Latest / Toadstool Sports / WEDNESDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/4/26

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WEDNESDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/4/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: slump continuing, two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: Man with wickends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm I'm going to burn.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: My browins hack Man, I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: on with the Bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. But I don't even know
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: what data is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill.
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: Me, please. I don't even know what I should do
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: at this point other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all. What's up, everybody? It's towed back with
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: you with Toad's Steel Sports. It is uh Wednesday? Is
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: that what it is? Uh? March fourth? I don't know, man,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day it is.
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: As you can see on the intro, UH not a
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: good day yesterday two and three. It was pretty much bullshit.
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: Uh we could have won every single game. Uh TCU
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: with an outright win. Was really nice in basketball, that
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: was no sweat. Xavier looked like they have chances to
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: win that game, man, I mean they're winning decent portions
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: of that game like. It was a close game for
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: most of it and then they fell apart at the
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: end and couldn't do it. So thanks a lot to them.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: Texas A and M was an easy win. They were
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: pretty much in the driver's seat the whole game.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: That was a nice win.
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: Ottawa, total fucking bullshit with Ottawa, even though if you
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: look at the game statistically. They did get out played
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: in the game statistically, but you're winning the game four
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: to two in the third period, and then you're winning
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: four to three with a minute and a half left
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: in regulation, Yeah, you should probably put that game away.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: And you have them as the underdog, so at that
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: point it seems like it's pretty much the right side.
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: They literally never trailed in the game until the losing
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: score in overtime, so.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: That's just fucking great.
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: And then the Toronto Raptors looked like they had chances
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: pretty much the entire game. They were within four points
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: with four minutes to go in that game, and then
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: they somehow lost by double digits, even though they had
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: chances to win the game outright, like for like, for
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: a lot of that game, it looked like they were
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: just in that game for almost the entire game. I
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: don't know what happened in the final couple of minutes
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: of that game. We're gonna move on to today. I
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: can't even speak right now. My voice is fucked. I'm
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: gonna give out two basketball plays. I'm really close to
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: wanting to give out one hockey play, but I guess
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna be selective and not do it. The market
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: is completely disagreeing with one of my basketball players, which
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: I don't like it all. And then yeah, I mean,
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: maybe I'm not even being selective enough with my two
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: basketball players I don't know. And then NBA, I'm gonna skip.
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: NBA is awful today, just awful. All right, college basketball?
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: I will start with the regular season play here. I'm
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: gonna go down the board. I'm gonna use the board
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: to drive this because I'm gonna separate this out from
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: the conference tournament games. Creighton and Butler is the first
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: game up, which is this is chronological as well as
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: it's six pm. There are gonna be some actually, you
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: know what, should I do the conference tournament games first
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: because they're in the I don't know, man, because some
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: of them are in the No, I won't because this
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: show's not gonna go until noon anyway.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: Some of the games aretten newne though. All right.
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: Creighton at Butler, Butler's number two and a half way
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: favorite with juice to two and a half. Creighton's getting
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: the money.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: Sixty four percent of the tickets.
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: Seventy five percent of the cash on Creighton. This game
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: is on Fox Sports one at six pm. I don't
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: want anything to do with this game Creighton. They already
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: played Butler once this year. They actually beat Butler at
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: home by only four points, though, so I don't know
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: ifon Creighton not cover the number in this one.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: They did not. They were five and a half way favorites, so.
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: Maybe they'll take Butler a little bit, a little bit
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: more seriously for that reason, Creighton has lost three games
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: in a row.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're gonna be in the Big East.
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: Tournament, so I don't know how big this game really
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: is to them. I guess it's technically a revenge game
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: for Butler. It's Butler's final home game. Butler is coming
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: off a fairly difficult game at Villanova where they stayed
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: within single digits of them, and they.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: Do have one more game left.
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: It gets to Paul which Creighton does not have one
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: more game left. This is Creighton's final home game, or
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: excuse me, final game. It's a home game for Butler,
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: but it's Creighton's final regular season game. The money looks
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: like it's coming in a Creighton for now, for what
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: that's worth, but Butler does look like an anti public
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: home favorite as well. In that game. I don't even
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: really have an opinion on the game, man. I mean,
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: for me, I think I would actually probably slightly lean
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: to Butler, but it's not something I want to have
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: anything to do with. All Right, Minnesota at Indiana on
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: the Big Ten Network at six thirty PM. For this game,
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: Minnesota is coming into this game off a nice win
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: over Ucla. I'm assuming Minnesota is an underdog in this game.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: Very small underdog though, but a pretty good win from
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: Minnesota against a tournament team. Now they're going on the
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: road and they actually already beat Indiana, believe it or not,
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: earlier this year, which I think that might have been
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: a win for me on the show. I don't remember,
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: but Minnesota, I believe one at home against Indiana.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure. Where is that? Yeah? Here it is.
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: They won my nine. So it's a little bit of
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: a revenge angle for Indiana here. You could make the
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: argument it's a little bit of a letdown for Minnesota,
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: although I think Minnesota will still get up for a
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: game against Indiana. Indiana is on a four game losing
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: streak right now, but three of those losses were to Illinois,
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: Purdue at Michigan State. Unfortunately, I had a loser with
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: Indiana against Michigan State. They did not put in a
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: good effort at all in that game. Maybe they will
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: hear in their final home game against an inferior team.
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: I would probably lean towards laying the points with Indiana here, man,
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: because it is in revenge. But everybody knows Indiana is
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: fighting for a bubble spot right now. They're on the
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: bubble in the tournament. Man, They're trying to get into
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: the tournament. They're fighting to.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: Get into the tournament.
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: So that's the problem that I have with this is
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: that they're probably gonna be a little bit overvalued in
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: the market for that reason. They're a six point favorite,
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: which isn't too bad. Fifty three percent of the ticket,
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: sixty two percent of the cash on them. Minnesota will
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: try to ugly this up and slow it down because
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: that's what they do. But I yeah, I would lay
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: it with Indiana if I was gonna play it. That
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: one is actually what that one, believe it or not,
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: is one of my uh I think better reads of
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: the day, which that's how bad this board is today. Gary,
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out all right, Gary?
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: Which is gonna be the new location of the Chicago Bears.
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: All right, I'm also looking at you know, just talk
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: about TV games here. You know what, maybe I will
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: just still drive this with ESPN. It makes it easier
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: for me, all right. Texas at number twenty, arkansaw ESPN
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: two at seven pm. This game, Texas is coming up
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: inn upset win on the road at Texas, A and
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: m big rivalry game for them. No, I'm not gonna
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: say they're gonna overlook Arkansas, but playing a third road
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: game in four.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: Games is not really that easy. Texas is.
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: I don't want to say they're secure in their tournament
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: spot yet, but I don't think they're gonna lose their
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: tournament spot if they lose on the road to Arkansas.
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: Let's just put it that way.
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: So even though a win would like pretty much guarantee
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: them a tournament spot, though, so I think they will
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: probably give you an effort. But Arkansas just had a
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: very bad effort at Florida. Florida put up one hundred
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: and eleven points against them in regulation. We know Arkansas
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: is terrible defensively and Texas is actually a really good offense,
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: but Texas is not gonna score one hundred points against them. Okay,
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: and this is at Arkansas. It's their final home game.
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: Was an embarrassing loss for them, even though it was
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: to a very good Florida team. I think I would
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: have to lay the points with Arkansas and this one
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: if I was gonna do anything with it.
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: Their seven point favorite.
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: Sixty seven percent of the tickets eighty nine percent of
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: the cap on Arkansas. So the money seems to agree
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: with that one. ACC Network at seven PM, number twenty two,
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: Miami is at SMU. This is one of those situations
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: where you have an unranked favorite against a ranked underdog here,
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: So the public is gonna look at this and probably
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: want to take the underdog. Oh my god, a ranked underdog,
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: A ranked team with the better records the underdog. Yeah,
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: but obviously I'm gonna lean to SMU in this game.
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: But there are maybe some situational reasons for that as well,
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: not just the market read on this thing, but Miami
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: being finally ranked that kind of puts the target on
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: their back. Miami did just get a win over Boston College.
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's not really a big deal, but they
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: are playing a third road game in four games.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: SMU is kind of a weird.
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: Travel spot for these ACC teams because they're pretty new
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: to the ACC, so this.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: Venue is not that familiar with them.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: SMU is returning from the Pacific co oh, so I
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: don't like these like time zone shifts.
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: But it is their final home game.
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: I think you pretty much know you're gonna get an
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: effort out of them against Miami, and SMU is much
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: less secure in their tournament spot right now.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: The Miami is SMU's got to get a win here. Man.
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: If they get this win, they're probably gonna be in
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: the tournament. But I don't a lot of times I
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: don't love that though. When you have a team that's
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: in a position like that, sometimes they are overvalued. But
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: in this case, I don't really think they are because
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: it's basically just you're trying to pick the winner, and
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: you know that's what they're gonna be motivated to do,
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: is to.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: Win the game.
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: They're a one and a half point favorite here, seventy
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: on them. I would go SMU in this game. Money
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: line is probably what I would do. Yes, yeah, I agree,
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: dangerous game. I would go money line rather than laying
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: the spread on that one, just so you're only asking
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: SMU to win the game. And I talk about this
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: in college basketball when you have a one, one and
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: a half or two two point favorite, specifically in college basketball,
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: it's actually more advantageous long term to lay the money line,
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: although of course it depends on what number you're gonna
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: get on it, but usually you find a good price.
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: In the money line marking on it.
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna talk about all these conference tournament
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: games in a minute, but I'm hitting the TV games here.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: Marquette in Providence is on Peacock at seven pm. I mean,
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: this is not a particularly interesting game in the Big East.
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: Marquette trying to avoid a last place in the Big East.
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: I think every team in the Big East still makes
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: the Big East Tournament, though you can correct me if
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: I'm wrong about that. Marquette's coming off a pretty hideous
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: loss at home to DePaul by double digits.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: That's not good.
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: So even though they do host Connecticut in their last game,
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure they're really gonna overlook Providence. They did
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: beat Providence at home already, but it was a one
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: point insane overtime game where both teams scored over one
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: hundred in the game, so an under might might kind
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: of be worth a look in the game too, just
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: because that game looks so ridiculous in the first game.
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: But I don't I don't know if I really ever
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: want to go under in a Marquette game though, because
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: they think they play fast and they don't play defense.
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: Actually ken Bum actually has them eighty fifth in defense. Now,
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: they're pretty they're they are a pretty fast team, but
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: I guess they're better defensively than I thought they were.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Providence.
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: Providence is actually really bad defensively and they actually play
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: way fast or they're an unlucky team though, But yeah,
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: I mean yeah, I would not want to touch the
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: total in this game anyway though. But anyway, for Providence,
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: they just be Creighton on the road. That was a
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: pretty good win for Providence. I think that was a
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: road upset. But this is their final home game, which
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: usually is a little bit of a motivator, especially when
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: you're in revenge, which they are.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna say Providence isn't gonna show up
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: in this game. It's a difficult read. It's not a
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: game that's on my radar. Really. Providence is up to
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: a four point favorite here though.
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: So some initial money I guess coming in on the
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: Marquette side.
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: It's a pretty difficult read. Man.
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: The total has dropped a little bit, so it looks
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: like some early money did actually come in on the
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: under here.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: Ah. Yeah, I don't want to. I don't even know
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: if I want to give out an.
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: Opinion on this game because it's just so difficult to
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: even have an opinion on it. It's an awful game.
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: They all make the Conference CERMT. Yeah, there aren't really
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: that many teams in the Conference. ESPNU has Cal at
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: Georgia Tech. These teams actually already played once believe it
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: or not, in the ACC here. Cal beat Georgia Tech
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: by five in Cal, and I think it was kind
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: of a bad spot for Cal because they were turning
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: home from the East Coast. They had just beaten Miami
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: and they had Clemson on decks. So I think they
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: actually covered against Georgia Tech or did they not?
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: Let me see? Maybe they didn't. No, they did not.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: They were seven point favorites, so they were in a
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: bad spot there.
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: But I guess because Cal had kind of a close
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: game there, maybe that means.
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: They will show up focus here.
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: But also Cal just took a really gross home loss
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: to Pitt that knocked them right off the bubble again
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: after they were in the tournament discussion because they beat
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: us MU and then they lose to Pit and now
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: they're out of the tournament again in the bracketologies and
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: they really can't like really, they can only hurt themselves
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: in these last two games against Georgia Tech and Wake,
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: so that's not good. The pressure is gonna be on
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: the to win this game. They're gonna have to go
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: to an unfamiliar venue, going to the East Coast. But again,
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: they might show up anyway, because Georgia Tech played decently
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: against them the last time and had caught them in
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: a good spot and Cal loss horribly to Pit, which
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: is a really bad loss. Georgia Tech has lost a
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: bunch of games in a row. This is their final
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: home game, so I think you will get an effort
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: out of them here as well. They pretty much know
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: they're not going anywhere. I think they might be eliminated
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: from the ACC tournament because they think the bottom three
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: ACC teams don't make the ACC Tournament, which means my
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: Boston College Eagles. They're not gonna make it either for
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: the first time, and who knows how long. Georgia Tech
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: does have one more game left against Clemson, but they
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: might get a little bit more motivated here because they
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: know they're not going to be playing basketball anymore after
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: this cal has dropped from four and a half to
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: three here.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: I think I would probably lean towards taking the points.
