Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Week 15 SNF Showdown | Ravens @ Jaguars | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process

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NFL Week 15 SNF Showdown | Ravens @ Jaguars | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:05
  Fall systems going clear? Left? What is going on? YouTube? We're
• 0:38
  back with the Sunday night football breakdown here on the ship at Nation YouTube Station.
• 0:45
  I got my guy Hamdwich, like we always got every Sunday, comeing
• 0:48
  to you bringing these winners for this Sunday night game. We got a good
• 0:52
  one here. How much I'll bring you in right away? Man, Happy
• 0:55
  Sunday? How are we doing? How's your travel? I know? Good
• 0:58
  luck in that Fan Duel Live final. I believe you're in that final,
• 1:02
  right if I'm not mistaken there online final if you will, so good luck
• 1:07
  there. Hopefully you crush that guy ge Risen's in the DraftKings Final. Got
• 1:12
  a couple other guys members things like that qualified for these final events that are
• 1:18
  going off. But we've got a forty one total here tonight, three and
• 1:21
  a half point spread, Ravens favored on the road here in Jacksonville. But
• 1:26
  how's your weekend? Man, Happy Sunday? How we do? Yeah?
• 1:30
  Doing good? Yeah? Down here in Miami. I think this is the
• 1:33
  last ever FanDuel Live final that's actually in person, so gonna soak it up.
• 1:37
  There's some members down here Hoops in the final as well. He didn't
• 1:40
  make it to Miami. But we're down here in this hotel room. As
• 1:42
  you guys can see, it should be a good game. It's it's been
• 1:46
  raining all day down in Miami. Obviously, this games up in Jacksonville,
• 1:49
  there's gonna be some win, gonna be some rain up there tonight as well,
• 1:53
  So we need to touch on that as we dive in. Yeah,
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  no, obviously that's kind of dictated by the little right now, forty one
• 2:00
  and a half total in this one here, let's jump right in. Obviously,
• 2:05
  if you guys are new, hit that like button, Hit that subscribe
• 2:07
  button, helps us out of ton We're gonna kept talk captain first, as
• 2:10
  we always do, and anytime Lamar is on the slate, man, he's
• 2:15
  got to be a talking point. But he's three thousand dollars more expensive than
• 2:19
  Trevor Lawrence, thirty six hundred dollars, thirty three hundred dollars more than ETN,
• 2:23
  and a whole lot more than the next closest Baltimore piece and Zave Flowers
• 2:30
  talk about this captain position. Obviously, Lamar right highest ceiling floor combination on
• 2:34
  the slate, especially against the team in Jacksonville who can't stop a quarterback,
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  especially a mobile quarterback like Lamar Jackson. Who I mean, he's got a
• 2:42
  thirty percent rush share in this offense, a thirty three percent red zone rush
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  share. Two. I mean, this guy does it all right, coming
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  off a massive, massive game last week where he dropped thirty five. Before
• 2:53
  that, he was very underwhelming, right, fourteen twenty three, fifteen twelve
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  eleven. Does he repeat that kind of ceiling performance from from last week here
• 3:06
  against this Jacksonville team? Where are you going at the captain position here?
• 3:07
  How much? Yeah? I mean the captain it's I mean, Lamar's what
• 3:13
  a clear three thousand, yeah, three thousand dollers ahead of the next the
• 3:17
  next guy, Trevor Lawrence. I don't know if we've seen that all season.
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  Lamar's a great play. But I think this game, just with the
• 3:24
  way the game is gonna play out, I think it trends more towards you
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  know that Chargers game on Sunday night that we saw a couple Sunday nights ago.
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  With that being said, I think it's a slower paced, I think
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  it's lower scoring with the weather and just this is a playoff, playoff type
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  atmosphere. Uh, this game is gonna go a long long way in determining
• 3:43
  who gets home field advantage throughout the playoffs. So I think it's Lamar.
