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چاپ پول رکورد زد · اکو ایران | روند

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Banke Merkezi, after a long hiatus, spread the news of
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: the rise in the amount of money and took advantage
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: of the latest changes in the monetary system. Changes that
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: show that the 47-year-old record has been broken and war
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: has shown signs of itself in the country's monetary policy.
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: In this moving program, we are going to see how
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: much new money has been donated to the Iranian economy
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: in the year when the record of money printing has
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: been broken.
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: Stay with us.
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: The Minister of Economy has recently announced that during the war,
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: the government has extorted 100,000 billion tomans from the Central Bank.
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: This money is usually entered into the.
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: Economy as a currency. Now, what is a currency?
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: One of the economic factors that can cause.
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: A rise in inflation and follow it is currency.
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: The currency is the same money that the central bank
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: prints and is called the currency of prosperity and the
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: currency of prosperity, because this money is in the economy
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: and is multiplied by a few. The rise of the
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: currency point in the last 52 years shows that in
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: this period, this figure has reached more than 50% only
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: three times.
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: It happened for.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: The first time in 1953 and at the same time
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: with the increase in oil revenue, which experienced 65 percent.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: The second time in 1957, it was observed with a
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: growth rate of approximately 64 percent, which seems to be
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: the reason for the political and economic changes of 1957.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: Last time, in the end of 2004, the price increased
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: by 61.5% compared to the similar period in 1403, which
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: is considered a 47-year-old record. It is interesting to know
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: that according to our estimates, more than 836 hems of
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: money have been spent in the same year, which is
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: a record of at least 15 years. The emergence of
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: these figures, according to the country's economic officials, was influenced
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: by two wars that we have been going through for
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: a year. You may have heard of the government's recent
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: sudden withdrawal from the central bank. Morteza Zamanian, the deputy
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: minister of economy, had explained that due to the lack
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: of access to some of the oil and financial funds
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: due to the war, the government has withdrawn from the
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: central bank, but after receiving these funds, it is going
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: to finance its debt. But if we want to check
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: very technically and accurately why the amount of money has
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: increased so much, we must first know the factors that
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: affect it.
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: The increase in the amount of.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: Money is happening from four channels, one of which is
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: foreign deposits or the value of the assets of the exporters, which.
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: Mainly consists of oil deposits.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: One of them is only the transfer of banks and
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: government shares to the central bank, and the last part
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: is also mentioned under the title of all assets, which usually.
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: Consists of a large part of accounting changes.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: In April 2004, the factors that caused the fall of
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: the currency were only foreign deposits and the transfer of
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: government shares to the central bank. The rate of rise
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: in foreign deposits of the central bank was more than 200.1%.
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: As we pointed out, foreign.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: Currencies are a part of the value of oil production there.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: But this does not necessarily mean that our oil production
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: has increased.
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: Why?
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: Because in recent years, the share of this sector has
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: always been high, which is said to be due to
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: the reduction of the value of oil. On the other hand,
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: due to the system of calculation, this difference in the
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: calculation of the reduction of oil is also in the
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: other part of the equation, which is also due to
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: the Usually its amount is negative.
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: Let's move on to the second factor.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: The government's debt to the central bank in the month
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: of May was negative 306. This negative amount shows that
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: the government not only has no debt to the central bank,
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: but it is also demanding. In the month of May,
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: this factor has reached 3.5% from the rise of the currency.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: The cause of this incident could be that the government
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: has sold oil and its income has been transferred to
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: the central bank, but the central bank has not yet
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: transferred the real value of this debt to the government.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: On the other hand, the bank's loan to the central
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: bank was one of the reasons for the decline in
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: the rise of the currency. This means that until a
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: few months ago, one of the most important reasons for
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: the rise of the currency was the same. But in
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: the winter of this section, a negative or low loan
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: This could be due to two reasons. It is possible
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: that due to the war and economic protests in the
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: country's economic activity and the banking network, there has been
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: a delay, i.e. some part of the banking network has
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: been restored to the central bank. So far, we have
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: covered almost all the important figures related to the price
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: of money. But one of the important features of money
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: is currency. Currency is the total amount of money that
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: is in the hands of real and legal entities.
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: This money can include accounts, accounts and bank deposits.
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: In December, the total amount of currency in the country
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: has reached more than 15,000 billion tomans, which has risen
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: more than 53% compared to the end of the year 1403.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: The last time such a rise in inflation was observed
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: was also in 1953. In this year of increasing oil
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: prices and imports, the country's economy has become a Dutch disease.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Inflation is divided into two parts in total. One part
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: is kept in the current accounts in the form of cash,
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: so that we can withdraw it more easily, which is
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: called money. Another part is also included in the long-term accounts,
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: which is called interest. This example shows that some percent
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: of inflation is made up of money and some percent
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: is made up of interest. The rate of interest and
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: interest from inflation to December was Saudi and decreased in December.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: We must say that the most amount of interest from
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: inflation was 26% and we experienced this in December. According
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: to economic economists, the changes in the interest rate can
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: also be a indicator of inflation. In other words, when
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: people are waiting for their return, they withdraw their money
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: from the banks and probably take this money to other
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: markets such as gold and dollar. Because this is an implementation,
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: we also reach the level of the rise.
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: Of money and the price of money. Now why is
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: this important?
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: Because the relationship between the level of the rise of
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: money and the price of money can be one of
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: the important reasons for the rise of inflation. Because it
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: can lead to the transfer of money to other markets.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: By the end of the month, the rise in money
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: was more than the rise of money, and this trend
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: in the first half of the month has been broken.
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: It is possible that because of the high war and
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: insecurity conditions, people have not made any decisions to withdraw
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: their deposits from the bank. On the other hand, due
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: to the war, the operation of many trading markets and
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: also the banking network was stopped, and.
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: This issue could have been affected by this trend.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: According to the principle of the fundamental process of economy,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: by increasing inflation in the economy and stabilizing or reducing
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: the economic.
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: Growth, i.e.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: The situation we are in now, the inflation rate may increase.
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: In a situation where the purchasing power and the level
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: of health of the people is at a loss, inflation
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: control to prevent the inflation rate from increasing is important.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: In a situation where war is a disaster for reconstruction
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: and the lack of funds around it is the main
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: problem of the banks, the control of the inflationary rise
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: is a difficult task, but raising the inflation rate will
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: necessarily change it.