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Thursday BEST BETS | Football is Back | MLB & WNBA & NFL HoF Game | 8/6/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm man, a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chase, black coffee.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: On the felt man, you look like a mess. Three
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 3: Now you stare at the chips.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Like they made you this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 3: But don't you go quiet.
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: Don't you fade from the floor, your name, steal me
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: something in somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 3: Put the glass.
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: Down, baby, look at me now, hold on, hold on
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: nothing night, no, hold.
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: On, hold on me.
• 1:06
  Speaker 5: That but it all get the crown. Hold on, hold
• 1:17
  Speaker 5: on and stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: Now, what's up, everybody? It's Toad back with you with
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: Toadstool Sports. It is Thursday, August sixth not a good
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: day on the show. Yesterday I wanted two. I don't
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: know really what else to say about it. As usual,
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: Matt's Cleveland under did not hit. I thought it was
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: a good, good play, good approach on that one. I
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: thought today's looked like it was gonna be potentially an
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: under on my card too, But that's not gonna happen either,
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: And there I think reasons to leave it off the
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: card today. But yesterday I liked it didn't happen. It
• 2:03
  Speaker 3: went into extra innings, so it wound up looking a
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: little bit worse than it was, but it wasn't good.
• 2:09
  Speaker 3: No under there didn't hit in the first five either.
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: The White Sox did not hit either first five whatever.
• 2:18
  Speaker 3: Sonny Gray really good in the game, outpitched Burke. I mean,
• 2:23
  Speaker 3: Burke was okay, but yeah it was. It wasn't enough.
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: Wilson Contreres got pulled from the game for the Red
• 2:30
  Speaker 3: Sox due to an injury or no due to an illness.
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: I think in like the fifth inning. Red Sox didn't
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: need to put on much offense in that game. I said,
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: the pitching didn't allow anything, so maybe under should have
• 2:44
  Speaker 3: been the I mean, on the surface, it looked like
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: it would have been an under game, but the matchup
• 2:49
  Speaker 3: numbers had me looking at the White Sox and that
• 2:52
  Speaker 3: didn't happen. And then we did win with the under again.
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: In Pirates Brewers, Kyle Harrison was awesome in his return
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: from the injury, which did not surprise me that much.
• 3:02
  Speaker 3: Skeens again wasn't really that good. He was good enough
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: to get the under and the bullpens held as well.
• 3:08
  Speaker 3: But yeah, I don't know, man, something a little bit
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: off about Schiens. I don't know. What's going on there? Anyway,
• 3:16
  Speaker 3: let's move on to today. We got a short er
• 3:19
  Speaker 3: baseball card today because it's Thursday, some afternoon baseball as
• 3:24
  Speaker 3: some series are finishing, so we have to be aware
• 3:27
  Speaker 3: of those situations. I will have a WNBA play two
• 3:31
  Speaker 3: baseball plays for me today, one WNBA play. They're all
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: sides today and WNBA. I'm going against the market, but
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: I think there are a lot of situational angles for
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: the play that I have. And then I'm not gonna
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: give out a play in the NFL game. But NFL
• 3:47
  Speaker 3: is back, man, we'll get to talk about I talked
• 3:49
  Speaker 3: about all the preseason games last year. I'm pretty sure,
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: so I guess I'll do that again just to give
• 3:55
  Speaker 3: people some analysis on it. But I don't get involved.
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: I know there were guys that do it and they
• 4:01
  Speaker 3: win money doing it, but to me, it's just there's
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: a lot of unpredictability in the preseason because you just
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: don't know what the usage is gonna be for the
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: various quarterbacks and whatever, so you have to kind of well,
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: I'll talk about it when we get to it, but
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: it's the handicapping you have to combine. You have to
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: look at like, who are all the quarterbacks that might
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: get into this game for this team, and which group
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: of quarterbacks do I think are better? Pretty much, but
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: there's also motivational stuff and whatever. All right, baseball, we
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: have some early games here. Twelve thirty five Eastern Anaheim
• 4:34
  Speaker 3: in Baltimore. Baltimore is on the verge of sweep here.
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: Both of these teams decided to sell with the trade deadline,
• 4:41
  Speaker 3: not surprising with Anaheim Baltimore maybe more surprising. But Baltimore
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: has played well in the series. Even though they might
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: have been the more disappointed team, they are the better team,
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: so they are on the verger of sweep, which does
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: mean that maybe Anaheim will show up with some more
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: effort here. You know, I like to look towards the
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: teams that are looking to avoid sweeps. Baltimore. They play
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: Texas next. I don't really know if that's gonna be
• 5:04
  Speaker 3: that much of a look ahead or not. Texas is
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: a team that's fighting for playoff positioning though at the
• 5:09
  Speaker 3: very least looking at this on the surface, so I
• 5:12
  Speaker 3: don't really want to come in and try to play
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: Anaheim because Baltimore has overall the better starting pitcher on
• 5:17
  Speaker 3: the mounds, so that kind of seems like a non
• 5:20
  Speaker 3: starter for me. I will rarely do something like that
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: of them, you know. In all the other sports, I'll
• 5:26
  Speaker 3: play situations, I'll play on the worst team a lot,
• 5:30
  Speaker 3: you know, and a lot of it does have to
• 5:32
  Speaker 3: do with the price. But baseball the way that I
• 5:35
  Speaker 3: handicap and I just don't really do that. Baltimore used
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: four guys yesterday. Anaheim used three out of the bullpen.
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: I should say, arranged by whip. Baltimore's number twelve in
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: the bullpen. They're the better bullpen here. Anaheim is twenty
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: first hitting. Baltimore has been the better of the two
• 5:52
  Speaker 3: teams as well, though I know they traded some guys,
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: but Anaheim got rid of some guys as well. Anaheim
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: also designated so Lare for assignment because he wasn't hitting
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: that well, and the Pirates did it with Ozuna. So
• 6:03
  Speaker 3: it's crazy. There are a couple of guys that are
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: known for being pretty decent hitters that are just on
• 6:08
  Speaker 3: the scrap heat right now, and I'm just like, do
• 6:11
  Speaker 3: the Red Sox want to pick them up? I don't know,
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: especially so Layer, because he's like, I'm pretty sure he's
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: a right handed pull hitter, so I'm like, bring him
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: to Fenway. Why not anyway, Uh, Anaheim is not a
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: good offense, so they're twenty sixth. Then yeah, Baltimore is
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: a nineteenth tied with the Royals. So these offense is
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: not exactly great and sold off at the trade deadline,
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: but Baltimore probably is the better offense here. Anaheim is
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: going with Ryan Johnson. Just had his birthday, by the way,
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: Happy birthday to mister Johnson yesterday turned twenty four. Not
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: having a good season though, in what I believe is
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: his rookie season. He's got a oh no, he pitched
• 6:52
  Speaker 3: last year or two, but all out of the bullpen
• 6:54
  Speaker 3: seven point six to three year, a one point five
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: to nine whip that's not good. He's been really that
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: on the road nine point five to five. Rody Ram
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: struggled really badly in his last two starts. Not good.
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: Not a whole lot to really love here. His walk
• 7:08
  Speaker 3: rate's been way too high here. His hit rate is
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: also too high. His strikeout rate is not really that
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: high either, So just across the board, not liking what
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: I'm seeing, even though you gotta think that he's at
• 7:21
  Speaker 3: least better than what his numbers suggest. I'm not sure
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: he's gonna be good though against Baltimore. Though, Hilariously, his
• 7:29
  Speaker 3: best start of the season easily was against Baltimore back
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: in Anaheim on June twenty third, six inning, one hit,
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: shutout with eight strikeouts in one walk. So amidst all
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: these bad starts, he's had a few good ones, and
• 7:44
  Speaker 3: the best one was actually against Baltimore. Now the problem
• 7:47
  Speaker 3: is you have to figure out does he actually match
• 7:50
  Speaker 3: up really well against Baltimore or is Baltimore gonna turn
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: it around and hit him better this time, because now
• 7:54
  Speaker 3: Baltimore has seen him once, and you know, I talk
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: about the unfamiliarity tends to be an edge to the pitcher,
• 8:00
  Speaker 3: But when that other team has seen them for the
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: first time and saw them pretty recently, they might make
• 8:05
  Speaker 3: the adjustments and know what they're gonna see the next time,
• 8:08
  Speaker 3: you know. So Baltimore probably is gonna hit better at
• 8:11
  Speaker 3: least coming into this game. But Johnson dominated them. Baltimore
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: is only one for sixteen off him. The only hit
• 8:17
  Speaker 3: was a single from Jeremiah Jackson. Seven strikeouts, one walk.
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: Here from Baltimore's current lineup sixty two average, one eighty ops.
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: Those are some really really bad numbers from Baltimore's offense there,
• 8:31
  Speaker 3: so maybe Johnson will pitch better again. I think, you know,
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: he's at least maybe not completely off the table as
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: far as backing him here. Brandon Young is pitching for Baltimore.
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: He's been pretty decent. Three point three to one e
• 8:45
  Speaker 3: RA one point two to nine. Whip is not really
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: that good, but he's been alright three point one to nine.
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: Homy Ray not bad. Wasn't great in his last start
• 8:55
  Speaker 3: against Philly, but Baltimore won all of his starts in July,
• 8:58
  Speaker 3: all five of them, and he allowed or fewer and
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: runs in all of them, so he was pitching all
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: right there. Decent command numbers during the month. He's got
• 9:06
  Speaker 3: a fairly low hit rate on the season. His walk
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: rate is okay, strikeout rate isn't really that high though.
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: He's not a huge strikeout pitcher, but he's not that
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: bad against Anaheim. Really just a really small sample size here.
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: Only Hiaman has ever faced him, and he's two for
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: four with a strikeout and no walks, so there's not
• 9:25
  Speaker 3: really a whole lot to take away from that. Both
• 9:28
  Speaker 3: hits their singles the money is probably indicating on Anaheim
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: because a lot of times the money's just going to
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: be playing the situation and the price, and Baltimore is
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: like minus one pint eighty here, probably too high a
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: price to pay for Baltimore eighty five percent of the
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: tickets and only seventy six percent of the cash on them.
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: I know Anaheim is really bad and Young is probably
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: overall the better picture, but does Baltimore Baltimore is the
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: better team. But does Baltimore really deserve to be this
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: heavy of a favorite here in a spot where they
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: just might not even care because they're just playing out
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: the stretch here. I think that's the feeling with the
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: professional money kind of coming in on Anaheim here. The
• 10:08
  Speaker 3: over is getting some play as well. At nine and
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: a half, fairly high total here kind of makes sense.
• 10:13
  Speaker 3: I mean, you don't really have elite pitchers going in
• 10:15
  Speaker 3: this game. I don't have a good feel for it, man.
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: I mean, you could lean to Anaheim here just if
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: you want to play into the matchup numbers, but it's
• 10:24
  Speaker 3: such a small sample size. I don't really know that
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: I would want to do that, and Baltimore might turn
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: it around and hit Johnson better this time. But I
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: guess maybe you could try to take a shot with Anaheim,
• 10:34
  Speaker 3: maybe in the first five, because I don't like their bullpen,
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: so their bullpen's not gonna give you an advantage. Maybe
• 10:40
  Speaker 3: first five run line on Anaheim, but no strong opinion
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: for me on that game. A's at Cincinnati Yesterday's game
• 10:46
  Speaker 3: is way lower scoring than I thought it would be
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: three to two. Cincinnati is on the version of a
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: sweep here. A's are playing some really bad baseball. Cincinnati
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: plays Washington next. Don't know if that'll be a look
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: ahead or not, but the A's are trying to avoid
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: a sweep pier, so possibly there's an angle there situationally
• 11:05
  Speaker 3: to maybe look towards the A's. The A's are like
• 11:08
  Speaker 3: a really hard team to back, though, I mean, they're
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: just bad at everything at this point. Their bullpen is bad,
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: even worse than Cincinnati's. Both teams didn't use that many relievers.
• 11:17
  Speaker 3: A's used two, Cincinnati U's three yesterday. In Cincinnati did
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: have a save situation yesterday, I'm pretty sure, but they
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: still have the better bullpenal or the A's. The A's
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: are just putrid twenty eighth, but they're the worst bullpen Yerra.
• 11:32
  Speaker 3: Cincinnati is twenty fifth, so not really that much better,
• 11:35
  Speaker 3: but better than the A's. A's are seventeenth offensively now,
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: which isn't very good. Cincinnati has not been good really
• 11:42
  Speaker 3: all season in that department. They're twenty second, which I
• 11:46
  Speaker 3: guess that's part of the reason why we're not seeing
• 11:48
  Speaker 3: massive scoring in this series is the offenses aren't really
• 11:51
  Speaker 3: that good. But the pitching has not been really that
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: good in the series either. I mean as far as
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: like who the pitchers have been, you know what I mean.
• 12:00
  Speaker 3: Mason Barnett is getting the start for the A's here.
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: He's still young, he's kind of a converted reliever. He's
• 12:07
  Speaker 3: been somewhat okay of four point eight five ERA one
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: point three to one whip a little bit better on
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: the road, which makes sense because the A's stadium is
• 12:16
  Speaker 3: awful to pitch in four point five Roady Ray. Still,
• 12:21
  Speaker 3: the A's have been losing every time he's been on
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: the mound because the A's just can't win as a team.
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: They've lost seven straight games that he's appeared, and a
• 12:28
  Speaker 3: lot of them were relief appearance, as though he actually
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: had a decent start last time out. Against the Red Sox.
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: Red Sox still won the game in a close game,
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: but Barnett was decent in that one. Overall, his hit
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: rate's not too bad here on the season. His walk
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: rate is too high, so that's his main issue is
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: strikeout rates not too bad. If he were to get
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: his walk number down, he probably wouldn't really be that bad.
• 12:50
  Speaker 3: And the Reds have never seen him before, so the
• 12:52
  Speaker 3: Reds have unfamiliarity against him, which could be an advantage
• 12:56
  Speaker 3: to Barnett. Barnett also did start five times last year
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: and he was not good last year, and again, the
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: walks were a huge issue for him last year. Even
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: though he's unfamiliar to the Reds, I don't really want
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: to trust him here. The Reds are going with Andrew Abbot.
• 13:10
  Speaker 3: He's got a decent ERA three point nine to one,
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: but his one point three to nine whip and anagram
• 13:16
  Speaker 3: of his RA that whip is not very good. Abbot
• 13:19
  Speaker 3: has had some walk issues. He's been bad at home
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: as well, five point eight homye RA, which is much
• 13:27
  Speaker 3: higher than we've seen out of him in the past.
• 13:28
  Speaker 3: He's been better than this in past season. So not
• 13:32
  Speaker 3: having his greatest season here and his walk rate has
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: been a real problem recently. Multiple walks in four straight starts,
• 13:39
  Speaker 3: nine in his last two outings in the last eleven innings.
• 13:42
  Speaker 3: That's not good, even though he hasn't allowed that many
• 13:45
  Speaker 3: runs over that span. Those walks. If you keep walking
• 13:48
  Speaker 3: guys like that, that's gonna come back to haunt you.
• 13:51
  Speaker 3: You know, his hit rate is decent on the season.
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: His walk rate is way too high. As I was
• 13:56
  Speaker 3: alluding to, that's his main issue here this year. Strike
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: cut rates not high. He's never really been a big
• 14:01
  Speaker 3: strikeout guy, but he has been able to get guys
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: out this year. The walk rate is just it's a
• 14:08
  Speaker 3: huge problem. Numbers against the A's, we don't really have
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: much to go on here. They have three hitters who
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: have faced them, eleven at bats, two to two, strikeout
• 14:16
  Speaker 3: walk ratio, no extra race hits, two seventy three average
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: six point fifty seven ops. So he's pitched okay against
• 14:23
  Speaker 3: the A's hitters who have seen him. I don't really
• 14:26
  Speaker 3: know how much I want to trust these pitchers. Man.
