Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / CLARITY Doomsday Approaches!🚨Hope Lost?🔥Kevin Wysocki INTERVIEW🏛️Anchorage Digital
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The Clarity Act. Doomsday is up on us today.
- 0:02Speaker 2: We're going to be breaking that down where the bullish
- 0:04Speaker 2: side is and where the bearish side is. You don't
- 0:06Speaker 2: want to miss it. Let's just jump right in. I
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- 0:35Speaker 2: It's going to give you a little bit of a
- 0:36Speaker 2: discount all right before we bring our guest in today,
- 0:39Speaker 2: which is going to be a good one around the
- 0:41Speaker 2: possibility of Clarity getting through or not. I wanted to
- 0:45Speaker 2: go to the polymarket odds right here, and as you
- 0:47Speaker 2: can see on the six hour, we have seen some
- 0:50Speaker 2: pretty big dips all the way down to thirty six
- 0:53Speaker 2: percent and now holding it around forty six forty seven
- 0:56Speaker 2: percent on the possibility of the Clarity Act signing in
- 1:00Speaker 2: to law in twenty twenty six. The problem is that
- 1:03Speaker 2: this is considerably down if you look at this over time.
- 1:07Speaker 2: When you look at it over time, we've had high
- 1:09Speaker 2: percentages up as high as eighty two percent. We are
- 1:12Speaker 2: half of that, guys, almost, And this is the concern
- 1:16Speaker 2: right now I have as to whether or not it
- 1:18Speaker 2: is occurring. A couple of points I want to hit
- 1:20Speaker 2: on right here is the Bitcoin conference, which may be
- 1:24Speaker 2: indicative of what.
- 1:25Speaker 1: The market is doing.
- 1:27Speaker 2: There was a lot of events out there that were
- 1:30Speaker 2: not necessarily showing a lot of people coming. So this
- 1:34Speaker 2: is an issue. It's an indication I think that that
- 1:37Speaker 2: the bubble. I don't know that I would say the
- 1:38Speaker 2: bubble is pop but definitely the bear market is here.
- 1:42Speaker 1: And of course the bear market is.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Going to be let out by one significant thing, and
- 1:46Speaker 2: that is going to be legislation. And the legislation that
- 1:50Speaker 2: we're talking about, of course, is the Clarity Act. I
- 1:53Speaker 2: want to go to a clip by Senator Lummis talking
- 1:56Speaker 2: about that at the event.
- 1:57Speaker 1: Take a look.
- 1:58Speaker 3: We are going to mark up the Clarity Act in May.
- 2:02Speaker 3: We are going to get it to the finish line
- 2:04Speaker 3: with a lot of time and a lot of patience,
- 2:07Speaker 3: and I'm running out of both traditional banking opposing the
- 2:12Speaker 3: Clarity Act because they didn't like the Genius Act. So
- 2:16Speaker 3: we're having to relitigate the Genius Act while we move forward.
- 2:21Speaker 3: Ethics is another issue that we've encountered. That one we're
- 2:24Speaker 3: bringing to a close.
- 2:26Speaker 4: What can people do to help?
- 2:27Speaker 5: How are we going to get it done?
- 2:28Speaker 4: Don't let them get away with are you allowed to
- 2:31Speaker 4: say bullshit arguments in those page that are totally false flags?
- 2:36Speaker 6: Our government appears incapable of getting anything done. My name's
- 2:41Speaker 6: Paul Greywall, and I am the chief legal officer at Coinbase.
- 2:44Speaker 6: New legislation promises hope and indeed clarity, but the builders,
- 2:49Speaker 6: the ones making this all possible, are skeptical, weary, scared,
- 2:56Speaker 6: and frankly angry.
- 2:58Speaker 2: All right, So you see some of the biggest players
- 3:01Speaker 2: out there in the industry, both from the legislative branch,
- 3:03Speaker 2: but also in the sense that we're seeing the industry,
- 3:06Speaker 2: the leaders of the crypto industry that are concerned about
- 3:10Speaker 2: We wanted to get one of the people who maybe
- 3:13Speaker 2: looks at this in a different way, especially around the
- 3:16Speaker 2: positive side of that and that is Kevin Wasaki, who
- 3:19Speaker 2: is the head of policy over at Anchorage Digital.
- 3:22Speaker 1: How are you, Kevin.
- 3:24Speaker 5: I'm doing well, Paul. Thanks for having me.
- 3:26Speaker 1: All right.
- 3:26Speaker 2: So I looked at your tweet here and I'm kind
- 3:30Speaker 2: of on the other side of this, but I wanted
- 3:32Speaker 2: you to kind of give us a framework of what
- 3:34Speaker 2: you were mentioning here. I'm growing more and more bullish
- 3:37Speaker 2: on the prospects of a market structure passing in twenty
- 3:40Speaker 2: twenty six. This of course was back in March. But
- 3:44Speaker 2: are you still in that sense right now? Is that
- 3:47Speaker 2: you're bullish on this position?
