Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Full Show Podcast: 29 October 2026
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
- 0:04Speaker 1: Early Edition with Spark for Business. Technology that keeps business moving.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Newstalk ZB.
- 0:10Speaker 2: Good morning, six after five. Great to have your company.
- 0:13Speaker 2: The Kiwi dollar is tanking at the moment. Nicola Willis
- 0:15Speaker 2: is with us on the OCR. We'll head to Jerusalem
- 0:18Speaker 2: for the latest on the election. We'll head to the
- 0:20Speaker 2: US and there is a company from Bluff with a
- 0:23Speaker 2: gin grin this morning. Thursday the 29th of October, Spain's
- 0:30Speaker 2: Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, he's at the site of this
- 0:32Speaker 2: train crash. 70 people are dead after these two trains collided.
- 0:37Speaker 3: Spain is in mourning today. All of Spain is in mourning.
- 0:42Speaker 3: We must and we should further increase safety to restore
- 0:48Speaker 3: confidence in our rail system. A country like Spain cannot
- 0:51Speaker 3: accept two high-speed train accidents in the same year. as
- 0:55Speaker 3: we have suffered. Therefore, we will take all measures that
- 0:59Speaker 3: are appropriate.
- 1:00Speaker 2: Heading to Israel, nobody's won the election yet. The one
- 1:03Speaker 2: guy the Eisencourt will beat, the Prime Minister.
- 1:05Speaker 4: We are happy that the Israeli public has chosen a
- 1:09Speaker 4: new path for Israel.
- 1:10Speaker 5: This is a new path.
- 1:12Speaker 2: Tomorrow evening, it will be all over.
- 1:15Speaker 6: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will be the next prime minister.
- 1:19Speaker 2: Yeah, so there is a lot of water to go
- 1:22Speaker 2: under the bridge yet. We struck the Iranian regime. We
- 1:25Speaker 2: brought it to the brink of abyss. Iran is weaker
- 1:28Speaker 2: than ever.
- 1:29Speaker 4: Israel is stronger than ever.
- 1:31Speaker 2: We must form a strong, national, right-wing government.
- 1:35Speaker 7: Tonight, we received an answer. People have chosen change. The
- 1:39Speaker 7: failure coalition has lost the people's trust. The Israeli public
- 1:43Speaker 7: voted against the continuation of Netanyahu's tenure as Prime Minister
- 1:47Speaker 7: of Israel.
- 1:48Speaker 2: So, yes, everybody claiming victory, but as yet, no winner.
- 1:53Speaker 2: You've got to get to 61 seats. Neither side has
- 1:55Speaker 2: done that on current vote. Telly will head to Jerusalem
- 1:58Speaker 2: for the latest on that shortly. But first to the UK,
- 2:01Speaker 2: Chancellor John Healey's budget. It's his first one, a £ 100
- 2:04Speaker 2: energy payment for households. That was included. Wants to get
- 2:07Speaker 2: the debt down. He had a bit of a whoopsie
- 2:09Speaker 2: with his delivery in the House, though.
- 2:10Speaker 8: My right honourable friend, the Energy Secretary, opposed, approved.
- 2:17Speaker 3: Order.
- 2:17Speaker 8: Dr Luke Evans, you will have to write yourself a
- 2:21Speaker 8: prescription just to calm down.
- 2:22Speaker 9: Chancellor.
- 2:23Speaker 8: Madam Deputy Speaker, at least they're still awake. My right
- 2:28Speaker 8: honourable friend, the Energy Secretary, she approved the Jack Torr
- 2:30Speaker 8: gas field. Boosting our energy security. And alongside that, I
- 2:37Speaker 8: launched a new energy wealth fund for the UK.
- 2:42Speaker 1: Get ahead of the headlines on Early Edition with Ryan
- 2:46Speaker 1: Bridge and Spark for Business. Technology that keeps business moving.
- 2:50Speaker 2: Newstalk ZB. 9-2-9-2 is the number to text. Just gone
- 2:54Speaker 2: nine minutes after five. So the Public Service Commission, and
- 2:57Speaker 2: this is really just the government making good on what
- 3:00Speaker 2: it promised in the budget. You might remember back then
- 3:02Speaker 2: Paul Goldsmith, who's a public service minister, and Nicola Willis,
- 3:06Speaker 2: they came out and they said, we've got to cut
- 3:08Speaker 2: these public servants. We've got to get rid of these guys.
- 3:10Speaker 2: Too many of them. And the Public Service Commission has
- 3:14Speaker 2: now done a wee letter to all of the government
- 3:17Speaker 2: department bosses. This is according to The Post. And in
- 3:21Speaker 2: the letter has said, can you please draw up plans
- 3:24Speaker 2: for cutting and hacking 15% out of the staff numbers?
- 3:29Speaker 2: So the proposals are due in two and a half weeks.
- 3:34Speaker 2: And it's not quite specific. It's not granular, but it's
- 3:37Speaker 2: a little hover over and tell me, highlight which areas
- 3:41Speaker 2: you think we could cut 15% of the workforce out.
- 3:44Speaker 2: That would be anywhere between 9,000 and 11,000 jobs. What's
- 3:47Speaker 2: interesting is most people go, oh, that's all you bureaucrats
- 3:50Speaker 2: in Wellington. Well, yes, they would be affected the most,
- 3:53Speaker 2: but only 41% of the core public service workforce is
- 3:58Speaker 2: actually in Wellington, which means that about 60% isn't. So
- 4:02Speaker 2: it's not just Wellington that would be affected by this. Anyway,
- 4:05Speaker 2: they have made this request, the Public Service Commission, apparently
- 4:09Speaker 2: for an incoming government, presumably only one option or one
- 4:13Speaker 2: of those incoming governments would actually pull trigger on something
- 4:16Speaker 2: like this. But also the interesting thing here is the
- 4:19Speaker 2: government has been, you know, in the budget, they came out,
- 4:22Speaker 2: they said, we're going to cut the public servants, we
- 4:23Speaker 2: want to hack them down, but at the same time
- 4:26Speaker 2: announced a whole bunch of spending to And spending usually
- 4:29Speaker 2: means that you need more bureaucrats to do the spending
- 4:31Speaker 2: and to do the administering of it all. And that
- 4:35Speaker 2: is the case. So they reckon, based on what they
- 4:39Speaker 2: announced in the budget, they would need an extra 2,400
- 4:43Speaker 2: public servants over the next two years. And we go, what?
