Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 359 - 9/24/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 359 - 9/24/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 359 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Wednesday. It's officially hump day.
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That means we're halfway through our work week and also one day
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closer to the return of some NFL sweats.
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I'm already looking at this line here for tomorrow night, Seattle
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at Arizona. We've seen some line movement
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towards Seattle. They went from about getting a 2
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points and 1/2 or 2 1/2 points. They now flip to around -1 1/2
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on the road. So little dog to fave on Seattle
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of a full breakdown for tomorrow.
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But I'm leaving Seattle as of now, maybe on the money line as
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of my favorite systems. Dog to fave there.
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So today we will talk some NFL. I was actually looking at some
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survivor options this weekend. If you're still alive.
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Detroit is about a 10 point favorite against Cleveland.
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That's the biggest spread of the week.
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But then also Chargers Herbert -6 1/2 at the Giants.
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Jackson Dart is going to get his first start.
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I typically like to fade rookie quarterbacks making their debut
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and then Green Bay Dallas. Dallas has banged up a lot of
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injuries. Green Bay's about a seven point
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favorite. That's Sunday Night Football,
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and that'll be after a a bad loss or a great cover and win if
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you're with the Browns, as I was last weekend.
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But some survivor options again, Detroit Chargers and Green Bay,
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some be picking from one of those three.
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But then also as we get to Wednesdays, Wednesdays are not
1:47
only halfway through our work week, Hump day, I always go back
1:50
to those GEICO commercials. Hump day with a camel always
1:52
makes me laugh. But anyway, today's the day
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where we look at our early NFL Sharp report.
1:57
So I wrote my Sharp report today for visen.com.
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You can always follow me on Twitter at Josh under score
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Insights to check out those articles and get the bet splits
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as well. But today we're going to talk
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about 3 games that caught my eye.
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So some early matches, we got some line movement, we got some
2:12
splits. I have one of my favorite system
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matches, not just dog to fave, but international series
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favorites. I'm actually going to, I'm going
2:20
to call you all along to hang out around the campfire and I'm
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going to actually read you a passage in my book, the NFL
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Sharp Betting Playbook, which specifically focuses on one of
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the games I like this week. So 3 plays in the NFL, We'll
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have one play in Major League Baseball, another motivational
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edge team that's hot playing a team that's struggling and have
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a good sharp line move and splits in their favor.
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So trying to go 1 and O in Major League Baseball.
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Now looking back to our last night, guys, the good and the
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bad. The bad is that man baseball
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continues to be difficult. Cincinnati Reds were in a great
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spot yesterday, obviously going for a postseason run.
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Pittsburgh is eliminated, has nothing to play for $0.20 steam
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move on Cincinnati. Yet the Reds lose 4 to 2.
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So baseball is rough right now. But here's what made me a little
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bit excited. I was getting nervous ever since
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Roman Anthony got hurt because the Red Sox have been in a
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tailspin. But the Red Sox won last night 4
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to one against Toronto. That means they now have 86
3:11
wins. So that means officially Red Sox
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over 85 1/2 wins comes home. Now, I know a few other people,
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including a buddy of mine has Red Sox over 86 1/2.
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So you might need one more win to cash that over with what five
3:26
games left. But the sting of the Reds coming
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up short last night offset a little bit by the Red Sox over
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85 1/2 win total, which is a play that I tweeted about,
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talked about on the podcast. And that's why I love win
3:37
totals. They just give you a rooting
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interest throughout the year. And you may have to, you know,
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squirrel away your bankroll for quite a while.
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But if we can cash a play six months later, it still pays out
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just as a play you cash tonight would.
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So nice hit there with the Red Sox over 85 1/2 wins.
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So that being said, we're going to talk MLB, We are going to
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talk NFL. And we're going to see if we can
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have a winning day here and get some good numbers that will look
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even better by the time we get to the weekend.
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So let's get our one Major League Baseball play out of the
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way. Again, it's hard out there.