• 3:46
  I don't think this is a ceiling Lamar game. Obviously I could be wrong,
• 3:51
  but I think it's gonna be. Like I said, I think he's
• 3:53
  gonna be lower than he should. I'll have him, you know, if
• 3:57
  I'm building twenty teams, I'll have him in a couple teams. But he's
• 4:00
  not my favorite captain tonight. My favorite captain for these Ravens would be Zay
• 4:05
  Flowers at thirteen too. I really like Zay Flowers tonight. I think he
• 4:09
  can get in those open spaces as Jags Warts. Jaguars defense is not very
• 4:15
  good against the pass, and he's you know, he can take it deep
• 4:17
  for sure, but they do a lot of stuff into round. You know,
• 4:20
  he had that end a round against the Chargers going back to that Sunday
• 4:24
  night game, so they find the way to get him the ball with bad
• 4:26
  weather. I think this this game kind of plays in him. So give
• 4:29
  me some Zay Flowers and then on the Jaguars, I'm gonna spread it around
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  amongst Trevor Lawrence atn Ridley and then apparently the guy that scores a touchdown every
• 4:38
  week, Evan Ingram. I don't I don't mind him at all at eleven
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  four in the captain spot. We all know this Ravens defense is very,
• 4:45
  very tough though, so it's gonna be it's gonna be a matter of,
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  you know, how many Jaguars do I want to play, because I do
• 4:50
  think the Ravens ultimately win this game, so it would probably be more of
• 4:55
  a you know, four Ravens and a two Jaguars. I mean, I
• 4:58
  don't mind a two four, but i'd I think the Ravens handle the Jaguars
• 5:00
  night in Jacksonville. Yeah, No, excellent talking points. I do kind
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  of agree with you there, honestly. Like this, I mean, I'm
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  expecting probably twenty five to thirty percent ownership on Lamar for good reasons. In
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  the captain spot, I'm only playing a couple of teams. I'll just be
• 5:15
  fine being underweight on that, right and just building a different roster construction,
• 5:19
  because if you go Lamar in the captain spot, you're gonna get down to
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  guys like Nelson Aguila, right, The defenses are gonna pop in there.
• 5:26
  Guys like Zay Jones things like that that are gonna pop in there. And
• 5:30
  these value plays overall aren't aren't the greatest, right, I mean if you
• 5:33
  look at the flex values, I mean it drops off pretty quickly, right,
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  I mean you got Rashad Bateman, who doesn't get a ton of targets
• 5:41
  and stuff. He's thirty two hundred. Justice Hill obviously there with that that
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  obviously multiple options there. Parker Washington's now up to four k on the On
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  the Jacksonville side, you got Luke Farrell, whoever that is, Will Ferrell
• 5:54
  want to be or something? Right? Whoever he is? Twelve hundred dollars
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  there, Tim Jones, I mean it's very gross, and eighteen six is
• 6:00
  a hafty price point to play when you still got etn right, you still
• 6:03
  got Trevor Lawrence, You've got Kevin Ridley, you got my boy, Evan
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  Ingram, who I like a ton. Here. The DVP rankings might be
• 6:13
  a little skewed here because tight ends do fair pretty decent against his Baltimore team.
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  Here. Evan Ingram obviously seems now that ever since he scored two weeks
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  ago, now he's got three touchdowns in two weeks here, since not scoring
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  a touchdown right all season long, twenty three and thirty three DraftKings points in
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  the last two games now gets eleven to four price point here, which makes
• 6:35
  a lot of things work. So I do like Evan Ingram quite a bit
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  at the captain position. I like Kelvin Ridley a lot at the captain position.
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  Those two guys for me on the Jacksonville side of am I preferred.
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  And then on the Baltimore side, I like Zay Flowers. And then I
• 6:48
  also like mister Isaiah Likely here, who's got one of the stone knut matchups.
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  Jacksonville tight ends obviously smashed this team likely's coming off a seven target,
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  five reception eighty three yards seventeen yard shi that bonus did pick up a TD.
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  I like it likely a lot here. It's pretty likely that I'm going
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  to have some likely in the captain spot here tonight. I'll tell you that
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  right now. So I do like him, so both tight ends. Something
• 7:14
  about these tight ends on showdown man, whatever it is, I got a
• 7:17
  soft spot in their heart for tight end captains. But it's just what it
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  allows you to do with your roster construction. These guys are typically priced in
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  the low eleven k's or low ten k's and it just gives you a much
• 7:29
  better build than avoiding some of these cheap punt Russian and Roulette type plays down
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  at the bottom. What's your take on those, and then go ahead and
• 7:38
  rank your four favorite captains here tonight. Yeah. No, I mean no,
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  I agree with everything that you said there. You know Likely is in
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  a great spot. I mean we didn't touch on Odell Beckham, who's had
• 7:47
  you've been playing better. I don't think I'll get there in the Captain,
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  but I don't think it's the craziest thing. I mean, obviously we're recording
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  this at ten in the morning on Sunday, and I know whether it does
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  sometimes get over blown, but if the wins are really holling and and it's
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  raining, the Ravens are absolutely fine with turning around and handing it off.
