Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NASCAR Toyota/Save Mart 350 2024 | DraftKings DFS Drivers, Dominators & Place Differential
Transcript
- 0:00All systems gone clear, you lift up. Hey there, good morning,
- 0:33and welcome to this week's NASCAR quick Hit here for ship at Nation. I
- 0:38am Eric also known as the Game here on Discord, and today we will
- 0:44be discussing the Toyota Save Mark three point fifty at Sonoma Raceway, which is
- 0:50in Wine Country, California. As always, please go ahead and hit that
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- 1:07All right, Before we break down this d Toyota Saved mar three fifty,
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- 2:53us. All right, let's go ahead and head back to so no more
- 2:57raceway. Let me get my note here I did Drafters perfif right. This
- 3:04week we are back on Fox in America and TSN two in Canada. TSN
- 3:12five has the Canadian Grand Prix this week so all kinds of racing going on
- 3:15in Canada, So Fox in the US, TSN two in Canada, three
- 3:21thirty pm, green flag time, I think lock on DraftKings. As of
- 3:27recording time right now, it's three forty eight pm Eastern, so three thirty
- 3:31pm lock. Normally, any drivers that are announced due to the rear comes
- 3:38around like one o'clock Eastern time, so still a bit of time for any
- 3:44news like that to drop. All right. We are road course racing this
- 3:50week at Sonoma, so that means we do not have a lot of dominator
- 3:53points. Only one hundred and ten laps, which is seventy seven total dominator
- 4:00points. I'm having at least one quote unquote dominator per lineup. If you
- 4:06want more of my thoughts on that, you have to go to ship at
- 4:10nation dot com and check out our core report and slave plan and are fully
- 4:15filled out stone. All right, speaking of the Stone, let me go
- 4:19ahead and share this here. Here's our blank stone and I have our power
- 4:25rankings blanked out. I'm bat one thousand this morning, all right, So
- 4:30let's go ahead and finally break down this race. First up, here's what
- 4:35you need to know. Sonoma Raceway has gotten a repave since the last time
- 4:43NASCAR was here back in twenty twenty three, So since there was a repave,
- 4:48NASCAR had to do tire tests because of said testing. That's why SVG
- 4:56is not in the Cup race today because SVG did special testing for NASCAR.
- 5:00But three drivers I want to highlight right off the bat, Ros Chastain,
- 5:08Martin Truex Junior, and Josh Berry all did tire testing here at Sonoma on
- 5:15the brand new pavement for NASCAR. Okay, they have more on track time
- 5:20on the new pavement than any other driver in this field today. They should
- 5:28be in your player pool based off of that fact alone. All right,
- 5:32So Ros Chastain, who starts ninth, Martin Chuex Junior, who I'll be
- 5:39spoiler alerts talking about a little bit later on, starts twenty first, and
- 5:45Josh Berry, who starts thirty second. Next up, NASCAR gave us a
- 5:49great combined fifty five minute practice session. Two weeks in a row. We
- 5:57got a combined fifty five minute practice session here for the for the Cup Series,
- 6:02and I love it. Sadly that won't happen next week, but please
- 6:08NASCAR go back to that next year. It's the best. However, one
- 6:13thing I did want to mention they practice fairly late in the day on Friday.
- 6:21I want to say practice started at like six o'clock Friday night, and
- 6:26they're racing at three o'clock today, so track conditions are going to be a
- 6:30little bit different. And NASCAR gave the teams a lot of time to adjust
- 6:40the cars after practice and before qualifying. I think the teams had like two
- 6:46and a half hours of adjustment time total. I think like two hours on
- 6:50Friday and then a half hour before practice or before qualifying I mean on Saturday,
- 6:56which is more time than they normally have to make adjustment to their cars.
