Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 05/25/26

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MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 05/25/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Fall systems, go clear the lift?
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: What is going on? Shipping Nation YouTube station?
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: Back with my guy Bellman after being out last week
• 0:47
  Speaker 3: with some work travel. Feels good to be back in
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: the saddle breaking down baseball with you here, Matt, bring you.
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: In right away. Man, Happy Monday. How was your weekend?
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: What's going on?
• 0:57
  Speaker 4: Brother? Yeah? Man, happy to be back on I'm here
• 1:00
  Speaker 4: with you. I know you were out of town last week.
• 1:02
  Speaker 4: We missed each other, we swap days. So happy to
• 1:05
  Speaker 4: be back at a typical Monday. We got eight games tonight,
• 1:08
  Speaker 4: So fun Monday night slate with as you were saying beforehand,
• 1:12
  Speaker 4: a bunch of good hitting spots. So more the same
• 1:15
  Speaker 4: with me, you know, same stuff, a different day if
• 1:18
  Speaker 4: you will, just excited to break the slate down with you,
• 1:21
  Speaker 4: get a little break, get a little bit of a
• 1:23
  Speaker 4: break from the madness that is living with all girls
• 1:26
  Speaker 4: when we talk some baseball. So let's do this, bro.
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah yeah.
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: Rest in peace to our guy Bellman over there with
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: the households full of uh right yeah. Usually usually the
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: women lead the lead the house in general, let alone
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: not having another single uh single son or male in
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: the in the household there.
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: So hey, girl, dog too.
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: Oh wow, yeah, yeah, you got you got everything rolling
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: down down the hill here, but hopefully, uh hope you're
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: going up the hill or up the leaderboards here tonight
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: with some extra money in your pocket.
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: Massive contest Aro on DraftKings and Fando.
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: I know we got game three here tonight, I believe
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: right in the NBA Finals Nicks out to two oh lead,
• 2:07
  Speaker 3: their Spurs kind of pissed down their leg twice and
• 2:10
  Speaker 3: in both of those games, but next obviously.
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: Got the job done there.
• 2:15
  Speaker 3: I don't dabble too much in the NBA streets, but
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: I know you and Rio have content up and our
• 2:22
  Speaker 3: guy little neck in the discord for the finals and
• 2:25
  Speaker 3: Game two was.
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: Very profitable for the nation for sure.
• 2:28
  Speaker 3: So looking to keep that rolling alongside the eight game
• 2:32
  Speaker 3: MLB slate here tonight, locking at six thirty five Eastern times,
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: so it does lock about forty minutes earlier than usual
• 2:40
  Speaker 3: with three really important games off the start, so make
• 2:43
  Speaker 3: sure you are around with that Baltimore, Cleveland and Tampa
• 2:48
  Speaker 3: game all locking in that kind of six forty Eastern
• 2:53
  Speaker 3: time window there, so make sure you're around. Set your
• 2:55
  Speaker 3: lineups there. We got flip flopping in here my lane
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: mister r K nine, Michael W. Marquee Sports, Sean Sally
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: Post owner, appreciate everyone tuning in. Hit that like button,
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: hit that subscribe button. We're gonna go ahead and pull
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: our partner sabersim up here. I did go ahead and
• 3:12
  Speaker 3: do a dry run. Have it sort of by projected
• 3:16
  Speaker 3: score here and pitching overview. Looks like Gavin Williams, Logan Web,
• 3:22
  Speaker 3: Christopher Sanchez, Walker Beeler are kind of the four guys
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: hitting projections in terms of projected ownership and one hundred
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: and fifty lineups Waukee, Seattle, Houston as offenses. So that's
• 3:36
  Speaker 3: kind of the four the four pitchers and the three
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: offenses that are headlining today slate.
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: Obviously, we'll do our best to break it all down there.
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: But when we jump over and take a look at
• 3:46
  Speaker 3: pitching here, Matt, we got Logan Web down at eight K.
• 3:49
  Speaker 3: Pitching out in the Bay Area, NAT's been best team
• 3:53
  Speaker 3: in baseball in terms of run scored, especially against right
• 3:55
  Speaker 3: handed pitching. Much different match up here for the Nats though,
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: going out west to that ballpark there. So at eight K,
• 4:03
  Speaker 3: he's probably gonna be the second highest stone pitcher. You're
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: you're probably looking at cash game pairing here of Logan
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: Web with one of either Gavin Williams or Christopher Santez
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: all the way up top. Depending on what your roster
• 4:16
  Speaker 3: looks like in terms of salary, I'm assuming it's probably
• 4:19
  Speaker 3: we're probably gonna see more Gavin Williams and Logan Web
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: type teams with the salaries the Brewers and the A's
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: do in that game. It is kind of your cash
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: game roster construction, if you will, think he's still solid
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: play even at ownership down there at ak Flat, Emerson
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: Hancock kind of falling back off, regressed a little bit.
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: Nobody's gonna play him, but he's an option there in Baltimore.
• 4:39
  Speaker 3: Pitching up in Camden Connelly early, I think is really
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: really interesting on this slate sandwich between Webb and Gavin Williams.
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: He's one of my favorite pitchers on the slate. Will Warren,
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: He's been great, doesn't doesn't have the same strikeout stuff
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: that he typically does from the left side than he
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: does the right side. Cleveland, we know, is obviously litter
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: with left handed bats, probably seven or eight lefties in
• 5:03
  Speaker 3: that lineup, depending on the switch hitters and things like that.
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  Speaker 3: So eighty nine hundred. He probably misses my cut there.
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: And then you got the three guys up at the top, Sanchez, Harrison, Arraghetty.
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: Harrison and Sanchez been two of the best pitchers in
• 5:15
  Speaker 3: the league. Obviously, Sanchez just won the kind of nl
• 5:20
  Speaker 3: Cy Young if you will, for the month of May.
• 5:23
  Speaker 3: He's eleven to five, pretty expensive, not the best strikeout
• 5:26
  Speaker 3: matchup against Toronto pitching out there, but he's been obviously
• 5:29
  Speaker 3: really good. And then Kyle Harrison's been absolutely elite. Both
• 5:32
  Speaker 3: of those pitchers, their underlying metrics have been really good
• 5:35
  Speaker 3: to back up their success.
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: However, he's ten to five.
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: Pitching out in Sacramento with like ninety degrees and almost
• 5:42
  Speaker 3: twenty mine hour wins, blown out in the second highest
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: elevation stadium in all of baseball behind cors Field, So
• 5:50
  Speaker 3: there's definitely downside there. Arraghetty is kind of the guys,
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: if you will, the pivot off of Gavin and the
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: guy that really nobody's clicked when normally people want to
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: streamline pictures.
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: Against the Angels right for the strikeouts.
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: We know that it's obviously a great place to hit
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: here tonight, it's fairly decent in Anaheim, in terms of
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: the temperatures, there's some wind blown out there.
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: We know it's above average stadium for hitting.
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: He's the guy though, that I think is pretty interesting
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: in tournaments that nobody's gonna click, especially as a pivot
• 6:21
  Speaker 3: off the top two, but more so a little bit
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: more expensive than Gavin Williams, who's going to be played,
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: probably is the highest on pitcher completely on the slate.
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: Same thing with Logan Web and then.
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: If people are spinning up, they're going all the way
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: up to Christopher Sanchez. So I think there's a lot
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: to talk about up in the top tier range. Here,
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: go ahead and break it down here, Matt, what do
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: you see?
• 6:41
  Speaker 4: Yeah, so I agree with most of everything you said.
• 6:45
  Speaker 4: Sanchez is obviously the best picture on the slate, but
• 6:48
  Speaker 4: it's not a good matchup and he's uber uber pricey,
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: so he's obviously in play. He projects the best. If
• 6:56
  Speaker 4: you like cheap stacks, et cetera, play Sanchez, but he
• 7:00
  Speaker 4: doesn't project for enough better for me to want to
• 7:02
  Speaker 4: prioritize him at eleven to five in this matchup, so
• 7:05
  Speaker 4: he's just in play for me. Kind of the same
• 7:08
  Speaker 4: with Harrison. I trust Sanchiz more Harrison's been really good.
• 7:15
  Speaker 4: He's also really expensive in an even worse spot. So
• 7:18
  Speaker 4: I got no problems playing Harrison, but hard for me
• 7:20
  Speaker 4: to prioritize him here. My two favorites are Webb and Williams.
• 7:25
  Speaker 4: I expect them to get owned, but understandably so. Web
• 7:28
  Speaker 4: is tough for me because Washington has been so good
• 7:31
  Speaker 4: against right handed pitching. However, most of the right is
• 7:34
  Speaker 4: that they faced Art as good as Web, and this
• 7:37
  Speaker 4: is their first time playing in this ballpark, so that
• 7:40
  Speaker 4: matters a lot. I think it mutes their offense enough
• 7:44
  Speaker 4: where eight K logan Web just looks good here. Gavin
• 7:49
  Speaker 4: Williams also too cheap. You take judge out of this lineup.
• 7:52
  Speaker 4: I mean, it's not an awful lineup, but it's certainly
• 7:55
  Speaker 4: not the same lineup, and it's pretty just mid. Gavin
• 7:58
  Speaker 4: Williams is really good, we know he has upside. He's
• 8:01
  Speaker 4: too cheap all things considered. So those are my two
• 8:04
  Speaker 4: favorite guys. You did mention two tournament plays. I also
• 8:08
  Speaker 4: like kind of the Early. You know, the Rays are
• 8:12
  Speaker 4: another team. They've been amazing against right handed pitching. They're
• 8:16
  Speaker 4: good against everyone, but I think Early is talented enough
• 8:18
  Speaker 4: and low enough owned where he's in play, and then
• 8:21
  Speaker 4: rag Getty like, I get it just because of the matchup.