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  I think, you know, thirty to forty times. So, uh,
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  I don't mind Odell Beckham. I think I'll be I don't think i'll have
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  him in the captain, but I don't think it's the worst play. I
• 8:15
  do like Likely at four hundred dollars less there, so for me, uh,
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  the way I'd rank the captains. I'd say Zay Flowers would be number
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  one for me, Calvin Ridley number two, Trevor Lawrence number three, and
• 8:26
  then Lamar Jackson Evan Ingram will kind of round out my h my captain,
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  my captain's tonight. Yeah, No, excellent breakdown there. I'll give five
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  because I'm gonna give a pretty low owned option here that I think I think
• 8:39
  you could see see breakout here a little bit. I'll touch on him in
• 8:45
  a little bit. But my favorite captain here for sure is definitely gonna be
• 8:52
  Calvin Ridley or Jay Flowers. I like both of those guys a lot,
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  and then the two tight ends Evan Ingram likely, and then my plun captain
• 9:00
  option here is going to be Keith Mitchell here. This guy's explosive. He's
• 9:03
  got a really good match up here. Jacksonville struggles against running backs and this
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  guy is I mean, I just see them giving him more run here.
• 9:15
  I mean they they're going to need him in the playoffs here. He's an
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  explosive player here. I just I get it. It's a three headed split
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  there right between Gus Edwards and Justice Hill here. But Keith Mitchell, I
• 9:28
  think is their best running back eighty seven hundred for him in a good match
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  up here against Jacksonville. He can do it all, right. He's gotten
• 9:35
  a couple of targets the last couple of weeks. He's an explosive guy,
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  right last week nine for fifty four, week before that nine for sixty four
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  rights Alvim's averaging six seven yards of carry. If he gets his carry carry
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  load up, I mean he could explode here. You do need him.
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  One thing with with Mitchell is you need him to break it unlimited touches right
• 9:56
  because he's not going to get the line's share of the bat the touches.
• 10:00
  Obviously Gus Edwards there who gets the bulk there. But I do think this
• 10:03
  is a pretty pretty interesting spot for him. So in one hundred and fifty
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  max twenty max large field, I won't hate a sprinkle of Keith Mitchell here
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  in the in the captain's top. Let's jump into the flex position. Obviously
• 10:18
  all the same points from the captain apply to the flex here. But I
• 10:22
  do want to bring out a guy, a couple guys to you, de
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  ERNs. Johnson is all the way up to sixty two hundred, right,
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  you got Gus Edwards at seventy four hundred, where you got Keith Mitchell at
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  just fifty five point eight K. You got Justin Tecker obviously one of the
• 10:35
  best kickers in the league of all time fifty four hundred. But McManus has
• 10:39
  also been a pretty solid kicker, right, he's four point eight K.
• 10:43
  And then you got the Ravens defense here against the hobbled Trevor Lawrence. Ravens
• 10:50
  defense can pressure the quarterback. I think there's in line for a lot of
• 10:52
  sacks and stuff like that here. Even being on the road forty four hundred
• 10:58
  for them is definitely interesting. And then obviously the Jay thirty six hundred.
• 11:01
  There touch on the kickers and the defenses and then other flex plays overweight underweight
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  stands you're gonna you're you're looking at taking here tonight. Yeah, like both
• 11:11
  of the kickers night, Uh yeah, a little bit of hot price.
• 11:13
  Tucker mcmahonus five four and four eight. I don't mind those like you said,
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  This Ravens team, this defense is very good facing a banged up,
• 11:22
  you know, banged up Jaguars offense. Uh with with Trevor Lawrence obviously missing
• 11:28
  Kirk again tonight, I'm gonna tell you one of my my biggest fades tonight,
• 11:33
  my biggest stands is fading Jay Jones. I won't have Indy Zay Jones.
• 11:39
  Fourteen targets last week, which obviously a boatload of targets. This man
• 11:43
  just can't get open and they throwing the ball and he just they were and
• 11:46
  they were having a trailing great game script last week in Cleveland, they were
• 11:50
  behind the whole game. Zay Jones just not very fast, not very good
• 11:52
  at getting in and out of his break. Uh can't catch the ball,
• 11:56
  and that was evident with I think he went with five for twenty three last
• 11:58
  week. So I'm faden za Jones. I won't have any Ja Jones.
