Latest / Washington Post / 6.22.26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the reading of the
- 0:02Washington Post for this Monday, June twenty second. As a reminder,
- 0:07Radio I is a reading service intended for people who
- 0:10are blind or have other disabilities that make it difficult
- 0:13to read printed material. Your reader for today is Rod Brotherton.
- 0:18Start off with the news. High level US Iran talks
- 0:22conclude with a roadmap for peace, mediator say. High level
- 0:28peace talks between the United States and Iran have concluded,
- 0:32Mediators said Monday, with the immediate launch of a new
- 0:36round of lower level technical discussions this week in Switzerland.
- 0:40The two sides agreed on a roadmap aimed at reaching
- 0:43a final agreement within sixty days, according to a joint
- 0:46statement by Mediator's Pakistan and Cutter. They also agreed to
- 0:52establish a de escalation working group that includes Elebanon to
- 0:57address the fighting between Israel and Hezbolade.
- 1:00Speaker 2: There.
- 1:01Speaker 1: The communications channel was also established to prevent incidents and
- 1:06misunderstandings and to ensure the safe passage of commercial vessels
- 1:10through the Strait of war moves, the mediator said, calling
- 1:14the progress encouraging. Vice President j. D Vance had begun
- 1:18the talk Sunday, expressing hope that the two sides could
- 1:22turn over a new leaf. As back in Washington, President
- 1:26Trump threatened fresh attacks on Tehran if it blocked the
- 1:30reopening of the strait. Ron's lead negotiator responded by accusing
- 1:36the United States of being desperate and warning of retaliation
- 1:40against any US aggression. Despite the belicosity, negotiators from the
- 1:45two countries, along with mediators from Pakistan and Cutter, held
- 1:50about eighteen hours of intensive talks and consultations at the
- 1:54Swiss resort of Bergenstock, according to Iranian media. Afterward, Iranian
- 2:01Foreign Minister Abbas Aragachi praised tireless Pakistani and Katari mediation,
- 2:07saying in a post on X that oil and petrochemical
- 2:11exports are waived, blockade lifted, some frozen assets released, and
- 2:16a major reconstruction and development plan launched for Iran. US
- 2:22officials had not commented on the negotiations Monday morning. The
- 2:27Bergenstock gathering dubbed the Lake Lucern sum It is part
- 2:31of a sixty day effort to build upon the recently
- 2:34announced US Iran ceasefire and establish a broader deal that
- 2:39would end the war and address concerns about Iran's nuclear program.
- 2:43The question before US now is how much more can
- 2:47we accomplish together? Can we turn over a new leave,
- 2:51Vance said at the start of talks on Sunday, we
- 2:55can change relations in the Middle East permanently or do
- 2:59we go back to doing the things the old way,
- 3:02which is not our preference, but it's certainly very much
- 3:05something that can happen. Tensions flared over the weekend after
- 3:11Iran said it was closing the Strait of horm Moves
- 3:13in response to Israeli attacks on Lebanon. US Central Command
- 3:17said Saturday the commercial vessels were still passing through the waterway,
- 3:22but it said Sunday afternoon that it had no updates.
- 3:26The safe passage of commercial vessels through the Strait of
- 3:30horn Moves is critical to bringing down global oil prices.
- 3:35Since the war began on February twenty eighth, surging oil
- 3:38prices have hurt the US economy and taken a toll
- 3:41on Trump's approval ratings amid consumer worries about higher gasoline costs.
- 3:47In a phone interview on Sunday with Fox News Trey
- 3:50yinst Trump threatened to attack Iran and take over the
- 3:54Strait of horn Moves if Tehran interfered with passage through
- 3:58the waterway. You close the straight of horr moves and
- 4:02you won't have a country, Trump said. He told Iranian
- 4:05officials inks posted on h you won't even make it
- 4:09back to your effing country. Trump also underscored the threat
- 4:15and a suit truth social post in which he urged
- 4:18Iran to stop Hezbalah militants and Lebanon from causing trouble.
- 4:25If they don't, we'll hit her on very hard again,
- 4:29just like we did last week, only harder, he said.
- 4:34Iran's lead negotiator, parliamentary speaker Mohamed Bagar Galibaf, responded they'd
- 4:41better be careful with the statements and warned on a
- 4:45post on X that such threats are ineffective. We don't
- 4:51count threats on the from Americans, he said. Iran's official
- 4:56Islamic Republic news agency described the Quadrilateral talks is entering
- 5:01a difficult phase after Trump's message. The negotiations in Switzerland
- 5:06are key to Washington's goal of preventing Iran from developing
- 5:10a nuclear weapon. Trump had cited Iran's nuclear ambitions as
- 5:14a main justification or his decision to go to war
- 5:19a memorandum of Understanding that Trump signed at the Palace
- 5:22of Versailles in France last week puts the onus on
- 5:26the US to deliver early, including by lifting sanctions, freeing
- 5:31billions and frozen assets, and dismantling a naval blockade of
- 5:35Iranian ports. The two sides established a two month timeline
- 5:40to flash out the details and settle issues that have
- 5:43plagued negotiators for years. Iran promised to let shipping traffic
- 5:51flow freely through the Strait of Horn moves. The deal
- 5:55also outlined an end to military operations in Lebanon, which
- 6:00is a core issue for Iran and requires the Trump
- 6:03administration to pressure Israel to halt at tax on Hezbalalah,
- 6:10even though Israel is not a signatory to the agreement
- 6:14and has denounced it with Hezbollah, a known terrorist organization
- 6:19bent on the destruction of Israel. Aragachi. While praising the
- 6:25progress of the talks, Monday said negotiators Lebanon deconfliction sell
- 6:31would be the royal first test of the progress. US
- 6:35intelligence agencies have warned the administration that Israeli Prime Minister
- 6:40Benjamin Netanyahu is likely to remain intent on continuing attacks
- 6:44in Lebanon, which could undermine the US's efforts to negotiate
- 6:49a long term agreement. But over the weekend, the fighting
- 6:53appeared to have eased after the Israeli government ordered its
- 6:56military Saturday to limit operations in Lebanon to defensive measures.
- 7:03On Sunday night, and net Niyahu promised that Israeli forces
- 7:06will remain in South Lebanon. Speaking at the JNS International
- 7:10Policy Summit in Jerusalem, he said the US would act
- 7:14in the same manner if Israel. If across the border
- 7:18you have an army of thousands of terrorists who pellet
- 7:21your cities and your towns with rockets and ballistic missiles
- 7:25and killer drones, you know damn well what America would do.
- 7:30It would cross the border, create a security zone, kill
- 7:34the terrorists, and protect its people until the threa is removed.