• 8:24
  Speaker 4: I mean, it's tough to swallow that ninety five hundred
• 8:27
  Speaker 4: dollars price tag on a guy that I'm really not buying.
• 8:30
  Speaker 4: But it's the simple it's just simply insert pitcher against
• 8:35
  Speaker 4: the Angels. Here. They strike out more than anyone we've
• 8:39
  Speaker 4: seen much worse pitchers have monster games against the Angels.
• 8:42
  Speaker 4: So I'm not sure I'm gonna play him, but I
• 8:44
  Speaker 4: get it for sure. After that, I don't see much.
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: I do think it's the four guys, you know, if
• 8:51
  Speaker 4: you want to say Hancock, you know Buehler, Like the
• 8:54
  Speaker 4: Reds aren't particularly good without Elie de la Cruz, but
• 8:58
  Speaker 4: Bueller's not he really good either, so I think that
• 9:02
  Speaker 4: kind of washes each other out. Grayson Rodriguez was monstrous
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: chalk last time out. I played him against the Rockies,
• 9:11
  Speaker 4: you know, especially if Houston's gonna get a lot of ownership,
• 9:13
  Speaker 4: I don't hate that. Playing tournaments, he's inconsistent, but we
• 9:17
  Speaker 4: know he's talented, Like he's way more talented than a
• 9:19
  Speaker 4: seven K pitcher in my mind, So maybe he's the
• 9:23
  Speaker 4: one just talking this out if I were to get
• 9:25
  Speaker 4: weird in tournaments and play a bunch of lineups, I'd
• 9:27
  Speaker 4: certainly have him in my pool. You know, tournaments are
• 9:31
  Speaker 4: a little bit different. On DK tonight, you got like
• 9:33
  Speaker 4: the one to eleven with four thousand people. So I
• 9:36
  Speaker 4: don't hate plays like that on this slate. But really
• 9:39
  Speaker 4: for me, it's Williams and Webb and then Sanchez, Harrison
• 9:43
  Speaker 4: and then Big Drop.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: I agree with a lot of what you said. I
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: ranked the top tier just a little bit different. I
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: do have Harrison slightly ahead of Sanchez just because I
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: know the weather and this and that. But I mean, Harrison,
• 9:56
  Speaker 3: you still got to hit him, man. I mean, this
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: dude is look damn near on hitable in his starts
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: this year.
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: I know it's a it's the ballpark. I know.
• 10:04
  Speaker 3: I'm not just saying that either because I'm a Brewers guy.
• 10:07
  Speaker 3: I'm just looking at the ownership discount, the salary discount,
• 10:11
  Speaker 3: the props align it. I mean, he's got the best
• 10:13
  Speaker 3: k PROP on the slate, even ahead of Sanchez six
• 10:15
  Speaker 3: and a half minus one fifty four on the over.
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, does he He's.
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: Probably not gonna have a clean outing, right, He probably
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: is gonna get give up some runs. Unluck he has
• 10:24
  Speaker 3: been right he obviously I forget whatever the streak is
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: in terms of scoreless sittings and that, but I mean
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: six and a half k prop heavy juice to the
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: over his outs prop sitting at sixteen and a half,
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: which is okay, not bad. So for me, yeah, it's
• 10:42
  Speaker 3: it's those four guys I have. I have the top
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: tier kind of ranked. Harrison is my favorite, between him
• 10:50
  Speaker 3: and Sanchez. Irraghetti I like more than probably even Sanchez
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: a little bit, just because I think the strikeout matchup
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: is real. Obviously, we know that Angels second best strike
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: up matchup in the league against right handed pitching. Over
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: the last month, arrag Getty has shown a ceiling. He's
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: two thousand dollars cheaper than Sanchez. He's gonna be sub
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: ten percent owned on a shorter slate when everything's gonna
• 11:12
  Speaker 3: be condensed around that West Sacramento game in terms of offense.
• 11:15
  Speaker 3: And if they're not going there, they're going to Seattle.
• 11:17
  Speaker 3: So I think playing Arraghetty in tournaments is really interesting. No,
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: Will Warren for me, I'm not messing with that. Early
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: is probably my next guy that I look at Gavin
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: Williams is right.
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: There as well, and then Web.
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: Those are kind of the main that's kind of my
• 11:32
  Speaker 3: main pitching pool that I'm looking at is Web, Early Williams, Arraghetty, Harrison,
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: and then Sanchez.
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: I don't know how much chances I'm gonna get.
• 11:40
  Speaker 3: I'd rather just take a shot, to be honest, on
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: Harrison or Arraghetty with the ownership discount and the salary savings,
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: because I do want to play that game. I do
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: want to spend up for some of these offenses that
• 11:51
  Speaker 3: we're going to talk about here. So that's kind of
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: how I see the top tier. Again, the quote unquote
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: best plays on paper are Logan Web and Gavin Williams.
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: Just know, when you are playing those two guys, I
• 12:02
  Speaker 3: probably wouldn't five stack the Brewers just because you're gonna
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: be playing the same team as everybody else there. So
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: if you are going and eating that chalk at pitching,
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: which you certainly can, be cognizant of what you're doing
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: with the bats, because again, right look at that eighty percent,
• 12:19
  Speaker 3: I don't think.
• 12:19
  Speaker 4: We see crazy chalk. I'm pitching Tonty honestly, because I
• 12:22
  Speaker 4: think Sanchez and Harrison get like, I don't think any
• 12:24
  Speaker 4: of these guys are fifty plus percent owned to you.
• 12:28
  Speaker 3: So I mean, I think Gavin Williams in single entry
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: stuff comes over fifty percent, and I think Logan Web
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: is probably in that forty percent range. That's just what
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: I'm seeing. That's what projections are saying right now. I
• 12:39
  Speaker 3: have it sorted as an average of ownership, and we're
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: seeing Gavin Williams at forty percent, Logan Webb at at
• 12:45
  Speaker 3: thirty two percent. If I switched this to high stakes here, Matt,
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: I mean that's where I'm seeing, Yeah, Gavin fifty percent,
• 12:50
  Speaker 3: Logan Webb at forty three, which is kind of what
• 12:52
  Speaker 3: I thought. So I see Logan Web and Gavin is
• 12:54
  Speaker 3: kind of definitely the chalk pairing the in the smarer
• 12:57
  Speaker 3: your field gos cash game single entry stuff, just because
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: eight K eighty seven hundred the props the line at
• 13:04
  Speaker 3: their projections off the chart, and then it gives you
• 13:06
  Speaker 3: that extra three thousand dollars will spend up at BATS
• 13:09
  Speaker 3: when we have an eleven total out in West Sacramento.
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of what I.
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: See, and I do expect the smaller of the field,
• 13:15
  Speaker 3: the higher the stakes Kevin Williams and Logan webs ownership
• 13:18
  Speaker 3: is going to kind of steam anyone else and everybody
• 13:21
  Speaker 3: else's ownership is kind of going to moon walk back
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: from what you see there, it is kind of how
• 13:25
  Speaker 3: I how I see Yeah, the breakdown.
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: In that case, I think everything he said is right
• 13:31
  Speaker 4: on point. I mean, I think pivoting off those guys,
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: I don't think you have to, but I think if
• 13:36
  Speaker 4: you're playing then you got to be cognizant about who
• 13:38
  Speaker 4: you're playing with them. And at first, when you said
• 13:42
  Speaker 4: you liked Arragetty over Sanchez, I was ready to fight
• 13:46
  Speaker 4: you on it. But thinking about it more like just
• 13:49
  Speaker 4: because of the matchup, I think there are enough times
• 13:52
  Speaker 4: that Arragaetty outscore Sanchez considering the spots that they're in,
• 13:56
  Speaker 4: that it makes him worthwhile in tournaments, even though I
• 13:59
  Speaker 4: think the already of the times Sanchez is a much
• 14:02
  Speaker 4: better play you're looking for outliers. He's two K cheaper
• 14:06
  Speaker 4: half of the ownership, and there are times where he's
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: just straight up outscore Sanchez here. So I don't know
• 14:13
  Speaker 4: if I'm gonna play it, but I dig it. And yeah,
• 14:15
  Speaker 4: the ownership on webbin Williams. Man, it does get me
• 14:19
  Speaker 4: a little bit cautious, not gonna lie that they're gonna
• 14:23
  Speaker 4: be that highly owned, just because I like Williams a lot.
• 14:26
  Speaker 4: He's really good, obviously, I watch him all the time.
• 14:30
  Speaker 4: And the Yankees aren't as good without Judge, but it's
• 14:32
  Speaker 4: not like they're a trash lineup or anything. They still
• 14:34
  Speaker 4: got guys that can make him pay. And we know
• 14:36
  Speaker 4: that he's still not as consistent as some other aces
• 14:40
  Speaker 4: are because he puts guys on base. And then Logan
• 14:43
  Speaker 4: Webb prior to last start, I mean, he had troubles
• 14:47
  Speaker 4: all year and he's going against I mean, you said
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: it if the Nats have scored the most runs against
• 14:53
  Speaker 4: right handers of any team all year. So the ownership
• 14:57
  Speaker 4: does get me a little bit like, I don't even
• 15:00
  Speaker 4: know what the word for it is, but considering wanting
• 15:04
  Speaker 4: to get off of them, I guess is the best
• 15:05
  Speaker 4: way to put it.
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: Yeah, if I had to pick one of those two
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: between Web and Gavin Williams, I'm definitely picking Gavin Williams, and.
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: Props agree with that too.
• 15:14
  Speaker 3: But I look at the Nationals on the year against
• 15:16
  Speaker 3: right hand and pitching, they have a nineteen percent k
• 15:18
  Speaker 3: rate with power and speed.
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: I know it's the Bay Area. I know that, but
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: like Logan Webb.
