Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 410 - 12/8/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 410 - 12/8/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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  54321 All systems go with Josh Appelbaum starts now.
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  Hello and welcome to episode 410 of the All Systems Go Sports
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  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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  I am your. Host Josh Appelbaum.
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  What's going on, everyone? Happy Monday, a new week begins
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  the holiday season fully upon us, guys.
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  The wife and I picked up the tree at Home Depot.
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  Yesterday, so we'll be. Decorating it tonight as I
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  sweat, you know, putting the tree up and then also keeping
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  one eye or. Hopefully two eyes.
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  On the Monday Night Football game tonight, because.
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  We do have a big match up here. Philadelphia Eagles and the LA.
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  Chargers and I got to play for you for this.
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  One so stay tuned. For that and then also I wanted
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  to talk. Army.
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  Navy. Because Army, Navy one of the
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  greatest traditions when it comes to.
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  Watching the game as a patriotic American.
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  Or just. The you know the emotion of all
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  the. Cadets and everyone in the
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  crowd, the. Midshipmen and.
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  Singing the songs and just, it's just an incredible scene
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  overall. But the Army Navy game.
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  Is coming up here on Saturday at 3:00 and I have a play already.
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  For you on Army, Navy and the goal of this play?
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  Is to get out ahead. Of this line move.
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  So hopefully we're going to get. The best of the number.
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  Here and if. You've been sweating podcast
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  with me before. If you've done Army Navy games
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  with me before, you know what I'm doing here because we do
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  this every single year and for good reason.
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  But I'm thinking might be an even more contrarian.
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  Opportunity this year than in years past.
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  So talking 2 football games today.
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  Guys, of course. Monday Night Football Eagles.
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  And Chargers and then a little bit of a discussion here when it
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  comes. To Army, Navy.
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  Coming up here on. Saturday.
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  Now looking back toward the weekend.
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  Pretty good weekend now. Saturday, 1:00 and 1:00.
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  I took a shot. With Alabama got plus 1 1/2,
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  they actually had some really sharp line move the day.
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  Of. And and warning of because they
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  were sitting 2 1/2 got down to 1 and a.
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  Half. Even though everyone's pounding
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  Georgia. Well, throw that.
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  One in the trash. Because Alabama.
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  Never. Showed up and Georgia.
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  Dominated, and Ty Simpson did. Not look like this.
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  You know, epic. Possible number one pick.
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  That he was built to be. So that wasn't good, but.
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  Had a great hit. With Indiana, man, that Hoosiers
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  game. Absolutely.
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  Incredible. And I tell you what, guys, what
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  was difficult? For me, is that going into that
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  Indiana, Ohio State game, I told you, or if you listened to the.
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  Thursday night rhythm rundown as well as I think I talked.
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  About it on the. Pod on Friday is that that was a
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  really tough. Play for me because.
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  Everything that I've. You know, known and and learned
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  and and believe. In in terms of.
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  Following line movement bet. Split system matches.
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  It was screaming Indiana because nearly 80% of tickets are on
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  Ohio. State, but Ohio State.
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  I believe they open what was. As high as -6 got down to 4 1/2,
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  then got down to 3 1/2 on game day and I'm like, wow,
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  everyone's playing Ohio. State, but this line keeps going
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  toward. Indiana.
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  I got to take. Indiana now.
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  Prior to yesterday, me writing the sharp.
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  Report or on Saturday for visa.com and.
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  Putting the bet into the Juice Real app.
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  I told you that. Was a tough play because on the
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  one hand, it was easy. You know, I'm not.
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  Again, I'm not going to say it's easy because sports betting is
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  never easy, but it was easy to identify that Indiana.
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  Was the sharp play, but our friends at Rhythm actually had
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  Ohio State. Favored by close to. 10 points
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  in that game, so I'm like. Man, this is going to be.
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  A tough one because I know love and respect and trust rhythm.
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  But the betting market is telling me Indiana.
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  And I just said to myself, you know, if I play.
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  Ohio State and they don't cover or lose.
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  I can't really live with myself because as a data-driven
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  contrarian, market based better, I'll be literally going.
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  Up against everything. That I believe in.
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  If I were, If I were to take. Indiana and they lose and don't
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  cover. I would have said, hey, at least
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  I made the sharp play, so I did end up siding with the data.
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  Driven approach there. And maybe you guys did too.
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  And again if you. Laid it with Ohio State.
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  There's a case. To be made that it fell.