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: With Georgia tack in that one, but again, it's a
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: pretty difficult read.
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: I don't want the game at all. Peacock.
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: At seven thirty pm, we have Ohio State at Penn State.
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: My first read on this was, well, Ohio State is
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: in a terrible spot here because they just pulled off
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: a huge win against Purdue that put Ohio State right
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: back into the bracketologies I have them in my last
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: four in right now now. They can't afford to lose
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: to Penn State, of course, but they could be in
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: a major letdown spot off of that win over Purduing.
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: They do have a bigger game on deck against Indiana,
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: and they already beat Penn State, but they only beat
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: them by six at home.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: So sometimes when team as a close.
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: Call like that and they're the much better team, they
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: will actually take that team seriously the next time. But
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: in this case, I would lean more towards this being
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot for Ohio State because that was a
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: monster win against Purdue. Penn State though they're coming out
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: of a nice home win against Iowa. Now that did
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: break a three game losing street. That was a pretty
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: big upset at home. So I don't really want Penn
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: State here either. But it is their final home game.
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: It is revenge. They are playing like they get to
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: play spoiler against a team that has a lot of
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: name recognition in basketball Ohio State. So I would still
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: lean to taking the points with Penn State here. They're
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: a seven and a half point underdog here when it
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: was really see the market percentages yet on this, but yeah,
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: I would probably still take the points there.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: But I don't. I can't quite get there with it.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: Although I am gonna.
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: I am going to give out a play against the
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: team it's in their home finale though upcoming in a second,
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: just because I think they're in an absolutely insane sandwich spot.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: But we'll get to that in a minute.
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: CBS Sports at eight pm, we have Loyola Chicago at
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: number twenty five ranks. Saint Louis Loyal in Chicago has
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: been an absolute disaster, man, But I believe that every
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: Atlantic ten team does make the conference tournament, so they
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: will be playing again. They do have a home game
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: against George Washington next as well. But I think Loyola
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: will at least try to show up against Saint Louis,
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: because you're playing the best team in the conference. You
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: already lost embarrassingly on your own floor to them. Saint
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: Louis beat them at Loyola eighty six to fifty nine,
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: so you might get a better effort out of Loyol
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: this time.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis might not take them very seriously here.
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis does have George Mason on deck, which I
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: guess is kind of a bigger game. Even though they've
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: been falling apart, they're not really that good. This is
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis's final home game, though, so that's usually a
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: little bit of an extra motivator at the very least.
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: But you're asking him to cover a twenty four and
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: a half point spread here down from twenty five.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: I would not ask them to do that.
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: I mean, they could easily win this game without covering
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of the tickets around Saint Louis sixty
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on Loyola. I would lean
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: to taking the points with Loyola, but yet I don't
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: want anything to do with that game at all. Yeah,
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: that's the game I say, far away from Fox Sports
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: won at eight pm Maryland at Wisconsin.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: Maryland. I mean, this is a bad, bad Maryland team.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: Maybe they did just.
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: Take a pretty ugly home loss to Rutgers. They're probably
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: gonna give you an effort at least going on the
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: road to Wisconsin on I know, for a team like
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: Maryland especially, this is not an easy travel spot to
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: deal with. But they're coming off such a horrendous loss,
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: and they're getting so many points here. Wisconsin's traveling back
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: from the Pacific coast, so their travel spot's a little
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: bit weird as well. They just won at Washington and
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: a pretty satisfying blowout. And even though this is Wisconsin's
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: final home game so Senior night, whatever, you know, there
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: is a little bit of an extra motivator. They do
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: have a huge game against do on deck, So I
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: would probably lean to taking the points with Maryland in
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: this one.
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: They're a huge underdog in this game.
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: Uh, down to fourteen and a half from fifteen here,
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: seventy one percent of tickets, eighty seven percent of the
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: cash on Wisconsin. Yeah, I would not I would not
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: lay and I would not ask Wisconsin to lay that
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: many points there, Buzz Williams, I forgot he was the coach.
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: He's Maryland, Maryland's coach. Yeah, Maryland is having a bad year.
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: Some of it's just all the turnover though, because Maryland,
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: if you remember, they were really good last year, but
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: that was because they're starting five were excellent last year
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: and they had no bench players. So you knew that
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: if those guys were like one and done at Maryland
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: that they were gonna get way worse this year unless
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: they somehow completely reloaded, which.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: They did not. Yeah.
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know how many teams missed the Big Ten Tournament.
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure they might miss it. Yeah, let me
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: see here. Yeah, I don't know how. I don't know
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: how many teams miss it. But yeah, the Crab five, Yeah,
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: and Queen I know is on the New Orleans Pelicans. Now,
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: I didn't even know where the rest of those guys
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: wound up. Yeah, I think a few of these teams
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: do fail to make the conference tournament, though, so I
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: guess that's another motivator for Penn State. I guess they
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: might be playing to avoid missing the conference tournament, if
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: if they're even alive. I don't even know Villanova at
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: De Paul.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: Usually I do know. I usually I usually go look at.
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: This thing, but bottom four, all right, yeah, I usually
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: go look, But I just decided I didn't want to
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: play these games anyway. Villanova is at De Paul here
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: on Peacock at eight pm. Villanova just got absolutely spanked
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: by Saint John's in the last game. Very bad effort
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: from Villanova, but they they ran into probably really angry
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: Saint John's team after one of the worst games that
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: you'll ever see out of Saint John's against Yukon in
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: the previous game, so they ran into a very focused
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: Saint John's team. I still thought Villanova was gonna give
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: a good effort in that one. That did not happen.
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: They also, I guess, lost Matt Hodge to a torn
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: acl so I don't know how important he is to
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: the team, but he's gonna be out for the rest
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: of the season. But you know, sometimes the team will
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: step it up when they lose a player. But although
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's that key of a player, he
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: was averaging nine point two points a game. Not to
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: you know, throw shade on the guy or anything, but
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna handicap this just in a normal way pretty much.
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: Villanova did beat to Paul at home already, but they
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: only beat them by five, so and coming off a
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: horrible effort, I think they might actually show up for
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: this game and give you an effort.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: Villanova, is they're gonna be in the tournament.
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: I would say, like, I don't think they really have
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: to worry about that, but I think you will get
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: an effort out of them here. It is not to
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: Paul's final home game, by the way, because they do
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: host Butler in their next game, but I think they
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: will get up for a game against the best team
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: in the Big East, and a team that already beat
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: them once to Paul is coming off pulling off two
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: road up sets in a row, though, so maybe they'll
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: run out of steam a little bit coming into this one.
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: I think I would lean to Villanova because they are
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: the better team and it looks like a spot where
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: you actually will get effort out of the better team.
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: But they did drop from a three point favorite to
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: a two and a half point favorite here, and I
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: think the public will be all over them, and it
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: does look way too easy to play Villanova. I don't
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: want to do it, obviously, but you know that would
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: be a lean for me. A Big ten network at
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: eight thirty PM, Number fifteen perdue Man. They've fallen at
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: Northwestern Purdue. They just keep losing these home games. You know,
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: though ken bumslasm is the seventh best team in the country.
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: They're really going on an offense, but not so much
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: on defense. This might be a spot where they finally
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: bounce back, though. You know, they caught a super motivated
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: Ohio State team. Purdue was coming off a big game
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: against Michigan State, so I think they did.
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: Get caught in a bad spot.
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: And now maybe you'll get a better effort out of
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: them here against Northwestern.
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: These teams haven't played yet this year. Now.
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: I've been saying all year though, that Northwestern is not
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: as bad as their record looks. They're really not that
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: bad of a team. They did just win at home
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: against Oregon, but they almost lost the game, and Northwestern
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: was believing or not.
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: Oh, I thought they were a big favor here.
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: They weren't as big as I thought, three and a
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: half point favorite, but it was still a pretty bad
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: effort from them. But they were coming to have a
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: nice win at Indiana, huge upset win actually, and they
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: had Purdue on deck. So they were pretty much in
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: a sandwich spot in that game against Oregon.
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: So they got caught in kind of a bad spot.
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: Now they get their final home game against Purdue, which
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: I think you will get an effort out of Northwestern here.
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: So it's a difficult game to handicap because it looks
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: like you're gonna get effort out of both teams. Purdue
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: is laying ten and a half on the road here,
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: seventy three percent of the tickets, eighty eight percent of
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: the cash on them. It's a really difficult handicap, man,
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: because a lot of times, when you pretty much know
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: you're gonna get the better team focus, sometimes you do
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: want to look towards that team. But Purdue being a
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: slow paced team, I don't know if I would want
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: to lay double digits on the road with them man
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: in Northwestern's final home game.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: Correct, Yeah, that's right.
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: Northwestern is trying to make sure that they make the
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: Big Ten tournament. Still, that is correct. Yeah, I'd probably
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: actually need to taking the points there. But yeah, that one.
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: Is also not on my card. Dude. I know, I'm
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: really selective.
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: So I talk about all these games just to go
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: through my thought process on them, and then I wind
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: up only giving.
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: Out like a couple of plays. But that's just how
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: I do it. Man. Baylor is at Houston.
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: Baylor just got an upset win on the road at UCF,
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: a decent win there. Now you're gonna get effort from
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: Baylor against Houston because it is their biggest remaining game,
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: even though they do have a home game left after this,
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: it's only against Utah. Houston already beat Baylor at Baylor
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: by twenty two points, so Houston might not totally take
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: Baylor that seriously here.
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: I really don't think there's as bad as their record looks.
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: I do think you will get an effort out of them,
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: but having a flyback from Florida and playing two road
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: games as an underdog.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: In a row, it's not really that easy to do.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: Houston did look really good in a nice bounce back
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: win against Colorado, absolutely destroying them by forty, and now
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: this is their final home game.
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: You know, I would probably lean to Baylor.
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: I mean, you're asking Houston to lay a ton of
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: points here, fifteen eighty nine percent of the tickets, ninety
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the casual in Houston. I think probably
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: the public sentiment is going to be, well, Houston just
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: won by forty, and if they already won by twenty
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: two at Baylor, then of course they should win by
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: like thirty.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: In this game. Right, Probably that's not what's gonna happen.
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: I think they'll win the game, but I would lean
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: towards Baylor getting all those points, though it's a pretty
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: low total too, in the one forties. We know Houston
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: they play really really slow. So yeah, I'm expecting Houston
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: wins that game, but I would lean towards Baylor covering though.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: All right, ACC Network nine pm.
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: Florida State at Pitt, only talking about it because it's
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: a TV game. Florida State has been hot though, they've
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: won four to the last five, and they're I think
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: they're catching Pitt at a decent time. Even the Florida
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: State third road game in four games is not that easy,
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: but Pitt is returning from the Pacific Coast and they
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: just beat Cal on the road, which is a pretty
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: good win really for Pitt.
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: A road upset, so I don't love it for Pitt here.
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: Even though this is their final home game, They're probably
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: gonna try to get up for it. Uh, Pitt is
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: trying to avoid missing the ACC tournament. By the way,
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure the bottom three missed the ACC tournament,
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: so Pitt is teetering on the edge there. Although I'm
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: gonna be honest, I think Notre Dame should get into
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: it instead of Pit. Pit sucks, but yeah, I'm gonna
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: lean against Pitt in this game. I think Florida State
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: is the better team. Both teams have had a lot
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: of travel recently, but Pitt crossing a bunch of time
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: zones coming up an upset like that, even though this
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: is their final home game, I think the spot is
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: a little bit better for Florida State. They're already up
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: from one one and a half to three by the
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: way Florida State is. But it looks like the money
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: is now coming back on Pit plus the points seventy
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets on Florida State seventy nine percent
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: of the cash on pit, so it's a tough market
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: read there. The market read is pretty much saying pitt
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: in the game, but I don't really quite agree with that.
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: At ESPN U nine pm, Stanford and Notre Dame, this
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: is an interesting one. This one almost made my card
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: as a total play. And when, dude, when do I
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: ever give out totals? But I actually like the total
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: in this game. Stanford is coming out of a nice
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: win at home against SMU Man and now they're having
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: to travel cross well not across country, but to self.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: Bend, Indiana to play Notre Dame here.
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: Which is still a very weird travel spot for these
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: Pacific Coast teams crossing multiple time zones. So it's not
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: a good spot for Stanford, I wouldn't say. And they
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: do have a pretty big game against NC State on
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: deck Notre Dame. As I just said is they're trying
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: to make sure they make the ACC tournament here, which.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: It'll be dude.
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: I want Notre Dame in that ACC tournament because they've
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: played some really interesting games in conference play, Like they've
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: been competitive, dude, Like they took Virginia to overtime, although
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: that wasn't home, but still they played really tough against
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: I don't know there was one other game in here
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: where they were like super competitive. Oh yeah, they've beaten
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: NC State in their last game. I think that's what
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: I was thinking of. But that might put them in
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot. And that's kind of the problem I
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: have with Notre Dame here. Notre Dame, you know, they
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: pulled off that big upset. They caught NC State at
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: a good time. Yeah, I still have NC State in
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: the tournament. I mean, they're still pretty good. I would
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: say it's still will Wade. I don't know, but that
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: NC State lost to Notre Dame was in a pretty
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: bad spot.