• 12:01
  I think he'll be popular. You know, people will do some some game
• 12:05
  long watching five to six, but I'm with you, I'd rather go right
• 12:07
  up over two hundred more dollars to Keith Mitchell at five eight. So I
• 12:11
  won't have any Jay Jones. And then kind of kind of lower lower realm.
• 12:18
  I don't mind the Jags defense. And then and then you said Nelson
• 12:20
  Aguilar earlier. Nelson Agilar has kind of been boom or bust all season.
• 12:24
  Uh has three touchdowns on the year. You know, Ken he get behind
• 12:26
  the defense. I think so, But I don't mind Nelson Aguilar. I
• 12:30
  think you're gonna have to play one, maybe two players down here, just
• 12:33
  depending on how you do your builds. But give me some Nelson Aguilar.
• 12:37
  Give me the Ravens d give me the two kickers in My fate of the
• 12:41
  night will be Jay Jones at fifty fifty six. Excuse me, Yeah,
• 12:46
  no, I definitely like that take there. I do think one another cheap
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  punch option here in that Nelson Aguilar range is Justice Hill. It is pretty
• 12:54
  much a three three running back by committee split here in Baltimore. My favorite
• 12:58
  is Key Mitchell. I do think the field kind of agrees with me there.
• 13:01
  It's just the pricing alone. He's been the most explosive guy in this
• 13:05
  offense. Obviously, once you get inside the five, it's either going to
• 13:07
  be pretty much Lamar Jackson or Gus Edwards is going to get those rushing rushing
• 13:11
  touchdowns. You could get a Gus Edwards right three vulture or two vulture touchdowns
• 13:16
  from the one yard line plunge in. But he's seventy four hundred man almost
• 13:20
  two thousand dollars cheaper is a guy like Keith Mitchell who can take a draw
• 13:24
  play to the house right for sixty yards, So I do have interest in
• 13:28
  him. If I was punting, it'd probably be a guy like Justice Hill
• 13:33
  in that range. But the way I'm kind of approaching the slate is going
• 13:37
  a little bit more of the mid tier captain, so I can play just
• 13:39
  better plays in the flex here and not have to venture down into this lower
• 13:43
  tier range and round out my teams with a kicker or a defense, right.
• 13:48
  I do like the Ravens defense here at forty four hundred. They're probably
• 13:52
  gonna be pretty chalky here. I'm seeing a lot of ownership right now as
• 13:54
  it stands right now, but I mean forty four hundred here, the Jakes
• 14:00
  o line is very bad against pass rush as well. I think they're like
• 14:03
  thirtieth in the league in terms of rankings for the pass rush win rate right,
• 14:11
  which leads to a lot of sacks. And then you got obviously Trevor
• 14:15
  Lawrence hobbled with that ankle. I'm still dealing with that ankle there, So
• 14:18
  forty four hundred, I do like that. Both the kickers are fine,
• 14:22
  justin Tucker McManus. I prefer Tucker just because I think he's the better kicker.
• 14:26
  I like Baltimore to win the game, so naturally that just leads to
• 14:31
  possibly more field goal attempts. Because Baltimore should be winning, they're usually less
• 14:35
  likely to go for it on fourth Downald Jacksonville kind of goes from it from
• 14:37
  wherever they want on the field as well, which I don't love that a
• 14:41
  ton. Keith Mitchell I like that. I do have a little bit more
• 14:45
  interest in Zay Jones here. I mean, Jay Jones's role came on big
• 14:50
  time last week, right, We've seen that. I mean his route participation
• 14:56
  was up north of sixty seventy percent. He was heavily involved in the offense,
• 15:03
  didn't lean to a lot of Fantasy points, so that could keep his
• 15:07
  ownership in check. Here. I'm seeing about fifteen to twenty percent ownership on
• 15:09
  him. Obviously it's early in the day. Ownerships all over the plate,
• 15:13
  all over the board. But he saw fourteen targets last week, eight targets
• 15:18
  the week before that. I do have more interest in Zay Jones than it
• 15:22
  sounds like you do. Diannis Johnson not going to get to any dearness Johnson
• 15:28
  Love likely at his price point at sixty eight hundred, really like him,
• 15:31
  really like Evan Ingram at seventy six hundred, and then Keaton Mitchell is kind
• 15:35
  of my other guy Parker Washington. I don't think I can go back to
• 15:39
  a guy like Parker Washington. I get it, he scored a touchdown him
• 15:41
  back to back weeks, but man, you're really banking on kind of striking
• 15:45
  lightning in a bottle, and he's up to four k if he was down
• 15:48
  at twelve hundred two k maybe, but man, he's gonna get maybe three
• 15:54
  targets, four targets, and he really needs to get you some yards and
• 16:00
  catch a touchdown at that price point, because I think for four hundred dollars
• 16:03
  cheaper, i'd rather go to like the Jags defense. We can force turnovers,
• 16:07
  get sacks, and automatically start with ten points on the slate. Right,
• 16:12
  Any final takes on any of what I just mentioned at the flex position,
• 16:17
  any additional flex remarks you want to make here, No, I think
• 16:22
  I think we cover both of it. I mean, it's you're gonna have
• 16:23
  to get unique tonight, right to try to fit fit these guys, because
• 16:27
  the big boys, a big boy price tag, So it's gonna be you
• 16:30
  know, we're gonna try to have to find a way to get different and
• 16:33
  find six guys to play in there tonight. Yeah. Another guy I do
• 16:37
  want to throw it too is Rashad Bateman here at thirty two hundred. I
• 16:42
  mean, he's on the field for like roughly sixty percent right of Lamar's dropbacks.