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  So much it was a good. Buy law opportunity but.
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  I played Indiana, they came through.
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  So if you did fall with that Indiana.
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  Play one in one. Saturday.
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  But a very good Sunday 3 and 1 + 1.7 units.
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  Dogs are barking as my guy king. Nebuchadnezzar likes to.
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  Say and I agree. With him, Houston Texans came
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  through late night. Man, we're talking about the.
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  The Kansas City Chiefs What's up with the Chiefs?
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  Well, once again we had a prime time dog coming.
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  Through with Houston. Great.
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  Defensive effort chiefs. Might miss the playoffs.
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  Right now on Unbelievable. But Texans plus the points.
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  Came through Jaguars plus the points came through.
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  Remember, public was. Leaning Indy but.
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  That line kept dropping toward Jacksonville Divisional Dog.
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  Great to see the Jags really roll out right.
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  And then Bengals getting 6 points again.
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  They're sitting 5 1/2. I was waiting for a six.
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  It popped up at some shops were 6/5 and 1/2 but that was really.
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  Just checking off. All the boxes.
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  I tweeted out a video with rhythm.
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  A little bit earlier today at Josh.
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  Under score insights but you had public.
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  Or actually, it was slightly public Cincy.
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  But low bets higher dollars line move towards.
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  Cincy they open as high as. 6 1/2 Got down to six. 5 1/2.
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  You had Joe Burrow as a dog. And you had some great rhythm
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  models plus 3 + 4. And Burrow played great even
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  though they probably. Should have won.
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  The game but they had they scored late to cover so that was
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  nice. Only.
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  Loser was The Jets got a + 3. They closed 2 1/2 Divisional dog
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  Contrarian. They just stink.
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  So they lost 34. To 10 but either way guys a.
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  Three in one NFL. Sunday, with the Texans, the
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  Jags and the Bengals coming through, we'll take that every
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  single time. Now before we dive into.
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  Our Monday Night Football. Game here for tonight.
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  I just wanted to give a. Quick shout out.
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  To my buddy, great, you know podcast.
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  Listener True wise guy on Twitter Mr. Manny Davison.
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  So Manny, if you are listening, congratulations.
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  I tweeted you earlier. But if you guys.
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  Remember. You might have gotten a direct
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  message from me because I was doing a lot of guerrilla
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  marketing. But I hosted a NFL survivor
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  splash pool with Splash Sports and it was 25 bucks to enter and
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  Manny Davidson won the survivor pool, so I want to say his last
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  let. Me just double check so I want
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  to make. Sure, I got it right because.
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  I think his last play was Seattle.
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  Yesterday, which came through, Yeah, so.
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  Last few weeks Seattle week 15, San Fran week 16 or Sorry I'm.
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  Going the other way. I can't go backwards.
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  But anyway, my guy, Mandy Davison.
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  At hump day under score. Hockey won the pool and he put
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  in. 25 bucks. He won 3000. $847 So nice little
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  Christmas gift. For a guy, Manny Davison, and he
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  actually. Tweeted me and he said hell yeah
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  man. 25 into 3800 and. What was it, 47?
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  You sent me an invite 25 minutes before opening week.
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  Kick off. Thank you again brother.
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  So glad to see. A podcast listener.
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  A fellow data-driven sharp guy. Manny Davidson won that survivor
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  pool, so. Just remember, I want to do more
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  and more with Splash Sports. I think it's fun.
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  It gives. People an opportunity.
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  To make some extra cash. But we will be doing the.
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  The survivor pool every year moving forward, I know it's a.
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  Long ways away for next year. But I'm in talks with my buddy
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  James Santor about doing an NFL playoff survivor pool.
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  So there's only. I think what 4 weeks of playoff?
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  Action. But basically it's.
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  A smaller list. It's only playoff teams and you
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  got to pick a winner each week. But The thing is.
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  You know you got to save. Your Super Bowl winner.
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  For the very last week. So if let's just say.
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  I'll give you a crazy example. My Patriots.
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  What if my Patriots win the Super Bowl?
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  If you use a week, you know divisional.
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  Round or wild card? Weekend they play.
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  The first round they don't get to.
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  Buy they win that's. Good, you survive.
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  But now if they win the whole thing, you can't use.
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  Them again so they're. In a way.
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  It's a much smaller. Pool, but you got to be a little
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  more strategic. In terms.