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MLB is just incredibly, incredibly volatile, but I found
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a game that hopefully we'll have have a winner here with.
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So let's look at 6:40 PM Eastern Time, early start Detroit Tigers
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at the Cleveland Guardians. Now, this one means a lot
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because these teams are tied for first place in the AL Central
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and if you look at the standings right now, you know both of
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these teams are 85 and 72 wild card.
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Technically, the Guardians have the tiebreaker, so Detroit
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Tigers have the 3rd and final wild card spot, but the Astros
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are right on their heels only one game back.
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So a lot of pressure on Detroit because Detroit has really
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struggled. They're one and 10 their last
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eleven games. Meanwhile, Cleveland is red hot.
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They're 15 and one their last 16 games.
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So what are we seeing across the market here?
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We'll start first here with the pitching matchup.
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We have the Cleveland Guardians sending out Tanner Bybee.
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He is on the year 11 and 11 with a decent 4.34 ERA.
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Little high, I guess, But Jack Flaherty, he'll be on the bump
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for the Detroit Tigers. He's 8 and 14 with a 4.6 O ERA
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this year. So what have you seen across the
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market? Well, I don't think you want to
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bet a game just because, hey, this team's hot and that team's
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cold. Typically, you kind of want to
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buy low on the cold team and sell high on the hot team.
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But I'm not going to argue if the betting market is kind of
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saying, hey, you should take the hot team here and fade the cold
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team. So that's what's happening in
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favor of Cleveland. The Cleveland Guardians open
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this game as low as a -, 120 home favorite.
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We've not seen the Guardians get steamed up all the way to -145
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-, 150 even -155 And this is a game where as I was rating my
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NFL Sharp report for beeson.com earlier this morning, line
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really had moved at all. It was basically sitting around
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-125 Guardians. And then around 11:00 AM, ton of
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steam hit Cleveland, steam, Cleveland up, you know, 20-30
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cents all the way up to around -150 -, 155.
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So you would notice another, you know, shout out to the odds
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logic live odds page. You're staring at your live odds
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page. You see a teams odds get lit up
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in red like a domino effect, kind of a wave of big smart
6:12
money hitting one team. You can find a get a number
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that's still a little bit lower than the rest.
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So I did find guardians -142 at FanDuel.
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Best price right now is still at FanDuel.
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It's -148 but again, some shops as high as -155 but I like the
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splits. In addition to the big steam
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move in favor of Cleveland, DraftKings has 64% bets, 73%
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dollars on Cleveland and Circa Sharp Book out in Vegas, 67%
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bets, 96% dollars. So both DraftKings and FanDuel
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showing that good low bets, higher dollar split in favor of
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Cleveland, which coincides with the steam move in their favor.
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Correlative betting favorite low total.
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So total in this one is 7 1/2 for your amount of expected run
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scored more likely to come from quote UN quote that better team
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based upon who's favored, which would be Cleveland in this spot.
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You digging these pictures a little bit more Flaherty at
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home, 4.18 ERA not bad on the road. 5.2 O he's on the road
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tonight and Tanner Bybee, the guardians are three and O and
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his three September starts and he has a 1.25 ERA in September.
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So he's throwing the ball well on the road. 5.17 ERA, not
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great, but 3.35 at home. So Flaherty has struggled on the
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road. He's on the road tonight.
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Bybee's been great in September and great at home.
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It's September, he's home tonight.
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Cleveland is 7 and four against Detroit this year, so had their
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number a little bit. If you look at some other system
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matches here, Cleveland as a chalk favorite.
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Cleveland, believe it or not, is the number one team in baseball
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when they're favored, when they are laying a minus number,
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they're 42 and 24 this year, 64 percent, 10% ROI.
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Again, best chalk favorite and all baseball.
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I have another system match home favorites who made the
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postseason off a win with a line move in their favor.
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That system is 64% this season. And again, the added motivation,
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obviously both teams pretty much need to win, but think about
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where the pressure is. Again, this is not a data play,
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but it's kind of a human nature type play.