• 15:26
  Speaker 3: I mean you look at the numbers, he's like a
• 15:28
  Speaker 3: twenty five percent k rate. Arm between this year and
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: last year. Has a below average strikeout rate or below
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: average strikeout matchup here against the Nats, who I get
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: it right, It doesn't matter the ballpark. Yeah, they don't
• 15:40
  Speaker 3: walu with home runs either. I mean, they're just They're
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: just a good baseball team against righties.
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: So that's where if if I had to pick one,
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: like I said, to be worried about, it would be
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: definitely for me.
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: Logan web Over, Gavin Williams.
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: Gavin Williams, I think is it's just hard to it's
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: hard to ignore the spot. But there's definitely downside. It's
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: not the best hitting environment here tonight in Cleveland. If
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: this game was in Yankee Stadium, I'd be a little
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: bit more worried. It is going to be in the eighties.
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: But there is some slight wind blown in. I just
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: the Yankees are so much better in my opinion, at
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: home than they are on the road most of the time.
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: But I think this lineup obviously took a big hit right,
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: not having Judge in there, they still have lefties to.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: Get to them.
• 16:24
  Speaker 3: But if I had to pick one, it'd be Gavin
• 16:26
  Speaker 3: Williams to play into ownership there, and I do like that.
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I think we broke down the top tier
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: pretty good. I know you had mentioned down in the
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: lower tier some of these guys a little bit. I
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: don't know that I love Walker Bieler there. I get it,
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: no Ellie and that Red's lineup and the strikeouts are there.
• 16:44
  Speaker 3: I just I'm not a Walker Beler guy. I'd rather
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: take a shot on a guy like Andrew Abbott on
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: the other side of that game. Personally, I just I
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: think Abbott does have something down there in his repertoire.
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: I mean, you look at the Padres. They've been like
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: one of the worst offenses in baseball since the start
• 16:58
  Speaker 3: of May. Yeah, they're starting to get it going a
• 17:02
  Speaker 3: little bit, but I mean sixty eight hundred, he's probably
• 17:04
  Speaker 3: got a longer leash because the Reds bullpen is much
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: worse than the Padres. So if Bueeler gets into any
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: sort of issues or trouble, they're just gonna pull him
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: go to that bullpen. I mean Abbot at sixty eight hundred,
• 17:15
  Speaker 3: I think he has strike on upside. His projection is worse,
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: but his ownership is gonna be down the charts, and
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: I think he's a good SP two option to get
• 17:25
  Speaker 3: you twelve to fifteen points here. And if that total
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: or that Sacramento game right goes off for what it's
• 17:32
  Speaker 3: anticipated for eleven plus runs and those salaries on those
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: hitters out there, you're gonna need some cheaper guys overall.
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: So I think Abbot's fairly interesting down here. Grayson Rodriguez.
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: I liked your shout there just because he's a bet
• 17:46
  Speaker 3: on talent and it is still Houston against the righty,
• 17:49
  Speaker 3: so I don't mind that. But yeah, it's I mean,
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: it's pretty gross down down low, and ideally I want
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: two of those top tier arms in Sanchez, Harrison Arraghetti,
• 18:00
  Speaker 3: Alvin Williams early in Web are kind of the main guys.
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: I'm looking that up there. Any any kind of closing
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: takes from the pitching.
• 18:07
  Speaker 4: No, My only closing take is even more interesting. The
• 18:11
  Speaker 4: Brewers might be in an even better spot here. This
• 18:15
  Speaker 4: game is being played in in the in Las Vegas tonight,
• 18:17
  Speaker 4: in their actual stadium, their minor league stadium in Las Vegas.
• 18:21
  Speaker 4: So I'm still trying to see if it's better than Sacramento,
• 18:24
  Speaker 4: but I can't imagine it's worse. So yeah, you might
• 18:27
  Speaker 4: really even want to spend up on the Brewers even more. So,
• 18:30
  Speaker 4: just an interesting note as we head into talk offenses.
• 18:33
  Speaker 3: Yeah, good, good catch. Yeah, that's I was misspeaking West Sacramento.
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: But I did see this, uh ballpark battle did post
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: out a tweet. Right, in terms of elevation, this isn't
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: quite coarse field elevation, but it's definitely the best second
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: highest elevation stadium in all of these all of baseball.
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: And you add in the weather out there in Vegas.
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's it's hard to imagine and that
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: this is not going to be a bump to bats.
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 19:04
  Speaker 4: They played a game yesterday and it was twenty one
• 19:06
  Speaker 4: to ten.
• 19:07
  Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, exactly, So obviously this is it's a it's
• 19:11
  Speaker 3: a very hard hard spot to go in with arms,
• 19:14
  Speaker 3: and I just I don't know, it's it's hard to tell.
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: And we'll see really how good Kyle Harrison is at
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: this right, So obviously you're gonna want that game from
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: bats on both sides That's why you see the A's
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: at almost a five implied run total against.
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: A guy who's arguably right up there.
• 19:30
  Speaker 3: In the cy Young voting with Christopher Sanchez Jacob Menzerowski
• 19:34
  Speaker 3: in terms of the metrics, right, So you wouldn't see
• 19:37
  Speaker 3: that if this game was played played, if this game
• 19:40
  Speaker 3: was in Milwaukee, the A's would probably have like a
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: three implied run total here, So they're like almost double
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: what they would be.
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: So the weather's real. Any any additional like the value
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: tier here, Buehler Rodner.
• 19:54
  Speaker 4: I'm with you on Abbot, like I think Abbot and
• 19:57
  Speaker 4: Bueler are kind of similar, and that you're just playing
• 19:59
  Speaker 4: the matchup. Both Padres and Reds have really struggled them.
• 20:02
  Speaker 4: I'm with you that Abbot's probably more talented at this
• 20:04
  Speaker 4: point than Bueler, So like, I got no issues with
• 20:07
  Speaker 4: wanting to play him over Bueler. The matchup is honestly
• 20:10
  Speaker 4: pretty similar. Both teams really struggling. I mean, you get
• 20:14
  Speaker 4: into this ballpark, you really want to get weirder to
• 20:17
  Speaker 4: pay up for offense. I think you could use both
• 20:19
  Speaker 4: pitchers in that game. I think I like Bueler a
• 20:21
  Speaker 4: little bit more, but I got no arguments that Abbot's
• 20:23
  Speaker 4: just is good to have a play, if not better.
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I just look at the rate.
• 20:27
  Speaker 3: I mean, you look at the padres over the last
• 20:28
  Speaker 3: month against left handed pitching. Thirty percent k rate with
• 20:32
  Speaker 3: some of the projected guys in there forty percent, forty
• 20:35
  Speaker 3: six percent, thirty percent, thirty one percent, twenty nine percent.
• 20:39
  Speaker 3: That's like, I mean that includes Tatis Machado. I mean
• 20:43
  Speaker 3: that the only guys that really haven't struck struck out
• 20:46
  Speaker 3: against lefties all over the last month, which is a
• 20:49
  Speaker 3: lot of played appearance. I mean, that's one hundred and
• 20:51
  Speaker 3: sixty six played appearances against left handed pitching over the
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: last month. And you're looking at a thirty percent k
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: rate and nobody's going to play this guy at six
• 21:00
  Speaker 3: eight and one.
• 21:00
  Speaker 4: Of them yesterday too.
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 21:03
  Speaker 3: I mean it's not that Abbot's a ace by any means,
• 21:05
  Speaker 3: but he's pitching in one of the best ballparks in
• 21:07
  Speaker 3: baseball to pitch in.
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: Nobody's gonna play him. He's he's cheap on a slate
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: where we have an eleven top total that probably flies
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: over the over the post of total on both sides
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: of offense out in Vegas, right.
• 21:20
  Speaker 3: So, uh, Abbot's probably my favorite cheaper pitcher on the
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: slate and feels gross to say that. It's just it's
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: a matchup play at at the salary, right, So I
• 21:29
  Speaker 3: do like that. Let's jump over here, Matt and showcase.
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: I do want to showcase this off real quick. Here
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: Matt our slate station. So this is second going on
• 21:41
  Speaker 3: a second week now since it's been available. Here really
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: a one stop shop here for all things you need
• 21:48
  Speaker 3: for the slate.
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: Right. It gives you kind of a summary down on
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: the bottom of a slate breakdown. The AI summary.
• 21:54
  Speaker 3: Of this show. Our live show will will populate in
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: here as well. You got the weather here which pulls
• 21:59
  Speaker 3: it API right from Kevin Roth, so you don't have
• 22:02
  Speaker 3: to have multiple tabs. Open, gives you kind of a
• 22:05
  Speaker 3: value breakdown, gives you all the hitter rankings that we
• 22:08
  Speaker 3: have our proprietary kind of formulation behind the scenes that.
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: Makes it very easy to sort.
• 22:13
  Speaker 3: I have disordered by kind of the core hitters that
• 22:15
  Speaker 3: you want to look at here tonight. If you want
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: to look at home run Radar, while you can just
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: click on home Run Radar, it'll filter to however many
• 22:21
  Speaker 3: hitters on the slate. If you want to look at
• 22:24
  Speaker 3: value bats well, it'll give you the value there again,
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: Core Hitters Stack two. It really kind of pulls everything
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: down and makes it super user friendly. You can see
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: the stack rankings here right, you can filter it, you
• 22:36
  Speaker 3: can kind of read up, read up everything, pitch a ranking,
• 22:39
  Speaker 3: same thing. It'll show you the ownership, their projection kind
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: of everything. And we have this for both FANDO and DraftKings.
• 22:45
  Speaker 3: And then once we have our actual cores, whether it's yourself, me,
• 22:49
  Speaker 3: g Rise, and Ham on the weekends, this dk GPP
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: will switch to whoever's doing the cores to post it
• 22:56
  Speaker 3: up here. So I mean, between this and the still
• 23:00
  Speaker 3: which we're gonna share right here to go.
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: Through, I mean, I don't think there's really much more.
• 23:06
  Speaker 3: You put that either one of those up right, the
• 23:08
  Speaker 3: stone or the slate station up on one screen.