- 7:38And that is exactly what we are doing. Our next story,
- 7:44Fight or Forgive. An unusual class helped the Muslim student
- 7:50decide from Aurora, Colorado in the morning with sal Chi
- 7:56Chu hoped she would answer the question she asked herself
- 8:00days how compassionate should she be in a country where
- 8:04many lacked empathy for her? She was a Muslim teenager,
- 8:09eighteen and a freshman in college, not quite the adult
- 8:12she hoped to be, but she hadn't do it enough
- 8:15to know she would have to decide soon. Should she
- 8:18forgive everyone who discriminated against her, or she stand up
- 8:22for herself. The world felt increasingly hostile, short owned kindness.
- 8:28Most Americans believe their fellow citizens are morally bad. Trust
- 8:33is on the decline, political violence is rising, and the
- 8:37Trump administration felt especially hostile to immigrants. All of that
- 8:41brewing around her, she Chu had signed up for a
- 8:44college conference on compassion to help her decide how to be.
- 8:50Speaker 2: For now.
- 8:51Speaker 1: It was dinner time, and she looked across the kitchen
- 8:53table as her parents opened the tickout containers of halilah,
- 8:57chicken and lamb, and she chewed that her mom and
- 9:01dad had offered two opposing ways to approach the world.
- 9:05Do you remember the campus monitor, she asked them. A
- 9:09few years earlier, when Chi Chew and her older sister
- 9:12Ikram were in high school, a campus security guard had
- 9:16mocked them on camera for having to take a citizenship test,
- 9:20then posted the video online later after it went locally viral.
- 9:26He waited outside the girl's classroom and ask other students
- 9:29to fight them. I told the principal I wanted a
- 9:32restraining order to choose dead. Elideba said as he dug
- 9:36into a plate of rice, that's dangerous. He doesn't have
- 9:40a right.
- 9:40Speaker 2: To do that. But he's young.
- 9:43Speaker 1: Her mother Amina said, he was just twenty something. I
- 9:47told the principal, don't don't fire. This was the way
- 9:51she choose. Parents approached every indignity they'd faced it since
- 9:54moving to America from Morocco in twenty fourteen. Mother opened
- 10:00her arms, her father crossed his. That night at the table,
- 10:06as chi Chew prepared to find her own strategy, the
- 10:10family recounted a dozen or so examples. It was the
- 10:14girl who wouldn't hold she Choo's hand in gym class
- 10:17because she said to Chew was a dirty African monkey.
- 10:21There were the patients on Ikraum's nursing assistance shift who
- 10:26mocked her he job, the kids who called chi Chew
- 10:30a bomber. The man who almost ran over them in
- 10:33a grocery store parking lot before shouting that the family
- 10:36should go back to the Middle East. You can read
- 10:40it in their eyes. Abe de la La said they
- 10:44look at you like, yeah, you're a terrorist. Mom would
- 10:48always tell us you can't blame these people. Chi Chou said,
- 10:51that's what they've been taught. If everyone were as empathetic
- 10:56as her mom, chi Chou thought life would be peaceful
- 10:59and calm. But che Che also worried her mother's compassion
- 11:04left her vulnerable. Some nights, Amina came home crying, and
- 11:09she chew wondered if all the hatred didn't hurt her
- 11:11mother more than she let on. So tomorrow, I'm going
- 11:15to this compassion lab, she told her family as they
- 11:19finished dinner and retreated to the couch from mint tea
- 11:22and pistachios. And I want to ask the professors how
- 11:26do I be a compassionate person without creating these environments
- 11:30of hatred? Her mom raised her eyebrows, her dad leaned
- 11:35back with a smile. I want to find an answer,
- 11:38she cho said. It needs to have an answer, right.
- 11:43Chichi woke up extra early the next morning and rode
- 11:46the train from the suburbs to the University of Denver.
- 11:50By eight am, one hundred sleepy students had settled with
- 11:53coffee cake and complimentary journals to record any thoughts they
- 11:56had that day. Compassion was a relatively new subject for
- 12:01the school. A few years ago, university leaders decided that
- 12:05to produce thriving graduates, they had to do more than
- 12:09teach them how to learn. They had to show them,
- 12:13more holistically, how to be. One of the lead facilitators
- 12:19that day was Chris Teetsort, an assistant professor whose work
- 12:23had evolved from the communications department and to research on
- 12:27happiness and empathy. When teet Sort taught his first compassion
- 12:31lesson in twenty twenty three, he thought he'd help students
- 12:35relate to people who were different from them. He discovered
- 12:38that today's teenagers struggle to connect even with like minded people.
- 12:43In the ear since teet Sort and other professors caught
- 12:47courses on compassion as well as roving long hour sessions
- 12:51and departments from music to political science, the day long
- 12:55conference was new and a chance to go deep quickly.
- 12:59That morning, while the students polished off breakfast, Teetsort told
- 13:02them compassion felt more important than ever. Both people, both
- 13:07young and old, were increasingly lonely. The rates of depression
- 13:11had shot up. The country felt divided and disconnected, he said,
- 13:15and many people no longer knew how to sit and
- 13:18have a conversation. The broad question that we're asking to
- 13:22day is, given the pain and suffering, how do we
- 13:25want to be treated? Te Short said, how do we
- 13:28treat others? How is this going to look in our lives?
- 13:34Cheechu had been doodling flowers on one of the conference handouts,
- 13:37but as Teet Short spoke, she stopped. His words struck
- 13:41her as profound. He wasn't just saying that suffering is happening.
- 13:47He was inviting the students to think about their own reactions.
- 13:51How did she want to respond? How did she hope
- 13:55to be treated?
- 13:57Speaker 2: You just took a long.
- 13:58Speaker 1: Drink from a water bottle graded with stickers from Colorado
- 14:01nonprofits Compassion for Others. Tits Or told the group cannot
- 14:06exist without self compassion. Studies have shown that people who
- 14:12take care of themselves can better show up for others,
- 14:15he said. Chie Chu thought of her mom Amina did
- 14:19a great job of caring for other people, but she
- 14:22deserved compassion too. Chi Chu believed that both of Chi
- 14:26Chu's parents had worked a variety of blue collar jobs
- 14:29since they immigrated, but her mom had recently found a
- 14:32position working with special education students. A life of service
- 14:37suited her, and Chi Chu hoped to spend her adulthood
- 14:41helping people too. After college, she planned to go to
- 14:45law school and eventually run for public office. Neither of
- 14:50those careers felt particularly safe from bigotry.
- 14:54Speaker 2: Chie Chew didn't even.
- 14:55Speaker 1: Wear a huge job yet, although she longed to, because
- 14:58she worried a law school would reject her. If she did,
- 15:02maybe they'd think of isis, or maybe they'd wonder if
- 15:05she was opposed to thinking for herself. She'd seen plenty
- 15:10of TikTok videos. Were seemingly educated people suggested that the
- 15:15only reason a woman would cover her head is because
- 15:18a man made her. That couldn't have been further from
- 15:22the truth. To choose faith was of the most important
- 15:25parts of her identity, and.
- 15:27Speaker 2: That belief was her own. Not one of her parents
- 15:30ever pushed, but she'd seen.