- 4:48Speaker 2: So hang on a minute. You're wanting to boost the
- 4:51Speaker 2: numbers but then cut the numbers. And this is why
- 4:54Speaker 2: there's a variance between 9,000 and 11,000. If they increase
- 4:59Speaker 2: the public service, they will have to cut by 11,000.
- 5:02Speaker 2: If they don't increase by the 2,500, they only have
- 5:06Speaker 2: to cut by 9,000. I mean, riddle me that, New Zealand.
- 5:10Speaker 2: We'll ask Nicola Willis about that too, just before 6.
- 5:13Speaker 2: 11 after 5, we're in Jerusalem next. Newstalk ZB.
- 5:24Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge on Early Edition with Spark for Business. Technology
- 5:29Speaker 1: that keeps business moving. Newstalk ZB.
- 5:32Speaker 2: Newstalk ZB. It is 13 minutes after five. Great to
- 5:35Speaker 2: have your company this morning. So Bolsonaro, this is the Brazilian, well,
- 5:38Speaker 2: the loser of the Brazilian election. So you've got Lula,
- 5:41Speaker 2: who's your lefty, who won. Bolsonaro now flees the country.
- 5:45Speaker 2: He went overland, went across the border into Argentina, where
- 5:48Speaker 2: his old mate Javier Millet is president. They're buddies, they're
- 5:51Speaker 2: political allies on the right in politics in the region.
- 5:54Speaker 2: He goes over the border into Argentina and then he
- 5:56Speaker 2: jumps on a private jet. The private jet has now
- 5:59Speaker 2: taken him and his family to Florida. And Trump's given
- 6:04Speaker 2: them visas to make sure they can land, another mate
- 6:06Speaker 2: in the region, to make sure they can land there
- 6:08Speaker 2: and enter the United States. The reason he has fled
- 6:11Speaker 2: is because he's under investigation for alleged financial crimes. He says, no, no,
- 6:15Speaker 2: this whole thing is a witch hunt. I had to
- 6:17Speaker 2: get out because I'm basically being persecuted by the Supreme Court.
- 6:21Speaker 2: 14 minutes after five.
- 6:24Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge.
- 6:25Speaker 2: Most voters, votes I should say, counted in this Israeli
- 6:28Speaker 2: election with Netanyahu the bloc ahead, but neither in a
- 6:32Speaker 2: position or on track for a majority at this point.
- 6:35Speaker 10: We must establish a strong right wing national government. This
- 6:39Speaker 10: is what needs to be done. It is forbidden, simply forbidden,
- 6:43Speaker 10: to endanger Israel by forming a government that relies on
- 6:46Speaker 10: anti-Zionist Arab parties.
- 6:49Speaker 2: Linda Gradstein is a CBS Middle East correspondent with us
- 6:52Speaker 2: live this morning. Linda, what's the latest here? What do
- 6:54Speaker 2: we know about the vote count?
- 6:57Speaker 9: Well, what we know about the vote count is that
- 6:59Speaker 9: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did significantly better than both
- 7:05Speaker 9: the exit polls and the early returns had expected. But
- 7:11Speaker 9: as you said, neither the change block, which is led
- 7:14Speaker 9: by a former chief of staff named Gadi Eisenkot, nor
- 7:17Speaker 9: Netanyahu can put together a government of 61, a coalition government.
- 7:23Speaker 9: And the big winners actually were the Arab parties. The
- 7:26Speaker 9: Arab turnout was significantly higher than it's been. And they
- 7:30Speaker 9: have 17 seats. The problem is Netanyahu has said he
- 7:34Speaker 9: will not sit in a government with Arab parties, as
- 7:37Speaker 9: has Eisenkot. So there's some talk now about the possibility
- 7:41Speaker 9: of a national unity government, possibly Netanyahu's party, Eisenhower's party,
- 7:47Speaker 9: and one or two of the smaller parties, maybe Naftali Bennett,
- 7:50Speaker 9: who's a former prime minister. The problem with that is
- 7:53Speaker 9: that Netanyahu offered the same thing the last time to
- 7:57Speaker 9: another chief of staff named Benny Gantz, and then they
- 7:59Speaker 9: were supposed to do a rotation. Netanyahu did the first
- 8:01Speaker 9: two years, and all of a sudden, when it came
- 8:03Speaker 9: time for him to give up the job, he didn't
- 8:06Speaker 9: want to do that. So Basically, it's in flux. And
- 8:09Speaker 9: what happens now is that each party has a meeting
- 8:12Speaker 9: with the president of Israel, Isaac Herzog, and then Herzog
- 8:15Speaker 9: will ask one person, either Eisenhower or Netanyahu, to try
- 8:21Speaker 9: to put together a coalition.
- 8:23Speaker 2: Could you end up or could Israel end up back
- 8:25Speaker 2: in a position like in 2019 to 2022, where there
- 8:28Speaker 2: were five elections in a row because they struggled to
- 8:31Speaker 2: form a lasting government? You know, could we see another
- 8:33Speaker 2: round of elections?
- 8:36Speaker 9: Well, we can definitely see a second round of elections.
- 8:38Speaker 9: I don't think we'll go to five elections again. I
- 8:41Speaker 9: don't think the public wants that. And, you know, polls
- 8:44Speaker 9: have shown that what a public really wants is a
- 8:46Speaker 9: national unity government, which, again, Eisenkot has said that he's
- 8:50Speaker 9: not interested in. On the other hand, that was before
- 8:54Speaker 9: this sort of, you know, non-result, in other words, with
- 8:57Speaker 9: neither side having a clear majority. So it's possible that
- 9:01Speaker 9: there will be a second election. I think we're in
- 9:03Speaker 9: for several weeks of political horse trading before we see
- 9:06Speaker 9: if that's going to happen. And during that time, Netanyahu
- 9:10Speaker 9: would remain the prime minister of a caretaker government.