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: You have saber same up on the other screen.
• 23:13
  Speaker 3: And you should at least give yourself competitive lineups, right
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: or at least give yourself a lens into having a
• 23:21
  Speaker 3: shot to be competitive on any given slate, regardless of
• 23:25
  Speaker 3: what night it is.
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: So I can't say enough about the slate station. It's
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: won a ton of money.
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: I almost shipped a couple of days last week, right,
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: had a really good week, picked up a bunch of
• 23:36
  Speaker 3: tickets to some hi higher dollar tournaments and things like.
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: That, and all of those days I was on the go, right.
• 23:42
  Speaker 3: So you know, when you're on the go traveling, you
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: don't have a ton of time to look into things.
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: It's nice to have a tool to really simplify kind
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: of your research process. Right, if you don't have an
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: hour to watch this show that we do here, Right,
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: you're getting home from work, you got your family, you
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: got your wife and kids at home. You know that
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: your family man there with some young kids, right, you
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: got the baby, and you got attend to your kids
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: all the time.
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: Right, Sometimes you just don't have time.
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: And we know the majority of our member base doesn't
• 24:11
  Speaker 3: have a ton of time when they get home from work,
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: start dinner, spending time with their kids and their wife
• 24:16
  Speaker 3: and family, and whoever right gives you kind of pull
• 24:20
  Speaker 3: up the slate station. You get a good idea and
• 24:22
  Speaker 3: then you can kind of add in your personal bias
• 24:24
  Speaker 3: to that from there. So I can't say enough about that,
• 24:27
  Speaker 3: But let's go ahead and jump over here and talk
• 24:30
  Speaker 3: the hitting side of things.
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: First game in the mound. We're up in Baltimore, Trey Gibson.
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: More of a bullpen game here from the art the
• 24:38
  Speaker 3: o's Gibson's not going to go super long here. Oh's
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: got a really good bullpen behind him. Emerson Hancock, like
• 24:44
  Speaker 3: I said, I mean, he started off the season and
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: we talked about kind of smoking mirrors a while. He
• 24:50
  Speaker 3: started to regress down a little bit here, still a
• 24:53
  Speaker 3: serviceable arm in general. Don't love the O side of it.
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: No basal or adly in that lineup does hurt overall
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: there to target Emerson Hancock. The Mariners, though, probably going
• 25:07
  Speaker 3: to be one of the higher on stacks just because
• 25:09
  Speaker 3: of these salaries right.
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: When people want to spend up for pitching and spend
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: up for the.
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: Brewers out in Vegas, Mariners make it very easy to
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: do that good implied run total here against a pitcher
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: who you want to target.
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: So Mariners look pretty solid here. What do you see
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: in this one? To start us off?
• 25:27
  Speaker 4: We start off with a game I like both sides
• 25:29
  Speaker 4: of So you get the Mariners against Trey Gibson, who's
• 25:32
  Speaker 4: not good at all in my opinion. Baltimore does have
• 25:35
  Speaker 4: a good bullpen, especially back end, but you got to
• 25:37
  Speaker 4: get to it first. So I like both sides of
• 25:41
  Speaker 4: this game. Talk about Trey Gibson being bad Mariners on
• 25:44
  Speaker 4: the road. You take them out of one of, if
• 25:47
  Speaker 4: not the worst ballpark for hitting, put them into even
• 25:50
  Speaker 4: the neutral park and they're going to look a lot better.
• 25:52
  Speaker 4: And they do here for price tags just never get
• 25:55
  Speaker 4: crazy high because they don't get played when they're at home.
• 25:59
  Speaker 4: So now that they're on the road, I like them
• 26:01
  Speaker 4: a lot here. I think you can play them one
• 26:02
  Speaker 4: through nine. Still know JP Crawford, so you got Cole
• 26:05
  Speaker 4: Young leading off. I'm a fan. I like the Seattle
• 26:08
  Speaker 4: line up quite a bit, and then Baltimore. I'm higher
• 26:12
  Speaker 4: on Baltimore than the field. They've been good recently. I
• 26:15
  Speaker 4: don't like that Rutchman is out, Pisio out as well,
• 26:18
  Speaker 4: and you got pinch hit risk with Huff for sure,
• 26:20
  Speaker 4: But I like the matchup Hancock do for some negative
• 26:25
  Speaker 4: regression and you get him on the road now. He's
• 26:28
  Speaker 4: one of these guys that pitches much better in Seattle.
• 26:31
  Speaker 4: And I like the Orioles as a sleeper stack here.
• 26:34
  Speaker 4: I don't expect them to get much love at all
• 26:35
  Speaker 4: because the guys you want are expensive and I think
• 26:38
  Speaker 4: they have upside here. They were really good all weekend
• 26:41
  Speaker 4: in Toronto and weren't played at all. I think that
• 26:43
  Speaker 4: continues here. So I'm in on both these offenses.
• 26:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I do think Theo's are pretty interesting as well,
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: on the side that nobody's really gonna play of the two.
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: Overall. You look at Seattle's bullpen, it's it's good.
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: I mean it's it's top ten in the league in
• 26:59
  Speaker 3: terms of X fit, which doesn't doesn't excite me too much.
• 27:04
  Speaker 3: But Hancock, you want the leftiest, so click Colton Kwser
• 27:06
  Speaker 3: looks really good. Jackson Holliday back in this lineup does
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: help the depth of the lineup. I think he's a
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: really good play. Pete Alonso, Mayo, Blasee Alexander have been
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: really really good against right handed pitching as well. Mayo
• 27:19
  Speaker 3: there is some strikeout risks there, but he does have
• 27:21
  Speaker 3: power as well. Gunner obviously he always has upside. You
• 27:25
  Speaker 3: got a fairly cheap Tavares down there hitting in the
• 27:29
  Speaker 3: heart of that lineup at thirty five hundred.
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: I think he's interesting. So yeah, Mariners are probably better
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: on paper, but at ownership and in GPPs against a
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: team that nobody really is gonna get too much in
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: the Oreos.
• 27:41
  Speaker 3: They have tons of upside here. There is some slight
• 27:45
  Speaker 3: weather kind of blowing not weather win kind of blown
• 27:48
  Speaker 3: across the field here at but nine to nine to
• 27:51
  Speaker 3: ten twelve miles an hour is what I'm seeing kind
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: of out to that left field foul pole. So if
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: that helps anything, maybe some of the righty's right I
• 28:01
  Speaker 3: thing makes some sense. I did want to call out
• 28:03
  Speaker 3: Colt Emerson. Don't forget about him in your Mariner stacks.
• 28:07
  Speaker 3: He's really good against righty's obviously a big time prospect
• 28:10
  Speaker 3: for them. Sign a massive, massive contract with the Mariners
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: here thirty seven hundred. Like I said, super cheap, you
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: can wrap it around. Yeah, I mean he's very good.
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: Cole Young.
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: You got a cheap second basement there, which is obviously
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: it's all the way up to Bryce Terrang at what
• 28:26
  Speaker 3: six k or a value guy, a guy like Cole Young.
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: Same thing at third base.
• 28:30
  Speaker 3: Second and third base usually a pretty weak position there,
• 28:33
  Speaker 3: so you got two guys to fit that. And then
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: Luke Railey and Canzone Murder right handed pitching. So yeah,
• 28:38
  Speaker 3: really good game for offense on both sides to kick
• 28:41
  Speaker 3: off the slate next one. Here we're out in Tampa.
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: Connelly Early one of my favorite pitchers in terms of tournaments.
• 28:48
  Speaker 3: Here the Rays have been kind of pesky.
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: As of late.
• 28:53
  Speaker 3: But I don't know how you look on paper right
• 28:55
  Speaker 3: this this lineup just looks gross. I mean, you got
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: Austin Slater obviously, just a platoon guy there against lefties.
• 29:02
  Speaker 3: He's back in there so if he doesn't get a
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: home run, he's a strikeout. So that does help Cannelly
• 29:07
  Speaker 3: Early as long as he can hopefully not allow the
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: home run there. But this game I don't love from
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: offense on either side. Here they have upside, but there's
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: much better spots I think, so this isn't one that
• 29:21
  Speaker 3: I love. Duran's getting going a little bit, but his
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: price is coming up. A bray You is probably my
• 29:26
  Speaker 3: favorite if you had to pick up Red Sox, a
• 29:28
  Speaker 3: bray You or Catreras, just because they've been really good
• 29:31
  Speaker 3: and they're forty two forty four hundred. But I don't
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: love this game from offense. What do you see in
• 29:35
  Speaker 3: this one?
• 29:37
  Speaker 4: Same? I'm off this game. Other spots are just like
• 29:39
  Speaker 4: so much more. This might be I don't know if
• 29:41
  Speaker 4: it's my least favorite spot on the slate, but one
• 29:43
  Speaker 4: of them we got good weather. Like all over, I
• 29:47
  Speaker 4: don't like this game for offense at all. Yeah, I
• 29:51
  Speaker 4: respect Early certainly enough, and you know, don't really want
• 29:55
  Speaker 4: to target to raise bullpen with the Red Sox stack.
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: Tonight, that's going to be a bullpen game from the Rays.
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: I hate attacking bullpen game, especially with the shitty offense
• 30:05
  Speaker 3: like Boston. So yeah, probably my least favorite game. Like
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: you said on the slate, there don't don't love it.
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: Next spot here, Will Warren Gavin Williams, two good real
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: life arms. Gavin Williams probably consensus best starting pitching play
• 30:17
  Speaker 3: on the slate at salary. He is going to be
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: owned as such, especially in single entrees stuff that we
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: talked about. I see him approaching fifty, mid fifties, potentially
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: even sixty percent in some stuff like the one twenty one.
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: I would be shocked to see Gavin Williams under a
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: fifty percent. Like I'm just I don't see it.