- 15:32Speaker 1: The way people reacted to her mom and her sister's
- 15:34head scars, and she was scared. She'd already experienced harassment
- 15:39and the political world. She'd spent the last few months
- 15:43in turning for Senator Michael Bennett, the Democrat of Colorado,
- 15:47a few weeks before the conference, an Iraq war veteran
- 15:50had called for help navigating his benefits. As to Chew
- 15:55tried to find answers, man said several hateful things about Muslims.
- 16:00It had hurt to listen to him, But che Chew
- 16:02had thought of her mother and told herself the man
- 16:05probably experienced horrific things at war, and she said nothing.
- 16:11The conference broke for a mid morning break, and as
- 16:14the students lingered in the hallway, several admitted they were
- 16:18neutral on the idea of compassion. Mostly they had signed
- 16:22up for the lad because their teachers had agreed to
- 16:24give them extra credit or a week without homework. As
- 16:28far as to Chu could tell, no one who considered
- 16:31themselves hateful had signed up. Those were probably the people
- 16:35who needed a compassion conference most. But to Chu knew
- 16:38from her own friend group that sometimes even people who
- 16:42considered themselves open minded balked crossing the divide. She and
- 16:46most of her friends were liberal, but they hadn't understood
- 16:50when she'd befriended a conservative earlier that year, Why are
- 16:56you engaged with that person? They'd ask her, Why do
- 16:58you what do you see in her teens today? Wanted
- 17:02to preserve the peace. To Chew understand that often been
- 17:06building a fortress of safety away from many comments or
- 17:08opposing beliefs that might hurt them to Chew desired peace too,
- 17:13but was that all that mattered. She didn't want to
- 17:16spend the rest of her life being called a terrorist,
- 17:18but she was too curious to wall herself up. She
- 17:22wanted to reach the people who hated her. She never
- 17:25took the time to understand them. How could she ever
- 17:28change their minds? The break ended and the students headed
- 17:32off to sessions on relationships and the media. Outside, the
- 17:36temporarysure had topped eighty degrees. Young people sunbathed on the lawn.
- 17:42Chi Chew joined a dozen other students for an indoor
- 17:46meditative walk through a labyrinth. Psychology of Religion professor Danny
- 17:51McIntosh had designed the room sized fabric labyrinth with a colleague.
- 17:57He told the students that a labyrinth walking is an
- 17:59ancient tradition practiced by people all over the world. Recent
- 18:04research shows that if a group of people walk together
- 18:07with a shared intention, labyrinths can promote compassion. One way
- 18:13of thinking about the labyrinths is a mini pilgrimage.
- 18:15Speaker 2: McIntosh said there's.
- 18:17Speaker 1: Been research of pilgrims who go to the Hodge, the
- 18:20Islamic Pilgrimage. One of the effects of going to the
- 18:23Hodge is an openness to all traditions, despite all the differences,
- 18:28all the variety, heterogenitivity, and they say, well, all on
- 18:33this journey together. Ch Chu couldn't believe it. In all
- 18:38her years in America, she never heard anyone mentioned Hodge
- 18:43in a classroom setting.
- 18:44Speaker 2: But he was right.
- 18:46Speaker 1: She'd always heard the pilgrimage united people. Before they walk
- 18:51the labyrinth, McIntosh explained, they chant a shared meditation. Chi
- 18:57Choose slid off her white new balances and pulled her
- 19:00waistlength hair into a ponytail. She joined the other students
- 19:04in the circle. We recognize the suffering as part of
- 19:08being human, and for us and for others, Macintosh read,
- 19:12we allow ourselves to see it without turning away. One
- 19:16by one, the students stepped into the purple labyrinth. She
- 19:20Chew was last, and when she set her foot inside,
- 19:24she felt a kind of jolt, something close to static electricity,
- 19:28but sharper, and it made her dizzy. She rounded the outside.
- 19:33She tried to channel her mother. She meditated on other
- 19:37people's suffering. She thought about the genocide and the congo
- 19:41the worn iron, and she considered the veteran who called
- 19:44the Senate office asking for help. She Chew knew the
- 19:48man deserved compassion, but she made her way around. She
- 19:52thought of her father. He always let people have their say,
- 19:55then he stood up for himself. He corrected them if
- 19:59they were wrong. He fought for his right to exist
- 20:02as a Muslim immigrant in America. She hadn't felt on
- 20:07the phone as if she could respond the way her
- 20:10dad might. She was at work and her job was
- 20:14to help all constituents, not interrupt them to explain her
- 20:17own religion. But what of the things Titsort said about
- 20:22self compassion were true? Didn't her own suffering matter? Maybe
- 20:27she could have handled off the call to a coworker,
- 20:29and maybe should she could have taken a moment to herself.
- 20:33Chee Chew felt lost as she searched for the Labyrinth Center,
- 20:38but by the time she reached it, she knew the
- 20:41path was right for her. Wasn't her mom's or her father's,
- 20:45but something in between. She wanted to be someone who
- 20:49listens and fights for all people, including herself. By the
- 20:53end of the day, che Chew was back with her
- 20:56family in.
- 20:57Speaker 2: The living room.
- 20:58Speaker 1: Her mom brewed another Part of Me tea while the
- 21:01cat Mi Knew slinked around, trying to decide which family
- 21:04member he loved the most. Of that hour, Chiechu pulled
- 21:08out the journal she'd kept during the conference, and she
- 21:10told her parents she'd had a great day. I would
- 21:14say I felt enlightened. She said, I need to be
- 21:17easier on myself, extend the same compassion to myself that
- 21:22I'm giving to other people not like me.
- 21:25Speaker 2: Her mom said quietly, you don't want to be like me.
- 21:29Che laughed and leaned over to hug her.
- 21:32Speaker 1: No, no, no, no no, she said, you are a great person,
- 21:35a great role model. Then they hugged until Minuz settled
- 21:40and the tea was ready. Chechu took her first sip,
- 21:43then collapsed into the couch. I also learned I can't
- 21:48wake up at seven. That's just too much. The next story.
- 21:54Trump faces new hurdles after deal, Ron's leverage, Israel's attacks
- 22:00in Maga's backlash. President Trump's efforts to strike a deal
- 22:05with Iran faced significant head winds over the weekend, as
- 22:08Tehran flexed its control of the Straight of Horn moves
- 22:12Israel and has belottraded strikes, and the right flank of
- 22:15Trump's party continued to accuse him of making too many
- 22:18concessions to secure an agreement. The challenges underscored the difficulty
- 22:22of Trump's task as he seeks to turn a fragile
- 22:25ceasefire into a lasting agreement. After months of war sent
- 22:29energy prices skyrocketing. Ending the fighting addressed Trump's immediate concerns
- 22:34about oil prices in the stock market, but it left
- 22:37unresolved the question at the heart of the conflict, what limits,
- 22:42if any, Iran will accept on its nuclear program.
- 22:46Speaker 2: Vice President J. D.