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If you go back about a month, I want to say Detroit had like a
8:10
15 game lead in the AL Central. They have absolutely plummeted.
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They're choking. Again.
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All pressure is on Detroit to stop the bleeding.
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Whereas Cleveland, you know, a month ago you weren't even close
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to being in the playoffs. Now you're tied atop the
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division and have the tiebreaker.
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So Cleveland is not choking. They're surging at the perfect
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time and they're playing with house money when a month ago
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they weren't even in the picture.
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So you have one team with all the pressure that's choking
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Detroit. You have one team that's playing
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great house money, playing free Cleveland.
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I'll go with the playing free house money team here with
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Cleveland. And then again, recent
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performance. Detroit 1 and 10 last 11.
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Cleveland 15, one last 16. Let's see if the hot team with
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the market move can come through for us.
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So I'm going Cleveland guardians, let's see if they can
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get a win. I got Cleveland -142 at FanDuel
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earlier today. Again, check out the all systems
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go best bet picks officially on the juicer lap because you would
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have gotten that little bit earlier.
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But best price right now if you want to play this play or sweat
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this game with me is Cleveland -148 at Vandool.
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So let's go guardians. Almost call them the Tribe.
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Let's go guardians Now let's do some homework here because we
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have NFL Week 4 officially upon us.
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Mentioned a second ago, Seattle dog to fave open getting 2 1/2.
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They're now laying at 1 1/2 on the road at at Arizona.
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So I'm looking at Seattle for tomorrow.
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Could be a money line play for me.
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Stay tuned. Let's let the dust settle.
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Let's give it another day. And I'll have my official sharp
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report for Thursday Night Football coming out tomorrow
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morning. But looking at the slate for
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this weekend, a few games caught my eye.
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Now, there's a lot of landmines out there.
9:50
We don't know if Jayden Daniels is going to start for
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Washington. We don't know who's going to
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start for San Fran will be Mac Jones or Purdy Jackson Dart is a
9:57
backup. We don't know who's starting for
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The Jets. We got another doubleheader
10:00
Monday Night Football, Jets, Miami and Cincy Denver coming up
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here. But looking at the slate for
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Sunday, found three games that really jumped out to me.
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So the first one I wanted to hit on was an early one.
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Did you guys know we have our first overseas matchup,
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international series? Who wants to go out to Dublin,
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Ireland, get a point, get some Guinness here, Minnesota at
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Pittsburgh Vikings, Steelers, so early 930 game on Sunday.
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So don't get too hungover. I'll tell you guys, we're
10:28
hosting a party at our house for my book release as well as my
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wife's birthday. So it's going to be a joint
10:35
party. We got some food we ordered.
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We're going to have a cookout. We're going to be playing, you
10:40
know, blonde games. We got badminton net, we got
10:43
cornhole. We're going to have a huge
10:44
Beirut beer pong tournament late in the night.
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I got my, my, I got a new patio stove, the Solo Stove, which I I
10:52
bought the other day from Home Depot.
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So we're getting after it. And there's also some great
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college games and hoping my buddy Richie will bring his
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projector so we can project some games against the back of my
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house. So I'm looking forward to
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Saturday. So in other words, I might be a
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little banged up, but I can't be too hungover, in which case I
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missed this game. So 9:30 AM Minnesota,
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Pittsburgh. Let's set the stage for this
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one. Both teams come in two and one.
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Vikings just dominated the Bengals 48 to 10 easily covered
11:17
as a three-point home favorite. You know the Steelers 2 and one
11:20
just hold off the Pats 21 to 14 covered as a 1 1/2 point Rd.
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favorite. So what have we seen across the
11:26
market here? Well, this game opened in
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Ireland with Pittsburgh favored. Believe it or not, Pittsburgh
11:32
was around a 2 1/2 point neutral site favorite.
11:35
However, that did not last long because this line flipped very,
11:38
very quickly away from Pittsburgh toward Minnesota.