• 30:36
  Speaker 3: There's always downside facing the Yankees, but again with no
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: Aaron Judge, this lineup does take a pretty big hit.
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: Grisham Ben Rice.
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: Obviously, Rice has been incredible all year he's really good
• 30:46
  Speaker 3: at baseball. Bellinger Jazz, I mean, there's there's definitely downside here,
• 30:51
  Speaker 3: But I mean Gavin Williams, I trust him enough. I
• 30:54
  Speaker 3: don't love the Yankees. The Yankees always have upside in tournaments.
• 30:57
  Speaker 3: I'll definitely have some Yankee stacks, just be because they're
• 31:00
  Speaker 3: the Yankees in mmme, but I don't love them. They're
• 31:03
  Speaker 3: definitely not a top stack for me by any means.
• 31:05
  Speaker 3: Guardians kind of same thing, However, Will Warren is much
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: more susceptible to lefties, and the Guardians are gonna throw
• 31:13
  Speaker 3: nine lefties Adam obviously two of those being switch hitters.
• 31:16
  Speaker 3: I think as a kind of a sneaky unknowned value stack.
• 31:21
  Speaker 3: As a pivot off of Seattle, I think the Guardians
• 31:24
  Speaker 3: could make some sense. You don't love picking on the
• 31:27
  Speaker 3: Yankees pitching in that bullpen, but in tournaments, say you're
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: eating the chalk at pitching, right, you're going Gavin Williams
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: and Logan Web with some Brewers. Why not pair up
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: some Guardians right to get a little different When all
• 31:39
  Speaker 3: of those Brewer stacks are gonna have the Mariners value mats.
• 31:43
  Speaker 3: If you pivot to the Guardians right, well, that's a
• 31:46
  Speaker 3: little thing that you can do to be different. You
• 31:48
  Speaker 3: don't have to be off the wall in baseball. You
• 31:49
  Speaker 3: can still play good plays and get different that way. Right, So,
• 31:53
  Speaker 3: guardians I think are kind of interesting just because Will
• 31:57
  Speaker 3: Warren is more susceptible against the left side. He's gonna
• 31:59
  Speaker 3: see nine lefties here, what do you see?
• 32:02
  Speaker 4: Yeah, So I agree with you. Actually, I think both
• 32:05
  Speaker 4: sides are in play if you're not playing Gavin Williams
• 32:07
  Speaker 4: at the ownership that he's commanding right now, the Yankees
• 32:10
  Speaker 4: are in play. I mean, still a very capable offense.
• 32:14
  Speaker 4: They got power and they run, and you've got really
• 32:17
  Speaker 4: good hitting weather here, big boost the home runs. It's
• 32:20
  Speaker 4: hot in Cleveland today, I mean might be the hottest
• 32:23
  Speaker 4: day of the year so far. So yeah, Like I
• 32:27
  Speaker 4: Gavin Williams is a dog and I think he's an ace,
• 32:31
  Speaker 4: but he's not like a top He's not like a
• 32:35
  Speaker 4: top three guy, at least not yet. So he can
• 32:37
  Speaker 4: get got and he puts guys on base when he's
• 32:40
  Speaker 4: not on his best stuff. So there's definitely a role
• 32:43
  Speaker 4: for the Yankees on this slate. I'm not sure how
• 32:45
  Speaker 4: many lineups it would take me to get there. But man,
• 32:48
  Speaker 4: you talk about the leverage they're offering both sides. Are
• 32:51
  Speaker 4: Rildy in play the Cleveland side just because they look better.
• 32:54
  Speaker 4: Warren isn't getting the ownership, but Warren isn't as good
• 32:56
  Speaker 4: as Gavin Williams. And I like the Guardian's line up
• 32:59
  Speaker 4: a little bit more than New Yorks.
• 33:00
  Speaker 3: Right now, Yeah, I agree. Menzarto has been been really solid. Obviously,
• 33:05
  Speaker 3: there's a lot of strikeout risks there. Bozana fill in
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: second base, right, I think he's a really good play.
• 33:10
  Speaker 3: Jay Ram is a DFS cheat code, right, because if
• 33:13
  Speaker 3: he's not hitting home runs or hitting doubles, right, he's
• 33:15
  Speaker 3: stealing bases as well, So he's got a ton of upside.
• 33:18
  Speaker 3: Martine has been solid, Patrick Bailey got a cheap catcher,
• 33:21
  Speaker 3: and then ro Chio, right, don't forget about him. He's
• 33:24
  Speaker 3: he's got to fund a little power stretch as of late. Right,
• 33:27
  Speaker 3: hit a bomb yesterday their day before saw he's thirty
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: four hundred at shortstop and it makes a nice wrap around, right,
• 33:34
  Speaker 3: you can go Bailey, Roschio and then wrap it up
• 33:37
  Speaker 3: to the top in Bozana, Jay Ram, the latter Manzarto.
• 33:40
  Speaker 3: I mean this this whole lineup on paper is pretty solid.
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: Rich Homi Kwan, it would be my least favorite. I
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: just never play him, so i'd probably leave him out.
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: But yeah, I think the Guardians are are pretty interesting
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: at the salaries here and nobody's gonna click their names,
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: and I do see upside for them tonight.
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: Next spot here, Blue Jays and the Phillies Christopher Sanchez,
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: Patrick Corbyn. I don't love this game.
• 34:04
  Speaker 3: Phillies probably get ownership just because everyone's got it baked
• 34:07
  Speaker 3: in their head right that Patrick Corbin's a gas can
• 34:09
  Speaker 3: and he's not a great arm by any means. But
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: I mean, really, the best kind of upside is the
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: stolen basis so Trey Turner, Bryson Scott, Brandon Marsh, even
• 34:20
  Speaker 3: lefty Lefty Marsh is just raking baseballs right now.
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: I don't love this game either side.
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: Here for offense, I know the Phillies have a good
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: implied run total.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: It's still Patrick Corbyn on them mound.
• 34:30
  Speaker 3: They have upside, but I don't like them very much
• 34:34
  Speaker 3: here tonight. And I'm just gonna not be very high
• 34:38
  Speaker 3: on this game from an offense. But what do you
• 34:40
  Speaker 3: see in this one up in Toronto?
• 34:41
  Speaker 4: Here? I think I like the Phillies more than you,
• 34:44
  Speaker 4: but I have to think they get ownership and there
• 34:46
  Speaker 4: are other good weather spots on this slate. Corbyn, I think,
• 34:49
  Speaker 4: is a guy that people like to pick on more
• 34:51
  Speaker 4: than me. Anyways, So I like the Phillies, but I'm
• 34:55
  Speaker 4: fine not playing them. Like if I were playing one
• 34:57
  Speaker 4: lineup tonight, I don't think it would be a Philly stack.
• 35:00
  Speaker 4: They certainly have upside we saw yesterday. They're cheap enough
• 35:03
  Speaker 4: to so I'm I think I like the Phillies a
• 35:08
  Speaker 4: little bit more than you, But at the end of
• 35:11
  Speaker 4: the day, like I don't think either of us would
• 35:13
  Speaker 4: play them in one lineup, So we basically get to
• 35:15
  Speaker 4: the same conclusion. And I don't think it's that you
• 35:17
  Speaker 4: don't like the Phillies. I think there are just other
• 35:19
  Speaker 4: spots you like more and the Phillies are gonna get ownership.
• 35:23
  Speaker 3: Yeah, correct, Yeah, we obviously when we look at our
• 35:26
  Speaker 3: kind of staff rankings, Phillies are our top four.
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: Ownership is going to be there because of that.
• 35:31
  Speaker 3: Right, everybody's production system can see it's Patrick Corbin Phillies
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: against a lefty here, Trey Turner, Alec Bohm, Real Mudo.
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: Those are kind of the main guys you're looking at there.
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: But yeah, I don't love this spot compared to other
• 35:44
  Speaker 3: spots on the slate, and I'm probably gonna be under
• 35:48
  Speaker 3: on the Phillies and if they beat me, they beat me.
• 35:49
  Speaker 3: But yeah, that's kind of the approach I'm taking. Blue
• 35:52
  Speaker 3: Jays not really much interest against Christopher Sanchez. It's the
• 35:56
  Speaker 3: argument against not playing Christopher Sanchez is his salary and
• 35:59
  Speaker 3: maybe he goes out there and get just six k's
• 36:01
  Speaker 3: instead of ten k's and go seven innings and is
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: that enough at at eleven five hundred with the game
• 36:09
  Speaker 3: if the Vegas game does what it does, probably not right.
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: So that's more of the argument.
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: It's not like I'm going to play these Blue Jays
• 36:16
  Speaker 3: against him as some sort of leverage or anything like that.
• 36:18
  Speaker 3: I just I don't want to pick on one of
• 36:20
  Speaker 3: the best pitchers, if not the best pitcher in the
• 36:23
  Speaker 3: league's so or in the league so far. Next game,
• 36:26
  Speaker 3: Angels Astros late night window here for the last four games,
• 36:31
  Speaker 3: which are obviously all really really good games that we're
• 36:34
  Speaker 3: gonna talk about here. Ragetti on the Mountain, Grayson Rodriguez,
• 36:37
  Speaker 3: we saw the downside. Grayson Rodriguez can have in his
• 36:40
  Speaker 3: last start there, I think it was his last start, right,
• 36:45
  Speaker 3: he does still have talent there, but if he can't
• 36:48
  Speaker 3: command it, it can go south in a hurry. Here,
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: Astros gonna be probably the second highest on stack on
• 36:55
  Speaker 3: the slate, behind either Seattle or Milwaukee.
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: I mean, Jordan is hitting beach balls right now.
