Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Quick Hit | February 24, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:00Yah, all systems going clear? Left? What's going on? Guys?
- 0:38Rio here gonna be breaking down this three game Saturday NBA Slate. It looks
- 0:44like a pretty pretty straightforward one, some low ish totals, so won't spend
- 0:49a ton of time on it, but yeah, make sure you guys hit
- 0:52the like and subscribe button. Definitely helps us out a ton if you guys
- 0:55do appreciate that a lot. But yeah, let's get right into it.
- 0:59First game of the night, or Lando versus Detroit. It should be a
- 1:03pretty good game to kick things off. Pretty solid game environment on the Orlando
- 1:07side of things, Pistons have been a really bad defense all year long.
- 1:11But a team that we've been looking to attack, the room protection has been
- 1:15pretty awful all season long. They're dead last and defensive ratings since the start
- 1:19of twenty twenty four, bottom three room defense over that stretch, also allowing
- 1:25the third most points to pick and roll ball handler's the third most ISO points
- 1:29as well, and then they're dead last to pick and roll roll men.
- 1:33So some of the guys that I'm considering on the Orlando side of things,
- 1:36I think Paula Bencaro is in a really good spot here. Tonight eight point
- 1:38four K. I think he has a ton of upside in this matchup,
- 1:42and a ton of upside at that price tag. He is the Magic's lead
- 1:48pick and roll ballhander as well as being the lead ISO scorer for that team.
- 1:53So I think this is a really good spot for Polo. Next is
- 1:56Franz Wagner likes to match it for him a lot as well, probably going
- 2:00to be a little bit higher owned than Polo, maybe you know, a
- 2:02couple of points, but this is a really good spot for him as well.
- 2:05He's been a guy that historically beats up on teams with weak rim defenses.
- 2:10Some of the teams team very similar to the Pistons Washington Wizards. They're
- 2:15dead last and rim defense. He's had three matchups against them this season,
- 2:20put up fifty five and a half fifty two point three forty six d K
- 2:23points in those three games, and in the two meetings versus Detroit this season
- 2:27he's put up forty eight point eight and thirty five DK points. I like
- 2:30Frowns here. I think he has a big game tonight at seven point three
- 2:35K. Wendell Carter Junior, I think he's a pretty solid value option minutes
- 2:38have been kind of down for him as if late, but he is the
- 2:42second best pick and roll roleman for the Matgic this season. Pistons are also
- 2:46bottom four and DVP to centers. I think that he could have a good
- 2:51game if he sees the minutes get closer to thirty minutes tonight. Like the
- 2:53upside for him. I think Sucks is okay as value option, seeing a
- 2:57ton of ownership on him right now. Should be back to his full role.
- 3:00He missed a lot of the last game with a with a head injury,
- 3:05but I think he's good to go tonight. Pistons are dead last and
- 3:07DVP to point guards this season, so there is the upside case for him,
- 3:13and then a couple of these value guys I'm considering, not really Gary
- 3:15Harris, Jonathan Isaac is okay, been getting more minutes. But one guy
- 3:21I'm kind of looking at is Mo Wagner three point six k power forward center
- 3:25eligible. He's the top pick and roll role man for the Orlando Magic this
- 3:30season. I think he has a couple avenues to pay off this tag as
- 3:32well. Should be good to play in a blowout. I think he'd be
- 3:36out there for the garbage time minutes. He showed really big upside just one
- 3:39game ago against the Cleveland Cavaliers, putting up thirty three point two five DK
- 3:44points. Not saying he's gonna do that here tonight, but I do think
- 3:46that the matchup is really good for Mo Wagner, and you know, even
- 3:50in twenty minutes, I think that he has really big upside. So I
- 3:52like him as a value option. And then on the Detroit side of things,
- 3:55not too much to consider. Magic defense has been really solid all long,
- 4:00but they are bottom five and pick and roll points per game to pick
- 4:03and roll ball handlers. Kid is eighth in the league and pick and roll
- 4:06points per game and just one game Go put up fifty points seventy five DK
- 4:11points versus the Pacers who are dead last and pick and roll defense this season.
- 4:15So I do like Kid as A as a low ish owned, you
- 4:19know, upper or lower eight K value option or mintier option tonight. Not
- 4:26looking at Jalen Duran tonight for me, I don't really see the upside case
- 4:29for him in this matchup. Jade and Ivy same thing. I think a'sar
- 4:32Thompson is finely keeping your player pool. He should be out there a lot
- 4:35for his defense. Did get up to thirty five minutes last game, put
- 4:39him a pretty solid game in that one thirty seven point two five DK points.
