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Can Devin Brown Top His Career Highs In The Cotton Bowl? · Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning

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Welcome to buck Eyes tomorrow morning for Friday, December fifteenth. I'm your host,
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Tom Moore. The Cotton Bowl game against Missouri in fourteen days, Yes,
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just two weeks, That doesn't seem possible. The game against Michigan in
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three hundred and fifty one days. When the Black guys play that Cotton Bowl
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game in two weeks, they are likely very likely going to have Devin Brown
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as a starter for them at quarterback. First time start for Devin Brown in
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his career. And so when I went back to look at his stats for
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his career so far, I thought, Hey, this would be a pretty
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interesting show to do with Tony Gurderman. Okay, that's not what happened.
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Tony Gerderman had sent me an idea for a show, and I said,
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I'm going to steal it and take credit for it. And here we are,
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Tony Devin Brown's career stats. Will he go over or under them in
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the Cotton Bowl game? Because I think Devin Brown has been around a while.
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You've heard a lot of talk about Devin Brown and then you look at
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his career stats and it's like, oh, he really has not played a
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whole heck of a lot Yeah, he is going to get more action than
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he's ever gotten as first start, as he said, excited for a top
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ten matchup in the Cotton Bowl, if he might be the most excited guy
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to be playing in the game. So it's good that your quarterback is that
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guy, and we're going to get the first really really sustained look where he's
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not the change of pace quarterback, he is the pace and I'm interested to
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see what kind of pace he sets. All right, So let's run through
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his career stats right now, just for folks who maybe don't have them right
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in front of them, and why would you Twelve completions, twenty two attempts,
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fifty four percent completion percentage, one hundred and ninety seven yards nine yards
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per attempt, and two touchdowns, one interception, long pass of fifty eight
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yards, sacked three times. And I guess, Tony, the first thing
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that jumps out to me on those on that list of stats is everyone remembers
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probably the long bomb that he threw to Brandon Innis in the Purdue game.
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Fifty eight yard touchdown Brandon and this is only catch of his career so far,
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longest pass of Devon Brown's career that is thirty percent of his career yards
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on that one pass. That was there were a bunch of these numbers that
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I looked at. I went, that can't be right. That seems way
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too low. But didn't really didn't play last year, didn't run any passes
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last year, and then you know, played some in the early going,
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and then didn't play a whole heck of a lot, and then got hurt
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and missed a bunch of weeks and it just and then you know, went
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right when you thought he was coming back, he reaggravated the ankle injury.
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I think that was before the Michigan State game, you know, another game
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where he would have played a lot. It's just it's it feels like we've
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been talking about Devin Brown for so long and you haven't really seen anything out
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of him, good, bad, or indifferent for the most part. So
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all right, We're going to start with a very easy one tony twelve career
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completions for Devin Brown over or under twelve completions for Devin Brown in the Cotton
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Bowl. I'm going to go over that one time. I feel pretty good
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about that, just because I think you'd have to go back a long time
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to find Maybe you'd have to go back a while to find the last time
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on Ohio State quarterback completed fewer than twelve passes or completed fewer than thirteen passes
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in a game. And I think there's a chance that he's not the only
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quarterback that plays for Ohio State in this game, which will factor into these
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numbers as well. But the condition should be okay. I don't think it'll
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get too windy there in Jerry world, So I don't think you have to
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worry about a Northwestern situation. No, no hurricane force wins or anything like
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that. You know, you close up the ceiling, you close up the
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windows, and you should be okay. So I feel like twelve over twelve
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might be I think that might be the safest bet in any of these numbers
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today. Yeah, I think you're probably right there. He you know,
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if he starts and if he plays more than a half, I would certainly
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expect him to complete at least twelve passes. The fewest passes completed by Kyle
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McCord this season as a starter for Higher State was fourteen. That was against
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Youngstown State, and that was, of course a game where Devin Brown played
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a bunch, So Devin Brown was the you know, the only the only
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reason Kal McCord only completed fourteen passes against Youngstown State was that Devin Brown was
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playing a bunch of that game. So so there's there's the first one.
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Yes, I agree with you. There, that's a pretty easy over.
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Twenty two attempts. So I guess let's just make these twenty two and a
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half, twelve and a half. All that twenty two and a half attempts.
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This is another one where the only time in the high state quarterback did
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not go over twenty two and a half attempts was again in that Youngstown State
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game, calm accord was fourteen for twenty he complete attempts to only twenty three
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passes the following week against Western Kentucky. This to me feels like another probably
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relatively easy over. Yeah, I'm thinking over as well, and I'm just
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like looking back at c J. Stroud his lowest number of attempts. He
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had twenty two against Rutgers in twenty twenty two and twenty two against minnesot and
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his season debut in twenty twenty one. So it is possible that you only
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have twenty two but if he's only if he's only throwing the ball twenty two
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times in this one, that tells me they're running the ball pretty good.