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  Of saving your your. Super Bowl winner for the last
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  week. And just get your Super Bowl
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  winner to that final. Game, then maybe you can hedge
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  whatever. But either way, stay tuned.
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  I'm going to do another. Pool.
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  It'll probably be another 25. Bucks, but I'm going.
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  To tweet it out. I was talking to James and I
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  said, hey, can I like set that up now?
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  And we won't know the teams but you can at least jump in.
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  Or do we have to wait? So I'm waiting on my buddy.
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  James, but there. Will be another survivor.
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  NFL Playoff Survivor edition coming soon and again.
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  Congrats to Manny Davison who turned 25.
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  Bucks into nearly 4. 1000 So congratulations, brother.
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  Now let's talk about some. Games here, of course.
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  Monday football tonight and then we'll.
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  Get talk some army. Navy to finish up.
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  The pod. Now for tonight, Eagles.
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  Chargers 2 good teams going at it, 8:15 PM Eastern.
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  Time. Let's set the stage.
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  Talk line movement splits, system matches and I'll.
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  Give you my play for this one. So going into it, we have the
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  Eagles 8:00 and 4:00 on the year.
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  But they've struggled a bit. They've lost 2.
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  Games in a row, they're making me sweat.
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  Because I played them -170. To win their division.
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  So can the Cowboys. Possibly beat them, overcome
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  them? I hope not.
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  But anyway. They just lost to the Bears, 24
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  to. 15 I like that. Because I took the +7, that was
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  the day. Of my high school.
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  Reunion which ended up being really fun, but anyway.
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  They lost. Outright as a 7 point home
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  favorite in that one. On the other hand, the Chargers
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  8 and 4, they're playing well. They've won four of their last
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  five, just beat the Raiders 31 to 14, covered as a nine and a
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  half. Point home favorite so.
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  What have we seen across the market here?
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  Well, this line open with Philly listed around a three-point Rd.
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  favorite. And the public is not quitting.
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  Philly maybe they'll maybe you would think maybe they're, you
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  know, a little hesitant laying. Points on the road.
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  With a team that's lost 2. In a row and.
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  Jalen Hurts, you know there's. Always the drama with A.J.
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  Brown even though he lit it. Up in that loss against the
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  Bears. But that's not the case.
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  The public still loves Philly. Good team defending champs.
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  Laying a short number, so right now you're getting. 70. 3% of
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  spread bets at DraftKings laying that that minus.
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  Three or now 2 1/2 with. Philly, however, even though
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  you're getting, you know, nearly.
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  Three out of four. Bets on Philly Philly.
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  Is not up to -3 1/2 - 4. Pretty clear, sharp move,
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  reminds me a little. Bit of that, Jaguars.
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  Game from yesterday. Home dog short number that's
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  getting shorter but anyway, even though public is going eagles.
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  The line is falling toward the Chargers plus three down to plus
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  2 1/2 and if you're looking. At the Juice.
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  And around the market? A lot of books are juiced up.
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  Toward the Chargers plus 2 1/2 minus. 115 and some books have
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  have even gotten down to 2 so. Pretty clear reverse line
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  movement. RLM if you want.
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  To debate me. Whether it's real or not.
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  I've been in those debates before.
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  And I would go all day. Battling you.
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  But I learned not to. Debate it anymore because
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  they're going to be flat earthers out there.
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  Who? Just don't believe.
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  It and that's fine, but do you also?
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  Not believe in gravity. That's always my comeback.
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  But anyway, public on. Philly line dropping toward the
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  Chargers tells me smart money here on.
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  LA. LA is.
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  Getting a really good bet split at Circa so out in Vegas
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  chargers only 28% of spread bets.
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  But 50? 7% of spread dollars so.
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  Pretty good low. Bets higher dollar discrepancy.
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  It's almost the sharper. Bigger, more respected wagers.
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  Are also on the Chargers and then again.
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  Even if you don't. Have this element of smart
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  money. RLM going.
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  With the line toward the Chargers, Chargers are just a
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  really good contrarian. Play because they are only
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  getting about a. Quarter of tickets at both
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  DraftKings and Circa telling. Us that we can.
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  Bet against the public bet. Against all the drunk guys at
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  The Boss and yeah, Philly's lost two in a row.
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  They got to get back on track. Then I lay it with Jalen Hurts.
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  But no, I'm going to go the other way.
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  I'm going Chargers here. Now if you look at.
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  Some betting system matches. So we got a sharp move.
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  Reverse line move. Contrarian opportunity.