- 7:00So that's why you'll see some cars with MI like for example, Joey
- 7:05Logano wasn't great in practice and then he put it on the pole, right,
- 7:11So the teams had a lot of time to make adjustments to their cars
- 7:15from the practice session to qualifying. All right, let's see here, all
- 7:29right. Next up, we are going to move on to drivers I want
- 7:32to talk about finally. That's why we're here. First up, we have
- 7:38Joey Logano. Joey Logano, he was not at all impressive in Friday's practice
- 7:44session. However, his team Penske team made the proper changes to allow Joey
- 7:48to put it on the pole for Sunday's race. As always, the polesitter
- 7:55gets the best pit stall and there is stage breaks here at Sonoma. However,
- 8:03wait, am I alive? I think there's people watching. I don't
- 8:07know. Oh my goodness, Hey I am live. Good morning. Hey,
- 8:13this was a quite unexpected So I'm going to go back into me recording
- 8:18not knowing I'm live, and we're going to go from there. All right,
- 8:22Hey, Joey Logano, like I mentioned, gets the best pit stall
- 8:28on pit road and he gets to start the race in his preferred line.
- 8:37His team made adjustments, obviously from his twenty five second to his twenty five
- 8:43ranth practice feeds to put it on the pole. Right. I fully expect
- 8:48Joey Logano to lead the majority of Stage one. Now here's where it gets
- 8:54tricky. With road courses this year, we have I've seen a tendency for
- 9:03teams to flip the stage. And what I mean by that is if you're
- 9:09going for a victory, if you're trying to win the race and you're not
- 9:13trying to, or if you don't care so much about playoff points and you
- 9:16want to win the race, you will pit two laps before the stage ends,
- 9:24so that way, when the stage break comes, you don't have to
- 9:28pit, and you keep your stage and you keep your track position. So
- 9:35based on that, you will definitely see teams doing pitch strategies, different kind
- 9:41of pitch strategies. Today, I will have more exposure to those who have
- 9:48not won a race yet this season because they're going for the win, right,
- 9:52and a day like today, which is kind of almost like a super
- 9:56speedy way in a way, right, I'm kind of chasing place differential,
- 10:03not kinda I am chasing place differential. I have a few dominators I like
- 10:07who expect to lead laps, but other than that, I want guys who
- 10:11can make it from the back to the front, and that can happen on
- 10:16a day like today, right, Like it's a wild card of a day.
- 10:20So Joey Logano, I do expect to lead the majority of Stage one.
- 10:26I do expect him to pit early to keep his track position, but
- 10:31from then on, who knows? Wild card? Speaking of wild cards,
- 10:35next up Kyle Busch starting twenty ninth this week. Kyle in the next gen
- 10:43era, which has only been two racist here at Sonoma has finishes of a
- 10:48second last year and thirtieth the year before that. However, if we look
- 10:54a bit beyond the next gen era, Kyle's average finish since two thousand and
- 10:58five is seventh. Right, So since twenty fifteen, his average finish is
- 11:07seventh here at Sonoma seventh. It's gonna leave that breathe. He starts twenty
- 11:16ninth today and is seventy seven hundred on DraftKings. Why they made him so
- 11:22cheap, I don't know, but that is a gift in my opinion from
- 11:26the DFS gods. I am all over Kyle Busch today starting twenty ninth.
- 11:33Talk about a team who wants to win, it's him, right, So
- 11:37Kyle Busch all over him. Speaking of RCR, I'm gonna hold my nose
- 11:43and I'm gonna also get exposure to Austin Dillon. Austin Dillon starts sixteenth,
- 11:50sixty three hundred. Today's the wild card type of day. Do I expect
- 11:58him to win? No? Could he get you a top ten? Absolutely?
- 12:03So I will hold my nose and take Austin Dillon, and I will
- 12:09also have exposure to V eight Supercar Star and RCR third car driver Will Brown
- 12:16starting twenty fourth. He is seventy two hundred. So that goes to show
- 12:20you what they think of Austin Dillon. Right, Austin Dillon is priced sixty
- 12:26three hundred on DraftKings. Will Brown's first race ever in the Cup Series seventy
- 12:31two hundred. Right, So Will Brown, I will have exposure to him.
- 12:35He was great in practice on Friday, but his team ran into issues
- 12:43Saturday during qualifying. I think I read this morning that they ran into I
- 12:48was listening to his scanner and he was saying he was having throttle issues,
- 12:52and then I guess it was with the computer on the car, the ECU.