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: The money's coming in in the under and I was
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: kind of thinking this looked more like an over to me. Again,
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: although I feel like I've been saying that in this series,
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: and it has not really come to fruition. Fifty six
• 14:38
  Speaker 3: percent of tickets seventy four percent of the cash on
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: the under totals nine and a half, so it is
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: above that key number of nine, and it is it
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: is high for reason though. Man oddsmakers don't really love
• 14:50
  Speaker 3: these pictures here. Obviously, I don't love the bullpens. The
• 14:53
  Speaker 3: money is also backing the A's in the situational spot,
• 14:56
  Speaker 3: I guess because they're trying to avoid the sweep peer
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: eighty three percent of the tickets on the reds fifty
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: five percent of the cash on the A's. If you
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: do want to play the A's, I would only take
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: them in the first five. The line has actually reverse
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: moved against Cincinnati. There were minus one eighty four and
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: now they're like minus one sixty, so there's been actual
• 15:14
  Speaker 3: money I think moving that line in the direction of
• 15:17
  Speaker 3: the A's, So it seems like the professional money is
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: actually taking the A's in that game. I don't really
• 15:23
  Speaker 3: want to do it, but like I said, if you're
• 15:24
  Speaker 3: gonna do it, I would take it first five because
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: I just see no way that you can back the
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: A's bullpen in like any scenario, So that's what I
• 15:32
  Speaker 3: would do. Maybe the A's can kind of hang in
• 15:34
  Speaker 3: there with the starting pitching matchup there. I don't think
• 15:38
  Speaker 3: there's really a huge advantage to either pitch or there.
• 15:40
  Speaker 3: So that's what we got going on there, Dirty sock.
• 15:44
  Speaker 3: What's up man? Oh? Thank you? Thank you for the
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: jewels family jewels. I don't even know. Yes, I have
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: super chats and gifts on whatever. I don't know what
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: the gifts are gonna do, but yes, thank you. All right,
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: I kind of want this. Maybe this should be more
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: of a hangout in the morning and people can, yeah,
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: give me super chats and stuff, all right. ESPN Unlimited
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: Mets Cleveland. On the surface, I looked at this and
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: I was like, I'm gonna play the under in this game,
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: aren't I? Because I like both starting pitchers here. But
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: I dug into the matchup and I'm like, I actually
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: don't want to do that, So I'm gonna hold off
• 16:18
  Speaker 3: on this. Even though I thought yesterday's underplay was a
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: good one, you're looking at too bad offense this year.
• 16:24
  Speaker 3: Even though I know Cleveland did improve their offense at
• 16:27
  Speaker 3: the trade deadline. The Mets obviously didn't Mets were sellers
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: at the trade deadline, and Soto, I think it's still out.
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: Cleveland got Ramira's back, and they added a couple of guys.
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: They added Joe Adele and added a couple other bats
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: at the trade deadline. Cleveland is or seventeenth in bullpen.
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: I'm looking at the bullpen. I'm all over the map
• 16:47
  Speaker 3: right now. Cleveland's bullpen's not bad. The Mets aren't bad either.
• 16:50
  Speaker 3: There's seventh. The Mets did trade a couple guys away
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: out of the bullpen at the trade deadline, but these
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: are still decent bullpens. I think offenses, as I was
• 17:00
  Speaker 3: alluding to, they're both bad still. Cleveland twenty ninth, Mets
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: twenty eighth Cleveland Still. I think he's going to be
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: playing a lot of low scoring home games here. Even
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: with the pieces that they added there. It's not like
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: they all of a sudden became like a massively potent offense,
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: you know what I mean. They'll be a little bit
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: better probably as far as the usage yesterday, though, that
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: is one concern. If you're looking at the under here
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: is a lot of bullpen arms came in yesterday because
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: it was an extra inning game. I think it went
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: eleven innings. Cleveland used five guys out of the bullpen,
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: and the Mets I think he used probably around that
• 17:32
  Speaker 3: many as well. Mets used four, including Jeffrey Yon, who
• 17:37
  Speaker 3: is the new guy who's become like a meme. They
• 17:39
  Speaker 3: called him up for the Miners. He's a guy that
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: like every time he strikes somebody out, he like leaps
• 17:45
  Speaker 3: up above the mound and like over celebrates and whatever.
• 17:49
  Speaker 3: Hitters are going to start to get annoyed by Yan's antics, man,
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: but you can go look it up. It's kind of
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: ridiculous what this guy does. Oh your gems expire? All right? Well,
• 18:03
  Speaker 3: thank you. I have no idea what they do either.
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: Can I convert the Can I sell them at the
• 18:08
  Speaker 3: pawn shop? Can I convert them into money? I have
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: no idea anyway. The starting pitching here, though, it does
• 18:14
  Speaker 3: look like a good starting pitching matchup here, and the
• 18:16
  Speaker 3: oddsmakers do seem to think this will be a pitching duel.
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: But I looked at these matchup numbers and I'm like,
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: I don't really want to play the under here. Man.
• 18:24
  Speaker 3: Nolan McLain is pitching for the Mets. You know, I
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: like him. I backed him numerous times this year three
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: point twenty ninety RA one point one to two whip.
• 18:33
  Speaker 3: He's been really good on the road two point twenty
• 18:35
  Speaker 3: nine roady RA below two hundred batting average on the
• 18:39
  Speaker 3: road allowed. He's been good this past month. A lot
• 18:42
  Speaker 3: of strikeouts, not a lot of walks here, not bad
• 18:45
  Speaker 3: at all, good in fact, two or fewer and runs
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: allowed and whatever. This is six starts in a row
• 18:51
  Speaker 3: and every start but one going through UH to late May.
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: That's been the case. He's got a low hit rate.
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: His walk rate is maybe the one issue that he has.
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: His walks are a little bit high, but not horrible.
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: Strike out raid is also high. He strikes out a
• 19:05
  Speaker 3: lot of guys, which is good. So the advanced analytics
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: guys will actually like him. Cleveland, though they only have
• 19:12
  Speaker 3: three guys to have faced him. One of the guys
• 19:14
  Speaker 3: that they picked up, Nathaniel Low. They picked him up
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: at the trade deadline as well. Played on the Red
• 19:19
  Speaker 3: Sox for a little while. I think last year. He's
• 19:22
  Speaker 3: two for four off mcclan with two doubles. Low I
• 19:26
  Speaker 3: think saw him when he was with Washington. But Cleveland's hitters,
• 19:29
  Speaker 3: they're four for seven off of McClain's they have a
• 19:32
  Speaker 3: five to seventy one average, fifteen to twenty four oh ps,
• 19:36
  Speaker 3: one to two strike out walk ratio. It's a small sample.
• 19:39
  Speaker 3: I wouldn't put too much weight into it, but McClean
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: has struggled against these hitters when they have faced him,
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: So do with that info what you want. But Cleveland
• 19:48
  Speaker 3: does have a couple of guys that have been able
• 19:50
  Speaker 3: to hit him. Cleveland is gonna go with Foster Griffin,
• 19:53
  Speaker 3: who they picked up at the trade deadline, came from
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: out of nowhere and had a really good season up
• 19:58
  Speaker 3: to this point with Washington. Pretty interesting move from Cleveland here.
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: Three point six era for Griffin, one point seven whip.
• 20:07
  Speaker 3: Cleveland is obviously trying to win right now. Man, they
• 20:09
  Speaker 3: have a pretty good starting pitching rotation. I will definitely
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: give them. That's some pretty good pitching for Cleveland here. Griffin,
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: we'll see what he's gonna do here today. Man, he
• 20:18
  Speaker 3: might get up for it. Because again, when you have
• 20:20
  Speaker 3: a change of scenery, especially if you were on a
• 20:23
  Speaker 3: seller at the trade deadline and now you're on a
• 20:25
  Speaker 3: buyer like a contending team, a lot of times you're
• 20:28
  Speaker 3: gonna be pumped up for that and pitch well, you know,
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: for your contending team or just generally you might want
• 20:33
  Speaker 3: to pitch well in your first appearance for your new
• 20:36
  Speaker 3: team to prove that they were right for picking you up,
• 20:40
  Speaker 3: you know what I mean. So Griffin probably has a
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: motivational angle here. Griffin was good at home for Washington
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: two point nine home y ra, so I'm I wouldn't
• 20:49
  Speaker 3: be concerned with what he's gonna do here in this stadium,
• 20:53
  Speaker 3: which is kind of a more pitcher friendly stadium. He
• 20:55
  Speaker 3: did have a bad outing in his last outing with Washington.
• 20:58
  Speaker 3: It was at Atlanta. He didn't pitch that well in
• 21:00
  Speaker 3: that one, but he was pitching weelve for pretty much
• 21:02
  Speaker 3: the whole season up to that point. His strikeout rate
• 21:05
  Speaker 3: did kind of drop though recently, so that's maybe one
• 21:07
  Speaker 3: concern is that he wasn't striking as many guys out recently.
• 21:12
  Speaker 3: He's had a little bit of extra time off, so
• 21:14
  Speaker 3: you have to kind of gauge that too, like, is
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: he going to be thrown out of his rhythm because
• 21:18
  Speaker 3: these pitchers like to stay on schedule, you know what
• 21:20
  Speaker 3: I mean. He hasn't pitched since July thirty first, so
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: he's slightly off schedule here, but not too bad. I
• 21:25
  Speaker 3: think he only has one extra day of rest really
• 21:28
  Speaker 3: here than what he normally would. He's got a low
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: hit rate here on the season, low walk rate, strike
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: out rate isn't really that high at this point. It
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: was pretty good for a while, but he's kind of
• 21:38
  Speaker 3: stopped striking guys out. So that's a little bit of
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: an issue that maybe he's kind of wearing down a
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: little bit. And even though he's thirty one, you do
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: have to worry about that, right because I talk about
• 21:47
  Speaker 3: the innings pitched. He's never pitched more than six and
• 21:50
  Speaker 3: a third innings or yeah, six and a third innings
• 21:54
  Speaker 3: in any season in the majors, and now you're asking
• 21:58
  Speaker 3: him to throw. He's up to one hundred and third
• 22:00
  Speaker 3: now almost, so that could tend to wear on you, man,
• 22:03
  Speaker 3: like it does with like younger pitchers, with rookies. I
• 22:05
  Speaker 3: know he's not young, but he's throwing more innings than
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: he ever has in his career, even though you know
• 22:12
  Speaker 3: he's obviously he's pitched like in the minors and stuff
• 22:15
  Speaker 3: like that, and in other professional leagues presumably and whatever.
• 22:18
  Speaker 3: But major League Baseball takes its soul like you throw
• 22:21
  Speaker 3: more innings in Major League Baseball as a starting pitcher
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: than you do in any other form of baseball, So
• 22:28
  Speaker 3: just keep that in mind. His numbers against the Mets
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: are also not really that good. Now, this isn't maybe
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: this isn't the greatest matchup for him to have in
• 22:35
  Speaker 3: his first Cleveland start because he's going up against a
• 22:38
  Speaker 3: team that he just faced in his division with Washington,
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: which is the Mets. They have twelve at bats against him,
• 22:44
  Speaker 3: not a lot. Six hitters have faced him. They've done
• 22:47
  Speaker 3: some damage though, four to seventeen average, thirteen thirty three ops,
• 22:51
  Speaker 3: although a lot of it was Boba Schett with two
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: of them runs in there, three strikeouts, no walks from
• 22:56
  Speaker 3: the Mets there. But still it makes me worry a
• 22:59
  Speaker 3: little bit, Like this game still probably looks like an
• 23:02
  Speaker 3: under to me because generally you do have two good
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: pitchers here. I think that's probably still the way that
• 23:08
  Speaker 3: I would kind of look at this. That's a seven
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: and a half total, so the oddsmakers think it'll be
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: low scoring. Money is kind of backing the over sixty
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: nine percent of tickets eighty three percent of the cash
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: on the over first five under. Even though I hate
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: that it might be the way to look here because
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: the bullpens are kind of overworked here. But if you
• 23:27
  Speaker 3: think the pitchers are gonna get you deep enough into
• 23:29
  Speaker 3: this game to kind of save the bullpens a little bit,
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: you're getting that key number seven and a half in
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: the full game. So that is still I think on
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: the table the full game. Under in that one, the
• 23:41
  Speaker 3: money's backing the Mets fifty four percent of tickets on
• 23:44
  Speaker 3: Cleveland's sixty three percent of the cash on the Mets.
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: McClain probably is the better pitcher, like as far as
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: he's earlier in his career and has really started establishing
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: himself and so he's got the higher upside. He's the
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: better strike up pitcher. So I can understand the argument
• 23:59
  Speaker 3: for the Mets here. Cleveland is a small favorite in
• 24:02
  Speaker 3: the minus one ten range, kind of minus one sixteen
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: whatever pick them price. But Cleveland is trying to avoid
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: a sweep heeer believe it or not, So Cleveland falls
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: into that category. It's usually a positive spot when the
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: home team is trying to avoid the sweep, especially with
• 24:17
  Speaker 3: Cleveland is the only really motivated team here, you know
• 24:20
  Speaker 3: what I mean. I mean, the Mets are playing well.
• 24:23
  Speaker 3: I'll give them that they're winning games here, but they
• 24:26
  Speaker 3: are playing out the stretch. They have nothing to play
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: for really as far as the season goals, whereas Cleveland
• 24:32
  Speaker 3: is still trying to get into the playoffs here. So
• 24:36
  Speaker 3: Cleveland is trying to avoid the sweet. They should have
• 24:38
  Speaker 3: a motivational edge in this game at least, so I
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: don't really want to try to attack the side in
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: this game. But yeah, I still think it looks more
• 24:45
  Speaker 3: like an under to me than anything else. But I
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: don't see numbers that really make me want to do it.
• 24:52
  Speaker 3: All right, Pittsburgh and Milwaukee, I am gonna get involved
• 24:56
  Speaker 3: in this series again. It's not gonna be an under
• 24:58
  Speaker 3: this time though. We're two and zero in this series,
• 25:06
  Speaker 3: so I've had a good read on this series, so
• 25:07
  Speaker 3: hopefully it'll continue. We're gonna take the Pirates in the
• 25:10
  Speaker 3: first five here at plus one oh five. Before this series,
• 25:14
  Speaker 3: the Pirates had done well against Milwaukee this season. The
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: Pirates came into the series, I think five and one
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: or something against Milwaukee, and I know Milwaukee's won the
• 25:23
  Speaker 3: last two games here, so they're up to one in
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: the series right now. Every game has been close though,
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: and Milwaukee had Kyle Harrison on the mound yesterday. They
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: do not today. It was Logan Henderson the day before
• 25:35
  Speaker 3: that they don't have either. They don't have either h
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: Son pitching in this game, so they're gonna have a
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: pitching downgrade in this game. And Pittsburgh has one of
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: their best pitchers on the mounds. So I'm gonna look
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: at that. I'm looking at the starting pitching matchup here,
• 25:49
  Speaker 3: and that is really where this play comes. Both of
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: my plays are kind of starting pitching matchup plays. Although
• 25:54
  Speaker 3: the next one that I have is also kind of
• 25:56
  Speaker 3: a situational play, this one is not really a situational play.
• 25:59
  Speaker 3: Pittsburgh only use two relief pitchers yesterday, but I don't
• 26:02
  Speaker 3: really want to deal with their bullpen. It's not really
• 26:05
  Speaker 3: that good. Milwaukee did use five guys and they use
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: McGill for the second straight day, so he's probably gonna
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: be unavailable here. So Milwaukee's bullpen's a little bit less rested.
