Latest / Brian Thomas / Daniel Davis Deep Dive -- 1/27/26

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Daniel Davis Deep Dive -- 1/27/26 · Brian Thomas

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  Speaker 1: Hey, thirty one Here fifty five KRSITY Talk station Daniel
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: Davis Deep Dive. Find them where you get your podcast.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Just look for the Daniel Davis Deep Dive and tune
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  Speaker 1: in every Tuesday at this time to hear what Daniel
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  Speaker 1: Davis has to say about matters involving warfare. Retire with
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  Speaker 1: ten Colonel Daniel Davis, Welcome back to the fifty five
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  Speaker 1: KRSE Morning Show. My friend's always wonderful having you on
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  Speaker 1: my program. Oh ways, a pleasure to be here, Brian,
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  Speaker 1: and thank God for people smarter than me, like Sean
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  Speaker 1: who's covering for Joe, who got all this audio video
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  Speaker 1: thing worked out. I was sweating bullets there. I thought
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  Speaker 1: we'd had to default to a phone call and my
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  Speaker 1: listening audience I am seeing retiredly ken of Colonel Daniel
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  Speaker 1: Davis visually as I do with Judge of Polatano on Wednesdays.
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  Speaker 1: Is a really nice feature. And let us pivot over.
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  Speaker 1: We've got like ninety ga jillion crises we could talk
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  Speaker 1: about today, but I want to get your reaction to
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  Speaker 1: the carrier group that's getting over. It is going to
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  Speaker 1: be in the neighborhood of Iran here soon and the
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  Speaker 1: I guess rumors that the Iatola is now underground at
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  Speaker 1: a bunker because he thinks he's going to get blown
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  Speaker 1: up or some sort of venz Wayland like military action
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  Speaker 1: is going to happen. What's your perception of all this is? This?
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  Speaker 1: Is this on the right track? Are we going off
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  Speaker 1: rails here? Are we getting ourselves involved in something that
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  Speaker 1: we're really not fully contemplating right now?
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  Speaker 2: Daniel Davis, Yeah, I fear that the latter is probably
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  Speaker 2: the case, because there is a substantial amount of combat
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  Speaker 2: power in the region. It is now on station in
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  Speaker 2: the sitcome area of responsibility. There were just before I
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  Speaker 2: came on the show here. I saw that they were
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  Speaker 2: publicly announced from osit On X. They track movement of ships,
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  Speaker 2: the true move of air et cetera. And there were
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  Speaker 2: US drones going through the Strait of Horror Moves to
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  Speaker 2: do some reconnaissance there. It was mirrored by an Iranian
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  Speaker 2: drone also going through the same area where they kind
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  Speaker 2: of are doing reconnaissance of the same areas. It looks
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  Speaker 2: like it's probably reasonable to assume that the ie Tolda
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  Speaker 2: is in a bunker in Haden, not even just because
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  Speaker 2: of Maduro, but because of what happened to Hassan Nazraala.
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  Speaker 2: You know, he got out of his bunker, got into
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  Speaker 2: a less protected bunker, and he was discovered and then
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  Speaker 2: assassinated by the Israeli defense forces. So that's his bigger
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  Speaker 2: issue there. But I'm part of the downside of being
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  Speaker 2: successful with something like the Maduro case or the in
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  Speaker 2: Israla is that now then the opposite opponent knows how
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  Speaker 2: to hide better and to protect himself. So if you
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  Speaker 2: think it's going to be easy to go in and
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  Speaker 2: get him like it was these other two, we're probably
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  Speaker 2: gonna be disappointed. If we come in with all this
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  Speaker 2: firepower that's on station here, and it's not just in
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  Speaker 2: those ships but also on some of the land based
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  Speaker 2: but air bases nearedby, we can do a lot of damage.
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  Speaker 2: We can't win a war that way. And if you
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  Speaker 2: go in and you just start blowing a bunch of
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  Speaker 2: stuff up, that may feel good. But in this case,
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  Speaker 2: and I think different than the previous iterations, Iran will
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  Speaker 2: fight back and they will fire back with missiles that
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  Speaker 2: we cannot intercept, Israel cannot intercept, and it could cause
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  Speaker 2: profound damage. So we have to think this through really
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  Speaker 2: really clear, and there better be. So I'm compelling reason
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  Speaker 2: why we should start something that we may not be
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  Speaker 2: able to finish well.
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  Speaker 1: In spite of all the genocidal campaigns that we have
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  Speaker 1: turned a blind eye toward over the many, many years.