- 22:47Speaker 1: Vance met Sunday with senior Iranian leaders in hopes of
- 22:50keeping Iran from ever obtaining a nuclear weapon in exchange
- 22:54for sanctions relief. In a statement after the high level
- 22:58talks concluded early Monday, Mediator's Pakistan and Cutter touted encouraging progress,
- 23:05saying the two sides agreed on a road map aimed
- 23:08at reaching a final agreement within sixty days. Lower level
- 23:12technical discussions continue this week. Trump may have less leverage
- 23:17than he did during the talks in February. Before the war, then,
- 23:21Iranian leaders feared a US attack could topple the regime now,
- 23:26the government has proved it can survive even after the
- 23:28February twenty eighth killing of its supreme leader, Ayatola Ali Kamene.
- 23:33Trump has made clear that the halt oil shipping or
- 23:36out of the Persian Gulf as a pressure point, and
- 23:39Tehran has shown that it can sends shocks through global
- 23:43energy markets with just the threat of attacks on ships.
- 23:48US officials see a breakthrough at the bargaining table must
- 23:51haggle over many issues. Trump deferred to halt fighting and
- 23:55reopened the straightform moves, restoring what amounted to the status
- 23:59quo for the initial US strikes on February twenty eighth.
- 24:03The concessions the White House has already offered to get
- 24:05back to the bargaining table have become a central line
- 24:08of attack for Trump's critics. Trump's no longer demanding regime change,
- 24:13despite promising Iranians that help was on the way. He
- 24:17says he understands why the country needs ballistic missiles, upsetting
- 24:21US allies who feel threatened by those weapons, and he
- 24:25has made clear he wants to avoid anything that would
- 24:28derail the stock markets upward trajectory that hasn't stopped him
- 24:33from continuing to issue threats, as he did Sunday and
- 24:36social media message posted as many Americans were sitting down
- 24:40to Father's Day brunch. Iron must immediately stop their highly
- 24:44paid proxies in Lebanon for causing trouble. If they don't,
- 24:50we'll hit around very hard again, just likely did last week,
- 24:54only harder, Trump said, but taking alongside the president's other message,
- 25:00which is a caution about restarting the war, including a
- 25:03vow not to become Herbert Hoover, the president at the
- 25:06beginning of the Great Depression, it wasn't clear how serious
- 25:10Iran would take his warning. There's not a lot of
- 25:14room now for him to go and maneuver and go
- 25:16back and punch back to the Iranian, said Aaron David Miller,
- 25:20an expert on the US Israeli relations who has advised
- 25:23Republican and Democratic administrations on Middle East policy. Pressuring Iran
- 25:29means essentially resuming the war or reimposing the naval blockade.
- 25:33But those have consequences, he said, including one's. Trump is
- 25:36sa easier to avoid. We have so undermined our own
- 25:42deterrence with Iran, Miller said, the elder coming a long
- 25:46tried to avoid a situation where the US and Israel
- 25:50teamed up in a week's long campaign against Iran. Well,
- 25:53guess what we lived through that They not only survived,
- 25:57they found a way to.
- 25:58Speaker 2: Keep the regime coherent.
- 26:00Speaker 1: Are said, the stakes for Trump and Republican Party are high.
- 26:05Inflation exacerbated by the conflict has put pressure on many
- 26:08of Trump's supporters, pushing him to try to get the
- 26:11economy under control by the midterm elections in November. Fox
- 26:16poll released last week found that fifty eight percent of
- 26:20voters thought the US made the wrong decision in taking
- 26:22military action against Iran in February, seventy five percent of
- 26:27Republicans believed it was the right call, and thirty five
- 26:30percent of voters approved of how he was hailing Heran. Still,
- 26:36Advance declared optimism as he set out Saturday for meetings,
- 26:39two days after they were initially scheduled. With fighting between
- 26:42Israel and hesbelas training the initial agreement, It's going to
- 26:47be something we're just going to have to continuously manage
- 26:50to ensure that, you know, Israel and Levin are both
- 26:52safe and secure. That's fundamentally the goal of this to
- 26:56make the whole region Safe and Secure, danced tole reporters
- 27:01Saturday before departy Washington. I think we're going to hopefully
- 27:05make progress on the nuclear issue, make progress on the
- 27:08Lebanon ceasefire issue, and those are the two big things
- 27:12I think we're going to be focused on, he said.
- 27:15In their statement Monday, Pakistan and Cutters and Negotiations agreed
- 27:19to launch a de escalation work group that includes Lebanon
- 27:23to address the fighting between Israel and Hesbeala Air. They
- 27:27also established a communication channel to prevent incidents and misunderstandings
- 27:32to ensure the safe passions of commercial vessels through the
- 27:35Strait of Horn Moves. Iran's repeated declarations that it would
- 27:40close the Strait of Horn Moves or a measure of
- 27:42the challenges confronting the Trump administration's diplomatic efforts. Before February
- 27:47twenty eighth, Iran's leverage over the narrow shipping checkpoint was theoretical.
- 27:52Speaker 2: It has never been tested.
- 27:54Speaker 1: Now Iran is shown that can use mines and drones
- 27:58to halt traffic and includes two twenty percent of the
- 28:00world's supply of oil and natural gas. Trump said last
- 28:04week that his concerns about global energy prices and dwindling
- 28:07oil reserves were a factor in his decision to seek
- 28:11a peace deal when he did. Iron said Saturday that
- 28:16it had closed straight because of its anger over Israeli
- 28:19attacks on his Bellah. The US military said the waterway
- 28:24was still open to traffic, and Kepper, a tracking firm,
- 28:28set it at a long twenty ships crossings, down from
- 28:30the one hundred and thirty daily average before the war.
- 28:33Even without attacking any ships, Iran can still throttle traffic
- 28:38since cautious ship captains may choose not to take chances
- 28:42with Iran's military, and insurance firms may raise their premiums
- 28:47or decline to cover the risk at all. Trump on
- 28:51Saturday aided frustration with the situation in the strait, saying
- 28:54on social media that there will be no tolls in
- 28:57the Hormu Straight for the sixty days during the sea
- 29:00fire period, and there will be no tolls after the
- 29:03sixty day period has expired. Despite Iran's declaration that it
- 29:08intends to impose new transit fees on ships passage through
- 29:11the waterway, the president threatened to impose US tolls for
- 29:16services rendered as a guardian angel to the countries in
- 29:19the Middle East. Despite the US military having no practical
- 29:24way to collect the charges. Trump and his backers say
- 29:31Iran's navy has been destroyed and many of its missile
- 29:34launchers have been eliminated. They argue that Iran's new leaders,
- 29:38including Iatola Muntjaba Kamine, the son and successor of the
- 29:42late Aleh Kamande, are more willing to make a deal
- 29:46and engage in reforms, and that the country is further
- 29:49from a nuclear.
- 29:49Speaker 2: Weapon than it was before the war.