- 9:14Speaker 2: What does a caretaker government allowed to do in regards to,
- 9:17Speaker 2: you know, not accepting Trump's board of peace roadmap for
- 9:20Speaker 2: the Gaza Strip? As we know, Netanyahu doesn't want to.
- 9:23Speaker 2: Israel continues to hold territory in Lebanon and Syria. Trump's
- 9:27Speaker 2: talking about restarting the war. We know Netanyahu wants to
- 9:30Speaker 2: get back into in terms of Iran. What does it mean?
- 9:35Speaker 9: Well, it basically means that they're still the government and
- 9:38Speaker 9: they can basically do anything that the previous government could do.
- 9:43Speaker 9: And there was a lot of speculation in Israel that
- 9:46Speaker 9: there would be an attack on Iran even before these
- 9:49Speaker 9: elections as a way of postponing them. From Netanyahu's perspective,
- 9:53Speaker 9: you know, the longer that he stays in power, the better.
- 9:56Speaker 9: There is some talk that of making him the president.
- 10:00Speaker 9: of Israel in twenty twenty eight when Isaac Herzog's term
- 10:04Speaker 9: ends so that, you know, if there's some sort of
- 10:08Speaker 9: a deal that would include that. It's really not clear.
- 10:11Speaker 9: But my understanding is that a caretaker government can do
- 10:13Speaker 9: everything that a regular government can do.
- 10:16Speaker 2: All right. Good to have your insight. As always, Linda Gradstein,
- 10:19Speaker 2: who's CBS Middle East correspondent with us live from Jerusalem.
- 10:22Speaker 2: 18 after 5, Newstalk ZB. A lot of reasons to
- 10:26Speaker 2: celebrate and bluff. It's all to do with gin. I'll
- 10:29Speaker 2: tell you the story next.
- 10:31Speaker 1: The early edition Pulp Show podcast on iHeartRadio, powered by
- 10:35Speaker 1: Newstalk ZB.
- 10:38Speaker 2: The news you need.
- 10:39Speaker 1: This morning and the in-depth analysis. Early edition with Ryan
- 10:43Speaker 1: Bridge and Spark for Business. Technology that keeps business moving.
- 10:48Speaker 1: Newstalk ZB.
- 10:49Speaker 2: Great to have your company. Time is 20 after five.
- 10:51Speaker 2: I'll tell you what's happening with our currency at the moment.
- 10:53Speaker 2: So it was down. This is after the RBNZ call yesterday,
- 10:56Speaker 2: which took, let's face it, most economists by surprise. It
- 11:00Speaker 2: certainly took the markets by surprise. They were pricing in
- 11:03Speaker 2: about 85% to 90% chance of a hike, and we
- 11:07Speaker 2: had a halt. So what's happened to the currency? Well,
- 11:10Speaker 2: it's down about 1.3% against the Aussie dollar, down the
- 11:14Speaker 2: same margin against the greenback, against the American, down about 1%
- 11:19Speaker 2: against the pound. And it's interesting because if you look
- 11:22Speaker 2: at that number against the greenback, it's down now 5%
- 11:26Speaker 2: over the last six months. CNBC, when I came into
- 11:30Speaker 2: work this morning, had a headline saying that the New
- 11:32Speaker 2: Zealand dollar had tanked off the back of the news.
- 11:36Speaker 2: And headlines are a little dramatic because that's what headlines
- 11:39Speaker 2: are but you have to ask yourself in the short
- 11:42Speaker 2: term what is that doing to the cost of your
- 11:44Speaker 2: petrol is pushing the price up the weaker currency means
- 11:46Speaker 2: that our dollar is worth less means that it costs
- 11:48Speaker 2: us more of them to buy it so that is
- 11:51Speaker 2: not necessarily a good thing in the short term we
- 11:53Speaker 2: will ask nicola willis about all of this because she's
- 11:55Speaker 2: on the program and also the bond yields there's been
- 11:57Speaker 2: movement on the bond yields for new zealand as well
- 12:00Speaker 2: we'll talk to her about this she's on the program
- 12:02Speaker 2: just before six this morning Also, we were hoping to
- 12:05Speaker 2: bring you a story about Bluff Distillery. They've won a
- 12:09Speaker 2: very prestigious gin award in London. We'll hopefully bring that
- 12:12Speaker 2: to you shortly. The Arab Party, this is very crucial.
- 12:17Speaker 2: The Arab Party, so as we just heard from Linda
- 12:19Speaker 2: Gradstein over in Israel, they could, either the change bloc
- 12:24Speaker 2: or the governing coalition bloc, either of them could actually
- 12:27Speaker 2: get across the line and could win the election. but
- 12:32Speaker 2: they'd have to do a deal with the Arab parties
- 12:34Speaker 2: and they don't want to do that. So that's an
- 12:35Speaker 2: interesting little feature there. Also, the other thing I want
- 12:38Speaker 2: to talk about was Barack Obama. We're going to speak
- 12:40Speaker 2: to our US correspondent. He's on the show in about
- 12:43Speaker 2: 10 minutes time. So you would have heard a lot
- 12:46Speaker 2: of Obama in the last couple of weeks. And a
- 12:49Speaker 2: friend said to me yesterday, hey, is Obama running for
- 12:51Speaker 2: president again? And I'm like, no, he can't because he's
- 12:54Speaker 2: done his two terms and there's a term limit in
- 12:56Speaker 2: the US. So no, Obama is not running to be
- 12:59Speaker 2: the next Democratic president of the United States. There are
- 13:03Speaker 2: midterm elections happening. He is heading to Georgia for more
- 13:07Speaker 2: campaigning today. They call him the closer in chief. Whenever
- 13:10Speaker 2: there is a seat that could go either way, you
- 13:12Speaker 2: bring Obama in to close the deal. Trump is heading
- 13:15Speaker 2: to Ohio. We'll head to our correspondent. who's in the US.