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: I think. I think NC State was looking ahead to Duke.
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: So unfortunately the Duke game cause Thats State to lose
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: multiple games in a row. But Notre Dame got a
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: nice win there. I think that might put them in
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot. Although I do prefer Notre Dame in
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: this game though, because they are staying at home.
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: It is their final home game.
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: They are trying to make sure they make the ACC tournament,
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: so I think there is more motivation on the Notre
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: Dame side, and you're basically just asking them to win.
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: They're minus one, it would be a money line play.
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: But they're the public side, sixty two percent of the tickets,
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: fifty eight percent of the cash on them. But that
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: doesn't make any sense to me though, Like why would
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: the public be on Notre Dame, the team that has
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: the worst record. It makes no sense to me. So
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I buy those market percentages, Like
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: the public just looks at these records, right, and they'll
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: see Stanford as the way better records. So I don't
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: believe that at all. I do not believe that Notre
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: Dame is the public side. So sometimes you gotta like, like,
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: I have a pretty good gauge usually on where I
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: think the public is going to be on most games,
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: and this read does makes sense to me. It stinks,
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: like I don't think it's right, So I try to,
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: you know. I like these market reads here on pregame,
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: like it helps me read the market better than any
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: other site that I've found, especially.
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: For a free site.
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: But some of these percentages, I just I'm like, that
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: can't be right, you know, based on everything that I
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: know and my experience, now, I do lean to Notre
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: Dame here, but I actually think the better way to
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: play this game is over The total did drop a
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: little bit to one forty five and a half.
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: The reason I like the over here is, first of all,
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: I think both.
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: Teams are in bad spots, so you're gonna have Stanford cross,
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: you know, crossing multiple time zones here.
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: Both teams are coming out of a nice upset win.
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: So I think all of those things kind of affect
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: the deepense, you know what I mean. So I think
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: you're gonna see the deep bets get a little bit
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: affected by that. But the other reason why I would
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: like the over here is because look at the first
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: game these two teams played. The game had eighty seven
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: points scored totally. Notre Dame won the game forty seven
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: to forty at Stanford, which is one of the lowest
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: scoring games that you will ever see in college basketball. Man,
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, that was insane. That was such an outlier.
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: It was like just total absurdity, and everybody was making
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: fun of it.
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: At the time.
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: Both teams had horrible shooting games. Now, I know both
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: teams do play slow, so you know, these teams are
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: pretty conducive to lower scoring games because they play slow.
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: But but that was just an absurd outlier of a
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: game there, So like people might look at that and see, like,
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: oh my god, they scored eighty seven total points. You're
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: asking them to total one hundred and forty five and
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: a half. Yere But yeah, I think I think it
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: happens in this one.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: The two teams are in bad spots. That was a
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: major outlier in that last game. They both had really
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: bad shooting games.
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I prefer the over in this game.
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: That would be the way that I would look in
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: this one. But because I'm not really a totals guy,
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: I don't know. It's not on my card, but that
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: seemed to be a very interesting total read when I
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: looked at it. All Right, first best bet is in
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: the late hours here on CBS Sports ten pm. I'm
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: gonna give you a play in the Colorado State New
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: Mexico game here. It's best bet time. Man, this is
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: one of the two. We're taking the points of Colorado
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: State plus eight and a half. They are the hottest
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: team in the Mountain West right now. And I know,
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: usually I don't want to jump on teams that are
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: on fire, but it's a horrible spot for New Mexico.
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: So that's the main reason why I'm doing this year.
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: Colorado State, Yeah, they've been running through mostly the bad
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: teams in the conference. I get that they did have
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: a really good win at home against San Diego State
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: in there, although I know other than that they've beaten
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: the worst teams in the conference. Sure, they're playing a
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: second straight road game. I understand that it's not easy
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: to play play in New Mexico. They have a really
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: good home advantage there in the pit. Their arena is
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: actually built into the ground underground, and it like traps
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: the sound and it makes it one of the loudest arenas.
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: I get all that, But Colorado State did already lose
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: to New Mexico at home by ten. So this is
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: a road revenge angle, which is something that I like
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: to look at because I think you'll get a better
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: effort out of the team if they lost the home
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: game in the second meeting, I think you'll get a
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: better effort out of that team, and you might get
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: a worse effort out of the team that won because
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: from New Mexico's perspective, Hey, we already beat these guys
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: on the road. You know what, I mean so, and
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: they won't have the adjustments to make. But the thing
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: that I really am going to fade about New Mexico
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: is this is a sandwich spot here.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: It's like too juicy for me to not do this.
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: Although I know it's New Mexico's final home game. I
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: know you get up for those final home games. You
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: want to give the crowd something to cheer about whatever.
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: But at this point, I think New Mexico's kind of
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: starting to look ahead in the Mountain West tournament here.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: I know New Mexico needs to get wins because they're
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: on the bubble, but I think that's going to overvalue them.
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: Because they're on the tournament bubble. A lot of guys
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: have them like in the first in the last four
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: in right now. But look at the spot that they're
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: in here.
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: Man. They just beat San Diego State, which was.
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: A huge win against another bubble team and the team
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: that's now right behind them in the Mountain West standings,
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: and a team that's always near the top of the
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: Mountain West. And then who do they have next to
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: finish the season? They got a revenge game against Utah State,
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: the best team in the conference, and the team that
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: beat them by twenty points on their own floor. So yeah,
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: this is clearly a sandwich spot here man, and playing
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: against the team they already beat on the road. I
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: like Colorado State here man. I think Colorado State will
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: absolutely give you an effort, and they're coming up a
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: much lower effort game.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: In their last game, they beat San Jose State.
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: Who cares, So yeah, I think they will give you
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: an effort in this one, and they have the momentum
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: coming into this. Colorado State will will be one of
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: my plays today. It looks like you can get nine
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: on this now. New Mexico up to nine. We see
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of the tickets in ninety percent of the
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: cash on Colorado State.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: For now.
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: I think the money will probably come in in agreement
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: with me on the Colorado State side here, but we
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: will see. New Mexico might be kind of a public
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: bailout play here. After the public loses money today, they
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: might try to come in on that side. Garrett, Yeah,
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: enjoy enjoy the North Carolina first round tournament exit. That's
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: that's all I'll say about that Notre Dame lost in Virginia.
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: I could, I mean, I could believe that they lost
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: because Virginia is a better team than Notre Dame. But yeah,
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame completely blew that game. The way that game
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: was going. Yeah, they had a big lead in that game.
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: That's why I faded Notre Dame in the game after that,
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: didn't I?
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: Who do they play? Oh? Yeah, yeah, that was a
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: win for me.
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: I gave you guys Syracuse in the next game after that. Yeah,
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: that was a win that I gave out on the show.
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: All Right, it was a hangover spot for Notre Dame
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: after that ridiculous game against Virginia. All Right, USC at
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: Washington on Big ten Network at ten thirty pm. We
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: gotta figure out what is USC gonna do now that
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: they don't have Baker Mazara anymore. He has left the
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: team and that might be the end of his college career.
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know now.
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: I actually think it'll help USC, to be honest. I mean,
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: it's not like they were playing well with him. They
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: lost five games in a row. They basically fell out
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: of the tournament picture. So like, how much worse could
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: they possibly get without him? Maybe he's like a chemistry problem,
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: you know, maybe without him they'll coalesce.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Better as a team, you know what I mean?
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: You might get an effort out of them here, who knows,
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: because they know he's not there anymore.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: They're gonna have to figure out their new roles and stuff.
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: But I don't really see it as that much of
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: a negative man, And this is a USC team. I
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: think they'll be motivated because nobody wants to lose this
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: many games in a row. They're going on the road
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: to Washington. They already lost to Washington at home, I believe, Yeah,
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: they lost by eight at home to Washington already, so
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: we have a road revenge angle here. Washington is staying
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: at home though, and coming off a pretty ugly home
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: loss Wisconsin, and this is their final home game, so
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: I don't really want to fade Washington in the spot either.
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: But the money is coming in on USC.
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: Washington's a six point favorite, sixty four percent of tickets,
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: eighty seven percent of the cash on USC. Now, the
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: public I would think, probably would want USC as opposed
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: to Washington here, like why would they lay points with a.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: Below five hundred Washington team here? Right?
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: But the oddsmakers are telling you Washington is actually the
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: better team here, which I don't disagree with.
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: That, but I might lean towards taking the points with USC.
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: In this one, just because I think the shake up
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: with Baker Mazarro leaving might actually help USC's mindset. It's
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: a really really tough game to handicap, though, Like it's
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: not a game that I would want to have money on.
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know if.
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I want to bet that yet
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: until I see who their matchup is. But if, dude,
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: if they draw like a really really if they draw
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: a good like twelve seed or an eleven seed as
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: their opponent, they might be in trouble, like seriously, Like
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: if it's like North Carolina against like say the eleven
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: seed they draw is like Auburn or something like that.
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: If something like that happens and they get Auburn coming
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: out of like the playing round and Auburn has that
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: momentum coming in there, yeah, I would be That's a
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: game where I would probably bet against North Carolina if
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: North Carolina winds up being a five seed and the
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: twelve seed that they draw is like I don't know,
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: who's like the worst possible twelve.
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: Seed they might get.
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know, like if they get like Liberty or something,
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: like that, then I'm not gonna do it. I would
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: not play liberty against them, if that makes sense. And
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: because North Carolina is a blue blood, the committee might
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: give them an easy game in the first game. So
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: that's why concern with making that bet right now. I
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: need to see who their opponent is, you know what
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: I mean. But dude, I'm not that I'm only biased
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: towards like the numbers, right, Like I liked North Carolina
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: in the tournament last year. You weren't watching my show
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: last year, but I was pro North Carolina going into
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: the tournament last year because everybody was everybody was saying
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: they shouldn't be in at all, and then they absolutely
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: man handled San Diego State, and I think I gave
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: that out as a play on this show.
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: In the playing game.
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: I was like, they're obviously gonna beat San Diego State
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: because North Carolina was that one team that everybody was
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: like they shouldn't be here. But then, unfortunately I did
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: bet them again against oh Miss because.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: I liked that spot a lot.
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: North Carolina was the team that everybody thought didn't belong
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: at all, and they still didn't like them even after
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: beating San Diego State and they had the momentum. I
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: like playing on those playing teams after they win the
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: first game. I think they have like a momentum advantage,
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. Which I'm gonna talk about
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: that in my other play. I'm gonna give out today
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: because we got to talk about all these conference tournament
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: games here. Man, I'm gonna try to hit them all.
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: Let's see, let's see if we can do it here.
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: I only have a play on one of them, though,
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: and the market doesn't even agree with me on it.
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: But a lot of these games are really, really, really
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: difficult to handicap.
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: I try to be like pretty selective with these conference tournaments.
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: I usually have more.
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: There are better situational angles in the bigger conference tournaments,
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: let's just say, because there are more motivational disparities. The
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: thing about these small conferences is it makes it cleaner
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: in a way, because you know, every team is trying
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: to win because they all know that they have to
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: win the conference tournament to get into the tournament. So
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: every team pretty much has the same motivation. But in
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: the big conference tournaments that's not really the case because
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: you wind up with teams that are already like locked
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: into whatever seed they're gonna be into the tournament, and
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be playing against a team that needs to
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: win the tournament to even get into the tournament, you
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: know what I mean. So that's why in those big
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: conferences a lot of times you'll see unexpected teams make
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: runs and stuff like that.
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: All Right, the first game up, we'll talk Atlantic Sun.
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: First, Jacksonville at Bellermane or not at Bellermane Jacksonville versus
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: Bellerman The game is actually in Jacksonville, Florida, So obviously
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: Jacksonville has a location edge here playing in their home city,
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: so that is something to keep in mind. Jacksonville already
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: lost to Bellerman at home, by the way, so I
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: guess being at home wasn't a location edge for them.
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: Now, I don't believe this is in.
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: This is not at their home arena, Like, they don't
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: get that much of a home advantage here they're at
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: The game is actually at North Florida, which that also
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: sounds really stupid the North Florida, Like, why do they
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: get to be the host of this man al though,
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: I think no North Florida is in the tournament, right,
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: I think every A Sun team makes the tournament.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's very very odd to me that
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: the game gets to be played at North Florida. Wait
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: wait what No, that doesn't make sense either. Wait what
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: am I thinking? No?
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: I think I think these games are hold on, I
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: think these games are actually hosted by the home team,
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: my mistake.
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: No, they're not.
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: They're all at North Florida. I'm very confused right now. Yeah,
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Man, So North Florida is actually at home.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: In these games? Like, yeah, very very very odd.
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: But anyway, Jacksonville is playing this game in Jacksonville, and
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: they did lose on their home Florida Bellermant already, which
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: was at Swisher Gymnasium. That's a great name for a
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: basketball arena, Swisher.
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know Nick.
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: Swisher from the Yankees. I don't know, but I don't
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: know they're swishing shots when they play there. Anyway, Jacksonville
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: does have a location edge year, and they have a
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: little bit of an edge in that they lost to Bellerman,
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: so they might be able to pull off something here man,
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: because the only time they've played Bellerman they lost, so
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: they might have a little bit of a revenge mode
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: of here.
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: Not really revenge because teams are gonna be.
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: Motivated, but they might have the adjustments to make against Bellerman,
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: if that makes sense. Now, Bellerman is a tricky team
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: because they're like really high variants. They're a horrible defense,
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: they're the worst defense in all of Division One, but
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: they could.
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: Score pretty well. But they also play slow, so they're weird,
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: weird combo.
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: They've played some really nice games against some of the
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: best teams in the conference, like I believe. Yeah, they
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: beat Central Arkansas, they beat Queens, and they beat Austin
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: P to finish the season. But remember Austin P had
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: nothing to play well Austin P. No, I think they
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: did have something to play for because I think they
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: were still fighting for the one seed and they wound
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: up not getting the one seed. But Austin P was
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: coming up that huge game against Central Arkansas. So I
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: gave you guys Bellerman in that game against Austin P.
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: But the fact that that was Bellerman's last game that
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: they played and they put up one hundred and eleven
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: points against the best team in the conference that beat them, Yeah,
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: that makes me worry about Bellerman coming into this one
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: man and the fact that it's in Jacksonville, and the
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: fact that you know, Jacksonville's kind of in revenge here.
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in on bellerman They're up from one
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: to one and a half here, seventy six percent of tickets,
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: ninety five percent of the cash on them. I mean,
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: I could certainly see Bellermane still winning this game, because
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: they're like the giant killers in the conference this year.
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: But I kind of lean towards Jacksonville and this one
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: man very very uh it's not a huge lean for me,
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: but I kind of like Jacksonville.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: There, she squealed, what's up? Man?
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: I gave out Colorado State plus the points already, but
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: I'm being extremely selective today. Colorado State is one of
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: my plays. And then I have one more play that
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: I haven't gotten to yet, which will be I think
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: one of the evening games. They're both evening games, and
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: I think my other game is in the evening somewhere. Yeah,
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: my other game I'm not gonna get to for a
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: bit here, all right. Also in the a Sun these
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: are afternoon games.
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: North Alabama is at Florida Gulf Coast. This is a
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: weird game because North Alabama actually beat Florida Gulf Coast.
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: I believe they beat them. No, no, they lost them twice.
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: I might say, I'm just I was gonna say, wait
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: a minute, what because there were a couple of games
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: today where the better team lost both matchups.
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: In this case, the better team won both.
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: Florida Golf Coast beat North Alabama twice already, and they
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: are the better team. But I guess the question then
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: is does North Alabama, like, are they gonna be able
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: to get up for this game and make some adjustments here?
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: Like maybe Florida Gulf Coast won't take them totally seriously
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: because Florida Golf Coast beat North Alabama twice already, maybe
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a location edge playing at Jacksonville
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: for Golf Coast. Here, Golf Coast is a seven point favorite,
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: though sixty nine percent of the tickets eighty five percent
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them this one on, I don't know,
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: Golf Coast probably wins. I mean, they are the better team,
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: but I don't think I would lay it. This conference
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: tournament sometimes has some weird stuff happening. I think I
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: would probably lean towards taking the points with North Alabama.
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: But North Alabama I mean, this is a team that
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: was in the conference final last year, I think against Lipscomb,
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: I believe it. Now they've really fallen off this year.
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, but these are really really hard.
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: Games for me to handicap.
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: Man, the money is saying Bellerman and Gulf Coast, and
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: I kind of disagree with both. Then we have a
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: Stetson and Eastern Kentucky again in the same conference at
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: five pm, so you get Atlantic and Atlantic Sun afternoon.
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: Man, how about that?
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: I think these games might be fun to watch though.
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: Stetson they're a team that just plays. They throw up
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: a ton of three pointers. That's pretty much.
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: What they do.
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: They're a real high variance team. They're playing Eastern Kentucky.
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: They played once this year and they lost one hundred
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: to eighty eight to Eastern Kentucky at Eastern Kentucky the
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: only time they played this year. Now, when I handed
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: got these games, I do dig into the box scores
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: in the previous matchups to see, like was there a
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: major outlier or something like that, like was one of
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: the teams clearly the better team? You know, stuff like that,
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: which I'm not doing it here on the show. For
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: every single game just for time purposes. But like, this
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: is a game where I would say, you know, the
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: game was actually a little bit closer than maybe it appeared.
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: Although again Stetson did hit a lot of threes in
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: the game forty eight percent from three, so by based
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: on that they actually probably should they shouldn't have lost
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: by that much. But the but three pointers are high variants, man,
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: they shot like higher than their average from three, and
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: Eastern Kentucky actually throws up a lot of three pointers
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: as well. But Eastern Kentucky, like based on the rebound
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: battle there, which is the most predictive metric, they didn't
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: win that game by as much as the score makes
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: it look based on like some of those stats. Now,
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: Stetson is a Florida team, so they do get to
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: play this game in Florida. I don't really know how
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: much of that match. Maybe they do show up for
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: this though, or you know, maybe they you know, are
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: able to actually like make some adjustments. I mean, after
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: I losing the first game to Eastern Kentucky, Eastern Kentucky
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: did finish the season with a pretty close game against
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: lipscumb who is still one of the better teams in
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: the Conference. I probably agree with the market in this one.
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: I think I would take the points with Stetson here.
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: This is a really high variance game though, again, so
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: it's really going to depend on stets and how well
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: they're shooting their threes. But I think it also kind
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: of that's the case for Eastern Kentucky as well.
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: Both teams take a lot of threes.
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: Eastern Kentucky down from four and a half to four
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of ticket seventy four percent of the cash
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: on Stetson, so the money is coming in on the
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: Stetson side. I'll slightly agree with that, So hey, there
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: you go. I actually agree with the market on one
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: of them. And then the final Atlantic Sun game is
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: North Florida and West Georgia at seven thirty. So that
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: game is that's the one game that's not an isolated game.
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: It's the one game that has to compete with all
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: the other games, and it just so happens it's probably
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: the ugliest of all of them, and they probably scheduled
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: it like that for a reason. Oh, let's put the
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: two worst teams that are in the conference tournament. Let's
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: have them go at like seven thirty PM or whatever. Actually,
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: West Georgia is not as bad as like a couple
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: of those other teams. North Florida is quite bad. But
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: like I said, this game is actually at North Florida's
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: home arena, which is really ridiculous. Like, why would you
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: give like the ten seed or whatever in your conference
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: a home advantage.
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: It seems so stupid. I hate when conferences do that. Man.
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: Although at least North Florida is really not gonna be
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: that much of a threat to I don't think they're
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: gonna be a threat to really make a huge run
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: in this conference tournament.
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: They're just not that good. But they're playing West Georgia here.
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: They did just beat West Georgia on the road in
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: their last game though, so they're and they actually lost
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: at home. So the two regular season matchups the road
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: team both games, So West Georgia is kind of the
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: road team here.
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: So maybe West Georgia.
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: Maybe that means there'll be another zigzag here because the
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: most recent game was North Florida winning on.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: The road at West Georgia.
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: Maybe West Georgia bounces back here and gets the win.
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: West Georgia has a little bit of momentum here. They
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: won their last couple of games. Not The last game
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: wasn't against a good team, it was against North Alabama.
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: West Georgia is down from three and a half to
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: two and a half here, though the money is fading
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: them sixty seven percent of the tickets and only fifty
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash on them, I'll probably agree.
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, North Florida is playing on their home floor,
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: and I know the road team won both matchups here.
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: I know it would be a.
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: Zigzag opportunity for West Georgia here, but some of that
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: I think gets thrown out a little bit when you're
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: talking about the fact that both teams are going to
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: be motivated.
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: You know, it's just kind of.
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: Stupid that North Florida gets like a home court advantage here.
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: But I think they might be able to get the
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: job done there and at least cover that number there.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: And so I'll agree with the market in that one
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: sixty seven percent of tickets and fifty five percent of
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: the cash on West Georgia. But that's not a strong
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: opinion for me. Yeah, I mean, I think the strongest
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: lean that I had out of all of those is
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: actually probably Jacksonville. But I do have some concerns about that,
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: including the fact that the market isn't agreeing with me.
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: All right, the stupid sun Belt Tournament, which is that
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: long ass wide tournament bracket where there is the potential
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: that a team might have to play seven games in
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: seven days. The sun Belt basically only has two games
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: every single day, and we have Louisiana and James Madison. Now,
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: Louisiana played yesterday, and I talked about.
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: This being an advantage.
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: So these games are all in Pensacola. So I think
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: the team that played yesterday does have an advantage because
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: they already played in this arena, so they're familiar with
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: the arena. They're familiar with the sight lines. Although I
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: know it's a small arena so you don't really have
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: to get that used to the site lines there.
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: But I think it does help.
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: Like when a team already has a game under their belt,
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: it's like they get the nerves out of the way.
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: They're adjusted to the arena already, you know what I mean.
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: They shed the RUSS. So I think there is an
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: advantage to the team that won yesterday. Now, would I
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: want to actually grab Louisiana here, Probably not. I expected
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: them to lose last night I'm actually pretty shocked they won.
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: This is a bad Louisiana team. Man.
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: They beat Georgia State as a small underdog yesterday, But
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: I do think they'll have the momentum edge. Like I said,
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: coming into this one, James Madison is the better team,
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: though James Madison got pretty hot at the end of
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: the season until they lost their final home game by
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: one point. They actually lost at home to Louisiana by
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: the way, as big favorites, so I think James Madison
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: is not going to take them lightly here after they
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: after they lost at home, and by the way, before that,
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: Coastal Carolina lost. That was James Madison's last loss, the
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: loss that spurred They're a huge win streak, and I
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: think maybe they were looking ahead to the Mac Sunbelt
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: Challenge game that they had upcoming after the Louisiana games.
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: So there are some reasons to like James Madison in
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: I think they'll win. They're definitely the better team.
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: They're up from five to six and a half here
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: eighty eight percent of tickets, ninety one percent of the cash.
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: But I can't look past the fact that Louisiana does
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of an advantage having played last night,
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: and people.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: Are gonna think that that's not an advantage, right.
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: Because people are gonna think, oh, well, that means that
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: team doesn't have any rest, right, So like that, I
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: think the market kind of adjusts to that and will
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: make the other team, like you know, the I think
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: you'll get value playing the team that played yesterday, in
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: addition to the fact that I think it's actually a
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: positive that they played because.
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: They got used to the venue. You know, they're.
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: They got momentum, they shed the nerves, the rust, whatever.
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: Whereas the market is gonna react and think, well, that
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: team played yesterday, so they're gonna be tired, you know
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: what I mean. So you might get some value on
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: that team too. So I actually probably might lean towards
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: taking the points at Louisiana. Here, the other Sun Belt
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: game is where my play is gonna come in. And
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: I am not agreeing with the market here Georgia Southern.
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: I don't understand why they're up to a two point
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: favorite with juice here.
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: I think Old Dominion is the better team here.
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: Sixty two percent of the tickets, ninety three percent of
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: the casual Georgia Southern I honestly have no idea why
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: Georgia Southern is the favor here. Ken Baum actually has
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: Old Dominion winning this game by two. He has Old
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: Dominion as a very unlucky team. They're like a bottom
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: forty luck team. They're pretty balanced both offense and deepfense.
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: They do play fast, so this I think this will
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: be a fast paced game. Both teams play fast. Georgia
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: Southern plays really fast. With an issue with Georgia Southern
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: is their deepfense is bad. So Old Dominion is the
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: better deepfense here, and now you're gonna be giving me
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: the better depfense getting points.
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: And Georgia Southern is a lucky team, as I've been
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: saying all year.
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: They're at one hundred and two in lock according to Kenbom,
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: and they're two sixty six in Kenbom's rankings. Old Dominion's
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: two forty five. So I don't know what is going
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: on with the market read here if there's like an
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: injury or I don't know what's happening, or maybe the
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: market is adjusting to the fact that Old Dominion played
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: last night.
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: Is that why?
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: Because oh yeah, Old Dominion they have to play a
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: second game. But I just told you that's actually an advantage.
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: So guess what this is actually my other play. We're
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: gonna take the points of the Old Dominion here.
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: At plus two.
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: Now it looks like it is what it is, even
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: though ken Bom has them winning the game by two.
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: So I think there is some line value. They were
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: getting the better deepense getting points. We're getting the team
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: that played last night, which, like I said, in a
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: tournament like this, that's actually an advantage because they got
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: the job done. They have momentum here, and if you
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: saw the game last night, Old Dominion was winning the
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: whole game easily and then they really just eased up
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: and it got a little bit close at the end.
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: So I think because Old Dominion was a big favorite
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: last night and they didn't cover, and I think they
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: kind of started to relax late in the game, I
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: think that might scare them into into more focus here.
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: And the you know, the fact that they took their
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: foot off the gas means they did not put put
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: in a full game of effort last night. Because they
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: easily beat whoever the hell who did they beat?
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: You all?
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: Monroe Monroe's terrible, So Old Dominion had an easy win
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: last night, and I think that helps them shed the RUSS.
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: It helps them get used to the.
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: Arena because they're playing in the same arena here. And
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: they got a bit of a scare at the end
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: because you all Munroe believe it or not.
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: Like I had the game on and I was like, oh,
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: this game's overall.
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: Dominions up by like fourteen, and then it actually their
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: leads slipped to five in the final like minute of
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: the game. So Old Dominion actually got a little bit
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: of a scare at the mhage. I think is actually
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: even better for Old Dominion coming into this game. So
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: I have no idea what's going on with the market,
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: but yeah, I like Old Dominion in this one. And
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: the public if they want to get involved in some
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: of these games, they're gonna look at this game and
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: they're gonna think like they're gonna play Georgia Southern here, man.
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, look at the team's records. Old Dominion had
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: a terrible record, especially their overall record like well below
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: five hundred, twelve and twenty and they were worse than
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: the Sun Belt. Georgia Southern had an above five hundred record.
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: It's basically a pick the winner situation here. The public
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: is only gonna come in on Georgia Southern here, man,
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: I would think, so, yeah, I don't get what's going
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: on in the market here.
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: I disagree with it.
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: We're gonna grab the points with Old Dominion, man, for
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: all of those reasons. And Georgia Southern comes into this
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: game cold. Like I said, they beat Marshall in their
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: final home game on the road, or their final regular
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: season game on the road, excuse me as seven and
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: a half point underdogs. So Georgia Southern in their last
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: game actually looked really good, scoring almost one hundred points.
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: But remember that was against Marshall, who was a really
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: bad defense. Old Dominion is better defensively than Marshall is.
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: Georgia Southern had that win. So they're coming off a
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: big road upset win in their last game, and I
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: know that ended a losing streak for them, but I
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: think that's difficult. They also finished the season with four
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: road games in a row, so they're playing a fifth
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: game in a row away from home.
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: That's not easy to do either.
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: And the last time they played Old Dominion, actually I
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: think they played them twice, right, let me see, hold on, Yeah,
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: they beat them both times during the regular season, by
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: seven on the road and then by three at home.
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: So it's a double revenge spot. And as I just.
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: Showed you, I actually think Old Dominions the better team,
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: and we're getting double revenge here because Georgia Southern beat
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: them both times.
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion. Interestingly, though, Georgia Southern.
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: Was favored on the road in the first game, but
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: I think that was back when Georgia Southern looked really good,
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: their record was really good and Old Dominions wasn't and
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: since then we've seen these teams shift quite a bit.
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: Old Dominion actually was the better team in that game
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: in a lot of ways, though they did get out rebounded,
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: but they held onto the ball well and Georgia Southern
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: won because they had more free throw attempts and Old
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: Dominion shot terribly. Old Dominion had more field goal attempts
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: in the game, but they had a horrible shooting game.
• 59:11
  Speaker 2: So I know Georgia Southern is the better offense. So
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: that was basically why they lost that first game. And
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: then the game at Georgia Southern was really close. Georgia
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: Southern was a five and a half point favored in
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: that game, but again ken Baum is telling you Old
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: Dominion is the better team. So I just don't really
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: get what's going on with some of these numbers here.
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: And Old Dominion, by the way, led this game at
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: Georgia Southern, Old Dominion had the lead for more than
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: half the game. Old Dominion led fifty seven percent of
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: the way. In that game, the rebound battle was even,
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: and again Georgia Southern went to the line way more
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: in that game and had a better shooting game even
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: though Old Dominion had more.
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: Field goal attempts, So.
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: You could make the argument Old Dominion was the better
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: team in both games.
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: So yeah, we're playing Old Dominion.
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: In this one man, And that is my second of
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: the two plays there. All right, let's talk about the
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: rest of the conference tournament games here and then I'll
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: go to we have to do any GEL and NBA
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: here too. All right, we got to talk about what's
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: next Ohio Valley. I guess starting with Eastern Illinois and
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: SIU Edwardsville. These games are all in Evansville, Indiana, not
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: to be confused with Edwardsville, Illinois, which is where SIU
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: Edwardsville is, so this is a neutral location. Eastern Illinois
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: actually just lost by twenty seven points at SIU Edwardsville
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: to finish the regular season, so there is a little
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: bit of a quick revenge angle here, but again it's
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: not really revenge. It's more just that Eastern Illinois might
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: be able to make some adjustments off of that loss,
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: and maybe SIU Edwardsville will take them a little bit
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: more lightly because they just easily handle them. They played
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: them earlier in the season and lost though, so Eastern
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: Illinois actually did win the home game during the regular season,
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: and the team split with each home team winning, but
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: the most recent one was really recent. So there is
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a quick reccency angle here where
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: maybe SAU edwards Will just won't take them as seriously.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: They are definitely the better team. The money is coming
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: out in Eastern Illinois though, and I don't disagree with that.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: SIU edwards Will is a five point favorite. Eighty percent
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on them, so they are the public
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: side because they have the way better record. I know
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: Eastern ILLINOI is really bad. Fifty percent of the cash
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: on Eastern Illinois. They barely even made this tournament because
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: the Ohio Valley drops the bottom two teams I think
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: Eastern Illinois was the last team to make it, so
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: I think this is like the eight versus the five
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: seed or something like that. In this tournament, the best
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: teams aren't playing yet because they got buys. Yeah, I'll
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: lean towards that revenge angle and grabbing Eastern Illinois plus
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: the points.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: The five looks really easy.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: When you see that SIU Edwards will just beat them
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: by twenty seven. Oh well, of course they'll win by
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: five on a neutral, right, I would slightly lean towards
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: taking the points there. And then the other game in
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: the Ohio Valley today is the other bottom two teams
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: in that conference, which are Arkansas Little Rock or just
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: Little Rock now and linden Wood. Linden Wood is the
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: better team. This is all these games around that neutral
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: location in Evansville. By the way, Little Rock is usually
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: pretty good in this conference, or I think they were
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: in a different conference.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: Up until somewhat recently.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: They haven't had a good season, though, but they did
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: start turning it around a little bit.
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: Towards the end of the season.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: They played a couple of competitive games against some of
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: the best teams in the conference. So Little Rock is
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: starting to play better. The last time they played linden Wood,
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: they lost at home and they actually won on the road,
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: so interestingly enough, the road team won both regular season
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: The road team won each of the regular season matchups here,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: and the road team split one and one. Very in
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: the team split one on one, with the road team
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: winning each game, I should say, so that's interesting. But
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: if you go with kind of the zig zag approach,
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: Little Rock loss at home in the last game, so
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: maybe they will be the team to make some adjustments here.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: Lyndam Wood is pretty new to Division one still, so
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: they're not I think. I don't think they're totally used
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: to this tournament set up. They did just end along
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: losing streak by beating Western Illinois, but they were kind
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: of the less impressive team down the stretch here. Little
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: Rock was definitely showing more competitive spirit towards the end there.
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: Linda Wood's down from three to two and a half
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: here seventy five percent of tickets eighty nine percent of
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: the casual lindham Wood. I think it looks kind of
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: easy to play Lindawood here though, because they have the
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: way better record and they're not laying that many points.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: I think I would probably lean towards little rock bluss.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: The points there, but I don't really have a strong
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: opinion there.
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: Kyle, what's up? Thanks for hanging out a meeting. I
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: don't know.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: I don't know what those are like, all right, and
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: then what else do we have here? We're talking about
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: Summit League next, let me see, No, we'll talk about
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: the The Northeast Conference is really getting underway tonight.
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: Remember this is the conference where Lemoyne and Mercyhurst. They
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: cannot get into the NCAA tournament because they're still in transition.
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: They moved up from Division two to Division one like
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: two or three years ago, so they still can't make
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: the NCAA tournament, which is weird, but I think it
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: means they're gonna have more motivation in this tournament because
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: they know they're not playing after this.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: I got a little bit of this wrong when I
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: broke down this tournament, I was slightly wrong. I apologize.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: This tournament is not like a straightforward like eight slash
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: nineteen bracket. They actually recede so Long Island, assuming that
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: they win, which I'll talk about that game in a
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: little bit, but I think they'll win against Chicago.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: State Long Island.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: If they advanced, they'll face whoever the lead, whoever the less,
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: whoever the least seed is that wins out of all
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: the other games, will will play Long Island in the
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: next game. And these games, by the way, are all
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: at the home team. These are all at the higher
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: seeds home arena or the better seeds home arena, So
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: keep that in mind. So the better seed is actually
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: hosting the games in this conference tournament. But because of
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: the reseed, that does help Long Island a little bit more. Now,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: when I talk about this tournament, I did say that
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: I thought there was some value with Mercy Hurst getting
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: through this tournament, and I still agree with that because
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: I think the setup will still be basically what you think. Like,
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: you know, if one of these other teams gets bounced,
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: as long as Mercy Eharst wins this game today, you
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: know they likely will not have to face Long Island
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: yet in the next game. Was there the three seed? Well,
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: actually it depends if well yeah, yeah, because as long
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: as yeahs if Mercy Hearst wins, then yet, then they
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: will not play Long Island in the next game because
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: Stonehill and Lemoyne. That's guaranteed that one of those teams wins,
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: and they're both lower seeds than Mercyharst, So yeah, I
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: got that structure a little bit wrong. But they do
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: a reseeding after this round, so Long Island will play
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: whoever the least seed is that advances, and then the
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: other two teams play each other. So that's yeah, I
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: got that a little bit wrong.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: Anyway. Stonehill at Lemoyne.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: This is interesting was Lemoyne lost both games during the
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: regular season to stone Hill, but Lemoyne is actually the
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: better team and Leamoyn.
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: Has been pretty competitive here.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: Like in the conference, They've played pretty competitively against some
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: good teams and this time they are at home, although
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: I know they lost at home earlier in the year
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: to Stonehill. Lamoyn's down for seven to six and a
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: half here. The money is coming in on stone Hill
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: plus the points. Though sixty seven percent of tickets are
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: on the Moyne, sixty percent of the cash on stone Hill. Now,
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: I don't really disagree with stone Hill, but it's only
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: because they think the line is the number is too high.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: That's just what I think because if you look at
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: what the line when they played at Lemoyne. Stonehill won
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: that game, like I said, but Lemoyne was much lower
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: of a favorite than this. I think they were like
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: a three or four point favorite, So I don't really
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: know why they're six point favorite here. So that line
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: does throw me off a little bit. I think the
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: line is a little bit too high. But Lemoyne having
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: lost both games during the regular season, man, seems like
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: that will be like it will be a situation where
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: I think they will make adjustments here.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: But you know, as far as I said.
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: About the motivation, like yeah, these teams like Lemoyne and
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: Mercyhurst that know that they can't make the NCAA tournament,
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: they'll be motivated because you know they're not playing again
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: after this.
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: But of course every team is going to be.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: Motivated again, like I said, because you know, the other
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: teams can make the conference tournament, although actually I'm not
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: sure if stone Hill can because.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: They're pretty they're pretty new to Division one as well.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: This conference is crazy, man, all right.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: All these games are at seven pm, by the way,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: and then Fairly Dickinson.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: Is at mercy Hurst.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: This is also a situation where the less team, Fairly
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: Dickinson actually won both regular season matchups, which is crazy.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: I kind of.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: Dug into it and there were some arguments to me
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: made that mercy Hurst was the better team, but they
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: got out rebound into both games. That was kind of
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: the problem in the game at Fairley Dickinson most recently,
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: Mercyhurst had the lead for more of the game, but
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: Fairly Dickinson just went to the line way more. But
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: they did also have way more rebounds, So that would
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: be my worry with mercy Hurst is they can't rebound.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: So they did get dominated.
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: On the boards by FDU both times, which sounds crazy
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: because that FDU is usually not good in that department.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: But I still think Mercyhurst is the better team and
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: probably makes the adjustments, and they are at home and
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: their home game, by the way, they were like a
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: five or six point favorite and now they're only four
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: and a half.
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: So I think there might actually be.
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: Live value on Mercyhurst. So where I think the line
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: is too high on La Mooinne, I actually probably would
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: lay it with mercy Hurst and this one that's probably
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: the way I would lean sixty percent of the tickets
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: on them, though in seventy six percent of the cash
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: on FDU Now, one thing I will point out though
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: about Lemoyn and Mercyhurst is those teams they're not experienced
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: programs at dealing with the conference tournament, you know what
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: I mean. So a team like FDU that's been through
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: this tournament every year, basically they have much more experience
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: in this tournament. So that is an advantage that they
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: have there FDU, So a lot of things to keep
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: in mind here. Then we have Wagner at Central Connecticut.
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: So stone Oll Lemoyne is the four to five matchup,
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: Fairley Dickinson, Mercy Hears is the three to six. Wagner
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: Central Connecticut is the two to seven game. Wagner I
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: believe lost both games to Central Connecticut, but they are
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: the lesser team as well. Let me see, Yeah, they
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: did lose both regular season matchups. Wagner finished the season
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: pretty hot with four wins in a row, though U
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: Central Connecticut.
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're as good as their record looks, as.
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: I pointed out, but they finished on a hot note
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: as well, then won eight of their last nine games.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: Oddly, their only loss.
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: Was too Chicago State, which is really weird. Maybe they
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: won't take Wagner totally seriously though, because they did already
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: beat them twice, but the money is coming in on
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: Central Connecticut.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: Do I think they're gonna lose the game? Probably not.
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: And Central Connecticut remember the last time that program was
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: in this conference tournament, they lost as a huge favorite.
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: At home on their home floor where they are tonight.
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: Last year they were a big favorite in the conference
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: final and they lost to Saint Francis, So they probably
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: remembered that and might want to show up for that reason.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: Maybe eighty percent of the tickets eighty seven percent of
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: the cash on Central Connecticut. I'd still probably lean towards
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: taking the points with Wagner, though, I mean, this conference
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: just plays a lot of ugly, low scoring games. Member
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: it really is ugly to lay points in this conference.
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: And then the probably the ugliest game is Chicago stayed
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: at Long Island. I mean, this is the biggest gap
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: between teams. Long Island's been the best team in this conference.
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: Like all year, they're an eleven and a half point faise,
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: ninety percent tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on them,
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: they are at home here. I don't think i'd want
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: to lay the eleven and a half, but I think
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: I probably would lean towards taking the points, just it
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: is a ton of points to lay. Like, do I
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: think Long Island's gonna lose, No, I don't. I think
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: they should win pretty easily, to be honest, But asking
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: a team to lay points like that in a conference
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: like this is just that's not really in my repertoire.
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: Let's say, now Long Island against Chicago State during the
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: regular season, they won at Chicago State in a blowout,
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: and then the most recent time they played they actually, yeah,
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: they beat them pretty handily both times.
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: They actually covered this number both times.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: But because they just played them two games before the
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: end of the regular season and beat them by seventeen,
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: you know, maybe there is a little bit of a
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: you know that maybe there's a little bit of an
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: aspect to this where they just don't take Chicago State
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: as seriously as maybe they should. Chicago State, usually a
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: horrible team, has actually been at least a little bit
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: more competitive then you would expect. But I think they're
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: also new to this conference. I don't know why Chicago
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: State is in the Northeast Conference when they are indeed
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: in Chicago, So I don't know. I don't know why
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: that's the case, and now they have to go over
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: to Long Island. Long Island place in Brooklyn, which is
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: technically on Long Island. All right, then we got some
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: horizon action here. The horizon begins as well. God, there
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: are a lot of conference games to talk about here.
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: Luckily today there's not much else going on in the
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: other sports.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: On Northern Kentucky is playing it at Oakland.
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: These games are also hosted by the home teams right now,
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: so this game is at Oakland, which is in Rochester, Michigan,
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: by the way, at the the OU Credit Union O Arena,
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: which is the Oakland Arena is the O Arena. It
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: makes it sound irish, but yes, a lot of people
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: don't realize Oakland is in Oakland, Michigan or Rochester, Michigan,
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: which is close to Detroit.
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: But anyway, Northern.
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: Kentucky, you know I talk about on Northern Kentucky could
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: be a dark horse in this tournament because they're not
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: that bad of a team in this convererse. They did
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: just finish the season with a really close game against
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: Wright State, though, who is the one seed, So I
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: don't know how much they're gonna have left in the
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: tank after that because that was a big game. Although
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: they have had some time some time off to get
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: ready for this. They lost both games to Oakland during
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: the regular season, though, and I looked at those box
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: scores and Oakland was the better team in both games,
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: and they indeed are the better team. Oakland comes into
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: this off a pretty ugly closing game against Detroit Mercy.
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: I know Detroit Mercy is the three seed in this tournament,
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: but they're not that good so Oakland. I mean, like
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: I mentioned in my bracket in my conference tournament breakdown,
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: they do have the way more experienced coach here. Oakland
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: has I forget what his name is, He's the most
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: like experienced coach in this entire tournament. He's been at Oakland,
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: I think for a long long time, and I think
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: he was the coach when they won that tournament game
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: against Kentucky a couple of years ago with Jack Gokey
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: hitting all those threes. Oakland's a two and a half
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: point favorite here. They got sixty two percent of ticket
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: sixty three percent of the cash on them.
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards Oakland.
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: I think they will get the win here, and I
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: did mention them as being the value play to get
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: through this conference tournament, but we will see. I do
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 2: think they're one of the better teams in the conference.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: Like I think they're second or third best.
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: I think they're better than Detroit.
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: I think they're probably only slightly worse than Wright State
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: and Robert Morris in this conference. On Milwaukee at that
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: Detroit Mercy team, they were playing at Detroit Mercy. So
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 2: a couple of these games being played in the Detroit
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: area tonight. So if you're in Detroit and you gotta
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: choose which one of those games you wanted to go to,
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: I would go to the Northern Kentucky Oakland game if
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: it was me. I think you're watching two better basketball
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: teams in that game if you go to that one.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: I Milwaukee finish the season, you know, with a win
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: over Youngstown, which isn't too bad.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know they're that great of a team.
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: Though they lost both games to Detroit Mercy and both
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: were pretty recent. They played them both close to the
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: end of the season. But maybe Detroit Mercy won't take
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee that seriously. And you know, I don't think Detroit
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: Mercy is really that good of a team. They finished
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: really hot though, so they did get hot at the
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: right time. They won five of their last six games.
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: So they finished the season by winning on the road
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: out of Oakland, which was a nice big road upset
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: for them.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: So you know, there might be a little bit of
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: a letdown component to this.
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: Maybe they don't take Milwaukee as seriously as they should,
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: given that they beat them twice. It looks interesting that
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: they're only a two point favorite and a three six
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: match up here, and people are gonna look and see
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 2: Detroit as the way better record here and probably want to.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: Go with Detroit here. But things aren't that easy, man.
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: It looks too easy to me, So I think I
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 2: would lean towards Milwaukee and this one plus the points
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: Detroit down from two and a half to two here,
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: seventy six percent of tickets, seventy eight percent of the
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 2: cash on them, But I would lean towards Milwaukee and
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: that one.
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: All right, Youngstown and Robert Morris.
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: This game will be at Robert Morris which is in
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 2: Moon Township, Pennsylvania, which I think is somewhere near Pittsburgh
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 2: if I'm not mistaken.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: Young Sound comes into this game.
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: Losing their last two games of the regular season, both
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: on the road. They lost at home to Robert Morris
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: the last time they played them. In fact, they lost
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: both games, but they actually took Robert Morris to overtime
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: on the road the first time, so they were reasonably
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: competitive against Robert Morris both times.
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: The other game they lost by six.
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: Maybe Robert Morris will take them a little bit more
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: seriously because of that, and Robert Morris probably the hottest
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: team of this conference. They finished the season on a
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: seven game win streak. But you know, the conference tournament
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: is like a reset, man, So finishing the season that hot,
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: having time off might hurt you, you know what I mean, Like,
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: when you're that hot, you don't want to have that
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: much time off.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: And then well, at least for them, they're not going
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: any where.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: They're staying at home, so they can continue that momentum.
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: But you don't want to have a break when you're
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: winning all these games like this, you know, so that
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: might hurt them a little bit momentum wise. The money
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: is all coming in on Youngstown in this game. Robert
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: Morris down from five to four and a half. Here,
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: uh sixty one percent of tickets on them seventy eight
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Youngstown. So the money is
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: all coming in on Youngstown. Even though I said I
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: kind of like Robert Morris to get through a lot
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: of this tournament, you know, I don't know, man, This
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 2: is a tricky game for them. Youngstown seems to always
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: like fail at some point in this tournament. Robert Morris
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: won the tournament last year, but that means they will
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: have a target on their back. They might take Youngstown
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: a little bit less seriously because they did beat them
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: twice again. Youngstown lost by three and six points in
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: the two games to Robert Morris. Yeah, it's a tough andicap,
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: but I'll agree with the market read in that when
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: it's a strong market read on Youngstown plus the points.
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: Even though I think Robert Morris gets through this game,
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 2: they could go on a run in this tournament.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: We will see.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: And then the game that's the most lopsided is Cleveland
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: State and Wright State. Now, I will say what I
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: said before. Cleveland State already played a game the other night.
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: We saw them in that high scoring game where I
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: was correct about the over in that game against IU Indye.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: They beat IU Indy. But you know that does mean
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: the Cleveland State has a game under their belt already
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: in the tournament, so that means they were able to
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 2: shed whatever rust they might have at These teams weren't
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: really off that long. I mean, they pretty much played
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: on Saturday, so the Russ factor probably isn't that big
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: of a deal coming into this tournament. But Cleveland State
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: was able to end a long losing streak though, So yeah,
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: I think it was kind of like maybe a little
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: bit of a reset to start playing in the conference tournament.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: They beat IU Indy. Now they have momentum, they get
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: to shed the nerves, you know, because they played a
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: game in the tournament already. The problem is it's not
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: a neutral location tournament right now, you know, so they're
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: playing all these early games are all played at the
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: home site. So they do have to travel now to
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: Right State, which is somewhere in.
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: Eastern Ohio I think, so Cleveland State.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: It's not that far of a trip though, because they're
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 2: just going from Cleveland to wherever the hell right State is,
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: which is I don't think that far from Cleveland, so
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: that's where they're going. Actually it's in Dayton, Ohio, So
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 2: I didn't realize they were in Dayton interesting at the
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: Nutter Center, the Adam Nutter Center, or maybe it's a
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: place where everybody just goes to jack Off.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know. But Right State is definitely the better team.
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: They did lose very strangely.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: They lost at home to Cleveland State the last time
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: they played them, or excusely, the first time they played them.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: This year, which is really weird.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: They did get their revenge towards the end of the
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: season with a road win over Cleveland State. I don't
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna lose again to Cleveland State. Man, they
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: got it out of their system. They know Cleveland State
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: is good enough to beat them.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: I don't think it happens here.
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: Wright State is a huge favorite, but covering the number
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: is a different story. They're up to a fifteen point
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: favorite here. Now I know Cleveland State is defensively. The
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: total is pretty high in this game eighty eight percent
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: of the tickets, ninety five percent of the casual and
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: Right State. I still don't think I would lay the
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: points here, though, I think I would lead towards taking
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: the points. I mean, Cleveland State does at least have
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: the momentum of a play in that game already, so
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: that's probably those would.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: Be my thoughts on that game.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: And then I think the last oh, no, we have
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: two more conference tournaments to talk about where, yeah, we
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: have two more that are single games in these conference tournaments.
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: To kick off the conference tournament, we have the basically
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: the playing game in the Big South between Gardner Webb
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: and South Carolina Upstate. Horrible, horrible game at seven thirty PM.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: This will be in a neutral location. The whole tournament
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: is being played in Johnson City, Tennessee. I don't even
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: know where Gardner web is, to be honest, I know
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: South Carolina Upstate is in Spartanburg, South Carolina.
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: Which I think is because it's upstate.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure it's in like the.
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: Northwest area of South Carolin line.
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure they're called the Spartans because they're I
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: think it's Spartanburg, which is I think their way.
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: I think the.
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: Spartans are the Trojans. Yeah, they're the Spartans, Yeah, I think,
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: because they're in Spartanburg. Anyway, these teams played each other
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: in the last game of the REGU season, and oddly enough,
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: it was revenge for South Carolina Upstate Gardner Webb is
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: a terrible team this year.
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: Man, they are god awful.
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 2: They're like a bottom five team in ken Baum in
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: the entire country. But their one conference win was actually
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: against South Carolina Upstate. They actually beat South Carolina Upstate
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: at home by two points, so I think that probably
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: embarrassed South Carolina Upstate. So they did get the revenge,
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: but they actually didn't cover. They only won by ten
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: at home in their last game. So you know, maybe
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: Gardner Webb does have something in them in this game.
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, stranger things have happened than you know, Gardner
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: Webb putting up a fight in this game and maybe
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: being able to cover against a USC Upstate team. It's
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: still not that good. Do I think they're gonna win? Yes,
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: I do think they'll win USC Upstate. They're up from
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: a ten point favorite to an eleven point favorite here
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: eleven and a half. I might, you know, I might
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: actually lead towards taking the points with Gardner Webb though
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: I know how bad they are, but they did cover
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: the number of both times against USC Upstate this year,
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: and at some point, you know, you gotta put some
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: weight into that. And it's not like USC Upstate is
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: a great team. No, In fact, they're the second worst
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: team in this conference. So yeah, take from that what
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: you want to. There is just a huge gap there though.
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: Gardner web is absolutely atrocious this year. But yeah, that's
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: gonna be a horrible, horrible game, and the winner of
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: that game will then have to play High Point and
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: then we have the opening game in the Summit because
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: that's a nine team tournament as well.
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: Pretty much just as bad.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: This game would be a neutral sight in Soup Falls,
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: South Dakota, which I don't know if either team has
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: much of an advantage there. Between Kansas City the Ruse
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: one of the worst team names ever. Yeah, all those
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: kangaroos in Kansas City up against Oral Roberts who are
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: in Tulsa, Oklahoma. The Golden Eagles a bit of a
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: better at least that's a better team name, even though
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 2: it's kind of a generic Oil Roberts is the better
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: team here, though. Kansas City is absolutely abysmal. They are
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: the worst team in the Summit for sure, just like
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: Gardner Webb, although I think they're a little bit better
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: than Gardner Webb. They only had one win in the
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: Summit this year, and I believe it was oh no,
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: it was.
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: It was not actually against ORL Roberts.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: It was against Omaha, believe it or not, on the road,
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: So very very strange random win for Kansas City. But
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 2: in fact they actually lost to Oral Roberts both games,
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: including losing it home by twenty four in their.
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: Final home game, and that was the last game they played.
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: So there is a little bit of a zigzag component
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 2: to this man where maybe Kansas City will make the
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: adjustments here, maybe Oral Roberts just.
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: Won't take them that seriously.
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, Oil Roberts is not a great team, and
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: maybe having a little bit of extra time off will
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: hurt the momentum for Oil Roberts because they finished on
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: a three game win streak, believe it or not, and
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: Kansas City finished on an insane losing streak because.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: They haven't won since that game against Omaha.
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 2: But I think because Roberts beat them by twenty four here,
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: I think maybe Oil Roberts actually won't take them that seriously.
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: Here I would probably take the points with Kansas City.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: Oil Roberts is.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: Up to an eight and a half point favorite here
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 2: eighty percent of the tickets and only seventy seven percent
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them. This is gonna be a
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 2: hideous game that I really want nothing to do with.
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean that's basically how I see the game.
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: All right, that's College of basketball, man, long college basketball
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: breakdowns on the show.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: The rest of the show is gonna be quick.
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: I don't have any plays remaining, but we'll talk about
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: five hockey games next year.
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: Let's go to the hockey.
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: Segment here because we dude, everybody's gonna be focused on
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 2: college of basketball and me because I enjoy it.
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: But if you can.
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: Find value in these other sports, you know, that's what
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: you want to do.
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: You know, I'm considering giving giving out a play here
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: in hockey because the market is agreeing with me. Now
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: on the one that I'm really close to giving out
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: a play.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: Let's see.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: Though it's not the first game that we have, which
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 2: is Vegas and Detroit. This is not the game that
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: I want to give out a play on. But this
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: is an interesting game, pretty good game. Vegas has actually
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: lost three games in a row. They're finishing a road
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: trip here, but it's a difficult spot for them because
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: they're playing a fifth road game in eight days since
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: coming out of the Olympic break, so it's not that easy. Actually,
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: they won the first game on the road against that
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: struggling Kings team, and then they've lost three straight since then.
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: Now you might get an effort out of them just
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: because of that. But they're on a back to back,
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: coming off a fairly big game against Buffalo last night
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: where I thought Vegas would win that game and they didn't.
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: You know, it's a tough.
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: Spot though, playing you know, three games in four days,
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: all in different cities, four and six, five and eight,
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: all in different cities.
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: Back to back.
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 2: So even though I think you'll get motivation out of Vegas,
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: the travel spot is difficult and the lack of rest.
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: Detroit's returning over from a road trip though they've been
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 2: on the road for almost a week, and you know,
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: I talk about that when a team returns home from
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: a road trip. I don't think that's a great spot either,
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 2: although I prefer fading teams off of longer road trips,
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: but still, it's a road trip returning. A lot of
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: times you return home and you lack focus a little bit.
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 2: You got to get back to home life.
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: Whatever.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: Detroit just coming back from Nashville in the final leg
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: of that road trip, though they do have a day
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: off which Vegas does not. Vegas might be a team
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: that maybe they won't overlook even though they do a Florida.
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: The returning champs on deck.
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: But Vegas is good, so I don't know that you
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: really overlook them. But the money is coming in towards Vegas.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: Detroit's down for minus one thirty five to minus one
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: thirty one, seventy four percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: sixty six percent of cash. So the money is agreeing
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: with Vegas. So the Margaer reed does say Vegas grab
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: them as the underdog here.
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: It's just such a tough travel spot, man.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, I guess I'll agree because I really hate
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: teams are turning on from road trips. I guess I'll
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: agree with Vegas slightly. But I don't want it on
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: the next game up. I'm gonna skip it. But this
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: is close to being a play for me. I like
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: Toronto in this game against New Jersey. This is I
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: think the best read of the day in hockey. At
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 2: least Toronto was not once since before the Olympic break.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: They went into the Olympic break on a good note.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: Whin he three games in a row and then they
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 2: came out of the break, all momentum was gone and
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: they lost all four games. But they did lose two
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: games in Florida to Tampa and Florida, so you can't
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: really blame them for that. And then, you know, a
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: return home spot, you know, maybe that was a bad
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: spot too, losing to Ottawa. They just had a better
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 2: performance against Philadelphia, but they still lost the game. I
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: think now with a day off and going out on
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: the road, I think that might be a good thing,
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: just you know, forget about your losing streak, go out
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: on the road, focus on hockey. So I think it's
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 2: a fine spot for Toronto, even though they are coming
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: off a shootout two nights ago. A New Jersey played
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: last night and they destroyed Floor on a five to one.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: That is a really impressive win.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: And when you're sitting at home on a back to back,
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 2: after coming off a huge game like that against the
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: back to back returning champs, I think.
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: You're gonna be feeling pretty high on yourselves. Man. Now,
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: I know New.
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 2: Jersey had a little bit of rest prior to that game,
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: so they are the more rested team and they are
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: staying at home, which is pretty much why I can't
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: quite get there with this one. This game is on
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: Hulu by the way, at seven pm. But I like
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: Toronto in this one. And this is the strongest hockey
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: lean of the day, which does tell you it's not
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: a good hockey board today. But seventy one percent of
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: tickets and now seventy three percent of the cash on
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: New Jersey throughout from minus one to fifteen to minus
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: one twenty. But they are a public side. My opinion
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: in this game, my strongest hockey opinion of the day
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: would be Toronto. Money line would be the way I
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: would play that game, all right, Carolina at Vancouver. Carolina
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: just took a pretty ugly loss at Seattle. I think Carolina,
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: you know, they were coming up a couple of pretty
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: big wins over Tampa and Detroit.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: I think maybe they got caught, you know. And I
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: talk about how.
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: These East Coast teams, the first game that they play
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: out on the Pacific Coast can get a little bit
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: tricky because they have to play.
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: A late night game.
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: Now, I don't know what's going on with Bussy here,
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: who has become Carolina's best goalie.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: He's I think he's still a rookie.
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he is a rookie, even though he's twenty seven weird.
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's injured or anything. I think they
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 2: just gave him more rest, but he'll probably be back
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: in net here. Anderson wasn't even bad in the last game. Though.
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: They really have two pretty good goalies man.
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 2: Anderson was Carolina's pretty good goalie up until this year
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: when Bussy has just been really good.
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: But they have a really good goaltending tandem.
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: Man, this Carolina team is gonna be pretty dangerous in
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: the playoffs, which I think we already knew that anyway.
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: But maybe Carolina will bounce back, although they did was
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: a five game win streak, but I don't think that
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be like a total momentum stopper that they
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: lost that game because they only had two wins out
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: of the All Star breaks, so the momentum stopper could
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: have been or the Olympic break. The momentum stopper could
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: have been the Olympic break and that didn't really happen.
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: So but will they totally focus on Vancouver is really
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: the question here. When they do play Edmonton coming up next,
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: and that.
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: Is a bigger game. Vancouver is like a dormat.
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: But I don't know, man, maybe Carolina will show up
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: just because they did have kind of an ugly performance
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: in the last game. Vancouver is probably gonna show up too,
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: though you want to talk about ugly. They just got
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: smoked five to one at Seattle, and then they lost
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: six to one against Dallas. This is Vancouver team really really
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: having problems. But they might give you an effort here
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 2: against Caroline. Although you could have said that against Dallas
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: too and they got smoked. But coming off of a
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: game where they got absolutely destroyed, you might get an
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: effort out of Vancouver here. Carolina is a super public side.
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: They're up to my.
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: Ninety tickets ninety seven percent of the cash in Carolina. Well,
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: I do think Carolina probably does win this game, you know,
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, as far as the side is concerned. You know,
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: maybe looking towards Vancouver on the puck line might make
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 2: some sense in this one.
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, Carolina is just a very public road favorite,
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 2: and that's not what I like to deal with.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: Islanders at Anaheim.
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: Now, the Islanders are in a spot where they're an
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: East Coast team going to the West coast to start
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 2: a road trip.
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know how.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: I talk about a lot of times you want to
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: get the road trip off on the right foot, and
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 2: you will be focused to start a road trip. But
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: East Coast team's going west for a ten pm game.
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: That is difficult on your biological clock. And it's worse
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: because the Islanders they just want a close game against Florida.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: That was a big game for the Islanders. Man.
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: It was with Ridditch and net though too, so they
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: will have Sorokan back in net year. Probably he is
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 2: their better goalie. But Anaim's really good at home, man,
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: And because of the traveling across time zones here, there
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: is the potential letdown coming up that game over Florida.
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: I probably have to lean Anaheim here. Anaheim is staying
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: at home and got absolutely annihilated in their last game
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: by Colorado. Now that did end a win stream for them,
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: but it was only three wins coming out of the
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: Olympic break, so I'm not too concerned about that.
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's staying at home, but it is a back to back.
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: They played yesterday and lost badly to Colorado, so I
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: don't think I can quite get there with this, but
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: I do like Anaheim. I think this is the second best.
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: Maybe you could argue this is actually the best hockey
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: leen of the day. I mean, Anaheim is really good
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: at home. Twenty wins, nine losses and one overtime loss
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: at home.
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: They did lose their last home game.
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: Like I said to Colorado, the Islanders are pretty good
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: on the road though eighteen eleven and three. But Anaheim
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: is very very good at home compared to what they
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 2: are on the road. The money is coming in on
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: Anaheim for what that's worth. Big pretty strong market read
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: on Anaheim here, and I do agree with that Islander
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: sixty four percent of the tickets around them seventy three
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Anaheim. I agree with Anaheim,
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 2: like I said. And then Saint Louis at Seattle is
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: the second.
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: Of the Hulu doubleheader. I don't know why. This is
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: a pretty bad game between two bad teams. Even though Seattle's.
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: Record looks good, they're not that good. Saint Louis is
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: coming off a win over Minnesota that was a huge
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 2: win going on the road in upsetting Minnesota.
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: Big win for Saint Louis there. Man. By the way,
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: I forgot to mention Bennington.
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis's goalie, was the Olympic goalie there, so I
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: forgot to mention that he could have met it maybe
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 2: a bit of a hangover spot because he played for
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 2: Canada in the Olympics there, and his first game was
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: bad against New Jersey, so I forgot to mention that
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: he might be in a bounce back mode coming into
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: this one. But I don't think he's that good of
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: a goalie though, And I don't like Saint Louis coming
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: off that huge win over Minnesota.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: Man, that was a nice upset win.
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: The problem is Seattle, like I showed you, they're coming
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: a big upset win as well against Carollina.
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: That was a really nice win for them.
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: And they might be switching a groob Houer in that
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: year because usually Decord plays two games, and he played
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: their last two games and he is their better goalies,
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 2: so they may be switching a groob Houer here and
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: he's lost their last two games. So I can't get
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: on board with Seattle here man, even though they are
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 2: staying at home. I don't like it for either team.
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 2: This is a stay away. Seattle is up for minus
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 2: one forty five to minus one fifty one. So the
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are telling you they're better than Saint Louis. That's
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: not really an impressive feet being better than the Blues
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: ninety percent of the tickets, ninety seven percent of the
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: cash on Seattle, they're definitely a public side, you know.
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: I almost I probably actually even lean towards Saint Louis
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 2: in this one because I think they actually might have
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 2: the goaltending edge in this game, as crazy as that sounds,
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 2: and I.
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: Think maybe I don't know.
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 2: Their upset win was pretty big though, because it was
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: on the road, so I don't know, but you can
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 2: tell why I don't want to play that game. And
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: you know, the way I think about things in over
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: might make sense because you're gonna have a second string
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 2: goalie for Seattle in the game. Both teams are in
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: letdown spots, which might affect the defense a little bit,
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: all right. And then we have six NBA games to
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 2: talk about here, which I don't have anything in the
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: NBA here either. ESPN has a doubleheader. Thunder at Knicks
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: is the first game. The Thunder are good enough that
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: there are laying points on the road here at the Knicks.
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: I think this will be pretty much a full roster
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: situation for both teams here. Gilg is Alexander's day to
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: day SGA. I think he missed the last game, but
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 2: I'm expecting to go play because this game is huge.
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 2: Same with Hartenstein. I would look and make sure you
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: know what the lineup is. You'll know based on what
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: the number does, too, but I think they'll both play.
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: Jalen Williams is still out for okay See. That's the one.
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: Big injury there. And then the Knicks. We know McBride
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 2: is out, he's been out for a while. Mitchell Robinson's
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: a game time decision, but it's a huge game, so
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: expects most of these guys are gonna get out there
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: and play. Okay See coming off win over Chicago yesterday,
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 2: so the Knicks get a nice scheduling advantage here because
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: okay See is playing a third game in four days,
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 2: in a fourth game in six days, all in different cities,
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: and a back to backs. That's not easy to do,
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: although at least they had kind of an easy game
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: last night againt Chicago. I think they actually probably rested
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 2: SGA in this game. They did SGA didn't play. Hart
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 2: and Stein didn't play either. So that's the thing about
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 2: ok C, man, they have such a deep roster. They
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 2: could just rest guys still win these games against these
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: bad teams, and then they have momentum and they have
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: you know, rested players here. So every back to back
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 2: is not the same, you know what I mean, Like
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers might adjust the number a little bit based
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 2: on the fact that it's a back to back, but
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: basically like their two best players didn't play yesterday. For
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: Okay Ceecil, they'll be pretty fresh coming into this game.
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 2: The Knicks, you know, the Knicks will get up for
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: this game. The Knicks are also a really good home team.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: The Knicks played last night too. They were in Toronto,
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: and I am really pissed about that getting that loss
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: on Toronto, really really pissed. The Knicks looked like they
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 2: won by a huge margin, but they were It was
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: a four point game with four.
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: Minutes to go.
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 2: Man, I am pissed. And the Knicks, unlike Okay See,
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 2: did play their best player Brunson, and they're traveling back home.
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 2: They're actually playing a fourth game in six days as well,
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 2: but two of the games being at home. The Knicks
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: are a lot better at home, twenty three and eight
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: in fact, at home, but the Thunder are actually twenty
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 2: three and eight on the road, so they're really good
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: on the road. I'm gonna lean to the Knicks here,
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 2: but it's a tough andycap. Both teams are in kind
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 2: of tough spots.
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: They'll both show up for this game.
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 2: But you know, the Thunder do have more rests here though,
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 2: because they rested their best two players yesterday. I just
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: I can't fade the Knicks getting points at home though.
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 2: Thunder up from three and a half to four here,
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 2: fifty five percent of tickets, fifty three percent of the
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: cash on them. The market reed is saying to take
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 2: the points with the Knicks. I'm not really going to
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 2: disagree with it, but it's not a game I want
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 2: anything to do with Charlotte at Boston.
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: Hopefully I'm not.
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 2: Getting sick here, man, Like my whole family was sick
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 2: and I was there on Saturday. But I think if
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 2: I'm not sick by now, I think i'm I don't
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 2: think I am.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: But Charlotte just beat Dallas.
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: They won five games in a row, but they pretty
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: much beat up on all bad teams, so they're really
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: having a step up the class to play Boston here,
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: and they're on a back to back. They beat Dallas
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: last night and now they have to travel to Boston.
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: The Celtics are having to travel as well, but they
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: do have one day off, but they played Sunday in
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: Monday though, so they're playing a third game in four days.
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: They're traveling back from Milwaukee here. They did rest Jalen
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: Brown in the game against Milwaukee and they won the
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: game anyway easily with Yannis coming back from Milwaukee.
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: Celtics have struggled against Charlotte in recent years.
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: Charlotte actually kind of has a similar style to the Celtics,
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: but the Celtics are just better at it than Charlotte
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 2: is man. You know, they haven't played this year, which
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 2: is interesting. I don't know what to do with this game.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in on the Celtics throughout from six
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 2: to seven, but some of that might be because the
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: Hornets are on a.
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: Back to back.
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 2: Fifty tickets are on the Hornets, fifty eight percent of
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Celtics. For my rooting interests, I
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: hope the Celtics win this game. The Margaret Reid is
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 2: saying to lay it with the Celtics. I mean, I
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: guess I'm not really going to disagree, but I don't
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: really have a good opinion on that game at all.
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: The next game is actually probably the strongest.
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: Opinion that I have in the NBA Utah at Philadelphia.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: I don't like Utah in this one. Utah gave it
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 2: their all in their last game.
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: We got to win on that one.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 2: On Monday on the show here they covered against Denver.
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 2: They almost won the game outright. Utah was winning that
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 2: game in the final minutes of the game there.
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: I think it was an overtime game. I no, it wasn't.
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: Wow, that's a high scoring, non overtime game. I thought
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 2: it was an overtime game.
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: It wasn't. But anyway, Utah covered.
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 2: You know, I talk about this when a team plays
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 2: a huge game against a good opponent, as a big
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 2: time underdog and they almost pull off the upset, which
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 2: is what Utah did. A lot of times they fall
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 2: flat in the next game.
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 2: Now they are starting a road trip, and sometimes you
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 2: are focused when you start a road trip, or they're
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 2: playing a Philadelphia team that might make the playoffs. They'll
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: probably at least be in the play in games, if
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: not the playoffs themselves. So maybe Utah would get up
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 2: for that reason. But Philadelphia is coming up a disgusting
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: loss to San Antonio. They lost by forty points on
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 2: their own floor, although that was yesterday. They were on
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 2: a back to back, and they have a thin roster,
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 2: and that's kind of the issue I have with Philly here.
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 2: They're still without both Embiid and George, so they have
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 2: a pretty thin roster to be playing on a back
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 2: to back here. But because they got absolutely annihilated by
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 2: San Antonio and they are staying at home here, I
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 2: would lean towards the Sixers here, man, I would lay
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 2: it the Jazz. I mean, you want to talk about injuries,
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 2: the Jazz are a super injured team themselves, though the
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 2: Sixers are still the better team here. They're down from
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 2: nine to eight and a half, but seventy three percent
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety one percent of the cash on the Sixers.
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: I agree with the Sixers in that one.
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's a decent spot because you have
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 2: one team coming up just an absolutely embarrassing loss, so
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: they're in a bounce back, so and then you have
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 2: Utah coming off a great performance when they almost pulled
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: off a huge upset, so plus the travel.
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: Portland at Memphis.
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 2: This game, Portland just lost by over thirty points to Atlanta,
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 2: so they may be in bounce back mode after that. Man,
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 2: they have a couple of days off to recollect themselves,
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: so maybe they'll show up. They on the other hand, though,
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 2: they just beat Memphis twice back in early February, so
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 2: there's a chance they don't take Memphis seriously, and they
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 2: do have Houston.
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: On deck, which is a big game.
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: But I think if you lose by thirty plus points
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 2: to somebody, I think you are going to show up
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: with effort in the next game.
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: In Memphis.
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 2: They put in a decent effort in their last three games,
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: and they're starting to play pretty well with this very
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 2: injured roster that they have here. They just took Minnesota
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 2: almost to the limit. Man, well, I think they made
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 2: a comeback in the game. Whatever, they only lost my
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 2: seven at Minnesota. That was a really nice performance from Memphis.
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: I believe I gave out a lean on Memphis in
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: the game. In that game. They're on the show here. Now.
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 2: Memphis is returning off from a road trip that makes
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 2: it kind of a bad spot.
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: Although there were only a way since Friday. But I
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: talk about that when a.
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 2: Team returns home from road trips, a lot of times
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: they're not focused. They're coming up that huge game against Minnesota,
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 2: so that's not great either. They're on a back to back,
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 2: traveling for soda. That game was last night. They're playing
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 2: a fourth game in six days, all in different cities,
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 2: so all of that is bad. So I think I
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 2: would lean to Portland here, but there were a couple
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 2: of reasons why I didn't love Portland, which I just
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 2: gave you because it is kind of double revenge for
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 2: the Grizzlies.
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: The Blazers might not totally.
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 2: Pay attention here, and I think because of the rest
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: edge the Blazers have, you have to lay a lot
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: of points with them here.
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 2: They're up to a nine and a half point favorite
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 2: here now, which is starting to get into that.
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: Territory where the number looks too high.
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 2: Seventy one percent of the tickets eighty two percent of
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Blazers. I mean, if you force
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: my hand, I guess I would still lean towards laying
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: it there. But I can't do it at a number
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 2: like that, so that's a stayaway as well. Atlanta at
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee is the second of the ESPN gives. Boy, that's
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: a downgrade from Thunder versus Nicks.
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: Then after that game you get Hawks bocks.
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, oh god, I mean, at least the Bucks
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 2: have Yanis back. I guess the Hawks are coming up
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 2: that ridiculous win against Portland wherey won by over thirty points,
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 2: so maybe they'll be feeling a bit high on themselves here.
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 2: They might pay a little bit more attention to Milwaukee
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 2: now that Milwaukee does have Yanis back, where they do
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 2: have a playoff team in Philadelphia on deck, but Philadelphia
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: is super injured, so maybe they won't be looking ahead
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: to Philadelphia. Milwaukee is staying at home and they did
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: just take an embarrassing loss to Boston. But remember it
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 2: was Gianni's first game back, so you know, and Boston's good,
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 2: you know, But a lot of times when your star
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 2: player comes back, you know, there's a chemistry issue, and
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 2: a lot of times you aren't, you know, you just
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 2: don't have your full team chemistry back or whatever. A
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 2: lot of times that second game after that you'll have
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 2: a much better performance, so I think Milwaukee will give
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 2: you a much better game here. So Milwaukee looked really
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: bad in their last game. The Hawks looked probably too
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 2: good in a blowout win.
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: So I would lean towards the Bucks here. They're up
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 1: from pick them to one and a half.
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: Here, unlike a college basketball I think I would lay
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: the points in NBA because I think going money line
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 2: in the NBA, I think it's a little bit less
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: advantageous than it is in college basketball. And these short
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: favorites fifty three percent of tickets, fifty four percent of
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Hawks. But I lean to the
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 2: Bucks in that game, all right, And then we have
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: the Pacers at the Clippers to finish this off, Indiana
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: at the La Clipper. Indiana's on a skid right now.
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: They've lost a bunch of games in a row, six
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 2: in a row, including losing to a really ugly Memphis
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 2: team that isn't playing anybody. So now, with a couple
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: of days off starting a road trip, maybe it's a
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 2: good spot for Indiana to just get out of home,
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 2: go on the road, focus on basketball. But they're having
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: to play a late night game though, at least I
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 2: don't think they're an Eastern time zone team Indiana, I
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: think they're Central. Maybe I'm wrong about that, but they
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 2: are still having to go out and play a late
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: night West Coast game though, and having to adjust to
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: that time zone difference, which isn't that easy. The Clippers
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 2: did just win at Golden State though, that was a
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 2: nice win, and they have a big game on deck
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 2: against San Antonio on ESPN.
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: That's a big game. So I think I would lean
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: to the Pacers in this game if I was going
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 1: to do anything.
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 2: Whether the money is coming in on the Clippers for
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 2: now though they're down to an eleven and a half
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: point favorite from twelve and a half, but sixty seven
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets eighty six percent of the cash on them,
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 2: I still think I would take all those points with
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 2: the Pacers though. Anyway, that's gonna do it. Man, that's
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 2: the breakdown today. Let's take a look at my market
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: reads before we get out of here. See what's changed.
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 2: The money's now coming in on New Mexico, So the
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 2: market red doesn't agree with me on New Mexico either.
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be fucked today. Man.
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: It doesn't agree with me on Colorado State. I mean
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 2: and it doesn't agree with me on Old Dominions, So
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 2: isn't that just great? Those are the two plays today,
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 2: Colorado State plus the points they can get at least
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 2: nine on this now, and Old Dominion I think you
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 2: can get at least two on this now. It's situational, man,
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: those are the situations I like the best.
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: Let's hope for the best. Let's get back on the
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: winning side here. Man. We have to win both games
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: to have a winning.
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 2: Night, though, so or if Colorado State wins outright and
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 2: we hit on the money line, because I always recommend
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 2: sprinkling the money line about ten percent of the bet,
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 2: I would say if that happens, then then it doesn't
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: matter what Old Dominion does. If the money line hits
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: on Colorado State, then it would be a winning night,
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 2: probably slightly.
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: All right, Charles, what's up? All right? That's gonna do it?
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: Learn a tone on Twitter?
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 2: Subscribe to me there, you know, throw me some support
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 2: that helps me. Learn a tone on Instagram that helps
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 2: me out as well. What else we got here?
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: Well like it?
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 2: Subscribe to the show here of course, as always, give
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 2: me the good reviews.
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: I'll be back at some point today.
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna be back and do another conference tournament breakdown
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 2: because we have a lot more brackets that are set in.
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 2: Some of them that I haven't talked about yet start tomorrow,
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: so I'm gonna talk about the futures in those, do
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: another of my conference tournament shows. So that'll be today.
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 2: At some point, I'll figure out when I want to
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 2: do it. I might want to do it before all
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 2: the huge games start tonight. I'll do it during the
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: Atlantic Sun tournament that's going on, although I kind of
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 2: want to watch those games too, so I don't know.
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 2: All right, Yeah, and then listen on audio as well.
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 2: Review you know, give me good reviews. Are there Apple
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 2: Spotify that helps me out as well? Covered you because
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 2: my yuke channel on YouTube you can check that out,
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 2: you know, like some describe there, like subscribe to all
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: my youtubes. Man, I'm thinking about doing maybe another YouTube channel,
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 2: Toad's Takes, where I just give opinions on culture pop culture.
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: We'll see, you know.
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 2: I'm thinking about analyzing all the Oscar contending movies and
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 2: breaking down how DEI.
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: Infested they all are.
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 2: Man, So if people think that that, you know, I'm
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: gonna do it. Do it with like a tears list
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 2: or something and people think that's interesting.
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: You know, maybe I'll start that channel.
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 2: I'll have too many YouTube channels, but maybe that's what
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: I'll do, So maybe I'll do that.
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: Those are it's just thoughts spinning in my mind. Man.
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: Patreon dot com, slash learn to Toad, you can give
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: me some support there as well.
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 2: And then Loser Cast. We had an episode last night.
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 2: You can check that out. We had a mad dog
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 2: from the Golden Shower Power who never shows his face.
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 2: He was our guest last night. We had a fun
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: time as usual.
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: Go check that out.
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it, man, And yeah, I'll be back
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 2: for the Conference Tournament Part two at some point.
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: I don't I'm probably gonna wind up doing I guess
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: four of those.
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 2: I don't know, because the last one that I do
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 2: is gonna be all the big conferences, I think, So
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: We'll see.
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 2: We'll see how it breaks out, how it breaks down,
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 2: but we'll see because at least one of the ones
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 2: I haven't talked about starts tomorrow.
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna do it for now. Peace out, everybody,