• 16:49
  We've seen him catch touchdowns. Right, He's gotten four targets, five
• 16:53
  targets in the last two weeks. Two targets, four targets, five targets.
• 16:56
  It's gone for twenty plus yards in for the last five right kind of
• 17:02
  touchdown a couple of weeks ago against Cincinnati. I mean, he's he's fine.
• 17:07
  I think at thirty two hundred, it's I mean, you're kind of
• 17:10
  splitting hairs between him and Justice Hill. Justice Hills is a little bit cheaper,
• 17:12
  but Justice Hill's also obviously the third guy in that backfield there behind Mitchell
• 17:18
  and Gus Edwards. So I think he's a fine value play there. But
• 17:23
  overall, I mean, I'm focusing on the big dogs, right, like
• 17:26
  kind of everyone is. That's kind of the reason I'm going down a little
• 17:30
  bit lower at captain position to kind of avoid all these unknowns down here is
• 17:34
  kind of the route I'm taking on this on this slate. Any any remarks
• 17:38
  about that, any closing remarks for you himwhich, yeah, nothing, nothing,
• 17:44
  nothing for me to add to that. I mean, like I said
• 17:45
  earlier, I think the Ravens win this game, and I think this game
• 17:49
  will be closer to forty one. I don't think it'll it'll get you know,
• 17:55
  my maybe forty four maybe the max in my opinion. So I'm gonna
• 17:57
  be playing it where it's gonna be a low. We're scoring affair, having
• 18:00
  kickers, having defenses, not in the captain position, but I think I'll
• 18:04
  have a few of those in my builds. Yeah, no, excellent.
• 18:07
  I think we broke it down pretty well, pretty good. As always,
• 18:11
  in the common section, drop your score predictions, drop your favorite captains.
• 18:15
  We do check that out, and if you haven't hit that like button,
• 18:18
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  and then all the ancillary sports. We do have folks in the Discord
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  community run channels as well that handle that. How much I think we broke
• 18:45
  it down pretty well. Any closing remarks for the people before we get on
• 18:49
  out of here, and uh, as always, good look to you today
• 18:52
  in that fan duel final. Hopefully you ship all the money there. What's
• 18:57
  your what's your closing remarks? Ma man, Yeah, then yeah, nothing
• 19:02
  else, nothing else in that. Yeah, you know. Good luck in
• 19:03
  your contest tonight. Hopefully I'm sweating a live final chip you know, around
• 19:08
  kickoff, so we'll see how that goes. Hopefully Brock Party's doing us well.
• 19:14
  I want to play me some Brock Party, I feel like, so
• 19:17
  let's roll Brock. Yeah, let's roll Brock obviously big you know what,
• 19:22
  brock. They're the the little four letter words that starts with the CE.
• 19:26
  Right you want to say, I'll keep it PG. Thirteen on the show,
• 19:29
  but no, As always, we appreciate you guys tuning in. Good
• 19:32
  luck tonight in your contest. Hope to see those shipping Nation logos at the
• 19:36
  top. Hopefully how mwich is coming off a live final victory before this game
• 19:41
  kicks off and our guy gu rising in the draftking streets. Hopefully we got
• 19:45
  the double shipper, the double live final shippers for the ship and Nation crew
• 19:49
  over here. But as always four Hamdwich I'm needs a five Good luck tonight
• 19:55
  in your contest. Hope to see those shiping Nation logos at the top. Lead Shipping