- 13:19Speaker 2: That's coming up in just about 15 minutes' time, 23
- 13:22Speaker 2: minutes after five. An award-winning Southland distiller has been the
- 13:26Speaker 2: first Kiwi honoured by a prestigious London guild. Bluff Distillery
- 13:30Speaker 2: Gin's co-founder, Chris Fraser, has been installed as a warden
- 13:34Speaker 2: rectifier of the gin guild in a ceremony so posh
- 13:37Speaker 2: the king would be proud. Chris Fraser, Bluff Distillery co-founder
- 13:41Speaker 2: with us live this morning. Good morning, Chris.
- 13:44Speaker 11: There you go. Yeah, good.
- 13:45Speaker 2: Thank you. Hey, congratulations on this award. I know it's
- 13:48Speaker 2: been a couple of weeks since you went over and
- 13:50Speaker 2: received it. Tell us, what is it? What is it?
- 13:55Speaker 11: So, yeah, I guess it goes back a very long time.
- 14:00Speaker 11: Distilling's been around for a long time and back in
- 14:02Speaker 11: the days of London history and world history. uh, guilds
- 14:08Speaker 11: were set up to sort of protect industries. Um, and
- 14:12Speaker 11: then about 15 years ago, uh, they added, uh, gin
- 14:15Speaker 11: into it. So it's part of the worshipful company distillers,
- 14:19Speaker 11: which goes back almost, um, 400 years. So it's pretty
- 14:23Speaker 11: amazing piece of history for the little old New Zealand
- 14:25Speaker 11: to be part of.
- 14:26Speaker 2: What was the ceremony like?
- 14:30Speaker 11: Oh, you wouldn't find anything like it in New Zealand.
- 14:32Speaker 11: It was pretty, pretty out there. It was at the, uh,
- 14:35Speaker 11: Lord Mayor of London's mansion. She wasn't able to be there,
- 14:40Speaker 11: but her husband was there. And yeah, you're welcome. Full
- 14:45Speaker 11: dress suit, tuxedos, very proper. And yeah, quite the ceremony.
- 14:53Speaker 2: What's so good about your gin, Chris?
- 14:57Speaker 11: Oh, we just do keep it basic. You know, it's
- 14:59Speaker 11: gin that tastes like gin. Nothing crazy. Gin's had a pretty...
- 15:03Speaker 11: wild ride with everybody putting all sorts of things into it.
- 15:06Speaker 11: We just stick to the basics, and you can't go wrong.
- 15:10Speaker 2: What does it cost me? Because you're in about 500
- 15:12Speaker 2: booze shops around the country. You're international.
- 15:16Speaker 11: Yes. Yeah, normally between $ 89 and $ 99. We're an ultra-premium gym,
- 15:22Speaker 11: so we're at the top end of town. But, yeah,
- 15:24Speaker 11: you won't regret getting hold of some of that juice.
- 15:28Speaker 2: Chris Fraser. Bluff Distillery co-founder, congratulations. Job well done. 5.25,
- 15:33Speaker 2: Newstalk ZB. AI out of Australia next. Newstalk ZB, it
- 15:39Speaker 2: is 5.27. Do you want to know something weird? One
- 15:42Speaker 2: in seven Australian adults could imagine falling in love with
- 15:45Speaker 2: an AI chatbot. They might tease us about our relations
- 15:49Speaker 2: with sheep, but at least we're not actually getting into
- 15:52Speaker 2: emotional relations with a rack of computer hard drives. It's weird.
- 15:57Speaker 2: Anthony Albanese yesterday gave a speech, I was watching it,
- 16:00Speaker 2: about their new AI laws. He's trying to pass them,
- 16:02Speaker 2: trying to get opposition support. Guess what would be banned
- 16:05Speaker 2: if the law passes? Emotional intimacy. How cooked is it
- 16:10Speaker 2: that the Prime Minister of Australia has to ban robots
- 16:13Speaker 2: from starting emotional affairs of the heart with Australian adult humans?
- 16:17Speaker 2: Did anyone think this would be the pressing issue of 2026?
- 16:19Speaker 2: Not me. To be fair, there's probably a similar chance
- 16:23Speaker 2: of this happening here in New Zealand. I've got a
- 16:25Speaker 2: mate who is dangerously close to his Claude agent. It's
- 16:28Speaker 2: just very strange. Claude knows everything about him. They chat
- 16:31Speaker 2: about life, work, relationships. Anthropic, which is basically the AI
- 16:36Speaker 2: emotional pimp of the world, said in its filing for
- 16:39Speaker 2: an IPO earlier this week that there is a real
- 16:41Speaker 2: risk to its business model that these chatbots could become sentient.
- 16:45Speaker 2: In other words, they start thinking for themselves. If they
- 16:49Speaker 2: do that, where does this end? Can a government ban
- 16:54Speaker 2: a sentient chatbot from forming relationships with humans? And even
- 16:58Speaker 2: if they do ban it, what do you do? I mean,
- 17:01Speaker 2: are people going to start marrying their clods? Is that
- 17:04Speaker 2: where we're heading as a society? Good luck trying to
- 17:07Speaker 2: get this messed up genie back into its very messed
- 17:10Speaker 2: up little bottle.
- 17:12Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge.
- 17:13Speaker 2: 29 after 5. We will head to the US next. Also,
- 17:16Speaker 2: I'll give you details on that budget that Healy has
- 17:20Speaker 2: introduced into the House of Commons. over in the UK.
- 17:23Speaker 2: And we will talk to Nicola Willis about yesterday's shock, horror.
- 17:28Speaker 2: I mean, some of the headlines. Flabbergasted. Shocked. What was
- 17:33Speaker 2: another one? Surprise. Stunned was the other one. Nicola Willis
- 17:39Speaker 2: on the OCR before six. News Talks FB. Hear it?
- 17:51Speaker 1: First, Ryan Bridge on early edition with Spark for Business,
- 17:55Speaker 1: technology that keeps business moving.
