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SpaceX Starship Launch Update · Elon Musk Podcast

• 0:01
  Hey everybody, welcome back to the Elon Musk podcast this.
• 0:05
  Is a show where we discuss the critical crossroads, the shape
• 0:09
  SpaceX. Tesla X, The Boring Company and
• 0:12
  Neuralink. And I'm your host.
• 0:14
  Will Walden if you want uninterrupted episodes of the
• 0:18
  Elon Musk podcast. Please go to club.
• 0:20
  Elon.supercast.com to find out how there's a link in the show
• 0:26
  notes. SpaceX is planning to launch
• 0:29
  their massive Starship rocket next week on the 14th of March
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  at around 7:30 AM in the morning.
• 0:37
  So let's get ready for this. I have some information to share
• 0:40
  with you. We're gonna talk about the
• 0:42
  flight restrictions. We're gonna be talking about
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  where the flight is actually going to land this time, and
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  what's gonna be happening during this flight.
• 0:49
  There's some really cool and interesting technology that
• 0:52
  SpaceX is going to reveal during this next flight, And as
• 0:57
  Starship is being prepared for this gigantic launch, SpaceX has
• 1:02
  taken the Starship itself off of the booster, put it next to it,
• 1:07
  and they've armed the flight termination system, which is the
• 1:10
  mechanism they use to explode the rocket during flight if
• 1:15
  anything were to go wrong. SpaceX posted an update on their
• 1:18
  website about this third test flight that they're going to
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  build on what they've learned from previous flights.
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  Now they said they're including a successful ascent burn on both
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  stages opening and closing starships payload door which
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  they're gonna be using for Starlink in the future and a
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  propellant transfer demonstration during the upper
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  stages coast phase which is more than likely used for the
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  Artemis, NASA's program that will be getting humans back to
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  the moon. Now this will be the first ever
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  relight of a Raptor engine while in space as well and a
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  controlled re entry of the Starship.
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  Now, before the Starship was supposed to land in the Pacific
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  Ocean off the coast of Hawaii, but this time it will possibly
• 2:03
  land in the Indian Ocean, according to Jonathan McDowell.
• 2:07
  That's at Planet 4589 on X or Twitter Ellie in Space, one of
• 2:14
  our friends here on the channel, she said.
• 2:18
  Why do you think they made the change from Hawaii to the Indian
• 2:20
  Ocean? Jonathan McDowell on X said
• 2:23
  they're testing firing the Raptor for a second burn,
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  possibly AD orbit burn. But of course, as usual, they
• 2:30
  haven't provided any real details of the trajectory of the
• 2:35
  flight, such as perigee or apogee before and after the
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  burn. So annoying.
• 2:40
  I wouldn't say top secret, but they're working with the
• 2:42
  government, with these things, with NASA, so they can't really
• 2:44
  tell you where they're going to be going.
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  In particular, there's another comment here that says this
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  leaves a lot of room if the engines failed to fire for the
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  quasi deorbit burn. If so, where in the Pacific
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  would the ship land? And thanks for posting this,
• 2:57
  Jonathan McDowell said. My guess is it still lands in
• 3:00
  the Indian Ocean, not the Pacific.
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  The deorbit burn likely is small, and the length of the no
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  Tam area corresponds to the range of complete burn to no
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  burn. The no Tam basically is where
• 3:14
  the rocket's going to be headed and to stay.
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  It's a stay out of that region area.
• 3:19
  And Lynch, Silla says, is the landing anywhere near Diego
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  Garcia? Jonathan McDowell says, yes,
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  it's on the same planet. Oh, you're not an astronomer.
• 3:29
  No, it's over two 2000 kilometers away, so 2000
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  kilometers away from Diego Garcia.
• 3:36
  Jonathan McDowell is really great on X Twitter planet 4589
• 3:41
  if you want to give him a follow.
• 3:43
  And now let's take a look at the road closures for Hwy. 4 where
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  the Starship is located on March 14th, they have between 12:00 AM
• 3:51
  and 2:00 PM possible closure. That's when SpaceX says they are
• 3:55
  ready to launch the rocket. March 15th, another one, and
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  March 16th as well. All from 12:00 AM to 2:00 PM.
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  Now, SpaceX says they want to launch at around 7:30 in the
• 4:05
  morning. Now, as we know, rocket launches
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  more than likely don't go with the time that they're supposed
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  to go. So sometimes it could take an
• 4:15
  hour, maybe 2 hours to get these things right.
