Latest / Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar / 5/1/26: New Iran Strikes Imminent?, Platner Beats Mills, AI UnderClass, JPMorgan MeToo
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here.
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- 0:31Speaker 3: Good morning everyone, it is Friday, May first, you're at
- 0:35Speaker 3: Breaking Points with another amazing Friday show.
- 0:38Speaker 4: Of course, we're joining at the Friday.
- 0:39Speaker 3: Show Crow that is Crystal Ball, Ryan Grimm and Emily Jishinski.
- 0:44Speaker 3: How are we doing this morning? Well, we got last names,
- 0:48Speaker 3: We got last names. We'll do middle names too. We've
- 0:52Speaker 3: got a war going on continuing potentially some war updates
- 0:57Speaker 3: with Iran Graham Plattner in has become the presumptive Democratic
- 1:03Speaker 3: Democratic nominee for Senate.
- 1:05Speaker 4: We've got some.
- 1:06Speaker 3: New AI stories about the future Silicon Valley underclass, and
- 1:11Speaker 3: we may potentially be checking in on a little bit
- 1:14Speaker 3: of drama at the JP Morgan Bank. If we have time, Crystal,
- 1:21Speaker 3: why don't we start with a little bit of Barockraviede.
- 1:24Speaker 2: Yeah, go ahead and put this latest report up on
- 1:27Speaker 2: the screen. Another market moving report here from Barockravid indicating
- 1:32Speaker 2: that there are talks going on with Iran. And here
- 1:37Speaker 2: let me let me take a look at this. So
- 1:39Speaker 2: he says, Iran gives the US a new response on
- 1:42Speaker 2: a draft piece deal goes on to say they've delivered
- 1:47Speaker 2: their response the latest US amendments to a draft plan
- 1:49Speaker 2: to end the war. According to a regional source, the
- 1:54Speaker 2: Iranian response a signal that the diplomacy is not entirely frozen.
- 1:58Speaker 2: Comes as Trump maintains a US blocking considers new military
- 2:02Speaker 2: action against Iran. Can couple that with and Ryan can
- 2:05Speaker 2: jump in here some drop site reporting, which you know
- 2:09Speaker 2: is somewhat in line with this Axios report about some
- 2:13Speaker 2: exchange going on here. The Axios report makes it sound
- 2:17Speaker 2: a bit more rosy than what you guys have found
- 2:19Speaker 2: though over at drop Site, Right, Ryan.
- 2:21Speaker 5: Yeah, though it does seem it does seem like there's
- 2:26Speaker 5: some discussion of talks unfolding. So if you have that Griffin,
- 2:34Speaker 5: so Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Bagey had said yesterday.
- 2:41Speaker 5: She said, look, it's quote not reasonable to expect, you know,
- 2:44Speaker 5: super rapid talks, but added that Pakistan has acted well
- 2:49Speaker 5: and has shown good capability in mediation, saying that Pakistan
- 2:52Speaker 5: will remain the mediator, which that's a kind of positive
- 2:56Speaker 5: sign from them that they're you know, still in entertaining
- 2:59Speaker 5: talk books. He also said, quote, the US and the
- 3:02Speaker 5: Zionist regime are known for breaking their promises. The greatest
- 3:05Speaker 5: guarantee against a repeat of the war is Iran's own power.
- 3:10Speaker 5: He also said anything from the Americans should not be
- 3:14Speaker 5: immediately believed, and you know, oftentimes what the Americans are
- 3:17Speaker 5: saying is misleading. Interesting comment he made. He said, Iran's
- 3:24Speaker 5: priority is to reach a point where quote we can
- 3:26Speaker 5: say the danger of war does not exist. So that's
- 3:30Speaker 5: a very clear expression of kind of the Iranian strategic
- 3:35Speaker 5: goal that they want to get out of this war,
- 3:38Speaker 5: which obviously that's actually pretty reasonable. You would imagine any
- 3:42Speaker 5: country would like to say that danger of war doesn't exist.
- 3:45Speaker 5: So as long as as long as Trump is still
- 3:49Speaker 5: threatening to annihilate their civilization. Then they haven't achieved that
- 3:53Speaker 5: goal yet, and so they want to achieve that either
- 3:56Speaker 5: militarily or diplomatically. He also said, and this is this
- 4:01Speaker 5: goes to the kind of people who are saying, there's
- 4:04Speaker 5: a lot of chaos going on in Iran. He said,
- 4:06Speaker 5: quote unity is not a slogan in these sensitive conditions.
- 4:08Speaker 5: We must not go for each other's throats. So for
- 4:11Speaker 5: him to say that publicly suggests, you know, there is
- 4:14Speaker 5: a lot there is intense debate within Iran over you know,
- 4:18Speaker 5: how long to let these negotiations go on or whether
- 4:24Speaker 5: to well, everybody everyone in Iran says, yes, we're preparing
- 4:28Speaker 5: for the war to restart. But then there's there's dispute
- 4:32Speaker 5: about how much kind of how much to give to
- 4:36Speaker 5: with Cough, Kushner dvance Trump in order to keep them
- 4:39Speaker 5: going rather than just prepare for restarting of the war.
- 4:43Speaker 5: But you're right, who knows what to believe? Because it's
- 4:46Speaker 5: it's Friday, We're going into the weekend. Trump wants to
- 4:48Speaker 5: pump the markets, push oil prices or futures down, although
- 4:53Speaker 5: he's colliding with physical reality at this point as well.
- 4:59Speaker 4: Yeah, and speaking of that.
- 5:01Speaker 3: We've got two clips here from Trump about a deal
- 5:05Speaker 3: and about building plants all.
- 5:07Speaker 4: Over the country. First, let's hear about that deal.
- 5:11Speaker 6: Really great, Yeah, and that's going to carry forward. And look,
- 5:15Speaker 6: the countries doing really well. And that's despite a military operation.
- 5:19Speaker 6: I don't call it a war, rather military operation. We're
- 5:25Speaker 6: really I mean, Iran is dying to make a deal.
- 5:29Speaker 6: I can only tell you that I don't want to
- 5:31Speaker 6: get into the but they got it. They cannot be
- 5:34Speaker 6: nuclear other than that, but they are. The Navy's gone,
- 5:39Speaker 6: their air force is gone, every ounce of any form
- 5:43Speaker 6: of equipment practically is gone. You know, their drone factories
- 5:47Speaker 6: are about eighty two down, and their missile factories are
- 5:51Speaker 6: almost ninety percent down. And many of their missiles have
- 5:55Speaker 6: been knocked out between the use.
- 5:57Speaker 7: Some we knocked out.
- 5:59Speaker 6: More than they used. And it's pretty it's pretty amazing.
- 6:02Speaker 8: It was that.
- 6:02Speaker 6: But they want to make a deal. But despite the
- 6:04Speaker 6: fact that we are in what some people would call
- 6:06Speaker 6: a war. We just hit a new high today on
- 6:09Speaker 6: the stock market.
- 6:10Speaker 3: Some people are calling it a war. He's calling it
- 6:13Speaker 3: a military excursion. Ryan, Just quickly before we get to
- 6:17Speaker 3: the second clip, you know, Trump mentions nuclear Do you
- 6:21Speaker 3: have any sense through drop sites reporting of where Iran
- 6:24Speaker 3: is in terms of coming to the table in negotiations
- 6:27Speaker 3: with a nuclear deal or is that kind of off
- 6:29Speaker 3: the table for them now?
- 6:31Speaker 5: No, they have They have said that what they would
- 6:34Speaker 5: entertain is, so they have this sixty percent rich uranium,
- 6:38Speaker 5: that they would dilute it, and that they would you know,
- 6:42Speaker 5: dilute it under the supervision of IA supervisors, taking it
- 6:49Speaker 5: down to a place where it's you know, no longer
- 6:52Speaker 5: considered this threat by the United States. They were just
- 6:56Speaker 5: you know, Iraqi was just in Moscow and afterwards Putin
- 7:00Speaker 5: had a call with Trump where Putin floated the idea
- 7:05Speaker 5: of Iran sending the enriched uranium over to Russia. In
- 7:10Speaker 5: the twenty fifteen nuclear deal, Russia took twenty five thousand
- 7:15Speaker 5: pounds of nuclear material enriched highly enriched uranium twenty five
- 7:20Speaker 5: thousand pounds. Right now, the estimate is that they have
- 7:23Speaker 5: something under one thousand pounds, which is amazing. Like, so Obama,
- 7:28Speaker 5: think about that. Obama was able to do a deal
- 7:31Speaker 5: that got twenty five thousand pounds out of Iran into
- 7:35Speaker 5: Russia in exchange for I think they ended up getting
- 7:38Speaker 5: maybe fifty billion dollars or something like that and some
- 7:40Speaker 5: sanctions relief, and now we're doing a war over nine
- 7:43Speaker 5: hundred pounds. So Iran has said, no, we don't want
- 7:48Speaker 5: to send the enriched uranium to a third country. But
- 7:51Speaker 5: the fact that Arachi went to Russia and then Putin
- 7:54Speaker 5: talked to Trump about that possibility suggests that that is
- 7:58Speaker 5: negotiable them.
- 8:03Speaker 9: Well, and then you also have the obvious balance of
- 8:08Speaker 9: Trump threatening to wipe out the entire civilization and then
- 8:12Speaker 9: him saying you're not allowed to have nuclear weapons, like
- 8:14Speaker 9: just to state the obvious, that's where this is going.
- 8:18Speaker 2: Yeah, well, and that it brings us to as I mean,
- 8:21Speaker 2: there's a few other things to say about that Trump
- 8:23Speaker 2: clip and where we are or aren't in the development
- 8:26Speaker 2: of this totally not a war war apparently. So you know,
- 8:30Speaker 2: there's this requirement that the administration go to Congress after
- 8:35Speaker 2: sixty days. And now the new line from Pete Hagsath
- 8:39Speaker 2: is well, no, no, no, Now that we've got this
- 8:41Speaker 2: cease fire, then you know, the counting stops, so we
- 8:45Speaker 2: don't actually have to do that, which, you know, it
- 8:48Speaker 2: doesn't surprise me that they're finding some loophole to avoid
- 8:51Speaker 2: any sort of congressional oversight. But in addition, you know,
- 8:55Speaker 2: it's at least is I guess heartening to me that
- 8:58Speaker 2: they feel the need to make an excuse at all.
- 9:00Speaker 2: I could certainly envision a world where they're like, sixty days,
- 9:03Speaker 2: who cares, Yeah, good luck you and what army. We're
- 9:05Speaker 2: going to do what we want to do. The facto,
- 9:07Speaker 2: the end result is the same, but at least the
- 9:09Speaker 2: field the need to make some kind of an excuse here.
- 9:12Speaker 2: And then the other piece that I wanted to raise is,
- 9:15Speaker 2: while you have you know this, at least there's some
- 9:18Speaker 2: exchange of information occurring, some potential track, even though you
- 9:24Speaker 2: know the two sides continue to be worlds apart. I
- 9:27Speaker 2: don't think Trump is anywhere close to swallowing the humiliating
- 9:30Speaker 2: defeat it would require to actually do some sort of
- 9:33Speaker 2: war ending deal. So you've got them very far apart,
- 9:36Speaker 2: but at least exchanging some sort of information through mediators.
- 9:40Speaker 2: On the other hand, you also have what appears to
- 9:42Speaker 2: be new preparations for some new strike package, under the
- 9:48Speaker 2: fantasy and illusion that this time if we bomb them,
- 9:51Speaker 2: then this time it'll work, where last time for some
- 9:54Speaker 2: reason it didn't. This time doing the same thing is
- 9:57Speaker 2: magically going to have different results. Tree to Parsi here
- 10:00Speaker 2: highlighting one of the indications that we could be heading
- 10:02Speaker 2: in that direction. US ship sixty five hundred tons of
- 10:05Speaker 2: munitions and equipment to Israel in twenty four hours. Two
- 10:08Speaker 2: cargo ships carried thousands of Aaron ground munitions, military trucks,
- 10:11Speaker 2: and other military equipment. We've also had all kinds of
- 10:15Speaker 2: reporting about new strike packages that were being drawn up
- 10:19Speaker 2: and military plans that were being made and presented to
- 10:23Speaker 2: Trump for him to consider. And we also know that
- 10:26Speaker 2: a whole host of neocons who have been very influential
- 10:30Speaker 2: in Trump's thinking and his strategy to the extent that
- 10:34Speaker 2: you could call it, that they have been insisting that
- 10:38Speaker 2: what is needed is more pressure, more bombing, that that
- 10:42Speaker 2: will then cause Iran to capitulate, that that will bring
- 10:46Speaker 2: them to the table. You also have all kinds of,
- 10:48Speaker 2: in my opinion, delusional thinking about how of we just
- 10:51Speaker 2: enforced the blockade really hard, then in two days, the
- 10:54Speaker 2: whole economy is going to completely explode and collapse, and
- 10:58Speaker 2: it'll be the end of everything. And then I'll come crying,
- 11:00Speaker 2: and then they'll be crying uncle. As Trump put it
- 11:03Speaker 2: in some previous comments.
- 11:05Speaker 9: I was at a meeting about two weeks into the
- 11:09Speaker 9: war that I realized afterwards was actually on the record
- 11:13Speaker 9: where Ron Johnson was talking, and it was like a
- 11:15Speaker 9: small meeting, and Ron Johnson is a pretty earnest guy.
- 11:20Speaker 9: If you disagree with him, you're gonna you know, he's
- 11:23Speaker 9: saying what he thinks basically, and at that point he
- 11:27Speaker 9: referred to the war as a quote two week bombing run,
- 11:30Speaker 9: which I'm thinking back on now is especially interesting because
- 11:35Speaker 9: it's one thing when the President says it, Pete Haiksas
- 11:38Speaker 9: says it, Marco Rubio says, you know, we're we won.
- 11:41Speaker 9: It's a but like this was a sort of normy
- 11:43Speaker 9: Republican who wasn't trying to propagandaize and the like genuinely
- 11:49Speaker 9: believed that this was going to be a two week
- 11:51Speaker 9: bombing run. And Semaphore had a story in the last
- 11:54Speaker 9: couple of days about how Republican senators congressman are now
- 11:59Speaker 9: lose see their patients for the war, and I just again,
- 12:02Speaker 9: I think it's it's an interesting contrast where like, genuinely
- 12:06Speaker 9: they keep believed and had been told by the administration
- 12:08Speaker 9: that this was quote a two week bombing grun.
- 12:11Speaker 2: I read that. I read that report. Sorry, real quick, Ryan,
- 12:13Speaker 2: I read that report in the same way that I
- 12:15Speaker 2: read the baroque revied reports about how upset Trump is
- 12:18Speaker 2: with upset Biden is with Netanyahu, blah blah blah. So yeah,
- 12:22Speaker 2: from the Republicans, I'll believe it when I see it.