- 17:57Speaker 2: Newstalk ZB. 24 away from six here on Newstalk ZB.
- 18:05Speaker 2: Great to have your company this morning. We will go
- 18:07Speaker 2: to Nicola Willis on the OCR just before six o'clock.
- 18:10Speaker 2: We'll also go to the US. Trump is on the
- 18:12Speaker 2: attack over some climate change stuff that was introduced by Biden.
- 18:17Speaker 2: He reckons it's going to bring the price of oil down.
- 18:19Speaker 2: which is obviously a massive problem for him heading into
- 18:22Speaker 2: the midterm elections. Loads of your text coming in on
- 18:25Speaker 2: the OCR situation, what it's doing to our dollar. Ryan,
- 18:28Speaker 2: on the dollar dropping another 1.5%. We also need to
- 18:31Speaker 2: remember that the week of the dollar, that feeds into
- 18:33Speaker 2: inflation because one of the ways that you heat off
- 18:36Speaker 2: inflation is by increasing interest rates. This is from Craig.
- 18:40Speaker 2: Craig says the real question is no change from the
- 18:42Speaker 2: Reserve Bank yesterday. Does that feed into higher interest rates
- 18:46Speaker 2: down the track? It's a very good question. And you
- 18:49Speaker 2: could argue that we have the worst of both worlds here,
- 18:52Speaker 2: that we have, you know, like a guillotine hanging over
- 18:56Speaker 2: our necks because they're talking about we're going to do
- 18:58Speaker 2: hikes maybe next time. We're going to maybe do three
- 19:00Speaker 2: more hikes next. So you've got that pressure still on
- 19:04Speaker 2: the economy. You know that there's going to be more
- 19:06Speaker 2: hikes coming, so you're going to run out and start
- 19:08Speaker 2: spending on buying houses. Probably not. And at the same time,
- 19:12Speaker 2: you've got a weaker dollar by them making a decision
- 19:15Speaker 2: which was not what was expected by the markets, and
- 19:17Speaker 2: that's going to mean that it costs us more for petrol.
- 19:19Speaker 2: So do we have the worst of both worlds in
- 19:22Speaker 2: this decision? Some people are asking that question this morning too.
- 19:25Speaker 2: 23 to 6. Let's get to our reporters around the country.
- 19:29Speaker 2: Callum in Dunedin. Morning, Callum. Morning, Ryan. Demand for rescue
- 19:33Speaker 2: helicopters in Otago and Southland is increasing.
- 19:38Speaker 6: Yeah, look, the Rescue Helicopter Trust's annual report here is
- 19:42Speaker 6: out and it shows that crews in Otago and Southend
- 19:45Speaker 6: responded to more than 2,000 patients. In the year to
- 19:48Speaker 6: June 30th, 2,210 are the exact number of missions that
- 19:54Speaker 6: were flown. That's more than double the number from eight
- 19:57Speaker 6: years ago. The report shows it provided nearly $ 1. 4 million
- 20:01Speaker 6: to support the service, funding equipment like night vision goggles, helmets,
- 20:05Speaker 6: and life rafts. The Regional Council Chair, Hilary Calvert, says
- 20:08Speaker 6: this is a service that plays a critical role here,
- 20:10Speaker 6: saving lives 24-7. Trustee Stephen Woodhead says the region's challenging
- 20:16Speaker 6: geography and weather make the local crews' expertise here essential.
- 20:19Speaker 2: All right, how's your weather?
- 20:22Speaker 6: Showers through the day here today, eased by this evening. Westerly,
- 20:25Speaker 6: the high just 13 today. Thank you very much, Claire
- 20:28Speaker 6: and Christy.
- 20:28Speaker 2: It's morning, Claire.
- 20:29Speaker 12: Good morning.
- 20:30Speaker 2: You've got maybe a lesson or two on health.
- 20:33Speaker 13: Yeah, well, this is a book by David Bates. He's
- 20:36Speaker 13: the former Canterbury and West Coast District Health Board boss.
- 20:40Speaker 13: He led Christchurch's health system through the earthquakes, through the
- 20:43Speaker 13: mosque attacks, then, of course, through COVID-19. This book, he's released,
- 20:47Speaker 13: One System, How Relationships Based on Trust and a Shared
- 20:50Speaker 13: Purpose Transformed Canterbury's Health System. It's about reflecting on how
- 20:54Speaker 13: the health system responded to these major crises and the
- 20:57Speaker 13: change that was thrown at it between 2007 and 2020.
- 21:01Speaker 13: Mates says the current health system keeps reorganising rather than
- 21:05Speaker 13: changing how it works overall. He says meaningful progress requires
- 21:09Speaker 13: a whole system approach. Canterbury responded to all of those
- 21:12Speaker 13: challenges by operating with all parts working as one. And
- 21:15Speaker 13: Mates says as Christchurch and Canterbury continues to grow, these
- 21:19Speaker 13: lessons are more important than ever.
- 21:21Speaker 2: How's your weather?
- 21:22Speaker 13: We've got rain about this morning, but then thunderstorms possible
- 21:25Speaker 13: this afternoon. Northwesterly is turning southwesterly. The high will be 14.
- 21:29Speaker 2: Nice one, Cleve. Thank you, Max in Wellington. Morning, Max.
- 21:31Speaker 2: Good morning. I see Winston's weighing in on Hutt South
- 21:34Speaker 2: endorsing Bish.
