Latest / EM Morning Brief / California opens a three-day fire weather window with 257,000 customers facing possible shutoff; CISA sets an October 17 deadline on four exploited vulnerabilities
Transcript
- 0:00Cedric: Good morning, I'm Cedric and this is your EM Morning Brief for Thursday, October 15, 2026.
- 0:07Cedric: A Typhoon Watch is in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan, and Guam Governor Lou Leon Guerrero has declared Condition of Readiness 3, effective 5 p.m.
- 0:17Cedric: Thursday island time.
- 0:20Cedric: The National Weather Service office in Tiyan expects Tropical Depression 29W to move through the Marianas as at least a Category 1 typhoon, and more likely stronger.
- 0:30Cedric: Residents are being advised to prepare for at least a Category 2 storm.
- 0:33Cedric: Forecasters place tropical storm force winds over portions of the Marianas around midnight Saturday into Sunday morning, with typhoon force winds of 74 miles per hour or greater possible Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon.
- 0:48Cedric: Life threatening surf is likely over the weekend, and coastal inundation of 2 to 4 feet, possibly higher, is on the table depending on the track.
- 0:58Cedric: The Weather Service is cautioning against focusing on the exact forecast path, and says widespread damage is possible somewhere in Guam and the Northern Marianas.
- 1:07Cedric: A Flood Watch is likely.
- 1:10Cedric: California is entering a three day fire weather event.
- 1:13Cedric: Six Red Flag Warnings went up across the state overnight, covering Southern California, the southern and central Sierra, the northern Sierra and Mother Lode, and Lake County.
- 1:24Cedric: Southern California Edison lists 257,174 customers under consideration for a Public Safety Power Shutoff across seven counties, with the largest shares in Ventura and Los Angeles counties, and the utility has already de energized a small number of Los Angeles
- 1:41Cedric: County customers.
- 1:42Cedric: A High Wind Warning for the Los Angeles and Ventura county mountains and valleys carries gusts of 50 to 70 miles per hour, with widespread power outages expected.
- 1:52Cedric: Nationally, the Interagency Fire Center holds the country at Preparedness Level 1 with 12 uncontained large fires.
- 2:02Cedric: On the federal side, CISA added four vulnerabilities to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog yesterday, covering Palo Alto Networks PAN-OS, Cisco Secure Email Gateway, and two flaws in Ahsay AhsayCBS backup software.
- 2:16Cedric: Federal civilian agencies have until October 17 to remediate, which is a two day clock, and the same urgency applies to any emergency management network running those products.
- 2:27Cedric: Separately, Health and Human Services has declared public health emergencies for Florida and Alabama following Hurricane Isaias, opening Medicare and Medicaid waiver flexibility for providers in the declared areas and backing ASPR healthcare system assessment teams already working the impact
- 2:44Cedric: zone.
- 2:46Cedric: Let's run through the states.
- 2:48Cedric: Alaska.
- 2:48Cedric: The Alaska Volcano Observatory holds Great Sitkin at Watch, color code orange, with the slow eruption of lava inside the summit crater continuing.
- 2:57Cedric: Shishaldin remains at Advisory with low level unrest.
- 3:01Cedric: California.
- 3:03Cedric: The Red Flag Warnings run through Saturday evening in Southern California, with the strongest offshore flow peaking Thursday afternoon into Friday afternoon.
- 3:12Cedric: The Los Angeles and Oxnard forecast office warns of high risk for extreme fire behavior with any new start, driven by Santa Ana winds and humidity dropping into the single digits to low twenties.
- 3:24Cedric: Southern California Edison says its shutoff decision will rest on real time wind, humidity, and fuel dryness readings, and that restoration requires line inspection before power returns.
- 3:36Cedric: Los Angeles Fire has imposed red flag parking restrictions in very high fire hazard severity zones for at least 48 hours and is pre deploying strike teams, camp crews, helicopters, and heavy equipment across the San Fernando Valley, the Santa
- 3:50Cedric: Monica Mountains, the Hollywood Hills, and West Los Angeles.
- 3:55Cedric: In the north, a Fire Weather Watch covers the North Bay interior mountains from this evening through Friday morning, with overnight humidity recoveries reaching only 14 to 24 percent.
- 4:05Cedric: Florida.
- 4:07Cedric: The state has moved into the multi agency resource center phase of Isaias recovery.
- 4:11Cedric: Two more centers open today in Pensacola, following four that opened yesterday across Santa Rosa, Washington, and Okaloosa counties.
- 4:20Cedric: Survivors who lost food to the storm can request replacement SNAP benefits, and that form is due Monday, October 19.
- 4:28Cedric: Georgia.
- 4:29Cedric: The Georgia Environmental Protection Division has issued a Code Orange air quality alert for metro Atlanta covering today, with ozone unhealthy for sensitive groups and the highest concentrations expected late afternoon into early evening.
- 4:44Cedric: We have more to cover this morning, but first, a quick word from our sponsors.
- 4:49Cedric: Thanks for supporting our sponsors who help make EM Morning Brief possible.
- 4:53Cedric: Now, back to this morning’s updates.
- 4:56Cedric: Hawaii.
- 4:57Cedric: The Hawaiian Volcano Observatory holds Kilauea at Watch, color code orange.
- 5:02Cedric: Strong glow and minor intermittent spattering continue from the north, south, and west south vents, and the north vent produced minor overflows on October 12 and again on October 14.