- 12:25Speaker 9: No, I don't think they're going to do anything about it,
- 12:26Speaker 9: I think, but I do think they were like trying
- 12:28Speaker 9: to complain to the press.
- 12:30Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 12:31Speaker 5: Yeah, it's amazing to think about the fact that they
- 12:34Speaker 5: thought that it was going to work last time in
- 12:36Speaker 5: a couple of days or two weeks, and we're obviously wrong.
- 12:41Speaker 5: It did not. Here we are it's incredible that they
- 12:45Speaker 5: think it will work again because they're in such a
- 12:47Speaker 5: weaker position this time. Like when they started. Here's the
- 12:50Speaker 5: six month last six months, So when we start when
- 12:53Speaker 5: they started this war at the end of February, oil
- 12:55Speaker 5: prices were you know, mid mid sixties and had been
- 12:59Speaker 5: you know, fairly stated for a long time. So they
- 13:01Speaker 5: would now be going in restarting the war with oil
- 13:06Speaker 5: prices well over one hundred dollars a barrel. Meanwhile, we
- 13:11Speaker 5: had you know what two fully operational aircraft carrier striker
- 13:15Speaker 5: groups in the region. We had Israel and the US
- 13:19Speaker 5: had all of its missile defense systems stocked up and
- 13:23Speaker 5: ready to go. We had fully decked out bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, Dubai, Cutter,
- 13:31Speaker 5: Saudi Arabia. All of those have been destroyed. The people
- 13:36Speaker 5: are working out of hotels. Israel is down to double
- 13:42Speaker 5: digit you know, ballistic missile interceptors, which take years to replenish.
- 13:47Speaker 5: It's not like they could re arm in the last
- 13:48Speaker 5: couple of weeks. And so they're going to go into
- 13:51Speaker 5: that with the same idea, but with much less capacity
- 13:57Speaker 5: to operationalize it. And what the Iranians have showed from
- 14:00Speaker 5: the Twelve Day War to this one is that IQ
- 14:04Speaker 5: and education might actually play a substantial role here. Like
- 14:08Speaker 5: they are clearly a lot smarter that the people who
- 14:11Speaker 5: are running, or they have a system that allows their
- 14:14Speaker 5: smarter ideas to come forward, you know what.
- 14:16Speaker 2: To be honest with you, Ryan, I absolutely agree with
- 14:20Speaker 2: you that they are much more intelligent than our leadership.
- 14:22Speaker 2: But I don't even think intelligence is really the problem.
- 14:24Speaker 2: I think it's arrogance. I think that's really the key problem.
- 14:27Speaker 2: The Iranians took us seriously. You know, they knew what
- 14:30Speaker 2: they were up against, and they planned for it. They
- 14:32Speaker 2: thought about it over many years and planned for this,
- 14:35Speaker 2: and after the Twelve Day War, they investigated their own
- 14:37Speaker 2: weaknesses and they figured out, Okay, what can we do better,
- 14:40Speaker 2: what do we need to replenish, you know, how can
- 14:43Speaker 2: we better hide what we've got here, etc. Whereas our
- 14:47Speaker 2: leadership has this incredibly cartoonish view of Iran that they're
- 14:52Speaker 2: all just like unthinking zelots. I don't know, it seems
- 14:55Speaker 2: to me, and I've said this before, that our leadership
- 14:58Speaker 2: bought the propaganda about Iran that has been sold to
- 15:01Speaker 2: our population, whereas maybe in previous generations there was more
- 15:04Speaker 2: intelligence and nuance in an actual understanding understanding of the
- 15:08Speaker 2: Iranian government and the you know, Iran as a country.
- 15:12Speaker 2: This group are you know, they're idiots and they're arrogant.
- 15:16Speaker 2: And I really think that arrogance, both at the specific
- 15:20Speaker 2: leadership level and at the level of empire is what
- 15:23Speaker 2: doomed this to fail. But you know, to your point,
- 15:28Speaker 2: the idea that it's very Israeli logic that one more
- 15:32Speaker 2: bombing campaign is going to secure the peace. I mean
- 15:35Speaker 2: that's yeah, Well, you have more assassinations, one more bombing campaign.
- 15:40Speaker 2: This time, it'll do it this time, you know, our
- 15:42Speaker 2: victory will be assured. And the bottom line is we're
- 15:46Speaker 2: just waiting around to see whether we need more pain
- 15:50Speaker 2: before we accept the humiliating defeat that has already been dealt.
- 15:53Speaker 2: You know, if you think about it, and I can't
- 15:56Speaker 2: remember which analyst I was, I was hearing kind of
- 15:58Speaker 2: lay it out this way. But we've got we've got
- 16:01Speaker 2: an army, we've got an air force, we've got a navy. Okay,
- 16:03Speaker 2: we tried the air campaign, right, We bombed the hell
- 16:05Speaker 2: out of them. We hit all kinds of targets. We've
- 16:08Speaker 2: you know, murdered little girls at a school and hit
- 16:10Speaker 2: their infrastructure and all the stuff. Right, that didn't work,
- 16:13Speaker 2: and it's not gonna work, and it's never worked. There's
- 16:15Speaker 2: never been. It's an air campaign that has successfully toppled
- 16:19Speaker 2: a government, which is ultimately the goal here at this point. Okay,
- 16:22Speaker 2: so that didn't work. Now we've got the navy. We're
- 16:25Speaker 2: doing our blockade, and there's all kinds of hopium around.
- 16:28Speaker 2: Oh yeah, if we just do this for two weeks,
- 16:31Speaker 2: they're going to hold all their oil wells they're gonna explode,
- 16:33Speaker 2: They're going to be dead in the water, which very similar, right,
- 16:37Speaker 2: exactly two weeks to depend the curve exactly. And it's again,
- 16:41Speaker 2: we have been sanctioning them for years. Did that cause
- 16:45Speaker 2: their government to collapse and capitulate and come crying uncle
- 16:49Speaker 2: to the table. No, So why do you think it's
- 16:52Speaker 2: going to be different this time? The last thing on
- 16:54Speaker 2: the table is the army some sort of ground invasion. Now,
- 16:58Speaker 2: whether or not the official story about the pilot rescue
- 17:01Speaker 2: blah blah blah, is entirely accurate. What we could see
- 17:04Speaker 2: from that is they learned very quickly going in on
- 17:08Speaker 2: the ground in any capacity is going to be a disaster,
- 17:11Speaker 2: a disaster, and Trump is very wary of that level
- 17:17Speaker 2: of on the ground engagement, and rightfully so, because it
- 17:21Speaker 2: would be catastrophic. And American people are not behind this war.
- 17:26Speaker 2: Polling shows it's already as unpopular as the Vietnam War
- 17:31Speaker 2: was at like the worst in you know, at the
- 17:33Speaker 2: worst time, after like after years of being in Vietnam.
- 17:36Speaker 2: It took years to get to this point. I think
- 17:38Speaker 2: six years to get to the level of unpopularity that
- 17:41Speaker 2: we're already at with this war. So the American people
- 17:44Speaker 2: are not willing to watch our service members be put
- 17:48Speaker 2: inserted into Iran and come home in body bags. That
- 17:51Speaker 2: is not something that we are going to support. We
- 17:54Speaker 2: don't support going to the gas pump and spending what
- 17:57Speaker 2: we have to spend there already. So the landscape for
- 18:01Speaker 2: Trump is very constraining and utterly disastrous. So if Okay,
- 18:06Speaker 2: the air Force isn't gonna work, the Navy's not gonna work,
- 18:09Speaker 2: you don't want to do the ground invasion. I mean,
- 18:11Speaker 2: the only other thing would be nuclear weapons. Even that
- 18:14Speaker 2: you would have to you know, the number of nukes
- 18:16Speaker 2: you would have to drop even to get them to
- 18:17Speaker 2: capitulate as insane, And of course that would be an
- 18:19Speaker 2: insane action to take and truly would kick off God
- 18:22Speaker 2: only knows what. That's what's on the table. There are
- 18:26Speaker 2: no good options here, and Trump, as much as he
- 18:29Speaker 2: wants to post his way through it, and he's been
- 18:32Speaker 2: very savvy, I have to say the markets. You know,
- 18:34Speaker 2: he's done a good job manipulating the markets and buying
- 18:36Speaker 2: him some self some time, et cetera. But ultimately, at
- 18:39Speaker 2: the end of the day, it's just a matter of
- 18:42Speaker 2: time before we have to accept the reality that has
- 18:45Speaker 2: been revealed by this disastrous war.
- 18:48Speaker 3: And speaking of gas pumps and accepting realities, we've got
- 18:52Speaker 3: some updates on state gas prices all across the nation.
- 18:55Speaker 3: Every single state has higher gas prices today compared to
- 18:58Speaker 3: a week ago. Big jumps in Indiana plus eighty four cents,
- 19:04Speaker 3: Michigan plus seventy two cents, Ohio is sixty cents, Illinois
- 19:08Speaker 3: thirty nine cents, New Mexico thirty seven cents. So that
- 19:14Speaker 3: does seem to be the only thing right now that
- 19:16Speaker 3: Americans are specifically reacting to. And we also have a
- 19:22Speaker 3: little clip I want to play here from Steve Scalise
- 19:26Speaker 3: on gas prices.
- 19:27Speaker 4: Let's take a listen. You think there's any way that
- 19:30Speaker 4: your party holds on in November to the house.
- 19:36Speaker 10: Absolutely, And look it's a path that is focused on
- 19:40Speaker 10: turnout number one and delivery what we've delivered to finally
- 19:45Speaker 10: start turning this mess around that we inherited a year
- 19:48Speaker 10: and a half ago. People that will remember you go
- 19:51Speaker 10: back two years ago, we were paying almost six dollars
- 19:55Speaker 10: a gallon for gasoline. Right now it's in the threes. Obviously,
- 19:58Speaker 10: we've seen a a jump with the Iran.
- 20:02Speaker 4: Conflict when we're paying six fifth well two and a half.
- 20:07Speaker 10: Years ago, but you look at that, wasn't at where
- 20:10Speaker 10: we are net We're we're over thirty percent below where
- 20:13Speaker 10: we were just two years ago. Today we are thirty
- 20:16Speaker 10: percent below where we were two years ago. It's still
- 20:19Speaker 10: going to go lower when Iran gets resolved in the
- 20:21Speaker 10: strait of hor Moose gets open.
- 20:23Speaker 4: But at the same time, did anybody want a nuclear
- 20:26Speaker 4: on Iran?
- 20:27Speaker 3: So that's woke a Ronnie and Media s squawk box
- 20:31Speaker 3: here challenging the six dollars rate from Steve Scillies.
- 20:36Speaker 9: I'm reading from a the New York Oh sorry, Crystal,
- 20:40Speaker 9: I'm just reading from the New York NBC affiliate or
- 20:44Speaker 9: just an NBC affiliate here, where an expert is quoted
- 20:48Speaker 9: saying rising tax refunds were outpacing the increased burden of
- 20:51Speaker 9: gasoline spending two to one in March and April. With
- 20:54Speaker 9: tax refund season winding down and gas price is still climbing,
- 20:57Speaker 9: the hit to consumer spending will become more evident from May.
- 21:02Speaker 9: So just think about that. So, even if you were
- 21:04Speaker 9: getting a refund and it was helping with gas prices,
- 21:08Speaker 9: that's what the polling that's with where the polling was
- 21:11Speaker 9: in the last couple of months. Imagine where the polling
- 21:13Speaker 9: is going to go now as people are not supplementing
- 21:18Speaker 9: with like tax refunds. That's you know, like that that
- 21:21Speaker 9: was what just that's already happened. So that's what Republicans
- 21:25Speaker 9: are staring down the barrel of in the months ahead
- 21:28Speaker 9: with there's a reason that we keep introducing, or we
- 21:30Speaker 9: keep interviewing Professor Pape, which is that this is our
- 21:33Speaker 9: this is the argument, which is that it's it keeps
- 21:35Speaker 9: getting worse and worse. You're trapped in this cycle. Uh
- 21:40Speaker 9: so unless Trump can figure out a way to to
- 21:43Speaker 9: wiggle out of that, they're looking at actually conditions continuing
- 21:46Speaker 9: to get worse or worse.
- 21:48Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I mean I love how we just makes
- 21:50Speaker 2: it up like gas was not six dollars scallon. Maybe
- 21:54Speaker 2: someplace it was, but you know, in terms of the
- 21:56Speaker 2: National Hour, I mean, it's just completely fabricated. And then
- 22:01Speaker 2: the line that multiple Republicans are going with now, including
- 22:05Speaker 2: you know, high level of the administration, is oh, well,
- 22:08Speaker 2: what would you pay to keep Iran from having a nuke?
- 22:11Speaker 2: And it's like, well, we didn't have to pay anything.
- 22:13Speaker 2: Because they were willing to give up their nuclear problem
- 22:15Speaker 2: back in the JCPOA for one that you all blew up,
- 22:18Speaker 2: and then number two again according to the Omani's before
- 22:22Speaker 2: you started this new bombing campaign. And in fact, what
- 22:24Speaker 2: we're doing is we are paying at the pump so
- 22:27Speaker 2: that Iran is more likely to pursue a nuclear weapon.
- 22:30Speaker 2: So that is what we're actually paying for, is to
- 22:33Speaker 2: help create a nuclear Iran, which you know at this
- 22:36Speaker 2: point is some intelligent logic for them given the the
- 22:42Speaker 2: geostrategic landscape that we have ourselves created.
- 22:46Speaker 5: Actually we should we should pull that. You want to
- 22:48Speaker 5: team up a drop site and we can. It's not
- 22:51Speaker 5: that expensive. We should ask that polling question, how much
- 22:54Speaker 5: would you pay extra at the pump to guarantee let's
- 22:59Speaker 5: assume you can even guarantee it, to guarantee that Ron
- 23:02Speaker 5: never gets a nuclear weapon? Like zero, you know, zero
- 23:05Speaker 5: to fifty cents, fifty cents to a dollar, a dollar
- 23:08Speaker 5: to fifty like and I think I think overwhelmingly people
- 23:13Speaker 5: will be like zero or maybe zero to five cents.
- 23:17Speaker 5: Maybe if somebody.
- 23:17Speaker 4: Would something, is there a negative option? Can I pay
- 23:20Speaker 4: less gas?
- 23:21Speaker 5: Yes, we'll we'll menagure they actually guarantee they do.
- 23:25Speaker 4: Get it right.