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So we've gone from Minnesota getting 2 1/2 to now laying 2
11:45
1/2. So you guys know what that is.
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Dog to fave line move. This reminds me a lot of North
11:51
Texas. And who do they play?
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Army? We're North Texas and it was an
11:55
overtime game. You had to sweat it, but that
11:56
was a dog to fave move that came through.
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So dog to fave toward Minnesota. I over the splits right now
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DraftKings 59% spread bets, 70% spread dollars.
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So good low bets, higher dollar split.
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Minnesota's technically the public play, but 59% more of a
12:12
public lean. You're really not in the 6070,
12:14
you know, 80% range and you do have more more dollars than
12:17
bets, which is nice. But I'm going to go Minnesota on
12:21
the money line again. You open getting 2 and half.
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You're laying 2 and half odds makers neutral site are saying,
12:25
hey, could be a close game. So I would hate to lay 2 and
12:28
half with Minnesota. Yeah, you want to save the
12:30
juice, but they win by one or two, you lose your bet.
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So crazier things have happened overseas.
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I went money line here on the Vikings.
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Shop around. I was able to get the Vikings at
12:39
-140 I believe that was ESPN bet Circo.
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They're getting 60% of money line bets, 99% of money line
12:47
dollars. So really good low bets, higher
12:49
dollar split in favor of the the money line winning outright,
12:53
winning straight up for Minnesota.
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I know we're I know we got to back Carson Wentz, but he
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actually played pretty well in his first game, which maybe
13:00
speaks more to Kevin O'Connell, but also non conference
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favorites. So lack of familiarity.
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We talked division dogs built in familiarity benefits the dog,
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levels the playing field, helps the team getting points.
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Non conference. Minnesota's from the NFC,
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Pittsburgh's AFC. They don't really face each
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other that often. Typically that lack of
13:18
familiarity benefits quote UN quote the better team was
13:20
expected to win, which would be in this case, Minnesota non
13:24
conference favorites 8 and 467% straight up this season and 119
13:28
and 5369% straight up 3% ROI since 2023.
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Now I'm going to read a passage. Gather round, everybody, gather
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round. Remember when FDR would do the
13:41
fireside chats? Here's a fireside chat because I
13:45
love International series favorites and actually have a
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part of my book, page 260 where I talk about international
13:53
series favorites. So listen to this.
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This is a give you a little sneak peek.
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And if you've already bought the book, thank you.
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Maybe this will, you know, get you excited and make you want to
14:02
buy it. So the heading of the chapter is
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called Other ways to bet the NFL, and the name of this
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chapter or segment is International Series.
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So here we go. Starting in 2007, the NFL began
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playing games outside of the United States to introduce,
14:17
promote and expand the sport of football to other countries.
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The goal was to, quote UN quote, grow the game with a long term
14:23
eye toward possibly adding an expansion team overseas.
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The games have since been referred to as the International
14:29
Series, taking place most notably across the pond in
14:31
London as well as Mexico City, and most recently in European
14:35
countries like Germany. In 2023, there were five
14:37
International Series games, as well as five in 2024, including
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the first ever NFL matchup in Brazil.
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Almost half of the league's teams will play international
14:47
games in in the 2025 season in locations across Western Europe
14:51
and South America. These teams are are sorry.
14:54
These games are very different from a regular season game, with
14:57
many variables at play that betters need to consider.
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The first factor is the timing of the games.
15:02
For instance, due to the time zone change, the London Games
15:04
typically kick off at 9:30 AM Eastern Time.
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This is great for fans who are now afforded an early morning
15:10
game to watch and bet on as they make their breakfast and drink
15:13
their coffee. The other big variable is the
15:15
fact that these games take place at neutral sites, which means
15:18
neither team enjoys a true home field advantage.
