that.
- 48:24Speaker 1: But d backs for me, I definitely like.
- 48:27Speaker 3: Yeah, the guys I look at for the Cardinals. I
- 48:29Speaker 3: do think the Cardinals have a place on the slate
- 48:30Speaker 3: just because they've been a good offense. It's a rookie
- 48:32Speaker 3: making his debut in the majors. Things can go south.
- 48:36Speaker 3: I just don't love then playing the platoon and matchups
- 48:41Speaker 3: from the bullpen aspect where it is a solid bullpen,
- 48:44Speaker 3: but Velasquez hits left as well, Walker Herrera, Blase Jordan,
- 48:49Speaker 3: you do have guys in here who you can definitely play.
- 48:52Speaker 3: And then Weatherhold obviously doesn't strike out ever, so hill
- 48:55Speaker 3: foot balls and balls in play there, So yeah, I
- 48:58Speaker 3: get the I get the For the Cardinals, I much
- 49:01Speaker 3: prefer the Dbacks though. Overall, last two games on the slate,
- 49:05Speaker 3: we have the Braves going into San Diego. JP Sears,
- 49:07Speaker 3: a flyball guy. Braves kind of interesting. Don't love them
- 49:10Speaker 3: usually against lefties though, because their best hitters at the
- 49:12Speaker 3: top half do hit from the left side, and Noah
- 49:15Speaker 3: Kunya in that lineup does hurt against lefties. Even a
- 49:18Speaker 3: guy like JP Sears probably not enough to play a
- 49:21Speaker 3: guy like JP Siars that's seventy three hundred when you
- 49:23Speaker 3: have Martin Perez on the other side there seventy five hundred.
- 49:26Speaker 1: We have cheaper guys like a Drohan and.
- 49:28Speaker 3: Then a four K pitcher, so JP Sears probably doesn't
- 49:31Speaker 3: make the cut for a good reason. From a pitching standpoint,
- 49:36Speaker 3: I don't love this game from offense on either side, though,
- 49:39Speaker 3: Martin Perez one of my favorite, if not my favorite,
- 49:41Speaker 3: overall pitcher on the slate points per dollar adjusted there,
- 49:45Speaker 3: How do you see this game though?
- 49:46Speaker 1: Offense Atlanta and San Diego.
- 49:49Speaker 2: Man, I really want to like picking on JP Seris here,
- 49:53Speaker 2: but hey, I hate the bullpen behind it.
- 49:55Speaker 1: It's scary.
- 49:56Speaker 2: B I don't really care for the park. And see,
- 49:59Speaker 2: I mean, if we got the Braves in our lineup,
- 50:01Speaker 2: so obviously we want to see a righty. But Sears
- 50:03Speaker 2: has been shit, man like, he has not been good.
- 50:06Speaker 2: So I'm you know, as you said, more of a
- 50:10Speaker 2: fly ball pitcher gets barreled up, you know. So but
- 50:14Speaker 2: when you look at the righties, you would want I
- 50:16Speaker 2: mean Dubon, you know, I'm okay with that. I mean,
- 50:20Speaker 2: Riley hasn't really really been doing good. And then you know,
- 50:23Speaker 2: you're you're looking at some pin hit risk and Eli
- 50:25Speaker 2: white mateo down there at the bottom. I mean when
- 50:27Speaker 2: I when I'm not gonna play like Baldwin or you know,
- 50:31Speaker 2: Harris Olson at the top of that lineup where most
- 50:34Speaker 2: of their power is. It just I feel like I'm
- 50:36Speaker 2: taking out like half of the you know, I'm dropping
- 50:38Speaker 2: my eight cylinder down to a four cylinder nave. That's
- 50:40Speaker 2: what I kind of feel like, you know. I mean,
- 50:42Speaker 2: you get you there, but I may not get you
- 50:44Speaker 2: there quick. So I mean, I just don't know. I
- 50:46Speaker 2: think I leave the Braves in Maybe I just I
- 50:50Speaker 2: don't love it. I think they're in play. They got
- 50:52Speaker 2: a place, but like I said, they got a couple
- 50:54Speaker 2: of flags up near for me the park, the bullpen,
- 50:57Speaker 2: and I really don't like that much of the power
- 50:59Speaker 2: they have on the right side. But I think they
- 51:00Speaker 2: can get the sears. The question is are they gonna
- 51:03Speaker 2: get them twice through the lineup if they're lucky. I mean,
- 51:06Speaker 2: he may only go one and a half times through
- 51:07Speaker 2: the lineup. They might just yank his ass right out.