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  Speaker 1: I think of Bill Clinton's regrets over I guess Somalia
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  Speaker 1: and the slaughter of hundreds of thousands of people. We
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  Speaker 1: didn't get involved in that one. The problem seems to
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  Speaker 1: be this trip wire that Trump is obsessed with, and
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  Speaker 1: I think with legitimate reasons he is. You know, he
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  Speaker 1: does care about human life. They're murdering a lot of people.
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  Speaker 1: Daniel Davis numbers range all over the board. I've seen
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  Speaker 1: as many as thirty thousand people have been murdered by
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  Speaker 1: the Iranians, the protesters in the streets. I've seen recently
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  Speaker 1: ten thousand or more somewhere in that fog of war
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  Speaker 1: number that we're always looking for, a lot of people
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  Speaker 1: are being gunned down and murdered for speaking. And that's
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  Speaker 1: that's immoral. It does not provide Iran with a legitimate
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  Speaker 1: of a legitimate face. You know, people can argue about
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  Speaker 1: Palestine having rights and all that. At least there's some
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  Speaker 1: sort of legitimacy to the argument that I don't think
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  Speaker 1: you're on enjoys right now under the current crackdown. What's
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  Speaker 1: your take on that.
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  Speaker 2: Well, we also have to be open and honest and
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  Speaker 2: recognize that the reason why the organic protests did start
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  Speaker 2: around the twentieth twenty ninth of December is because of that.
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  Speaker 2: We externally crashed their currency, which caused of a financial
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  Speaker 2: panic inside because of the sanctions that we have hoisted
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  Speaker 2: on them. On top of that, and then, according to
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  Speaker 2: Mike Pompeo, the Masade and probably the CIA and MI six,
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  Speaker 2: we're both on the ground intentionally stirring things up. They
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  Speaker 2: brought in supplies for people to protest. So we have
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  Speaker 2: facilitated this from the outside. Whatever's going on inside, and
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  Speaker 2: there's no question that there's a lot of it, this
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  Speaker 2: genuine and organic, but we have put fuel to it
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  Speaker 2: to make it bigger, in my view, probably to try
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  Speaker 2: and justify going in there. But even if you look
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  Speaker 2: at the surface of it, weather's going on in some
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  Speaker 2: kind of other country that's bad, doesn't give us any
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  Speaker 2: kind of authorization to coming in kill the regime. But
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  Speaker 2: I'm telling you, even if that's what we thought we
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  Speaker 2: were going to do. It is nearly impossible with the
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  Speaker 2: power package we have in there, and to try is
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  Speaker 2: almost certainly going to get a lot of Israelis killed
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  Speaker 2: and a lot of Americans in the region killed. And
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  Speaker 2: you can't succeed. There's no militarily attainable military objective from
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  Speaker 2: at least what's been shown so far, and I fear
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  Speaker 2: that chances are high that we get sucked into a
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  Speaker 2: war we should never fight and may not be able
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  Speaker 2: to win.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, I tend to agree with you on that. I
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  Speaker 1: worry about their actors assume nuclear bomb, but we seem
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  Speaker 1: to have kicked that can down the road for a
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  Speaker 1: while anyway. But you know, I'm still struggling a given
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  Speaker 1: that I'm a constitutionalist with the idea that Congress should
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  Speaker 1: have some involvement in any military action on this level.
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  Speaker 1: If you had to draw a parallel what you see
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  Speaker 1: in the future, if we started dropping bombs on Iran,
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  Speaker 1: would it look like Afghanistan we'd be stuck in a
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  Speaker 1: quagmire for a decade or more. Or would it be
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  Speaker 1: like Iran where we claim there's weapons of mass destruction,
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  Speaker 1: we hang out there for multiple years and then just
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  Speaker 1: pull out I mean, I'm just kind of wondering what
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  Speaker 1: the future holds in store.
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  Speaker 2: From your view, Listen, this would not be like either
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  Speaker 2: Iraq or Afghanistan. It would be much worse for us,
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  Speaker 2: because unlike those two opponents, these guys actually have the
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  Speaker 2: power to punch back hard. I mean, and they just
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  Speaker 2: demonstrated it. They actually demonstrated, and I think it was
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  Speaker 2: twenty fifteen in Saudi Arabia that they had pinpoint accuracy
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  Speaker 2: and that they can penetrate our even our patriot air
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  Speaker 2: defense systems. And then they showed again in Israel in
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  Speaker 2: June of last year during that twelve Day war, where
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  Speaker 2: they were getting a lot of stuff through the entire
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  Speaker 2: integrated systems of the era of the Iron Dome, the
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  Speaker 2: David Sling all that stuff, the arrow systems, the thad everything.