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Historically, these unique variables have provided an edge
15:24
to favorites. From 2007 to 2023, International
15:28
series favorites have gone 33 and 10 straight up 77% and 29
15:33
and 15 ATS 66%. In other words, when games are
15:38
played in far off places, the cream typically rises to the top
15:41
and the better teams outperform their underdog counterparts.
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A prime example of this favorite domination came in week four of
15:47
the 2023 season when the Falcons played the Jaguars at Wembley
15:50
Stadium in London. The Jaguars opened as a
15:53
three-point favorite. The public was relatively split,
15:55
yet a closer look at the Juice show the Jaguars move from -3 -.
15:59
110 to -3 -. 115 or even -3 - 120.
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Reading between the lines, odds makers are forcing betters to
16:06
pay a more expensive price on Jacksonville, the favorite, and
16:10
nearly move the line from -3 to -3 1/2.
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All liability was on the Jags. Jacksonville ended up winning 23
16:16
to 7, easily covering as the favorite.
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Long story short, when it comes to international series games,
16:22
favorites have proven to be a smart bet.
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So there you go, just a little segment of my new book, the NFL
16:28
Sharp Betting Playbook, highlighting this exact spot.
16:31
Minnesota International Series dog to fave favorite systemat.
16:35
So I am on the money line with Minnesota -140 next one for you,
16:42
Indianapolis Colts at the LA Rams.
16:44
Now the Rams, I hate you. You're dead to me.
16:47
The worst, terrible, bad beat I've suffered in quite a while.
16:49
Again, it'll take me a long time to get over that.
16:51
I may never get over that to be honest with you.
16:54
I'm hoping the Colts cover this one get some revenge against the
16:56
Rams. Setting the stage here, this is
16:58
a four O 5:00 PM Eastern Time game on Sunday.
17:00
The Colts are three and O just took down the Titans 41 to 20
17:04
covered as a six point Rd. favorite.
17:06
Meanwhile the Rams two and one, don't get me started, lost to
17:09
the Eagles 3326 didn't cover the 3 1/2 on the road.
17:13
So what have we seen across the market?
17:15
Well this game opened early, as high as Los Angeles -5 1/2 at
17:19
home and sharps have really jumped on the Indianapolis
17:22
Colts. So we've seen this line fall
17:23
from Colts plus 5 1/2 down to plus 3 1/2 and a lot of books
17:26
are actually juicing up the Indy side plus 3 and F -, 115 telling
17:30
us it may fall further down to the key number of three at
17:34
DraftKings. Colts 54% spread bets, 55%
17:37
spread dollars. So really not overwhelming.
17:40
If anything, this is kind of a 5050 line move. 54% bets is is
17:43
really not that lopsided. It's technically the majority,
17:46
but it's barely. So again, 54% a line really
17:50
shouldn't move two points, yet it did.
17:52
Tells me smart money's on the Colts system matches here.
17:55
Dogs with a severe line move of two points or more in their
17:57
favor. They're 89 and 69 against the
17:59
spread 56 percent, 9% ROI since 2018.
18:03
Short Rd. dog 6 or last 319 and 267 ATS 54% with a 5% ROI since
18:10
2019 and his regular season career.
18:13
Don't laugh at Daniel Jones, he's playing very, very well
18:16
this year. He is 18 and 10 against the
18:18
spread. 64 percent, 24% ROI as a road dog.
18:24
Also, we have seen a lot of over money show up here. 46 1/2 up to
18:27
49 1/2 Good bet splits, 69% bets, 94% dollars on the over at
18:33
DraftKings, 44% bet, 60% dollars on the over at Circa.
18:37
But my play here is the Colts. I like the fact that in
18:41
addition, our friends at Rhythm have Colts plus 2.6.
18:45
So if we can get a 3 1/2 again, the reason why I played this
18:47
game early on a Wednesday, I put it in this morning, is I want to
18:51
make sure I get the hook. So if the Colts get down to
18:53
three and lose by three, you push that bet, you get the hook
18:56
right now plus 3 1/2. You cover based on the hook.
18:59
So I did officially put in pocket Colts plus 3 1/2.