- 51:11Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 51:11Speaker 3: Actually, now looking at it, I do think the Braves
- 51:13Speaker 3: are more interesting than that originally thought. Because Kyle Heart
- 51:17Speaker 3: threw forty five pitches yesterday, Matsui through thirty five yesterday,
- 51:21Speaker 3: fifty two in the last three, fifty six for Hart
- 51:23Speaker 3: in the last three. Mason Miller threw twenty two yesterday,
- 51:26Speaker 3: twenty on Monday. He's got forty two pitches in the
- 51:28Speaker 3: last three days. All three of those guys are unavailable.
- 51:31Speaker 3: Peralta opened the game yesterday with thirteen pitches. Usually he
- 51:34Speaker 3: doesn't go back to back because they like to use
- 51:36Speaker 3: him as an opener, so I don't know if he's available.
- 51:38Speaker 3: And then you got the guys at the back half
- 51:40Speaker 3: where so it is. It is a very, very very
- 51:44Speaker 3: taxed bullpen. I know they're still good against arguably probably
- 51:49Speaker 3: one of the worst starting pitchers on the slate, just
- 51:52Speaker 3: with his the recent form we seen last year.
- 51:55Speaker 1: I mean, you look at this year.
- 51:56Speaker 3: We haven't seen him yet this season, but last year
- 51:58Speaker 3: two forty ice in the both sides of PLA almost
- 52:00Speaker 3: a forty percent fly ball rate getting barreled up by
- 52:03Speaker 3: both sides. So guys like Eli White, Ozzy Albie's who
- 52:07Speaker 3: murders left handed pitching. Matt Olsen is not quite jord
- 52:11Speaker 3: On lefty lefty, but he hits lefties very very well.
- 52:14Speaker 3: It doesn't strike out. Mateo has stolen based upside and
- 52:18Speaker 3: can hit for some power against lefties. Dubond's been red hot,
- 52:22Speaker 3: Michael Harris even hit left. He's pretty good over the
- 52:24Speaker 3: last month. I do have a lot more interest actually
- 52:27Speaker 3: looking at it in the Braves than I originally did,
- 52:29Speaker 3: just because it's the way the slate shit shakes up and.
- 52:32Speaker 1: How tax that bullpen is.
- 52:35Speaker 3: But the ballpark it also sucks, so there's kind of
- 52:39Speaker 3: I don't know, I can see it a path where
- 52:42Speaker 3: the Braves could be the heist. I mean, if they
- 52:45Speaker 3: go out there and score you seven runs, that might
- 52:47Speaker 3: be enough on the slate because we already talked about
- 52:50Speaker 3: the Brewers chalk is pretty fragile just based on how
- 52:54Speaker 3: they've been hitting. Obviously on paper, it's the best spot
- 52:57Speaker 3: on paper overall, but just because of the best pot
- 52:59Speaker 3: in pay. But doesn't mean it's gonna come to fruition
- 53:01Speaker 3: at the end of the night and we're playing top
- 53:03Speaker 3: heavy large field tournaments. I do think the Braves are
- 53:06Speaker 3: a little bit more intriguing just because how tax that
- 53:09Speaker 3: bullpen is when they used I mean, the Padres used
- 53:13Speaker 3: six arms yesterday in that game.
- 53:16Speaker 2: The other things, I just noticed that game's at eight forty,
- 53:20Speaker 2: so that's really a five forty start, So that's an
- 53:23Speaker 2: hour earlier. And I don't mind the Padres stadium in
- 53:26Speaker 2: day games like that. It's way better in the day.