- 23:26Speaker 2: Well, I mean that's where we're but that's the reality
- 23:30Speaker 2: of the situation that we're in, is actually we are
- 23:33Speaker 2: paying more to help them get a nuke, which I
- 23:35Speaker 2: mean they look they like it is logical for them
- 23:39Speaker 2: to do, and I actually do think it would make
- 23:40Speaker 2: the region more stable if they had this deterrent. And
- 23:43Speaker 2: this is someone, you know, I'm speaking of, someone who
- 23:45Speaker 2: would love to live in a world where we could
- 23:46Speaker 2: reduce nuclear weapons and you know, have deterrence that doesn't
- 23:50Speaker 2: involve the potential catastrophic destruction of the entire world. But
- 23:54Speaker 2: you know, I'm also dealing with the reality of what
- 23:56Speaker 2: we live in. But I would say, though, Ryan, even like,
- 23:59Speaker 2: let's say we did that poll, it's a very hard
- 24:02Speaker 2: thing to pull these things in the abstract because I
- 24:04Speaker 2: remember when we started, when the Ukraine War kicked off
- 24:08Speaker 2: with Russia's invasion, and there was pulling to that effect
- 24:11Speaker 2: of asking people like, are you willing to pay higher
- 24:13Speaker 2: gas prices to support back Ukraine and effectively this proxy war,
- 24:17Speaker 2: and people were like, yes, absolutely, and then when they
- 24:20Speaker 2: went to the polls, they were like absolutely not. So yeah,
- 24:26Speaker 2: so I you know, it's it's a difficult thing to
- 24:28Speaker 2: really get it, get it see into the heart of
- 24:31Speaker 2: the Median American voter.
- 24:33Speaker 3: So we can solve it by we will put these
- 24:35Speaker 3: poles up as gas station TV ads right there at.
- 24:39Speaker 4: The pub brilliant grib you have to pay and so
- 24:44Speaker 4: and so. That's where we're going.
- 24:45Speaker 5: To get part of it.
- 24:47Speaker 4: There you go.
- 24:47Speaker 3: I like, I listen, they're not that expensive. Maybe we'll
- 24:50Speaker 3: put up some DP polling at gas stations. That could
- 24:53Speaker 3: be a fun homework assignment for me. But if there's
- 24:57Speaker 3: anything else on around before we move over to go
- 25:00Speaker 3: a little bit Grand Platiner News and Maine, well good.
- 25:03Speaker 9: I'll just say Republicans are going to have to run
- 25:05Speaker 9: on this war and all of their districts. They're going
- 25:07Speaker 9: to have to go home. They're on the ballot, They're
- 25:10Speaker 9: going to have to go home and say this war
- 25:12Speaker 9: is a good thing. I support the President over and
- 25:14Speaker 9: over again from now until November. That's especially going to
- 25:17Speaker 9: kick up over the summer and after Labor Day as
- 25:20Speaker 9: they hit the campaign trail more and more.
- 25:23Speaker 11: So.
- 25:24Speaker 9: I don't really know that they have much power over Trump.
- 25:26Speaker 9: Obviously they have power, but that would require them to
- 25:30Speaker 9: Steeve Scalice's point to potentially anger their own base. You know,
- 25:36Speaker 9: he said, these are base elections. They are base elections.
- 25:39Speaker 9: So do you want to depress? I mean, Trump has
- 25:41Speaker 9: already done some work depressing MAGA people. As much as
- 25:45Speaker 9: he thinks like one hundred percent MEGA voters are with him,
- 25:48Speaker 9: those numbers have actually dipped. They're still high, but they've dipped.
- 25:50Speaker 9: So you already have depressed magabase. And then if you
- 25:53Speaker 9: have these certain districts where the boomers love the Iran
- 25:55Speaker 9: war and other MAGA voters hate it, and you have
- 25:59Speaker 9: a candidate who was owning it and not willing to
- 26:02Speaker 9: grapple honestly with what some of their own voters think.
- 26:05Speaker 9: In a rural place where gas prices are really high
- 26:07Speaker 9: and fertilizer is hard to come by. I got a
- 26:10Speaker 9: note from my cousin the other day about the problems
- 26:13Speaker 9: with fertilizer, like it's bad and normal people are starting
- 26:17Speaker 9: to feel it. And Republicans have from now in November
- 26:19Speaker 9: to hear from their voters about it.
- 26:21Speaker 4: So yeah, Jolie, I have a question for you on that.
- 26:24Speaker 3: What what are they going to do? Are there going
- 26:26Speaker 3: to be any defections? Because Trump has made it clear
- 26:28Speaker 3: that he's given up on the mid terms. He doesn't
- 26:30Speaker 3: care about these people. So are they going to are
- 26:33Speaker 3: they going to rebel? Are there going to be any
- 26:35Speaker 3: outliers saying hey, you know what's wrap this war up?
- 26:38Speaker 3: Or is it going to be more kind of gas
- 26:40Speaker 3: lighting Steve Scalise style.
- 26:42Speaker 9: I mean, it's like you've got Thomas Massey and you
- 26:45Speaker 9: have like then the establishment people like Tom Tillis, who's
- 26:49Speaker 9: you know, not on the ballot again. So he's definitely
- 26:53Speaker 9: trying to make that point. Trump capitulated to him on
- 26:56Speaker 9: Kevin Warsh and Jay Powell, so that he's already trying
- 26:59Speaker 9: to like extract more concessions from it. But no, I mean,
- 27:02Speaker 9: I don't think. I think so long as you have
- 27:05Speaker 9: eighty five percent of MAGA still in love with Trump, Republicans,
- 27:09Speaker 9: that's the their bed. They have to lie in it.
- 27:11Speaker 9: They made their bed and they have to lie in it.
- 27:13Speaker 9: So that's a huge lever of control that the Trump
- 27:19Speaker 9: supporting magabase has over Republican candidates in elections right now.
- 27:25Speaker 3: But why don't we look northward for a moment to
- 27:29Speaker 3: the state of Maine, where big apologies to all of
- 27:33Speaker 3: the Janet Mills militia, Mills Mafia. They Janet Mills has
- 27:40Speaker 3: dropped out, making Graham Platner the presumptive Democratic nominee for
- 27:47Speaker 3: Maine Senate. And why don't we start with a little
- 27:51Speaker 3: video fear.
- 27:52Speaker 9: That the Mills militias has surrendered to the Nazis.
- 27:56Speaker 3: They've been routed the Maine. Yes, but why don't we
- 28:02Speaker 3: take a look at our last hope to stop.
- 28:04Speaker 2: I'm spending a lot of time on a blue sky
- 28:06Speaker 2: with those takes.
- 28:07Speaker 4: Yes, yes, maybe I should.
- 28:10Speaker 3: That'd be Also, you're if Emily was huge on Blue Sky.
- 28:17Speaker 3: There's there's one last chance to stop the Platinum menace.
- 28:21Speaker 3: Here with Susan Collins, let's take a listen to her
- 28:25Speaker 3: her reaction to these updates in the race.
- 28:32Speaker 12: I'm sure this was a very difficult session for Governor Mills,
- 28:38Speaker 12: and I wish her well. She has devoted her life
- 28:45Speaker 12: to public service in the state of Maine. In many
- 28:49Speaker 12: different capacities. She has served the people of our state,
- 28:58Speaker 12: and I'm sure this was a hard decision for her.
- 29:02Speaker 4: Will Platner be easier to be?
- 29:04Speaker 12: In your view, I'm not going to get into the
- 29:10Speaker 12: November election at this point. This is the Governor's day,
- 29:17Speaker 12: and I think the focus should be on her and
- 29:22Speaker 12: her wanting to give her message to the people.
- 29:26Speaker 4: Of May riveting stuff and correct me if I'm wrong. Ryan.
- 29:31Speaker 3: But did Janet Mills then endorse grand Platner say that
- 29:35Speaker 3: you're going.
- 29:36Speaker 4: To vote for him instead?
- 29:37Speaker 5: She She did not. She very explicitly said that she
- 29:42Speaker 5: would not be voting for Susan Collins, but she left
- 29:46Speaker 5: open the possibility then of what she would be doing.
- 29:49Speaker 4: But you won't vote for the Republican, Okay.
- 29:51Speaker 2: She said something like, I will carefully watch grand Plattner's
- 29:56Speaker 2: race and see, you know, as I do with all races,
- 29:59Speaker 2: and maye or some blah blah blah like that. Yeah,
- 30:03Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, yeah. Schumer did jump in, uh, you know,
- 30:08Speaker 2: behind Platner, which is obviously very different from his approach
- 30:12Speaker 2: with Zorn Mom Donnie in his own state, and pretty
- 30:16Speaker 2: remarkable given that they share, you know, some very similar views,
- 30:20Speaker 2: especially on Israel, which of course was a problem for
- 30:23Speaker 2: for Schumer. I do want to, just before we, you know,
- 30:25Speaker 2: jump into that aspect of it, just pause and reflect
- 30:28Speaker 2: on what an extraordinary, what an extraordinary long shot campaign
- 30:33Speaker 2: this was. This man grand Bladder had never run for
- 30:36Speaker 2: office before. Started his race very early, you know, we
- 30:40Speaker 2: interviewed him, of course here, very early, and he was
- 30:44Speaker 2: up against the sitting governor of Maine, who is not
- 30:49Speaker 2: disliked in Maine by the way. I mean, her approval
- 30:51Speaker 2: rating is not like amazing, but it's not terrible either,
- 30:54Speaker 2: and Democrats had like sort of you know, they were
- 30:57Speaker 2: they were fine with her, but they really were impressed
- 31:00Speaker 2: with Platner. So when Mills gets in, of course there's
- 31:03Speaker 2: this huge opo dump, and there was plenty there to
- 31:05Speaker 2: work with, from the tattoo to all the Reddit posts
- 31:08Speaker 2: to even you know, his history and his story about
- 31:11Speaker 2: his military service and how long you continue to serve,
- 31:14Speaker 2: and then you know, working with this you know, with
- 31:16Speaker 2: this contractor in Afghanistan as well, And so there was
- 31:21Speaker 2: a real national consensus that this was going to be
- 31:24Speaker 2: the end of him. That you know, people were going
- 31:26Speaker 2: to look at that and say, oh god, we can't
- 31:27Speaker 2: have this guy. We need the electable can at Janet Mills.
- 31:30Speaker 2: And that is just not what happened at all. In fact,
- 31:33Speaker 2: the polar opposite happened. People became more fervently committed to
- 31:37Speaker 2: Graham Plattner and his Poles just continued to rise to
- 31:40Speaker 2: the place where it was undeniable. He was going to
- 31:44Speaker 2: emerge victorious. Now there's all kinds of squabbling right now,
- 31:49Speaker 2: and pieces being written of this one leaking and that
- 31:51Speaker 2: one leaking about how Schumer abandoned her and didn't put
- 31:54Speaker 2: enough money behind her, et cetera, et cetera. But truly,
- 31:58Speaker 2: whatever the behind the scenes intern imaginations were, truly the
- 32:02Speaker 2: bottom line here is that you had Graham Platner compared
- 32:06Speaker 2: to Janet Mills, much younger, really forceful on Israel, really
- 32:10Speaker 2: forceful on fighting against oligarchs. And this is where the
- 32:15Speaker 2: Normy Democratic base is at this point. They were not
- 32:19Speaker 2: swayed by the electability arguments, which was most of what
- 32:23Speaker 2: you know, the Mills camp really were offering.
- 32:25Speaker 4: Here.
- 32:25Speaker 2: Oh, Susan Collins is going to chew them up and
- 32:27Speaker 2: split him out. I think that is so different from
- 32:30Speaker 2: what would have unfolded in previous cycles, and it also
- 32:33Speaker 2: makes it very difficult. You know what we heard from
- 32:35Speaker 2: with Zora Mom Donnie's Oh, well that's New York City,
- 32:38Speaker 2: it's blue, it's totally different. Well, here you have Maine.
- 32:41Speaker 2: You know, it's very sort of like normy state a
- 32:44Speaker 2: lot of blue collar workers, the state that a lot
- 32:47Speaker 2: of ways has been left behind as well, with relatively
- 32:50Speaker 2: high poverty. And you know, you can't. You can no
- 32:53Speaker 2: longer just blame the commie corridor, Tyson, the DSA types
- 32:59Speaker 2: for wanting this type of candidate at this point.
- 33:03Speaker 4: That's right.
- 33:04Speaker 2: And one last one, last one here is that the
- 33:07Speaker 2: polls consistently showed that Graham Plattner is a stronger candidate
- 33:12Speaker 2: versus Susan Collins then Janet Mills was. And I think
- 33:16Speaker 2: that also just completely blows the minds. I mean, they
- 33:18Speaker 2: just can't accept, you know, the general national consensus, the
- 33:21Speaker 2: sort of establishment democratic mindset, just can't accept that he
- 33:24Speaker 2: actually genuinely is a stronger candidate versus Susan Collins.
- 33:30Speaker 5: Yeah, and.
- 33:32Speaker 4: Go for it, Ryde.
- 33:33Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 33:33Speaker 5: In the interesting, in the in the like caddy backbiting
- 33:36Speaker 5: pieces that are emerging with people pointing fingers at each other.
- 33:39Speaker 5: To me, the most substantial thing that emerged was Schumer's
- 33:43Speaker 5: camp saying Okay, here are all the problems with Mills's
- 33:46Speaker 5: camp and why it's actually her fault. But on the
- 33:49Speaker 5: point of us not spending enough money for her, we
- 33:52Speaker 5: couldn't because it would have been too politically toxic because Graham.
- 33:55Speaker 4: I got that right here for you.
- 33:56Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, so Graham. In other words, Graham had too
- 34:00Speaker 5: much support from a a majority of Democrats in the state,
- 34:05Speaker 5: and therefore Schumer coming in would have been going up
- 34:08Speaker 5: against a majority of the voters, and there would have
- 34:12Speaker 5: been then too much blowback against him and the National
- 34:15Speaker 5: Party for meddling in Maine.
- 34:19Speaker 2: Well, and sure is so unpopular himself, right that it
- 34:22Speaker 2: would likely not help Janet Mills too. I mean, she
- 34:25Speaker 2: already was seen as the Schumer candidate, and that was
- 34:27Speaker 2: part of the problem for her.
- 34:28Speaker 5: And they dropped, they dropped the negative ads, they went
- 34:31Speaker 5: for it, and the polling yawned even further. Or the
- 34:37Speaker 5: after the negative ads from Mills came out, and then
- 34:41Speaker 5: Collins super pack funded by billionaires who have destroyed Maine
- 34:48Speaker 5: came out. They were actually not even as good like
- 34:50Speaker 5: Mills had the fancy like AI voice, which is extremely unethical,
- 34:57Speaker 5: but you know, they they were. They put they put
- 34:59Speaker 5: the AI a platin er through the Reddit posts, whereas
- 35:04Speaker 5: the Collins post did the same thing. But they weren't
- 35:06Speaker 5: even as well done. And I don't see how those
- 35:09Speaker 5: are going to work either, And Emily, really curious for
- 35:11Speaker 5: your take on this. He already has center left and
- 35:16Speaker 5: the left locked up. Now Collins is gonna is gonna
- 35:20Speaker 5: run our campaign, and I'm seeing all the Republicans calling
- 35:22Speaker 5: him a Nazi and saying that like making insensitive comments
- 35:27Speaker 5: about women who are sexually assaulted. So on what plan?