- 4:44He's got really big rebounding upsides. I think that you're just kind of
- 4:46hoping he can grind his way to a double double, but don't love it
- 4:49for him. And then last guy, I'll mention all the way down low
- 4:54three point two K James Wiseman really gross value option, but Monty Williams has
- 4:58said that they plan to continue to helping him, so I think he's going
- 5:00to be in the rotation. And you know, big men, they could
- 5:03pay off their price sacks pretty easily, get a bunch of rebounds. He'd
- 5:06definitely be out there if this game were to blow out. So I think
- 5:10that he is an option. And then Evan Fournier as well, three point
- 5:13six K shooting guard, small forward eligible. We know he's got some pretty
- 5:16decent scoring up set off the bench, so I don't think that he's the
- 5:18worst value option. Next game, Boston Celtics versus the New York Knicks should
- 5:26be a really good game tonight. From a viewers standpoint, this is a
- 5:30nationally televised game. Both these teams are you know, top Eastern Conference teams
- 5:33playing really well right now, two really good defenses as well, So matchs
- 5:39kind of don't mean as much in this one. We can kind of throw
- 5:41that stuff out of the window. I just think that you're going to see
- 5:44really big We already know we're going to see big minutes from these guys on
- 5:46the Knicks. Thibodeau is going to play guys like Brunson, Devincenzo, Precious,
- 5:50Josh Hart as many minutes as they can handle, which is, you
- 5:54know, forty forty two probably for these guys. See, I think all
- 6:00these guys are in play. I'll start with with Jalen Brunson because I think
- 6:04if there were ever an area to attack with the Celtics defense, it's with
- 6:09their pick and roll defense. They're alling the six most points per game.
- 6:12Jalen Brunson is awesome in pick and roll. He's the third highest pick and
- 6:15roll scorer this season. Yes, he's gonna see load Drew Holliday, a
- 6:18lot of Derek White, which make things a little bit difficult for him from
- 6:21a matchup standpoint, but we know he's gonna be out there for a ton
- 6:26of minutes, and this is definitely a big game for the Knicks, So
- 6:30I like Brunson as a spind up options to night. Nine point seven K.
- 6:32De Vincenzo gonna play a ton of minutes. Like I said, he's
- 6:35been launching it from deep, taking nine plus three pointers in ninth straight games.
- 6:40Should easily clear forty minutes tonight. So I think you have to consider
- 6:44somebody even at seven point four K. You know, not so great matchup,
- 6:46but he's pretty much the second scoring option for this Knicks team, So
- 6:50don't mind him. I don't think I'll get some pressure shot at some point
- 6:55one K, although he's been playing really well right now, so I wouldn't
- 6:58hate to keep him in the playerpool, but I don't think think I'll get
- 7:00to him. Josh hart prefer him at six point five K. He has
- 7:02a really big rebounding upside. For as long as Isaiah Hartston is going to
- 7:06be on this minute limit, gonna play forty plus minutes in a close game,
- 7:11I'm gonna be out there a lot for his defense, just hoping that
- 7:14he can crack double digit rebounds and double digit points in this one to get
- 7:16you the double double bonus. I don't think I'm gonna get to Isaiah Hartston
- 7:21right now, just the minutes are way down. Not sure when they're gonna
- 7:25lift the minutes restriction on him, but he played really short stints last game,
- 7:28only played eleven minutes. But then one guy all considered, so this
- 7:32is the super negative hamd which value play Bojan Bogdanovic. I like him tonight,
- 7:42even though projections are not gonna agree with me. I gonna be pretty
- 7:46much unknowned tonight. He's he played how many minutes last game? Played only
- 7:54twenty four minutes last game, but shot six of six from deep. I
- 7:57think that this could be a spot where they gave him a little bit more
- 7:59minutes. I think this is a guy that they're going to be playing a
- 8:01lot down the stretch. Just a trusted veteran that has really good scoring upside,
- 8:05and the Celtics have been a slight three point funnel all season long.
- 8:11See I like him as a low and value option, and I think projection
- 8:13systems are just going to be way way behind him, kind of like the
- 8:18DeAndre Hunter last night. But those are the main guys I'm looking to on
- 8:22the knick side of things. On the Celtics side, Jason Tatum the lon
- 8:30ten K plus options, and I like him, especially if we're looking to
- 8:31game sack this game, which I think is viable route tonight. I could
- 8:35see this game playing really close, and we could see really high minutes from
- 8:41the main rotation pieces on the Celtics side as well. Tatum. This is
- 8:43kind of a narrative to buy into. You know, he's been in the
- 8:46news a lot lately talking about, you know, being the best player in
- 8:50the league, talking about he should be in consideration for MVP. I just
- 8:54think that if there was a spot for him to show that he is an
- 8:58MVP candidate, this would be one playing in the Garden against a surging Knicks
- 9:03team, nationally televised game. So yeah, if you want to buy into
- 9:07that narrative, But yeah, I like Tatum at ten point three K.