19:04
Now, last game that caught my eye.
19:06
It's kind of going back and forth and I'm holding out for a
19:09
key number here, Cleveland and Detroit.
19:12
Now setting the stage here, the Browns one and two but just had
19:16
one of the biggest upsets of the season so far.
19:19
They're down 10. I I still remember watching this
19:21
game on Sunday excited Cleveland plus 8 1/2.
19:23
They closed at 7 1/2. They're down 10.
19:25
Nothing late in the fourth quarter.
19:26
I'm like here we go. You're going to lose by I'm
19:28
going to lose my cover. You're going to lose by 10.
19:31
Then they had an incredible comeback.
19:33
They beat the Packers 13 to 10 knocked off a lot of people in
19:36
survivor 1 outright. Excuse me as a 7 1/2 point home
19:40
dog. The Lions meanwhile, 2 and one
19:42
just upset the Ravens. 38 to 30 came through for us at Bigley on
19:46
Monday night, winning out right as a 4 1/2 point Rd. dog.
19:49
So let me sit across the market here.
19:51
Well, this game open, Detroit listed as high as a 10 1/2 point
19:54
home favorite. Now the public is not worried at
19:57
all. Even though this is a big
19:58
number, they don't care at all. They got 67% at DraftKings,
20:02
laying the points of the Lions. However, even though Lions are
20:06
getting such lopsided support, we've actually seen the line
20:08
fall away from Detroit. -10 1/2 down to -9 1/2 even some shops
20:14
touched as low as -8 1/2. Now I am seeing as we're doing
20:17
this pod little bit of buy back coming back on Detroit.
20:21
So when I was looking at Cleveland, I'm like, hey, this
20:23
is a hazmat play, gross play, but they're only getting 33%
20:27
bets, 55% money and the line is moving in their favor.
20:31
So told me that they were a little bit sharp here, but I
20:33
said to myself, nine and a half, 8 1/2, if I'm going to hold my
20:37
nose and go Cleveland, I need the key number of 10.
20:40
And actually looks like there are a couple books at 10 right
20:43
now. There's one in particular,
20:45
DraftKings is plus 10 -, 115. A lot of others are still 9 1/2.
20:49
So I'm going to hold out. You could play the 10 now if you
20:53
want. I'm wondering if maybe this gets
20:55
back up to 10 1/2. So we might as well wait it out,
20:57
see if we can get a hook on the 10 1/2.
21:00
But Cleveland is very contrarian, low bets, higher
21:02
dollars. You'll get big dogs getting 6
21:04
1/2 or more their six and four ATS this year, 60% their 139 and
21:09
111 ATS, 56 percent, 7% ROI since 2022.
21:14
You also have a rest advantage here because if you remember
21:18
Cleveland played Sunday, I think that was a 1:00 game.
21:22
Was it 1:00 or 4:00? I forget.
21:24
But the Lions played Monday night.
21:26
So one day rest advantage for Cleveland.
21:28
Lions played on the road Monday night.
21:29
Now they're on a short week. Now we have also seen the total
21:33
fall 46 1/2 down to 44 1/2. 48% bets 57% dollars at DraftKings
21:38
on the under. Circa 67% bets 99% dollars on
21:42
the under. So pretty clear you've seen some
21:45
under movement. But this also got me a little
21:47
excited to play. Cleveland Rhythm has the Browns
21:50
plus 7.5 and plus 7.8. So can we hold out and get
21:55
greedy and hold out for a 10 1/2 again?
21:58
If you're at 9 1/2, I'm waiting between now and the next few
22:02
days. Hopefully you get up to 10
22:03
DraftKings. Is that 10 officially?
22:05
But let's see if maybe we can get a hook on the 10 1/2.
22:08
So I haven't bet Cleveland yet, but this is a play that I'm
22:12
going to monitor and try to get the best number that I can with,
22:14
especially with a good edge from our friends at Rhythm.