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: But I still don't want to deal with Pittsburgh's bullpen
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: against Milwaukee's. Milwaukee's the better one. They're ninth and Pittsburgh
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: is twenty third out of the bullpen, so I'll focus
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: just where I think we have the biggest edge here,
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: which is the starting pitching. Both offenses can hit. Pittsburgh's
• 26:30
  Speaker 3: fourth Milwaukee seventh. Pittsburgh not quite as good on the road,
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: but we're gonna back Braxton Ashcraft here. What else is new?
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: I feel like I've done that a lot this year,
• 26:39
  Speaker 3: but there's a reason for it. He's good, and Pittsburgh
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: tends to win a lot of his games as well.
• 26:44
  Speaker 3: He's got an eleven and four record, so that tells
• 26:47
  Speaker 3: you it's a combination of things. Really, He's pitched well
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: and he's gotten a decent amount of run support. Three
• 26:52
  Speaker 3: point nine to six ERA one point one six went
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: pretty good. He's slightly worse on the road, but his
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: splits are really not that say, magnificant of though, four
• 27:01
  Speaker 3: point two rody ra But I still like ashtrav Man.
• 27:04
  Speaker 3: He pitched well last time out on the road at Cincinnati.
• 27:08
  Speaker 3: He had one bad start in here against the Yankees.
• 27:11
  Speaker 3: He had to start before that against this Milwaukee team
• 27:13
  Speaker 3: that wasn't that good, where he allowed five runs of
• 27:15
  Speaker 3: five innings, but he only allowed five hits, had six
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: strikeouts and two walks, so I think he got a
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: little bit unlucky in that start, and he seems to
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: kind of be coming back in a form, with his
• 27:24
  Speaker 3: last two starts being a lot better than those prior to.
• 27:28
  Speaker 3: So I think he's coming back in a form here
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: right now. He's got a pretty low hit rate on
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: the season, his walk rate is pretty low, strike out
• 27:35
  Speaker 3: rate is high. So his numbers across the board are
• 27:37
  Speaker 3: pretty good. Gotta start worrying about the innings pitch count though.
• 27:41
  Speaker 3: He's still below one thirty, and I look at like
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: one point fifty, like I said, as the threshold where
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: these young pitchers might really kind of start fading. But
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: I don't think he's there yet. Like, he's still pitched
• 27:51
  Speaker 3: pretty well. Last time they limited his pitch count, which
• 27:54
  Speaker 3: is another reason why I kind of like the first
• 27:56
  Speaker 3: five angle here because he'll probably get you through five
• 27:59
  Speaker 3: here as long as he's pitching well enough. But there
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: they might limit his pitch count a little bit. So
• 28:04
  Speaker 3: that's also one concern with a guy like Ashcraft who's young,
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: still in his career. You know, they don't want to
• 28:12
  Speaker 3: overwork this guy, So we'll see what happens there. His
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: numbers against Milwaukee are actually generally pretty good, though in
• 28:19
  Speaker 3: twenty four at bets too a way to average allowed
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: is really low. Seven twenty eight ops is not particularly low,
• 28:26
  Speaker 3: but it's still lower than that seven to fifty threshold.
• 28:28
  Speaker 3: I look for seven to two strike out walk regime plus.
• 28:32
  Speaker 3: I like Ashtraft in general. I think he's a good pitcher,
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: and his last start was kind of an indicator that
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: he's still there and not done yet, and we're gonna
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: fade Dustin May on the other side, who was making
• 28:43
  Speaker 3: his debut for the Brewers here. They picked him up
• 28:45
  Speaker 3: in a trade, I think just for some starting pitching
• 28:48
  Speaker 3: depth here. Probably he's in the rotation right now, though,
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: but May's not drawing exactly the best matchup, kind of
• 28:56
  Speaker 3: like I said with Foster Griffin. I think this is
• 28:59
  Speaker 3: worse for me though, because he's been in the league
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: for a while and his matchup that he draws here
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: is against a pretty powerful lineup and it's one that
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: has seen him a lot because he was on the Cardinals,
• 29:10
  Speaker 3: so he's been in their division quite a bit up
• 29:13
  Speaker 3: to this point, and he's been in the National League
• 29:16
  Speaker 3: for quite a bit. But the Pirates have a big
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: sample size against them, so they're not unfamiliar with him,
• 29:21
  Speaker 3: and May has been very mediocre. He's the lesser of
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: the two pitchers here. Four point three eighty RRA and
• 29:27
  Speaker 3: one point two eight whip good at home, but that
• 29:31
  Speaker 3: was all in Saint Louis three point one to nine homiere.
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis is a very pitcher friendly park Brewers. They're
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: not really noticed being a hitter friendly park or a
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: pitcher friendly park as far as I know, so I
• 29:43
  Speaker 3: think he is kind of leaving a more pitcher friendly
• 29:45
  Speaker 3: park to go to a somewhat less pitcher friendly park here,
• 29:48
  Speaker 3: so that might not help him that much. He pitched
• 29:51
  Speaker 3: well last time against the Cubs. He's had two good
• 29:53
  Speaker 3: starts in a row. I'll give him that. Those were
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: both in Saint Louis, though, now he's going to Milwaukee.
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: He did shut Milwaukee out four and two thirds back
• 30:01
  Speaker 3: in Saint Louis the last time he faced them on
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: July sixth. Faced Milwaukee earlier this year as well, and
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: did well in that game too, on the road against Milwaukee.
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: So or actually sorry, that was against Milwaukee. What am
• 30:14
  Speaker 3: I saying? Those were numbers against Milwaukee. He's been good
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: against Thelwaukee. He's facing Pittsburgh here, he's on Milwaukee. What
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: am I saying? But yes, he pitched in Milwaukee on
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: May twenty seventh for Saint Louis and he did well
• 30:26
  Speaker 3: in that start. But against Pittsburgh he faced them once
• 30:29
  Speaker 3: this year or no, twice this year. He gave up
• 30:31
  Speaker 3: four runs of five and a third in Saint Louis
• 30:35
  Speaker 3: against them, which is not really that great of a sign.
• 30:37
  Speaker 3: And then the other time he actually was better at Pittsburgh,
• 30:40
  Speaker 3: except he didn't really strike anybody out in that start,
• 30:42
  Speaker 3: but he held them to two runs and six innings
• 30:44
  Speaker 3: back in April. However, overall, I mean, his numbers are
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: all mediocre across the board. He's got an okay hit rate,
• 30:51
  Speaker 3: okay walk rate, okay strikeout right, But what I'm looking
• 30:55
  Speaker 3: at is he's actually not good against Pittsburgh. He's faced
• 30:58
  Speaker 3: them more than just two times that he's faced them
• 31:01
  Speaker 3: this year, thirty eight at bats, and these numbers are
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: definitely in favor of Pittsburgh's offense. Three forty two average,
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: nine to ninety four ohps, six to eight strike out
• 31:10
  Speaker 3: walk ratio. So none of these numbers are good against
• 31:13
  Speaker 3: Pittsburgh's current lineup. So I'm gonna I'm gonna do it, man.
• 31:17
  Speaker 3: I think it's a pitching edge to Pittsburgh here, even
• 31:19
  Speaker 3: though I know may is the pitcher that can pitch
• 31:22
  Speaker 3: deeper into seasons at this point because he's an older pitcher.
• 31:26
  Speaker 3: He's a more veteran pitcher here. But the money seems
• 31:30
  Speaker 3: to agree with me on this. Sixty eight percent of
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: the tickets around on Milwaukee's seventy one percent of the
• 31:34
  Speaker 3: cash on Pittsburgh. Milwaukee's a favorite at minus one twenty
• 31:38
  Speaker 3: something here, the minus moved against them, dropping them from
• 31:42
  Speaker 3: minus one forty down into the minus one twenties. So
• 31:44
  Speaker 3: the money is coming in on Pittsburgh. It looks like
• 31:46
  Speaker 3: for sure, the totals low at seven and a half
• 31:49
  Speaker 3: money kind of indicating on the under here. And it's
• 31:52
  Speaker 3: been an under series. We've won two unders in the
• 31:55
  Speaker 3: series so far on the show here. But I like
• 31:59
  Speaker 3: Ashcraft over may Man. That's what I'm doing in this one.
• 32:01
  Speaker 3: Money seems to agree. And yeah, as far as the
• 32:05
  Speaker 3: total being low, I think that helps the underdog as well.
• 32:08
  Speaker 3: It's more likely the underdog will kind of hang around there.
• 32:10
  Speaker 3: Will exclude the bullpens because I don't like Pittsburgh's bullpen,
• 32:14
  Speaker 3: But yeah, We'll just focus on what I think is
• 32:16
  Speaker 3: the better starting pitcher still as an underdog here. Better
• 32:20
  Speaker 3: matchup numbers. Yeah, let's do it higher upside there, Let's
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: do it man and Dustin May still really hasn't completely
• 32:25
  Speaker 3: turned his career around since being injured, though he's shown
• 32:30
  Speaker 3: some signs this year, but that injury really just kind
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: of derailed his career. So that's what we got going
• 32:38
  Speaker 3: on there. Next game up will be another play for me.
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: It'll be my only other baseball play and people are
• 32:44
  Speaker 3: not gonna like this one. Man. We're gonna take the
• 32:46
  Speaker 3: Toronto Blue Jays on the money line at minus one twelve.
• 32:49
  Speaker 3: I don't think there's a huge bullpen disparity between these
• 32:52
  Speaker 3: two teams, so we'll leave them in. I think you
• 32:55
  Speaker 3: could debate that Toronto has the better bullpen here. Cubs
• 32:58
  Speaker 3: have kind of struggled a little bit in that department. Now,
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: Toronto did use five guys out of the bullpen yesterday,
• 33:03
  Speaker 3: including Viarland, though Varland their closer. He hadn't pitched for
• 33:07
  Speaker 3: a couple of days, so I guess in theory he
• 33:09
  Speaker 3: could be available again here. A couple of these guys
• 33:12
  Speaker 3: probably could pitch again here. If they want them to.
• 33:14
  Speaker 3: Cubs bullpen used four guys, so they're not exactly in
• 33:18
  Speaker 3: like that much better shape here. Plus I don't think
• 33:21
  Speaker 3: their bullpen is really the better one, even though the
• 33:23
  Speaker 3: Cubs are ranked thirteenth and bullpen whip in Toronto's sixteenth.
• 33:27
  Speaker 3: Toronto's been the somewhat better bullpen over the course of
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: the season and have the better era. I know the
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: Cubs are the way better offense. I'm not gonna question
• 33:34
  Speaker 3: that they're number three, and the Cubs have something to
• 33:37
  Speaker 3: play for. Toronto's dead last thirtieth, I know, but I
• 33:42
  Speaker 3: think this is one scenario where we have a pitching
• 33:44
  Speaker 3: mismatch here, you know me, and it's in favor of Toronto.
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: So that's what I'm gonna go with here. Plus, this
• 33:51
  Speaker 3: is not a good spot for the Cubs. Do They
• 33:53
  Speaker 3: just swept the Dodgers, And I know I tried to
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: fade the Red Sox after sweeping the Dodgers Red Sox
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: in a return home spot. It didn't work out. But
• 34:01
  Speaker 3: you gotta think this is gonna be a letdown. The
• 34:03
  Speaker 3: Cubs are coming off some huge series against the Yankees
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: and then the Dodgers sweeping the Dodgers, completing that yesterday
• 34:09
  Speaker 3: with a crazy seven to six win that went extra innings.
• 34:13
  Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure, right, did it? No? Actually, I guess
• 34:17
  Speaker 3: it didn't. I thought it went extra innings. It didn't,
• 34:19
  Speaker 3: But yeah, that was a crazy win for the Cubs.
• 34:22
  Speaker 3: The Cubs beat Scoobo in the middle of the series. There.
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: You gotta think they're riding high right now. Do you
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: really think coming off all that they're really going to
• 34:29
  Speaker 3: pay that much attention to Toronto an interleague game against
• 34:33
  Speaker 3: one of the lesser teams in the American League. I
• 34:35
  Speaker 3: think probably not, And this might be a game where
• 34:38
  Speaker 3: maybe Toronto will get up for Toronto's still trying to win,
• 34:41
  Speaker 3: so give them credit for that. They've won five of
• 34:43
  Speaker 3: their last seven games, so even like they sold a
• 34:47
  Speaker 3: bit at the trade deadline, they're still playing. They just
• 34:50
  Speaker 3: won a series against Houston. They're traveling in from Houston here.
• 34:54
  Speaker 3: I don't think that's that big of a deal. I
• 34:56
  Speaker 3: know the Cubs are staying at home, but I think
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: it's a major letdown for the Cubs here. Donald's just
• 35:00
  Speaker 3: kind of sneakily playing some decent baseball here, and I
• 35:03
  Speaker 3: thought Houston would win that game. Yesterday, so kind of
• 35:06
  Speaker 3: surprising me in Toronto was able to win, but they
• 35:09
  Speaker 3: were I thought they had the worst pitching set up
• 35:12
  Speaker 3: in that game. Didn't matter who was the pitcher again,
• 35:15
  Speaker 3: it was somebody they picked up right, and I was like,
• 35:18
  Speaker 3: why would they want this? Oh yeah, Jameson tie On.
• 35:21
  Speaker 3: He didn't really pitch that well. He got outpitched by
• 35:23
  Speaker 3: Hunter Brown. So actually I did say I think I
• 35:26
  Speaker 3: did say Houston first five in that game. Maybe I
• 35:28
  Speaker 3: don't know if I did or if I didn't, but
• 35:29
  Speaker 3: Houston did out hit Toronto in that game, and they
• 35:32
  Speaker 3: did win the first five play if that's how you
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: played it. But Toronto came back and won later in
• 35:38
  Speaker 3: the game. Anyway, we're backing Dylan Cease in this one. Man.
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: I think it's a good play to make this play
• 35:44
  Speaker 3: man Cubs letdown spot. Plus, I think we have the
• 35:48
  Speaker 3: way better pitcher here with Toronto Dylan Cease. He's had
• 35:51
  Speaker 3: a good season, man, He's been the one bright spot
• 35:53
  Speaker 3: for Toronto two point four to one. He's got his
• 35:56
  Speaker 3: whip way down from where it was last year, much
• 35:59
  Speaker 3: better this year than last year, one point zero eight whip.
• 36:02
  Speaker 3: He's been excellent on the road, one point nine to
• 36:04
  Speaker 3: two roadier rate one sixty three upon a batting average.
• 36:08
  Speaker 3: He's been like untouchable on the road. He's walking a
• 36:11
  Speaker 3: few too many guys here, but he's striking out a
• 36:13
  Speaker 3: ton of guys. He's been basically unhittable. He's still pitching
• 36:17
  Speaker 3: well here. Uh, he's a guy that's used to just
• 36:19
  Speaker 3: throwing a ton of pitches, throwing a ton of innings.
• 36:22
  Speaker 3: He just doesn't really give a shit. He's got a
• 36:25
  Speaker 3: low hit rate, his walk rate is still kind of high. Uh,
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: that's the one issue with him. But he has an
• 36:30
  Speaker 3: enormous strikeout rate as well. He just blows guys away,
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: very difficult to hit, and against the Cubs, not really
• 36:37
  Speaker 3: any difference there. One hundred and six at bats he's
• 36:40
  Speaker 3: pretty much dominated. Then they have a very low one
• 36:42
  Speaker 3: ninety eight batting average against him. Six twenty three ops
• 36:46
  Speaker 3: a lot because of the walks. The walks are kind
• 36:49
  Speaker 3: of moving the ops up a little bit. Forty three
• 36:51
  Speaker 3: strikeouts eleven walks. It's still not not even that bad
• 36:54
  Speaker 3: of a ratio because again it's still in cease. He
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: has a ton of strikeouts but also a ton of
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: walk But I think he's gonna outpitch David Peterson. I
• 37:03
  Speaker 3: know Peterson's been good since he's joined the Cobs, except
• 37:06
  Speaker 3: for one really bad start that he had at home.
• 37:09
  Speaker 3: I still don't think he's a good pitcher man. I'm sorry.