- 53:29Speaker 2: But I said it before I got left at that
- 53:31Speaker 2: marine layer comes in off the ocean and it makes
- 53:34Speaker 2: the air heavier, the ball don't fly as much, especially
- 53:38Speaker 2: you know when when the sun start dropping. I mean,
- 53:40Speaker 2: so they're gonna get an hour extra of daytime baseball,
- 53:44Speaker 2: So I think that really does kind of factor into
- 53:46Speaker 2: I'll be I like playing on FanDuel. I have the
- 53:49Speaker 2: Braves further down the list, I have them bumped up
- 53:51Speaker 2: a little higher on DK, but I mean, especially as
- 53:55Speaker 2: we kind of talk through it here. But I think
- 53:57Speaker 2: it's interesting and I think that does or that extra
- 54:01Speaker 2: hour that you're gonna get there in San Diego, I
- 54:03Speaker 2: think that's that's a bigger deal than we we actually
- 54:05Speaker 2: might be putting into it.
- 54:08Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean just because they I mean Cannon left
- 54:10Speaker 3: that game as what second ending yesterday, so they had
- 54:12Speaker 3: to literally rely on their bullpen to get them through
- 54:15Speaker 3: seven innings of baseball against one of the better offenses
- 54:18Speaker 3: on paper and facing these guys, right, So I think
- 54:22Speaker 3: the Braves are the more I talk myself into it,
- 54:24Speaker 3: it's probably the wrong thing to do, but after really
- 54:28Speaker 3: diving in looking at it, the point you bring up
- 54:30Speaker 3: with being an hour earlier than normal because it's the
- 54:32Speaker 3: Wednesday or the Wednesday slate of games right where normally
- 54:37Speaker 3: it's more day baseball that the nighttime. To give these
- 54:40Speaker 3: guys a rest for the Thursday to then go into
- 54:43Speaker 3: their weekend series Friday, Saturday, Sunday. I do have a
- 54:46Speaker 3: lot more interest than I originally planned in the Braves here,
- 54:49Speaker 3: and I think they're they're they're kind of probably obviously
- 54:54Speaker 3: have the Brewers up there.
- 54:55Speaker 1: I have the d Backs up there, Blue Jays. The
- 54:59Speaker 1: Braves are kind of but pretty.
- 55:01Speaker 3: Close there with with teams like the Dodgers for me,
- 55:06Speaker 3: and the Dodgers are facing a much better starting pitcher.
- 55:08Speaker 3: So yeah, Braves are probably fourth or fifth on my
- 55:11Speaker 3: list here tonight, actually looking at it.
- 55:14Speaker 1: Last spot on the slate.
- 55:15Speaker 3: Here we head out to San fran Tyler Maley gonna
- 55:19Speaker 3: be popular just because of his price and the projection.
- 55:23Speaker 3: I don't think this dude's been good. He's been absolutely
- 55:27Speaker 3: atrocious over the last month, for for sure. I know
- 55:30Speaker 3: that for certain fifteen p k rate, fifteen percent walk rate,
- 55:35Speaker 3: that's only twenty plate appearances. You can't really take much
- 55:38Speaker 3: of that. But you look at the current season below
- 55:41Speaker 3: average k rate, arm with some power, some fly balls
- 55:44Speaker 3: to the left side, Nick Kurtz, Solderstrum, Courts, has Butler,
- 55:50Speaker 3: some of these lefties.
- 55:51Speaker 1: I think you can pick off here.
- 55:52Speaker 3: And we know the ballpark sucks, So I don't love
- 55:55Speaker 3: going in on a full stack on the A's who
- 55:58Speaker 3: have not been that that great either. I do think
- 56:02Speaker 3: on this kind of slate though, I have them behind
- 56:04Speaker 3: teams like the Dodgers and the Braves. I'm probably even
- 56:07Speaker 3: the Reds, but I do think you can pick off
- 56:08Speaker 3: some guys, definitely a Nick Kurtz and A Solderstrom.
- 56:10Speaker 1: Those two guys in particular talk to me to round
- 56:13Speaker 1: with the slate.
- 56:14Speaker 2: I don't mind that. I don't mind the A's. I'd
- 56:17Speaker 2: put them behind the d Backs. I wouldn't put him.