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  Low bets, higher dollars now. Prime time dogs now they're not
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  setting the world on fire, but the Texans covered last night.
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  They're now 22 and 20 against the spread, 52% this year.
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  They're 163 and 146 ATS 53% with a 1 1/2 percent ROI since. 2020
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  But here's where it gets even better since 2020 if you just
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  isolate. The Monday Night Football dogs.
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  They're 54 and 43. ATS 56% with a 7% ROI.
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  Now dig into these, you know, players, quarterbacks, a little
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  bit more. Justin Herbert.
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  More on him in a second. 15 and 12.
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  Against the spread 56 percent, 7% ROI as a dog.
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  Getting points. He's 5 and 2 ATS 71.
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  Percent 36% ROI as a non. Conference dog.
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  Meanwhile, Jalen. Hurts.
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  He is just. 12 and 17 against the spread 41% as a Rd.
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  Favorite. So Herbert's done well covering
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  numbers as a dog and covering numbers as a dog.
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  In a non conference. Game Jalen Hurts has.
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  Struggled covering numbers on the.
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  Road when he's favorite. Now, LA does have some good
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  correlative. Betting value very low total 41.
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  And 1/2 for your amount of expected.
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  Points scored makes it. Harder for the favorite to cover
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  now if you tell me you want to play Chargers.
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  In a teaser, really not going to argue with you because you can
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  get. 2 1/2 some books around. To two, but 2 1/2 to 8 1/2 in a
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  low total game usually a good idea.
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  That way you pass. Through a couple.
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  Key numbers 3:00 and 7:00, but my angle.
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  Here is taking the Chargers because again, public Philly.
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  Lines dropped three down to 2 1/2.
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  I was actually saying to myself. Can I wait and get a three?
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  But if anything, doesn't look like that's happening.
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  So that's kind of a good. Sign that they don't want to go
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  to three. Again, even though public's
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  hammering Philly, but not great because we want the key number.
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  So I said, hey, 2 1/2 looks. Looks to be the.
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  Best price? So I got plus 2 1/2 -, 112 at
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  DraftKings, but just to. Pour a little fuel on the.
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  Fire here if you look at rhythm, our friends at.
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  Rhythm have two. Models lit up on the charters.
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  One says the charter should be plus one.
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  So you're getting a 2 1/2. There should be around.
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  A1 point game, good value there. Second model says Chargers.
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  Should be plus 0.2, basically a. Pick em game.
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  So rhythm's got a one. Point or a pick em game and
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  we're getting 2 and a. Half and we're against the
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  public with the sharp line move with Herbert and against Hertz
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  in those system matches. And then lastly, small.
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  But A5? Percent sharp mush edge from our
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  friends at Juice. Reel also on the Chargers.
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  So sharp mush edge. Rhythm's got an edge line
• 13:43
  movement, bet splits, contrarian system plays all lining up on
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  the Chargers. So my bet for tonight, guys.
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  Chargers plus. 2 1/2. Now in terms.
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  Of the total, like let's say you want to tease charters up two
• 13:55
  and a half eight. 8 1/2. If you want to play it.
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  With the total here. I think going. 41.
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  And 1/2. Up to 47 1/2 is not a bad idea
• 14:05
  because the total open as high as 44 1/2.
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  It's down to 40. 1 1/2. Pretty clear a lot of under
• 14:09
  money has come. In here the splits look good on
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  the under at DK. 25% bets 49% dollars on the under.
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  Circa 41% bets 52% dollars on the under.
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  Prime time unders have been. Really good this year, 26 and
• 14:22
  19. 58 percent, 10%. ROI and they're. 120. 7 and
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  9050. 9% with a 12% ROI since. 2022.
• 14:31
  So again, you want to play the under 41 1/2 it does look.
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  Pretty sharp. It reminds me A.
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  Little bit even though it's an indoor game like Houston KC.
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  That end up landing. On 30 but.
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  That was like a 42 1/2. Down to 41 1/2.
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  But I didn't play. The total I.
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  I just played the 2 1/2 there taking the points of the
• 14:47
  Chargers. Now 1 little caveat or one
• 14:50
  little. Angle just to be aware.
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  Of Maybe This is why we've seen the line move a little bit
• 14:54
  toward the Chargers. If you look at the Eagles.
• 14:56
  They're missing. Two really good players.
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  So Jalen Carter. Who was great with Georgia?
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  Spit on the guy on the count was a DAC.