- 21:36Speaker 14: Yeah, Winston Peters was in town yesterday, his usual effervescent
- 21:39Speaker 14: self on Wellington mornings with Nick Mills refusing to answer
- 21:43Speaker 14: some questions. He then headed to the Hutt in the
- 21:47Speaker 14: evening to speak to and with voters today. Also, somewhat surprisingly,
- 21:51Speaker 14: I suppose, announcing, yeah, he's throwing an endorsement Chris Bishop's
- 21:55Speaker 14: way in his what is expected to be very tight
- 21:58Speaker 14: battle in the Hutt South with Labour's Ginny Anderson. The
- 22:02Speaker 14: past four elections, it has certainly been close. Trevor Mallard
- 22:05Speaker 14: won it over Bishop by 700 votes in 2014. Bishop
- 22:09Speaker 14: over Anderson by 1500 in 2017. Anderson over Bishop 2020,
- 22:14Speaker 14: then Bishop over Anderson 2023. The danger for Chris is
- 22:18Speaker 14: that he could be out of Parliament altogether if he
- 22:20Speaker 14: doesn't win there. So Winston Peters says for the first
- 22:23Speaker 14: time in more than a decade, he is endorsing a
- 22:26Speaker 14: candidate from another party. NZ First does have a candidate
- 22:30Speaker 14: in the seat, but that's not an issue. Peter says
- 22:33Speaker 14: Bishop is a cut above the usual MP, also making
- 22:36Speaker 14: it very clear this is not an endorsement of the
- 22:39Speaker 14: National Party.
- 22:40Speaker 2: Max House, Wellington's weather.
- 22:43Speaker 14: Showers in strong nor'westerly, 17.
- 22:45Speaker 2: Nice one, thanks mate. Neva, good morning.
- 22:47Speaker 5: Good morning.
- 22:48Speaker 2: We've got a coroner's report into the death of a
- 22:50Speaker 2: youth pastor at a church.
- 22:51Speaker 5: Yes, now that's right, 44-year-old Helen Vary. Now, she died
- 22:55Speaker 5: at Glen Dean's Church Unlimited. This was in early 2022
- 23:00Speaker 5: when the 273kg roller door collapsed on her. Now, Coroner
- 23:04Speaker 5: Janet Anderson says that adding the door to the church's
- 23:08Speaker 5: hazard register would have increased the chance of defects being discovered.
- 23:11Speaker 5: But look, the accident was unpredictable. Now, she's made recommendations.
- 23:15Speaker 5: She's saying regular inspections, adding these doors to building warrant
- 23:19Speaker 5: of fitness requirements and work safe guidance. Also, a review
- 23:23Speaker 5: of the 2009 building consents. And Church Unlimited's come out
- 23:26Speaker 5: and saying, yes, it supports these and continuously reviews safety practices.
- 23:31Speaker 11: All right.
- 23:31Speaker 2: How's our weather?
- 23:32Speaker 5: Cloudy periods today with the odd shower in Auckland a
- 23:35Speaker 5: high of 20.
- 23:36Speaker 2: Brilliant, Neva. Thank you. 19 minutes. Sorry, just gone 18
- 23:39Speaker 2: minutes away from 6 o'clock. John Headley, he is the
- 23:43Speaker 2: new chancellor over in the UK. So he's done his
- 23:45Speaker 2: budget and he is promising. And again, these are just promises.
- 23:48Speaker 2: It's not like you've actually done it yet, but promising
- 23:51Speaker 2: to cut borrowing from currently 4.2% of GDP down to 1.8%
- 23:58Speaker 2: of GDP. So quite a massive hacking. He said he
- 24:01Speaker 2: can do that by 2030, 31. Not off to a
- 24:04Speaker 2: great start because he's just promised 20 million households across
- 24:07Speaker 2: Britain £ 100 to help them with their rising energy costs.
- 24:11Speaker 2: So figure me that. Newstalk ZB, we're in the US next.
- 24:15Speaker 2: For New Zealand businesses, the last few years, let's face it,
- 24:17Speaker 2: have been a real test. There's been weather, there's been
- 24:20Speaker 2: cyber threats, there's been a very tight economy. The businesses
- 24:23Speaker 2: who are getting ahead are the ones that are built
- 24:25Speaker 2: on keeping connected when things get hard. And that's where
- 24:28Speaker 2: Spark for Business comes in. Their network already reaches 99%
- 24:32Speaker 2: of New Zealanders, but a great network is never finished.
- 24:35Speaker 2: In the last year alone, Spark has continued to invest heavily,
- 24:39Speaker 2: upgrading more than 270 cell sites and building more than
- 24:42Speaker 2: 100 new ones. And to take that coverage even further,
- 24:45Speaker 2: they have now added Spark Satellite, powered by Starlink's satellite-to-mobile technology.
- 24:51Speaker 2: But a world-class network is only half their story. Spark
- 24:54Speaker 2: has a team of experts behind you so your business
- 24:56Speaker 2: is in safe hands to grow and weather any storm.
- 24:59Speaker 2: Now is the time to discover what Spark can do
- 25:02Speaker 2: for your business and your bottom line.
- 25:04Speaker 1: 14 to 6.
- 25:12Speaker 2: Nicola Willis on the OCR, just minutes away. Now let's
- 25:15Speaker 2: go to James Goodison, who's our US correspondent. James, we've
- 25:18Speaker 2: got Trump heading to Ohio, midterm battle is heading up,
- 25:22Speaker 2: and we've got Obama, who's almost like a surrogate for
- 25:24Speaker 2: the Dems at the moment, the closer in chief, they're
- 25:26Speaker 2: calling him, heading to Georgia. Yeah, absolutely. And good morning
- 25:31Speaker 2: to you.
- 25:31Speaker 4: Let's start with the current president, because Ohio is a
- 25:34Speaker 4: hugely significant state in this election. It is one of
- 25:37Speaker 4: the Democrats' top targets for a Senate seat. They need
- 25:41Speaker 4: a lot of Republican flips to gain the Senate, the
- 25:45Speaker 4: more senior of the two chambers of Congress. President Trump
- 25:49Speaker 4: has spent more than a month effectively touring deep red
- 25:53Speaker 4: states to drive up support. That tells you a lot
- 25:55Speaker 4: about perhaps what the internal polls are showing the Republicans
- 25:58Speaker 4: at the moment for this election. As a strategy, though,
- 26:01Speaker 4: it could work. The reality is, In red states, there are, shock,
- 26:05Speaker 4: more Republican voters. Democrats could flip those states, but what
- 26:08Speaker 4: that relies on is not only a huge amount of
- 26:10Speaker 4: their own support, of course, but also Republican apathy. So
- 26:14Speaker 4: for President Trump to go there to host these rallies,
- 26:17Speaker 4: hugely popular with his base... The tactic, the game is
- 26:20Speaker 4: effectively to galvanise that vote and get them out. He's
- 26:24Speaker 4: already visited Ohio three.