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And I don't know that you necessarily need to. Let's focus on the run
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in this game. Let's make sure we established the run. I think you
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want to see what you've got in Devin Brown, so you let him throw
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it around and it may be it may end up being like a seventeen for
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forty nine, but you're going to find out if he can throw the ball
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or not. I'm not expecting seventeen for forty nine, but I am expecting
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over twenty two. Yeah, I think, you know, unless they really
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are splitting the reps fifty to fifty with him and Lincoln Keenhols, and I'm
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not expecting that. I would assume you're going to get over twenty two and
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a half pass attemps. Comccord had, as I said, only only one
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game where he did not hit that mark. Then, in terms of total
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yardage passing Devin Brown one hundred and ninety seven yards on the season, there
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was only one game where Kyle McCord did not hit that number this season,
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and that was the game at Rutgers for one hundred and eighty nine yards in
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that one. I guess this is this is the first one to me where
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you could you know, you could see him not getting to one ninety seven.
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Yeah, And if there's no Marvin Harrison, I think maybe that impacts
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some things as well. So I feel less confident about this, but also
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only throw it for one hundred ninety seven yards. And maybe if we go
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and look to see how often, what does that what does that Missouri pass
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defense look like in terms of how easy how many yards are they giving up
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routinely against I'd say moderate pass offenses. You look over what they've done in
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the past, and you know they haven't given up. They've given up one
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three hundred yard game this year, so I think that's pretty good overall.
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But I mean Florida three for two hundred and thirty nine yards, So I
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mean, if Florida could throw for two hundred yards on you'd think Devin Brown
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could. But to me, this also comes down to choice, and I
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think they will choose to do so, Tom, I'm wondering, what are
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the chances, what odds would you give me that Devin Brown would be all
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three of these numbers in the first half. In the first half, Oh,
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boy, first half would be plus four hundred something. You know,
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where are we? Yeah, I mean that that's a lot for the first
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half. So I mean he'd have to go thirteen for twenty three for one
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hundred and ninety eight yards in the first half. Yeah, like a plus
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four hundred is probably not a bad guess. I'm just looking at the the
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game by game stats for Missouri. The only three teams failed to hit one
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hundred and ninety seven yards passing against Missouri this year. It was South Dakota,
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Kentucky, and Arkansas. But you know, as you said, only
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Memphis went over three hundred or three hundred yards against Missouri. So yeah,
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boy, one hundred and ninety seven yards in the first half, that's that's
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pretty close to what most teams did. I might even say plus five hundred
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there, because I mean, you gotta remember you're basically functionally doubling those numbers
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to get to your game total, and that just that seems very, very
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very high. But we also know Ryan Day likes to be aggressive out of
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the gate. If this is not c J. Stroud, but if this
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is c J. Stroud, you'd be like, well, I mean not
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quite even money, but it wouldn't shock me if they were. I think
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that the toughest part there is are you going to throw the ball twenty three
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times? Because if you've got two hundred yards passing, you probably did it
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in like fourteen attempts or sixteen attempts something like that. Yeah, I think
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that would be pretty surprising to get to that number and a half because I
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mean c J. Stroud like, I mean, what did happened the Rose
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Bowl? Five hundred something yards or four hundred and something yards in the Rose
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Bowl and six touchdowns? That was you know, similarly perfect condition, but
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also a Utah team playing a running back at defensive back and you know,
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and so yeah, I think the more the longer we talk about this,
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the less I think he's going to do it. In a half. I
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do think he's going to probably hit all three of those numbers for you know,
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for the game. If you're going to parlay all three of those going
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over, I think that's probably pretty close to even money that he's going to
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go over all three of those. Next up, Tony is touchdowns two touchdowns
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passing on the year for Kyle for Devin Brown two, So two and a
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half this is this is the first one that I'm kind of going all right
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now, this is I think a very very interesting number. Three touchdowns or
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more, or two touchdowns or fewer. I think this is. If you
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said it at two and a half, I'm going under. You said it
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at one and a half, I'm going over. And since we're we're going
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a half on all of these, I would say under because you obviously don't
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have the free space of Marvin Harrison. Perhaps maybe they will, and if
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they do, then I'm gonna, you know, I'll take take the over
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on everything. But it's it's difficult to expect a guy to throw for three
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touchdowns in a game that is just playing starting his first career game kind of
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accord this year, how many three touchdown games did he have? I look
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real quick, he had one, two, three, four or five.