• 37:02
  Speaker 3: He looks probably like one of the best plays on
• 37:04
  Speaker 3: the slate in general, sixty two hundred for him, he's
• 37:07
  Speaker 3: gonna get on, But I mean he looks like one
• 37:09
  Speaker 3: of the best bats on the entire slate, So it's
• 37:11
  Speaker 3: hard to argue there. I mean, you got a bad
• 37:14
  Speaker 3: bullpen behind Grayson Rodriguez, who can pitch himself right out
• 37:17
  Speaker 3: of the inning in general, or right out of.
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: The game in general with his command issues.
• 37:21
  Speaker 3: Arraghetti can have command issues at time as well, which
• 37:25
  Speaker 3: could lead to the Angels kind of getting there and
• 37:27
  Speaker 3: then the Astros bullpen, while it is improved from what
• 37:30
  Speaker 3: it has been with getting some of their guys back,
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: it's still not a great bullpen.
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: So this game looks like offense on both sides here.
• 37:36
  Speaker 3: For me much preferred the Astro side if picking one,
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: but still don't have these kind of either of these
• 37:42
  Speaker 3: offense really stacking up with some of the other teams
• 37:44
  Speaker 3: that we talked about and we're gonna talk about here,
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: But I do think the Astros on paper look really
• 37:49
  Speaker 3: solid here against Grayson Rodriguez.
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: What do you see though?
• 37:53
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree with you, but I think the Astros
• 37:55
  Speaker 4: are kind of your Phillies, like my phillies for you.
• 37:58
  Speaker 4: I get it. They're in a good spot against Grayson Rodriguez.
• 38:02
  Speaker 4: There's just other thoughts out like more and like I said,
• 38:04
  Speaker 4: no matter how awful he was last start out and
• 38:08
  Speaker 4: how up and down he's been this year, I still
• 38:10
  Speaker 4: respect Rodriguez enough where there are pitchers i'd rather pick
• 38:12
  Speaker 4: on on this slate, and he's like Houston's getting ownership,
• 38:16
  Speaker 4: So I'm probably not gonna be on Houston personally, not
• 38:20
  Speaker 4: that I don't get it. I mean jord On, you
• 38:22
  Speaker 4: talked about it. He's been the best hit or of
• 38:24
  Speaker 4: baseball this year. So if you're stacking Houston, he probably
• 38:27
  Speaker 4: wants some jord On exposure and they're cheap outside of him.
• 38:31
  Speaker 4: So I get Houston. I just don't know if I'm
• 38:34
  Speaker 4: personally gonna play them, but certainly things can change if
• 38:37
  Speaker 4: their ownership comes down or you know, projections, you know,
• 38:42
  Speaker 4: sim start loving them before, maybe I'll change my stance.
• 38:44
  Speaker 4: But as of right now, I don't think I'm gonna
• 38:46
  Speaker 4: be over the field on Houston. I do think the
• 38:49
  Speaker 4: Angels are in play. Just like talked about with Arrogetty.
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: You know, you could play him because of the matchup.
• 38:56
  Speaker 4: That's the only reason I'd be playing him, because he
• 38:58
  Speaker 4: hasn't been particularly good this year. You look under the hood,
• 39:01
  Speaker 4: he's got like a one something ERA close to a
• 39:03
  Speaker 4: five expected. Dra hasn't even been prying that many guys.
• 39:07
  Speaker 4: You're just playing him because of the matchup. But he's expensive.
• 39:10
  Speaker 4: And the Angels we saw yesterday they got Mtsghn out
• 39:14
  Speaker 4: of the game early and proceeded to put up like
• 39:16
  Speaker 4: fourteen runs against the Dodgers bullpen. They got power when
• 39:19
  Speaker 4: they make contact. So I think the Angels aren't play
• 39:22
  Speaker 4: on this late. We talked about like the one to
• 39:24
  Speaker 4: eleven bigger tournaments tonight. You know, they're an outside the
• 39:28
  Speaker 4: box stack that won't get any love. That I think
• 39:30
  Speaker 4: is upside.
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree on as a stack, I prefer the Angels.
• 39:35
  Speaker 3: Obviously, jord On Trump's anything in this game for me
• 39:40
  Speaker 3: as as does it for everybody else, I'm sure, but
• 39:45
  Speaker 3: wayde Meckler I think is I mean, I think this
• 39:48
  Speaker 3: kid kid is going to be I mean, I think
• 39:51
  Speaker 3: he's solid and he's thirty eight hundred with power against Arraghetti.
• 39:55
  Speaker 3: I don't hate that. Yeah, I like the Angels more
• 39:59
  Speaker 3: when you consider ship It's still the Bullpens are pretty
• 40:03
  Speaker 3: similar in terms of I mean five and six in
• 40:07
  Speaker 3: terms of x FIP over the first or over the
• 40:10
  Speaker 3: season so far, so it's equal on both sides. I
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: do like both sides, but overall, I think the Angels
• 40:18
  Speaker 3: I really like that one two three, Nettle, Trout, Meckler, Shanuel,
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: you got a cheap first baseman there, Astros, You're probably
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: gonna see some cheaper lefties. Right, lefties is what gets
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: to Grayson. So you'll probably see Taylor Tramil make the lineup.
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: You'll probably see LaMonte Wade make the lineup as well,
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: at least if I'm the manager here, because that's really
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: what tags up Grayson the most. It is the lefties.
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: So you probably see some more lefties.
• 40:45
  Speaker 3: Definitely, Tramo probably makes it and Wade might even make
• 40:48
  Speaker 3: it as well. So yeah, I mean obviously one of
• 40:52
  Speaker 3: the best games on paper here. Both sides definitely top
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: five stacks for probably everybody, but I do slightly lean
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: the Angel side more so. Meckler is probably one of
• 41:03
  Speaker 3: my favorite bats at the salary as well, which I
• 41:06
  Speaker 3: do like quite a bit.
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: Next game, Padres Reds.
• 41:10
  Speaker 3: This is a game that you can probably put up
• 41:13
  Speaker 3: there in the caliber of the Rays and the Red Sox.
• 41:15
  Speaker 3: From an offensive standpoint, I don't love this game on
• 41:18
  Speaker 3: either side. Bueler's gonna get it some ownership down down low,
• 41:21
  Speaker 3: but I don't. It's not I I'm not gonna go
• 41:23
  Speaker 3: play the Reds. This is the spot where the Reds
• 41:25
  Speaker 3: do score runs. Though, when people are trying to streamline
• 41:28
  Speaker 3: a cheap starting pitcher, two offod bats and the Reds
• 41:32
  Speaker 3: are on own, that's usually when it's the time to
• 41:34
  Speaker 3: play the Reds.
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: But not for me here tonight in San Diego. What
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: do you see though?
• 41:38
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I've played a bunch of the Reds too recently
• 41:40
  Speaker 4: to know to obviously not much success. But they're facing
• 41:44
  Speaker 4: Bueler tonight, Like this Gameer at Cincinnati. I'd like the
• 41:47
  Speaker 4: Reds a lot, it's not Buehler is inconsistent slash not
• 41:52
  Speaker 4: good enough where you could consider using pieces of the
• 41:54
  Speaker 4: Reds that they're cheap, but certainly not a priority San Diego.
• 42:00
  Speaker 4: I feel like they should be so much better than
• 42:01
  Speaker 4: they are a guesst left handed pitching, but I'll probably
• 42:04
  Speaker 4: be saying that at the end of the year. Also,
• 42:06
  Speaker 4: so like, yeah, to TC, you want to use his
• 42:08
  Speaker 4: one off, Sure, Machado has been got off of this year.
• 42:11
  Speaker 4: This game's all about the pitching for me.
• 42:14
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think JJ Bledah and Nathaniel Lowe are pretty interesting.
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: The reason being is a guy like Andrew Vaughan at
• 42:21
  Speaker 3: forty three hundred is going to be thirty to forty owned.
• 42:25
  Speaker 3: Nathaniel Lowe with some power at thirty five hundred is
• 42:28
  Speaker 3: going to be two percent owned. JJ Bleday same thing
• 42:31
  Speaker 3: fifty three hundred. A guy like Jackson Curio, right, I
• 42:37
  Speaker 3: mean you name it. Those outfielders in that Vegas game
• 42:39
  Speaker 3: are going to be off the charts compared to these guys.
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: And Bladet's been one of the better hitters in baseball too.
• 42:45
  Speaker 3: I mean, this dude's Nation and Baseball, so it doesn't
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: matter what park he's in. I think he's got power,
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: and his power is real when you look at his
• 42:52
  Speaker 3: bat speed and all of his kind of stat cast numbers.
• 42:56
  Speaker 3: So I think Bliday and Low are pretty interesting there.
• 42:59
  Speaker 3: But yeah, not a game where I'm really getting to
• 43:02
  Speaker 3: stacking or anything like that. If I had to pick
• 43:04
  Speaker 3: a side to be more on the Reds and then
• 43:06
  Speaker 3: the Padres, I think abbots are really solid play as
• 43:10
  Speaker 3: a cheap sp two on the slate. I didn't want
• 43:12
  Speaker 3: to call it Edwin Arroyo as well, second base shortstop
• 43:15
  Speaker 3: two k flat. This guy, this kid does have talent.
• 43:19
  Speaker 3: I mean, he's got power and speed and he's two
• 43:21
  Speaker 3: thousand dollars at on a slate where we have an
• 43:24
  Speaker 3: eleven implied run total where the bats you want in
• 43:27
  Speaker 3: that game are expensive, right, So I think he definitely
• 43:32
  Speaker 3: was worth a mention on the slate. Next game, Nationals Giants.
• 43:37
  Speaker 3: Two games left to talk about.
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: Miles michelis back in Our Lives on the Mold again.
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: Logan Web. We talked about Web.