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: I think maybe the honeymoon period is gonna end for
• 37:15
  Speaker 3: him soon. Here, you know, getting excited to pitch on
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: the Cobs. Okay, sure he's on a contending team. Uh
• 37:22
  Speaker 3: but yeah, at some point this is gonna, I think
• 37:25
  Speaker 3: unravel for Peterson. He's not a good pitcher. Five point
• 37:28
  Speaker 3: five two ERA, one point four to eight whip. None
• 37:31
  Speaker 3: of that is good, although I know his numbers are
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: way better with the Cobs so far. But he's been
• 37:35
  Speaker 3: bad at home generally this season six point seventy five
• 37:38
  Speaker 3: home ray. He's coming off a really good start against
• 37:41
  Speaker 3: the Yankees and could possibly be in a letdown spot
• 37:44
  Speaker 3: maybe after that, because that was a really excellent performance.
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: It was one of his best starts. His starts prior
• 37:51
  Speaker 3: to that mostly weren't really quite that good. He was
• 37:53
  Speaker 3: kind of walking way too many guys if you look
• 37:55
  Speaker 3: at his strikeout walk ratio. It was good in that
• 37:57
  Speaker 3: Yankees start, but prior to that, in the month of July,
• 38:01
  Speaker 3: he had a twelve ten strike out walk ratio, So
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: that's not good. That doesn't inspire confidence. It may man
• 38:08
  Speaker 3: just not striking guys out walking too many guys. That's
• 38:11
  Speaker 3: the same old David Peterson. And one of those starts
• 38:13
  Speaker 3: was just awful at home against Saint Louis, and Saint
• 38:17
  Speaker 3: Louis is not a good offense, so not a great sign.
• 38:20
  Speaker 3: I know Toronto's not a good offense either. Peterson's numbers
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: are actually good against Toronto, but I'm still gonna fade
• 38:27
  Speaker 3: him here because I think Dylan Cease is just the
• 38:28
  Speaker 3: better pitcher. Plus I think it's a letdown spot for
• 38:31
  Speaker 3: the Cubs. Yes, I know Toronto hasn't been able to
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: hit him that well. Two twenty two average six h
• 38:35
  Speaker 3: six ops and thirty six at bats six' four strike
• 38:39
  Speaker 3: out walk. Ratio so you could look towards an under
• 38:42
  Speaker 3: in this. GAME i, MEAN i suppose that would also
• 38:45
  Speaker 3: be a way to look. Here maybe both pitchers will
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: actually do alright. HERE i wouldn't really disagree with the
• 38:50
  Speaker 3: under in this, one BUT i LIKE i Like. Toronto,
• 38:54
  Speaker 3: man nobody's gonna want to do, it and the money
• 38:56
  Speaker 3: is actually backing the. Over in this, game although the
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: total seven and a, half so it is a low,
• 39:00
  Speaker 3: total so the odds makers think it's gonna be a
• 39:02
  Speaker 3: low scoring. Game it's In, wrigly so possibly that also
• 39:06
  Speaker 3: means there's wind blowing in In wrigley, here but it
• 39:09
  Speaker 3: is dyln't, cease so he obviously factors into the low
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: total quite a. Bit that And peterson's been better. Recently
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: but the money is all coming in On, toronto so
• 39:17
  Speaker 3: that's What i'm doing. Here they're a slight favorite. Here
• 39:21
  Speaker 3: you have to pay a bit more of a price
• 39:22
  Speaker 3: if you want to go first. Five you could go
• 39:24
  Speaker 3: first five on this and just focus on the starting pitching.
• 39:28
  Speaker 3: Matchup But i'm okay With toronto's bullpen in this, one
• 39:30
  Speaker 3: So i'm gonna take them for the full. Game maybe
• 39:33
  Speaker 3: it's a little, dangerous but it's also partially the situation
• 39:36
  Speaker 3: here where, YEAH i just think it's a letdown spot
• 39:39
  Speaker 3: for The cubs as, well but that might have more
• 39:41
  Speaker 3: of an impact early in the. Game fifty three percent
• 39:43
  Speaker 3: of tickets on The, cubs seventy five percent of the
• 39:45
  Speaker 3: cash On, toronto so the money's back In, toronto and
• 39:48
  Speaker 3: if you want to go first, five you do probably
• 39:50
  Speaker 3: have to pay about minus one thirty something because everybody
• 39:53
  Speaker 3: Knows Dylan cease is a dominant. Pitcher so that's what
• 39:57
  Speaker 3: you got going on. Here But i'm hoping That cease
• 39:59
  Speaker 3: can get us dep enough into this game that we
• 40:01
  Speaker 3: can bridge it to the. Bullpens and their bullpen isn't
• 40:05
  Speaker 3: really that, Bad so let's do. It, jeffrey what's UP?
• 40:09
  Speaker 3: Pca he's. HOT i don't know If i'd want to
• 40:13
  Speaker 3: back any of his props though Against Dylan cease here,
• 40:15
  Speaker 3: though what does he do Against? CEASE i, Mean ce's
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: kind of dominates. Everybody he's not bad against. Him he's
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: two for. Five it's a small sample, though could for.
• 40:27
  Speaker 3: Too is the guy that actually Hit cease the best
• 40:29
  Speaker 3: in this lineup six for, nineteen although with no home
• 40:33
  Speaker 3: runs against, him but he has the best numbers against,
• 40:35
  Speaker 3: him basically all, Right detroit At. Seattle seattle was able
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: to get the win Yesterday Brian wu at home plus
• 40:43
  Speaker 3: the bounce back, spot SO i was correct About seattle
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: winning the, game although it was kind of close four to.
• 40:49
  Speaker 3: Two detroit were sellers at the trade deadline, too though
• 40:52
  Speaker 3: In seattle is still trying to win their division here
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: AND i think it's definitely. POSSIBLE i Think. SEATTLE i
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: think they're better than the record looks, man And seattle
• 41:00
  Speaker 3: should have the better pitcher on the mound, here SO
• 41:02
  Speaker 3: i think they should win again here with the combination
• 41:06
  Speaker 3: of having more motivation plus the better pitching in this,
• 41:10
  Speaker 3: game BECAUSE i Think seattle also has the better. Bullpen
• 41:13
  Speaker 3: these three. Guys, yesterday they did have to close out
• 41:16
  Speaker 3: the game, Yesterday detroit used four relief. Pitchers detroit's not
• 41:20
  Speaker 3: a horrible, bullpen BUT i Think seattle's is. Better seattle
• 41:24
  Speaker 3: is ranked, Fourteenth detroit has ranked. Eighteenth their eras are pretty,
• 41:28
  Speaker 3: similar But seattle's is. Better seattle's been a bad offense,
• 41:32
  Speaker 3: though that's been their huge problem this. Year their pitching
• 41:34
  Speaker 3: has been, good that they're hitting hasn't been. Good twenty
• 41:37
  Speaker 3: seventh in, offense that's not. Good man And detroit's been
• 41:41
  Speaker 3: better at, tenth Although detroit sellers at the trade, deadline
• 41:45
  Speaker 3: but they mostly sold. Pitching detroit's going with From bervaldez.
• 41:49
  Speaker 3: Year he's definitely been. MEDIOCRE i would say this season
• 41:54
  Speaker 3: four point four to ONE, era one point three to
• 41:56
  Speaker 3: nine whip is not very. Good he's been a bit
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: worse on the road four point six' eight. Rodier, Right
• 42:01
  Speaker 3: however seattle is a pitcher friendly, Park here valdez has
• 42:05
  Speaker 3: pitched a little bit better in his last couple of.
• 42:07
  Speaker 3: Starts here he's been okay recently and had a good
• 42:09
  Speaker 3: start last time out At. The a's so that's a
• 42:12
  Speaker 3: decent sign if he could pitch well in a really
• 42:15
  Speaker 3: bad stadium. Like That so valdez might be in somewhat
• 42:18
  Speaker 3: decent form at least. Right now he has a high
• 42:21
  Speaker 3: hit rate on, the, season THOUGH which i think usually
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: is not the case. WITH him i think he usually
• 42:25
  Speaker 3: doesn't allow that, many hits but he walks too. Many guys,
• 42:28
  Speaker 3: this year it's been kind of both his hit rates,
• 42:30
  Speaker 3: too high as walk rate is lower than he usually,
• 42:33
  Speaker 3: gives you but it's. Not great and his strikeout rate
• 42:35
  Speaker 3: IS low i think lower than usual for him. As
• 42:37
  Speaker 3: well but he's getting a lot of, ground BALLS which
• 42:40
  Speaker 3: i think was part of the reason why he succeeded
• 42:42
  Speaker 3: In the. A's stadium he was just getting guys to
• 42:44
  Speaker 3: hit it into, the ground and that's what you need
• 42:47
  Speaker 3: to do in a stadium. Like that valdez did Pitch
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: against seattle earlier, this year had a, decent start give
• 42:54
  Speaker 3: up one run in. Five innings that Was in detroit In,
• 42:56
  Speaker 3: EARLY june i think is what. That, Was yeah Valdez against, seattle,
• 43:01
  Speaker 3: overall though has not been very good one hundred and
• 43:03
  Speaker 3: forty nine. At bats they're very familiar with him because
• 43:06
  Speaker 3: he Was on houston thirty eight to eighteen strikeout walk
• 43:09
  Speaker 3: ratio to eighty, nine average seven to ninety, five ohps
• 43:12
  Speaker 3: so he doesn't do Well against, seattle typically even though
• 43:16
  Speaker 3: this isn't more a pitcher. FRIENDLY park i don't think
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: i'd want To back. Valdez Here and Seattle's Got bryce
• 43:21
  Speaker 3: miller on. The mound he's been one of their better starters.
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: This year two POINT eight era point nine to two
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: whip is. Really good he's been really good at home
• 43:29
  Speaker 3: one point three to four homy are of a one
• 43:31
  Speaker 3: forty seven opponent, batting average so he's been almost untouchable.
• 43:35
  Speaker 3: At home started to pitch a little bit worse over
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: his last couple of, starts though like he was, basically
• 43:41
  Speaker 3: dominating especially throughout the Month, of June but july wasn't
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: really as good. For him although he's still not really,
• 43:47
  Speaker 3: PITCHING poorly i wouldn't i wouldn't say he's got a
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: low hit, rate here low, walk rate strike out rates one,
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: per inning which is decent. As well he pitches Better,
• 43:57
  Speaker 3: in seattle which most pitchers do because it's a pitcher.
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: Friendly ballpark numbers are Good against detroit, as well and
• 44:03
  Speaker 3: sixty six at bats sixteen to one strikeout walk ratio
• 44:07
  Speaker 3: is really good to twelve average allowed five, Twelve Ops,
• 44:10
  Speaker 3: SO miller i think he's the better pitcher and has
• 44:13
  Speaker 3: the better matchup. NUMBERS here i think the Only way
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: i'd be able to play this game is To. Play
• 44:17
  Speaker 3: seattle but the money is completely Fading THAT and i
• 44:20
  Speaker 3: don't really know why seventy six percent of the Tickets
• 44:23
  Speaker 3: on seattle seventy two percent of the Cash. On DETROIT
• 44:27
  Speaker 3: the i don't really see much of a reason, for,
• 44:29
  Speaker 3: it man other than it does look kind of maybe
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: too easy To play seattle here at minus won twenty
• 44:35
  Speaker 3: something because they think everybody kind of Knows that seattle
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: is the one team that has something to play. For
• 44:40
  Speaker 3: HERE but i, don't. KNOW man i mean getting them
• 44:43
  Speaker 3: at a small price, like that where you're not really
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: paying that much for them to just win, the GAME
• 44:46
  Speaker 3: and i think they have the motivational edge and the
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: pitching edge throughout. This game that's the WAY that i Would.
• 44:52
  Speaker 3: Lean seattle and the money's kind of playing the over
• 44:55
  Speaker 3: seven and a, Half there i'm not so sure. About
• 44:58
  Speaker 3: that the game feels a a little bit more like
• 45:00
  Speaker 3: an under game. TO me i think the pitching throughout
• 45:03
  Speaker 3: the game is better than, The HITTINGS so i. Don't
• 45:05
  Speaker 3: know it feels like an under, To me, BUT yeah
• 45:08
  Speaker 3: I think seattle is my opinion in. That game Washington.
• 45:12
  Speaker 3: In philadelphia philadelphia is a massive favorite in, this game
• 45:15
  Speaker 3: and probably too heavy of. A fair you can't play
• 45:18
  Speaker 3: a minus three hundred something favorite, in, baseball man you
• 45:21
  Speaker 3: just can't. Do it Even though philly does have one
• 45:24
  Speaker 3: of their best pitchers on the. Mound here philly just
• 45:26
  Speaker 3: lost a four game win. Streak yesterday they got Blasted,
• 45:29
  Speaker 3: by washington but that was actually an extra. Inning game
• 45:32
  Speaker 3: believe it. Or not washington just unloaded in extra innings
• 45:35
  Speaker 3: and one ten. To four So this, washington offense maybe
• 45:39
  Speaker 3: they're not. Done. Yet man even though they sold a
• 45:41
  Speaker 3: little bit at the, trade deadline they put up a
• 45:43
  Speaker 3: lot of. Runs yesterday maybe it was misleading, as well
• 45:46
  Speaker 3: because a bunch of the runs came.
• 45:47
  Speaker 4: In.
• 45:48
  Speaker 3: Extras philly losing a, win, streak though might hang them
• 45:51
  Speaker 3: over a little bit coming into. This game they've won
• 45:53
  Speaker 3: two out of the three games in. THE series i
• 45:55
  Speaker 3: don't think they're Gonna overlook washington, here necessarily but losing
• 45:59
  Speaker 3: a win streak definitely can hang you over a. Little
• 46:01
  Speaker 3: bit philadelphia clearly does have the better starting pitcher on
• 46:05
  Speaker 3: the mound, here though and they have the better bullpen.
• 46:07
  Speaker 3: As well neither bullpen, is Good but phillies is Better
• 46:10
  Speaker 3: than Washington's still philly because it was an extra inning,
• 46:14
  Speaker 3: Game though philly just ran everybody out of. Their bullpen
• 46:17
  Speaker 3: though they use eight relief, pitchers YESTERDAY so i would
• 46:19
  Speaker 3: not want to deal with either of. THESE bullpen i
• 46:22
  Speaker 3: don't think i'd want to deal with these, bullpens anyway
• 46:24
  Speaker 3: but there's no WAY that i would after the usage
• 46:26
  Speaker 3: Yesterday and washington used whatever, this is six, Relief pitchers
• 46:31
  Speaker 3: i'm not gonna deal with. These bullpens they're also. Not
• 46:33
  Speaker 3: GOOD like, I said philly has ranked Twentieth and washington is.
• 46:37
  Speaker 3: Twenty sixth not good. Bullpens here washington's still number two.
• 46:41
  Speaker 3: In offense phillies should see some, IMPROVEMENT offensively i, would
• 46:46
  Speaker 3: say but they're twenty third right, now still which is.
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: Not good although they've been better at home and they
• 46:50
  Speaker 3: did Get, a riaz so some things might turn around
• 46:54
  Speaker 3: a little Bit for philadelphia's, offense here and they're going
• 46:56
  Speaker 3: Up Against miles. Mikalis here was not a, good PITCHER
• 47:00
  Speaker 3: though i think he's maybe not really as bad as his.
• 47:02
  Speaker 3: Era looks five point six to seventy ray one point
• 47:06
  Speaker 3: three to five whip is at least, somewhat reasonable and
• 47:09
  Speaker 3: he's been a little bit better on. The road five
• 47:12
  Speaker 3: point Three Seven roady ray is still, not good though
• 47:16
  Speaker 3: he hasn't been going deep into most of his. Outings
• 47:18
  Speaker 3: recently he did go a little bit Deeper against atlanta
• 47:21
  Speaker 3: and he kind of kept his team alive in. That
• 47:23
  Speaker 3: game he wasn't horrible in, that game but they still lost.