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  Speaker 2: They were getting stuff through at increasing rates toward the end,
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  Speaker 2: which is one of the reasons we agreed to a ceasefire.
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  Speaker 2: So Ever, that risk and vulnerability is still there and
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  Speaker 2: it wasn't there any of the other time, so we
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  Speaker 2: could actually get really pained, bloody nose reactions if we
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  Speaker 2: strike here. This is not like those other cases.
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  Speaker 1: Well, wouldn't we also be facing maybe kind of a
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  Speaker 1: proxy war with their assisting with they're getting assistance from
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  Speaker 1: perhaps Russia and China.
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  Speaker 2: Uh, it's it's very unclear. It's not an automatic. Yes,
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  Speaker 2: they both China and Russia have a lot of interest
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  Speaker 2: in the regime not falling because obviously they have a
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  Speaker 2: connections to the Middle East. They're China in particular has
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  Speaker 2: oil substantial amount of oil that comes from there. They
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  Speaker 2: certainly don't want to see that dry up. But they
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  Speaker 2: also don't want to get into a shooting war with
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  Speaker 2: the United States over something like that. Uh, they're they're
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  Speaker 2: much better at saying, you know, we're gonna use indirect methods.
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  Speaker 2: They'll they'll do things around the edges. I mean, you
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  Speaker 2: can see what's some of the things that have happened
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  Speaker 2: in Europe where you know, all of a sudden, these
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  Speaker 2: factories are starting to catch on fire, and there's other
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  Speaker 2: sabotage on rail lines, et cetera. So you'll see covert stuff.
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  Speaker 2: I don't think you'll see anything big over just because
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  Speaker 2: they don't want to get into a war or something
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  Speaker 2: like that.
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  Speaker 1: Fair enough retarded the conductor with Daniel Davis, So let it
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  Speaker 1: the country, whether on the vine as a consequence of
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  Speaker 1: the sanctions that have been heat down upon them, even
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  Speaker 1: though there are killing their citizens, that seemed to be
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  Speaker 1: the best course of action, non military, and it is
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  Speaker 1: obviously having some success. If their currency is failing, then
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  Speaker 1: they're gonna deal with economic problems and the people, being
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  Speaker 1: very well overthrow their own government just simply because they
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  Speaker 1: can't find something to eat.
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  Speaker 2: Well, it could be, but again, and that seems to
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  Speaker 2: be the intent of some on our side to say
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  Speaker 2: that we want to destroy the regime. But I'm just
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  Speaker 2: telling you, even if you quote succeed, the fallout is very,
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  Speaker 2: very difficult to control. And it's very rare indeed that
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  Speaker 2: you have a regime change that you force from the
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  Speaker 2: outside that ends up being better either for the people
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  Speaker 2: that we claim to want to help or for our side.
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  Speaker 2: It usually brings more chaos and you have no idea
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  Speaker 2: who's going to come in after that. They could be
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  Speaker 2: worse And I saw that myself the many deployments in
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  Speaker 2: the Middle East.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, you can get something worse than the currentiatola. Wow,
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  Speaker 1: that's food for thought right there, Daniel Davis. Real quick,
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  Speaker 1: since we're almost almost out of time, if not out
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  Speaker 1: of time, but I'm willing to go a little bit.
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  Speaker 1: Look just the quick synopsis of Russia Ukraine. I saw
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  Speaker 1: a headline. Let me just read the headline, Ukraine War briefing,
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  Speaker 1: Security agreement one hundred percent ready to be signed. Zelenski says,
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  Speaker 1: that doesn't sound like the situation on the ground right now. Daniel, Yeah.
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  Speaker 2: The only thing is you don't hear anything from the
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  Speaker 2: American side that we're one hundred percent agreement. We're just
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  Speaker 2: looking for a signing date. Meanwhile, you have almost no
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  Speaker 2: power in the capital city. Hundreds of thousands are fleeing
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  Speaker 2: because they cannot eat or stay warm. Doesn't look like
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  Speaker 2: the definition of victory or that we're getting close to
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  Speaker 2: a negotiated settlement to me.
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  Speaker 1: Daniel Davis every Tuesday here beginning at a thirty The
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  Speaker 1: Deep Dive Daniel Davis Deep Dive Online wherever you get
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: your podcast. Hey brother, thanks very much, man. I always
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: appreciate your thoughtful analysis and keeping us real if you
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, Man, look forward and seeing you
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: next time next week A forty Right now, if you
• 9:46
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