- 3:50Speaker 5: Definitely. We've already had the House pass the spill last year,
- 3:55Speaker 5: right we had about a third of the Democrats then
- 3:58Speaker 5: in all the Republicans. The bill is roughly ninety percent
- 4:02Speaker 5: similar to the Senate version of the bill. It's natural
- 4:05Speaker 5: for ebs and flows in the legislative process. There's a
- 4:09Speaker 5: lot going on right now, whether they're talking about world events,
- 4:12Speaker 5: economic events, and members are still focused on this in
- 4:17Speaker 5: the Senate Banking Committee. Uh, the ag Committee in the
- 4:20Speaker 5: Senate has already passed us and there are really like
- 4:23Speaker 5: two major issues that they need to iron out, and
- 4:26Speaker 5: I think they're making progress on both of them.
- 4:29Speaker 2: So I look at what Senator Lamas, who has been
- 4:32Speaker 2: one of the most outspoken Congress people on this issue,
- 4:37Speaker 2: and I think, really it's it's kind of put almost
- 4:40Speaker 2: her career stamp on the line. If this does not
- 4:43Speaker 2: go through, Is this going to be looking really bad
- 4:47Speaker 2: for her?
- 4:49Speaker 5: No, No, I think she's she's done so much already
- 4:53Speaker 5: as a Senator. She's she's had a number of accomplishments.
- 4:57Speaker 5: Obviously in the cryptosphere. She was metal and helping getting
- 5:01Speaker 5: the Genius Act pass last year, and that's that's another
- 5:04Speaker 5: kind of, uh, kind of positive thing. I actually think
- 5:07Speaker 5: for market structure, Genius was a huge onlock right the
- 5:12Speaker 5: fact that that was passed by in a bipartisan way
- 5:15Speaker 5: by Congress and the President signed it. We've now on
- 5:18Speaker 5: shore a number of companies back to the United States,
- 5:21Speaker 5: whether it's tethered with Anchorage Digital and issuing that stable coin.
- 5:24Speaker 5: We've done that with Athena Labs. I think what market
- 5:29Speaker 5: structure really enables is for Tradify to get into this space.
- 5:32Speaker 5: It enables more investment from international players to come to
- 5:37Speaker 5: the United States. So I think that it's going to
- 5:40Speaker 5: lead to a lot of innovation a lot of jobs,
- 5:42Speaker 5: and I think everyone on the left and the right
- 5:45Speaker 5: understands that. And you've you've really seen that actually with
- 5:49Speaker 5: amount of support over the last like three years, that's
- 5:52Speaker 5: really grown among Democrats. I would say previously, maybe the
- 5:58Speaker 5: maybe the second or third year of the Biden st
- 6:00Speaker 5: you didn't see a lot of Democrats that were willing
- 6:02Speaker 5: to stick their neck out for crypto policies, are pro
- 6:04Speaker 5: crypto policies, and that changed. You saw that with the
- 6:07Speaker 5: SAT one twenty one vote and the Senate about twenty
- 6:10Speaker 5: percent of the Senators voted for that, the Democratic senators
- 6:12Speaker 5: that is. And then also in the House you had
- 6:15Speaker 5: market structure passed and the last year of the Biden administration,
- 6:18Speaker 5: Trump comes in right, obviously, the agencies have done a
- 6:21Speaker 5: number of things. We get genius across the finish line,
- 6:24Speaker 5: and that momentum is going to continue to carry. I
- 6:26Speaker 5: think right now we're at a little bit of a standstill,
- 6:28Speaker 5: but in May where we're likely, like Lummis set in
- 6:31Speaker 5: that video, to have a vote at the Senate Banking
- 6:34Speaker 5: Community level. That still gives us June to pass it
- 6:37Speaker 5: at the full Senate level, and then in July we
- 6:40Speaker 5: can pass it in the House and the President can
- 6:42Speaker 5: sign it before the August recess.
- 6:43Speaker 2: All right, Kevin, So to your point, I guess the
- 6:46Speaker 2: status and you hit on some deadlines here, because we'll
- 6:50Speaker 2: get to that in a second, because there are some
- 6:51Speaker 2: key times here that we need to kind of break down.
- 6:54Speaker 2: But in terms of Clarity's status right now, what would
- 6:58Speaker 2: you say is the key thing holding it back from
- 7:01Speaker 2: moving forward?
- 7:03Speaker 1: Somewhat unanimously?
- 7:06Speaker 5: I think for the Senate Banking Committee markup in May,
- 7:10Speaker 5: they need to get to an agreement on stable coin yield.
- 7:14Speaker 5: Senator Stillis and Senator also Brooke, along with white House
- 7:18Speaker 5: and a couple other key members have been working on
- 7:21Speaker 5: that agreement. They've been closed for a while, but they're
- 7:25Speaker 5: fine tuning that. I think they're going to get it
- 7:27Speaker 5: across the finish line soon. And the reason for that.
- 7:33Speaker 5: The reason for that is I believe the banks if
- 7:37Speaker 5: they really want to have rewards changed so they are
- 7:42Speaker 5: more limited. The last train leaving the station is this
- 7:46Speaker 5: market structure bill before Genius goes into effective January on
- 7:51Speaker 5: January twenty twenty seven, So I think there's a strong
- 7:54Speaker 5: incentive to come to an agreement on stable coin yield
- 7:56Speaker 5: before that so ironically, I think the banks are very
- 7:59Speaker 5: helped here on market structure legislation. I know it's not
- 8:02Speaker 5: talked about in that way, but I think that's actually true.