• 47:26
  Speaker 3: The game he's got a high, hit rate though he
• 47:29
  Speaker 3: loves way too many hits and way too many, home
• 47:31
  Speaker 3: runs and that's his. Main issue he doesn't really walk
• 47:33
  Speaker 3: a lot, of guys but he also doesn't strike. Anybody
• 47:36
  Speaker 3: out he pitches to contact and a lot of it doesn't.
• 47:39
  Speaker 3: Go well he's been too, Hittable man so not great.
• 47:43
  Speaker 4: For.
• 47:43
  Speaker 3: Me, kolas However, against philadelphia he's actually not. That bad
• 47:48
  Speaker 3: they have a ton of at bats against him one
• 47:49
  Speaker 3: hundred and, ninety nine and he's actually slightly. Bested them
• 47:54
  Speaker 3: two sixty six average is, pretty, Average huh but seven
• 47:57
  Speaker 3: eighteen ohps is not really. That Bad so micholas has
• 48:01
  Speaker 3: actually been Okay against philadelphia thirty to seven strike a.
• 48:05
  Speaker 3: Walk ratio, SO again i think the price tag is
• 48:08
  Speaker 3: probably too High on, philly here and It's Because christopher
• 48:10
  Speaker 3: sanchez is on. The, mound obviously he's the better pitcher
• 48:13
  Speaker 3: two point SIX, one rra one point, two whip although
• 48:16
  Speaker 3: he's been not as dominant as he was early in the,
• 48:19
  Speaker 3: season recently although he's been really good at home one
• 48:23
  Speaker 3: point two To Eight homie ray with a way lower
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: opponent batting average at two point one. At home his
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: walk rate has become a. Problem though his last, two
• 48:31
  Speaker 3: starts even though he won both of them and didn't
• 48:33
  Speaker 3: allow him many runs, and whatever his walk rate went.
• 48:36
  Speaker 3: Way up he's walked eight guys in his last, twelve
• 48:39
  Speaker 3: innings so that's not a great sign that he's sort
• 48:42
  Speaker 3: of losing his command a little bit, here perhaps so
• 48:44
  Speaker 3: though maybe it's a fluke maybe he kind of gets
• 48:46
  Speaker 3: back on. TRACK here i think throughout his career he's
• 48:49
  Speaker 3: always had some. Walk issues though his hit rate is
• 48:53
  Speaker 3: actually a little bit too high really for a picture of.
• 48:56
  Speaker 3: His caliber this year it's below one, per inning but not,
• 48:59
  Speaker 3: by much so that's a little. Bit concerning his walk
• 49:01
  Speaker 3: rate is actually quite low, this year lower than what
• 49:04
  Speaker 3: you usually get out. Of him and his strikeout rate is,
• 49:06
  Speaker 3: definitely high and he gets a lot of ground, ball
• 49:08
  Speaker 3: outs so he doesn't allow many home runs. Or whatever
• 49:12
  Speaker 3: washington has a good batting average against him three to,
• 49:14
  Speaker 3: zero three but they also don't hit him for power
• 49:17
  Speaker 3: six eighty, eight ohps fifteen to six strikeout walk ratio
• 49:20
  Speaker 3: is not that good of. A ratio that's in sixty six,
• 49:23
  Speaker 3: at Bats so sanchez doesn't Exactly. DOMINATE washington i, don't,
• 49:30
  Speaker 3: KNOW man i mean, this game possibly you could think
• 49:33
  Speaker 3: about maybe the, OVER here, i mean given that it
• 49:36
  Speaker 3: looks like both, STARTING pitchers, i guess, you know could
• 49:39
  Speaker 3: maybe give up something here and then you get the
• 49:41
  Speaker 3: bullpens getting. Involved here the totals, at nine so it's
• 49:45
  Speaker 3: right on that. Key number maybe a couple of books
• 49:47
  Speaker 3: still have eight and a half here with juice though
• 49:50
  Speaker 3: money is playing the over sixty seven percent of tickets
• 49:52
  Speaker 3: on the under sixty four percent of the cash on.
• 49:55
  Speaker 3: The over that might be an approach here is to take.
• 49:58
  Speaker 3: The over three hundred something minus three thirty is the Price,
• 50:02
  Speaker 3: on philly and they're very public eighty nine percent of
• 50:05
  Speaker 3: the tickets ninety one percent of the cash. ON them
• 50:07
  Speaker 3: i don't think there's any way you could try To
• 50:08
  Speaker 3: play philly here on definitely not on the money line up.
• 50:13
  Speaker 3: SPREAD whatever i would not. Do, THAT yeah, I mean i.
• 50:17
  Speaker 3: DON'T know i think the only Way that i'd be
• 50:19
  Speaker 3: able to really probably approach that game would be. THE
• 50:21
  Speaker 3: over i mean, YOU could, i Guess consider philly's team,
• 50:24
  Speaker 3: total over but you're gonna need them to score a bunch.
• 50:27
  Speaker 3: Of runs with the price tag being, like that you
• 50:30
  Speaker 3: probably need them to score six runs in. That GAME
• 50:33
  Speaker 3: so i, don't know it's. Definitely possible, but yeah that's
• 50:37
  Speaker 3: not A game i would want anything to do With
• 50:39
  Speaker 3: the battle Of, The Socks, White Sox. Red sox i'm
• 50:43
  Speaker 3: not gonna give You The white sox. Again, Today man
• 50:45
  Speaker 3: i'm not gonna do it. This Time red sox won
• 50:48
  Speaker 3: both games in the series. So Far The red sox
• 50:50
  Speaker 3: And the braves are both really hot. Right now they
• 50:53
  Speaker 3: both won seven games in. A row i thought there
• 50:56
  Speaker 3: was gonna be a let down here For The red
• 50:57
  Speaker 3: sox in the first game. Back home it didn't happen. At,
• 50:59
  Speaker 3: ALL yesterday i thought they didn't have the, pitching Edge
• 51:02
  Speaker 3: And sonny gray came out and delivered a. Good, start
• 51:06
  Speaker 3: man he proved. Me wrong his sweeper was really really.
• 51:09
  Speaker 3: Working yesterday he was fooling a lot of guys with
• 51:11
  Speaker 3: that breaking. Pitch. Yesterday Man red sox are on the
• 51:16
  Speaker 3: version of a. Sweep now and, YOU know i like
• 51:18
  Speaker 3: to avoid teams that are trying to sweep the. OTHER
• 51:20
  Speaker 3: team i tend to like to lean towards the team
• 51:23
  Speaker 3: trying to avoid, the sweep which Is The. WHITE sox
• 51:25
  Speaker 3: i don't really Think The red sox are gonna. Look
• 51:27
  Speaker 3: ahead they Play the a's Next, in boston And The
• 51:30
  Speaker 3: red sox just Beat the a's on the road three out,
• 51:33
  Speaker 3: of four Though The red sox had some close games in.
• 51:35
  Speaker 3: That one, BUT yeah i don't Think the a's are
• 51:37
  Speaker 3: going to be a, look ahead. You know And The,
• 51:41
  Speaker 3: red sox, you know we made. SOME mistakes i guess
• 51:44
  Speaker 3: jumping in front of, that TRAIN although i still thought
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: it was the right move to Fade The. Red sox
• 51:49
  Speaker 3: there were a lot of professionals that agreed with me
• 51:51
  Speaker 3: On The. White sox in the first game of. THIS
• 51:53
  Speaker 3: series i think yesterday they were more leaning towards an
• 51:56
  Speaker 3: under than, anything else so they did get that. One right, but,
• 51:58
  Speaker 3: anyway Whatever The red sox bullpen is. Really good these
• 52:01
  Speaker 3: three guys out of the. Bullpen yesterday they have the better.
• 52:04
  Speaker 3: Bullpen Here The white sox use three. As Well red
• 52:07
  Speaker 3: sox have an. Elite bullpen they're number one in both Whip.
• 52:11
  Speaker 3: And Era The white sox are. Number fifteen they're not a,
• 52:14
  Speaker 3: bad bullpen But The red sox. Are Better white sox
• 52:17
  Speaker 3: are the. Better offense. They're Sixteenth The red sox have
• 52:19
  Speaker 3: been coming around a. Bit though they're, eighteenth now so
• 52:22
  Speaker 3: they are moving up in. That Department The white sox
• 52:25
  Speaker 3: are gonna Go With. Luis castillo he is Making His
• 52:28
  Speaker 3: white sox. Debut here they got him right before the.
• 52:32
  Speaker 3: Trade deadline interesting Case with castillo man because he's been
• 52:36
  Speaker 3: pretty good throughout, his career but he was having some
• 52:38
  Speaker 3: major Issues with seattle. This YEAR and i really don't,
• 52:41
  Speaker 3: know why because you'd think that he would still pitch Well.
• 52:44
  Speaker 3: In seattle it's a pitcher. Friendly park he's been good
• 52:46
  Speaker 3: throughout his. CAREER there i don't know what happened, to
• 52:49
  Speaker 3: him but this year not. Very good five point oh
• 52:51
  Speaker 3: six cra one point three to. Nine whip he looked
• 52:54
  Speaker 3: like he started kind of turning it around a little
• 52:56
  Speaker 3: bit more recently in. The season, But yeah seattle. Helt
• 53:00
  Speaker 3: him he'll Bolster The white sox out rotation a. Little
• 53:04
  Speaker 3: bit although at THIS point i think he's kind of a.
• 53:06
  Speaker 3: Mediocre pitcher he's been kind of the same home. And
• 53:09
  Speaker 3: away he's been worse on the, road though with his
• 53:11
  Speaker 3: opponent of, batting average so he is a bit worse
• 53:13
  Speaker 3: on the road if you look. At that and after
• 53:17
  Speaker 3: he had, a stretcher it looked like he was kind
• 53:18
  Speaker 3: of turning. It around he had a bad start last
• 53:20
  Speaker 3: time out Against. The dodgers dodgers really really. HIT him
• 53:24
  Speaker 3: i don't know if that's much of. A sign, i Mean,
• 53:26
  Speaker 3: the dodgers, you Know the dodgers' offense is. Really Good
• 53:28
  Speaker 3: but casille's a lot a lot of home, runs recently
• 53:31
  Speaker 3: so that's a little bit of a. Concern here his
• 53:34
  Speaker 3: strike up rate hasn't been very. Impressive recently over the
• 53:37
  Speaker 3: course of. The season his strike up rate is, not
• 53:39
  Speaker 3: great his hit rate is way too high above one.
• 53:42
  Speaker 3: Per inning his walk rate isn't really that, good either
• 53:44
  Speaker 3: so he's definitely had some issues. This year he pitched
• 53:47
  Speaker 3: pretty poorly Against The red Sox in seattle Back, in
• 53:51
  Speaker 3: june which is maybe not a good sign either because
• 53:53
  Speaker 3: that's a pitcher friendly, park there and his numbers Against
• 53:56
  Speaker 3: The red sox overall are also. Not good in seventy nine,
• 53:59
  Speaker 3: at bats, four average eight fifty, six ops twenty one
• 54:02
  Speaker 3: to four strike out walk ratio, is good But The
• 54:05
  Speaker 3: red sox have definitely had. His Number wilson contreras has
• 54:08
  Speaker 3: the most of bats against him and has really done
• 54:10
  Speaker 3: some damage. Against him and we'll see if he's in.
• 54:13
  Speaker 3: THE lineup i told you he exited yesterday's game with,
• 54:15
  Speaker 3: an illness but hopefully it's. Nothing lingering hopefully he comes
• 54:19
  Speaker 3: back today For The. Red Sox red sox are Going
• 54:22
  Speaker 3: with Ron your. Suarez here he's been good a three
• 54:25
  Speaker 3: point ONE, five era one point one, six whip although
• 54:28
  Speaker 3: he's been slightly worse at home three point five to TWO.
• 54:31
  Speaker 3: Homey ra and since he's come back. From injury he's
• 54:35
  Speaker 3: not gone deep into, his, Outings man he's he hasn't
• 54:37
  Speaker 3: made it five innings yet in any of his outings
• 54:40
  Speaker 3: is coming back, from injury although that's partially Because The
• 54:42
  Speaker 3: red sox management is limiting his. PITCH count i THINK
• 54:46
  Speaker 3: they're i don't know exactly what the deal is here
• 54:48
  Speaker 3: if they're trying to ease him. Back in although he
• 54:51
  Speaker 3: didn't really pitch that well Against the dodgers last, time
• 54:53
  Speaker 3: up But, the DODGERS as i showed you, Back then
• 54:55
  Speaker 3: dodgers have.
• 54:56
  Speaker 4: His.
• 54:56
  Speaker 3: Number man dodgers do a lot of damage ains so
• 55:00
  Speaker 3: But The red sox still won. That game he didn't
• 55:03
  Speaker 3: pitch poorly in the previous Game, against toronto but they
• 55:05
  Speaker 3: held him on a. Pitch count in his first, game
• 55:07
  Speaker 3: back he was a little bit Shaky, against anahigh But
• 55:10
  Speaker 3: The red sox won all three of. Those games suarez
• 55:13
  Speaker 3: still has had good command though since, coming back thirteen
• 55:16
  Speaker 3: to two strike a, walk ratio but he's been a
• 55:18
  Speaker 3: little bit too hit a bo overall in. The season
• 55:20
  Speaker 3: good stuff the low, hit rate low, walk rate high
• 55:24
  Speaker 3: strikeout rate, as well so his numbers have been pretty
• 55:26
  Speaker 3: good across the Board here he's been kind of mediocre
• 55:30
  Speaker 3: Against The, white sox though in twenty seven, at bats
• 55:33
  Speaker 3: two fifty nine average eight thirty six ops is kind
• 55:36
  Speaker 3: of worse, than mediocre though five to four streke a
• 55:39
  Speaker 3: walk ratio not exactly the greatest. NUMBERS here i think.
• 55:44
  Speaker 3: This game the best way to play this game is probably.
• 55:46
  Speaker 3: The over neither starting pitcher looks like they match up that,
• 55:50
  Speaker 3: well here and the money is indicating on the over
• 55:53
  Speaker 3: sixty two percent of tickets on the under eighty three
• 55:55
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash on. THE over i know the
• 55:57
  Speaker 3: first game went way over, the total which was All
• 55:59
  Speaker 3: The red sox. Doing it yesterday went way under. The
• 56:02
  Speaker 3: Total The white sox have only scored two runs in the,
• 56:05
  Speaker 3: entire SERIES but i think they'll probably score more than
• 56:08
  Speaker 3: that in. This game totals, at Nine so oddsmaker's kind
• 56:13
  Speaker 3: of expecting a high. Scoring Game The red sox are
• 56:15
  Speaker 3: also a really high. PRICE here i think the price
• 56:19
  Speaker 3: is getting too high On The. Red Sox The red
• 56:21
  Speaker 3: sox are the favorite to WIN the, al now which is.
• 56:24
  Speaker 3: COMPLETELY ridiculous i. DON'T think i still don't think they're
• 56:27
  Speaker 3: the best team In The. American, League man, I'M sorry
• 56:29
  Speaker 3: i know they're on fire, right now but being having
• 56:33
  Speaker 3: the best odds to Win The, american LEAGUE which i
• 56:35
  Speaker 3: Think The red sox are somewhere around like five to
• 56:37
  Speaker 3: one now to Win The. American league so there's still
• 56:39
  Speaker 3: an underdog against the, field obviously but that is NOT
• 56:43
  Speaker 3: who i. WOULD play, i mean they're just way over hyped.