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  Opening opening week I. Remember.
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  Because Cowboys end up covering that game.
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  But also Lane Johnson. The really good offensive.
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  Tackle. They're both.
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  Going to be out so one of your best.
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  Offensive and defensive lineman. Arguably your.
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  Best defensive offensive lineman.
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  So they're going to be out. And then, meanwhile, the
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  Chargers, Justin Herbert. He is.
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  Likely to start. I almost thought he's almost
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  positive to start. I guess technically still
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  questionable, but. He broke.
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  A bone in his left throwing. Hand and the good.
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  Thing there is, it's his left hand if it's his right.
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  Hand we got problems. But.
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  Left hand non throwing. Hand probably, you know, tape it
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  up. You know, put a, put a club on
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  it, whatever you're going to do, put a glove.
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  But that is a benefit that Herber's in.
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  And a good. I guess break for us as chargers
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  better is that. Johnson and Carter are out.
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  But again, Long story short. Give me the plus.
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  Two and half. That's what I'm sweating tonight
• 15:54
  with the charges. Now Army, Navy.
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  A tradition. Unlike any other.
• 15:59
  I know that's the the masters gymnast, but.
• 16:02
  I tell you what. I love the Army Navy game.
• 16:05
  It's patriotic. You know all the.
• 16:07
  Things You can talk about all the superlatives, but it's also
• 16:10
  a very. Interesting betting opportunity
• 16:12
  now. If this is going to be, if it's
• 16:14
  if you've done Army Navy games with me before.
• 16:17
  Whether it was the Market Insights pod, the Morning Bets
• 16:19
  pod, this pod. I mean, I've been.
• 16:21
  Doing pods for a while now at this point but.
• 16:25
  You're. Going to know it.
• 16:26
  If you've never heard of it, this might be a little bit
• 16:28
  interesting to you. So.
• 16:30
  Army, Navy. Now we've seen a move toward
• 16:32
  Navy minus. 4 up to minus. 6 Pretty clear that.
• 16:35
  You know. Navy's taking in.
• 16:36
  Some smart money, some background here.
• 16:38
  Army comes in six and five. They've won three of their last.
• 16:41
  4 just beat UTSA 2720. 4. Navy nine and two.
• 16:46
  They've won two straight, just beat Memphis. 2817 So again
• 16:49
  Navy's got. The better record.
• 16:51
  This game by. The Way will be played at the
• 16:54
  Ravens Stadium in Baltimore. Maryland.
• 16:56
  More on that. In a second because weather is
• 16:58
  part of my cap. But again.
• 16:59
  Navy better record? Line move in their.
• 17:01
  Favor. But anytime Army Navy play once
• 17:04
  a year, I get excited to bet the.
• 17:06
  Under. Now there's a There's a thought
• 17:09
  process here, so again, if you've heard this.
• 17:12
  Before it's. Going to be rehashed, but if
• 17:14
  you're. New to it or haven't heard it?
• 17:15
  It's. Kind of interesting.
• 17:16
  So one thing you. Got to know about Army and Navy
• 17:19
  facing off. Is that you're going to get.
• 17:21
  Low totals and the. Reason for that is because they
• 17:24
  run the ball. Almost every single snap.
• 17:27
  The triple option, they run it a lot.
• 17:29
  So what happens when you run it a lot?
• 17:31
  Well, you chew up the clock, the clock keeps.
• 17:33
  Going so therefore it shortens the game.
• 17:36
  As a result, the unders do very well.
• 17:38
  So if you Remember Me back in the day and my sports insight
• 17:41
  stays, we had a system called Military Academy, Unders, Army,
• 17:44
  Navy, Air Force. Any of the two.
• 17:46
  Play each other the under. Cash is like 70.
• 17:48
  Percent of the time. Now if you look at this total in
• 17:52
  particular, it opened around 38 1/2.
• 17:55
  It has gotten bet up to 39 1/2, but now that 39 1/2.
• 17:59
  Is getting juiced to the under -115?
• 18:02
  And some books like. Fianduel are actually back.
• 18:03
  Down to 38 1/2. Why is that important?
• 18:06
  Well, First off, DraftKings 40% bets 86% dollars on the under.
• 18:12
  Then you look at recent performance.
• 18:15
  A big reason. The Army.
• 18:16
  Navy Unders. Did so well I got some numbers
• 18:18
  for you. So from 2006 to 2021.
• 18:23
  And I started really betting and getting into industry in 2011.