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  So up until two gives them a little bit of padding to launch
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  the rocket for that day. So they have three days to do
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  this, 14th, 15th, and 16th at this point.
• 4:28
  But they could get an extension. They could get other dates.
• 4:31
  Now, mind you, the FAA has not approved this SpaceX flight as
• 4:37
  of this recording. So these are numbers, these are
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  dates that SpaceX is not guaranteeing, but they're hoping
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  for the best from the FAA and they're in direct contact with
• 4:49
  the FAA. So there's probably somebody at
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  the FAA said, yeah, we'll probably be done before the
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  14th, so it should be safe for you to say that you can launch
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  on the 14th SpaceX, we just have a few more things to button up
• 5:04
  and then you'll be ready to go. And right here is the actual
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  proof. I have ordered the closure of
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  Boca Chica Beach and Hwy. 4 for the purpose of protecting public
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  health and safety during Space XS flight activities on March
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  14th, 2024. In the time period between 12:00
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  AM CST and 2:00 PM CST, they're closing the roads officially
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  here. This is from the government of
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  Cameron County itself. They say SpaceX may use the
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  alternative dates to complete its testing activities.
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  Now, the important part is that it says public health and safety
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  during SpaceX flight activities. Not testing activities, but
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  flight. They're going to be flying
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  something that day. So SpaceX is ready to fly this.
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  And Next up we have some more proof that SpaceX isn't quite
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  ready yet with the FAA. This is the FA as TFR list.
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  Now the TFR list is it's a document that the Federal
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  Aviation Administration puts out to tell people to stay away from
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  this flight, to say, hey, we're going to fly this gigantic
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  rocket into the Gulf of Mexico area and further on.
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  So don't float your boats, don't fly your planes in there.
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  It's a keep out zone for everybody.
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  Now as you can see from at this point we don't have
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  authorization from the FAA for ATFR for Starship.
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  The closest we have for Starship is way, way, way, way, way way
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  down here. Last year actually Brownsville,
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  TX 2/27/24 was security detail, but the last one was last year
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  when they did the last Starship flight.
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  So it's keep out zone not updated yet.
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  So as we can see right now SpaceX isn't quite ready to fly
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  the Starship according to the government of the United States.
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  And I wanted to jump back to the SpaceX website real quick before
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  we get out of here. As you can see, payload door
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  open at 11 minutes and 56 seconds into the flight here.
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  Propellant transfer demo. During the door being open,
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  payload door closes about 17 minutes later, 16 or 17 minutes
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  later. That's a long time for a payload
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  door to be open in space for the first demonstration flight.
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  What if something happens? What if something freezes up?
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  I mean, it is space. So they're doing a lot of
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  testing right here. In this same amount of time,
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  1156 to 2821 door opens, propellant transfer demo
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  happens, door closes, and then about 12 minutes later Raptor in
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  space Re light demo happens. This is all happening within a
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  30 minute ish time range and then about 10 minutes later
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  Starship starts entering and going back to Earth.
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  This is gonna be a wild ride from the I don't know from the
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  from the 12 minute mark on the whole flight is gonna be wild
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  and hopefully they have onboard cameras to show us what's going
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  on. I'm not sure if they're going to
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  be able to yet because it might be Department of Defense things
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  that they're working on. We're not 100% sure.
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  The payload door could be Starlink, could be something
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  that they're working on with the Department of Defense.
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  SpaceX works with the Department of Defense and they've been
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  working on them with Starships. So more than likely Starlink.
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  But you can't rule out that this is kind of a secret thing.
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  But they do tell you that the payload doors are opening, but
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  we might not give visuals. It's kind of tricky there,
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  right? So let me know what you think.
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  Do you think it's going to be successful?
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  IFT three, 100% successful. I think it's going to be 20%
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  successful. Let me know the comments down
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  below. I want to know what you think,
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  because I think this is going to be perfect flight, 100% perfect
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  flight. Nothing's going to go wrong in
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  this flight. I'm gonna give it two thumbs up
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  to Starship 2, thumbs up to SpaceX and their engineers.
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  Everything's gonna work perfect. The except for the booster.
• 9:01
  I think the booster's gonna blow up.
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  And I think the starship's going to make it to the Indian Ocean,
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  but not in one piece. I think it's gonna be in pieces
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  in the Indian Ocean. Let me know what you think down
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  below. Hey, thank.
• 9:12
  You so much for listening today. I really do appreciate your
• 9:15
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• 9:17
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• 9:20
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• 9:23
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• 9:35
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  Stage 0. And please take care of
• 9:40
  yourselves and each other and I'll see you tomorrow.