- 29:52Speaker 1: However, Trump advance have been facing increasingly vocal criticism from
- 29:57some of the same people who cheered the initial stree,
- 30:01especially as both men heated up the rhetoric against Israel
- 30:04last week and criticized it for not following the terms
- 30:08of the deal. Israel has continued to attack what it
- 30:11says or Hesbelah emplacements in Lebanon because its soldiers have
- 30:15come under attack by the Iranian backed militia. US intelligence
- 30:20agencies have warned Israel that it's likely to try to
- 30:23undermine the deal. The inclusion of the ceasefire in Lebanon
- 30:28and the deal is likely to continue to strain relations
- 30:31between the US and Israel since it puts Washington in
- 30:35the place of taking Iran's side over Israel on the
- 30:38issue of attacks into eleven. As part of the memorandum
- 30:41of understanding, Iran committed to halting Hesbelah's attacks on Israel,
- 30:48but for Israeli soldiers died with Hesbelah ambush their tank
- 30:53on Friday in the Lebanese town of Fertindet. If you
- 30:57want Israel to go along with the plant, you should
- 31:00tell them what's in the plant. They were not even
- 31:04at the talks, and all of a sudden they are
- 31:06roped into it. Ryan Killmead, a host on Fox and
- 31:10Friends who is unusually who is usually a reliable backer
- 31:15of Trump, set on Friday. It's up to Iran to
- 31:19tell his Belah, who does whatever you tell them, to
- 31:23knock it off, and then Israel.
- 31:26Speaker 2: Will knock it off.
- 31:27Speaker 1: Kill Mead, said Trump and his backers say Iran's navy
- 31:32has been destroyed many of its missile launchers have been eliminated.
- 31:36Speaker 2: They argue that Iran's.
- 31:37Speaker 1: New leaders, including Ayatola Motujaba Khamene, the son and successor
- 31:43of the late Al Kamine, are more willing to make
- 31:46a deal and engage in reforms, and that the country
- 31:49is further from a nuclear weapon than it was before
- 31:51the war. However, Trump in advance have been facing increasingly
- 31:56vocal criticism from some of the same people who cheered
- 31:59the initial stranks, especially as both men heated up the
- 32:02rhetoric against Israel last week and criticized it for not
- 32:05following the terms of the deal. Israel has continued to
- 32:10attack what it says or Hesbela and placements in Lebanon
- 32:13because its soldiers have come under attack by the Iranian
- 32:17backed militia. US intelligence agencies have warned that Israel is
- 32:22likely to try to undermine the deal.
- 32:25Speaker 2: The inclusion of a.
- 32:26Speaker 1: Ceasefire in Lebanon is in the deal and is likely
- 32:30to continue to strain relations between the US and Israel
- 32:33since it puts Washington in the place of taking a
- 32:36Ran side over Israel on the issue of attacks in Lebanon.
- 32:41It's part of the memorandum of understanding. Iran committed to
- 32:44halting Hesbela attacks on Israel, but for Israeli soldiers died
- 32:50when Hesbelah attacked their tank and ambushed it on Friday
- 32:54in the Lebanese town of Kafar Tebnitt. If you want
- 32:59Israel to go along with the plan. You should tell
- 33:02them what's in the plan. They were not even at
- 33:04the talks, and all of a sudden they're roped into it.
- 33:08Speaker 2: Brian kill Me, the host.
- 33:09Speaker 1: Of Fox and Friends, who is usually a reliable backer
- 33:12of Trump, set on Friday. It's up to Iran to
- 33:17tell Hasbellah, who does whatever you tell them to knock
- 33:21it off, and then Israel will knock it off. Our
- 33:27next story for cash strapped farmers deal to in the
- 33:31Iran fighting comes too late. The possible end of the
- 33:38Iran war will not cure the drought that is stunted
- 33:40the wheat crop. It won't secure soybean export orders caught
- 33:44up in the US China trade war, and it will
- 33:47do nothing to promote competition and agriculture, which would help
- 33:51farmers like Jeff Tyson earn a living like other growers. Tyson,
- 33:56who's fifty five, has seen costs outrun sales this year
- 34:00as the rain grew scarce government policies added to his burdens. Now,
- 34:05the US Iran agreement has to reopen the vital straight
- 34:08of horm moves and pursue a lasting piece offers some
- 34:12release to farmers seen their fuel and fertilizer bills sore
- 34:16because of the combat incursion golf the diesel has not
- 34:19been cheaper since mid March. Urea fertilizer in recent days
- 34:24so for less than it did before the fighting started,
- 34:27but financial damage.
- 34:29Speaker 2: Has been done.
- 34:31Speaker 1: President Trump's February decision join Israel and attacking Iran aggravated
- 34:35the farm economy struggles. Soybean growers, who were already suffering
- 34:40from the President's tariffs, are expected to lose money in
- 34:43twenty twenty six for the fourth straight year. There's no
- 34:48joy left in this farm.
- 34:51Speaker 2: When you work.
- 34:51Speaker 1: Sixteen hour days, you get to the end of the year,
- 34:55you have to borrow money to pay your taxes.
- 34:57Speaker 2: Well, there's no fun in that.
- 34:59Speaker 1: It's just not worth it anymore, said Tyson, a fourth
- 35:02generation farmer, long ago advised his daughters to look elsewhere
- 35:07for a good life. Tough times on the farmer souring
- 35:11some of the president's most loyal supporters. A little more
- 35:14than four months before November's congressional electorate elections, rural voters
- 35:19back to Trump's economic policies by forty five to forty
- 35:22three percent early last year, but now disapprove of them
- 35:25sixty one to thirty one percent, according to a Router's
- 35:29Episodes poll released this month. A separate Purdue University CME
- 35:33group surveyed this month showed that agricultural producers in particular
- 35:38grown more downbeat from hive to seventy five percent of December.
- 35:43The percentage of those surveyed saying they think the country
- 35:46is headed in the right direction fell to fifty two
- 35:48percent in May. Farmers represent a key constituency in states
- 35:53that couldn't decide control of the US Senate, including Iowa, Texas, Ohio, Michigan,
- 35:59as well as North Carolina. The President's signing Wednesday of
- 36:03an agreement extends the ceasefire with Iran sixty days follows
- 36:08a link the interruption to shipping through the Strait of
- 36:10Horn Moves, which curtailed exports for three of the world's
- 36:13top ten producers of uhea and anhydrous ammonium fertilizer, Saudi Arabia,
- 36:20Cutter and Iran. We're not going to solve that just
- 36:24because we opened the strait. There's still a very big
- 36:27wounds going to take time to heal, said Josh Lynnville,
- 36:30vice president of financial services firm stone X, who expects
- 36:35prices to remain higher than usual through next spring. On Saturday,
- 36:40conditions in the Strait Field remain fluid. Iranian's authorities declared
- 36:46the channel once again closed in response to Israeli attacks
- 36:49and Lebanon. They're scoring the fragility of the agreement signed
- 36:53last week. US Central Command, though denied there was a
- 36:57closure and said the shipping had increased, with fifty five
- 37:01merchant ships and seventeen million gallons of oil reaching global markets.
- 37:06US are on Peace talks are planned for Sunday in Switzerland, about.