• 18:26
  That's when I got my first job at Sports Insights.
• 18:28
  But the under. In that span, 2006 to 2021.
• 18:32
  The underwent. 16 and O again. Why?
• 18:36
  Because. They run the ball.
• 18:37
  They chew up the clock, they don't throw it, they don't score
• 18:39
  a lot. That's the whole point.
• 18:41
  Now, all good things. Must come to an end.
• 18:43
  Because if you look. Last year, the total did go over
• 18:48
  31 to 13. Game they scored. 44 points I
• 18:51
  remember because. I had the under.
• 18:53
  I play the under every year, but there was a touchdown at the.
• 18:56
  Very end that killed that under. I remember watching that game.
• 18:59
  So I'm thinking again, a lot of. You know betting public they
• 19:04
  know about. These unders here, but again
• 19:05
  it's it's a one. Off it's really the only game.
• 19:07
  Being played on Saturday, I know there's a few others, they're
• 19:09
  smaller. But you know.
• 19:12
  Maybe you're at a holiday party. I'm actually.
• 19:13
  Going to. New York City.
• 19:15
  To visit my. Wife's best friend, so she's.
• 19:18
  Doing a holiday? Party so I.
• 19:20
  Hope she has the army Navy game for me.
• 19:21
  But anyway, a lot of people want to.
• 19:23
  You know, be with. Friends bet the over because the
• 19:25
  over is more fun. To bet.
• 19:27
  But again, you know, it's really fun.
• 19:28
  Cashing a ticket. But anyway.
• 19:30
  The total went over last year. So maybe people who played the
• 19:33
  over are going to be like, oh, this.
• 19:34
  Total so low. Let's just go over again.
• 19:36
  But if you look, I think because.
• 19:39
  It went over last. Year.
• 19:40
  Maybe there's an inflated opportunity to.
• 19:41
  Just get right? Back to the traditional.
• 19:43
  Under. If you look at the year.
• 19:45
  Before that, so last year it was a 31 to 13 game.
• 19:48
  I think the total was 30. 8 1/2 the year before that.
• 19:51
  Though the total was 28 1/2, it was the lowest and I remember I
• 19:55
  think. It opened like 35 and just got
• 19:56
  hammered to the under. And that ended up actually
• 19:59
  hitting the under 17 to. 11 It landed on 20.
• 20:01
  Eight, I think that game was actually.
• 20:03
  At Foxborough Stadium, so. Traditionally, the unders have
• 20:06
  done well yes, last year it did cash to the.
• 20:09
  Over but again. People remember that they're.
• 20:11
  Going to see a low total, they're going to go.
• 20:12
  Over again, the odds makers know.
• 20:14
  That. So maybe we're getting a little
• 20:15
  bit of a. Shaded or inflated?
• 20:16
  Opportunity to go under. We got good low.
• 20:18
  Bets higher dollars bet splits. We also have some weather I.
• 20:21
  Told you it was going to be. The Ravens stadium, Well, as of
• 20:24
  right now, it's early forecast could change.
• 20:27
  But it's going to be. Cold like mid 30s.
• 20:29
  But more importantly. Around 10 mile per hour winds.
• 20:31
  So that's going to be good. For hopefully.
• 20:34
  Missed kicks. Or even though they don't.
• 20:36
  Throw the ball much? Anyway, hopefully some.
• 20:38
  Missed connections when I'm throwing it.
• 20:40
  Oh, by the way, our friends at Juice Reel 7%.
• 20:43
  Sharp mush edge. Add it all up here guys.
• 20:46
  I played under 39 1/2 and I got that at, I want to say minus.
• 20:51
  114 at Caesar's and the other angle here is that?
• 20:54
  I'm hoping based on, you know, the way this thing is.
• 20:57
  Ticked up and started to come back.
• 20:58
  Down I'm. Hoping that 39.
• 21:00
  And a half will be the best. Number you get if you want to
• 21:02
  play the under so I'd love to and again it's.
• 21:04
  Juiced under so if we gets. Back down to 38, you know, 3938,
• 21:09
  1/2. But even though it's a Monday.
• 21:11
  I'm getting out ahead of it. And playing.
• 21:12
  The under 30. 9 1/2 Again, hopefully this is the best
• 21:15
  number you get. For Army, Navy.
• 21:18
  On Saturday. So that about does it for
• 21:21
  episode 410 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
• 21:24
  powered by Rhythm I. Don't know if you expected.
