Latest / Earn Your Leisure / Buying the Dip Is a TRAP — The Truth About Surviving the Next Crash
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yes, sir.
- 0:01Speaker 2: Super sane. Yeah, I got a quick question earlier.
- 0:04Speaker 3: And it was like, when I'm dollar cost averaging, at
- 0:09Speaker 3: what point should I not do it on the way down?
- 0:12Speaker 2: And shout out to Justin. He had called me and
- 0:14Speaker 2: asked me that.
- 0:14Speaker 3: I thought it was a good question. I'm like, you
- 0:16Speaker 3: know what? I think you have to have a plan. Obviously,
- 0:18Speaker 3: when you walk into any trade, you should have a plan.
- 0:20Speaker 3: So if you start seeing your equities, and this is
- 0:22Speaker 3: talking about shares, if you start to see the shares
- 0:25Speaker 3: fall down, Is it a good time to buy in?
- 0:28Speaker 2: I told him, honestly, I would put percentages, right?
- 0:30Speaker 3: If it gets down 30%, that might be a new
- 0:33Speaker 3: buy-in from you. Or if it's down 50% from the side,
- 0:35Speaker 3: that might be a buy-in. What you don't want to
- 0:37Speaker 3: do is average down and it keeps falling and it
- 0:39Speaker 3: keeps falling and you're doing it. I've been averaging down
- 0:41Speaker 3: for a year now. Have a disciplined approach. Because you
- 0:47Speaker 3: don't want to spread your capital thin and something keeps falling.
- 0:50Speaker 3: And it might not have anything to do with the technicals.
- 0:51Speaker 3: It could be something that's happening in the economy itself.
- 0:54Speaker 3: It could be interest rates, right? Like they may raise,
- 0:56Speaker 3: we'll talk about it later, but just make sure that
- 0:58Speaker 3: you have a plan when you're going to dollar cost average,
- 1:01Speaker 3: especially on the way down.
- 1:04Speaker 1: All right. Buying a dip is not a strategy.
- 1:07Speaker 2: Thank you.
- 1:08Speaker 1: But dollar cost averaging is a lifestyle. People are confusing
- 1:13Speaker 1: it too. People are trying dollar cost average on trades.
- 1:19Speaker 2: Yes.
- 1:21Speaker 1: It was never really recommended to dollar cost.
- 1:23Speaker 2: Average on trades. Which is called market gambling, yeah.
- 1:26Speaker 1: If you're committed to dollar cost averaging, you should always
- 1:29Speaker 1: dollar cost average, no matter what happens. If you believe
- 1:33Speaker 1: in asset, for instance, Bitcoin. If you believe in Bitcoin
- 1:37Speaker 1: and you believe Bitcoin is going to reach a million
- 1:38Speaker 1: dollars in 20 years, 10 years, whatever, my personal opinion,
- 1:44Speaker 1: buy it every single month, no matter what. No matter what.
- 1:47Speaker 1: If it keeps falling for 13 months, keep buying it
- 1:50Speaker 1: because you have strong conviction that that is going to
- 1:54Speaker 1: turn the corner. And it always has turned the corner.
- 1:58Speaker 1: I think you fall into trouble when you, if you're
- 2:01Speaker 1: committed to dollar cost averaging and then you stop. That's not,
- 2:07Speaker 1: you have no conviction in what you're doing. It's like Microsoft.
- 2:10Speaker 1: Like if you really believed in it and Microsoft had
- 2:12Speaker 1: a bad 18 months, but if you really believed in it,
- 2:16Speaker 1: you're looking for 10 years. So I think a lot
- 2:20Speaker 1: of people, the dollar cost averaging thing, they're trying to
- 2:24Speaker 1: dollar-cost average into trades. That's a little different from dollar-cost
- 2:30Speaker 1: averaging into investments. If you dollar-cost average, you got to
- 2:34Speaker 1: stay with that. You can't stop. And that's for long-term.
- 2:37Speaker 2: Yeah, but when you're doing that, you're going to.
- 2:40Speaker 3: I was going to say, that's why I think you
- 2:41Speaker 3: need to be strategic, right? There's some people who have
- 2:44Speaker 3: it done weekly, right? They'll put a certain amount into
- 2:47Speaker 3: their portfolios weekly, or some people might do it bi-weekly
- 2:50Speaker 3: or monthly, right? And if you're doing $ 1, 000... That's why
- 2:54Speaker 3: I think the percentage, it makes it a little bit
- 2:57Speaker 3: more strategic where it's like, okay, hit this metric.