- 37:10Speaker 2: An hour's drive east of Raleigh.
- 37:12Speaker 1: Tyson raises soybeans, cotton, sweet potatoes, tobacca, corn, and sunflowers.
- 37:18He runs the operation from a small white house adjacent to.
- 37:21Speaker 2: A two lane road.
- 37:23Speaker 1: Several buildings and grain silos dot the property. With shoulder links,
- 37:28brown hair, and a full beard. The Iceon is profoundly
- 37:31disillusioned by Washington. Well funded business lobbyists and entrenched government
- 37:37bureaucrats thwart the will of the people, necessitating a disruptive
- 37:42figure like Trump.
- 37:43Speaker 2: He said.
- 37:45Speaker 1: I was involved with the American Soybean Association for sixteen years.
- 37:50I thought I could make a difference.
- 37:51Speaker 2: He said.
- 37:52Speaker 1: I spent a lot of time in Washington and realized
- 37:57that it doesn't matter. It doesn't matter what you say
- 38:00out here, what you do out here. Tyson remained supportive
- 38:04of pumps Trump's Drained the Swamp brio the only objects
- 38:08to the double whammy of import tariffs and income taxes.
- 38:12Farmers have been among the biggest losers in the president's
- 38:15trade wars. After China responded to Trump's first term tariffs
- 38:19by purchasing soybeans from Brazil rather than the US, he
- 38:24gave farmers twenty three billion dollars to offset lost export
- 38:27sales last year. His April decision to raise US tariffs
- 38:32to their highest mark since the nineteen thirties caused China
- 38:36to again retaliate by halting purchases of American soybeans. Annual
- 38:42sales slumped to just three billion dollars from a twenty
- 38:46twenty two peak of nearly eighteen billion. Trump's tariffs on
- 38:51steel and aluminum also translated into higher prices for tractors, combines,
- 38:55and harvesters, as well as replacement parts. Separate levy the
- 39:00first imposed in twenty twenty on phosphate fertilizer from Morocco,
- 39:04were another irritant. Under pressure from larger harvests in South America,
- 39:10soybean prices are down by roughly one third from their
- 39:13twenty twenty two levels. The combination of higher input costs
- 39:18and lower sale prices leave many soybean farmers needing to
- 39:22borrow money for loans. In excess of one hundred thousand dollars,
- 39:26farmers face interest rates of nearly seven percent, more than
- 39:30twice the figure from four years ago. According to data
- 39:33from the Federal Reserve Bank in Kansas City. The returns
- 39:37for farmers have been really tough on the soybean side
- 39:40of the past few years. They just generally haven't been
- 39:43making much money since Scott Glert, chief economists for the
- 39:46American Soybean Association. Earlier this month, the administration reduced tariffs
- 39:52on agricultural equipment made of the steel or aluminum, such
- 39:56as harvesters and combines, to fifteen percent from twenty five.
- 40:00The President also sought to reassure farmers by staging a
- 40:04White House e n in March, where he promised easier
- 40:07environmental regulations and small business loan guarantees. By then twelve
- 40:13billion dollars in farm aide designed to counter what the
- 40:15administration called four years of disastrous Biden administration policies and
- 40:21other nations unfair trade practices was landing in farmers bank accounts.
- 40:26We're going to prove that the golden age of American
- 40:29agriculture is right here and right now, Trump said. With
- 40:32most consequential move came last fall, when Trump and Chinese
- 40:37President Xijin Ping reached truce in the trade war. In
- 40:41return for lower US tariffs, z agreed to resume purchases
- 40:46of American soybeans. Almost one hundred miles west of Tyson's farm,
- 40:51Michael McPherson stood in a wheat field where his son
- 40:54in law and grandson bailed straw. This plot sits among
- 40:58one thousand acres of soybean, corn, cattle, and hey, and
- 41:02he says his family cultivate. McPherson, who is fifty seven,
- 41:07was another casualty of finance on the Ira Iranian War.
- 41:12The price of diesel, which powers tractors, jumped nearly fifty
- 41:16percent in the weeks before his scheduled April first corn
- 41:19planting Fertilizer costs rose as well. He waited a few days,
- 41:25hoping the market would reset. Crops are not patient. Eventually
- 41:29he had to swallow the ector expense. Been a tough year,
- 41:34tough season so far. Among everything else that's going on,
- 41:38we're in the worst drout we've ever had this time
- 41:41of year. It's really putting us in a bind right now.
- 41:45None of our crops or where there's supposed to be
- 41:47this time of the year, said McPherson. Expects to realize
- 41:50about half of his usual harvests from the field. No
- 41:54reluctant to talk politics, he applauded the Trump administration's efforts
- 41:59to secure better trade terms for US farmers, even as
- 42:02he voices frustration with the Iran war. Before attacking, he
- 42:07said the administration should have stockpile fertilizer spare farmers crippling
- 42:12price increases. Instead, the war's costs of eroded profits and
- 42:16forced him to tap his financial reserves. I don't want
- 42:21to say where at crisis levels yet, Something's got to change,
- 42:24he said. Gary Hendricks, working with his wife and two sons,
- 42:30tills seven thousand acres of corn, cotton, soybeans, peanuts, and
- 42:34wheat and Rayford, about one hundred miles east to Charlotte.
- 42:38He failed to turn a profit last year and continues
- 42:41to operate in the red. Production costs including seed and
- 42:45fertilizer up about twenty percent, or one hundred dollars an
- 42:47acre compared with the last year. His last tank of
- 42:51diesel cost thirty two thousand dollars versus roughly nineteen thousand
- 42:57in December. The Iran war's end would mean less expensive fertilizer,
- 43:02but Hendrix worries that a small number of suppliers would
- 43:06use their market power to keep prices high. One of
- 43:09his biggest complaints is the agribusiness consolidation in recent years.
- 43:15It doesn't matter whether I'm buying or selling. If I'm
- 43:18trying to buy a tractor, if I'm trying to sell
- 43:20a load of soybeans, you know I don't have many
- 43:22places to go.
- 43:23Speaker 2: He said.
- 43:25Speaker 1: They can reserve a four seat table in any restaurant,
- 43:28decide what my profit margin is going to be. Two
- 43:31companies Companies Nutrient and Mosaic, account for at least eighty
- 43:35six percent of the phosphate and potash fertilizer market. In March,
- 43:40Bloomberg News reported that the Justice Department was investigating a
- 43:44nutrient Mosaic and three other producers for potential antitrust violations.
- 43:50The Federal Trade Commission last month said it had launched
- 43:53a related probe. In a statement, Mosaic said fertilizer prices
- 43:59are earned by a wide range of well documented market factors,
- 44:03not individual companies, and Nutrient did not respond to a
- 44:07request for comment. Hendrix, a registered independent, said he voted
- 44:12for Trump in twenty twenty four. He's undecided about which
- 44:16party he'll back in November's congressional elections, but as the
- 44:20midterms drawn here, he sounds lukewarm on the president. He's
- 44:25done some things that have been really a benefit to
- 44:28ag Hendrick said, and he's tried some things the other
- 44:32things that haven't quite worked. The next story. A pro
- 44:37Trump wave has swept Latin America. Columbia appears to be next.