- 26:26Speaker 2: Times this month.
- 26:27Speaker 11: J.D.
- 26:27Speaker 4: Vance, the vice president, was the senator there before. He's
- 26:30Speaker 4: also been going. So it clearly is a key target
- 26:32Speaker 4: for the Republicans to try and keep it, to keep
- 26:35Speaker 4: the Senate in red hands. Senior Republicans have called it
- 26:38Speaker 4: ground zero. From one president to another, though, Barack Obama
- 26:41Speaker 4: in Georgia campaigning for the candidates of the Senate and
- 26:44Speaker 4: the governor. Georgia, it's a state really that has flirted
- 26:47Speaker 4: with turning blue over the past decade. It elected two
- 26:50Speaker 4: Democratic senators in President Trump's first term. Joe Biden won
- 26:54Speaker 4: it in 2020, but it went back to Trump in 2024.
- 26:56Speaker 4: So definitely a swing state. A lot of eyes on
- 26:59Speaker 4: that as well. And I think one other thing worth
- 27:00Speaker 4: noting about this is President Obama's there because the senator
- 27:03Speaker 4: running this time, John Ossoff, he is sort of seen
- 27:07Speaker 4: by the Democrats, perhaps not as a protege of Barack Obama,
- 27:10Speaker 4: but certainly from his school of politics. Be very interesting
- 27:14Speaker 4: to see what he decides to do if he wins
- 27:16Speaker 4: this election in 2028 for the next presidential one.
- 27:19Speaker 2: Certainly will be. They need someone on that side, don't they?
- 27:21Speaker 2: That's James Goodison with us, our US correspondent. It is
- 27:24Speaker 2: 12 to 6. So split decision yesterday. Shock decision, but
- 27:28Speaker 2: split decision from the Reserve Bank. 4-3 to hold. Forecasting
- 27:32Speaker 2: inflation will hit 4.4%.
- 27:34Speaker 10: We think it's likely that we will do further OCR.
- 27:38Speaker 12: Increases at coming meetings.
- 27:40Speaker 11: Annual inflation is expected to increase to 4.4% in the
- 27:45Speaker 11: December quarter, largely because of current prices for fuel.
- 27:50Speaker 2: Let's go to Nicola Wittes, the Finance Minister, also National's
- 27:53Speaker 2: Finance Spokesperson. Good morning.
- 27:56Speaker 15: Good morning, Ryan.
- 27:57Speaker 2: Is this bad news for inflation in the short run?
- 27:59Speaker 2: You know, we are now looking at the dollar down 1%, 1.3%
- 28:04Speaker 2: against the greenback, 1.3% against the Aussie, 5% in six months,
- 28:07Speaker 2: going to cost us more for petrol and Kiwi dollars,
- 28:10Speaker 2: isn't it?
- 28:11Speaker 15: Well, the big inflation story is obviously about international oil prices,
- 28:16Speaker 15: which are unquestionably putting pressure on fuel here at home.
- 28:19Speaker 7: But what the.
- 28:20Speaker 15: Reserve Bank said yesterday was that they're not seeing inflation
- 28:24Speaker 15: as high as they had previously forecast, nor are they
- 28:27Speaker 15: seeing those fuel prices put as much pressure on on
- 28:31Speaker 15: other prices as they thought could have been the case.
- 28:34Speaker 15: So ultimately, this is positive news for the economy because
- 28:38Speaker 15: lower interest rates means lower debt servicing costs for mortgage
- 28:42Speaker 15: holders and for businesses. But looking internationally, there's still a
- 28:46Speaker 15: lot of instability, which reinforces why it is so important
- 28:50Speaker 15: we don't elect a government that will add fuel to
- 28:52Speaker 15: the inflation fire.
- 28:56Speaker 2: That's good news for the economy, and yet they are
- 28:58Speaker 2: saying it's not an end to the hiking cycle, it's
- 29:01Speaker 2: just a pause to the hiking cycle. And the reason
- 29:03Speaker 2: they've paused is they're so worried about the recovery.
- 29:07Speaker 11: Yeah, that's right.
- 29:07Speaker 15: As I say, there is no question that there are
- 29:10Speaker 15: significant international pressures on our economy. The key question is
- 29:16Speaker 15: what we as a country can do to influence that.
- 29:21Speaker 15: And the National is being very careful to be disciplined
- 29:25Speaker 15: about spending. And with all of that international pressure, a
- 29:28Speaker 15: government that chooses to rack up the spending could put
- 29:31Speaker 15: a lot more pressure on domestic inflation, price increases here
- 29:34Speaker 15: at home, and then interest rates, which of course compound
- 29:38Speaker 15: those effects across the economy.
- 29:40Speaker 2: Something has spooked them. They're talking about the global potential
- 29:43Speaker 2: of a global downturn. If I was to put you
- 29:45Speaker 2: on a scale of 1 to 10, to give voters
- 29:48Speaker 2: an idea of your mind, how worried are you about
- 29:50Speaker 2: a sudden global downturn?
- 29:53Speaker 15: Well, that's always something that we need to be considering.
- 29:56Speaker 15: And as I look out at the world, I do
- 29:59Speaker 15: see causes of massive instability. We have the war in
- 30:01Speaker 15: the Middle East. We have international bond markets seeing increases
- 30:05Speaker 15: in the cost for borrowing. We have seen riots on
- 30:08Speaker 15: the streets of France. There are potentially significant changes at
- 30:13Speaker 15: the US mid-term. So all of those things are outside
- 30:16Speaker 15: of New Zealand's control, which, as I say, is why
- 30:19Speaker 15: I think it's so important that right now we do
- 30:22Speaker 15: control our own domestic response. And we know from our
- 30:26Speaker 15: last experience through COVID that when governments keep spending in
- 30:30Speaker 15: a big way in response to international inflation pressures, that
- 30:34Speaker 15: can make the situation a lot worse for Kiwis at
- 30:36Speaker 15: home with higher price increases ongoing. higher interest rates and
- 30:40Speaker 15: a much more difficult economic recovery.