• 56:45
  Speaker 3: Right NOW like i would probably still Take the yankees
• 56:48
  Speaker 3: or something to Win The. American league that they still
• 56:50
  Speaker 3: have the second best odds to Win The, american league
• 56:52
  Speaker 3: But the yankees are still Behind, THE rays i think
• 56:55
  Speaker 3: in the, DIVISION here i Think the yankees are probably
• 56:58
  Speaker 3: the the TEAM that i would actually try to play
• 57:02
  Speaker 3: to actually Win The, american league probably yet about like six,
• 57:05
  Speaker 3: to one because, you Know the yankees are gonna get
• 57:07
  Speaker 3: some of their players back that, are injured, So Anyway
• 57:11
  Speaker 3: red sox might. As Well roman Anthony And garat crochet
• 57:14
  Speaker 3: look like they're kind of slowly working their. Way back
• 57:18
  Speaker 3: But The red sox are just too heavy a, favorite,
• 57:20
  Speaker 3: here man IS what i was trying. To say they're
• 57:22
  Speaker 3: like minus one. Seventy something they drop for minus one to,
• 57:24
  Speaker 3: eighty something ninety two percent of, the tickets eighty one
• 57:27
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash. On, THEM yeah i don't Think
• 57:30
  Speaker 3: The red sox should be that much of a, favorite
• 57:32
  Speaker 3: here even though they're on fire. Right now they have
• 57:35
  Speaker 3: a really. Good bullpen BUT yet i think this matchup
• 57:38
  Speaker 3: is closer than what that money line would. Tell you
• 57:41
  Speaker 3: so that's why the money's coming in On The. White
• 57:43
  Speaker 3: sox but the WAY that i would play, that GAME
• 57:45
  Speaker 3: if i was gonna play it, at all would be
• 57:47
  Speaker 3: to take the. Over, All right Miami and, atlanta here Uh,
• 57:52
  Speaker 3: For garrett atlanta has won seven games in, A row,
• 57:55
  Speaker 3: i think IS what. I said they're about to sweep,
• 57:58
  Speaker 3: THIS series, i believe which might mean that you want
• 58:00
  Speaker 3: to maybe Look towards miami Here because atlanta has a
• 58:03
  Speaker 3: big series coming up over the weekend Against The New,
• 58:06
  Speaker 3: york yankees and tomorrow it's Gonna Be max freed pitching
• 58:09
  Speaker 3: tomorrow against his, former team So Against chris sale, as
• 58:13
  Speaker 3: well so that's gonna be a huge. Match up there
• 58:16
  Speaker 3: possible under in, THAT game i don't. KNOW you i
• 58:18
  Speaker 3: don't want to jump the gun, on that but we'll
• 58:20
  Speaker 3: see a possible under In The soriana wheeler game. Too
• 58:25
  Speaker 3: tomorrow by, the way that one actually might. BE more
• 58:28
  Speaker 3: i couldn't make, my CARD but i got to dig
• 58:30
  Speaker 3: into all the matchup numbers. And stuff but a little
• 58:32
  Speaker 3: bit of a, preview there jumping. The gun, But anyway
• 58:35
  Speaker 3: atlanta might look ahead to that huge series Against, the
• 58:39
  Speaker 3: yankees so even though it's an inter, League series miami
• 58:43
  Speaker 3: might have more, motivation. HERE man, I mean atlanta's sitting
• 58:46
  Speaker 3: pretty nicely here atop, this Division so miami really needs this.
• 58:49
  Speaker 3: Game more, You know atlanta's got a big, lead here Especially.
• 58:53
  Speaker 3: Over Miami here miami trying to fight for their lives at.
• 58:57
  Speaker 3: This Point, but miami unfortunately, for them they do not
• 59:00
  Speaker 3: have the starting pitching advantage in, this one so that's
• 59:03
  Speaker 3: not gonna be Good. For miami miami's got a decent
• 59:06
  Speaker 3: bullpen these three. Guys yesterday atlanta's bullpen is better and
• 59:10
  Speaker 3: they only use, Two guys atlanta's number two Still. In
• 59:13
  Speaker 3: WHIP they i believe have the third best eras still
• 59:17
  Speaker 3: in the, bullpen's here Behind The red sox And. The,
• 59:19
  Speaker 3: yankees atlanta by, the way they're going Into that yankee
• 59:22
  Speaker 3: series at arrest, this advantage by, the Way because atlanta's
• 59:24
  Speaker 3: playing TODAY and i Believe the yankees, Are not so
• 59:27
  Speaker 3: that's not good for the For the. Braves either miami's
• 59:31
  Speaker 3: got the fourth ranked, bullpen HERE although i don't think
• 59:33
  Speaker 3: they're quite, that good but they're a. Decent bullpen atlanta's Ranked,
• 59:37
  Speaker 3: Eighth offensively miami's dropped a little bit. To eleventh atlanta's
• 59:40
  Speaker 3: Tied With tampa bay by, The way miami has dropped
• 59:43
  Speaker 3: A little, so yeah We'll give atlanta an offensive, edge
• 59:45
  Speaker 3: Here and atlanta's gonna get to go Up against jansen,
• 59:49
  Speaker 3: junk who even though he looked good early in, the
• 59:51
  Speaker 3: season he's not. Very good he's Pitching from. Miami here
• 59:54
  Speaker 3: four point five eighty r a one point three to
• 59:57
  Speaker 3: three whip. Not great not good on the, road either
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 3: five point two to eight roadra that's. Not good pitched
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 3: pretty well last time out Against, the mets but It's.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 3: The mets After Facing san diego And, the mets he's
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 3: gonna really have to step it up to Face. The
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 3: braves last time he Faced, the braves he got shelled
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 3: for eight runs in. Five innings didn't, walk anybody but
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 3: he was very hittable in, the game not a. Good
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 3: sign he's been somewhat hitable on, the season his hit,
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 3: rates high his walk rates not. Too bad so he
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 3: doesn't really walk. Many guys his strike out rate is low.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 3: As well though doesn't strike, guys out he pitches, to
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 3: contact AND as i was, alluding to he's not good
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 3: Against the braves and forty three at bats three twenty,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 3: six average eight THIRTY seven, ops nine zero strike out
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 3: walk ratio, is good but the rest of those numbers.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 3: Are NOT so i Don't think junk is gonna do.
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 3: That well atlanta's Going With martin, perez here who has
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 3: had a good season three point two TO, four era
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 3: one point one to seven whip again. Advanced analytics guys don't.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 3: Like him he's not a guy that comes in and blows,
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 3: you away but he's had a. Successful, season man he
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 3: stuck around in. The league he's had a successful season
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 3: and career IS what i meant, to say which is
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 3: why he stuck around for. That long and he's been
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 3: really good at Home for atlanta this year two point
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 3: THREE six yrra one seventy seven opponent. Batting average that's.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 3: Good stuff he pitched really well here last time out
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 3: in a SEVEN to inny one hit Shutout, against washington
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 3: so after it looked like he was kind of losing it,
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 3: a bit he kind of got back, on track and
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 3: his last couple of starts have, been decent although he
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 3: was too hittable Against the mats and walked too many
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 3: Guys Against san diego to start prior, to that but
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 3: it looks like he's kind of coming back into form a.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 3: Bit here pitched okay Against the marlins on the road
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 3: back In. Mid may ten strikeouts was definitely a season
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 3: high for. Him there that. WAS ridiculous i don't know
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 3: how he struck out that, many guys but he did
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 3: a lot of four runs in, five innings which wasn't,
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 3: exactly great Although the braves did win. That game he's
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 3: got a low hit rate on. The season his walk
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 3: rate is, too, high though so that is a little
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 3: bit of. A concern he's walking too. Many guys his
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 3: strikeout rate. Is low he doesn't really strike, guys out
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 3: gets a lot of off contact and a lot of
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 3: ground balls. And stuff he's been Good against, miami though
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 3: generally twenty seven at bats against their hitters one eighty,
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 3: five average six eighty six ops nine to two strike out.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 3: Walk ratio, So yeah perez seems to have the upper.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 3: HAND here I think i'd only be able to Play the,
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 3: braves here but the money is disagreeing with me. Pretty
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 3: Strongly the braves have dropped from minus one sixty to
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 3: minus one, forty here eighty five percent of the tickets
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 3: on them and only seventy three percent of. The cash
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 3: so the money Is, fading atlanta and It's, taking miami
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 3: probably in that sweep avoiding. Spot here money also backing
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 3: the over which has gone up to. Nine here it's
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 3: sitting on that key number. Of NINE now i could
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 3: see the argument. FOR that, i mean just you don't
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 3: really have elite starting, pitchers here so maybe there's an
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 3: argument for the. OVER here i still kind Of, lean,
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 3: BRAVES though i just think the pitching matchup does favor.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 3: Them HERE but i don't like the situation For. The
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 3: braves and again it looks like the money is definitely
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 3: Fading the. Braves here some of it is, probably priced
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 3: some of it is probably, the SITUATION but i don't
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 3: think it's the pitching matchup to really Back. On miami
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 3: so my lean would Slightly be. Atlanta there, All right
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 3: i'm gonna take. A break i'll be back two more
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 3: games here AND then i GOT. W nba i am
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 3: gonna have A w. Nba Playing then i'll talk ABOUT
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 3: The nfl Hall of. Fame game it'll be fun to
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 3: talk football a little bit. At Least so i'm not
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 3: gonna give out a play on. That chaos i'll be. Right. Back,
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 3: YEP inside i want to. Kill myself we WERE on
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 3: own seven run over the last two days. After tonight
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 3: it was just. Complete bullshit so That's that's i'm gonna
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 3: start off this Show horrible sunday one. AND five i
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 3: don't even know what to tell you. ABOUT that i
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 3: just don't want to do. THIS anymore i have never
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 3: seen anything, Like, this man with the. Slump continuing two,
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 3: straight losses not a good day. AT all own four
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 3: next have. NOT had i had a, Good, season man
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 3: with bookends the Slump that, i'm on and the, Slump
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 3: continues i've reached a. New, Peak actually i'm going to
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 3: burn my, Browins, HACK man i don't know what is
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 3: going on With the bruins? Arch hape is that what?
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 3: IT is i don't even know It's it's, MARCH ninth
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 3: i think who? Even, KNOWS man i don't know what
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 3: day it. Is ANYMORE but i don't even know what
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 3: day it. Is anymore man back with you after the
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 3: worst DAY that i could possibly have back with YOU
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 3: as i always AM until i die at least oh
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 3: and two yesterday and yesterday it did not go well.
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 3: For me own five the worst Month that i've ever
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 3: had in my eighteen years. DOING this i don't know
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 3: what to even tell you about. This anymore the slump
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 3: is the. Slump discontinuous the. Slump continues somebody fucking, kill.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 3: ME please i don't even KNOW what i should do
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 3: at this point other than potentially ended it all? All
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 3: right next game IS the ESPN Game Espn. Prime, time
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 3: man this is what. Everybody Wants, twins royals it GETS the. Tv,
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 3: billing yeah it makes total. Sense here you gotta be, kidding, Me,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 3: Man yeah twins think they're. GOING somewhere i can tell
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 3: you neither of these teams are. Going anywhere these teams have.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 3: Terrible BULLPENS so i guess if you, want offense maybe
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 3: you'll get. That here this. Is Bad kansas city only
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 3: is one guy out of the, bullpen YESTERDAY so i
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 3: guess there Is that. MINNESOTA'S three I Believe kansas city
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 3: might be on the verge of a, Sweep HERE am
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 3: i right? About, that Yeah so minnesota might have a
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 3: little motivational edge here trying to avoid. The Sweep kansas
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 3: city Plays the. Cubs next don't know if that's gonna
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 3: be a look ahead. OR not, I mean i don't
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 3: Know The kansas city is really Gonna overlook minnesota here
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 3: in a. Divisional series, You Know kansas city has the
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 3: potential to play. Spoiler Here the minnesota is going to
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 3: try to salvage this series here at the. Very, LEAST
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 3: however I Think kansas city does have the starting pitching
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 3: edge in, this GAME so i would not want to
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 3: try To play minnesota here given this. Pitching matchup minnesota
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 3: does have the. Better offense they are where are? They
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 3: at i'm not going. To pitching WHAT am i? Doing well? The?
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 3: Pitching yet we know the bullpens. Are terrible twenty Ninth,
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 3: from minnesota thirtieth For. The royals though you could argue
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 3: they're both better Than, the a's but they're still both really.
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 3: Bad bullpens minnesota's fourteenth, In Offense kansas. City Nineteenth bailey
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 3: ober is Pitching. For minnesota he's kind of a. MEDIOCRE
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 3: pitcher i would say four point four To five ray
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 3: one point two to three whip is not really, that
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 3: bad but he's been significantly worse on. The road horrible on.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 3: The road seven point one Point Five. Roady, ray yeah
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 3: that's not good in a three seventeen opponentent. Batting. Average
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 3: yeah so he's pretty backable at home and he's really
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 3: bad on. The road he Just Faced kansas city and
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 3: did pretty well in That game. Twins won that Was.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 3: In minnesota but now he's Not in. Minnesota, anymore man
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 3: He's in kansas is Sorry, in missouri Now In. KANSAS
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 3: city I was i was trying to Make a Wizard
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 3: of oz REFERENCE and i couldn't quite get there. With. It.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 3: Anyway ober on, the season his hit rate, is alright
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 3: his walk rate. Is alright his strike cut rate is kind.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 3: Of low nothing really, spectacular here but. Not awful Against,
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 3: the royals he hasn't been that, good though even though
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 3: he pitch well against them. Last time they have one
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 3: hundred and thirty one at bats against some two eighty,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 3: two average eight to twenty, eight ops twenty five to
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 3: five strike out. Walk ratio that's a, good ratio but
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 3: the rest of those number is.
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 5: Not.
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 3: Good ober typically he's just. Too hittable he doesn't really walk,
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 3: many guys but he gives up a lot of hits pitches.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 3: To contact and on the, Other Side michael walker is
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 3: pitching For. THE royals i think he's clearly the better
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 3: pitcher here and the more. Backable pitcher he's had a
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 3: good season again three point five to ONE e ra
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 3: one point one. Six whip he's better, at home so
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 3: the home road splits definitely favor. Him here three point
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 3: ZERO three homy area with a two seven teen opponent.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 3: Batting average pitch Well in colorado last, time out got
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 3: kind of hurt by the fielding. Behind him but he's
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 3: been pretty good Since The all. Star break he pitched
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 3: In The All, star game and since coming out of
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 3: that he's had three good starts in, a row and
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 3: doing that in course field not that easy. To do
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 3: good sign walk in good form. Right now reasonably low
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 3: hit rate on the, season here that's. Pretty good his
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 3: walk rate is. Pretty low strikeout rate, isn't high but
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 3: that's just not what. He does doesn't strike a lot of.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 3: Guys out, but yeah he's generally been. Pretty good he
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 3: Did face minnesota in here at, some point actually didn't
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 3: really do well in that start on the Road. At
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 3: minnesota he was pretty shaky in, that one but generally
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 3: he is pretty good. Against them in ninety seven at
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 3: bats to twenty, seven average seven to twenty two ops
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 3: is a little bit higher than you'd like, to see
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 3: but these numbers are still better than overs here twenty
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 3: to seven strike out. Walk RATIO so i think the
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 3: only Way that i'd really be able to play this
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 3: game is the same THING that i. Said yesterday royals.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 3: FIRST five i Think the royals have the starting pitching.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 3: ADVANTAGE here i would not do anything with their, bullpens
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 3: though with their bullpen other than. Fade them but the
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 3: money is also Just Fading. Kansas city and again it
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 3: seems like the money is taking every team that's trying
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 3: to avoid a. Sweep today so that is a, STRONG
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 3: situation i will give. You that but it, seems, like
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 3: yeah the money's just backing every one of, those teams
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 3: sixty nine percent of, the tickets sixty two percent of
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 3: the Cash On, kansas city so the money's. Fading them,
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 3: but again the problem you've seen me lay it all.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 3: Out here most of the teams trying to avoid the
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 3: sweeps are at a pretty significant starting pitching disadvantage in,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 3: my Opinion so i'm not jumping on any of those.