- 44:43In one Latin American election after another, President Trump has
- 44:47gotten exactly what he wanted. Right Wing pro Trump candidates
- 44:51have defeated leftists across the region as the Trump administration
- 44:55has pursued the most aggressive US intervention in Central and
- 44:58South America. In Deca and on Sunday night, a Trump
- 45:03endorsed outside Or appeared headed for a victory in Colombia's
- 45:06presidential election. Alberado de la Espirella, a far right firebrand,
- 45:13one at least forty nine point six percent of the vote,
- 45:15according to an initial count meeting leftist Vonne Sippetta by
- 45:19less than a percentage point. Colombian President Gustavo Petro A
- 45:24Sepeda ally is not recognized a winner, said a formal
- 45:28ballot view review process would determine the final results. If
- 45:32the results hold, the Elias Sperella could be an ideal partner
- 45:37and Trump's lethal war against alleged drug traffickers on land
- 45:40and at sea. An ostentatious criminal defense lawyer was never
- 45:44held public office, the Elias Sperella forty seven, calls himself
- 45:49z It Tiger. He is vowed to build mega prisons
- 45:53for drug traffickers, to bomb narcotics terrorist camps, and abandoned
- 45:58Petro's efforts to broke her peace with Columbia's long standing Gorillas.
- 46:03Like other tough on crime candidates, swept elections in recent
- 46:06years in the region, Delaspirella has touted a playbook similar
- 46:11to that of El Salvador strongman Naib Burkele's cracked down
- 46:16on gangs has put more than eighty five thousand people
- 46:18in prison, many of them without access to a proper trial.
- 46:24Those who should be worried, afraid, even terrified by the
- 46:28arrival of our government are the bandits and the criminals,
- 46:31Elasparella said Wednesday in an interview with Colombia's Caracol radio station.
- 46:37The rise of the right in some cases with boost
- 46:40from Trump. It's a sharp swing from four years ago
- 46:43when the left notched historic wins. In Argentina, president Javier Milay,
- 46:50a populous Trump ally expanded his power in Congress last
- 46:54fall after Trump offered the country a forty billion dollar
- 46:57bailout conditioned on his party's win. In Honduras, a conservative
- 47:03mayor was elected president after Trump endorsed him and threatened
- 47:07to cut aid to the country off if he lost.
- 47:10Trump trump friendly right leaning candidates have also defeated leftists
- 47:16in Costa Rica, Chile, Bolivia, and Ecuador. The conservative Kiko
- 47:22Fujimori is on track to win Peru's presidential election this week,
- 47:27and Brazil's Flavio Bolsonao, son of the convicted former president
- 47:32hair Boslonnaro, is challenging President Luis in Nanakio Lula de
- 47:37la Silva in presidential elections this October. In Colombia, the
- 47:43world's largest producer of coco. Trump has repeatedly classed with Petro,
- 47:49the country's first leftist president, has been deeply critical of
- 47:53the deadly US boat strikes in Latin America and has
- 47:56accused Trump of meddling in Colombia's election. In return, has
- 48:01called Petro a lunatic. Early this month, the Trump administration
- 48:06halted a meeting it was planned between Petro and New
- 48:08York Mayor Zoran Mandami, a fellow Democrats socialist. In endorsing
- 48:15the Dila Esperrella, Trump described himself as being smart, strong,
- 48:20and a tough leader, called his competitor Petro ally Senator
- 48:24Evon Sepeda, a radical left Marxist. The results of this
- 48:31election are very important to the future of Columbia and
- 48:33its relationship with the United States, which, if Alberido wins,
- 48:37because of his competence and love of his country, will
- 48:41have a total support and strength of the United States
- 48:44behind him, Trump wrote. Roger Stone, a Trump ally who
- 48:48has lobbied the White House in favor of a right
- 48:50wing politicians in Latin America, posted on x that Dila
- 48:55Sperrella has my full support to enact the populous revolution.
- 49:00A letter signed by eleven Democratic members of the US
- 49:03Congress on Wednesday criticized the brazen interference by Trump another
- 49:07senior US officials and endorsing a candidate with a profoundly
- 49:11troubling record that appears to run counter to US interests
- 49:15and potentially to US laws. The letter said Esperella has
- 49:20praised the paramilitary leaders accused him of having pocketed funds
- 49:24allegedly intended to be used for bribing key judicial actors.
- 49:29Petro last week condemned the Trump administration for detaining a
- 49:33pro Petro Columbian activist in the US, calling him a
- 49:37political prisoner. He's also accused Esperella, a US citizen, of
- 49:43playing a role in suggesting his detention. Elasperella has been
- 49:48criticized for his abrasive, at times offensive remarks and as
- 49:53a lawyer for defending controversial clients including Alex Sabba now
- 49:58I have Venze Whale and strong Man Niko Maduro, who,
- 50:01like Maduro, is being held in the United States. But
- 50:05it's his Trumpian style straight talk that has drawn many
- 50:07of his supporters around the world. Politics are being done
- 50:11in new ways At Marrusio, Rihanna an analyst with the
- 50:14Colombian think tank Federal Solo. That's what Albivrado has managed
- 50:19to capitalize on, show the emotion, simple ideas and a
- 50:23short attention span. Braggadocia is part of his brand, which
- 50:28doubles as a business venture. Delas Parella has a clothing
- 50:31and lifestyles brand, selling ram wine, suit jackets and other
- 50:34men's wear, which is promoted as masculine style for extraordinary men.
- 50:40The business also sells books by Dilasparella, including one called
- 50:44Murderous Souls, and a bust of a tiger painted with
- 50:47the Colombian flag listed for more than one thousand dollars.
- 50:51His campaigned as an outsider, his populist message has set
- 50:55him apart from the traditional conservative party of former President
- 50:58alverdro Ui bee Belz, a towering figure long seen as
- 51:03the most important political force in the country. Uribe and
- 51:06his allies, however, appear to be losing popularity with the
- 51:10younger generations not old enough to remember his leadership or
- 51:13disillusioned by allegations of corruption. Maria Fernando Cabao, a right
- 51:19wing former Colombian senator who in January announced her departure
- 51:23from the Uribe back Democratic Center party, said the right
- 51:26wing establishment shifted too close to the center in this election,
- 51:30leaving a large swath of supporters in the dust and
- 51:33open to backing d Espirella. He doesn't come already contaminated
- 51:38by the political class or traditional politics, Cabal said. He's
- 51:41someone invents himself and reinvents himself. His rival Sapada, the
- 51:47sixty three year old senator whose father was killed by
- 51:49a state backed arm group, played national prominence in part
- 51:53by exposing ties between these parliament paramilitaries and Colombian politicians
- 52:00to continue Petro's peace negotiations with armed groups. Sergio Guzman,
- 52:06director of Colombia's Risk Analysis in Bogatah, said the high
- 52:10levels of support for de la Espirella are a rejection
- 52:14a Petro's government and reflect disminishing trust in the twenty
- 52:18sixteen piece of cords. You can go to a store
- 52:21to buy groceries if you know you'll be robbed of
- 52:24half of it, or if you go to another town
- 52:26and they detainer kidnap you, said Wardo Torres, a retired
- 52:30military sergeant who gathered with Dilaspirella supporters in the central
- 52:34Bogata Plaza on a recent Sunday afternoon. Without safety, you've
- 52:39got nothing, and only our military and police can offer
- 52:42that security. With Dila Aspirella as president, the handling of
- 52:48Colombia's decades long armed conflict could change dramatically, said Tizanio Brida,
- 52:54a senior analyst for the Global Conflict Monitor ac LED.