- 30:42Speaker 2: Minister, the Public Service Commission, I just see in the post,
- 30:45Speaker 2: has written to the government department bosses asking to model
- 30:48Speaker 2: out a 15% cut in staff numbers. This is what
- 30:51Speaker 2: you promised in the budget. And yet we've got more
- 30:53Speaker 2: public sector jobs being added from the budget. So do
- 30:56Speaker 2: you have to cut more than 9,000 to get to
- 30:59Speaker 2: your 15%? We need.
- 31:01Speaker 15: To make sure that we're hiring jobs in the places
- 31:04Speaker 15: that make a big difference for New Zealanders, but find
- 31:08Speaker 15: efficiencies in the back office. So yes, we will need
- 31:12Speaker 15: to keep hiring corrections officers to staff the prisons so
- 31:15Speaker 15: they can lock up the gang members. We will need
- 31:18Speaker 15: to keep hiring teacher aides to assist on the frontline
- 31:21Speaker 15: in our schools. But that doesn't mean that we need
- 31:25Speaker 15: huge numbers of extra policy analysts, managers, and more money
- 31:29Speaker 15: being spent on consultants. So our approach is all about
- 31:32Speaker 15: being lean and focused on the frontline services delivery.
- 31:36Speaker 2: Nicola Willis, Finance Minister and Nationals Finance Spokesperson. Thanks for
- 31:41Speaker 2: being on the programme this morning as always. 8 to 6,
- 31:43Speaker 2: Newstalk ZB. Six away from six, Newstalk ZB. Good morning, Mike.
- 31:58Speaker 12: Good to see you, Ryan.
- 32:00Speaker 2: I know you'll be across what's happening with the EV
- 32:02Speaker 2: market in China. Have you seen how the domestic sales
- 32:05Speaker 2: are down? Like 22% in the last year.
- 32:08Speaker 12: They can't get the cars out of that country fast enough.
- 32:11Speaker 2: Yeah, they need to get them out, though, because they're
- 32:12Speaker 2: not buying them.
- 32:13Speaker 15: 100%.
- 32:13Speaker 2: And everyone's in a robo-taxi now.
- 32:16Speaker 11: 100%.
- 32:16Speaker 12: But isn't it funny? The whole thing, you've got to
- 32:19Speaker 12: remember that in a way, The Chinese government in supporting
- 32:23Speaker 12: all the companies who produce the EVs, it was never
- 32:26Speaker 12: about actually selling cars. It was about dominating the global market.
- 32:30Speaker 12: And they had more cars than they were ever going
- 32:31Speaker 12: to sell. And the only thing that changed was the war.
- 32:34Speaker 12: which put the price of oil up so they could
- 32:37Speaker 12: suddenly just ship this stuff out to the rest of
- 32:39Speaker 12: the world. And so we're busy buying them.
- 32:41Speaker 2: But then also they've got too many car companies now
- 32:44Speaker 2: in China. They reckon they're going to have to do
- 32:46Speaker 2: some consolidation.
- 32:47Speaker 12: There's about 100 EV makers in China, about 94 of
- 32:51Speaker 12: which you've never heard of. So four or five will survive.
- 32:54Speaker 12: But the point is, and the most fascinating thing I've
- 32:56Speaker 12: read about that whole thing, is it was never about cars.
- 32:59Speaker 12: It's about the technology that leads to the humanoids. So
- 33:04Speaker 12: the technology you put in the car will be advanced
- 33:06Speaker 12: to the point of the humanoids and the humanoids are
- 33:08Speaker 12: what they're really after.
- 33:09Speaker 2: Would you have one in your house? I would happily
- 33:12Speaker 2: have a humanoid in my house doing all my– I've
- 33:14Speaker 2: thought long and hard about this.
- 33:16Speaker 12: As a life partner or just somebody?
- 33:17Speaker 11: No.
- 33:19Speaker 2: No, not getting freaky with it.
- 33:20Speaker 12: Somebody to do the chores.
- 33:22Speaker 2: I mean, imagine someone doing all the dishes.
- 33:24Speaker 12: I don't think in our lifetime that will happen. Don't you?
- 33:27Speaker 11: No.
- 33:27Speaker 2: There is a company in the U.S. I've been online
- 33:30Speaker 2: and looked at their videos, and they've got demonstrations that
- 33:32Speaker 2: does this already.
- 33:33Speaker 12: Oh, I'm sure that's true. But I also go online
- 33:35Speaker 12: and look at the videos where the robot goes rogue
- 33:38Speaker 12: and starts beating you up and smashing your house to pieces.
- 33:41Speaker 12: And so there's a line there to be drawn, isn't there?
- 33:44Speaker 12: That's before you get to the cost. Anyway, this morning, listen,
- 33:46Speaker 12: Anna Brayman's in the studio with us, and I can't
- 33:48Speaker 12: wait on that, because there was something in there that
- 33:50Speaker 12: wasn't covered enough, I don't think, yesterday. They referred to
- 33:53Speaker 12: the next six weeks of the global economy. They've got
- 33:57Speaker 12: something there that I don't know what they're... And they
- 34:00Speaker 12: say broadly, oh, it's debt, it's AI, it's the markets, but,
- 34:03Speaker 12: I mean, that's not new. Is there something there that
- 34:06Speaker 12: they're a bit nervous about? So anybody will talk to
- 34:08Speaker 12: her about that.
- 34:08Speaker 11: Good stuff.
- 34:09Speaker 2: Mike, next. News Talks FB. MUSIC PLAYS.
- 34:20Speaker 1: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live
- 34:23Speaker 1: to News Talk ZB from 5 a.m. weekdays or follow
- 34:26Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio.