Latest / The Layback Podcast / Casey Mulholland's Response to the MLB Report on Pitcher Injuries (Ep. 59)
Transcript
- 0:00Hey everyone, welcome back to the Layback Podcast.
- 0:02Joining us today is Casey Mulholland.
- 0:05No sense doing a long intro for him since you guys could go
- 0:08check out. Gosh, I don't even know which
- 0:10episode it was, but I, I think it was in the 1st 10.
- 0:13Maybe you were #11 something like that.
- 0:15But Casey is a second time guest officially recurring.
- 0:19He answered the call as he knows it is mandatory to come back on
- 0:23whenever I ask after appearing once that that's just the way we
- 0:26do things around here. And today we really want to get
- 0:30into Casey's response to the MLB pitching injury report.
- 0:36Hopefully I titled that properly.
- 0:38I know it seems like the people that were responsible for
- 0:42authoring the report seem to be very finicky about what the
- 0:45report actually gets called. It was not a study, it's a
- 0:49report. I've heard that time and time
- 0:50again, but Casey took plenty of time in a fine tooth comb to
- 0:57write a 58 page response to I think the 64 page report that
- 1:03they came out with. So it seems like he might have
- 1:05gone pretty close to 1 for one with all of that.
- 1:09Casey, I'll shut up and listen for a little bit.
- 1:12I'd love to hear maybe what inspired you to get into it
- 1:15before we really get into the details of what you actually
- 1:18uncovered. Yeah, absolutely.
- 1:20Well, thanks for having me back for a second time.
- 1:22I appreciate that. And so, yeah, to be clear, I
- 1:24mean, covering this report, I was one of the 200 that was
- 1:27interviewed for the original report the MLB came out with.
- 1:30I spent the day that I got the phone call from the MLB.
- 1:34Remember, I spent like an hour and a half on the phone kind of
- 1:37uncovering these topics and, and kind of discussing what other
- 1:42people that had already been interviewed, what they had kind
- 1:44of brought to the table as ideas.
- 1:45Because remember, it's like all the responses, I'm not sure I
- 1:48had a response that actually ended up in the report.
- 1:50It was all of these people that had these responses.
- 1:53They just kind of hand selected what what came from it.
- 1:55So I'd imagine they spent an hour, hour and a half with each
- 1:58of those individuals, 200 people over the span of a year,
- 2:00etcetera. It was a great dialogue and I
- 2:02really appreciated the detail at which the MLB was willing to
- 2:06listen to, let's say like myself, facility owner just kind
- 2:09of rant about what we were seeing and some of the issues in
- 2:13baseball went down rabbit holes like you wouldn't believe.
- 2:15So when the report came out, I was slightly disappointed with
- 2:18the end because I felt this is spoiler for the actual response
- 2:21that I have. But I really felt that the
- 2:24answer to them was velocity and pitch design or creation of
- 2:27stuff. And I felt like that was maybe
- 2:31the thing that gets to the thing.
- 2:33So it was modality, Like you could make arguments that it's
- 2:36not just velocity and and pitch design that would cause fatigue.
- 2:40You could throw a whole bunch of other things into the mix as
- 2:42well and cause fatigue. So even generally acceptable
- 2:46rule standards according to their paper, right?
- 2:48Like let's say somebody who would throw 30 pitches in a game
- 2:52and do that maybe once a week and for less than 8 months of
- 2:54the year, like they're still susceptible to fatigue and
- 2:57injury. And that's something to be noted
- 2:59that we just don't talk about that much.
- 3:01Again, I appreciate the ML BS support and findings.
- 3:04I've been very clear about that. I tried to be very open about
- 3:06that in my response. No way with this like a hate
- 3:08paper of mine, like I was up at midnight, just like fuming and
- 3:12writing way on this thing. I wanted to provide like an
- 3:14educational construct and and basically say as a rebuttal, an
- 3:18educational rebuttal to the MLB to say, hey, listen, I hear you.
- 3:23I appreciate you wanna show you the way I see it a little bit
- 3:26more and detail my findings. Like this is not just my
- 3:28opinion. This is the opinion of Benny in
- 3:30the game today. You know, kind of really get to
- 3:33the crux of bringing baseball as a united front, bringing
- 3:37baseball into at least awareness of a lot of the things I feel
- 3:41have been in the dark for the last eight years.
- 3:43And that's been fun. Great response or great response
- 3:46across the board. Everybody from GMs of teams to
- 3:50to sports science departments to MLB Network anchors and, and
- 3:54I've had a bunch of message me and ask me questions about my
- 3:57thoughts on things. I've also had a lot of people
- 4:00respond with wild opinions about their beliefs in and the
- 4:04injuries are occurring. Best one was somebody emailed me
- 4:07the other day about the USDA is not strict enough on our food
- 4:13and they're allowing in all of these bad chemicals.
- 4:15Therefore the Ucls are weakening and we're getting injuries,
- 4:17which I thought was fascinating. You know, I'm telling you
- 4:20probably would have been a three page paper that this guy wrote
- 4:23on that, which is very interesting.
- 4:24My point is all that this came about just because I really,
- 4:28over the last eight years, I've had a heart for this.
- 4:30And this is seemingly the moment that it's finally people are
- 4:33paying attention to this discussion.
- 4:35And we need change. And I feel like we, we have it.
- 4:38We've been doing it at KP for a while, but it's sort of a cry
- 4:40out to the to the industry to say, hey, if you're willing to
- 4:43talk about this, read this, understand my position, I'd love
- 4:46to collaborate to find a solution and now's the time.
- 4:50I knew you were interviewed. I did not know the interview was
- 4:53an hour and a half and it was not my original intention to
- 4:57talk a ton about the interview process, but that kind of
- 5:00initially went over my head until you brought it up.
- 5:04I just assume you got sent some e-mail survey or something like
- 5:07that. Can you give us some quick
- 5:09detail on what that interview even looked like?
- 5:12Do you know if everybody kind of got the same questions or were
- 5:15they asking you about your personal expertise?
- 5:18Yeah, So I'll say this, it started off pretty generic
- 5:22questions wise. I think they're trying to feel
- 5:24out like remember that I've never met them before or at
- 5:26least the person that was calling.
- 5:27And so, and it's pretty generic to start.
- 5:30What do you feel are causing injuries in baseball?
- 5:32What do you feel like? And as I started answering more
- 5:35than more of those questions, and obviously I wasn't going to
- 5:36be short winded on that, it became a much broader
- 5:39discussion. So much so I'll tell you one of
- 5:41the things I ended up discussing didn't make any report, kind of
- 5:44shame didn't, but I said I remember distinctly kind of
- 5:48getting a silence on the other side of the line for a minute
- 5:50when I said this is how bad the system is.
- 5:53Teams, these big organizations, big travel ball organizations
- 5:55are buying smaller teams in the area to sign them up for as many
- 6:00events as possible because they're getting kickbacks.
- 6:03The big organizations getting a kickback for as many teams that
- 6:07are submitted for every dollar basically like it's spent in the
- 6:10organization. They're getting a kickback on
- 6:12what they spend. And I'm like, so if I'm a big
- 6:15organization travel team and I get 30% back and I'm able to
- 6:20acquire a bunch of other teams, well, I'm going to sign all
- 6:22these teams up for one specific event type.
- 6:24I'm going to do that 12 weeks in a row, which may not be the best
- 6:27thing for the kid, but it's great for my bottom line.
- 6:30And I go, do you blame the organization?
- 6:32Do you blame the showcase group? Do you blame the kid and the
- 6:36parent? Like who do you blame here?
- 6:38At the end of the day, the the event is providing this offer,
- 6:41which I don't agree with, providing this offer to certain
- 6:44organizations. These organizations are then
- 6:46acquiring all these other teams and wiping out mom and pop
- 6:49volunteerism into the industry. And then you're getting these
- 6:53kids that are buying and they want to play for the best team
- 6:55because they want to be ranked and all these other things.
- 6:57I'm like, so whose fault is this?
- 6:59I'm not going to put it on one person.
- 7:01We went around around in circles for like 30 minutes on that, but
- 7:04it was great. Think about this like the MLB is
- 7:07listening to me rant about the travel ball industry and the
- 7:11broken system that is a travel ball industry.
- 7:13And so much so that they were like, wow, we had no clue.
- 7:17We'd like to investigate this further.
- 7:18Can you help us find information on this or whatever?
- 7:21And so it seems they're really putting their foot in it to try
- 7:25to, for the first time, really fully grasp like what they're
- 7:28trying to deal with. And with everything covered, I
- 7:31guess my main takeaways weren't even in the travel ball world.
- 7:37And I, I was thinking back on the report.
- 7:38Maybe I should have reread the 60 whatever pages plus you're 58
- 7:43again to prep for this because I guess I'm a week removed, I
- 7:46think from reading your report at this point.
- 7:49But yeah, I, I guess I even overlooked the travel ball stuff
- 7:53a little bit is I'm not as involved.
- 7:57Yes, I work with players, but I don't see the underlying
- 8:03grossness or nightmare scenarios that you're probably dealing
- 8:07with constantly because so much of your battle is pitch counts
- 8:13aren't enough, innings limits aren't enough.
- 8:16What do we actually need to do? I know I am bastardizing
- 8:21workload management in the sense by by saying that that's that's
- 8:24your battle. But you and I have talked about
- 8:27that a time or two the the kickbacks in the nightmarish
- 8:31underworld of the travel ball circuit.
- 8:34But that's incredible. So even the fact that you were
- 8:37able to uncover that, and it sounds like MLB actually cares
- 8:42from the conversation that you had, maybe it leads to a change,
- 8:47which I think is awesome. Even even what I'm understanding
- 8:51from what you just shared there is beyond what was published in
- 8:56a report. The MLB at least heard opinions
- 9:01of 200 individuals. That gives them more leads of
- 9:05things to look into. That might even be the greatest
- 9:08take away from this report for forget about what they published
- 9:12and what the ending was because I'm with you.
- 9:14It it left something to be desired.
- 9:16I don't think they really tapped into the fact of different
- 9:19things that we can actually control it.
- 9:21It's almost like there was a scapegoat for velocity and stuff
- 9:24and the the things that we actually care about in this
- 9:27game, or when I say actually care about things that really do
- 9:31determine success in this game and they just got blamed for it
- 9:36as opposed to finding all these other pathways that they can go
- 9:40down to find what might be leading into this injury
- 9:43epidemic. So thank you for uncovering
- 9:46that. I'm glad you have a finger on
- 9:48the pulse because I had no idea. Yeah, I would say so one of the
- 9:51things we clear like, and I write about this and the
- 9:53official response that I had, which is for identifies the
- 9:57problem, One of the problems with pitch counts is lack of
- 9:59compliance. And so there's this assumption
- 10:01that like, well, yeah, I clearly unfold like how pitch counts are
- 10:04wrong according to research with Zamersky and all these other
- 10:07people that I've written really great studies on pitch counts
- 10:10and the problems with them where they they lack context.
- 10:12But there's an assumption that, well, this would be better at
- 10:15the amateur level if we just got compliance.
- 10:19And so that was like, again, I have this conversation with them
- 10:22about like, hey, do you understand?
- 10:24Like you're kind of dealing with a much bigger beast than just
- 10:27some dad out there who's like, oh, I accidentally went over
- 10:311015 pitches. It's again like tournament team
- 10:34is getting kickbacks from tournament organizer.
- 10:37Organizer is saying, hey, we're going to have eight games this
- 10:40weekend to play to the championship.
- 10:42Tournament team has five teams involved in this because they're
- 10:45getting the dollar figure coming out of this.
- 10:46Well, that tournament team is not going to make this
- 10:48tournament organizer upset and pull their team out of the
- 10:51championship game before it ever plays because they don't have
- 10:53enough pitching. Like that's not going to happen.
- 10:55So what happens is people just go out, whatever, we're just
- 10:58going to throw kids. We got to win.
- 10:59We have to win the championship game parents or well, Johnny's
- 11:01got to be known as the the elite of the elite.
- 11:04And so now this kids got to pitch like he's our guy.
- 11:06We got to win this game. There's this whole thing, right?
- 11:08So this whole culture has been created.
- 11:10And that's just a super small example of like all the stuff
- 11:12that's actually happening out there.
- 11:14And by no way is this entire report that I responded to meant
- 11:16to be about travel ball, but it's a good example of the MLB
- 11:20says, and they report that compliance is the problem that
- 11:24should be evaluated. Well, again, you go back to my
- 11:26response, which was fully around fatigue and monitoring and
- 11:29managing and understanding fatigue.
- 11:30Like, even if you've got compliance, I showcased in our
- 11:33official response that you're still not going to fully
- 11:37understand fatigue because pitch smarts guidelines are designed
- 11:40to make no, make no mistake about this, they are designed
- 11:43around the ideas of fatigue, but they have no objective data to
- 11:47fully understand fatigue. So you have this really massive
- 11:51fundamental breakdown of pitch counts and and I'll say this,
- 11:54listen, the MLB is still and we're still talking like they're
- 11:58still having conversations with myself.
- 11:59I might be flying up there like at the end of the month to go
- 12:02presents on my idea outside of pitch counts.
- 12:05It's scalable, alluding to a lot of things here.
- 12:06But there's a lot of stuff happening down the pipeline that
- 12:10MLB is looking at ways at which they can get involved.
- 12:13I just, and and nor could they, but I just don't think they
- 12:16fully understand the scope yet of like what they're really
- 12:19trying to wade into. And we really won't for years to
- 12:22come here. But yeah, you can make these
- 12:24arguments for pitch counts and say, yeah, they're good, good
- 12:26because X. And then, well, if parents would
- 12:29just follow them, they'd be in a much better place.
- 12:31So it's like, you can't blame the parent, like you can't blame
- 12:34the organization for again, this this broken system that exists.
- 12:38What you really need is you need to change this model.
- 12:41It's fundamentally proven not to work and it's fundamentally
- 12:43proven that not enough people are following it or paying
- 12:45attention to it because they don't really understand it or
- 12:47care for. The worst part is a lot of
- 12:50people are using it as a Holy Grail that they need to, you
- 12:53know, this kick and throw exactly 75 pitches.
- 12:55And if you throw 76, hold on a second, but 75 pitches exactly.
- 12:59And it's clear to come back on Sunday and pitch again that one
- 13:02inning or whatever it's like or whatever the the rules are.
- 13:04But there's so many layers to this thing, their report and how
- 13:09it's been shown to kind of best to establish workload and or
- 13:15sorry, workload principles. Because pitch counts are a
- 13:17workload principle. I call them an inferior workload
- 13:20model. I'd say they're subjective
- 13:22regulations, innings limits and pitch counts.
- 13:24But at the end of the day, again, credit thing, I'll be for
- 13:29for listening and at least starting to consider maybe where
- 13:33we can go on this into the future and potentially what
- 13:37changes can be made that are they're, they're open to
- 13:40creativity right now. And so some of us that like to
- 13:42be creative, we're stepping in and trying to give it to them.
- 13:45OK. So I I think that is a pretty
- 13:48solid review and I know there is so much more than just the
- 13:52travel ball piece. It is kind of funny that that's
- 13:55just the initial tangent we went down.
- 13:57But what for you do you think were some of the major call outs
- 14:02or things that may have been missing or maybe just things
- 14:06that didn't get enough attention?
- 14:09Obviously you brought up fatigue.
- 14:11So I assume that's a that's a large piece of it.
- 14:13And we can definitely spend some time talking about that.
- 14:16If you could highlight a couple of the bullet points or things
- 14:19that you feel were left out because as we both discussed
- 14:22already, it seemed like stuff in Velo got the brunt of the
- 14:29accusation. And where you and I are both
- 14:33deep enough in the industry to recognize that is unfair when
- 14:38stuff and below are going to be what opens the door for
- 14:42everybody to have a shot to play professional baseball.
- 14:45So I'll step aside again and if you just call out some of the
- 14:49things that you feel like you hit on or maybe that MLB may
- 14:53have missed in highlighting in their importance.
- 14:57Yeah, well, let's start with my like first contention, like my
- 14:59biggest contention with this report and where I think it
- 15:02potentially draws upon. Again, I've been talking and
- 15:04I'll be like I, I, I'm very mindful and respectful for the
- 15:08fact that they have said what they've said and been just open
- 15:11to hearing the things. But one that really does concern
- 15:14me is this report lays out when you first read it, if you're
- 15:17going to, I'll say this way, if you're going to build an
- 15:19injuries report, let's talk about injuries.
- 15:22If you're going to build a how do we induce more offense in
- 15:26baseball report, then let's build a report that talks about
- 15:28how we're going to induce more offensive baseball.
- 15:31Those two things do not work hand in hand.
- 15:34I'm about helping pitchers next generation see a safer and
- 15:39healthier game. That's the work that I do.
- 15:44I want to change. I want to make sure that kids
- 15:46don't go through what I went through in my career.
- 15:49And when I look at the MLB report, it lays out the
- 15:53framework to say he should, for example, have pitchers throw a
- 15:58minimum of 6 innings as starting starting pitchers.
- 16:01It makes a case for why the starting pitcher is dead in
- 16:03baseball and why people are moving away from it.
- 16:06And I go, that's really dangerous territory because now
- 16:09we're starting to look at it and say, well, it's usher in these
- 16:12new rules that will up offense because that's a positive.
- 16:15And also like get pitchers to throw slower because here's a
- 16:19report that contends that velocity is causing injury.
- 16:22And I go, that's a really dangerous place to be.
- 16:24If you want to up offense, you want to get butts in seats.
- 16:27If you want to do all that, that's fine.
- 16:29I'm happy to have that conversation and go down that
- 16:31rabbit hole. It's not my expertise.
- 16:33There's far smarter people in me on that one.
- 16:35But I will tell you what I'm really good at and that is
- 16:37understanding pitcher injury and creating systems that maybe
- 16:42mitigate injury risk. So again, that was my biggest
- 16:45contention or really were the crux of like why I started
- 16:48writing the paper the way I did. And you'll see it in the
- 16:51beginning. You'll see it in into I talk
- 16:54about Nick Martinez. I've obviously trained Nick for
- 16:56the last seven years now. I have every throw of Nick's for
- 16:59the last seven years recorded. He's awesome at keeping things
- 17:03tracked and working with me and make recommendations.
- 17:05I think Nick is fundamentally broken the fabric of this new
- 17:09age of baseball pitchers. The MLB report lays out that we
- 17:12have this problem with starters. Starters today are not getting
- 17:16as extended as they used to. They're not built up when they
- 17:19make it to the league. And then you have relievers who
- 17:21are on this like perpetual circle back to the AAA and back
- 17:25up. That's the big leagues.
- 17:26Unless you're just an elite level arm and teams are looking
- 17:28at relievers as expendable. Nobody really wants to see iron
- 17:31reliever step into a game. I mean, this is what at least
- 17:34the report says. There was a study that nobody I
- 17:36didn't get a sighting for. I didn't know where that came
- 17:38from. They just said there was a study
- 17:39done where they evaluated people and people said they want more
- 17:43offense. But my point to that is that if
- 17:46you call Nick, I say this in the in the official response, if you
- 17:48call Nick a starter, he had more innings than Paul Skins did last
- 17:52year. I had 141 Paul Skins at 1:39.
- 17:54If you call him a reliever, he has like a crazy amount of
- 17:58innings, more than the closest reliever to him.
- 18:00If you call him a starter, he's the 89th most innings of all
- 18:04starters in the big leagues last year.
- 18:05If you again call him a reliever, you're looking at what
- 18:09role does he really play as a reliever?
- 18:10Is he a long reliever? Is he a closer?
- 18:12Is he an opener? Is he, what is he like?
- 18:14You don't know. So you can't really fit Nick
- 18:16into the mold of any of these spaces.
- 18:19Nick has more appearances than the closest starter in the
- 18:22league last year anyway. So it's like, is he a starter?
- 18:25Is he a reliever? We feel like we've created this
- 18:27category. We're going to call it a hybrid.
- 18:29And so like we we've joked around like KP is the home of
- 18:32the hybrid. We've been doing this now with
- 18:34pitchers like Indy ball guys and minor league guys to try to give
- 18:37them shelf life. They came over and, and again
- 18:40with the Padres, I was like Clevenger at the time with
- 18:42Padres was down and he came back active.
- 18:45So Nick moved out of the starting role for Clevenger and
- 18:47then Clevenger went again and Nick came back in and he's just
- 18:50kind of like back and forth in that role.
- 18:53And they asked me, hey, do you mind doing this starting
- 18:55relieving thing? And we did it like we, we build
- 18:57out like workload model should be and he followed it.
- 18:59So that's he and he's been healthy, knock on wood, he's
- 19:01been been very healthy over the last number many years.
- 19:05But the Reds, they pretty much brought him in to do that.
- 19:08Like can you do this full time? And then this year the MLB sites
- 19:12in their in their paper teams are not paying players because
- 19:17they're they're relievers. And I'm like, well, Nick is
- 19:20technically a reliever, but he just got paid the largest single
- 19:23season contract as a pitcher in Reds history.
- 19:25So when you start to look at the numbers and what Nick is doing
- 19:28and how he's doing it, you go, man, this should be an
- 19:30encouragement to any kid that can leverage workload management
- 19:33from a performance standpoint. And we got out-of-the-box
- 19:36finally of looking at work with management is this restrictive
- 19:39thing. And that's the way that pitch
- 19:41counts feel. That's the way that work with
- 19:44management in the NBA feels. And I'm like, no, no, like,
- 19:47listen, you want to talk about performance enhance, like you
- 19:50use data the right way. Work with management can be
- 19:53performance enhancing. And Nick Martinez is the perfect
- 19:55example of that. So again, going back to this,
- 19:58like things that I felt were maybe misrepresented and in
- 20:02certain ways I get the point of what they're trying to say.
- 20:05But if we're gonna talk about injuries, let's talk about
- 20:07injuries. And if we're gonna talk about
- 20:08workload and we're gonna talk about some of the shining
- 20:10examples of what exists in the league, let's highlight the guys
- 20:13that are doing something different and leveraging a
- 20:15different model and are staying healthy doing it.
- 20:17And Nick's just a great example of that.
- 20:20I think your call out of separating offense and pitcher
- 20:24injuries is a must. Very glad you did it.
- 20:27And maybe I wish I could have tied my horse to that cart
- 20:31sooner. And instead of just like getting
- 20:34upset about the personal things of them, not talking about
- 20:37fatigue or training or more proactive measures.
- 20:41Because I would say from my side.
- 20:43And I definitely want to talk to you about that piece of not just
- 20:46citing what's wrong or what people aren't doing enough of
- 20:50because my, my initial take from the original MLB report is
- 20:55great. You guys made all these call
- 20:56outs, but we offer no suggestions.
- 20:59And I, I'm sure you have a different look into that given
- 21:04your interview, your kind of hands on nature with the
- 21:08process. But 100%, there needs to be a
- 21:12separation from what generates more viewers versus what keeps
- 21:16pitchers healthy. That needs to be done.
- 21:19And maybe it's going back to do another iteration of the review
- 21:23where offense is just in a completely different category.
- 21:27Because what's the point of talking about offensive
- 21:29statistics if we're talking about injury rates?
- 21:32That, to me is the correlation of shark attacks and ice cream
- 21:36sales. And just because ice cream sales
- 21:38go up in the summer and more people go to the beach in the
- 21:41summer, so more people are in the ocean, it doesn't mean that
- 21:45ice cream sales and shark attacks have any causation.
- 21:50There's just a loose correlation that we can draw because the
- 21:53weather brings people to both of those scenarios.
- 21:56So now, if you're comfortable with it, I do want to talk a
- 21:59little bit about, I guess that theme that I brought up, what
- 22:03MLB actually suggests we can do because it that's where I was
- 22:07left in desire as a reader. So great.
- 22:11You told me all this for 68 pages or whatever it was, it was
- 22:14written well. I felt like I, I was reading
- 22:17through my ideal baseball Twitter feed.
- 22:20When I read the report, it was like, oh, I feel like I can
- 22:23almost call out which guy I follow had had a given quote.
- 22:28It was like, oh, that's that strength coach from that
- 22:30facility that I know. That's that athletic trainer
- 22:33from that team that I know and just from the the private
- 22:36conversations. But maybe where do you think MLB
- 22:40could make recommendations or where do you think you could
- 22:44make recommendations that maybe weren't made in the initial
- 22:47report? Yeah, I think they come down to,
- 22:49and again, this is like going back to this offensive piece.
- 22:52Like they make the recommendation that pitchers
- 22:54need to throw 6 innings minimum unless there's like certain
- 22:57criteria or whatever. And the idea is that pitchers
- 22:59would throw slower or they hope the pitchers would throw slower
- 23:02to maintain that longevity within the game.
- 23:04I I don't think that's a good idea.
- 23:06Again, I heard this somebody said today on Twitter, I think
- 23:08it was we've trained pitchers a certain way for so long and you
- 23:11expect an entire generation of arms to come through and
- 23:14fundamentally change with the approach.
- 23:15The game is probably not going to happen.
- 23:16And I was like, well, that's pretty true.
- 23:18We've taught these kids to throw hard and they're going to want
- 23:21to throw hard and we have a hard enough time already governing
- 23:23like frozen general. So that that may be may be
- 23:27difficult. You hear like the new 6 ounce
- 23:29concepts and again, like putting in a six ounce baseball doesn't
- 23:33attack the more fundamental problem.
- 23:35Whether it's 6 ounce, 4 oz or five ounce doesn't matter.
- 23:37Kids aren't built up enough to handle what they're going to
- 23:40face in season. We're still going to see injury
- 23:41occur because they're not going to stop going the six ounce
- 23:44baseball at full speed, whatever that speed is.
- 23:46We're obsessed with this valgus torque.
- 23:48Oh, it showed a A4 Newton meter drop in valgus torque.
- 23:52And look, it's going to be safer.
- 23:53It's like no, not not true. You still have kids not built up
- 23:57to handle it. They're going to get fatigued,
- 23:58they're going to get hurt. And so yeah, like again, it's
- 24:01about curbing the Android since MLB's credit again at the end
- 24:06they cite things they want to continue to study into the
- 24:09future, one of them being fatigued.
- 24:10Basically, they're alluding to the fact that there is no right
- 24:14now sensor based throwing wearables are are fun Wearables
- 24:19in general are not doing a great job of calculating vagus torque.
- 24:22So we can't use Vagus torque. So if we're using vagus torque
- 24:25to slight fatigue, we don't have a direct correlation with the
- 24:27number of throws that we need to make that happen.
- 24:29So there's just a lot of problems on that front.
- 24:31They also kind of investigate like maybe redesigning pitch
- 24:34counts. And that's something I think
- 24:36that you hear from them pretty regularly is that we need
- 24:39compliance and we need rethinking of pitch counts.
- 24:43I still don't think that's right.
- 24:45I still think that there is a better way to do it.
- 24:49I have my own opinions and the official response.
- 24:51I actually talk about who the I've been lucky enough to be
- 24:54around or be a part of the really only two calculations and
- 24:57sensor based throwing workloads out there in my time, which has
- 25:01been awesome. The original modus calculations
- 25:03and then the one that I built recently with our sleeve.
- 25:06And I talked about both of those at length and how they work and
- 25:09and why they work where they work.
- 25:11But I'm not saying in my official response that we have
- 25:15to choose one of those two things or that those are even
- 25:18the scalable options. I think, and, and this is where
- 25:22I'm not sure yet that the broad masses understand what I'm
- 25:27saying, but what I'm saying is that we don't have a
- 25:30philosophical problem. You and I can sit here and we
- 25:33can have this conversation about workload management and you
- 25:36could disagree with some part of my workload calculation or we
- 25:40could go back and forth about the scalability of it.
- 25:43But I don't think we have a philosophical issue.
- 25:45You would agree a better workload model exists out there
- 25:48today than pitch counts. A better workload model exists
- 25:51to innings limits. Like you would say that pitch
- 25:53counts are probably better than innings limits because of the
- 25:55way by nature they're calculating all of the
- 25:57individual throws. You would say that an RPE based
- 26:00model is better than pitch counts because it accumulates
- 26:03all the throws that you make in a day, in a game day or in
- 26:06practice in general or throughout your throwing
- 26:08schedule. And then you have like the
- 26:10sensor base, you're like, well, that's probably the best thing
- 26:11that's out there. Seemingly it's way better than
- 26:13pitch counts. So we're getting some objective
- 26:16data on it and I go great. So philosophically, you would
- 26:19say there's a higher hierarchy of some of these workload
- 26:21concepts that exist in the game today.
- 26:22The problem is how do you scale the highest level workload
- 26:26calculations to reach an 8 year old with their parents?
- 26:29That's a technological problem, not a philosophical problem.
- 26:33So technology has to be built, great technology has to be
- 26:35designed to reach the masses. And it's not necessarily doesn't
- 26:40have to necessarily be my calculation or another
- 26:43calculation that exists out there, doesn't have to be an RPE
- 26:46model. There's so many creative ways to
- 26:48approach this and it's like what I'm really looking for when I'm
- 26:52hoping happens from all this is the right people get in the
- 26:56room, sit down and design something great.
- 26:58What's maybe this is my virtuistic ideals of, of
- 27:02baseball. But let's all not be greedy for
- 27:04a second and try to create something that maybe makes sense
- 27:07to help the next generation. Because right now 57% of all
- 27:10Tommy John surgeries that are happening are happening between
- 27:13like the ages 15 to 19 years old.
- 27:15And that growth rate is at a 9% growth rate annually.
- 27:18Like, that can't happen. We're not slowing down here.
- 27:21We're speeding up and we're all sitting here debating whether
- 27:24pitch counts are still good or not or whether we should refine
- 27:26them to be a touch better. No, no.
- 27:28We need a fundamental change in baseball.
- 27:30And it starts with, again, kind of going back to this, who's
- 27:34willing to sit down and actually have this conversation?
- 27:36Do you like the doors open right now because of this report?
- 27:39So I'm thankful for that. But I'm hoping people will at
- 27:41least hear and start to explore maybe new steps to to a new
- 27:44process. If you don't mind humoring me
- 27:46here, I'd like to do some recorded brainstorming because
- 27:50in the process of you talking about a better system, I started
- 27:54running through some ideas in my head.
- 27:57I'm sure these are likely the thoughts that keep you up at
- 28:00night, but we obviously have some sort of governing body in
- 28:04baseball, right? Players have to obey certain
- 28:08guidelines, whether it's the drug testing that they do
- 28:11regularly to ensure that they are following those guidelines
- 28:15or gosh, any, anything else, whether it's team rules, league
- 28:19rules, different things that they have to obey.
- 28:22Do you think that there could ever be a system with, I guess
- 28:27it would have to go through some sort of mandatory reporting of
- 28:31internal throws made at a complex made in the offseason.
- 28:36You probably couldn't go into players own personal training,
- 28:41but at least the second that they stepped foot at a facility
- 28:46site or a team owned complex and are there for mandatory team
- 28:51activity. So something part of the
- 28:54official Major League Baseball calendar.
- 28:56Could we have a system where every throw plios on up are
- 29:02tracked and then turned into a system within a in game pitch
- 29:10count being set based on a more global workload schedule?
- 29:16And then we just have to have some sort of agreed upon value
- 29:20to what each throw or zone of throwing would look like.
- 29:24Yeah. So I think the easy answer here
- 29:26is it depends on the tech. So wearable sensors have been
- 29:31widely adopted and accepted. Wearable throwing sensors have
- 29:34not been. So things like whoop strap and
- 29:36or ring and all these things like I mean, I wear a watch
- 29:40constantly and track all my activity, never take it off.
- 29:43I've had on my wrist for three years and we accept that.
- 29:46But when it starts to become like restricting and it starts
- 29:49to say like you can't do something because it might be to
- 29:51the athletes betterment. But there's always exceptions to
- 29:54the rule. And so I think it just starts
- 29:57with better education. I know this is going to sound
- 29:59really broad, but it it literally does just start with
- 30:02better education to parents about why their kids not ready
- 30:06for something. Or it starts with establishing
- 30:09potentially, like you said, some some larger governance of like
- 30:13all the throws that are being made, which is great.
- 30:15But at the end of the day, baseball's not ready yet.
- 30:18My opinion, could you get there? Absolutely.
- 30:21Like I could show you how we scale workload to over what is
- 30:24it probably 700 athletes a year. I can show you how we do it.
- 30:26It's again a little bit invasive at times with the athlete.
- 30:29That means us holding them accountable to putting stuff in.
- 30:32It means us using different modalities for the different
- 30:34environments that they're in. There's a way to do it.
- 30:36Is Johnny in Nebraska and his dad?
- 30:40Are we going to get upset because they went out and played
- 30:42catch in the backyard for an extra 50 throws this weekend and
- 30:45they were just want to have a father son moment.
- 30:47OK, Well, that's probably a little different.
- 30:50Not something that we should scold either because at the end
- 30:52of the day, most Johnny's out there are not going to make it
- 30:54to the upper levels. But we really find that Tommy
- 30:56John surgery is relevant. Most Johnny and dad just have a
- 31:00father son moment. We want to take that away.
- 31:01Again, those are the things that I'm attentive to because I've
- 31:05gone through the, I guess cycle in my lifetime of everybody
- 31:08needs workload management and we need to have a sensor on
- 31:10everybody and we need to do this.
- 31:11We need to do that. So then OK, like, yeah, father
- 31:15son moments are really great. Like kid playing at the park
- 31:18this weekend and exploring skills and having fun.
- 31:21Like, yeah, probably not upset with that one either.
- 31:24I can get on the list. But the idea is I do think
- 31:26there's a way to to do it. I do think there's a a better
- 31:29model at pitch counts. But at the end of the day,
- 31:34parents, players and coaches are going to continue to make the
- 31:37same mistakes. If they're not, explain the
- 31:39value of those mistakes. Ultimately travel baseball, the
- 31:43social moment for the parents as well.
- 31:44If mom and dad can't go hang out with another mom and dad because
- 31:47a giant is not playing this week and they feel like they're
- 31:48missing some of the gossip from the week, those are also really
- 31:52true social pressures. And So what we don't want is we
- 31:55don't want workload to be like this thing where it's like, hey,
- 31:58you are sick for three days and you had the whatever flu and now
- 32:03you can't pitch this weekend. I mean, should we have that kid
- 32:06pitch this weekend? Should we not have them pitch
- 32:07this weekend? Mom and dad are going to be
- 32:09upset because they can't go hang out with the other mom and dad
- 32:11and the kid not getting the ranking because he's not
- 32:13planning enough events because he's got this thing that's going
- 32:16on. A parent can't drive.
- 32:17It's like, man, this is way bigger than what most people
- 32:20would solve as a simple solution.
- 32:22Instead of me being like, you have to have a chronic workload
- 32:25of X and you have to have a daily workload peak of X and you
- 32:29have to have a sensor on your arm at all time.
- 32:31You just start to realize, like, this is a really hard and vast
- 32:36problem to solve. But I think a lot of people,
- 32:39majority of the population, would be very open and attentive
- 32:43to guidance. And I know my dad and I are like
- 32:46when I was playing high school ball, if somebody told me, hey,
- 32:48like, this is probably not your best interest this weekend, it
- 32:51was something or somebody that I trusted, I'd probably listen.
- 32:53And I wish, I wish we had known more about injuries.
- 32:55We just didn't. But it kind of has to start at a
- 32:59younger age if we really want to clean this up.
- 33:01And bigger picture, it has to be something that is digestible.
- 33:05It can't be it takes 34 Newton meters, according to cadaver
- 33:08studies to tear the UCL and your son throws at 70 Newton meters.
- 33:12How do we do that? It can't be that dialogue.
- 33:14It needs to be engaging, fun, entertaining.
- 33:17And look, I'll say this last piece on this.
- 33:20So I go on YouTube if anybody wants to ever do a deep dive of
- 33:23weird topics, PBS has this like educational channel series.
- 33:29I care of what it's called, but it's like these cartoon figures
- 33:32and this one person that narrates it and it's this the
- 33:35greatest educational stuff in the world.
- 33:37They're talking about supercomputing and they're
- 33:39talking about physics and they're talking about anatomy at
- 33:42a high level and they do a great job of watering it down and
- 33:45educating the masses and making it super entertaining.
- 33:48Where the heck is that content? Baseball?
- 33:50It doesn't exist. You have a YouTube video with
- 33:53some guy who's showing an MLB picture and breaking down
- 33:56certain mechanic of X, or you have some guy standing in a
- 33:59facility and the lights are off and he's like being ominous and
- 34:03talking about, you know, I fit matters in the space or
- 34:06whatever. You're like, dude, this just
- 34:07doesn't click. That's just not it.
- 34:09So am I the person to bring that educational material?
- 34:12Maybe, maybe not, but it needs to happen.
- 34:15And that's where I think we start to partner with the right
- 34:17people over time to drive the high level information to the
- 34:20right people in the right way. The closest thing to it in the
- 34:23baseball world now is probably the simple sabermetrics videos,
- 34:26which I I think they do a good job and that's probably why it's
- 34:29digestible because I feel like I'm a little kid watching all
- 34:33the PBS programs again. Then another thing that I feel a
- 34:38little bad calling it out. I was reading your report and I
- 34:41even thought to it myself, like, Dang, Casey got screwed on
- 34:45timing on this because Asmi released another study in
- 34:49between the pitcher injury report from the MLB and your
- 34:53response with a younger set of cadavers as opposed to the old
- 34:59age people that they normally use.
- 35:02But this time they did it with a bunch of a bunch of cadavers,
- 35:05the average age of like 32 or 33.
- 35:08And they then reported that the UCL didn't tear until like 43 or
- 35:1444 Newton meters. So now we're we're just all
- 35:17thrown off everything that we have ever claimed for all these
- 35:20years. We have to add 10 more Newton
- 35:22meters to it. And I or 11.
- 35:24And now I have to go back through all our slides and do
- 35:26that same thing and figure out, do I want to put an Asterix
- 35:29here? Do I want to use a new number?
- 35:31How do I talk about this? And I did think it was even kind
- 35:34of funny, you know, you were on the Abbs Zoom as well when they
- 35:39were going over all these different things just just a
- 35:42couple weeks ago. But even Fleisig himself had two
- 35:47different slides where he used two different values for where
- 35:52the UCL tears because 1 he had the new like 4543 to 45 Newton
- 35:58meter number and then he had another page where he used the
- 36:0034 Newton meter number. And I was left more confused
- 36:04because I didn't know what number to use if the guy that
- 36:06did the research didn't know what number to use.
- 36:09So just wanted to shout that out.
- 36:13I got a nerdy laughing moment when I saw that in your report.
- 36:17The Casey or three days late on publishing.
- 36:20You know, it's funny, it's like I had some people respond back
- 36:23to certain things that I had written and and everybody tries
- 36:26to play gotcha and I'm like, all right, well, like that's cool.
- 36:29Like where's your 58 page report kind of thing, right.
- 36:32It's it's I think all that times we can say a lot, we can argue a
- 36:35lot. Like the whole premise of my
- 36:36report, which is this is like again, segue off of this, but
- 36:39it's the whole premise of the report is just a call for
- 36:42change. Like, hey, listen, here's a
- 36:44different idea, here's a different model, Here's what
- 36:46exists. The research is going to get
- 36:48old, New research is going to appear, but the problem doesn't
- 36:51change. Like if we're still using pitch
- 36:53counts, I would say that the change in research to cadaver
- 36:58studies, so change in research doesn't change our thought
- 37:01process. It actually affirms once again
- 37:04that the premise of the concept is still there.
- 37:06Like it doesn't make it different.
- 37:08Like the I found a study the other day talking about balgus
- 37:12torque from a wearable and it's like 10% change of placement.
- 37:16You know, it's gonna result in ex valgus torque changed.
- 37:19I'm like, that's great. It doesn't change the premise of
- 37:22the discussion like we need. I would rather have a slight
- 37:25change in variance in the balgus torque readings that we have and
- 37:30capture every throw, then not capture every throw and still
- 37:34talk about these arbitrary values.
- 37:37The real big picture here and the real again, going back to
- 37:41like the the original question of like why did I write this in
- 37:44the 1st place? Why does it really matter where
- 37:45is this going? Like I'll be the first one to
- 37:48acknowledge that workload calculations today should
- 37:51change. Like they should be different.
- 37:53They should be more broad in certain cases, they should be
- 37:55more narrow in certain cases. Like we should give people
- 37:57chances to use different workload values.
- 37:59I wouldn't be the first one to tell you that the way we measure
- 38:01fitness and workload management is maybe wrong.
- 38:03That chronic workload maybe needs to model differently than
- 38:07the way that chronic workload is set up for the original motives
- 38:11calculations. Ben Hanson talks about it in one
- 38:14of his research papers where he says that more lengthy chronic
- 38:17workload might be more valuable. I agree with of those
- 38:19statements. However, I can be super nerdy
- 38:23and go off the rails and take this high level data and we can
- 38:26consider and model and change and all that over time.
- 38:29All good on all that. The problem still exists.
- 38:32It hasn't been changed. And if we're going that deep
- 38:35into into designing systems that nobody understands it and it's
- 38:40not being applied at lower level, we left half a baseball
- 38:43behind us. Yeah, in 5-10 years it might
- 38:45catch up to some of that, but somebody still has to bridge the
- 38:47gap. While I look ahead at a lot of
- 38:50these calculations and designing some of these new things like
- 38:53I'm also looking back and I'm saying to myself, what's more
- 38:56applicable, what changes, what's better?
- 38:58And how do we do this? How do we scale a smaller?
- 39:01I'm OK with the smaller version being accepted at a much wider
- 39:05pace. We have to start to take steps
- 39:07toward the future and work with management's been around since
- 39:102000. And I mean, I'd say the Modus
- 39:12team probably started bringing it in to baseball.
- 39:15The full release, like a usable release in 2016, 2015 range.
- 39:20I mean, we're almost 10 years into the future here and it's
- 39:24taken that long to see that change happen.
- 39:26Like a lot of the concepts and core understandings that we have
- 39:28now of what workload management is like.
- 39:31I was doing a lot of that back in 2017 and designing throwing
- 39:34programs and having guys use it. But again, you're almost 10
- 39:37years in the future and it's just now starting to slowly
- 39:39trickle into the game. The benefits, the structure, the
- 39:43hopeful changing of injuries in baseball all hinge around this
- 39:47idea that we have to collectively find ways to scale
- 39:50these new concepts, not get stuck for 20 years on pitch
- 39:53counts or whatever just because some researcher out there is
- 39:56getting paid money to say that he loves it.
- 39:58Pretty much the way I look at it.
- 39:59So what are some other pieces that we maybe haven't discussed
- 40:03yet in your response? Maybe something that you think
- 40:09kind of falls under the radar or maybe.
- 40:13Like AB level point to an extent because the fatigue is number
- 40:17one, right? I, I feel like we, we've
- 40:20discussed that like crazy thus far.
- 40:22We recognize that a better system needs to be in place.
- 40:26So I I'm sure if we threw your entire thing into a ChatGPT
- 40:31summary, we'd probably get something highlighting those
- 40:34couple of points if we asked it to spit out A4 sentence review
- 40:39of your 58 pages. So what would be something that
- 40:43an AI summary might not pick up on that you think is really
- 40:47valuable that we have not yet discussed?
- 40:51Great way to ask that question. I love that.
- 40:54I would say that one thing I didn't touch on too much because
- 40:57it was really focused on the concept of workload was I didn't
- 41:01really talk about the full scale of injury.
- 41:03So at the end I kind of said it, we, we call our KP 3 model and
- 41:07it's workload strength in the mechanics.
- 41:08In our opinion, that's kind of how we handle things at KP
- 41:11specifically, but it goes to Flex Pro.
- 41:13So we'll talk about it. No transition there intended,
- 41:16but we have like our Tiso unit which we've used for a long time
- 41:20from our KP band set. We've looked at strength data
- 41:24from that T cell unit for quite a while and we've correlated
- 41:28that strength score for the T so unit to our daily workloads and
- 41:32try to look at actual daily fatigue or readiness daily based
- 41:35upon the T so score versus our workload scores and what we
- 41:39would project fatigue to be. So after those that don't know
- 41:42workload management, throwing workload management is a
- 41:44predicted fatigue. So we have like Doctor Tim
- 41:47Gabbits research and a lot of other research out there that
- 41:49that says sometimes it could be a progression of a 1.3 or 1.4 or
- 41:541.5. We don't really know when that
- 41:56fatigue state is going to be. We use these measures to
- 42:00basically slope the throwing progression of an athlete to try
- 42:03to manage the accumulation of load too quickly or too slowly.
- 42:07We want to kind of keep it just right.
- 42:09On the other side of that, you have actual strength outputs, so
- 42:11you can do it from the forearm or from the shoulder, and it
- 42:13looks at how ready is that musculature today to go out and
- 42:17compete. And so where we see predicted
- 42:20workloads being fine guys within the range we want them to be, we
- 42:23still do see fatigue from athletes on our or on our TSO
- 42:27score, or I know in this case for Flex Pro.
- 42:30So one of the things I didn't really talk about at length was,
- 42:33you know, yes, workload management's a great start and
- 42:35firming up these workload concepts and getting better.
- 42:38You know, ideas into the game are great, but you still have
- 42:41susceptible athletes who are maybe very weak, who are maybe
- 42:46not capable of of going out there and throwing at much
- 42:50larger loads. We don't have all the research
- 42:52there yet, but I think that's also made part of the next
- 42:54frontier is establishing and valuing strength and something
- 42:58that obviously, Adam, you and I have talked at length about and
- 43:02continue to talk about, you know, there's some really great
- 43:04people out there doing some really great things to try to
- 43:07combine those measures. We've been doing that from the
- 43:09shoulder on our side since 20, 19 and trying to evaluate what
- 43:14all this means. The reality is though, we just
- 43:16don't have answers to all of it yet.
- 43:19And there are people in the game maybe trying to claim early
- 43:22jumps to answers that this amount of throwing equals this
- 43:25amount of fatigue and all this. We don't know that yet.
- 43:27We just have kind of two best practices, 2 great systems out
- 43:30there with what you guys are doing and are throwing.
- 43:33Work with stuff, for example, and just throw out our stuff.
- 43:35I want to say our stuff. Just work with management in
- 43:37general, right? You can take, there's some
- 43:39really great tech out there building great work with models.
- 43:41You take that and you kind of put them together and you get
- 43:43sort of this next level version vision of what an athlete's
- 43:47doing. A lot of people are doing that.
- 43:48So that's what I didn't really touch on just because of the
- 43:51complexity of it. I did talk about how the forum
- 43:53works a bit in the paper and the official response itself.
- 43:56I did talk about balgus torque, which I didn't expect to get
- 43:59into. My fingers just kept typing 1
- 44:01morning and it kind of came up. And I do think that there are
- 44:05some very interesting parallels that will be over the next
- 44:09calendar year or two years. I think we'll start to unveil
- 44:13and maybe change drastically the way that we look at our work
- 44:16with calculations for throwing and what athletes are really
- 44:19able to handle because who's to say an athlete couldn't handle
- 44:22more than 1.3? And and if we do say that, how
- 44:25do we know that? Give me another example of this.
- 44:27Again, high level here, but why do all throwing programs start
- 44:30off at the same place? Like we start all of our
- 44:31athletes with this 30 throws that I don't.
- 44:34But let's say we started an athlete off at 30 throws for
- 44:37three days a week. Like why do we do that?
- 44:40Some athletes can maybe handle a lot more than that to start now
- 44:43you cut down the length of time it requires for a certain
- 44:45athlete be prepared for season. So now maybe you see less
- 44:48athletes under prepared for the season as they get in.
- 44:51That's where the combination of strength and work would probably
- 44:54go into the future answering some of those questions.
- 44:56I'm all I'm here for it. I'm I'm excited, but that
- 44:59probably be another 58 page paper that I'll have to embark
- 45:01on here in the near in the near future.
- 45:03Something to add on here that I think probably doesn't get
- 45:07talked about enough, maybe because it's so obvious, but I
- 45:11feel like, at least in my mind, it's one of those things that I
- 45:16believe it's obvious. So I feel like I never surface
- 45:18it, but maybe it should be discussed.
- 45:21There's. Probably an overlapping theme to
- 45:24everything we've talked about on this podcast today, everything
- 45:28that gets mentioned in your report, everything that gets
- 45:30mentioned in the MLB report, anything that we do would take
- 45:35significant work. And that's not a bad thing.
- 45:39And when I bring up the significant work, I don't just
- 45:42mean to overhaul the system, I mean from the athlete.
- 45:46It takes athlete buy in program adherence and effort to build up
- 45:52a chronic workload to be able to handle the stresses that a game
- 45:57puts upon them. Same thing with building up
- 46:00their forearm or their shoulder strength to be able to handle
- 46:04the stresses of throwing a 94 mile an hour fastball without a
- 46:10detrimental result. And I don't think that gets
- 46:13talked enough about. It should probably be screened
- 46:16from the rooftops, especially given the social media age that
- 46:20we live in. I think people forget how much
- 46:24effort is actually required to be resilient as an athlete.
- 46:30It takes so much work to be durable to actually get up there
- 46:34every single day and perform your best.
- 46:38So I, I don't know if you have anything you can add on to that,
- 46:41but I'm, I'm sure you see it regularly based on the way that
- 46:45you program for your athletes. Yeah, that consistency piece is
- 46:49huge. We call it.