- 3:00Speaker 2: I'm buying because it may not, right. Or maybe it will.
- 3:03Speaker 3: But if somebody is doing it on a regular, they
- 3:06Speaker 3: might say like, Hey, I'm running short on capital at
- 3:08Speaker 3: this point.
- 3:09Speaker 2: And this thing is still going down.
- 3:10Speaker 3: Now you're here for the longterm, but even just having
- 3:13Speaker 3: a strategic plan about the downside is important.
- 3:17Speaker 1: Well, even it's okay. So that's important. Budgeting. Budgeting is the,
- 3:20Speaker 1: is the, Most boring aspect of financial literacy, financial empowerment,
- 3:25Speaker 1: but it's the most important.
- 3:26Speaker 2: But most important.
- 3:27Speaker 1: It's the foundation of every house. You have to learn
- 3:30Speaker 1: how to budget. Dollar cost averaging should be a bill.
- 3:33Speaker 1: So you should never run out of- It should be
- 3:35Speaker 1: the first bill that you pay. You should never run
- 3:37Speaker 1: out of money to dollar cost average because that's money
- 3:39Speaker 1: that you already have budgeted in your monthly budget. So
- 3:43Speaker 1: it's like the 401k, right? Like whatever you've chosen, whether
- 3:46Speaker 1: it's $ 100 or whether it's $ 10, 000, if you can afford it,
- 3:50Speaker 1: unless you just lose your job, things just fall apart,
- 3:53Speaker 1: your business blows up, you should never run out of
- 3:56Speaker 1: dollar cost average money. That's like running out of your
- 3:59Speaker 1: cell phone bill. You never run out of your cell
- 4:01Speaker 1: phone bill money, right? You never run out of your
- 4:04Speaker 1: car note bill money. You never run out of your
- 4:06Speaker 1: rent money. I'm just saying, hypothetically, you're not supposed to.
- 4:11Speaker 2: We know these people.
- 4:11Speaker 1: But it's budgeting. It's budgeting. So this is important for
- 4:16Speaker 1: people to understand. Pay yourself first. You have to treat
- 4:20Speaker 1: your monthly investments like a bill. You have to prioritize
- 4:25Speaker 1: it like a bill because the moment you treat it
- 4:27Speaker 1: like it's optional, it's going to be the first thing
- 4:31Speaker 1: to go. Life insurance. Life insurance is the first thing
- 4:36Speaker 1: to go when times get hard because people don't look
- 4:39Speaker 1: at it like it's mandatory. They look at it like
- 4:42Speaker 1: it's optional. Psychologically, you have to reverse the way that
- 4:47Speaker 1: you think. You got to pay yourself first. Those things
- 4:52Speaker 1: that's for you and the betterment of your future, they
- 4:56Speaker 1: got to be non-negotiable. They got to be just like
- 5:00Speaker 1: your cell phone bill. You're going to do whatever you
- 5:02Speaker 1: can to keep your cell phone bill on. It's the
- 5:04Speaker 1: same thing with your monthly investments.
- 5:06Speaker 3: And that's the part, I think, that mindset. People have
- 5:09Speaker 3: to get to that point. I had a Zoom call yesterday,
- 5:13Speaker 3: and the conversation was beginning.
- 5:17Speaker 2: The idea of beginning to.
- 5:18Speaker 3: Invest or creating a portfolio and that idea of, hey,
- 5:22Speaker 3: I'm starting this, but if I start needing money, the
- 5:25Speaker 3: first place I'm looking is back to my portfolio to
- 5:27Speaker 3: cash it out.
- 5:28Speaker 1: Take it out your kid's account.
- 5:29Speaker 3: You start doing everything to liquidate because you need the money.
- 5:31Speaker 3: And it's like the mindset has to be there. That
- 5:34Speaker 3: discipline has to be there if you're going to be
- 5:35Speaker 3: successful at this.
- 5:36Speaker 2: It's not going to work any other way.
- 5:38Speaker 1: And trust me, the hardest thing to do, I've done
- 5:42Speaker 1: it before. Nobody's perfect. The hardest thing to do is
- 5:46Speaker 1: not take money out. I'm telling you, when you got $ 5, 000, $ 10, 000, $ 3, 000,
- 5:51Speaker 1: and it's sitting in your IRA, it's sitting in your
- 5:56Speaker 1: kid's account, it's sitting in your brokerage account, the hardest
- 6:00Speaker 1: thing to do is not to be tempted to say,
- 6:03Speaker 1: I'm going to take it out, I'm going to put
- 6:05Speaker 1: it back, because you're never going to put it back in.
- 6:08Speaker 1: You're never going to put it back in. You're never
- 6:11Speaker 1: going to flip it to more money. I'm telling you. Unless...
- 6:15Speaker 1: Nine times out of ten.
- 6:17Speaker 2: Ten times out of ten.
- 6:18Speaker 4: If you're thinking about taking the money out, you don't
- 6:21Speaker 4: have the acumen or the discipline to flip it elsewhere
- 6:24Speaker 4: today and put it back in.
- 6:25Speaker 2: Keep going, keep going, keep going.
- 6:29Speaker 4: And also on the trading side, how many times should
- 6:32Speaker 4: you average down once? It's called martingaling, which was a gambler.
- 6:37Speaker 4: And by the term gambler and martingale, you can go
- 6:40Speaker 4: look how that went for him and Jesse Livermore. So
- 6:44Speaker 4: dollar cost averaging is different than investing. But for those
- 6:47Speaker 4: who are thinking of not paying yourself first, if you don't,
- 6:50Speaker 4: who will? The country is on the brink of financial
- 6:54Speaker 4: collapse and they're doing everything that they can. If you
- 6:56Speaker 4: go outside and ask anybody who's outside, things are tighter
- 7:00Speaker 4: than ever. And my fear is even we're going to
- 7:03Speaker 4: sit in the thick of a recession and they're never
- 7:05Speaker 4: going to announce it because they don't want pure and
- 7:07Speaker 4: utter chaos to hit Main Street, Wall Street and private equity.
- 7:12Speaker 4: There's a lot of bubbles that are being hidden by
- 7:15Speaker 4: not saying that we are in a recession.
- 7:17Speaker 2: So pay yourself first.
- 7:19Speaker 4: And if you're taking the money out to go to
- 7:21Speaker 4: Turks or because you got to get your girlfriend a
- 7:24Speaker 4: birthday gift, get another girl who believe in the vision
- 7:27Speaker 4: long term.
- 7:29Speaker 2: I'm sorry. You deserve to be broke.
- 7:32Speaker 4: And trust me, then she's going to fall for the
- 7:34Speaker 4: fake fucking football player anyway. And he's going to get
- 7:37Speaker 4: $ 16, 000 off of her.
- 7:39Speaker 2: This dude said.
- 7:41Speaker 4: He owned part of Gucci on Fifth Avenue.
- 7:44Speaker 1: Saks Fifth. Saks Fifth Avenue.
- 7:46Speaker 2: Saks Fifth. And they fell for it.
- 7:48Speaker 1: Gucci on Saks Fifth Avenue.
- 7:50Speaker 2: We're going to talk about profiling on Black. They asked
- 7:54Speaker 2: for them. Or somebody asked for them. We found them.
- 7:58Speaker 2: Spin that. Remix out, by the way. LaBabe and Kodak.
- 8:02Speaker 2: We found them.
- 8:04Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 8:04Speaker 2: Wish has been granted.
- 8:06Speaker 1: But hold for a long time. Hit the like button
- 8:09Speaker 1: and share. Hold for the long term for sure, at
- 8:12Speaker 1: all times.
- 8:14Speaker 4: And really quick, the number one reason to hold for
- 8:17Speaker 4: the long term, my personal business philosophy is if only 1%
- 8:22Speaker 4: of the market likes me, I need to be able
- 8:24Speaker 4: to get wealthy off the 1%. So if you're putting
- 8:27Speaker 4: your money into the market, all the leverage is in
- 8:29Speaker 4: your favor. If you're constantly taking the money, and I
- 8:33Speaker 4: know we had the conversation about, and my friends even
- 8:35Speaker 4: tell me like, you should spend money on this.
- 8:37Speaker 2: I'm like, I want to.
- 8:39Speaker 4: The purpose of having FU money is to be able
- 8:42Speaker 4: to say FU if the tide turns.
- 8:46Speaker 2: Yeah. Keep that money tucked away. You need that. Keep
- 8:50Speaker 2: it tucked away.
- 8:51Speaker 1: At all times.