22:18
So monitoring Browns, trying to get a 10 1/2, but I officially
22:21
have Vikings money line -140 and Colts plus 3 1/2 as well as
22:27
hopefully the Guardians. Can we win a damn baseball game?
22:30
Jesus. It's been rough out there.
22:32
But anyway, guys, that about does it for Episode 359 of the
22:35
All Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by rhythm.
22:39
This is the part of the pod, as always, where we wrap things up
22:42
and give you some final thoughts and some links and places to to
22:45
go from here. But first, I always want to
22:47
start by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
22:49
out of your day, out of your busy lives.
22:51
And I got a lot going on. But you tune in, you grind the
22:54
sweats with me. That means the world to me.
22:56
So thank you for listening. Thank you for tuning in.
22:58
If you want to make my day, please would you consider giving
23:02
this podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
23:06
You can leave a nice comment under the review section.
23:08
If you want, you can recommend the pod to a friend.
23:10
You can click the follow button. That'll all help us to grow the
23:13
podcast. Next, if you enjoy the style of
23:16
betting, you know what you should do.
23:18
You should go to Amazon.com and go to just the search tab at the
23:22
top. Put in the NFL Sharp Betting
23:24
playbook. Remember we did the fireside
23:26
chat a minute ago. That's an example of a section
23:29
of my book. So if you want to brush up on
23:31
your NFL betting, if you want to support the team, you enjoy the
23:34
pod, go buy my book. It would mean a lot to me.
23:36
If you want to tweet me a copy or a photo of you holding the
23:39
book or wherever you're at in the country in the world, I
23:41
would love to retweet it. If you would also like to give
23:44
the pod or sorry the the book a five star review and a nice
23:47
comment on Amazon that would make make us make me very happy
23:51
and keep us as one of the top rated books on Amazon.
23:55
You can grab the everything guide to sports betting or the
23:57
NFL sharp betting playbook. Bring the sports book.
23:59
I'll sign it for you. I'll buy a beer or ginger ale
24:01
and we'll sweat the guardians. Hopefully we'll pop some bottles
24:04
tonight. Next, have you downloaded rhythm
24:06
and juice reel yet? My two favorite sports betting
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apps rhythm great for their AI backed models and predictions
24:11
for game bets and player props. Remember they have the
24:14
leaderboard contest. You have the best system you can
24:16
get 1000 bucks, 600 bucks, 400 bucks.
24:18
They get paid out each week. You can also refer a friend and
24:21
get a discount. If you want to try rhythm, use
24:23
the promo code start 25 for 25% off.
24:27
And we will have our rhythm rundown, our live stream show
24:30
tomorrow, 6:00 PM Eastern Time. Myself and my buddy Kate Harper
24:34
breaking on all the games from a rhythm perspective.
24:37
And then also you got to download Juice Rail.
24:39
If you enjoy this pod, it's free.
24:41
It cost you nothing to listen. But if you want to tip your
24:44
podcast host, I would love for you guys to sign up to get the
24:47
$4.99 a week best bets exclusively and only available
24:52
on the juice Reel tab. The juice reel it's under the
24:55
pics sellers Pat tab. I don't really like the idea of
24:58
selling pics to me you're tipping your podcast host.
25:00
But you can tell Faye do whatever you like.
25:02
But hopefully you can get some better numbers and you are
25:04
supporting the pod. So if you feel like I give you a
25:06
5 bucks worth of insights throughout the week, please sign
25:11
up to get the the best bets from the juice reel tab.
25:14
I tweeted out every kind of lady early evening around 5-6
25:18
o'clock, I'll put out that tweet and you can just sign up right
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through there. If you're also going to get the
25:22
Robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the
25:25
arbitrage plays, the shop for the best line futures all
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available when you download it Juice Reel.
25:29
So download rhythm, download Juice reel, give him a five star
25:32
review in the App Store. Next, do you have a live odds
25:35
page? If you don't have one, you need
25:37
one. You don't know what you're
25:38
missing until you actually have it.