- 46:50So our strength coach here, Garrett has his master of the
- 46:53mundane. That's one thing He's always
- 46:54walking around saying master of the mundane.
- 46:56And it's, you know, it's true that the best athletes, they
- 46:58have a buy in to to what we're doing.
- 47:01They have a buy into their future career and how they're
- 47:03going to get there and it makes it easier because of that
- 47:07buying. I'm not talking about buying on
- 47:08like just doing the thing like or understanding education.
- 47:12I'm talking about buying to their own career, meaning that
- 47:14they're driven to wake up every day and go do the thing.
- 47:17It makes the mundane easier because they have a vision for
- 47:20where it's going to take them or the success they're going to
- 47:22have. I heard a really great quote the
- 47:23other day like this on an Instagram.
- 47:26I'm going to butcher it pretty bad, but I'm going to get the
- 47:28point will come across. It was this older lady who
- 47:31clearly been in the Olympics and her husband who'd also clearly
- 47:33been in the Olympics. They talked about as a Team USA
- 47:36Instagram ad. And I want to say this guy had
- 47:39Parkinson's and they showed him on a bike.
- 47:41And she, it's just the wife voicing over this discussion.
- 47:45It shows the guy on the bike and you're like, man, that guy's
- 47:48really struggling. You know, you can really tell
- 47:49you had a hard time getting on the bike and all that.
- 47:51And she says most time people think that athletes are in
- 47:54pursuit of perfection, but reality is that athletes are
- 47:57just in pursuit of better. And I was like, wow, like, what
- 48:01a statement. What does it mean to be in
- 48:03pursuit of better? Like that guy with Parkinson's
- 48:05obviously isn't trying to be the perfect athlete anymore or like
- 48:09set world records. He's just trying to get up and
- 48:11personally just be better for himself.
- 48:13Like that's a huge deal. And so when I talk about like
- 48:16programming, and I think it's hard for a lot of people to be
- 48:19consistent in programming. Look, we all struggle with it,
- 48:22right? Like if you're a runner or if
- 48:24you're trying to stay on a diet of some sort, or if you're,
- 48:27these are things that we talked about societally that people
- 48:29struggle with. It's, it's just being
- 48:31consistent. And I'll give a shout out to my
- 48:34wife real quick, like one of the most consistent individuals and
- 48:37that I've ever met my entire life.
- 48:38Like I realized that I'm not as consistent as I think I am
- 48:41because she's doing the things that she does on a daily basis.
- 48:44And that inspired me. So I think there's two parts to
- 48:46this. One is that community is huge.
- 48:48My wife and I like we work together as a great team.
- 48:50Like she inspires me to do the things that I need to do
- 48:53consistently. And she lifts me up and helps me
- 48:54keep moving when I'm not. You know, that consistent,
- 48:57right? When I look at athletes that
- 48:58come into our gym, I hope that's their family.
- 49:01I hope their family is inspiring them.
- 49:03They're coming and do it. When you talk about the younger
- 49:04age group specifically, you have to have great parental buy in on
- 49:08some of this to to spur the kid to be consistent, to spur the
- 49:12kid to do something better. When you talk about environment
- 49:15within the facility, it's something we really encourage
- 49:17with our athletes is listen, there's many days you don't want
- 49:19to be here. There's days you don't want to
- 49:21talk to me as a coach. But relationship and growing
- 49:24that relationship with our athletes is is critical.
- 49:26And it's so funny because this is so far removed from like the
- 49:29normal dialogue of an acute kernel for weighted 9 day
- 49:33average of the acute. But you hear me talking about
- 49:36relationships with athletes and it's like, how do those two
- 49:38things merge? Well, I look at it as a strength
- 49:41coach builds a great program for an athlete to come in and it's a
- 49:45train. But the mark of a great strength
- 49:47coach is not the program they built.
- 49:48The mark of a great strength coach is the art of coaching.
- 49:51They get buy in from the athletes.
- 49:52They get them to show up and do that program, execute it to the
- 49:55NTH degree on a daily basis. And so the true art of being a
- 49:59great pitching coach, yes, programming is highly important,
- 50:03but if you, I would argue that if you don't have the structure
- 50:06of a long term program in place, then you're ultimately showing
- 50:09up every day with no plan. So for pitching coaches, we're
- 50:12building the plan, we're governing it by some workload
- 50:15model. And then there's still an art to
- 50:17coaching on a day and day out basis to get the most from your
- 50:20athletes to make sure they adhere to the value of every
- 50:23single throw. If I have 5 throws in the day
- 50:25where this athlete jumps in intensity to 40% higher than
- 50:29where he's supposed to be, that's 5 throws at which I
- 50:33didn't account for and substantially changed my model
- 50:35for the long term. And athlete's not going to be
- 50:37perfect. They're not going to nail every
- 50:39throw right in the range that I want them to.
- 50:41But you know what? The detail at which I can go
- 50:43about doing that, that matters. And the athletes pick up on
- 50:46that. So the consistency day in and
- 50:48day out is curated by family, it's curated by coach, it's
- 50:52curated by peers. The program that you design, if
- 50:55it's not getting bought in with one of those three groups, you
- 51:00could argue that it's it's going to be potentially a lot harder
- 51:02for the athlete to execute on that for the long term.
- 51:05This is where I think, again, communal agreement and movement
- 51:09forward in the game. It has to start with governing
- 51:12bodies being able to go, hey parents, this is what this
- 51:16means. Hey, parents, This is why we do
- 51:17it. If you think you're just going
- 51:18to put rules on paper and expect parents to adhere to it, they're
- 51:22going to think they know better and they're not going to do it
- 51:23in some cases. And that's where I think pitch
- 51:25counts are at some time. Some of this stemmed from me
- 51:28asking you the what can we gather if, if we dig a little
- 51:33deeper, what goes beyond just the initial summary?
- 51:36And I appreciate you bringing up Flexpro Grip.
- 51:38I appreciate you bringing up things that go beyond what your
- 51:42general communication looks like because that consistency piece
- 51:46does matter a ton. Is there anything else maybe
- 51:49that kind of fell between the lines or maybe a a motive or
- 51:55something that you hope somebody picked up on that again, might
- 51:59not have been one of the main themes.
- 52:01Yeah, I think. I talked about a little with
- 52:03Nick in the performance piece, but, and I've said this, a lot
- 52:06of said on the stage at Wake Forest, obviously I've said it
- 52:09around it's workload should be looked at as restrictive.
- 52:13It should be looked at as empowering, knowing where you
- 52:16need to go and how you need to get there.
- 52:18It kind of touches on all the things that we talked about, the
- 52:20need for consistency, the need for community, the need for all
- 52:24these things be in place. A lot of people have opinions on
- 52:27what's right and wrong. And I think one of the biggest
- 52:30mistakes that we make is trying to seek these gotcha moments on
- 52:34Twitter, these gotcha moments on whatever it is, these idea,
- 52:39look, we should be very open to having conversations and I am,
- 52:42I'm very open to having dialogue with people.
- 52:44I will tell you right now that what today's work with model is
- 52:47for me as my best guess like, and I'm OK with that.
- 52:50Like I know it leaves the door open for me tomorrow to continue
- 52:53to iterate and to develop new things that matter again.
- 52:57The MLB create a report that was to start dialogue and open
- 53:01dialogue. I created a report that was to
- 53:04start dialogue and open dialogue.
- 53:06I think that there are a lot of people have never taken action
- 53:09in something further than reading something and giving
- 53:12their opinion or or writing a response as a reaction.
- 53:15And I would encourage those people to you know what, like
- 53:17sit down and write your own response.
- 53:19Sit down and write your own detail.
- 53:21You know, we have shameless plug.
- 53:23We have our waiting with workload course on our website
- 53:25where I talk about in detail our processes and action plans,
- 53:29etcetera. I had this response online for
- 53:31free. Like I put it out there just in
- 53:32the open to expose an idea and hope that people would grab it.
- 53:36I mean, very easy for me to put this behind a pay wall, but it's
- 53:39something that I wanted people to dialogue on.
- 53:41Again, something I didn't really open the conversation too much
- 53:44on. Something I want people to
- 53:46really understand and my heartbeat behind a lot of it is
- 53:49if I'm a junior college coach and I can build a staff of
- 53:52hybrid pitchers, and I get that idea because of this report, and
- 53:55I have them doing work with management to accomplish that
- 53:58because you can't really do a hybrid, can't really do a hybrid
- 54:00model as a pitcher without doing work with management, then OK,
- 54:03great. Like that was well worth it.