- 35:33Speaker 4: On what plan? Does that work with the right?
- 35:35Speaker 5: The right has spent the last couple of decades getting
- 35:40Speaker 5: called a knot or thinking they're always getting called Nazis.
- 35:43Speaker 5: Whether they're getting called Nazis or not, they it's part
- 35:46Speaker 5: of their identity that they're under siege and always being
- 35:49Speaker 5: called Nazis. And now all of a sudden you've got
- 35:52Speaker 5: the super Pack calling another guy a Nazi. Isn't that
- 35:55Speaker 5: going to make them be like, well, actually maybe he's
- 35:57Speaker 5: one of us falsely being hughes of being a Nazi.
- 36:01Speaker 5: By how is this going to work on the right?
- 36:05Speaker 5: Like all of a sudden, Feminists, are they all of
- 36:08Speaker 5: a sudden just believing accusations that you're a Nazi?
- 36:12Speaker 3: No?
- 36:12Speaker 9: I sent this to you guys yesterday. The first statement
- 36:15Speaker 9: that the RNC put out called Graham Plattner a Nazi. Yes,
- 36:19Speaker 9: and one of the one of the reasons that the
- 36:21Speaker 9: Mills campaign obviously did not work is because people those
- 36:25Speaker 9: attacks just don't They don't work on Democrats even like,
- 36:28Speaker 9: let alone Republicans. To your point, Ryan, but obviously what
- 36:31Speaker 9: they're going for in this race is going to be
- 36:33Speaker 9: like independents. And I will say Susan Collins is notoriously
- 36:38Speaker 9: hard to beat. She puts up a hell of a fight.
- 36:41Speaker 9: Whatever you think of Susan Collins, that woman has shown
- 36:44Speaker 9: a wild proclivity to hang on to the seat, or
- 36:47Speaker 9: a wild ability to hang on to that seat, despite
- 36:51Speaker 9: where the polls seemed to look at different points. So
- 36:53Speaker 9: like that was what was your name, Sarah Gideon right
- 36:55Speaker 9: the last time around the cycle? Yeah, you go back,
- 36:59Speaker 9: cycle left cycle. You can bet a lot of money
- 37:01Speaker 9: is going to pour in. But it's truly like it
- 37:06Speaker 9: reminds me Ryan actually of that John Ossoff ad that
- 37:08Speaker 9: everyone was talking about on X over the course of
- 37:11Speaker 9: this week, which I'm sure you guys saw, but it
- 37:15Speaker 9: was like as off running not on any cultural war issues.
- 37:19Speaker 9: In fact, in the ad he calls the culture war distraction,
- 37:22Speaker 9: which Platner has as well. We don't have to debate that,
- 37:25Speaker 9: but It's a really good political line because he puts
- 37:29Speaker 9: that in the back burner and then deals with these
- 37:30Speaker 9: like kitchen table issues of corruption causing average Americans pain
- 37:36Speaker 9: and what Chrystal you could probably speak to this too.
- 37:39Speaker 9: What win some Seares did in Virginia was say that, like,
- 37:41Speaker 9: we can coast on Dems being woke, like let's just
- 37:45Speaker 9: we're just gonna throw the culture war at Abigail Spaandberger
- 37:48Speaker 9: over and over again and not really deal with the
- 37:51Speaker 9: affordability stuff in a super high profile or it's we're
- 37:54Speaker 9: not going to make that like a huge thrust or
- 37:57Speaker 9: the only thrust of our campaign. And they've had these
- 38:00Speaker 9: examples to learn from over and over again. But right away,
- 38:03Speaker 9: right out the gate, it's Platner is a Nazi. Uh So,
- 38:07Speaker 9: enjoy how that works out for you guys.
- 38:09Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 38:10Speaker 2: Well, and the thing with a Winsome Steers campaign too,
- 38:13Speaker 2: is that if you're the one running all of the
- 38:15Speaker 2: like trans bathroom and trans sports ads, then people go withity.
- 38:19Speaker 2: Y'all are the ones that are obsessed with this issue.
- 38:21Speaker 2: You know. Abigail Spamberger is over here. Actually she did
- 38:24Speaker 2: a lot of like the national security dem type of
- 38:26Speaker 2: thing in Virginia, but she also did a lot of
- 38:28Speaker 2: affordability messaging as well. You know, I will see what
- 38:32Speaker 2: happens in the race, but I do think that things
- 38:35Speaker 2: have become so polarized in partisan now it's hard for
- 38:39Speaker 2: me to see how Susan Collins hangs on and you
- 38:42Speaker 2: have such I mean, the generic ballot like gap in
- 38:46Speaker 2: favor of Dems at this point is really quite extraordinary.
- 38:50Speaker 2: One thing Ryan I wanted to ask you is in
- 38:52Speaker 2: terms of the disparate treatment of Platner versus Mom Donnie,
- 38:57Speaker 2: when they share very similar political ideology. If anything, I'd
- 39:01Speaker 2: say Platner has been a little more rough around the
- 39:03Speaker 2: edges in terms of how he's talked about Israel and
- 39:06Speaker 2: Hamas and these sorts of things than zor On. There's
- 39:09Speaker 2: you know, more to work with there if you're trying
- 39:10Speaker 2: to sort of demonize him. I mean, is this is
- 39:14Speaker 2: Schumer's different approach, a recognition of where the Democratic base is,
- 39:18Speaker 2: or is it just racism that when he hears it
- 39:21Speaker 2: from a white guy he can stomach it. When he
- 39:22Speaker 2: hears it from brown Muslim it's not acceptable.
- 39:25Speaker 5: I think some of it's racism, Maybe some of it's
- 39:27Speaker 5: his backyard and then some of it is different tactical environments.
- 39:32Speaker 5: I think if Mills dropped out and was like, Maine
- 39:36Speaker 5: is a state where independence, uh is, you know, is elevated?
- 39:42Speaker 5: Is is? You know, I'm and I am considering running
- 39:46Speaker 5: as an independent, you know, just like Angus King is
- 39:49Speaker 5: an independent in Maine. Then maybe Schumer keeps his powder dry.
- 39:53Speaker 5: And so in New York.
- 39:54Speaker 4: Cuomo like Alaska.
- 39:56Speaker 5: Yeah, and in New York he had Cuomo as the independent,
- 40:00Speaker 5: and so it's embarrassing for a Democrat to not back
- 40:04Speaker 5: the Democrat. But he you know, he would rather win
- 40:07Speaker 5: with Guomo than be embarrassed and back Donnie. So I
- 40:12Speaker 5: think he was left with no choice. In Maine, it's
- 40:17Speaker 5: like this is the guy, like he is the nominee
- 40:20Speaker 5: and she's not running as an independent. So I think
- 40:23Speaker 5: that distinction played a role too, But I don't know,
- 40:27Speaker 5: Like so, I think some of it's also just you know,
- 40:31Speaker 5: racism and and rooted in kind of who they are.
- 40:35Speaker 3: Yeah, well, why don't we take a listen to the
- 40:39Speaker 3: man himself speaking to John Stewart this week.
- 40:44Speaker 7: There has been more reach out and I would say
- 40:46Speaker 7: more kind of like establishment folks. However, however, this is
- 40:49Speaker 7: the important part, not from like the not from like
- 40:54Speaker 7: the d SCC, not from the DNC like that, like
- 40:58Speaker 7: nobody in the places of power remains interested.
- 41:01Speaker 4: But they're lost, dude, like they do that.
- 41:04Speaker 5: They're lost.
- 41:06Speaker 7: And the thing that bothers me the most isn't like
- 41:09Speaker 7: I'm not I'm not asking for you to like be
- 41:12Speaker 7: my friend. I'm just but you should be curious because
- 41:16Speaker 7: I'm pulling forty points ahead, right Like, at least at
- 41:20Speaker 7: least just reach out and be like, hey, what are
- 41:24Speaker 7: you actually because we've never They've never they've never spoken ever,
- 41:28Speaker 7: I've never gotten a phone call.
- 41:30Speaker 4: They never got a phone call.
- 41:31Speaker 2: I think it was Hassan who said it looked like
- 41:34Speaker 2: a chaud think like a woke that's flattener. That's the
- 41:36Speaker 2: winning model. But you know, Ryan, I think you identified
- 41:39Speaker 2: actually the biggest pitfall for him, which is that Tim
- 41:41Speaker 2: Wallas is about to come campaign for him in the state.
- 41:43Speaker 2: And as much as we might get irritated, like why
- 41:45Speaker 2: isn't the party even reaching out to him, on the
- 41:47Speaker 2: other hand, it's actually really great for him to be
- 41:49Speaker 2: like to have some separation from the Democratic Party brand
- 41:54Speaker 2: because we all know the Democratic Party brand is extremely toxic,
- 41:57Speaker 2: Like every died in the wool Democrat is going to
- 42:00Speaker 2: vote for Graham flatten Er. The question is people who
- 42:02Speaker 2: are you know, more independent and sort of disgusted with
- 42:06Speaker 2: national Democrats, are they going to be on board with him?
- 42:09Speaker 2: And so the more that he's sort of like subsumed
- 42:12Speaker 2: now into that standard issue Democratic Party brand, I actually
- 42:16Speaker 2: think that that's like a more of apparel for him
- 42:18Speaker 2: than anything else.
- 42:20Speaker 5: Like Dan Osborne, Right, yeah, I would have Osborne come
- 42:23Speaker 5: out there if I were in Graham's Can I have
- 42:25Speaker 5: Osborne come out? I keep having Sean Fain and other
- 42:28Speaker 5: union leaders come out. Bernie's Bernie. But Tim Walls maybe
- 42:33Speaker 5: old Tim Walls before he was Yeah, but he's he's
- 42:37Speaker 5: tainted by that the VP run, It's yeah, that is
- 42:42Speaker 5: the risk that he starts to look like part of
- 42:46Speaker 5: the like bog but I assume that he gets that.
- 42:51Speaker 5: But yeah, it comes Tim Walls, So we'll keep an
- 42:54Speaker 5: eye out.
- 42:55Speaker 2: It's interesting that Tim Wall's decided, like of all the
- 42:58Speaker 2: candidates that let me go, let me go campaign with
- 43:01Speaker 2: this one, that's kind of an interesting choice to me.
- 43:03Speaker 9: After Mills drops out too.
- 43:08Speaker 5: Before that, but his campaign manager and Graham had a
- 43:12Speaker 5: press conference yesterday afternoon, and one of the things this
- 43:17Speaker 5: campaign managers said on there is that they I don't
- 43:19Speaker 5: have the exact number, but they had they started doing
- 43:21Speaker 5: the math on the number of individuals that he had
- 43:24Speaker 5: spoken to directly, and it was something like approaching like scale,
- 43:30Speaker 5: like they have they have taken like there's these one
- 43:34Speaker 5: on one conversations that he's had at all of these
- 43:36Speaker 5: town halls, and they're scaling it up into the tens
- 43:39Speaker 5: or even hundreds of thousands.
- 43:41Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 43:42Speaker 5: So, and they were saying that that when they did
- 43:45Speaker 5: some research and polling, they kept coming across people in
- 43:50Speaker 5: their polling huge numbers who's whose reason that they were
- 43:54Speaker 5: supporting Platners that they had met Platner personally and persuaded
- 43:59Speaker 5: by him. That is an incredible buffer against the negative ads. Yeah,
- 44:04Speaker 5: teeming like I saw that guy.
- 44:07Speaker 2: I saw Semaphore had a piece quoting some I don't know,
- 44:10Speaker 2: you know, Republican strategists who we're like, Oh, we're gonna
- 44:13Speaker 2: you know, we're going to destroy him. We're going to
- 44:15Speaker 2: drop all this money on him, We're going to do
- 44:16Speaker 2: all these negative ads. And it's like, I mean, I'm
- 44:19Speaker 2: sure they'll be able to bang up his favorability rating some,
- 44:23Speaker 2: but it's not like the millspeople and Sumer people didn't try, so,
- 44:27Speaker 2: you know, I think he is going somewhat inoculated from
- 44:30Speaker 2: the type of attacks that they've been launching. Unless they
- 44:33Speaker 2: have something different that we haven't yet seen. You never know.
- 44:37Speaker 2: But your point about main is an important one. And
- 44:38Speaker 2: I don't have any like deep familiarity with the state,
- 44:41Speaker 2: but from watching you know, you guys report are there
- 44:44Speaker 2: and Alex Heitzwald who also moved back to Maine and
- 44:47Speaker 2: has been doing reporting on the ground there. And I
- 44:49Speaker 2: also have a close friend who's like grew up in
- 44:52Speaker 2: Maine and he okay, he grew up in Maine, hasn't
- 44:54Speaker 2: lived there in years, and he still was like, what
- 44:56Speaker 2: was that guy's name who you said is running and
- 44:58Speaker 2: he like reached out to his buddy, and of course
- 45:00Speaker 2: had some kind of a connection to him. Because it's
- 45:02Speaker 2: a very small state and it's much more there. There's
- 45:07Speaker 2: still my senses, there's still a lot more sort of
- 45:10Speaker 2: like community cohesion in Maine than there is in a
- 45:13Speaker 2: lot of the country, and that's part of what has
- 45:15Speaker 2: allowed Susan Collins to be able to win for so
- 45:18Speaker 2: long because she you know, are a lot of people
- 45:21Speaker 2: there are like I know her personally and she did
- 45:23Speaker 2: this and I saw her there or whatever. But it's
- 45:26Speaker 2: also something that can benefit Graham because he is deeply
- 45:29Speaker 2: immersed in you know, main community and has been running
- 45:32Speaker 2: a campaign and even before his campaign he was a
- 45:35Speaker 2: you know, grossroots organizer and this is what he was doing.
- 45:38Speaker 2: So I do think that that is a huge advantage
- 45:41Speaker 2: for him and will help to inoculate him against some
- 45:44Speaker 2: of those negative attacks that are inevitably coming.
- 45:47Speaker 3: Yeah, well, the negative attack, negative attacks. I'm going to
- 45:49Speaker 3: give some advice to the Republican Opera for a second.
- 45:52Speaker 3: It can't be that he's a Nazi, but maybe the
- 45:55Speaker 3: tattoo he has is actually trance somehow, like maybe it's
- 45:59Speaker 3: part of the is.
- 46:01Speaker 9: The trans socialist militia.
- 46:03Speaker 3: Exactly there or and it's actually it has its roots
- 46:08Speaker 3: in Black Lives Matter. So I would go that direction
- 46:12Speaker 3: with the tattoo.