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 3: Teams Here the royals are at about minus one, twenty
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 3: ors so they've gone up a little bit on the.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 3: Money line if you play them, first five you're probably
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 3: gonna have to pay minus one thirty something. For IT
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 3: but i still think that's the better way to play.
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 3: THIS game i Would say royals. First. Five yesterday it
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 3: didn't get. There though Yesterday the royals HAD to, i
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 3: think get a run in the fifth just to. Tie
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 3: it So the royals first five pushed, yesterday one and
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 3: THEN then i think they won in the. Full game
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 3: so if you were insane enough to actually Back the,
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 3: royals bullpen you actually won. The. Game yesterday my play
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 3: would have been, a push. But whatever and then We
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 3: Have san Diego. And arizona this is a far from
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 3: elite starting pitching. Matchup here in, This one arizona. Won
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 3: yesterday they've won two out of three games in, the
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 3: series one ten. To four that was not an extra,
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 3: ending game unlike the other ten to four. Game Yesterday
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 3: san diego has the better. Bullpen here they use three
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 3: guys out of, the bullpen but again they've been using
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 3: some of the worst relief, pitchers here so their better
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 3: relievers are. Available here arizona. Used three arizona is, ranked
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 3: six BUT the era is four point. Two, two MAN
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 3: so i don't really think their bullpen is. That Good san,
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 3: diego again their bullpen's half a RUN better, era wise
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 3: even though they're worse in the. Width department they're, ranked
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 3: Eighth But san diego's got the better. Bullpen here offenses both,
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 3: Have struggled arizona, twenty First san diego, twenty Fourth Although
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 3: san diego seems to maybe. Be improved both teams seem
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 3: to maybe improving a little bit. Offensively Here walker bueller
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 3: is getting the Start For san, diego here probably not
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 3: exactly what you want If You're. San diego both These
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 3: pitch both of these teams are fighting for playoff positioning
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 3: right now to make. The Playoffs, Walker buehler, UH yeah
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 3: i mean he really hasn't recovered from his. Injury, stuff
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 3: man it's been a much more difficult goal for him
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 3: than it has Been For. Dustin may even uh five
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 3: point ONE eighty R for bueller this year one point
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 3: four or five whip really not good considering he pitches
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 3: in a pitcher friendly park at home and on, the
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 3: road he is worse five point seventy four WHOLE. Road
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 3: era that's. Not good gave up a lot of hits
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 3: last time last time out at Home Against. San francisco
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 3: that's not a. Good sign he's not pitching, very well
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 3: he's not going deep. Into games he's walking a lot of.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 3: Guys here this doesn't. Look good and he's a lot
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 3: a lot of hits on top of that over the
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 3: course of, the season more than one hit a. Lepper
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 3: inning also a high, walk rate strike up rate not really,
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 3: that great. Just okay, so, yeah overall those are not good, Numbers,
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 3: there bueller not REALLY somebody i want. To back Numbers
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 3: against arizona are better than you. Would think and one
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 3: hundred and, four bats two, fifty average seven to twenty,
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 3: four ohps twenty three to six strikeout, Walk ratio so
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 3: those numbers. Are okay so he does have an okay
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 3: match up Here. Against ARIZONA but i think some of
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 3: those numbers were Back when bueller, was better when he
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 3: was On, the dodgers like before his. Injuries happened so
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 3: keep that, in mind, BECAUSE yeah i still don't really
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 3: want to. Back him in his, current State and arizona's
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 3: Going With, cole DRAKE who i don't think is. That
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 3: good he's kind of a, young guy young left. Deal
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 3: though he wasn't really very impressive in his minor, league
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 3: numbers and he hasn't really been very impressive coming up
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 3: to the major. So far four point EIGHTY five vra
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 3: one point four To six whip hasn't pitched that. Much
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 3: yet he does have a one POINT eight era, at
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 3: home so he has actually been good. At home he
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 3: made one home start Against the a's and pitch well in.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 3: His debut then his road Starts against Washington and cleveland
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 3: were less, than Good and cleveland's not a. Good offense
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 3: maybe you give him a pass For the. Washington, one
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 3: overall his hit rate is a little bit above one,
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 3: per inning his walk rate is, too high strike gout rate.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 3: Is okay not a whole lot to take away from.
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 3: Us here it's a very small. Sample size he's kind
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 3: of allowed too many home Runs And san diego's never seen,
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 3: him before so he does have an unfamiliarity Edge Against
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 3: san diego and this will be a weaker lineup for
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 3: him to go up. Against here is that gonna be enough.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 3: For him i'm not. So sure, I'M man i. Don't
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 3: know this game kind of feels like an over, to
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 3: me and the money is kind of saying that the
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 3: totals at nine seventy one percent of tickets on the
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 3: under eighty six percent of the cash on. The over
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 3: it's at Least in Arizona Not, san diego so it's
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 3: a more hitter friendly. Ballpark here money seems to agree with,
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 3: the over and the money seems to be kind Of
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 3: Backing san diego fifty percent of tickets fifty five percent
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 3: of the cash, on them even though they opened a
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 3: favorite and then the favorite kind of flipped Over to
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 3: arizona a. Little bit it's basically a pick em. PRICE here,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 3: I Mean san diego does have a, better bullpen, BUT
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 3: yeah i, don't, KNOW man i could see both pitchers
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 3: maybe kind of struggling here and possibly not really going
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 3: that deep into these up into the, Game HERE so
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 3: I don't i think the over might make the most,
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 3: sense there but NOT something i want to, deal with,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 3: All right that. Is baseball baseball takes forever TO. Handicap
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 3: wnba we have. Three games the first game up is
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 3: going to be a play, for Me and i'm going
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 3: against the market in. This ONE but i think we
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 3: have multiple angles to, work here and one of them
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 3: is that the league just seems To Screw caitlin Clark
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 3: And sophy Conningham. In indiana we're Gonna Take. Las vegas
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 3: this is a money line play at minus one fifteen
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 3: Of the if you want to lay minus one and
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 3: a half and get the price down to about minus
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 3: one oh eight, or so you could do, That too
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 3: but the money line price is. Pretty Cheap so i'm
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 3: just gonna play them to win, the game not worry about,
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 3: that point although obviously if they if, they win they're
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 3: probably gonna win by at, least two but, not guaranteed.
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 3: Of course but it's supposed to be a ridiculously high,
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 3: scoring GAME and I thought vegas was a good. DEFENSIVE
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 3: team i Don't think i've seen a total this high
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 3: IN the. Wnba ever it opened, minus well it opened
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 3: in one ninety four and a half and it's one
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 3: ninety three and. A half some of that Is because
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 3: indiana they play really fast and they play. No defense they, just, score,
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 3: score score and they play. No defense and this Is,
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 3: in indiana so they're probably gonna be able to control.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 3: The PACE but i don't love teams like, that really,
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 3: you know just, high scoring. No defense the public tends
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 3: to like, those teams although not apparently not in this,
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 3: Game PARTICULARLY but i don't. Like that, AND yes i
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 3: know the market read is against me here fifty nine
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 3: percent of Tickets, on vegas fifty three percent of the Cash.
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 3: In INDIANA but I don't i'm not. Buying it, don't,
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 3: KNOW man i don't know what else to. Tell you
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 3: i'm doing my own. Handicapping here and this Is where
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 3: i've arrived on. This game this Is An amazon. PRIME
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 3: game i think this is a fade Spot. For indiana
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 3: even though they're Playing a vegas team that's the, Returning
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 3: champs they're not necessarily going to. Overlook them but they
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 3: Just crushed Vegas in vegas Back on. July twelve they
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 3: embarrassed Them. IN vegas i think it was Not in
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 3: vegas's actual home, ARENA though i think it was in
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 3: a different Arena. In Vegas but indiana beat them by
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 3: thirty four points. TO it, i mean that is. Massively
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 3: embarrassing you Gotta think vegas is not going to forget.
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 3: About That and vegas is gonna, make adjustments and if
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 3: you look at what happened in, this game it was
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 3: a complete outlier of. A game indiana shot fifty six
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 3: percent from, The field vegas thirty. Nine percent and teams
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 3: do not shoot this poorly Against an indiana team that plays,
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 3: no deepfense so that. Was Ridiculous and indiana was plus
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 3: thirty three from three. Point range they had eleven more.
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 3: Three pointers may they hit forty eight percent from three
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 3: Compared to vegas two twenty. FOUR percent, i mean you
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 3: want an, outlier there it is. Right there, Although no
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 3: indiana actually did win the, rebounding BATTLE though i don't
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 3: really see that Happening. Against Vegas As asia wilson mad
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 3: did she not play in? This game let, me SEE
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 3: because i know she was hurt around. This, time no she.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 3: DID play i. DON'T know i don't know what the, deal,
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 3: was man because you think That with wilson clogging, the
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 3: interior that there's no Way that vegas would lose the
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 3: rebound battle. Like that so that's THE one. I guess
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 3: bad sign Is that vegas did lose the. Rebound battle
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 3: but the three point variance was just insane in. This
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 3: game you gotta think it's gonna come back to some
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 3: sort of, mean, Here Right and vegas is shooting is
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 3: going to be better in. This Game like, indiana again
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 3: one of the worst things about them is their defense.
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 3: Is TERRIBLE so i Don't see vegas shooting this. Poorly
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 3: Again probably indiana is not gonna shoot this well again
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 3: either Against a vegas team that should be the better
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 3: defense out of these two. Teams here vegas is also
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 3: in the, Better Conference The west conference, is better as it,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 3: KEEPS saying I think Minnesota and vegas are of the
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 3: best two teams in. The league vegas is also really
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 3: good on the road twelve. And, four actually they've been
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 3: better on the road than, at HOME so i keep
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 3: pointing that. Out Too so vegas definitely a team that
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 3: can play well on. The road indiana's been pretty good
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 3: at home, as Well but, vegas, again yet they definitely
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 3: can play on. The road and this is not a
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 3: good Spot for, Indiana EITHER so i TOLD you i
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 3: got a lot of. Angles here indiana's returning over from
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 3: a road trip that they Started, On tuesday july. Twenty
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 3: eighth they went To The pacific coast and they Finished
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 3: in minnesota in what was a hotly. Contested game we
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 3: all remember that That the Rest. Screwed indiana it was a,
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 3: huge game it WAS a, tv game and it. Was
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 3: close indiana almost was able to win, that game EVEN
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 3: though I know minnesota wound up COVERING and i was
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 3: correct with, my lean but it was. Really dicey minnesota
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 3: was winning for a lot of. That Game but indiana
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 3: made a furious comeback late in, that GAME and i
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 3: think they like tied it up Or came they got
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 3: back to within like one or, TWO points i think
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 3: like three minutes. To Go so indiana really put in
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 3: an effort to come back in that game just to.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 3: Fall SHORT so i think it's a bad Spot for
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 3: indiana off. Of that plus it's a return home spot
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 3: on top, Of THAT so i think it's a hangover
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 3: spot of that huge Comeback against minnesota and one of
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 3: their biggest games of. The season hangover off. Of that
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 3: plus they lost a. Win streak they had a five game,
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 3: win STREAK and i talk about how when a team
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 3: loses a win streak that will hang them over. As
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 3: well indiana during that win streak really only had one
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 3: other good win in There Against new york and that
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 3: was a Game where indiana didn't look good in the
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 3: first half of, that game and they dominated the. Second half,
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 3: BUT yeah I mean indiana faced some weak teams during that.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 3: Win streak there there's a lot going. On here there's
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 3: the loss of the, wind streak a return, home, spot
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 3: WHICH as i always, talk about is a lot of
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 3: times it's. A distraction and they do go back out
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 3: on the road, after this but it's only To, play
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 3: CHICAGO which i know is not a, big deal but
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 3: still it's kind of a weird spot when you have
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 3: that one single home game and then you go back
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 3: out on, the ROAD and i know IT'S a, tv
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 3: game a prime game, at home so usually the home
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 3: team does get up. For it BUT like, I said
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 3: indiana Also, crushed vegas embarrassed them the last time they,
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 3: played them but it was a major outlier of a three.
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 3: Point GAME so I think vegas is gonna have the.
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 3: Adjustments made vegas is coming into this game in a
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 3: much better. Spot here vegas is COMING off i think
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 3: some easy, oh no it wasn't an. Easy win They,
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 3: beat atlanta but they didn't have to, put in, you
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 3: know like a. Full effort, let's say in that game
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 3: because they Blew, out atlanta so both teams. Looked GOOD
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 3: although i think people are Gonna give indiana a little
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 3: bit more credit for playing a game that where both
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 3: teams went into the hundreds and they Almost. BEAT minnesota
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 3: i think that's Gonna give indiana more Credit than vegas
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 3: is gonna get for beating a team that's actually inferior To.
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 3: Them Atlanta although, ATLANTA'S good i think they're kind of
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 3: under the radar a little Bit. In, vegas again that
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 3: game was over before it, was over. YOU know, I
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 3: mean vegas won by, twenty two AND normally i would
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 3: say your team might be a little bit cocky coming
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 3: out of a game. Like that, but again there's No
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 3: way vegas is going To. Overlook INDIANA and i know
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 3: They played, minnesota next which is a, big game but
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 3: you Saw what indiana just Did. To vegas vegas is
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 3: not going To overlook indiana after that was their most
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 3: embarrassing result of, THE year, i think besides maybe the
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 3: first game of the Season, against, phoenix which by, the
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 3: way well we won with that game on, the show
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 3: but also we won with the. Revenge spot i'm pretty
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 3: SURE if i, Remember correctly after that Guess what. Vegas
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 3: did by, the way after they lost that embarrassingly by
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 3: thirty plus at Home, to phoenix the next time They,
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 3: played phoenix they beat them by almost. Fifty points, So
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 3: yeah vegas they get serious when they play these games against.
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 3: These teams they have revenge. Against it by, the Way
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 3: the indiana game they lost was, after THAT so I
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 3: think vegas was just really riding high off of that
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 3: revenge Win. Over phoenix you beat anybody by fifty points,
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 3: like that you're gonna be feeling pretty good. About YOURSELF
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 3: so i think it was kind of a bad spot
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 3: for them going into. That game by, The way vegas
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 3: has actually lost Twice to indiana, this year and you might, argue,
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 3: That well indiana just has, their NUMBER but I think
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 3: vegas Is gonna they're gonna go all out for. This.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 3: Game man they lost Twice to Indiana, in july and
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 3: both games were, pretty embarrassing and both were. At home
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 3: one was in their actual, HOME arena, i think and the.
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 3: Other WASN'T but I think i actually kind Of prefer
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 3: vegas on, the, road MAN because i think they might
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 3: focus a little bit more on the road here and in.
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 3: This game it wasn't really as much of, an outlier
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 3: but it was still a Game where vegas really shot
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 3: poorly from three point Range against so the three point
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 3: variants has been in Favor of indiana and both. Those
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 3: GAMES and I know indiana actually did win the rebound
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 3: battle in, both games but that just kind of surprises
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 3: Me because indiana doesn't really have that, much size like
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 3: they're more of a fast, shooting Team and vegas has
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 3: one of the best centers in the. Entire league so
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 3: do with all that what. You want, BUT yeah I
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 3: like vegas in. This one we're gonna take the money.
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 3: LINE there i Feel like i'm over, analyzing it over.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 3: HANDICAPPING it La. At, Minnesota minnesota they're gonna be a huge.
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 3: Favorite here they're the way. Better team We know la
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 3: Traded away plumb although she hadn't played for them for.
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 3: A while minnesota is the best team in, the league
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 3: EVEN though i hate them and their coach is a
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 3: fucking idiot. And whatever minnesota has won ten games in,
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 3: a row but they're coming off that big Win. Over
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 3: indiana it was a tough game game where both teams
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 3: really didn't like. Each other it WAS a tv Game
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 3: and minnesota is a pretty big Game against vegas coming.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 3: Up next always big playing the, returning champs But also
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 3: vegas is probably the biggest Threat to minnesota in the league.