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And you know, I don't know how many of those came against quality top
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ten opponents, none of them, in fact. So it's much more difficult
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to do it against a fighting foe than it is just a random Joe.
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So I will say under. But also I think they're gonna want to throw
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it around and just see what happens. I think one thing that might lend
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me to or lead me to pick the under there is where did we see
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Devin Brown When Devin Brown was playing after the first couple of games of the
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season, he was coming in in the goal line to run the football.
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So you know that that either is you know number one. I think that
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makes it more likely that they're going to try to run the ball more in
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the goal line. But of course, the flip side of that is what
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do you do during the course of the season. You show something and then
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you build off of it. And I don't think you know, he threw
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one pass down at the goal line at one point against Purdue and it was
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incomplete, but you know, maybe you've got a maybe you've got a throw
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off of the run that you've been setting up. So you know he will
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either he's going to play in the goal line. We are pretty sure of
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that. And then the question is are they going to run like they have
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or are they going to throw like they've seemingly been setting up. So I
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think, you know, he might vulture one of his own passing touchdowns with
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a rushing touchdown, So that that's one more thing that I think would lead
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me to the under there, but we'll see interceptions through one pick all season
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and so over under one and a half interceptions, Donty, you don't ever
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want to be that guy that picks. I think you're gonna throw two interceptions.
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So since I don't have to say I think he's gonna throw one,
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I can just say I think he'll go under. But is anybody going to
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be shocked by a guy throwing two interceptions the first time he's out there really
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on a big stage, And say what you want about the cotton ball,
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it's a big stage for him, it's big stage for the players, first
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real action month off of action from the well, shoot, he didn't play
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since like what Penn State October, so he's he's been gone for about seven
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weeks at that point, so or nine weeks from that point. So two
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interceptions would not shock anybody. But I will take the under Tom because I
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am not a hater. Yeah, I think the odds that he goes over
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one and a half interceptions, yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna take the under
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two. Just be clear, the odds that he goes over one and a
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half interceptions is probably the same about the same as the odds he goes over
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two and a half touchdowns, where you know you wouldn't you wouldn't be surprised
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at all to see either side of either of those. Under is probably the
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safer bet for both of them until you see it, but that's you know,
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so I think I think those are both both You could you could make
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an argument either way, but I'm gonna lean with you under on both of
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them. Sacks tony three sacks taken by Devin Brown this season. I'm going
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to tell you Missouri's defense only had more than three sacks once that was against
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Middle Tennessee State, three sacks against Georgia and Tennessee and two in all of
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the other games, or fewer over under three and a half sacks. I'm
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going to go under because although you know, again it wouldn't be a shock
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for somebody to take a little bit longer to process when this is new for
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them, and you know the defense is going to come up with some stuff,
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so maybe there's some paralysis by analyst type of stuff, but also you're
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gonna want to call some dial up, some quick stuff so that that doesn't
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happen. Maybe some QB draws to where they have to. Maybe the defense
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has to be a little bit cautious on that pass rush so that they don't
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lose contained and give some stuff up. So I'll say under three and a
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half sacks. You. Yeah, I'm going under as well on that one.
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And I was all excited to make the point that I bet they kind
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of try to keep things relatively simple for him in his first game, and
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you beat me to it. But yeah, a lot of you know,
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you might have two reads and take off kind of plays lined up for him.
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You use the you know, use your legs where you know. House
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State fans are used to being on the other side of this right now,
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where the rush can't get too aggressive because if the edges, if the edges
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get behind the quarterback, then that opens up some real rushing lanes. That's
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usually some of the House State fans have been worrying about when they were on
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defense. But now WHU State may have a quarterback they can make opponents worry
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about that a little bit more. So, Yeah, I will go under
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on that as well. So this is gonna be I think we're gonna learn
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a lot about Devin Brown in this Cotton Bowl game. You should have most
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of his weapons and most presumably most of his offensive line, and all that
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against a pretty decent but not all world defense where there's a reasonable chance for
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some success, not a guarantee of success, but also not a guarantee of
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failure. So it's gonna be probably a pretty good barometer of what Devin Brown
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could look like for the Buckeyes moving forward. We will be there, boy,
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two weeks till the game, so we're like a week and a half
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away from getting on an airplane and going down to Dallas. Tony and Kevin
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and I will be down there covering the game. Got the early signing day
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coming up in just five days now, next Wednesday, the twentieth. A
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lot of recruiting news coming out transfer portal. Buck Guy's looking to add a
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couple of folks. Who knows if anyone else is going to go in the
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portal at this point. Lots of stuff to do, lots of stuff to
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talk about, lots of stuff to read about, lots of stuff to chat
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about, all at Buckeyehuddle dot com and of course on our YouTube channel YouTube
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