- 46:13Speaker 9: I mean, there is some like culture stuff that they
- 46:16Speaker 9: can make inroads with him on. But what Main Democrats
- 46:21Speaker 9: just showed I think is going to apply to main
- 46:23Speaker 9: voters overall. They have serious affordability concerns, they have kitchen
- 46:28Speaker 9: table problems and they want somebody who is going to
- 46:31Speaker 9: address that first and foremost, So they don't trust the
- 46:35Speaker 9: political establishment. Susan Collins is the political establishment. The difference
- 46:39Speaker 9: in some of these, especially like more rural states, is
- 46:42Speaker 9: that Susan Conns comes across as the antithesis. Uh and
- 46:46Speaker 9: to us that might seem strange, but she comes across
- 46:49Speaker 9: as the antithesis to some people of DC politics because
- 46:52Speaker 9: she's on the ground. She's a very good grassroots politician.
- 46:55Speaker 9: She goes to all of the events she's she's that's
- 46:58Speaker 9: how she's been able to hang on and she votes
- 47:01Speaker 9: against her own party sometimes and big decisions, not always,
- 47:05Speaker 9: but sometimes in these big decisions. So that is what
- 47:08Speaker 9: they'll have to contend with. But if it's just going
- 47:11Speaker 9: to be cultural war attacks, that's obviously not going to work.
- 47:14Speaker 9: It didn't work for Andrew Cuomo, it's not going to
- 47:16Speaker 9: work in May either.
- 47:18Speaker 4: Well.
- 47:18Speaker 3: We mentioned Tim Walls and the Democratic Party stained by
- 47:22Speaker 3: the twenty twenty four race, So I thought we should
- 47:25Speaker 3: end this segment with a very interesting interview on Pod
- 47:28Speaker 3: Save America between John Fabreau and DNC chair Ken Martin. Now,
- 47:33Speaker 3: there has been a twenty twenty four autopsy on the
- 47:38Speaker 3: twenty twenty four race, why what happened, why they lost,
- 47:42Speaker 3: and it's been kept under lock and key to which
- 47:46Speaker 3: John Fabreau has some questions about.
- 47:48Speaker 4: Why Ken has not released it.
- 47:50Speaker 3: This is a little long and a little inside baseball,
- 47:52Speaker 3: but I think it's worked.
- 47:54Speaker 4: A listen, let's take a listen.
- 47:56Speaker 13: I want to start with the twenty twenty four autopsy,
- 47:57Speaker 13: which you call an after action review. When you won
- 48:00Speaker 13: the chairmanship in February of twenty five, you criticize the
- 48:03Speaker 13: DNC's refusal to release their twenty sixteen autopsy. Is exactly
- 48:08Speaker 13: what not to do. You said, quote, was there any
- 48:10Speaker 13: utility in doing that? And then promised your twenty twenty
- 48:13Speaker 13: four autopsy would be different. Your exact quote was, of
- 48:16Speaker 13: course it will be released. Why did you change your
- 48:19Speaker 13: mind on that?
- 48:20Speaker 11: Well, look, I mean what I said all along, even
- 48:22Speaker 11: when I ran for this position, is that we were
- 48:25Speaker 11: going to focus on the things that will help us
- 48:27Speaker 11: win the upcoming election, right, making sure that we learned
- 48:31Speaker 11: the right lessons that could help inform our victories. And
- 48:35Speaker 11: that's what we'd done. We said this when we sent
- 48:38Speaker 11: out the press release back in November, saying we weren't
- 48:40Speaker 11: going to release the report. We were going to actually
- 48:42Speaker 11: keep our focus on those lessons, and we release those lessons.
- 48:46Speaker 11: We continue to do that, so it's not completely accurate
- 48:49Speaker 11: to say that we didn't release that. Where we're keeping
- 48:51Speaker 11: our focus is on the lessons that can actually help
- 48:54Speaker 11: us win.
- 48:54Speaker 13: On this show in August, you told me this about
- 48:57Speaker 13: releasing the review. Quote, we have to do it to
- 49:00Speaker 13: give people who invested so much time, energy and money
- 49:03Speaker 13: a sense of what happened and why we lost, especially
- 49:07Speaker 13: why we lost. So what change between August and December?
- 49:10Speaker 13: I understand there are lessons, but those are not the
- 49:13Speaker 13: full report. Why not release the full report? What's in
- 49:16Speaker 13: the report that you wouldn't want to publicize?
- 49:19Speaker 11: Yeah, there's no smoking gun in the report, and I
- 49:21Speaker 11: know that's what everyone's so eager to learn, and I
- 49:23Speaker 11: think this smoking gun.
- 49:25Speaker 13: Guess what, John, But if there's no smoking gun, why
- 49:26Speaker 13: wouldn't you just release it then?
- 49:28Speaker 11: Because we want to keep the focus on the lessons,
- 49:31Speaker 11: because what ends up happening here is that people, of
- 49:34Speaker 11: course want to weaponize the report in a way to
- 49:36Speaker 11: look backwards, to point fingers, place blame in a way
- 49:39Speaker 11: that actually doesn't keep us focused on the upcoming election,
- 49:42Speaker 11: but instead the navel gazing focusing backwards actually takes us backwards.
- 49:48Speaker 11: We're one hundred and eighty nine days from this election. John,
- 49:51Speaker 11: What we don't need to be focused on is actually
- 49:53Speaker 11: re litigating twenty twenty four. What we need to do
- 49:56Speaker 11: is learn the lessons of twenty four in the years
- 49:59Speaker 11: proceeding that can help us win this upcoming election. I
- 50:02Speaker 11: get why people are obsessed with it, because there's various
- 50:05Speaker 11: groups and organizations and people who think there's some sort
- 50:08Speaker 11: of smoking gun in there. Guess what, Seohn, in the
- 50:10Speaker 11: third closest presidential election in the last one hundred years,
- 50:13Speaker 11: everything mattered. There's nothing that going to impact that election.
- 50:17Speaker 13: Why did you spend the money going to fifty states,
- 50:21Speaker 13: doing all these interviews, doing all this stuff, if and
- 50:23Speaker 13: doing this report in the first place, if you weren't
- 50:27Speaker 13: going to release the full results of it, Like, I
- 50:30Speaker 13: don't get why just you and some of the senior
- 50:33Speaker 13: DNC people get to see it, but not most of
- 50:36Speaker 13: the DNC members who are you.
- 50:38Speaker 4: Know, state party chairs?
- 50:40Speaker 13: I mean, you know, more than a dozen DNC members
- 50:42Speaker 13: told NBC just the other week they want it released,
- 50:44Speaker 13: including Congresswoman Delia Ramirez in North Carolina, Democratic Party chair
- 50:48Speaker 13: Anderson Clayton and Anderson said, quote.
- 50:50Speaker 4: Genuinely, what did you all find that we did not?
- 50:54Speaker 3: And just the top comment on YouTube for that Podsi've
- 50:58Speaker 3: interview is we are so fought.
- 51:01Speaker 2: So guys, I'm a great sentiment.
- 51:05Speaker 3: I'm gonna put the question to you, what could the
- 51:07Speaker 3: lesson possibly be that is being hidden here?
- 51:11Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's pretty obvious at this point. They
- 51:13Speaker 2: just they don't want to put out that the funding
- 51:18Speaker 2: and supporting of pagenocide and Gaza was actually a political
- 51:21Speaker 2: prob It was not only a moral atrocity, but was
- 51:23Speaker 2: also a political problem for them. I think it's pretty
- 51:25Speaker 2: clear at this point. But you know, I Ryan, I'm
- 51:28Speaker 2: curious if you have anything on this. The first of all,
- 51:31Speaker 2: we just have to pause and reflect on what he's
- 51:33Speaker 2: trying to sell there, which is he's like, we need
- 51:36Speaker 2: to not look backwards, but we do need to learn
- 51:38Speaker 2: the lessons so we can win. Well, it's like, but
- 51:41Speaker 2: the whole point of this was to learn the lessons
- 51:44Speaker 2: so that you could win. It reminds me very much
- 51:46Speaker 2: of the Republicans who, whenever they'd get asked about whether
- 51:49Speaker 2: or not twenty twenty was rigged and whether or not
- 51:51Speaker 2: Donald Trump really won and Joe Biden was the rightful president. Oh,
- 51:54Speaker 2: we shouldn't look backwards. We shouldn't look backwards, clearly just
- 51:57Speaker 2: trying to dodge all of this, the way his handle
- 51:59Speaker 2: is so full of Because let's say you put out
- 52:02Speaker 2: the full report and it did say something that was
- 52:04Speaker 2: inconvenient about Gaza, like that would be old news by now,
- 52:08Speaker 2: no one would be talking about it anymore. It would
- 52:10Speaker 2: be you know, we'd be obvious three thousand news cycles
- 52:13Speaker 2: later at this point. But because they didn't release it,
- 52:17Speaker 2: now it's this whole thing. I did see, though, Ryan,
- 52:20Speaker 2: some speculation on Twitter that perhaps they didn't even completely
- 52:24Speaker 2: finish the report and that might be part of why
- 52:27Speaker 2: they never put it out. So I don't know if
- 52:30Speaker 2: that is possibly part of what's going on.
- 52:32Speaker 5: I think that's plausible, and I also think so think
- 52:36Speaker 5: think about what it was what mid July? When did
- 52:39Speaker 5: when did he finally know? When did he finally drop out?
- 52:42Speaker 5: It was like August, right before the right before the convention?
- 52:46Speaker 2: Ish, when did Sager get married? Because that's what that's.
- 52:48Speaker 9: When he dropped down?
- 52:51Speaker 4: Yeah, in any event.
- 52:54Speaker 5: So in a period, in a very short period, they
- 52:57Speaker 5: raised and spent a billion dollars billion. Yeah, and these
- 53:02Speaker 5: are very there are very specific. It's not they is
- 53:06Speaker 5: very broad. There are very specific consultants and factions and
- 53:10Speaker 5: people that spent that billion dollars. Who did they, how
- 53:16Speaker 5: did they spend it, who did they give it to?
- 53:19Speaker 5: What consultants walked away with tens of millions, what firms
- 53:25Speaker 5: got paid hundreds of millions. Because we're talking like a
- 53:28Speaker 5: billion dollars is that's an endless amount of money. It's
- 53:31Speaker 5: difficult to spend that amount of money and that amount
- 53:33Speaker 5: of time, And so I think that's also they don't
- 53:36Speaker 5: want those details necessarily spilled out because a they will
- 53:41Speaker 5: be weaponized by other consultants who felt like they should
- 53:46Speaker 5: have been the ones that got to spend all of
- 53:49Speaker 5: this money. And also just generally, it gives people like
- 53:54Speaker 5: us information that we can talk about and like, wow,
- 53:58Speaker 5: one hundred and ninety million dollars doing this, that didn't work,
- 54:02Speaker 5: Like you should be in jail. So I think that
- 54:05Speaker 5: I think that's a significant part of it too, that
- 54:07Speaker 5: there's so much money involved that it's just better for
- 54:10Speaker 5: them to say, well, we learned some lessons, trust us
- 54:14Speaker 5: that these are the correct lessons that we should learn
- 54:17Speaker 5: from this and just follow follow our guidance going forward,
- 54:21Speaker 5: don't worry.
- 54:21Speaker 3: And what are the correct lessons being released that are
- 54:24Speaker 3: that are okay for Norvile's eyes to view? Is it
- 54:26Speaker 3: that we need to pivot more to the right, that
- 54:29Speaker 3: we need to not talk about trans issues? What are
- 54:32Speaker 3: these lessons that have.
- 54:33Speaker 5: Actually what even are the lessons they said? Ken Martin said,
- 54:36Speaker 5: I think the lessons are don't be mean to me
- 54:38Speaker 5: and let let please please my job rn.
- 54:43Speaker 9: What's the Barney Frank thing? Didn't Barney Frank come out
- 54:47Speaker 9: like I actually assume it's probably similar to that. Didn't
- 54:49Speaker 9: Barney Frank come out this week? Crystal you might know
- 54:51Speaker 9: this too and say.
- 54:53Speaker 2: Yeah, I just saw the headline He's like dying and
- 54:56Speaker 2: decided to as his last act on Earth to release
- 54:58Speaker 2: some book bashing the LA left talking about how my
- 55:02Speaker 2: point which is actually a perfect, perfect legacy for him
- 55:06Speaker 2: to be honest with you.
- 55:07Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, love Barney Frank.
- 55:12Speaker 3: So just you know that Pod Save America comment or
- 55:16Speaker 3: I think we are all feeling that way right now.
- 55:20Speaker 2: Shout out to Favra, though he did a great job
- 55:22Speaker 2: of at and you know, very persistent, really good lines
- 55:25Speaker 2: of questioning, and it is inside baseball, there's no doubt
- 55:28Speaker 2: about it. But it's still, you know, very important to
- 55:31Speaker 2: see the way that this apparatus functions or doesn't function,
- 55:34Speaker 2: who it protects, what messages they find it convenient to
- 55:38Speaker 2: put out, and what things say want to keep hidden forever.
- 55:41Speaker 2: And also just to me again, the mind blowing incompetence
- 55:45Speaker 2: of not understanding the way that the media works, and
- 55:48Speaker 2: that it's going to be such so much more of
- 55:49Speaker 2: an interesting story if it remains hidden versus if you
- 55:52Speaker 2: just took the blow, put it out, and then everybody
- 55:56Speaker 2: can just move.
- 55:56Speaker 3: On absolutely all right, Well that is the Democrats, that's main.
- 56:06Speaker 3: Why don't we move on to a little AI story, Emily.
- 56:10Speaker 3: There was a New York Times opinion piece by this woman,
- 56:14Speaker 3: Jasmine's son, who talked to a lot of people in
- 56:16Speaker 3: the AI industry. She says that she spent the last
- 56:20Speaker 3: three months talking to dozens of researchers, economics and policy
- 56:23Speaker 3: experts about AI's impact on work. The AI industry is
- 56:27Speaker 3: raising the alarm, but can't change course. These companies core
- 56:31Speaker 3: business model relies on the disruption. They are warning about
- 56:34Speaker 3: their faith in full automation only makes them go faster.
- 56:38Speaker 3: Policymakers are waking up, but still paralyzed by data and debates.
- 56:41Speaker 3: Econ wonks disagree on plenty, but even the limited scenario
- 56:45Speaker 3: looks like a painful transition that will disempower millions of
- 56:49Speaker 3: workers into an underclass well.
- 56:54Speaker 9: And this comes as the news this week of pretty
- 56:56Speaker 9: big layoffs at Meta, which Brandon and I covered on Wednesday.
- 57:01Speaker 9: Other tech companies have undergone similar layoffs. By the way,
- 57:04Speaker 9: they're getting lots of money from the government right now,
- 57:06Speaker 9: are lots of privileges at the very least from the
- 57:09Speaker 9: government right now. So I always love to see that
- 57:11Speaker 9: when people are getting government privileges and then also laying
- 57:15Speaker 9: off tens of thousands of workers or thousands of workers.