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: It's going to be probably Logan Web and Gavin Williams
• 43:47
  Speaker 3: is the single entry cash game chalk pairing both probably
• 43:52
  Speaker 3: fifty plus percent on just projections wise, because it allows
• 43:55
  Speaker 3: you to spend up to get to those brewers. National
• 43:57
  Speaker 3: Z though anytime they're against a riety have to have
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: interest regardless of the ballpark. James Wood, Dylan Cruz, Curtis Mead,
• 44:04
  Speaker 3: I mean, this dude is I don't know what the
• 44:05
  Speaker 3: hell happened to Curtis Mead. He left Tampa and came
• 44:08
  Speaker 3: to the Nationals and now this dude is just Barry
• 44:11
  Speaker 3: Bonds out there.
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: I mean he hit. I think I was on the
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: show on Friday.
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: He was my home un call, didn't make the lineup
• 44:17
  Speaker 3: hit he then he hit a home run on Saturday,
• 44:20
  Speaker 3: so that was pretty funny. Cja Abrams obviously a cheat
• 44:23
  Speaker 3: code there, but those guys are expensive. It is in
• 44:27
  Speaker 3: San Fran. How many stats have won DFS slates in
• 44:31
  Speaker 3: San Fran Not a lot.
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 44:35
  Speaker 3: You get the leverage off of Logan web So in
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: lineups where maybe you pivot down to like an Andrew Abbott, right,
• 44:40
  Speaker 3: maybe you pull some of these more expensive Nationals like
• 44:43
  Speaker 3: a James Wood, a cja Abrams something like that at
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: daylan Lyle and you play Abbot instead of Logan Webb.
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: That'll follows you to get kind of on a different
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: roster construction there.
• 44:53
  Speaker 3: I think the Nationals in tournaments are are kind of
• 44:55
  Speaker 3: intriguing the Giant side as well. Right, Michelas has just
• 44:59
  Speaker 3: not been good. Giants are starting to hit the baseball.
• 45:01
  Speaker 3: They're still not a great offense, but Casey Smith's been
• 45:03
  Speaker 3: really solid. Devers is starting to hit again.
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I probably like this game more than
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: I should in the shitty ballpark, But what do you
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: see here? Matt?
• 45:11
  Speaker 4: Talk to me, man. The funniest thing is like, you
• 45:15
  Speaker 4: got the Giants against Miles Micholas and the Nationals against
• 45:18
  Speaker 4: Logan Webb, and I couldn't tell you which one I
• 45:21
  Speaker 4: like more because I like both because they both provide
• 45:25
  Speaker 4: really good, really good things for lack of a better word,
• 45:29
  Speaker 4: on this slate that the other one doesn't. So you
• 45:32
  Speaker 4: got the Giants, they face Miles Michaelis, who we always
• 45:36
  Speaker 4: want to pick on. This is kind of where the
• 45:38
  Speaker 4: rubber meets the road because you get Michaelas in this ballpark,
• 45:41
  Speaker 4: but I don't think San Fran gets hardly any ownership tonight.
• 45:44
  Speaker 4: They're cheap and they're facing Miles Michaelas. That's a good
• 45:48
  Speaker 4: combo for me then that we kind of talked about
• 45:51
  Speaker 4: him earlier. But Logan web is gonna be one of
• 45:55
  Speaker 4: the three most popular pitchers on the slate hasn't been
• 45:57
  Speaker 4: great this year, and then that's have been phenomenal against
• 46:00
  Speaker 4: right handed pitching. So, man, if there's ever a game
• 46:03
  Speaker 4: to go after hitting, I think, you know, hitting in
• 46:05
  Speaker 4: this ballpark, I think tonight is it smaller slate, no Cores,
• 46:10
  Speaker 4: no Dodgers, Yankees without judge. You do have the Brewers
• 46:14
  Speaker 4: in the Las Vegas Park, but they're just that's part
• 46:18
  Speaker 4: of the reason that this game isn't going to get
• 46:20
  Speaker 4: any love. And you know, it's not like there would
• 46:25
  Speaker 4: be no good spots on the slate. Jeffrey Springs is
• 46:28
  Speaker 4: good enough where it wouldn't be crazy if the Brewers
• 46:30
  Speaker 4: don't go off tonight. And if that's the case, I
• 46:33
  Speaker 4: wouldn't be surprised if either of these teams are on
• 46:35
  Speaker 4: the winner. And that's rare to say in this ballpark,
• 46:37
  Speaker 4: but I'm with you.
• 46:40
  Speaker 3: Yeah, you look at the Giants bullpen too, second worst
• 46:42
  Speaker 3: in baseball, So that adds in, right, if they are
• 46:44
  Speaker 3: able to get to Logan web or at least stretch
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: Logan webs pitch count, and I mean he can walk
• 46:51
  Speaker 3: walk guys himself, right, so we know that then you
• 46:56
  Speaker 3: got a bad bullpen as well for the Nats, and predominantly,
• 47:00
  Speaker 3: I mean you probably.
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: See some riti's coming out of there.
• 47:03
  Speaker 3: I think I prefer the Giant side more just because
• 47:05
  Speaker 3: Micholas is a gas can and I streamline anyone really
• 47:11
  Speaker 3: against him and usually it goes south. But I mean,
• 47:14
  Speaker 3: anytime there's a fifteen percent strikeout right arm on the
• 47:16
  Speaker 3: slate that gets barreled up by both sides gives up
• 47:20
  Speaker 3: power fly balls, I mean you have upside there. Schmidt Devers,
• 47:25
  Speaker 3: you probably get a cheap Drew Gilbert in there, Bryce
• 47:28
  Speaker 3: Eldridge as a cheap first baseman as well.
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: So yeah, there's upside on both sides.
• 47:34
  Speaker 3: And this is probably one of my couple of my
• 47:38
  Speaker 3: sneaker favorite offenses on the slate where it does.
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: Seem pretty cut and dry in terms of what people
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: are gonna do.
• 47:44
  Speaker 3: They're gonna play the Brewers and then they're gonna play
• 47:46
  Speaker 3: either the value the value Astros are the value Mariners, right,
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: So you're looking up when you're building lineups, you're looking
• 47:54
  Speaker 3: to compete against those kinds of roster constructions. And I
• 47:57
  Speaker 3: think some of these guys on both sides that that
• 48:00
  Speaker 3: Giants Nationals game can do it for you. Last game
• 48:04
  Speaker 3: of the slate. We are in Vegas here. Excuse me
• 48:07
  Speaker 3: for saying West Sacramento. Obviously in earlier there's not a
• 48:12
  Speaker 3: lot of data on this ballpark. But based on what
• 48:15
  Speaker 3: you saw yesterday and tonight the weather alone in Vegas,
• 48:20
  Speaker 3: I mean it's extremely hot.
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: There's tons of wind blown out.
• 48:24
  Speaker 3: We know in these kind of undeveloped stadiums, right wind
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: is more affected than others.
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: Again, not a lot of data.
• 48:33
  Speaker 3: Vegas would tend to agree hanging eleven implied run total
• 48:36
  Speaker 3: here I talked about the A's implied run total probably
• 48:39
  Speaker 3: two two to two and a half runs higher than
• 48:41
  Speaker 3: what it normally would be if this game was in Milwaukee.
• 48:44
  Speaker 3: We talked about Kyle Harrison in terms of a pivot
• 48:47
  Speaker 3: in the top tier that I just I don't see a.
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: World where he comes in at twenty percent.
• 48:51
  Speaker 3: I mean, when you actually go to start building teams
• 48:54
  Speaker 3: and you click Kyle Harrison, it probably feels pretty gross
• 48:58
  Speaker 3: to do so when you can just go down to
• 49:00
  Speaker 3: Gavin Williams and Logan web So I don't see this
• 49:03
  Speaker 3: ownership holding true. I expect him to move and walk
• 49:06
  Speaker 3: back and those other guys to kind of steam up
• 49:07
  Speaker 3: when people actually go to start building teams.
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: Brewers on paper, best stack on the board. Hard to argue,
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: Springs is the flyball pitcher. The only kurrent argument here
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: is number one, ownership on the Brewers side. Number two.
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: This team against lefties is just not the same as
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: it is against righty's, and they don't hit the ball
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: in the air. Andrew Vaughan probably one of the best
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: players in the slate, followed by William Catreras. There is
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: definitely clear downside here. You look at this team, like
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: I said, against lefties, they're up there in strikeouts. Their
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: ops is down the charts, So there's definitely a clear
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: downside here. It's just a true.
• 49:47
  Speaker 3: Hard to ignore spot right with the weather on the
• 49:51
  Speaker 3: other side, though, Matt the A's, I mean, nobody's gonna
• 49:55
  Speaker 3: play the A's really and they get the exact same environment. Yeah,
• 50:00
  Speaker 3: Kyle Harrison's really good, but we don't know how good
• 50:03
  Speaker 3: he's going to be in this kind of environment, in
• 50:05
  Speaker 3: this kind of ballpark. Kobe Thomas, I mean lang Lear's
• 50:10
  Speaker 3: Nick Kurtz, he's been really good. Brent Rooker at four
• 50:12
  Speaker 3: K for Brent Rooker in the stadium against Lefty. I
• 50:15
  Speaker 3: think that's interesting. I think the A's are getting slept on,
• 50:19
  Speaker 3: and I think they're pretty damn interesting here tonight as well.
• 50:22
  Speaker 3: What do you see in this one to run us
• 50:23
  Speaker 3: out the most important game of the slate.