25:39
And then you're like, how did I ever bet on sports before having
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a live odds page, you got to be able to track the market, see
25:45
the opening number never changes that opening column to the
25:48
right. You'll have all the current
25:49
odds. You can see which direction the
25:50
line is moving. You can pull up the line
25:51
history. You can shop for the best line
25:53
and find the best price, which is super, super important.
25:57
Find the 10 and F instead of 10. You know, find the favorite -2
26:00
and F instead of -3 getting better prices, tracking the
26:03
market, identifying steam like with that Guardians move earlier
26:07
today, live scoring, live in game wagering odds all available
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when you give a shot to odds logic.
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So I'd love for you guys to go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
26:19
That'll give you a 7A free trial, 50% off your first month.
26:22
And then lastly, as the spiel wraps up here, you know what?
26:26
Betting through online sports books, totally legal as long as
26:29
you're in a legal state. But there's also these new
26:31
things called betting exchanges. Instead of betting against the
26:34
house, you're betting against other sports betters.
26:36
If you win, you're not going to get limited.
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You get better odds because you don't have to pay the juice to
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the house and it operates just like a sports book.
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You deposit money, boom, you're good to go.
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So if you would like to give a shot to Novig, just download the
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Novig app NOVIG and use promo code Josh 123.
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You'll get 100% deposit match for 25 bucks.
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You put in 25, they'll add another 25 and they'll be off
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and running 50 bucks betting through the exchange.
27:02
So give Novig a shot so that about dozen guys.
27:05
Episode 359. As always, two final thoughts,
27:08
whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
27:11
Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
27:14
Sun down in Connecticut, the Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge
27:17
Park Casino, MGM Springfield, the Nash.
27:19
Where I'm at in New England, on the border of New Hampshire, in
27:23
Massachusetts, out in the desert where the true grinders get down
27:25
or Billy Walters sends his number runners where the lowest
27:28
juice possible is found at the South Point.
27:30
So in sharp contrarian plays, jumping in the stadium swimming
27:33
pool, when you catch a big ticket at Circo, wherever, maybe
27:36
you're going to walk up to me. Don't show me the Reds.
27:39
I can't believe they lost that game.
27:40
It was all lined up perfectly. So that's baseball.
27:43
Sometimes it happens, but you know what you can do?
27:45
Show me a Red Sox over 85 1/2 win total.
27:48
They made us sweat but they got there let's hope they get one
27:51
more win because I know some people I think the line closed
27:53
86 1/2 so go Sox but first one's on me next one's on you.
27:57
We're going to see if the guardians can get us a winner
27:59
here tonight So as always guys off AO and one night 1 and O
28:03
night you win a big futures bet, you lose a big futures bet.
28:06
Whether we're hot, whether we're cold, whether things are going
28:08
well or we're struggling or just grinding sport.
28:11
Remember sports betting is never easy.
28:13
A lot of it is psychological. We stick to the numbers, but
28:16
hey, we're human. When you're struggling, it's
28:18
rough. When things are going well,
28:20
there's nothing better. But you're never as good as you
28:22
think when you're hot. You're never as bad as you think
28:24
when you're cold. You're always somewhere in the
28:25
middle. So we cannot control the
28:27
outcomes of the games. We don't have Beth Tannen's
28:29
Almanac from from Back to the Future, but you know, we can do.
28:32
We can make smart data-driven bets with our head and not our
28:35
heart. And we know if we stick to that
28:37
model, find the games that fit that model against the public,
28:40
with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get
28:43
that CLV. If we can do that long term,
28:46
we're going to be successful sports bettors.
28:47
So have a great Wednesday, everybody.
28:49
Enjoy the Guardians game tonight.
28:52
Let's see if the Guards can get a winner for us.
28:54
And then I'll be right back at it tomorrow for a big Thirsty
28:57
Thursday edition. That'll be episode 360 of the
29:00
All Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
29:04
Have a great night everybody and good luck.