- 57:18Speaker 9: So obviously there's panic right now in Silicon Valley. They're
- 57:21Speaker 9: the ones who told everybody to learn the code, and they,
- 57:26Speaker 9: because they were smarter than the rest of us, they
- 57:28Speaker 9: did learn to code. And they've now found themselves in
- 57:31Speaker 9: quite a predicament because a lot of those, certainly entry
- 57:35Speaker 9: level and mid level jobs can be consolidated. And this
- 57:39Speaker 9: is I mean, there's debate in Silicon Valley. And I'm curious, Crystal,
- 57:44Speaker 9: particularly what you think about this on how much you
- 57:48Speaker 9: can actually replace humans with generative AI, to what degree
- 57:54Speaker 9: you still need some human element. But I actually think
- 57:57Speaker 9: we're starting to get the answer because the layoff and
- 58:00Speaker 9: the positions just being like wiped from databases, like they're
- 58:04Speaker 9: not hiring for certain positions anymore. That's starting to give
- 58:08Speaker 9: us an answer. If they think they can replace those workers,
- 58:11Speaker 9: obviously they're doing it at this point. So we're just
- 58:13Speaker 9: seeing the tip of the iceberg, I think in the economy.
- 58:16Speaker 2: Yeah, And part of the point that this woman makes
- 58:18Speaker 2: in this article actually is that even as it's unknowable
- 58:21Speaker 2: exactly how many humans can be replaced by AI number one,
- 58:26Speaker 2: you have all of the top AI CEOs saying this
- 58:28Speaker 2: is what we're doing, this is the goal, this is
- 58:30Speaker 2: the direction we're heading in. You see the impact already
- 58:33Speaker 2: with coders to your point, with college new college graduates
- 58:37Speaker 2: graduating and sending out hundreds of resumes and not getting
- 58:40Speaker 2: a single interviewer, single callback, etc. But also you see
- 58:44Speaker 2: it because these corporate executives are under a lot of
- 58:47Speaker 2: pressure to remove, to eliminate job positions and replace with AI.
- 58:51Speaker 2: And so when you see another company that does a
- 58:55Speaker 2: layoff and says it's because of AI, and then they
- 58:57Speaker 2: get a huge bump in their stock price, that creates
- 59:01Speaker 2: a logic of its own that actually front runs the
- 59:04Speaker 2: ability of AI to truly replace the human beings. So
- 59:07Speaker 2: there's a underlying market logic that is already driving companies
- 59:12Speaker 2: in the direction of while they say that AI can
- 59:14Speaker 2: replace human beings, so we're just going to go ahead
- 59:16Speaker 2: and do this right now. Fortunately, AI can not replace
- 59:20Speaker 2: kiddies anytime soon. So I think we're you know, we're
- 59:23Speaker 2: already seeing that market market logic take out hold. And
- 59:26Speaker 2: then the other part of this piece that contemplates I
- 59:29Speaker 2: think a very realistic possibility of this, you know, American
- 59:32Speaker 2: underclass truly, you know, an addition like it will be
- 59:35Speaker 2: a global underclub. We already have a global underclass, but
- 59:37Speaker 2: this will just add to it. Is that you've got
- 59:40Speaker 2: a lot of these AI CEOs who will make some
- 59:43Speaker 2: noise of oh, I'm concerned about this, and this is
- 59:45Speaker 2: something we've got to think about and we need to
- 59:47Speaker 2: deal with this, and there needs to be policy in place.
- 59:50Speaker 2: Sometimes sell even float some idea of oh well, let's
- 59:53Speaker 2: tax this, or you know, let's increase the capital gains
- 59:56Speaker 2: tax or something of that nature. But then when she
- 59:59Speaker 2: would ask them, okay, well are you putting some of
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: your lobbying dollars behind pushing for any of these solutions,
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: every single one of them to murder. So, as Ryan
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: has been tragging as closely as anyone, these AI companies
- 1:00:10Speaker 2: are huge players now in elections. They are backing candidates
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: who will do their bidding in terms of the regulatory
- 1:00:18Speaker 2: framework that they want. So they're being very aggressive about
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: playing in politics. They're telling us that they are just
- 1:00:25Speaker 2: ripping up the social contract, that there is this you know, Cliff,
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: that we're all that they're pushing us over as we speak.
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: But when you get into okay, so are you going
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: to be part of offering these solutions, pushing for the
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: solutions that you are trying to develop internally, not a
- 1:00:41Speaker 2: one of them has come to the table. And you know,
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: from my perspective, as you know, as like a democratic
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: socialist perspective, the real answer to this is about who
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: owns the technology, which of course something that they never
- 1:00:56Speaker 2: want to address. So all of their things are kind
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: of tinkering around the edges of tax this tax that
- 1:01:00Speaker 2: you know, let's maybe have a jobs program, let's retrain people,
- 1:01:05Speaker 2: et cetera. But to me, the core issue is who
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: owns and who gets to deploy this technology, because it
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: is the height of insanity to me that you have
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: this handful of very wealthy, very powerful individuals who are
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: literally deciding, you know, can I I'm going to put
- 1:01:21Speaker 2: out this model and it may like completely upend this industry,
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: it may completely destroy this whole sector of jobs. And
- 1:01:27Speaker 2: I'm going to be solely effectively responsible for making these
- 1:01:32Speaker 2: truly seismic types decisions. I don't know if you guys
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: saw this, and I haven't checked too much into like
- 1:01:37Speaker 2: the details of this, but that was floating around Twitter
- 1:01:40Speaker 2: that a Chinese court actually ruled it illegal to replace
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: human workers with AI purely for the sake of cost cutting.
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: And when you see something like that, it really blows
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: your mind that that's like a possible societal outcome, that
- 1:01:54Speaker 2: you could live in a society that would draw lines
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: and say, you know, actually, we're not going to just
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: eliminate all of humanly, thank you very much.
- 1:02:01Speaker 4: Mm hmm. Because there's like a there's like a terrible
- 1:02:04Speaker 4: loop that happens.
- 1:02:05Speaker 3: If everyone's unemployed, no one can buy anything, so then
- 1:02:08Speaker 3: exactly then they and they see that. But there seems
- 1:02:11Speaker 3: to be this death drive where these AI companies know
- 1:02:14Speaker 3: they're creating like the end of the world, but there's
- 1:02:17Speaker 3: there's nothing they can do but keep.
- 1:02:19Speaker 5: Going, right, Yeah, it makes no sense, like who the
- 1:02:23Speaker 5: If the right AI puts everybody out of work, no
- 1:02:26Speaker 5: exactly nobody has any income, then how's the AI comy
- 1:02:31Speaker 5: gonna make money? It's like bread from who.
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: It's the definition of a doom loop, truly for for
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: everyone involved. And you know, the end of the road
- 1:02:41Speaker 2: of this is a disaster for all at a time
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: when we already have, you know, extraordinarily high levels of inequality,
- 1:02:49Speaker 2: and this guarantees that we will reach levels of inequality
- 1:02:53Speaker 2: that have heretofore never been seen in history.
- 1:02:56Speaker 9: Well that's that's just factually an accurate crystal. We are
- 1:02:59Speaker 9: about to have universal high income thanks to mister high income.
- 1:03:04Speaker 4: And this is everyone can have a penhouse promises.
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: I'm gonna ask. I'm gonna ask Ashley Saint Clair if
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: she thinks that they're that's what's gonna.
- 1:03:11Speaker 9: Happen high income.
- 1:03:15Speaker 4: Speaking of universal high income. Yeah. Uh, you know.
- 1:03:19Speaker 3: Also said that everyone will have a penthouse, which I
- 1:03:21Speaker 3: love because then it's like, okay, then there's a bunch
- 1:03:23Speaker 3: of empty floors in every.
- 1:03:25Speaker 4: Building so that everyone could just be on the top one,
- 1:03:29Speaker 4: which he's designing the future impeccably.
- 1:03:35Speaker 3: Crystal mentioned also owning like that we need to like
- 1:03:38Speaker 3: own this AI stuff. The people who are currently owning AI,
- 1:03:43Speaker 3: it's screwing them. Uh So here's another example, uh from
- 1:03:47Speaker 3: this one is coming from a PC gamer.
- 1:03:50Speaker 4: Here we go again.
- 1:03:50Speaker 3: AI deletes entire company database and all backups in nine seconds,
- 1:03:55Speaker 3: then cheerfully admits I violated every principle I was given.
- 1:03:59Speaker 1: Uh.
- 1:03:59Speaker 4: There some more great quotes here. He asked the AI
- 1:04:03Speaker 4: y he had it done?
- 1:04:03Speaker 14: It?
- 1:04:04Speaker 3: Never fucking guess, begins the response, And that's exactly what
- 1:04:08Speaker 3: I did. I guess that the leading a staging volume
- 1:04:11Speaker 3: via the API would be scope to stating early. I
- 1:04:13Speaker 3: didn't verify. I didn't check if the volume I DVI
- 1:04:16Speaker 3: was shared across environments. I didn't read railways documentation or
- 1:04:19Speaker 3: how volumes work before running a destructive command. So it
- 1:04:24Speaker 3: does seem like there's this rush to implement it because
- 1:04:28Speaker 3: your stoff goes up if you show, hey, we're implementing
- 1:04:30Speaker 3: AI into our workflow, now we'll stop hiring your cutting workers.
- 1:04:34Speaker 3: And then a lot of this AI is actually just
- 1:04:37Speaker 3: yeah putting Yeah, the leading your entire company.
- 1:04:41Speaker 2: Yeah, it's great. I mean, yeah, we should definitely let
- 1:04:44Speaker 2: AI agents have access to your bank account and your
- 1:04:47Speaker 2: email and you know, all of your personal details. Let
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: them post on Twitter for you.
- 1:04:51Speaker 5: Good luck. Pushback. The pushback to that piece was it
- 1:04:56Speaker 5: was only down for thirty hours and the company was
- 1:04:59Speaker 5: able to find a backup. Uh, and so what are
- 1:05:05Speaker 5: you guys freaking out about. It's not that bing. So
- 1:05:08Speaker 5: some rental car companies had to go thirty hours, you know,
- 1:05:12Speaker 5: without access to any of their customer data. We eventually
- 1:05:15Speaker 5: found it. It's fine, don't worry about it, Like, oh good,
- 1:05:20Speaker 5: still worried? Actually glad you founded that data. Like that's good.
- 1:05:26Speaker 5: With like enormous attention on it, Like they had to
- 1:05:28Speaker 5: like invest tons of energy and it was.
- 1:05:32Speaker 2: Yes, And it was not obvious at the beginning that
- 1:05:35Speaker 2: they would be able to restore the data at all,
- 1:05:38Speaker 2: but you know, through herculean efforts, managed to fix the
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: problem many hours. Yeah, I don't remembers all definitely spiked.
- 1:05:47Speaker 5: Yes.
- 1:05:49Speaker 9: I don't know if I mentioned this on Wednesday show
- 1:05:52Speaker 9: or not, but Roger had a really interesting newsletter this week.
- 1:05:57Speaker 9: He's been writing a book working out this theory that
- 1:06:00Speaker 9: we are in Wymar America, and obviously he's doing it
- 1:06:03Speaker 9: from a Christian conservative perspective, but he had a line.
- 1:06:06Speaker 9: He had just finished the manuscript this week, and he
- 1:06:09Speaker 9: had a line where he said, I have come to
- 1:06:12Speaker 9: believe that we are one economic crisis away from truly
- 1:06:16Speaker 9: being like in a wy Mare, like the Wymar bubble
- 1:06:19Speaker 9: popping and being what led Germany off the cliff. And
- 1:06:24Speaker 9: this is I know, I get it, like it's extremely hyperbolic,
- 1:06:27Speaker 9: but when you look at the way the economy is
- 1:06:29Speaker 9: structured right now on this obvious bubble with a circular
- 1:06:32Speaker 9: funding scheme where all the money is going from Microsoft
- 1:06:35Speaker 9: and Nvidia and then back, and it's just like so absurd.
- 1:06:38Speaker 9: You can see how we're building the economy on all
- 1:06:42Speaker 9: of these expectations about what AI is going to do
- 1:06:45Speaker 9: and the possibility that we don't get a gradual bubble pop,
- 1:06:49Speaker 9: but we get like a severe, strong, instantaneous bubble pop
- 1:06:54Speaker 9: if that happens. And you look at where trust and
- 1:06:56Speaker 9: institutions is Trust in institutions was low before COVID, it
- 1:07:00Speaker 9: is now much lower. Just like across the board, we're
- 1:07:04Speaker 9: on the precipice of something I think really dangerous and
- 1:07:06Speaker 9: I don't know if it's quite that bad, but I
- 1:07:09Speaker 9: also don't think that's like an insane theory.
- 1:07:11Speaker 2: I keep waiting for some of these billionaires to realize
- 1:07:15Speaker 2: the historical forces here and to recognize that if they
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: don't trim their own sales in you know, a way
- 1:07:22Speaker 2: that they could basically choose because of the level of
- 1:07:25Speaker 2: power they exercise in our political system, then their sales
- 1:07:28Speaker 2: are going to be trimmed in a much more aggressive
- 1:07:31Speaker 2: way by a population that is just going to get
- 1:07:33Speaker 2: to a point where I mean, you think people are
- 1:07:35Speaker 2: just going to accept, yeah, we're going to have forty
- 1:07:37Speaker 2: percent unemployment and good luck, you know, and you know here,
- 1:07:42Speaker 2: good luck to your children who are graduating into a
- 1:07:46Speaker 2: world where it's not at all obvious what types of
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: jobs are even going to exist. There's at a certain point,
- 1:07:53Speaker 2: even with all of our streaming and distractions and treats
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: that we use to numb ourselves to daily realities, at
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: a certain point of society does reach a breaking point
- 1:08:04Speaker 2: and no pun intended. I was also I was watching
- 1:08:07Speaker 2: Navara Media did a great They do a lot of
- 1:08:09Speaker 2: really good coverage on AI from a left perspective, and
- 1:08:13Speaker 2: one of their segments they were talking about, look, even
- 1:08:15Speaker 2: if you look at the Industrial Revolution, because this is
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: what people, you know, who are defenders of the trajectory, well,
- 1:08:21Speaker 2: people say, okay, well yeah, industrial Revolution. You know, ultimately
- 1:08:25Speaker 2: it was it was great, It lifted GDP, We had
- 1:08:27Speaker 2: all of this, you know, technological miracle, created the middle class.