• 21:26
  An Army, Navy breakdown. Today, but hey.
• 21:28
  You got it. Let's let's get a lower scoring
• 21:30
  game. But either way, guys, it's the
• 21:32
  part of the pod where we wrap things up.
• 21:34
  Always start first by saying thank you.
• 21:36
  Thank you for tuning in, thank you for listening, thank you for
• 21:38
  grinding in the arena with me every single day.
• 21:40
  Through the wins, the losses, the hot.
• 21:42
  Streaks, The cold streaks means a lot that we've created this
• 21:44
  community. And you guys, you know, find a,
• 21:47
  you know, 20. Minutes, 25 minutes of your day,
• 21:49
  your busy lives. To to tune in and sweat some
• 21:51
  breakdowns with me. So thank you.
• 21:53
  If you'd like to. Sport the pod, please give it a
• 21:55
  5 star. Review on Spotify or iTunes.
• 21:58
  Click the follow button, leave a nice.
• 21:59
  Comment or recommend the pod to a.
• 22:01
  Friend that would. All be very much appreciated.
• 22:04
  Next if you enjoy. The style of betting and.
• 22:06
  You want to learn? More about data-driven betting,
• 22:07
  but more importantly, because it is the holiday season, you need
• 22:10
  to get a gift for your uncle, your nephew.
• 22:12
  Your grandpa, Your grandson. Whoever it may be, you know what
• 22:15
  you should do. You should go to.
• 22:16
  Amazon.com Type. In the NFL.
• 22:18
  Sharp betting playbook. It's my new book, it makes a
• 22:21
  great. Stocking stuffer you can.
• 22:23
  Also get my first book, the Everything Guide to Sports
• 22:24
  Betting if you really want to be a a hero.
• 22:27
  But bring one or both of those books to the sports book.
• 22:29
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy a beer.
• 22:31
  Or ginger ale. Sweat the the charges together
• 22:33
  tonight. Next, have you downloaded?
• 22:35
  Rhythm and juice. Real yet?
• 22:36
  My 2. Favorite sports betting apps?
• 22:38
  Because they help me when they're going to help you.
• 22:39
  Win. I always love comparing the.
• 22:41
  AI backed models and predictions that rhythm has to what I'm
• 22:44
  looking at. And again, where we overlap,
• 22:46
  that's where I get a lot of confidence also if you.
• 22:49
  Look at juice. Real great.
• 22:50
  Great. You know.
• 22:52
  Opportunities there to shop. For the best line.
• 22:54
  Sharp mush indicators Arbitrage. Plays all located and
• 22:58
  breakdowns. In the juice rail app, but.
• 22:59
  You can also tip your podcast host by signing.
• 23:02
  Up to get the. All systems go, best bet picks.
• 23:04
  From Juice Rail they'll go right to my profile page.
• 23:07
  You can tail fade, do what you like, but as soon as I make a
• 23:09
  bet they'll go right. From my sports book to.
• 23:13
  That app. And you can again do do what you
• 23:15
  will. With them, but again, if you
• 23:16
  enjoy the pod. It's $4.99.
• 23:18
  Cents a week to get those plays. So a week's worth of plays for 5
• 23:21
  bucks. Pretty decent deal.
• 23:24
  So download Rhythm download. Juicer will give them a five
• 23:26
  star review in the app. Store next.
• 23:28
  You have a live odds page? Well.
• 23:30
  If you don't have one, you need one.
• 23:31
  Very important if you're going to be.
• 23:33
  A data-driven better, or any kind of better you need to be
• 23:35
  able to. Track the market What?
• 23:37
  Are the line open at? List all the games.
• 23:39
  Live scoring, live in game wagering.
• 23:40
  Odds all the current prices. When lines are moving, they get.
• 23:43
  Lit up in red. So you know that there's.
• 23:45
  Steam entering the market, and again.
• 23:47
  Shopping for the best? Price finding that best number
• 23:49
  if you. Again, for example like.
• 23:51
  I'm looking at my odds logic page.
• 23:52
  I can see. That 39 1/2.
• 23:54
  Is available for Army, Navy. Other books are 30. 8 1/2 So
• 23:57
  it's important because one. Or a half point can be the
• 24:00
  difference. Between a win or a loss or a
• 24:01
  push, so. If you want to give it a shot.
• 24:03
  Odds logic is the. Best live odds?
• 24:05
  Page around, just go to odds. Logic.com slash.