- 5:14Cedric: Louisiana.
- 5:16Cedric: The Lake Charles forecast office has posted a Fire Weather Watch for central and southwest Louisiana for Friday, extending into interior southeast Texas.
- 5:26Cedric: Drought has pushed the Keetch Byram Drought Index into the 700s with fine fuel moistures near 25 percent, and forecasters are comparing the setup to the conditions that produced the Tiger Island fire in 2023.
- 5:39Cedric: Saturday is flagged as the most critical day.
- 5:43Cedric: Michigan.
- 5:43Cedric: Three fires continue burning in the Upper Peninsula.
- 5:47Cedric: The Interagency Fire Center lists the Black River fire at 400 acres and 40 percent contained with residences threatened, the Ridge fire near Negaunee at 450 acres and 20 percent contained with structures threatened, and Craig Lake 1 at 600
- 6:03Cedric: acres and 25 percent contained.
- 6:06Cedric: Sources differ on the Black River fire: a Forest Service update carried Tuesday evening put it at roughly 300 acres and 50 percent contained in a remote area, and incident command has since transferred from the Forest Service to the
- 6:21Cedric: Michigan Department of Natural Resources.
- 6:24Cedric: Rain has slowed spread, and wet terrain is slowing crews.
- 6:29Cedric: Mississippi.
- 6:31Cedric: The Dowling fire on the National Forests in Mississippi is a new large incident at 107 acres and 5 percent contained, burning in hardwood litter and light slash northeast of Rolling Fork with moderate creeping and backing behavior.
- 6:45Cedric: Structures are threatened.
- 6:47Cedric: New Mexico.
- 6:49Cedric: A High Wind Warning covers the middle and lower Rio Grande Valley, including the Albuquerque metro, the South Central Highlands, and the Upper Tularosa Valley from this evening into Friday morning.
- 7:01Cedric: East winds of 35 to 40 miles per hour with gusts to 60 are forecast, and the Albuquerque office warns that damaging winds could bring down trees and power lines, with outages possible and difficult travel for high profile vehicles.
- 7:16Cedric: Oklahoma.
- 7:17Cedric: Oklahoma is working an active flash flood event.
- 7:21Cedric: A Flash Flood Warning covers eastern Cleveland County, northeastern McClain County, and Pottawatomie County, where radar indicates 2 to 4 inches already down and another inch possible, with flooding affecting southeastern Oklahoma City, eastern Norman, Shawnee, and Tecumseh.
- 7:37Cedric: Flood Advisories extend across central, southern, and southwestern Oklahoma, and the Tulsa office has a Flood Watch running through this afternoon for east central and northeast Oklahoma, where totals of 1 to 3 inches are likely and isolated spots could
- 7:53Cedric: see 5.
- 7:54Cedric: Flash flooding hit the Ski Island neighborhood of northwest Oklahoma City overnight.
- 7:59Cedric: Officials are urging drivers to turn around rather than cross flooded roadways.
- 8:05Cedric: Texas.
- 8:07Cedric: The Midland and Odessa office has a Flash Flood Warning out for Terrell County, and Flood Advisories cover Baylor, Foard, Knox, and Wilbarger counties in north Texas, where 2 to 4 inches have fallen with water over roadways.
- 8:21Cedric: In the west, a High Wind Warning takes effect this evening for the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, with northeast winds of 30 to 50 miles per hour and gusts to 70 through Guadalupe Pass.
- 8:32Cedric: The Friday fire weather watch reaches into the interior counties of southeast Texas.
- 8:38Cedric: Washington.
- 8:39Cedric: The Sisi fire northwest of Stehekin stands at 4,615 acres and 34 percent contained, with moderate behavior described as smoldering, backing, and flanking.
- 8:50Cedric: Residences are threatened, and area, road, and trail closures remain in place.
- 8:54Cedric: Guam.
- 8:54Cedric: Condition of Readiness 3 took effect at 5 p.m.
- 8:57Cedric: Thursday, putting the island on a preparedness footing ahead of 29W.
- 9:02Cedric: Guam Homeland Security is directing residents to ready homes and businesses now, stock 7 to 10 days of food, water, and medication, cover windows and doors, brace exterior doors including garage doors, and bring loose outdoor objects inside.
- 9:18Cedric: Anyone in a metal roof or container home, in a surge zone, or in a flood prone area is being told to arrange sturdy shelter now.
- 9:26Cedric: Mariners are advised to remain in port or secure vessels, and campaigns are being asked to pull election signage before the winds arrive.
- 9:35Cedric: Northern Mariana Islands.
- 9:37Cedric: The Typhoon Watch covers Rota, Tinian, and Saipan alongside Guam, with the same weekend timing and the same guidance to prepare for at least a Category 2 storm.
- 9:48Cedric: On the lifeline side, the Commonwealth Utilities Corporation cancelled the precautionary boil water notice for Rota late last night, restoring normal water service on the island ahead of the storm.
- 10:00Cedric: That wraps today's EM Morning Brief.
- 10:02Cedric: New episodes drop Monday through Friday in the 5:00 AM hour P.T., so the day starts with clarity instead of catch-up.
- 10:09Cedric: Follow on your favorite podcast player.
- 10:11Cedric: EM Morning Brief is an EOC Voices Podcast.
- 10:14Cedric: Stay Safe.