- 56:19Speaker 2: I think that I'd like the d Backs into Blue
- 56:21Speaker 2: Jays a little more. But I think the A's are
- 56:23Speaker 2: in a decent spot. Miley sucks. As you said, I
- 56:26Speaker 2: hate the park. I just I it's hard for me
- 56:29Speaker 2: to stack up stuff any kind of line up in
- 56:31Speaker 2: San Francisco.
- 56:33Speaker 1: It's just it's just.
- 56:34Speaker 2: Does not generally work out. But I mean Miley, as
- 56:38Speaker 2: you mentioned, he's just been got awful thirteen percent walk
- 56:41Speaker 2: rate to right e's. We know the we know the lefties.
- 56:44Speaker 2: He's got a thirty seven percent fly ball rate. That's
- 56:47Speaker 2: not good. Is woolbud to the right sidees for eleven.
- 56:51Speaker 2: I mean he's been getting he've been getting beat around
- 56:53Speaker 2: a little bit.
- 56:54Speaker 3: Uh.
- 56:54Speaker 1: The A's have been good.
- 56:55Speaker 2: I mean they got some fly ball hitters. Langlars get
- 56:58Speaker 2: the ball up near Geelov Kurtz twenty five percent, solder
- 57:00Speaker 2: Stum almost twenty seven percent. So I think the top
- 57:04Speaker 2: of that lineup can get the ball up in the air.
- 57:06Speaker 2: I think it's interesting play. I think that one is
- 57:09Speaker 2: more you know, like I said, I got them a
- 57:11Speaker 2: little bit more ranked down the list. If I had
- 57:14Speaker 2: twenty teams, I probably include and have maybe one or
- 57:16Speaker 2: two break or A stacks. But uh, I mean, if
- 57:20Speaker 2: it wasn't the other park the other way around, I'll
- 57:23Speaker 2: tell you I'd probably have the A's in my top
- 57:26Speaker 2: two or three stacks today, be truthful. So just because
- 57:30Speaker 2: of the park, I just bump them way down. But
- 57:32Speaker 2: I mean, if we're in we're in Sacramento, I'm talking
- 57:35Speaker 2: about the A's and how good this is gonna be
- 57:37Speaker 2: here tonight, and you know they're they're gonna kick Molly's ass.
- 57:40Speaker 2: So yeah, I think it's, uh, it's more of a
- 57:44Speaker 2: park factor, but I think they're they're definitely in play.
- 57:49Speaker 3: Yeah, I just Molly's not not good, they're giants. Bullpen's
- 57:53Speaker 3: also not good. But they're rested. I mean they only
- 57:55Speaker 3: have one guy throw pitches in the last three days,
- 57:59Speaker 3: so they are rest So you're gonna see fresh arms
- 58:01Speaker 3: constantly throughout that game, soon as soon as Molly's out
- 58:04Speaker 3: of there, So that does bump them down along with
- 58:06Speaker 3: the ballpark for me.
- 58:08Speaker 1: So I do have them down my list.
- 58:09Speaker 3: But I do think Kurtz solderschrom already play anytime they're
- 58:14Speaker 3: on this plate, especially against the guy who struggles against
- 58:16Speaker 3: left handed power. So yeah, those two guys in particular
- 58:19Speaker 3: one fault to anyone from going to the A's. But
- 58:21Speaker 3: I much prefer the d Backs, the Blue Jays, probably
- 58:24Speaker 3: obviously the Brewers, and probably even the Braves and the
- 58:28Speaker 3: Dodgers more so than the A's personally myself.
- 58:31Speaker 1: But I do get the reasoning there. Gee, Rosen, your.
- 58:36Speaker 3: Favorite pitching combination, your top three stats in a home
- 58:38Speaker 3: run coffee?
- 58:39Speaker 1: Have one before we get out of here.
- 58:41Speaker 2: Man, my favorite pitching combination is gonna have to on DK. Now,
- 58:45Speaker 2: I'll say, probably be Perez and maybe Jump and you know.
- 58:50Speaker 1: More, I was thinking about it.
- 58:52Speaker 2: Even my our boy Matt was even texting me saying
- 58:55Speaker 2: he doesn't mind Minaya either at that price, so I,
- 58:59Speaker 2: you know, I kind of leave him and now FanDuel,
- 59:01Speaker 2: I will say, it's totally different. School Ball is the
- 59:04Speaker 2: top pitcher on fan duel. I think you got to
- 59:06Speaker 2: include Wu and there Braxton in there. So there's a
- 59:08Speaker 2: few other guys that are I think are in play
- 59:12Speaker 2: on FanDuel so on as Stacks DK I got, Uh,
- 59:20Speaker 2: I'm gonna have the Brewers are in there for sure.
- 59:24Speaker 2: The Blue Jays, d Backs I think are all in
- 59:27Speaker 2: play for me on FanDuel. I got Phillies, Gnats, and
- 59:31Speaker 2: then i'd have the Brewers, so I have them a
- 59:35Speaker 2: little bit higher up. Home run call, Uh, I'm gonna
- 59:41Speaker 2: steal yours, and I'm gonna say Bryce Terrang just because
- 59:44Speaker 2: I said the Tigers pre show before we've got on
- 59:46Speaker 2: the Tigers trade school ball of the Brewers for Terrang.
- 59:49Speaker 2: I you know that'd be good for me, but I
- 59:53Speaker 2: know it won't happen. It's just you know, pipe dream,
- 59:55Speaker 2: because I'd like to have a power hitting second basement
- 59:58Speaker 2: on my Tigers. But yeah, I mean so yeah, I
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: think it's a little bit different, you know. So home
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: run for me, I'm going Terrang And I thought about
- 1:00:06Speaker 2: another one, but you know, I'll just I'll throw it
- 1:00:10Speaker 2: out there anyway. I think I think I like the
- 1:00:13Speaker 2: d Backs too, so I'm gonna go with Nolan Ronando too.
- 1:00:18Speaker 2: That's my long shot made.
- 1:00:22Speaker 1: All right.
- 1:00:22Speaker 3: I like that for me, my favorite pitching combination. I'm
- 1:00:26Speaker 3: gonna take a shot on Imanaga here. I like him,
- 1:00:29Speaker 3: I like the ownership, I like the pivot off of
- 1:00:32Speaker 3: a guy like his savage. He's gonna be much higher owned,
- 1:00:34Speaker 3: and I like his GPP upside here against this Mets lineup,
- 1:00:38Speaker 3: so I like him quite a bit. And then I'm
- 1:00:40Speaker 3: gonna go Martin Perez as well. I just like everything
- 1:00:43Speaker 3: we talked about earlier on him offense for me, Brewers
- 1:00:47Speaker 3: number one, d Backs number two. And then I'm gonna
- 1:00:50Speaker 3: throw in the Dodgers is low owned, a low owned
- 1:00:52Speaker 3: Dodgers team here against Joe Ryan. I know it feels scary,
- 1:00:55Speaker 3: but I like those lefty more so, probably more as
- 1:00:57Speaker 3: a mini stack freeman for sure. In there, I like
- 1:01:02Speaker 3: him Max Munsey, so I do like that my home
- 1:01:04Speaker 3: run call. I'm gonna go to the Dbacks as well,
- 1:01:06Speaker 3: but I'm gonna go to second base. I'm not gonna
- 1:01:08Speaker 3: go to Bryce Touring. I'm gonna go to Kettl Marty
- 1:01:11Speaker 3: against a lefty there in Matthew Liberatory. I like Kettl
- 1:01:14Speaker 3: Marte a ton and then I will go to the
- 1:01:17Speaker 3: Cubs as well, and hopefully he's in there, but I'm
- 1:01:20Speaker 3: gonna go to guy at the back half. Likely, at
- 1:01:23Speaker 3: least projected, Carson Kelly gets one here against Sean Manaia
- 1:01:28Speaker 3: to go up against your little Manaia boy there, Carson
- 1:01:31Speaker 3: Kelly would be my long shot at twenty eight hundred.
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: Appreciate everyone tuning in.
- 1:01:36Speaker 3: Hit that like button, hit that subscribe button, helps us
- 1:01:38Speaker 3: out of time for g Rosen, I'm aid's good luck
- 1:01:41Speaker 3: tonight in those contests.
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: We'll see guys next time we're out of here. Peace
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: had Burns. The names still