• 24:08
  Josh, 123. That'll give you a 7.
• 24:11
  Day free trial and. 50. Percent off your first month of
• 24:13
  service. Next, have you downloaded?
• 24:15
  Novig yet? Well, Novig.
• 24:17
  Is a fantastic. Not sports betting exchange.
• 24:20
  It's not a sports book, it's a betting.
• 24:21
  Exchange so the whole point with that.
• 24:24
  Is you're not getting crushed with the juice that the sports
• 24:26
  books make you pay. So instead of laying -115 -,
• 24:29
  120. You're getting much better.
• 24:31
  Prices. So for example, I'm looking at
• 24:33
  eagles. Chargers tonight.
• 24:35
  Chargers Plus 2 1/2. -1 O 2. Eagles. -2 1/2 - 1 O one.
• 24:41
  Over 41 1/2 -, 1 O 2. Under 41 1/2. +100.
• 24:46
  So you're going to. Get way better prices.
• 24:48
  You're not going to get booted if you win.
• 24:50
  And again, if you just went at the same rate you would at
• 24:52
  DraftKings or FanDuel, but you do it at Novig, you're going to
• 24:55
  make more money because. You're risking less juice,
• 24:57
  therefore you make more on the back end.
• 24:59
  But. If you want to download Novig,
• 25:01
  all you got to do when you fund your account there should be a
• 25:04
  little promo code you put in Josh. 123 that'll tack on an
• 25:06
  extra 25 bucks to your account. So that about does it for
• 25:10
  episode 410 of the ASG pod on a big RE entry Monday.
• 25:14
  Getting back into the swing of things, as always guys, two
• 25:17
  final thoughts. One.
• 25:18
  Whether I see you at the Borgata and Atlantic City?
• 25:20
  Twin River in Rhode Island, the. Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
• 25:22
  Foxwoods. Or Mohegan Sundown in
• 25:24
  Connecticut, The Encore in Boston.
• 25:25
  Plain Ridge park casino MGM Springfield.
• 25:27
  The Nash and my neck of the woods in Massachusetts, on the
• 25:31
  border of Nashua, NH. We're out in the desert where
• 25:33
  the true grinders. Get down where, Billy?
• 25:35
  Walters sends his number runners where the lowest juice possible
• 25:38
  is found at the South Point or Sweat and sharp contrarian plays
• 25:41
  jumping. In the stadium swim.
• 25:42
  Pool when he catch a. Big ticket at circle.
• 25:43
  You're going to walk up to me? Show me a nice Houston Texans.
• 25:47
  Ticket. Jaguars ticket.
• 25:49
  Bengals ticket. Man, Indiana, Unbelievable.
• 25:52
  They won that. Game out right that.
• 25:53
  Tossed by Mendoza, I'm kicking. Myself, I should have played him
• 25:55
  in the Heisman. Now he's like -2000 But that was
• 25:58
  just, that was just epic. And again, I'm not a huge.
• 26:01
  College football guy. I know people.
• 26:02
  Go nuts. I bet on it.
• 26:03
  But like the, you know, the favoritism, the.
• 26:05
  Love for Ohio State? I was I was glad to see Ohio
• 26:08
  State lose. But anyway.
• 26:09
  Flash one of those tickets. First one's on me next.
• 26:11
  One's on you will post. About the book Sweat Sharp
• 26:13
  Contrane. Place all night long.
• 26:16
  So as always, guys coming off a three in one NFL Sunday or A1
• 26:18
  and 3A4 and O&O and. 4/2 and two A great weekend, a terrible
• 26:23
  weekend, a good night, a bad. Night.
• 26:24
  A hot streak. A cold streak.
• 26:26
  You got to, you got to be willing to, you know, ride the
• 26:28
  wave of the. Ups and downs of sports betting.
• 26:30
  But if we can stick to the. Model in the blueprint that
• 26:33
  games with our head and not our heart be.
• 26:34
  Disciplined with our bankroll. Management find our system
• 26:36
  matches against the public with the house with the pros flat bet
• 26:39
  and. Avoid parlays.
• 26:41
  If we can do that, we're going to be.
• 26:42
  Successful. Sports bettors.
• 26:44
  So have. A great Monday.
• 26:44
  Night, everybody be right back at it tomorrow.
• 26:47
  That'll be episode 411 of the All Systems Go.
• 26:50
  Sports betting podcast. Powered by rhythm.
• 26:52
  Good luck everybody. And go charges.