- 8:06Speaker 5: So that's to get it to the Senate Banking Committee.
- 8:09Speaker 5: I don't know that we're going to get a bipartisan
- 8:12Speaker 5: vote on that. We still might get a partisan vote
- 8:14Speaker 5: on that based on the fact that we still need
- 8:18Speaker 5: to do a little bit of work on the ethics policies,
- 8:21Speaker 5: and that's something that the Democrats have said that they
- 8:24Speaker 5: wanted an annow. Senator Tillis has said recently that he
- 8:26Speaker 5: wants as well. My understanding is at the committee level
- 8:29Speaker 5: that can't be resolved. But before there's a full committee vote,
- 8:34Speaker 5: it would need to be resolved, or excuse me, a
- 8:36Speaker 5: full Senate vote, it would need to be resolved. And
- 8:38Speaker 5: I think there's a lot of possibilities there. I don't
- 8:41Speaker 5: know exactly what will get enough Republicans and Democrats on board,
- 8:46Speaker 5: but there are things like CFTC commissioners. Right now there
- 8:48Speaker 5: are no Democrats CFTC commisioners. You can compromise on that.
- 8:52Speaker 5: Maybe there are some marketing restrictions on how you can
- 8:55Speaker 5: go about marketing's particular coins. If you are a policy maker,
- 9:02Speaker 5: maybe there's a timeline right that can be adjusted on
- 9:05Speaker 5: like when this would go to an effect. So there
- 9:07Speaker 5: are a lot of levers there. I don't know which
- 9:09Speaker 5: ones will be pulled. I don't know which ones necessarily
- 9:13Speaker 5: like the White House is looking at, or what like
- 9:16Speaker 5: Senate Dems really want. But I think there's room for
- 9:18Speaker 5: an agreement there. And I think the reason for that
- 9:22Speaker 5: is enough people have bought into crypto. Whether you're on
- 9:24Speaker 5: the left or the right, you understand if you tokenize,
- 9:28Speaker 5: whether it's stocks or bonds or stable points, tokenizing the dollar,
- 9:33Speaker 5: it's an improved financial plumbing for our the American financial system.
- 9:38Speaker 5: It helps with dollar dominance. It can make settlement atomics
- 9:43Speaker 5: so instantaneous, it can make it more affordable, you can
- 9:45Speaker 5: have better national security. So honestly, whether you're on the
- 9:48Speaker 5: left or the right, I don't know why you wouldn't
- 9:49Speaker 5: support this market structural legislation.
- 9:51Speaker 1: I do agree with that.
- 9:53Speaker 2: What I don't agree with is that the banks are
- 9:55Speaker 2: even remotely assisting on this. I think in many cases
- 9:59Speaker 2: they put more and more roadblocks, doubled down on roadblocks,
- 10:02Speaker 2: and then added roadbox behind the roadblocks, So that's a
- 10:06Speaker 2: concern I still have today. That kind of leans me
- 10:10Speaker 2: to the poly market, which is less than fifty percent
- 10:14Speaker 2: odds now, which is much lower than what I originally had.
- 10:17Speaker 2: After I'd seen a lot of the antics that the
- 10:19Speaker 2: banks have done, and especially when you look at the
- 10:23Speaker 2: two reports that came out, one that came out of
- 10:25Speaker 2: the White House, then the pushback report from the Banking
- 10:28Speaker 2: the ABA, we have continued to see that now. Granted,
- 10:32Speaker 2: I think stable con yields may be a foregone conclusion
- 10:36Speaker 2: now in the sense that they are maybe something in
- 10:39Speaker 2: terms of a compromise between the industry and the banks.
- 10:42Speaker 2: We'll see how it goes, because they haven't shown us
- 10:44Speaker 2: the markup language and they're not going to from what
- 10:47Speaker 2: I understand.
- 10:48Speaker 1: The other thing that I think is going to be.
- 10:49Speaker 2: The biggest issue is the ethics redline, which is the
- 10:52Speaker 2: one that even when I had Warren Davidson, I don't know,
- 10:57Speaker 2: six weeks, seven weeks, eight weeks ago, mister Davidson said
- 11:01Speaker 2: that very same thing, is that the ethics issue is
- 11:04Speaker 2: most likely going to be one of the big issues
- 11:07Speaker 2: facing this going forward. If that is the case, the
- 11:11Speaker 2: ethics red line, what could possibly what could be a
- 11:14Speaker 2: possible compromise on the ethics. Is there anything that you've
- 11:17Speaker 2: heard on the street or in DC that might indicate
- 11:22Speaker 2: that this might be somewhat resolved.
- 11:25Speaker 5: There's a lot of speculation as to how that could
- 11:28Speaker 5: be resolved. It could be something with CFTC commissioners making
- 11:33Speaker 5: democrats or making sure Democrats get some Democrat commissioners soon.