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 3: THIS year i think those are the two. Best TEAMS
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 3: so i think this is a sandwich Spot the minnesota
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 3: IS and i think they MIGHT overlook la be looking
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 3: Ahead towards. Vegas here they JUST beat la by nine
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 3: at home not too, long ago which by, the way
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 3: did not cover what the spread, is tonight so it might.
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 3: BE good i Don't think minnesota's, gonna lose but it
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 3: might be a Game where minnesota just gets in and.
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 3: Gets out the PROBLEM is la is a very bad.
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 3: Defensive team minnesota is way better on the. Defensive Side,
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 3: but minnesota, obviously again they can play good deepfense and
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 3: win this game and not cover. Quite easily, you know
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 3: they can win by double digits and not cover. THIS
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 3: game la is coming off a Loss. To chicago they've
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 3: been playing some bad. Basketball though they've lost seven of their,
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 3: last eight with the only win being against A bad.
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 3: Portland team but they were competitive in some of, these
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 3: games so Including the, minnesota once that's not that bad of.
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 3: A sign, SO yeah i think this is my second
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 3: strongest opinion IN the wnba. SLATE here i would take
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 3: the POINTS. With, la here you're getting fifteen and A
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 3: half i think, On this and of course the site
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 3: is not loading. Right now it's. Not me can people still?
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 3: Hear me let Me, SEE no i don't think. It's
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 3: me it's not, my INTERNET it's i think it's stupid.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 3: Wager talk theo's SIT's just not. Coming through isn't that?
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 3: Just great that's? Just. Awesome, man anyway it's fifteen and
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 3: a half or so is the number. ON this i
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 3: would lean towards taking the POINTS. OF la i don't
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 3: know if the market read is in agreement with it.
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 3: Or not and then we have the battle of the
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 3: expansion teams in the, Late game Toronto. AND portland i
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 3: don't if these teams played each, OTHER yet i. Don't
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 3: know let Me. See, Portland yes portland Won in toronto
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 3: Back on may, twenty third and that was the only time.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 3: THEY played i Think so toronto has not Played in.
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 3: Portland yet portland might have a little bit of an
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 3: edge There because toronto's never played. There before portland's lost
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 3: five straight games and they're staying at home so maybe
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 3: a little bit of an Edge to. Portland here toronto
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 3: is having to come In From golden state where they
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 3: just played two pretty big Games Against. Golden state we
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 3: got the Cover with toronto in that second game in
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 3: kind of a. Zigzag spot toronto played better in. That
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 3: game they were kind of close in both games for,
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 3: a while like around the midway point in, Both games
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 3: toronto actually had the lead in. Both games toronto's not
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 3: playing well. Right now they've lost seven in, a row
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 3: but they've lost these games to really good teams for the, Most, Part, Atlanta,
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 3: Vegas Minnesota. Golden state but still they're coming off of
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 3: a really really rough stretch of, games, here man and
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 3: then They have atlanta next in a little bit of a.
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 3: REVENGE game i don't have a great feel, for this
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 3: but probably a Slightly towards portland. For me here they're
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 3: at two and a half. Maybe three the money's, completely
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 3: disagreeing eighty percent of the tickets And on portland and
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 3: eighty nine percent of the Cash. On toronto so the
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 3: money's coming In on. TORONTO there i, don't, Know, MAN
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 3: again I think toronto's coming off the, tougher GAMES which
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 3: i know they're stepping down in, class here which is a,
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 3: good thing but they might be a little bit tired
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 3: off of those, big games so that would be my Worry.
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 3: With toronto money is also Back, in minnesota WHICH obviously
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 3: i don't. Agree with fifty seven percent, of tickets seventy
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 3: seven percent of the Cash, on minnesota and minus fifteen and.
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 3: A half so this wager talk, came, Back, BABY yeah
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 3: I got i'm against the market read in all THREE w,
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 3: Nba games so do what you want with. All that
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 3: and then we HAVE The nfl Hall Of fame, game,
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 3: tonight man AND then i think there's NO more nfl
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 3: for a week. After This the Hall Of fame game
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 3: gets its own thing a week before the actual. Preseason
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 3: starts a lot of things to kind of know about
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 3: the preseason if you're kind of new. To this first,
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 3: of all these first preseason games tend to be, low
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 3: scoring so you'll see a low, total here which we
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 3: do see thirty four and a half pretty, low here or,
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 3: thirty five whatever. It is it's kind of a no
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 3: man's land because thirty four and thirty seven or more
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 3: key NUMBERS in nfl games land on those numbers more
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 3: the fours and the sevens kind of tend to be
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 3: the end. The ones, you know like if you play
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 3: squares In The, super bowl you kind of know how,
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 3: it works like which scores and. The zeros you know
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 3: which scores are kind of more likely. Than others but
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 3: the totals have actually kind of gone up a, little
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 3: bit believe it. Or not in. The Preseason preseason week
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 3: one used to be very, low scoring and recently it's
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 3: been a little bit higher scoring because are really trying
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 3: to work with some of their offensive players and try
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 3: to get their offensive players reps and stuff. Like that
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 3: the players that aren't necessarily gonna play to start the,
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 3: regular season but these teams want to see what they have.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 3: And whatever so, YOU know i don't really have a
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 3: good feel for, the total but a lot of times
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 3: the offenses will, start slow having not really, played yet,
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 3: you know Especially. With arizona they have a, new coach Which.
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 3: IS laflora, i think Is It. MIKE lafleur i forget if.
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 3: He is he's Brothers With. MATT LAFLEUR i i forget
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 3: he's Not The green Bay, coach LAFLORA but i think
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 3: they're they're. Definitely related arizona's coach used to be the
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 3: offensive coordinator For, the rams so he's a very offensive.
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 3: Minded coach so they do have a, new coach so
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 3: they're gonna have a, new system Which means arizona has
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 3: to know, the system learn. The system they have to
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 3: get used to. The system so that's gonna be something
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 3: where there's gonna be some. Growing pains but the other
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 3: side of that Is that caroline is not even gonna
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 3: know what, to expect you KNOW what. I, mean like
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 3: if You're, ON caroline i know you have no Idea
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 3: what arizona's even going to run as far as their
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 3: schemes because you haven't really seen. This offense nobody's seeing this,
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 3: offense yet you KNOW what. I MEAN so i do
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 3: think that's actually an advantage to the team with the,
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 3: new coach even though, you, think well they have the
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 3: growing pains. Or WHATEVER but i think the advantage is
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 3: they at least know what plays they are going, to
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 3: run and they run them in practice, And Whatever whereas
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 3: carolina is not going to Know what arizona's going to
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 3: look like because there's no game film on this. Offense
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 3: YET so i think that's a little bit of an
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 3: edge there and has actually been an edge in. The
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 3: preseason the first preseason game for a, new coach they
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 3: actually win like sixty percent of, the Time so arizona
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 3: does have a little bit of an. Advantage, there carolina
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 3: you could debate that they have the better quarterback, rotation
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 3: here which is something you want to look at in
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 3: IN the. Nfl preseason you want to look at the
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 3: quarterback rotation because the starting quarterbacks are not going to
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 3: play in. This game so Obviously for Carolina That's. Bryce
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 3: young he's going to be their starter, this season but
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 3: he's not going To play. Game one they don't want
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 3: to get, him, hurt whatever so he's not playing in.
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 3: This game arizona's Going With jacoby brissett to start. The
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 3: season there is a Chance that arizona winds up switching,
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 3: quarterbacks though because You, know arizona they got nothing to lose.
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 3: This year nobody thinks they're gonna. Do anything they have
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 3: one of the lowest season win totals in all OF.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 3: The nfl they have a. New coach brissett isn't really
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 3: seen as a, good quarterback although he's a veteran that's
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 3: stuck in. The league man because he doesn't really. Make
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 3: MISTAKES so i Don't think brissett is that bad of,
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 3: a quarterback but obviously he's not. Playing here and what
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 3: you're gonna get in this Game is carolina is gonna
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 3: Go With kenny pickett to start, the game and he's an,
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 3: Experienced Quarterback so carolina does have the experience edge for
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 3: the quarterback Here. WITH pickett i don't know how long
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 3: he's gonna be in the. Game though pickett is not really,
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 3: that Good whereas arizona is gonna be going with a
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 3: Lot Of carson beck in, this game, the rookie even
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 3: though he's a twenty four year old rookie. Or whatever
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 3: the rookies are all, old Now but beck is a, total.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 3: WILDCARD dude i actually think that he might be better
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 3: than people think AS an, Nfl quarterback like he's kind
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 3: of GOT an nfl skill set in, My opinion like
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 3: he's a. Pocket passer he's not a mobile, quarterback really
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 3: but he's got to go to. An arm he's a.
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 3: Pocket passer he faced sec deepenses when he was in
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 3: college because he Played at georgia for, a while and
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 3: then he almost won the championship last year after he Was,
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 3: on MIAMI and I, know miami you know was or
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 3: after he Went. TO miami i should say that's what
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 3: he played for Last. YEAR miami i know they're IN,
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 3: the acc so the deepfenses aren't, as good but he
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 3: almost led his team to. The, title man they Almost.
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 3: Beat indiana they were like one play away From beating
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 3: indiana at. THE end i had a winner on the
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 3: show in that Game with miami to cover. The spread it,
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 3: got CLOSE but i think it was the. Right call, So,
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah beck he's been in some high pressure, situations man
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 3: some big, stage games and he has not caved under.
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 3: The PRESSURE so I think beck might be better than. PEOPLE
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 3: think i think he might be Better, than pickett even
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 3: though he doesn't. Have experience it's Obviously like. Pickett does
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 3: pickets played a whole bunch of games IN, the nfl
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 3: so you have to kind of weigh like which one
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 3: of those is gonna win? Out here And then Carolina
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 3: behind Pickett Have, haines KING who i think is a rookie.
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 3: As well he Played At. Georgia tech he's a dual.
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 3: THREAT quarterback i. LIKE him I Like. Haynes king he's
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 3: got he's got a decent, skills set and he's gonna
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 3: be hard to defend at the, very least so the
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 3: opposing defense might not really know what to do To.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 3: Stop king so there is That's a king if he
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 3: gets into, this game which he, probably will might throw wrench,
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 3: into everything you KNOW what, i mean be a little
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 3: bit hard. To defend so there Is. THAT arizona i
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 3: believe if they're if they're gonna play Somebody Behind, carson
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 3: beck they have a couple. Of guys they have some
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 3: quarterback that's played like a very little bit IN the
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 3: Nfl that i've never, heard of and They Have. Cardner,
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 3: Minshew Baby so minshew is, very experienced and if he's
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 3: gonna come into, this game maybe that'll be a good thing.
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 3: FOR ever i have no Idea if minshew is gonna
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 3: work his way into this game. Or not but he's
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 3: still in. The, League man he's been around. For forever
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 3: he's been a starter for MULTIPLE different. Nfl TEAMS so
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 3: i don't mind That if minshew comes into. This, game
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 3: minshew he's the most experienced quarterback in this. Entire, Game
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 3: man he's got more experience than the most experienced Guys
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 3: on carolina. And whatever, SO yeah i don't mind that
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 3: if minshewe gets into. THIS game i don't know if,
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 3: he will but he is One of arizona's. Backups here
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 3: they have four quarterbacks on, the roster so that's what
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 3: we have going. On there and the money is also
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 3: heavily Indicating, on arizona by, The way and that is
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 3: my lean in. This GAME if i was going to
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 3: actually make a play on, THIS game i would take
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 3: the one or one and a half Points. WITH arizona
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 3: i think the game is a complete, toss up and
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 3: you might get a little bit of an advantage with Beck,
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 3: overpick AT although i know the experience edge, isn't there
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 3: but the motivation might be There. With arizona this game Is, In,
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 3: canton ohio by, the way if you, didn't know because
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 3: It's the Hall of. Fame game it's at the sight
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 3: OF The nfl Hall, Of fame so it's not a
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 3: location edge for either team really fifty to fifty on.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 3: The Tickets but carolina made the playoffs. Last, year man
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 3: you know the public they're gonna look at this game, and,
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 3: say Oh it's carolina playoff team from. Last year again's
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 3: one of the worst teams In, football Arizona and arizona
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 3: Doesn't Have kyler, murray anymore so the public is not
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 3: Gonna play. ARIZONA here I think arizona might be flying
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 3: a little bit under the, radar here especially in a.
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 3: Preseason game that might mean more to the new Coach.
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 3: With arizona, and again like, their schemes you're not gonna
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 3: know what they're, gonna do so it's gonna be hard To,
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 3: DEFEND arizona i think, early on because you just don't
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 3: know what they're gonna look. Like, offensively necessarily seventy eight
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 3: percent of the Cash, on arizona so the money's coming
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 3: In on. Arizona there money also backing the under a.
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 3: BIT there i don't really have a great feel for the,
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 3: total though because the totals have gotten a little, bit
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 3: HIGHER like, i said in these preseason, games lately but
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 3: they tend to be low scoring in these. First games
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 3: the offenses tend to be slow to, get going so
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 3: maybe you will see something like that maybe early on in.
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 3: The game but, Then again carolina might be able to
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 3: adjust To what arizona is doing once they see it a,
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 3: Little bit so It's possible arizona comes out and looks
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 3: good offensively, really early and then actually starts looking a
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 3: little bit worse after, That too so it remains to.
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 3: Be seen, BUT yeah i think the way to play
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 3: this is probably a Lean. Towards arizona. That's all THAT'S
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 3: all i really got on. That one it'll be fun the, football's,
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 3: Back man and maybe it'd be fun to watch see
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 3: what we get out of some of these. Players Here
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 3: carson Beck And haines king both might be fun, to,
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 3: watch man and THEY both i think they're both Likely
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 3: To carson beck is starting this Game, for ARIZONA but
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 3: I think king is going to be in the Game
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 3: for carolina for a decent amount. As well so stuff
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 3: to keep in. Mind there and they're both like in their,
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 3: mid twenties even though. Their rookies it's the new, football,
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 3: landscape man they stay forever. In college that's gonna? Do,
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 3: it yeah, all right we have three. Plays today we
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 3: Have The pittsburgh pirates first five, Money Line Toronto blue
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 3: jays full game, money line and we're On The vegas
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 3: aces IN the wnba on the. Money line that's gonna.
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 3: Do it learn it Tone on twitter and learn it
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 3: Tone on instagram to have a winning, day, here, man
• 1:36:05
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• 1:36:08
  Speaker 3: be in more full. Swing soon we gotta do, some
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 3: still do some more seasoned previews and stuff. Like That maybe,
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 3: i'll Again maybe i'll do an Episode of bald and
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 3: See if clint wants to come. Back on that would,
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 3: be uh that would be fun. To do i'll do
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 3: a college football preview, as well probably at. Some point
• 1:36:28
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• 1:36:32
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• 1:36:35
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• 1:36:39
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• 1:36:44
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• 1:36:47
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• 1:36:51
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• 1:36:54
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• 1:36:57
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• 1:37:03
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• 1:37:07
  Speaker 3: Do it, PEACE everybody i. Appreciate It, dirty sock thank
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 3: you For. The, jewels jeffrey thanks for. Hanging out let's
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 3: get some more people in the chat to. Baby peace.
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: If the doc, starts talking hand me, the phone let somebody,
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: and so let somebody know you do not have.
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 4: To lose this. Round lone, hold on, hold on, nothing nice.
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 4: Not now, hold on, hold on let me.
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 5: Pull you out that bad luck, by time but it
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 5: don't get.
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 4: The crown, hold on, hold on stay, with, me now
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 4: Hold hold you're
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 3: Still here now