- 12:58So I think though we'll be allowed to fix that since that is a
- 13:01universal part. So I don't expect him to go to the back any If
- 13:05he does go to the back, that wouldn't change my exposure or my thoughts
- 13:09about him anyway. So RCR I have exposure and will be playing all three
- 13:13cars of them. Next up of my drivers I want to highlight is Martin
- 13:18Truex Junior, last year's Sonoma winner. Martin Truex Junior has a fantastic career
- 13:26history here at Sonoma, and as mentioned, true X, along with Ross
- 13:33Chastain and Josh Berry, did do the NASCAR tire testing here in the off
- 13:37season. So, as I mentioned earlier in the video, when maybe people
- 13:43didn't realize this was live and when I didn't realize this was live, they
- 13:46have more on track time here than anybody else in the field. Right,
- 13:52So I want to say MTJ is the most expensive on DraftKings, yes,
- 14:00ten five hundred on DraftKings. He starts twenty first. They didn't have they,
- 14:07meaning Joe Gibbs didn't really have the speed in qualifying. I think Tye
- 14:13starts the highest tenth. That doesn't change my exposure thoughts on them at all.
- 14:20I love Mark Shuck Junior. Today he will be incredibly high owned,
- 14:24but yeah, he's He's great since two thousand. Between twenty thirteen and twenty
- 14:33nineteen, Truex has three wins here at Sonoma, so much like we did
- 14:37Kyle Busch, if we look further beyond the next Gen era, his his
- 14:45career history here is fantastic. And last, but most certainly not least,
- 14:50of the drivers I would like to highlight is a J. Almondinger. The
- 14:56Dinger starts eleventh this week, and all he cares about is the win.
- 15:03All he cares about He is full time in Infinity this year, he is
- 15:07part time in Cup. They only wheel him out for these road course races.
- 15:15There's no reason he can't get you a top five or conten for victory
- 15:20today because that's all he's going for is the win. Right. Also,
- 15:24I think he's also too cheap on DraftKings eighty eight hundred. That's that's too
- 15:30cheap for a driver of his caliber. Now. The one thing about aj
- 15:35Allmendinger that I did want to talk about is he gets in his own head.
- 15:41He he absolutely gets in his own head. Even I think yesterday during
- 15:46the Infinity race, things didn't go his way and he was like, I
- 15:50don't even want to be here. It's kind of can we just go home?
- 15:54It's not exactly the attitude you want to have right going into going in
- 16:00to a full Cup race. If everything goes according to plan and they don't
- 16:08run into any adversity and he can stay on the positive all day, he
- 16:17should be able to compete for a top five, maybe even win the damn
- 16:19thing, because again, that's all they're going for, right If anything goes
- 16:25wrong and he starts to get negative and in his own ed well, who
- 16:30knows right? So once again the drivers, I want to talk about Joey
- 16:36Logano, our pulsitter. I do expect him to lead the majority of Stage
- 16:41one. After that, who knows? Kyle Busch and really RCR in a
- 16:47hole. Kyle Busch, though, is the furthest one back of the trio
- 16:51starting at twenty ninth. Last year's winner in Sonoma, Ace Martin Schuick Junior
- 16:56gives us that great place differential starting twenty first and going for the win.
- 17:02Aj Allmendinger all right, hey, that's everything I have for today. Let's
- 17:08see here. Before I wrap up, let me once again mention drafters.
- 17:14Hey, ship it with drafters. Ship a nation dot com slash drafters code
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- 17:26ball season is here. I'm in. I'm in two drafts myself. I
- 17:30think I have two picks today and uh yeah, check it out ship a
- 17:34nation dot com slash drafters. All right, everybody, Hey, good luck
- 17:38today. I will be in the discord all day today, so please,
- 17:42as always, have any questions, please feel free to send me a tag.
- 17:47I'm going to adjust ownership a bit and get everything finalized. To those
- 17:52viewers who came in live this morning without realizing I was live, Hey,
- 17:56thanks for joining, and as always, let's shipp its cost steps must step
- 18:33and stunts step. Spreads lasted, and the sizer a sid