- 52:59Speaker 2: Rather than focus.
- 53:00Speaker 1: Negotiations, Petro has done, Esperella appears to have a more
- 53:04muscular response to the illegal arms groups breed a SID,
- 53:08which may open the door to potential abuses of power.
- 53:12The discourse is really to mimic what the US is
- 53:15doing in the Caribbean breed a SID referring to the
- 53:18US strikes against alleged drug boats that have killed more
- 53:21than two hundred people. In essence, shoot first, investigate later.
- 53:27In our last story, today socialism is back in vogue.
- 53:30Ah wait for reality to sit in. It has never
- 53:35been a better time in America to be a socialist.
- 53:37We aging gen xers who thought that socialism had been
- 53:40decisively refuted by the fall of the Berlin Wall, had
- 53:43been refuted ourselves. Democratic socialists now run Seattle and New
- 53:48York City, and come January probably DC two with Jennie
- 53:52Lewis George won the Democratic primary that generally decides the
- 53:56district's mayor or elections. It's a heady moment for the
- 54:00because Socialism's faint, tainted brand has recovered from its vivid
- 54:04failures of the Soviet Union. Fully sixty six percent of
- 54:08Democrats tell Gallop they view socialism favorably, while forty two
- 54:13say the same capitalism. This makes the left see a
- 54:16revolution marching toward victory because it can promise something that
- 54:20the left center cannot, a disruptive break with an unsatisfying
- 54:25status quo. The challenge is that Socialism's rise is spiky,
- 54:31concentrated in blue cities were affluent but often downwardly mobile
- 54:35college graduates cluster. That's a problem for the Democratic Party,
- 54:40where the excesses of progressive governance are helping make the
- 54:43party's brand toxic and less blue areas. But it's also
- 54:47a challenge for the socialists because cities are the hardest
- 54:50place to execute big plans are new taxing and spending.
- 54:56That reality was less evident during the last decades urban
- 54:58boom city call overflowed and services became easier to fund
- 55:03as the young, affluent residents displaced, older and needier residents.
- 55:07That boom is weakened, especially in DC, where the population
- 55:12remains below its pre pandemic peak. Without the exuberant demand
- 55:16from an oversized millennial generation, mayors are rediscovering the hard
- 55:20reality of urban governance. It's much easier to leave a
- 55:24city than it is to leave a state or a country,
- 55:27so the tax base is more constrained and the scope
- 55:31for punitive business regulations is much smaller. That's always been true,
- 55:36but it's even more so in the area of remote work,
- 55:40because proximity to a downtown office is no longer as
- 55:43valuable as it was before we could zoom into meetings.
- 55:46Even if the traditional downtown office culture hadn't changed, socialist
- 55:50mayors would find it challenging to deliver truly disruptive change.
- 55:56Last time socialists who were force in American politics was
- 55:59a sage here we go, when government was tiny and
- 56:03practically virgin tax base was ripe for the plucking. One
- 56:06hundred years later, the government already does a lot, funded
- 56:10with progressive tax structures that place as much of the
- 56:13burden on the higher income taxpayers the socialists want to
- 56:17tap to pay for their programs. Those services are often
- 56:21absurdly expensive for what they deliver. American infrastructure costs, for example,
- 56:27are a scandal, but every excessive cost to someone else's income,
- 56:32and that's someone will fight like a cornered tiger if
- 56:35you try to reduce their income by one thin dime.
- 56:39This eats up fiscal capacity that might otherwise be used
- 56:42to fund new services. New York, DC, Seattle, and Chicago
- 56:48are wrestling with major structural budget gaps. The progressivity of
- 56:54the tax code also complicates things on the revenue side.
- 56:58Socialists may wax lyric about a Nordic style warfoll state,
- 57:02but those states are paid for by heavily taxing the
- 57:05middle class, an idea that it's unlikely to gain much
- 57:10purchase with the educated base of democratic socialists in America.
- 57:14Today's college educated elite is voting for more public services,
- 57:17not less disposable income. Unfortunately, New York City always gets
- 57:23roughly a third of its income tax from revenue from
- 57:26millionaire filers. Face combined state, local, and federal marginal personal
- 57:31income tax rate that can exceed fifty percent. DC also
- 57:37has one of the highest combined marginal tax rates in
- 57:39the country, at roughly forty eight percent. There is probably
- 57:43some additional tax capacity there. How much is an opening question.
- 57:47Given how easy it is to move socialist mayors get
- 57:51it wrong, The first warning sign will be falling revenue.
- 57:55Nor is there much likelihood of new federal funds, given
- 57:59that the national debt sits around one hundred percent of
- 58:02gross domestic product and Republican president sets in the White House.
- 58:07New York Mayor Zora and Mamdani, Seattle Mayor Katy B.
- 58:11Wilson and George Lewis are already struggling with these issues.
- 58:16Mamdami has scaled back his ambitions in the fence in
- 58:19the face of a five point four billion dollar deficit
- 58:23it was only closed with substantial state aid, while Wilson
- 58:26is pondering layoffs to patch her own budget hole. The
- 58:29DC Council, where George Lewis sits, is wrestling with a
- 58:33one point one billion dollar gap that will make it
- 58:36tricky to deliver on her big promises such as expensive
- 58:40child care subsidy. Ironically, these dismal feat fiscal realties are
- 58:46part of what's boosting socialist fortunes. The parloss state of
- 58:49federal finance reduces the scope for bold new national agenda
- 58:53may also be contributing to higher interest rates and inflation.
- 58:57It's an opportunity for socialist politician, but the reality for
- 59:03those politicians is that once in office, they will find
- 59:06it difficult to maintain the status quo, much less improve
- 59:10on it and the way their supporters expect. And this
- 59:14concludes the reading of the Washington Post for today, Monday,
- 59:17June twenty second. Your reader has been Rod Brotherton. Do
- 59:20you have any questions, comments, or suggestions concerning the program,
- 59:23Please feel free to call Radio I at eight five
- 59:26nine four two two sixty three ninety. Thank you as
- 59:29always for listening, and now please stay tuned for continued
- 59:32programming right here on RADIOI.