• 50:27
  Speaker 4: Yeah, so weirdly enough, I think you're you're actually higher
• 50:31
  Speaker 4: on Harrison and the A's than me. I get both
• 50:34
  Speaker 4: of them, though, Like there are just a lot of
• 50:36
  Speaker 4: good spots on this slate. You can't play everyone. Harrison
• 50:39
  Speaker 4: has been so good, so of course I couldn't argue
• 50:42
  Speaker 4: for wanting to play him because he's been the best
• 50:47
  Speaker 4: picture on almost every slate he's been on. He's just
• 50:49
  Speaker 4: been phenomenal and outside of the ballpark not an awful spot. Certainly,
• 50:54
  Speaker 4: we don't hate using pictures against the A's. He's expensive, though,
• 50:58
  Speaker 4: so that's my hesitation. When you do have, you know,
• 51:03
  Speaker 4: not a matchup where the A's certainly have power upside,
• 51:06
  Speaker 4: and then you put this ballpark into consideration, makes me
• 51:09
  Speaker 4: personally not love Harrison, but I get your point about
• 51:12
  Speaker 4: ownership the A's themselves against him. I'm struggling here because
• 51:18
  Speaker 4: I feel like I have respect. I don't want to
• 51:20
  Speaker 4: use Harrison here. But I respect him enough to not
• 51:23
  Speaker 4: want to stack against him. That said, you mentioned that
• 51:26
  Speaker 4: high total for the A's here the ballpark, This does
• 51:30
  Speaker 4: seem like a spot where if they get to him,
• 51:34
  Speaker 4: they do so with home runs, and that's all you
• 51:36
  Speaker 4: can ask for from a stack, So I get it
• 51:38
  Speaker 4: from that perspective. I don't have much to add on
• 51:41
  Speaker 4: the Brewers. They're the top stack on paper, but I
• 51:44
  Speaker 4: think there's enough holes to poke in them that I'm
• 51:46
  Speaker 4: not sure I want to play them into ownership. That said,
• 51:50
  Speaker 4: they are the best stack on paper with the highest upside.
• 51:53
  Speaker 4: The thing we usually don't love about the Brewers so
• 51:55
  Speaker 4: they don't hit a ton of home runs, but you
• 51:58
  Speaker 4: put them in this ballpark, in this matchup up like
• 52:01
  Speaker 4: the home runs might come. So definitely a fade at
• 52:03
  Speaker 4: your own risk type of spot. Even if they don't
• 52:05
  Speaker 4: get a lot of home runs, they run. They should
• 52:08
  Speaker 4: score runs tonight. So even as MANI stacks, they look good.
• 52:12
  Speaker 4: Just a matter of if you want to play them
• 52:14
  Speaker 4: into ownership.
• 52:16
  Speaker 3: Yeah, well, Jackson Urio is probably my favorite bat of
• 52:20
  Speaker 3: all of them. Andre Vaughan probably two, then Contreras, Thn Sanchez.
• 52:24
  Speaker 3: It does suck to uh have to pick between the two.
• 52:28
  Speaker 3: Sanchez is probably the better, the better option just when
• 52:32
  Speaker 3: you add in the salary. But yeah, those are kind
• 52:35
  Speaker 3: of the main four guys you're looking at, and then
• 52:36
  Speaker 3: it's just whoever, whoever fits your bill. Joey Ortiz against Lefty.
• 52:40
  Speaker 3: I always mentioned him. He's not a good bat by
• 52:42
  Speaker 3: any means, but he's twenty nine hundred. He's gonna be
• 52:44
  Speaker 3: probably one of the lower owned Brewers just because he's
• 52:46
  Speaker 3: hitting probably eighth or ninth in this lineup. But yeah,
• 52:50
  Speaker 3: Brewers on paper, best stack on the board a's power.
• 52:53
  Speaker 3: It's not that I'm gonna go in full stack the
• 52:55
  Speaker 3: a's against Kyle Harrison because you probably if this game
• 52:59
  Speaker 3: is somewhat close as well, you're probably gonna see a
• 53:01
  Speaker 3: guy like Aaron Ashby come out of the bullpen who's
• 53:04
  Speaker 3: been just absolutely nails all year, which does hurt.
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: But ling Leers, Brett Rooker, Kurtz, even Lefty, Lefty.
• 53:11
  Speaker 3: I mean, these guys are gonna be sub ten percent
• 53:14
  Speaker 3: owned with tons of power in a ballpark where he
• 53:17
  Speaker 3: got wind blown out and it's the cracker Jack Stadium, right,
• 53:20
  Speaker 3: so especially Brett Rooker, I mean four K for Brett Rooker. Yeah,
• 53:24
  Speaker 3: he probably strikes out three times, but his fourth fourth
• 53:27
  Speaker 3: time he probably hits a home run, right, So I
• 53:29
  Speaker 3: do like that. And then you got a cheap guy
• 53:32
  Speaker 3: in Henry Bolt as well that it's had.
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: All the talent in the world hasn't really translated this
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: yet at the big lee level, but it's in there somewhere.
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: And he's thirty three hundred dollars, So don't hate it.
• 53:46
  Speaker 3: Matt end of the show, your top two pitchers, your
• 53:50
  Speaker 3: top three stacks, and then a home run call for
• 53:52
  Speaker 3: the people to run south.
• 53:54
  Speaker 4: So one guy I forgot to talk about. We talked
• 53:56
  Speaker 4: about the Angels. Stack guy that got called up today's
• 53:59
  Speaker 4: having a really really good year in the minor league's
• 54:02
  Speaker 4: benefiting from playing in the PCL. I'm gonna say him
• 54:05
  Speaker 4: as my as my bomb call.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 54:06
  Speaker 4: Give me Denzer Guzman home run two K shortstop tonight
• 54:11
  Speaker 4: on DK. Don't forget about him, and yeah, did you
• 54:15
  Speaker 4: want Stacks and stuff or just my home run call?
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Stacks, Stacks and then.
• 54:21
  Speaker 4: Guzman. I couldn't contain myself, so yeah, Stas Brewers won,
• 54:26
  Speaker 4: But that's kind of obvious. So after that we'll go man.
• 54:31
  Speaker 4: I like Seattle talked about them earlier. Uh, a bunch
• 54:37
  Speaker 4: of good stacks tonight. Uh, you know, I'll say Seattle,
• 54:40
  Speaker 4: and then I'll say the Washington San fran game. Man,
• 54:43
  Speaker 4: I'm kind of stuck on that. We just talked about it.
• 54:45
  Speaker 4: I like both sides of that game.
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I like that. I'm gonna go my favorite pitching.
• 54:51
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna go Gavin Williams, and then I'm gonna go
• 54:56
  Speaker 3: down to my guy Andrew Rabbit down low.
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: So I like that.
• 55:00
  Speaker 3: I like Abbott quite a bit against those padres in
• 55:03
  Speaker 3: that ballpark there for me, top stack Brewers obviously, but
• 55:07
  Speaker 3: leaving the Brewers out, I will say the Angels, I
• 55:10
  Speaker 3: will say the Mariners, and.
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: I will say the Guardians.
• 55:15
  Speaker 3: Some of those lefty value power bats guys like Jay
• 55:18
  Speaker 3: Ram and Zarto de Lauter Bizana. Those guys have been
• 55:21
  Speaker 3: good and nobody's gonna click their name.
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: So I like that.
• 55:24
  Speaker 3: Then my home run call, I'm going to Seattle. I'm
• 55:26
  Speaker 3: going to the sixth hole, dominant can zone thirty two hundred.
• 55:31
  Speaker 3: I love him against any righty, especially already in Trey Gibson,
• 55:34
  Speaker 3: who I think is trash. And then yeah, you got
• 55:38
  Speaker 3: a good bullpen, but it's still dominant can zone, and
• 55:41
  Speaker 3: I like his power and his price is nice. So
• 55:43
  Speaker 3: that's gonna do it for this WLB show here. Appreciate
• 55:47
  Speaker 3: everyone tuning in and hit that like button. Hit the
• 55:48
  Speaker 3: subscribe button. Helps us out a ton. Matt's gonna get
• 55:50
  Speaker 3: his cores up. The Slate Slate station, like I already
• 55:53
  Speaker 3: talked about, is already live. You can filter in the
• 55:56
  Speaker 3: Stone updates as lineups come out. We have already have
• 56:00
  Speaker 3: the lineups outside of the late window there, which is
• 56:02
  Speaker 3: obviously where many people's teams are going to be anchored.
• 56:06
  Speaker 3: I do want to also make a final note depending
• 56:09
  Speaker 3: on how your teams look in those early games, right,
• 56:12
  Speaker 3: if you played Christopher Sanchez, he's not doing it. You
• 56:14
  Speaker 3: played Gavin Williams, he's not really going Connelly early, Emerson Hancock.
• 56:19
  Speaker 3: If you played some of those guys in your teams
• 56:21
  Speaker 3: aren't sitting pretty. You have plenty of these four games, right,
• 56:25
  Speaker 3: Maybe you pivot more to that Nationals in Giants game
• 56:28
  Speaker 3: instead of that Brewers. That that Brewer stack, right, so
• 56:32
  Speaker 3: do pay attention there, or you pivot off the Astros
• 56:34
  Speaker 3: if your team isn't looking great and you go to
• 56:37
  Speaker 3: the Angels side, or you play some of those reds
• 56:39
  Speaker 3: bats that we talked about, right, because you do have
• 56:42
  Speaker 3: four games to work with in the late window, right
• 56:44
  Speaker 3: with it being kind of a four to four split.
• 56:47
  Speaker 3: Do pay attention, right, this is a good kind of
• 56:49
  Speaker 3: late swap slate here based on where you're sitting in tournament.
• 56:52
  Speaker 3: So don't forget about the late swap here based on
• 56:56
  Speaker 3: your your your position right, have the best chance to
• 56:59
  Speaker 3: the top, and that includes playing the ownership game when
• 57:02
  Speaker 3: you already have pieces of the puzzle in front of
• 57:05
  Speaker 3: you based on what the first four games look like.
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: So I didn't want to call that out. Matt. Appreciate
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: you tuning in here.
• 57:12
  Speaker 3: Always fun breaking baseball down eight games, We'll be back,
• 57:16
  Speaker 3: or I'll be back tomorrow with Gee rising to break
• 57:18
  Speaker 3: down probably the ten or twelve games slate whatever it
• 57:20
  Speaker 3: is tomorrow, But good luck tonight in those contexts, hope
• 57:24
  Speaker 3: to see those ship nation logos at the top.
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: We're out here, peace,