- 11:37Speaker 5: It could be with marketing restrictions. There are a handful
- 11:40Speaker 5: of things being thrown out. I don't know exactly what
- 11:42Speaker 5: could be decided upon, but I think really though, like
- 11:47Speaker 5: one of the things you said about like the banks, right,
- 11:49Speaker 5: like there was this letter that came out urging a
- 11:53Speaker 5: delay or more time and extension on like some of
- 11:55Speaker 5: the comment for the implementation of Genius. You know what
- 11:59Speaker 5: Crypto actually asked for the exact same thing when that
- 12:04Speaker 5: the comment letter for excuse me, when the NPR from
- 12:07Speaker 5: the OCC first came out, right, So it's actually in
- 12:10Speaker 5: line with what Crypto originally had asked for. I get
- 12:13Speaker 5: that it's a tactic obviously to try to slow fares down,
- 12:17Speaker 5: but at the same time, it's it's not different from
- 12:19Speaker 5: what Crypto had asked for, and I ultimately don't think
- 12:22Speaker 5: it's going to have any teeth in the sense that
- 12:24Speaker 5: it's not I think the OCC and the other regulators
- 12:27Speaker 5: are going to stay with the timelines that they've already
- 12:29Speaker 5: put in place. At most maybe with the OCC you'll
- 12:32Speaker 5: get a fifteen day extension, but I think no extension
- 12:37Speaker 5: is most likely. So I don't think that tactic is
- 12:38Speaker 5: going to be successful. And there are a lot of
- 12:40Speaker 5: things that are done in Washington that don't really accomplish
- 12:44Speaker 5: a lot.
- 12:45Speaker 2: So yeah, I get it, I get it. I don't
- 12:49Speaker 2: you know, with the tactics that are coming out of
- 12:51Speaker 2: the a BA and most of the banking side of it,
- 12:54Speaker 2: we just we've just seen so much that have been
- 12:57Speaker 2: very strategic to kind of push this thing along, which
- 13:00Speaker 2: really to me gets us into a very high risk
- 13:02Speaker 2: proposal on not getting this done before the summer break,
- 13:06Speaker 2: and to your point, that could be a big deal. Now,
- 13:09Speaker 2: the ethics issue. Tom Tillis was on Twitter just yesterday
- 13:13Speaker 2: talking about this very issue, is that he felt that
- 13:16Speaker 2: this has got to be resolved. You look at some
- 13:18Speaker 2: of the things that could happen on the world liberty
- 13:22Speaker 2: FI issue, because that's most likely going to be the
- 13:24Speaker 2: one here there's first of all, the WARLD Liberty five
- 13:27Speaker 2: is they're doing a token unlocked proposal, which would be
- 13:30Speaker 2: a possible track to possibly maybe aligning against this. My
- 13:35Speaker 2: question to you is do you think that the removal
- 13:38Speaker 2: because if you go over and look at just the
- 13:41Speaker 2: Trump website on World Liberty five, this has been kind
- 13:43Speaker 2: of the scenario that has happened where they had it
- 13:47Speaker 2: all the Trump's on there, then all of that was removed.
- 13:51Speaker 1: I just wonder was this being done.
- 13:54Speaker 2: Maybe there's a back room deal that's already been solidified
- 13:58Speaker 2: around the ethics issue, saying that you know, to your point,
- 14:01Speaker 2: marketing has to be dropped, you have to go out
- 14:04Speaker 2: and pull your you know, your representation, all those kind
- 14:07Speaker 2: of thing.
- 14:07Speaker 1: Do you think that's a possibility.
- 14:11Speaker 5: Yeah, I don't know anything about that. I just honestly,
- 14:15Speaker 5: from my time working on policy and crypto, what I've
- 14:17Speaker 5: experienced is just a dramatic increase in support among Democrats
- 14:22Speaker 5: and Republicans for the policies I remember when I was Tom.
- 14:26Speaker 2: Sorry to cut you off, but do you think Tom
- 14:28Speaker 2: Tillis could stop this?
- 14:32Speaker 5: I think I think, honestly he's going to get to
- 14:35Speaker 5: yes on this legislation, right there are two different key votes. Right,
- 14:39Speaker 5: so you have the Senate Banking Committee vote. He's been
- 14:42Speaker 5: pretty adamant about stable point yield there. I don't know
- 14:45Speaker 5: that it's and this is what I've seen. I don't
- 14:47Speaker 5: I don't think the Democrats have said that they would
- 14:50Speaker 5: not excuse me. I think we can get a passing
- 14:54Speaker 5: vote in the Senate Banking Committee without ethics language. And
- 14:58Speaker 5: I think that and that will likely in May. I
- 15:00Speaker 5: think from May to June. Right, sometime in June, you'd
- 15:04Speaker 5: like to have the full Senate vote on that. You
- 15:07Speaker 5: by yourself time if you pass the Senate Banking Committee
- 15:10Speaker 5: in May, and then continue to work on that issue.
- 15:14Speaker 5: And that's similar to what happened in the Agriculture Committee.
- 15:17Speaker 5: They all said, all the Democrats that we've been working
- 15:19Speaker 5: really closely with the Republicans as bill as terrific, all
- 15:22Speaker 5: these things. Unfortunately we can't vote for it today, but
- 15:25Speaker 5: we support this legislation. I think you might get something
- 15:27Speaker 5: similar in May, and then you're going to work until
- 15:30Speaker 5: June to pass it in the full Senate.
- 15:32Speaker 2: All right, So I'm looking at a statement from the
- 15:35Speaker 2: Republican Senator Tom Tillis and says there has to be
- 15:38Speaker 2: ethnic ethics language in the bill before it leaves the Senate,
- 15:42Speaker 2: or I will go from one of the people working
- 15:45Speaker 2: on negotiating it to voting against it. This is coming
- 15:49Speaker 2: out of Politico, So he seems to put the line
- 15:52Speaker 2: in the sand right now that this is going to
- 15:55Speaker 2: be an issue.
- 15:58Speaker 5: Yeah, and it's consistent with them saying what I'm saying
- 16:00Speaker 5: with the timeline in May. At the committee level, you
- 16:03Speaker 5: can still pass that and then you get it through
- 16:05Speaker 5: the committee and you continue to work in a bipartisan
- 16:07Speaker 5: way to come to a resolution on the ethics issues.
- 16:11Speaker 2: All right, good enough, Okay, so let's take a look
- 16:15Speaker 2: at I want to go to the Patrick Wit clip
- 16:18Speaker 2: real quick because this is another thing that I'm kind
- 16:21Speaker 2: of curious about. What if it doesn't pass. I wanted
- 16:24Speaker 2: you to take a look at this real quick.
- 16:25Speaker 1: Here we go.
- 16:27Speaker 7: Well, obviously, here at the Bitcoin conference in Las Vegas,
- 16:30Speaker 7: you know, an intense focus on bitcoin as an asset overall.
- 16:34Speaker 7: The presidents signed the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Executive Order last year.
- 16:39Speaker 7: So in the next few weeks we'll be making a
- 16:42Speaker 7: big announcement. I think we have a bit of a
- 16:44Speaker 7: breakthrough there, and obviously that needs to be followed up
- 16:47Speaker 7: with legislation. Senator Lummas is Bitcoin Act over in the House,
- 16:51Speaker 7: Representative Begoch has talked about the Armor Act that he
- 16:54Speaker 7: has put together, so we need to codify it. But
- 16:58Speaker 7: in the meantime, we do believe to be able to
- 17:00Speaker 7: take a big step forward from the executive brand side
- 17:03Speaker 7: of the next few weeks.
- 17:04Speaker 1: That's huge news, all right.
- 17:06Speaker 2: So this was broke just today out of the Bitcoin
- 17:09Speaker 2: conference talking about this strategic reserve possibly in the next
- 17:13Speaker 2: few weeks. My question is, do you think that Patrick
- 17:16Speaker 2: Witt is laying the groundwork for giving the industry something
- 17:20Speaker 2: because Clarity may not make it through, and this would
- 17:24Speaker 2: be another alternative to kind of appease the industry as
- 17:28Speaker 2: a whole.
- 17:29Speaker 1: What are your thoughts.
- 17:31Speaker 5: No, I think they're mutually exclusive. I think you can
- 17:34Speaker 5: get both. Obviously, the executive order the administration has been
- 17:38Speaker 5: working roughly the last year to make the strategic Bitcoin
- 17:42Speaker 5: Reserve and also the crypto stockpile of reality. I think
- 17:47Speaker 5: we can get those and we can get market structure legislation,
- 17:52Speaker 5: and I think both are very bullish obviously for this industry,
- 17:57Speaker 5: but again also kind of point to the fact that
- 18:00Speaker 5: like crypto has really arrived. When when I was a
- 18:03Speaker 5: staffer for Tom Memer, I remember going to some of
- 18:06Speaker 5: the initial meetings for the Blockchain Caucus in the House
- 18:10Speaker 5: and there were like three other members that would show up.
- 18:13Speaker 5: We were just starting to learn the basics about bitcoin,
- 18:16Speaker 5: and that was roughly ten years ago. Now now we're
- 18:19Speaker 5: passing major legislation. Now we're having major rule making at
- 18:22Speaker 5: the sec CFTC OCC. Now we have a FED chairman,
- 18:27Speaker 5: are likely to have a FED chairman that knows the
- 18:31Speaker 5: technology right, these are these are huge changes and welcome
- 18:34Speaker 5: developments and if we're going to yeah, I would.
- 18:38Speaker 1: Agree with all those very very positive for sure.
- 18:41Speaker 2: And you're lining up a lot of the things that
- 18:44Speaker 2: have to be in place, with exception of one, which
- 18:47Speaker 2: is the Clarity Act. And if this doesn't go through,
- 18:50Speaker 2: essentially we're putting it in the hands of most likely
- 18:53Speaker 2: a Democratic House and Senate.
- 18:55Speaker 1: What would be the possibility if this.
- 18:57Speaker 2: Does not go through in the summer of this even
- 19:00Speaker 2: being put into action after the midterms.
- 19:04Speaker 5: Well, I think the nice thing is is that the
- 19:06Speaker 5: agencies have led so much on many of these things, right,
- 19:09Speaker 5: A lot of what we're trying to achieve in market
- 19:11Speaker 5: structure can be accomplished through agency action. Some of it
- 19:15Speaker 5: we've already seen, whether it's like tokenization of securities, things
- 19:19Speaker 5: like that. I view this approach is almost like the
- 19:24Speaker 5: agencies are the belt, the legislation as the suspenders. Right,
- 19:28Speaker 5: it's better to have both, but you can do a lot.
- 19:31Speaker 5: And yes, the next Congress might be challenging to move
- 19:35Speaker 5: market structure legislation, but we don't know what the next
- 19:38Speaker 5: presidential and next Congress after that will look like. And
- 19:42Speaker 5: I wouldn't necessarily count out this next congress either. For
- 19:47Speaker 5: all the reasons that we've already talked about the merits
- 19:49Speaker 5: and crypto, I think it makes a lot of sense
- 19:51Speaker 5: to get a federal regulatory umbrella for the crypto industry,
- 19:55Speaker 5: whether you want consumer protections, national security on showing all
- 19:59Speaker 5: the those things are more likely to happen with federal legislation.
- 20:03Speaker 2: Do you guys have a line on how many Democrats
- 20:06Speaker 2: you would need we would need as an industry to
- 20:08Speaker 2: get this through before the break?
- 20:12Speaker 5: Yeah, so the numbers are roughly I think last time
- 20:15Speaker 5: on Genius in the Senate, you had two Republicans that
- 20:18Speaker 5: didn't vote for that bill and the rest did so
- 20:22Speaker 5: I think you're going to need probably somewhere between nine
- 20:25Speaker 5: and eleven Democrats to come on board.
- 20:28Speaker 2: Okay, yep, wow, Okay, Well, I want to see how
- 20:32Speaker 2: we pull that one off, because I'm just not seeing
- 20:35Speaker 2: that kind of support at least right now based on
- 20:37Speaker 2: what I'm hearing. Again, a lot of this will be
- 20:39Speaker 2: boiling down to many of the negotiations that are either
- 20:43Speaker 2: have already taken place or are taking place around yield.
- 20:46Speaker 2: But more importantly, I think the red line is going
- 20:48Speaker 2: to be in this ethic side of things. Real quick,
- 20:50Speaker 2: I want to play another component because actually I want
- 20:55Speaker 2: to go to this clip real quick, because this is
- 20:56Speaker 2: a good one from Perry An.
- 20:58Speaker 1: Let's go to that one.
- 21:00Speaker 8: A list of tokens that the SEC clearly stated are
- 21:06Speaker 8: digital commodities. What we've seen is the market has reacted
- 21:11Speaker 8: to that, and now those tokens are trading at a premium,
- 21:13Speaker 8: particularly in Asian markets. What comments do you have for
- 21:18Speaker 8: market participants about getting additional clarity and just addressing the list.
- 21:25Speaker 4: We gave a lot of examples and these are all illustrations.
- 21:29Speaker 4: It wasn't meant to be like a firm or immutable
- 21:34Speaker 4: sort of list.
- 21:37Speaker 2: All right, So it was Atkins and Perry im boring
- 21:39Speaker 2: talking about the potential of market expansion, meaning market's going
- 21:44Speaker 2: to go up if we do get clarity aligned. I mean,
- 21:47Speaker 2: do you feel that that is the case right now?
- 21:50Speaker 2: Do you think the market will respond kindly to this?
- 21:54Speaker 5: Yeah, I think it would be really positive news. Again,
- 21:57Speaker 5: though there's already been so much positive news. We do
- 22:00Speaker 5: have the agency approach, which has been helpful, but yeah,
- 22:03Speaker 5: I think it would really make it clear that the
- 22:06Speaker 5: agencies have authorizations to do all the things that they're doing.
- 22:10Speaker 5: It would mean that they're more permanent, it would be
- 22:12Speaker 5: harder to undo in the future, and it's very meaningful
- 22:16Speaker 5: to have like demonstrated bipartisan support in the House and
- 22:20Speaker 5: Senate going forward. The other thing I would say is,
- 22:24Speaker 5: I think too, like we've seen imagination at the kind
- 22:27Speaker 5: of like presidential level of where crypto stands. I would say,
- 22:32Speaker 5: in the last race, like obviously Trump was very pro crypto,
- 22:36Speaker 5: I think the future candidates, whether on the left or
- 22:39Speaker 5: the or right, are more likely to be pro crypto.
- 22:42Speaker 5: So that's another reason for a kind of a bullish
- 22:46Speaker 5: like outlook on all this. Even if market structure doesn't
- 22:49Speaker 5: get across the finish line, I think we're going to
- 22:51Speaker 5: see a lot more policy makers over the coming years
- 22:53Speaker 5: that are pro crypto. It's hard to fathom the world
- 22:56Speaker 5: in which they can't say yes to faster, safer payments,
- 23:02Speaker 5: to a stronger dollar, right, all these different things. So
- 23:06Speaker 5: either way, regardless of what happens in the short term,
- 23:09Speaker 5: even though I still think we're likely to get it
- 23:12Speaker 5: before the August recess, I still think there's there are
- 23:15Speaker 5: many reasons to be very positive about the outlook of
- 23:18Speaker 5: the regulatory environment for crypto for years to come.
- 23:21Speaker 2: In DC, all right, I like, first of all, the
- 23:25Speaker 2: fact that you're so bullish is amazing because I like it.
- 23:31Speaker 1: But I'm just not there yet.
- 23:33Speaker 2: I think the issue still is faced with at least
- 23:37Speaker 2: right now, with what's going on with the Trump administration
- 23:40Speaker 2: and crypto that it really puts a bit of a
- 23:43Speaker 2: damper on this being able to get through just because
- 23:46Speaker 2: of this red line that I think Tillis is drawing out.
- 23:48Speaker 2: And he's not the first. I mean it's been you know,
- 23:50Speaker 2: Davidson had already talked about this. It's been thrown around
- 23:53Speaker 2: DC quite a bit. So they're either clearing something to
- 23:57Speaker 2: get ready for and it's possible. World Liberty FI is
- 24:01Speaker 2: making a lot of these moves. We've seen deleted tweets,
- 24:03Speaker 2: a website restructure completely now, tokein burn all kinds of
- 24:07Speaker 2: proposals out there to maybe accommodate for this.
- 24:10Speaker 1: So I am concerned.
- 24:11Speaker 2: I want to go over to this last point real quick,
- 24:14Speaker 2: which is where the SEC.
- 24:16Speaker 1: Lands on this.
- 24:17Speaker 2: And you see this right here from Plume talking about
- 24:20Speaker 2: the SEC formalizing the situation around DeFi rules. If the
- 24:24Speaker 2: SEC locks this in and they get it done, what,
- 24:29Speaker 2: first of all, could this be future proofed against new
- 24:33Speaker 2: administrations that may not be as crypto friendly or would
- 24:37Speaker 2: they be able to simply tear out, tear down all
- 24:40Speaker 2: the policy because this is more policy than it is
- 24:42Speaker 2: law right now of what the SEC is doing.
- 24:45Speaker 1: What are your thoughts?
- 24:47Speaker 5: Yeah, I think the longer it's in effect and the
- 24:49Speaker 5: more companies are leaning on it for their businesses, it's
- 24:54Speaker 5: harder to entirely rip it out. Changes Again, though, I
- 24:59Speaker 5: think you're going to see future policymakers, whether on the
- 25:02Speaker 5: left and the right, be more pro crypto. So I
- 25:04Speaker 5: think that's foolish.
- 25:05Speaker 1: For all this, Why hasn't it happened already?
- 25:08Speaker 2: Why why I think we've seen Well, then why would
- 25:11Speaker 2: you need nine Democrats to pass this?
- 25:15Speaker 5: Well, I think these things are complicated. We're going to
- 25:17Speaker 5: make sure we get them right. And the fact is
- 25:21Speaker 5: in the in the House just a year ago, without
- 25:23Speaker 5: ethics language, you got the Clarity Act to pass with
- 25:27Speaker 5: over a third of them supporting it. Right, and they
- 25:30Speaker 5: they had similar concerns, but they still voted for it.
- 25:34Speaker 5: Then you know what has changed? A few things have.
- 25:37Speaker 1: Changed, Well, a lot has changed.
- 25:39Speaker 2: A lot has changed where Liberty five has changed Milennia token.
- 25:43Speaker 2: We've seen all sorts of activities coming out of the
- 25:45Speaker 2: de iminonstration that I think has put crypto in a
- 25:47Speaker 2: bad position strategically to get this through DC because it
- 25:51Speaker 2: just because of the political temperature that is in DC
- 25:55Speaker 2: right now.
- 25:57Speaker 5: But we've also seen increased business like use cases for
- 26:01Speaker 5: crypto right the stable, I've gone up like one hundred
- 26:04Speaker 5: million in circular or excuse me, one hundred billion in circulation.
- 26:07Speaker 5: Tokenization is really taking off. You see tradifi companies announcing
- 26:12Speaker 5: crypto projects all the time. This is becoming mainstream. In fact,
- 26:16Speaker 5: like the banks, even though they're often opposed to yield,
- 26:20Speaker 5: there they themselves are launching a number of stable coin
- 26:23Speaker 5: products or they want to issue themselves. Everyone knows this
- 26:28Speaker 5: is the future. So overriding all the politics is I
- 26:30Speaker 5: think that the products worked and they're better for the
- 26:32Speaker 5: American people.
- 26:34Speaker 2: Okay, let's talk about crypto taxes for a second.
- 26:38Speaker 1: You've got this day.
- 26:39Speaker 2: We're right here from Chair Johnson Smith or Jason Smith
- 26:42Speaker 2: saying crypto tax package coming very soon. They're at the
- 26:46Speaker 2: one yard line right now on the tax bill. Do
- 26:50Speaker 2: you think that has a possibility of needing clarity or
- 26:54Speaker 2: do you think this is a completely separate scenario that's
- 26:56Speaker 2: going to play out.
- 26:58Speaker 5: Yeah, completely separate, And I would say that taxes are
- 27:03Speaker 5: a harder lift than clarity right now. We have to
- 27:07Speaker 5: find pay for us for that. I think the committees
- 27:10Speaker 5: of jurisdiction are like so the ways and means in
- 27:13Speaker 5: the Senate Finance Committee are getting more comfortable with digital assets,
- 27:18Speaker 5: whereas the communities of jurisdiction for market structure, whether it's
- 27:20Speaker 5: agg whether it's financial services, whether it's banking, they're much
- 27:23Speaker 5: more in tune with what's going on in the industry already.