- 9:11Jalen Brown at seven point seven K should play upper thirty minutes here, probably
- 9:15gonna see the easier defender, probably sees a lot of Dante DiVincenzo on him
- 9:18tonight. Nicks are slightly below average and transition defense. Jaylen Brown one of
- 9:22the better transition scorers this season, so that's kind of the upside case for
- 9:26him. Another revenge narrative here, Chris helps Porzingis if you want to buy
- 9:31into that. But you know this is a really tough matchup. The Knicks
- 9:33are top of the league and DVP versus centers allowing the least draftings points per
- 9:37game. But he's been a really solid fantasy point for me to producer this
- 9:41season. Seven point five K is a fine price tag for him. Nicks
- 9:45are a little bit more vulnerable to catch and shoot scorers, not by a
- 9:48lot, but we know Porzingis could pop off at any time. Derrick White
- 9:52been shooting the ball really well lately, shot fifty percent from three over his
- 9:54last three games. He's definitely gonna be needed to hear a lot for his
- 9:58defense. I should touch upper thirty minutes in a close game, so I
- 10:01wouldn't mind him at six point seven K. And then last guy to mention
- 10:05Drew Holiday six point one K. Gonna probably see the easiest defender in Jalen
- 10:09Brunton on defense. I just don't really see a big upside case for Drew
- 10:13Holliday while everybody is healthy, Bee, I think you could definitely consider Drew
- 10:18Tonight last game of the slate Brooklyn Nets taken on the Minnesota Timberwolves. Big
- 10:24news in this one. Gridy Gobert Lissie question both with the sprained ankle he
- 10:30strained it last night in the game versus the Bucks, said he's gonna be
- 10:33good to go, but would not be surprised to see him miss this one
- 10:35with it being a back to back versus a terrible NETS team. So I'm
- 10:41probably gonna be approaching this as if he's out, and if he is out,
- 10:43we'll probably see Kylie Anderson step into the starting lineup. I'm gonna see
- 10:46more minutes out of nas Red as well, and those guys become really really
- 10:50good value options. That's I think I'll break it down really quickly just because
- 10:56I think it's pretty easy. I'm not gonna be considering any of these guys
- 10:58to This is about as bad as the matchup as he can get versus the
- 11:03top ranked defense this season, and this NETS team is just struggling right now.
- 11:09They don'tly have any answers on offense, playing a pretty deep rotation as
- 11:13well, So I just can't really get to end these guys that think that
- 11:16if I were to keep any anybody in my playpool. Probably Nick Claxton six
- 11:18point a K, maybe Ben Simmons, and you hope that he can grind
- 11:22his way to a double double. But not excited about any of these guys
- 11:26at all. Much prefer this matchup to the Minnesota or on the Minnesota side
- 11:31of things. This Nets defense been allowing seventeen three pointers per game over their
- 11:35last three games. Their defensive rating is one twenty eight point nine, which
- 11:39is the second worst over their last three games. Anthony Edwards should be able
- 11:43to have his way in this matchup. Would not worry too much about the
- 11:45Mkal Bridges assignment. Mckel has not been the same defender as years priors.
- 11:50Ants shot volume is just going to be massive. Here been taking twenty plus
- 11:52shot attempts in six of his last seven games. Yeah, I mean the
- 11:56Nets defense has just given up big games left and right to opposing opponents.
- 12:01So I think that adds another one to the list. Here puts up a
- 12:05big score at nine point two k. Cor Anthony Towns. I like him,
- 12:09regardless of Ridy Gobert's availability, going to get much better. If Gobert
- 12:13would be out, his upside rebounding upside would get a big loose, as
- 12:16well as his usage, which goes up to thirty point four with Gobert off
- 12:20the for the season, averaging around fifty d K points per thirty six minutes
- 12:24with Gobert off the court this season. Pretty good matchup for Conthony Towns as
- 12:28well versus this team that's given up a ton of three pointers. I already
- 12:31mentioned Nasried think that he's a fine to consider even if Colbert were to be
- 12:35in on a small slate, but it would be a great value option if
- 12:37Gobert were to be out, and then Carl Anderson. I think the same
- 12:41thing as well. He's a value option right now regardless of Gobert's status,
- 12:46but would be a I would call it a near lock if Gobert to be
- 12:50out. Going to see him starting in play upper twenties minutes at three point
- 12:52nine k's really good value option that's going to do it here though. Thank
- 13:00you guys for watching. Make sure to hit that like and subscribe button,
- 13:03and hopefully everybody has a good weekend. See you, guys,