- 54:05Colleges, I think should be looking into that to get more
- 54:07inning other frontline guys and keeping top guys on the field
- 54:10more often. Those are dialogues that I would
- 54:13love to see from the ABCA stage. Those are dialogues I'd love to
- 54:16hear from the the bridge in Wake Forest and more reason why
- 54:20people would share these these concepts and and ways that
- 54:24they're finding new approaches to finding success on the field.
- 54:27It's something I'm passionate about.
- 54:29I hope it changes the next generation.
- 54:30And I think in the the big picture of the grand scheme of
- 54:33things, there needs to be a lot more of these reports that come
- 54:35out from other individuals that ultimately spur the game into
- 54:41further dialogue about it, right?
- 54:42I'm not saying I'm right, not saying I'm wrong.
- 54:44Things will change overtime. As you pointed out already
- 54:47cadaver studies are switching up on me.
- 54:48But it's good, it's healthy, and it should continue to firm not
- 54:52who's right and who's wrong, But as I mentioned before, like what
- 54:55is better? That's sort of the goal.
- 54:57Well that was my gotcha moment is just finding out that you
- 55:00didn't have the most up to date study.
- 55:02In your report. So obviously I I can't take any
- 55:06anything you did seriously and you just truck stops here I'm.
- 55:11Surprised you didn't tweet it. I'm surprised you didn't be
- 55:13like, listen, this is this is completely invalid.
- 55:15This whole report is completely nonsense.
- 55:17He has an old cadaver study in this report.
- 55:20We cannot accept it. Like what an idiot.
- 55:23Exactly. That's I.
- 55:24I should have done that just to follow suit, right?
- 55:28That would have been the right move.
- 55:29It definitely would have moved the conversation forward.
- 55:31Maybe, maybe my final piece, and this is me saying it, not Casey,
- 55:37because Casey has very sternly said multiple times he is
- 55:43extremely impressed by the undertaking with the MLB.
- 55:47So I will reiterate that once again, I think where I was left
- 55:54feeling the desire, I know I mentioned some of that earlier,
- 55:57was just wanting them to say great, these are the problems
- 56:01for me. We know these are the problems.
- 56:04These have been the problems. I just want someone to say, but
- 56:07we think this is something that we can actually do as an
- 56:11industry for an answer. That's what Casey did here,
- 56:14which I think is awesome. He responded with what he thinks
- 56:18an answer can be or what we can move forward to, which is a
- 56:22model or a system to better track fatigue.
- 56:26Now, what is actually scalable? We'll find out that.
- 56:30That's why I tried to have that little thought experiment where
- 56:32we created a governing body where everybody reports their
- 56:35throws and MLB creates A restriction where on Opening
- 56:39Day, Paul Schemes is allowed to make 76 game pitches, where
- 56:43Chris Sale is allowed to make 64 and Dylan Cease can make 91.
- 56:50And maybe that would be awesome one day.
- 56:52I'm not sure fans would fully grasp it, but us fancy baseball
- 56:56behind the scenes, people would think it's the coolest thing in
- 56:59the world with strategy and who knows it it might decrease the
- 57:04risk of injuries. So I think there's a lot to be
- 57:07discovered. There's a lot of conversation
- 57:10that will be had down the line. Plenty of people are doing
- 57:14things in their different lanes, whether it's Casey with
- 57:16workload, whether it's us with Flex Pro Grip and just trying to
- 57:20get people very strong forearms to to ensure that they can
- 57:24handle more extreme workloads or more extreme velocities and
- 57:30volumes, different things. So I, I look forward to seeing
- 57:33where this all goes. The 2025 season is still
- 57:36unwritten. We'll see what it all looks like
- 57:38and who knows, maybe it'll be the lowest injury season that we
- 57:42we've seen. So maybe this is one last
- 57:45question I can ask you different from the report.
- 57:48Hopefully you feel like you you got everything out on the
- 57:50report. What is the current injury trend
- 57:54we are looking at in the 2025 season?
- 57:56What is it 1 full week in, if you've even had an opportunity
- 58:01to go through numbers thus far? Haven't had a chance yet.
- 58:06I would say that one of the things I'm hopeful for is that
- 58:11there is a decrease in injuries this year.
- 58:15You are seeing a lot more usage of Flexpro.
- 58:19RIP. You're saying a lot more usage
- 58:21of other modalities to track readiness.
- 58:26You're seeing a lot more usage of sensors and throwing athletes
- 58:31seeking this out because they saw another athlete doing it.
- 58:34It's become popularized and it's starting to gain traction.
- 58:38I would hope that in some of that ideas or models were
- 58:43changed or programs were altered this offseason to fit better
- 58:46using of that technology. So, yeah, hopefully we see
- 58:50something different this year. That would be amazing.
- 58:53What ultimately gets the praise for that happening?
- 58:57Maybe it's a torpedo bat. I don't know, Like people
- 58:59started changing the way they throw in fear of a torpedo bat.
- 59:02Who knows? I don't know.
- 59:04But it it it should be a better goodness here.
- 59:07I think that we probably have one or two more years still of
- 59:13some sort of sinister numbers. Hopefully they just flatten out
- 59:16on us. Would be awesome.
- 59:17But a lot of the damage is done at a young age.
- 59:21Last thing that I will note on the MLB's report versus what I
- 59:25wrote, this is one thing I did want to note.
- 59:28MLB makes reference to the idea that we have to start from the
- 59:31top and bring it down to the bottom.
- 59:33And I disagree firmly with that because most of the damage is
- 59:37done at a younger age. If we know that 57% Tommy John's
- 59:40surgery ever happened between that 15 to 19 years old range,
- 59:43it's already very apparent that those guys are stepping into the
- 59:47league and you're seeing even the MLB is showing in their
- 59:49report a higher number of revisions happening now.
- 59:52And so it's like, OK, well let's get they're having surgery at
- 59:54191817 years old. They're getting a revision
- 59:57within the minor leagues. That's why you're seeing those
- 59:59numbers going up. It's the amateur level that's
- 1:00:00causing that problem. So my point to that is I would
- 1:00:04hope the numbers flatten out this year, but I think the
- 1:00:06amateur problem is so big on such a wide scale right now and
- 1:00:09getting worse that we need to kind of brace for the worst here
- 1:00:14in the next couple of years. Well, we can brace for the worst
- 1:00:17and hope for the best, and I am going to choose to believe that
- 1:00:212025 will be the turning point where we start to see that fall.
- 1:00:26I hope so. Would I selfishly love to be a
- 1:00:31part of the groups that get credit?
- 1:00:33Yeah, that would be sweet. Do I expect to get credit?
- 1:00:36No, not at all. But as long as baseball is a
- 1:00:39better place and more people are playing more innings and out
- 1:00:44there with the best stuff, I'm happy and I I can sleep at
- 1:00:48night. So I I feel good knowing that we
- 1:00:53are excited about the potential for 2025.
- 1:00:56Who knows, We'll see. That's why it's excited about
- 1:00:58the potential, not excited necessarily about the results.
- 1:01:01We're excited about the potential.
- 1:01:03So, Casey, before I let you go, is there anything else you want
- 1:01:06to get off your chest? No, I appreciate the platform
- 1:01:08and chance to hop back on and speak again.
- 1:01:10There's always good dialogue with you on on the process and
- 1:01:14hopefully we'll have some updates on some things, maybe
- 1:01:17summer time this year on where some of this action planning and
- 1:01:21etcetera will go and maybe a chance to come back on for 1/3
- 1:01:24time. That's right, you know it.
- 1:01:26You have to be careful what you wish for because you will
- 1:01:29certainly get it. It's not a it's not a just my
- 1:01:32get it. You will certainly get it.
- 1:01:34Look forward to that, that third appearance.
- 1:01:37We'll see. Currently fighting with some big
- 1:01:40dogs. Gavin from our team has been on
- 1:01:42twice. Miller Hogan, beloved story of a
- 1:01:47of a player currently pitching the Mexican League has been on
- 1:01:50twice. So you've got good company, some
- 1:01:53good stories. Look forward to that third
- 1:01:54appearance. It'll come soon.
- 1:01:56So Casey, once again, thanks to ton for your time today and for
- 1:02:00everything you provided. And of course, to the listeners,
- 1:02:03thanks for laying back with us.