- 1:08:30Speaker 2: Blah blah blah. That ignores that it took like hundreds
- 1:08:33Speaker 2: of years from the and it also ignores that even
- 1:08:38Speaker 2: that perspective of okay, but eventually in the UK you
- 1:08:41Speaker 2: had a you know, a labor movement, and in the
- 1:08:43Speaker 2: US you had a labor movement and you were able
- 1:08:46Speaker 2: to establish these wage gains and these safety conditions, and
- 1:08:49Speaker 2: it built out the American middle class, et cetera, et cetera.
- 1:08:52Speaker 2: It also ignores the rest of the world, where there's
- 1:08:54Speaker 2: an argument in you know, a lot of the developing
- 1:08:56Speaker 2: world there was never a recovery from the Industrial Revolution,
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: created this permanent global exploited underclass. So you know, the
- 1:09:07Speaker 2: the idea that Okay, that that's the scenario scenario we're
- 1:09:11Speaker 2: moving into as a best case scenario. Even that should
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: be really terrifying because I don't have to tell anybody here,
- 1:09:17Speaker 2: but the labor movement is in the toilet. You know,
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: the percentage of unionized workforce is very small. We are
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: not organized as a society. We don't have a really
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: functioning democracy in order for there to be effective you know,
- 1:09:32Speaker 2: democratic small de democratic pushback. So it's all you know,
- 1:09:36Speaker 2: it's all heading in a very disturbing direction without a
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: major course change.
- 1:09:42Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:09:44Speaker 3: Well, speaking of the under class, there's a final story
- 1:09:47Speaker 3: that I want to talk about, which is the underclass
- 1:09:50Speaker 3: of the JP Morgan, of the of this of the
- 1:09:53Speaker 3: men that are sexually harassed at JP Morgan. Let's let's
- 1:09:58Speaker 3: take a look at this, Chris, I wasn't gonna do this.
- 1:10:03Speaker 4: All right?
- 1:10:05Speaker 5: You see the latest on this day unmasked who the
- 1:10:06Speaker 5: person is?
- 1:10:08Speaker 2: Oh yes, oh yeah, we got it right here, Ryan,
- 1:10:11Speaker 2: I've seen.
- 1:10:11Speaker 4: All the latest.
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: Don't worry. I'm well at the seed.
- 1:10:15Speaker 3: From the New York Post bombshell sex harassments to against
- 1:10:18Speaker 3: Lorna Hajdini, JP Morgan branded complete fabrication as John Doe unmasked,
- 1:10:25Speaker 3: and I'm going to ask for Emily's help here a
- 1:10:28Speaker 3: little bit to read some of these excerpts of the
- 1:10:31Speaker 3: claims made.
- 1:10:32Speaker 9: Oh, I get to do it.
- 1:10:34Speaker 4: You draw the short straw this time?
- 1:10:37Speaker 9: This is well, we don't, we don't know how short.
- 1:10:39Speaker 4: The show is nice? Nice, I don't do is.
- 1:10:43Speaker 9: Fine it don't don't make me do it, Griffin, I
- 1:10:46Speaker 9: don't want to do it, all right, So this is
- 1:10:48Speaker 9: an allegation or this is from some of the reporting
- 1:10:52Speaker 9: here inside. Hajdini allegedly made sexual advances on Doe before
- 1:10:56Speaker 9: this fellow was unmasked, which he rebuffed, insisting he was
- 1:11:00Speaker 9: an interested Quote do you want to get promoted at
- 1:11:03Speaker 9: year end or not? Hajhdani warned him, According to the lawsuit,
- 1:11:06Speaker 9: do you want a future at JP Morgan. It's that simple.
- 1:11:09Speaker 9: I don't know why you're fighting this. Hajdini then allegedly
- 1:11:12Speaker 9: removed her shirt, began fondling her breasts, and racially insulted
- 1:11:16Speaker 9: Doe's wife, remarking, quote, I bet your little Asian fishhead
- 1:11:20Speaker 9: wife doesn't have these cannons the complaint.
- 1:11:24Speaker 4: Cannons.
- 1:11:25Speaker 9: Uh and then yeah, yep, I fucking own you.
- 1:11:30Speaker 4: I will make you pay.
- 1:11:31Speaker 9: Do you think you're going to be in good standing
- 1:11:33Speaker 9: if you do not have me in your corner? She
- 1:11:35Speaker 9: allegedly said, you really think management wants some brown boy
- 1:11:38Speaker 9: Indian leading originations? If you don't fuck my brain's up tonight,
- 1:11:42Speaker 9: I'm gonna sabotage your promotion. So that sounded really to me.
- 1:11:47Speaker 9: That sounded not at all made up and very very credible.
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: Well, the most unbelievable part is that they wouldn't want
- 1:11:55Speaker 2: an Indian guy leading origination. There's quite a lot of
- 1:11:58Speaker 2: Indian Indians New Americans in the banking industry. I don't
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: think that that's like a real uh you know, deal
- 1:12:05Speaker 2: breaker from what I've seen. But uh so, okay, let
- 1:12:09Speaker 2: me give a little I I did follow this story
- 1:12:11Speaker 2: closely because it was hilarious, because first you just got
- 1:12:13Speaker 2: this daily mail piece with these crazy salacious details and
- 1:12:18Speaker 2: very racialized. There's another part where she tells him like,
- 1:12:21Speaker 2: I'm glad your balls don't smell like curry. Allegedly, this
- 1:12:24Speaker 2: is a crazy like really crazy things in here, right,
- 1:12:28Speaker 2: And he says that she's like performing sex acts on him,
- 1:12:31Speaker 2: and he's just crying the whole time and he hates it,
- 1:12:33Speaker 2: and of course everyone's like, okay.
- 1:12:35Speaker 4: There's a birthday blowjob. I believe it.
- 1:12:38Speaker 2: The yeah for my little brown boy was one of
- 1:12:41Speaker 2: the comments as well. And this is all coming from
- 1:12:44Speaker 2: the Daily Mail. Apparently these were details that were offered
- 1:12:47Speaker 2: in a lawsuit that was sealed, but they somehow were
- 1:12:50Speaker 2: able to get access to these details. So, to begin with,
- 1:12:52Speaker 2: we just knew it was this woman who's very beautiful,
- 1:12:55Speaker 2: and we didn't know what the man looked like. As
- 1:12:58Speaker 2: the day went on, it became increasingly it became ultimately,
- 1:13:02Speaker 2: like reported by another news outlet that it appears this
- 1:13:06Speaker 2: was all completely fabricated by this guy, that he was
- 1:13:11Speaker 2: fired and wanted to make some sort of sexual harassment claim,
- 1:13:16Speaker 2: so that what he was probably hoping is that they
- 1:13:19Speaker 2: would just settle and give him a few million dollars
- 1:13:21Speaker 2: to make him go away. This is the man that
- 1:13:23Speaker 2: we're supposed to believe was coerced into being this beautiful
- 1:13:26Speaker 2: woman sex slave Chase.
- 1:13:29Speaker 9: So I didn't a little bit.
- 1:13:31Speaker 3: He cried the entire time, there's a there's a beautiful
- 1:13:35Speaker 3: little boy in the behind those eyes.
- 1:13:37Speaker 4: I don't know there's something.
- 1:13:39Speaker 5: Also, she wasn't his boss.
- 1:13:43Speaker 2: So that's a big they were, that's a big detail
- 1:13:47Speaker 2: that you uh fabricated and is.
- 1:13:52Speaker 5: JP Morgan says they haven't able to give a promotion
- 1:13:54Speaker 5: phone records, and the phone records didn't support the claims
- 1:13:58Speaker 5: of like. And also it also seems like like everything
- 1:14:03Speaker 5: that Emily read seems like it came out of the
- 1:14:05Speaker 5: mind of some dude of a man. True, very obviously.
- 1:14:13Speaker 2: In fact, I mean, I'm seeing this guy.
- 1:14:19Speaker 5: No man, I think eventeen year old wrote this.
- 1:14:24Speaker 3: I think to think of powerful, you know, Wall Street
- 1:14:28Speaker 3: woman with maybe an alcohol problem.
- 1:14:31Speaker 2: You know, I feel I can imagine it.
- 1:14:33Speaker 3: Listen, I've met forceful women before, so I was open
- 1:14:37Speaker 3: to it.
- 1:14:39Speaker 5: Yes, magat that Griffin can imagine it, is my point.
- 1:14:43Speaker 4: That's true. This sounds.
- 1:14:51Speaker 2: I could see this. I could totally see this happening.
- 1:14:54Speaker 4: Yes, I have lived experience.
- 1:15:00Speaker 2: Crazy thing that I would saying. Imagine being this guy's
- 1:15:02Speaker 2: wife and you invented these insults of your own wife
- 1:15:06Speaker 2: for this lawsuit, assuming you even actually married, Like is fishhead?
- 1:15:11Speaker 2: Is that an actual insult that anyone has heard before?
- 1:15:13Speaker 2: It's really, Oh, I've never even heard I've never even
- 1:15:17Speaker 2: heard this before. But the whole scenario is. I mean,
- 1:15:21Speaker 2: I have to say, it's all very creative. I think
- 1:15:23Speaker 2: maybe he maybe banking is not his calling. Maybe there's
- 1:15:27Speaker 2: some sort of like creating, creative writing project that he
- 1:15:29Speaker 2: should be engaged in instead.
- 1:15:31Speaker 8: But maybe well that's the other I mean, I think
- 1:15:37Speaker 8: there's a non zero chance that he got caught somehow cheating,
- 1:15:43Speaker 8: and he makes this up to be like, no, I was,
- 1:15:46Speaker 8: I didn't want to because part of the allegation here
- 1:15:48Speaker 8: is that he was forced as a man to and
- 1:15:52Speaker 8: I'm sorry, we.
- 1:15:52Speaker 9: Don't have to go like, we don't have to get
- 1:15:54Speaker 9: to ideological with this, but just to say, as a man,
- 1:15:58Speaker 9: he claims he was forced to perform oral sex on
- 1:16:01Speaker 9: a woman. Now, when that's the other way around. It's
- 1:16:04Speaker 9: often understandable because a woman feels like she could be
- 1:16:07Speaker 9: physically dominated by a man and injured by an aggressive,
- 1:16:11Speaker 9: hostile man. The odds that this man felt uncomfortable like
- 1:16:16Speaker 9: getting up and walking out of the room, especially when
- 1:16:18Speaker 9: this wasn't his boss. I mean, is he making this
- 1:16:22Speaker 9: up to be like, trust me, this was not consensual, sweetheart.
- 1:16:26Speaker 5: Not totally. I want to get that he scored here,
- 1:16:29Speaker 5: but that's possible.
- 1:16:31Speaker 4: That's that's also very possible.
- 1:16:34Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I do think it's gross that Daily
- 1:16:38Speaker 2: Mail just like ran with this without doing any I
- 1:16:40Speaker 2: mean not that I'm surprised, but you know, this woman,
- 1:16:44Speaker 2: she comes out looking you know, everybody like thinks she's
- 1:16:47Speaker 2: cool and beautiful. But this is a private person and
- 1:16:51Speaker 2: now she's been associated with this like bizarre racist sex
- 1:16:54Speaker 2: scandal thing that is going to be forever the top
- 1:16:57Speaker 2: Google result for her whenever anyone Google, and they're gonna
- 1:17:00Speaker 2: be like, wait, what is this? So you know, it's
- 1:17:04Speaker 2: just like to casually drag someone's life into the spotlight
- 1:17:08Speaker 2: without doing the most basic due diligence about Like Ryan said,
- 1:17:12Speaker 2: is this even person even his boss? For any of
- 1:17:15Speaker 2: this to be plausible whatsoever? Is really pretty disgusting.
- 1:17:18Speaker 5: Yeah, and the Daily l is going to mess around
- 1:17:20Speaker 5: and get defamation law changed because there is court document
- 1:17:25Speaker 5: exclusions for defamation. In other words, as a journalist, there
- 1:17:28Speaker 5: if something is filed in a court document, then there
- 1:17:33Speaker 5: is an exclusion. You're generally allowed to then report that
- 1:17:36Speaker 5: X thing has been filed in court by a planiff
- 1:17:40Speaker 5: or by a defendant, and then you're not liable for
- 1:17:44Speaker 5: defamation for repeating it because it's it's in public court records.
- 1:17:48Speaker 5: If they manage to get it unseealed and then didn't
- 1:17:51Speaker 5: do any checking whatsoever about whether it's even plausible, then
- 1:17:55Speaker 5: you can imagine a court saying, well, you don't, this
- 1:17:58Speaker 5: doesn't apply to you, and so then chips away at
- 1:18:01Speaker 5: the kind of speech protections that the press has. So
- 1:18:04Speaker 5: come on Daily Mail like we're all this together, man, like,
- 1:18:09Speaker 5: what are you doing?
- 1:18:10Speaker 2: Don't use the privilege?
- 1:18:11Speaker 4: Yeah?
- 1:18:12Speaker 3: Yeah, And and Daily Mail, I hope this doesn't prevent
- 1:18:15Speaker 3: you from running the article about my experience with Anne Hathaway,
- 1:18:19Speaker 3: where the same exact thing happened.
- 1:18:23Speaker 4: Are you okay?
- 1:18:24Speaker 2: I just want to check in on how you're healing
- 1:18:25Speaker 2: from that trauma.
- 1:18:26Speaker 4: She demanded to be in the catwoman outfit.
- 1:18:29Speaker 2: It was, it was, it was, it was, it was
- 1:18:32Speaker 2: lot you cried the whole time.
- 1:18:33Speaker 9: Did she demand that you were in the batman outfit?
- 1:18:36Speaker 4: Yes, that's right. She maybe be the penguin. All right,
- 1:18:40Speaker 4: let's let's end it there with some an A questions.
- 1:18:46Speaker 3: Uh, and then we'll get on out of here before
- 1:18:49Speaker 3: we make any other allegations.
- 1:18:51Speaker 4: All right, let's start with a fun one. This is
- 1:18:54Speaker 4: for Emily and Ryan about the.
- 1:18:55Speaker 3: Scott Jennings debate Emily and Ryan and from its novel
- 1:19:02Speaker 3: eighty eight?
- 1:19:03Speaker 4: What are your favorite parts of the Scott Jennings debate?
- 1:19:05Speaker 3: Anything surprise either of you about Scott's points or the
- 1:19:08Speaker 3: way the crowd was on Ryan's side about Israel?
- 1:19:11Speaker 7: That was?
- 1:19:12Speaker 9: That was the first thing, right, and I talked about.
- 1:19:14Speaker 9: I think after the debate there was, you know, the
- 1:19:17Speaker 9: crowd clapped for when Ryan said he believes that Israel
- 1:19:20Speaker 9: should be sanctioned, the crowd clapped. I think that, right,
- 1:19:23Speaker 9: I think that was the first thing we talked about
- 1:19:25Speaker 9: after we.
- 1:19:25Speaker 4: Had Yeah, that was.