- 27:27Speaker 5: So I think the tax stuff is going to be
- 27:29Speaker 5: a little bit slower to arrive, and I think market
- 27:31Speaker 5: structure hopefully will happen before.
- 27:34Speaker 2: Okay, all right, so a lot depends on these packs
- 27:38Speaker 2: that are in DC that kind of dictate where this
- 27:41Speaker 2: money is being spent to help promote these events. I'm
- 27:43Speaker 2: looking at one of your tweets right here. You guys
- 27:45Speaker 2: put some corporate resources between are around the Blockchain Leadership Fund.
- 27:51Speaker 2: So with that, is this essentially just fair Shake rebranding
- 27:56Speaker 2: or is.
- 27:56Speaker 1: This a completely new entity?
- 27:59Speaker 5: Tell me about this completely new The idea is to
- 28:04Speaker 5: push for a pro crypto policy. It doesn't matter if
- 28:07Speaker 5: you're on the left or the right. We want good
- 28:09Speaker 5: outcomes on pro crypto policy. So that obviously means supporting
- 28:14Speaker 5: the Clarity Act, but it means, like what you just
- 28:17Speaker 5: pointed out with tax policy, we need some enhancements there.
- 28:20Speaker 5: And I'm sure there are going to be other things
- 28:22Speaker 5: that come up in the future. Maybe we'll see a
- 28:24Speaker 5: tokenization build down the road. All those different things, we
- 28:28Speaker 5: want to see really good policy outcomes on those, and
- 28:30Speaker 5: I think the packs are a useful tool to be
- 28:34Speaker 5: able to network with folks, to talk with people and
- 28:37Speaker 5: continue to push for good policy.
- 28:39Speaker 2: Kevin, I'm looking at something that to me is a
- 28:43Speaker 2: horror story about ready to happen because we've lived through
- 28:48Speaker 2: this before, and that is Gary Gensler making it very
- 28:52Speaker 2: clear that he does not like this prediction market thing.
- 28:55Speaker 2: So he's hovering around still making statements here, and he
- 28:58Speaker 2: basically says that congres didn't have this in mind when
- 29:01Speaker 2: they dictated this out to the CFTC. If he's joining
- 29:06Speaker 2: kind of an anti prediction army out there right now,
- 29:10Speaker 2: the statements like this, what's the possibility of having another
- 29:15Speaker 2: you know, bureaucrat, legislator or shouldn't say legislator, bureaucrat and
- 29:19Speaker 2: rule maker essence like him back in these administrations.
- 29:26Speaker 5: I would like to think that you're going to have
- 29:29Speaker 5: going forward, really pro innovation leaders, regardless of which administration
- 29:35Speaker 5: it is. I think if you look at some of
- 29:38Speaker 5: the front runners that are out there for the next
- 29:40Speaker 5: presidential whether it's the governor from California or the vice
- 29:46Speaker 5: president or the Secretary of State, I think they've all
- 29:49Speaker 5: had said some pretty favorable things about crypto in the past.
- 29:53Speaker 5: They might not be perfect, but I think we're gonna
- 29:56Speaker 5: be in a world in the future where it's more
- 29:58Speaker 5: obvious to everyone in these administrations, that they need to
- 30:02Speaker 5: be on the side of innovation and they're going to
- 30:04Speaker 5: help push things along. Some obviously might not be as
- 30:08Speaker 5: pro say, crypto, as others, but I think we're going
- 30:12Speaker 5: to leave that era behind and going forward it's going
- 30:14Speaker 5: to be very positive for our industry.
- 30:16Speaker 2: Well, Kevin, I hope you're right, because the things that
- 30:19Speaker 2: we are seeing all the research, we continue to see
- 30:21Speaker 2: sid speak happening, meaning they go one way and then
- 30:24Speaker 2: they talk out over on this side. They tell us
- 30:27Speaker 2: one thing, they go this way. I mean, you even
- 30:29Speaker 2: had Gensler. This is in January of twenty five when
- 30:33Speaker 2: he was pro Calshie and now all of a sudden
- 30:35Speaker 2: he's out there putting out stuff like this. This is
- 30:38Speaker 2: the kind of problem that I think American businesses we
- 30:41Speaker 2: won't even talk about crypto. I'm just business in general
- 30:44Speaker 2: have with the administrations that we have seen in DC
- 30:48Speaker 2: continuously putting more regulatory frameworks around us, and now with crypto,
- 30:52Speaker 2: we're getting to see this front and center. So I'm
- 30:56Speaker 2: still very very skeptical as this gets through. Just too
- 30:58Speaker 2: many big players putting too many big potholes in the way.
- 31:03Speaker 2: But maybe you have risen my positivity up one percent today.
- 31:09Speaker 2: So as I say, one percent better every day is
- 31:13Speaker 2: better than going backwards, right, definitely. All right, listen, it's
- 31:18Speaker 2: been good having you on. Thanks for coming in today.
- 31:20Speaker 2: We do appreciate it. We're going to cover this in
- 31:22Speaker 2: much more. Good luck to you guys over at Anchorage Digital.
- 31:26Speaker 5: Thank you, Bob. Have a good one.
- 31:33Speaker 2: If you like this video, like and subscribe, drop a
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- 31:40Speaker 1: The link is in the description.