- 1:19:26Speaker 5: That was the surprising part. I don't think anything he
- 1:19:29Speaker 5: said or did was surprising, but that that part. I
- 1:19:33Speaker 5: did not expect that reaction from the.
- 1:19:36Speaker 2: Well, not only that, but whatever you hit him with
- 1:19:39Speaker 2: the pretty clear cut case of you know, you were like, well,
- 1:19:42Speaker 2: you're with Sale Media and you know Brad par Scale
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: is a literal foreign agent of Israel. And he said
- 1:19:48Speaker 2: nothing in response to that. I mean, he didn't rebutt it.
- 1:19:51Speaker 2: He didn't deny denying.
- 1:19:52Speaker 5: What about the Goal States was his rebuttal?
- 1:19:55Speaker 4: Cutter?
- 1:19:55Speaker 9: Yeah, he asked you about Cutter?
- 1:19:58Speaker 5: Yes, right, Uh, what can you say to that?
- 1:20:03Speaker 9: Yeah, I guess I shouldn't say I was surprised, but
- 1:20:09Speaker 9: he was really like, there was a student who I think,
- 1:20:12Speaker 9: I don't wanna uh misquote, but basically read off these
- 1:20:16Speaker 9: connections between these alleged connections between mac mul Khalil and Hamas,
- 1:20:20Speaker 9: and Scott basically was like, you're dead on, You're totally accurate,
- 1:20:24Speaker 9: even after Ryan went through and just like I think,
- 1:20:27Speaker 9: pretty incredibly debunked all of these talking points that have
- 1:20:31Speaker 9: been debunked over more than a year now about mac
- 1:20:33Speaker 9: mul Khalil, which like you cannot like mach mul Khalil,
- 1:20:36Speaker 9: you do also have to kind of deal with the facts,
- 1:20:38Speaker 9: and Scott seemed to just kind of defer to the
- 1:20:42Speaker 9: student's perspective on it and didn't really deal with too
- 1:20:45Speaker 9: much of what Ryan said. I was also surprised that
- 1:20:48Speaker 9: Scott referred to America as an as an idea or
- 1:20:51Speaker 9: a nation of ideas something like that, which is anathema
- 1:20:54Speaker 9: in like maga circles. It's like a red flag. It's like, oh,
- 1:20:58Speaker 9: you must be the a if you start talkingalking about
- 1:21:00Speaker 9: how America is an idea, because that means like if
- 1:21:03Speaker 9: America's an idea, like maga. People like to say America
- 1:21:06Speaker 9: is a specific country, it is a place, It is
- 1:21:09Speaker 9: not just an idea. So I was kind of surprised
- 1:21:10Speaker 9: you went with that one.
- 1:21:12Speaker 5: My attend is not too fine tuned enough to these
- 1:21:15Speaker 5: right wing distinctions. I missed.
- 1:21:17Speaker 9: Yeah, but he was really was. He was very gracious backstage, Ryan,
- 1:21:21Speaker 9: he was uh kind.
- 1:21:24Speaker 2: But George orwell, I'm sure you guys saw Adam Mockler
- 1:21:27Speaker 2: uh rage baiting Jennings on CNN. I guess that was
- 1:21:31Speaker 2: last night. Yeah, they were arguing about Iran and Mockler
- 1:21:35Speaker 2: was going after him for like I was like literally
- 1:21:37Speaker 2: a baby, and you were arguing for another disastrous, worthy
- 1:21:40Speaker 2: I Rock war and here you are still today now
- 1:21:42Speaker 2: arguing for this particular war. And and Jennings really like
- 1:21:47Speaker 2: kind of lost it in a way I've never seen
- 1:21:49Speaker 2: he Mockler was. They were sitting next to each other.
- 1:21:51Speaker 2: Mockler's just like gesturing with his hands and Jennings like,
- 1:21:54Speaker 2: get your fucking hand out of my face. WHOA on CNN, Yeah,
- 1:21:59Speaker 2: live on CNN.
- 1:22:00Speaker 4: Yeah, we've got time, We've got time.
- 1:22:03Speaker 14: Let's take a look war with us for forty cent
- 1:22:06Speaker 14: We all know that Scott Jennings is more than happy
- 1:22:08Speaker 14: to defend a war with the country that starts with
- 1:22:09Speaker 14: the letters I R A that we are currently failing
- 1:22:12Speaker 14: that is going to put US trillions and trillions of
- 1:22:13Speaker 14: dollars more in debt. I was only a few years
- 1:22:15Speaker 14: old while you were in the administration defending prior endless wars.
- 1:22:19Speaker 14: Now this war is failing. Okay, you said it was week.
- 1:22:25Speaker 14: I debated you on TV four to six weeks ago
- 1:22:27Speaker 14: and you said we were weeks away from it. Now
- 1:22:28Speaker 14: you're making condescending remarks because you can't defend the fact
- 1:22:31Speaker 14: that this war is not going your way. Wait one
- 1:22:32Speaker 14: more time, knowing there's one political concession, politic.
- 1:22:38Speaker 9: Not I'm not going to have everybody everybody till I'm
- 1:22:43Speaker 9: glad it didn't come to that.
- 1:22:44Speaker 4: Okay, you're we're having a debate. You can respond to
- 1:22:48Speaker 4: the points that he's made. You name a political concession
- 1:22:49Speaker 4: that we've got a.
- 1:22:51Speaker 7: Flashback to the war the Skinheads had in my studio.
- 1:22:54Speaker 9: I would be madcast for Heraldough.
- 1:22:59Speaker 5: That's on the he's right there. Blame him for talking.
- 1:23:02Speaker 5: You invited him on set.
- 1:23:06Speaker 2: I actually liked his contributions, Like I remember when we
- 1:23:09Speaker 2: had Skinheads on my track this Lloyd TV show.
- 1:23:13Speaker 9: This is one of my This is one of my
- 1:23:14Speaker 9: deepest held beliefs about media, is that we were a
- 1:23:17Speaker 9: healthier country when you were watching skinheads get punched like
- 1:23:21Speaker 9: on Haraldo at three pm, like daytime television. Oprah's out
- 1:23:25Speaker 9: here just like owning neo Nazis and clan members like
- 1:23:29Speaker 9: that is Jerry Springer is having people just like beat
- 1:23:32Speaker 9: the ship out of skinheads like that.
- 1:23:35Speaker 3: That may have been before the platforming questions of the
- 1:23:37Speaker 3: new Internet media.
- 1:23:38Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, well we had it all siloed, right, there
- 1:23:41Speaker 2: was a place you know, it's Jenny fake, it's Jerry Springer,
- 1:23:46Speaker 2: It's yeah, exactly, So we had it. We had that
- 1:23:49Speaker 2: space car down. If that's what you're looking for now,
- 1:23:51Speaker 2: then now they're being integrated into CNN panels. But no,
- 1:23:54Speaker 2: I mean Mackler did. Mackler is very good at this
- 1:23:59Speaker 2: particular thing, and clearly he really got under Stenning's skin.
- 1:24:03Speaker 2: I guess he's feeling the heat after that debate with Ryan.
- 1:24:06Speaker 2: He's feeling a lot of pressure in general.
- 1:24:10Speaker 3: Ryan more hand movements and Ryan, my only note for you, producer,
- 1:24:14Speaker 3: you got to bring up Israel earlier to get the
- 1:24:17Speaker 3: crowd on your side.
- 1:24:18Speaker 4: You about Israel up.
- 1:24:19Speaker 3: Like fifty minutes into debate, and then you finally caught steam,
- 1:24:22Speaker 3: but there was only eight minutes left.
- 1:24:24Speaker 4: You just got to start with it. You got to
- 1:24:25Speaker 4: open it up, just right out of the gates.
- 1:24:28Speaker 2: I know this is a debate about immigration, but.
- 1:24:30Speaker 4: Is yeah, yeah, right, just a quick one, am I right?
- 1:24:35Speaker 4: This is an easy way to pump your numbers.
- 1:24:38Speaker 3: Okay, So this next one comes from an audience member
- 1:24:43Speaker 3: named Victoria. Now, Victoria has been having trouble getting her
- 1:24:47Speaker 3: AMA question read, so she emailed me personally and to
- 1:24:50Speaker 3: make sure that we got to read this one.
- 1:24:52Speaker 4: So Victoria, don't worry, I got you here. She asks.
- 1:24:56Speaker 3: Ro Kana has discussed running for president, and I personally
- 1:25:00Speaker 3: believe he can win as strong bipartisan, cooperative record. A
- 1:25:04Speaker 3: genuine magabade Twitter account liked my comment on one of
- 1:25:07Speaker 3: his VIDs that you should run and can win parentheses,
- 1:25:11Speaker 3: But who would you float as a running mate for Row?
- 1:25:16Speaker 5: Well, they don't, do you know? They people start doing
- 1:25:19Speaker 5: fantasy baseball too early. We don't nobody, I mean, because
- 1:25:25Speaker 5: they don't pick their running mate until they are the nominee.
- 1:25:30Speaker 5: And at that point it kind of depends on the
- 1:25:32Speaker 5: political environment in the moment. I know, I've seen a
- 1:25:38Speaker 5: lot of people push Massey and Conna to get together
- 1:25:41Speaker 5: as like an independent ticket, which it's you know, and
- 1:25:47Speaker 5: it should be continue to be explored where the differences
- 1:25:50Speaker 5: in agreements are. But there's you know, the differences on
- 1:25:52Speaker 5: domestic policy are vast.
- 1:25:55Speaker 2: Yeah, it's hard for me to imagine how.
- 1:25:58Speaker 4: That would work.
- 1:25:59Speaker 5: I don't know, what do you think think, Crystal, I
- 1:26:02Speaker 5: don't know.
- 1:26:02Speaker 2: You got to see who's running. You got to think
- 1:26:04Speaker 2: about what his weaknesses would be. It's like you said,
- 1:26:07Speaker 2: it's a little too early for me to start mixing
- 1:26:10Speaker 2: and matching like that. I've seen people on Twitter doing
- 1:26:12Speaker 2: this like this one with that one and AOC with
- 1:26:15Speaker 2: Chris van Holland or whatever, and I just I don't know.
- 1:26:17Speaker 2: I'm not not ready to die with Flatiner, not ready
- 1:26:20Speaker 2: to go there. I would definitely vote for that to
- 1:26:23Speaker 2: get Conna Platner. That would be amazing.
- 1:26:24Speaker 5: You could imagine that. So let's say he wins the
- 1:26:27Speaker 5: Senate race, the presidential nomination. He would have been at
- 1:26:31Speaker 5: that point a senator for a year and a half.
- 1:26:34Speaker 4: You could be Obama track.
- 1:26:35Speaker 5: You can imagine him being a VP pick. Actually, oh, okay,
- 1:26:39Speaker 5: interesting in the mix mean I then be on the
- 1:26:43Speaker 5: short list. And our final question comes from Colin Clark
- 1:26:49Speaker 5: Breaking Points. Do you have any book recommendations about Chinese
- 1:26:52Speaker 5: history and the modern day China?
- 1:26:54Speaker 4: Zeitgeys.
- 1:26:54Speaker 3: So many countries around the world, like Iron spend so
- 1:26:57Speaker 3: much time studying American culture and history to understand our
- 1:27:00Speaker 3: thinking to deal with US diplomatically and in business. But Asia, really,
- 1:27:03Speaker 3: anything east of Moscow is nearly ignored in American education.
- 1:27:08Speaker 4: I would have to agree, Colin.
- 1:27:09Speaker 3: You go to Barnes and Nobles and you look at
- 1:27:11Speaker 3: the country sections. Uh that that China section pretty pretty thin, Ryan,
- 1:27:18Speaker 3: Ryan gave me a.
- 1:27:19Speaker 9: Good recommendation the Rush Doshy book a long time ago.
- 1:27:23Speaker 5: Yeah, that was interesting. It's pretty pretty hawkish, but but
- 1:27:27Speaker 5: it's it's it's a it's a sharp there's a lot
- 1:27:29Speaker 5: of history the sharp look into it. There's that. There's
- 1:27:34Speaker 5: a new She biography by that Wall Street Journal reporter.
- 1:27:39Speaker 9: And a podcast series around Oh. The podcast series was
- 1:27:41Speaker 9: done by the Economist. That's an interesting one. The She
- 1:27:44Speaker 9: podcast series from the Economists.
- 1:27:46Speaker 4: Biography Anything good on mal Any, good mal books? You got, Ryan,
- 1:27:52Speaker 4: I've got lots of.
- 1:27:53Speaker 5: Great mouth massive biography of him, that famous massive biography.
- 1:28:00Speaker 5: Mm hmm.
- 1:28:01Speaker 3: Sometimes I find when I'm looking at books either about
- 1:28:04Speaker 3: you know, uh Lenin or.
- 1:28:08Speaker 5: Part is the part of one, right, that's the that's
- 1:28:12Speaker 5: the she biography.
- 1:28:14Speaker 11: I read.
- 1:28:15Speaker 2: I read Breakneck by Dan Wang recently, which was that
- 1:28:20Speaker 2: was that was pretty interesting. I mean again, it's it's
- 1:28:22Speaker 2: somewhat of a right leaning perspective, but dug into the
- 1:28:27Speaker 2: details of just how quickly they were able to develop
- 1:28:30Speaker 2: and what the approach was that that worked for them,
- 1:28:32Speaker 2: and I found it. I found it to be interesting.
- 1:28:35Speaker 5: And then I read the New China Playbook.
- 1:28:39Speaker 2: I read that one too.
- 1:28:40Speaker 5: Yeah, what do you think of that?
- 1:28:42Speaker 2: No, I think our no recommended that one to me.
- 1:28:44Speaker 5: I think, yes, he that is That's where I found
- 1:28:47Speaker 5: that one. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 1:28:50Speaker 3: I have someone to get you all started for those
- 1:28:52Speaker 3: right there, and that's going to do it for us
- 1:28:55Speaker 3: for this Friday show, Ryan, Emily, Crystal, thank you so
- 1:28:58Speaker 3: much for joining today.
- 1:29:01Speaker 4: Anything else before we set sail.
- 1:29:03Speaker 9: Stay Safe out There is JP Morgan, Stay Safe out.
- 1:29:07Speaker 5: There in the minds of Morgan. Thanks.
- 1:29:12Speaker 4: We should have gotten our little brown boy saga on
- 1:29:15Speaker 4: to react to it.
- 1:29:17Speaker 2: You know, I was thinking about making a joke in
- 1:29:19Speaker 2: that direction the whole time, and I was like, Nope,
- 1:29:21Speaker 2: not doing.
- 1:29:22Speaker 12: No, no, no, no no no.
- 1:29:26Speaker 3: At the end, we're hopefully people have turned it off
- 1:29:28Speaker 3: by now. All right, thank you so much, and we'll
- 1:29:30Speaker 3: see you Monday.
- 1:29:31Speaker 4: Bye bye